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  • #4006 Collapse

    open ki gayi thi Bollinger band ke upper limit, ie 80.1 par. Ab price neeche ki taraf move kar rahi hai aur channel ke andar wapas aane lagi hai. Aane wale hafte ke aghaz mein expect kiya ja raha hai ke price 1.3081 ke aas paas middle line ko breach kare. Jab market khulegi, to overall take profit target adjust kiya jayega. GBP/USD ka situation abhi bhi kaafi challenging hai, kyun ke pair 1.299 se neeche nahi ja saka, lekin phir bhi 1.309 se upar close kiya. Downward momentum abhi bhi mojood hai, aur daily chart par ek pin bar future decline ka imkaan dikha rahi hai. Aane wala hafta volatile hone ki umeed hai, Federal Reserve aur Bank of England ke meetings ke bawajood. Filhaal selling ke liye current levels ideal nahi hain, lekin agar price 1.3029 se neeche jata hai, to yeh buying ka ek acha mauqa ho sakta hai, utasalar jab stop-loss minor ho. Ek sharp decline 1.3000 tak bhi possible hai. Asset ki price current levels se upar ja sakti hai jab tak critical support level 1.3093 break nahi hota. Agar yeh support breach ho gaya, to asset ko dobara 1.3076 par test kiya ja sakta hai, aur yeh 1.3044 tak dobara pohonchne ki koshish kar sakti hai. Jab tak price 1.3044 se upar rehti hai, upward momentum price ko 1.3169 tak push kar sakta hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke price 1.3128 resistance ke upar ho taake 1.3224 ka retest ho sake aur future market mein 1.3255 aur 1.3250 ke gap ko fill kiya ja sake.
    Maine technical analysis ke liye ek indicator lagaya hai jo Heskin Ashi candles ke zariye pair ke movement ko dekhata hai. Heskin Ashi ka major advantage yeh hota hai ke market noise ko kam karta hai. Yeh price bars ko aise generate karta hai ke price charts ki delay kam ho jati hai.

    Situation ko dekhte hue, koi shak nahi ke overall picture abhi bhi GBP/USD ke favor mein hai. Short-term trading mein jab price 1.3264 par pohnchi, to asset ke price mein girawat hui, jo technical analysis ke point of view se ek correction kehla sakti hai. Lekin northward trend ko continue karne ke liye aise factors ki zarurat hai jo US dollar par asar daalein. Abhi tak aise factors nazar nahi aa rahe. Yeh bas waqt ki baat hai. Hum news ka intezar kar rahe hain, tabhi ek clear picture samne aayegi




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    • #4007 Collapse

      GBP/USD ke price ne aik key technical indicator ke neeche break kiya hai aur ab 200 EMA line ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ke bearish case ko mazeed barhawa de raha hai. Daily oscillator ke trend indicators bhi red signal kar rahe hain, jo ke strongly is prevailing downtrend ko confirm karte hain. Daily chart mein overall dekhain to GBP/USD ke liye near-term mein sustained bearish outlook nazar aa raha hai.
      H4 Timeframe:
      Agar hum H4 timeframe par zoom karein, to thodi buying strength nazar aa rahi hai jo price ko upward push kar sakti hai, aur shayad 1.2760 ke significant resistance level ko retest kare. Agar price is resistance zone ko successfully break kar leti hai, to achi chance hai ke bullish momentum continue ho, jahan agla target 1.2686 ke area ke aas-paas ho sakta hai.
      Bearish Sentiment ke Bawajood:
      Bhalay bearish sentiment zyada hai, 200 EMA daily chart par thoda downward turn kar raha hai, jo price ko future mein aik potential bottom dhoondhne aur wapas bounce karne ka moka de sakta hai. Agle chand dino mein market ki ability critical resistance ko break karna ya established support levels ke neeche girna essential hoga GBP/USD ka agla central trend direction decide karne mein.
      Traders ko yeh critical levels closely monitor karne chahiye, jab ke market is uncertain period mein navigate kar raha hai. Agla hafta khaas tor par significant ho sakta hai, jahan ya to further downward pressure hoga ya reversal ho sakta hai, depending on external factors jese economic reports aur global market sentiment ke shifts. Price aur technical levels ka interaction, broader economic influences ke sath, yeh decide karega ke GBP/USD apne bearish trend ko extend karta hai ya recovery ki taraf reversal initiate karta hai.

