𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

USD/JPY Exchange Rate Analysis

US dollar aur Japanese yen ke exchange rate ne hamari nazar mein rahe hain. Jab USD/JPY apne recent high se gir gaya, recovery kaafi modest rahi, aur mere nazariye se upward correction itni significant nahi thi. Halankeh market hamesha meri soch se milti nahi, lekin bearish trend ka lagta hai ke mumkin hai. Agle hafte ya do hafton mein, agar price 150.01 level ko paar kar jaye, to upward trajectory ke continue hone ki ummeed barh jayegi. Financial landscape mein, US dollar ka thoda sa majboot hona faydemand ho sakta hai. Fibonacci grid trading strategy ke mutabiq, agar price 156.65 (9%) tak barhti hai phir 132.46 (50%) tak girti hai, to yeh logical expectation hogi.

Price Action aur Market Outlook

Jumeraat ko currency pair ko kuch selling pressure ka saamna karna pada. Agle somwaar ko, main technical indicators ko analyze karunga taake market ke agle move ka andaza laga sakun, yeh dekhte hue ke bearish trend continue hoga ya koi alternative scenario banega. Current signals declining market trend ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain. Japan se Monday ko koi notable announcements ki ummeed nahi hai kyunke public holiday hai. Dusri taraf, US important information release karne wala hai, lekin outlook filhal neutral hai. In halaton ko dekhte hue, currency pair ka range mein trade karna expected hai. Selling pressure price ko 145.46 ke support level tak girasakti hai, jabke buying interest price ko 147.91 ke resistance level tak le ja sakti hai.




USD/JPY ke Technical Aspects

US dollar ne Japanese yen ke muqablay mein ground kho diya hai kyunke Treasury bond yields gire hain. Recent market turbulence ke baad, traders thoda settle ho gaye hain. Bank of Japan ka yeh kehna ke agar volatility continue rahi to rates nahi badhaye jayenge, yen par pressure barh gaya hai. USD/JPY pair ko 145.99 se 146.79 ke range mein support mila hai, aur agar yeh 145.99 se neeche girta hai, to additional downward momentum mil sakta hai. Risk appetite ke wapas aane ke saath, USD/JPY ne apni downward trend resume kar li hai. Buyers weekly high 147.88 ko break nahi kar paye, jisne pair ki decline ko 146.99 ke neeche exacerbate kar diya. Momentum ab bhi bearish hai, halankeh Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory ke kareeb hai. Agar USD/JPY 145.99 se neeche girta hai, to sellers August 8 ki low 145.43 aur August 7 ki low 144.27 ko challenge karenge. In levels ko reach karne ke baad, agla support August 6 ki daily low 143.60 hoga, aur phir recent cyclical low 141.68.

USD/JPY H1 Analysis

Current Market Situation

Aaj USD/JPY ne 147.23 se trading shuru ki. H1 timeframe ka tajziya karte hue, candle abhi bhi resistance area mein phansi hui hai. Agar yeh area successfully cross kiya jata hai, to USD/JPY ke upar jane ke imkaan hain. Magar agar yeh resistance ko overcome nahi kar pata, to USD/JPY dobara gir sakta hai. Pichle Thursday ko, girawat ke baad, USD/JPY ne rally ki, jab candle RBS zone mein phansi hui thi. Us waqt, yeh kareeb 150 pips ke movement ke saath upar gaya.

Bullish Potential

Mere tajziya ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke paas abhi bhi upar jane ka potential hai kyunki candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko cross kar liya hai. Lekin ehtiyaat zaroori hai kyunki candle MA50 line ko penetrate nahi kar paayi. Agar yeh level se rebound hota hai, to downward movement ho sakti hai. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke agar zyada tar market participants ko lagta hai ke current corrective rollback khatam ho chuki hai aur ab pair bechna shuru karna chahiye, to price distribution option ke taur par act kar sakti hai. Iska matlab yeh ho sakta hai ke agar price nahi barhti, to market participants ko lagta hai ke price is level se kafi gir sakti hai.

Moving Average Analysis

H1 moving average line trend indicator ke taur par kaam karti hai. Agar USD/JPY is line ke upar rehta hai, to yeh bullish trend ke continue hone ka signal hai. Wahi agar sustained trading is moving average ke neeche hoti hai, to yeh trend reversal ya consolidation phase ka indication ho sakta hai.




