𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

US dollar ne euro ke against apni position mazboot kar li hai, recent eight-month high se retreat karte hue. Yeh reversal us waqt hua jab US Dollar Index (DXY) mein surge dekha gaya, jo ke greenback ke haq mein barhati hui investor sentiment ko zahir karta hai. DXY, jo dollar ki value ko chhe major currencies ke against track karta hai, lagbhag 102.50 ke qareeb pohanch gaya hai, jo ke US economy par nayi confidence ko suggest karta hai.
**EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:**

June mein quarter-point reduction ke baad ek aur rate cut anticipate kiya ja raha hai, lekin yeh move September se pehle expect nahi kiya ja raha. ECB (European Central Bank) bhi December 2024 mein teesra rate cut implement karne ka plan kar raha hai. Pimco ke Executive Vice President aur Portfolio Manager, Konstantin Veit, ka kehna hai ke "ECB ne signal diya hai ke woh apne interest rate decisions ko forecast meetings mein lena pasand karta hai, yaani September aur December mein, na ke July, October, ya January mein."

ECB se yeh umeed hai ke current rates ko barqarar rakhega. Main refinancing rate, interest rate on the marginal lending facility, aur deposit facility sabhi ke 4.25%, 4.50%, aur 3.75% par unchanged rehne ki umeed hai. Yeh faisla June ke historic cut ke baad aa raha hai, jo ke 2019 ke baad se interest rates mein pehla decrease tha, ek lambi stability ke daur ke baad. Analysts forecast kar rahe hain ke mazeed reductions ane wale mahino mein ho sakti hain, khaaskar September aur December mein.

**Four-hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Jab pair apne recent high 1.1049 ke kareeb pohanchta hai, to resistance levels ziada significant ho rahe hain. Traders psychological threshold 1.1100 par nazar rakhte hue, mazeed resistance ki umeed upper boundary of the ascending channel ke kareeb 1.1141 par kar rahe hain. Yeh levels near term mein market movement ke liye critical points sabit ho sakte hain.

Agar pair decline karta hai, to initial support lower boundary of the ascending channel ke kareeb anticipate kiya ja raha hai, jo lagbhag 1.0970 ke aas paas hai. Yeh level 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke sath coincide karta hai jo 1.0973 par hai, aur ek critical support zone banata hai jo price movement ko potentially influence kar sakta hai.

Aaj ka focus EUR/USD currency pair ke price movements ka analysis hai. Aaj EURUSD pair ne bulls ko khushi di, jab PPI indicator ke result ne significant decrease show kiya. Kal ka din CPI par focus hoga; agar yeh inflation measure bhi decline karta hai, toh ek impressive rally dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Iske natije mein, 1.0943 aur 1.0962 ke resistance levels asaani se break ho gaye, jisse price wapas 1.1009 resistance tak pahunch gayi. Mera nahi khayal ke ab ke levels se koi significant downward rebound hoga. Yeh ziada likely hai ke yeh level kal break ho jaye, jahan CPI required push provide karega. Agar CPI decrease hota hai, toh ek tezi se upward break expect kiya ja sakta hai, jo pair ko potentially 1.1094 ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Iss point par, sirf inflation ka increase hi bears ko support kar sakta hai.
Market mein kuch trading strategies hain jo aise numbers ke aas paas limit orders place karke price ko break karne aur chhote profits capture karne par depend karti hain, aur current market scenario bhi kuch different nahi hai. Instrument pehle hi Bollinger Bands ke upper range par hai, jo continued upward momentum ko favor karta hai. Agar tenth figure break hoti hai aur price stabilize hoti hai, toh mein December 2023 mein recorded maximum level 1.1127 ki taraf further movement consider karunga, jo ke pair long run mein reach kar sakta hai, depending on trading strategies employed. EURUSD pair jaldi 11th figure ke kareeb pahunch sakta hai U.S. inflation news ke madde nazar. Pair kaafi arsay se narrow consolidation mein tha, aur aaj finally breakout kar gaya. Kal ka growth continue ho sakta hai jab Asian markets current daily trend ko pick karein. Aaj dollar across the market weak ho raha hai kyunki expectations hain ke U.S. inflation figures forecast se neeche aayengi. Price daily chart par broad upward channel se exit kar raha hai, aur mujhe koi aur reasons nazar nahi aate ke price 1.109 se reversal kare.

Sham bakhair! Euro ne US dollar ke against 1.0945 ke thoda upar hover kiya, aur consolidation phase mein enter ho gaya. Yeh aham decline ne pichle hafte ke European Central Bank meeting ke baad se hui progress ko khatam kar diya. Omicron variant infections ke resurgence aur European restrictions ke badhne ke khauf ne euro par neeche ki taraf pressure dala hai, jo iski demand ko limit kar sakta hai. Investors ab hospitalization rates par nazar rakhe hue hain, jo agle restrictions ke faislay mein crucial role ada kar sakte hain.
Iske sath hi, safe-haven assets ki demand barh gayi hai, jo US Treasury yields par burden daal rahi hai, aur temporarily dollar ke gains ko cap kar rahi hai. Iss yields ke drop ke bawajood, ek risk-averse market environment US dollar ko doosri currencies ke muqable mein apni strength barqarar rakhne mein madad de sakti hai. Daily chart par, EUR/USD pair ek narrow range mein sideways trend kar raha hai, jahan mukhtalif technical indicators clarity provide nahi kar rahe. Yeh trend Christmas ke qareeb aane tak continue hone ki umeed hai, jahan fluctuation range ziada se ziada 1.0860 - 1.0900 tak confined rehne ki expectation hai.

