𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

USD/JPY

Mere colleague, assalam o alaikum! Aap bilkul theek keh rahe hain ke USD/JPY ne sab moving averages aur guides ko break karna shuru kar diya hai. Kal unhone kareeb do sau points attack kiye, aur aaj ka din abhi sirf shuru hi hua hai aur unhone already ek sau se zyada pips south mein achieve kar liye hain. Yeh bilkul unstoppable hain.

Indicators ka kya kehna hai daily chart par using wave technique:
- MA100 ne apna bullish mood dheere dheere kho diya hai - yeh growth ke favor mein tha ek trend angle ke sath jo takreeban tees degrees tha, lekin ab - recent bears ke asar ke neeche - yeh moving average decline ke favor mein tilt hone lagi hai. Aur ab yeh zameen ke parallel space mein kaam kar rahi hai.
- MA18 ne forty degrees ke trend angle ke sath decline ke favor mein bend hone mein kamiyab hogaya hai, ab yeh lagbhag vertically south ki taraf ja raha hai. Jis se yeh obvious lagta hai ke near future mein yeh dead cross form karega - jo ke ek sell signal hai.
- Ichimoku cloud apne current state mein bullish colors mein hai, lekin forecast perspective mein yeh bears ki taraf switch ho raha hai. Yani ke future mein hum decline ka continuation predict kar rahe hain.

Jaisa ke maine neeche screen par note kiya - sab basement indicator bundles decline ka continuation dikhate hain.
Pehla calculated support 151.70 hai.



Bilkul deewana pan. Kal subah dobara repeat ho gaya. General mein, ab takreeban support ke kareeb hain aur thoda thoda buying shuru ki ja sakti hai yeh expectation ke sath ke USD/JPY further down jaayega aur har decline par zyada add kiya ja sakta hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke southern trend ka exit upward direction mein hoga. Filhal, Japanese yen mein strength dikhai de rahi hai, jo market mein bulls ke control ka indication hai potential mein. Agar agli session ke dauran market bullish potential ko confirm karta hai, to yeh waqt hoga ke short positions ko close kiya jaye jo ke situation ko aggravate kar sakta hai. Dekha jaye to movement yeh nahi dikha rahi ke Japanese yen ka growth continue ho sakta hai near future mein, to hum yeh maan sakte hain ke yen ka upward trend setup hoga, aur level 155.75 ek mark ban sakta hai, jahan pohonch kar mein nayi sale ka possibility consider karunga. Obvious hai ke is level se ek strong reversal naye prospects kholta hai. Important hai ke aisa impulse mile aur resistance level par na rukein taake ek potentially profitable sell trade ban sake.

Jaise ke maine pehle bhi zikr kiya tha, mera main reference point senior time frame tha, jahan price behavior ko weekly chart ke hawale se analyze kiya gaya tha. Yaad dilata chalun ke pehle price action method use kiya gaya tha, jahan candlestick pattern "Evening Star" ne ek steep decline ko indicate kiya tha, jo ke diagonal support ke break hone ke baad hua, aur uske baad sellers ne kaafi arsa tak market ko apne qabze mein rakha. Total decline 1720 points ka tha, aur reference point Fibonacci level 88.2 par tha, jo ke ek aham Moving Average (MA) ke sath coincide kar raha tha. Maine ye sab kuch screen par draw kiya tha, jo direction ko rokta hua nazar aya, aur price kaafi upar move kar gayi. Mujhe lagta hai ke agle haftay hum 148.53 tak pahunch sakte hain, jo ke kam az kam 200-point ka move hoga. Main suggest karta hoon ke apni trading strategy ke mutabiq is plan ko dobara dekhein. Economic calendar mein Japan aur US se ahem khabrein aanay wali hain, toh fundamentals bhi price action par asar dalenge.

