𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

### GBP/USD Analysis: 25 July 2024

Correction ke liye, GBP/USD ko ideally kam se kam 1.2860 tak pohnchna chahiye tha. Lagta hai yeh mark just miss kar gaya hai, kyunke maine pehle bhi noted kiya tha ke yeh lagbhag 20 points se short ho sakta hai, jo hum ab dekh rahe hain. Phir bhi, mujhe lagta hai ke ab bhi koshish ho rahi hai ke price ko 1.2860 ke qareeb le aaya jaaye. Lekin, mujhe nahi lagta ke yeh support level 1.2860 ko break karenge.

Market conditions ko analyze karte hue, yeh nazar aata hai ke GBP/USD is critical support level ko reach karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Price action yeh dikhata hai ke 1.2860 ko touch karne ki koshish ho rahi hai, lekin market momentum itna strong nahi lagta ke is level ko break kar sake. Historically, 1.2860 ne significant support ka role ada kiya hai, aur yeh nazar aata hai ke yeh near term mein bhi aise hi continue karega.

1.2860 mark ko lagbhag 20 points se miss karna bearish momentum mein potential weakness ko indicate karta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke market ek consolidation phase ki talash mein hai pehle se koi significant move karne se pehle. Traders ko is level ke around price action par closely nazar rakhni chahiye taake agle steps ko determine kiya ja sake. Agar market 1.2860 ke qareeb push karta hai, toh crucial hoga dekhna ke kya yeh support hold kar sakta hai ya yeh is level se rebound karega.

Akhir mein, jabke GBP/USD ne abhi tak 1.2860 tak fully correct nahi kiya hai, lekin is level tak pohnchne ki koshish nazar aa rahi hai. Slight miss suggest karta hai ke possible consolidation ho sakti hai, lekin 1.2860 ka support firm rehne ki ummeed hai. Traders ko is level par nazar rakhni chahiye aur kisi bhi potential buying opportunities ke liye prepare rehna chahiye agar support hold karta hai, ya phir market momentum change hone par further decline ke liye ready rehna chahiye. Key yeh hoga ke 1.2860 ke aas-paas market behavior ko monitor kiya jaye aur strategies accordingly adjust ki jayein.

### GBP/USD Analysis: 25 July 2024

25 July 2024 ke update ke mutabiq, GBP/USD ke support aur resistance levels traders ke liye critical hain. Support levels hain: S1: 1.26123, S2: 1.26123, aur S3: 1.22989. Yeh levels un potential areas ko indicate karte hain jahan price ek floor pa sakti hai aur wapas upar aa sakti hai, jo buying opportunities provide karte hain. Dusri taraf, resistance levels hain: R1: 1.30437, R2: 1.30437, aur R3: 1.30437, jo signal karte hain ke price yahan selling pressure face kar sakti hai aur potentially downward reverse ho sakti hai.

GBP/USD ki trading mein, yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke kitne US Dollars ki zaroorat hoti hai ek British Pound kharidne ke liye. Traders live charts ka use karke GBP/USD rate ko monitor karte hain aur latest news aur analysis se updated rahte hain. Effective trade planning mein GBP/USD forecasts ka istemal aur key pivot points aur support-resistance levels ko samajhna shamil hai.

Support aur resistance levels ke ilawa, pivot points bhi traders ke liye zaroori hote hain taake market ke potential turning points identify kiye ja sakein. GBP/USD ke pivot points filhal hain: S1: 1.28895, S2: 1.28863, aur S3: 1.2881, jabke pivot point (P) 1.28916 hai. Resistance pivot points hain: R1: 1.28948, R2: 1.28969, aur R3: 1.29022. Yeh pivot points traders ko market ke overall sentiment aur potential price movements ko gauge karne mein madad karte hain.

In key levels ko samajhna aur unka use karna trading strategies ko significantly enhance kar sakta hai. Misal ke taur par, agar price support level 1.26123 ke qareeb pohnchti hai, toh traders isay long positions enter karne ka mauka samajh sakte hain, expecting a rebound. Conversely, agar price resistance level 1.30437 ke qareeb hoti hai, toh traders short positions enter karne ka soch sakte hain, anticipating a pullback. Pivot point 1.28916 ke aas-paas market ki direction aur potential entry aur exit points ke insights mil sakte hain.

Akhir mein, GBP/USD rates, support aur resistance levels, aur pivot points ko track karna forex trading ke liye crucial hai. Yeh tools traders ko informed decisions lene aur apni trading strategies ko optimize karne mein madad karte hain.

