𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Pichle Friday ko, GBP/USD pair ne apni recent girawat ko rok diya aur 1.2750 ke low se upar chadh kar 1.2800 par pohanch gaya. Market sentiment mein ek positive turn dekhne ko mila jab investors ne Federal Reserve ke officials ke cautious remarks ko nazarandaz kiya aur September mein potential rate cut ki ummeed par focus karna shuru kar diya, jabke US economic data soft ho raha hai.

**US Economic Indicators aur Fed Rate Cut Expectations:**

Pichle hafte US ke consumer aur producer prices expected se kam the, jo inflation ke slowdown ki nishani hai. Iske ilawa, US import prices mein aik achanak kami ne domestic inflation ke liye outlook ko mazid mazboot kiya. June mein US consumer sentiment mein sharp drop ke saath, yeh factors Fed rate cut ki ummeed ko barhate hain, jo ke September mein ho sakta hai, aur phir December mein ek aur cut ki ummeed hai.

Aage dekhte hue, market volatility pound Sterling ke liye barqarar rehne ki ummeed hai, khaaskar aane wale Bank of England ke interest rate decision ke sath jo Thursday ko hai. Yeh umeed hai ke BoE apni current interest rate 5.25% par banaye rakhegi, jo ke saatwa consecutive hold hoga. Investors ko future rate adjustments ke kisi bhi hint ka intezar hai, Reuters ke mutabiq August mein no change ka 57% probability report hui hai.

**GBP/USD Ko Resistance Ka Samna:**

Friday ko, pair 1.2850 ke mark se upar chadh gaya, lekin bullish momentum ab bhi constrained hai. Pair ko 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.2601 ke upar higher ground gain karne ke liye ek naye catalyst ki zaroorat hai. Recent low 1.2817 se bounce hone ke bawajood, ongoing volatility ne technical ranges ko widen kar diya hai, jo ke sideways movement ka sabab bana hai.

Daily candlesticks yeh zahir karti hain ke long-term supply zone 1.2810 ke upar persistent challenge hai, jo sustained bullish momentum ko rokti hai. Pair filhal 50-day EMA 1.2709 ke qareeb support dekh rahi hai, lekin 2024 ke peak bids around 1.2900 ko breach karna abhi tak mushkil hai.

GBP/USD pair ne DXY ke muqablay mein khaas quwati dikhayi hai, Friday tak 0.06% ka izafa dekhne ko mila. Yeh performance traders ki cautious stance ki wajah se hai, jo ke European political uncertainties aur Bank of England ke aane wale monetary policy findings se mutasir hai. Filhal GBP/USD pair 1.2810 par trade kar rahi hai, jo daily high 1.2819 tak pohnch gayi thi.

**GBP/USD Ke Fundamentals:**

DXY ko weak retail sales data ki wajah se pressure ka saamna hai, jo iski value ko niche kheench raha hai. European trading hours ke doran chay hafton ke high se rebound ke bawajood, DXY jo ke greenback ko chay bade currencies ke muqablay mein measure karta hai, 105.30 tak gir gaya. Yeh intraday decline traders ki cautious sentiment ko zahir karta hai.

USD ki resilience ko Federal Reserve (Fed) officials ki cautious approach ki wajah se samjha ja sakta hai jo interest rate cuts ke liye ehtiyaat se kaam le rahe hain. Fed ne is saal sirf ek baar rates kam karne ka preference zahir kiya hai, agar inflation mein sustainable decline dekhne ko milta hai. Premature rate cuts se inflationary pressures ke phir se barh jane ke khauf ne Fed ke policies ko mazbooti se barqarar rakha hai, halanke disinflation ke process ne pehle quarter mein thoda rukawat dekhi thi.

**Four-Hour Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Jab pair 1.2700 mark ke neeche gir gaya, to yeh further losses ke liye raasta khul gaya. Key support levels mein pichle hafte ka low 1.2616, 100-day Moving Average (DMA) 1.2700, aur 50-day DMA 1.2685 shamil hain. In levels ka breach 200-DMA 1.2717 ko expose kar sakta hai. Bullish continuation ke liye, traders ko GBP/USD ko broken support trendline ke upar push karna hoga, jo ab resistance ban chuki hai, lagbhag 1.2900 ke aas paas, uske baad 1.2850 test karna hoga.

Pair ne US Dollar ke muqablay mein 1.2800 ke crucial resistance level ke qareeb recover kiya hai. Is rebound ke bawajood, pair 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke neeche hai jo 1.2742 ke qareeb hai, jo near-term trend mein uncertainty ko zahir karta hai. 50-day EMA jo 1.2670 ke qareeb hai, Pound Sterling bulls ke liye ek ahem support level hai.

GBP/USD pair ne Friday ko DXY ke muqablay mein paanch din ke lagatar izafe ka record banaya hai. Yeh recent performance pair ko 1.2810 ke qareeb mahine ke high ke paas dekhati hai. Yeh consistent gains Federal Reserve (Fed) ke hawkish stance ke bawajood ho rahi hain, jo US Dollar ki appeal ko barhawa de rahi hai.

