𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

### Zanii Trading Discussion

British Pound (GBP) ne US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf Friday ko achi rebound dikhai, jo ke investor confidence ke wapas aane ki wajah se hua. Yeh tab bhi tha jab US jobs report se mixed signals aaye. June ke nonfarm payrolls ka headline figure strong raha, jo expectations se zyada tha aur 206,000 naye jobs create kiye. Lekin, is positive data ko pehle ke mahine ke figures ki significant downward revision se temper kar diya gaya. May ke jobs number ko pehle 272,000 report kiya gaya tha, jo ab sirf 218,000 reh gaya hai. Wage growth bhi thoda dheema hua, jahan average hourly earnings forecasts se kam rahe. Year-on-year increase 3.9% aaya, jo pehle ke mahine ke 4.1% se kam hai. Iske ilawa, unemployment rate 4.1% tak barh gaya, jo December 2021 ke baad ka highest level hai aur 4.0% ke expectations se zyada hai. Investors ne jobs report ke weaker aspects par zyada focus kiya, jo Federal Reserve ke monetary policy ko loose karne ki ummeed ko indicate karte hain. Ek dovish Fed, jo interest rates ko cut karne ke liye zyada inclined hai, riskier assets jaise stocks aur currencies jaise Pound ke liye generally positive hota hai.

GBP/USD pair filhal bearish movements dikhata hai, jo key moving averages aur stochastic indicator ke rejection se confirm hota hai. Agla significant support level 1.2593 hai, aur iske niche break hone se further declines dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Iske baraks, agar price 1.2689 ke upar move karti hai to yeh bullish trend ke shift ka indication ho sakta hai. Traders ko in critical levels par nazar rakhni chahiye taake informed trading decisions liye ja sakein.

**Entry Points and Targets:**
1. 1.2610 level ek clear selling opportunity provide karta hai. Aap confidently pair ke potential decline ko navigate kar sakte hain agar stop loss ko 1.2650 ke upar set karein aur target ko lower red channel line ke upar rakhain. Sales opportunities tab arise hoti hain jab price current candle ke lowest price ke niche jati hai. Stop loss ko same candle ke highest price ke upar adjust karna chahiye, aur target weekly support level 1.2580 ke upar rakhna chahiye.

General observation ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ne week ke dauran kaafi achha kaam kiya, halankeh kuch obstacles aur short weekend days ka saamna bhi raha. Lekin nonfarm ke reaction thoda weak raha. Agar euro ke liye sab kuch usual ke according chal raha hai, to pound ke liye Britain ke elections ko zyada drive deni chahiye thi. Lekin, jo bhi ho, hum ab bhi northern direction mein work kar rahe hain according to the trend set on Wednesday.

Technical perspective se, pound ne 1.2812-1.2837 ke lazy target range ko reach kiya hai, aur ab naye purchases ke liye correction ki zaroorat hai 1.2787-1.2762 ke range tak. Yeh behtar hoga ke lower limit tak na jaye, kyunki nonfarm ke data ko check kiya gaya hai aur second visit auditors ke liye suspicious ho sakta hai.

Ab CPI data aane ka intezar hai aur agar Mr. Powell ek baar phir podium par aaye, to wage aur unemployment situation ko clarify karna behtar hoga. Filhal GBP/USD pair ne 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke upar support paaya aur modest recovery dikhayi hai, jab resistance zone 1.2800 ke paas break nahi hui. Pair ne 1.2300 level ke upar maintained kiya hai, jo ke current trading range mein ek floor suggest karta hai.

### Currency Market Analysis: GBP/USD

Currency market, khaaskar GBP/USD pair, ne Thursday ko kaafi cautious anticipation dikhai, kyunki UK election results aur US non-farm payrolls report Friday ke liye scheduled thi. US markets holiday ke liye closed thi, isliye trading activity subdued rahi, lekin data releases ke baad increased volatility ki umeed hai.

Investors US non-farm payrolls report ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, jo ke job creation me slowdown ka indication de sakti hai aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ki umeed ko reinforce kar sakti hai. Agar report weaker-than-expected hoti hai to market optimism barh sakta hai, kyunki lower borrowing costs investors ke liye beneficial hoti hain. Forecasts ke mutabiq, June ke payrolls numbers 272,000 se ghat kar 190,000 tak hone ki umeed hai, aur unemployment rate 4.0% par steady rahne ka expectation hai. Average hourly earnings bhi slight decrease show karne ki umeed hai, annual growth 3.9% tak girne ki forecast hai jo pehle 4.1% tha.

