𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Investors ke Nazar US Non-Farm Payrolls Report par:

Investors ab US non-farm payrolls report par nazar rakhe hue hain, jisse expected hai ke naukriyon ki creation mein slow down dikhai dega, jo Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki umeed ko barha sakta hai. Agar report ummed se kamzor hoti hai, to market optimism ko boost mil sakta hai, kyunki kam borrowing costs se investors ko faida hota hai. Forecasts ke mutabiq, June ke payrolls mein 272,000 se 190,000 tak girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jabke unemployment rate 4.0% par barqarar rehne ki umeed hai. Average hourly earnings ke slightly girne ka bhi andaza hai, annual growth 4.1% se 3.9% tak gir sakti hai. Is beech, GBP/USD pair ne resilience dikhai hai, 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) 1.2610 ke upar support milne ke baad modest recovery stage ki hai. Yeh recent failure ke baad aaya hai jo 1.2800 ke aas-paas resistance zone ko break nahi kar paya. Halankeh decisive directional movement ki kami hai, pair ne 1.2300 level ke upar banaye rakha hai, jo current trading range mein ek bottom ko indicate karta hai.

Technical Indicators:

Technical indicators GBP/USD ke liye cautious picture pesh karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bhi downtrend line aur key 50 level ke niche hai, jo bearish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi signal line aur zero line ke niche hai, jo weakening momentum ka ishara hai. Agar selling pressure barhta hai, to potential downside targets 1.2465 area ho sakte hain, jo recent trading range ke lower boundary 1.2300 ke thoda upar hai. Agar is level ke niche break hota hai, to 1.2820 ke aas-paas upper boundary ke retest ka darwaza khul sakta hai.

4-Hour Chart Analysis:

Pound ke 4-hour chart par trading ke end tak upper band ke qareeb aaya. Agar agle hafte upper band ko actively touch kiya jata hai, aur dono bands outward open hoti hain, to yeh price growth ke liye stronger signal ho sakta hai. Agar hum fractals ke zariye situation ko evaluate karein, to price July 3 ke fractal tak target pohoch gayi hai, aur phir bhi June 13 ke fractal tak upar chali gayi hai. Agar hum iske peeche consolidate kar lein, to agla target June 12 ke fractal par 1.28599 ho sakta hai. Nearest downward fractal abhi current price values se kaafi door hai, aur price growth ke direction mein kuch count karne ke liye, ek naya aur nazdeek fractal ka intezaar karna zaroori hai.




Additional Indicator Insights:

AO indicator abhi bhi positive area mein active increase bana raha hai, aur pehla peak kab form hoga, yeh abhi clear nahi hai, jo price growth ke continue hone ka ishara hai. Price decrease ke signals ke liye, active weakening ka intezaar karna zaroori hai.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

GBP/USD ne 1.2745 tak bounce back karne ke baad bullish trend ko continue kiya. Kal, UK session ke doran, pair ne 1.2765 ka level touch kiya. Maujooda dynamics ko dekhte hue, aaj growth continue hone ki umeed hai aur price 1.2735 ya 1.2770 tak ja sakti hai, lekin ismein thoda waqt lag sakta hai. Agar price 1.2670 par niche ki taraf reverses hoti hai, to downtrend bhi shuru ho sakta hai. Jab support level 1.2805 hota hai, tab bullish reversal ho sakta hai, aur agla target 1.2820 hoga. Ab dekhna hai ke kya hota hai.

H1 Time Frame for GBP/USD:

H1 time frame ke mutabiq, breach support milega aur next support levels 1.2710, 1.2745, aur 1.2765 honge, jo Pound Sterling ke against strong bearish movement ki warning dete hain. Sab se nazdeek resistance areas 1.2810, 1.2830, aur 1.2875 hain. Har bounce par, yeh pair top seller bana rehta hai, jab Britain ko European Union se bahar push karne ki baatein chal rahi hain, aur Fibo Network ke mutabiq, humein intraday support jaldi milna chahiye. Aaj 1.2760 ke niche jana mushkil hai, kyunki ab tak humne 1.2785 tak ki range dekhi hai.