**US Dollar aur Key UK Economic Indicators: Inflation aur Interest Rates**

US Dollar Index (DXY), jo Greenback ko major currencies ke basket ke muqablay mein measure karta hai, abhi bhi mazboot hai. Yeh Fed ke hawkish outlook ke baad May ke shuruat ke baad se apne highest level par pohnch gaya hai. "Dot plot" ne zahir kiya hai ke policymakers ab 2024 mein sirf ek interest rate cut ki ummeed rakhte hain, jo March mein teen cuts ke forecast se kaafi kam hai. Yeh forecast US Treasury bond yields ko high rakhta hai, jo Dollar ko support karta hai aur GBP/USD pair ke liye negative outlook ko validate karta hai.

UK mein, Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data ke aane ki umeed hai, jismein forecasts ke mutabiq May mein 0.4% ka izafa hone ki umeed hai, jo pichle mahine ke 0.3% se zyada hai. Saath hi, Bank of England (BoE) bhi interest rates par naya vote lene wale hain. BoE ke June mein 5.25% par interest rates ko barqarar rakhnay ki ummeed hai, aur Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) ke saath vote 7-2 ke ratio mein rates ko unchanged rakhne ka iqraar hone ki umeed hai, jo pichle meeting ka outcome hai.

**GBP/USD Ko Resistance Aur Diminishing Momentum Ka Samna**

Recent progress ke bawajood, pair ko 1.26 ke upper range ke aas paas mazboot resistance ka samna hai. Pair ko 1.2818 ke upar levels ko barqarar rakhne mein mushkil ho rahi hai jo pichle haftay ke bullish close ke baad hai. Yeh is baat ki taraf ishaara karta hai ke Pound ko stable base establish karne ke liye kaafi kaam karna hoga, ya to upper 1.2800 range mein ruk kar ya high 1.2500 range mein foothold dhoond kar, uske baad stability aur improvement ka samna kar sakti hai.

**Currently**, pair 61.8% Fibonacci retracement support ko hold kar raha hai, jo March 8 ke high 1.2900 se April 22 ke low 1.2301 tak plot kiya gaya hai. 14-CCI indicator 40.00-60.00 range mein wapas aa gaya hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke recent upside momentum kam ho gaya hai.

**Forex Dynamics: GBP/USD Prices**

Hamare guftagu ka maqsad GBP/USD currency pair ki price changes ko analyse karna hai. Agle trading week ke liye meri planning hai ke GBP/USD pair mein thodi si pullback ke baad price growth continue rahegi. Abhi ki situation mein, pullback ki limit 1.2774 tak hai. Agar trading is level ke neeche close nahi hoti, toh downward trend ki possibility kam ho jati hai aur 1.2774 par wapas aane se is resistance ke upar consolidation confirm ho jayegi. Support level 1.2774 se agla price increase wave expect kiya ja sakta hai, jo resistance 1.2901 ko target karega. Is mein upward movement ke chances hain. Aane wale market activity ke trend upward hone ki umeed hai, kyunki bullish potential nazar aa raha hai. Lekin, GBP/USD pair mein decline ka bhi possibility hai; is liye 1.2762 tak wait karna behtar hoga agar aap GBP/USD buy karne ka soch rahe hain.

**Current Conditions aur Resistance Levels**

Maujooda halat mein, further decline ka mumkin nahi lagta, aur yeh level ek pivotal point ban sakta hai uptrend ke liye. Isliye, further decline ki umeed kam hai. Liquidity create karna aur trend mein enter karna waqt ka kaam hai, daily interval levels par focus karte hue, jaise ke 1.2889. Channel ke liye, higher goals set karna logical hai, considering growth probabilities in the channel. Friday ko 1.2816 ke strong resistance ke neeche ek modest increase ke saath close hui hai. Ab current positions se correction shuru ho sakti hai. Alternately, price phir se resistance zone 1.2816-1.2847 ya 1.2847-1.2877 tak bhi ucht sakti hai, aur uske baad attempts to reduce aur reverse ho sakti hain.

Current positions se, ya to rollback ka wait karke dobara buy karna logical hai, ya phir naye highs par sell karna.

**Forex Dynamics: GBP/USD Prices**

GBP/USD pair ab Friday ke thode se recovery ke baad momentum banaye rakhne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo mid-1.2810 range se tha aur ek mahine ka low tha. Week ke pehle trading din par, spot prices 1.2820 mark ke neeche hover kar rahi hain, jo potential further declines ko signal kar rahi hai kyunki US Dollar (USD) ab bhi bullish sentiment dikhata hai.

**Economic Pressures aur Speculative Market Movements**

Market participants yeh anticipate kar rahe hain ke UK mein barhte huye price pressures Bank of England (BoE) ko current interest rates ko extended period ke liye maintain karne par majboor kar sakte hain. Is expectation ke wajah se bearish traders ko British Pound (GBP) ke against aggressive bets lene se roknay ki umeed hai, khaskar is hafte UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ke release se pehle. Iske ilawa, UK general election jo 4 July ko hone wali hai, bhi caution ka layer add karta hai, jo traders ko GBP/USD pair ke against significant positions lene se rokta hai.