### GBP/USD Analysis

Hello, colleague! Kal main ne bechne ka faisla nahi kiya kyunki kuch aise nishan thay jo yeh darshate hain ke agar yeh instrument upar nahi jata, to yeh niche bhi nahi jayega. Ab daily chart par indicator technique ke mutabiq jo kuch dekha ja raha hai, wo yeh hai:

- MA100 indicator ne zameen ke parallel space ko work out kiya hai aur ab bhi yeh dikhata hai ke pair predominantly flat hai.
- Bollinger indicator bhi MA100 ko apni bands ke darmiyan se guzarne de raha hai, jo ke flat predisposition ke aur bhi nishan hai.
- Ab Bollinger bands ke edges shrink hona shuru ho gaye hain, jo ke forecast perspective mein mood ke tabdeel hone ka izhaar hai. Yani ke, teori ke mutabiq, ab downward movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, aur yeh zyada dair tak nahi chalegi. Aksar, yeh pehli wave ke decline ki development hoti hai, uske baad pehli wave ki correction ke baad doosri wave aati hai.

- Lightweight MACD ek modest bullish wave ko work out kar raha hai. Yeh dikhata hai ke extreme tak jaane ke bina sell signal hai. Filhal hum decline ke liye slope banane ke liye tayar hain.
- RSI moving averages ne overbought zone ko achi tarah work out kiya hai, magar filhal koi sell signal nahi hai.
- AO red sell bars ko work out kar raha hai.
- Stochastic oversold zone mein enter kar chuka hai aur wahan abhi bhi bana hua hai.

Toh, filhal main support level 1.2850 ka zyada clear test dekhne ka intezar kar raha hoon. Yahan se humein upar ki taraf movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai.

### GBP/USD Trades Lower Amid BoE Rate Cut Speculation

Biyarat-e-Asha (Wednesday) ko, GBP/USD ka jo jari tha woh 1.2895 ke aas-paas trade kar raha tha, jo ke ek softer tone ko reflect karta hai. Yeh harkat Bank of England (BoE) ke aane wale meeting mein interest rates ko cut karne ke speculation ke madde nazar hai. Bahut se economists ka kehna hai ke BoE apni bank rate ko kam karega taake UK economy ko stimulate kiya ja sake, jo ke dheema padta dikhai de raha hai. Yeh potential rate cut debate ka ek badi baat bana hua hai, khaaskar general election aur recent economic data ke decisions ko influence karte hue.

Investors ko Thursday ko US Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) ke preliminary figures ka intezar hai. Yeh figures bohot ahm hain kyunki yeh US economy ke health ko zahir karte hain, jo ke GBP/USD pair par significant impact daal sakte hain. Agar GDP ki figures expected se zyada strong hoti hain, to US dollar ko boost mil sakta hai, jo ke GBP par additional pressure daal sakta hai.

#### BoE's Rate Decision aur Economic Indicators:

BoE ke rate cut ka faisla mixed economic indicators ke zariye kiya ja raha hai. Jabke inflation ne thoda easing dikhaya hai, wage growth aur service sector inflation ab bhi concerns hain. Aane wale inflation data aur doosre economic indicators BoE ke decision-making process mein ahm role ada karenge.

#### Market Overview & Trading Strategy:

GBP/USD pair ka performance BoE ke actions aur broader economic environment se closely tied hai. Jaise hi market BoE ke August meeting aur US GDP data release ke liye tayar ho raha hai, humein sellers ke 61.8% Fibonacci level par hit karne aur weakness dikhane ki wajah se asset ko neeche jane mein mushkilat ka samna karna pad raha hai. Bulls ne bhi 38.2% Fibonacci level ke niche kuch bearish candles banayi hain. Isliye, ab sellers aur buyers dono firmly entrenched hain, aur humein price ko 1.29500 se 1.28908 ke range ke bahar move karne ka intezar karna hoga.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) filhal sellers ko support kar raha hai, jo 39.38 par hai. Lekin agar price 1.28900 level ke niche break hoti hai, to sellers ko zyada strength mil sakti hai. Dusri taraf, agar bulls asset ko 1.29500 ke upar push kar lete hain, to buyers ko buying orders place karne ka mauka milega.

### GBP/USD/H4 1.3045

GBP/USD ka jo pair hai, wo filhal downtrend mein hai hourly chart par, jahan price moving average ke niche hai, jo bears ki strength ko indicate karta hai. Zig-zag indicator bhi southward direction ki signal de raha hai, kyunki notable highs aur lows gir rahe hain. Intraday trading ke liye, 1.2710 area se selling karna aur pehla profit target 1.2710 aur doosra target 1.2650 rakhna, aur stop loss 1.2690 ke aas-paas lagana maqool lagta hai. Dusri taraf, agar pair 1.2700 ke upar break aur consolidate karti hai, to buying consider ki ja sakti hai, jahan take profit 1.2670 aur stop loss 1.2600 rakha ja sakta hai.

