𝐄𝐔𝐑/𝐔𝐒𝐃

EUR/USD D1:

EURUSD D1 time frame chart par, EURUSD pair ki keemat ab tak dobara 1.0800 ke darja par phir se chalne mein kamiyab nahi hui hai. Keemat ne is darja tak ghata bhi jhuki jab tak ke yeh 1.0700 ke darja tak nahi pohanchi. Halanki, lagta hai ke keemat 1.0727 ke darja par sath le le kar muattal hai aur keemat mein koi tawajjo mein izafa nahi hua hai. Neeche ki taraf ghatne ki manfi trend ki taraf jaari hai, jab EMA 50 ne SMA 200 ko kamyabi se paar kar liya, jo ek maut ka cross signal paida karta hai. Bohat hi taiz girawat batati hai ke seller dominance ab tak EURUSD pair ke trading ke rukh par kabu rakhta hai. Magar, Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ka histogram volume dekhte hue jo kam hone laga hai aur level 0 ke qareeb ja raha hai, ishara deta hai ke girawat ke momentum mein kamzori aa rahi hai. Kharidne wale keemat 1.0756 ya EMA 50 ke darja ke aas paas keemat ko upar dhakelne ki koshish kar sakte hain. Magar, Stochastic indicator ke parameter ab overbought zone ke neeche se guzarne ka manzar hai, jo ishara deta hai ke neeche ki taraf girawat jari reh sakti hai.



EURUSD H4 time frame chart par, linear regression channel mein wazeh neeche ki taraf girawat ka manzar hai, jo market mein farokht dabao ki kefiyat ko nishaanah banata hai. Yeh ishara deta hai ke jo traders ne neeche ki harkat par munafa uthane ki koshish ki hai, un ke liye yeh ek fayde mand moqa hai, jahan keemat ka rasta is waqt channel ke neeche hone ki taraf is waqt hai, jo ke ab 1.0704 par mojood hai. Is tajziyat ke hawale se, main 1.0731 ke darje par ek farokht position ki shuruaat par soch raha hoon. Yeh strategic dakhil hone ka point ummeed hai ke bullish momentum ke khilaf ek rukawat dene wala qarar banega. Magar, agar bullion ko is darje ko paar karne mein kamyabi milti hai, to yeh ek mumkinah market dynamics ke shift ka ishara ho sakta hai, jo ke mazeed correction ki taraf le ja sakta hai jo 1.0783 ke darje ki taraf ja sakta hai. Maqbul trend aur ahem support aur resistance ke darajat ko samajhna forex market mein mahfuz faislon ke liye lazmi hai. Linear regression channel ke andar keemat ki price action ko mutasir kar ke traders munafa aur khatraat ko kam karne ke liye behtareen dakhil aur nikalne ke point ko pehchan sakte hain.

EURUSD
D1

Is haftay, pair ki qeemat bearish laal channel ke andar trading shuru hoti hai, jo sirf peechle haftay ke qeemat ke movement ko darust karta hai, jo ke mazbooti se bearish tha. Jab ke neela channel do hafton ke price movement ko darust karta hai, jo ke ek side ki trend ki taraf mael hai. Qeemat abhi bhi neele channel ke nichle line ke qareeb trading kar rahi hai, jo ke qeemat ke liye mazboot support level ka kaam karta hai. Aane wale ghanton mein, qeemat ka rawayya is haftay ke doran qeemat ki taraf ka rukh tay kar sakta hai, jaise ke humare paas do mumkinat hain. Pehli mumkinat, jo ke uthaao hai, woh qeemat ke rawayya se pehchani ja sakti hai upper laal channel line ke sath, jo agar qeemat isay torh leti hai, to hamain peechle haftay ke buland tijarat ke qeemat tak ek upri haftay ke liye uthao mil sakta hai. Dusri mumkinat yeh hai ke qeemat ya to is level se ya upper laal channel line ke level se gir sakti hai. Is surat mein, hamain haftay ke 1.0546 ke weekly level tak ek neeche ki taraf ka trend mil sakta hai. Iqtasadi tor par, peechle haftay ke trading ke ikhtitaam par, aur mazboot risk ka iradah aur Europe Central Bank ki policy ke mustaqbil ke naqis tajawuz ke darmiyan, EUR/USD qeemat ne 1.0620 support level tak girah. Ye paanch mahinon ke record kam qeemat hai. Forex market mein sab se mashhoor currency pair ke nuqsan Europe Central Bank aur US Federal Reserve ke mukhtalif scenarios aur geopolitical turmoil ke bais US dollar ke ziada khareedne se barh gaye. Europe Central Bank ne April ke meeting mein interest rates ko nahi tabdeel kiya aur ishara diya ke agar bunyadi inflation muntazim raftar se ghata rahe hai, to June mein monetary tightness ke levels ko kam karna munasib ho sakta hai. Aisi karkardagi ek mukhtalif rukh hai US Federal Reserve ke tajwezat se, jab saboot aya ke US inflation central bank ke maqsood ke ooper darjat par qaaim hai, to markets ne pehli interest rate cut ke bets ko June se September tak ta'akhir di. Dono siyasi tajwezo ke darmiyan ikhtilaf ko Israel aur Iran ke darmiyan barhte hue dushmanana mahol ne barha diya hai, jo jang ke khauf ko barha diya hai aur duniya bhar ke emerging markets ko US currency par mabni hone par mabni hone ke liye majboor kar diya hai.