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      GBP/USD ki request brace history ko dekhte hue, Friday ko phir se merchandisers ne market ko dominate kiya. Unhone bullish buyers ki pace ko rok kar resistance area 1.3153-1.3150 ke neeche rakh diya. Merchandisers ne is area ko aggressively guard kiya, isliye price ko bearish direction mein move karne se roknay mein kamiyab rahe, halankeh distance zyada wide nahi tha, lekin dealer’s dominance kam lag rahi thi.
      Agar Moving Average index ko daily time window par dekha jaye, toh price ya candle ab bhi Red MA 50 area 1.2954-1.2956 ke upar hai aur bullish candlesticks dominate kar rahe hain. Lekin agar dealers ke determination strong rahe jab tak request close nahi hoti, toh bearish movement continue karne ke liye opportunities hain. Agar price 1.3035-1.3033 ke neeche buyer support area ko breach kar leti hai, toh yeh Red MA 50 area tak move karne ka raasta khol sakti hai.
      Aaj Monday ko trading mein, agar merchandisers price ko apne resistance area ke neeche rakhne mein successful rahe, toh bearish movement continue ho sakti hai. Dealers ka bearish target sabse pehle 1.3104-1.3102 par buyer support area ko break karne par focus rahega. Agar yeh level validly break hota hai, toh deeper bearish movement ke openings khulengi, jisme agla target buyer demand support area 1.3055-1.3053 ho sakta hai.


         
      • #4008 Collapse

        Chalo GBP/USD currency pair ko H4 timeframe par analyze kartay hain. Aaj GBP/USD ne bohat achi performance dikhayi hai. Price ne pehle 1.3236 ke qareeb target ko hit kiya, magar phir ek nayi platform banaayi high levels par, jo mazeed growth ka ishara kar rahi hai. Lekin ab ek pullback ya decline expect kiya ja raha hai, kyunke bohat bara economic news anay wala hai. Federal Reserve aur US dollar aaj ke movement mein central role ada kar rahe hain, aur market direction abhi tak clear nahi hai, khas tor par kyunke rate cut ke hawalay se abhi bhi uncertainty hai. Federal Reserve Chairman ke remarks bhi bohat aham hote hain. Iske bawajood, overall view bullish hai, magar ek solid pullback ki umeed hai. Agar price 1.3131 ke neeche girti hai, tou yeh buying opportunity samjhi ja sakti hai. Uptrend ko dekhte hue, yeh zaroori hai ke signal par bharosa karain aur trend ke direction mein trade karain.


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        Moving average ne 1.31441 par buy signal diya hai, jo ke Fibonacci scale par 0.0% ka point hai. Target price 1.32762 hai, jo ke Fibonacci scale par 100% ka point hai. Signal kay baad market is level se neeche gir gaya, tou ho sakta hai ke zyada deeper correction na aaye. Risk-reward ratio ka soch kar agar trade karain, tou 1:2 ya 1:3 ka ratio interesting ho sakta hai. Agar 1:2 ratio ka target ho, tou buying price 1.31881 ho sakti hai, aur agar 1:3 ratio ka target ho, tou entry price 1.31753 theek rahegi. Growth foran nahi aayegi, kyunke candle analysis yeh suggest karta hai ke market ko do technical levels cross karni paren gi: ek gray descending channel boundary aur doosri blue ascending channel boundary.


           
        • #4009 Collapse

          GBP/USD ka D1 chart dekhtay hain.

          Friday ko Asian trading session mein GBP/USD positive territory mein trade karta raha, jisme US dollar ki weakness ka faida uthaaya gaya. Market ka focus ab August ke liye US non-farm payrolls data ki taraf hai, jo Federal Reserve ke interest rate decision par baray asar daal sakta hai. Is haftay ke start mein ADP report ne private sector job growth mein kami dikhayi hai, jo ke Federal Reserve se rate cut ki umeed ko barhawa de rahi hai. Markets ne ab September 17-18 meeting mein rate cut ki umeed ko price kar diya hai. Saath hi, pound ko Bank of England (BoE) se bhi rate cut ki umeed ne support diya hai. Governor Andrew Bailey ne kaha ke inflationary pressures kam ho rahe hain, lekin unhone rate cut ke liye jaldi karne ke khilaf bhi kaha hai. Ab investors 25% chance de rahe hain ke BoE rate cut karega, lekin November se rate cut ka chance full price in ho chuka hai.

          GBP/USD pair ne Thursday ko low volatility ke sath upward movement dikhaya. Market ke pass British currency ko khareedne ka koi khaas reason nahi tha. Thursday ka rise asal mein ek correction tha, lekin hum abhi tak US currency ke girne par koi excitement nahi dekh rahe, jo ke do saal se gir rahi hai. Yani, jo movement hum dekh rahe hain, wo ek naye downward trend ka aghaz nahi lagta, jo kam az kam ek saal tak chalega. Lagta hai ke market ne thori si correction ki hai aur ab ek naye wave ke liye tayyar ho raha hai. Ye "baseless" khareedari market ke nazar mein justify ki gayi hai, lekin fundamentals aur macroeconomics ko dekha jaye tou British currency ke growth ka koi logical basis nahi hai.


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          Downward trend tab tak barqarar rahega jab tak price Ichimoku indicator ki lines aur descending trend line ke neeche rahegi. Yeh shaayad abhi US dollar ka akhri sahara hai. Jab se pata chala ke America mein inflation 2.5% tak kam ho gayi hai, tou Federal Reserve har meeting mein rate cut kar sakta hai. Agar market ne monetary policy easing ko pehle hi price kar liya hai, tou yeh achi baat hai — dollar bach sakta hai. Warna US dollar ke liye mazeed girawat ka samna ho sakta hai. Saath hi, European Central Bank aur Bank of England ki monetary policies mein market ko koi khaas dilchaspi nahi hai.