Economic Influences and Future Monitoring

USD/JPY pair ki recent trading activity economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical factors ke complex interplay ko reflect karti hai. D1 moving average line par 168.470 support level ka ongoing test is pair ke liye critical juncture hai. Traders ko is level ke aas-paas ke behavior ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki yeh future price movements ke bare mein significant insights de sakta hai. Market dynamics ko navigate karte waqt technical aur fundamental analysis dono ko incorporate karte hue ehtiyaat aur informed approach apnaana zaroori hoga.

USD/JPY Currency Pair ka Price Action ka Jaiza

Haal ka Market Nazariya


Hamara mojooda dihaan USD/JPY currency pair ke price action par hai. Jab ke exchange rate apne mojooda level se neeche ja sakta hai, meri rai mein upar ka correction ab tak significant nahi hua. Halaanki price ne tezi se girawat dekhi, lekin uski recovery bohot kam rahi. Yeh mera nazariya hai, magar market ka apna aik rukh hota hai, jo meri soch se mutabiq bhi ho sakta hai ya mukhtalif bhi (is dafa ho sakta hai ke yeh mutabiq ho).

Hum ek bearish trend ki umeed kar sakte hain, baghair kisi shak ke. Lekin agle hafte (ya shayad agle do ya teen hafton mein), agar price 150.01 ke upar jaye, toh lag sakta hai ke aik upward trend jari reh sakta hai. Agar broader market mein US dollar thoda mazboot ho jaye, toh yeh bhi faida mand ho sakta hai. Aik trading method jo Fibonacci grid ka istemal karti hai, kehti hai ke price ko pehle 156.65 (9%) tak upar jana chaahiye, phir 132.46 (50%) tak girawat ho sakti hai.
Friday ka Tajziya aur Monday ki Predictions


Friday ko pair ne kuch selling pressure ka samna kiya. Main Monday ke liye price ki movement predict karne ki koshish karoon ga, dekhte hue ke bearish trend jari rahega ya koi mukhtalif scenario develop ho sakta hai. Iske liye hume technical analysis ka jaiza lena hoga aur recommendations ka mutala karna hoga.

Moving averages selling bias ko dikhate hain, technical indicators mazid selling ka mashwara dete hain, aur overall conclusion selling ke haqq mein hai. Yeh technical analysis dikhata hai ke bearish direction mein movement ho sakti hai.
Aanay Wali Khabron ka Jaiza


Ab hum Monday ke liye kisi ahem khabron ka jaiza lete hain jo pair par asar dal sakti hain. Mujhe Japan se koi bari khabar ka andaza nahi hai, khas tor par is liye ke Monday ko chutti hai. Haan, U.S. se kuch ahm news zarur aa sakti hai, magar filhal forecasts neutral lag rahe hain. In factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, hum expect kar sakte hain ke pair sideways move karega.




Selling pressure price ko 145.46 ke support level tak neeche laa sakta hai, jab ke buying interest price ko 147.91 ke resistance level tak upar le jaa sakta hai.

USD/JPY Price ka Jaiza

Hamara guftagu USD/JPY currency pair ke mojooda price action ka jaiza dene par focus hai. Filhaal USD/JPY ki price 146.58 par hai. Is hafte ke aghaz mein, pair ne bullish boundary ko tor diya aur zigzag pattern banaya. Is wajah se, mein ab zyada bullish outlook ki taraf dekh raha hoon, bajaye ke short opportunities talash karoon. Maine do ahem levels identify kiye hain—145.69 aur 146.99—jahan se mein price ki movement ko catch karna chahta hoon. Ho sakta hai ke in levels ke darmiyan kuch consolidation dekhi jaye. Sirf ek teek break ke baad hi mein position kholoon ga. Agar subah Asian traders 146.99 ko tor dete hain, toh European speculators price ko aur upar le jayenge. Mere primary targets 147.89 aur phir 149.99 se upar hain. Kya mein buy karoon ga? Haan, mein 147.09 se entry loonga, aur stop 146.79 par rakhoon ga. Agar price 145.69 se neeche girti hai, toh yeh nayi wave of descent ko confirm karegi, aur behtareen selling point 145.49 hoga, jahan stop 145.79 par hoga. Qareebi depth markers ke liye, mujhe chart par do levels nazar aa rahe hain: 143.74 aur 143.09.