EUR/USD H4 Waqt Frame:

EUR/USD ki trend ab tak badal nahi gayi hai, wo ab bhi southern hai, lekin daily southern break level 1.0788 (jo aapke paas hai) ka tootna pehle hi 1.0830 tak barhne ki ishara de gaya hai. March futures ke maximum volume level 1.0847 ke upar rahne se, log 61.8% level 1.0882 ka test kar sakte hain aur shayad NKZ 1.0890-1.0907 tak ja sakte hain, lekin behtar hai usse na choo len, warna south asal mein toot sakti hai. Aur daily waves kehte hain ke giravat abhi tak khatam nahi hui hai, 1.0724 ka minimum level update karna zaroori hai. Haqeeqat mein, 1.0853 ka 50% level tak pahunch gaya hai, isliye yeh correction shayad kafi ho, lekin 1.0788 ka tootna isse 61.8% tak 1.0882 tak barhne ki ijazat deta hai, jahan se aur behtar hai ke neeche jaayein. Toh, clear hai ke south ke liye kam az kam 1.0817 ke volume ke neeche jaana zaroori hai, phir 1.0788 ke neeche jaana hai. Agar woh 1.0907 ke upar jaate hain aur usse pakad lete hain, toh asal mein north yahan par aa jaayega. Aam tor par, mera mukhya option abhi tak minimum update ke liye wapas jaana hai.

EUR/USD H1 Waqt Frame:

Main aapke post mein system data ko bhi shamil kar sakta hoon jo bilkul wahi ki ishaara de raha hai, medium-term level 1.0800 ka tootna, jo kehta hai ke humein trend mein tabdeeli aa gayi hai. Lekin main isko zyada taay karta hoon. Jab hum ek neeche ki correction karte hain, toh pehla level tootne wala level 1.0800 ka test hota hai, aur phir, jab card gir jaata hai, toh doosra peela level neeche hota hai 1.0787 par, jahan wapis ki darkhwast hai. Aur yeh ke woh neeche kuch nahi utha sake, main yahan kuch nahi jod sakta. Kyunki neeche mujhe wapas kuch nahi lagta, sirf zaroori level 1.0800 hai, lekin yeh aapke level se ooncha hai. Iske liye, main intezaar kar raha hoon jab hum 1.0800 ke zaroori level ko uthaate hain, aur phir agar hum phir 1.0787 ko bhi utha sakte hain, toh achha maan sakte hain ke din kaamyaab tha aur technique se sab kuch scheme ke mutabiq kaam kar gaya tha. Main is graph par dikha doonga ke aam tor par woh yeh kar sakte hain, yeh itna gehra zaroori nahi hai, lekin isey nahi nikala ja sakta aur yeh uttar ko nahi todati.

Naye haftay ki shuruaat mein maine peechle hafte 7-figure level par khareedariyon mein phans gaya. Market ne neeche ki taraf jaari raha aur maine drawdown ko balance karne ke liye positions mein mazeed shamil kiya. Kuch positions ko maine kuch had tak band kar diya taake nuksan kam ho, lekin kuch ab bhi kholi hui hain. Iske ilawa, maine EUR/USD pair ke oopri movement par kuch bech diya aur ye bechey hue positions ko 1.0615 level tak rakhne ka irada rakhta hoon taake main inko band kar saku. Meri aglay strategy hai ke main mazeed EUR/USD pair ke liye naye levels par khareedari shuru karoon, nishana 1.0680 ke liye.

Main maanta hoon ke EUR/USD pair ko aage badhne ke liye 1.0680 level ko paar karna hoga. Jab tak yeh important resistance level pe cross nahi hota, main yeh sochta hoon ke hum range-bound rahenge aur growth ki koi achi umeed nahi hogi. Is dauraan, main trading ke liye tajawaz ke darmiyan beech me kharidari aur bechne ka tareeqa apna raha hoon taake main short-term market movements se faida utha sakoon.

EUR/USD pair ke ilawa, main doosre currency pairs aur commodities ka bhi nigaahdaasht kar raha hoon taake mera trading portfolio mukhtalif rahe. Apni positions ko mukhtalif market dynamics ka faida uthane aur faida barhane ke liye diversify karna meri mukhtasir strategy hai. Trading mein kamiyabi haasil karne ke liye market ki maqbooliyat ka sahi istemal karna zaroori hai.

Iss haftay mein market ko samajhne ke liye, main apne trading strategies par pura tawajju dena chahta hoon. Mareezon ke doran discipline aur risk management ka ehmiyat samajh kar, shayad mein naye tareeqon se trading mein kamiyabi haasil kar sakoon. Mujhe umeed hai ke is haftay naye mouke talaash karne aur munafa ki trading ke results paane ka mauka mile. Taqat aur hosla rakhte hue, main trading opportunities ka behtareen istemal karne ke liye wabasta hoon.