          Kal teen trading signals form huay thay. Price ne 1.3050 level se do dafa bounce kiya lekin 20 pips bhi neeche move nahi kar saka. Phir price ne 1.3050 level ke upar consolidate kiya, aur hume thodi si movement nazar aayi jisme paisa kamaya ja sakta tha. Magar pehla short position unprofitable raha, tou overall Thursday ko profit banaana mushkil tha. Hourly timeframe par GBP/USD abhi bhi correction mein hai, lekin yeh correction kabhi bhi khatam ho sakti hai. Market abhi tak pair ko sell karne aur US dollar ko khareedne mein jaldi nahi kar raha. Is liye British currency ka yeh be-bunyad rise mazeed barh sakta hai. Agar price Senkou Span B aur Kijun-sen lines ke upar consolidate ho jaaye aur trend line ke upar chali jaaye, tou yeh identify ho sakta hai.


             
          • #4010 Collapse

            GBP/USD Pair Review

            GBP/USD ka movement bullish direction mein hai, aur yeh trend tab tak barqarar hai jab tak USD ki weakness aur pound sterling ki strength nazar aa rahi hai. Thursday ko European session mein US Dollar Index neeche chala gaya, jisme Fed ke 50 basis point interest rate cut ka bhi asar tha. Saath hi, year ke aakhir tak aur rate cuts ki projections ne bhi pressure dala, aur pound sterling ki mazid taqat ne dollar ko neeche gira diya. Jab se Fed ne 50 bp ka rate cut kiya hai aur mazeed cuts ka plan bataya hai, Dollar Index girawat mein hai.

            USD ne kamzori is liye bhi dikhayi kyunke Fed ne 2024 ke liye US GDP ka forecast kam kar diya, aur 2024 ke core PCE price forecast ko bhi neeche le aaya, jo Fed policy ke hawalay se ek dovish sign tha. Pound Sterling ko aur bhi support mila jab Bank of England ne apne interest rates ko change nahi kiya. Yeh sab factors abhi bhi GBP/USD ke movement ko agay barhane mein asar daal sakte hain.




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            Agar technical analysis dekha jaye tou daily timeframe mein price bullish pattern mein hai. Price ne August ke previous high ko 1.3260 par break kar liya hai. Aaj ki trading session mein bhi daily candle bullish close hoti dikhayi de rahi hai, jo mazeed bullish pattern ka ishara de rahi hai. Filhal, price high bolinger band ko reject kar rahi hai, tou ho sakta hai ke price pehle kuch support levels tak neeche aaye. Sabse qareebi support 1.3260 aur EMA 7 daily 1.3212 par hai. Indicators ko dekha jaye tou stochastic aur RSI dono hi bullish signs de rahe hain. Stochastic abhi bhi 80 area test kar raha hai, aur RSI 70 ke qareeb hai. In patterns ko dekhte hue, aglay trades ke liye buy setups dekhna zyada attractive option lagta hai.


               
            • #4011 Collapse

              GBP/USD trading itni busy nahi thi kyunki range sirf 40 pips ke aas-paas thi. Asian session ke shuruat par GBP/USD ne pehle to increase dekha. Us waqt GBP/USD 1.3100 ke price range tak barh gaya. Uske baad, kyunki candle 1.3106 par SBR area ko todne mein nakam rahi, GBP/USD ki movement phir se gir gayi. Girawat ke natije mein, sabse qareeb ka support break ho gaya aur GBP/USD ka price 1.3060 tak gir gaya. Agar H1 timeframe se analyze kiya jaye, to support area mein ek doji candle ban gayi hai. Mere khayal se, yeh marker ke direction ke reverse hone ka confirmation hai. Proof yeh hai ke wahan pohnchne ke baad GBP/USD ki movement phir se barh rahi hai. Ab GBP/USD 1.3081 par trade ho raha hai. H1 support jo 1.3060 par hai, uski strength test ki jayegi. Agar yeh break ho jata hai, to movement neeche ja sakti hai aur agar nahi hota, to movement upar ja sakti hai. Apne sabse qareeb ke support ke break hone se, GBP/USD ko aur bhi neeche dhakela ja sakta hai. Aaj ke liye, meri prediction hai ke GBP/USD pehle upar jaayega kyunki girawat ke baad koi correction nahi hui hai.

              Agar Ichimoku indicator ka use kiya jaye, to H1 timeframe par candle ne blue kijun sen line ko penetrate kar diya hai. Yeh tab se hua hai jab GBP/USD ne strengthen hona shuru kiya. Halankeh kijun sen line break hui hai, dono lines abhi tak intersect nahi hui. Main khud dono lines ke cross hone ka intezaar karna pasand karunga taake upward signal sach mein valid ho. Mujhe yakin hai ke demand area mein stuck candle ke sath, jaldi ek intersection hoga.