Kal, GBP/USD pair ne lower areas mein trade kiya aur din ka close 1.2905 ke aas-paas raha. Aaj, yeh downward direction mein move kar raha hai aur 1.2885 price level ki taraf barh raha hai. Hourly chart ko dekhte hue, yeh nazar aata hai ke GBP/USD moving average line MA (200) H4 par 1.2950 par strength test kar raha hai. Four-hour chart par bhi similar situation hai, jahan GBP/USD moving average line MA (200) H4 ke niche trade kar raha hai. In facts ko madde nazar rakhte hue, traders ko correction ke baad achi buying entry point ke liye dekhna chahiye. Neeche diye gaye picture aur chart is analysis ko behtar information dete hain, zaroor dekhein.

Agar 1.2900 mark ke upar positive movement dekhi jaati hai, to naye buyers attract ho sakte hain aur resistance ke near 1.2930-1.2940 ya 23.6% Fibonacci level support breakpoint ke aas-paas capped rahne ki ummeed hai. Agar follow-through buying hoti hai, to recent corrective slide ka phase khatam ho sakta hai aur bias wapas bulls ke favor mein shift ho sakta hai. Daily chart par oscillators abhi bhi positive territory mein hain, isliye GBP/USD pair phir se 1.3000 psychological mark ko reclaim karne aur 1.3045 region ko retest karne ki koshish kar sakta hai, jo ke pichle hafte touch hua one-year peak hai.

### GBP/USD Analysis

GBP/USD currency pair ne 1.2940 level ke paas resistance ka samna kiya hai, jo ke psychologically significant 1.3000 mark ki taraf sustained move ko rok raha hai. Yeh consolidation us recent rally ke baad aayi hai, jo pair ko one-year high 1.3045 tak le gayi thi. Filhal pair 1.2926 par trade kar raha hai aur chaar consecutive din se kamzori dikhata hua, 1.2900 level ke aas-paas chakar laga raha hai. UK PMI data jo ke expected se zyada strong thi, ko bhi upward move ko sustain karne ke liye zaroori momentum nahi mil paayi.

Jabke buyers momentum ke hawale se thodi si advantage rakhte hain, jaisa ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) se pata chalta hai, short-term trend bearish bias ko indicate karta hai. RSI ki downward slope sellers ki increasing dominance ko reflect karti hai. Agar bearish momentum barqarar rehti hai, to GBP/USD pair ko pehli support 1.2860-1.2890 zone par mil sakti hai. Agar is level ka breach hota hai, to deeper correction ki ummeed hai, jo ke 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 1.2825 ko target kar sakti hai. Zyada significant decline 50-day SMA at 1.2760 aur critical uptrend line ke paas 1.2740 ko test kar sakti hai.

Dusri taraf, agar 1.2890 level se rebound hota hai, to bullish sentiment phir se barh sakta hai, aur pair 1.3045 ke previous high ko retest kar sakta hai. Agar bullish momentum mazid barhta hai, to 1.3140 level, jo ke July 2023 mein reach hua tha, target ban sakta hai.

Technical oscillators bhi bearish pullback ki notion ko support karte hain. Stochastic indicator oversold region mein enter kar gaya hai, jabke RSI crucial 50 level ke niche positioned hai. GBP/USD ne April 22 se upward trajectory display ki hai, lekin recent consolidation aur bearish technical signals short-term correction ke potential ko suggest karte hain. Agar 200-day Moving Average ke neeche decisive move hota hai, to broader bullish outlook invalidate ho jayegi. Tab tak, pair ke 1.2880 aur 1.2940 levels ke beech range-bound rehne ki ummeed hai. Traders ko in support aur resistance levels ke sath technical indicators ki performance ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake informed trading decisions le sakein.

### GBP/USD D1 Chart Analysis

British Pound (GBP) ne Monday ko US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf strong run ke baad ek pause liya. GBP/USD pair 1.2900 level ke thodi upar trading range mein settle ho gaya. Yeh calmness ek aise daur ke baad aayi hai jab last week ke late sessions mein USD ki demand barh gayi thi. Is narrow range ke andar, GBP technical indicators 1.2925 ke aas-paas hain. Yeh wait-and-see approach traders ka hai, jo ke US aur UK se aane wale data dump ke intezar mein hain jo week ke baad mein release honge.

Shuruat mein week ke quiet hone ka matlab hai ke abhi significant economic data releases nahi hue hain. Tuesday ko US ke existing home sales data for June release honge. Lekin GBP/USD traders ka asli focus Wednesday par hoga, jab UK aur US ke liye Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data release hoga. Analysts kehte hain ke UK ke manufacturing aur services PMIs July ke liye thoda increase dekhne ko milega. Monthly services PMI 52.5 tak pahunchne ki ummeed hai, jo ke June mein 52.1 tha. Wahi, US ke services PMI mein girawat ki umeed hai, forecast models kehti hain ke July mein yeh 54.4 tak gir sakta hai, jo ke pichle month mein 55.3 tha.

