𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD H4

Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ke price action analysis par baat karenge. British pound mein aaj sirf halke phulke utar chadhav dekhe gaye hain, aur abhi shaam bhi nahi hui. Agar GBP/USD ko 1.2900 par support milta hai, to yeh gir kar ascending fan ke lower boundary aur 1.2861 level tak ja sakta hai. Wahan se pound-dollar rebound kar sakta hai aur choti si pullback ke baad apne downward momentum ko dobara hasil kar sakta hai, pehle impulse zones 1.2813 aur 1.2759 ki taraf. Intraday volumes yeh suggest karte hain ke sellers aaj 1.2900 support ko tod sakte hain, lekin yeh breakdown asli hai ya jhooti, yeh kal hi pata chalega. Isliye, dekhne ka mashwara diya jata hai. Doosri taraf, agar 1.2900 support mazboot rahta hai aur bulls pound ko 1.2914 resistance ke upar le jate hain, to hum ek bullish rebound dekh sakte hain jo 1.2969 ka target rakh sakta hai, magar yeh ek alternative scenario hai.

Agar hum barh kar 1.2970 tak jate hain, to yeh is haftay ke end tak 1.3065 ka target hasil kar sakta hai. Agar yeh pair 1.2860 ke support ko tod kar neechay consolidate kar jata hai, to decline 1.2730 tak ja sakta hai, magar mujhe is baat ka shakk hai. Ab hum dekhte hain ke yeh pair south direction mein continue karna mushkil hai, jaise ke 1.300 ke upar maximum ke baad, pair ko normally downward impulse develop karne mein mushkilat hoti hai aur yeh choti choti impulses mein jata hai, jo ke correction trend ke kamzor hone ka ishara hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke 1.2860 se reversal hoga, jaise ke maine correction ke bilkul shuru mein socha tha.

Aaj, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh pair 1.2970 ke resistance tak barh sakta hai, magar shayad yeh usay tod nahi payega, kyunki resistance price se bohot door hai aur pair itna distance ek din mein overcome nahi kar sakta. Isliye growth kal continue hogi, aur agar kal barhte rahe, to 1.2970 ka breakout hone ka bohot zyada chance hai aur is haftay ke end tak 1.3065 ka target hasil kiya ja sakta hai. Agar yeh pair 1.2860 ke support ko tod kar neechay consolidate karta hai, to decline 1.2730 tak continue hoga, magar mujhe is tarah ke events hone ka shak hai, isliye mujhe umeed nahi ke aisa hoga. Shayad galat ho, magar mujhe umeed hai ke kal 1.2970 ka breakout hoga aur growth continue hogi.

GBP/USD currency pair ne haali mein kaafi notable girawat dekhi hai, jo technical indicators aur market sentiment ke complex interplay ko reflect karti hai. Shuru mein, GBP/USD ne strength dikhayi, apne starting point se upar uthi, lekin 1.2940 ke resistance level ko break karne mein mushkil ka samna kiya. Yeh resistance pullback ka sabab bana, aur pair 1.2900 tak gir gaya. Yeh downward trend Thursday ko bhi jari raha, jahan GBP/USD ne 1.2900 se 1.2855 tak lagbhag 45 pips ki girawat dekhi. Is girawat mein 1.2878 ke nazdeek support level ki breach bhi shamil thi.

Filhal, H1 timeframe par, GBP/USD 1.2853 par resistance-turned-support (RBS) area ko test kar raha hai. Yeh level pair ke near-term performance ke liye crucial hai. Jab tak GBP/USD is support level ke upar rahega, rebound aur possible rise ki sambhavana bani rahegi. Lekin, agar RBS area ko maintain karne mein failure hoti hai, to isse further declines ho sakti hain, aur agla support level shayad 1.2630 ke aas-paas ho sakta hai.

Ichimoku indicator bearish outlook suggest karta hai, kyunki price dono Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines ke neeche hai. Yeh positioning indicate karti hai ke downward trend continue ho sakta hai, jab tak significant changes nahi aati. Saath hi, stochastic indicator oversold condition ko reveal karta hai, jahan uski line 20 level ke neeche gir gayi hai, jo ek potential rebound ka signal ho sakta hai.

Summary mein, haali mein GBP/USD par pressure ke bawajood, upar movement ki possibility abhi bhi maujood hai, khas kar agar 1.2853 ka RBS area hold hota hai. Stochastic oscillator se milti oversold condition recovery ki potential ko support karti hai. Jaise jaise market dynamics evolve hoti hain, traders ko in technical levels aur indicators ko monitor karna chahiye taake GBP/USD currency pair ke turnaround ki sambhavana ko assess kiya ja sake.