              Agar stochastic indicator ka use kiya jaye, to stochastic indicator ki line level 60 ke beech mein hai. Iski direction jo upar ki taraf hai, yeh darshata hai ke upward signal ab bhi hai. Lekin, jab line level 80 ko touch karti hai aur direction neeche ki taraf hoti hai, to ehtiyaat zaroori hai kyunki yeh GBP/USD ko girane ka sabab ban sakta hai



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              • #4012 Collapse

                Technical analysis ke liye, maine resistance aur support ko represent karne ke liye diagonal lines plot ki hain. Agla qadam hai ke hum US Federal Reserve System ke head ki speech ko 16:39 Moscow time par bariki se dekhein. Is ke ilawa, 16:59 par labor market vacancy statistics release honge, jo local volatility ka sabab ban sakte hain. Humne 1.2614 tak ke decline ko manage kiya, aur price ab 59 points barh gayi hai. Spread ko chhod kar, ye nateeja kafi acha hai. Hum GBP/USD situation ko 18:01 ke baad dobara assess karenge, Fibonacci grid ka review karte hue, chhote time intervals par 100 – 161.7 range par focus karte hue. Filhaal price view aur sentiment mein koi tabdeeli nahi dikhayi de rahi. Kal chhutti hai, lekin trading limited form mein chalegi, aur Thursday ko complete holiday hoga. Is wajah se trading week skewed hai aur Friday ko significantly start hoga, jo major players ko investing se roka sakta hai. Agar sirf speculative movements hoti hain, to wahi sawal uthta hai. Mera aaj ka main concern ye hai ke Americans apni holidays aaj ya kal se shuru karenge; lagta hai ke aaj se hi shuru karenge. GBP/USD ka rebound barh gaya hai, meri target zone 1.2639-59 tak pohnch gaya hai. Filhaal ke impulse se neeche ki taraf ek pullback zaroori hai, jiska aim 1.2700 level ke nazdeek hona chahiye, shayad isse bhi break kar sake. Kal ka high ko surpass karna mushkil hai, lekin movement ke dauran closely observe karna zaroori hai. Maine apni position already close kar di hai, current profit ko potential gains par preference dete hue. Overall, situation abhi bhi uncertain hai. Ye scenarios possible outcomes ko reflect karte hain. Agar slope break hoti hai to buyers ko upper hand
                GBP/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka analysis karne se mutaliq hai. Agle hafte major central banks se kaafi significant action ki umeed hai, kyunki Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of England (BoE) apne interest rate decisions announce karne wale hain. Jabke Fed apna current rate ek aur meeting ke liye barqarar rakhega, BoE ko quarter-percentage-point rate cut ka speculation face karna pad raha hai. Money markets BoE ke base rate ko 5.24% se 5.9% tak kam hone ki forecasting kar rahe hain. Yeh anticipated narrowing of interest rate differential pound sterling par pressure daal raha hai. United States se recent economic data, jo Department of Commerce ne highlight kiya, steady growth trajectory ko reflect karta hai. Q2 ke preliminary GDP estimate ke mutabiq annual growth rate 2.7% hai, jo Q1 ke 1.3% se barh gaya hai aur forecasted 1.9% ko bhi surpass karta hai

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                • #4013 Collapse

                  Sterling ne Thursday ko dollar ke muqablay mein 30-mahine ka high touch kiya, jab greenback ki chhati hui sale ne risk buying ko barhawa diya aur is currency ko support kiya. Federal Reserve ka 50 basis point rate cut is hafta ne global markets mein risk-on sentiment ko promote kiya, jabke Bank of England ka rate hold sterling ko kuch khaas support na de saka. Friday ko sirf UK retail sales ka data dekhne layak hoga, jo ke August ke liye aayega, magar is se market mein zyada momentum ki umeed nahi hai, kyon ke investors Fed aur Bank of England ke double-meeting central bank session ke baad thake hue hain. Forecast hai ke August mein UK retail sales monthly basis par 0.4% tak girenge, jo pehle 0.5% the, jabke annual figure 1.4% par steady rehne ka intezar hai.

                  Thursday ko pehle, Bank of England ne apna interest rate 5.0% par hold rakha, aur Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) ne phir se 7-1 ke vote se rates ko hold karne ka faisla kiya. Pehle, Bank of England ne is summer mein rate cut ka signal diya tha, jab us ne apni last policy meeting mein rates ko ek quarter point se kam kiya tha, lekin yeh move shayad waqt se pehle ho gaya tha. BoE ke policymakers ab dekh rahe hain ke UK economy kis tarah se develop hoti hai, uske baad hi wo rate changes ka faisla karenge.



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                  GBP/USD filhal 1.3200 ke upar rehne ka irada rakhta hai. Fed ne Wednesday ko achanak interest rates ko 50bp se double kar diya, jo ke pair ko 2.5 saal ke naye high 1.3296 tak le gaya. Powell ne confidence dikhaya ke wo economic slowdown se bachne mein kaamyab ho sakte hain, magar easing cycle ka pace saf nahi kiya, jis se prices wapas 1.3200 se neeche aa gayi. BoE ka rate decision ab calendar ka agla bara event hai aur pair ab August line ke qareeb 1.3265 par hai. Risks upper side par hain, jab RSI 50 ke upar chadh raha hai aur MACD positive territory mein red signal line ko cross karne wala hai. Magar stochastics ke pullback karne ke chances hain, jo is improvement ko limited kar sakte hain. Agar 1.3265 ke upar break milta hai, toh price May se resistance line ke qareeb 1.3350 par rally kar sakti hai. 1.3400 ka psychological level bhi bulls ko challenge kar sakta hai. Agar nahi, toh pair February 2022 mein dekhe gaye 1.3600 level tak rally kar sakta hai.


