𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

Technical analysis of foreign currencies in the GBP/USD pair

US dollar ki price gir gayi jab weekly survey ne dikhaya ki US unemployment benefits ke liye apply karne walon ki tadaad badh gayi hai, lekin selling ka junoon pehle hi peak pe tha jab ISM survey of the services sector ne unexpected sharp slowdown in activity dikhaya. Iske nateeje mein, British pound ki price US dollar ke against jump kar gayi aur 1.2777 resistance level tak pohonchi, jo ke do hafton se zyada mein apna highest level tha, phir Thursday ki trading ke shuruaat mein 1.2740 level ke aas paas settle hui. American holiday aur British parliamentary elections ka intezaar bhi tha.

Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq... US headline ISM Services PMI June mein 48.8% tak pohoncha, jo activity mein contraction indicate karta hai, May ke 53.8% se neeche. Expectations ke muqabale mein decline significant tha, kyunki consensus reading 52.5% ka tha. Overall, service companies American economy ka sabse bara sector hain. Markets loss ki size pe react kar rahe hain aur bet kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve September mein US interest rates cut karne pe confident feel karega. Response mein, US bond yields gir gayi, dollar gir gaya, aur stock prices badh gayi.

ISM report ne dikhaya ke US companies jo new orders badhne ki umeed kar rahi thi, woh 47.3% tak gir gayi, jo Great Financial Crisis ke baad lowest level hai aur 2001 recession se bhi neeche. Price index June mein 56.3% record hua, jo May ki reading 58.1% se 1.8 percentage points ka decrease hai. ING Bank ke analysts kehte hain: "Ye zaroor September rate cut ke case ko mazboot banata hai Fed ke liye kyunki ye sab boxes tick karta hai: weak growth, slowing inflation aur deteriorating jobs market." "Fed recession cause nahi karna chahta agar wo avoid kar sake."

Kal. Labor Department ne report kiya ke naye unemployment benefits ke liye apply karne wale Americans ki tadaad last week 4,000 se badh kar seasonally adjusted 238,000 tak pohonchi. Consensus forecast 235 thousand ka tha. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne Tuesday ko kaha ke agar labor market deteriorate karta hai to interest rates lower karne ka mauka hai. Ye signal tha ke Fed interest rates cut karne ke liye open hoga inflation ke 2.0% target pe moderate hone se pehle.

Iska matlab hai ke jobs market pe zimmedaari hai interest rate cuts provide karne ki jo kai US households, businesses aur investors crave kar rahe hain.

GBP/USD forecast aaj:






Jaise maine pehle mention kiya tha, GBP/USD price ka resistance 1.2775 ke upar stabilize hone ka success bulls ko further movement higher support karega. Next stop zyada bullish control ke liye 1.2830 hoga, aur wapas 1.3000 psychological resistance area pe baat badh sakti hai. Iske liye weak US job numbers aur British parliamentary elections ke results se sterling mein confidence ki wapsi zaroori hai. Dusri taraf, daily chart pe same time period mein, support level 1.2600 sabse important rahega bears ke control ki strength ke liye.

GBP/USD H1 Analysis (Roman Urdu)
Market Overview

Kal GBP/USD ka movement noteworthy tha jab previous daily range ke maximum ko update karne ke baad price reverse hui aur din ke end tak ek uncertainty candle form hui, jo ke slight bullish advantage show kar rahi thi. Abhi tak apne analysis plans ko change nahi kiya aur nearest resistance level pe focus kar raha hoon, jo ke 1.28000 par located hai. Jab price is resistance level ko reach karegi, do scenarios hosakte hain.

Primary Scenario

Pehla scenario yeh hai ke price 1.28000 resistance level ke upar consolidate kare aur further growth ho. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main price ko 1.28938 resistance level tak move hote hue dekh raha hoon. Is level ke upar consolidation hone par, aage further northward movement ki expectation hogi, jo ke 1.29956 resistance level tak ja sakti hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, trading setup formation ka wait karunga jo ke aage ke trading direction ko determine karne mein madad karega.

Alternative Scenario

Dusra scenario yeh hai ke jab price 1.28000 resistance level ko test kare, to ek reversal candle form ho aur price southward movement resume kare. Agar yeh plan execute hota hai, to main price ko support level 1.26568 ya 1.26340 tak wapas aate hue dekhunga. In support levels ke qareeb bullish signals ka search karunga, expecting ke price upward movement resume karegi.

General Outlook

Overall, meri assumption yeh hai ke current accumulation impulsive northward breakout se end hogi aur buyers nearest resistance levels ko test karenge. Iske baad main market situation ko accordingly assess karunga.