Summary:

Aaj ke trading plan ke mutabiq, price 1.2745 ke range tak gir sakti hai, jahan hum cautiously buy karenge. Humari koshish yeh hogi ke price ko jaldi se 1.2840 tak le jayein. Agar sellers upar move karne se mana kar dete hain, to hum wahan nahi jayenge—sab ko trading mein success aur aage ke liye acchi profits ki dua.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

Hello sabko, main GBP/USD ka technical analysis karna pasand karta hoon aur hourly chart use karta hoon. Filhal, pound ka price 50 simple moving average se niche trade kar raha hai. Price ko 1.2815 ke upar banaye rakhna zaroori hai. Nayi girawat shuru ho gayi hai aur price 1.2695 ke support level ke niche settle ho gayi hai. 50 simple moving average aur 1.2760 abhi ke pound price ke niche hain. Price 1.2720 par niche trade kar rahi thi aur ab breakout karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Pichle kuch mahino mein, price Fibonacci retracement level 1.2750 se 1.2770 ke beech upar gayi hai. Hourly chart ne ek significant downtrend line ke upar break bhi dikhaya hai jahan resistance 1.2835 ke aas-paas hai. Dono resistance levels 50 simple moving average aur 1.2845 simple moving average hain. Bulls ko 1.2925 ke aas-paas significant resistance ka samna karna pad raha hai. Yeh price recent drop ke Fib retracement level ke kareeb hai, jo 1.2840 high se 1.2865 high tak ka hai. Agar resistance level 1.2830 clear hota hai to price upar ki taraf badh sakti hai. 1.2880 agla significant resistance hai, aur price shayad 1.2890 tak move kare. Jab tak suitable catalyst nahi milta, relative strength indicator hourly chart par mid range mein rahega. Initial support 1.2720 ke aas-paas hai. Agla significant support level 1.2740 ke aas-paas hai. Agar 1.2670 ka support break hota hai to zyada gains aur losses ki zaroorat ho sakti hai. Agar price 50 simple moving average ke niche candle close karti hai aur moving average ko reject karti hai, to market niche jaane ki sambhavnayein hain. Mere mutabiq, agar candle ki price 50 simple moving average ke upar close karti hai, to market upar ja sakta hai



.

GBP/USD ka jorha Friday ko girawat ka shikar raha aur din ke aakhir mein 1.2730 ke aas-paas band hua. Ye girawat market ki ehtiyaat ko reflect karti hai, jo S&P 500 ki halki kami se zahir hoti hai. US dollar ne ek paimane par trade range banaye rakhi hai, kyunki investors September mein Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par dhyan de rahe hain. Hal hi ki projections ke mutabiq, 50 basis points ki reduction ka 56.5% chance hai. US Consumer Price Index (CPI) ka July ka release Fed ke future monetary policy actions ko determine karne mein ahm hoga. Pound Sterling ke liye, UK ke employment data aur July CPI figures closely monitor kiye jayenge jo Bank of England ke potential interest rate decisions ko samajhne mein madad karenge.





Technical Analysis:

Technically, GBP/USD pair higher lows banata raha hai, jo upar ki taraf trend ka indication hai. Lekin, RSI indicator filhal 40 ke aas-paas hai, jo low buying interest ko darshata hai. Pair apne 200-day EMA ke paas trade kar raha hai, aur agar price recent low 1.2665 ke niche girti hai to aur girawat ka silsila shuru ho sakta hai, jo June ke low 1.2613 ya April ke high 1.2570 tak ja sakta hai. Iske muqablay mein, agar price August 6 ka high 1.2800 ke upar sustain karti hai to August 2 ka high 1.2840 aur significant resistance level 1.2900 ko target kiya ja sakta hai. Overall, Pound Sterling ko domestic aur global economic uncertainties se mushkilat ka samna hai. Jabke technical indicators potential upside ko darshate hain, pair downside risks ka shikar bhi ho sakta hai agar market sentiment kharab hota hai ya economic data disappointing hoti hai. Jab price bullish channel aur 1.2814 level ke upar nahi ja paayi, to concerns the ke price niche move karegi, jo ke current negative correction ka sabab bana. Kya 1.2670 support region bearish development ko rok sakta hai? Technically, price ke 20- aur 50-day SMAs ke niche girne ke bawajood, lagta hai ke bears is level ko breach kar sakte hain. Price decline ko RSI aur MACD bhi support kar rahe hain, jo bearish zone mein dheere dheere kam ho rahe hain.

• Senior MemInvestors ke Nazar US Non-Farm Payrolls Report par:
  
  Investors ab US non-farm payrolls report par nazar rakhe hue hain, jisse expected hai ke naukriyon ki creation mein slow down dikhai dega, jo Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki umeed ko barha sakta hai. Agar report ummed se kamzor hoti hai, to market optimism ko boost mil sakta hai, kyunki kam borrowing costs se investors ko faida hota hai. Forecasts ke mutabiq, June ke payrolls mein 272,000 se 190,000 tak girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jabke unemployment rate 4.0% par barqarar rehne ki umeed hai. Average hourly earnings ke slightly girne ka bhi andaza hai, annual growth 4.1% se 3.9% tak gir sakti hai. Is beech, GBP/USD pair ne resilience dikhai hai, 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) 1.2610 ke upar support milne ke baad modest recovery stage ki hai. Yeh recent failure ke baad aaya hai jo 1.2800 ke aas-paas resistance zone ko break nahi kar paya. Halankeh decisive directional movement ki kami hai, pair ne 1.2300 level ke upar banaye rakha hai, jo current trading range mein ek bottom ko indicate karta hai.
  