Geopolitical landscape bhi ab tak decided nahi hai. Haal hi mein teen Nord Stream pipelines ko sabotage kiya gaya, lekin responsible party ab tak unknown hai. Yeh event EU par significant impact dal raha hai, kyunki Russia se gas supplies ruk gayi hain aur qareebi future mein resume hone ki umeed nahi hai.

Yeh uncertainty agle haftay holidays ke qareeb volatility ka primary driver bani reh sakti hai. H4 chart par, EUR/USD pair cautiously sideways support range 1.0910 - 1.0980 se rebound ho raha hai, jo potential recovery ko indicate karta hai. Magar, agar support 1.0790 par hold nahi hota aur price is level ke neeche consolidate hoti hai, toh decline mazeed barh sakta hai, jo August 30 ko dekhe gaye lows ko dobara revisit kar sakta hai.

EUR/USD currency pair, jo filhal 1.0696 ke aas-paas trade kar rahi hai, ek bearish trend ka samna kar rahi hai. Halankeh market ki movement dheemi hai, kuch factors hain jo yeh suggest karte hain ke aane wale waqt mein ek significant shift ho sakta hai. In factors ko samajhna traders aur investors ko potential volatility ke liye prepare karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai.

Pehla factor macroeconomic environment hai dono Eurozone aur United States ke liye. Eurozone mein economic challenges ki wajah se euro pressure mein hai, jese ke sluggish growth, inflationary pressures, aur Italy aur Spain jese mulkon mein political uncertainties. European Central Bank (ECB) ne low interest rates aur quantitative easing measures ke saath dovish stance rakha hua hai taake economy ko stimulate kiya ja sake. Lekin agar inflation barhti hai, to ECB ko zyada hawkish stance lene par majboor hona pad sakta hai, jo euro ko mazboot kar sakta hai.

Is ke muqabil, U.S. dollar relatively strong raha hai, jo Federal Reserve ke tighter monetary policy ki wajah se hai. Fed ne inflation ko combat karne ke liye interest rates barhaye hain, jis se dollar ko support mila hai. Agar Fed apni policy mein koi changes karta hai, jese ke rate hikes ko rokna ya future cuts ke indications, to dollar kamzor ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD pair mein significant movement ho sakti hai. Is ke ilawa, U.S. se aane wale strong economic data, jese employment figures aur GDP growth, dollar ko support kar rahe hain. Lekin agar economic slowdown ke signs milte hain to market sentiment shift ho sakta hai.

Geopolitical events bhi EUR/USD pair ke movements ko drive kar sakte hain. Trade negotiations, political developments, ya economic sanctions ke ongoing events se volatility barh sakti hai. Agar trade disputes ka hal nikalta hai ya Eurozone mein political stability barhti hai, to investor confidence euro mein barh sakta hai. Is ke muqabil, geopolitical tensions ya sanctions jo Eurozone ya U.S. ko affect karte hain, safe-haven assets ke demand ko barha sakte hain, jo EUR/USD pair ko impact kar sakta hai.

Market sentiment aur speculative activities bhi currency pair ko influence karti hain. Traders aur investors economic indicators ko closely monitor karte hain, jese GDP growth, employment rates, aur manufacturing output, taake Eurozone aur U.S. economies ki health ko gauge kiya ja sake. Eurozone se aane wale strong economic data euro mein confidence barha sakte hain, jo bearish trend ko reverse kar sakta hai. Dusri taraf, disappointing data current bearish sentiment ko exacerbate kar sakti hai. Speculative activities, jo market expectations aur news ke reactions se driven hoti hain, in movements ko amplify kar sakti hain.

Technical analysis bhi EUR/USD pair ke potential future movements ke liye additional insights provide karti hai. Filhal, pair ek critical support level ke near hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to yeh bearish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai, jo aur zyada declines ko lead kar sakta hai. Agar pair is support ke upar rehta hai aur rebound karna shuru karta hai, to yeh reversal aur significant upward movement ka indication ho sakta hai. Technical indicators jese moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) potential trend reversals ya continuations identify karne ke liye useful tools hain.

Aakhir mein, jab ke EUR/USD pair filhal bearish trend aur dheemi market movements ka samna kar rahi hai, kuch factors hain jo significant changes ka potential suggest karte hain. Economic policies, geopolitical events, market sentiment, aur technical analysis sab potential volatility ki taraf ishara karte hain aane wale dinon mein. Yeh decide karna ke pair bearish trajectory ko continue karega ya bullish reversal experience karega, in factors ke outcomes par depend karega. Isliye, traders aur investors ke liye zaroori hai ke wo informed rahen aur naye developments par ready rahein jo EUR/USD currency pair ko impact kar sakte hain. Ek well-informed aur strategic approach market participants ko emerging opportunities ko capitalize karne mein madad degi.

۔ Thursday Ko EUR/USD Pair Ki Trade Aur Future Outlook

Hello doston!

Thursday ko EUR/USD pair ne apni logical decline ko barqarar rakhne ki koshish ki, lekin is baar bears ko 1.0888 ke qareeb aik majboot resistance ka saamna karna pada. Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke hafte ke shuruat mein traders kaafi active the, lekin volatility kam hoti gayi aur haal ke dinon mein macroeconomic aur fundamental background ka zyada asar nahi hua. Is liye, ab hum sirf technical analysis par rely kar sakte hain. Yeh kis baat ki nishandahi hai?