USD/JPY currency pair mein ek strong correction upwards dekhi gayi hai, magar is waqt mein in prices par selling karne ke hawale se ehtiyaat barat raha hoon. Dekhte hain agle hafta kya laata hai, kyunke humein is weekend se bhi guzarna hai. Main yeh nahi keh raha ke market mein sab kuch fix hai, lekin Middle East mein naye tensions hain, aur agar kuch hota hai, toh Monday ko market ke khulne par surprises dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Halaanki, kisi bhi surat mein yeh Japanese yen ko mazid mazbooti dene par majboor kar sakta hai. Bearish trend abhi bhi relevant hai, aur agar Monday ko prices 147.90 mark ke upar break nahi hoti, toh shayad yeh waqt hai ke market mein selling ke liye entry ko consider kiya jaye. Phir bhi, is idea ko weekend ke doran analyze karenge, taake tamaam fundamental factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue aakhri faisla kiya ja sake.

Meri analysis ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke upar jaane ke chances abhi bhi hain, kyunke candle ne middle Bollinger Band line ko penetrate kar liya hai. Magar, aapko ehtiyaat baratni hogi kyunke candle abhi tak MA50 line ko penetrate karne mein kamiyab nahi hui. Yahan se ek rebound ho sakta hai jo akhirkar price ko neeche le jaaye. Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke yeh scenario play out ho aur hum price distribution ke agle phase mein dakhil ho jaayein, jab market ke zyada tar participants ye sochne lagte hain ke corrective rollback khatam ho gaya hai, aur is point se selling shuru ho jati hai. Lekin agar yeh puppeteer trap kaam karta hai, toh is scenario ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair seedha 159.13 tak jaa sakti hai bina kisi rollback ke, aur agar aisa hota hai, toh market wahan se kaafi neeche gir sakta hai.

Main predict karta hoon ke USD/JPY abhi bhi upar jaayega, kyunke H1 support price 145.88 ab tak break nahi hui. Is liye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trade kar rahe hain, wo sirf buy positions par focus karein. Aap apna take profit target 151.20 par set kar sakte hain aur apna stop loss 145.45 par rakh sakte hain.

USD/JPY currency pair ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke downtrend ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, jo ke Triangular Moving Average (TMA) channel indicator se wazeh hota hai. Is southward movement ko Zigzag indicator aur Laguerre aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) jaise additional technical tools bhi support karte hain, jo ke overbought zone mein hain, aur short-selling ke moqe ka ishara dete hain. Market mein bearish sentiment ka bol-bala hai, aur analyst ka plan yeh hai ke -23.6% Fibonacci support level, jo ke 144.694 ke price par hai, par open position close kar deni chahiye. Risk ko kam karne ke liye, analyst stop-loss order ko breakeven level par le jayega jaise hi position profit mein chali jayegi. Yeh approach trader ko bearish momentum ka faida uthate hue potential price reversals se bachne mein madad dega US labor market data ki recent release ne USD/JPY ke price ko southward move karne par majboor kiya hai. Yeh development trader, Dmitry, ke liye khushi ka sabab hai, jo ke is bearish trend se profits enjoy kar raha hai. Magar analyst ka khayal hai ke Japanese yen itni dair tak vertically strengthen nahi kar payega, aur price eventually stabilize hoke consolidation ya shayad northward move kar sakti hai. Halankeh abhi market mein bearish sentiment hai, analyst warn karta hai ke US dollar ko mukammal taur par likhna ghalat hoga. American currency apni resilience ke liye mashhoor hai aur kisi waqt comeback kar sakti hai, chahe USD/JPY pair mein reversal se ya kisi aur currency pair mein strength se. Analyst market conditions ko closely monitor karega aur trading strategy ko accordingly adjust karega taake kisi bhi potential opportunities ka faida utha sake
Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke foreign exchange market mein trading ke andar inherent risks hote hain, aur investors ko hamesha thorough research karni chahiye, risk management strategies implement karni chahiye, aur professional guidance lena chahiye pehle ke kisi bhi investment decision ka. Federal Reserve ke agli meeting tak poora ek mahina baqi hai, is waqt currency pair ki price mein significant increase dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Yeh is liye ke dollar ki strength ke peeche jo factors hain, jaise ke US economy ka mazboot performance aur Fed ki hawkish monetary policy stance, ab tak fundamentally change nahi hue. Halankeh recent economic data release ke baare mein kuch log speculate kar rahe hain ke yeh government agencies ne manipulate kiya tha takay aane wale elections se pehle achi tasveer dikhayi ja