  Technical Indicators:
  
  Technical indicators GBP/USD ke liye cautious picture pesh karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bhi downtrend line aur key 50 level ke niche hai, jo bearish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi signal line aur zero line ke niche hai, jo weakening momentum ka ishara hai. Agar selling pressure barhta hai, to potential downside targets 1.2465 area ho sakte hain, jo recent trading range ke lower boundary 1.2300 ke thoda upar hai. Agar is level ke niche break hota hai, to 1.2820 ke aas-paas upper boundary ke retest ka darwaza khul sakta hai.
  
  4-Hour Chart Analysis:
  
  Pound ke 4-hour chart par trading ke end tak upper band ke qareeb aaya. Agar agle hafte upper band ko actively touch kiya jata hai, aur dono bands outward open hoti hain, to yeh price growth ke liye stronger signal ho sakta hai. Agar hum fractals ke zariye situation ko evaluate karein, to price July 3 ke fractal tak target pohoch gayi hai, aur phir bhi June 13 ke fractal tak upar chali gayi hai. Agar hum iske peeche consolidate kar lein, to agla target June 12 ke fractal par 1.28599 ho sakta hai. Nearest downward fractal abhi current price values se kaafi door hai, aur price growth ke direction mein kuch count karne ke liye, ek naya aur nazdeek fractal ka intezaar karna zaroori hai.
  
  [
  
  Additional Indicator Insights:
  
  AO indicator abhi bhi positive area mein active increase bana raha hai, aur pehla peak kab form hoga, yeh abhi clear nahi hai, jo price growth ke continue hone ka ishara hai. Price decrease ke signals ke liye, active weakening ka intezaar karna zaroori hai.
  

Senior MemInvestors ke Nazar US Non-Farm Payrolls Report par: Investors ab US non-farm payrolls report par nazar rakhe hue hain, jisse expected hai ke naukriyon ki creation mein slow down dikhai dega, jo Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki umeed ko barha sakta hai. Agar report ummed se kamzor hoti hai, to market optimism ko boost mil sakta hai, kyunki kam borrowing costs se investors ko faida hota hai. Forecasts ke mutabiq, June ke payrolls mein 272,000 se 190,000 tak girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai, jabke unemployment rate 4.0% par barqarar rehne ki umeed hai. Average hourly earnings ke slightly girne ka bhi andaza hai, annual growth 4.1% se 3.9% tak gir sakti hai. Is beech, GBP/USD pair ne resilience dikhai hai, 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) 1.2610 ke upar support milne ke baad modest recovery stage ki hai. Yeh recent failure ke baad aaya hai jo 1.2800 ke aas-paas resistance zone ko break nahi kar paya. Halankeh decisive directional movement ki kami hai, pair ne 1.2300 level ke upar banaye rakha hai, jo current trading range mein ek bottom ko indicate karta hai. Technical Indicators: Technical indicators GBP/USD ke liye cautious picture pesh karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) abhi bhi downtrend line aur key 50 level ke niche hai, jo bearish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi signal line aur zero line ke niche hai, jo weakening momentum ka ishara hai. Agar selling pressure barhta hai, to potential downside targets 1.2465 area ho sakte hain, jo recent trading range ke lower boundary 1.2300 ke thoda upar hai. Agar is level ke niche break hota hai, to 1.2820 ke aas-paas upper boundary ke retest ka darwaza khul sakta hai. 4-Hour Chart Analysis: Pound ke 4-hour chart par trading ke end tak upper band ke qareeb aaya. Agar agle hafte upper band ko actively touch kiya jata hai, aur dono bands outward open hoti hain, to yeh price growth ke liye stronger signal ho sakta hai. Agar hum fractals ke zariye situation ko evaluate karein, to price July 3 ke fractal tak target pohoch gayi hai, aur phir bhi June 13 ke fractal tak upar chali gayi hai. Agar hum iske peeche consolidate kar lein, to agla target June 12 ke fractal par 1.28599 ho sakta hai. Nearest downward fractal abhi current price values se kaafi door hai, aur price growth ke direction mein kuch count karne ke liye, ek naya aur nazdeek fractal ka intezaar karna zaroori hai. [ Additional Indicator Insights: AO indicator abhi bhi positive area mein active increase bana raha hai, aur pehla peak kab form hoga, yeh abhi clear nahi hai, jo price growth ke continue hone ka ishara hai. Price decrease ke signals ke liye, active weakening ka intezaar karna zaroori hai.