#GBPUSD (British Pound / US Dollar) ke liye is waqt ek bohot munasib trading soorat-e-haal unfold ho rahi hai H1 timeframe par, jo ek profitable selling trade initiate karne ka moqa faraham kar rahi hai. Analysis ke liye jo teen indicators use ho rahe hain - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color - yeh sabse behtareen quotes par short positions open karne ka moqa denge. Market mein ek acha profit position hasil karne ke liye sabse promising entry point ko sahi tareeke se chunnay ke liye, kuch zaroori shara'it ki pabandi check karna zaroori hai. Sab se pehle, yeh bohot ahem hai ke H4 higher timeframe par current trend ko sahi tareeke se identify kiya jaye taake market sentiment ko ghalat determine karne se financial losses se bachaa ja sake. Is kaam ke liye, hum apne instrument ka 4-hour timeframe chart dekhenge aur yeh check karenge ke key condition puri hoti hai ya nahi - yani H1 aur H4 timeframes par trend movements ka ek jaisa hona.

Pehle rule ke poora hone ki verification karke, hum yeh yaqeen hasil kar sakte hain ke aaj market humein ek behtareen moqa de raha hai selling trade enter karne ka. Mazeed analysis mein, hum indicators ke signals par bharosa karenge.

Jab Hama aur RSI indicators ka rang laal ho jaye, yeh bearish interest ka main confirmation maana jayega aur yeh ke iss waqt market mein sellers ka ghalba hai. Jaise hi indicators ka rang zaroori shade mein tabdeel hota hai, hum market mein enter karenge aur selling trade open karenge. Position close karne ka point magnetic levels indicator readings ki buniyad par dekha jayega. Is waqt signal execution ke liye sabse promising levels yeh hain - 1.27572. Zaroori targets hasil karne ke baad, price action ko chart par magnetic level surpass karne ke baad ghoor se dekhna zaroori hai aur next steps ka faisla karna - yeh ke position ko agle magnetic level tak market mein rakha jaye, ya phir pehle se hasil hone wale profit ko lock kar liya jaye. Agar potential profit ko barhane ki koshish karni hai, to trailing stop use kiya ja sakta hai.

Budh ke din GBPUSD mein izafa dekha gaya, magar candle 1.2935 ke resistance level ko breach karne mein nakam rahi, jiski wajah se price 1.2901 par wapas aa gayi. Jumeraat ke din, yeh pair girawat ka silsila jaari rakhte hue, lagbhag 45 pips gir kar 1.2901 se 1.2853 par aa gaya. Is girawat ke natijay mein, yeh neareste support level 1.2878 ko successfully breach kar gaya.

Iss waqt, H1 timeframe par candle RBS area 1.2583 ke andar hai. Jab tak yeh RBS area barqarar hai aur neeche se break nahi hota, GBPUSD ke dobara upar jaane ka imkaan hai. Haal hi mein hui downtrend ko dekhte hue, ek reversal immanent ho sakta hai, magar agar RBS area breach hota hai, to further declines ki umeed ki ja sakti hai, jo agle support level 1.2630 tak pohanch sakta hai.

Ichimoku indicator ko use karte hue, candle abhi bhi Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines ke neeche hai, jo trend ke abhi bhi bearish hone ka ishara deti hain. Ab tak koi naye intersections upward movement suggest nahi kar rahe hain. Magar, nearest support 1.2885 ka breach GBPUSD mein izafa ka sabab ban sakta hai. Jaise candle RBS area ke qareeb aa rahi hai, sellers ka pressure kam hota nazar aa raha hai.

Stochastic indicator oversold condition dikha raha hai, jahan iska line 20 ke neeche hai. Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke GBPUSD jaldi hi upar ja sakta hai. Is liye, mujhe umeed hai ke GBPUSD jald hi izafa karega.

Khulasa yeh hai ke ongoing pressure ke bawajood, GBPUSD mein upar jaane ki potential hai jab tak RBS area 1.2853 par barqarar hai. Stochastic indicator ki oversold condition is view ko support karti hai. Is pair ko trade karte waqt, main yeh recommend karta hoon ke buy positions par focus karein. Apna target nearest resistance level 1.2930 par set karein aur stop loss support level 1.2842 par rakkhein.

