𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

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GBP/USD Technical Analysis

GBP/USD pair ne 1.2745 pe bounce kiya aur bullish trend continue raha. Kal, UK session ke doran, pair ne 1.2765 ka level touch kiya. Aaj ki halat ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke growth continue rahegi aur price 1.2735 ya 1.2770 ke aas-paas ja sakti hai, lekin isme thoda waqt lag sakta hai. Agar price 1.2670 pe reverse hoti hai, toh downtrend dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jab support level 1.2805 ho. Agar yeh level achieve hota hai, toh bullish reversal ho sakti hai, aur next target 1.2820 hoga. Ab dekhte hain ke market kya direction leta hai.
H1 Time Frame Analysis


H1 time frame pe, GBP/USD ka pair breach hone ke liye support dikhata hai. Iske liye, next support levels 1.2710, 1.2745, aur 1.2765 hain. Yeh levels indicate karte hain ke Pound Sterling ke against stronger bearish movement ho sakta hai. Sabse nazdeek resistance areas 1.2810, 1.2830, aur 1.2875 hain. Har bounce ke sath, yeh pair ek top seller bana hua hai kyunki Britain ko European Union se bahar nikalne ke liye negotiations continue hain. Fibo Network ke mutabiq, hume jaldi intraday support milne ki ummeed hai. Aaj ke din, hume unlikely lagta hai ke price 1.2760 se neeche jayegi, kyunki ab tak humne 1.2785 ka range dekha hai.
Trading Strategy


Buy Strategy: Aaj, agar price 1.2745 ke range tak girti hai, toh cautiously buy karna chahiye. Yeh area ek achi buying opportunity provide kar sakta hai, aur hamari target price 1.2840 honi chahiye. Agar price 1.2745 pe support le leti hai aur upward movement dikhati hai, toh price level ko 1.2840 tak wapas le jana possible ho sakta hai.

Sell Strategy: Agar price 1.2745 ke niche girti hai aur 1.2670 ke paas support nahi milta, toh sell strategy employ ki ja sakti hai. Is situation mein, sell orders ko 1.2735-1.2730 ke zone mein place kiya ja sakta hai, aur target price 1.2675-1.2670 ke aas-paas honi chahiye. Agar price yeh level break kar deti hai, toh further decline expected hai aur next target 1.259-1.2608 ho sakta hai.
Market Outlook


GBP/USD pair ab ek critical juncture par hai, jahan buyers aur sellers dono control ke liye compete kar rahe hain. Key levels ko dekhte hue, resistance area 1.2810 ke aas-paas aur support area 1.2745 ke aas-paas hai. Agar price in levels ko break karti hai, toh yeh market ke next significant move ko dictate kar sakta hai. Traders ko chahiye ke woh price action ko closely monitor karein aur buy aur sell opportunities ke liye tayyar rahein.
Conclusion


GBP/USD pair ke current scenario ko dekhte hue, aaj ka trading plan yeh hai:

1. Buying Opportunities: Agar price 1.2745 tak girti hai, toh cautiously buy karna chahiye. Yeh area ek achi buying opportunity provide kar sakta hai aur price ko 1.2840 tak wapas le jana possible hai. Is situation mein, traders ko short-term movements ko dekhte hue entry points aur stop-loss levels decide karne chahiye.
2. Selling Opportunities: Agar price 1.2745 ke niche girti hai aur 1.2670 ke paas support nahi milta, toh sell strategy employ karna chahiye. Sell orders 1.2735-1.2730 ke zone mein place kiye ja sakte hain aur target price 1.2675-1.2670 ke aas-paas honi chahiye. Yeh strategy un situations ke liye hai jahan price lower levels ko test karti hai.

Aaj ke trading session ke liye, important hai ke traders market ke movements ko closely observe karein aur buy/sell decisions ko technical indicators aur market conditions ke hisaab se adjust karein. Best of luck to everyone for successful trading and good profits in the future.

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GBP/USD Technical Analysis and Market Outlook

Investors ab US non-farm payrolls report ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jisse job creation me dheema pan dikhai dene ki umeed hai. Agar report expectation se kam aati hai, toh yeh Federal Reserve ke rate cut ke expectations ko majboot kar sakti hai. Kam job creation se market me optimism barh sakti hai, kyunki kam borrowing costs investors ko faida deti hain. Forecasts ke mutabiq, June ke payrolls 272,000 se ghata kar 190,000 hone ki umeed hai, aur unemployment rate bhi 4.0% pe barqarar rehne ka andaza hai. Average hourly earnings bhi thodi kami dikhane ki umeed hai, annual growth 4.1% se ghata kar 3.9% hone ka tajwez hai.

Is waqt, GBP/USD pair ne resilience dikhai hai aur 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke 1.2610 ke upar support paane ke baad modest recovery dikhai hai. Yeh recovery tab aayi jab pair ne 1.2800 ke aas-paas resistance zone ko break nahi kiya. Halankeh decisive directional movement ki kami hai, pair ne 1.2300 level ke upar banaye rakha hai, jo ke trading range ke bottom ko indicate karta hai.
Technical Indicators Analysis


GBP/USD ke liye technical indicators caution ka signal de rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) downtrend line aur key 50 level ke neeche hai, jo bearish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi signal line aur zero line ke neeche positioned hai, jo momentum ke kamzor hone ko darshata hai. Agar selling pressure barhata hai, toh potential downside targets 1.2465 area ho sakte hain, jo recent trading range ke lower boundary 1.2300 ke upar hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh upper boundary ke retest ka possibility hai jo 1.2820 ke aas-paas hai.

