𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD pair ek Rising Channel chart pattern mein trade kar raha hai, jahan market players har girawat ko ek kharidne ka mauka samajhte hain. 1.2875 ke qareeb, 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA upar ki taraf slope kar raha hai, jo near-term positive trend ko indicate karta hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) strong upward momentum ko dikhata hai, jo bullish region 60.00–80.00 mein oscillate kar raha hai. Lekin, RSI ne overbought levels 70.00 ke aas-paas reach kar liye hain, jo ek corrective retreat ka imkaan barhata hai. Jo log pound sterling ke bullish hain, unke liye 1.3140 ke aas-paas ke do saal ke high ka level ek crucial resistance zone banega. Maqbool lines clear hain: agar 1.3050 ke region mein purane highs ke upar sahi break hota hai, to market 1.3150 ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Lekin agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas pehle ke resistance zone ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ab support mein convert ho chuka hai upper 1.28s mein. Pichle do hafton mein, GBP/USD exchange rate mein kafi zyada izafa hua hai. Mahine ke shuru mein, cable 1.2700 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha. Magar, yeh 9 mein se 8 din barh gaya hai (aur ab tak ke 10 din mein se 9 din barh gaya hai), aur ek 13-month high 1.3050 par pohnch gaya hai. Agar is point ke paas reversal hota hai, to pair wapas upper 1.2800 ke support ke paas ja sakta hai. Lekin agar 1.3050 zone mein recent highs ke upar ek verified break hota hai, to 1.3150 ki taraf continuation ka rasta khul sakta hai.
GBP/USD is support ko hold nahi kar pata aur isse niche break ho jata hai, to bearish trend ka continuation dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Conversely, agar is level se bounce hota hai, to yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke bearish momentum kam ho raha hai aur potential reversal ho sakta hai. Recent economic data aur market news bhi GBP/USD ko influence kar rahi hain. UK ka economic data recent mein relatively light raha hai, jab ke US ne positive aur negative reports ka mix dekha hai. Agla US non-farm payrolls report major event hai jo pair ko significant impact de sakta hai. Agar report stronger-than-expected job growth dikhati hai, to yeh US Dollar ko support kar sakta hai aur GBP/USD ko niche le ja sakta hai. Conversely, weaker data ke saath GBP/USD mein rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Market sentiment aur investor positioning bhi crucial role play karte hain. Filhal, traders ke beech mixed sentiment hai. Kuch traders further declines par bet kar rahe hain due to bearish trend, jab ke doosre lower levels par buy karne ke opportunities dekh rahe hain, aur potential reversal ki ummeed kar rahe hain. Yeh divergence opinions ke beech increased volatility aur significant price movements ka sabab ban sakta hai. Economic data ke ilawa, technical indicators bhi potential future movements ke insights provide kar rahe hain. Moving averages, trend lines, aur support/resistance levels closely monitor kiye ja rahe hain. Kisi bhi breakout ya significant shift in indicators naye trend ya current trend ka continuation signal kar sakta hai. In summary, jab ke GBP/USD filhal 1.3175 par trade kar raha hai aur bearish trend dikha raha hai, kai factors hain jo suggest karte hain ke agle dino mein significant movement ho sakti hai. Economic data, technical indicators, aur market sentiment sab current situation ko influence kar rahe hain. Traders ko alert rehna chahiye aur potential volatility ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye, kyunki market dynamics tezi se change ho sakti hain.

GBP/USD
GBP/USD D1 Chart Analysis

Trend ka Jaiza
GBP/USD ka D1 chart abhi consolidation phase mein dikhai deta hai. Price ne recent weeks mein sideways movement show ki hai, jahan neither bulls aur neither bears complete control mein hain. Price ne 1.2700 ke aas paas strong support level banaya hai, jabke upar ki taraf 1.2900 ka resistance hai. Agar yeh consolidation ka phase continue hota hai, toh hum expect kar sakte hain ke market mein break-out hoga, jo aage ke trend ko clear karega.

Support aur Resistance Levels
1.2700 ka level abhi strong support ban chuka hai. Har dafa jab price is level ke qareeb aayi hai, buyers ne isko hold kiya hai. Upar ki taraf 1.2900 ka resistance kaafi strong hai, jahan se price ko multiple dafa rejection mila hai. Agar price 1.2900 ko break karti hai, toh yeh bullish signal hoga aur hum price ko 1.3100 tak jaate hue dekh sakte hain. Lekin agar 1.2700 ka support break hota hai, toh price neeche 1.2500 tak gir sakti hai.