#GBP/USD Asian Trading Hours Mein 1.2860 Par Positive Trend Ko Maintain Karta Hai:

Jumeraat ke din Asian session mein, GBP/USD exchange rate positive raha, aur lagbhag 1.2860 par barqarar raha. Yeh stability investors ka British pound par aitmaad zahir karti hai, bawajood iske ke economic uncertainties mojood hain.

#US Economy Ne Q2 Mein 2.8% Growth Se Expectations Ko Surpass Kiya:

2023 ke dusre quarter mein, US economy 2.8% ke impressive annual rate se grow hui, jo forecasts se zyada thi. Yeh growth ek mazboot economic environment ko highlight karti hai, jo robust consumer spending aur business investments se supported hai. Yeh stronger-than-expected performance is baat ka ishara hai ke US COVID-19 pandemic ke disruptions se achi tarah recover kar raha hai.

#Bank of England Ka Interest Rates Kam Karne Ka Imkaan:

Aage dekhte hue, Bank of England (BoE) apni policy meeting mein agle hafte pehli dafa chaar salon mein interest rates cut karne ka imkaan hai. Yeh expected move economic activity ko stimulate karne aur challenges jaise ke inflation aur slow growth ko address karne ke liye hai. Ek rate cut borrowing costs ko reduce karega, jo ke spending aur investment ko encourage karne ka sabab ban sakta hai UK economy mein.

#Trading Strategy:

Kal, mujhe umeed thi ke British pound 61.8% Fibonacci support level par rebo und karega. Magar aaj asset is support level ke neeche gir gaya hai. Yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke US dollar index abhi bhi strong hai, jo financial market mein currencies ko impact kar raha hai. Iss waqt, pound ek naye support level 1.2836 ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh is level ke neeche break karta hai, to sellers buyers par zyada strength hasil karenge, aur hum price ko 1.2766 level ki taraf girta dekh sakte hain. Lower timeframe par, RSI ne 50.00 mark ke upar break karne ki koshish ki magar reject ho gaya. Jab tak RSI 50.00 se neeche rahta hai, humein long buy positions se bachna chahiye.

GBP/USD mein izafa dekha gaya, magar yeh 1.2940 ko surpass nahi kar saka aur 1.2900 tak gir gaya. Iske baad, yeh 45 pips gir kar 1.2855 tak pohanch gaya, aur 1.2878 ke support ko breach kar gaya. Candle ab 1.2580 par hai, jo ab ek support spot mana ja raha hai. Agar yeh support barqarar rehta hai, to GBP/USD wapas upar chadh sakta hai. Yeh pair neeche ki taraf slide kar raha hai, jo ek possible reversal ka ishara de raha hai. Magar ehtiyat baratna zaroori hai, agar 1.2580 neeche break hota hai, to GBP/USD 1.2630 tak gir sakta hai.

Ichimoku indicator bearish trend ko zahir karta hai kyunke candles abhi bhi Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines ke neeche hain, aur koi naye intersections nahi hain. Agar 1.2885 ka level break hota hai, to ek upward movement ka imkaan hai. Seller pressure kam hota nazar aa raha hai jaise candle RBS zone ke qareeb aa rahi hai.

20 par, aisa lagta hai ke GBP/USD dheere dheere chadhna shuru kar sakta hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke is phase ke baad GBP/USD mein ek uptick dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Aakhirkar, GBP/USD pair ke paas growth ka room hai bawajood iske ke kuch challenges ka saamna kar raha hai. Agar RBS area 1.2853 par barqarar rehta hai, to ek solid chance hai ke increase ho. Iske ilawa, stochastic indicator oversold status ko zahir karta hai, jo ek upward trend ki possibility ko mazid reinforce karta hai.

GBP/USD exchange rate April 22 se ek upward trend mein hai, magar haali mein yeh gira hai aur 1.2860-1.2890 ke support levels ko test kar raha hai. Agar yeh weakness jaari rehti hai, to yeh 20-day moving average 1.2825 tak, ya phir 50-day moving average 1.2740 tak gir sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar yeh 1.2890 ke upar chadh jata hai, to yeh pair previous high 1.3045 tak, aur mumkin hai ke 1.3140 tak bhi pohanch sakta hai. GBP/USD ka future movement US economic data, central bank policies, aur investor sentiment par depend karta hai. Agar yeh 200-day moving average se neeche gir jata hai, to positive trend break ho jayega.

