𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD Ka Technical Analysis

Assalam-o-Alaikum sab ko! Aap sab kaise hain? Umeed hai sab khairiyat se honge. Aaj pound ki keematein 1.2940 ke bullish level ko hit karne ki koshish kar rahi hain. Guzishta trading haftay mein sterling lagataar decline hota raha aur aglay local minimum 1.2667 tak pohonch gaya. Is point par price ko acha support mila, jis ne isay 1.2788 ke level ke neechay break karne ka moqa dia, decline ko roka, aur kuch losses ko cover karne mein madad di. Ab tak price apne target area tak nahi pohoncha, lekin is waqt bhi kaam kar raha hai. Filhal price chart super-trend red zone mein hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke sellers ka pressure abhi bhi qaim hai.

July mein US PPI ka mahana value 0.1% barh gaya, jo market expectations ke mutabiq hai, jab ke pechlay value 0.2% thi. Annual value bhi pichlay saal July mein 2.7% se gir kar 2.2% ho gaya, jo market expectations 2.3% se kam hai. Neeche diye gaye chart ko dekhein:

Pair abhi apne recent weekly low par hai. Key resistance zone ko test kiya gaya, aur price wahan hold karne mein kamyab raha, jo ke decline ke silsile ko barqaraar rakhta hai, aur ye downtrend ke mojoodgi ka ishara karta hai. Trend ko barqaraar rakhne ke liye, price ko jaldi se 1.2788 ke level ke neechay strengthen karna hoga, jahaan main resistance zone maujood hai. Agar retest ke baad yeh area se pullback hota hai, to price ko target area ke taraf decline karne ka moqa milega jo 1.2612 aur 1.2524 ke darmiyan hai.




Agar resistance overcome ho jata hai aur price 1.2857 ke reversal level ko break kar leta hai, to mojooda scenario cancel ho jaye ga.

GBP/USD Ka Hal:

Tuesday ko GBP/USD mein teen-quarter percent ka izafa dekha gaya. US PPI inflation ke soft hone ke natije mein dollar (Greenback) ki qeemat gir gayi. UK mein unemployment claims apne pandemic ke baad ke sab se baray level par pohonch gayi.

GBP/USD ne Tuesday ko do haftay ke high ko hit kiya, jab ye 1.2873 tak pohonch gaya jab market sentiment ne buy button ko daba diya. US Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation umeed se ziada thandi hui, jis se logon ne September mein Federal Reserve (Fed) se tezi se rate cuts ki umeed lagana shuru kar diya. Dusri taraf, UK mein unemployment claims ke multi-year high hone ke bawajood Cable traders ne isay nazarandaz kar diya.

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation ke figures Wednesday ko UK aur US dono taraf se aane wale hain. UK mein core CPI inflation umeed hai ke July mein 3.5% se thoda kam hoke 3.4% ho jayegi. US mein bhi markets is umeed mein hain ke inflation aur cool-down hoga, jahan core CPI forecast ke mutabiq 3.3% se gir kar 3.2% ho sakti hai.

Halan ke broad market mein Fed ke rate cuts ki umeed mein shift dekha gaya hai, UK ki employment situation buri tarah se girti nazar aa rahi hai. July ka Claimant Count Change 135K nayi unemployment benefits claimants ko darj karta hai, jo ke forecast 14.5K se lagbhag das guna zyada hai, aur pichlay mahine ke 32.3K se chaar guna ziada hai. Ye UK ki sab se badi unemployment claim print hai jab se 2020 mein pandemic ke doran mulk ka aksar hissa band ho gaya tha, aur Pound Sterling traders ab Friday ko aane wale UK GDP data ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jisme zyada fikar ka izhar kiya ja raha hai.

US PPI inflation July mein gir kar 2.2% YoY ho gayi, jo ke expected 2.3% se kam thi aur pichlay period ke revised 2.7% se aur bhi ziada gir gayi. Core PPI inflation bhi gir kar 2.4% ho gayi, jo forecast 2.7% se kam thi aur pichlay 3.0% ke figure se kafi kam thi. US inflation pressure ke lagatar kam hone ne US market session mein risk appetite ko barhawa diya, aur market bets ke mutabiq September mein Federal Reserve (Fed) se 50 basis point ke double-cut ka imkanaat 55% tak barh gaya hai, CME ke FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq.