Technical Indicators ka Istemaal
Agar hum RSI indicator ko dekhein, toh woh 50 ke aas paas move kar raha hai, jo neutral market condition ko dikhata hai. Matlab yeh ke abhi market mein koi strong momentum nahi hai, lekin future mein agar RSI 60 ke upar break karta hai, toh hum bullish move dekh sakte hain. MACD abhi neutral territory mein hai, jahan koi clear buy ya sell signal nahi hai.

Candlestick Patterns
Recent candles ko dekh kar lagta hai ke market thoda indecisive hai. Doji aur small-bodied candles nazar aayi hain, jo ke market mein uncertainty ko show karti hain. Yeh bhi eik signal ho sakta hai ke market break-out ke liye tayar hai, lekin hamesha zaroori hota hai ke hum confirmation ka intezar karein.

Conclusion
GBP/USD filhaal consolidation phase mein hai, aur koi clear direction nazar nahi aa rahi. Market mein jo next move hoga, woh 1.2700 ka support ya 1.2900 ka resistance break hone ke baad hi clear hoga. Agar price upar ki taraf breakout karti hai, toh hum 1.3100 ka target dekh sakte hain. Neeche ki taraf, 1.2700 ka support level key hai, aur iske break hone par 1.2500 ka level target ban sakta hai.

GBP/USD Analysis

Daily chart ke mutabiq, indicator technology ka istimaal karte hue yeh maloom hota hai ke hamara market ab bhi bullish charge mein hai. Jo decline ab nazar aa raha hai, isay clearly ek pullback ke taur par treat karna chahiye. Yeh pullback sirf us waqt tak chalega jab tak pehli strong support nahi milti, jahan se dobara north ki taraf return ka imkaan hai. Aur kyun ke trend ke khilaf trade karna khatarnaak hai? Is liye ke hum apne final goal tak nahi pohnch sakein ge, aur halfway par turn kar ke dobara north ki taraf chal parain ge. Jo local indicators abhi show kar rahe hain:

• MA100 (100-day moving average) doosray maheenay se ek monotonous rise dikhata hai, aur ab bhi 5 degree ke trend angle par upward pull kar raha hai. Is haftay ka mood kaafi bullish hai.
• Teenon Bollinger bands abhi north ki taraf ek zabardast march ke liye upar uth rahi hain. End parts literally vertically 45 degree ke trend angle par pull kar rahi hain. Filhal, yeh indicator MA100 ke upar wale space mein complete flow kar chuka hai, jo market ke bullish charge ko zor deta hai.

Filhal market global sell signal Semafor ke flags ke neeche kaam kar raha hai. Yeh ek bohot technical zone mein set hai: price ne candle ko upper Bollinger band ke beyond le aaya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke bulls ne kuch goals achieve kar liye hain aur market se nikalne ke liye tayaar hain, battlefield ko doosron ke liye chhor kar. Hum ek sloping channel mein decline kar rahe hain.

Is layout ke mutabiq, 1.3105 resistance (upper channel band) tak rise expected hai, aur uske baad hum neeche ki taraf jayenge.

Market ka environment abhi bhi kaafi complex hai, aur price 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke 1.2964 ke aas paas ghoom rahi hai. Iske bawajood, bullish recovery ke prospects kaafi kam nazar aa rahe hain kyunki pair ek mazboot position establish karne mein struggle kar raha hai. Mid-July ke 12-month peak se lagbhag 3% girne ke baad, Pound Sterling (GBP) ab ek narm position mein hai, jahan long-term buyers patterns ka closely observation kar rahe hain jo rebound ka indication de sakte hain.

GBP/USD Rebounds as US Dollar Weakens CPI Report ke Baad

Spot price ne apne intraday lows se rebound kiya, aur North American trading session ke dauran 1.3070 tak peak kiya. Yeh uptick tab aaya jab USD Index kamzor hua, jab United States ka Consumer Price Index report release hua. Report kehti hai ke inflationary pressures July mein anticipated level par ease hue, jiski wajah se USD gir gaya. USD, jo Greenback ki strength ko chhah major currencies ke basket ke against measure karta hai, naya weekly low 101.50 ke aas paas gir gaya.