USD/JPY currency pair ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke downtrend ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, jo ke Triangular Moving Average (TMA) channel indicator se wazeh hota hai. Is southward movement ko Zigzag indicator aur Laguerre aur Relative Strength Index (RSI) jaise additional technical tools bhi support karte hain, jo ke overbought zone mein hain, aur short-selling ke moqe ka ishara dete hain. Market mein bearish sentiment ka bol-bala hai, aur analyst ka plan yeh hai ke -23.6% Fibonacci support level, jo ke 144.694 ke price par hai, par open position close kar deni chahiye. Risk ko kam karne ke liye, analyst stop-loss order ko breakeven level par le jayega jaise hi position profit mein chali jayegi. Yeh approach trader ko bearish momentum ka faida uthate hue potential price reversals se bachne mein madad dega US labor market data ki recent release ne USD/JPY ke price ko southward move karne par majboor kiya hai. Yeh development trader, Dmitry, ke liye khushi ka sabab hai, jo ke is bearish trend se profits enjoy kar raha hai. Magar analyst ka khayal hai ke Japanese yen itni dair tak vertically strengthen nahi kar payega, aur price eventually stabilize hoke consolidation ya shayad northward move kar sakti hai. Halankeh abhi market mein bearish sentiment hai, analyst warn karta hai ke US dollar ko mukammal taur par likhna ghalat hoga. American currency apni resilience ke liye mashhoor hai aur kisi waqt comeback kar sakti hai, chahe USD/JPY pair


mein reversal se ya kisi aur currency pair mein strength se. Analyst market conditions ko closely monitor karega aur trading strategy ko accordingly adjust karega taake kisi bhi potential opportunities ka faida utha sake
Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke foreign exchange market mein trading ke andar inherent risks hote hain, aur investors ko hamesha thorough research karni chahiye, risk management strategies implement karni chahiye, aur professional guidance lena chahiye pehle ke kisi bhi investment decision ka. Federal Reserve ke agli meeting tak poora ek mahina baqi hai, is waqt currency pair ki price mein significant increase dekhne ko mil sakti hai. Yeh is liye ke dollar ki strength ke peeche jo factors hain, jaise ke US economy ka mazboot performance aur Fed ki hawkish monetary policy stance, ab tak fundamentally change nahi hue. Halankeh recent economic data release ke baare mein kuch log speculate kar rahe hain ke yeh government agencies ne manipulate kiya tha takay aane wale elections se pehle achi tasveer dikhayi ja

Pichlay haftay U.S. dollar mein achanak kafi girawat dekhi gayi, jo 142 yen se neeche gir gaya, lekin phir se recover karke ooper chala gaya. Yeh retracement is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke hafta shayad hammer candle chart ke sath khatam ho sakta hai, jo aam tor par ek bullish signal maana jata hai. Ab sab se ahem sawal yeh hai ke kya yeh ek thehray howay uptrend ka aghaz hai ya sirf ek temporary rebound hai, jo agay jaakar phir se gir sakta hai. Abhi ke liye market do speed dynamics ke sath chal raha hai. Lambi muddat mein, Japanese yen ki qeemat mein kafi girawat dekhi ja sakti hai, lekin yeh badlao kab hoga, is ka time abhi clear nahi hai.
Choti muddat mein, market ke participants Federal Reserve ke interest rates cut karne ke imkaan par react kar rahe hain, jab ke Japan ke rates barhne ki umeed hai, kyon ke Bank of Japan ne bond kharidne ke liye kam actions liye hain. Is ke bawajood yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke Bank of Japan hamesha ke liye sakht monetary policy nahi chala sakta. Is liye umeed hai ke market mein dobara U.S. dollar ke barhne ke chances hain, jo yen ke muqablay mein mazid taqat hasil karega.

