𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

EUR/USD Price Activity

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ki price action analysis par baat kar rahe hain. Yeh bohot zaroori hai ke hum candle analysis ka mutaala karein, jo ke aaj ki price action trading strategy par focus karte hue, khaas tor par hourly chart par ho. Is jagah, inner bar acchi tarah se execute ho raha hai aur apni upper boundary se ek pending order ke sath trend upward jari hai, aur abhi critical psychological resistance level 1.1009 ke qareeb hai hourly chart par. Yeh area broader time frames par ek significant resistance zone ka kaam kar raha hai, jo ke shayad ek downward correction ko trigger kar sakta hai. Agar technical analysis ke lihaaz se dekha jaye to, yeh instrument psychological resistance ka samna kar raha hai, jo ke double-top pattern ko activate kar sakta hai, aur yeh overall uptrend ke darmiyan ek zabardast bearish correction ki wajah ban sakta hai. Main is baat par hairaan hoon ke major currencies mein recent izafa aur dollar ki simultaneous decline market mein kaise ho rahi hai. Haalanki producer price index (PPI) negative tha, lekin is context mein yeh ek critical metric nahi hai.

Yeh movement ek quiet market mein hui, jo news releases ke sath coincided thi. Bloomberg ke mutabiq, yeh speculation hai ke investors ko dollar bechne ke liye encourage kiya ja raha hai pehle ke aane wale U.S. inflation data publish kiya jaye. Haalanki PPI mein decline dekha gaya hai, yeh figures agle period ke liye hain, na ke kal ke liye, aur yeh aaj ke izafe ko explain kar sakta hai, lekin volumes abhi bhi kam hain aur growth unusual lag rahi hai. Key level 1.0987 (rotation reversal 6/8) daily EURUSD chart par hai. Lagta hai ke yeh doosri koshish hai is level ko break karne ki. Agar aaj ka session 1.0987 ke upar close hota hai aur yeh level support ban jata hai, to agla target 1.1109 (stop reversal 7/8) hoga, jaise ke neeche diye gaye chart mein dikhaya gaya hai. Wagarna, agar 1.0987 ke neeche close hota hai to yeh selling ke resumption ko trigger kar sakta hai, lekin is waqt yeh scenario nahi lag raha.

EUR/USD pair ne Wednesday ko apni upward trading ko jari rakha. Is dafa euro ke sustained rise ko support karne ke liye kisi specific reason ki zaroorat nahi thi. Agar ek din pehle market ne pair ko U.S. Producer Price Index ke base par khareed sakta tha (jisay usne khub faida uthaya), to Wednesday ki subah euro ko khareedne ka koi khaas waja nahi tha. Eurozone ne second quarter ke GDP reports aur industrial production data release kiye, jisme pehla initial estimate se milta-julta tha aur doosra forecasts se kamzor tha. Lekin, aksar ki tarah, market ne unfavorable data ko ignore kiya aur PPI par react kiya, jo ke ek slowdown dikhata hai. Dopehar mein, U.S. inflation data ne 0.1% ka slowdown dikhaya, jo ke anticipate kiye gaye slowdown se ziada tha. Is se market ko dollar ko bechne ke liye ek mazboot base mil gaya. Upward movement sirf 1.1043 level ke qareeb ruk gaya, lekin ab humare paas ek naya, mazboot upward trend hai.

Wednesday ko 5-minute time frame par teen trading signals generate huye. Pehle, pair ne 1.1011 level ko breach kiya, phir wahan se bounce kiya, aur us ke baad 1.1043 level tak pohanch gaya aur wahan se bhi bounce kiya. Novice traders 1.1011 level ke qareeb long positions open kar sakte thay, unhain 1.1043 ke qareeb close kar sakte thay, us level ke qareeb short positions open kar ke phir se shorts par profits book kar sakte thay jab price wapas 1.1011 par aya. Total profit 40 pips ka bana.

Trading tips Thursday ke liye:
EUR/USD ne ek naya upward trend form kiya hai jo hourly time frame mein ek trend line se support hai. Hum samajhte hain ke euro ne tamam bullish factors ko poori tarah se factor kar liya hai, isliye hum ek sustained upward movement ki umeed nahi karte. Flat phase abhi bhi 1.06-1.10 range mein 24-hour time frame mein hai. Lekin, market phir se yeh dikhata hai ke woh U.S. inflation ke slowdown se deal karne ke liye dollar ko panic mein bechne ke liye tayar hai. Isliye, jab tak ke umeed ek cheez hai, current technical picture ko ignore nahi karna chahiye. Pair se girawat ki umeed tab ki ja sakti hai jab price trend line ke neeche consolidate kar le.