Hamare nazar mein ab sab se important factor daily time frame par 1.0600 aur 1.1000 ke darmiyan horizontal channel hai. Price pichle saat mahine se is range mein move kar rahi hai. Jab se price ne is week ke shuruat mein channel ke upper boundary ko touch kiya, hum ab ummid kar rahe hain ke yeh lower boundary ki taraf decline karegi. Is tarah se, hum foresee karte hain ke euro ka kamzori continue rahegi. Haan, yeh dheere dheere ho sakta hai, lekin humain mazeed growth ke liye koi wajah nazar nahi aati. Lekin, iska matlab yeh nahi ke yeh na ho sake.

Thursday ko 5-minute time frame par do acchi trading signals mili. Pehli baar, pair ne 1.0940 se rebound kiya aur phir 1.0888-1.0896 ke range tak gira, jahan se yeh phir se bounce back hua. Beginners ko do trading positions open karni chahiye thi, dono hi profitable hoti. Traders pehli sell transaction se 25 pips aur doosri se 10 pips kama sakte the.

Friday Ki Trading Tips:

EUR/USD pair ne hourly time frame par short-term downward trend ko break kar diya hai. Hamara maan na hai ke euro ne apne sab bullish elements ko poori tarah se factor in kar liya hai, isliye hum upward movement ke continue hone ki ummid nahi rakhte. 24-hour time frame 1.06-1.10 ke range mein flat hai. Abhi is range se breakout hone ki koi wajah nahi hai. Jaise pehle, hum mainly euro ke kamzori ki umeed karte hain, khas kar ke jab European Central Bank ne apni monetary policy ko ease karna shuru kar diya hai jabke Federal Reserve ne nahi kiya.

Friday ko, novice traders ko 1.0888-1.0896 se price rebound ke baad long positions hold karne ka sochna chahiye, lekin aaj ki movements shayad itni strong na ho.

5M time frame par key levels dekhne ke liye hain: 1.0526, 1.0568, 1.0611, 1.0678, 1.0726-1.0733, 1.0797-1.0804, 1.0838-1.0856, 1.0888-1.0896, 1.0940, 1.0971, 1.1011, 1.1043, 1.1091. Friday ko Germany ka Consumer Price Index ka second estimate publish hoga. Is estimate ke pehle wale se farq hone ke chances kam hain, isliye hum market reaction ya kisi significant reaction ki ummid nahi rakhte

EUR/USD pair ne is hafte ke aaghaz mein ek significant upward rally ki, jo lagbhag resistance level (R2) 1.1021 par pohonch gayi. Is ke baad, price ne EMA 50 ki taraf correction ki, lekin koi khaas movement nahi hui jo yeh indicate kare ke rally continue hogi ya price downward correction phase mein enter ho raha hai. Filhaal, price resistance level (R1) 1.0965 aur pivot point (PP) 1.0872 ke darmiyan fluctuate kar rahi hai. Agar, misaal ke taur par, price EMA 50 se bounce kare aur resistance (R1) 1.0965 par pohonche, lekin wahan se rejection face kare, toh yeh pivot point (PP) 1.0872 ko test kar sakti hai taake imbalance area ko close kar sake towards support (S1) at 1.0816.
Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke perspective se dekha jaye toh yeh price rally ko support nahi kar raha. Histogram filhaal 0 level par hai, jo is baat ki indication de raha hai ke yeh negative territory mein cross kar sakta hai, jo momentum direction ke potential change ko suggest karta hai. Magar, price structure abhi bhi higher high-higher low condition mein hai, aur trend direction bullish hai; lekin downward correction ka possibility abhi bhi hai. Doosri taraf, Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo abhi tak oversold zone 20-10 mein nahi pohonchay, 50 level par cross kar rahe hain aur overbought zone 90-80 ke kareeb hain. Yeh price mein upward movement ko support kar sakta hai, kyun ke buying ka saturation point abhi tak nahi pohoncha.
EUR/USD pair early European session ke dauran 1.0920 ke qareeb halki gains ke saath trade kar raha hai. Major pair ki upar chadhai US Dollar (USD) ke consolidation ke saath support hai. Investors Tuesday ko German August ZEW survey ka intezar kar rahe hain taake naye impetus mil sake.
Expectations hain ke survey ki reading 31.8 tak aa sakti hai, jo July mein 41.8 thi, jabke current assessment -75.0 dikhane ki umeed hai, jo pehle -68.9 thi. Kamzor data economy ke liye negative outlook contribute karega aur European Central Bank (ECB) ko easing mode mein rakh sakta hai, jahan September 12 ko rate cut poori tarah se priced in hai.
Daily chart ke mutabiq, EUR/USD ka bullish outlook prevail kar raha hai kyunki major pair key 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish territory mein 58.60 ke qareeb hai, jo near term mein potential upside indicate karta hai.
Pehla upside barrier Bollinger Band ke upper boundary ke qareeb 1.0973 par hai. Crucial resistance level 1.1000-1.1010 region mein hai, jo psychological marks aur August 5 ka high ko portray karta hai. Agar upswing continue hota hai, toh yeh pair 1.0981 tak le ja sakta hai, jo March 8 ka high hai.
Dusri taraf, August 9 ka low 1.0881 EUR/USD ke liye initial support level ka kaam karta hai. Agar is level ke neeche follow-through selling hoti hai, toh yeh 100-day EMA ko 1.0822 tak expose kar sakti hai. Is level ka breach 1.0735 tak raasta khol sakta hai, jo June 12 ka low hai.