e Story in the Charts: GBP/USD

Aaj ka focus GBP/USD currency pair ke price movements ke analysis par hai. Aaj yeh pair ek tight range mein trade kar raha hai. Chart se pata chalta hai ke pair ne 1.2901 ka support level chhu liya hai aur abhi 1.2906 par hai. RSI apni range ke beech mein hai aur upward trend kar raha hai, jabki AO ek weak sell signal de raha hai. Pair kal ki range ke niche trade kar raha hai, jo suggest karta hai ke ek minor increase mumkin hai—market abhi bullish zone mein hai. Price 1.2941 ke resistance level ko test karega. Yeh analysis maujooda levels par ehtiyat se buying ki sifarish karta hai, aur target 1.2936 rakha gaya hai. Hum ek rebound dekh sakte hain 28th figure ki taraf thodi si dip ke baad. Yeh mumkin hai Stochastic indicator ke excessive decline ki wajah se, jo ke current price drop se match nahi karta.

Jab ek mazeed decline ka achha mauqa hai, humein buying shuru karne ke liye tayyar hona chahiye. Trend se zahir hota hai ke GBP/USD naye lower levels bana raha hai. 1.2896 ka mark pakarne ke liye kam ummeed hai, jo is level se ek mazeed decline ki taraf ishara karta hai. Main sifarish karta hoon ke iss point ke niche stabilization ka intazaar karein pehle, phir ek naye downward wave ki taraf dekhein. Yeh zone mein pohanchne par agle qadam zaahir ho jayenge. Ek drop 1.2764 tak bhi mumkin hai, jo bulls ke liye path mushkil bana deta hai. Isliye, 1.2821 ki taraf descent ki bhi possibility consider karni chahiye. Puri-buy position mein ghusna munasib nahi hoga, kyunke yeh prevailing trend se contradict karta hai aur ek problematic trading situation paida kar sakta hai.

Pichlay haftay ke expected se behtar data ke baad, market mein umeed hai ke aglay mahine tak aik interest rate hike ho sakta hai, jo ke Pound ko mazeed mazboot kar sakta hai. Daily chart par GBP/USD pair ne short-term moving average ko tor diya aur upar ki taraf move kiya, jahan technical indicators mein bhi izafa ho raha hai. Main MACD line upar ja rahi hai, aur red kinetic energy bar bhi upar shift ho gayi hai. Aaj ke din GBP/USD pair aik dilchasp setup pesh kar raha hai daily trading ke liye. Yeh pair kuch dino se aik compelling price pattern mein move kar raha hai. Apni wasee tajurbaat ke sath, mein yeh details share karta hoon taa ke aap sab is se faida utha saken.

Ab hamare paas do possible scenarios hain in events ke development ke liye. Pehla option yeh hai ke quotes resistance level tak pohonch jaayein, jo ke 50-period moving average se represent hota hai daily chart par, aur yeh level abhi 1.2680 par hai. Yeh scenario kaafi optimistic hai aur mere liye aik alternative hai. Iske ilawa, agar AO indicator zero line ke upar cross karta hai, to yeh aik buy signal ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai.

Yeh pair ab aik upward trend mein hai, kyun ke yeh iss mahine ke highest trading price ko break karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Lekin price ab tak iss mein kamiyab nahi hui, isliye ab bhi downward trend ya trend ke decline hone ka possibility mojood hai. Monthly pivot level ke upar, green line resistance level 1.2760 par extend ho rahi hai, jo ke upside potential ko represent kar rahi hai. Yeh ab aik reliable information source ban gaya hai. Guzishta chand mahino mein, red line monthly pivot level ke neeche extend hui hai aur support level 1.2540 tak pohonch gayi hai, jo ke decline hone ki possibility ko dikhata hai. Jab kabhi bhi price monthly pivot level ko break karta hai, to ispar bharosa kiya ja sakta hai.

Agar price pichlay mahine ke highest trading price ko break kare to aap buy order enter kar sakte hain. Aap is waqt bhi cost khareed sakte hain jab price pivot level ke neeche gir jaaye aur phir upar bounce back kare, jo ke aik upward trend form karta hai. Agar aap GBP/USD sell karna chahte hain, to price ko pehle monthly pivot level ke upar break karna hoga aur aglay din uske neeche close karna hoga.