Thursday ko, novice traders girawat ki umeed kar sakte hain agar price 1.1011 level ke neeche consolidate karti hai. Is surat mein, euro 1.0971 tak gir sakta hai.

5M time frame par key levels jo dekhne walay hain woh hain: 1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611, 1.0678, 1.0726-1.0733, 1.0797-1.0804, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971, 1.1011, 1.1043, 1.1091. Thursday ko, Eurozone mein koi scheduled events ya reports nahi hain, jabke U.S. mein kuch kam critical reports jaise industrial production, retail sales, aur unemployment claims release kiye jayenge.

EUR/USD Market Analysis

Assalam o Alaikum aur Good Morning sab ko! Aaj ka din EUR/USD market mein kafi volatile ho sakta hai. Kyunki aaj US Non-Farm Payroll aur Unemployment rate ki reports aayengi jo EUR/USD ke market direction ka taayun karengi. Iske alawa, Average Hourly Earnings bhi market par jaldi asar dal sakti hai. By the way, halat yeh lagte hain ke EUR/USD pair par buy orders initiate karne ka mauka hai, lekin traders ko ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye aur yeh yaad rakhna chahiye ke overbought conditions ka faida future mein sellers ko mil sakta hai. Traders ko changing conditions ke liye adaptable aur responsive rehna hoga. Ek flexible strategy apnaani hogi, jo ke risk management ke saath mil kar market volatility ke challenges se niptne ke liye zaroori hai.

EUR/USD market ke 1.0845 resistance zone ko cross karne ke chances hain. Fundamentally, EUR/USD mein buyers ka rujhan lagta hai, jahan euro ne resilience dikhayi hai aur US dollar ke muqable mein steadily appreciate kar raha hai. Yeh trend yeh zaroori banata hai ke ek strategic approach apnai jaye jo ke prevailing market dynamics ke sath align ho. Ismein trend direction ko pehchanana aur effective risk management techniques ko apnai ka bhi bohot zyada ahmiyat hai trading decisions mein.

Euro ki resilience yeh suggest karti hai ke filhal market long positions ko favor kar rahi hai; lekin yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke achanak shifts aa jayein jo ke sellers ko faida de sakti hain, khas tor par agar pair overbought ho jaye. Risk management is strategic approach ka critical component hai. Stop-loss orders ka istamaal, trading portfolios ko diversify karna, aur realistic profit targets set karna potential losses ko mitigate karne aur unexpected market movements se bachne mein madadgar sabit ho sakte hain. Ek balanced perspective banaye rakh kar aur overly aggressive positions se bachte hue, traders apni capital ko protect kar sakte hain aur saath hi emerging opportunities se faida utha sakte hain. Aaj Friday hai aur EUR/USD market kabhi bhi 1.0845 zone ko cross kar sakta hai.

Happy Trading!

Subah ki forecast mein, maine kuch levels highlight kiye the aur unke base par market entry ka plan banaya tha. Aaiye 5-minute chart ko dekhte hain aur analyse karte hain ke kya huwa. Afsoos ki baat yeh hai ke extremely low volatility ke wajah se, jo ke 15 points ke aas-paas thi, pehle half of the day mein market entry points achieve karna mushkil ho gaya. Technical outlook ko second half of the day ke liye revise nahi kiya gaya.