CPI report ne inflation ka mixed picture diya. Annual headline inflation aur core inflation (food aur energy ko exclude karke) dono thoda decelerate hue 2.9% aur 3.2% tak, jo June ke levels se kam hai. Month-on-month, dono headline aur core CPI 0.2% badhe, jo forecast ke saath align karta hai. Yeh data suggest karta hai ke inflation Federal Reserve (Fed) ke 2% target ke paas aa raha hai, jiski wajah se Fed ke potential interest rate cuts ke speculation badh gayi hai.

Technical Analysis aur Market Sentiment

Ek key technical level jo watch karna hai wo 1.3110 hai. Agar is level ko breach kiya jata hai to yeh indicate karega ke GBP ki recent strength solidify ho gayi hai. Lekin, abhi tak yeh scenario nazar nahi aaya. Iske bajaye, GBP/USD ne 1.3001 se 1.3151 ke range mein trade kiya hai, aur 1.3076 par relatively unchanged close hua. Halanki downward momentum mein koi significant increase nahi hua, prevailing sentiment kaafi bearish hai GBP ke liye. Agar 1.3000 ke psychological support level se neeche girta hai, to pair 1.2911 region ki taraf push ho sakta hai.

Weekly lows se bounce hone ke bawajood, GBP/USD abhi bhi mushkil mein hai. Market ka momentum filhal sellers ke favor mein hai, lekin buyers short term mein thoda control dikha rahe hain. Commodity Channel Index (CCI abhi bhi neutral 50 line se neeche hai, lekin upar ki taraf trend kar raha hai, jo market dynamics mein potential shifts ka indication de raha hai.

GBPUSD Price Action Samajhne Ke Liye
Aaj ki Gold analysis mein hum mukhtalif waqt ke darjaat ko dekh kar market ki dynamics ko samajhne aur potential trading opportunities ko identify karne ki koshish karenge. Humne dekha ke GBPUSD ki trading zyada active nahi thi. Kal subah Asian session ke shuruat par GBPUSD mein pehla faida dekha gaya, jahan GBPUSD 1.3100 tak barh gaya. Us ke baad, GBPUSD ki movement phir se gir gayi kyunki candle SBR region ko 1.3100 ke price par todne mein nakam rahi. Is loss ke natije mein sabse qareeb ka support break ho gaya aur GBPUSD ka price 1.3060 tak gir gaya. Yahan ek doji candle ban gayi hai jo mere khayal mein yeh darshati hai ke marker jaldi hi raasta badlega. GBPUSD ki movement wahan pohanchne ke baad phir se barhne lagi hai, jo is baat ka saboot hai. Ab GBPUSD ka mojooda price 1.3080 hai. H1 support ki strength 1.3060 ke price par check ki jayegi. Agar yeh price break ho jati hai to movement kam ho sakti hai aur agar nahi to barh sakti hai. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke yeh GBPUSD ko apne seeqareeb ke support se aur niche dhakel de.



4-hour time frame chart par, jab se GBPUSD ne taqat pakri hai, yeh hota raha hai. Dono lines abhi tak cross nahi hui hain, halankeh yeh kijun sen line ko breach kar chuki hai. Mere khayal se, dono lines ke cross hone tak intezaar karna behtar hai taake rising signal ka confirmation mil sake. Candle demand region mein locked hai, isliye mujhe yakin hai ke intersection jald hi hoga. Iska already upward-facing direction yeh darshata hai ke upward signal ab bhi maujood hai. Lekin, ehtiyaat zaroori hai kyunki jab line level 80 tak pohnchti hai aur neeche ki taraf point karti hai, to yeh GBPUSD ko girane ka sabab ban sakta hai. Iske ilawa, 1.3051 ke price par base demand area abhi tak breach nahi hui.

GBP/USD Price Analysis
Hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Aaj pair mein halka girawat dekhi gayi magar yeh apne maqsood target ko nahi pohnch saka. Chart yeh darshata hai ke pair ne 1.3064 par support level ko test kiya aur ab 1.3077 par trade kar raha hai. RSI range ke beech mein hai, jo upward inclination dikhata hai, jabke AO buy signal de raha hai. Pair filhal pichle din ke range ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Yeh signals mazboot hain, jo growth potential ka ishara karte hain. Mujhe lagta hai ke price 1.3129 par resistance level ko test karegi. Baray bullish trend ke dauran, pound dheere dheere downward move kar raha hai, ek logical upward move ke baad. Thodi si minor movements ke baad, price ek daily Doji candle bana rahi hai. Price ek critical internal level par settle ho gayi hai, jahan pehle ek lamba movement initiate hua tha.