GBP/USD pair ne recent trading sessions mein moving averages ke around 1.2570 mark par apni position ko establish kiya hai, jo ke ek strong uptrend ko indicate karta hai. Jab price critical moving averages ke upar rehne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to yeh traders aur investors ke beech bullish sentiment ka izhar hota hai. Lekin forex market bohot dynamic hai, aur trends bohot jald shift kar sakte hain. Agar GBP/USD pair mein koi downward correction hoti hai, to yeh zaroori hai ke potential support levels identify kiye jayein jahan price stabilize ho sakti hai ya phir apni course ko reverse kar sakti hai. Filhal analysts 1.2570 level ko bohot closely dekh rahe hain, kyun ke yeh recent trading sessions mein ek significant support aur resistance point raha hai.

Agar downward trend intensify hoti hai, to agla potential support level jo dekhne laayak hoga wo 1.2460 ke aas paas hoga. Support levels technical analysis mein bohot important hote hain, kyun ke yeh wo price points represent karte hain jahan historically currency pair mein buying interest dekhne ko milta hai, jo further declines ko rok sakta hai. 1.2460 level ek critical threshold ka kaam kar sakta hai un traders ke liye jo potential rebounds se faida uthane ke liye dekh rahe hain ya phir apne losses ko minimize karna chahte hain.

Market participants ko broader economic factors ko bhi consider karna chahiye jo GBP/USD pair ke movement ko influence kar sakte hain. In factors mein UK aur US se economic data releases shamil hain, jaise ke GDP growth rates, employment figures, aur central bank monetary policy decisions. Geopolitical developments aur market sentiment bhi pair ke movement par asar daal sakte hain.

Pound Sterling (GBP) ne chauthi week straight US Dollar (USD) ke against apni weakness ko barqarar rakha, jo ke GBP/USD pair ko six-week low par le aya, abhi 1.2600 ke upar. Sab ki nazrein UK general elections par hain jo ke July 4 ko honge, aur US Nonfarm Payrolls data jo July 5 ko release hoga, jo ke GBP/USD ko ek nayi directional impulse de sakta hai. GBP/USD ki Powell ke comments par reaction temporary ho sakti hai, kyun ke Wednesday ko aane wala ADP Employment Change report, ISM Services PMI, aur Federal Reserve ke June meeting ke minutes bhi bohot important hain. Do hafte pehle rising trendline support ko downside par break karne ke baad Pound Sterling ne apni bearish momentum ko maintain rakha. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) south ki taraf 50 ke neeche focus kar raha hai, jo ke ab 42 ke aas paas hai, aur yeh additional downside moves ke liye confidence provide kar raha hai.

Iske ilawa, pair ne 1.2645 ke critical support ko bhi penetrate kiya, jo ke 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) aur 100-day SMA ka convergence point hai, jo ke ek aur negative signal hai. Lekin Thursday ko 50-day SMA ke 100-day SMA ke upar cross hone se ek naya bullish crossover banta hai, jo ke dealers ke liye ek warning sign ho sakta hai. Downtrend ko regain karne ke liye, GBP/USD mein 15 May ke low 1.2584 ke neeche ek decisive break zaroori hai.

Agar aapne theek se predict kiya, to Friday ko market mein bohot significant movements dekhne ko milein, jo ke bohot se logon ke liye bade profits ka zariya ban sakti thi. Aaj jab hum American session mein enter kar rahe hain, to market phir se kaafi movement show kar raha hai, khaaskar gold pair mein, jo extremes ki taraf ja raha hai. Aise volatile market conditions mein ready rehna bohot zaroori hai, aur apni trading management ko tight rakhna bhi essential ho jata hai. Halanki recent bearish trend jo GBP-USD mein dekhne ko mil raha hai, candles se yeh zyada evident ho raha hai ke ek significant bearish trend hai. Yeh trend khaaskar weekly timeframe mein bohot clear hai, jabke daily timeframe mein bullish trend ab dikhai nahi de raha. Ab support levels bohot critical hain, kyun ke GBP-USD ka minor trend strongly bearish hai.

Weekly timeframe analysis ke mutabiq, maine dekha ke GBP-USD ne finally ek strong support level ko break kar diya hai. Iss week ke move ne horizontal line support level ko breach kiya hai ya phir abhi iske neeche hai. Future mein GBP-USD ka potential bearish hi nazar aa raha hai. Agar GBP-USD iss haftay ke candle ke horizontal line resistance level ke neeche break karta hai, to yeh likely hai ke yeh apni bearish trend ko breakout moment se continue karega. Weekly timeframe par bhi GBP-USD ne ek strong bearish trend show kiya hai, jo ke moving average (MA) ke neeche move kar raha hai. Ab ek correction logical lagti hai, lekin yeh pair Thursday aur Friday ke inertia ki wajah se girne ka silsila continue kar sakta hai. Monday ko UK ya US se koi critical macroeconomic data nahi aaya, siwaye construction sector ke business activity index ke, jo ke movement par koi khaas asar nahi daal saka. Iss wajah se market abhi bhi Bank of England aur Fed ke meetings ke results, US labor market, aur unemployment statistics se influenced hai. Ek ascending trendline ek downtrend ko indicate karti hai, halanki yeh zyada formal lagti hai.