Federal Reserve (Fed) ke taraf se interest rates ko is saal sirf ek baar kam karne ka indication mila hai, lekin financial markets do rate cuts ke speculation mein hain. Wo September meeting se policy unwind ki shuruat ki umeed kar rahe hain, aur phir November ya December mein additional cuts ki bhi speculation hai. Ye speculation US Consumer Price Index (CPI) aur Producer Price Index (PPI) reports ke subdued results ke wajah se barh gayi hai, jo earlier rate reductions ki expectations ko high karte hain.

**D1 Chart Technical Indicators Highlight GBP/USD Vulnerability**

Pair Friday ke low 1.2751 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo UK inflation data aur BoE ke monetary policy meeting se pehle caution ko reflect karta hai. Pair ki struggle to maintain above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement support, jo March 8 high 1.2900 se April 22 low 1.2300 tak span karta hai, currency ki vulnerability ko highlight karta hai.

GBP/USD pair ab 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke kareeb aa gaya hai, jo ke 1.2661 ke aas-paas hai. Ye proximity near-term market sentiment mein potential shift ko indicate karti hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi 40.00-60.00 range mein retreat kar gaya hai, jo pair ke upside momentum ke kam hone ko reflect karta hai.

**GBP/USD Price Movement**

GBP/USD currency pair ke price action ka tajziya aur discussion yeh hai. 1-hour chart par GBP/USD pair ke liye buying consider karna ek acha waqt lagta hai. Iske kuch wajahaat hain: Price MA199 moving average ke upar hai, jo upward momentum ko signal karta hai. Pichle din ke aakhri hisson mein, pair ne din ke opening ke upar trade kiya aur higher close kiya. Quotes upper Bollinger band ke qareeb hain, jo potential upward trend continuation ka indication hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index) jo 21 period ke sath use kiya gaya hai, overbought (69 se upar) ya oversold (29 se neeche) conditions ko avoid karte hain. Abhi RSI buying opportunity ko suggest kar raha hai. Mera target Fibonacci take profit par 210% hai, jo 1.28528 ke qareeb hai. Agar zyada profit ka aim hai, to agle Fibonacci targets ko follow karunga.

**Working Week Analysis**

Working week ne vigorous buyer activity show ki. Halankeh price ne initially 1.2779 ko surpass nahi kiya, lekin week ke end tak price 1.2809 tak pahunch gayi aur is level par close hui. Agla resistance level 1.2856 hai. Agar is level ko break kiya to naya maximum 1.2909 tak pahunch sakta hai. Kuch experts ka kehna hai ke pair weak hai poor statistics ki wajah se, lekin Middle East ka conflict GBP/USD price ko influence kar raha hai, jo participants ko growth ke liye positions adjust karne par majboor kar raha hai. Uptrend ko fully confirm karne ke liye ek definitive signal fundamental factors se chahiye, jaise kingdom authorities ke actions. Country EU aur US sanctions ke pressure ka samna kar rahi hai, jo economy par negative impact dal raha hai. News ko monitor karna aur buying opportunities ke liye tayyar rehna zaroori hai. Ye paragraph clarity aur brevity ke liye refine kiya gaya hai, aur originality ko ensure karte hue familiar aur new words ka balanced mix incorporate kiya gaya hai. Numerical values zaroori ke mutabiq hain aur punctuation meticulously kiya gaya hai.

**GBP/USD Price Movement Analysis**

Aaj GBP/USD pair ne apni opening ke neeche close kiya, jo ek halki downward trend ko continue karta hai. Yeh pair lagbhag 38 pips ke range mein move hui, jo relatively chhoti movement hai. Lekin, candle H1 support level 1.2658 ke neeche gir gayi. Jab yeh support breach hua, GBP/USD ne 1.2640 tak gir gaya. Yeh decline 19 June, 2024 se chal raha hai. GBP/USD tab girna shuru hua jab candle SBR (support becomes resistance) zone ko penetrate nahi kar paayi. Iske natije mein, GBP/USD ne apni rise continue nahi ki jab candle 1.2740 tak pohnchi.

GBP/USD ki decline broader market sentiment aur technical factors ko reflect karti hai jo pair ko influence kar rahe hain. 1.2740 par SBR zone ko surpass karne mein failure ek significant resistance level tha jise traders ne closely watch kiya. Jab pair is level ko break nahi kar payi, traders ko signal mila ki upward momentum kamzor ho raha hai, jo sentiment shift aur selling pressure ke badhne ka sabab bana. H1 chart par 1.2658 support level ke breach ne bearish sentiment ko confirm kiya. Support levels technical analysis mein critical hote hain kyunki yeh price points hote hain jahan currency pair historically girne mein pareshani face karta hai. Aise level ko break karna aksar accelerated downward movement ko lead karta hai, stop-loss orders ko trigger karta hai, aur zyada selling ko encourage karta hai.

Friday ko 38 pips ki chhoti movement ke bawajood, GBP/USD ka is crucial support level 1.2640 ke neeche girna significant hai, jo key price points ke market psychology aur trading behavior par impact ko illustrate karta hai. Decline ne dikhaya ki jab support break hota hai, sellers ko upper hand milta hai, jo pair ko aur neeche le jata hai. Yeh price action forex trading mein technical analysis ki importance ko highlight karta hai. Jo traders ne SBR zone 1.2740 aur support level 1.2658 ko identify kiya, unhone potential price movements ke liye tayyari ki thi. SBR zone ko break nahi karna resistance ka indication hai, jabki support level ka breach downside potential ka signal deta hai.

