𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD Market Forecast

Sab Members aur Visitors ko Salam aur Subah Bakhair! UK Elections GBP/USD ki market sentiment ka taayun karengi. Isliye, nayi market sentiment buyers ko 1.2775 zone cross karne mein madad karegi. Kal GBP/USD ki market 1.2747 zone ke qareeb pohnchi thi jo ke ek resistance area hai. Aaj Jumma hai aur market US zone mein volatility ke sath move kar sakti hai. Aaj US Unemployment, Average Hourly Earnings, aur Non-Farm Employment rates GBP/USD ki market mein volatility laayenge. Isliye, apni trading mein stop loss ka istemal zaroor karein aur market data ko gaur se monitor karein.

Umeed hai ke GBP/USD ki market aaj buyers ke haq mein rahegi. Wo baad mein 1.2782 zone cross kar sakte hain. UK Elections aur critical US economic data ka combination significant market movements ke liye stage set karta hai. Traders ko in conditions mein navigate karte waqt disciplined approach rakhni hogi strategic stop losses ke sath aur UK aur US data ko vigilant monitoring karni hogi. In events ka anticipation is baat ko underscore karta hai ke market sentiment mein potential shifts ke liye prepared rehna zaroori hai. Agar US se economic indicators favorable align hote hain aur UK Elections positive outlook dete hain, to GBP/USD pair key resistance levels ko break karne ke chances hain, jo buyers ke liye opportunities provide karegi.

Aise current market trading environment mein informed decision-making aur risk management essential honge market trends ko capitalize karne ke liye. Overall, mujhe umeed hai ke GBP/USD ki market buyers ko further chances degi 1.2800 zone ko jald cross karne ke liye. Isliye, GBP/USD ki market sentiment ko effectively pehchanne ki koshish karein. Aap sab ko successful trading day mubarak ho!

GBP/USD Market Forecast
Sab Members aur Visitors ko Salam aur Subah Bakhair! UK Elections GBP/USD ki market sentiment ka taayun karengi. Isliye, nayi market sentiment buyers ko 1.2775 zone cross karne mein madad karegi. Kal GBP/USD ki market 1.2747 zone ke qareeb pohnchi thi jo ke ek resistance area hai. Aaj Jumma hai aur market US zone mein volatility ke sath move kar sakti hai. Aaj US Unemployment, Average Hourly Earnings, aur Non-Farm Employment rates GBP/USD ki market mein volatility laayenge. Isliye, apni trading mein stop loss ka istemal zaroor karein aur market data ko gaur se monitor karein.

Umeed hai ke GBP/USD ki market aaj buyers ke haq mein rahegi. Wo baad mein 1.2782 zone cross kar sakte hain. UK Elections aur critical US economic data ka combination significant market movements ke liye stage set karta hai. Traders ko in conditions mein navigate karte waqt disciplined approach rakhni hogi strategic stop losses ke sath aur UK aur US data ko vigilant monitoring karni hogi. In events ka anticipation is baat ko underscore karta hai ke market sentiment mein potential shifts ke liye prepared rehna zaroori hai. Agar US se economic indicators favorable align hote hain aur UK Elections positive outlook dete hain, to GBP/USD pair key resistance levels ko break karne ke chances hain, jo buyers ke liye opportunities provide karegi.

Aise current market trading environment mein informed decision-making aur risk management essential honge market trends ko capitalize karne ke liye. Overall, mujhe umeed hai ke GBP/USD ki market buyers ko further chances degi 1.2800 zone ko jald cross karne ke liye. Isliye, GBP/USD ki market sentiment ko effectively pehchanne ki koshish karein. Aap sab ko successful trading day mubarak ho!

GBP/USD Market Forecast
Sab Members aur Visitors ko Salam aur Subah Bakhair! UK Elections GBP/USD ki market sentiment ka taayun karengi. Isliye, nayi market sentiment buyers ko 1.2775 zone cross karne mein madad karegi. Kal GBP/USD ki market 1.2747 zone ke qareeb pohnchi thi jo ke ek resistance area hai. Aaj Jumma hai aur market US zone mein volatility ke sath move kar sakti hai. Aaj US Unemployment, Average Hourly Earnings, aur Non-Farm Employment rates GBP/USD ki market mein volatility laayenge. Isliye, apni trading mein stop loss ka istemal zaroor karein aur market data ko gaur se monitor karein.Umeed hai ke GBP/USD ki market aaj buyers ke haq mein rahegi. Wo baad mein 1.2782 zone cross kar sakte hain. UK Elections aur critical US economic data ka combination significant market movements ke liye stage set karta hai. Traders ko in conditions mein navigate karte waqt disciplined approach rakhni hogi strategic stop losses ke sath aur UK aur US data ko vigilant monitoring karni hogi. In events ka anticipation is baat ko underscore karta hai ke market sentiment mein potential shifts ke liye prepared rehna zaroori hai. Agar US se economic indicators favorable align hote hain aur UK Elections positive outlook dete hain, to GBP/USD pair key resistance levels ko break karne ke chances hain, jo buyers ke liye opportunities provide karegi.Aise current market trading environment mein informed decision-making aur risk management essential honge market trends ko capitalize karne ke liye. Overall, mujhe umeed hai ke GBP/USD ki market buyers ko further chances degi 1.2800 zone ko jald cross karne ke liye. Isliye, GBP/USD ki market sentiment ko effectively pehchanne ki koshish karein. Aap sab ko successful trading day mubarak ho!