**EUR/USD pe Long Positions ke Liye:**

Bilkul, Eurozone trade balance ka data euro pe koi asar nahi daal paaya, aur na hi iski umeed thi. Ab U.S. housing market reports pe dhyan shift ho raha hai. Lekin, mujhe shak hai ke yeh data release market ko significantly change karega, isliye channel ke andar hi trading ko prefer karna better hoga aur week ke end mein kuch bada expect nahi karna chahiye. Building permits aur housing starts ka data shayad market ko U.S. dollar ke liye thoda push kar sakta hai, lekin yeh unlikely hai. University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index aur inflation expectations bhi zyadatar nazar andaz kiye jayenge, khaaskar jab in indicators mein koi significant changes nahi hain. Given ke technical outlook revise nahi kiya gaya, agar statistics achi nahi hoti, aur 1.0952 ke support level ke aas-paas false breakout formation hota hai, toh yeh long positions ke liye suitable condition hogi, with the expectation ke euro upar jayega aur bullish trend ko strengthen karega. Agar 1.1014 ke significant resistance level ko break kar ke upward movement hoti hai, toh pair ko strengthen kiya jaa sakta hai, aur 1.1047 tak rise ho sakta hai. Sabse door ka target 1.1076 high hoga, jahan main profits lene ki sochunga. Agar EUR/USD decline karta hai aur 1.0952 ke aas-paas second half of the day mein koi activity nahi hoti, jo ke unlikely hai, sellers ko larger correction ka chance mil sakta hai aur wo active measures le sakte hain, aiming for a drop in the pair. Aise mein, main sirf 1.0916 ke next support level ke aas-paas false breakout ke baad hi consider karunga. 1.0884 se rebound par long positions open karunga, target rakhte hue upward correction of 30-35 points din ke andar.

**EUR/USD pe Short Positions ke Liye:**

Sellers itna active nahi rahe hain. Data release ke baad 1.1014 pe false breakout short positions ke liye suitable scenario provide karega, targeting a decline to the intermediate support at 1.0983. Agar is range ke neeche breakout aur consolidation hoti hai, aur uske baad se neeche se retest hota hai, toh ek aur selling point mil sakta hai move towards 1.0952, jahan zyada active buying dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Sabse door ka target 1.0916 hoga, jahan main profits lene ki sochunga. Is level ko test karna euro buyers ke upward trend establish karne ke plans ko thwart karega. Agar EUR/USD second half of the day mein weak U.S. statistics ke wajah se rise karta hai aur 1.1014 pe bearish activity nahi hoti, toh buyers naya upward trend establish karenge. Aise mein, main selling ko 1.1047 ke next resistance pe postpone karunga. Main wahan bhi action loonga, lekin sirf unsuccessful consolidation ke baad. Main short positions ko 1.1076 se rebound par turant open karunga, targeting a downward correction of 30-35 points.

**EURUSD D1 Analysis**

**Market Overview**

EURUSD pair ne daily timeframe par range-bound behavior dikhaya hai. Halankeh kuch breakouts ki koshish hui hai, lekin pair baar-baar apne trading range ki taraf wapas aata hai, jo market participants ke darmiyan indecision ko darshata hai.

**Support aur Resistance Levels**

Strong Support: 1.0850 - Ye level pehle bhi significant support provide karta raha hai aur yeh bullish reversals ke liye ek key area ho sakta hai.

Immediate Support: 1.0979 - Ye level recent range mein support ke roop mein kaam karta raha hai.

Immediate Resistance: 1.1055 - Ye level resistance ke roop mein kaam aaya hai aur upward price movements ko rokta hai.

Strong Resistance: 1.1120 - Is level ke upar breakout se bullish breakout ka signal mil sakta hai.

**Order Blocks**

Potential Order Block: 1.0850 - Ye level strong support ban sakta hai, aur agar price is level par retrace karti hai aur bullish reversal dikhati hai, toh yeh ek potential order block ban sakta hai long positions ke liye.

Potential Order Block: 1.0979 - Price action ke hisaab se, ye level long ya short positions ke liye ek order block ban sakta hai. Agar is level ke upar breakout hota hai toh yeh support level ban sakta hai, aur agar niche breakout hota hai toh yeh resistance level ban sakta hai.

Potential Order Block: 1.1055 - Agar price is level par retrace karti hai aur bearish reversal dikhati hai, toh yeh short positions ke liye ek order block ban sakta hai.

Potential Order Block: 1.1120 - Agar price is level tak pohnchti hai aur baad mein decline karti hai, toh yeh long positions ke liye ek potential order block ban sakta hai.

**Indicators**

RSI (14): RSI ab overbought territory mein hai, jo upward momentum ke exhaustion ko darshata hai. Lekin, price aur RSI ke beech divergence ko bhi dekhna zaroori hai.

MACD (12,26,9): MACD histogram flatten ho raha hai, jo momentum ke decrease ko darshata hai. Ek clear bearish crossover potential trend reversal ka signal de sakta hai.

**Best Areas for Buying aur Selling**

Buy: Agar price 1.1120 resistance level ke upar strong bullish momentum ke sath break hoti hai, toh potential buy entry consider ki ja sakti hai.

