𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

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GBP/USD - British Pound US Dollar

Hello doston, aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ki analysis karenge. Filhaal, mujhe lagta hai ke pair mein downtrend dekhne ko mil raha hai. Daily chart par sideways movement nazar aa rahi hai, jismein southwards break karne ki koshish ho rahi hai. Dekhte hain ke kya sideways movement continue karegi ya humein kuch aur scenarios dekhne ko milenge. Technical analysis se maloom hota hai ke pair mein aaj ke liye kya trade recommendations hain aur humari trading strategy kya honi chahiye.

Technical Analysis:

1. Moving Averages: Moving averages ki baat karein to yeh ab sell signal de rahe hain. Jab moving averages sell signal dete hain, iska matlab hota hai ke market bearish trend mein hai aur selling pressure dominant hai. Daily chart par, moving averages ke indicators kehte hain ke ab pair ko sell karna sahi rahega.
2. Technical Indicators: Technical indicators bhi actively sell signal de rahe hain. RSI (Relative Strength Index), MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence), aur Stochastic indicators sab bearish signals dikhate hain. Yeh indicators market ke momentum aur trend ki strength ko measure karte hain. Abhi inka kehna hai ke selling position lena zyada faydemand rahega.
3. Conclusion: Conclusion ke taur par, hum keh sakte hain ke pair mein downtrend continue hone ke chances hain. Humein is trend ko confirm karne ke liye thodi aur clarity chahiye. Agar indicators aur moving averages consistently bearish signals dete hain, to hum confidently sell position le sakte hain.

News and Events:

Aaj ke din pair ke liye important news releases ka bhi analysis zaroori hai. UK se jo news aayi hai, wo positive hai. Iska impact pair par dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lekin, aaj ke din ke liye aur koi significant news ki umeed nahi hai. US se bhi positive news aayi hai. Lekin, US se aane wali news releases ke forecast neutral hain. Iska matlab hai ke market mein immediate impact dekhne ko nahi milega.

Trading Strategy:

Aaj ke din ke liye, meri priority pair ki sideways movement rahegi. Mujhe lagta hai ke pair resistance level 1.2725 tak pohnch sakta hai. Yahan se buying opportunities dekhne ko mil sakti hain. Agar price yahan se upar jati hai, to humein buying positions lene par sochna chahiye. Sales ka option bhi hai, lekin iske liye support level 1.2680 ko dekhna hoga. Agar price is level ke neeche girti hai, to selling positions consider karna zaroori ho sakta hai.

Sideways movement ka matlab hai ke price kuch time ke liye ek range mein move karegi. Isliye, agar price resistance level ko break karti hai to buying opportunities mil sakti hain, aur agar support level ko break karti hai to selling opportunities. Yeh zaroori hai ke hum market ki movement aur key levels ko closely monitor karein.

Risk Management:

Risk management bhi trading ka ek important part hai. Agar aap buy ya sell position lete hain, to stop-loss aur take-profit levels zaroor set karen. Isse aap apne capital ko protect kar sakte hain aur market ki volatility ke bawajood apne losses ko minimize kar sakte hain. Aaj ke din mein bhi, risk management ko apni trading strategy ka hissa banayein.

Summary:

In summary, GBP/USD pair ka trend filhaal downwards hai aur technical indicators sell signals de rahe hain. News releases bhi market par kuch khas impact nahi daal rahi hain. Sideways movement ki umeed hai aur resistance aur support levels ke around trading opportunities mil sakti hain. Aaj ke liye, sideways movement par nazar rakhte hue, buying aur selling levels ko closely monitor karen aur risk management ko zaroor dhyan mein rakhen. Yeh plan aapki trading decisions ko guide karega aur aapko market ke dynamic conditions ke saath sync mein rakhega.

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Aaj ka din sirf pound ke naam hai, aur main bhi sirf GBP/USD pair ki baat kar raha hoon. Har koi is pair ke liye ek resolution ka intezaar kar raha tha aur aaj, kuch din ke measurement ke baad, yeh "cut off" ho gaya. Yeh niche gaya hai. Aaj kal, maine zyada tar downside ki taraf hi jhukav rakha hai, kyunke sab kuch growth ke liye bohot straightforward lag raha tha. Fundamental factor aur euro ke saath correlation dono straightforward lag rahe the. Yeh sab mujhe un passengers ki yaad dilata hai jo train ke liye late hote hain aur wahi tickets le kar plane mein chadhne ki koshish karte hain.

Daily Timeframe Analysis:

Daily timeframe mein humne is zone ko pehle hi pierce kar diya hai, lekin abhi confirmation ke baare mein baat karna thoda jaldi hai. Buying ya significant pullback ki baat bhi abhi appropriate nahi lagti. Filhaal, decline ka continuation relevant lag raha hai, kyunke buyers ko yeh samajh aa gaya hai ke woh galat the. Lekin, naye low ke baad kuch khaas nahi hua, matlab pair ne significant drop nahi kiya. Hourly sell signal ke chhote targets jo pehle review mein mention kiye gaye the, woh already fulfill ho chuke hain. Lekin, abhi bhi kuch lower targets hain.

Indicator Targets:

Indicator targets bhi previous lows ko break karne ke baad almost turant meet ho gaye, khaaskar 1.26773 ke level par. Aage, ek aur target level hai 1.26247. Yeh targets 161.8% Fibonacci retracement level par hain, lekin yeh alag tareeke se draw kiya gaya hai. Yeh growth impulse par base hai jo abhi tak buyers ko unka expected northern scenario nahi de paya. Aur ab buyers iski keemat chukaa rahe hain. Mujhe lagta hai ke niche jaane ke baad, hum 1.26247 ke targets par ruk sakte hain, kyunke buyers ko medium term mein apne stops ko 1.26111 ke higher low ke peechay rakhna chahiye. Iske ilawa, wahan ek visual area bhi hai jo location-wise dekhne ko milta hai. Aur sellers ke liye debts bhi is level ke neeche add kiye ja sakte hain, jahan market ne ek baar signal diya tha lekin apna potential pura nahi kiya. Yeh kaafi mumkin hai ke ab yeh potential fulfill ho sakta hai.