Friday ke American trading session mein, pair ne 1.0900 ke key resistance level ke upar stability hasil ki. Yeh mazbooti us speculation ke bawajood aayi hai ke Federal Reserve apne aanewale September meeting mein interest rate cuts ka aghaz kar sakta hai, jo ke US Dollar (USD) par downward pressure dal raha hai. Markets Fed ke possible actions ka intezaar kar rahe hain aur Europe mein chal rahi siyasi strategies ka tajziya kar rahe hain, jisse currency pair ki movements mein volatility barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai.

### France mein Siyasi Harkatain aur Market Par Asar

EUR/USD 1.0950 ke qareeb pohanch gaya. France, jo Europe ka doosra bara iqtisadiat hai, mein doosray round ki voting par focus ho raha hai. Mukhtalif siyasi factions ne apne candidates wapas le liye hain taake far-right ka dominant show roka ja sake. Yeh tactical shift un high stakes ko darshata hai jo investor sentiment aur currency movements par asar daal rahe hain.

Isi dauran, France ke developments ne bhi market dynamics mein apna kirdar ada kiya hai. OAT-Bund 10-year spread notable tor par tighten ho gaya, jo late-June ke high 82 basis points se kam hote hue 66 basis points par band hua. Yeh adjustment siyasi maneuvers ke baad aya jo Marine Le Pen ke right-wing National Rally party ki growth ko rokne ke liye kiya gaya, jo elections se pehle siyasi landscape ko tabdeel kar sakta hai.

### Technical Strength aur Market Sentiment

Technical indicators ne bhi EUR/USD ki position ko mazbooti di hai. Currency pair ne apne gains ko 20-day aur 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) ke upar consolidate kar liya, jo ke 1.0854 aur 1.0823 ke aas paas hain. Iske ilawa, 200-day EMA jo ke 1.0863 par hai, ko breach karna ek strengthening trend ko signal kar raha hai, jo ke market confidence ko Euro ke haq mein mazid mazboot kar raha hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ko neeche ki taraf pressure ka samna hai, 1.0950 ke threshold ko paar karna mushkil ho raha hai, jabke investors United States aur Eurozone se important economic reports ka intezaar kar rahe hain. Pair ek narrow range mein oscillating ho raha hai, market ki apprehension ko darshaata hai crucial inflation data aur GDP growth statistics ke liye, jo is week release hone wale hain.

Eurozone mein, upcoming GDP growth aur inflation figures ko closely dekha jaega, kyonki ye ECB ke future monetary policy decisions ko impact kar sakte hain. ECB ne cautious approach adopt kiya hai, lekin softer inflation aur sluggish economic expansion ki ummeed se additional rate hikes mein pause aa sakti hai. Isse euro par pressure aa sakti hai, US dollar ke against subdued rehta hai.

Atlantic ke us paar, attention US inflation data par hai, khaskar Consumer Price Index (CPI), jo midweek release hone wala hai. Inflation reading ki expectations se zyada ho sakti hai, Federal Reserve ko interest rates ko sustain ya raise karne ki ummeed ko strengthen kar sakti hai, US dollar ko support karti hai. Iske ulta, lower-than-expected reading se rate cut ki speculation phir se shuru ho sakti hai, jisse dollar kamzor ho sakti hai aur EUR/USD pair ko uthne ki ijazat de sakti hai.

Technical standpoint se, EUR/USD pair significant resistance levels ke neeche trading ho raha hai, 1.0950 level critical barrier hai. 50-day aur 200-day moving averages short term mein bearish outlook ko darshaate hain, suggesting ki pair lower levels ko test kar sakta hai agar resistance ko paar nahi kar sakta. Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi bearish perspective ko support karta hai, implying ki pair ko upward traction gaining mein mushkil aa sakti hai, unless market sentiment mein notable shift na ho upcoming data releases se

**EUR/USD Analysis: Uptrend Mein Navigating Aur Trade Entries ke Liye Aham Levels**

EUR/USD currency pair ne aik lambi muddat tak sideways trading ke baad kaafi significant upward momentum dikhaya hai. 24 ghanton ke andar, buyers ne price ko 1.10081 ke local maximum tak pohoncha diya, jo ke aik strong bullish trend ka ishara hai. Agar pair is level par qaim rehne mein kamiyab hota hai, to agla target 1.10799 ho sakta hai, aur agar price is initial target ke upar consolidate karti hai, to mazeed movement 1.11388 ki taraf ho sakti hai.

### Current Market Conditions: Bullish Momentum Barqarar

Iss stage par, market mein upward trend dominate kar raha hai, aur koi clear reversal formations nahi hain jo bearish momentum ki taraf shift ko zahir karte hain. Isi liye, selling opportunities limited hain jab tak reversal pattern samnay nahi aata. Abhi ke liye, yeh behtar hoga ke short positions consider karne se pehle aise patterns ke banne ka intezar kiya jaye.

### Key Levels ko Dekhnay Wali Baat

- **Resistance at 1.10009**: Price ne recently is level ko break kiya hai, aur agar yeh yahan consolidate hoti hai, to agla move 1.10799 ki taraf ho sakta hai. Agar price is level ke upar mazid solidify karti hai, to phir 1.11388 ki taraf rasta ban sakta hai.