Sell: Agar price 1.0850 support level ke niche strong bearish momentum ke sath break hoti hai, toh potential sell entry consider ki ja sakti hai. Lekin, recent price action ko dekhte hue, false breakouts ko nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta.

**EUR-USD Pair Movement Analysis**

**Current Trend Overview**

Daily timeframe ke candlestick movement ke mutabiq, EURUSD currency pair ka trend is hafte bhi bullish hai, jo recent weeks ke trend se milta julta hai. Market ka analysis karte hue yeh nazar aa raha hai ke prices upar ja rahi hain, jo ke bullish rally phase ki nishani hai. Is hafte ke liye trend upar ki taraf hai, aur range bhi kafi wide hai.

**Weekly Summary**

Somwar ko candlestick ne 1.0917 se bullish movement shuru ki, aur ab 1.0979 tak pohnch chuki hai. Thursday raat ke trading ka closing price Monday ke market opening price se upar hai. Is hafte ka candlestick position purane hafte ke sabse uchi price level 1.1008 ko todne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke bullish trend ke continuation ki nishani hai.

**Technical Indicators**

Market ka aur behtar analysis karne ke liye, main kuch indicators ko monitor karunga:

- **MACD Indicator (12, 26, 29):** Dotted yellow line upar ki taraf point kar rahi hai, jo market mein bullish sentiment ko confirm karta hai. Histogram bars zero level ke upar hain aur moderate size ki hain.
- **Relative Strength Index (RSI) Indicator (14):** Lime Line level 70 ke kareeb hai, jo strong bullish momentum ko suggest karta hai.
- **Simple Moving Averages (SMA):** Yellow SMA 60 abhi bhi red SMA 150 ke upar hai, jo daily timeframe par bullish trend ko indicate karta hai.

**Conclusion**

Market conditions ke analysis ke mutabiq, daily aur H4 timeframes dono mein bullish trend continue kar raha hai, aur upar ki taraf movement ki ummeed hai. Mere khayal mein, BUY trading position kholna achha profit de sakta hai. Lekin, yeh bhi zaroori hai ke ideal candlestick position ka intezar kiya jaye jab price 1.0990 level tak pohnche.

Agla bullish target 1.1045 level par set kiya ja sakta hai, jabke stop-loss level 1.0955 price level par hona chahiye.

Kal Euro par banne wale sideways trend se neeche break karne ki koshish hui thi, lekin aakhir mein sellers poori tarah se neeche ka rukh banane mein nakam rahe, aur price wapas sideways trend mein chali gayi. Yeh kehna chahiye ke sellers iske baad apna asar dikhane mein nakam rahe, aur agar unhe upar ka kuch banane ki koshish karni hai, toh unhe 1.09444 ke level ko todna aur us par consolidate karna hoga. Agar yeh karne mein kaamiyab hote hain, toh rasta 1.10081 ke level ki taraf khul jayega. Sellers ke liye, agar wo dobara neeche ka rukh banane ki koshish karna chahte hain, toh ab unhe 1.08807 ke level ko todna aur us par consolidate karna hoga. Agar wo ismein kaamiyab hote hain, toh hum 1.07764 ke level ki taraf movement ki umeed kar sakte hain.
Pair EURUSD M30:

1- Kal Euro ke liye 1.08963 ke level se sales mein entry point ka forecast tha, price ne is level ko tod diya tha, lekin aakhir mein us par consolidate nahi kar saka.

2- Agar hum situation ko bands ke hisaab se dekhen, toh price neeche wali band ke saath movement banane ki koshish kar rahi hai, uske limits se bahar ka ek exit form hua hai, jab ke dono bands bahar ki taraf khulne lage hain, jo ke price drop ka signal dete hain. Is situation mein hum bas yeh dekh sakte hain ke yeh signal develop hota hai ya nahi.

3- AO indicator kaafi arsey se zero mark ke qareeb hai aur is tarah humein koi signal nahi de raha. Is situation mein humare liye behtareen yeh hoga ke hum positive ya negative area mein active increase ka intezaar karein, jo humein price movement ke baare mein direction batane ke laayak karega.

4- Is situation mein sales ke liye entry point 1.08963 ke level se consider kiya ja sakta hai, price drop ki umeed 1.08706 aur 1.08328 tak ki ja sakti hai.

5- Purchases 1.09306 ke level se consider ki ja sakti hain, price increase ki umeed 1.09576 aur 1.09917 tak ki ja sakti hai.