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GBP/USD Market Analysis: August 7, 2024

Pound Sterling Declines Post-UK Elections

Wednesday ko, Pound Sterling ne US Dollar ke muqablay mein halka sa decline dekha aur 1.2704 par trade kiya, jo ke 0.14% ki kami ko darshata hai. Yeh movement UK ke haal mein hue general elections ke baad dekha gaya hai, jahan Labour Party ke significant victory haasil karne ki umeed hai. Currency market ka response UK ke evolving political landscape ko reflect karta hai, jo investor sentiment aur currency trading dynamics ko influence kar raha hai.

Federal Reserve Rate Cut Expectations Grow Amid US Economic Concerns

Is ke sath hi, CME FedWatch tool ne September mein Federal Reserve ke rate cuts ke probabilities mein izafa report kiya hai. Yeh likelihood 72.6% tak barh gaya hai, jab ke ek hafta pehle yeh 66% tha. Yeh shift in expectations tab aayi hai jab kai US economic indicators, khaaskar labor market, mein kamzori ke asar nazar aaye hain. US ki overall economic health dheemi hoti nazar aa rahi hai, jo market participants ko Federal Reserve se proactive measures ki ummeed de rahi hai.

US Service Sector Contracts, Economic Challenges Highlighted

US service sector ne second quarter ko ek subdued note par khatam kiya. June ke liye ISM Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) record hua, jo 48.8 tak gir gaya hai, jo chaar saalon mein sabse kam hai. Yeh index, jo US economy ke do-thirds ko represent karta hai, 50.0 ke threshold se niche chala gaya. Yeh data US economy mein challenges ko highlight karta hai aur broader market sentiments aur currency exchange rates ko influence karta hai.

Technical Analysis of GBP/USD Pair and Market Outlook

GBP/USD pair Wednesday ko 1.2701 ke aas paas hover kar raha tha. Technical analysis se bearish inclination nazar aati hai, jahan pair daily chart par descending channel mein consolidate kar raha hai. Phir bhi, 14-day Commodity Channel Index (CCI) bearish trend ke kamzor hone ka signal de raha hai, aur iska current position 50 ke level ke upar hai jo aage ki upward movement ka indication hai.

Resistance and Support Levels

Pound Sterling resistance ko 1.2781 par challenge karne ke liye poised hai, provided ke current overbought conditions barqarar rahti hain, jo retracement ko trigger kar sakti hai. Agar yeh level 1.2691 ke niche girta hai to yeh momentum shift ka signal de sakta hai, jo upward trend ki reassessment ki zaroorat ko darshata hai. Market participants in levels aur technical signals ko dhyan se observe karenge taake market sentiment ko assess kiya ja sake aur near term mein favorable trading prospects ko identify kiya ja sake.

Image: GBP/USD Daily Chart



Conclusion

In summary, GBP/USD pair mein current market dynamics aur technical indicators se yeh nazar aata hai ke short-term mein market fluctuations ho sakti hain. Political developments, economic indicators, aur technical levels ko monitor karna zaroori hoga taake sahi trading decisions liye ja sakein.

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GBP/USD Analysis: Interest Rates Lead to Increased Selling Pressure

Pound Sterling ne $1.2710 tak gir gaya, jo ke ek mahine ka sabse low level hai, jab investors ne Bank of England se rate cuts ki tezi ki ummeed lagayi. Yeh decline tab aaya jab US recession ke concerns ne UK government bond yields ko bhi multi-month lows tak giradiya. Ab market ko lagta hai ke Bank of England December tak 25 basis points ka interest rate cut kar sakti hai.

Interest Rate Futures and Market Expectations

Monday ko, interest rate futures ne is saal total 56 basis points ke rate cuts ki ummeed darj ki, jo Friday ko 47 basis points thi. Do saal ke gilt yield, jo borrowing costs ke changes ko reflect karta hai, 8 basis points gir kar 3.526% tak pahuncha, jo April 2023 ke baad se sabse kam hai. Pichle hafte, Bank of England ne apna key interest rate 5.25% se ghata kar 5.0% kiya, jo 16 saalon mein pehli baar decline hai.

Bank of England's Recent Rate Cut and Public Spending

Bank of England ne pichle hafte 25 basis points se interest rate ko 5% tak giraya, jo 16 saalon mein sabse zyada tha. Is ke sath, naye British finance minister ne public spending ko kam karne ke liye measures announce kiye aur autumn budget mein taxes ke izafa ka bhi hint diya, taake 22 billion pound ke funding deficit ko poora kiya ja sake.

US Stock Market Volatility

US stocks ne Monday ke aakhri ghante mein sharp decline dekha, jo recent volatility ke trend ko continue karta hai. Trading data ne dikhaya ke S&P 500 ne 3.3% ki kami dekhi, jo din bhar fluctuating thi. Shuruati trading mein, index 4.3% tak gira, lekin dopahar tak decline 1.8% tak kam ho gaya.

Treasury Yields and Market Uncertainty

Policy-sensitive two-year Treasury yield bhi fluctuate hota raha. Yeh slightly higher band ho kar 3.89% par close hua, jab ke overnight yields 16-month low tak gir gaye the, lekin dopahar tak 3.95% tak rebound kar gaye. Treasury yields ka reversal investors ke liye operating environment ki uncertainty ko highlight karta hai.

Technical Analysis and Market Outlook

Daily chart ke mutabiq, GBP/USD pair ka downtrend mazid strong hota ja raha hai. Jaise ke pehle bataya, agar 1.2700 level ke neeche break hota hai, to bears ka control mazid barhega aur deeper losses ke liye foundation prepare karega, jahan agla key support level 1.2580 hai. Dusri taraf, 1.3000 psychological resistance ab bhi general upward trend ko reverse karne ke liye sabse important resistance banega.