Trading mein kamiyabi ke liye lazmi hai ke ham apni strategies ko badalna na bhoolen. Kamiyabi ka raaz iss baat mein chupa hai ke hum market ki halaton ke sath mawafiq reh kar kisi bhi halaat mein apne tareeqon ko munasib banaye rakhein. Tafteesh, discipline aur mukhtalif market shartein samajhne ke zariye, hum tijarat ke uncertain hawalaat mein navigat kar ke kamiyabi haasil kar sakte hain.

Ikhtitami tor par, main is haftay ke aane waale trading opportunities ke baare mein ummidwaar hoon. Mehneti taur par kaam karte hue, discipline aur proactive reh kar, main apni trading mehnat ka acha silsila dariyaft aur munafa haasil karne mein pur-eummid hoon. Chaliye, umeed karte hain ke aane waale hafte mein kamiyabi umeed rahegi. Aaiye, is naye trading hafte ke liye tayari se mutassir ho kar, aane wale mauke ka samar uthate hain. Hum sab ko kamiyabi umeed hai!

EUR/USD Tafseeli Jaiza

EUR/USD ne session ko 1.0885-1.0890 zone mein multi-week highs par kholi, lekin mazeed naram session aur be-qaid US dollar ke qeemat ke amal ki wajah se kuch defensive taur par trade ki gayi. Europe aur US dono mein bond yields kam ho rahe hain, jahan EUR/USD thoda neeche ja rahi hai ek be-badal monetary policy stance ke doran aur mazid tawazun ke saath kiya gaya umeed hai ke European Central Bank apne is hafte ke baad ki meeting mein policy ko be-naqis rakhegi, sath hi US inflation data aur Fed minutes ke release se pehle barhti hui ehtiyaat ke sath. Is natije mein, Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank dono ek easing cycle shuru karne ki umeed hai, shayad June se. Dono central banks mukhtalif tactics apnane ki umeed hai, dar-asal rate cuts ke pace mein farq ki wajah se, lekin ECB ko Fed ke peechay bohot zyada peechay nahi hona muntazir hai. Fed ke front par, Chicago Fed ke A. Goolsby ne darkhwast ki ke Fed ko apni contractionary policies ke nataij ka khayal rakhna chahiye, jabke Minneapolis Fed ke nukheed N. Kashkari ne kaha ke agar inflaion stagnent rehti hai to is saal ke rate cuts khatrey mein hain. Fed Governor M. Bowman ne kaha ke inflaion ko kam karne ke koshishon ka muqabla hai.

Jodi ke liye pehle resistance points ka intezar hai, jaise ke April high 1.0885 (April 9), March high 1.0981 (March 8), weekly high 1.0998 (Jan. 11), aur psychological barrier 1.1000. Is ke base par, EUR/USD ke mazeed izafay ka imtehan December 2023 high 1.1139 (December 28) par ho sakta hai. Niche ki taraf, EUR/USD ko 1.0832 par key 200-day moving average milay ga, phir 1.0724 (April 2) aur 1.0694 (Feb 14) lows ko torne se pehle 2024 mein. Is ke baad November 2023 ki low (1.0516), weekly low (1.0495), October 13, 2023 ki low (10.448), aur October 2023 ki round number line (1.0440) aayegi.

4-hour chart dikhata hai ke EUR/USD jodi ke liye musbat jazbat ab bhi mojood hain. Agla upside target 1.0885 hai, aur agla 1.0942 hai. 100 simple moving average aur 55 simple moving average, jo ke 1.0828 aur 1.0809 ke aas paas hain, EUR/USD ke liye downside resistance levels hain, phir 1.0791. Relative strength index kareeban 55 ke as paas gir gaya hai, jabke moving average convergence divergence (MACD) signal musbat hai.

Hafta ka aakhri din aaney ko hai aur traders ne Monday ka market opening ke liye tayar ho rahe hain. Ek nai trading week ki approach ke doran, euro ke baray mein potential perspectives ko analyze karna zaroori hai aur mukhtalif scenarios ko outline karna hai.

EUR/USD pair par ghaur karne par 1-hour timeframe par band hone wale prices ke hisaab se, hum dekh sakte hain ke euro ek widening range (WR) ke andar trade kar raha hai. 1.0872 ke aas paas t4 ke level se corrective bounce ke baad, euro ne apna downward trend jaari rakha, 1.0713 ke NR level ko todkar aur Friday ki trading session ko 1.0641 par band kar ke.

Monday ke market opening ke liye tayyar ho rahe hain, euro ke possible movements ko consider karna zaroori hai. Ek possible scenario hai chhota northern correction followed by a continuation of the southern trend towards the nearest southern target range. Ye target range 1.0579 ke 100% level par banaya gaya hai aur 1.0573 ke 100% NR par, jo chart mein orange mein dikhaya gaya hai.

Alternative scenario mein, euro ko 1.0765 ke NR level ke upar establish karna hoga takay momentum ka shift potential ke taraf signal kar sake. Traders ko key levels aur price action par nazar rakh kar market sentiment ko assess karne aur informed trading decisions lene ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.