Iss time, GBP-USD pair ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai, khaaskar agar aapko sell positions enter karni hain, kyun ke market mein abhi bhi kaafi bearish pressure hai. Aapko apne trading strategy ko adapt karna hoga in conditions ke mutabiq, aur careful risk management se apni positions ko secure karna hoga.

H4 period ke chart par agar GBP/USD currency pair ko dekha jaye, to yeh samajh mein aata hai ke kal market khulne ke baad se hi price mein upar ki taraf movement dekhne ko mili. Phir USA se kuch news aayi jiski wajah se price aur bhi zyada upar chali gayi, aur pichle growth wave ka maximum break kar diya. Lekin, price wahan par zyada dair tak nahi tik saki aur tezi se neeche ki taraf chal pari, jisse false breakout ka signal mila - yeh aksar decline ke liye ek indicator hota hai. Kyunki false breakout hua, isliye pichle growth wave ka update nahi ho raha, aur lagta hai ke wave structure abhi bhi descending hi rahega.

MACD indicator bhi bearish sentiment ko support kar raha hai, kyunki yeh oversold zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke neeche girta ja raha hai. Mere khayal se, decline ko continue karne ke liye kaafi factors hain. Mujhe lagta hai ke price dobara pichle growth wave ke minimum ko retest karne ki koshish karegi, ya doosre alfaz mein, last week ke minimum ko. Main apne analysis ke mutabiq yeh samajhta hoon ke chhoti timeframes par kaam karte hue, filhal priority sirf downward direction mein hi hai. Kal ke decline ke baad price yahan par stuck ho gayi hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke buyers apni positions ko accumulate kar rahe hain taake unhe neeche le jaa sakein, yani ke market mein kuch time bitane ke baad buy kar sakein.

Aaj ki news ke hawale se, 12:00 Moscow time par eurozone ka Consumer Price Index (CPI) release hoga, 16:30 par USA ke Federal Reserve System ke head Jerome Powell ka speech hoga, aur 17:00 par US labor market mein job openings ka data aayega. Agar objectively dekha jaye to mujhe koi aise reasons nazar nahi aate ke price yahan se upar jaaye, ho sakta hai ke upar chali bhi jaye, lekin buying zone ki zaroorat hogi, aur wo buying zone tab hoga jab significant breakthrough low ke neeche hoga, jo filhal last week ke minimum ke neeche hai.

Main yeh samajhta hoon ke price decline ka target wo area ho sakta hai jo 1.2566 ke level ke aas paas daily chart par candle closing prices ke basis par mark kiya gaya hai. Jab tak price is area ko test nahi karti, tab tak yeh unlikely hai ke price wapas upar ki taraf reversal kare.

02.07.2024

Is hafte ke aghaz se pound mein zyada tar growth dekhne ko mili hai. Kal, yeh ek achi impulsive move ke sath higher maximum ko renew kar chuka hai, jisse downtrend structure toot gaya aur puri scenario itni clear nahi rahi.

Maine yahan ek pattern mark kiya hai jo expansion jesa lagta hai. Is waqt hum confidently sales ke liye trade nahi kar sakte, lekin downside par H4 timeframe pe humein ek primary signal mil raha hai. Main is signal ka potential neeche ki taraf blue bar ke sath indicate kar raha hoon, jo 1.25855 ka target de raha hai. Doosri taraf, is tarah ka growth aur uptrend ka strong continuation H4 pe downtrend ke idea ko invalidate nahi karta, balki yeh northern retracement ko aur gehra bana sakta hai. Kal ke impulse ke baad, pound ek support level ke qareeb pohanch gaya tha, lekin ab tak usay update nahi kiya. Humein yahan sales ke sath bhi ehtiyat baratni chahiye, kyunki 1-2-3 pattern ke against trading aur downtrend structure ke breakdown se probability kam ho sakti hai.