Economic Calendar Analysis

Britain ke liye yeh week economic calendar quiet hai, lekin United States se kuch interest hosakti hai. Sabki nazar US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure release par hai jo ke Friday ko aani hai. Yeh data US Federal Reserve ke interest rate expectations ke liye important hai. Core personal consumption expenditures rate ko 0.1% monthly aur 2.6% annual basis pe expect kiya ja raha hai. Agar yeh expectations se exceed karti hai, to dollar week end par highest level pe hosakta hai aur pound sterling apne lowest levels pe hosakta hai jo ke mid-May ke baad nahi dekha gaya.

Lekin agar data expected se lower aata hai, to GBP/USD mein ek achi rally dekhne ko mil sakti hai jo near term outlook ko stabilize karegi. Lekin, strength limited ho sakti hai kyunke US dollar US stock market ke outperformance se benefit le raha hai. Credit Agricole ke hisaab se US stocks ka superior performance continue ho sakta hai jo ke international capital flows ko US stock markets mein attract karega aur US dollar ko support karega.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis (Roman Urdu)

1-Hour Chart Analysis

Aane wale ghanton aur kal ke liye price trend ka likely direction upward hai. Price ne aaj trading start ki ek achi support area mein jab price weekly level 1.2740 ke upar stabilize hui, aur price ascending price channels ke lower lines par hai.

Trading Advice for Today

Buying Opportunity: Aaj ke trading advice mein focus karna hai current level se buying opportunity par, aur stop loss level price channels ke neeche set karna hai.
Selling Opportunity: Selling ka moka tab available hoga jab price channels ko successfully break kar le. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke retest pattern form hone ka intezar karein, jahan price peak channel lines ke saath banaye break ke baad, aur phir sell entry lein level 1.2691 tak.
Economic Insights

US dollar ki price decline hui jab ek weekly survey ne bataya ke US unemployment benefits ke liye seekers ka number barh gaya. Magar selling desire pehle hi peak par thi jab ISM survey of services sector ne unexpected sharp slowdown in activity dikhaya. Iska natija yeh nikla ke GBP/USD price 1.2780 resistance level ki taraf jump hui, jo ke do hafton se zyada ka highest level tha, aur phir Thursday ke trading ke shuruat mein 1.2740 level ke around settle hui, American holiday aur British parliamentary elections ka anticipation tha.

Economic Calendar Results

US headline ISM Services PMI June mein 48.8% tak pohanch gaya, jo ke activity mein contraction ko indicate karta hai, aur May ke 53.8% se neeche hai. Decline expectations ke muqablay mein significant tha kyunki consensus 52.5% ki reading ke liye prepared tha. Service companies overall American economy ka largest sector hain. Markets reaction der rahe hain loss ki size ko dekhte hue aur bet kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve September mein US interest rates cut karne ke liye confident hogi. Response mein, US bond yields giri, dollar gira, aur stock prices barh gayi.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis
H4 timeframe ki harkat par jo movement dekh rahe hain, keh sakte hain ke mukhtasar trend dobara taqatwar bullish movement mein hai, ji haan, aur is tarah se aasaanise kal kam az kam yeh pair zarooratni area mein 1.270 tak ghus sakta tha aur yeh bhi nahi tha ke agar hum ise kal dekhe to is ne kam az kam 1.275 ke uper wale area mein ghus bhi sakta tha, ji haan, agar bhi yeh lamba waqt tak nahi tha aur phir neeche aa gaya, haalaat yeh hain ke aaj humne dekha ke GBPUSD ab bhi 1.275 ke as paas dekh rahe hain. Is dauraan agar hum H4 ke oscillator par tawajjo dein, to yeh haqeeqat hai ke abhi tak dobara girne ki mumkinat ka mouqa bhi bohat kholi hui hai jahan pehle overbought position mein dakhil hone ke baad ab dobara neeche ki taraf aane ki mumkinat hai jis se is series of harkaton se kam az kam saaf tasawwur hota hai ke GBPUSD ke liye dobara girne ki mumkinat hai. Lekin, abhi ke liye mein intezar kar raha hoon ke pehle extreme sell candle nazar aaye aur bas aise hi bechne ki jaldi na karen.


Technical Reference: 1.27065 ke ooper khareedai karain
Resistance 1: 1.27750
Resistance 2: 1.27875
Support 1: 1.27210
Support 2: 1.27065

GBPUSD ko US trading session mein aaj raat (7th April, 2024) mein umeed hai ke izafa ho sakta hai, jo ke Moving Average (MA) indicator ki taraf se support mil raha hai jo ke chal rahi ke price ke ooper hai, is ka matlab hai ke ek ghante ke moving average abhi tak ooper ki taraf ja sakta hai aur MACD jo ke abhi bullish mouqa dikha raha hai kyunki histogram positive area mein dikhayi de raha hai, iska matlab hai ke price mazeed upar ja sakta hai.