Is waqt GBP/USD pair ne resilience dikhayi hai, 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke upar 1.2610 par support paake modest recovery ki hai. Yeh uske baad hua jab pair ne 1.2800 ke aas-paas resistance zone ko breach nahi kiya. Halankeh decisive directional movement ki kami hai, pair ne 1.2300 level ke upar maintain kiya hai, jo ke current trading range mein ek floor suggest karta hai.

Technical indicators GBP/USD ke liye cautious picture present karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) apni downtrend line aur crucial 50 level ke neeche hai, jo bearish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi apni signal line aur zero line ke neeche positioned hai, jo weakening momentum ko signal karta hai. Agar selling pressure badhta hai to potential downside targets 1.2465 area tak ho sakte hain, jo recent trading range ke lower boundary 1.2300 ke upar hai. Agar is level ke neeche break hota hai to upper boundary ke 1.2820 ke aas-paas retest hone ki sambhavnayein hain.

Summary mein, GBP/USD market sentiment currently cautious optimism ke saath characterized hai, jab key economic data outcomes ka intezar ho raha hai. Recent price action stability suggest karti hai, lekin technical indicators potential downside risks ko imply karte hain agar US job data expectations ko meet nahi karti. Traders aur investors ko UK election results aur US jobs report ke developments par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo currency pair ke next moves ko shape karenge.

### Currency Market Analysis: GBP/USD

Currency market, khaaskar GBP/USD pair, ne Thursday ko cautious anticipation dikhayi, kyunki aaj UK election results aur Friday ko US non-farm payrolls report ke important events hain. US markets holiday ke liye closed thi, isliye trading activity subdued rahi, lekin data releases ke baad volatility barhne ki umeed hai.

Investors US non-farm payrolls report ko closely dekh rahe hain, jo ke job creation me slowdown ka indication de sakti hai, aur isse Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ki umeed barh sakti hai. Agar report weaker-than-expected hoti hai, to market optimism barh sakti hai, kyunki lower borrowing costs investors ke liye beneficial hoti hain. Forecasts ke mutabiq, June ke payrolls numbers 272,000 se ghat kar 190,000 tak hone ki umeed hai, aur unemployment rate 4.0% par steady rahne ka expectation hai. Average hourly earnings bhi slight decrease show karne ki umeed hai, annual growth 3.9% tak girne ka forecast hai jo pehle 4.1% tha.

Is waqt GBP/USD pair ne resilience dikhayi hai, 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke upar 1.2610 par support paake modest recovery ki hai. Yeh uske baad hua jab pair ne 1.2800 ke aas-paas resistance zone ko breach nahi kiya. Halankeh decisive directional movement ki kami hai, pair ne 1.2300 level ke upar maintain kiya hai, jo ke current trading range mein ek floor suggest karta hai.

Technical indicators GBP/USD ke liye cautious picture present karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) apni downtrend line aur crucial 50 level ke neeche hai, jo bearish momentum ko indicate karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi apni signal line aur zero line ke neeche positioned hai, jo weakening momentum ko signal karta hai. Agar selling pressure badhta hai to potential downside targets 1.2465 area tak ho sakte hain, jo recent trading range ke lower boundary 1.2300 ke upar hai. Agar is level ke neeche break hota hai to upper boundary ke 1.2820 ke aas-paas retest hone ki sambhavnayein hain.

Summary mein, GBP/USD market sentiment currently cautious optimism ke saath characterized hai, jab key economic data outcomes ka intezar ho raha hai. Recent price action stability suggest karti hai, lekin technical indicators potential downside risks ko imply karte hain agar US job data expectations ko meet nahi karti. Traders aur investors ko UK election results aur US jobs report ke developments par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo currency pair ke next moves ko shape karenge.

GBP/USD pair pichle paanch din se 1.2688 ke qareeb positive territory mein trade kar raha hai. USD index ne 106.00 barrier ke neeche break kiya hai, jo ke is pair ko support deta hai. Investors US June ADP employment change, ISM services PMI, aur FOMC minutes ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo Wednesday ko aayengi. 100-day aur 50-day SMAs 1.2640 par ek strong technical area banate hain. Agar ye level barqarar rahe, to sellers ki dilchaspi barkarar reh sakti hai. Downside par, 1.2600 (psychological level, static level) interim support ke tor par dekha ja sakta hai, jo ke 1.2580 (latest uptrend ka Fibonacci 50% retracement) aur 1.2520 (Fibonacci 61.8% retracement) se pehle hai.