Kya yeh false breakout tha ya nahi, yeh humein nahi pata. Filhal, purchases ke liye trade karna bhi munasib nahi hai; humein downside movement par zyada dhyan dena chahiye. H1 aur M15 timeframes pe humein sell ke signals mile the, dono takriban 1.26451 ke aas paas ke level se aaye. Pound filhal is level par hi hai. Main in signals ka potential neeche ki taraf 1.25855 mark ke sath grey bar ke zariye show kar raha hoon. Aapne theek kaha ke recent signals ke targets H1 aur M15 par bilkul H4 ke potential targets ke sath coincide kar rahe hain. Yeh hamare liye ek nishani ho sakta hai ke hum buying points ke bajaye selling opportunities ki talash karein.

Agar hum H1 timeframe pe puri downtrend idea pe Fibonacci retracement lagayein, to humein apne targets ka pata chal jata hai, aur stop-loss 1.27083 mark ke beyond place hota hai. Grid ki zarurat kyun hai? Taake hum entry point ka pata kar sakein jahan risk-to-reward ratio 1:3 ho. Yeh point 1.26788 ke level par hai. Dosray lafzon mein, agar hum sales mein enter karna chahte hain, to hum is level par pending sell limit order place kar sakte hain. Market wahan correct hoga ya nahi, iski guarantee nahi hai, lekin agar hum current level se sell karein to 1:1 ki bajaye humein ek favorable ratio mil sakta hai.

**GBP/USD**

Assalam o Alaikum!

Aapko ek achay din ki dua ke sath, GBP/USD currency pair ki current situation pe apka dhyan dena chahunga, jo ke H4 (four-hour) timeframe pe Bollinger indicator ke zariye support hoti hai. Abhi tak ke downward wave ke dauran, jo ke overall downtrend ka hissa hai, GBP/USD ke quotes ne 1.2630 pe support level ko chhoya hai aur yeh level todne mein mushkilat ka samna kar rahe hain.

Iske ilawa, bulls ne apni four-hour candle banaana shuru kar diya hai, jab ke stochastic indicator oversold area mein dakhil ho gaya hai, jo ke kuch intraday growth ko trigger kar sakta hai.

Lekin, meri rai mein abhi tak bears apne targets ko is downward wave mein achieve nahi kar paye hain, aur main expect karta hoon ke yeh pair wapas se decline karega aur 1.2610 ke current local minimum ko retest karega. Iske baad, round level 1.2600 ko test karne ke liye further drop dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

Magar yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke is se pehle, GBP/USD pair wapas se 26 figure ke beech tak retrace kare aur phir wahan se girawat shuru ho.

Yeh analysis sirf technical aspect par mabni hai, jab ke fundamental aspects ka is mein zikar nahi kiya gaya hai. Yeh baat wazeh hai ke fundamentals bhi apni perspectives ke sath situation ko influence kar sakte hain. Aaj, humein yeh pata chalega ke Eurozone mein inflation level kis tarah se change hui hai, jo ke US dollar ki strength par asar daalegi aur iss se GBP/USD pair bhi effect hoga.

Iske ilawa, 16:30 Moscow time par Federal Reserve ke head Jerome Powell ka speech bhi hai, jahan se humein Federal Reserve ke ainday monetary policy ke hawale se maloomat milegi, jo ke US dollar quotes ko influence karegi.

Baad mein, labor market mein job openings ke hawale se data bhi release hoga, to yeh tamaam factors zarur is currency pair ke technical movement mein dakhal andazi karenge.

**GBP/USD: Chart H1 Analysis**

Assalam o Alaikum!

GBP/USD ke H1 (hourly) chart pe nazar daali jaye to dekha ja sakta hai ke price ne apna trade opening level 1.26350 se shuru kiya aur phir gir kar H1 Sup C support level 1.26268 tak pohanchi. Yeh level tor kar price M30 Sup C support level 1.26222 tak pohanch gayi, jahan se yeh wapas uthi aur lagta hai ke yeh daily pivot ki taraf badhne lagi hai. Agar price H1 Res level 1.2637 ko tor sakti hai, to yeh daily pivot level FPV 1.26387 tak pohanch sakti hai. Aur agar price aur aage barh jati hai to iska agla target H4 Res C resistance level 1.26540 ho sakta hai. Yahan se price phir se neeche ki taraf ja sakti hai.

Agar price din ka low yLow 1.26116 tor deti hai, to yeh S3 support level 1.25810 tak gir sakti hai. Yeh support level D1 Sup C 1.26175 aur H4 Sup 1.26133 ke qareeb hai. In support levels ke neeche koi significant support level nahi hai, sirf S4 1.25453 pe hai. Agar price yeh support level tor deti hai aur kal ka low wapas jeet nahi sakti, to phir hum expect kar sakte hain ke price 1.25453 tak gir sakti hai, agar volatility sahi rahi.