19 June, 2024 se downward trend broader market context aur shayad fundamental factors ko reflect karta hai jo GBP aur USD ko affect kar rahe hain. Macroeconomic data, interest rate expectations, aur geopolitical events currency movements ko influence kar sakti hain. Is case mein, technical indicators ne clear signals diye jo traders ko market direction anticipate aur react karne mein madad karte hain. GBP/USD pair ka Friday ko key support levels break karna forex trading mein technical analysis ki importance ko underline karta hai. Yeh dikhata hai ki price levels jaise SBR zones aur support lines market direction aur trader behavior ko determine karne mein crucial roles play karte hain. Have a good day.

**Pound (GBP) Aur US Dollar (USD) Ka Taqabul:**

Kehne ko toh Thursday ko GBP/USD pair ne apni decline ke baad support hasil kiya. Halanki GBP/USD exchange rate ne USD ke mazboot hone ke bawajood 1.2600 ke ahem level ke upar rehte hue apni stability banayi rakhi. Yeh support tab aayi jab US Dollar Index (DXY), jo greenback ki strength ko major currencies ke basket ke saamne measure karta hai, apne naye aath hafton ke high se peeche hat gaya.

### Haal Ke Market Conditions

#### GBP Ki Resilience Aur USD Ki Strength
GBP/USD pair ne resilience dikhayi hai, 1.2600 mark ke upar rehte hue. DXY ka aath hafton ka high US economic data aur safe-haven flows ke chalte USD ki temporary strength ko reflect karta hai. Lekin, is strength ke sustainable hone par sawal hai.

### GBP/USD Ko Influencing Key Factors

#### US Dollar Index (DXY) Ka Retreat
DXY ka apne recent highs se retreat hona GBP/USD pair ke liye kuch rahat ka sabab bana hai. DXY ke movements ko closely monitor kiya jata hai kyunki yeh USD ki strength ko dusri major currencies ke saamne reflect karta hai. DXY ke recent pullback ne USD ke kamzor hone ke potential ka indication diya hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko near term mein support kar sakta hai.

#### Inflation Data Aur Federal Reserve Ki Policy
Friday ko core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index ka release ek significant factor hai. Is data ke inflation slowdown dikhane ki umeed hai. Agar yeh confirm hota hai, toh Federal Reserve ki policy expectations mein shift aa sakta hai.

Fed ki monetary policy USD ko drive karti hai. Filhal, market expectations Fed ke near future mein interest rates cut hone ke possibilities ko reflect karti hain. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, traders September tak do rate cuts price kar rahe hain. Agar Fed dovish stance le, toh USD kamzor ho sakta hai, jo GBP/USD pair ko boost de sakta hai.

### Technical Analysis

#### Support Aur Resistance Levels
- **Support Level**: 1.2600 ka support level watch karna zaroori hai. Yeh psychological level recent pressures ke bawajood hold hua hai aur short-term direction ke liye crucial hoga.
- **Resistance Levels**: Immediate resistance levels 1.2650 aur 1.2700 ke aaspaas hain. In levels ko break karna GBP ki stronger recovery ko signal kar sakta hai.

#### Moving Averages
- **50-Day Moving Average**: Pair filhal 50-day moving average ke aaspaas move kar rahi hai, jo dynamic support ya resistance level ke taur par act kar sakti hai.
- **200-Day Moving Average**: 200-day moving average bhi ek critical level hai. Isse upar move karna longer-term bullish trend ka signal ho sakta hai.

#### Relative Strength Index (RSI)
RSI filhal midpoint ke aaspaas hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke pair na to overbought hai na oversold. Yeh neutral position indicate karti hai ke movement dono directions mein ho sakta hai, aane wale data aur market sentiment ke hisaab se.

### Market Sentiment Aur Expectations

#### Inflation Data Ke Aage Investor Caution
Investors inflation data release ke aage cautious approach apna rahe hain. Core PCE price index ek key inflation indicator hai jo Fed closely monitor karta hai. Agar reading lower-than-expected hoti hai, toh inflation slowdown ke narrative ko reinforce kiya ja sakta hai aur rate cuts ki likelihood badh sakti hai. Yeh scenario partially market mein priced in hai, lekin confirmation se USD aur kamzor ho sakta hai.

#### Speculative Positioning
GBP/USD pair mein speculative positioning relatively balanced hai, jahan koi extreme long ya short positions dominate nahi kar rahi hain. Yeh balanced positioning suggest karti hai ke market clear signals ka wait kar raha hai economic data aur Fed policy announcements se pehle.

### Strategic Considerations for Traders

#### Short-Term Strategy
Short term mein traders ko dekhna chahiye ke GBP/USD pair 1.2600 support level par kaise react karta hai. Agar yeh level hold hota hai aur pair climb karna shuru karti hai, toh yeh buying opportunity indicate kar sakti hai, especially agar inflation data dovish Fed ko point kare. Conversely, 1.2600 ke neeche break karne par further downside risk signal ho sakta hai.