Image: GBP/USD Daily Chart



Conclusion

In summary, GBP/USD pair ka current downtrend interest rates aur market uncertainties ki wajah se barh raha hai. Investors ko market signals aur technical levels ko dhyan se observe karna hoga taake future trends aur trading opportunities ko assess kiya ja sake. Market volatility aur economic indicators ke combined effects trading strategies par significant impact daal rahe hain.

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GBP/USD Analysis: H1 Timeframe and Current Outlook

Mujhe lagta hai ke is waqt sabse aham timeframe H1 hai. Sideways pattern is tarah se structured hai ke ek ascending channel draw kiya ja sakta hai. Filhal, price is channel ke support ki taraf wapas aa rahi hai aur isse test karegi, lekin is support ke neeche actual breakthrough ka koi signal nahi hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh breakout false hoga aur price wapas upar ki taraf bounce back karegi.

Price Testing and Movement Expectations

Agar price level 1.2820 ko test nahi karti, to mujhe lagta hai ke strong downward movement nahi aayegi. Is waqt jo bhi movement hai, woh zyadatar sideways aur corrective hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke price jab tak 1.2820 ko test nahi karti, tab tak major downward movement dekhne ko nahi milegi.

Current Market Conditions

Price ke niche breakout ki agar baat ki jaye, to woh abhi tak confirm nahi hui. Yeh sideways pattern market mein stability aur temporary price fluctuations ko reflect karta hai. Ascending channel ka support level price ke liye ek strong zone hai aur agar yeh support break hota bhi hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke yeh ek false breakout hoga, aur price wapas upar move karegi.

Conclusion

Yeh meri opinion hai aur yeh galat bhi ho sakti hai. H1 timeframe par jo bhi signals hain, unhein dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke market abhi sideways movement aur potential bounce back ki direction mein hai. Traders ko market ki real-time developments aur technical signals ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki market conditions jaldi badal sakti hain.

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GBP/USD Analysis: Current Levels aur Market Sentiment

GBP/USD pair filhal din ke opening level 1.2790 ke neeche aur daily Pivot level 1.2766 ke bhi neeche trade ho raha hai. Yeh levels market ki bearish sentiment ko reflect karte hain.

Key Indicators aur Moving Average Analysis

Key indicators yeh dikhate hain ke bearish momentum abhi bhi strong hai, aur price 72-period Moving Average trend line ke neeche hai, jahan usually volume distribution hoti hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke market mein selling pressure zyada hai.

Potential Price Movements

1. Upside Potential:
   • Agar price 1.2766 ke level se upar move karti hai, to hum expect kar sakte hain ke pair 1.2799 aur shayad 1.2837 ki taraf rise karega. Yeh levels pivot points aur previous highs ke reference points hain jo upward movement ko support karte hain.
2. Downside Risk:
   • Agar price 1.2766 ke level se neeche girti hai, to mujhe lagta hai ke pair 1.2750 aur shayad 1.2710 ki taraf decline karega. Yeh levels bearish trend ko reinforce karte hain aur potential targets hain.

Pivot Levels aur Market Sentiment

• Monthly Pivot Level: 1.2837 (Pichla 1.2704)
• Weekly Pivot Level: 1.2799 (Pichla 1.2885)
• Daily Pivot Level: 1.2766

Pound filhal monthly Pivot level 1.2837 ke neeche, weekly Pivot level 1.2799 ke neeche, aur daily Pivot level 1.2766 ke neeche trade ho raha hai, jo bearish sentiment ko indicate karta hai.

Conclusion

Agar price 1.2766 ke upar move karti hai, to pair monthly Pivot level ki taraf move karega. Agar price 1.2837 ke neeche rehti hai, to pair south direction mein shift ho chuki hai. Pound daily Pivot level ko test kar raha hai, aur current market conditions ke hisaab se bearish trend ka zyada chance hai.

Traders ko in levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur market ki real-time developments ke sath adjust karna chahiye.

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GBP/USD Trading Analysis: Key Levels and Market Sentiment

GBP/USD pair filhal 1.2774 par trade kar raha hai, jo ke key levels 1.2767 aur 1.2829 ke darmiyan hai. Yeh levels trading actions ke liye crucial hain aur candle closures across different timeframes par depend karte hain.

Bullish Opportunities

Agar aap bullish trading opportunities dekh rahe hain, to 1.2829 ka level aapke liye pivotal marker hai. Agar hourly candle is level ke upar close karti hai, to yeh potential uptrend ko signal kar sakta hai aur resistance zone 1.2950 ki taraf movement ko indicate kar sakta hai.

Bearish Outlook

Wohi, agar aap bearish outlook consider kar rahe hain, to four-hour candle ka 1.2767 ke neeche close hona zaroori hai. Agar yeh hota hai, to pair 1.2646 ki taraf decline kar sakta hai, jo ke support level hai.

Market Sentiment

Aaj ke liye, market sentiment bearish lag raha hai. Yeh sentiment is fact ko reflect karta hai ke market participants upper boundary 1.2829 se retraction ki ummeed kar rahe hain. Agar yeh scenario realize hota hai, to downward momentum accelerate ho sakta hai, jo ke bears ki patience aur strategic positioning ke sath align karta hai.

Technical Analysis Importance

Forex trading, khaaskar volatile pairs jaise GBP/USD, mein technical levels aur market sentiment par dhyan dena bohot zaroori hai. Traders ko detailed attention ke sath candlestick patterns aur key support-resistance zones ko analyze karna chahiye taake trading decisions ko inform kiya ja sake.

Conclusion

Summary ke taur par, aaj GBP/USD ka outlook potential downtrend ke taraf lean karta hai, lekin precise actions hourly aur four-hour candles ke critical levels ke closure par depend karte hain. Yeh analytical approach risks ko mitigate karne aur forex market ke evolving dynamics mein opportunities seize karne ke liye essential hai.