USD/JPY pair apni position kho rahi hai, kyun ke Treasury bond yields gir rahe hain. Pichle market volatility ke baad, traders ab settle ho gaye hain. Bank of Japan ke rate na barhane ka bayan, agar volatility barqarar rehti hai, ne yen par mazeed pressure dala hai. USD/JPY ka qareebi support 145.99 aur 146.79 ke darmiyan hai. Agar price 145.99 ke neeche jati hai, toh yeh mazeed downward momentum paida kar sakti hai. Risk appetite ke wapas aane se, USD/JPY ne apna downtrend jari rakha. Buyers weekly high 147.88 ko break karne mein naakam rahe, jis se pair ka 146.99 ke neeche girawat mazeed barh gayi. Momentum abhi bhi bearish hai, halaanke Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory ke qareeb hai. Agar USD/JPY 145.99 ke neeche girta hai, toh sellers August 8 ke low 145.43 ko challenge karenge, aur uske baad August 7 ka low 144.27 hoga. Jab yeh levels likely hote hain, toh agla support August 6 ka daily low 143.60 hoga, jiske baad recent cyclical low 141.68 hoga.

USD/JPY currency pair ne Tuesday ko kafi volatile performance dikhayi, jo kai economic aur geopolitical events ka nateeja thi. Jabke Japanese yen US dollar ke muqable mein kamzor hui, is girawat ko Middle East mein barhti hui tensions ke safe-haven flows ne kuch had tak rok diya. 23 August ko Japanese parliament ka khaas ijlaas hone wala hai, jisme Bank of Japan (BoJ) ke recent interest rate decision par guftagu hogi, aur yeh bhi market mein ek naya ghair yaqini ka asar dal raha hai. Is meeting mein BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ka hissa lena bhi yen mein khaasi volatility ka sabab ban sakta hai. Dusri taraf, US market mein Federal Reserve ke September mein 50 basis points ki rate cut ki umeed kam hone se greenback par pressure kam hua, jo ke USD/JPY pair ke liye thoda support ka sabab bana. Magar market abhi bhi US ke aanay wale Producer Price Index (PPI) aur Consumer Price Index (CPI) data par nazar rakhe hue hai, jo US inflation ki raah aur iske nateeje mein Fed ki monetary policy ko wazeh karega.

Technically dekha jaye toh USD/JPY pair kaafi lambe downtrend ke baad ab ek potential rebound ka ishara de raha hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold territory se upar chala gaya hai, jo momentum shift ki taraf ishara karta hai. Magar, pair abhi bhi apni nine-day exponential moving average ke neeche hai, jo near-term mein bearish bias ko barqarar rakhta hai. Pair ke liye support levels 7-maheenay ka low 141.69 aur rebound support 140.25 par situated hain. Upar ki taraf, resistance nine-day EMA ke qareeb 147.72 par expect kiya ja raha hai, aur mazeed hurdles five-day moving average aur "reverse support turned resistance" level 154.50 par ho sakte hain. Halaanki abhi ka rally ek oversold conditions se correction lagta hai, lekin broader market sentiment abhi bhi ehtiyaat par mabni hai. 146.0-146.5 ka area, jo pehle support ka kaam kar raha tha, ab resistance ka kaam kar sakta hai aur pair ki upward movement ko rokne ka sabab ban sakta hai.




Akhir mein kaha ja sakta hai ke USD/JPY pair ek complex environment se guzar raha hai, jisme kai factors iski direction ko asar andaz kar rahe hain. Geopolitical tensions, central bank policies, aur economic indicators ke asraat agle chand dinon mein is pair ki trajectory ko tay karenge. Traders ko ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye aur in developments ko qareebi nazar se dekhna chahiye taake behtareen faislay le sakein.