Daily chart par dekhi gayi candle hourly chart par bhi dikhayi deti hai. Specifically, price bullish weakness ka izhar kar rahi hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke price is critical level ke baad neeche ki taraf tezi se gir sakti hai. Yeh bearish correction zyada waqt le sakti hai, kyunki yeh aam tor par non-trend movement hota hai, jo dheere aur zyada hota hai. Lekin, is stagnant phase mein bhi price ek din mein kaafi move kar sakti hai. Pichle trading session ki final movements surprising thi, lekin zyada impressive nahi, kyunki bearish trend steadily expand hota nazar aa raha hai. Mujhe kaafi yakin hai ke abhi bhi growth ka potential hai, kyunki D1 period moving average ko 1.2876 par maintain kar raha hai, aur lagta hai hum us mark ki taraf ja rahe hain. Daily chart par ek strong support level ka test ho raha hai, jo bearish trend ki priority ko darshata hai. Aaj ke liye, hum bearish activity ki ummeed kar rahe hain, aur agla critical level 1.3037 hai.

GBP/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein bearish aur bullish dono types ka behavior dikhaya hai. Pair mein ek noticeable girawat dekhi gayi, jo apne initial support level ko break kar gayi. Lekin yeh girawat zyada der tak nahi rahi, aur price jaldi se rebound ho gayi aur hourly chart par 34 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ki taraf wapas chalne lagi. Yeh EMA dynamic support ya resistance level ka kaam karti hai, aur recent bounce yeh darshata hai ke yeh moving average filhal price ko influence kar rahi hai. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo price movements ki momentum ko gauge karta hai, ab 60.00 mark ke neeche hai. Yeh placement yeh indicate karti hai ke pair overbought territory mein nahi hai, lekin bullish momentum abhi bhi mojood hai. Daily chart par overall trend bullish hai, kyunki price key moving averages ke upar hi hover kar rahi hai. 34 EMA ke upar banne wali Doji candle, jo market ke indecision ko represent karti hai, yeh darshati hai ke traders market ke direction ko lekar unsure hain. Doji candle aksar potential reversal ya consolidation period ka signal deti hai.



Current bullish trend ke bawajood, agar price 34 EMA ke neeche girti hai to market ko bearish pressure ka samna karna pad sakta hai. 200-period Moving Average (SMA), jo current price se kafi door hai, long-term trend ko represent karti hai aur ek major support level ka kaam kar sakti hai. Agar price 34 EMA ke neeche girti hai, to yeh sellers ko is SMA ki taraf push kar sakta hai. Aise movement se bearish trend ka signal milta hai aur price ko zyada downward pressure ka samna karna pad sakta hai. 34 EMA se recent bounce ek temporary retracement ho sakta hai broader downtrend mein, ya yeh consolidation period ka signal ho sakta hai pehle kisi significant move se pehle. Traders ko 34 EMA aur Doji candle ke aas-paas price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye future movements ke indications ke liye. 34 EMA ek critical level hoga; iske neeche break hone se 200-period SMA ka test ho sakta hai, jabke bounce bullish trend ke continuation ko confirm kar sakta hai. Jaise market in mixed signals ko navigate karti hai, moving averages aur technical indicators ke beech ka interplay samajhna GBP/USD pair ke future direction ko anticipate karne ke liye crucial hoga.

GBP/USD Price Action Analysis
Hamari guftagu GBP/USD price action assessment ke mojudah tajziye par mabni hai. GBP/USD ki movement ne 1.3090 par barhna shuru kiya. Pichle teen din se movement barh rahi thi. Friday ko American session ke doran bhi advance kafi acha tha, magar GBP/USD phir se gir gaya jab candle supply region ko 1.3218 par todne mein nakam rahi. Jab currency pair ne lagbhag 95 pip ka movement dekha, to kaha ja sakta hai ke girawat kafi gehri thi. GBP/USD trading position 1.3125 par close hui. Yahan ek head and shoulder pattern develop hua hai, jo dekha ja sakta hai. 1.3220 par candle shoulder ko todne mein nakam rahi, jisse yeh pattern bana. Mere khayal se, yeh pattern reversal movement ka signal hai. Candle shayad short period mein 1.3099 par support se bhi milti hai. Agar GBP/USD kal, Monday ko penetrate kar sake to yeh slide aur bhi gehri ho sakti hai.