Image Reference

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GBP/USD H4 Analysis Chart

USD/GBP exchange rate ke analysis ke mutabiq, filhal ke liye GBP/USD pair ummeed ke mutabiq trade kar raha hai. Ab jab ke triangle se downward exit form ho chuki hai, dekhna ye hai ke aaj yeh target level 1.2645 tak pohochta hai ya nahi. Agar movement pehle se calculate ki gayi ho, to pound ke liye in half-figures se guzarna itna mushkil nahi. Is tarah, GBP/USD ne seedha figure se nikalna pasand kiya hai, na ke ek aur din isme ghoomna. Mera khayal hai ke downturn continue karega, magar dekhenge ke America kaise develop hota hai. Agar din 1.0645 ke level ke neeche close hota hai aur yeh level break hota hai, to daily support breach hoga, jo ke drop signal ko mazid barhawa dega aur pattern jo ke "Death Cross" ke form mein shakal le raha hai, woh bhi develop ho raha hai.
Technical Indicators and Current Market Sentiment


GBP/USD ka technical analysis ye dikhata hai ke filhal pair support se asani se guzra hai. Yeh currency light hai, jo isse tezi se move karne ki ijazat deti hai. Abhi tak jo movements hui hain, wo GBP/USD ke bearish trend ko support karti hain. Pair ka recent behavior suggest karta hai ke downward trend ko follow karna chahiye. Humare intentions pair ke mobility ke liye general hain, aur is waqt support breakout desirable nahi hai. Isliye, agar support level break hota hai, to yeh high probability hai ke false breakout ho sakta hai. Is option ke mutabiq, pair ko upar buy kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh strategy un traders ke liye faydemand ho sakti hai jo market ko closely monitor kar rahe hain aur false breakouts ko identify kar sakte hain.
Current Trading Levels and Analysis


Jab se GBP/USD ne triangle se downward exit kiya hai, price ne immediate target level 1.2645 ki taraf movement shuru kiya hai. Triangle ke upper line se lower line tak ka slide indicate karta hai ke price ek short-term bearish trend follow kar sakti hai. Lekin, full-fledged breakout ke liye yeh slide convenient nahi hai, isliye zyada chances hain ke price triangle ke andar hi ghoomti rahegi.

GBP/USD ka daily chart pattern bhi bearish sentiment ko highlight karta hai. Agar daily close 1.0645 ke neeche hota hai, to yeh daily support breach ho jayega, jo bearish trend ko further strengthen karega. Is scenario mein, bears ke liye yeh favorable situation hogi, aur pair ko 1.2645 ke level tak descend karne ke liye aur pressure build ho sakta hai. Yeh level 161.8% Fibonacci retracement level ke aas-paas hai, jo bearish trend ko support karta hai.
Potential Bullish and Bearish Scenarios


Agar price 1.2767 ke level se upar move karti hai, to bullish scenario possible hai. Is case mein, pair 1.2799 aur 1.2837 ke levels ki taraf rise kar sakta hai. Yeh movement ke liye hourly candle closure ke basis par decide hoga. Agar 1.2829 ke level ke upar hourly candle closure hoti hai, to yeh bullish signal dega aur pair ko resistance zone 1.2950 tak push kar sakta hai.

Conversely, agar 1.2767 ke level ke neeche four-hour candle closure hoti hai, to bearish outlook strong hota hai. Is case mein, pair 1.2750 aur 1.2710 ke support levels ki taraf decline kar sakta hai. Yeh levels market ki bearish sentiment ko reflect karte hain aur support ke breach hone par pair further downward movement dikha sakta hai.
Long-Term Perspective and Market Dynamics


GBP/USD ka long-term perspective bhi bearish lag raha hai. H4 chart ke mutabiq, agar pair lower support levels ko break karte hue further decline karta hai, to next key support level 1.2580 hoga. Yeh level previous lows ke aas-paas hai aur bears ke liye significant level ho sakta hai. Iske ilawa, psychological resistance level 1.3000 bhi important hai, jo ke bullish trend ko reverse karne ke liye critical hai.

US aur UK economic conditions bhi GBP/USD ke movement ko influence karte hain. US economic indicators aur Federal Reserve ke policies market sentiment ko impact karte hain, jabke UK ke political aur economic developments bhi currency pair ke behavior ko shape karte hain. Market participants ko dono countries ke economic conditions aur policy changes par nazar rakhni chahiye, taake trading decisions ko accurately align kiya ja sake.
Conclusion


GBP/USD ka analysis dikhata hai ke pair filhal bearish trend ko follow kar raha hai aur support levels ke breach hone ki ummeed hai. Traders ko technical levels aur market sentiment ko closely monitor karna chahiye, taake accurate trading decisions le sakein. False breakouts aur potential bullish/bearish scenarios ko identify karna trading strategy ke liye crucial hai. Forex market ke dynamic nature ko samajhna aur trading plans ko accordingly adjust karna zaroori hai, taake opportunities ko maximize kiya ja sake aur risks ko minimize kiya ja sake.

GBP/USD Analysis: Market Dynamics and Technical Insights

GBP/USD pair ki trading July 18 se girawat ka shikar hai, jo market volatility aur UK ke evolving political climate ko reflect karta hai. Tuesday ke Asian trading session mein, pair 1.2780 ke aas-paas hover kar raha tha. Yeh downturn partially UK ke recent general election ke baad market expectations se explain kiya ja sakta hai, jo naye political uncertainties ko economic equation mein introduce kar raha hai.
US Dollar aur UK Market par Political Shifts ka Asar


US Dollar (USD) bhi apne challenges ka samna kar raha hai, largely decreasing US Treasury yields ke wajah se. Soft economic data ne speculation ko fuel diya hai ke Federal Reserve shayad 2024 mein interest rates ko kam karne ka soch sakti hai. Is uncertainty ko badhawa dete hue, US markets Thursday ko holiday ke liye band the. Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago ke President Austan Goolsbee ne BBC Radio par kaha ke inflation ko 2% tak le aana waqt aur additional economic data ki zaroorat hai. Is meanwhile, Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne Reuters ke mutabiq assurance diya ke central bank apne disinflationary goals ke saath track par hai.