**GBP/USD ke technical analysis: 1-hour chart**

Aane wale ghanton aur kal ke liye price trend ke likely upward trend hone ki umeed hai. Price ne aaj trading shuru ki hai ek achi support area mein jab price weekly level 1.2740 ke upar stabilize ho gayi, aur price ascending price channels ke lower lines par hai.

Aaj ke trading advice ke liye, current level se buy karne ka moka dekhna chahiye, aur stop loss level price channels ke niche set karna chahiye. Sell karne ka moka tab available hoga jab price channels ko break karne mein kamiyab ho jaye. Iske ilawa, ek retest pattern ke formation ka intizar karna bhi mumkin hai, jab price channel lines ke saath ek price peak banaye after breaking them, taake sell ke liye enter kiya ja sake level 1.2691 tak.
Economic side par dekha jaye to, US dollar ki price decline hui hai jab ek weekly survey ne dikhaya ke US unemployment benefits seek karne walon ki tadad barh gayi hai, lekin selling ka rujhan apni peak tak pahunch gaya hai jab ISM services sector ka survey unexpectedly sharp slowdown dikhaya activity mein. Iske nateeje mein, GBP/USD price jump hui towards the 1.2780 resistance level, jo ke iski highest level thi in more than two weeks, aur phir Thursday ke trading ke shuruat mein around 1.2740 level settle hui, ek American holiday aur British parliamentary elections ke anticipation ke beech.

Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq... US headline ISM Services PMI June mein 48.8% tak pohanch gaya, jo ke activity mein contraction ko indicate karta hai, May ke 53.8% se neeche. Decline expectations se kafi significant tha kyunki consensus 52.5% reading ke liye prepared thi. Overall, service companies American economy ka sabse bada sector constitute karti hain. Markets loss ki size par react kar rahi hain aur betting kar rahi hain ke Federal Reserve September mein US interest rates cut karne ke liye confident mehsoos karega. Iske response mein, US bond yields gire, dollar gir gaya, aur stock prices barh gayi.

GBP/USD PAIR

Budhwar ko, British pound (GBP) apni urooj rahai. Jab ke UK chunav ke natijay announce hue, exit polls ke mutabiq Keir Starmer ke Labour Party ko aasaani se jeet ka samarthaan mil raha hai, jisme unhe 650-seat House of Commons mein 410 seats ki ummid hai, jabke Conservatives ko 131 seats milne ki ummid hai. Jaldi Budhwar tak chunav ke natijay jaane jaayenge.

Mehangi US data ke chalte, US dollar (USD) ko nuksaan uthana pad raha hai, jisse spekulayshan badh raha hai ki Federal Reserve (Fed) 2024 mein karza dar barhaane ka elaan kar sakta hai. Budhwar ka mukhya event US rozgaar statistics hoga, jisme Jun mein rozgaar ki raftaar mein kami ki peshen-goii ki ja rahi hai. US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) mein naye jobs ki sankhya ko 190,000 tak ki ummid hai, jabki pichle mahine ki 272,000 ke mukable mein.

1H chart




Budhwar ko, GBP/USD pair 1.2760 par trade ho raha hai. Rozana ki chart ki tafseeli tashreeh ke mutabiq, yeh pair ek girte hue channel ke andar mazboot hai, jo ek bearish trend ki alamat deta hai. Lekin, 14-din ka Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 point ki had se ooper hai, jisse mazeed izaafa ho sakta hai aur yeh ghair mutasir nazariya ko kam kar sakta hai.

Girte hue channel ki oonchi hadd GBP/USD pair ke qareeb 1.2780 ke mark ke qareeb imtihan pesh kar sakta hai. Agar yeh pair is rukawat ko paar kar le, toh wo June ki unchi ko bhi mushkil mein daal sakta hai, jo kareeb 1.2860 hai. 21-din ka Exponential Moving Average (EMA), jo 1.2701 ke qareeb hai, neechay ki taraf aik ahem support level hai. Agar yeh level toot jaye, toh yeh GBP/USD pair par neechay ki taraf dabao daal sakta hai girte hue channel ke nichle sire ke rukh, jo kareeb 1.2612 hai.