4-hour chart pe pound ne trading ke end me upper band ke paas approach kiya. Agar agle hafte upper band ka active touch dekha jata hai, aur dono bands outward open hoti hain, toh yeh price growth ke liye stronger signal de sakta hai. Agar hum fractals ka evaluation karein, toh price ne July 3 fractal pe target achieve kiya, aur June 13 fractal tak bhi rise kiya. Agar hum iske peeche consolidate kar lete hain, toh agla target June 12 fractal 1.28599 ho sakta hai. Nearest downward fractal abhi current price values se kaafi door hai, aur price growth ke liye naya aur closer fractal ka intezaar karna zaroori hai.

Indicators and Signals

• AO Indicator: AO (Awesome Oscillator) indicator positive area me active increase dikhata hai, aur first peak kab banegi yeh abhi clear nahi hai. Yeh price growth ke continue hone ka indication de raha hai. Price decrease ke signals ke liye, active weakening to zero ka intezaar karna zaroori hai.

Trading Strategy and Outlook


Buy Strategy: Agar price 1.2745 ke range tak girti hai, toh cautiously buy karna chahiye. Yeh area buying ke liye achi opportunity provide kar sakta hai aur price ko 1.2840 tak le jana mumkin hai. Agar price 1.2745 pe support le leti hai aur upward movement dikhati hai, toh price level ko 1.2840 tak wapas le jana possible ho sakta hai.

Sell Strategy: Agar price 1.2745 ke niche girti hai aur 1.2670 ke paas support nahi milta, toh sell strategy employ ki ja sakti hai. Sell orders ko 1.2735-1.2730 ke zone mein place kiya ja sakta hai, aur target price 1.2675-1.2670 ke aas-paas honi chahiye. Agar price yeh level break kar deti hai, toh further decline ki umeed hai aur next target 1.259-1.2608 ho sakta hai.

Conclusion

GBP/USD pair ke current scenario ko dekhte hue, market ko closely observe karna zaroori hai. Technical indicators aur market conditions ke hisaab se trading decisions lena chahiye. Agar price key levels ko breach karti hai, toh yeh market ke agle significant move ko determine kar sakta hai. Traders ko short-term movements ko dekhte hue entry points aur stop-loss levels decide karne chahiye. Best of luck for successful trading aur achhe profits in the future.

area se trading shuru ki hai, jab ke price weekly level 1.2740 ke upar stabilize ho gayi thi, aur ascending price channels ke lower lines ke paas bhi thi.

Aaj ke trading advice ke mutabiq, abhi ke level se buying ka mauka focus mein rakhein aur stop loss level ko price channels ke niche set karen. Jab price channels ko break kar degi, tab selling ka bhi mauka milega. Selling ke liye, price ke channels ko break karne ke baad ek retest pattern ka intezar karna hoga, jahan price peak banaye aur channel lines ke sath ho. Iske baad sell karke 1.2691 level tak jana sahi rahega.

Economic side se, US dollar ka price gira hai, jab ek weekly survey ne US unemployment benefits ki seekh karne walon ki tadaad mein izafa zahir kiya. Lekin selling ki khwahish apne peak par pahunch gayi hai, jab ISM services sector survey ne activity mein ghazab ki rukawat dikhayi. Iske natije mein, GBP/USD price 1.2780 resistance level tak uchhal gayi, jo ke pichle do hafton ka sabse high level hai, phir Thursday ke trading ke shuruat par 1.2740 level ke aas-paas settle ho gayi. Yeh sab kuch American holiday aur British parliamentary elections ke intezar ke beech ho raha hai.

Economic calendar ke natije ke mutabiq, June mein US headline ISM Services PMI 48.8% par pahunch gaya, jo ke contraction ka ishara hai, May ke 53.8% se gira. Yeh decline expectations se kaafi zyada tha, kyun ke consensus 52.5% ke reading ka tha. Service companies American economy ka sabse bara sector hain. Markets is loss ke size ka reaction de rahe hain aur betting kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve September mein US interest rates cut kar sakti hai. Is response mein, US bond yields gira, dollar gir gaya, aur stock prices barh gayi.

Pound ke liye, hum ab ek interesting level par hain. Yahan par interests ki takraar ho sakti hai. H1 timeframe par sell signal hai, aur iski potential blue column se target 1.25855 tak mark kiya gaya hai. Market ne target level ko nahi pachha, lekin kaafi qareeb aaya. Main zyada favorable prices ka intezar kar raha tha, kyun ke stop-loss level 1.28588 ke upar hai. Kal 1.27687 level tak pahunch gaya, jo medium-term sellers ke liye enter karne ka level hai, risk-reward ratio 1 to 2 ke sath. 1.27946 level bhi chahiye, jo aur bhi advantageous sales ke liye hoga. Agle level par risk-reward ratio 1 to 3 tak pahuncha sakte hain. Lekin is structure ke sath decline dekhna kaafi unattractive lagta hai. Agar weekly timeframe par switch karein, to weekly candle par ek strong rise hai, lekin abhi tak consider nahi kiya ja sakta kyun ke week close nahi hui hai. Dono rise aur fall logically lagte hain, lekin rise ke liye H1 indicator signal trigger ho chuka hai aur further targets abhi tak visible nahi hain.