Monday ke market opening ke liye dekh rahe hain, ke euro potential market developments ke reaction kaise deta hai. Traders ko market opportunities par kapital karne ke liye vigilant aur adaptable rehna chahiye takay dynamic forex market ko effectively navigate kar sakein.

Aakhir mein, aane wale trading week ke liye euro ka outlook uncertain hai, northern aur southern movements ke potential ke saath. Traders ko mukhtalif scenarios ke liye tayar rehna chahiye aur market opportunities ko capitalize karne ke liye clear trading plan banane chahiye.

Mukammal ho kar, aane wale dino mein euro ka performance traders ke liye crucial hai jo potential trading opportunities par capitalize karne ke liye tayar hain. Agah rehne ke saath, key levels ko analyze karne aur market developments ko monitor karne se, traders forex market ko zamanatpoosh tareeqay se navigate kar sakte hain aur informed trading decisions le sakte hain. Sab traders ko Monday ke market opening ke qareeb un sab traders ko mubarak ho!

Aalaikum assalam, ahbaab.

March ek bohot dilchasp mahina tha, markazi bankon ne June mein darj-e-khameesaat ke liye raftar ko taayyar kiya. Magar European Central Bank aur Federal Reserve aik hi saf mein nahi hain. Dusra do saal tak maaliyat ke agresive tangi ne mumalik ko bohot door le gaya hai.

Is saal, EUR/USD jodi ne ek hilte hue raste ka samna kiya, sab se zyada karobar hone wala currency pair ne saal ki shuruaat aik chhe mahine ke buland pe se ki, phir darmiyan-e-February mein ek bahut zyada haftay tak gir gaya. Us ke baad, jodi ne buland jaane ka aghaz kiya, ek wazeh oonchaaiyon ka channel bana kar, phir girne ka aghaz kiya. Hum saal ke doosre hisse ke qareeb pohnchte hain, to EUR/USD jodi aik technique tor par ahem ilaqa mein trade kar rahi hai, jo filhal mein jodi mein girawat ka shakal bana raha hai.

1.0787 ke neeche ek toofan se agay ka raasta kholta hai, jodi ke darmiyan-e-February ke darmiyan 1.06945. Is ke neeche, agla maqsood October 2022 ke kamzor point 1.0450 ho jata hai. Kisi bhi barhne wale EUR/USD jodi ke taalluqat ko ameeri dollar ki tabdeeliyon aur aane wale dar-e-tang ki tawaqqaat se jorna mumkin hai. Kisi bhi EUR/USD ke aage ka koi qadam aghar 1.0980 ke aas paas ka ibtedai rukawat tak poonch jaaye, to ek group pichli rukawat ke darjat 1.1095 aur 1.1138 ke darmiyan ko toorna mushkil ho ga.

EUR/USD jodi teesri ehdad mein laal zone mein band hui, march mein 1.0767 ke oopar, aik mahina ka kamzor. Amreki dollar hafta ki shuruaat ko naram lehje mein shuru kiya, magar mangalwar ko uthne laga, aakhir mein peer ke der raat mein Federal Reserve ke ahtraazi comments ke darmiyan josh bhari hui. Jodi ke zara bhi US PCE inflation ke dain mein itminan nahi tha, dollar kuch points gawaar ho gaya. Mai EUR/USD ki mazeed farokht ka soch raha hoon agle maqsad tak 1.07286 ki taraf. 1.08065-1.0835 ke farokht ilaqe aur ek farokht ka daramad banane ka hisaab.

April ki shuruaat kaafi mushkil kaalein ke saath hogi. US march ke ISM Manufacturing PMI aur ghair karkardagi ke dafe par intekhaabaati numaindeygiyan jari kare ga, sath hi saptah ke akhir mein ghair kisan mazdoori ka report bhi. Aabroo ka doosra din, mumlikat march ke Harmonized Consumer Price Index ke tasleemiyat ke sath saath Producer Price Index aur isi mahine ke farokht dain bhi jari kare ga.

Guzishta weekend mein EurUsd market pair ka trading taqatwar bearish dabav ke saath guzra, jahan sellers ne qabza jamaya aur prices ko 1.0725-1.0730 ke resistance area ko test karne se roka. Daily time window mein Moving Average indicator ne saaf bearish trend ka ishara diya, jahan prices Yellow MA 200 area se aur door ja rahi thi. Bearish candles ka dastoor seller control ko darust kar raha tha, jo prices ko bohot zyada neeche le gaya.

Sellers ka maqsad prices ko agle buyer demand support area tak le jana tha jo 1.0560-1.0570 par tha. European market session mein Monday ko buyers ko sellers ke muqablay mein fehrist mil gayi, jo dynamic support area ko 1.0630-1.0625 par bacha kar bullish price movement ko trigger kiya. Buyers ne naj nearest seller resistance area ko test karne ki koshish ki jo 1.0680-1.0685 par tha, aur agar safal rahe to 1.0725-1.0730 tak pohanch sakte the.