4H chart

British Pound (GBP) ne Jumay ke din expectations ko ghalat sabit karte hue major currencies (siwaye Yen) ke muqable me surprising resilience dikhai US trading session ke dauran. Yeh positive shift British leadership me mumkin tabdeeli ke darmiyan aayi hai. Labor Party, jo Keir Starmer ke under hai, ne Thursday ko strong showing di, jis ne investor sentiment ko buoy kiya. Riwayati tor par, aik single political party ki absolute victory financial markets ke liye faidemand hoti hai. Investors anticipate karte hain ke Labor Party ki jeet se Pound ki attractiveness mein significant izafa hoga. Yeh optimism Pound ko three-week high par le gaya, jo ke US Dollar (USD) ke muqable me 1.2800 tak pohanch gaya. GBP/USD pair ki technical analysis mazeed positive signs reveal karti hai. Pound filhal 1.2770 par hai, jo ke 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level par hai jab ke 61.8% level 1.2670 se upar strong ho chuka hai. Iske ilawa, 20-day moving average (EMA) lagbhag 1.2695 par hai, jo recent upward trend ko mazeed indicate karta hai. Jab ke Pound ka outlook promising nazar aata hai, kuch factors ko madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI), jo price momentum ka measure hai, recently 60 se upar chala gaya hai. Agar yeh rise barqarar rahta hai to yeh positive hoga, lekin agar reversal hota hai to Pound apne initial support level 1.2655 tak wapas aa sakta hai

Agar mazeed decline hoti hai to Pound 1.2598 zone ki taraf push ho sakta hai, jo January aur March mein strong raha tha. Agar yeh level breach hota hai to yeh steeper decline trigger kar sakta hai, jo shayad 1.2517 tak pohanch sakta hai, jo February mein dekha gaya tha. Upside par, agar sustained rally hoti hai to Pound immediate resistance 1.2816-1.2826 range mein face kar sakta hai. Is hurdle ko overcome karne par yeh three-month high 1.2859 tak surge kar sakta hai. Agar yeh area breakout hota hai to yeh 2024 peak ke raaste par le ja sakta hai. Overall, Pound ki recent strength prolonged downtrend ke baad aayi hai. Lekin, short-term outlook is baat par depend karta hai ke Pound apni position crucial 50-day moving average ke upar barqarar rakhta hai ke nahi. Labor Party ka performance investor confidence ko undoubtedly boost kiya hai, lekin yeh sustained rally mein translate hota hai ke nahi, yeh dekhna baqi hai

Aane wale kuch ghanton aur kal ke dauran price trend upward rehne ka imkaan hai. Aaj price ne ek achi support area mein trading start ki hai jab price weekly level 1.2740 ke upar stabilize hui, aur price ascending price channels ki lower lines par hai.

Aaj ke trading advice ke mutabiq, pair ko current level se buy karne ka mauka dekhein aur stop loss level ko price channels ke neeche set karen. Bechne ka mauka tab milega jab price channels ko todhne mein kamyab hoti hai. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke ek retest pattern ka intezar kiya jaye jab price channels ke sath ek peak banayegi, aur phir todhne ke baad level 1.2691 tak sell entry di ja sakti hai.

Economic side par, US dollar ki price ek weekly survey ke baad decline hui jisne yeh dikhaya ke US unemployment benefits maangne walon ki tadaad barh gayi hai. Magar ISM survey ke services sector mein ek unexpectedly sharp slowdown show karne ke baad sell karne ka irada apne peak par pohanch gaya. Natija yeh hua ke GBP/USD price 1.2780 resistance level ki taraf jump hui, jo ke do hafton mein apna sabse highest level tha, aur phir American holiday aur British parliamentary elections ki anticipation mein 1.2740 level ke around settle hui.

Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, US headline ISM Services PMI June mein 48.8% par pohanchi, jo activity mein contraction ko indicate karti hai, May ki 53.8% se neeche. Yeh decline expectations ke muqable mein significant thi kyun ke consensus 52.5% reading ke liye tayar tha. Kul mila kar, service companies American economy ka sabse bara sector hain. Markets is loss ke size par react kar rahi hain aur yeh bet laga rahi hain ke Federal Reserve September mein US interest rates cut karne mein confident mehsoos karegi. Iske jawab mein, US bond yields gire, dollar gire, aur stock prices badh gayi.

air ki nazr-e-aamad ke mutabiq, pound sterling ke qeemat mid-week trading mein US dollar ke khilaf aik teesra percent kam hui, jis ki wajah "tight" signals thin jo US Federal Reserve ke afraad ne jaari kiye thay. Is natijay mein, pound sterling ke qeemat ke nuqsanat US dollar ke khilaf, GBP/USD, 1.2612 level tak phel gaye, jo ke cheh hafte ki kamzori ki sabsay kam qeemat thi, phir likhnay ke waqt 1.2645 level par stabil ho gayi thi aur ahem American economic releases ke ilaan se pehle. US dollar ke qeemat pehlay hi se euro-centric khatron se aagay hai jo France ke weekend ke elections se dominated ho sakta hai, jo European Central Bank ko aane waale dinon mein mazeed interest rates cut karne par majboor kar sakta hai. Analysts ke mutabiq, Canada aur Australia ke past 24 ghanton mein heran kun taizi se inflation rates ne global inflation ki dobara shuru hone ke khauf ko barhaya hai, jis ne bond yields ko buland kiya hai. Bohat se Fed afraad ne is baat par tanqeed ki hai ke is saal interest rates ko kam karne mein jaldi nahi kiya jaye ga, jo bond markets par dabao dala hai aur aakhir kar US dollar ko pasand kiya hai.
Is lehaz se, Brown Brothers Harriman ke mahir Dr. Win Thein ke mutabiq: "Fed afraad ab bhi sakht hain." Interest rate policy mein United States (lambi muddat ke liye buland interest rates), United Kingdom aur Eurozone ke darmiyan farq US dollar ko support deta hai.

Haal hi mein di gayi bayaniyon ke mutabiq, "Hum abhi tak us maqam par nahi pohanchay hain jahan interest rates ko kam karne ka munasib waqt ho," kehti hain Fed policymaker Michelle Bowman. "Mere economic outlook ke risks aur uncertainty ke baray mein, main monetary policy ke future changes ko tawajjo se gaur se sochnay mein surkhiyaan rakhun gi." Unhon ne bhi apni political position ka zikr kiya hai." Unhon ne bhi bataya hai ke un mein se kai afraad hain jo is saal kisi bhi cut ko nahi dekhtay, jo unhen interest rates ko be-harkat rehnay par yakeen hai. June 12 ko Fed ne jari kiye gaye forecasts ke mutabiq, unke saat colleagues ek cut dekhtay hain, aur un ashtafaa ko do cut dekhte hain. "Main future meetings mein federal funds rate ke target range ko barhane ke liye tayyar rehti hun agar inflation ruk jaye ya palat jaye," Bowman ne izafah kiya.

Apni taraf se, Federal Reserve ke President Lisa De Kock ne cut ko qubool karne ke liye zyada raghib nazar aayi, kehte hue: "Inflation mein mazeed izafa aur kaam ke bazat-e-khalal gradual slow honay ke sath, policy restrictions ke level ko kam karne ke liye kisi bhi waqt munasib ho sakta hai takay economy mein sehat mand balance ko barqarar rakha ja sakay." Unhon ne ye bhi izafah kiya ke is tarah ke kisi adjustment ka waqt economic data ke baray mein kaisa hota hai aur ye economic expectations aur risk balance ke liye kya matlab rakhta hai, is par munhasir hoga. Market ab bhi November ko cut ke liye sab se zyada mumkin maqam samajhti hai, haan ke September mein 70% chances hain ke cut ho sakta hai.

Sterling Dollar forecast aaj:

Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, British pound ke qeemat US dollar ke khilaf, GBP/USD, ab bhi bearish hai, aur 1.2600 support ko toornay se trend par bears ka qabza mazboot ho jaye ga. Agla psychological support 1.2445 hoga, jo technical indicators ko strong overbought levels ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo ke ek ahem buying area hai. Dusri taraf, is samay ke doraan, current bearish channel bina resistance 1.2775 ke taraf barhnay ke bina tootay ga nahi. Aaj, GBP/USD pair ko US GDP growth reading, haftay ke jobless claims ki tadad aur durable goods