GBP/USD ab recovery rally ko extend kar raha hai, jab ke pichlay hafte ke dauran 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) se technical bounce dekha gaya jo 1.2675 ke qareeb tha. Bulls abhi bhi technical charts mein control mein hain, lekin Cable ab tak 1.2900 ke handle ko recover nahi kar saka jo mid-July mein kho gaya tha.




Long-term trend ab bidders ke haq mein hai, jabke dollar ki kamzori Pound Sterling ko mazid barhawa de rahi hai, aur higher lows ka long-run technical pattern bullish momentum ko barhawa de raha hai.

GBP-USD Pair Ki Harkat

Is hafte ke aghaz mein buyers ki fauj ne price ko upar dhakailne ki koshish ki, jo ke bullish trend ki taraf movement ko barqaraar rakhne mein kamyab rahi. Pichlay hafte se jo bullish movement trading session mein dekhi gayi, wo yeh sabit karti hai ke GBP/USD currency pair mein buyers ab bhi mazboot dakhl rakhte hain. Aaj bearish pressure ka aik attempt to zarur hua, lekin decline ziada nahi tha. Buyers ne market mein is waqt jo izafa ho raha hai usay barqaraar rakha. Agar hum market ke mojooda price ko dekhein, to ye lagta hai ke candlestick aur bhi upar ja sakti hai, magar har waqt price girne ke potential se hoshiyaar rahna chahiye.

Candlestick ka position abhi bhi yellow Simple Moving Average 60 indicator ke upar hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke market abhi bhi strong bullish hai. Filhal price 1.2856 tak barh chuki hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator par Lime line 70 ke level tak pohonch chuki hai. Agar yeh izafa dosray buyers se positive response leta hai, to umeed hai ke price 1.2910 ke range tak phir se target karay gi. Agar hum is haftay ke market conditions dekhein jahan price abhi bhi upwards move kar rahi hai, to yeh buyers ke liye faidemand hai kyunke unhein ideal level par BUY entry ka mauqa mil sakta hai, jisse woh potential profit ko maximize kar sakte hain, jab ke bullish trend ka mazeed honay ka imkaan ab bhi hai.




Agar GBP-USD 1.290 ke area ko breach karne mein nakam hota hai, to mein ziada tar chance yeh hai ke dobara sell karun ga, aur ideal target wapis 1.2750 ka area hoga, jo ke kal raat ke bare izafay se pehle aik important position thi. Magar is ke liye zaroori hoga ke USD mein mazeed kamzori aaye taake yeh plan mukammal ho sakay.

GBP/USD Trading Ka Hal
14 August 2024

GBP/USD currency pair ne kal ke trading session mein kafi bullish movement dikhai. Is movement ka aik aham ishara EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke darmiyan crossover tha, jo bearish se bullish trend ka tabadla zahir karta hai. Is ke ilawa, pair ne 1.28123 ke aham resistance level ko break kiya, jo pehle price movement ki upper limit thi. Is breakout ka matlab yeh hai ke buying pressure itna ziada tha ke price ko us level se upar dhakel diya, aur ab yeh naya support ka kaam de sakta hai. Aise aham resistance levels ke breakout ke baad ziada tar strong movements hoti hain, jo ke is case mein bullish direction mein ho sakti hain.

Is waqt GBP/USD 1.287266 ke latest high ke qareeb stuck hai, aur correction ke signs dikhai dene lage hain. Price movement ka yeh correction ek natural process hai, jisme market recently broken support ya resistance levels ko retest karta hai, pehle ke woh apni main trend ke direction mein move kare. Is context mein, yeh correction aik moqa ho sakti hai market mein calculated risk ke sath entry karne ka. Trading strategies ke liye, ye behtar hoga ke mazeed correction ka intezaar kiya jaye aur dekha jaye ke price aham levels ke qareeb kis tarah behave karti hai. Agar price correct hoti hai aur aik higher low banati hai, to ziada chance hai ke yeh EMA 50 ya 1.28123 ke level ke qareeb hoga.