1.2640 pehla resistance level banata hai. Agar daily close is level ke upar hota hai, to technical buyers attract ho sakte hain. 1.2700 (20-day SMA, psychological level) aur 1.2720 (Fibonacci 23.6% retracement) agle resistance levels ke tor par dekhe ja sakte hain. GBP/USD 1.2700 ke upar chala gaya aur US session mein Monday ko 20 June ke baad ka highest level touch kiya. Baad mein pair ne traction kho di aur 1.2650 par virtually unchanged raha. Tuesday ko pair ab bhi back foot par hai aur key technical level 1.2640 ke neeche trade kar raha hai.

Risk sentiment ka negative shift US dollar ko Tuesday ko demand dila raha hai aur GBP/USD ko rebound karne se rok raha hai. US stock index futures 0.3% se 0.5% ke beech neeche hain, jo mood ko reflect karta hai. Din ke dusre hissa mein, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ECB Forum on Central Banking par policy outlook discuss karenge. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq markets September mein Fed ke policy rates unchanged rehne ka 35 percent chance price kar rahe hain. Agar Powell inflation outlook ke behtar hone ka acknowledgment dete hain, to USD ko demand milne mein mushkil ho sakti hai. Dusri taraf, market positioning yeh suggest karti hai ke agar Powell September mein rate cut ke against market expectations ko pull back karte hain, to USD ko mazeed strength milne ki sambhavnayein hain.

GBP/USD pair ab bearish movements dikhata hai, jo key moving averages aur stochastic indicator se confirm hota hai. Agla significant support level 1.2593 hai, aur iske neeche break hone par further declines dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Conversely, 1.2689 ke upar move hone se bullish trend ki taraf shift ho sakta hai. Traders ko in critical levels ko monitor karna chahiye taake informed trading decisions le sakein.

1.2610 level selling opportunities ke liye clear entry point hai. Aap confidently pair ke potential decline ko navigate kar sakte hain by stop loss ko 1.2650 ke upar set karke aur lower red channel line ke upar target karke. Sales opportunities current candle ke 4-hour chart par lowest price ke neeche arise hoti hain. Stop loss ko same candle ke highest price ke upar adjust karna chahiye, aur target weekly support level 1.2580 ke upar set karna chahiye.

British Pound ne Friday ko US Dollar ke muqablay mein rebound kiya, jo ke investor confidence ke wapas aane se hua. Yeh rebound US jobs report se mixed signals ke bawajood aaya. June ke nonfarm payrolls ka headline figure kaafi strong tha, jo expectations se zyada 206,000 naye jobs add kiye. Lekin, is positive data ko pichle mahine ke figures ke significant downward revision ne thanda kar diya. May ke jobs number ko 272,000 se reduce karke sirf 218,000 kiya gaya. Wage growth bhi thandi hui, average hourly earnings forecasts se kam rahi. Saal-on-saal increase 3.9% tak aayi, jo pichle mahine ke 4.1% se kam hai. Iske ilawa, unemployment rate 4.1% tak barh gaya, jo December 2021 ke baad ka highest level hai. Yeh 4.0% ke expectations se zyada hai. Investors ne jobs report ke weaker aspects par zyada dhyan diya, jo ke Federal Reserve ke monetary policy ko loosen karne ke asaar samjha. Dovish Fed, jo ke interest rates ko cut karne ka zyada possibility rakhta hai, generally stocks aur currencies jaise Pound ke liye positive mana jata hai.

Ab market September 18th tak Fed rate cut ke 80% chance ko price kar rahi hai. Investors agle hafte Fed Chair Jerome Powell ke comments ko closely dekhne wale hain taake central bank ke intentions ke baare mein zyada clues mil sakein. Agle hafte US se key data releases bhi hain. Final Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation figures for June Thursday ko aayengi. Iske baad Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation data aur University of Michigan Consumer Confidence index agle Friday ko release hoga.

Technical side ko dekhte hue, GBP/USD pair 1.2655 par support face kar raha hai, jo June ka low hai. Agar is level ke neeche break hota hai, to pair 1.2620 ke one-month low tak gir sakta hai. Further weakness se 1.2598 level challenge ho sakta hai, jo January aur March mein strong tha. Upside par, agar positive sentiment barqarar rahe, to pair January ke resistance area 1.2771 ko dobara test kar sakta hai. Is zone ke upar breakout se 1.2816-1.2859 range tak testing ka raasta khul sakta hai, jo recent highs se define hui hai. Agar is resistance area se upar surge hota hai, to pair apni 2024 peak 1.2892 tak bhi wapas ja sakta hai.