- **Support at 1.09128**: Agar downturn hoti hai, to 1.10009 ke neeche breakout aur consolidation ke baad price ko aglay strong support level 1.09128 tak le ja sakta hai. Yeh level is baat ka faisla karega ke pair apna bullish trend continue karta hai ya correction phase mein jata hai.

### M30 Chart Analysis

1. **Pichlay Din Ka Entry Point**: Pichlay forecast ne 1.09576 par buying entry ka suggestion diya tha. Price ne is level ko doosri dafa break kiya aur pehla target 1.09917 tak pohoncha. Yeh level future trading decisions ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai.

2. **Band Evaluation**: Upper band ke saath move karne ke baad, price wapas central area mein retrace kar gayi hai. Ek naya bullish signal confirm karne ke liye, traders ko price ke upper band ke bahar actively breakout ka intezar karna chahiye. Bands ke behavior—kya yeh outward open karte hain ya unchanged rehte hain—se potential move ki strength ka pata chalega.

3. **AO Indicator Signals**: Awesome Oscillator (AO) ne positive area mein damping banana shuru kar diya hai. Agar yeh movement zero line ki taraf jaari rehti hai, to yeh potential price decline ka signal de sakti hai. Dusri taraf, positive zone mein nayi increase quotes ki growth ka signal degi.

4. **Buy Entry Point**: Potential buy entry 1.10350 level par consider ki ja sakti hai. Agar price is level ko break karke iske upar consolidate karti hai, to aglay targets 1.10581 aur 1.10803 hain. Yeh setup ongoing bullish trend ke saath align karta hai aur un traders ke liye ek strategic entry offer karta hai jo mazeed upward momentum se faida uthana chahte hain.

5. **Sell Entry Point**: Possible sell entry 1.09917 level se initiate ki ja sakti hai. Agar price is level ke neeche girti hai, to traders further decline ko anticipate kar sakte hain 1.09579 aur 1.09306 tak. Yeh strategy us waqt zyada applicable hogi jab koi trend reversal ya significant bearish pressure ka evidence ho.

### Conclusion: Informed Trading ke Liye Key Levels par Tawajju Dein


Summary mein, EUR/USD pair is waqt ek strong uptrend mein hai, jahan critical levels buying aur selling ke opportunities provide kar rahe hain. Traders ko key resistance aur support levels par focus karna chahiye, sath hi price ka bands aur indicators jaise ke AO ke saath behavior par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye. In factors ko gaur se monitor karke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur aisi positions ko strategically enter kar sakte hain jo prevailing market conditions ke saath align karti hain.

**Technical Analysis: EUR/USD**
*Good morning, I hope all friends, moderators, and members are doing well. I hope you are satisfied with my trading. Let's check out today's EUR/USD analysis. EUR/USD is trading at 1.1010 at the time of writing. The bearish trend in EUR/USD is likely to continue as the USD index remains bullish. As you know, EUR/USD and the USD have an inversely proportional relationship. Based on my trading experience, this chart shows a confirmed bearish scenario. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has fallen to around 47.8496, indicating a period of consolidation ahead. At the same time, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is signaling weakness in the chart. The rising 50-period and 20-period EMAs at 1.1012 and 1.1010 respectively, suggest that there is still more downside potential.

The nearest resistance at 1.1018 is the target for any upward movement. Prices could potentially rise further to test the next resistance at 1.1046, which is the second level of resistance. After that, buyers may aim for the 1.1343 resistance level, which is the third level of resistance. On the other hand, the nearest support at 1.0988 is the target for any downward movement. Prices could potentially decline further to test the next support at 1.0948, which is the second level of support. After that, sellers may aim for the 1.0914 support level, which is the third level of support. Many of my forum friends have thanked me for sharing this accurate analysis. However, this doesn't mean you can provide perfect analysis every day because we are not robots.

Indicators used in the chart:
- MACD indicator
- RSI indicator period 14
- 50-day exponential moving average (color: Orange)
- 20-day exponential moving average (color: Magenta)*

*Technical Analysis: EUR/USD*

*Subah bakhair, umeed hai ke tamam doston, moderators, aur members khairiyat se honge. Umeed hai ke aap meri trading se kafi khush honge. Aao aj ka EUR/USD ka analysis check karain. EUR/USD is waqt likhne ke doran 1.1010 par trade kar raha hai. EUR/USD ka bearish trend jald rukne wala nahi hai kyun ke USD index abhi tak bullish hai. Jaise ke aap jante hain, EUR/USD aur USD ka aapas mein ulta talluq hai. Mere trading tajurbe ke mutabiq, yeh chart ek tasdeeq shuda bearish scenario bana raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) lagbhag 47.8496 par gir gaya hai, jo ke consolidation ka ishara kar raha hai. Isi waqt, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator bhi chart mein kamzori ka ishara de raha hai. Upar ki taraf 50-period aur 20-period EMAs ke barhne se 1.1012 aur 1.1010 par yeh zahir hota hai ke abhi aur nichi jaanay ka imkaan hai.