                     
                  • #4014 Collapse

                    lysis ke liye, maine resistance aur support ko represent karne ke liye diagonal lines plot ki hain. Agla qadam hai ke hum US Federal Reserve System ke head ki speech ko 16:39 Moscow time par bariki se dekhein. Is ke ilawa, 16:59 par labor market vacancy statistics release honge, jo local volatility ka sabab ban sakte hain. Humne 1.2614 tak ke decline ko manage kiya, aur price ab 59 points barh gayi hai. Spread ko chhod kar, ye nateeja kafi acha hai. Hum GBP/USD situation ko 18:01 ke baad dobara assess karenge, Fibonacci grid ka review karte hue, chhote time intervals par 100 – 161.7 range par focus karte hue. Filhaal price view aur sentiment mein koi tabdeeli nahi dikhayi de rahi. Kal chhutti hai, lekin trading limited form mein chalegi, aur Thursday ko complete holiday hoga. Is wajah se trading week skewed hai aur Friday ko significantly start hoga, jo major players ko investing se roka sakta hai. Agar sirf speculative movements hoti hain, to wahi sawal uthta hai. Mera aaj ka main concern ye hai ke Americans apni holidays aaj ya kal se shuru karenge; lagta hai ke aaj se hi shuru karenge. GBP/USD ka rebound barh gaya hai, meri target zone 1.2639-59 tak pohnch gaya hai. Filhaal ke impulse se neeche ki taraf ek pullback zaroori hai, jiska aim 1.2700 level ke nazdeek hona chahiye, shayad isse bhi break kar sake. Kal ka high ko surpass karna mushkil hai, lekin movement ke dauran closely observe karna zaroori hai. Maine apni position already close kar di hai, current profit ko potential gains par preference dete hue. Overall, situation abhi bhi uncertain hai. Ye scenarios possible outcomes ko reflect karte hain. Agar slope break hoti hai to buyers ko upper hand
                    GBP/USD currency pair ke pricing behavior ka analysis karne se mutaliq hai. Agle hafte major central banks se kaafi significant action ki umeed hai, kyunki Federal Reserve (Fed) aur Bank of England (BoE) apne interest rate decisions announce karne wale hain. Jabke Fed apna current rate ek aur meeting ke liye barqarar rakhega, BoE ko quarter-percentage-point rate cut ka speculation face karna pad raha hai. Money markets BoE ke base rate ko 5.24% se 5.9% tak kam hone ki forecasting kar rahe hain. Yeh anticipated narrowing of interest rate differential pound sterling par pressure daal raha hai. United States se recent economic data, jo Department of Commerce ne highlight kiya, steady growth trajectory ko reflect karta hai. Q2 ke preliminary GDP estimate ke mutabiq annual growth rate 2.7% hai, jo Q1 ke 1.3% se barh gaya hai aur forecasted 1.9% ko bhi surpass karta hai

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                    • #4015 Collapse

                      Market Sentiment aur Investor Behavior:
                      Aik aur aham pehlu yeh hai ke market sentiment ko samajhna zaroori hai. Market ke participants ka risk ke lehaz se rujhan global economic conditions, news headlines, aur central bank commentary ke base par badalta rehta hai. Agar traders ko lagta hai ke Pound hold karna Dollar ke muqablay mein ziada risky hai, toh GBP/USD pair par selling pressure barqarar reh sakta hai.

                      Magar agar sentiment mein koi tabdeeli hoti hai — misal ke agar inflation ya energy crisis jese global economic concerns ka hal nikalta hai — toh Pound mein nayi confidence aa sakti hai. Sentiment bohot jaldi badal sakta hai, khaaskar uncertainty ke dauran, aur is se aapke anticipate kiye hue sharp movements aasakte hain. Yeh movement ya toh GBP/USD ki rally ke form mein ho sakti hai ya phir bearish trend ke tez hone ke lehaz se.

                      4. Aane Wala Economic Data:

                      Aane wale dino mein economic data releases traders aur investors ke liye bohot important honge. Key data points, jaise ke inflation numbers, employment reports, aur GDP figures, UK aur US dono taraf se, market ke direction ko samajhne mein madad denge.

                      Misal ke taur par, agar UK mein inflation expect se zyada hota hai, toh BoE par pressure barh sakta hai ke wo interest rates mazid barhaye, jo ke Pound ko support de sakta hai. Is ke baraks, agar data economic weakness dikhata hai, toh bearish trend barqarar ya aur tez ho sakta hai.