Hello. Hum kaafi arsay tak sideways trade kar rahe thay, magar aakhirkar buyers ne actively upar ki taraf move kiya aur 24 ghanton mein 1.10081 ka local maximum hasil kar liya. Agar hum is par qaim rehte hain, to quotes ki growth ke liye agla target 1.10799 hoga, aur agar is ke peeche consolidation ho jata hai, to phir hum 1.11388 ki taraf movement ka intezar kar sakte hain. Filhal sales ke baare mein zyada kuch kehne ko nahi hai, yeh aik upward trend hai baghair kisi reversal formations ke, aur behtar yeh hoga ke in formations ke banne ka intezar kiya jaye taake sales ke entry points talash kar sakein. Agar hum levels par focus karein, to qareebi strong level 1.10009 par hai, aur iske breakout aur consolidation se price ko 1.09128 ki taraf le jane ki ijazat milegi.
**EURUSD M30 Pair:**

1. Kal ke din Euro ke liye 1.09576 ke level se purchase ka entry point ka forecast tha, aur price ne doosri dafa is level ko break kiya aur pehla target 1.09917 tak pohonch gaya.

2. Agar hum situation ko bands se evaluate karein, to price active movement ke baad upper band ke saath central area mein wapas aagayi. Aur agar hum price growth ka aik naya high-quality signal lena chahte hain, to behtar yeh hoga ke hum upper band ke bahar ek naya active exit ka intezar karein, aur phir evaluate karein ke bands bahar ki taraf open karenge ya koi reaction nahi hogi.

3. AO indicator ne positive area mein damping banana shuru kar diya hai, agar hum zero mark ki taraf zyada active movement dekhte hain, to hum price fall ka aik stronger signal hasil karenge. Positive zone mein nayi increase quotes ki growth ka signal degi.

4. Is situation mein purchases ke entry point ko 1.10350 ke level se consider kiya ja sakta hai, price growth ko breakout aur consolidation ke baad 1.10581 aur 1.10803 tak pohochne ki umeed ki ja sakti hai

Friday ki Asian trading session ke doran, EUR/USD pair ne 1.0987 tak ki majbooti dekhi, lekin baad mein USD ki nayi demand ke wajah se niche pressure ka samna karna pada. Dealers ab aane wale U.S. economic data, jaise ke June ke retail sales numbers aur Federal Reserve ke member Adriana Kugler ki taqreer, par nazar rakh rahe hain. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank ke interest rate decision ka bhi request sentiment par kafi asar hone ki ummeed hai. Filhal, EUR/USD pair 1.0980 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai.

**EUR/USD Ke Buniyadiyat:**

Market sentiment tab se badal gaya hai jab dealers Federal Reserve ke September mein interest rate cut ke chances ko barha rahe hain. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne haal hi mein kaha tha ke central bank shayad inflation ke 2% target tak pohnchnay ka intezar nahi karega. Unhone kaha, "Agar aap tab tak intezar karein jab tak inflation 2 tak na pohoch jaye, to aap shayad zyada der kar chuke hain," ye suggest karta hai ke tight monetary conditions inflation ko 2% ke neeche le ja sakti hain.

Iske ilawa, Mary Daly, President of the Fed Bank of San Francisco, ne kaha ke inflation aise thandi ho rahi hai jo 2% target tak pohnchnay ki confidence ko barhawa deti hai. Magar, unhone zyada data ki zaroorat bhi jataayi pehle kisi rate decision par pohnchnay ke liye. Fed rate cut ke expectations USD ko neecha press kar sakti hain, jo EUR/USD pair ke liye ek headwind ban sakti hai.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Chand din pehle, EUR/USD pair ne chaar mahine ki sabse unchai level tak pohnchne ke bawajood 1.1100 ko break nahi kiya. Pair ne thoda mundh kar liya, aur ab ek descending channel ke upper end par specialized connection mein hai. Yeh connection teen din ke winning streak ke baad aayi hai aur yeh bullish phase se shift ko indicate karti hai, jisme pair ne aakhri barah trading sessions mein se sirf do hi sessions mein girawat dekhi thi.

Pair abhi bhi daily chart par 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar positive hai. Magar, Relative Strength Index (RSI) bearish zone mein 43.0 ke aas-paas hai, jo ke aage ke downside risk ko indicate karta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to selling pressure barh sakta hai, jiska potential support 1.0914 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai, jo shayad ek strong support level ke tor par kaam kare.