15 minute ke chart par bhi dekha gaya hai ke GBPUSD mein izafa ki mumkinat hai kyunki MACD indicator ab positive area mein dikhayi de raha hai, jis ka signal hai ke buyers jari hain. Agar upar diye gaye scenario ke mutabiq ho, to GBPUSD ko 1.27875 resistance level tak jane ka mauqa ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD Price Analysis

Iss chart ko dekh kar, GBP/USD pair ka current price movement analyze karte hain. Chart pe humein nazar aa raha hai ke price 1.2794 ke resistance level ke qareeb pohanch gaya hai. Yeh level abhi tak properly test nahi hua hai, jo indicate karta hai ke abhi resistance ko break karke price upar ja sakti hai.

1.2794 Resistance Level

1.2794 pe ek strong resistance nazar aa raha hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to price next untested resistance level jo ke chart pe highlighted hai, wahan tak pohanch sakti hai. Yeh untested resistance level 1.2840 ke qareeb hai. Agar price is level tak pohanchti hai, to yeh ek significant bullish sign hoga.

Slightly Resistance Area

Current price movement humein slightly resistance area me dikhata hai, jo ke yeh indicate karta hai ke kuch sellers abhi bhi market me maujood hain jo price ko 1.2794 ke level pe rok sakte hain. Lekin agar buyers zyada strong hue aur price is level ko successfully break kar gayi, to humein agla bullish move dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Verified Support

Chart pe ek verified support level bhi nazar aa raha hai jo ke 1.2660 ke qareeb hai. Agar price current resistance level se reject hoti hai, to yeh support level important hoga. Yeh level already test ho chuka hai aur buyers ke liye ek strong support point bana hua hai.

Technical Outlook

Overall, GBP/USD pair ka current outlook bullish nazar aa raha hai. Lekin, resistance level 1.2794 pe dhyan dena hoga. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to hum price ko untested resistance tak pohanchte dekh sakte hain. Wahan pe bhi ek strong resistance maujood hai jo price ko temporarily rok sakta hai.

Traders ke Liye Advice

Traders ko yeh levels dhyan se dekhne chahiye:

• 1.2794 ka resistance level
• 1.2840 ka untested resistance level
• 1.2660 ka verified support level

Agar price 1.2794 ko break karti hai, to next target 1.2840 hona chahiye. Agar price reject hoti hai, to 1.2660 support level pe nazar rakhni chahiye. Yeh levels ko monitor karke, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur potential price movements ka faida utha sakte hain.

GBP/USD ANALYSIS 04 JULY 2024

GBPUSD currency pair ki halat trading session se kal (somwar) se clearly bullish rahi hai, ek range mein jo zyada wide nahi hai lekin buyer's troops ki dominance wazeh hai. Kal raat tak market ne energy dubara hasil ki aur ek kaafi mazboot push kiya jisse keemat 1.2776 level tak pahunch gayi. Market ke graph se dekha jaa raha hai ki candlesticks dheere dheere rally path mein move kar rahe hain aur Moving Average indicator se door ja rahe hain, jo ki dikhata hai ki upward trend abhi tak seller's troops se resistance nahi mila hai. Agar is hafte ke end tak bullish movement 1.2850 ke upar break kar paata hai, to keemat ko aur upar le jaane ki possibility hai aur bullish trend ka continuation bhi ho sakta hai.

Yeh beshak agla trading position determine karne ke liye ek reference hoga jahan market mein keemat most likely phir se bullish trend direction mein move karega, haalaanki GBPUSD currency pair small timeframe mein ek slight bearish correction bhi experience kar chuka hai. Agar Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator par Lime Line se measure kiya jaaye, to yeh dikh raha hai ki wo level 70 tak phir se rise kar raha hai jo ke market conditions ke bullish continuation ko early notification ke taur par dikhata hai. Kiye gaye analysis ke natije se yeh dekha gaya hai ki keemat abhi bhi upward direction mein move karegi, buyer's troops ki upward push weak volatility ke saath expected hai jo keemat ko target level tak pahunchne mein madad karegi. Isliye kal ke weak seller pressure ke peeche potential hai ki bullish trend situation mein laut aayegi jahan target increase most likely bullish direction mein 1.2810 level tak move karega.