Agar dollar 148.50 yen se ooper nikal jata hai, to yeh aik thehray howay uptrend ka aghaz ho sakta hai. Iske bar'aks, agar dollar current candle ke lows se neeche girta hai, to yeh mazid girawat ka ishara de sakta hai. Pichlay maheenay mein yen mein kafi volatility dekhi gayi hai, lekin chart par overall pattern mein koi khaas faraq nahi hai jo pichlay bare pullbacks ke sath mushabaat rakhta hai.

Khulasay mein, aglay chand dinon mein market mein kuch volatility dekhi ja sakti hai, lekin lambi muddat ke liye umeed hai ke yen kamzor hi rahega, khas tor par agar U.S. dollar apni recovery kartay huay major resistances ko cross kar leta hai. Traders ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke yeh aglay market movements ka rukh tay kar sakti hain.

Jumeraat ko shuru mein U.S. dollar ne Japanese yen ke muqablay mein mushkilat ka samna kiya, lekin trade mein bohot saari movement dekhi gayi. Yeh is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke market abhi bhi yeh samajhne ki koshish kar raha hai ke kya dollar 148.50 yen ke key resistance ko tod sakta hai, jo ke strong momentum ko janam de sakta hai. Lekin, filhal dollar ek broad long-term trend mein struggle kar raha hai, aur agar yeh level cross nahi hota to bade risks ka samna ho sakta hai.

Maujooda halat ko dekhte hue, is segment mein market ka size chhota rahne ke imkaan hain. Agar Monday ke swing low se niche gir jata hai to yeh dollar ke liye bohot bura signal hoga, jo yeh darshata hai ke yen mazid mazboot ho sakta hai. Yeh halat deleveraging aur risk management ke broader issues ke sath closely related hai. Jab ke dollar-yen pair thoda bohot bounce kar raha hai, is waqt koi zyada excitement nahi hai.

Yeh do funds dekhne layak hain, kyun ke yeh market ke overall risk appetite ke baare mein valuable insight provide kar sakte hain. Dollar ka yen ke sath reaction aam tor par global financial markets ke broader trends ko reflect karta hai, jo ke traders ke liye asset classes ke liye important factor hai.

Khulasay mein, agar U.S. dollar upar ki taraf move karne ki koshish karta hai, to uske samne bade challenges hain major resistance levels par. Agar dollar in levels ko todne mein nakam hota hai, to yen mazid strong reh sakta hai, khas tor par agar broader market conditions risk-free ho jati hain. Traders ko in do funds par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyun ke yeh global market ke direction ke baare mein ahem clues provide kar sakte hain aane wale waqt mein.

Sab ko salaam! USDJPY currency pair ne pichlay trading haftay mein apni positions ko thoda recover kiya, jab ke do haftay pehle is mein kafi girawat dekhne ko mili thi. Overall, halat thodi stabilise hoti nazar aati hai, isliye yeh mumkin hai ke USDJPY pair naye high nahi dekh paaye ga foran ke doran, lekin phir bhi yeh thoda aur barh sakta hai.
Agar hum hourly chart ko dekhen, to humein ek achha support level 146.30 par milta hai, jo pichle Tuesday ka high tha. Price ne is level se ek baar bounce kiya hai, aur general taur par hafta is level ke upar band hua. Is liye, mujhe lagta hai ke agle trading haftay se is level se long positions kholna consider kiya ja sakta hai.

In positions ke liye target yeh hoga ke USDJPY pair 161st Fibonacci level tak barh sakta hai, jo takreeban 151.70 ke aas paas hai.

Agar market is level se upar move karta hai, to yeh clear indication hoga ke yeh pair further strength gain kar sakta hai aur higher levels ki taraf move kar sakta hai. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke traders ko market trends aur technical signals ko dhyan se monitor karna chahiye, taake trading decisions ko behtar tarike se plan kiya ja sake.