EUR/USD Price Summary**
**EUR/USD Ka Overview**
EUR/USD, Euro aur United States Dollar ka aik currency pair hai. Forex market mein yeh pair sabse ziada traded aur liquid pair hai, isliye isko "Fiber" ke naam se bhi jana jata hai. Yeh pair European Union aur United States ki economic health ko reflect karta hai aur iski qeemat bohot se economic factors, monetary policies, aur geopolitical events se influenced hoti hai. EUR/USD ka analysis traders ke liye bohot important hai kyun ke yeh pair forex market ka aik major indicator mana jata hai.

**Euro (EUR)**

Euro, yaani EUR, European Union ka official currency hai aur yeh duniya ki sabse badi economies mein se ek ka representative hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ki monetary policies, jaise ke interest rates aur quantitative easing, Euro ki value par baray asar dalti hain. Iske ilawa, European Union ke member states ki economic indicators, jaise ke Germany, France, aur Italy ki GDP growth, inflation rate, aur political stability bhi EUR/USD ki qeemat ko influence karte hain.

**United States Dollar (USD)**

United States Dollar, yaani USD, duniya ki sabse powerful aur stable currency hai. Yeh global trade aur finance ka center hai aur US economy ki strength ka representative hai. USD ki value par US Federal Reserve (Fed) ki monetary policies, jaise ke interest rates, inflation control measures, aur economic indicators, jaise GDP growth, employment data, aur consumer confidence ka seedha asar hota hai. Global market trends aur risk sentiment bhi USD ki value ko influence karte hain.

**EUR/USD Par International Factors Ka Asar**

EUR/USD ki qeemat par bohot se international factors ka asar hota hai. Agar European economy strong hai aur ECB interest rates barha raha hai, to Euro ki demand barh jati hai, jo EUR/USD ki qeemat ko upar le ja sakti hai. Waisi hi, agar US economy strong ho rahi hai aur Fed interest rates ko barha raha hai, to USD ki value barh sakti hai, jo EUR/USD ko neeche la sakti hai. Geopolitical tensions, trade policies, aur global financial market trends bhi is pair ki qeemat ko significantly influence karte hain.

**EUR/USD Ka Technical Analysis**

Technical analysis mein, EUR/USD ke charts ka review kiya jata hai taake future price movements ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Traders moving averages, support aur resistance levels, aur oscillators jese tools ka istemal karte hain taake trading opportunities identify kar sakein. For example, agar EUR/USD kisi significant support level par hai, to bohot se traders is waqt buy karna pasand karte hain, umeed karte huye ke price wahan se upar ki taraf move karegi.

**Conclusion**

EUR/USD forex market ka aik major aur sabse zyada traded currency pair hai. Is pair mein trading karte waqt European Union aur US ki economic conditions, central bank policies, aur global market trends ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai. Yeh pair bohot ziada volatility aur liquidity offer karta hai, jo traders ke liye significant opportunities aur risks paida karta hai. Successful trading ke liye, EUR/USD ka fundamental aur technical analysis karna aur market news par nazar rakhna ahem hai taake informed decisions liye ja sakein.

EUR/USD currency pair ki price action ke baray mein baat karein to ab tak iski behavior kafi interesting rahi hai. Producer Price Index mein kami dekhi gayi, jo is baat ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai ke aglay period mein inflation mein kami ho sakti hai. Yeh outcome kuch had tak expected tha, magar itna tez move hona thoda surprising tha. Hum dekh rahe hain ke price pehle ke high, jo ke 1.1009 ke qareeb hai, us taraf barh rahi hai. Yeh bhi interesting hai ke kafi significant news na hone ke bawajood, pair ki bullish momentum 18:59 par shuru hui, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karti hai ke yeh movement speculative interest ke wajah se ho sakti hai.

1.1004 ka level ab tak resistance ke tor par kaam kar raha hai, aur hum dekh rahe hain ke 1.099 level se rebound ho raha hai, jab ke support 1.0969 par hai. Buy zone 1.0934 aur 1.0914 ke darmiyan hai. Agar pair kal 10th figure mein enter kar jata hai aur mazeed 79-99 points gain karta hai, to bearish momentum bilkul khatam ho sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar 1.1011 break hota hai, to pullback bhi ho sakta hai.