USD/JPY Price Move

Humari guftagu mein, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki price changes ka tajziya karenge. Pair ne Bank of Japan ki mudakhlat ki wajah se 161.31 ka level cross kiya, jisme unhon ne market mein dollars ka izafa kiya, bilkul 160 ki tarah. Halaanke market ne shayad yeh anticipate kiya ho, lekin 161 par itni growth pehle expect nahi ki gayi thi, kyun ke kisi prediction ne aisa nateeja nahi diya tha. Pair baad mein yen ki taqat barhne ki wajah se gir gaya jab rate hike ke baad carry trades unwind hone lage. Magar 148 se jo rise hua, wo abhi tak wazeh nahi—shayad Bank of Japan ke deputy chairman ke bayanaat ka asar ho. Phir bhi, yeh saaf hai ke rate increase ki zarurat nahi thi, jab ke USD/JPY ne kuch waqt ke liye takreeban 2000 points ka surge dekha. Agar currency chand hafton mein 10-15% gir jaye, toh kisi ko faida nahi hoga. Lekin technically, agar hum 147.91 par sell karein, toh falling channel ke upar growth hone se price 152-154 tak barh sakti hai, jo ke promising lagti hai pehle ke girawat ke bajaye. Bank of Japan shayad yen ko zyada girne na de, kyun ke yeh unke liye mufeed nahi hoga. Shayad woh stable trading conditions ko tarjeeh dein.




Pair ka technical outlook yeh dikhata hai ke upward trend jari reh sakti hai, jaisa ke TMA channel indicator se zahir hota hai. Zigzag aur auxiliary MACD aur RSI indicators bhi bullish movement ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, kyun ke yeh oversold zone mein hain, jo ke long buy trades ka ishara deti hai. Bulls ki taqat aur activity ko dekhte hue, mein plan kar raha hoon ke jab Fib target 61.8% (price level 154.214) par pohnchayega, toh mein apni position secure karoon ga. Lekin faida ko mehfooz rakhne ke liye, mein order ko breakeven par shift kar doon ga jab woh positive ho jaye. Filhaal 4-hour chart par, bulls apni position barqarar rakhe hue hain, halaanke unki activity thodi kam hui hai. Iska matlab yeh nahi ke bullish correction ke liye koshishain ruk jayengi, kyun ke abhi tak unki upward movement ki potential ya downside se attacks khatam nahi hui. EMA(13/6) aur MACD se indicators takreeban corrective signals de rahe hain. Iss liye, mein anticipate kar raha hoon ke kuch consolidation ke baad northern move dekha ja sakta hai.

Tuesday ke Asian trading session mein, USD/JPY pair ko 147.80 ke qareeb selling pressure ka samna karna para. Yeh girawat Japanese officials ke verbal interventions aur kamzor hotay hue US Dollar (USD) ki wajah se hui. Taaza update ke mutabiq, pair abhi bhi 147.80 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo market ki persistent uncertainties ko zahir karta hai.

USD/JPY ke Fundamentals:

Strategists ne yeh highlight kiya hai ke yield differentials ab pair ki outlook ko shape karne mein aik ahm kirdar ada kar rahe hain. Unhon ne yeh bhi kaha ke Japanese Yen ki mojooda kamzori ke nateeje mein jald FX intervention ho sakti hai, kyun ke yeh kamzori consumer confidence ko mutasir kar rahi hai aur market sentiment par asar daal sakti hai.

Iske baraks, US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke USD ko chay baray currencies ke against measure karta hai, recent mein setback ka shikar hua hai. Yeh downturn kai economic data releases se jura hai, jo ke aksar expectations se neeche aaye hain. Yeh softer figures US economy mein slowdown ki taraf ishara karte hain, jis se USD par mazeed pressure barh raha hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Technical analysis dikhata hai ke pair ke liye foran support 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb 153.69 par hai. Agar yeh support level break hota hai, toh yeh mojooda bullish outlook ko undermine kar sakta hai aur pair ko uske ascending channel ke lower boundary ke qareeb 158.81 tak le ja sakta hai. Agar price is channel support se aur neeche girti hai, toh yeh significant low 141.71 ki taraf ja sakti hai.




Relative Strength Index (RSI) filhal 69.88 par hai, jo ke is baat ka ishara hai ke yeh overbought territory se bahar aa raha hai. Agar RSI 70 se neeche close karta hai, toh yeh sell opportunity ka signal hoga aur trend mein short-term reversal ka ishara karega. Agar Tuesday ke akhir tak aik bearish candlestick formation banti hai, toh yeh reversal signal ko mazid validate karegi.