US dollar ko kuch challenges ka samna karna pad raha hai, jo mixed economic data aur Federal Reserve ki future monetary policy actions ke uncertainties ki wajah se hai. Halankeh US economy ne resilience dikhayi hai, solid job growth aur consumer spending ke sath, inflation concerns aur geopolitical risks ne outlook ko complex bana diya hai. Yeh factors USD ko cautious stance lene par majboor kar rahe hain, jo GBP/USD pair ko additional boost de raha hai.

Technical indicators bhi traders ke expectations ko shape karne mein crucial role ada kar rahe hain. Moving averages, khaaskar 50-day aur 200-day moving averages, market participants ke liye closely watched hain. Filhal, GBP/USD pair in key moving averages ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo bullish sentiment ko reinforce karta hai. Momentum indicators, jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), yeh suggest kar rahe hain ke bullish momentum continue ho sakta hai, provided support at 1.2975 hold karta hai.

In conclusion, GBP/USD pair ek pivotal juncture par hai, jahan 1.2975 level crucial support zone ban raha hai. UK se positive economic data, US dollar ke uncertainties, aur technical indicators ke interplay se pair ki agle direction tay hogi. Traders bullish continuation ke signs dekh rahe hain, aur agar 1.2975 ka support intact rehta hai to further gains ki potential hai.

### GBP/USD Currency Pair Ka Tajziya

**Maujooda Bazar Ki Surat-e-Haal**

Filhal GBP/USD currency pair 1.2897 par trade kar raha hai. Yeh pair kuch waqt se bearish trend mein hai, jo British pound ki USD ke khilaf ahista ahista kam hoti hui value ko darshata hai. Yeh slow downward movement yeh darshati hai ke bazar relatively calm hai lekin yeh bhi mumkin hai ke yeh kisi bade shift ke qareeb ho.

**GBP/USD Ko Asar Andaz Karne Wale Factors**

GBP/USD pair ki movement par kai factors asar انداز karte hain. Inme shamil hain economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur Bank of England (BoE) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ke monetary policy decisions.

1. **Economic Data Releases**: Key economic indicators jaise GDP growth rates, employment data, aur inflation figures UK aur US dono se GBP/USD exchange rate par significant asar ڈال سکتے ہیں. Maslan, agar US se behtareen economic data milta hai to dollar ko boost mil sakta hai, jo GBP/USD ko neeche le jayega, jabke kamzor data ka ulta asar hota hai.

2. **Geopolitical Events**: Political stability aur international relations bhi ahm kirdar ada karte hain. Brexit developments, trade negotiations, ya kisi bhi country mein political upheaval exchange rate ko tezi se fluctuate karwa sakti hai.

3. **Monetary Policy**: BoE aur Fed ki monetary policies bhi bohot ahm hain. Interest rate changes, quantitative easing measures, aur doosri policy decisions investor sentiment aur capital flows ko influence karti hain, jo GBP/USD pair ko affect karti hain.

**Maujooda Bearish Trend**

GBP/USD ka bearish trend yeh darshata hai ke pound dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor ho raha hai. Is trend ko kuch wajah se samjha ja sakta hai:

1. **UK Economic Concerns**: UK economy ko sluggish growth, high inflation, ya political uncertainty ka samna karna pad raha hai, jo pound ko weigh kar sakta hai.

2. **Strong US Dollar**: US dollar behtar economic performance, higher interest rates, ya global uncertainties ke amid safe-haven currency ke roop mein strong ho sakta hai.

3. **Market Sentiment**: Investor sentiment aur risk appetite bhi ahm role ada karte hain. Agar investors US economy ko UK ke muqablay mein zyada stable ya promising samajhte hain, to wo dollars ko pounds ke muqablay mein prefer kar sakte hain.

**Badi Movement Ki Ummeed**

Maujooda bearish trend ke bawajood, yeh belief hai ke GBP/USD pair aane wale dinon mein significant movement dekh sakta hai. Yeh anticipation kuch potential developments par base hai:

1. **Upcoming Economic Data**: Agar aane wale economic data UK ya US se expectations se zyada different hote hain, to yeh substantial movement trigger kar sakta hai. Maslan, agar UK GDP report unexpected strong hoti hai ya US jobs report weak hota hai, to current trend reversal ya acceleration ho sakti hai.