Qareeb tareen resistance 1.1018 par hai, jahan upward movement ka maqsad hona chahiye. Prices mazeed barh sakti hain aur agle resistance ko 1.1046 par test karne ka imkaan hai jo ke doosra resistance level hai. Uske baad, buyers 1.1343 resistance level tak pahunchne ki koshish karenge jo teesra resistance level hai. Dusri taraf, qareeb tareen support 1.0988 par hai, jahan downward movement ka maqsad hona chahiye. Prices mazeed gir sakti hain aur agle support ko 1.0948 par test karne ka imkaan hai jo ke doosra support level hai. Uske baad, sellers 1.0914 support level tak pahunchne ki koshish karenge jo teesra support level hai. Mere forum ke kai doston ne mujhe yeh accurate analysis share karne par shukriya kaha hai. Magar iska matlab yeh nahi hai ke aap har din perfect analysis kar sakte hain kyun ke hum robots nahi hain.*

*Chart mein istimal hone wale indicators:*
- *MACD indicator*
- *RSI indicator period 14*
- *50-day exponential moving average (rang: Orange)*
- *20-day exponential moving average (rang: Magenta)*

**Analysis of the EUR/USD - 15 August 2024**
*EurUsd market pair mein Wednesday ke din ka trading time window ab bhi buyers ke haath mein raha, jo ke apni bullish momentum ko barqarar rakhne mein kamiyab rahe. Unhon ne bearish sellers ke pace ko support area par, jo ke 1.0990-1.0988 ka price hai, roka, jisse price buyers ke control mein aagaya aur uske baad price ko kaafi zor se bullish taraf le gaye.*

*Daily time window mein Moving Average indicator ka istemal karte hue monitor kiya gaya hai ke price ya candle ab bhi Yellow MA 200 area ke upar hai, jo ke 1.0830-1.0832 ka price hai, jise buyers ne barqarar rakha. Unhon ne kal ka trading bhi bullish candlestick banake close kiya, jisse price ke mazid barhne ke mauqe khul gaye hain. Ab bullish target yeh hai ke price ko strong seller supply resistance area par 1.1108-1.1110 ke price tak le jaya jaye. Lekin ab yahan se sellers ki taraf se pressure ya resistance aana shuru ho gaya hai, isliye price ke bearish correction ke imkaanat ab bhi maujood hain.*

*Aaj Thursday ki subah ke trading mein, sellers ne resistance dikhana shuru kar diya hai aur bullish buyers ke pace ko rok diya hai. Yeh resistance area 1.1038-1.1045 ke price par hai, jo ke EurUsd pair ke price ko sellers ne take over karke bearish pressure dala. Ab bearish sellers ka target yeh hoga ke buyers ke support area ko 1.0993-1.0990 ke price par test kiya jaye. Agar yeh area tor diya gaya, toh EurUsd pair mazid kamzor hoga aur agle buyer demand support area ki taraf 1.0957-1.0955 ke price par target karega. Lekin agar yeh qareeb tareen support area torne mein nakam rahta hai, toh price ke mazeed bullish hone ka imkaan hai.*

**Natija:**



*Buy trading options kiye ja sakte hain agar price seller resistance area ko torne mein kamiyab ho jata hai, is area mein ek pending buy stop order lagaya ja sakta hai 1.1037-1.1045 ke price par, TP area ke saath jo ke 1.1100-1.1110 ke price par hai.*

*Sell trading options kiye ja sakte hain agar price buyer support area ko torne mein kamiyab hota hai, ek pending sell stop order lagaya ja sakta hai 1.0992-1.0990 ke price par, TP area ke saath jo ke 1.0955-1.0950 ke price par hai.*

**GBP/USD 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis**
*GBP/USD ke 4-hour timeframe mein kayi aham marahil dekhnay ko milte hain. Ibtida mein, ek significant uptrend tha jahan price 1.2630 se barh kar 1.3045 ke peak tak pohch gaya, jo ke is dauran British pound ki US dollar ke muqable mein strong performance ko zahir karta hai.*

*Is peak ke baad, chart ne ek trend reversal dikhaya jahan price gir kar 1.2810 ke aas paas stable ho gaya. Price phir ek narrow range mein fluctuate karne laga, jo 1.2810 aur 1.2770 ke darmiyan tha, jo market mein uncertainty aur buying aur selling pressures ke darmiyan balance ko zahir karta hai.*

*Iske baad ke marahil mein ek notable downtrend dekhne ko mila, jahan price gir kar 1.2650 ke low tak pohch gaya. Is low ko hit karne ke baad, price rebound karke 1.2770 ke aas paas pohcha, jo ab short-term resistance aur long-term support ke tor par kaam kar raha hai.*

*Is analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ab recent low ko chhu kar recovery phase mein nazar aa raha hai. Magar ab bhi bearish pressure ka shikar hai kyunki medium-term trend ab bhi downward hai. Qareebi significant resistance level 1.2810 par hai; agar yeh level break hota hai toh mazeed recovery ke chances hain jo 1.2895 ya usse upar tak ja sakti hai.*

*GBP/USD pair ne yellow daily pivot zone (1.2763 - 1.2774) se move karna shuru kiya hai towards the 161% resistance level (1.2821 - 1.2833). Market phir se downward correct ho sakta hai agar buyers kal ke high 1.2792 ko break karne mein nakam rahe. Agar yeh break na ho saka toh green resistance 1.2821 tak pohchnay ke chances kam ho sakte hain, jo ke bearish trend ke continuation ka sabab ban sakta hai.*

*Recent market activity mein GBP/USD par strong selling pressure raha hai, khaaskar jab se Bank of England ne Federal Reserve ke muqable mein dovish stance apnaya hai.*