#### Long-Term Strategy
Long-term strategies ko broader economic context ko consider karna chahiye, jisme UK economic data, Brexit developments, aur US economic performance shamil hain. Fed ke rate cuts ke current market expectations ke madde nazar, agar yeh cuts materialize hoti hain aur USD kamzor hota hai, toh GBP/USD ke liye sustained bullish trend emerge ho sakta hai.

### Conclusion

GBP/USD pair ek complex landscape navigate kar raha hai jisme recent USD strength aur aane wale critical economic data shamil hain. Pair ka 1.2600 support level ke upar rehna ek positive sign hai, lekin direction largely core PCE inflation data aur subsequent Fed policy decisions par depend karega. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye, key technical levels aur economic indicators ko monitor karte hue apne trading strategies ko inform karna chahiye. USD ke kamzor hone ki potential, dovish Fed expectations ke chalte, GBP/USD ke appreciation ke liye favorable environment provide kar sakta hai near to medium term mein.

GBP/USD currency pair bullish trend dikha raha hai, aur price confidently 1.31249 ke saal ki highest level ki taraf barh rahi hai. Ye upward movement technical indicators se support hasil kar rahi hai, jo ek favorable buying opportunity suggest karti hai. Lekin, 90-day ka local high 1.29899 resistance level ban sakta hai, jo pair ko 7-day low 1.27776 ki taraf retrace karne par majboor kar sakta hai. Dono scenarios possible hain, isliye agla trading week unpredictable hai.
Daily chart ka gehra jaiza lene se pata chalta hai ke upward momentum bana hua hai, aur MACD indicator buy signal de raha hai. Pichle do hafton mein, pair ne tezi se izafa kiya hai, jaise jet engine ki propulsion ho. Kuch MACD divergences ke bawajood, growth cycle ke complete hone ke sabab pullback ke chances barh gaye hain. Ye cycle ek teen-wave structure ka proof hai, jisme doosri wave choti hai aur pehli aur teesri waves lagbhag barabar length ki hain.
Is waqt
Tuesday ko Asian market session mein ab bhi sellers dominate kar rahe the jo apna bearish momentum barqarar rakhne ki koshish kar rahe the, buyers ke bullish efforts ko rokte hue. Sellers ne dynamic resistance area ko majboot banaya jo 1.2864-1.2865 ke price par tha. Bearish sellers ka target ye hai ke GBP/USD pair price ko niche push karain buyer support area ki taraf jo ke 1.2815-1.2810 par hai, taake bearish opportunity ke liye rasta khula jaaye aur agla target buyer demand support area ki taraf ho jo ke 1.2770-1.2765 par hai.

GBP/USD daily time frame ka analysis ye darshata hai ke currency pair apne upward trajectory ko reverse kar rahi hai, jo bearish shift ko indicate karta hai. Mere khayal se, ye decline 1.2931 ke horizontal support level tak pohnch sakti hai, jahan se potential rebound ho sakta hai. Magar, growth phase ke exhausted hone ke bawajood, mujhe lagta hai ke ye level breach ho sakta hai, jisse further upward movement ka imkaan kam ho sakta hai. Agar 1.2931 support level break hota hai, to ye resistance level ban sakta hai, jo primary support 1.2854 ki taraf decline trigger kar sakta hai.
Lekin, significant further downward movement ki probability kam hai, kyunki pehli ki downtrend ab upward trend mein transition ho gayi hai. Traders ko ab market ke changes aur technical indicators ko closely monitor karna chahiye, taake timely decisions liye ja sakein aur market movements se effectively faida uthaya ja sake.

Bollinger Bands Aur Fractals Ka Analysis Jab hum Bollinger Bands ko dekhte hain, to hume yeh dekhne ko milta hai ke humne kal ke signal ko capitalize nahi kiya, jo price growth ke liye tha aur jo upper band ke outward opening se indicate ho raha tha. Yeh signal din ke andar validate ho gaya jab price barh gayi. Upper band ab bhi outward open ho raha hai, jo ke aage price growth ki potential ko indicate karta hai. Mein price ke upper band ke nazdeek aane ka wait karunga, aur uske baad hi assess karunga ke bands phir se outward open hote hain ya nahi, jisse sustained price growth confirm ho sakti hai. Agar growth continue hoti hai, to hum ab bhi lower levels se isse capture kar sakte hain. Lekin, sellers ki resistance ki wajah se ek decline dekhne ko mili, jo ke ek extreme sell setup se shuru hui aur immediately sell setup follow hui.
Agar growth continue hoti hai, to ye uncertain hai ke new peak kab form hoga, magar phir bhi yeh upward price movement ke signal ko de raha hai. Agar ek red attenuation bar nazar aati hai, to yeh bhi price movement ke deceleration ko indicate karega.

Fractals Ka Analysis
Fractals ko dekhte hue, price action ne Stochastic indicator ke upward signals ko effectively work out kiya hai. Price ka consistent rise zero line ko cross karne ke baad positive area me enter karne se robust upward movement ka signal mila. Jaise hi price Bollinger Bands ke upper band ke nazdeek aati hai, yeh zaroori hai ke monitor karein ke kya bands phir se outward open hoti hain. Yeh ek critical indicator hoga potential sustained price growth ke liye. Lekin, potential sell signals se bhi cautious rehna zaroori hai. Jaise hi price selling area me wapas aati hai, ek upward correction hone ke chances hain, uske baad downward movement continue ho sakti hai.