Hello, aur aap ko bhi salam! Daily chart par ek surprising khubsurat weekly candle nazar aa rahi hai. GBP/USD bina kisi flashy movement ke barh raha tha, halankeh aksar aisa lagta tha ke girawat shuru hone wali hai. Humne ek reversal point hasil kiya hai jo trend ko construct karne ke liye ek control point banega, jo ke upward trend ke breakdown ko samajhne mein madadgar hoga (agar rise ki duration mein kuch nahi badalta). Asal mein, agar price Monday ko is level se turant girna shuru kar deti hai, ya thoda upar se girti hai, to yeh bahut accha hoga reversal samajhne ke liye. Kyunki tab upper extremes neeche jaane lagte hain aur yeh decline ke shuru hone ka achha sign hota hai. Lekin lagta hai yeh nahi hoga. Kyunki channel oscillators confidently upar dekh rahe hain, jo iska matlab hai ke rise continue hoga. Daily chart ke mutabiq, current trend se reversal ka koi hint nahi hai. Sirf ek ummed hai ke wahi rebound is baar bhi wahi high se hoga jahan se last time sharp rebound hua tha. Lekin hum ummed par trade nahi karte, balki probability par. Aur yeh ek thoda different plane se hai.

Mujhe lagta hai, aapki tarah, ke abhi hum upar ja rahe hain.

GBP/USD H-4

Thoda jaldi hai bechne ke liye, pair ko upar kheenchha ja raha hai, abhi tak koi decline ka signal nahi hai, bas aur zyada stretch ho raha hai. H4 par, bulls zigzag beam ko upar kheench rahe hain aur pair ko neeche jaane nahi de rahe. Aise lamba aur tense movement kabhi na kabhi khatam hoga, lekin yeh rollback agle hafte tak bhi postpone ho sakta hai. Aise one-sided growth ke saath, ascending channel bhi nahi banaya ja sakta - iske liye koi zigzags nahi hain. Lagta hai sab kuch agle hafte tak postpone ho raha hai.

2024 ka saal election ke hawale se kaafi acha sabit ho sakta hai, jahan duniya ki adha se zyada population polls mein ja rahi hai. Aaj ka agla marahil UK General Election ke results ka elan hai.

Results aam tor par ummed ke mutabiq rahe, jab pehli baar results release hue to market mein zyada volatility nahi dekhi gayi. Lekin, 14 saal Conservative rule ke baad, Labour ke priorities power mein kuch had tak tabdeel hongi.

Yeh pound ke liye acchi khabar ho sakti hai aur FTSE250 ke outstanding performance ki wajah se bhi, kyunki yeh zyada local market ko bias karta hai. Austerity Tory ka dominant theme tha, khas taur par financial crisis ke baad ke pehle dino mein. Labour ko zyada focus income distribution ko kam karne par dena chahiye, gareebon ke liye incentives aur ameeron ke liye zyada taxes ke zariye.

Aise halat pro-inflation risks ko janam dete hain, aur Bank of England ko inflation ko pehle se zyada high rakhne par majboor karna pad sakta hai.

Yeh pound ke liye bullish hai, jo 2007 ke peak se lekar September 2022 tak dollar ke muqablay mein apni value ka zyada hissa khota chuka hai. GBP/USD ne apne resistance ko is lambi downward trend ke dauran kuch mahino mein test kiya hai. UK domestic politics mein tabdeeli isko bullish ke liye catalyst ban sakti hai.

Technically, GBP/USD ka bullish bias tab confirm hoga jab 1.2850 ke upar consolidation hoga – is saal ke region aur pichle saal ke highs. Pound ko post-Brexit euro ke muqablay mein apni losses ko wapas pane ka bhi moka milega, kyunki EUR/GBP support jo 0.833 par ruk gaya tha (1.20 GBP/EUR par) se exchange rate wapas 0.71 (1.40 par) region tak aa sakta hai.

Jabke stronger pound major global companies ke FTSE100 valuations ko challenge kar sakta hai, pro-inflation sentiment aur higher spending se hone wale gains ki umeed hai ke FTSE250, jo local companies par dominate karta hai, ki position ko improve karenge.

Labour ke aane se housing recovery ke market prospects bhi badal gaye hain. Tezi se barhti hui house prices aur rebound sales aksar consumer spending patterns se closely linked hoti hain, jo broader economy ko tez karne mein madad karti hain.