H1 chart par euro-dollar buyers ne upward momentum sustain ki hai, jo 1.0880 ke low se shuru hui thi, aur pair ko second impulse zone 1.0993 par test karaya. Yeh move puray bullish cycle ko complete kar chuki hai. Aaj ke bullish candle ka increasing volume yeh suggest karta hai ke ho sakta hai EUR/USD apni rise kal bhi continue kare, lekin final direction ziyada tar U.S. inflation data par depend karegi. Euro ke liye nearest critical support second zone ke lower boundary ke qareeb, yani 1.0978 par hai. Is level se price reverse ho kar resistance zone, jo ke 1.1039-1.1059 ke darmiyan hai, us taraf barh sakti hai ya phir first impulse zone levels 1.0055 aur 1.0841 tak decline kar sakti hai. Filhal buyers apna advantage rakhtay hain, aur last week ka high update hona expected hai, magar akhir kar underlying fundamentals final outcome ka faisla karenge.

Euro ne Friday ko US Dollar ke muqablay mein behtareen sudhar dekha, jahan EUR/USD joڑ ne aham 1.1000 resistance level ke qareeb chadhayi. Yeh oonchai ke asbaab zyada tar US Dollar ki kamzori aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke zariye interest rate cut ke bharose mein izafa tha. US Dollar Index (DXY) ne girawat dekhi jab bazaar ka jazba Fed ke September ke meeting mein 25 basis point ki interest rate kam karne ke keemati jazbat ko afzal samajh raha tha. Is tajwez ne risk-sensitive currencies, jaise ke Euro, ki appeal ko barhawa diya. Is ke ilawa, 10-year US Treasury note ke yield mein kami aayi, jo Dollar ki girawat ko aur barhawa dene ka sabab bani. Jab ke September ke liye rate cut ki umeedain zabardast hain, traders ne 50 basis point ke ziada aggressive cut par apni betiyan kam kar di hain kyunke US recession ke imkaan ka khauf hai. Jerome Powell ki Jackson Hole symposium mein taqreer ke zariye Fed ke rate cut ke raaste par zyada wazahat milne ki umeed hai. Dusri taraf, Euro ko European Central Bank (ECB) ke taraf se dheere dheere interest rate cut ki umeed ne support diya hai. Magar, ECB ke policymakers ne persistent inflationary pressures ke bawajood ehtiyaat barqarar rakha hai.

Technically, EUR/USD joڑ ko 1.0940 level aur July 2023 se lehrati trend line par resistance ka samna hai. Agar 1.0940-1.0970 se upar ki taraf decisive break hota hai, to yeh joڑ 1.1000 ke psychological level tak pohnch sakta hai, aur 1.1100 aur 1.1150 tak bhi chal sakta hai. Dusri taraf, support 20-day moving average aur October-December ke uptrend ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement ke aas-paas 1.0875 par hai. Agar 1.0790-1.0815 ke niche girawat hoti hai to bechne ka pressure tez ho sakta hai aur 1.0700 tak ja sakta hai. Total milakar, EUR/USD joڑ mein bullish momentum hai, magar 1.0940-1.0970 par strong resistance ko paar karna ek aham challenge hai.

Is haftay EUR/USD joray ne ek rukawat ka samna kiya, jab yeh 1.1017 ke mark se upar chadh gaya tha, magar phir tez girawat aayi. Ye shuruati haftay ki rally bullish momentum ko barqarar nahi rakh saki, aur pair ab ek girti hui price channel ke uper ke edge ke saath fluctuate kar raha hai. Bazaar ke hissedaar ab US Dollar ke positions ka jaiza le rahe hain, jo ke Federal Reserve ke officials ke recent bayanat se heavily influence hue hain.

**Fed ke Policy Insights aur Key Economic Data dekhne ke liye:**

Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ne inflation ke recent progress par roshni daal di, jo Fed ke policy direction ko kuch had tak samajhne mein madad mili. Powell ke remarks ke baad, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly ne bhi kuch commentary di, lekin unka asar itna zyada nahi tha. Dono policymakers ne yeh bayaan kiya ke Fed rate cuts ka faisla meeting-by-meeting basis par kiya jayega, bina kisi fixed schedule ke.

Traders mid-tier US data, jaise ke Existing Home Sales Change for June, par nazar rakhenge. Magar, traders ka primary focus Wednesday ko aane wale Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) reports par hoga. EU ka Manufacturing aur Services PMI for July thoda increase hone ki ummeed hai, jahan Services PMI ka 53.0 tak barhne ka andaza hai, pehle ke 52.8 se.