UK mein bhi political shifts market sentiment ko influence kar rahe hain. Labour Party, jo Keir Starmer ke leadership mein hai, predicted hai ke Rishi Sunak ke Conservatives ko power se hata sakti hai. Polling firm Survation ke recent forecast, jo Reuters ke zariye report hua, kehta hai ke Labour Party ne last national election mein record number of seats jeeti hain.
H1 Chart GBP/USD Volatility aur Technical Resistance: Key Levels to Watch


Tuesday ke trading hours ke doran, GBP/USD pair ne significant volatility dekhi. Pair ne 1.2700 ke neeche ek demand zone se near-term bullish rebound exhibit kiya, jo Tuesday ko 1.2664 tak gira. Yeh movement pair ko 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke upar le gaya, jo 1.2818 par situated hai, aur isse temporary bullish phase indicate hota hai.

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Lekin, pair ko 1.2700 mark ke neeche ek robust supply zone ka samna hai. Jab tak pair 200-day EMA ke upar hai, jo 1.2818 par hai, agar pair 1.2700 ke level ke neeche decline karta hai, to yeh 1.2650 region ki taraf drive kar sakta hai. Yeh resistance ongoing market uncertainties ko highlight karta hai aur further price adjustments ki potential ko bhi dikhata hai.
Technical Indicators aur Market Sentiment


GBP/USD pair ke technical indicators ab bearish sentiments ko reflect karte hain. 1.2700 ke level ke neeche closure se bearish trend ko further strengthen kiya ja sakta hai. Agar pair is level se neeche decline karta hai, to next significant support levels 1.2650 aur 1.2600 ke aas-paas honge. Yeh levels bearish pressure ko support karte hain aur further downward movement ke liye signal de sakte hain.

Agar pair 1.2767 ke upar move karti hai, to bullish scenario ke liye potential ban sakta hai. Is case mein, pair 1.2799 aur 1.2837 ke levels ki taraf rise kar sakta hai. Yeh movement key resistance levels ke basis par decide hoti hai. Agar hourly candle closure 1.2829 ke upar hoti hai, to yeh bullish signal ho sakta hai aur pair ko resistance zone 1.2950 tak push kar sakta hai.

Conversely, agar pair 1.2700 ke level ke neeche move karti hai aur 200-hour EMA ke neeche closure hoti hai, to bearish outlook strong hota hai. Is scenario mein, pair 1.2650 aur 1.2600 ke support levels ki taraf decline kar sakta hai, jo market ke bearish sentiment ko reflect karta hai.
Conclusion


GBP/USD ka analysis dikhata hai ke pair ab bearish trend follow kar raha hai aur 1.2700 ke support level ke breach hone ki ummeed hai. Traders ko technical levels aur market sentiment ko closely monitor karna chahiye, taake accurate trading decisions le sakein. Market dynamics aur political shifts dono hi pair ke movement ko impact karte hain. Forex market ke dynamic nature ko samajhna aur trading plans ko accordingly adjust karna zaroori hai, taake opportunities ko maximize kiya ja sake aur risks ko minimize kiya ja sake.

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GBP/USD Technical Analysis: Market Insights and Future Outlook

Aaj ke din investors US SRF President Jerome Powell ke speech ka intezaar kar rahe hain, jo GMT+4 ke mutabiq shaam 7 baje (19:00) hoga. GBP/USD ne teen din se 1.2695 ke strong resistance level ko todne mein nakami ka samna kiya hai. Jerome Powell ke speech ke doran, unki taraf se inflation ko control karne ke liye zyada significant rate hike announce kiya ja sakta hai. Agli meeting 25 July ko hone wali hai, jahan bohot se investors ki ummeed hai ke rate 55 basis points ki bajaye 76 basis points se barh jayega. Aise faisle ki wajah se GBP/USD pair 1.2710 ke level tak upar ja sakta hai. Jab tak US SRF ka head monetary policy ke hawale se wahi rhetoric barqarar rakhta hai, dollar ke kamzor hone ka imkaan hai, jo instrument ki correction ko 0.9890 tak le ja sakta hai.

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ID: 18468553

Saat saalon tak -0.75 percent reference rates ke bawajood, Swiss National Bank in rates ko barhane ka irada nahi rakhta. US regulators ki meeting ke baad, department 10 July ko milne wali hai. In dono sessions ke faisle instrument ke future ko decide karenge. Ab se le kar 13 July tak, hum GBP/USD pair ke quote ke mazid majboot hone ki ummeed kar sakte hain, jahan possible corrections instrument ko buy karne ke liye favorable prices provide kar sakti hain. Long term mein upward trend ban raha hai. Market participants ne resistance level 1.2780 ko touch kiya hai, jo aage ki price growth ko rok raha hai. Jab is mark ko upar nahi todha ja sakega, to correction shuru hone ki ummeed hai; objective yeh hoga ke 1.2685 support level ko examine kiya jaye. RSI indicator ke overbought state ki wajah se medium term mein correction develop ho sakti hai. Abhi price upper channel lines ka samna kar rahi hai, aur yeh ya to upward break karke 1.2710 level tak ja sakti hai, ya phir monthly pivot level tak gir sakti hai aur phir se upar ki taraf move kar sakti hai. Price ko weekly level 1.2830 se resistance ka samna hai, jo downward correction ko janam de sakta hai.

In technical insights ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, GBP/USD ka short-term aur medium-term outlook abhi bhi volatility aur market ke reactions pe depend karega. Jerome Powell ke speech aur upcoming economic meetings ka market par significant asar hone ki umeed hai, jo GBP/USD ke future price movements ko shape karega.