*H4 conditions ke mutabiq, price consistently Blue EMA50 ke upar hai, jo ke suggest karta hai ke 1.2810 tak pohchnay ka imkaan ab bhi mumkin hai. Magar ek sustainable increase technically challenging lagta hai, kyunki 1.2800 ke levels ko surpass karna mushkil sabit ho raha hai. Isliye strong fundamental support, jaise ke upcoming CPI data ya US monthly inflation reports, bohat zaroori honge. Agar yeh results expectations se significantly mukhtalif aayein, toh GBP/USD ke barhnay ka imkaan barh sakta hai. Traders ko chahiye ke forthcoming news ke madde nazar short-term profit targets par focus karein.*

**GBP/USD Analysis Updates - 15 August 2024**
*"Barhti hui opportunities ab bhi barqarar hain"*

*Kal raat ke trading period tak, sellers ke efforts price ko neeche le jane ke liye jari the, pichlay haftay ke market trend ki tarah, jahan pehle ke candlestick ke safar se zahir hota hai ke price 1.2664 area tak drastic tor par gir sakti thi. GbpUsd pair ka pichlay haftay ka market situation ek moderate bearish situation ke sath close hua, kyunki hafte ke aakhir mein price mein izafa dekha gaya. Is haftay ke aaghaz mein, price dheere dheere barhti nazar aa rahi thi, lekin selling pressure ka flow ab bhi mojood tha, isliye yeh pair ab tak izafa continue nahi kar paya.*

*4-hour time frame ke mapping ke mutabiq, lagta hai ke upward trend ab bhi barqarar rehne ka imkaan rakhta hai. Ab price 100-period simple moving average zone ke upar chal rahi hai, meri raai mein yeh ek signal hai ke Uptrend ko jari rakhne ki koshish hai. Pichle weekend ka market trend bullish side ki taraf move karna shuru ho gaya tha. Isliye, current market conditions ke madde nazar, meri prediction yeh hai ke GbpUsd pair mein buyer ab bhi market ko control karne ke liye kafi strong hai. Market mein downward correction ab bhi dekha ja sakta hai jaise ke Stochastic Indicator 5,3,3 ka safar 20 zone ko chhoo raha hai, jo seller control ka ishara hai, isliye Buy signal dekhne ke liye thoda waqt lag sakta hai.*

*Agar hum pichle maheene ke market trend ko dekhen, toh market ab bhi bullish lagta hai, isliye meri prediction yeh hai ke price agle kuch dino tak ya hafte ke aakhir tak Uptrend side ki taraf chalne ka imkaan rakhti hai. Pichle haftay mein buyers ki kamiyabi jo ke sellers ke price ko neeche le jane ke efforts ko nakam banane mein kamiyab rahi, lagta hai ke yeh ab bhi barqarar reh sakti hai. Lagta hai ke candlestick ko upar ki taraf uthaya jana chahta hai. Candlestick ki position lowest zone se door chali gayi hai, meri raai mein yeh ek nishani ho sakti hai ke market ke bullish side mein chalne ka bara imkaan hai. Price increase ka target shayad 1.2892 zone ke aas paas ho sakta hai.*

**Trading Recommendation:** *BUY (4 Hour Chart)*

**Position Opening Strategy:**


*Chart image se kuch areas hain jinpar tawajjo deni chahiye taake early bullish rally ka signal mil sake isse pehle ke market mazeed upar chale aur position open karne ka waqt miss ho jaye. Buy moment ka intezar karte waqt sabr se kaam lein. Meri prediction ke mutabiq, price ke upar jane ka imkaan hai. Buyers consistent tor par candlestick ko Uptrend side ki taraf lane ki koshish kar sakte hain. Buy position open karne ke liye ideal area 1.2843 price zone mein hai. Mera tajziya hai ke possible bullish journey ka target shayad 1.2894 position ke aas paas ho sakta hai, jabke doosre buyers ke liye price increase ko support karne ke mauqe bhi hain. Stoploss ka istemal karein taake loss ka risk 1.2811 area mein limit ho sake.*