Conclusion
Overall trend se lagta hai ke growth continue karne ki potential hai, lekin key resistance aur support levels, Bollinger Band behavior, aur Stochastic indicator signals ko monitor karna essential hai. Yeh comprehensive analysis trading decisions mein madadgar sabit hogi, chaahe upward movements capture karne ke liye ho ya potential downward corrections anticipate karne ke liye.

Based on the H4 TF reference above, it can be seen that there is a trend that is currently just entering the initial phase of a bearish trend after the decline was able to pass the Ma 200 movement limit (blue). However, there are efforts by buyers to try to provide resistance to return the trend direction to bullish with current conditions currently retesting the Ma 200 movement limit. The current increase occurred due to the decline conditions that were below the oversold area at the RSI 30 level. The crucial area for determining the direction of the next trend seems to depend on the price reaction in the nearest resistance area in the range of 1.2862 and the support level as the lowest price limit this week in the range of 1.2706. As long as the price is still traded in the range of that price level, you can first consider short-term transactions either opening a buy position from the range of 1.2710 or opening a sell position from the range of 1.2850. For a breakout above the level of 1.2862, it seems that buying can be focused on the possibility of the trend returning to the bullish phase for the base up rally movement to reach the highest price limit in July in the range of 1.3042. Meanwhile, the focus of the new sell entry can be reconsidered if the price is able to form a new lower with a decline below the level of 1.2706.
On the Daily TF reference, there is a bearish correction movement condition from the main trend that is still bullish. The downward movement seems to have experienced a rejection condition in the RBS area range at 1.2706 and is currently trying to move up again past the Ma 50 (red) movement limit. The bullish efforts that are currently taking place seem to still encounter obstacles at the nearest supply area limit in the range of 1.2828. Judging from the weakening of the Dollar index at the end of this week's session, there seems to be a big chance that buyers will be able to continue their bullish trend direction in the next feed. Purchase considerations seem to still be taken into account as long as the price does not fall below its zero area in the range of 1.2700. The buy entry plan can be considered to enter from the range of 1.2750-1.2770. The purchase target from the range of this price level is to try to test the resistance area in the range of 1.2862. Put options can be considered if the price is able to fall below the 1.2700 level with the target being to try to test the crucial support area below it in the range

Subah ke forecast mein, 1.2672 level ko GBP/USD par long positions ke liye market entry decisions ke liye ek critical point ke tor par identify kiya gaya tha. 5-minute chart ka tajziya is level ke ird gird price action ko highlight karta hai, jo market dynamics ke baray mein qeemati maloomat faraham karta hai aur din ke doosray hisay ke liye potential trades mein rahnumai karta hai.
#### **5-Minute Chart Analysis:**

1. **1.2672 tak Initial Girawat:**
- Forecast ke baad, GBP/USD pair ne girawat dekhi, jisme is identified 1.2672 level ko test kiya gaya. Yeh level, pehle se anticipate kiya gaya tha, ke ek aham support zone ke tor par kaam karega.
- Jab price 1.2672 tak pohanchi, market ne strongly react kiya, aur selling pressure mein notable kami nazar aayi. Is girawat ke baad ek false breakout ka formation hua—ek aisi surat jahan price momentarily is level ke neeche chali gayi lekin jaldi se reverse ho gayi aur downward momentum ko sustain karne mein nakam rahi.

2. **False Breakout ka Formation:**
- 1.2672 par false breakout ne ek key buying signal diya. Jo traders is level ko closely monitor kar rahe the, unhoon ne is bullish reversal ke potential ko pehchana, given ke false breakdown ke baad quick recovery hui.
- Yeh false breakout shayad kuch short positions ke stop-loss orders ko trigger kar gaya ho, jisse ek reversal hua aur naye buyers market mein aaye. Is level par reaction kaafi swift tha, jo GBP/USD pair mein rally ka sabab bana.

3. **Baad ki Uchhaal:**
- False breakout ke baad, GBP/USD pair 1.2672 level se 20 points se zyada rally hui. Is move ne is level ki ahmiyat ko ek strong support point ke tor par confirm kiya aur morning forecast ke emphasis ko is par key entry zone ke tor par validate kiya.
- Jo traders is moqay ka faida uthate, unhoon ne quick gain hasil kiya, jo critical levels ko closely monitor karne ki ahmiyat ko dikhata hai aur jab price action forecasted scenario ko confirm kare to tayyar rehne ki zaroorat ko bhi.

#### **Din ke Doosray Hisay ke Liye Technical Picture Waisi Hi Hai:**

1.2672 support level ki successful defense aur uske baad rise ke baad, technical picture din ke baaqi hisay ke liye waisi hi hai. Morning session ka key takeaway yeh hai ke 1.2672 level market behavior ke liye ab bhi ek pivotal point ke tor par mazboot hai.