Aage chal kar, GBP/USD ka main focus yeh ho sakta hai ke dobara se 1.30 ke aham area tak pohoncha jaye. Lekin is tarah ki bari movement ke liye zaroori hai ke USD mein mazeed kamzori aaye. Main shayad dobara sell karne mein interested hoon, khas tor par sell limit ko 1.290 area ke qareeb lagane ke liye. Ya phir, agar GBP/USD pair dobara mid BB ke neechay penetrate karta hai, to mein dobara sell kar sakta hoon, chahe price aur mid BB ke darmiyan distance abhi door ho. SL ke liye shayad mein 1.295 ka faida uthaon ga aur TP ko 1.275 area mein chase karne ki koshish karoon ga, halan ke yeh is haftay ho sakta hai ya nahi, is par abhi kuch kehna mushkil hai.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis – 13 August 2024

GBP/USD ka 4-hour timeframe par kayi aham phases dekhnay ko miltay hain. Shuru mein ek significant uptrend tha, jahan price lagatar barh kar kareeb 1.2630 say 1.3045 tak gayi. Yeh dikhata hai ke pound sterling ne is duration mein US dollar ke muqable mein achi strength dikhayi.

Jab price peak par pohonchi, to chart mein ek trend reversal dekhne ko mila, aur price gir kar 1.2810 par stable ho gayi. Is ke baad price 1.2810 aur 1.2770 ke darmiyan aik narrow range mein chalti rahi, jo market mein uncertainty ya buyers aur sellers ke darmiyan balance ko show karta hai.

Agla phase ek ziada pronounced downtrend dikhata hai, jahan price gir kar 1.2650 tak pohonchi. Is level ko touch karne ke baad price phir se barhna shuru hui, aur is waqt 1.2770 ke kareeb hai, jo ke short-term trading mein resistance ka kaam kar rahi hai aur long-term view mein support ka.

Is analysis se main yeh nateeja nikaalta hoon ke GBP/USD is waqt recovery phase mein hai, lekin abhi bhi bearish pressure mein hai kyun ke medium-term trend abhi tak lower hai. Sabse qareebi resistance point 1.2810 par hai, aur agar yeh break ho jaye, to aage recovery ka signal mil sakta hai jo price ko 1.2895 ya us se bhi upar le ja sakti hai.

GBP/USD pair ne yellow daily pivot zone 1.2763 - 1.2774 ko chor kar green rectangle mein 161% resistance 1.2821 - 1.2833 ki taraf move karna shuru kar diya hai. Yahan se market waapis gir kar ek reasonable correction kar sakta hai, lekin is se pehle buyer ko kal ka highest price 1.2792 ko torhna hoga. Agar yeh fail hota hai, to green resistance 1.2821 tak pohonchnay ke chances kam ho jate hain, aur market neechay gir sakta hai, jisse bullish trend ka continuation ho sakta hai. Pichlay kuch dino mein GBP/USD market strong sellers ke control mein raha hai kyun ke Bank of England ki policies Federal Reserve ke muqable mein ziada dovish rahi hain.




H4 conditions par dekha jaye to price abhi bhi Blue EMA50 ke upar hai, is liye 1.2810 tak janay ka potential khula hai. Lekin technically dekha jaye to yeh increase sustainable lagta nahi hai, kyun ke 1.2800 ke upar ka resistance area pehlay bohot mushkil say achieve hua tha. Yeh strong fundamental support ke baghair mushkil hai, jaisay ke kal ka CPI data ya US monthly inflation ka result. Agar yeh expectations ke mutabiq nahi hota, to GBP/USD ke aur barhnay ke chances hain. Traders ko abhi short profit targets ko hi aim karna chahiye jab tak yeh bara news release nahi hoti.

GBP/USD Analysis – 13 August 2024

Market timeframe mein GBP/USD pair ka Monday ka session zyadatar buyers ke control mein raha, jinhon ne selling pressure ko roknay mein kaamyabi hasil ki aur price ko phir se bullish kar diya. Sellers ne koshish ki ke woh buyer support area 1.2744-1.2746 ko tor dein, lekin is mein nakam rahe. Is ke baad buyers ne market ko apne control mein le kar price ko phir se bullish kar diya.