Pichle haftay ke analysis aur trends ko dekhte hue, yeh zaroori hai ke traders apne stop-loss levels ko theek se set karein aur market ki volatility ko dhyan mein rakhte hue trading strategies ko adjust karein. Agar USDJPY pair support level 146.30 se bounce karta hai aur upar move karta hai, to yeh indication hoga ke pair ki strength barh sakti hai aur potential growth ke liye mauka mil sakta hai.

USD/JPY pair consistent bullish momentum dikha raha hai. Current price action ne ek triangle pattern banaya hai, jo typically consolidation period ko darshaata hai ek breakout se pehle. Dekhte hue prevailing bullish sentiment ko, yeh bohot zyada mumkin hai ke pair ek upward breakout experience karega, jo ke 50-80 pips tak move kar sakta hai. Yeh breakout broader bullish trend ke sath align karega aur traders ko USD ki strength ke against JPY ke sath capitalize karne ka moka dega. Triangle pattern ke upper boundary ek key level hai jo traders ko dekhnay chahiye anticipated breakout ke liye, jo ke potential buy signals ka clear indication de sakta hai.
Agar pair apne current levels se downturn experience karta hai, toh ek strong re-entry opportunity 153.50 level par hai. Yeh level ek significant support zone ko represent karta hai jo ke further declines ko prevent kar sakta hai aur traders ko long positions ke liye ek favorable entry point offer kar sakta hai. Stop-loss ko strategically 153.83 level par place karna chahiye taake risk ko effectively manage kiya ja sake aur unforeseen market movements ke against protection mil sake. Support zone ke neeche stop-loss set karne se, traders potential losses ko minimize kar sakte hain jabke anticipated upward movement se profit ka chance maximize kar sakte hain. Overall, D1 timeframe par USD/JPY pair ka current setup ek compelling opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye ongoing bullish trend se benefit lene ke liye, halanke short-term fluctuations ko navigate karte waqt ehtiyat zaroori hai
USD/JPY pair ka downward trajectory jaari rehne ke imkaniyat hai. Bank of Japan ki interest rate policy aur aanewala U.S. labor market data pair ki direction ko shape karne mein pivotal hoga
Agar bullish sentiment wapas aaye, tou resistance level 155.50 par crucial hoga. Magar, agar key support level 145.00 se neechay break kar jaye tou mazeed declines ho sakte hain. Market participants ko in levels ko qaribi se dekhna chahiye aur apni strategies accordingly adjust karni chahiye
Conclusion
USD/JPY pair mazid bearish signals multiple technical indicators aur chart patterns par show karti hai. Jab ke pullback ki gunjaish hai, overall sentiment bearish rehta hai. Traders ko key resistance levels par shorting opportunities dekhni chahiye aur agar support levels breach ho, tou mazeed declines ke liye tayar rehna chahiye
Mukhtasir mein, USD/JPY pair ka bearish trend technical indicators aur haali market activity se supported hai. Central bank policies aur economic data releases ke bare mein updated rehna is market ko navigate karne ke liye crucial hoga. Aane wale haftay mein aap sab ko successful trades ki duain