GBP/USD currency pair ka analysis karte hain. Guzishta trading week kaafi productive raha, aur mujhe lagta hai ke sabhi, chaahe wo sellers ho ya buyers, is se mutmain hone chahiye, kyunki price idhar udhar hoti rahi, aur har kisi ko apne points lene ka mauqa mila. Hafte ke pehle hissay mein, hum expectably neeche ki taraf gaye, kyunki 1.2810 par ek horizontal resistance level tha, aur is se do dafa sell karna mumkin tha, aur dono dafa profitable raha. Is se pehle ke price aur zyada neeche jaye, ek dafa is level ka retest hua. Phir hum neeche atak gaye aur doosre resistance level 1.2732 se dobara sell karne ka mauqa mila.
Buyers ke liye, MACD indicator par neeche bullish divergence form hui, jo kuch intezaar ke baad upward move kar gayi. Phir sab kuch technically aur khoobsoorti se hua - descending resistance line se bounce hua bilkul mirror level tak, jo ke decline ke edge par 1.2723 tha. Phir is level se upar ki taraf bounce hua. Aur in sab levels aur lines se bounce hua, market ne har jagah kuch dozen points diye. Yeh illustrate karta hai ke simply ek position open karna aur ek taraf ke breakthrough ka intezaar karna sahi tareeqa nahi hai.
Ab yahan uncertainty hai, price squeeze ho rahi hai. 1.2767 par resistance level aur upar se ek descending line form hui hai. Neeche se 1.2723 par support level hai. Aur pound ke liye yeh range kaafi chhoti hai. Yahan kuch karne ke liye kuch nahi hai, shayad yeh sirf future movement ke liye position accumulation zone ho sakta hai. Aur kis taraf enter karna hai, yeh sirf is range se breakout ke baad hi consider kiya ja sakta hai. General tor par, main zyada neeche dekhne ke haq mein hoon kyunki trend downward hai. Mera maan-na hai ke price target 1.2611 ke aas paas hai, jo ke daily downward wave ka minimum hai.



GBP/USD pair ki wave structure ab bhi decline suggest karti hai. Agar upward trend section 22 April ko shuru hua, to yeh already five-wave form mein aa gaya hai. Isliye, kisi bhi surat mein, ab humein kam se kam ek teen-wave correction ki ummeed karni chahiye. Triangle ka upper line ko break karne mein na success market ki downward waves ke formation ki readiness ko indicate karti hai. Mere khayal se, nazdeek future mein pair ko bechne ke liye consider karna chahiye jiska target 1.2627 mark ke aas-paas ho, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci ke barabar hai.
Badi wave scale par, wave picture transform ho chuki hai. Hum ab complex aur extended upward corrective structure ki formation ko assume kar sakte hain. Filhal, yeh ek teen-wave structure hai, lekin yeh ek five-wave structure mein transform ho sakta hai, jo ki complete hone mein kuch mahine ya usse bhi zyada lag sakte hain.

(GBP) ne Friday ke US trading session ke douran major currencies ke saamne, siwaye Yen ke, surprising resilience dikhayi, jo ke market expectations ko defy karta hai. Yeh positive shift us waqt aya jab British leadership mein tabdeeliyan aane ki umeed hai. Labour Party, jo Keir Starmer ke under hai, ne Thursday ko strong performance di, jo ke investor sentiment ko boost kar gaya. Aam tor par, ek single political party ki absolute jeet financial markets ke liye faidemand hoti hai. Investors yeh anticipate karte hain ke Labour Party ki jeet Pound ki attractiveness ko significantly barhade gi. Yeh optimism Pound ko three-week high par le gaya, jahan yeh 1.2800 tak pohoch gaya US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein.
GBP/USD pair ki technical analysis se mazeed positive signs nazar aate hain. Pound is waqt 1.2770 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke kareeb hai, aur strong 61.8% level 1.2670 ke upar hai. Is ke ilawa, 20-day moving average lagbhag 1.2695 ke aaspaas hai, jo recent upward trend ko mazeed support karta hai. Halanki Pound ka outlook promising lagta hai, magar kuch factors ko consider karna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo price momentum ko measure karta hai, ne recently 60 ke upar cross kiya hai. Agar yeh rise jari rehti hai, toh yeh positive hoga, magar agar is mein reversal aata hai, toh Pound wapas apne initial support level 1.2655 par aasakta hai.

Agar mazeed decline hota hai, toh Pound 1.2598 zone ki taraf push kar sakta hai, jo January aur March mein strong tha. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, toh ek steeper decline trigger ho sakta hai, jo ke possibly 1.2517 tak pohoch sakta hai, jo February mein dekha gaya tha. Dusri taraf, agar ek sustained rally hoti hai, toh Pound ko immediate resistance ka saamna 1.2816-1.2826 range mein hoga. Agar yeh hurdle overcome hota hai, toh Pound three-month high 1.2859 ki taraf surge kar sakta hai. Agar is area se upar breakout hota hai, toh Pound potentially 2024 ka peak achieve kar sakta hai.