Daily timeframe par Bollinger bands indicator ka use karte huay yeh dekha gaya hai ke price buyers ke control mein hai. Buyers ne price ko Lower Bollinger bands area se door rakhne mein kaafi acha kaam kiya hai, aur kal ke trading session ka ikhtitam bullish Doji candlestick ke sath kiya, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke GBP/USD pair ka market bullish momentum ke sath aage barhne wala hai. Agla target Middle Bollinger bands area ka hai jo ke price 1.2828-1.2830 ke qareeb hai. Yeh area seller supply resistance area bhi hai. Agar buyers Middle Bollinger bands area ko torne mein kaamyab hote hain, to price aur ziada barh kar Upper Bollinger bands area ka target karegi, jo ke price 1.2995-1.3000 ke darmiyan hai.

Tuesday ke Asian market session mein bhi buyers ka hi ghalba nazar aa raha hai. Buyers ziada activity show kar rahe hain jisse price ko bullish momentum ke sath seller's resistance area 1.2780-1.2783 tak le jane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar yeh resistance area tor diya jata hai, to price aglay target seller supply resistance area 1.2830-1.2833 tak barh sakti hai. Lekin agar yeh nakam hota hai, to seller ke paas price ko bearish momentum ke sath neeche dhakelnay ka moqa ho ga.




Nateeja:

- Sell Entry tab kiya ja sakta hai agar seller qareebi buyer support area 1.2746-1.2744 ko torne mein kaamyab hotay hain. TP target area 1.2728-1.2725 par rakha ja sakta hai.
- Buy Entry tab kiya ja sakta hai agar buyer qareebi seller resistance area 1.2780-1.2783 ko torne mein kaamyab hotay hain. TP target area 1.2830-1.2835 par rakha ja sakta hai.

GBP/USD Analysis Updates - 12 August 2024

Jaisa ke maine pehle kaha tha, GBP/USD ki current price condition support area ke aas-paas, yani 1.26683 par touch karke phir se barhna shuru ho gayi hai. Hum clearly dekh saktay hain ke kuch din pehle ek bullish candlestick form hui thi jiska lamba body tha. Yeh ek kaafi valid confirmation ho sakta hai ke buyer ka signal strong hai. Is liye, main aglay dino mein buy entry opportunities ko focus karunga, aur ziada chances hain ke target ko higher resistance level tak pursue kiya ja sakta hai. Clearer price action ko dekhne ke liye main chhoti timeframes par bhi mazeed analysis karunga.

Clear price action ko samajhnay ke liye H1 timeframe par analysis karna behtar hoga. Yahan maine ek moving average line install ki hai jo ke dynamic support aur resistance line ka kaam karti hai. Jab maine ghaur se dekha, to yeh samajh aya ke GBP/USD ki price condition moving average line ko touch kar chuki hai aur ab upar break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar yeh baad mein significant momentum ke sath upar break kar leti hai, to trend bullish ho sakta hai. Meri trading plan ke mutabiq, main pehle price ke neeche correct hone ka intezaar karunga, yaani pullback ka. Us ke baad main buy entry karunga is umeed ke sath ke GBP/USD price jaldi se higher resistance level tak pohonch sake.




Halaanke price increase kaafi valid confirmation ke sath aya hai, phir bhi main jaldi mein koi position lene ka faisla nahi karunga, kyun ke ho sakta hai ke ek correction phase ho, jo ke trend direction continue hone se pehle aata hai. Is liye, main ek acha moment dhundhunga taake risk ko wisely minimize kar saku. Isay asan banane ke liye, maine stochastic oscillator indicator ko bhi lagaya hai. Ghaur se dekhne ke baad, yeh lagta hai ke current condition overbought level par hai. Kyun ke mera target buy option hai, mujhe intezaar karna chahiye ke price pehle neeche bounce kare, kam az kam oversold level tak pohonch jaye, phir main buy order loon ga.

24-Hour View:

"Pichlay Jumay ko, GBP ne 1.2727 aur 1.2773 ke range mein trade kiya aur kuch khaas tabdeeli nahi hui (1.2756 par close hua, +0.04%). Halanke price action itna zyada nahi tha, lekin thora downward momentum zaroor bara hai. Aaj hum umeed karte hain ke GBP thora neeche ja sakta hai. Halka downward pressure ke bawajood, yeh decline support level 1.2710 ko break nahi kar payega. Ooper ki taraf, resistance levels 1.2780 aur 1.2800 par hain."