Market dynamics EurUsd pair ke future direction ko tay karne mein ahem kirdar ada karte they. Agar buyers resistance areas ko paar kar lete to bullish trend samne aata. Magar agar sellers ka muqabla kamyabi ke saath ho to bearish trend ko support area tak barha sakte the jo 1.0560-1.0570 par tha. Price action aur candlestick patterns ka mushahida buyers aur sellers ki taqat ka andaza lagane ke liye zaruri tha.

Maujooda trend sellers ko favor kar raha tha, lekin bullish reversal ke liye mumkinah mauqa tha agar buyers ahem resistance levels ko kamyabi se paar kar lete. Traders ko price movements ki nazar mein rakhte hue mojooda events ki pehchan karke moheet risk management strategies ko amal mein lanah chahiye.

Global economic conditions ke tanazur mein, EurUsd market pair ko apni raah tay karne wale kayi maazi tajaweez ke samne tha. Economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur central bank policies jaisi factors market par gehri asar dal sakte they. Traders ko in external factors ke mutaliq mutasir bane rehne chahiye taki wo mufeed trading decisions le saken.

Technical analysis tools, jese ke moving averages aur support/resistance levels, market trends aur price movements ke mawaqib insights faraham karte hain. Technical analysis ko fundamental factors ke samjhne ke saath milakar traders ko mofassil trading strategy tayar karne mein madad milti hai.

Risk management EurUsd market pair mein trade karte waqt ahem hai, kyunke iska ziada volatility aur external events ke samne nazuk hona traders ke liye zaruri hai. Traders ko stop-loss orders set karna, position sizes manage karna, aur apne portfolios ko mix karna chahiye taaki wo nuqsanat ko kam karne mein kamiyabi hasil kar sake.

Ikhtitami tor par, EurUsd market pair par trading taqatwar bearish dabav ke sath guzra weekend, jahan sellers ne market ko control kiya. Magar Monday ko buyers ko fehrist mili, jise ek bullish reversal ke raaste ko khol sakti hai. Traders ko market dynamics ko nazdeek se monitor karna chahiye, baseeri risk management strategies ko apply karna chahiye, aur market ko mutassir karne wale external factors ke mutaliq maloomat hasil karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye taki wo kamyabi se trading decisions le saken.

Pichle haftay mein, maine EURUSD par short position lia tha aur mujhe lagta tha ke yeh sahi tha. Lekin maine dekha ke quotes ne "closing in full" ki thi Jumme ke session mein, jise Iran aur Israel ke darmiyan mazeed takraar ke baghair, is haftay ke shuru mein market mein ek rebound laaya.

Jabki yeh rebound bharosa mand nazar aa sakta hai, mein ehtiyaat se kaam leta hoon aur yakeen rakhta hoon ke EURUSD ka neeche ka trend jari rahega. Short positions ke liye dakhilay ke levels ka tayyun karne ke liye, main Moving Average (15) ka istemal ya din chart par tootne wale aakhri local minimum ka pehchan karna mashwara deta hoon. Aakhir mein, dakhilay karne ka faisla karna shakhsiyat ke taur par upabiogikon ke tajziya par nirbhar karega.

Aanewale waqt mein, is haftay koi ahem bunyadi waqiaat ka intezaar nahi hai jo bazar per asar dalega. Magar, mukhtalif central bank ke nashist aur guftaguon ki tajziyat hone wali hain, jo mustaqbil ke monetary policy faisalon mein wusat-e-khiraj kar sakti hain. Bari aamdani dene wale arzoo saabit hone ke bawajood, mahatvapurna hai ke maloomat hasil rakha jaye aur trading strategies ko mutabiq banaya jaye.

Main apne vicharon mein yakin jata hoon ke EURUSD ka neeche ka trend jari rahega aur trading ke liye technical trading aham taur par istemal hoga is haftay. Yeh meri phir se EURUSD par short jana ka faisla ko mazboot karta hai. Dakhilay ke levels ko nazdeek se monitor karke aur technical indicators ka istemal karke, traders intekhab kar sakte hain aur market movements ka faida utha sakte hain.

Ikhtitam mein, jab market mein haftay ke shuru mein rebound ho sakta hai, to yeh temporary market sentiment ka shift darust karta hai, main apne short position par aur bhi zyada yakeen rakhta hoon EURUSD par. Technical analysis ka faida uthane aur central bank ke tajawuzat ke baray mein maloomat hasil karne se, mujhe yakin hai ke EURUSD ka neeche wala trend aane wale dino mein jari rahega. Traders ko ahtiyaat bartari se istemal karna, tabdeeli anay wale bazar hone par kaboo me rakhna aur technical indicators aur ahem maloomat par adharit faislay lene ki zaroorat hai.

Aakhir mein, kamiyabi wala trading proactive, istidrab aur behtareen maloomat se milti hai. Jab hum age ki raah tayar karte hain, to main market ke tajziyat ko qareeb se dekhne aur apni trading strategy ke mutabiq tarmeem karne jari rakhunga, EURUSD market mein faida uthane ke maqasid ko ziada karne ke liye.