USD/JPY pair consistent bullish momentum dikhayi de raha hai. Current price action ne ek triangle pattern banaya hai, jo aksar consolidation period se pehle breakout ko indicate karta hai. Prevailing bullish sentiment ko dekhte hue, yeh highly likely hai ke pair ek upward breakout experience karega, jo 50-80 pips tak move kar sakta hai. Yeh breakout broader bullish trend ke sath align karega aur traders ko USD ki strength ke against JPY se capitalize karne ka mauka dega. Triangle pattern ka upper boundary ek key level hai jo traders ko anticipated breakout ke liye dekhna chahiye, jo potential buy signals ke liye clear indications offer kar sakta hai
Agar pair apne current levels se downturn experience karta hai, to ek strong re-entry opportunity 153.50 level par hai. Yeh level ek significant support zone ko represent karta hai jo further declines ko rok sakta hai aur traders ko long positions ke liye ek favorable entry point de sakta hai. Stop-losses ko strategically 153.83 level par place karna chahiye taake effectively risk manage kiya ja sake aur unforeseen market movements ke against protection mile. Support zone ke neeche stop-loss set karke, traders potential losses ko minimize kar sakte hain jabke anticipated upward movement se profit maximize kar sakte hain
Overall, current setup USD/JPY pair ke liye D1 timeframe par ek compelling opportunity present karta hai taake traders ongoing bullish trend se benefit le sakain, magar short-term fluctuations ko navigate karte waqt caution zaroori hai. Monday raat ke trades khulne ke baad se humari currency pair ki situation unchanged rahi hai, hum sideways move kar rahe hain jo 25 July se form hui thi. Clarity aur visual perception ke liye, maine screen par H1 timeframe choose kiya hai, jahan maine horizontal lines draw ki hain jo local resistance aur support act karti hain scalping enthusiasts ke liye. Aisi hi situation arise hoti hai jab Fibonacci grid use karte hain, jab tak hum hundred level ko break nahi karte, trading ki baat nahi ho sakti, intraday traders ko kaafi decent internal distance consider karna chahiye work ke liye, magar bina stop ke new positions open karna mumkin nahi. Economic calendar traders ko koi new information nahi deta, Japan aur USA se statistical data jo three-star category mein aata hai, absent hai. Meanwhile, hum 153 figure ko break karne ki doosri koshish observe kar rahe hain, impulses aaye hain, lekin humein sirf candle wicks dikhayi de rahi hain, jabke bodies upar hain

U.S. dollar is haftay ke doran tezi se gir gaya, 142 yen se neeche aa gaya, phir se mukhalif rukh mein aaya. Ye wapas aana is baat ki nishani hai ke is haftay ka khatama ek hammer candle chart ke tor par ho sakta hai, jo aam tor par ek bullish signal mana jata hai. Ab sab se ahem sawal ye hai ke kya ye ek mustahkam upar aane wala rukh hai ya sirf ek chand muddat ke liye kaamyaab rukh hai, jab ke baad mein phir se girawat aayegi. Filhal, bazar do speed ke dynamics ka samna kar raha hai. Lambay arse ke liye, Japanese yen ki qeemat kafi had tak girne ki sambhavna hai. Lekin, in lambay muddat ke tabdeeliyon ka waqt abhi dekhna baqi hai.

Chhote arse mein, bazar ke hissedaar zyada tar Federal Reserve ke interest rates ghatne ki sambhavna par react kar rahe hain jab ke Japan shaayad apne rates badha sakta hai, khaaskar Bank of Japan ke bond purchase ki activities ke kam hone ki wajah se. Iske bawajood, ye zaroori hai ke yaad rahe ke Bank of Japan mazboot monetary policy ko hamesha kayam nahi rakh sakta. Isliye, ye chances hain ke bazar mein ek baar phir se U.S. dollar ki qeemat deadly taraqqi karegi jo yen ke khilaf sharply barh sakta hai.

Agar dollar 148.50 yen se ooper nikal jata hai, to ye ek mustahkam upar aane wale rukh ki nishani ban sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar dollar ab ki candle ke lows se neeche girta hai, to ye ek gehri girawat ke nishani ho sakti hai. Jab ke Yen ne pichle maheenay mein kafi volatility dekhi hai, overall pattern chart par purani badi pullbacks se zyada farq nahi hai.

Khulasa ye hai ke jab ke nazdeekon mein kuch volatility aa sakti hai, lambay arse ka nazar ye ke yen kamzors hi rehta hai, khaaskar agar U.S. dollar phir se recovery karke major resistance ko paar karne mein kamiyab hota hai. Traders ko in developments par nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki ye agle market movements ka rukh tay karne mein madadgar sabit hongi!