1-3 Weeks View:

"Hum ne pichlay mahine ke aakhri dino mein GBP par negative stance li thi (chart mein annotations dekhein). Jab GBP 1.2674 tak gir gaya, toh hamari aakhri report mein (07 August, spot 1.2690 par) hum ne kaha tha ke 'rejuvenated momentum yeh dikhata hai ke downside ka risk abhi bhi barqarar hai, aur nazar rakhne wali levels 1.2645 aur 1.2610 hain.' GBP phir 1.2665 tak gira lekin phir strongly rebound kar ke pichlay Jumay ko 1.2773 tak pohonch gaya. Halanke hamara 'strong resistance' level 1.2780 abhi tak breach nahi hua, lekin downward momentum kaafi kam ho gaya hai, aur GBP ke 1.2665 ke neeche girnay ke chances ab kam hain. Dusri taraf dekha jaye, agar GBP 1.2780 ko breach karta hai, to yeh consolidation phase mein daakhil honay ka signal ho ga."

Technical Analysis:

GBP/USD ka current level 1.2760 ke aas-paas hai aur do din ka advance rok chuka hai, jab ke yeh descending channel mein consolidation phase mein hai, jo ke bearish bias ko dikhata hai.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator bearish momentum ko dikhata hai, kyun ke MACD line signal line aur centerline ke neeche hai. Is ke ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 50 level ke neeche hai, jo bearish outlook ko mazid mazbooti deta hai.

Resistance ke liye, nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ka immediate barrier 1.2767 ke level par hai, aur uske baad upper boundary 1.2800 ke aas-paas hai. Agar price is level ke ooper break karta hai, to GBP/USD yearly peak 1.3044 (17 July ka high) tak ja sakta hai.




Downside par, GBP/USD key support ko descending channel ke lower edge ke aas-paas, yani 1.2650 par test kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to downward pressure barh sakta hai, aur pair ko June ke level 1.2615 ke throwback support tak le ja sakta hai.

GBP/USD Analysis:

Currency pair steady rahe kar trade kar raha hai, Monday ke Asian session mein abhi 1.2758 ke qareeb hai. Yeh upward movement broader ascending channel pattern ke sath align karti hai, jo ke bullish outlook ko suggest karti hai. Market participants ko umeed hai ke 1.2800 level ka test aane wala hai, kyunki positive momentum continue kar raha hai.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

GBP/USD ne apne major counterparts ke muqable mein khaas strength dikhayi hai, jo ke UK mein recent political developments ka nateeja hai. Keir Starmer ki Labour Party ki Rishi Sunak ki Conservative Party ke muqable mein decisive electoral victory ne political stability ka ehsaas diya hai, jo ke British economy ke liye investor sentiment ko positively impact kar raha hai aur Pound ki value ko barhawa de raha hai.

Pound ki strength ko barhane mein ek aur factor Bank of England (BoE) ke interest rate decisions ki current uncertainty hai. BoE ke policymaker Jonathan Haskel ke hawkish comments ne future rate cuts ke hawale se speculations ko barhawa diya hai. Haskel, jo ke ek known hawk hain, ne August ke liye kisi bhi rate cut ke khilaf apna resistance zahir kiya hai, jo ke labor market mein persistent inflationary pressures aur robust wage growth ki wajah se hai. Unhone kaha, "Main rates ko tab tak hold karunga jab tak yeh clear nahi hota ke underlying inflationary pressures sustainably kam ho gayi hain," Reuters ke mutabiq.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Technical terms mein, pair 1.2800 mark ke aas-paas resistance ka samna kar raha hai. Agar yeh resistance successfully breach hota hai, to pair ko ascending channel ke upper boundary ko test karne ka moqa mil sakta hai, jo ke 1.2830 level ke aas-paas ho sakta hai. Yeh technical outlook pair ke ongoing bullish momentum aur aage ke gains ki potential ko highlight karta hai.