D1 Period Chart - USDJPY Currency Pair. Jaise ke aap dekh saktay hain, price 152.16 ke horizontal support level ke upar nahi reh sakti. Kai din tak ye log uptrend ko promote karne ki koshish karte rahe, lekin bohat se buyers ne surface se accumulate kiya aur kal price ko neeche push kar diya. Ab jab ke main ascending support line tak pohanch gaye hain, jo ke waves ke bottom ke saath weekly chart par behtareen tareeke se dekha ja sakta hai. Ye line bohat powerful hai aur zyadatar ye broken support level 152.16 tak develop ho sakti hai, jo ke ab resistance ban chuka hai. Kal kuch rebound bhi hua, aur price ko wapas neeche dhakel diya gaya, lekin abhi bhi corrective growth ke liye yahan bohat potential hai kyun ke CCI indicator lower overheating zone mein hai aur aap isme farq dekh sakte hain. Toh, chhote intervals mein din ke andar, mein sirf upside ko consider kar raha hoon abhi ke liye, ek upside correction ke saath. Aaj 15-30 Moscow time par key news package: US mein average hourly earnings, US non-farm sector mein employees ki tadaad mein tabdeeliyan, US ki active population ka share, private enterprises mein jobs ki tadaad mein tabdeeliyan, aur US non-farm sector mein unemployment rate. Achha, line ke bohat qareeb sell karne ka koi faida nahi, market mein sab kuch mumkin hai aur phir neeche jaye. Magar ab MACD indicator par weekly period mein ek bohat bari bearish divergence dikh rahi hai. Waise, monthly chart par bhi MACD indicator par bearish divergence dekhi ja sakti hai. Toh ye mumkin hai ke ek bara drop aaye, lekin abhi bhi entries ke liye rollbacks ki zaroorat hai USD/JPY market ne khayali pulao paka liya hai. Haan, FOMC ke sath aane wale statement aur Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke press conference mein speech mein September mein Fed ki monetary policy ko easening ki taraf lay jane ke kai hints thay. Magar, sab decisions data par mabni honge. Is pehlu ke madde nazar, 2024 ke end tak rate cuts ke teen acts mein derivatives mein confidence kuch zyada lagta hai. Agar aisa hai, toh US dollar ke wapas aane ke ache chances hain. Powell ne isharah diya ke FOMC ne July ke meeting ke dauran rates ko neeche karne ka socha tha, lekin zyadatar officials ne samjha ke sab kuch waisa hi rehna chahiye. US economy inflation aur unemployment ke lehaz se achi jagah par hai, aur disinflationary processes ka development aur labor market ka aage chal kar thanda hona monetary policy easing ka rasta khol sakta hai. Ye issue September ke Fed ke next meeting mein phir se table par aa sakta hai Click image for larger version

USD/JPY pair consistent bullish momentum dikha raha hai. Current price action ne ek triangle pattern banaya hai, jo typically consolidation period ko darshaata hai ek breakout se pehle. Dekhte hue prevailing bullish sentiment ko, yeh bohot zyada mumkin hai ke pair ek upward breakout experience karega, jo ke 50-80 pips tak move kar sakta hai. Yeh breakout broader bullish trend ke sath align karega aur traders ko USD ki strength ke against JPY ke sath capitalize karne ka moka dega. Triangle pattern ke upper boundary ek key level hai jo traders ko dekhnay chahiye anticipated breakout ke liye, jo ke potential buy signals ka clear indication de sakta hai. Agar pair apne current levels se downturn experience karta hai, toh ek strong re-entry opportunity 153.50 level par hai. Yeh level ek significant support zone ko represent karta hai jo ke further declines ko prevent kar sakta hai aur traders ko long positions ke liye ek favorable entry point offer kar sakta hai. Stop-loss ko strategically 153.83 level par place karna chahiye taake risk ko effectively manage kiya ja sake aur unforeseen market movements ke against protection mil sake. Support zone ke neeche stop-loss set karne se, traders potential losses ko minimize kar sakte hain jabke anticipated upward movement se profit ka chance maximize kar sakte hain. Overall, D1 timeframe par USD/JPY pair ka current setup ek compelling opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye ongoing bullish trend se benefit lene ke liye, halanke short-term fluctuations ko navigate karte waqt ehtiyat zaroori hai
USD/JPY pair ka downward trajectory jaari rehne ke imkaniyat hai. Bank of Japan ki interest rate policy aur aanewala U.S. labor market data pair ki direction ko shape karne mein pivotal hoga
Agar bullish sentiment wapas aaye, tou resistance level 155.50 par crucial hoga. Magar, agar key support level 145.00 se neechay break kar jaye tou mazeed declines ho sakte hain. Market participants ko in levels ko qaribi se dekhna chahiye aur apni strategies accordingly adjust karni chahiye
Conclusion
USD/JPY pair mazid bearish signals multiple technical indicators aur chart patterns par show karti hai. Jab ke pullback ki gunjaish hai, overall sentiment bearish rehta hai. Traders ko key resistance levels par shorting opportunities dekhni chahiye aur agar support levels breach ho, tou mazeed declines ke liye tayar rehna chahiye
Mukhtasir mein, USD/JPY pair ka bearish trend technical indicators aur haali market activity se supported hai. Central bank policies aur economic data releases ke bare mein updated rehna is market ko navigate karne ke liye crucial hoga. Aane wale haftay mein aap sab ko successful