1. **Long Position Considerations:**
- Jo traders long positions kholne ka soch rahe hain, 1.2672 level ab bhi ek viable entry point hai, provided ke price action waisa hi bullish signs show kare, jese ek false breakout ya strong buying interest jab is level ko dobara retest kiya jaye.
- Agar GBP/USD pair dobara is area tak pull back hoti hai aur is par qaim rehti hai, to yeh ek aur buying opportunity ho sakti hai, jese ke morning session mein dekhi gayi thi.

2. **Risk Management:**
- Yeh bohot zaroori hai ke tight stop-loss orders 1.2672 level ke thoda neeche implement kiye jayein, taake genuine breakdown se bach sakein jo mazid girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Is level par market ka reaction din ke doosray hisay mein critical hoga ke bullish momentum sustain kar sakta hai ya nahi.

3. **Key Resistance Levels ka Monitoring:**
- Jaise jaise din guzarta hai, traders ko nearby resistance levels par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye jo kisi bhi upside movement ko cap kar sakte hain. Agar GBP/USD pair mazid rally karti hai, to resistance karib 1.2700 aur 1.2730 par aa sakti hai, jo long positions ke liye potential exit points faraham kar sakte hain.

#### **Nateeja:**

Subah ke session ka price action 1.2672 level ke ird gird ek clear buying opportunity faraham karta hai, jisme 20 points se zyada ki uchhaal ne is support level ki ahmiyat ko validate kiya. Jaise hum din ke doosray hisay mein barhte hain, technical picture waisi hi rehti hai, 1.2672 ab bhi GBP/USD par long positions ke liye ek critical entry point ke tor par serve kar raha hai. Traders ko is level ke ird gird price action ko monitor karte rehna chahiye, mazeed buying opportunities ko capitalize karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, jabke appropriate stop-loss placements ke sath risk manage karte hue.

Hum traders market ka analysis karne mein busy hain taake aaj ke market ke liye achi entry points dhoondh sakein jo hamare trading plans ke saath align karti hoon. Bolang relaxed rehta hai jab post karta hai, jo usko consistent aur increasing bonuses kamaane mein madad karta hai har hafte. Lekin, pichla hafta uske liye mushkil tha kyunki kuch floating losses market trading mein ho gaye the, aur ab woh is hafta mein acha profit kamaane ki umeed kar raha hai taake withdrawal (WD) kar sake. Isi liye, hum ek trend confirmation pattern ka intezar kar rahe hain.

Chhote traders jaise humne 1.2645 pe buy kiya, aur kuch pehle ke buyers ne bhi is level pe pehle touch par buy kiya, unhone apne stop losses 1.2715 par rakhe. Kuch traders zyada confident the aur apne stop losses is level se neeche set kiye.

Yeh yaad rakhna zaruri hai ke 80% market market makers se bana hota hai. Is scenario mein, market makers aksar chhote traders ke against move karte hain taake liquidity le sakein aur unke stop losses hit kar sakein. Hum dekh sakte hain ke market ne aisa hi kiya, jiski wajah se direction sideways se downtrend mein badal gayi.

Fundamentally, GBP/USD pair, aur doosri pairs ke saath, Ukraine mein chalti hui jang aur Fed rate hike ke concerns ki wajah se vulnerable hai. Yeh factors GBP/USD pairs ki movement ko depress kar rahe hain. Iske alawa, scheduled news ya high-impact fundamental events GBP/USD market pairs mein significant volatility cause kar sakte hain. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, Bolang ne identify kiya hai ke aaj kuch news releases ya low-impact fundamentals, jaise JOLTS Opening, honge. Agar results favorable aayein, toh US dollar ki strength barh sakti hai, jisse GBP/USD pair weaken ho sakta hai.

Aaj ke din GBP/USD currency pair ka tajziya karte hue, focus long positions identify karne aur execute karne par hai, jo ke mojooda market conditions aur technical indicators ka faida uthate hue kiya ja sakta hai. Pura market environment ek potential bullish movement ke liye conducive lag raha hai, jo traders ko market mein strategically entry karne aur 1.28015 level ke aas paas profits ka aim karne ka moqa faraham kar raha hai.
#### **Market Sentiment aur Key Indicators:**

1. **Market Sentiment:**
- GBP/USD pair ke hawale se sentiment ehtiyat ke sath optimistic hai, jo ke technical aur fundamental factors ke combination se driven hai. Dono UK aur US se aayi recent economic data ne traders ke perspectives ko influence kiya hai, jisme pound resilience dikhata hai, halaan ke kuch underlying bearish pressures bhi hain.
- US Dollar Index (DXY) thora subdued hai, jo pound ko ground gain karne ke liye supportive backdrop faraham kar raha hai. Dollar ki yeh weaker performance aisi environment create karti hai jahan GBP/USD pair mazeed ooper ja sakta hai, khaaskar agar market sentiment aur zyada pound ke favor mein tilt hota hai.