Additional Indicators:

14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi 70 level ke neeche hai. Yeh position prevailing bullish trend ko confirm karti hai aur overbought conditions ko bhi indicate karti hai. Agar RSI 70 threshold ke upar jata hai, to yeh market ke overextended hone ka signal ho sakta hai, jo ke caution aur price correction ke possibility ko darshata hai.

GBP/USD Price Studies

Hum GBP/USD currency pair ke pricing movements ka live analysis kar rahe hain. Mere pichlay analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ne 1.2729 ke aas-paas temporarily stall kiya, aur targets 1.2829 par rahe. Momentum thoda kam tha, lekin technical indicators ko strictly follow karna zaroori hai, chahe market mein emotions ka koi asar ho. Har din naye mauqe laata hai, aur Friday ke close ke baad GBP/USD mein continued growth ke signs nazar aa rahe hain. Local maximum achieve kiya gaya aur buying volume barh gaya, jo ke Monday ke market action ke liye ek strong base banata hai. Agla step 1.2779 level ko break karna hai, jo ke shayad 1.2799 tak reach kar sakta hai, aur buying ke liye primary target 1.2859 hai. Lekin is level tak pohonchne ke baad, market ka dobara assessment zaroori hoga. Main initially 1.2759 level se sell karne ka plan bana raha tha, lekin mauqa nahi mila. Optimal buying range 1.2759 ke qareeb hai lekin 1.2729 ke upar, with targets at 1.2799 aur 1.2859.




Additional Analysis:

Agar price 1.2729 tak girti hai, to buy trades ko dobara consider karna ya completely stop kar dena chahiye. Pound-Dollar (GBP/USD) pair trading week ko local growth ke signs ke sath khatam karta hai. Haftay ke end par, GBP/USD exchange rate Forex par 1.2764 tha. Moving averages bearish trend ko indicate karte hain, kyunki prices 1.2809 ke neeche trade kar rahi hain, jo ongoing seller pressure aur decline ki continuation ka signal hai. Agle haftay mein, British Pound ka US Dollar ke against rally attempt karne ka potential hai, jo ke resistance 1.2809 ke qareeb test karega. Is level tak pohonchne ke baad, pair shayad pull back karega aur US Dollar ke against decline resume karega. Is decline ka forecasted target 1.2659 ke aas-paas hai.

GBP/USD Prices Analysis

Abhi GBP/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ko assess kiya ja raha hai. Monday ko Asia mein trading 1.2762 aur 1.2739 ke beech flat range mein hogi. Ek chhoti si entry sales zone mein ban rahi hai jo 1.2794 aur 1.2762 ke beech ho sakti hai. Direction ko bilkul surety ke sath predict karna mushkil hai, lekin mujhe declines ki potential nazar aati hai, aur kuch subtle indications is expectation ko support kar rahi hain—agar dollar par sustained pressure na ho, to bearish movement plausible lagti hai. Current growth suggest karti hai ke minimum rise 1.279 ke aas-paas tak ho sakti hai, jo shayad 1.2849 tak reach kar sakti hai. Lekin, 1.279-1.2809 ya 1.2839 levels ke upar position secure na karna behtar hoga, kyunki in levels ko break karne se ascending channel mein wapas jane ka signal mil sakta hai, jo ke further growth ke chances ko significantly barha sakta hai. Lekin, yeh growth sirf ek corrective movement bhi ho sakti hai.




Additional Insights:

1.2849 ek viable point hai unke liye jo selling consider kar rahe hain, aur 1.2819 tak ki retreat ek favorable opportunity hai. 1.249 ka target sirf ek ambitious desire nahi hai; pair pehle 1.259-1.2608 ke liye aim kar sakta hai, aur agar breach hota hai, to kam se kam 1.229 tak decline ho sakta hai. Yeh scenario potential rakhta hai, khaaskar agar Bank of England rate reductions continue karti hai jaise Federal Reserve. Lekin, U.S. economy ki better condition ek robust safety margin offer karti hai. Aage dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke August mein current contract level 1.2629 ke neeche decline ho sakta hai, jo shayad decline ka 75% tak correct ho sakta hai, aur growth 1.2849 tak pohnch sakti hai bina expected trajectory ko change kiye. Yeh scenario daily chart par bearish head and shoulders pattern mein manifest ho sakta hai. Agar Friday ko normal correction nahi hoti, to 1.2849 ki taraf tezi se rise ho sakti hai. Short-term benchmarks Monday ko growth resume karne par 1.2811-1.2836 range tak pohnch sakte hain.