USD/JPY Technical Analysis: Short-Term Bullishness Aur Long-Term Bearish Outlook

Is analysis mein hum USD/JPY currency pair ke technical aspects ko dekhte hain aur iska current market behavior aur potential future movements ko samajhte hain. Aaj ke latest data ke mutabiq, USD/JPY pair ek mixed technical landscape ko navigate kar raha hai, jahan short-term mein bullish trend aur long-term mein bearish outlook ka contrast dekhne ko mil raha hai.
Current Price Aur Moving Averages


Analysis ke waqt, USD/JPY pair 50-day moving average (MA50) ke upar trade kar raha hai lekin 200-day moving average (MA200) ke neeche hai. Ye setup short-term aur long-term trends ke darmiyan divergence ko show karta hai. MA50 ke upar hone ka matlab hai ke short-term mein upward momentum hai, jo bullish bias ko indicate karta hai. Lekin, price ka MA200 ke neeche hona broader bearish sentiment ko highlight karta hai, jo key resistance levels ke paas aate hi wapas dominance assert kar sakta hai.
Trend Analysis


USD/JPY pair ka MA50 ke upar hona short-term strength ko reflect karta hai. Iska matlab hai ke buyers filhal price ko upar le ja rahe hain. Lekin, traders ko caution rakhni chahiye jab price MA200 ke paas pohnchti hai. History mein, MA200 ek significant trend indicator hai; agar price is level ko break nahi karti, to ye broader downtrend ke resume hone ka signal ho sakta hai, aur sellers phir se dominance hasil kar sakte hain. In moving averages ka interaction bullish aur bearish forces ke beech ongoing battle ko highlight karta hai, isliye in levels ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai.
Support Aur Resistance Levels


USD/JPY pair ke next move ko determine karne ke liye key support aur resistance levels ko samajhna zaroori hai:

• Support: Immediate support level MA50 ke aas-paas hone ki umeed hai. Agar price is level ke neeche girti hai, to ye short-term bullish scenario ko negate kar sakta hai aur further declines ke liye raasta bana sakta hai. Ye support level bulls ke liye ek critical line of defense hai aur iski weakening ko monitor karna zaroori hai.
• Resistance: Upar ki taraf, resistance 148.50 se 149.00 range ke aas-paas expect kiya ja raha hai. Agar price in levels ko decisively break karti hai, to further buying opportunities ka signal mil sakta hai, jo higher resistance zones ko retest karne ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Lekin, agar price in levels ko surpass nahi karti, to ye reversal trigger kar sakta hai, long-term bearish outlook ko reaffirm karte hue.

Technical Indicators


Relative Strength Index (RSI) ek aur key indicator hai jo consider karna zaroori hai. Agar RSI 50 ke upar hai, to ye bullish momentum ko confirm karta hai, aur further gains ke case ko support karta hai. Lekin, agar RSI overbought territory (70 ke upar) mein chala jata hai, to ye indicate kar sakta hai ke pair correction ke liye tayar hai, kyunki bullish momentum overextended ho sakta hai.
Trading Volume


Volume analysis price movements ko additional context provide karta hai. Agar upward move ke dauran trading volume increase ho raha hai, to ye current trend ki strength ko confirm karta hai, jo buyers ke confidence ko indicate karta hai. Conversely, agar volume decrease ho raha hai, to ye upward momentum ke weakening ko indicate kar sakta hai, jo reversal ka signal ho sakta hai.
Conclusion


Summary ke tor par, USD/JPY pair filhal short-term bullish trend show kar raha hai, jo MA50 ke upar position se driven hai. Lekin, long-term bearish outlook jo MA200 ke neeche price hone se indicate hota hai, ko overlook nahi kiya ja sakta. Traders ko key support aur resistance levels, RSI, aur trading volume ko closely monitor karna chahiye taake ongoing trend ki strength ko gauge kiya ja sake aur potential reversals ko anticipate kiya ja sake. Ye mixed technical landscape suggest karta hai ke gains ke opportunities hain, lekin caution zaroori hai, khaaskar jab pair significant resistance levels ke kareeb ho.

Dear Forum Fellows and Visitors from Around the World,

Aaj kaise hain aap sab? Umeed hai aap sab khair makdam aur trading activities ka maza le rahe hain. Aaj, main USD/JPY currency pair ka analysis share karna chahunga.