Overall, recent strength jo Pound ne dikhayi hai, woh ek prolonged downtrend ke baad ayi hai. Magar short-term outlook is baat par depend karta hai ke kya Pound apni position crucial 50-day moving average ke upar maintain kar sakta hai ya nahi. Labour Party ki performance ne undoubtedly investor confidence ko boost kiya hai, lekin yeh sustained rally mein translate hota hai ya nahi, yeh dekhna baqi hai.

Hum traders abhi market ko analyze kar rahe hain taake aaj ke market ke liye apne trading plans ke mutabiq acha entry points dhoondh sakein. Bolang relaxed rehta hai jab wo post karta hai, aur is relaxed approach se wo har hafta consistent aur badhti hui bonuses kama raha hai. Magar, pichla hafta uske liye tough tha kyunke kuch floating losses uski market trading mein ho gaye the. Ab wo is hafta acha profit banana chahta hai taake wo withdrawal (WD) kar sake. Is wajah se, hum trend confirmation pattern ka wait kar rahe hain.

Hum jaise chhote traders ne 1.2645 pe buy kiya hai, aur kuch pehle ke buyers ne bhi is level pe entry ki thi jab price ne is level ko touch kiya tha. Unhone apne stop losses 1.2715 pe place kiye hain. Kuch traders jo zyada confident the, unhone apne stop losses is level se bhi neeche set kiye.

Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke market ka 80% market makers par mabni hota hai. Is scenario mein, market makers aam taur pe chhote traders ke against move karte hain taake liquidity le sakein, jo ke unke stop losses ko hit karke kiya jata hai. Hum dekh sakte hain ke market ne aisa kiya, jisne direction ko sideways se downtrend mein tabdeel kar diya.

Fundamentally, GBP/USD pair aur doosri pairs abhi bhi Ukraine mein chal rahi jang aur potential Fed rate hike ke concerns ki wajah se vulnerable hain. Yeh cheezein GBP/USD pairs ki movement ko further depress kar rahi hain. Iske ilawa, scheduled news ya fundamental events jo high impact rakhte hain, wo GBP/USD market pairs mein significant volatility cause kar sakte hain. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, Bolang ne identify kiya hai ke aaj kuch news releases ya low-impact fundamentals jaise JOLTS Opening aane wali hai. Agar results favorable hote hain, to yeh US dollar ko strengthen kar sakte hain, jo ke GBP/USD pair ko weaken kar dega.

GBP/USD Analysis: Strong Bearish Signals Indicate Further Decline

GBP/USD currency pair mera favourite trading pair hai kyunki ismein mujhe accha profit banane ke zyada chances milte hain. Abhi ke daur mein, price 1.2629 levels pe trade kar rahi hai. H4 chart pe, price ne 1.2689 sell level se break out karne ke baad strong bearish movement dikhayi hai. Is decline ne selling movements ko aur zyada strengthen kar diya hai. Main ne chart par stochastic indicator apply kiya hai, jo price ke selling movements ko confirm karta hai.

Price ka major aur current trend bearish hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke downward movement continue rehne wali hai. Iske ilawa, price ne 50 aur 100 Simple Moving Averages (SMA) ko cross kar liya hai, jo sell signal ko aur zyada support karta hai. Stochastic indicator khas taur par overbought ya oversold conditions ko identify karne mein madadgar hota hai. Iss case mein, yeh dikhata hai ke price ek strong sell zone mein hai, jo bearish trend ko confirm karta hai. 50 aur 100 SMA ka cross hona ek bearish crossover ko indicate karta hai, jo continued downtrend ka ek aur strong indicator hai.

Agar price apni selling movements continue karti hai, toh chart par agla target 1.2593 support level tak pohonch sakta hai. Yeh level bahut crucial hai kyunki yeh ek strong support zone ka kaam karta hai, aur is level tak pohonchna bearish trend ki strength ko confirm karega. Traders ko in indicators aur overall market sentiment par nazar rakhni chahiye. Stochastic indicator ke saath SMA crossovers, selling trend ka ek reliable confirmation provide karte hain. In technical signals ko monitor karke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur apni trading strategies ko enhance kar sakte hain.

Summary mein, GBP/USD currency pair strong sell signals dikhata hai jahan current price action aur technical indicators ek bearish trend ki taraf align kar rahe hain. Traders ko in factors ko consider karna chahiye aur potential downward movement ka faida uthane ke liye apne trades ko accordingly plan karna chahiye. Jaise hamesha, risk management aur proper analysis successful trading ke liye key hain.