GBP/USD Analysis:

Friday ke American session ke doran, GBP/USD pair ne 1.2663 ke qareeb apne paanch hafte ke low se rebound kiya, jo ke iski overall strength ko reflect karta hai. Yeh recovery pair ki resilience ko highlight karti hai, jo ke market ki strong anticipation se fueled hai ke Federal Reserve (Fed) agle September meeting mein interest rate cuts announce kar sakti hai.

Federal Reserve ki Mutawaqqa Policy aur UK Economic Data:

Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell se expect kiya ja raha hai ke wo inflation par progress ko recognize karenge, lekin wo cautious rahenge aur rate cuts ke liye data-driven approach par zord denge. Powell shayad rate cuts ke liye kisi timeline ko specify na karein aur declining inflation ke sustained evidence ke bina kisi bhi move se bachne ki koshish karein. Wo US labor market ki moderating strength ke baare mein bhi concerns express kar sakte hain.

Is hafte UK ke economic data thode sparse hain, jisme key events mein Bank of England (BoE) ke policymakers ki Wednesday ko appearances aur Thursday ko industrial aur manufacturing activity surveys shamil hain. Analysts ko ummeed hai ke May ke liye UK Industrial aur Manufacturing Production mein rebound dekha jayega, jo April mein thodi contraction ke baad ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD ka Technical Analysis:

Pair ke recent bullish momentum ne isse 1.2800 mark ke upar ek supply zone mein push kiya hai, jo ke elevated levels par price action ko stretch kar raha hai. Ek potential pullback price ko 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb 1.2795 tak le ja sakta hai. Bulls ke liye challenge hoga ke woh four-hour charts par ek significantly higher low establish karein taake further declines se bacha ja sake.




Additional Insights:

Agar buyers 1.2800 level ko successfully defend kar lete hain, to yeh uptrend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai. Agle key resistance levels jo dekhne hain, woh hain July 8 ka high at 1.2844 aur June 12 ka peak at 1.2861. In levels ko clear karne se buyers ko year-to-date (YTD) high ke near 1.3043 tak target karne ka moqa mil sakta hai.

GBP/USD Pair Analysis:

GBP/USD pair recently 1.2730 level ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke broader market sentiment of caution ko reflect karta hai. Yeh cautious approach S&P 500 ke slight decrease mein bhi nazar aati hai, jo indicate karta hai ke investors significant risk lene se hesitant hain current economic uncertainties ke darmiyan. US dollar ne relatively narrow trading range maintain kiya hai, kyunki market participants Federal Reserve ke September mein interest rate cuts ke potential actions par focused hain.

Current Projections aur Market Focus:

Mujooda projections ke mutabiq, Fed ke 50 basis point reduction ka 56.5% chance hai, jo US dollar ko tight range mein rakhe hue hai. Investors US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July ke upcoming release par particularly attentive hain, kyunki yeh Fed ke future monetary policy actions ko determine karne mein critical role play karega. Agar CPI reading expected se zyada high hoti hai, to aggressive rate cuts ke chances kam ho sakte hain, jabke lower reading se significant easing measures ki likelihood barh sakti hai.

Pound Sterling aur Key Economic Indicators:

Pound Sterling ke liye, agle dinon mein key economic indicators ko closely monitor kiya jayega. UK employment data for July ke sath sath July CPI figures bhi Bank of England (BoE) ke potential interest rate decisions ke liye critical insights provide karenge. Agar employment data robust job growth dikhata hai aur CPI figures inflation ke rise ko indicate karti hain, to BoE ko inflationary pressures ko curb karne ke liye interest rates maintain ya increase karne par majboor ho sakta hai. Iske muqablay, weaker data dovish stance ko lead kar sakti hai, jisme BoE rate cuts ko consider kar sakta hai economy ko stimulate karne ke liye.