Budh ke din, GBPUSD mein izafa dekha gaya. Magar candle 1.2935 ke resistance ko penetrate karne mein nakam rahi aur phir se 1.2901 par aagayi. Phir, Jumeraat ke din, GBPUSD currency pair lagbhag 45 pips tak gir gaya. Candle 1.2901 se 1.2853 tak move hui. Is girawat ke natije mein, iski qareebi support 1.2878 par ab successfully penetrate ho chuki hai.

Agar current H1 timeframe se analyze karein, to candle ab bhi RBS area 1.2583 par phansi hui hai. Jab tak RBS area neeche se penetrate nahi hota, yeh mumkin hai ke GBPUSD wapas upar jaye. Is area se shuru hoti hui, GBPUSD phir se upar chadhne lagegi. Pichle kuch dinon se GBPUSD girti ja rahi hai, aur ab direction reverse karne ka waqt hai. Magar ehtiyat baratna zaroori hai, agar yeh RBS area penetrate hota hai to GBPUSD aur bhi zyada gir sakti hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to GBPUSD agle support 1.2630 par gir sakti hai.

Agar ichimoku indicator ka istemal karke analyze karein, to candle ki position ab bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai, jo ke trend ko bearish zone mein hone ka ishara deti hai. Ab tak koi nayi intersections nahi hui hain jo ke upar jaane ke signs dein. Lekin, umeed hai ke agar qareebi support 1.2885 ko break kare, to yeh GBPUSD ko wapas upar push kar sakti hai. Main dekh raha hoon ke seller pressure bhi kam hone laga hai jab se candle RBS area mein pohanchi hai.

Isi dauran, stochastic indicator dikhata hai ke condition oversold hai. Yeh is baat se sabit hota hai ke line ne apni lowest level 20 ko penetrate kiya hai. Shayad qareebi future mein, GBPUSD dheere dheere upar chadhna shuru karegi. Mujhe poora yaqeen hai ke GBPUSD iske baad zaroor increase karegi.

Aaj ke analysis ka khulasa yeh hai ke GBPUSD currency pair ke paas ab bhi rise karne ka mauka hai, bawajood iske ke current condition ab bhi pressure mein hai. Jab tak RBS area 1.2853 par penetrate nahi hota, rise hone ka mauka barqarar hai. Stochastic bhi yeh inform karta hai ke condition oversold hai. Is liye, main un logon ko recommend karta hoon jo is pair mein trade karte hain ke sirf buy positions open karne par focus karein. Apna target nearest resistance 1.2930 par rakh sakte hain aur stop loss support 1.2842 par place kar sakte hain.

GBP/USD currency pair ne haali mein decline ka period dekha hai, jo technical indicators aur market sentiment ka complex interplay reflect karta hai. Ibtida mein, GBP/USD ne strength dikhai aur apne starting point se rise hua. Magar yeh 1.2940 ke resistance level ko break karne mein nakam raha aur subsequently 1.2900 tak wapas gir gaya. Yeh downward trend Jumeraat ko bhi jaari rahi, jab GBP/USD lagbhag 45 pips gir kar 1.2900 se 1.2855 tak aagaya. Is girawat ke natije mein qareebi support level 1.2878 bhi breach ho gaya.

Is waqt, H1 timeframe par, GBP/USD resistance-turned-support (RBS) area 1.2853 ko navigate kar raha hai. Yeh level critical hai; jab tak GBP/USD is support ke upar rehta hai, pair ke rebound aur rise ka potential hai. Haali mein GBP/USD ke consistent drop ko dekhte hue, ek reversal immanent ho sakta hai. Magar ehtiyat baratna zaroori hai, agar RBS area ko hold karne mein nakami hoti hai, to aur zyada girawat ho sakti hai, aur agla support level 1.2630 par aane ka imkaan hai.

Ichimoku indicator bearish outlook provide karta hai, jahan price ab bhi Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines ke neeche hai. Yeh positioning yeh suggest karti hai ke downward trend jaari reh sakti hai jab tak significant changes nahi aate. Iske ilawa, stochastic indicator ek oversold condition dikhata hai, jahan iska line 20 level se neeche ja raha hai, jo ek rebound ke imkaan ko zahir karta hai.

### Summary:

Despite recent pressure on GBP/USD, ek upward movement ka imkaan hai, khaaskar agar RBS area 1.2853 par firm rehta hai. Stochastic oscillator ke zariye indicate hone wali oversold condition recovery ke potential ko support karti hai. Market dynamics ke evolve hone ke sath, traders ko in technical levels aur indicators par nazar rakhni chahiye taake GBP/USD currency pair mein turnaround ke imkaan ko gauge kar sakein.