                      US ke lehaz se, agar economy ki strength ke signs milte hain, toh US Dollar mazid strong ho sakta hai, aur GBP/USD par downward pressure daal sakta hai. Agar US data weak hota hai, toh Dollar soft ho sakta hai, aur Pound ko recover karne ka mauqa mil sakta hai.

                      5. Volatility Expectations:

                      Aakhri baat yeh ke low volatility ke periods aksar high volatility se pehle aate hain. Jaise aapne point out kiya, GBP/USD pair abhi dheere move kar raha hai, lekin yeh shayad aane wale bade movement ka pehla asar ho. Traders key catalysts ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke market mein aik sudden aur significant movement laa sakta hai.

                      In sab factors ko dekhte hue, GBP/USD ke aane wale dino mein bade price movements ka imkaan hai, aur yeh depend karta hai ke technical, fundamental, aur sentiment kis tarah se evolve karte hain.





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                      • #4016 Collapse

                        Technical Analysis of GBP/USD

                        Sterling pichle trading haftay mein dobara growth par aaya aur apni losses ka lagbhag aadha wapas hasil kar liya. Shuru mein price 1.3082 ke level ke neeche gir gayi thi, signal zone mein chali gayi, lekin aik bara support mila jis se upward momentum wapas aaya. Natija ye hua ke expected growth achieve nahi hui, lekin target territory phir bhi workable rahi. Is dauran, price chart ne dobara super trendy green zone mein wapas aana shuru kiya, jo yeh batata hai ke buyers ne control sambhal liya hai.

                        Agar hum 4-hour chart ko dekhain to technically, yeh pata chalta hai ke pair abhi breakout resistance 1.3130 ke upar temporary support le raha hai, aur hum dekh rahe hain ke 50-day moving average price ko support de raha hai. Moving average dobara neeche ki taraf shift ho gaya hai. Is liye, ane walay ghanton mein aik uptrend ka imkan hai jiska target 1.3180 ho sakta hai, jisse growth ka silsila barh sakega aur short term mein 1.3210 aur 1.3230 tak ka channel khul jayega. Hum yaad dilate hain ke trading abhi bhi 1.3130 ke neeche aur 1.3100 ke upar stable hai, jo pair ke downward correction ke resumption ka sabab ban sakta hai, aur targets 1.3065 aur 1.3040 se shuru honge. Chart niche dekhein:




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                        Pair abhi weekly highs ke thora sa upar trade kar raha hai. Bari support areas test hui hain, aur barhti hui tension ke bawajood, unki integrity barqarar rahi, jo upward vector ki ahmiyat ko zahir karti hai. Growth ko continue karne ke liye, price ko 1.3082 ke upar, jo main support area ka border hai, mustahkam hona hoga. Aik retest ke baad agar price is area ke upar rebound karti hai to mazeed growth ka moka milega aur target area 1.3427 se 1.3500 tak ho sakta hai.

                        Agar support break hota hai aur price 1.2994 pivot level ke neeche girti hai, to current scenario cancel ho jayega.
                         
                        • #4017 Collapse

                          GBP/USD Analysis

                          SIR UPDATE SIR AVIZ BONUS SHUKRIYA SIR BONUS UPDATE DAYS KI ZARURAT.

                          Assalam o Alaikum forum ke doston, jo kal ke trading holiday se khush hain. Main apne un doston ka shukriya ada karta hoon jo analysis ko dekhne aaye hain. Lagta hai ke bonus ka masla hai, magar abhi tak resolve nahi hua; shayad kisi ne rules violate kiye hain, jiska asar is waste ke bonus par para hai aur bonus ab tak pay nahi hua. Ab tak ye waja samajh nahi aayi.

                          Jumay ki subah ke trading mein, GBP/USD currency pair abhi tak sideway movement mein trade kar raha tha. Floating ko bekaar hone se bachane ke liye, behtar hai ke European market ke khulne ka intezar kiya jaye. Ek trader ke liye sabse behtareen tareeqa hai ke theek waqt ka intezar kare aur sabr se kaam le.

                          Technical Analysis ke lehaz se, GBP/USD pair ab bhi downward trajectory par hai agar hum H1 time frame ko dekhein. Pair ka recent movement kaafi dynamic raha hai, kal ki tezi ke baad aaj ek significant girawat dekhi gayi. Is situation mein aglay move ka andaza lagana aur disciplined approach ke sath stop loss maintain karna bohot zaroori hai.

                          Fundamental Analysis ko dekhein to USD index kuch din ki girawat ke baad ab wapas barhne ka imkaan hai, jo ke GBP/USD ke against rise ka sabab ban sakta hai. Magar yeh bhi zaroori hai ke dhyan rakhein ke USD opponent dobara dip ki taraf bhi ja sakta hai. Forex calendar ko monitor karte hue aglay fundamental news par nazar rakhna zaroori hai, taake aap acche forecasts bana sakein aur informed analysis kar sakein.