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GBP/USD Currency Pair Analysis aur Forecast: Technical Insights

Hello sabko! GBP/USD currency pair is haftay bhi apni downward trend ko continue kar raha hai. Yeh thoda surprising hai, kyunke Dollar bhi kisi clear upward trend ko show nahi kar raha, lekin lagta hai ke Pound ka halat zyada kharab hai aur yeh technical analysis ke mutabiq kaafi accurately chal raha hai is haftay. Kal, price ne 1.2810 ke resistance level se bounce kiya, jisne bears ko promising short positions ke liye achi opportunity di. Aaj, Tuesday ko, trades utni strong nahi lag rahi hain, lekin overall bearish trend nazar aa raha hai, isliye aaj selling opportunities dhoondhi ja sakti hain agar GBP/USD currency pair aage bhi pull back karta hai.
Technical Analysis


GBP/USD currency pair ne pichle kuch dinon mein downward trend continue kiya hai. Yeh trend is waqt bhi continue ho raha hai aur technical indicators is trend ko support karte hain. Kal ki trading session mein, price ne 1.2810 ke resistance level se bounce kiya, jo ke bears ke liye ek achi opportunity thi. Resistance level par bounce hone ke baad, price ne apni downward movement continue ki hai. Yeh trend dikhata hai ke market mein bearish sentiment hai aur price aage bhi niche aa sakti hai.

Resistance Levels:

• 1.2810: Yeh level ek strong resistance level hai jo pichle din price ko rok raha tha.
• 1.2850: Agar price is resistance level ko break karti hai to yeh agla major resistance level hoga.

Support Levels:

• 1.2700: Yeh level current support level hai jo price ko niche girne se rok raha hai.
• 1.2620: Yeh level 161st Fibonacci level hai, jo ke aaj kal ke correction ke liye relevant hai. Pichle mahine ka low bhi yahi tha, isliye yeh level important hai.

Current Market Sentiment


Market mein abhi bhi bearish sentiment hai. Jab price ne 1.2810 ke resistance level ko test kiya, to is level par bounce hone ke baad downward movement dekhne ko mili. Aaj Tuesday ko, trades utni strong nahi lag rahi hain, lekin overall bearish trend barqarar hai. Yeh trend dikhata hai ke agar price pull back karti hai, to selling opportunities ke liye achi conditions ho sakti hain.

Fibonacci Levels:

• 161st Fibonacci Level: Yeh level 1.2620 par hai aur is waqt ke correction ke liye important hai. Agar price is level ko test karti hai, to yeh indicate karega ke price lower levels tak ja sakti hai.

Expected Price Movement


Meri personal expectation hai ke price 161st Fibonacci level tak pohanchayegi, jo ke 1.2620 par hai. Pichle mahine ka low bhi 1.2614 tha, isliye yeh level dobara test ho sakta hai. Agar price is level tak pohanchti hai, to uske baad hum market ko reassess karenge.

Possible Scenarios:

1. Downward Movement: Agar price 1.2620 level tak girti hai aur is level ko break karti hai, to yeh downward movement ko confirm karega. Is case mein, next support level 1.2700 hoga aur uske baad 1.2614 tak bhi ja sakti hai.
2. Upward Movement: Agar price pull back karti hai aur 1.2810 ke resistance level ko break karti hai, to yeh upward movement ko signal karega. Is case mein, price 1.2850 ke level tak ja sakti hai.

Conclusion


Is waqt GBP/USD currency pair ki downward trend continue ho rahi hai aur technical analysis is trend ko support kar raha hai. Agar price 1.2620 ke level ko test karti hai, to yeh market ke bearish sentiment ko confirm karega. Is waqt ke liye, agar aap selling opportunities ki talash mein hain, to yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke price kahan tak pull back karti hai aur kya 1.2620 level ko test kiya jata hai. Technical analysis aur current market conditions ko madde nazar rakhte hue, yeh forecasts trading decisions ko guide karne mein madadgar ho sakte hain.

Bearish trend ke bawajood, market mein volatility bhi barqarar hai aur price movement unpredictable ho sakti hai. Isliye, trading decisions lene se pehle market trends aur technical indicators ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai.

Current price 1.27732 hai jo 100% (1.28156) aur 50% (1.27623) ke beech mein hai. Iska matlab hai ke bulls ka interest daily candles ka aadha se zyada hai. Main buying consider karta hoon 50% (1.27623) level se, jo ke ek bullish support hai aur decline ko limit karega. Iske ilawa, do aur suitable levels bhi hain buying ke liye: 61.8% (1.27749) aur 76.4% (1.27904). Main expect karta hoon ke yeh levels par price grow karega. Profit fix karna ke liye 123.6% (1.28408) aur 138.2% (1.28563) levels ko target kiya gaya hai. Intraday movements weaken ho rahi hain aur range mein wapas aa rahi hain, kyun ke volatility din ke liye chosen hai. Hum H1 chart ko closely monitor karte rehte hain.
Trading Instrument GBP/USD Ka Market Value


Trading instrument GBP/USD ka market value 1.2776 hai. Aaj ke early trading session mein resistance 1.2801 par hai. MACD technical indicator positive zone mein hai aur StdDev trend indicator bullish direction mein move kar raha hai. Agar trading instrument ka price 1.2800 level ke upar chala jata hai, to trading instrument ka rate 1.2900 level tak rise kar sakta hai.
Fibonacci Levels Aur Trading Strategy

1. 50% Fibonacci Level (1.27623): Yeh level buying ke liye ek strong support provide karta hai aur decline ko limit karta hai. Current price 1.27732 is level ke bohot kareeb hai, jo ke ek acha buying opportunity banata hai.
2. 61.8% Fibonacci Level (1.27749): Yeh level bhi ek acha support point hai aur bullish trend ko confirm karta hai. Is level par buying karna beneficial ho sakta hai.
3. 76.4% Fibonacci Level (1.27904): Yeh level ek aur strong support hai jo bullish trend ko sustain karne mein madad karega. Is level par bhi buying opportunity hai.

Profit Targets Aur Risk Management

1. 123.6% Fibonacci Level (1.28408): Yeh level profit fix karne ke liye pehla target hai. Is level tak price move karne ka high probability hai, jo ke bullish trend ko confirm karta hai.
2. 138.2% Fibonacci Level (1.28563): Yeh level doosra profit target hai, jo ke bullish momentum ko sustain karne ke liye important hai. Is level par price reach karne ka expectation hai.