EUR/USD) apne roz ke aghaz ke level 1.0850 aur rozana Pivot level 1.0847 ke upar trade kar raha hai. Key indicators bullish momentum dikhate hain aur price 72-period Moving Average trend line ke upar hai, jahan volume distribution aam tor par hoti hai. Agar price 1.0867 ke level ke upar jaye, toh yeh 1.0880 aur shayad 1.0899 ke levels tak upar chali jayegi. Agar price 1.0850 ke level se neeche jaye, toh mujhe umeed hai ke yeh 1.0841 aur shayad 1.0825 ke levels tak neeche chali jayegi.
EUR/USD monthly Pivot level 1.0764 (previous 1.0797) ke upar, weekly Pivot level 1.0899 (previous 1.0872) ke neeche, aur daily Pivot level 1.0847 ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke joda ke liye strong bullish sentiment dikhata hai. Rozana Pivot level 1.0847 ke upar joda upar ki taraf ja raha hai, aur Pivot level ke neeche, correction mazid strong ho sakta hai.
Ye resistance levels bohot aham hain kyun ke yeh wo jagah hai jahan price selling pressure ka samna kar sakti hai aur neeche wapas ja sakti hai. Agar price in levels tak pohnchti hai, toh traders selling opportunities consider kar sakte hain.
Roz ka pivot point 1.0885 hai. Yeh technical indicator traders ko mukhtalif time frames par overall market trends maloom karne mein madad karta hai. Maujooda market price 1.0876 is pivot point ke neeche hai, jo bearish outlook ko suggest karta hai. Jab price pivot point ke neeche hoti hai, toh aksar yeh weak buying interest aur mazeed girawat ka ishara hota hai.
EUR/USD ka moving average 1.08728 par hai, jo downward trend dikhata hai. Moving average price data ko smooth out karta hai taake ek single flowing line ban jaye, jo trend ke direction ko identify karna asan banata hai. Maujooda moving average dikhata hai ke overall trend bearish hai, kyun ke yeh pivot point aur current market price ke neeche hai.
Bearish Scenario
Given ke maujooda market price 1.0876 pivot point 1.0885 se neeche hai aur moving average downward trend ko dikhata hai, toh bearish scenario predict hota hai. Iska matlab market sentiment selling ki taraf zyada hai. Traders umeed kar sakte hain ke price support levels ki taraf move kare.
Agar aaj ke economic reports Eurozone mein weak retail sales ya US mein stronger-than-expected personal income aur spending show karte hain, toh yeh bearish outlook ko mazid mazboot kar sakta hai. Euro ke liye negative news ya US Dollar ke liye positive news aam tor par EUR/USD joda ko neeche le jati hai.
EUR/USD higher highs aur higher lows ka pattern dikhata raha hai, lekin 4-hour chart pe ascending channel ki upper boundary ko break nahi kar saka, jo kuch potential bearish momentum ko suggest kar raha hai. Negative readings on RSI aur Stochastic indicators bhi near-term weakness ki possibility ko reinforce karte hai
Agar nearby support level 1.0928 breach hota hai, to EUR/USD pair ek aur significant decline dekh sakta hai towards the lower channel boundary at 1.0898. Agar yeh level decisively close hota hai, to overall uptrend undermine ho jayega. Iske ilawa, agar price 50-period moving average at 1.0870 se neeche sharply girti hai, to yeh ek more pronounced bearish reversal signal karegi, jo potentially 1.0850 area, jo pehle ek resistance level tha, tak target karegi
Overall, EUR/USD pair ko downward pressure face karna pad raha hai due to multiple factors, including potential for a Fed rate cut, uncertainty around ECB's monetary policy, aur technical indicators jo potential bearish shift ki taraf hint kar

Aaj hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price action analysis par guftagu kar rahe hain. Yeh zaroori hai ke hum candle analysis ka dehaan se jaiza lein, jo aaj ke price action trading strategy par mabni hai, khaaskar hourly chart par. Yahan, inner bar apni uper boundary se ek pending order ke sath acchi tarah se execute ho rahi hai, aur trend upar jaari hai, jo ke filhal hourly chart par 1.1009 ke critical psychological resistance level ke qareeb hai. Yeh area broad time frames par ek ahem resistance zone ka kaam karta hai, jo ke mumkin hai ke ek downward correction ko trigger kare. Technical analysis ke lehaz se, yeh instrument psychological resistance ka samna kar raha hai, jo ke double-top pattern ko activate kar sakta hai, jo ke overall uptrend mein ek baray bearish correction ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Mujhe aajkal major currencies ke recent rise aur dollar ke girawt par hairani ho rahi hai. Haqeeqat mein, producer price index (PPI) negative tha, magar yeh context mein itni ahemiyat nahi rakhta. Yeh movement ek quiet market mein hui hai, jo news releases ke saath coincide karti hai. Bloomberg ke mutabiq, yeh andaza lagaya ja raha hai ke investors ko dollar bechne par amada kiya ja raha hai aglay US inflation data ke publication se pehle. Halankeh PPI decline dikhata hai, yeh figures aglay period ke liye hain, na ke kal ke liye, aur yeh aaj ke increase ko wazeh kar sakti hai, chahe volumes kam hain aur growth ajeeb lag rahi hai.

Daily EURUSD chart par 1.0987 ka level (rotation reversal 6/8) ek ahem key hai. Yeh lagta hai ke ek doosri koshish ki ja rahi hai ke is level ke ooper break kiya jaye. Agar aaj ka session 1.0987 ke ooper close hota hai aur yeh level support ban jata hai, to agla target 1.1109 (stop reversal 7/8) ho ga, jaise ke neeche chart mein dikhaya gaya hai. Dusri taraf, agar price 1.0987 ke neeche close hoti hai, to yeh selling ka aik bar phir aghaz ho sakta hai, magar abhi yeh scenario darpesh nahi hai.

EUR/USD pair par ascending trend abhi tak barqarar hai. Filhaal, hum ek sluggish pullback dekh rahe hain. Kal ke trading se, intraday support levels 1.0996 (1.09959) barqarar hain, jo ya to bullish sentiment ko rokenge ya phir resistance 1.1046 isay tasdeeq karegi. Main umeed karta hoon ke aaj hum upward movement ko jari rakhenge, potential targets ke saath jo ke lagbhag 1.1140 par ho sakte hain, magar ziada mumkin hai ke yeh aaj na ho. Aaj ke liye, main dekhne ki umeed karta hoon fluctuations 1.1069 ke aas paas aur phir ek aur pullback. Filhaal hum ek retracement phase mein hain aur European session ke opening par apni position ka jaiza lenge. Bullish momentum ko jari rakhne ke liye, yeh zaroori hai ke Europe mein price 1.0996 ke neeche na gire. Aaj, hamesha ki tarah, 15:30 MSK par US se ek significant block of news reports honge - unemployment, retail sales, manufacturing activity index, waghera. News ke forecasts mixed hain, magar main andaza lagata hoon ke Europe mein prices ko upar push kiya jaye ga, aur jab news release hogi, to ek downward correction ka samna ho sakta hai. Filhal, yeh meri assumption hai, jab tak ke bulls European session ke aghaz mein foran overwhelm na ho jayein.