USD currency pair ki movement par ek nazar daalte hain. Technically dekha jaye toh, is pair ki trend clearly bullish hai, kyunki price 50-period moving average ke ooper hai. Yeh bullish trend daily pivot point level 1.26893 ke ooper hone ki bhi wajah se support mil rahi hai. Is analytical data ke saath, aur doosre supporting factors ke saath mila kar, main yeh nateeja nikalta hoon ke is waqt behtar trading option hai buy karna, jahan tak ke target resistance levels one and two ke beech 1.2670 se 1.2693 ke range mein rakha ja sakta hai. Ummeed hai yeh analysis aapki madad karay. GBP/USD ki bullish trend mein kai technical indicators shamil hain. Sab se pehle toh 50-period moving average significant support level hai, jo yeh batata hai ke pair uptrend mein hai. Jab price is moving average ke ooper rehti hai, toh yeh strong buying interest aur sustained upward momentum ko indicate karta hai. Iske alawa, price jo daily pivot point 1.2653 ke ooper hai, yeh bhi bullish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. Pivot points potential support aur resistance levels determine karne mein crucial hote hain, aur jab price pivot ke ooper hoti hai, toh generally yeh trading day ke liye bullish outlook indicate karta hai. Maujooda market conditions aur technical indicators ko madde nazar rakhte hue, GBP/USD ko buy karna sab se prudent strategy lagta hai. Target ko 1.2739 se 1.2693 ke resistance levels par rakha ja sakta hai, jo clear profit potential offer karte hain. Yeh resistance levels recent price action aur historical data se derive kiye gaye hain, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke yeh logical points hain jahan price selling pressure encounter kar sakta hai. Lekin agar bullish momentum jaari rahe, toh yeh levels breach ho bhi sakte hain, jo higher prices tak le ja sakta hai. Traders ko in levels ko monitor karna aur apni strategies ko uss ke mutabiq adjust karna zaroori hai.
Is ke ilawa, market sentiment, economic data, aur geopolitical events jaise factors bhi GBP/USD pair ke movement par asar daal sakte hain. Maslan, US ya Japan se positive economic indicators pair ke bullish trend ko strengthen kar sakte hain. Isi tarah, geopolitical stability ya instability

GBPUSD ANALYSIS UPDATES
12 AUGUST 2024

Jaisa ke maine pehle kaha, GBPUSD ki current price condition lagta hai ke support area, jo ke 1.26683 ke qareeb hai, ko touch karne ke baad upar ki taraf bounce karna shuru ho gayi hai. Aur hum clearly dekh sakte hain ke kuch din pehle ek bullish candlestick jo ke lambi body wali thi, wo successfully formed hui thi. Yeh buyer's signal ka kaafi valid confirmation lagta hai, isliye future me mai buy entry opportunities dhoondne pe focus karunga, aur shayad target ko higher resistance level tak pursue karunga. Aur price action ko clearer dekhne ke liye, mai chhoti timeframe par bhi further analysis karunga.

Price action ko clearer dekhne ke liye, H1 timeframe par analysis karna behtar hai. Yahan maine ek moving average line install ki hai jo ke dynamic support aur resistance line ke taur par kaam karti hai. Jab maine dhyan se dekha, to yeh pata chala ke GBPUSD price condition ne moving average line ko touch kiya hai aur upar ki taraf break karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Agar yeh upar ki taraf significant momentum ke saath break karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to trend bullish ho sakti hai. Isliye trading plan ke liye mai price ke phir se neeche correction (pullback) ka wait karunga, uske baad buy entry karunga, ummeed hai ke GBPUSD price turant upar chale jaaye aur higher resistance level ko pakad le.

Halanki price increase ka confirmation kaafi valid hai, mai phir bhi position enter karne mein jaldi nahi karunga, kyunke pehle correction phase aane ki possibility ho sakti hai, phir actual trend direction continue hoga. Isliye mai ek acha moment ka wait karunga taake risk ko wisely minimize kar saku. Aur is process ko asaan banane ke liye, maine stochastic oscillator indicator install kiya hai. Jab maine ise gaur se dekha, to lagta hai ke current condition overbought level par hai. Kyunki mai buy option target kar raha hoon, mujhe price ke neeche bounce hone ka wait karna chahiye, kam se kam jab tak yeh oversold level tak na pohnch jaye, tab tak buy order nahi lunga.

GBPUSD OUTLOOK ANALYSIS:

GBPUSD H4 time frame chart par, yeh zahir ho gaya hai ke currency pair ab ek aham trend line ko chothi martaba test kar raha hai. Yeh trend line pehle ke instances mein support ka critical level ban chuki hai, jahan price action ne is se bounce kiya aur bullish trajectory barqarar rakhi. Lekin, is waqt trend line ka test uski strength aur longevity par sawal uthata hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke trend line is dafa hold na kare, jo breakdown ki taraf le ja sakta hai aur trend line ko adjust ya redraw karne ki zaroorat ho sakti hai taake market dynamics ko reflect kiya ja sake. Is complex situation ko add karte hue, GBPUSD hourly time frame par ek buy signal bhi emerge ho raha hai. Yeh signal yeh suggest karta hai ke market mein ab bhi kuch bullish pressure hai, aur potential upward targets 1.2789 tak identify kiye gaye hain. In dono technical factors—H4 trend line test aur hourly buy signal—ki convergence ek interesting scenario create karti hai traders ke liye. Yeh suggest karta hai ke jab ke H4 chart par trend line pressure mein hai, short term mein buyers ab bhi price ko upar push karne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Traders ko is trend line ke around market ke behavior ko closely watch karna hoga. Agar hourly chart par buy signal upward movement mein tabdeel hoti hai, toh yeh price ko H4 trend line se bounce karne mein madad de sakti hai, jo support level ko reinforce kar sakta hai. Lekin agar price upward momentum ko sustain nahi kar paati aur trend line ke neeche break kar jati hai, toh yeh bearish scenario ki taraf le ja sakta hai jahan trend line ko naye lower trajectory ko reflect karne ke liye update kiya ja sakta hai, aur market outlook ko zyada bearish stance mein shift kar sakta hai.