GBP/USD ke saath winning trades ka tajziya karte hue, hum live currency pair ke pricing ko decode kar rahe hain. British Pound ne medium-term support line se rebound kiya, jahan price 1.2631 par pohnchi. Iske baad trend puri tarah reverse ho gaya, aur pair ab confident bullish growth dikha raha hai, jis par filhal trading ka mashwara nahi hai. Pair ne 1.2671 par ek mazboot horizontal resistance ko tod diya, jo buyers ki confidence ko barhawa diya aur aage chal kar 1.2739 tak ke weekly peak tak pahunchne ki sambhavnayein khol di. Ab tak is raaste mein koi bade rukawat nahi hain. Dollar ke sabhi currencies ke muqablay mein kamzor hone ke bawajood, main buying ya selling ko nahi dekh raha. GBP/USD currency pair ek uptrend mein hai, jo heavy moving average se confirm hota hai, jisse price baar-baar bounce karti hai. Filhal hum 1.2631 ke level par hain. Supply zone pichli trading session ke doran shayad yahi tha. Price yahan frequently bounce karti hai, lekin bullish rally ko continue karne ke liye 1.2661 par resistance todna zaroori hai.

Conversely, agar price 1.2691 ke upar growth aur candle close karti hai, to yeh pair ko 1.280 tak push kar sakti hai aur weekly triangle ke upper limit ko test kar sakti hai. Britain mein rate situation ajeeb hai. Halankeh inflation 2% tak gir gayi hai, Central Bank aise hi react kar raha hai jaise yeh nahi hui, jo upcoming elections aur sudden moves se bachne ke liye hai. Central Bank Conservative representatives se mil kar bana hua hai, isliye Labour Party ko advantage dene se gurez kiya ja raha hai. Yeh stance halat ko kharab kar sakti hai. Phir bhi, pound aaj bhi grow kar raha hai. GBP/USD ke upward aur downward movements ki potential hai, jo critical levels aur market reactions par depend karti hai. Traders ko 1.2701 aur 1.2691 levels ko dhyan se dekhna chahiye, kyunki yeh agle significant moves ko indicate karenge.

Hourly chart par GBP/USD abhi bhi downtrend banane ke promising signs dikha raha hai, lekin iska matlab yeh nahi ke pair upward trend nahi bana sakti. Recent weeks mein pair ne bohot saare sideways movements dekhe hain aur pehli significant support area 1.2605-1.2633 ko paar nahi kar paayi. British currency dobara upar aa rahi hai, lekin overall yeh erratic aur aksar illogical movements dikhati hai.

Aaj, is hafte ke aakhri trading din par, hum GBP/USD currency pair ka H4 chart dekhte hain. Wednesday ki trading ke dauran, is currency pair ne ek powerful upward movement ki shuruat ki aur technical picture bhi develop hoti gayi. Din ke dauran release hui news ne pound ki growth ko fuel kiya, US ke liye indicators kal ke forecasts se worse the, jisse markets ne price growth ko increase kiya. Yeh din ke dauran dekha gaya. Lekin, US dollar sirf pound ke muqablay mein nahi, balki market ke tamam spectrum ke muqablay mein kamzor ho gaya. Wave structure ne upar ki taraf order banana shuru kiya, MACD indicator upper purchase zone aur signal line ke upar grow kar raha hai. Kal ke tez growth ke baad, price ne choti si correctional rollback banayi, jo 1.2732 ke nearest support level tak gayi. Aur dheere dheere price ne is rollback ko kal aur aaj absorb kar liya. Agar aap pehli wave par target Fibonacci grid lagate hain, to aap dekh sakte hain ki price ne growth ke dauran minimum target level 161.8 ko kaam kiya. Yeh mumkin hai ke growth grid ke level 200 tak develop ho, lekin shayad yeh top se thoda sa bahar niklegi, aur phir decline ho sakti hai. Daily period par CCI indicator upper zone se turnaround ho raha hai, jo correction ke development ka hint deta hai. Level 1.2700 tak descend karna normal lagta hai, aur phir hum buying ya na buying ke baare mein soch sakte hain. Aaj 15:30 Moscow time par main news package release hoga: Average hourly earnings in the US, Change in the number of employed in the non-agricultural sector of the US, The share of the economically active population in the US, Change in the number of employed in the private non-agricultural sector of the US, The unemployment rate in the US. 18:00 par US Federal Reserve System ka monetary policy report bhi hai.