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                          H4 time frame mein daily candles red hain, jo bearish trend ki taraf ishara karti hain. Hum waazeh taur par dekh sakte hain ke price pichlay mahine ke aghaz se girawat mein hai. Is waqt, price Original Demand area tak pohonch gaya hai, jo ke strong support dikhata hai. Is ka matlab hai ke price wapas upar move kar sakta hai taake TOP BB line ke upar supply area ko touch kar sake.

                          Monday ko Sterling ne 0.6% ka gain kiya, jisse GBP/USD pair wapas 1.3200 level ke upar chal gaya. Daily candlestick upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai, aur multi-year highs 1.3250 ke qareeb hain. Halaanke overall trend upar ki taraf hai, lekin GBP/USD ki price action ab bhi bull trap mein girne ka risk rakhti hai, jahan se pair ne 1.3000 ke technical lows se 1.66% ka recovery kiya hai.

                          Short term mein, agar Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral threshold 50 ke aas paas fluctuate karta raha aur Stochastic oversold territory mein raha, toh market downside risks ko maintain kar sakta hai. Agar pair aur ziada weak hota hai, toh 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) jo 1.2940 par hai, wo immediate support provide kar sakta hai, aur 38.2% Fibonacci level 1.2900 par bhi aik aham support ka kaam kar sakta hai. Aur agar price is se neeche jaata hai, toh 50.0% Fibonacci level 1.2780 par market ki zyada tawajjo ho sakti hai, jo ke bearish bias ko mazeed barha sakta hai.


                             
                          • #4018 Collapse

                            GBP/USD pair ek Rising Channel chart pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jahan market players har girawat ko ek kharidne ka mauka samajhte hain. 1.2875 ke qareeb, 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo near-term positive trend ko indicate karta hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko dikhata hai, jo bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai. Lekin, RSI ne overbought levels 70.00 ke aas-paas reach kar liye hain, jo ek corrective retreat ka imkaan barhata hai. Jo log pound sterling ke bullish hain, unke liye 1.3140 ke aas-paas ke do saal ke high ka level ek crucial resistance zone banega. Maqbool lines clear hain: agar 1.3050 ke region mein purane highs ke upar sahi break hota hai, to market 1.3150 ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas pehle ke resistance zone ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ab support mein convert ho chuka hai upper 1.28s mein. Pichle do hafton mein, GBP/USD exchange rate mein kafi zyada izafa hua hai. Mahine ke shuru mein, cable 1.2700 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha. Magar, yeh 9 mein se 8 din barh gaya hai (aur ab tak ke 10 din mein se 9 din barh gaya hai), aur ek 13-month high 1.3050 par pohnch gaya hai. Agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas upper 1.2800 ke support ke paas ja sakta hai. Lekin agar 1.3050 zone mein recent highs ke upar ek verified break hota hai, to 1.3150 ki taraf continuation ka rasta khul sakta hai. In summary, GBP/USD pair ab ek important level par hai. 1.3050 ke upar agar break hota hai, to next target 1.3150 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas market mein reversal hota hai, to support ke liye 1.2800 ke aas-paas wapas ja sakta hai. Is waqt, pound sterling ki upward movement aur technical indicators ko dekhte hue, aage kya hoga yeh dekhna hoga.**GBPUSD Latest Analysis** Pound Sterling ne is saal US Dollar ke muqablay mein 1.3050 par ek nayi high mark ki hai. GBP/USD pair ek Rising Channel chart pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jahan market players har girawat ko ek kharidne ka mauka samajhte hain. 1.2875 ke qareeb, 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo near-term positive trend ko indicate karta hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko dikhata hai, jo bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai. Lekin, RSI ne overbought levels 70.00 ke aas-paas reach kar liye hain, jo ek corrective retreat ka imkaan barhata hai. Jo log pound sterling ke bullish hain, unke liye 1.3140 ke aas-paas ke do saal ke high ka level ek crucial resistance zone banega. Maqbool lines clear hain: agar 1.3050 ke region mein purane highs ke upar sahi break hota hai, to market 1.3150 ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas pehle ke resistance zone ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ab support mein convert ho chuka hai upper 1.28s mein. Pichle do hafton mein, GBP/USD exchange rate mein kafi zyada izafa hua hai. Mahine ke shuru mein, cable 1.2700 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha. Magar, yeh 9 mein se 8 din barh gaya hai (aur ab tak ke 10 din mein se 9 din barh gaya hai), aur ek 13-month high 1.3050 par pohnch gaya hai. Agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas upper 1.2800 ke support ke paas ja sakta hai. Lekin agar 1.3050 zone mein recent highs ke upar ek verified break hota hai, to 1.3150 ki taraf continuation ka rasta khul sakta hai.
                            In summary, GBP/USD pair ab ek important level par hai. 1.3050 ke upar agar break hota hai, to next target 1.3150 ho sakta hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas market mein reversal hota hai, to support ke liye 1.2800 ke aas-paas wapas ja sakta hai. Is waqt, pound sterling ki upward movement aur technical indicators ko dekhte hue, aage kya hoga yeh



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                            • #4019 Collapse

                              GBP/USD H4 Market Analysis

                              Agar hum pichlay haftay ke GBP/USD pair ka trend dekhein, toh ek strong bearish trend nazar aata hai. Magar is haftay market kam az kam bullish trend mein wapas aa gayi hai. Halaanke sellers ne price ko 1.3001 zone tak neeche le aaya tha, lekin wahan se ek bounce back hote hue price upar ki taraf chal pada aur 100 Simple Moving Average zone ko break karne mein kamyab raha.