EUR/USD Price Opportunities
EUR/USD currency pair ki qeemat ka rawayya tajziya kiya ja raha hai. Ibtidaati zigzags shuru ho gaye hain, jahan jodi ne 1.0616 par support paya hai. Hum uss jaga par tawajjo dete hain ke agla rukh kahan ja sakta hai, zyada tar qeemat aaj ki opening par yani 1.0629 ke oopar jam ho rahi hai. Koi wazeh wajah trend ka ultaao nahi hai, lekin ek pullback zaroori hai taake oversold halat ko kam kiya ja sake, khaaskar M5 aur M15 time frames par. Halankeh M30 abhi tak garam nahi hai, lekin Parabolic indicator par rozi se taraqqi ko pasand kiya jaega. Bulls ki taraf se kal ke peak 1.0659 ki taraf rukh hona umeed afza hai. EUR/USD ka tajziya M30 time frame par mukammal hai. Mai overbought aur oversold bazar dynamics ka tajziya karta hoon aur chhoti time frames par directional trades ke liye Relative Strength Index (RSI) ka istemal karta hoon jis mein 14-period setting hai.




Maujooda mein, qeemat oversold territory mein hai, jo farokht karne wale trend ki thakawat ko zahir karta hai jab RSI 30 ke qareeb hota hai, jo aik qeemat 1.06278 par note kiya gaya hai. In asaan iqdamat ke baad, mai khareedne ke leye market mein shamil hota hoon, 1:2 tak ka risk-to-reward ratio kaam karke munafa lena chahata hoon jabke positions ko moqa par moqa par active tor par manage karta hoon taake ziada faiday ko mehfooz kar sakoon. Stops ko kaam ke time frame par mojooda market ke intehai nuqsan se lagbhag 15 points door set kiya gaya hai. Mai aik sahih "ABC" pattern ki tawakul karta tha panchwen wave ke banne ke baad, halankeh iss ka mukammal hona mojooda level par asal mein ghair yaqeeni hai kyun ke teesri wave nisbatan choti hai. Powell ka dollar ke rukh par asar aaj ke liye ek ahem ghoor karne wali bat hai, jahan paanchwa wave 1.06 tak barh sakta hai aur 5th figure tak bhi pohanch sakta hai. Qareebi resistance EMA8 ke 1.0638 ke aas paas hai, jo EMA20 ke 1.0676 ke sath aane wale ko signal karta hai, jisse mazeed girawat ka khatra hota hai, lekin mai umeed karta hoon ke jodi uske baad kafi gir jaye. Halankeh correction ka pakarna behtareen nahi tha, lekin yeh trading ka hissa hai.

Market ke monday ke open hone ke bad EUR/USD pair ke liye correction ki expectations poore ho rahe hain, halankeh is waqt upar ki taraf halki pullback kaamyaab nahi hai. Yeh correction jaari rakhne ki potential hai. Market ke opening par chart mein ek chhota price gap neeche ki taraf ban gaya, lekin bulls turant market mein wapas aagaye aur prices ko kareeb 10 pips se zyada upar le gaye. Iss se bullish absorption market ke bottom par hui, jo upward correction ka aage kaamyaab hona darshata hai.

Company ke indicators ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair mukhtalif news events ki impact se influence ho sakta hai. Market ke haalaat ko dekhte hue cautious rehna zaroori hai. Agar prices 4-hour chart par 1.0634 local minimum ke neeche gir jaate hain, to bears control mein aa sakte hain aur prices ko medium term mein neeche le ja sakte hain, jahan 1.0447 local low tak ponch sakte hain.

Aaj ke economic calendar mein US retail sales ke baray mein kai news events shamil hain. Traders ko in announcements ko closely monitor karna chahiye kyunki yeh EUR/USD pair par bade asar daal sakte hain. Price action, support aur resistance levels, aur market developments ko nigahein banaye rakhna zaroori hai informed trading decisions ke liye.

Maujooda market environment mein, traders ko savdhaani bartni chahiye aur unpredictable market ke liye taiyar rehna chahiye. EUR/USD pair abhi correction experience kar raha hai, jo short-term aur medium-term traders ke liye trading opportunities provide kar sakta hai. Market developments aur khabron ko gahraai se monitor karte hue, traders market mein tafteesh kar sakte hain aur potential trading opportunities se faida utha sakte hain. Toh ant mein, jabki EUR/USD pair abhi correction ke signs dikh raha hai, traders ko market developments aur news events ke upar vigil rakhna zaroori hai, taake woh informed trading decisions le sakein.

Trading instruments ke price predictions pehchaanay lenay mein thrilling aur challenging ho sakti hain. Technical analysis aur market trends ka istimaal valuable insights provide kar sakte hain, lekin aise forecasts ke inherent uncertainty ko pehchanna zaroori hai. Market ke rawaiye ko economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur investor sentiment jaise mukhtalif factors influence karte hain, jiski wajah se sudden shifts aur unexpected volatility ho sakti hai.

Future price movements ko predict karna ek imperfect science rehta hai, advanced analytical tools ke bawajood bhi. Traders aksar historical data, chart patterns, aur mathematical models ka istimaal karte hain, lekin past performance hamesha future results ko indicate nahi karta. Anexpected events current market ke dynamic nature ko disturb kar sakte hain.