Indicators Analysis

1. MACD Indicator: Yeh indicator positive zone mein hai, jo ke bullish trend ko support karta hai. Jab MACD positive zone mein hota hai, to yeh buying signal provide karta hai.
2. StdDev Trend Indicator: Yeh indicator bullish direction mein move kar raha hai, jo ke market mein buying pressure ko indicate karta hai.

Conclusion Aur Trading Recommendations


Overall, GBP/USD ka current market analysis bullish trend ko indicate karta hai, especially Fibonacci levels aur technical indicators ke analysis ke mutabiq. Buying positions 50% (1.27623), 61.8% (1.27749), aur 76.4% (1.27904) levels par suitable hain aur profit targets 123.6% (1.28408) aur 138.2% (1.28563) levels par set kiye gaye hain. Indicators bhi bullish trend ko support karte hain, jahan MACD positive zone mein hai aur StdDev trend indicator bullish direction mein move kar raha hai. Yeh analysis trading strategy ko effectively implement karne ke liye helpful hoga aur market movements ko closely monitor karte hue timely decisions lene mein madad karega

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GBP/USD Exchange Rate Analysis aur Forecast

GBP/USD exchange rate Tuesday ko 90 basis points se kam hua. GBP/USD pair ki wave structure kaafi complex aur ambiguous hai. Thode waqt ke liye, wave pattern kaafi convincing lag raha tha aur downward wave set ke formation ko suggest kar raha tha, jiska target 23 figure ke niche tha. Lekin, practically, US currency ki demand itni zyada barh gayi ke is scenario ko realize karna mushkil ho gaya.

Filhal, wave structure bilkul unreadable ho gaya hai. Main apni analysis mein simple structures ko use karne ki koshish karta hoon, kyunki complex structures mein bohot zyada nuances aur ambiguous moments hote hain. Abhi hum ek upward wave dekh rahe hain jo ek downward wave ko overlap kar rahi hai. Ye downward wave, apni baari mein, pehle ki upward wave ko overlap karti hai, jo ke pehle ki downward wave ko bhi overlap karti hai. Ek hi assumption banayi ja sakti hai ke ek expanding triangle ban raha hai jiska upper point 30 figure ke aas-paas aur balancing line 26 figure ke aas-paas hai. Triangle ka upper line reach kiya gaya hai, aur is line ko break karne mein na success market ki downward waves ke formation ki readiness ko indicate karti hai. 1.2822 mark ko break karne mein na success, jo ke 23.6% Fibonacci ke barabar hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke decline agle kuch waqt mein dobara shuru ho sakta hai.

Bank of England Pound ko neeche kheenchti rahegi. GBP/USD exchange rate Tuesday ko 90 basis points se kam hua. Movements ki amplitude chauthe consecutive din bhi achi rahi. Mujhe pair ka decline "balancing line" ki taraf dekh kar zyada khushi hui. Kyunki yeh line lagbhag 80-100 basis points door hai, chaliye dekhte hain ke kya scenario follow kar sakta hai.

Mere khayal se, pair ko kam se kam ek teen-wave corrective structure banana chahiye. Lekin, is structure ka pehla wave already substantial lag raha hai. Isliye, pound ka 1.26 level se kaafi niche girne ka potential hai. Main puri tarah se maan leta hoon ke teen-wave structure 1.23 level ya phir 1.21 level ke aas-paas khatam ho sakta hai. Main ne yeh targets pehle bhi mention kiye hain, lekin honestly, mujhe nahi laga tha ke pound June 12 ke baad rise karega.

Kal, US Dollar ko bhi news support mila. Kam logon ne ISM services index ko notice kiya, kyunki zyada log panic actions mein busy the, lekin ISM index expectation se behtar tha. Yeh ek positive report hai jo market aksar overlook karti hai, sirf recession ki confirmation wali data par focus karti hai. Lekin, US economy second quarter mein 2.8% se grow hui aur services sector mein business activity badh rahi hai. Mere khayal se, recession expectations bohot zyada exaggerated hain. Jaise Fed rate cut ki expectations bhi September mein, lekin yeh ab koi surprise nahi hai.

CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, 18 September ko 50 basis point rate cut ki probability ab 76.5% hai, aur 25 basis point rate cut ki 23.5%. Market interest rate ko unchanged rakhne ka option bhi consider nahi kar rahi. GBP/USD pair ki wave structure ab bhi decline suggest karti hai. Agar upward trend section 22 April ko shuru hua, to yeh already five-wave form mein aa gaya hai. Isliye, kisi bhi surat mein, ab humein kam se kam ek teen-wave correction ki ummeed karni chahiye. Triangle ka upper line ko break karne mein na success market ki downward waves ke formation ki readiness ko indicate karti hai. Mere khayal se, nazdeek future mein pair ko bechne ke liye consider karna chahiye jiska target 1.2627 mark ke aas-paas ho, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci ke barabar hai.

Badi wave scale par, wave picture transform ho chuki hai. Hum ab complex aur extended upward corrective structure ki formation ko assume kar sakte hain. Filhal, yeh ek teen-wave structure hai, lekin yeh ek five-wave structure mein transform ho sakta hai, jo ki complete hone mein kuch mahine ya usse bhi zyada lag sakte hain.