2. **Technical Indicators:**
- **Relative Strength Index (RSI):** H1 (one-hour) aur H4 (four-hour) charts par RSI yeh indicate karta hai ke GBP/USD pair abhi overbought nahi hai, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke significant resistance se pehle mazeed upside ka room hai.
- **Moving Averages:** Pair is waqt apni 50-period aur 100-period moving averages ke ooper trade kar raha hai H1 chart par, jo bullish outlook ko reinforce karta hai. Shorter-term moving averages ka longer-term ones ke ooper cross hona aksar upward momentum ki confirmation ke tor par dekha jata hai.
- **Support aur Resistance Levels:** Immediate support level karib 1.2720 par hai, jabke key resistance level 1.28015 par dekhnay layak hai. Yeh resistance level critical hai, kyunki is point ke ooper break hone se mazeed gains ka rasta khul sakta hai, jabke agar yeh break nahi hota to ek potential retracement ka signal mil sakta hai.

#### **Strategic Entry Points aur Trade Management:**

1. **Entry Strategy:**
- **Optimal Entry Zone:** Traders ko long positions kholne ke liye 1.2740 se 1.2755 range ke andar dekhnay chahiye. Yeh zone risk aur reward ke darmiyan achha balance offer karta hai, jo traders ko upward momentum se faida uthate hue apne stop-loss levels ko relatively tight rakhne mein madad dega.
- **Confirmation:** Long entry ke liye case ko mazid strong karne ke liye, traders ko clear confirmation signal ka intezar karna chahiye, jaise ke ek bullish candlestick pattern ya strong volume ke sath 1.2755 level ke ooper breakout. Yeh yeh indicate karega ke buyers control mein hain aur uptrend jaari rehne ke chances hain.

2. **Profit Target:**
- Is bullish move ke liye primary profit target 1.28015 level ke aas paas set kiya gaya hai. Yeh target aglay significant resistance level ke sath align karta hai, jahan traders kuch profit-taking aur potential selling pressure anticipate kar sakte hain. Magar, traders ko flexible rehna chahiye aur real-time market developments ke basis par apne targets adjust karne chahiye.

3. **Risk Management:**
- **Stop-Loss Placement:** Ek stop-loss ko 1.2720 support level ke thoda neeche place karna chahiye, taake downside risk se bach sakein. Yeh placement yeh ensure karta hai ke agar market position ke against move kare to losses minimize ho jayen.
- **Partial Profit Taking:** Traders 1.2780 level ke aas paas partial profits lene ka soch sakte hain taake jab price key resistance 1.28015 ke qareeb ho, gains secure kiya ja sake. Yeh strategy traders ko kuch profits lock karne deti hai jabke apni position ka kuch hissa open rakhti hai taake mazeed upside se faida uthaya ja sake.

#### **Conclusion:**

Mojooda market conditions GBP/USD ke liye ek promising opportunity suggest karti hain long positions execute karne ki, khaaskar 1.2740 se 1.2755 range ke andar. Technical indicators continued bullish momentum ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain aur ek well-defined resistance level 1.28015 par hai, jisme traders ke paas potential profit ke liye ek clear roadmap hai. Hamesha ki tarah, disciplined risk management aur market developments ka qareebi jaiza lena successful trade ke chances maximize karne ke liye essential hai.

**GBPUSD Analysis Updates: 10 August 2024**
**Daily Time Frame Analysis:**

GbpUsd market pair ne kal, Jumma ko phir se bullish movement ki, jahan buyers ne phir se price ko upar lekar gaye, jab sellers ne price ko neeche laye mein nakami ka samna kiya, kyunke strong buyers ne support area ko 1.2733-1.2736 par maintain kiya, jo ke price ko bearish se bullish mein badalne ka sabab bana.

Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ka use karke monitor kiya gaya, toh dekha gaya ke price buyers ke control mein hai, jo ke price ko Lower Bollinger Bands area ke ooper rakhne mein kamyab rahe, aur bullish candlestick phir se dominate kar raha hai. Isse yeh chances barhte hain ke buyers agle hafte ke trading mein GbpUsd pair market ko control karte rahenge, jisme next bullish target Middle Bollinger Bands area ki taraf hoga, jo ke 1.2845-1.2850 par hai. Agar future mein is level ko successfully breach kar diya gaya, toh GbpUsd pair ka price aur bhi upar soar karega, agle target ke saath Upper Bollinger Bands area 1.3036-1.3040 par hoga.

Agle Monday ke trading ke liye ummed hai ke pehle price mein correction aaye, kyunke market close hone ke qareeb, buyers ko sellers ne resist kiya jo ke 1.2770-1.2768 ke price par resistance area ko guard kar rahe the, aur bearish target yeh hai ke wo buyers ke support area ko 1.2736-1.2733 par test karen. Agar seller is area ko breach karne mein nakam rahte hain, toh GbpUsd pair ka price bullish direction mein continue karega, lekin agar breach ho jata hai, toh price agle buyers demand support area 1.2676-1.2673 par chala jayega.

**Conclusion:**

- **Sell Entry:** Sell entry tab ki ja sakti hai agar seller qareebi buyer support area 1.2736-1.2733 ko breach karne mein kamyab ho jate hain, jisme target TP area 1.2676-1.2673 par hoga.

- **Buy Entry:** Buy entry tab ki ja sakti hai agar buyer qareebi seller resistance area 1.2770-1.2775 ke ooper breach karte hain, jisme target TP area 1.2805-1.2810 par hoga.