Geopolitical developments, jaise ke Brexit negotiations, trade relations, aur global economic uncertainty bhi pair ke movements ko shape karne mein important role play karte hain. Pound UK ke political stability mein ya key trading partners ke saath relations mein kisi bhi shift ke liye sensitive rehta hai. Trade deals ya policy decisions mein koi bhi progress ya setback currency pair mein sharp movements trigger kar sakti hai, kyunki market participants sentiment changes par react karte hain. Overall, GBP/USD ka outlook ek delicate balance par depend karta hai, jo Federal Reserve ke potential rate cuts, UK economic data, aur geopolitical shifts ko include karta hai. Market participants in variables ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, kyunki koi bhi unexpected developments pair ke performance par substantial impact daal sakti hain. Dono currencies ko significant headwinds ka samna hai, lekin technical aur fundamental factors jo unki future direction ko influence karte hain, wo evolve hote rahenge, aur aane wale weeks mein trading strategies ko shape karenge. Traders ko macroeconomic trends aur political developments ko closely track karna chahiye taake GBP/USD ke future movements ko anticipate kiya ja sake.

GBP/USD Exchange Rate
Hum filhal GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Pehle mujhe laga tha ke U.S. inflation data Thursday ko aayegi, magar dekhna hoga. Mera yeh bhi maana hai ke UK GDP market ke liye zyada ahmiyat nahi rakhti—British currency din-ba-din kam relevant hoti ja rahi hai. Traders ke beech GBP/USD mein waning interest is baat ka saboot hai, kyunki doosre instruments uski jagah le rahe hain. GBP/USD mein interest ko kam hone mein 31 saal lag gaye hain. Overall, focus sirf inflation par hoga. Agar data Wednesday ko release hota hai, to Tuesday preparation day ho sakta hai. Main Monday se ek delayed sell order set karne ka mashwara dunga, aur agar yeh trigger hota hai, to GBP/USD ko 1.2719 tak girne dena chahiye. Is wave mein prices ke aur neeche girne ki umeed kam lagti hai.




Yeh scenario Market Sentiment indicator se match karta hai, jo hum ek specialized service ke zariye track karte hain jo 8-9 brokers se data aggregate karti hai. Jab market mein zyada tar traders GBP/USD pair ko bech rahe hote hain, to ek bada player aksar opposite stance le kar kharidari karta hai aur price ko upar push karta hai. Aaj subah buy aur sell ratio review karte waqt, maine dekha ke 70 percent traders bech rahe the jabke sirf 30 percent kharid rahe the. Yeh imbalance mujhe lagta hai ke British pound bullish move karega, jo usne briefly attempt bhi kiya. Lekin, US se aayi strong economic data ne GBP/USD pair ko sharp bearish direction mein push kar diya, 1.3099 ke round level ko break karte hue. Jab maine apna last analysis likha, tab GBP/USD pair 1.3122 par trade kar raha tha, aur technical indicators yeh suggest kar rahe the ke upper boundary of the southern channel se rebound ke baad decline continue ho sakti hai.

GBP/USD MARKET ANALYSIS SEPTEMBER 11, 2024

Kal, Tuesday ko, maine dekha ke GBP/USD trading itni busy nahi thi kyunki range sirf 40 pips ke aas-paas thi. Asian session ke shuruat par GBP/USD ne pehle to increase dekha. Us waqt GBP/USD 1.3100 ke price range tak barh gaya. Uske baad, kyunki candle 1.3106 par SBR area ko todne mein nakam rahi, GBP/USD ki movement phir se gir gayi. Girawat ke natije mein, sabse qareeb ka support break ho gaya aur GBP/USD ka price 1.3060 tak gir gaya.

Agar H1 timeframe se analyze kiya jaye, to support area mein ek doji candle ban gayi hai. Mere khayal se, yeh marker ke direction ke reverse hone ka confirmation hai. Proof yeh hai ke wahan pohnchne ke baad GBP/USD ki movement phir se barh rahi hai. Ab GBP/USD 1.3081 par trade ho raha hai. H1 support jo 1.3060 par hai, uski strength test ki jayegi. Agar yeh break ho jata hai, to movement neeche ja sakti hai aur agar nahi hota, to movement upar ja sakti hai. Apne sabse qareeb ke support ke break hone se, GBP/USD ko aur bhi neeche dhakela ja sakta hai. Aaj ke liye, meri prediction hai ke GBP/USD pehle upar jaayega kyunki girawat ke baad koi correction nahi hui hai.