Thursday ko currency market mein GBP/USD traders ne UK election ke final results aur ek crucial US jobs report ka intezar kiya jo Friday ko aane wali thi. US markets holiday ki wajah se band the, isliye trading volume kam tha, magar Friday ko activity dobara badhne ki umeed thi. Investors khas taur par US non-farm payrolls data mein dilchaspi le rahe the, jo US economy mein slowdown ka pata de sakta hai. Agar jobs report weak hoti hai, to yeh Federal Reserve rate cut ka case mazid mazboot karegi, jo investors ko lower borrowing costs ka faida uthane ka moka de sakti hai
Forecasts ke mutabiq, June ke payrolls numbers 272,000 se gir kar 190,000 hone ka imkaan hai, jabke unemployment likely 4.0% par steady rahegi. Average hourly earnings bhi thodi si dip hone ki umeed hai, jisse annual growth 4.1% se kam hoke 3.9% ho sakti hai.



Dusri taraf, GBP/USD pair ne 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) par 1.2610 ke upar support dhoondhne ke baad mini-comeback stage kiya hai. Yeh tab hua jab 1.2800 resistance zone ke upar break karne ki koshish fail hui. Strong directional moves ke bagair, pair ne significant decline se bacha hai aur 1.2300 level ke around floor find kiya hai
Technical indicators ne mazid downside ka potential suggest kiya hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi downtrend line aur key 50 level ke niche hai, jo bearish momentum indicate karta hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bhi apni signal line aur zero line ke niche hai, aur momentum weaken ho raha hai. Agar decline continue hota hai, to bears 1.2465 area ko target kar sakte hain, jo recent trading range ke lower end 1.2300 se thoda pehle hai. Is level ke niche break hone par pair 1.2820 ke upper boundary ko retest kar sakta hai
Summary mein, GBP/USD market wait-and-see mode mein hai, jahan UK election aur US jobs data ka outcome agla move dictate karega. Jabke pair ne recent mein kuch resilience show ki hai, technical indicators ne downside bias ka potential suggest kiya hai agar data disappoint hota hai.

band ho gaya, to qeemat ne palat kar strong bullish impulse se upar jaane ki taraf dabaav dala, jis se ek full bullish candle bani. Ye candle sirf mujhe neeche darj ki gayi resistance level, jo maine 1.25180 par mark ki thi, ke neeche bandhne ka maqsad rakhti thi, balkay pichle din ke range ke high ke ooper bhi bandh gayi. Mojooda manzar par ghor kiya jaaye to aaj hum next shumali nishana ki taraf aik harkat dekh sakte hain, jis ka target resistance level 1.25785 par mark hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, do manazir pesh aa sakte hain. Pehli priority scenario mein, aik reversal candle banne aur keemat ka dobara neeche jaane ka maqsad banna. Agar ye mansuba kaamyaab hota hai, to main support level 1.24487 par palatne ki talaash karunga. Agar keemat is support level ke neeche mushtamil hoti hai, to main mazeed dakhil karne ki umeed rakhoonga, jo keemat ko support level 1.22992 par le jaaye gi. Is support level ke qareeb, main aik trading setup ke shikar banunga, jo agle trading raah ko tay karnay mein madad karega. Beshak, keemat ko mazeed janoobi rukh mein dabaaya ja sakta hai, lekin main is waqt is option ko ghor nahi kar raha, kyun ke main is ki jald raftar ko dekhta nahi. Price ka doosra raasta resistance level 1.25785 ko test karne par ek plan hai jahan keemat is level ke ooper mushtamil hoti hai aur shumali rukh par jaari rehti hai. Agar ye plan safar hota hai, to main keemat ko mazeed agay barhte hue ummed rakhoonga, jis ka target resistance level 1.27094 ya resistance level 1.28032 par hoga. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main jari rahunga janoobi signals ki talash mein, neeche rukh ki dobara jaari hone ki umeed rakhta. Aam tor par, aaj ke din mujhe kisi khaas cheez ko mahir nahi nazar aati. Aam tor par, main global janoobi trend ki dobara jaari hone ki taraf munhasir hoon, is liye main nazdeeki resistance levels se bearish signals ki talash mein hoon. Jab Hama aur RSI indicators neela aur hara rang dikhaen, to yeh bullish dilchaspi aur yeh haqeeqat ke baare mein glat ka saboot hoga ke market mein kharidne wale hukoomat mein hain. Jaise he indicators rang badalte hain, hum market mein dakhil ho jate hain aur aik lamba position kholte hain. Position ka exit point magnetic levels indicator readings ke mawaafiq tay kiya jata hai. Mojooda waqt mein, signal execution ke liye sab se zyada wabastagi wale levels ye hain - 1.26554. Zaroori targets ko hasil karne ke baad, zaroori hai ke chart par keemat ka amal dekha jaye, aur agle kadam ka faisla kiya jaye - kya position ko market mein rakhna hai agle magnetic level tak, ya phir pehle hasil ki gayi munafa ko band karne ka faisla kiya jaye. Agar mazeed munafa



barhane ki koshish ki jaye, to trailing stop ka istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Kisi bhi level ko zyada aam tor par dekho to dekho, toh agar woh ooper se resistance zone ko todena shuru karte hain, toh main samajhta hoon ke woh sirf tab karenge jab keemat neeche chali jaye aur