Trading Outlook:

Is environment mein, traders cautious rahenge aur US aur UK ke economic data releases ko dhyan se analyze karenge. Fed aur BoE ke decisions ka interplay GBP/USD pair ki direction ko near term mein significantly influence karega. Market ke current sentiment ko dekhte hue, economic data mein koi bhi surprises GBP/USD pair mein increased volatility laa sakte hain, jisse traders apni positions adjust karenge evolving monetary policy outlook ke mutabiq.

GBP/USD Analysis:

Aakhri American trading session ke doran, British Pound ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay 1.2770 ke upar trade kiya. Trading activity mein thoda slowdown dekha gaya, jab market participants Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke semi-annual Congressional testimony ke liye tayyar ho rahe the. Yeh event aane wale monetary policy decisions ke bare mein important insights provide kar sakta hai.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

Jerome Powell is hafte US Senate Banking Committee ko address karenge, jahan wo Federal Reserve ka latest semiannual Monetary Policy Report unveil karenge. Uske baad, wo Wednesday ko Congressional House Committee on Financial Services ke samne bhi aayenge. Yeh testimonies kaafi eagerly awaited hain, kyunki yeh market sentiment ko significantly impact kar sakti hain aur future monetary policy expectations ko shape kar sakti hain.

Fed ke policymaker Jonathan Haskel hamesha monetary policy ko tighten karne ke haq mein rahe hain. Lekin, Haskel ke stance ke contrasting, traders ka kehna hai ke Bank of England (BoE) August meeting ke baad interest rates ko kam karne lag sakti hai. Political front par, Pound Sterling apni strength ko barqarar rakhe hue hai, jo Keir Starmer ke under Labour Party ke majority se bolster hui hai, jisne UK economy mein political stability ka ehsaas dilaya hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Thursday ke late Asian session ke doran, Pound Sterling ne six-week low ke qareeb aakar kiya, 1.2670 ke niche chala gaya. GBP/USD pair currently daily timeframe par inverted Head and Shoulders (H&S) chart pattern bana raha hai, jiska neckline 1.2650 ke aas-paas hai. Is pattern se breakout bullish reversal ka signal de sakta hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko boost kar sakta hai.




Technical Indicators:

Technical indicators bullish trend ko suggest karte hain, jahan 20-day aur 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) 1.2847 aur 1.2775 ke qareeb hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi bullish range 60.00-80.00 mein aa gaya hai. Agar yeh range ke upar sustained move hota hai, to upward momentum reinforce ho sakta hai.

Is waqt ke market analysis ka focus GBP/USD currency pair ki performance par hai. Aaj British pound (GBP) ne US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein remarkable gains show kiye hain. Notably, price ne downward trend ko break kiya hai, aur steadily rise kar rahi hai bina kisi unexpected fluctuations ke, jo ek nayi upward trend ke start hone ki indication de rahi hai. Abhi tak set targets achieve nahi hue hain. Agar GBP/USD pair support level 1.2789 tak drop hota hai, jo ninety-ninth Fibonacci level ke mutabiq hai, to long positions consider karna advantageous ho sakta hai. Is scenario mein target 160th level hoga, jo 1.2869 par situated hai, aur hum uske verge par pohanchne wale hain.

Interesting baat yeh hai ke pound ki upward momentum pehle ki downward movement se zyada strong hai, jo kareeban chaar hafton tak rahe. Agar yeh momentum barqarar rehti hai, to price apne recent peak 1.3042 ko easily surpass kar sakti hai. GBP/USD pair daily aur hourly charts par wave-like patterns display kar raha hai, jisme ascending channel ke lower aur upper boundaries clearly break hui hain, jo areas of false breakouts create kar rahi hain. British pound ke fundamental strengthening aur US dollar ke weakening ke wajah se, pair 1.2841 level tak pohanch gaya hai, jo historically ek significant resistance zone hai.

Technical standpoint se dekha jaye, asset ne Bollinger Bands ke average line ko cross kar liya hai, jo upward trend ke barqarar rehne ka possibility hint kar raha hai, jese ke pair higher price area ki taraf move kar raha hai. Main expect karta hoon ke upward momentum continue karegi, aur possibly Bollinger Bands ke upper limit ke qareeb 29th figure level tak pohanch jayegi, agar resistance levels 1.2890 ya 1.2899 par milte hain aur price in points ke upar rehti hai.