### British Pound versus US Dollar Analysis

Assalam-o-Alaikum sab ko! Aaj hum GBP/USD currency pair ka analysis karte hain. Daily chart par linear regression channel bearish state mein hai, jo sellers ki strength ko dikhata hai. Southern direction mein advantage hai, aur channel ke lower edge 1.28657 ki taraf ja raha hai. Main soch raha hoon ke 1.28982 ke level se sell karun, jo bulls ko withstand karna chahiye, warna movements ko 1.29163 ke level par deeper correction mein change hone ka chance barh jata hai. Target ko reach karne par sales ka wait karna worth hai, kyunke M15 ke movement ki volatility exhaust ho jati hai, jo ek reverse upward movement ko lead karti hai.

Yahan, niche hold kar sakte hain. Upper border of the channel tak rollback ka wait karna zyada sahi hai bajaye ke market mein enter karna, jo costs ko reduce karega ek unprocessed signal ke sath jo channel ke zariye receive hota hai. Upper period D1 par move karte hain, jahan linear regression channel aaj ke trading mein asset ke major movement ko determine karta hai. Channel D1 situation ko clarify, correct, aur complement karta hai. Dono channels market situation ko assess karte hain. Market 1.28801 par trade kar raha hai, jo H1 channel ke upper edge ke neeche hai, aur D1 ke bhi neeche. Main is situation ko bearish assess karta hoon. Dono channels ka complex selling ki possibilities dikhata hai rather than buying, jo is situation mein knives jaisi lagti hain. Aap stumble kar sakte hain aur loss ho sakta hai.

Agar bulls 1.28982 ke level ke upar stabilize karte hain, to D1 channel ke upper part se 1.29163 ke level par sales ko consider ya complete karna possible hoga. Current trading session ka second downside target 1.28737 hai. Higher targets ki taraf trade karne ke liye buying ki second wave ka possibility bhi hai, jaise ke upper border of Bollinger Bands 1.28976 par. Main sab ko successful trading aur successful trading ki dua deta hoon.

### GBP/USD Analysis

Jumeraat ko GBP/USD mein kamzori dekhne ko mili, aur yeh apne teen din ke decline ko 1.2860 level ke neeche extend kar gaya. Yeh decline ziada tar Bank of England ke interest rate hike ke expectations ke dampen hone ki wajah se tha, jo ke agle hafte expected tha. US economy ne contrasting signals show kiye. Second quarter mein strong GDP growth ne pehlay markets ko weigh kiya, magar durable goods orders mein sharp contraction ne baad mein September mein Federal Reserve rate cut ki umeed ko barhawa diya. Jumma ko US personal consumption expenditure (PCE) inflation data release hone wala hai, jisme core inflation rate ke cool hone ki umeed hai. Agle hafte, Federal Reserve aur Bank of England apne respective interest rate decisions announce karne wale hain. Jab ke Fed se wide expectation hai ke woh apna current stance maintain rakhega, Bank of England ko ek more balanced outlook ke sath dekha ja raha hai. Recent market movements ne significant interest rate hike ke likelihood ko decrease kar diya hai, jo pound sterling par downward pressure daal raha hai.

### Market Movements and Predictions

April 22 se GBP/USD ne bullish trend display kiya hai, magar recent decline ne immediate support levels 1.2860-1.2890 ko test kiya hai. Agar weakness continue hoti hai, to 20-day simple moving average 1.2825 ko retest kar sakta hai, ya phir 50-day moving average aur ek crucial upward trend line 1.2740 ke qareeb ja sakta hai. Dosri taraf, agar 1.2890 ke upar rebound hota hai, to yeh pair ko previous high 1.3045 ki taraf propel kar sakta hai, aur potential hai ke 1.3140 tak further gains hoon. Aakhir mein, GBP/USD pair ka trajectory US economic data, central bank policies, aur investor sentiment ke interplay par depend karta hai. Agar sustained move 200-day moving average ke neeche hota hai, to broader bullish trend invalidate ho jayega.

Is waqt GBP/USD mein bohot se factors involve hain jo iski direction ko influence kar sakte hain. Ek taraf strong US GDP growth ne market sentiment ko weigh kiya, magar durable goods orders mein contraction ne rate cut ki umeed ko fuel diya. Jumma ko release hone wala PCE inflation data aur agle hafte ke Fed aur BoE interest rate decisions critical hone wale hain. Agar BoE ke interest rate hike ki umeed kam hoti hai, to pound sterling par aur pressure aa sakta hai. Is ke baraks, agar Fed apna stance maintain rakhta hai, to yeh GBP/USD ke liye bullish ho sakta hai.