GBP/USD pair ki value activity par hamara jayeza aur guftagu hogi. Guzishta hafta pound-dollar ki hourly graph par decay ke sath shuru hua tha trading level 1.26534 par. Is level ke qareeb yeh rebound kiya aur resistance 1.27541 ki taraf move hua. Phir wapas trading level 1.26534 par agaya jab yeh resistance pohancha. Yeh level Thursday ke end tak reach ho chuka tha. Jummah ko, din ek choti range ke andar shuru hota hai, phir is level ko break karta hai, aur ek sell signal generate hota hai support 1.25324 ki taraf. Yeh sell signal Monday ke liye bhi significant hai. Dosri badi currencies ki tarah, pound bhi week ke end par negative move karta hai, jo US dollar ko apne kuch losses recover karne ki ijazat deta hai. Sterling pichle maheenay se 1.2804 se neeche fluctuate kar raha hai, jisme support 1.2689 par hai, jo buyers triangle se alag hai horizontal support level 1.2567 se candles ki closing prices ke zariye. Purchasers kitna bhi koshish karein, akhirkar main samajhta hoon ke cost wahan neeche jayegi. Kyunke ek descending line thi jo triangle ko upar se bana rahi thi, decline expected tha. Lekin wahan ek false breakdown bhi tha us triangle ka with the formation of bearish divergence indicators jo use hui thi. Ek pattern of five vertical waves bhi guzar chuka hai aur uske baad aam tor par ek correction hota hai. Yeh is wajah se hua kyunke yeh mukhtalif factors se supported tha. Aakhri wave of decline ne previous base ko update kiya hai;MACD indicator, halan ke abhi bhi upper buy zone mein hai, lekin apni signal line se neeche gir raha hai. Main yaqeen rakhta hoon ke downward pressure jari rahega, indicated target of 80-90 points tak. Yeh pound ke liye ek do ghanton mein pass karna mushkil nahi hai, bas zaroorat hai koshish karne ki, lekin abhi tak pound kaafi sluggish dynamics show kar raha hai moves ke lihaz se, distances perfect nahi hain. Aaj US ke news sets bhi hain: 16:45 Moscow time par, US Services Sector Purchasing Index (PMI), US Manufacturing PMI, aur US Composite PMI from S&P Global. 17-00 - Deals on the secondary real estate market in USA, Index of leading economic indicators in USA. 18-00 - Report from the US Central Bank on monetary policy.

candle bani. Ye candle sirf mujhe neeche darj ki gayi resistance level, jo maine 1.25180 par mark ki thi, ke neeche bandhne ka maqsad rakhti thi, balkay pichle din ke range ke high ke ooper bhi bandh gayi. Mojooda manzar par ghor kiya jaaye to aaj hum next shumali nishana ki taraf aik harkat dekh sakte hain, jis ka target resistance level 1.25785 par mark hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, do manazir pesh aa sakte hain. Pehli priority scenario mein, aik reversal candle banne aur keemat ka dobara neeche jaane ka maqsad banna. Agar ye mansuba kaamyaab hota hai, to main support level 1.24487 par palatne ki talaash karunga. Agar keemat is support level ke neeche mushtamil hoti hai, to main mazeed dakhil karne ki umeed rakhoonga, jo keemat ko support level 1.22992 par le jaaye gi. Is support level ke qareeb, main aik trading setup ke shikar banunga, jo agle trading raah ko tay karnay mein madad karega. Beshak, keemat ko mazeed janoobi rukh mein dabaaya ja sakta hai, lekin main is waqt is option ko ghor nahi kar raha, kyun ke main is ki jald raftar ko dekhta nahi. Price ka doosra raasta resistance level 1.25785 ko test karne par ek plan hai jahan keemat is level ke ooper mushtamil hoti hai aur shumali rukh par jaari rehti hai. Agar ye plan safar hota hai, to main keemat ko mazeed agay barhte hue ummed rakhoonga, jis ka target resistance level 1.27094 ya resistance level 1.28032 par hoga. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main jari rahunga janoobi signals ki talash mein, neeche rukh ki dobara jaari hone ki umeed rakhta. Aam tor par, aaj ke din mujhe kisi khaas cheez ko mahir nahi nazar aati. Aam tor par, main global janoobi trend ki dobara jaari hone ki taraf munhasir hoon, is liye main nazdeeki resistance levels se bearish signals ki talash mein hoon. Jab Hama aur RSI indicators neela aur hara rang dikhaen, to yeh bullish dilchaspi aur yeh haqeeqat ke baare mein glat ka saboot hoga ke market mein kharidne wale hukoomat mein hain. Jaise he indicators rang badalte hain, hum market mein dakhil ho jate hain aur aik lamba position kholte hain. Position ka exit point magnetic levels indicator readings ke mawaafiq tay kiya jata hai. Mojooda waqt mein, signal execution ke liye sab se zyada wabastagi wale levels ye hain - 1.26554. Zaroori targets ko hasil karne ke baad, zaroori hai ke chart par keemat ka amal dekha jaye, aur agle kadam ka faisla kiya jaye - kya position ko market mein rakhna hai agle magnetic level tak, ya phir pehle hasil ki gayi munafa ko band karne ka faisla kiya jaye. Agar mazeed munafa barhane ki koshish ki jaye, to trailing stop ka istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Kisi bhi level ko zyada aam tor par dekho to dekho, toh agar woh ooper se resistance zone ko todena shuru karte hain, toh main samajhta hoon ke woh sirf tab karenge jab keemat neeche chali jaye aur signals ko process kiya jaye. 1.2460 ke neeche, matlab spike ke neeche jo wahaan par baki hai, hum bahar jaayenge, phir shayad wahaan par umeed hai ke barhav dobara shuru hoga, agar kuch aisa wahin ke liye bana hota hai, neeche palatne ka level. Intehai halat mein, main ek neeche ki taraf dobara palatne ka tasawwur karta hoon; ek mushkil ki misaal factors ki combination ki baat karta hai, kam az kam, pehle se