Kal GBP/USD ne calmly upward movement continue ki. Volatility low thi kyunke United States mein official holiday tha. UK ne June ke liye Construction PMI data ka second estimate publish kiya, jo secondary importance ka tha. Phir bhi, market ne pound ko buy karne ke reasons mil gaye. Latest rise teen bounces ke baad support area 1.2605-1.2633 se shuru hui. Bears is significant area par bulls ko counter nahi kar paaye. Tuesday ko rise ke liye koi fundamental ya macroeconomic reasons nahi the. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne apne speech mein hawkish tone maintain kiya, jo dollar ko support kar sakta tha. JOLTs report bhi expectations se better thi, jo US currency ko support karni chahiye thi. Lekin, dollar tab bhi nahi badh raha jab factors maujood hain. Aam taur par, jab factors nahi hote tab dollar girta hai. Forex market mein yeh pattern humne 9 months se observe kiya hai. Pair ne 5-minute timeframe par ek buy signal form kiya. Euro ki tarah, price ne 1.2748 level ko 5-6 ghante tak overcome karne ki koshish ki. Jab yeh successful hui, pair actively rise nahi hui kyunke volatility sirf 30 pips thi. Lekin, aap long position mein overnight reh sakte the kyunke pair abhi bhi weak movements dikha rahi hai, aur ek din ke andar signal ke play out hone ki umeed unrealistic hai.

Kal GBP/USD ne apni upward movement ko calmly continue kiya. Volatility low thi kyunke United States mein official holiday tha. UK ne June ke liye Construction PMI data ka second estimate publish kiya, jo secondary importance ka tha. Phir bhi, market ne pound ko buy karne ke reasons mil gaye. Latest rise teen bounces ke baad support area 1.2605-1.2633 se shuru hui. Bears is significant area par bulls ko counter nahi kar paaye.

Tuesday ko rise ke liye koi fundamental ya macroeconomic reasons nahi the. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ne apni speech mein hawkish tone maintain kiya, jo dollar ko support kar sakta tha. JOLTs report bhi expectations se better thi, jo US currency ko support karni chahiye thi. Lekin, dollar tab bhi nahi badh raha jab factors maujood hain. Aam taur par, jab factors nahi hote tab dollar girta hai. Forex market mein yeh pattern humne 9 months se observe kiya hai. Pair ne 5-minute timeframe par ek buy signal form kiya. Euro ki tarah, price ne 1.2748 level ko 5-6 ghante tak overcome karne ki koshish ki. Jab yeh successful hui, pair actively rise nahi hui kyunke volatility sirf 30 pips thi. Lekin, aap long position mein overnight reh sakte the kyunke pair abhi bhi weak movements dikha rahi hai, aur ek din ke andar signal ke play out hone ki umeed unrealistic hai.

**Trading tips on Friday:**

Hourly chart par GBP/USD abhi bhi downtrend banane ke promising signs dikha raha hai, lekin iska matlab yeh nahi ke pair upward trend nahi bana sakti. Pair ne recent weeks mein bohot saare sideways actions dekhe hain aur pehli significant support area 1.2605-1.2633 ko paar nahi kar paayi. British currency dobara upar aa rahi hai, lekin overall yeh erratic aur aksar illogical movements dikha rahi hai.

Friday ko pound sterling dheere dheere low volatility ke sath rise kar sakta hai, kam se kam US session tak. Aage, sab kuch US economic reports ke values par depend karega.

5-minute chart par key levels hain: 1.2457, 1.2502, 1.2541-1.2547, 1.2605-1.2633, 1.2684-1.2693, 1.2748, 1.2791-1.2798, 1.2848-1.2860, 1.2913, aur 1.2980. Aaj, US labor market aur unemployment par crucial reports publish hongi, jabke UK economic calendar light hai. Isliye, aap afternoon mein movements ki ummeed kar sakte hain.

Aaj, is hafte ke aakhri trading din par, hum GBP/USD currency pair ka H4 chart dekhte hain. Wednesday ke trading ke doran, is currency pair ne ek powerful upward movement ko janam diya, aur technical picture bhi develop ho rahi thi. Din ke dauran release hone wali news ne pound ki growth ko aur fuel diya, sab US indicators forecasts se worse the, jis se market ne price growth ko tez kar diya. Yeh din ke dauran dekha ja sakta hai. Lekin, US dollar sirf pound ke muqablay mein nahi, balki market spectrum ke aam hisse mein bhi kamzor ho gaya. Wave structure ne upar ki taraf order banana shuru kiya, MACD indicator upper purchase zone mein aur apni signal line ke upar grow kar raha hai. Kal rapid growth ke baad, ek choti si correctional rollback ho gayi, jo nearest support level 1.2732 tak gayi. Aur dheere dheere, price ne is rollback ko kal aur aaj poora kar diya. Agar aap target Fibonacci grid ko pehli wave par lagoo karein, toh aap dekh sakte hain ke price ne growth ke doran minimum target - level 161.8 ko achieve kiya. Yeh mumkin hai ke growth grid ke level 200 tak develop ho, lekin yeh bhi doubtful hai ke hum sirf is top se thoda bahar nikal kar phir se girenge. Daily period par CCI indicator upper zone se turn ho raha hai, jo correction ke development ki taraf ishaara karta hai. Level 1.2700 tak ka girna normal lagta hai, aur uske baad hum buying ya na karne ka soch sakte hain.