ne consistent upward trajectory dikhayi hai. Constrained range ke bawajood, bullish trend itna robust raha hai ke buyers ki dominance ko sustain kar saka hai. Yeh market behavior higher prices ko favor karne wala sentiment suggest karta hai, jo ke UK se aane wale positive economic data ya USD ki weaker performance ki wajah se driven ho sakta hai. Levels 1.26937 aur 1.27362 ke darmiyan push hona buyer strength mein aik significant gain ko highlight karta hai. Magar, price ka Moving Average line ki taraf aana active seller participation ko bhi signal karta hai, jo resistance create karte hain jo ke bullish trend ko persist karne ke liye overcome karna zaroori hai. Jab yeh jora is sabz consolidation rectangle mein tha, tab Bank of England ke monetary policy tightening cycle khatm hone ke bare mein kuch bhi maloom nahi tha. Bank of England phir bhi sab se zyada Hawkish bank rahi, jo interest rates ko buland rakhne ka irada rakhti thi. Us waqt Euro/dollar pair gir raha tha, lekin yeh pair range mein trade kar raha tha. Jab maloom hua ke Bank of England apne monetary policy tightening cycle ko khatam kar rahi hai aur wazeh taur par ishara kiya ke jald hi monetary policy ko halka kia jayega, tab yeh pair girne laga, aur selling volume barh gaya, lekin yahan par izaafa hai. Yeh theek nahi tha ke pair kyun izaafa kar raha tha, kyun ke jab yeh range mein trade kar raha tha, tab Bank of England ke faislay ka intezar tha, aur us faislay ke baad, pair izaafa karna shuru kar diya. Yeh bilkul samajh nahi aya ke kyun, phir maine samjha ke yeh bas seller ke stops ko trigger kar raha hai. Is ke baad, yeh range ke nichle hadood ke qareeb wapis aya. Jaise he maine samjha tha, range ke nichle hadood ke qareeb selling volume barhna shuru ho gaya. Pair 1.23041 ke support se neeche gir gaya, lekin is support se bounce back ho gaya. Yahan par mahangai mein kami shuru ho gayi, lekin phir jab yeh pehle se barh gaya, to wazeh ho gaya ke mahangai tham gayi hai, mazeed girawat nahi hui. Federal Reserve rate cut nahi karegi, aur pair wapis ho gaya.
Aur asal mein, yeh theek nahi tha ke yeh yeh un unchayon par trade kar raha tha. Is ke ilawa, yeh pehle ke unchayon ko bhi update kar diya, kyun ke UK mein mahangai maqsad ke level par pohanch chuki hai. Amuman, is pair ke yeh levels par rehne ka koi wajah nahi hai. Main samjhata hoon ke girawat mazeed jari rahegi takay 1.25623 ke support tak pohanche. Main samajhta hoon ke pair mazeed neeche ja sakta hai 1.25017 ke levels tak, phir palat jayega aur range mein trade karega jab tak mahangai ke data jaari na ho jaye, jo pair ke movement ko

air ki nazr-e-aamad ke mutabiq, pound sterling ke qeemat mid-week trading mein US dollar ke khilaf aik teesra percent kam hui, jis ki wajah "tight" signals thin jo US Federal Reserve ke afraad ne jaari kiye thay. Is natijay mein, pound sterling ke qeemat ke nuqsanat US dollar ke khilaf, GBP/USD, 1.2612 level tak phel gaye, jo ke cheh hafte ki kamzori ki sabsay kam qeemat thi, phir likhnay ke waqt 1.2645 level par stabil ho gayi thi aur ahem American economic releases ke ilaan se pehle. US dollar ke qeemat pehlay hi se euro-centric khatron se aagay hai jo France ke weekend ke elections se dominated ho sakta hai, jo European Central Bank ko aane waale dinon mein mazeed interest rates cut karne par majboor kar sakta hai. Analysts ke mutabiq, Canada aur Australia ke past 24 ghanton mein heran kun taizi se inflation rates ne global inflation ki dobara shuru hone ke khauf ko barhaya hai, jis ne bond yields ko buland kiya hai. Bohat se Fed afraad ne is baat par tanqeed ki hai ke is saal interest rates ko kam karne mein jaldi nahi kiya jaye ga, jo bond markets par dabao dala hai aur aakhir kar US dollar ko pasand kiya hai.
Is lehaz se, Brown Brothers Harriman ke mahir Dr. Win Thein ke mutabiq: "Fed afraad ab bhi sakht hain." Interest rate policy mein United States (lambi muddat ke liye buland interest rates), United Kingdom aur Eurozone ke darmiyan farq US dollar ko support deta hai.

Haal hi mein di gayi bayaniyon ke mutabiq, "Hum abhi tak us maqam par nahi pohanchay hain jahan interest rates ko kam karne ka munasib waqt ho," kehti hain Fed policymaker Michelle Bowman. "Mere economic outlook ke risks aur uncertainty ke baray mein, main monetary policy ke future changes ko tawajjo se gaur se sochnay mein surkhiyaan rakhun gi." Unhon ne bhi apni political position ka zikr kiya hai." Unhon ne bhi bataya hai ke un mein se kai afraad hain jo is saal kisi bhi cut ko nahi dekhtay, jo unhen interest rates ko be-harkat rehnay par yakeen hai. June 12 ko Fed ne jari kiye gaye forecasts ke mutabiq, unke saat colleagues ek cut dekhtay hain, aur un ashtafaa ko do cut dekhte hain. "Main future meetings mein federal funds rate ke target range ko barhane ke liye tayyar rehti hun agar inflation ruk jaye ya palat jaye," Bowman ne izafah kiya.