Yeh waqt traders ke liye critical hai, kyunke market sentiment bohot volatile hai aur isme changes expected hain jo GBP/USD ki future direction ko define karenge. Har ek economic indicator aur central bank decision closely monitor karna zaroori hai taake correct trading decisions liye ja sakein.

### GBP/USD Weekly Forecast Review

Pichle haftay ke hamare forecast ke mutabiq, humne yeh highlight kiya tha ke GBP/USD pair overbought lag raha tha aur ek correction ki zarurat thi. Yeh correction ab materialize ho gayi hai, aur Monday ke din tak exchange rate stabilize ho gayi hai aur zyada balanced lag rahi hai. Is recent decline ke bawajood, pound US dollar ke muqable mein relatively expensive hai, jo ke 30 se zyada investment banks ke average forecasts ke mutabiq hai. Current trading levels ab bhi September aur year-end ke projected targets se upar hain.

#### Recent Price Action

**Overbought Condition and Correction:**
- Pichle haftay, GBP/USD pair ne overbought hone ke signs dikhaye the, jisse ek corrective phase ki umeed thi. Yeh correction ab ho gayi hai, jo ke exchange rate ko zyada balanced level par le aayi hai.
- Decline ne market ko bullish pressure se nijaat dilayi hai, jo ke zyada sustainable trading range ki taraf le jaata hai.

**Current Balance:**
- Monday ke din tak, GBP/USD pair correction ke baad stabilize ho gayi hai, jo ke market ka temporary equilibrium dikhata hai.
- Pound ab bhi relatively high levels par trade kar raha hai dollar ke muqable mein, jo ke British currency ki recent months mein overall strength ko reflect karta hai.

#### Investment Bank Forecasts

**Long-Term Projections:**
- 30 se zyada investment banks ke forecasts ke mutabiq, pound ab bhi US dollar ke muqable mein expensive consider kiya ja raha hai.
- Current trading levels September aur year-end ke projections se zyada hain, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke recent correction longer-term expectations se align karne ke liye kafi nahi thi.

**Factors Influencing the Outlook:**
- **Bank of England (BoE) Policies:** BoE ka cautious approach interest rate adjustments ke liye pound ki strength mein ek key factor raha hai. Is policy stance mein koi bhi change future price movements par significant impact dal sakta hai.
- **US Economic Data:** Positive US economic indicators, jaise ke robust employment figures aur rising inflation, dollar ko support karte hain, jo GBP/USD pair par downward pressure daal sakte hain.

#### Market Sentiment

**Short-Term Sentiment:**
- GBP/USD pair ke liye market sentiment cautious hai. Jabke correction ne zyada balanced exchange rate provide kiya hai, lekin future direction ke bare mein ab bhi kuch uncertainty hai.
- Traders upcoming economic data aur central bank announcements par nazar rakhenge potential market moves ke cues ke liye.

**Conclusion**

GBP/USD pair ne anticipated correction undergo kar li hai, jo ke zyada balanced exchange rate ka natija hai. Recent decline ke bawajood, pound ab bhi US dollar ke muqable mein strong hai investment bank forecasts ke mutabiq, aur projected targets se upar trade kar raha hai. Traders ko key economic indicators aur central bank policies ko monitor karna chahiye taake ongoing market dynamics ko effectively navigate kar sakein.

### GBP/USD H4 Time Frame Analysis

H4 (4-hour) time frame par GBP/USD pair ne pronounced downward movement dikhayi hai, jo ke market mein bearish sentiment ko reflect kar rahi hai. Yeh bearish outlook traders ke liye potential opportunities present karta hai ke woh prevailing trend ko capitalize karen aur strategic selling points dhoondein.

#### Technical Analysis

**Simple Moving Average (SMA):**
- GBP/USD pair 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) ko closely follow kar rahi hai H4 chart par. Aam tor par, jab price 50 SMA ke sath align karti hai ya uske neeche rehti hai, toh yeh bearish trend ke continuation ka signal hota hai.
- Traders 50 SMA ko downtrend mein dynamic resistance level ke tor par use karte hain. Jab price is moving average ko test karti hai aur uspe se upar break nahi kar paati, toh yeh potential selling opportunities ke liye signal provide karta hai.