Agar Ichimoku indicator ka use kiya jaye, to H1 timeframe par candle ne blue kijun sen line ko penetrate kar diya hai. Yeh tab se hua hai jab GBP/USD ne strengthen hona shuru kiya. Halankeh kijun sen line break hui hai, dono lines abhi tak intersect nahi hui. Main khud dono lines ke cross hone ka intezaar karna pasand karunga taake upward signal sach mein valid ho. Mujhe yakin hai ke demand area mein stuck candle ke sath, jaldi ek intersection hoga.

Agar stochastic indicator ka use kiya jaye, to stochastic indicator ki line level 60 ke beech mein hai. Iski direction jo upar ki taraf hai, yeh darshata hai ke upward signal ab bhi hai. Lekin, jab line level 80 ko touch karti hai aur direction neeche ki taraf hoti hai, to ehtiyaat zaroori hai kyunki yeh GBP/USD ko girane ka sabab ban sakta hai.

To aaj ke analysis ka nateeja yeh hai ke GBP/USD currency pair mein ab bhi upar jane ka chance hai. Iska reason yeh hai ke support area mein ek doji candle nazar aayi hai. Iske ilawa, base demand area jo 1.3051 par hai, abhi tak break nahi hui. Isliye, main recommend karunga ke jo log is pair mein trading karte hain, wo buy positions kholne par focus karein. Take profit target 1.3204 ke aas-paas rakhna chahiye aur stop loss 1.2981 par place karna chahiye.

Forex Trading with GBP/USD Prices
Hamari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya karne par focus hai. Daily oscillator neeche ki taraf move kar raha hai, aur linear oscillator zero line ke neeche hai, jo short-term selling opportunities ke potential ko indicate karta hai. Magar weekly histogram mein abhi tak downward trend nahi dikhayi de raha, jo challenge hai. Price ko shayad ek aakhri upward move lene mein thoda waqt lage, uske baad significant decline ho sakti hai. High weekly histogram ke bawajood, koi strong buy signals nahi hain—sirf sell signals hain. Weekly channel monthly channel ke upper boundary se reverse ho raha hai, aur downward candlesticks upar ke trend signal se zyada compelling lag rahe hain. Agar price week ke opening level aur 1.3033 par APR 50% mark ke aas-paas ruki rehti hai, to yeh ek solid downward signal generate kar sakta hai, jo achi selling opportunity ko present karta hai.




4-hour chart par, meri predicted drop MA ke through hui hai, aur daily chart par MA kafi neeche hai, jo aur decline ke liye ample room chhodti hai. 28th figure ke shuruat mein 1.2819 ke aas-paas, GBP/USD ek significant volatility phase mein enter kar sakta hai, jo zigzag movements ke series mein nazar aa sakta hai, aur further declines ke high probability ko suggest karta hai. Yeh movement bearish momentum ke increase ke sath lagta hai, kyunki sellers filhal market par dominate kar rahe hain. News backdrop bhi is trend ko reinforce kar sakta hai, chahe specific news kuch bhi ho, kyunki market is period mein bearish move karne ke liye predisposed hai. Agar sellers control banaye nahi rakhte, to buyers market ko takeover kar sakte hain, jo shayad market correction ko 1.3154 ki taraf le jaaye. Lekin agar bears apni strength banaye rakhe aur market ko bearish trend mein drive karein, to unka target 1.2973 ho sakta hai, aur 1.3022 level se bullish reversal bhi possible hai.

Tuesday ko, GBP/USD pair ne sirf ek cheez dikhayi — trading se poori tarah reluctance. Euro ke muqablay, British pound ke paas kuch interesting reports thiin. Lekin, jaise humne warn kiya tha, yeh reports market sentiment par zyada asar nahi daal payi. UK ki unemployment rate 0.1% se kam hui, jaise expect kiya gaya tha. Wage growth thodi zyada dheemi hui aur unemployed ki tadaad market ki expectation se kafi kam thi. Isliye, yeh kehna sahi hoga ke UK reports positive thiin, lekin ab market ka dhyan sirf Federal Reserve ki monetary policy par hai. Nateeja yeh hua ke British currency thodi majboot hui, lekin iska technical picture par koi asar nahi pada. Price bhi 1.3107 ke najdeek ke level par consolidate nahi ho payi. Isliye, downward trend barqarar hai aur corrective decline jaari hai.
Tuesday ko 5-minute time frame par 1.3102-1.3107 ke area mein do sell signals bane. Yeh signals ek dusre ko duplicate kar rahe the, isliye sirf ek short position open karni chahiye thi. Uske baad, price 1.3043 level ki taraf gir gayi magar poori tarah nahi pohnchi. Novice traders ko maximum profit kamane ke liye trade close karne ka kafi waqt aur opportunities mili.