Main focus ab USD/JPY currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior par hai, khaaskar 30-minute chart par Bollinger Bands indicator ka istemal karte hue. Main target level 144.460 ke aas-paas aur thoda neeche short positions close karne ke liye hai. Market conditions ab selling ke favor mein hain, isliye short positions open karna advisable hai jab tak pair 145.256 ke niche rahe. Agar price 145.256 ke upar break hoti hai aur consolidate karti hai, to long positions consider karni chahiye, jiska target 146.050 hai.
Technical Indicators and Levels


Bollinger Bands: Abhi Bollinger Bands ke basis par bearish stance maintain kar raha hoon aur tick volumes aur Bollinger Bands ko closely monitor kar raha hoon. Agar hourly chart par bullish buy level 145.790 breach hota hai, to growth potential ka indication hai.

Resistance Levels:
149.251
150.855
153.348
153.720

Bearish Trend Line: Pehle bearish trend line ko bulls ne aaj surpass kiya hai, jo buying volume mein possible increase ko indicate karta hai. Lekin agar bearish sell level 142.901 breach hota hai, to bearish trend ki taraf shift ho sakta hai. Agar price reverse hoti hai aur bearish scenario align hota hai, to decline ko prioritize karunga, expect karte hue ke Bollinger Bands mein drop hoga.

Oscillator Analysis (30-Minute Chart): Oscillator oversold conditions ko indicate kar raha hai aur histogram uptrend shuru kar raha hai. Price ne 141.86 ka minimum touch kiya hai aur ab rise shuru ho gaya hai. Price green zone ke through move kar rahi hai aur red zone ko support level ke taur par use kar sakti hai. Green zone ko fully navigate karne ke baad price apne previous sideways range par wapas aa sakti hai, jahan support level 153.11 aur resistance level 154.71 hai.

Main focus ab USD/JPY currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior par hai, khaaskar 30-minute chart par Bollinger Bands indicator ka istemal karte hue. Main target level 144.460 ke aas-paas aur thoda neeche short positions close karne ke liye hai. Market conditions ab selling ke favor mein hain, isliye short positions open karna advisable hai jab tak pair 145.256 ke niche rahe. Agar price 145.256 ke upar break hoti hai aur consolidate karti hai, to long positions consider karni chahiye, jiska target 146.050 hai.
Technical Indicators and Levels


Bollinger Bands: Abhi Bollinger Bands ke basis par bearish stance maintain kar raha hoon aur tick volumes aur Bollinger Bands ko closely monitor kar raha hoon. Agar hourly chart par bullish buy level 145.790 breach hota hai, to growth potential ka indication hai.

Resistance Levels:
149.251
150.855
153.348
153.720

Bearish Trend Line: Pehle bearish trend line ko bulls ne aaj surpass kiya hai, jo buying volume mein possible increase ko indicate karta hai. Lekin agar bearish sell level 142.901 breach hota hai, to bearish trend ki taraf shift ho sakta hai. Agar price reverse hoti hai aur bearish scenario align hota hai, to decline ko prioritize karunga, expect karte hue ke Bollinger Bands mein drop hoga.