**Key Support and Resistance Levels:**
- **Support Levels:**
- Immediate support 1.2850 ke ird gird dekhi ja sakti hai. Is level ke neeche break hone par downward movement tezi se agle support level 1.2800 tak barh sakti hai.
- Aage ka support 1.2750 par hai, jo ke ek key psychological level hai aur pehle strong buying zone ke tor par act kar chuka hai.
- **Resistance Levels:**
- 50 SMA jo ke 1.2900 ke ird gird hai, immediate resistance act karti hai. Is level ke upar successful break current bearish outlook ko negate karne ke liye sustained rehni chahiye.
- Aage ka resistance 1.2950 par hai, jahan pehle price action significant selling interest dikhati hai.

**Relative Strength Index (RSI):**
- H4 chart par RSI currently 40-50 range ke ird gird hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke pair abhi oversold nahi hai, jo ke yeh indicate karta hai ke downside ke liye aur room ho sakta hai pehle ke kisi potential reversal ke.

#### Fundamental Factors

**Bank of England (BoE) Policy Expectations:**
- Market expectations reduced ho gayi hain BoE ke interest rate policies ke hawale se, jo ke bearish sentiment contribute karti hai. BoE officials ke recent comments jo future rate hikes ke liye cautious approach suggest karte hain, GBP ke bullish outlook ko dampen karte hain.

**U.S. Economic Indicators:**
- Positive economic data from the United States, including strong labor market reports and rising inflation, USD ko support karte hain. Federal Reserve ka hawkish stance, jo further interest rate hikes ka potential rakhta hai, additional pressure dalta hai GBP/USD pair par.

#### Trading Strategy

Current technical setup aur bearish sentiment ko dekhte hue, traders ko selling opportunities dhoondni chahiye jab price 50 SMA ko test kare aur uspe se upar break karne mein fail ho. Yeh bearish candlestick patterns jaise ke pin bars, engulfing candles, ya kisi bhi reversal patterns ke sath confirm kiya ja sakta hai jo 50 SMA ke qareeb ho.

- **Entry Point:** Consider karein short positions enter karna 50 SMA level (1.2900) ke ird gird, ya confirmed bearish rejection ke baad.
- **Stop Loss:** Stop loss ko thoda upar place karein 50 SMA ya agle resistance level (1.2950) ke, taake risk manage kiya ja sake.
- **Take Profit:** Targets ko immediate support levels ke qareeb set karein 1.2850 aur 1.2800 par.

#### Conclusion

H4 time frame analysis GBP/USD pair ka bearish trend indicate karti hai, jo traders ko potential selling opportunities provide karti hai. Price action ko 50 SMA aur key support aur resistance levels ke ird gird monitor karna crucial hoga informed trading decisions lene ke liye.

GBP/USD pehle increase hui thi lekin 1.2940 ka resistance break nahi kar saki, jis ki wajah se yeh wapas 1.2900 par aa gayi. Thursday ko, GBP/USD ne 45 pips ka aur decline dikhaya, aur 1.2900 se 1.2855 par chali gayi. Is decline ne 1.2878 ka closest support successfully penetrate kar liya. Agar hum current H1 timeframe ko analyze karein, toh candle resistance-turned-support (RBS) area par 1.2580 par stuck hai. Jab tak yeh area hold karta hai, yeh mumkin hai ke GBP/USD wapas is point se rise karein. GBP/USD pichle kuch din se gir rahi hai, toh ek reversal ho sakta hai. Magar, ehtiyaat ki zarurat hai kyun ke agar RBS area downward penetrate ho gaya, toh GBP/USD agle support level 1.2630 tak gir sakti hai.

Ichimoku indicator ko use karte hue, candle position abhi bhi Tenkan-sen aur Kijun-sen lines ke neeche hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke trend abhi bhi bearish hai. Filhal, koi upward move ke signs nahi hain kyun ke koi naye intersections nahi hue. Magar, agar closest support 1.2885 break ho gaya, toh yeh GBP/USD ko wapas rise karne par majboor kar sakta hai. Seller pressure kam hota hua lag raha hai jab candle RBS area par pohonchti hai. Stochastic indicator ek oversold condition show kar raha hai, line apne lowest level 20 ko penetrate kar chuki hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke GBP/USD dheere dheere rise karna shuru karega. Mujhe yaqeen hai ke GBP/USD is period ke baad increase karegi.

Conclusion yeh hai ke GBP/USD currency pair ke pass abhi bhi rise karne ka chance hai, halaan ke yeh abhi pressure mein hai. Jab tak RBS area 1.2853 par hold karta hai, rise ka achha mauka hai. Stochastic indicator bhi ek oversold condition show kar raha hai, jo ke upward move ke potential ko support karta hai.