Apni taraf se, Federal Reserve ke President Lisa De Kock ne cut ko qubool karne ke liye zyada raghib nazar aayi, kehte hue: "Inflation mein mazeed izafa aur kaam ke bazat-e-khalal gradual slow honay ke sath, policy restrictions ke level ko kam karne ke liye kisi bhi waqt munasib ho sakta hai takay economy mein sehat mand balance ko barqarar rakha ja sakay." Unhon ne ye bhi izafah kiya ke is tarah ke kisi adjustment ka waqt economic data ke baray mein kaisa hota hai aur ye economic expectations aur risk balance ke liye kya matlab rakhta hai, is par munhasir hoga. Market ab bhi November ko cut ke liye sab se zyada mumkin maqam samajhti hai, haan ke September mein 70% chances hain ke cut ho sakta hai.

Sterling Dollar forecast aaj:

Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, British pound ke qeemat US dollar ke khilaf, GBP/USD, ab bhi bearish hai, aur 1.2600 support ko toornay se trend par bears ka qabza mazboot ho jaye ga. Agla psychological support 1.2445 hoga, jo technical indicators ko strong overbought levels ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo ke ek ahem buying area hai. Dusri taraf, is samay ke doraan, current bearish channel bina resistance 1.2775 ke taraf barhnay ke bina tootay ga nahi. Aaj, GBP/USD pair ko US GDP growth reading, haftay ke jobless claims ki tadad aur durable goods

air ki nazr-e-aamad ke mutabiq, pound sterling ke qeemat mid-week trading mein US dollar ke khilaf aik teesra percent kam hui, jis ki wajah "tight" signals thin jo US Federal Reserve ke afraad ne jaari kiye thay. Is natijay mein, pound sterling ke qeemat ke nuqsanat US dollar ke khilaf, GBP/USD, 1.2612 level tak phel gaye, jo ke cheh hafte ki kamzori ki sabsay kam qeemat thi, phir likhnay ke waqt 1.2645 level par stabil ho gayi thi aur ahem American economic releases ke ilaan se pehle. US dollar ke qeemat pehlay hi se euro-centric khatron se aagay hai jo France ke weekend ke elections se dominated ho sakta hai, jo European Central Bank ko aane waale dinon mein mazeed interest rates cut karne par majboor kar sakta hai. Analysts ke mutabiq, Canada aur Australia ke past 24 ghanton mein heran kun taizi se inflation rates ne global inflation ki dobara shuru hone ke khauf ko barhaya hai, jis ne bond yields ko buland kiya hai. Bohat se Fed afraad ne is baat par tanqeed ki hai ke is saal interest rates ko kam karne mein jaldi nahi kiya jaye ga, jo bond markets par dabao dala hai aur aakhir kar US dollar ko pasand kiya hai.
Is lehaz se, Brown Brothers Harriman ke mahir Dr. Win Thein ke mutabiq: "Fed afraad ab bhi sakht hain." Interest rate policy mein United States (lambi muddat ke liye buland interest rates), United Kingdom aur Eurozone ke darmiyan farq US dollar ko support deta hai.

Haal hi mein di gayi bayaniyon ke mutabiq, "Hum abhi tak us maqam par nahi pohanchay hain jahan interest rates ko kam karne ka munasib waqt ho," kehti hain Fed policymaker Michelle Bowman. "Mere economic outlook ke risks aur uncertainty ke baray mein, main monetary policy ke future changes ko tawajjo se gaur se sochnay mein surkhiyaan rakhun gi." Unhon ne bhi apni political position ka zikr kiya hai." Unhon ne bhi bataya hai ke un mein se kai afraad hain jo is saal kisi bhi cut ko nahi dekhtay, jo unhen interest rates ko be-harkat rehnay par yakeen hai. June 12 ko Fed ne jari kiye gaye forecasts ke mutabiq, unke saat colleagues ek cut dekhtay hain, aur un ashtafaa ko do cut dekhte hain. "Main future meetings mein federal funds rate ke target range ko barhane ke liye tayyar rehti hun agar inflation ruk jaye ya palat jaye," Bowman ne izafah kiya.