2. **Monetary Policy Announcements**: BoE ya Fed ke kisi bhi unexpected announcements ya policy changes se bhi badi movement ho sakti hai. Agar BoE zyada aggressive interest rate hikes ka faisla karta hai to pound strengthen ho sakta hai aur GBP/USD ko upar le ja sakta hai.

3. **Geopolitical Events**: Major geopolitical events, trade disputes ke resolutions, government changes, ya new fiscal policies bhi volatility aur significant shifts ko lead kar sakte hain.

4. **Market Sentiment Shift**: Global financial market trends ya risk sentiment changes se market sentiment shift bhi badi movement ka sabab ban sakta hai. Agar global risk sentiment improve hota hai to pound gain kar sakta hai kyunki investors safe-haven assets se dollar ko nikal sakte hain.

**Technical Analysis Perspective**

Technical analysis ke nazariye se, traders specific patterns ya indicators dekhte hain jo trend reversal ya continuation suggest karte hain:

1. **Support aur Resistance Levels**: Key support aur resistance levels potential reversal points ko indicate karte hain. Agar pair strong support level ke qareeb aata hai aur usko break nahi karta, to bounce-back ki umeed hoti hai.

2. **Moving Averages**: Moving averages trends ko identify karne ke liye use kiye jate hain. Short-term aur long-term moving averages ke beech crossover trend change ka signal ho sakta hai.

3. **Indicators aur Oscillators**: Tools jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) overbought ya oversold conditions ko identify karte hain, jo potential reversals ko suggest karte hain.

**Nateejah**

GBP/USD currency pair filhal bearish trend mein hai, 1.2897 par trade kar raha hai. Lekin, aane wale dinon mein badi movement ki umeed hai economic data releases, monetary policy decisions, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment shifts ke combination ki wajah se. Traders aur investors ko in factors ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur technical analysis tools ka use karke potential entry aur exit points identify karne chahiye. Jab tak exact direction clear nahi hoti, informed aur vigilant rehna crucial hoga potential volatility ko navigate karne ke liye.

GBP/USD currency pair ne 1.2940 ke qareeb resistance ka samna kiya hai, jo ke psychologically significant 1.3000 mark ki taraf sustained move ko rok raha hai. Yeh consolidation ek recent rally ke baad aayi hai jo pair ko ek saal ke high 1.3045 tak le gayi thi. Filhal, yeh pair 1.2926 par trade kar raha hai aur chaar consecutive dinon se kamzori dikhayi hai, 1.2900 ke aas-paas chhaya hua hai. UK PMI data ke unexpectedly strong honay ke bawajood, isne upward move ko sustain karne ke liye zaroori impetus nahi diya. Jabke buyers ne momentum mein halki si faida rakhi hai, jo Relative Strength Index (RSI) se zahir hota hai, short-term trend bearish bias darshata hai. RSI ki downward slope sellers ki badhti hui dominance ko reflect karti hai. Agar bearish momentum barqarar raha, to GBP/USD pair ko 1.2860-1.2890 ke zone mein initial support mil sakta hai. Agar is level ko breach kiya gaya to deeper correction ka samna karna pad sakta hai, jiska target 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) 1.2825 hoga. Zyada significant decline 50-day SMA 1.2760 aur critical uptrend line 1.2740 ke qareeb test kar sakta hai.

Dusaray taraf, agar 1.2890 ke level se rebound hota hai, to bullish sentiment phir se jag sakta hai, aur pair pichle high 1.3045 ko dobara test kar sakta hai. Agar bullish momentum barhta hai, to 1.3140 level, jo pehle July 2023 mein touch kiya gaya tha, target ban sakta hai.

Technical oscillators bearish pullback ka signal dete hain. Stochastic indicator oversold region mein enter ho gaya hai, jabke RSI crucial 50 level ke niche hai. GBP/USD ne April 22 se upward trajectory dikhayi thi, lekin recent consolidation aur bearish technical signals short-term correction ko suggest karte hain. Agar 200-day Moving Average ke neeche decisive move hota hai to broader bullish outlook invalidate ho jayega. Tab tak, pair 1.2880 aur 1.2940 ke beech range-bound rehta nazar aata hai. Traders ko in support aur resistance levels ko closely monitor karna chahiye, sath hi technical indicators ki performance ko bhi dekhte rehna chahiye taake informed trading decisions le sakein.

GBP/USD Price Dynamics

Hamari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke price assessment ko dekh rahi hai. Mera bhi similar opinion hai GBP/USD ke baray mein. Jab pair ne ascending channel ke upper boundary ko 1.3021 par touch kiya, to currency pair ne downward corrective move shuru kiya. Filhal, price 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level 1.2881 ke qareeb hai, aur bears support levels 1.2829 (50%) aur 1.2779–1.2751 zone (61.8% aur channel ke lower border) ko target kar rahe hain. Agar downward trend jari raha, to lagbhag 150 points ki decline ho sakti hai. GBP/USD ki daily chart par halat tense hai. Pair 1.2901 par psychological aur technical support ko test kar raha hai, jo shayad isse upar ki taraf push kare. Agar price is support ko todti hai aur wahan rehti hai, to 1.2811 ke support zone aur middle Bollinger Band ki taraf decline dekhne ko mil sakti hai, trend ke strength ke hisaab se.