Wednesday ko Trading Kaise Karein:

Hourly time frame par, GBP/USD ke global downtrend ko resume karne ya kam se kam significant correction dekhne ke achi chances hain. British pound abhi bhi overbought hai, dollar undervalued hai, aur market abhi bhi dollars bechne ke liye zyada inclined hai na ke kharidne ke liye. Ab tak, pound sirf minor bearish correction dikhata hai. Puri tarah se downtrend ka kehna abhi jaldi hai. Fed ki meeting jo bahut intezaar ki ja rahi hai, agle hafte hogi, aur uske baad dollar ke medium-term direction ke baare mein conclusions banaye ja sakte hain.

Wednesday ko, pair kisi bhi direction mein move kar sakta hai, kyunki pehle se nahi pata ke U.S. inflation report kya dikhayegi ya market us par kaise react karega.

5-minute time frame par key levels hain: 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3102-1.3107, 1.3145-1.3167, 1.3225, 1.3272, 1.3310. Wednesday ko, UK July ke GDP reports monthly aur three-month formats mein release karega. Industrial production report bhi aayegi. Lekin, in data se market reaction kaafi zyada hone ki umeed nahi hai. U.S. mein, August ke Consumer Price Index release honge.

Technical Analysis of Foreign Currencies GBP/USD

Pound September ki shuruat mein $1.31 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha, August mein 2.1% ki growth ke baad, jabke United States aur Britain ke darmiyan monetary policy expectations ki mukhtalif hone ki wajah se pound ko support mil raha tha. Amomi tor pe, kamzor US economic data aur Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke interest rate cut ke imkaan ne US dollar ko kamzor kar diya, jabke UK ke mazboot economic data aur Bank of England ke ehtiyaat se bharay rate cuts ne pound ko faida diya. Bank of England ne haal hi mein apni main interest rate ko 5% par cut kar diya, aur traders ko ummed hai ke is saal ke akhir tak 41 basis points ki mazeed cuts honge. Is ke muqabil, Federal Reserve se is saal US interest rates ko 103 basis points se kam karne ki umeed hai, aur agle mahine 50 basis points ka cut hone ka speculation hai. British Prime Minister Keir Starmer ne UK ki dheemi recovery ka bhi zikar kiya.

Is Hafte ka GBP/USD Forecast:
Agar US labor market data expectations se behtar hota hai to GBP/USD ki bullishness is hafte zyada gir sakti hai. Reliable trading platforms ke mutabiq… GBP/USD exchange rate pichle hafte 1.3266 par peak hui thi lekin consecutive daily gains ke baad technically overbought thi. Ye baad mein 1.31 par waapas aa gaya, aur naye hafte ki shuruat par hum dekhte hain ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) dobara 70 ke neeche chala gaya hai, jo ke overbought conditions ke khatam hone ki ishara hai. Lekin kya iska matlab ye hai ke ab iski upar ki chal shuru ho sakti hai? Technical nazariyat se, exchange rate ab bhi constructive hai aur filhal kamzori ko shallow aur ek temporary respite ke tor pe dekha jayega ek broader uptrend mein. Isliye, 1.3145 ke pivot ki taraf girawat ko aanewale sessions mein khareedna chahiye, aur GBP/USD ki overbought nature ko dekhte hue, hum 1.3100 ki taraf girawat par kharidari dekhna chahenge, jo ke 23 March 2022 ke high 1.3298 ke saath strong resistance ka samna kar raha hai.




Chart Analysis:
GBP/USD exchange rate ka daily chart dikhata hai ke buyers ke muqablay mein sellers kam hain. Agar aisa nahi hota to quote pehle se hi gir raha hota. Sellers market mein hain lekin unka volume buyers ke volume ke muqablay mein kam hai. Jab buyers purchases ko fix karna shuru karenge to halat alag honge, lekin growth ab dheemi ho gayi hai, aur aaj purchases ka fix hona mumkin hai jo sellers ke liye raasta khol sakta hai. Pair overbought hai aur current year ke prices ke muqablay mein mehenga hai, isliye British ko short karna shuru kiya ja sakta hai. Is tarah, current prices ke area mein, aap already 40-50 points ke har step par sales ka grid banane shuru kar sakte hain aur Fibonacci grid ke 38.20% level par exit kar sakte hain is non-rollback movement se, jo pichle hafte mein 150 points se zyada thi. Is pair ko peaks aur mehengi prices par kharidne wale log kam hote jaenge aur unka volume bhi kam hota jayega.