Apni taraf se, Federal Reserve ke President Lisa De Kock ne cut ko qubool karne ke liye zyada raghib nazar aayi, kehte hue: "Inflation mein mazeed izafa aur kaam ke bazat-e-khalal gradual slow honay ke sath, policy restrictions ke level ko kam karne ke liye kisi bhi waqt munasib ho sakta hai takay economy mein sehat mand balance ko barqarar rakha ja sakay." Unhon ne ye bhi izafah kiya ke is tarah ke kisi adjustment ka waqt economic data ke baray mein kaisa hota hai aur ye economic expectations aur risk balance ke liye kya matlab rakhta hai, is par munhasir hoga. Market ab bhi November ko cut ke liye sab se zyada mumkin maqam samajhti hai, haan ke September mein 70% chances hain ke cut ho sakta hai.

Sterling Dollar forecast aaj:

Daily chart ke performance ke mutabiq, British pound ke qeemat US dollar ke khilaf, GBP/USD, ab bhi bearish hai, aur 1.2600 support ko toornay se trend par bears ka qabza mazboot ho jaye ga. Agla psychological support 1.2445 hoga, jo technical indicators ko strong overbought levels ki taraf le ja sakta hai, jo ke ek ahem buying area hai. Dusri taraf, is samay ke doraan, current bearish channel bina resistance 1.2775 ke taraf barhnay ke bina tootay ga nahi. Aaj, GBP/USD pair ko US GDP growth reading, haftay ke jobless claims ki tadad aur durable goods

GBP/USD:
HELLO GUYS,
As traders, hum market ko analyze karte hain taake achi entry points dhoondh sakein jo humare trading plans ke mutabiq hoon. Bolang relaxed rehta hai jab post karta hai, jis se usay har week consistent aur increasing bonuses milte hain. Magar pichla hafta uske liye tough tha kuch floating losses ki wajah se market trading mein, aur wo is hafta acha profit banana chahta hai taake withdrawal (WD) kar sake. Isliye, hum trend confirmation pattern ka wait kar rahe hain. Chote traders jaise hum log 1.2645 par buy karne ke liye enter hue hain, aur kuch pehle ke buyers bhi is level par pehle touch par enter hue, aur apne stop losses 1.2715 par set kiye hain. Kuch traders zyada confident the aur unhone apne stop losses is level se neeche set kiye hain.

Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke 80% market market makers se bana hota hai. Is scenario mein, market makers chote traders ke against move karte hain taake liquidity le sakein unke stop losses ko hit karke. Hum dekh sakte hain ke market ne yeh kiya, jis se direction change ho gayi sideways se downtrend tak. Fundamentally, GBP/USD pair aur doosri pairs vulnerable hain ongoing Ukraine war aur potential Fed rate hike concerns ki wajah se. Isse GBP/USD pairs ki movement aur depressed ho gayi hai. Iske ilawa, scheduled news ya high impact fundamental events se GBP/USD market pairs mein significant volatility ho sakti hai. Economic calendar ke mutabiq, Bolang ne identify kiya hai ke aaj kuch news releases ya low-impact fundamentals hain, jaise JOLTS Opening. Agar results favorable hue, to US dollar ki strength badh sakti hai, jis se GBP/USD pair weaken ho sakta hai.
Hope apka din acha guzray.

Subah bakhair, sab ko!
Kal, GBPUSD pair ek baar phir naye lows tak pahunch gaya, haal hi ki downtrend jari rahi. Magar, signs hain ke kuch waqt baad ek pullback mumkin hai, khaaskar H1 timeframe aur nichle timeframes par. H1 chart ka tajziya karte hue, humne dekha ke pehle wala candle bullish engulfing candlestick pattern ka ban-raha hai. Yeh pattern aam tor par market mein murna ki sambhavna darshata hai, iska matlab hai ke buyers sellers se control lene lag rahe hain. Oversold zone ke context mein, yeh pattern ek strong signal ho sakta hai buy entry ke liye, traders ko ek aisa mauka dene ke liye jahan se wo ek possible upward movement ka faida utha sakte hain.

Shaam ki khabron ka bhi bada asar hota hai market ki movement par, aur yeh zaroori hai ke inn events ko consider karein jab trades ka anlaysis karte hain. Economic data, geopolitical developments ya central bank announcements se related news releases market sentiment mein sudden shifts ko darust kar sakti hain. Current market conditions aur bullish engulfing pattern ki formation ke maadhyam se, ek achi ummeed hai ke humein upward movement dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Yeh expected movement ek naya buying zone ya support level qaim kar sakta hai, future price action ke liye ek mazboot foundation prastut kar sakte hue.

Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke trading hamesha risk ke saath hoti hai, aur technical patterns jaise ke bullish engulfing candlestick insights provide kar sakte hain, magar yeh foolproof nahi hote. Market dynamics ko kai factors influence karte hain, aur jo ek instance mein strong signal lagta hai, woh hamesha expected tarah se na ho. Isliye, apne trading capital ko bachane ke liye risk management strategies ka istemal karna bhi zaroori hai, jaise ke stop-loss orders set karna aur position sizing ko control karna.