Dusri taraf, pair resistance zone 1.3043 tak pahunchne ki koshish kar sakta hai, jo shayad pichle hafte dekha gaya tha. Technical examination ke hisaab se, Bollinger Bands ke andar ek potential uptrend materialize ho raha hai, jo aage ke developments ko signal karta hai. Unfavorable situations se bachne ke liye stop orders place karna behtar hai. GBP/USD ne sirf naye lows hit karne ke baad bullish correction dikhayi. Agar yeh 1.2901 ke upar rehta hai, to previous significant bearish move ke 38.2% ya 50% retracement levels ki taraf correction hone ki sambhavana hai, jisme 150 points se zyada ki decline dekhi gayi hai. Agar price 1.2901 ke neeche break aur close karti hai, to aage 1.2851 ya usse lower decline hone ki sambhavana hai. Lekin, aaj pound dheere dheere move kar raha hai, isliye kal ya agle din major news events ke chalte zyada significant developments ki ummeed hai, jo pair ke volatility ko barha sakti hai.

GBP/USD Price Move

Hamari guftagu aaj GBP/USD currency pair ke price action analysis ke baare mein hai. British pound ne aaj ke din mein sirf moderate fluctuations dikhaye hain, aur din abhi khatam nahi hua hai. Agar GBP/USD ko 1.2900 par support milta hai, to yeh decline continue kar sakta hai aur ascending fan ke lower boundary aur 1.2861 level ki taraf ja sakta hai. Wahan se, pound-dollar rebound kar sakta hai aur minor pullback ke baad apni downward momentum resume kar sakta hai, pehle impulse zones 1.2813 aur 1.2759 ki taraf. Intraday volumes suggest karte hain ke sellers aaj 1.2900 support ko tod sakte hain, lekin yeh breakdown asli hai ya false, iska confirmation kal hoga. Isliye, dekhna behtar hoga. Dusri taraf, agar 1.2900 support hold hota hai aur bulls pound ko 1.2914 resistance ke upar push karte hain, to humein bullish rebound dekhne ko mil sakta hai jo 1.2969 ko target karega, lekin yeh ek alternative scenario hai.

Is hafte pound ki performance zyada precise ho sakti hai, dheere progress dikhati hai. Chart mein sales trend dikh raha hai jisme local trend line ko chaar baar touch kiya gaya hai aur paanch corrective growth waves hain. Mujhe M15 time frame par growth signal ko consider karna chahiye tha kyunki yeh puri tarah se realize nahi hua, aur sales par focus karna chahiye tha. Iske ilawa, H4 time frame par senior sell signal suggest karta hai ke potential drop 1.2807 tak ho sakta hai. Market ne is signal ke relative koi significant pullbacks nahi diye, halankeh traders bullish direction-based correction ki ummeed kar rahe hain. Secondary chart M15 time frame signal ke base par reduced targets indicate karta hai. 1.2896 tak pahunchne ke baad price rebound hui lekin stagnant rahi. Yeh lack of buyer initiative suggest karta hai ke continued growth shayad na ho. H4 plan ke mutabiq, pound bina substantial pullback ke proceed kar sakta hai.

Jahan tak maine suna hai ke USA ke aakhri elections ke doran bhi wahan elections ko falsify kiya gaya, aur ballot marking ka tareeqa bhi sabse asaan nahi tha, log confuse ho gaye aur votes galat jagah chale gaye. Shayad ab sab kuch theek ho jaye, lekin agar Democrats ke paas votes ko apni taraf kheenchne ka plan hai, to shayad is baar yeh na ho. Mere khayal se sab ko ab samajh aa gaya hai ke Trump jeetega. Sabse zaroori baat yeh hai ke unhe elections se pehle maar diya na jaye ya jail na bheja jaye. Pound ke baare mein, toh channel ko break kar diya gaya hai. Main soch raha tha ke kal yeh ek aur growth wave ke liye try karenge, lekin aisa nahi hua. Lekin filhal, daily chart ke mutabiq, sellers ne koi important cheez nahi todi hai, aur local maximum ko 1.30436 tak update karne ka chance abhi bhi hai.

GBP/USD M5 Pair:

1 - Pound 5-minute chart par upper band ke saath actively move kar raha hai, jab ke yeh outward open hai, jo ke price growth ke continuation ka signal deta hai. Is situation mein, hum sirf dekh sakte hain ke yeh signal develop hota hai ya nahi.