Oscillator Analysis (30-Minute Chart): Oscillator oversold conditions ko indicate kar raha hai aur histogram uptrend shuru kar raha hai. Price ne 141.86 ka minimum touch kiya hai aur ab rise shuru ho gaya hai. Price green zone ke through move kar rahi hai aur red zone ko support level ke taur par use kar sakti hai. Green zone ko fully navigate karne ke baad price apne previous sideways range par wapas aa sakti hai, jahan support level 153.11 aur resistance level 154.71 hai.

• USD

Main focus ab USD/JPY currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior par hai, khaaskar 30-minute chart par Bollinger Bands indicator ka istemal karte hue. Main target level 144.460 ke aas-paas aur thoda neeche short positions close karne ke liye hai. Market conditions ab selling ke favor mein hain, isliye short positions open karna advisable hai jab tak pair 145.256 ke niche rahe. Agar price 145.256 ke upar break hoti hai aur consolidate karti hai, to long positions consider karni chahiye, jiska target 146.050 hai.
Technical Indicators and Levels


Bollinger Bands: Abhi Bollinger Bands ke basis par bearish stance maintain kar raha hoon aur tick volumes aur Bollinger Bands ko closely monitor kar raha hoon. Agar hourly chart par bullish buy level 145.790 breach hota hai, to growth potential ka indication hai.

Resistance Levels:
149.251
150.855
153.348
153.720

Bearish Trend Line: Pehle bearish trend line ko bulls ne aaj surpass kiya hai, jo buying volume mein possible increase ko indicate karta hai. Lekin agar bearish sell level 142.901 breach hota hai, to bearish trend ki taraf shift ho sakta hai. Agar price reverse hoti hai aur bearish scenario align hota hai, to decline ko prioritize karunga, expect karte hue ke Bollinger Bands mein drop hoga.

Oscillator Analysis (30-Minute Chart): Oscillator oversold conditions ko indicate kar raha hai aur histogram uptrend shuru kar raha hai. Price ne 141.86 ka minimum touch kiya hai aur ab rise shuru ho gaya hai. Price green zone ke through move kar rahi hai aur red zone ko support level ke taur par use kar sakti hai. Green zone ko fully navigate karne ke baad price apne previous sideways range par wapas aa sakti hai, jahan support level 153.11 aur resistance level 154.71 hai.

USD/JPY H4 Chart

Kal, USD/JPY pair ne resistance line ko test karne ke liye kuch positive attempts kiye, jo ke filhal 161.563 par hai. Iske sath hi, MACD indicators ke through clear negative signals dekhne ko mile hain, jo agle sessions mein bearish trend ko resume karne ke chances ko support karte hain. Agar price 161.83-161.58 ke beech bounce back kare, toh yeh 161.48-161.73 ki taraf agle major station ke liye raasta khol sakti hai. Yad rahe, agar 161.80-161.63 ka breach hota hai, toh USD/JPY price ko higher push kar ke near term mein 161.93 ke pre-recorded high tak pohcha sakta hai. Kal ke trading session mein, USD/JPY pair ne multiple attempts kiye resistance line ko test karne ke liye, jo ke filhal 161.563 par hai, jo traders ke liye ek significant level hai. MACD indicators negative signals de rahe hain, jo bearish trend ko resume karne ke chances ko badhate hain. Iska matlab yeh hai ke agar price is level se rebound kare, toh bearish trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai.



Global bullish trend ke formation ka hissa hai. Ek alternative option price movement ke liye next test ke dauran resistance level 164.500 par ek plan hoga reversal candle ke formation ka aur price movement ke downward resumption ka. Agar yeh plan work out hota hai, toh main intezar karunga ke price support level tak return kare, jo ke 160.209 par located hai, ya phir support level tak, jo ke 157.671 par located hai. In support levels ke kareeb, main bullish signals ko search karta rahunga anticipation mein price movement ke upward resumption ke. General mein, agar hum mukhtasir baat karein, toh aaj locally yeh maan lete hain ke yeh price ko north tak nearest resistance level tak move karne ki koshish kar sakte hain, aur phir main market situation se proceed karunga, bullish scenarios ko priority dete hue.