Agar price daily pivot tor kar H4 Res C 1.26540 resistance level ko tor deti hai aur north mein High 1.26693 tak pohanchti hai, to uptrend ka target D1 resistance level Res 1.26815 ya resistance level R3 1.26964 ho sakta hai, jo ke 1.27000 level ke qareeb hai.

ZUP indicator ke mutabiq, agar bullish formation develop hoti hai to yeh values .786 * AB = CD ko le sakti hai. Bullish method price action ke liye acha ho sakta hai agar price 1.26169 ke neeche zyada nahi girti. Slow (50.10.25) aur 33.6 to 29.8 signal line upar jaane lagti hain. Strong momentum (5.3.3) ke values 28.7 aur 27.6 ke qareeb hain, yeh faisla karne wali jagah hai ke price sell zone mein jaye ya upar. Shaayad price 61.8 Fibonacci level 1.26515 tak pohanch jaye, jo ke H4 Res C 1.2654 resistance level ke qareeb hai, aur phir wapas gire aur upar diye gaye targets ki taraf badhe.

Technical indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) yeh suggest karte hain ke filhal sellers ka upper hand hai, aur yeh hint karte hain ke pound ke liye future mein losses ka potential ho sakta hai. Agar decline hota hai to pehla defense 1.2600 psychological level ho sakta hai. Agar yeh tor jata hai to next major support 200-day moving average 1.2555 pe hai, uske baad critical 1.2500 level hai. GBP/USD ko upar janay ke liye buyers ko 1.2700 level ko wapas jeetna hoga aur previous support trend line ko torna hoga, jo ab resistance ke qareeb 1.2730/40 pe hai. Agar decline continue karta hai to immediate support 1.2655 ke qareeb mil sakti hai, phir 1.2598 ke qareeb jo January aur March mein mazboot raha tha. Agar yeh level tor jata hai to price February low 1.2517 tak gir sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar GBP recent losses ko erase karne mein kamyab hota hai, to initial resistance 1.2816-1.2826 range mein mil sakta hai, jo recent peak aur December 2023 high se mark hai. Agar yeh area hold nahi hota to pair 1.2859 ke three-month highs tak wapas retreat kar sakta hai. Agar yeh level tor diya jata hai to phir yeh 2024 high 1.2892 ka test dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Good Afternoon!

Ek dafa phir buyers ko 1.27 level ke upar consolidate karne nahi diya gaya, sirf ek false breakout hi mumkin ho saka. Ab sellers ke paas acha moka hai ke wo ek active downward movement shuru kar sakein. Is ke liye unhein 1.26120 ke level ko torna aur uske upar consolidate karna hoga, aur agar wo yeh karne mein kamyab ho jate hain, to seedha raasta 1.25087 ke level ki taraf khul jata hai. Ab buyers ko sab kuch phir se shuru karna hoga, aur agar wo ab bhi kuch significant upward movement lana chahte hain, to unhein kal ke maximum level 1.27094 ko tor kar uske upar consolidate karna hoga. Agar wo yeh karne mein kamyab hote hain, to phir hum yeh umeed kar sakte hain ke price 1.27394 ke mark ki taraf move karegi.

**Pair GBP/USD M30 Analysis:**

1. Kal ek forecast di gayi thi ke Pound ko 1.26744 level se purchase karna chahiye, aur price ne is level ko tor diya aur pehla target 1.26866 par pohanch gaya.

2. Agar situation ko bands ke mutabiq dekha jaye, to price ne lower band ke sath chalne ki koshish ke baad wapas bands ke central area ki taraf ana shuru kar diya. Ek naya signal price ke girne ke liye milne ke liye, zaroori hai ke price lower band se actively bahar nikle, aur phir yeh evaluate karna hoga ke bands outward open hote hain ya nahi.

3. AO (Awesome Oscillator) indicator negative area mein green aur red columns alternate kar raha hai, aur price ke rise ya fall ka stronger signal milne ke liye, zaroori hai ke positive ya negative zone mein ek active increase ka intezar kiya jaye. Yeh humein price movement ke direction ke bare mein baat karne ki ijazat dega.

4. Sales ke liye entry point 1.26158 ke level par locate ho sakti hai. Price drop ko breakout aur consolidation ke baad 1.25659 aur 1.25110 tak expected kar sakte hain.

5. Purchases 1.26434 ke level se consider ki ja sakti hain, aur price growth ko 1.26744 aur 1.26866 ke levels tak expected kiya ja sakta hai.

Yeh analysis technical indicators aur recent price movements ke basis par hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke apni trading strategy ko iske sath adjust karte hue market ke behavior ka dhyan rakha jaye. Hamesha yaad rakhein ke market unpredictable ho sakti hai, aur apko apne risk management ke sath chalna chahiye.