2 - AO indicator positive zone mein damping form kar raha hai. Agar hum zero ki taraf zyada active movement dekhen, to yeh price ke girne ka strong signal hoga. Positive zone mein naye izafa se continued growth ka signal milega.

3 - Purchases ke liye entry point 1.29249 level se consider kiya ja sakta hai, breakout aur consolidation ke baad price growth ko 1.29346 level tak expect kiya ja sakta hai.

4 - Sales ke liye entry point 1.29092 level se consider kiya ja sakta hai, aur price ka girna 1.28891 mark tak continue ho sakta hai.

Hamari guftagu GBP/USD currency pair ke price action ke tajziya par markaz rakhegi. Daily chart par, yeh pair poore hafte sideways chala aur pichle do dinon se bullish raha hai. Dekhte hain Monday kya laata hai—kya upward aur sideways movements jaari rahengi ya koi doosra scenario samne aayega. Aaj ka mukammal technical analysis karke yeh maloom hota hai ke moving averages strong selling signal dikha rahe hain, aur technical indicators bhi active sale ki taraf ishara karte hain. Is liye, pair ke liye bearish movement ki sifarish ki ja rahi hai.
Monday ko ahem khabron ke mutabiq, US manufacturing employment index positive rehne ki umeed hai, jabke UK house price index forecast neutral hai. In factors ko dekhte hue, mujhe pair ke liye bearish trend ka intezar hai.


4-hour chart par, price ne bearish focus ke saath ek local trend form kiya hai. Technical analysis karne par, growth potential nazar aa rahi hai, jo ke intezar karne ke laayak hai. AO convergence ka imkaan hai, aur agar zero value ke baad positive zone milta hai, to medium-term orders ke liye buying mumkin hai. Bearish channel ki upper zone ka breakout dekhne ki umeed hai, magar movement kuch shakki aur kamzor lagti hai, jahan price musalsal neeche ki taraf khench rahi hai. Agar support level 1.2611 range mein dip hota hai, to loss orders add karte rahenge taake price action ko poori tarah samajh sakein. Market open hone ka intezar hai, 20-31 points ka potential gain dekhne ki umeed hai. Movement ka type market liquidity par mabni hoga. Yaqeenan hum ek upward impulse dekhenge, magar mere liye yeh ab bhi correction scenario hai. Price movement ko monitor karenge, khaaskar range 1.2691 se pehle.

Trade karne ka pehla mauqa current level 1.2610 par hai, uske baad jab yeh level 1.2760 tak pohchta hai, jo doosra mauqa hai. Doosri surat mein, jab price weekly pivot point par drop hokar bounce karti hai aur ek upward price action form hoti hai, to stock khareedne ka mauqa hota hai. Agar price weekly support level 1.2545 ko 4-hour chart par break karti hai aur price channels bhi break hote hain, to pair ko sell karna mumkin hai.

GBP/USD H-4

Achha din guzariye. Jo correction hone chahiye thi, wo 1.2860 tak pohnchni chahiye thi, shayad kuch points se chhuti hai. Main ne is baare mein likha tha ke yeh 20 points ke aas-paas miss kar sakte hain, aur ab hum wahi dekh rahe hain. Mere khayal se, wo thoda aur aage 1.2860 tak zaroor pohnchne ki koshish karenge. Shayad wo 1.2860 ke support ko break nahi kar paayenge, jaisa maine pehle hi anticipate kiya tha ke reversal hoga. Main ne likha tha ke 1.2970 ke weak support ko break karne ke baad, brace 1.2860 tak pohnchegi, aur wo lagbhag wahan tak pohnch gayi hain, agar aap woh points count nahi karenge jo missing hain.

Ab dekha jaye to, brace ke liye south mein jaane ke liye yeh bahut mushkil hai, aur jo correction 1.300 ke upar se hui hai, uske baad brace normally downward impulse develop nahi kar rahi hai aur chhote impulses mein ja rahi hai. Yeh weak correction trend ko indicate karta hai aur main 1.2860 se reversal ki expectation rakhta hoon, jaisa maine correction ke shuruat mein anticipate kiya tha. Aaj, mujhe lagta hai ke brace resistance 1.2970 tak badegi, lekin shayad wo is resistance ko break karne ka waqt nahi milega. Resistance price se bohot door hai aur brace ek din mein itna distance nahi paar kar sakti, isliye growth kal tak continue hogi.

Agar hum kal bhi growth continue karte hain, to 1.2970 ka breakout hone ke chances hain aur week ke end tak 1.3065 ka target achieve ho sakta hai. Agar brace 1.2860 ke support ko break kar sake aur uske neeche consolidate kar sake, to decline 1.2730 tak continue ho sakti hai, lekin main is turn of events ki shiddat se inkaar karta hoon. Shayad main galat hoon, lekin main 1.2970 ke breakout ke saath growth expect karta hoon.