USD/JPY ka pair price ka behavior aur analysis ke hawale se baat karte hain. H4 chart par linear regression channel mein buyers ki strength reflect hoti hai, jo upward trend mein hai. Jitna steeper channel ka tilt hoga, utna zyada buyer activity evident hogi. Bulls apne target level 161.148 tak pahunchne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Market mein pullback ke baad enter karne ke liye, wait karein jab tak price 160.217 ke paas ya is level par ho, tab buy karne par consider karein. Channel ke andar trading straightforward hai: lower edge par buy karein aur upper edge par sell karein. Lekin, trend ke against trading risky hoti hai. Main prefer karta hoon target reach hone ke baad pullback ka wait karoon taake growing channel mein re-enter kar saku. Agar price 160.217 ke baad bhi without stopping move karti hai, toh strong seller momentum signal hota hai, jo buying se pehle reassess karne ka zarurat hota hai. Aise situations mein caution advised hai.

Currently, buyers control mein hain aur critical question yeh hai ke kya woh price ko 160.29 resistance level ke upar maintain kar sakte hain. Agar kal ka breakout ek fluke nikla, aur USDJPY pair 160.27 se neeche drop hota hai, toh H4 candle ko wahan close hone par downturn signal ho sakta hai. Agar price 160.27 se neeche girti hai, toh main 160.00-160.27 range mein short positions open karne ka consider karunga, aiming for the support level of 157.20. Yen ki weakness ek trend ban chuki hai, daily 50-100 points lose kar rahi hai, bina intervention ke reversal ka koi sign nahi. Agar price 163.9 tak pahunchti hai, toh Japanese authorities action lenge, lekin abhi ke liye situation bears ke liye bleak lagti hai. Main khud short positions mein stuck hoon aur aur add karne mein mushkil ho rahi hai. Is decline ko observe karna challenging hai. Maine 160 ke aas paas support ki umeed ki thi, lekin woh abhi tak materialize nahi hui. Main hopeful hoon ke jaldi resolution ho.

USD/JPY Forecast: Pair 160.00 improve karta hai 160.85 reach karne ke baad H4 chart par. Is correction ki completion ek aur climb 161.30 tak pave kar sakti hai. Yeh view technically stochastic oscillator ke zariye reinforce hoti hai, jo currently 20 ke neeche hai aur wapas 80 par move karne ke liye poised hai, jo possibility indicate karta hai.

USD/JPY ke price action ka tajziya hamari guftagu ka markazi mawzu hoga. USD/JPY currency pair ne trading week ka ikhtitam 146.69 ke area ke qareeb ek correction ke sath kiya, jo ke iski upward trend ko jaari rakhta hai. Agarche moving averages ek bearish trend ko zahir kar rahe hain, magar prices abhi bhi 145.01 ke mark se upar hain, jo ke US dollar per intense buyer pressure aur maujooda satah se izafi growth ki potential ko signal karta hai. Iss waqt humein ek potential price correction ki tawwaqo karni chahiye, jisme support level 145.01 ke qareeb test kiya jayega. Agar phir se rebound hota hai, to pair ki growth 150.01 level se aage barh sakti hai. Lekin agar pair girta hai aur 145.01 level se neeche toot jata hai, to ye girawat ke jaari rehne ko zahir karega, jisme mumkin target 142.01 ke neeche ho sakta hai. Bulls ne trend line break hone ke baad control dubara haasil karne ki koshish ki, magar unki koshishen sirf trend line ko neeche se test karne tak mehdood rahi, bina kisi significant breakthrough ke.

Doosri taraf, agar bulls trend line ko phir se toor kar iske upar position secure kar lete hain, to ye global trend ki restoration ka signal de sakta hai. Aam tor par average prices ki movement downward hai, aur dynamic filter bhi downward trend mein hai. Pehle, dynamic filter ki control line ne correction ko support kiya tha, magar ab daily candle patterns yeh darshate hain ke sellers dhire dhire momentum haasil kar rahe hain. Oscillator windows mein indicators, jisme dynamic RSI shamil hai, downward turn lene lage hain, halanke dynamic RSI abhi tak channel ke upper limit ke neeche cross nahi kiya. Junior RSI bhi dhire dhire downward shift ho raha hai, jabke day aur week RSI neeche hi hain, jo ke downward trend ke sath aligned hain. Agle downward move mein price kitni neeche jayegi is waqt predict karna mushkil hai, magar qarib tareen target 145.51 hai. Iske aage, direction abhi uncertain hai.