pair

US dollar ki price gir gayi jab weekly survey ne dikhaya ki US unemployment benefits ke liye apply karne walon ki tadaad badh gayi hai, lekin selling ka junoon pehle hi peak pe tha jab ISM survey of the services sector ne unexpected sharp slowdown in activity dikhaya. Iske nateeje mein, British pound ki price US dollar ke against jump kar gayi aur 1.2777 resistance level tak pohonchi, jo ke do hafton se zyada mein apna highest level tha, phir Thursday ki trading ke shuruaat mein 1.2740 level ke aas paas settle hui. American holiday aur British parliamentary elections ka intezaar bhi tha.

Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq... US headline ISM Services PMI June mein 48.8% tak pohoncha, jo activity mein contraction indicate karta hai, May ke 53.8% se neeche. Expectations ke muqabale mein decline significant tha, kyunki consensus reading 52.5% ka tha. Overall, service companies American economy ka sabse bara sector hain. Markets loss ki size pe react kar rahe hain aur bet kar rahe hain ke Federal Reserve September mein US interest rates cut karne pe confident feel karega. Response mein, US bond yields gir gayi, dollar gir gaya, aur stock prices badh gayi.

ISM report ne dikhaya ke US companies jo new orders badhne ki umeed kar rahi thi, woh 47.3% tak gir gayi, jo Great Financial Crisis ke baad lowest level hai aur 2001 recession se bhi neeche. Price index June mein 56.3% record hua, jo May ki reading 58.1% se 1.8 percentage points ka decrease hai. ING Bank ke analysts kehte hain: "Ye zaroor September rate cut ke case ko mazboot banata hai Fed ke liye kyunki ye sab boxes tick karta hai: weak growth, slowing inflation aur deteriorating jobs market." "Fed recession cause nahi karna chahta agar wo avoid kar sake."

Kal. Labor Department ne report kiya ke naye unemployment benefits ke liye apply karne wale Americans ki tadaad last week 4,000 se badh kar seasonally adjusted 238,000 tak pohonchi. Consensus forecast 235 thousand ka tha. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne Tuesday ko kaha ke agar labor market deteriorate karta hai to interest rates lower karne ka mauka hai. Ye signal tha ke Fed interest rates cut karne ke liye open hoga inflation ke 2.0% target pe moderate hone se pehle.

Iska matlab hai ke jobs market pe zimmedaari hai interest rate cuts provide karne ki jo kai US households, businesses aur investors crave kar rahe hain.

analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/USD bullish trend mein rehne wala hai, magar 1.2678 ka level aik mazboot resistance hai. Agar market is resistance ko successfully break kar leta hai to bullish trend continue karega. Dusri taraf, yeh pair teesri baar 1.2748 ki support ko bhi break kar sakta hai. H4 chart ko dekhte hue, market badhata rahega kyunki 1.2690 aik mazboot resistance hai aur har dafa support ko break karnay mein nakam raha hai. Ab wakt hai sellers ke liye faisla karne ka, kyunki GBP/USD bullish momentum show kar raha hai aur jaldi hi 1.2715 ko pohanch sakta hai. Buyers ko apne trades ko profit-targeted stop loss ke sath hold karna chahiye, kyunki profit zone mein stop losses mukammal tor pe faida mand aur profitable ho sakti hain.