GBP/USD Analysis

Pichle paanch trading sessions ke doran, British pound ko US dollar ke muqable mein bechne ka dabao face karna para, jisse 1.2882 ke support level tak nuksan pohnch gaya, jo ke do hafton ka sabse neecha level hai. Yeh psychological resistance level 1.3000 ke niche break karna, jo ke pehle upar ki taraf shift ko support kar raha tha, bhi shamil hai. Is doran, British pound ko yeh bhi dekhna parega ke Bank of England shayad interest rates ko zyada der tak elevated rakhe, kyunki government ne inflation ko manage karne ke liye wage increases approve kiye hain.

Bank of England 1 August ko interest rates cut kar sakta hai, lekin yeh bhi zahir hota ja raha hai ke bank ko agle mahino mein ehtiyaat se kaam lena padega, kyunki naye government ne public sector workers ke liye pay raises commit kiye hain jo inflation ke khilaf ek step hai. Is context mein, Rachel Reeves millions of public sector workers ke liye wage increases advocate kar rahi hain jo inflation se zyada hon, taake Conservatives ko kisi bhi tax increases ke liye blame kiya ja sake jo in raises ko fund kar sake.

Yeh recommendations independent pay review bodies se mili hain, jinhone 500,000 teachers aur 1.3 million NHS staff ke liye 5.5% wage increase suggest kiya hai, jo budgeted 3% se zyada hai. Jaise ke maloom hai, Bank of England wage settlements ko closely monitor karta hai, kyunki yeh economy mein increased demand ko contribute kar sakte hain aur inflation ko further fuel kar sakte hain. Agar bank ko strong wage growth ka signal milta hai, to wo interest rates cut karne mein ehtiyaat barhta hai.

Ashley Webb, jo ke Capital Economics ke British economist hain, kehte hain ke NHS staff aur teachers ke wage increases ko 5.5% tak limit karne ka monetary policy par zyada asar nahi hai. "Lekin agar British government yeh pay rise sab public sector workers ko extend karti hai, to yeh wage growth aur domestic inflation ko zyada support kar sakta hai jo hum anticipate kar rahe hain," unhone kaha. Yeh indicate karta hai ke interest rate cuts ki pace aur extent shayad expected se slow ho sakti hai.

The Times ke reports ke mutabiq, baaki ke 6 million public sector workers, jinmein doctors, police, armed forces, aur civil servants shamil hain, bhi pay bonuses receive karenge. Lekin iski significance abhi bhi uncertain hai.

Bank of England ki May forecasts ke mutabiq, overall average economic income growth 2024 se 2.25% tak 2025 mein decline karega. Public sector workers total employment ka sirf 18% hain, isliye 5.5% wage increases ka hona mushkil lagta hai. 2025 ke forecasts ke mutabiq, private sector mein koi significant downward correction nazar nahi aati.

Forex market trades ke mutabiq, British pound 2024 ke liye best-performing major currency ban sakta hai, kyunki Britain mein interest rates higher rahne ki expectations hain jo international investors ko superior returns provide karengi. Low-interest se high-interest regions mein funds ka flow foreign currency values ko drive karta hai. Lekin, Reeves ko across-the-board pay recommendations ko approve karne ke liye lagbhag £8 billion ki zarurat hai, jo existing spending plans se aayega, isse kisi aur jagah cuts ya higher taxes ki zarurat ho sakti hai jo economy ke growth potential ko limit kar sakti hai.

Electronic trading platforms par, pound ka exchange rate euro ke muqable (1.1870) recent highs se decline hua hai, jabke interest rate cut ke expectations barh rahi hain. Financial markets ke mutabiq, aise move ke chances lagbhag fifty-fifty hain. Pound/dollar exchange rate (1.2900) bhi recent highs se retreat kar gaya hai, global investor sentiment aur US policies is currency pair ke significant drivers hain.

Sterling Dollar Forecast Today:

Daily chart ke perspective se, British pound US dollar ke muqable mein descending channel ke andar operate kar raha hai. Yeh pattern aur bhi mazid strengthen ho sakta hai agar yeh 1.2820 aur 1.2730 ke support levels ki taraf move kare. Conversely, 1.3000 ka psychological resistance level trend ke bullish control ke liye critical hoga. Aaj ke moves currency pair ke liye Purchasing Managers’ Index readings ki announcement se influence honge, dono British aur American manufacturing aur services sectors ke liye, ke saath investor sentiment ke risk appetite aur future central bank policies bhi dekhna zaroori hoga.