Trading activity ka sheer volume price movements predict karne mein complexity add karta hai. Market liquidity, trading volumes, aur order flow dynamics prices ko impact karte hain, jiski wajah se trends sudden taur pe reverse ya accelerate ho sakte hain.

Challenges ke bawajood, traders market mein faida hasil karne ke tareeqay dhoondte rehte hain. Kuch contrarian approach adopt karte hain, prevailing trends ke against bet lagate hain, jabke doosre technical indicators aur oscillators ka istimaal karte hain entry aur exit points identify karne ke liye.

Risk management trading mein bohot ahem hai. Stop-loss orders set karna, position sizes manage karna, aur portfolios ko diversify karna loss mitigate karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai market turbulence ke doran. Ek disciplined approach maintain karna aur pre-defined trading plan ko follow karna traders ko market ke uncertainties se guzarne mein madadgar ho sakta hai.

Successful trading skill, experience, aur adaptability ka mishmash require karta hai. Koi strategy sab conditions mein profits ensure nahi karti, lekin informed rahe, flexible rahe, aur apna approach continuously refine karte huye traders ko success ke chances badha sakte hain.

Tajziya karte hue, price movements predict karna challenging hai lekin trading mein crucial hai. Technical analysis ka istimaal kar ke, market dynamics ko samajh kar, aur effective risk management strategies ka istimaal kar ke, traders market trends ko anticipate aur capitalize kar sakte hain. Halankeh, market uncertainty aur volatility ko samajh kar cautious aur diligent approach apnana zaroori hai.

EUR/USD currency pair ki price behavior pe baat karte hain. Kal, daily candle ne thoda giraava dekhai, lekin closure puri downward trend ki minimum par tha. Aur aaj, Asian time mein, price ne neeche ki taraf chal kar almost 1.0600 tak giraavat dekhai, phir price wapas din ki shuruaat par aaya, jahan woh ab hai. Aam tor par, EUR/USD pair haal ke dino ki trend jari rakhta hai, daily candles bearish hain, local downward trend jari hai, aur ab shayad bahut se logon ke dimaag mein yeh sawal ho ke upper correctional wave kab shuru hogi. Jabki upper pullbacks chhote hain, lekin bade scale par woh shayad bilkul bhi dikhayi nahi dete. Agar neeche ki movement jari rahegi, toh price shayad ek manzil aur neeche jayegi; yani, 1.0600 ke neeche jaayegi. America session mein, euro ki mazbooti mein thoda sa izafa hua, aur mujhe lagta hai ke humein is mauke ka faida uthana chahiye aur euro ke ichimoku cloud ke upar jaane ki koshish aur aage ki growth ke liye istemal karna chahiye, haalaanki main nahi lagta ke hum ise haasil karenge. Aam taur par, scenario kharab nahi hai, khaaskar agar hum aasani se palat kar 1.0500 ke level ko test karne jaayein, toh main sochta hoon ke main pehle se hi 1.0700 par bech doon. Hafta shuru hone se pair ki girawat tezi se kam hui hai, lekin ab bhi southern movement priority hai.
Ab sirf ek sawal uthata hai: kya pair girawat jari rahegi, ek correction ke zariye ya phir ek chhoti si samay mein trading karne ke baad? Dono options qubool hai aur istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Zaroor, pehle case mein agar pair phir se correction ke liye 1.0700 ke level par jaata hai, toh yeh bahut achi mauka hogi sell positions kholne ka aur is par extra 125 points earn karne ka. Dusri option, maujooda options mein se itni khoobsurat nahi hai, kyunke yeh abhi bhi imply karta hai ke pair correction shuru kar sakta hai, aur kuch risk hai ke aapko drawdown ka intezaar karna padega, lekin market mein dakhil hone ka waqt na chala jaye agar pair bina correction ke south jaata hai, aur agar pehle option ke mutabiq market mein dakhil hone ka intezaar kiya jaaye, toh yeh mauka shayad guzara na jaye. Yeh woh situation hai jo humare paas ab hai. Isliye, main apne liye dono options ko viksit karunga, maujooda price par orders khol kar, aur agar correction hoti hai, toh main price 1.0700 ke qareeb aane par additional sell karoonga, apne positions ko badaate hue aur saath hi saath averaging karte hue, lekin dono cases mein stop 1.0735–1.0740 ke aas paas rakha jayega, kyunke agar 1.0710–1.0720 ke level ko toota, toh medium term ke liye palat pattern viksit ho sakta hai, jahan 9 aur 10 numbers target ban sakte hain.