Aaj 15:30 Moscow time par main news package release hoga: Average hourly earnings in the US, Change in the number of employed in the non-agricultural sector of the US, The share of the economically active population in the US, Change in the number of employed in the private non-agricultural sector of the US, aur The unemployment rate in the US. 18:00 par US Federal Reserve System ka monetary policy report bhi aayega.

GBP/USD currency pair H1 chart par downward trajectory dikhai de rahi hai, jo ek descending channel mein move kar rahi hai aur broader decline ko reflect karti hai. Technical indicators, khaaskar moving averages, yeh suggest karte hain ke pair filhal short-term bearish trend mein hai. Yeh conclusion moving averages ke behavior se confirm hota hai, jo aam taur par market sentiment aur trend direction ke indicators hote hain. Jab yeh averages downward slope karte hain, to yeh sustained selling pressure ko signal dete hain, aur yeh GBP/USD pair ke case mein dekhne ko mil raha hai.

Bearish sentiment ka aur evidence signal lines ke relative price action se milta hai. Quotes in lines ke beech level ko test kar rahi hain, jo aam taur par significant seller pressure ko indicate karta hai. Jab prices signal lines ke aas-paas rehti hain, to yeh market ke critical juncture par hone ka ishaara hota hai, jahan direction market forces se decisively influence ho sakti hai. Filhal, sellers ke paas upper hand nazar aata hai.

Kal, GBP/USD pair ne higher areas mein trade kiya aur din ke aakhir mein 1.2685 ke aas-paas close hua. Aaj, yeh 1.2690 ke price level ki taraf upward move kar raha hai. Hourly chart par dekhne par, yeh noticeable hai ke GBP/USD moving average line MA (200) H1 ko 1.2655 par test kar raha hai. Four-hour chart par bhi similar situation hai jahan GBP/USD moving average line MA (200) H1 ke neeche trade kar raha hai.

In facts ko madde nazar rakhte hue, traders ko advise kiya jata hai ke correction ke baad achha sell entry point dekhein. Analysis ke liye niche diye gaye picture aur chart zyada behtar information dete hain. कृपया inhein zaroor dekhein.

GBP/USD Market Forecast

Assalam-o-Alaikum aur Subah Bakhair sab ko!

GBP/USD ka market kal 1.2740 ke qareeb pohoch gaya, jo ek ahem ilaqa hai jahaan ahem support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan trade hota hai. Ye middle ground traders ke liye ek challenging decision point ban sakta hai. Lekin, meri analysis ke mutabiq, agle hafte ke liye mein GBP/USD mein ek buy order place karna pasand karunga. Meri reasoning ye hai ke price ab overbought condition mein hai, jo ke upward momentum ka ishara deti hai.

Is ke ilawa, US Election ke qareeb aane ki wajah se market sentiment par uncertainty aur political landscape ka asar ho sakta hai. Elections aksar financial markets mein volatility laati hain, kyun ke traders possible outcomes aur economic policy par un ke asar ke mutabiq react karte hain. Is liye, zaroori hai ke carefully trade karein aur apni strategies ko current market sentiment ke saath align karein. Iss tarah, election ke lead-up mein uthane wale risks aur opportunities ko behtar tareeqe se navigate kiya jaa sakta hai.

Aam tor par, GBP/USD ki price position, overbought conditions, aur upcoming US Election ka combination aisa scenario banata hai jahaan cautiously optimistic approach se buy karna faidemand ho sakta hai. Aaj ke din mein, mein ek buy order ko short target 1.2765 ke saath pasand karunga. Aur, zaroori hai ke market sentiment mein kisi bhi shift ko dekhte hue vigilant rahain aur apni strategy ko adapt karein. GBP/USD ke current market sentiment ke khilaf mat jayen aur apni trading mein stop loss ka istimaal zaroor karein. Aur, GBP/USD market se mutaliq ane wali news data par bhi ghore se nazar rakhein.




Dekhte hain aglay chand ghanton mein kya hota hai.

Khuda Hafiz aur Mehfooz rahiye. Aaram se rahiye.