British Pound ne aaj accha perform kiya, expectations ko meet kiya aur Euro ko outperform kiya. Pound ek imaandaar "aadmi" hai. Kal buy signal diya tha, lekin Pound ne rise nahi kiya. Yeh signal filter kiya gaya aur ignore kiya gaya kyunki yeh almost pichle ghante ke (unsuccessful) signal ke same level par aaya tha. Peak mein confidence nahi tha aur isse update nahi kiya gaya taake pichle peak ke style ko break na kiya jaye. Buy signal ke reverse hone ke baad, opposite direction mein ek sell signal generate hua aur yeh successful raha. M15 aur hour dono par sab kuch theek raha.

Pehle chart mein sell signal series dikhayi gayi hai. M15 ke liye hour ko blue aur hour position ke liye orange fixed hai. Dono boards flawlessly bane hain. Haan, Pound ne aaj ek interesting candle dikhayi, jo north se ek push ke tarah lag rahi thi, lekin overall kuch change nahi kiya. Yeh candle ek sell level ke liye zaroori thi jahan sellers ke liye risk-reward ratio 2 to 1 tha. Aur yeh le liya gaya. Unfortunately, yeh 3 to 1 tak nahi pohoncha, lekin normally hour marks par 1 to 3 ratio nahi diya jata. Expected hourly level 1.28594 tak pohoncha gaya aur phir thoda aur upar gaya, halan ke noticeable nahi tha, aur ab reverse ho raha hai. H4 timeframe par token sales ka sawal abhi open hai. Yeh kaam kar sakta hai ya nahi. Ya shayad yeh current best-selling price par wapas aa jaye.

Generally, yahan situation simple nahi hai. Pound aise candles ko attract kar raha hai jo uncertainty indicate karti hain. Lekin kyunki yeh gir rahi hain, yeh most likely 161.8% Fibonacci level ko pohonchengi aur 1.28381 tak aa jayengi. Kyunki buyers ne pichle strength ko growth ke base ke taur par liya, unhone 50%-61.8% ke range mein ek recovery process mein entry ki, jo chart par dikhayi de sakti hai. Kuch signs hain. Toh abhi recovery ke koi signs nahi hain; most likely yeh girti rahengi aur main sell signal ke 4th half ke target 1.28062 ki taraf points continue karengi. Aur hamare local targets 1.28381 ke mutabiq hain.

GBP/USD ka 5-minute chart dekhte hue, current market conditions ke mutabiq, yeh tajweezat aur observations trading ke liye important hain. Pound ke price central area mein trading ke end par ruka hua hai, iska matlab hai ki ab movement kisi bhi direction mein ho sakta hai. Is situation mein, traders ko tape ke upper ya lower bahar active exit ka intezaar karna chahiye, kyunki yeh ek naye trend ki shuruaat ka sign ho sakta hai. Iske baad tapes ka reaction observe karna bhi zaroori hai, kyun ki ye indicate karega ki market ki actual strength aur direction kya hai.

AO indicator jo zero mark ke qareeb hai, yeh bhi ek important signal hai. Agar indicator positive ya negative area mein active movement dikhata hai, toh yeh price ki direction ko confirm karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Traders ko is indicator ki readings ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki yeh short-term price movements ko capture karne mein helpful hota hai.

Kharidari ke liye entry point 1.29175 ke qareeb hai, jahan se price ka further increase 1.29281 ke level tak ho sakta hai. Is level se entry lene se pehle, traders ko apne risk aur reward ko bhi calculate karna chahiye, taki unki trading strategy clear aur disciplined rahe.

Farokht ke liye suggested level 1.29003 par hai, jahan se price ka giravat 1.28814 ke level tak ho sakta hai. Is level par stop-loss aur target set karke, traders apni trades ko manage kar sakte hain aur potential losses ko control mein rakh sakte hain.

Current geopolitical aur economic factors ko bhi dhyan mein rakhte hue, market volatility ko anticipate karna zaroori hai. Brexit ke developments, US economic indicators, aur global risk sentiment bhi pound-dollar pair par asar daal sakte hain. Isliye, trading ke liye thorough analysis aur risk management crucial hai, taki traders losses se bach sake aur profit maximize kar sake.

In recommendations aur observations ko regular basis par update karna bhi zaroori hai, taaki fresh market information ke saath trading decisions accurate aur informed ho sake