GBPUSD H1 time frame chart par, market ne strength ke nishan dikhaye hain, khaaskar jab candlestick patterns ke nazariye se dekha jaye. Price action mein largely buyers ka dominance raha hai, jiska saboot bullish candlesticks ki series hai jo steadily price ko upar le ja rahi hai. Is bullish narrative ka ek key development recent breakout hai 1.2700 zone ke upar, jo ek psychological aur technical level tha jo pehle significant resistance ka kaam kar raha tha. Yeh breakout ek strong indicator hai ke GBPUSD pair apni upward trajectory continue kar sakta hai. Aise pivotal level ko break karna aksar yeh signal deta hai ke bulls control mein hain, aur yeh further gains ke liye raasta kholta hai. Traders jo closely price action ko monitor karte hain, wo yeh samjhenge ke key resistance level jaise 1.2700 ka successful breach aam taur par additional buying interest ko attract karta hai, kyunki yeh bullish trend ki confirmation ke taur par dekha jata hai. In factors ko dekhte hue, GBPUSD pair ke H1 chart par agle phase ke liye prediction yeh hai ke yeh apni ascent continue karne ke liye likely hai. Bullish candlestick patterns, key 1.2700 level ke upar breakout, aur simple moving average aur stochastic indicators se supportive signals sab sustained upward momentum ki taraf ishaara karte hain. Lekin, traders ko vigilant rehna zaroori hai, kyunki markets unpredictable ho sakti hain, aur reversal ya weakening momentum ke kisi bhi nishan ko dekhna important hai.

GBP/USD Exchange Rate Analysis aur Forecast
GBP/USD exchange rate Tuesday ko 90 basis points se kam hua. GBP/USD pair ki wave structure kaafi complex aur ambiguous hai. Thode waqt ke liye, wave pattern kaafi convincing lag raha tha aur downward wave set ke formation ko suggest kar raha tha, jiska target 23 figure ke niche tha. Lekin, practically, US currency ki demand itni zyada barh gayi ke is scenario ko realize karna mushkil ho gaya.

Filhal, wave structure bilkul unreadable ho gaya hai. Main apni analysis mein simple structures ko use karne ki koshish karta hoon, kyunki complex structures mein bohot zyada nuances aur ambiguous moments hote hain. Abhi hum ek upward wave dekh rahe hain jo ek downward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai. Ye downward wave, apni baari mein, pehle ki upward wave ko overlap karti hai, jo ke pehle ki downward wave ko bhi overlap karti hai. Ek hi assumption banayi ja sakti hai ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai jiska upper point 30 figure ke aas-paas aur balancing line 26 figure ke aas-paas hai. Triangle ka upper line reach kiya gaya hai, aur is line ko break karne mein na success market ki downward waves ke formation ki readiness ko indicate karti hai. 1.2822 mark ko break karne mein na success, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci ke barabar hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke decline agle kuch waqt mein dobara shuru ho sakta hai.

Bank of England Pound ko neeche kheenchti rahegi. GBP/USD exchange rate Tuesday ko 90 basis points se kam hua. Movements ki amplitude chauthe consecutive din bhi achi rahi. Mujhe pair ka decline "balancing line" ki taraf dekh kar zyada khushi hui. Kyunki yeh line lagbhag 80-100 basis points door hai, chaliye dekhte hain ke kya scenario follow kar sakta hai.

Mere khayal se, pair ko kam se kam ek teen-wave corrective structure banana chahiye. Lekin, is structure ka pehla wave already substantial lag raha hai. Isliye, pound ka 1.26 level se kaafi niche girne ka potential hai. Main puri tarah se maan leta hoon ke teen-wave structure 1.23 level ya phir 1.21 level ke aas-paas khatam ho sakta hai. Main ne yeh targets pehle bhi mention kiye hain, lekin honestly, mujhe nahi laga tha ke pound June 12 ke baad rise karega.

Kal, US Dollar ko bhi news support mila. Kam logon ne ISM services index ko notice kiya, kyunki zyada log panic actions mein busy the, lekin ISM index expectation se behtar tha. Yeh ek positive report hai jo market aksar overlook karti hai, sirf recession ki confirmation wali data par focus karti hai. Lekin, US economy second quarter mein 2.8% se grow hui aur services sector mein business activity badh rahi hai. Mere khayal se, recession expectations bohot zyada exaggerated hain. Jaise Fed rate cut ki expectations bhi September mein, lekin yeh ab koi surprise nahi hai.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 18 September ko 50 basis point rate cut ki probability ab 76.5% hai, aur 25 basis point rate cut ki 23.5%. Market interest rate ko unchanged rakhne ka option bhi consider nahi kar rahi. GBP/USD pair ki wave structure ab bhi decline suggest karti hai. Agar upward trend section 22 April ko shuru hua, to yeh already five-wave form mein aa gaya hai. Isliye, kisi bhi surat mein, ab humein kam se kam ek teen-wave correction ki ummeed karni chahiye. Triangle ka upper line ko break karne mein na success market ki downward waves ke formation ki readiness ko indicate karti hai. Mere khayal se, nazdeek future mein pair ko bechne ke liye consider karna chahiye jiska target 1.2627 mark ke aas-paas ho, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci ke barabar hai.