GBP/USD pair ko dekhte hue, khaaskar shaam ko positions ke recovery ko madde nazar rakhtay hue, hum dekhte hain ke value kaafi modest hai. Yeh is baat ko darshata hai ke bears apni strength ko le kar puri tarah se confident nahi hain. Isliye, ek key scenario yeh hai ke price shayad high level par wapas na aaye, lekin 1.2650 ke upar stabilize ho sakti hai. 2023 ke end ko dekhte hue, pound ki growth shuru hui thi, jo initially dollar ki kamzori ki wajah se thi. Dollar ki kamzori ne sabhi currencies ko affect kiya aur pound bhi iske saath chala. UK ka COVID-19 restrictions ke liye approach bhi isme role ada karta hai. Prime Minister Boris Johnson ne announce kiya tha ke UK Christmas tak restrictions nahi lagayega, aur holidays ke baad bhi rules implement karne mein dheere dheere kaam hua. Infected logon ki tadaad badh gayi, lekin Johnson ke Christmas message ne active vaccination ki importance ko emphasize kiya taake restrictions se bacha ja sake. Unhone un logon ko vaccination lene ke liye kaha jo iske against the, ye keh kar ke UK ka response virus ke widespread immunization par depend karta hai.
GBP/USD pair thodi si rise dekh sakti hai, jo Friday aur previous week ke highs, 1.2989 ke around, ko surpass kar sakti hai. Yeh movement technical analysis se align karti hai jo minor upward push ko indicate karti hai pehle kisi significant pullback ke. Psychological level 1.3000 ab bhi ek key point hai. Yeh level round number hone ke sath ek critical resistance point bhi hai jo shayad dobara test ho sakta hai. 1.3000 ka retest significant hoga, kyunki yeh ya to breakout confirm karega, jo further bullish momentum lead kar sakta hai, ya strong resistance ban sakta hai, jo zyada pronounced pullback ko trigger kar sakta hai.

In observations ke madde nazar, traders ko 1.2989 se 1.3000 levels ke around price action ko closely monitor karna chahiye. Agar price 1.3000 ke upar clear breakout kar deti hai aur momentum sustain hota hai, to yeh further bullish advances ka signal ho sakta hai. Wahi agar price is level ko break nahi karti aur decline shuru hota hai, to attention 1.2847 se 1.2902 support zones par shift karni chahiye potential buying opportunities ke liye.

Summary yeh hai ke GBP/USD currency pair aane wale week mein kuch volatility experience kar sakta hai, aur dono upside aur downside par critical levels ko watch karna zaroori hoga. In key zones ko monitor karna traders ko informed decisions lene aur apne positions ko effectively manage karne mein madad karega. Yeh levels pair ki next directional move ko samajhne mein valuable insights provide karenge.

Next week, UK se important news releases hain: CPI, inflation, unemployment aur retail sales. United States se: initial jobless claims, Federal Reserve ke discussion leader Powell ki speech, core retail sales index, retail sales, crude oil inventories, manufacturing activity index, aur building permits issued. Fundamental aur technical analysis dono ko consider karte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke pair pehle 1.2810 level tak south correction dekhegi aur phir north ki taraf 1.3120 level tak reverse karegi. Good luck to everyone

Click image for larger version

Current price 1.27732 hai jo 100% (1.28156) aur 50% (1.27623) ke beech mein hai. Iska matlab hai ke bulls ka interest daily candles ka aadha se zyada hai. Main buying consider karta hoon 50% (1.27623) level se, jo ke ek bullish support hai aur decline ko limit karega. Iske ilawa, do aur suitable levels bhi hain buying ke liye: 61.8% (1.27749) aur 76.4% (1.27904). Main expect karta hoon ke yeh levels par price grow karega. Profit fix karna ke liye 123.6% (1.28408) aur 138.2% (1.28563) levels ko target kiya gaya hai. Intraday movements weaken ho rahi hain aur range mein wapas aa rahi hain, kyun ke volatility din ke liye chosen hai. Hum H1 chart ko closely monitor karte rehte hain.
Trading Instrument GBP/USD Ka Market Value


Trading instrument GBP/USD ka market value 1.2776 hai. Aaj ke early trading session mein resistance 1.2801 par hai. MACD technical indicator positive zone mein hai aur StdDev trend indicator bullish direction mein move kar raha hai. Agar trading instrument ka price 1.2800 level ke upar chala jata hai, to trading instrument ka rate 1.2900 level tak rise kar sakta hai.
Fibonacci Levels Aur Trading Strategy

1. 50% Fibonacci Level (1.27623): Yeh level buying ke liye ek strong support provide karta hai aur decline ko limit karta hai. Current price 1.27732 is level ke bohot kareeb hai, jo ke ek acha buying opportunity banata hai.
2. 61.8% Fibonacci Level (1.27749): Yeh level bhi ek acha support point hai aur bullish trend ko confirm karta hai. Is level par buying karna beneficial ho sakta hai.
3. 76.4% Fibonacci Level (1.27904): Yeh level ek aur strong support hai jo bullish trend ko sustain karne mein madad karega. Is level par bhi buying opportunity hai.

Profit Targets Aur Risk Management

1. 123.6% Fibonacci Level (1.28408): Yeh level profit fix karne ke liye pehla target hai. Is level tak price move karne ka high probability hai, jo ke bullish trend ko confirm karta hai.
2. 138.2% Fibonacci Level (1.28563): Yeh level doosra profit target hai, jo ke bullish momentum ko sustain karne ke liye important hai. Is level par price reach karne ka expectation hai.

Indicators Analysis

1. MACD Indicator: Yeh indicator positive zone mein hai, jo ke bullish trend ko support karta hai. Jab MACD positive zone mein hota hai, to yeh buying signal provide karta hai.
2. StdDev Trend Indicator: Yeh indicator bullish direction mein move kar raha hai, jo ke market mein buying pressure ko indicate karta hai.

Conclusion Aur Trading Recommendations


Overall, GBP/USD ka current market analysis bullish trend ko indicate karta hai, especially Fibonacci levels aur technical indicators ke analysis ke mutabiq. Buying positions 50% (1.27623), 61.8% (1.27749), aur 76.4% (1.27904) levels par suitable hain aur profit targets 123.6% (1.28408) aur 138.2% (1.28563) levels par set kiye gaye hain. Indicators bhi bullish trend ko support karte hain, jahan MACD positive zone mein hai aur StdDev trend indicator bullish direction mein move kar raha hai. Yeh analysis trading strategy ko effectively implement karne ke liye helpful hoga aur market movements ko closely monitor karte hue timely decisions lene mein madad karega