H4 chart par, yeh pair aik dafa neeche move kar sakta hai, jo sellers ko moqa dega apne trades close karne ka. Market bohot zyada volatile hai, sellers ko apne trades choti profits ya losses ke sath close kar lene chahiye aur buying trend mein switch kar lena chahiye. Agar sellers apni positions ko 1.2570 tak hold kar sakte hain, to wo agle move ka intezar kar sakte hain; warna, yeh unke liye mushkil ho sakta hai, khaaskar un logo ke liye jo bade lots trade kar rahe hain.

Trend ko dekhte hue, hum support line 1 ke neeche ek bullish pattern dekh sakte hain. Humein support S1 se buy karna asaan banane ke liye aik bullish candle ki confirmation ka intezar karna chahiye. Mein pound ko south ki taraf move hone ka intezar kar raha hoon, magar sellers ki tadaad dekhte hue, yeh southward movement slow hoga. Kal ki tarah, hum north ke same zone mein covered hain, 1.2650 - 1.2680. H1 candle ke end tak agar close iske upar ho, to yeh indicate karega ke hum iske neeche nahi girenge.

analysis ke mutabiq, GBP/USD bullish trend mein rehne wala hai, magar 1.2678 ka level aik mazboot resistance hai. Agar market is resistance ko successfully break kar leta hai to bullish trend continue karega. Dusri taraf, yeh pair teesri baar 1.2748 ki support ko bhi break kar sakta hai. H4 chart ko dekhte hue, market badhata rahega kyunki 1.2690 aik mazboot resistance hai aur har dafa support ko break karnay mein nakam raha hai. Ab wakt hai sellers ke liye faisla karne ka, kyunki GBP/USD bullish momentum show kar raha hai aur jaldi hi 1.2715 ko pohanch sakta hai. Buyers ko apne trades ko profit-targeted stop loss ke sath hold karna chahiye, kyunki profit zone mein stop losses mukammal tor pe faida mand aur profitable ho sakti hain.

H4 chart par, yeh pair aik dafa neeche move kar sakta hai, jo sellers ko moqa dega apne trades close karne ka. Market bohot zyada volatile hai, sellers ko apne trades choti profits ya losses ke sath close kar lene chahiye aur buying trend mein switch kar lena chahiye. Agar sellers apni positions ko 1.2570 tak hold kar sakte hain, to wo agle move ka intezar kar sakte hain; warna, yeh unke liye mushkil ho sakta hai, khaaskar un logo ke liye jo bade lots trade kar rahe hain.

Trend ko dekhte hue, hum support line 1 ke neeche ek bullish pattern dekh sakte hain. Humein support S1 se buy karna asaan banane ke liye aik bullish candle ki confirmation ka intezar karna chahiye. Mein pound ko south ki taraf move hone ka intezar kar raha hoon, magar sellers ki tadaad dekhte hue, yeh southward movement slow hoga. Kal ki tarah, hum north ke same zone mein covered hain, 1.2650 - 1.2680. H1 candle ke end tak agar close iske upar ho, to yeh indicate karega ke hum iske neeche nahi girenge.

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Hamari guftagu ka maqsad GBP/USD currency pair ki live pricing ko decode karna hai. GBP/USD mein girawat ka potential dilchasp hai kyunki aise moves aksar tezi se unfold hote hain. Magar, four-hour chart par, mujhe dekhne ko mila ke jab price ne 1.26113 ka level hit kiya, to neeche ke extremes update hona band ho gaye aur price wapas barhni lagi, sb se uper wale moving line ko follow karte hue. Yeh baat samajh aati hai kyunki trends aksar achanak se reverse nahi hote; wo aksar kuch final movements previous direction mein dikhate hain. Oscillators bhi thodi bohot increase indicate kar rahe hain aur aakhri teen candlesticks ka steady growth niche walon forces ka confidence reflect kar raha hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke jahan se significant decline shuru hua tha, wo target 1.2780 - 1.2804 hai. Magar, 1.2708 se strong rebound is target ko hasil karne mein shak paida kar raha hai. Aise tezi se hone wale movements ke baad, correction ka ikhtimal hota hai.

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Is liye, rise ka faida uthane ke liye, wise hoga ke ek corrective decline ka intizaar kiya jaye aur next upward move ke conditions ke formation ka intezar kiya jaye. GBP/USD pair filhal active buyers ke influence mein hai. 1.26453 ka level support hai, is liye buy orders dena manasib hoga jab tak trading is level ke upar rehti hai. GBP/USD ka current price 1.26727 hai. Purchase orders ke liye strategic approach ke sath, achhe results ki umeed ki ja sakti hai jab quotes nearest resistance 1.27022 tak pohonchte hain. Is current level, yani 1.26727 ke aas paas, sell positions open karna manasib nahi hai. Magar, resistance level 1.27022 ke bahar ek chhoti si sell order dena mumkin hai. Aisi short positions typically short-term hoti hain aur primary impulse ke mutabiq corrective movement ke framework mein trade ki jaati hain.