Badi wave scale par, wave picture transform ho chuki hai. Hum ab complex aur extended upward corrective structure ki formation ko assume kar sakte hain. Filhal, yeh ek teen-wave structure hai, lekin yeh ek five-wave structure mein transform ho sakta hai, jo ki complete hone mein kuch mahine ya usse bhi zyada lag sakte hain.

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GBP/USD Market Pair Analysis on Daily Timeframe

Kal, Friday ke din, GBP/USD market pair ne bullish movement dikhayi, jahan buyers ne market par apna control barqarar rakha. Buyers ki dominating presence ne sellers ke pressure ko handle kiya, jo ke 1.2730-1.2735 ke buyer support area ko penetrate karne mein nakam rahe. Is ke natijay mein, price ya candle ne phir se bullish movement dikhayi.

Agar hum is movement ko Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ke zariye monitor karein, toh yeh saaf hai ke price abhi bhi buyers ke control mein hai. Buyers ne Lower Bollinger Bands ke area ke upar price ko maintain rakha, jo ke ek bullish signal hai. Buyers ne ek bullish Doji candlestick bhi banayi, jo yeh indicate karti hai ke market abhi bhi buyers ko support kar raha hai. Yeh support price ko Middle Bollinger Bands ke area ki taraf le ja sakti hai, jo ke 1.2835-1.2837 ke price area mein hai. Agar price is level ko successfully penetrate kar leti hai, toh market mein aur bhi bullish opportunity khul sakti hai, jiska agla target Upper Bollinger Bands area hoga.

Monday ko Asian market session mein trading ke dauran buyers ne apni bullish momentum ko barqarar rakha, aur price ko bullish direction mein le jane ki koshish ki. Unhone seller resistance area ko test kiya, jo ke 1.2760-1.2765 ke price level par hai. Agar buyers is area ko successfully penetrate kar lete hain, toh is se market mein ek aur strong bullish path khul sakta hai, jiska agla target 1.2775-1.2777 ke seller supply resistance area hoga.

Nateeja:
Sell Entry: Agar sellers nearest buyer support area ko 1.2745-1.2743 ke price level par successfully penetrate kar lete hain, toh sell entry ki ja sakti hai. Is case mein TP target area 1.2728-1.2725 hoga.
Buy Entry: Agar buyers nearest seller resistance area ko 1.2760-1.2765 ke price level par successfully penetrate kar lete hain, toh buy entry ki ja sakti hai. Is case mein TP target area 1.2775-1.2777 hoga.

Market abhi buyers ke favor mein hai, lekin dono taraf ki possibilities ko dekhte hue, trading decisions mein ihtiyaat baratni chahiye. Buyers ka focus ab agle resistance levels par hoga, jabke sellers support levels ko break karne ki koshish karenge. Is dauran, Bollinger Bands aur candlestick patterns par close monitoring zaroori hai. Trading strategy ko market ke current condition ke mutabiq adjust karna behtreen approach hogi

GBP/USD currency pair ne pichle din ki price movement mein lagbhag 125 pips ka increase dekha hai, jo ke significant hai. Yeh increase shayad raat ko release hue news ka asar ho sakta hai. Agle Monday ke liye, hume dekhna hoga ki kya yeh bullish momentum barqarar rahega aur pair further upar move karega, ya phir trend reversal dekhne ko milega. Is analysis ke liye, H1 chart ke support aur resistance levels ko observe karna zaroori hai.
(GBP/USD) ne pichle hafte bearish candle ke saath finish kiya, jo ke downtrend ke continuation ka signal de raha hai. Daily chart par, pair bearish Bollinger Bands channel ke consolidation zone mein dikhai de raha hai, jo bearish trend ko reinforce karta hai. Lekin, chhote time frames par kuch confusion hai.
Hourly Chart Analysis
Hourly chart par, indicators north direction ko indicate kar rahe hain, lekin buy signal abhi activate nahi hua aur yeh signal bearish candle par bana hai. Bollinger Bands channel bhi shift ho chuka hai, jo upward impulse ke end aur pullback ke start ka indication hai. Yeh pullback upper middle band ko test kar sakta hai, jisse pair apni initial positions ki taraf waapas aa sakta hai.
Four-Hour Chart Analysis
Four-hour chart par, indicators southern direction ko support karte hain. Pair ne middle Bollinger Band ko neeche se test kiya, lekin breakthrough nahi kar paya. Saath hi, ek bearish pin bar bana hai jo abhi activate nahi hua hai.
Trading Strategy for Monday
Bearish Outlook: Agar Monday ko breakout ya bounce ki direction clear hoti hai, to bearish trend ko follow karna zyada reasonable lagta hai. Four-hour chart aur hourly chart par bearish signals dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke south direction zyada plausible hai.