                              Agar hum 4-hour time frame chart ko dekhein, toh lagta hai ke candlestick pehle ke strong selling pressure ke baad ab pull back karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Aaj subah se price ne apni bottom position se recovery ki hai, jo ke buy option ke liye aik acha signal hai.

                              Aaj market chart ko dekha jaye toh price ne ek bohot high move kiya hai lekin low price volatility ke sath, jo indicate karta hai ke candlestick 1.3191 position se take off karne ki koshish mein hai. Main ab bhi buyers ke rujhan par nazar rakha hua hoon ke wo price ko mazeed upar push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain taake daily bullish target ko haasil kiya ja sake. Agli price journey ka andaza lagana ab bhi buyers ke control mein lagta hai. Aik zaroori cheez jo madde nazar rakhnay wali hai, wo ye ke dekhna hai ke koi dubara se selling pressure toh nahi aata jo ke open long positions ko nuksan pohancha sake.

                              Market ka daily trend upar ki taraf hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke buyers ab bhi dominant hain. Upar diye gaye graph mein bullish candles ek powerful indicator hain ke bullish trend barqarar rehne wala hai, jab ke price ab bhi 100 period simple moving average zone ke upar hai. Jitna ziada market upar jaati hai, utna hi behtareen mauqa hota hai buy trading option ko select karne ka.




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                              • #4020 Collapse

                                GBP/USD Analysis

                                Haal hi mein currency pair ne apni taqat ka izhar kiya, aur 1.3315 mark ke ird gird trade karta raha. Lekin yeh upward movement ruk gayi jab is ne teen din ki winning streak ko break kiya, jab ke yeh European session ke aghaaz mein Thursday ko dip karta nazar aaya. Is girawat ka sabab primarily U.S. Dollar ka thoda recovery karna hai. UK ki taraf se is haftay mein koi khaas economic data expected nahi hai, lekin market ka focus ab U.S. economic landscape ki taraf hoga, khaaskar Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke aane wale speech par.

                                Market is baat ka andaza laga raha hai ke further gains ka imkaan kitna hai, aur 1.3350 ka round-number resistance aur 1.3315 ka significant high crucial hain Pound Sterling ke bulls ke liye. Agar ye levels break hotay hain, tou yeh mazeed bullish movement ka rasta khol sakte hain, aur traders aur investors ka ziada dhyan is taraf ho sakta hai.

                                Retail Sales Data aur Consumer Sentiment ka Asar

                                Recent reports ke mutabiq, U.S. Retail Sales mein achi growth dekhi gayi hai, jo ke mahana tor par 0.5% aur salana tor par 1.4% barh gayi hain. Yeh izafa khaaskar department stores aur sporting goods outlets ki strong sales ki wajah se hai, jahan retailers kehte hain ke summer discounts aur bade sporting events, jaise ke European Football Championship, ne is uptick mein aham kirdar ada kiya. Is ke muqabil, automotive fuel ki sales mein sakhat girawat dekhi gayi hai, jo ke consumer spending patterns mein thodi tafreeq ko highlight karta hai.

                                Inflation aur Interest Rates ke Liye Asraat

                                Retail Sales figures consumer spending ka aik aham indicator hain, jo ke economy mein inflationary trends ko shape karte hain. Mazboot consumer demand aksar zyada inflation ki taraf le jaati hai, jo ke Bank of England (BoE) ki monetary policy decisions ko asar andaz kar sakti hai. Recent sales data ke madde nazar, BoE ki taraf se September mein ek aur interest rate cut ki umeedain kam ho sakti hain. BoE ne August mein apne key borrowing rates ko kam kiya tha, lekin is faislay ko 5-4 ke narrow vote split ke saath pass kiya gaya, jo ke committee mein mukhtalif rai ko zahir karta hai.


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                                Technical Indicators ne Strength ko Jari Rakha Hua Hai

                                Halaanke recent fluctuations dekhi gayi hain, price ne U.S. Dollar ke khilaf 1.3315 ka fresh annual high achieve kiya hai. Pair Rising Channel chart pattern mein move kar raha hai, jahan har pullback ko traders aik buying opportunity ke tor par dekh rahe hain. Yeh technical setup bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai, jo ke market participants ke darmiyan upward movement ka imkaan barqarar rakhta hai.

                                20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), jo ke is waqt takreeban 1.3124 par hai, near-term bullish trend ko support kar raha hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-Commodity Channel Index (CCI) strong bullish range mein 60.00 se 80.00 ke darmiyan oscillate kar raha hai, jo ke robust upside momentum ko zahir karta hai. Traders ko zaroor key resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye, jin mein psychological barrier 1.3350 aur recent two-year high 1.3315 shamil hain.


                                   

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