**EUR/USD ka Technical Analysis:**

Mangalwar ko, pair ne near-term technical levels ke andar trading ki, jo 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.0926 ke aas-paas tha. Pair ne 1.1050 ke nazdeek se retrace kiya hai, jab Greenback ki strength kam hui. Iske bawajood, girti hui channel ke upper range tak pohnchna abhi bhi mumkin hai.

Jab ke early European session Friday ko shuru hota hai, EUR/USD pair 1.1005 ke aas-paas mazbooti se trade kar raha hai, jo ke rozana ki faida mandis ka silsila khatam karta hai. US Dollar dheere dheere upar ja raha hai, kyunki bazar ke shiraakaar ECB ke aham monetary policy meeting se pehle ehtiyaat barat rahe hain. Iske saath, investors important US economic data ka bhi intezaar kar rahe hain, jisme weekly Initial Jobless Claims aur Philly Fed Manufacturing Index shamil hain.

Central Bank Decisions pe Nazar: ECB aur Fed Rate Cut Ki Umeedain:

Aane wale ECB rate decision par forex traders ki nazar hai. ECB se ummeed hai ke wo current interest rates ko barqarar rakhega, jo ke June mein quarter-point rate cut ke baad hai. Halanki foran koi tabdeelion ki umeed nahi hai, traders ECB President Christine Lagarde ke speech se koi bhi policy adjustments ya stance ke badlaw ki ishaare dhund rahe hain.

US rate markets ne already September 18 ko Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke meeting mein kam se kam quarter-point rate cut ko factor kar liya hai. CME ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, September mein rate cut hone ki 98% sambhavana hai. Market expectations teen rate cuts in 2024 ki bhi forecasting kar rahi hain, jo ke Federal Reserve ke ek ya do cuts ke projections se zyada hain.

H1 Chart EUR/USD Trend Analysis: Peaks Tak Pohnchna Aur Possible Retracement

Pair ek rising trendline ko follow kar raha hai jab se yeh late July mein 1.0710 ke aas-paas low par aaya. Yeh ab tak 18-week peak ke nazdeek 1.1048 ke aas-paas pohnch gaya hai. Pair ki recovery ne descending channel ke upper boundary ko break kar diya hai. Magar, barhti hui short pressure ke saath, yeh pair 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) tak wapas ja sakta hai jo ke 1.0995 ke aas-paas hai.

Agar euro ke upar ke raaste ke baare mein koi shak tha, to aaj woh khatam ho gaya hai. Daily EUR/USD chart dikhata hai ke Friday ko ek mazboot bullish candle ke saath close hua, jo ek bullish engulfing pattern banaata hai. Yeh pair ke liye majboot upward momentum ko darshata hai. Filhal, EUR/USD ek ascending wedge mein chal raha hai, jiske potential target levels 1.1010 se le kar 1.1058 aur 1.1085 tak hain. Outlook yeh hai ke yeh pair 1.11 level tak pohanchne ke raaste par hai. Lekin, yeh developments agle hafte ke dauran samne aayengi.

RCI oscillators aur MACD indicators abhi bhi is upward movement ko support kar rahe hain, halankeh yeh daily timeframe par overbought territory mein hain. Is ke bawajood, mere pehle ke purchases jo pichle mahine se chal rahe hain, unhein dheere-dheere close kiya ja raha hai aur naye positions ke saath replace kiya ja raha hai. Is waqt, main situation ko dhyan se dekh raha hoon, aur 1.1058 ke high ko par karne ka intezar kar raha hoon. Agar yeh high paar hota hai, to main apna target 1.1085 par adjust kar dunga.

Weekend ke nazdeek aate hi, market ko trading session ke close ke baad dekhna zaroori hai. Yeh sambhavit hai ke euro thoda retrace karke 1.1010 tak aa sakta hai, jo ek typical Friday correction ke roop mein dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh expected retracement naye positioning ke liye ek accha mauka faraham kar sakta hai.

Summary mein, euro ka bullish outlook barqarar hai, jo recent chart patterns aur technical indicators se support milta hai, magar market ki overbought condition ko dekhte hue ehtiyaat zaroori hai. Ab focus yeh hai ke EUR/USD 1.1058 ke high ko paar kar sakta hai ya nahi aur weekend ke dauran potential retracement trading strategies ko kaise impact kar sakti hai. Filhal, naya hafta shuru hone ka intezar hai aur situation ko assess karna zaroori hai.