Daily TF reference par, main trend jo ab bhi bullish hai, uss se bearish correction movement condition dekhne ko mil rahi hai. Neeche ki taraf movement RBS area range 1.2706 mein rejection condition experience kar chuki hai aur ab Ma 50 (red) movement limit ko paar karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. Bulish koshish jo ab ho rahi hain lagta hai ke qareebi supply area limit 1.2828 mein abhi bhi rukawat ka samna kar rahi hain. Week ke session ke end par Dollar index ke kamzori ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke buyers ke paas apne bullish trend direction ko agle feed mein continue karne ka bohot chance hai. Purchase considerations tab tak liye ja sakte hain jab tak price apne zero area 1.2700 ke range mein girti nahi. Buy entry plan 1.2750-1.2770 ke range se consider kiya ja sakta hai. Is price level ke range se purchase target qareebi resistance area 1.2862 ko test karne ki koshish karna hai. Put options tab consider kiye ja sakte hain agar price 1.2700 level ke neeche girti hai, aur target crucial support area jo ke 1.2611 ke range mein hai, ko test karna hoga.

GBP/USD currency pair mein Thursday ko significant decline dekhi gayi, jab yeh US trading session ke dauran critical 1.2700 support level se neeche gir gaya. Yeh tezi se girawat July US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ke baad hui, jisne anticipated se kamzor inflationary pressures ka izhaar kiya. Annual headline aur core CPI figures mein girawat aayi, jahan annual rates 3% aur 3.3% tak gir gaye. Furthermore, monthly headline CPI unexpectedly 0.1% se contract hui, jo ke economists ke forecasts ko ghalat sabit karte hue steady increase ki bajaye contraction dikhati hai.

**GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:**

Ab tawajjo UK economic data par hai jo Thursday ko release hone wala hai. Ismein Monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) aur factory output figures shamil hain jo June ke liye hain. Economists yeh predict kar rahe hain ke GDP mein 0.2% expansion hoga jo April mein stagnation ke baad hoga. Iske ilawa, Industrial aur Manufacturing Production dono mein monthly aur annual basis par growth ki umeed hai recent declines ke baad.

GBP traders is waqt Bank of England (BoE) ke August rate cut ke imkanat par gaur kar rahe hain, halan ke BoE policymakers ne is haftay ehtiyaat ki hidayat di thi. Aanay wali UK Industrial Production figures is baat mein ahem kirdar ada karengi ke rate cut ke imkanat kitne mazid barh sakte hain, jahan forecasts yeh dikhate hain ke month-over-month growth 0.2% recover kar sakti hai jo pehle -0.9% ki decline thi.

**

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Technical analysis ke lehaz se, yeh pair 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke aas paas significant support dekh sakta hai jo ke 1.2775 level par hai. Agar yeh support breach hoti hai to selling pressure mein izafa ho sakta hai, jo pair ko descending channel ke lower boundary ke kareeb 1.2660 tak le ja sakta hai. Mazeed support 1.2611 throwback level ke kareeb locate kiya ja sakta hai.



Iske ilawa, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator short term mein bullish momentum dikhata hai. Yeh is baat se sabit hota hai ke MACD line centerline ke ooper hai aur positively diverge kar rahi hai.

GBP/USD market pair ne Friday ko bullish movement experience ki, jisse buyers ko faida hua aur unhone price ko successfully upar le jaane mein kamiyabi hasil ki. Sellers dobara se price ko neeche nahi le jaa sake, kyunke buyers ne 1.2733-1.2736 ke strong support area par qaboo banaye rakha, jis se price ek bearish trend se bounce back kar ke bullish trend mein chali gayi.

Agar hum daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ka istimaal karein, to yeh clear hai ke buyers market par control mein hain, aur price ko Lower Bollinger Bands area se upar rakha hua hai. Ek bullish candlestick market par dominate kar rahi hai, jo yeh indicate karti hai ke buyers agle hafte GBP/USD pair par apna control banaye rakhne ki sambhaavna hai. Agla bullish target Middle Bollinger Bands area ke aas paas 1.2845-1.2850 par hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to price mazeed upar ja sakti hai, Upper Bollinger Bands area ke aas paas 1.3036-1.3040 tak. GBP/USD pair ke hawale se sentiment ehtiyaat ke sath optimistic hai, jo ke mix technical aur fundamental factors se mutasir hai. Recent economic data UK aur US dono se traders ke perspective par asar dala hai, lekin pound ne kuch bearish pressures ke bawajood resilience dikhayi hai.

US Dollar Index (DXY) ka performance relatively subdued raha hai, jis se pound ko ground gain karne ka mauka mila. A weaker dollar ek aisi situation create karta hai jahan GBP/USD pair mazeed upar ja sakta hai, khaaskar agar market sentiment pound ke haq mein rehta hai.

Monday ke trading mein, yeh expect kiya ja raha hai ke price initial correction experience kar sakti hai. Sellers ne apni positions 1.2770-1.2768 ke resistance area par establish kar li hain, aur bearish target 1.2736-1.2733 ke support area ka test karna hai. Agar yeh support break hoti hai, to price mazeed neeche 1.2676-1.2673 ke support levels tak gir sakti hai. Magar agar yeh support hold kar leti hai, to price apni upward trajectory resume kar sakti hai.

**Sell Entry:** Agar price support area 1.2736-1.2733 ke neeche break karti hai, to sell position enter karein aur target rakhein 1.2676-1.2673.

**Buy Entry:** Agar price resistance area 1.2770-1.2775 ke upar break karti hai, to buy position enter karein aur target rakhein 1.2805-1.2810.