Mastering Forex with Price Action: GBP/USD

Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Aayein dekhtay hain ke GBP/USD pair ne din ke akhri hisay tak kaisa perform kiya. Aaj hum ne kal ke bullish candle ko absorb kar liya hai, jo yeh batata hai ke agar din ke akhir tak halki si rebound na hui, to hum ek bearish engulfing candle ke saath din ka ikhtitam karenge. Yeh formation kal ke liye downward trend ka ishara deti hai. Technically, hum aaj monthly resistance zone mein daakhil hue hain, jo ke bearish trend ka indication de raha hai ke price lower boundary ki taraf jaye gi, jo ke 1.2843 ke aas paas hai. Magar main target ab bhi daily support zone ke darmiyan hai, jo 1.2611 aur 1.2679 ke beech mein hai. Sellers ka target 1.3099 level par tha.




Thursday London Session Overview:
Thursday ke London session mein Pound Sterling (GBP) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqable mein ground gain ki aur 1.3150 ke upar breakout kiya. US Dollar (USD) ko kamzor JOLTS Job Openings data ne July ke liye back foot par kar diya, aur GBP/USD pair Wednesday ke rebound ko build karne ki koshish mein hai. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo US dollar ki value ko dusri six major currencies ke muqable mein measure karta hai, 101.00 ke critical support level ke qareeb aa gaya hai. Job Openings statistics ke mutabiq, jo ke Wednesday ko public ki gayi, US employers ne sirf 7.67 million nai job openings post ki hain, jo pichle teen aur aadha saal mein sab se kam hain. Kamzor employment market ka ishara reinforce karta hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) policy-easing ka amal forcefully shuru kar sakti hai. US Dollar ke liye primary catalyst Friday ko release hone wala Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data ho ga, jo August ke liye hai. Fed ko ab zyada fikar job losses ko avoid karne ki hai kyun ke inflationary pressures ke wapas 2% target ke qareeb ane ka izafa hota ja raha hai. Is wajah se US labor market statistics ki ahmiyat bhi kafi barh gayi hai.

GBP/USD Exchange Rate

Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ki price behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Pehle mujhe laga tha ke U.S. inflation data shayad Thursday ko aaye, magar ab humein intezaar karna hoga. Mera maanna hai ke UK GDP ka data zyada market ke liye koi significance nahi rakhta — British currency ab dheere dheere market mein irrelevant hoti ja rahi hai. Agar aap traders ki GBP/USD mein ghatt-ti hui interest dekhein to yeh baat waazeh hoti hai, jab ke doosray instruments uski jagah le rahe hain. 31 saal baad, ab GBP/USD mein interest waqai kam ho gaya hai. Sab se zyada focus ab inflation par hoga. Agar data Wednesday ko release hota hai to Tuesday tayyari ka din ho sakta hai. Mera mashwara hoga ke Monday se delayed sell order ko zara ooper set karein, aur agar yeh trigger ho jaye, to GBP/USD ko 1.2719 target level tak girne ka intezaar karein. Is wave mein price is se neeche girne ka imkaan kam lagta hai.




Friday ki Positioning:
GBP/USD ke liye yeh U.S. dollar ke mazboot hone ka ek acha setup hai. Friday raat tak bears ne price ko neeche rakhne mein kaamyabi hasil ki aur din aur hafta dono low points par close hue. Yeh close yeh signal karta hai ke hum Monday ke open ke baad downward trend dekh sakte hain. Agar yeh 1.3085 ke local low ko break karte hain (khaaskar agar kuch hourly candles is level ke neeche close hoti hain), to yeh 1.2999 ke psychological level tak move ka ishara de sakta hai. Magar yeh market hai, aur unpredictability hamesha factor hoti hai. Ho sakta hai ke price dobara 31st figure tak push ho jaye, jisse agle move par shak ho jaye. Ideally, main seedha drop chahta hoon, magar market hamesha personal preferences ka khayal nahi rakhta. Mera immediate target ab bhi 1.2779 zone ke qareeb hai.