Trading samajh boojh se karein aur market trends aur dynamics ko dhyan mein rakhtay hue apne decisions lein. Samajhdar strategies aur timey decisions ke zariye apne financial goals achieve karein.

USD pair ki nazr-e-aamad ke mutabiq, pound sterling ke qeemat mid-week trading mein US dollar ke khilaf aik teesra percent kam hui, jis ki wajah "tight" signals thin jo US Federal Reserve ke afraad ne jaari kiye thay. Is natijay mein, pound sterling ke qeemat ke nuqsanat US dollar ke khilaf, GBP/USD, 1.2612 level tak phel gaye, jo ke cheh hafte ki kamzori ki sabsay kam qeemat thi, phir likhnay ke waqt 1.2645 level par stabil ho gayi thi aur ahem American economic releases ke ilaan se pehle.
US dollar ke qeemat pehlay hi se euro-centric khatron se aagay hai jo France ke weekend ke elections se dominated ho sakta hai, jo European Central Bank ko aane waale dinon mein mazeed interest rates cut karne par majboor kar sakta hai. Analysts ke mutabiq, Canada aur Australia ke past 24 ghanton mein heran kun taizi se inflation rates ne global inflation ki dobara shuru hone ke khauf ko barhaya hai, jis ne bond yields ko buland kiya hai. Bohat se Fed afraad ne is baat par tanqeed ki hai ke is saal interest rates ko kam karne mein jaldi nahi kiya jaye ga, jo bond markets par dabao dala hai aur aakhir kar US dollar ko pasand kiya hai.

Is lehaz se, Brown Brothers Harriman ke mahir Dr. Win Thein ke mutabiq: "Fed afraad ab bhi sakht hain." Interest rate policy mein United States (lambi muddat ke liye buland interest rates), United Kingdom aur Eurozone ke darmiyan farq US dollar ko support deta hai.

Haal hi mein di gayi bayaniyon ke mutabiq, "Hum abhi tak us maqam par nahi pohanchay hain jahan interest rates ko kam karne ka munasib waqt ho," kehti hain Fed policymaker Michelle Bowman. "Mere economic outlook ke risks aur uncertainty ke baray mein, main monetary policy ke future changes ko tawajjo se gaur se sochnay mein surkhiyaan rakhun gi." Unhon ne bhi apni political position ka zikr kiya hai." Unhon ne bhi bataya hai ke un mein se kai afraad hain jo is saal kisi bhi cut ko nahi dekhtay, jo unhen interest rates ko be-harkat rehnay par yakeen hai. June 12 ko Fed ne jari kiye gaye forecasts ke mutabiq, unke saat colleagues ek cut dekhtay hain, aur un ashtafaa ko do cut dekhte hain. "Main future meetings mein federal funds rate ke target range ko barhane ke liye tayyar rehti hun agar inflation ruk jaye ya palat jaye," Bowman ne izafah kiya.

Apni taraf se, Federal Reserve ke President Lisa De Kock ne cut ko qubool karne ke liye zyada raghib nazar aayi, kehte hue: "Inflation mein mazeed izafa aur kaam ke bazat-e-khalal gradual slow honay ke sath, policy restrictions ke level ko kam karne ke liye kisi bhi waqt munasib ho sakta hai takay economy mein sehat mand balance ko barqarar rakha ja sakay." Unhon ne ye bhi izafah kiya ke is tarah ke kisi adjustment ka waqt economic data ke baray mein kaisa hota hai aur ye economic expectations aur risk balance ke liye kya matlab rakhta hai, is par munhasir hoga. Market ab bhi November ko cut ke liye sab se zyada mumkin maqam samajhti hai, haan ke September mein 70% chances hain ke cut ho sakta hai.

Sterling Dollar forecast aaj:

Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, British pound ke qeemat US dollar ke khilaf, GBP/USD, ab bhi bearish hai, aur 1.2600 support ko toornay se trend par bears ka qabza mazboot ho jaye ga. Agla psychological support 1.2445 hoga, jo technical indicators ko strong overbought levels ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo ke ek ahem buying area hai. Dusri taraf, is samay ke doraan, current bearish channel bina resistance 1.2775 ke taraf barhnay ke bina tootay ga nahi. Aaj, GBP/USD pair ko US GDP growth reading, haftay ke jobless claims ki tadad aur durable goods