GBP/USD H-4 Analysis

H4 timeframe chart mein jo kuch mein GBP/USD currency pair ke bare mein dekh raha hoon, wo ye hai ke teen hafton se ye pair bearish path ki taraf wapas jane ki koshish kar raha hai. Is hafte ki market analysis ke mutabiq, yeh wazeh hai ke price conditions abhi bhi consistent tor par downward trend mein hain aur 1.2671 ke price range tak neeche aa gayi hain. Guzishta mahine mein, ye pair bullish trend mein aage barhne mein nakam raha, lekin pichlay kuch dino mein ye trend aam tor par bearish hi raha hai.

Upar diye gaye conditions ko dekhte hue, ye andaza lagaya ja sakta hai ke agla market trend ab bhi neeche jane ka imkaan rakhta hai aur price mein aur girawat aasakti hai. Seller ki taqat price ko neeche dhakelne ki poori koshish karegi, jis ka maqsad 1.2650 ke price level ko test karna hoga, ya phir ye us se bhi neeche ja sakti hai. Kal raat ka bearish movement kaafi dair tak barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai, kyun ke aaj market mein abhi bhi consolidation phase chal raha hai.

Jumay ke early session mein, ye pair US Dollar ke muqable mein 1.2800 level ke qareeb apne gains ko barqarar rakhne mein kamyab raha. Is positive movement ki wajah USD ki kamzori thi jo US jobs data report ke release hone ke baad samne ayi, jo ke July ke liye ek cooling labor market ka pata deti hai. Agay dekha jaye, toh investors ko ab UK ka monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) aur factory data jo ke May ke liye Thursday ko release hone wali hai, ghore se dekhna hoga. UK economy ke liye 0.2% ki modest expansion ka andaza lagaya ja raha hai, jo April mein unchanged performance ke baad samne aasakti hai.




Technical tor par, ye pair 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) level 1.2855 par critical support dhoond raha hai. Agar is support se neeche breach hoti hai toh ye pair significant pressure mein aasakta hai, jisse ye descending channel ke lower boundary tak 1.2610 ke aas paas push ho sakta hai. Immediate support levels jo dekhne walay hain, wo 50-day Moving Average (DMA) 1.2777 aur 100-day DMA 1.2681 hain, jab ke 27 June ka low 1.2611 key cycle low ke tor par serve kar raha hai.

GBP/USD Analysis

Jumeraat ke din currency pair mein aik kaafi bara decline dekhne ko mila, jismein 1.2700 ka critical support level US trading session ke doran breach kar gaya. Yeh tezi se girawat July ke US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ke release hone ke baad hui, jo ke pehle se kamzor inflationary pressures ka izhar kar rahi thi. Annual headline aur core CPI figures dono decelerate hue, jahan annual rates 3% aur 3.3% par gir gaye. Iske ilawa, monthly headline CPI bhi unexpected tor par 0.1% se contract hui, jo economists ke steady increase ke forecast ko ghalat sabit kar gayi.

GBP/USD ke Fundamentals:

Ab tawajjo UK ke economic data par hai jo ke Thursday ko release hone wala hai. Is mein sab se zyada focus monthly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) aur factory output figures par hoga jo June ke liye hain. Economists ko umeed hai ke GDP mein 0.2% ka expansion hoga, jo April ke stagnation period ke baad samne aasakta hai. Iske ilawa, Industrial aur Manufacturing Production dono mein monthly aur annual basis par growth dekhne ki umeed hai recent declines ke baad.

GBP traders is waqt Bank of England (BoE) ke August mein rate cut ki possibility par ghore kar rahe hain, halan ke is haftay BoE ke kuch policymakers ne ehtiyat baratne ka mashwara diya tha. Aane wale UK Industrial Production figures, potential rate cut ke expectations ko shape karne mein ahem kirdar ada karenge, jahan forecasts mein pehle ke -0.9% decline ke muqable mein 0.2% month-over-month growth ki umeed ki ja rahi hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Technical analysis ke lehaz se, yeh pair 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke 1.2775 level ke qareeb significant support dhoond sakta hai. Agar yeh support breach hota hai, toh selling pressure mein izafa ho sakta hai, jo ke is pair ko descending channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb 1.2660 tak dhakel sakta hai. Mazeed support 1.2611 ke throwback level ke aas paas bhi mil sakti hai.




Iske ilawa, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator short term mein bullish momentum ko show kar raha hai. Yeh is baat ka saboot hai ke MACD line centerline ke upar hai aur signal line se positively diverge kar rahi hai, jo is baat ki nishandahi karti hai ke current bullish trend mein continuity ho sakti hai.