GBPUSD pair ke context mein, recent price action ne ek consistent downward trend dikhaya hai, naye lows bante hue. Magar, bullish engulfing pattern ka appearance ek potential reversal ke liye ek ummeed ka chiraag lekar aaya hai. Traders ko kisi bhi trend change ka further confirmation ke liye key support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhni chahiye. Iske alawa, news events ke reaction ka monitor karna bhi market sentiment aur sustained move ki likelihood ke baray mein clues offer kar sakta hai.

Agar aap bullish engulfing pattern par based buy entry par vichar kar rahe hain, to ho sakta hai ke aur confirmation ke liye rukna behtar ho. Yeh nichle timeframes par higher highs aur higher lows ke form mein aane ke roop mein aa sakta hai, iska darshata hai ke market sach mein upward trend mein badal raha hai. Iske alawa, volume par dhyan dena bhi valuable information provide kar sakta hai; buying volume ka increase strong conviction darshak ho sakta hai market participants ke darmiyan.

Akhri mein, jabki GBPUSD pair downtrend mein tha, H1 timeframe par recent bullsih engulfing candlestick pattern ek potential pullback upwards ki sambhavna darshata hai. Yeh pattern, shaam ki khabron ke saath mila kar, ek upward move ko le ja sakta hai, ek naya buying zone ya support level qaim kar sakta hai. Magar, jitna bhi trading decision le, thorough analysis conduct karna, various factors ko consider karna, aur risk management strategies ko implement karna zaroori hai ek balanced approach ensure karne ke liye. Neeche di gayi chart yeh points ko illustrate karti hai aur current market setup ka visual representation provide karti hai.

USDJPY market mein aajkal sellers ka kuch resistance nazar aa raha hai jo ke USDJPY price ko neeche le jana chahte hain. Main samajhta hoon ke current trend USDJPY market mein long-term aur short-term dono mein hai, isliye meri raye hai ke sellers ka yeh resistance zyada dair tak nahi chalega.

Abhi tak lagta hai ke sellers ne MA 100 indicator ko penetrate toh kar liya hai, lekin isko aur neeche dhakelne mein kamiyaab nahi ho paaye hain. USDJPY ki movement abhi bhi indicator ke ird gird hi hai. Meri estimate yeh hai ke buyers dobara USDJPY price ko upar le jayenge taake bullish trend ko maintain rakha ja sake. Buyers ka chance sellers se zyada hai kyunki long-term mein USDJPY market bullish hai.

Meri trading recommendation yeh hai ke USDJPY market mein entry buy signals ka intezar karein, jab tak ke buyers wapas aa kar USDJPY price ko taqat ke sath upar le jayen. Mera andaza hai ke bullish trend USDJPY market mein barqarar rahega aur maine dekha hai ke jab bhi sellers taqat ke sath aate hain, buyers se jaldi resistance milta hai. Matlab buyers ke paas abhi bhi taqat hai ke bullish trend ko maintain rakhein. Isliye meri raye yeh hai ke buyers USDJPY market ko zyada dair tak cont rol mein rakhenge.

USDJPY market mein aajkal sellers ka kuch resistance nazar aa raha hai jo ke USDJPY price ko neeche le jana chahte hain. Main samajhta hoon ke current trend USDJPY market mein long-term aur short-term dono mein hai, isliye meri raye hai ke sellers ka yeh zyada dair tak nahi chalega.

Abhi tak lagta hai ke sellers ne MA 100 indicator ko penetrate toh kar liya hai, lekin isko aur neeche dhakelne mein kamiyaab nahi ho paaye hain. USDJPY ki movement abhi bhi indicator ke ird gird hi hai. Meri estimate yeh hai ke buyers dobara USDJPY price ko upar le jayenge taake bullish trend ko maintain rakha ja sake. Buyers ka chance sellers se zyada hai kyunki long-term mein USDJPY market bullish hai.

Meri trading recommendation yeh hai ke USDJPY market mein entry buy signals ka intezar karein, jab tak ke buyers wapas aa kar USDJPY price ko taqat ke sath upar le jayen. Mera andaza hai ke bullish trend USDJPY market mein barqarar rahega aur maine dekha hai ke jab bhi sellers taqat ke sath aate hain, buyers se jaldi resistance milta hai. Matlab buyers ke paas abhi bhi taqat hai ke bullish trend ko maintain rakhein. Isliye meri raye yeh hai ke buyers USDJPY market ko zyada dair tak control mein rakhenge.