H4 Hour Timeframe Outlook:

Hum euro/dollar pair ke char ghantay ke chart ko kholte hain aur dekhte hain ke pehle, jab hum 1.0980 par local ziada se utar gaye, to mukhtalif mukhtalif north aur phir hum ne ek neeche ki taraf qeemat ki tezi ke channel ka tanasub dekha, jo ke tezi se phail raha hai. Is ke ilawa, pehle maine support line ke breakdown ke liye dobara test ke baare mein likha tha, aur aaj humne yeh dobara test dekha. Magar ehmiyat hai ke hum ne southern channel ke neeche ke hadood ko to nahi tora, bilkul hi hum ne peechle local kamzor par 1.0620 par update nahi kiya. Is qeemat par main khareedai mein dakhil ho jaunga, kam az kam 1.0665 (pehle ke local ziada) ke darja tak mazboot correctional izafay par intezar karunga, jis ka tor buyers ke liye mazeed correctional izafay ka raasta khole ga. Euro/dollar pair bohot zyada oversold hai aur beshak, taqatwar upri sudhar bas darust hai.





Haftawar timeframe ka manzar nama:

Upar, main ne chaar ghantay ka chart dekha, aur ab main haftawar ka chart kholna chahta hoon. Us par, raqabat bhi mazboot neeche ki taraf keemat ka channel hai, jahan humein teen martaba resistance line se ooper uthne ka mukabla dekhta hai, pehli lambi surkh haftawar ki mom banane ka ban jana, keemat 1.0620 ke darje tak girna aur mazeed farokht ke liye maqsad pichhle maqami kam darja par dobara imtihan ka 1.0450 par. Main aapko is par farokht karne ki salahiyaat deta hoon, aur agar mera tajziya kaam aata hai, to aap lagbhag 200 points munafa hasil kar sakte hain. Ghor kiya jaaye ke jama'at kharid rahi hai, aur ab euro/dollar jodi apne maqami kamon par tezi se farokht ho rahi hai, main samajhta hoon ke zyadatar traders kharid lenge aur yehi un bullon par sakht shairi karayga. Main samajhta hoon kal 1.0620 ka kam darja toot jayega, jodi sab se pehle 1.0600 ke darje tak giraygi, aur phir 1.0580 tak.

Iss haftay ki shuruaat se, jodi ke girawat mein thori rokawat aayi hai, lekin southern movement ab bhi pehla pasandidgi hai. Sawal yeh hai ke jodi kaise tasalsul se kam hogi - ek correction ke zariye ya ek chand samay tak ke sideways trading ke baad? Asal mein, dono options qabool hain aur trade ke liye madde nazar hain.

Pehle manzar mein, agar jodi aakhirkaar 1.0700 ke darja tak correct hoti hai, to yeh ek behtareen mauka hai sell positions kholein aur mazeed 100 points ke faiday ko hasil karne ka. Yeh traders ke liye ek tempting mauka hai jo mazeed negative movement ka faida uthana chahte hain. Magar yeh option sabr ki zarurat rakhta hai kyun ke yeh correction ka intezar karna padega pehle market mein dakhil hone se pehle.

Doosri taraf, doosra option of chand samay tak ka sideways trading period abhi ke levels se utna dilchasp nahi ho sakta. Yeh manzar jodi ki correction shuru karne ki sambhavna ko darshaata hai, jo drawdown ka dard uthane ki sambhavna lekar aata hai pehle socha gaya movement se. Iske bawajood, is outcome ke liye tayar rehna yeh darshaata hai ke market mein dakhil hone ka mauka nahi chhoda jayega agar jodi ne correction ke bina apna girawat jari rakha. Yeh approach chaukanna rehne aur turant karyavahi karne ke liye taiyaar rehne ki zarurat hai agar market ke conditions badal jaayein.

Is anishaan market mahaul mein tajziya karne ke liye, traders ko shaayad dono options ko madde nazar rakhte hue aur mojooda price par orders kholne ki sujhaav di ja sakti hai. Is tarah, woh kisi bhi manzar par faida uthane ke liye taiyar hote hain jo samne aata hai. Agar correction hoti hai aur price 1.0700 ke darja tak pohochti hai, to mazeed sell positions kholne ka mauka hota hai positions ko barhane aur average karte hue saath mein. Yeh strategy traders ko potential negative movement ka faida uthane aur stop-loss orders 1.0735-40 ke aas-paas theek se rakhkar apna risk sambhalne ka mauka deta hai.

Magar agar 1.0710-20 ke darja ko par kiya jata hai, to medium-term ke liye reversal pattern bante hain, jo market disha mein ek shift ki sambhavna darshaate hain. Is haal mein, traders ko apne positions ko dobara tajziya karne ki zarurat hoti hai aur apni strategy ko hisaab se anjaam dene ki soch sakti hain. Reversal pattern ke liye targein 1.09 aur 1.10 ke levels par set ki jaa sakti hain, profit ke liye naye mauke faraham karke.

Mukammal taur par, ghair-mutawazan market mahaul mein apni trading strategy mein lachari aur achha taj urf aurat ki zarurat hoti hai. Mukhtalif manaziron ko madde nazar rakhte huye aur anjaam ki mukhtalif souro se tayyar hote hue, traders apne aap ko potential opportunities se faida uthane ke liye tayar kar sakte hain jabke apne risk ko eficetively sambhalte hain. Maamla samjhte rahiye, chaukanna rahiye, aur market ke vikaas ke saath apni strategy ko tabdeel karne ke liye tayar rahiye. Apne trades ke liye kamyabi ki kaamna karte hain!