Pichle kuch trading dinon mein, USD/JPY pair ne apne overall behavior mein zyada tabdeeli nahi dikhayi hai, jo ke technical analysis ke mutabiq hai. Ye pair ek well-defined range mein trade kar raha hai, jo ke consolidation ka period reflect karta hai, trend direction ki wazeh kami nahi. Ye range-bound movement yeh suggest karti hai ke market participants abhi bhi wait-and-see mode mein hain, aur shayad future economic data ya central bank signals ka intezar kar rahe hain.

Agar hum attached USD/JPY chart par nazar dalain, to kai technical indicators nazar aate hain. Sabse pehle, pair key support aur resistance levels ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai, na to bulls aur na hi bears ko decisive advantage mila hai. Ye balance of power price ko relatively stable rakhta hai, lekin ye bhi indicate karta hai ke ek potential breakout ho sakta hai jab ek catalyst saamne aayega.

Moving averages, khaaskar 50-day aur 200-day, filhal flat hain ya sirf slight inclines dikhate hain, jo ke strong directional bias ki kami ko confirm karta hai. RSI (Relative Strength Index) neutral zone mein hai, 50 mark ke aas-paas hover kar raha hai, jo ke typically dono directions mein momentum ki kami ko suggest karta hai. Ye neutral RSI pair ke overall range-bound nature ke sath align karta hai, jo ke traders ki undecided state ko reflect karta hai.

Iske ilawa, MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator bhi indecision ka similar picture dikhata hai, jahan MACD line aur signal line closely intertwined hain, jo buyers aur sellers ke beech ongoing tug-of-war ko reflect karta hai.

Fundamental perspective se, market ki indecision ko United States aur Japan se mixed economic signals ke zariye samjha ja sakta hai. Jab ke U.S. Federal Reserve ne interest rates par hawkish stance maintain kiya hai, jo potential further tightening ka signal hai, Bank of Japan apni ultra-loose monetary policy par committed hai. Monetary policies ke beech ye divergence USD/JPY pair par push-pull effect create karta hai, jo ke clear trend establish karne se rok raha hai.

In conclusion, USD/JPY pair filhal consolidation phase mein hai, aur pichle kuch dino se direction mein koi significant change nahi aya. Traders ko upcoming economic data releases aur central bank communications ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki ye next significant move ke liye zaroori impetus provide kar sakti hain. Tab tak, ye prudent rahega ke ek wait-and-see approach adopt ki jaye, aur chart mein highlighted key technical levels par nazar rakhi jaye.

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Technical Analysis Overview

Pichle hafton mein prices mein bohot zyada girawat dekhne ko mili hai. Ye girawat technical indicators ke sath aayi hai, jismein sabse important bearish divergence hai jo MACD indicator par nazar aayi. Ek aur indicator, CCI, bhi upper side par bearish divergence dikhata hai, magar kam intensity ke sath. Yeh dono technical aur fundamental factors is girawat ko drive kar rahe hain.

Fundamental Factors

Bank of Japan ko apni national currency ke kamzor hone se frustration ho gayi hai. Halankeh unhone market mein billions inject kiye, lekin iska asar minimal tha, jo unko interest rates barhane par majboor kar gaya. Is faisle ke natije mein prices mein kaafi girawat aayi, aur crucial level 151.90 break ho gaya, jisne ascending trendline ko bhi tod diya. Price ne 140.25 ke aas-paas ek support level ko touch kiya, magar usse thoda kam raha. Iske baad ek correction hui, jisse price ne niche se broken ascending trendline ko touch kiya, jo ek naye leg down ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin, CCI indicator abhi oversold zone mein hai, jo thoda tasalli dene wala hai. Shayad ek pullback ho sakta hai, jo abhi ke experience se zyada gehra ho sakta hai.

H4 Timeframe Analysis

H4 timeframe ko dekhna zaroori hai taake ye analyze kiya ja sake ke price ka behavior kis tarah se hai aur kya upward ya downward movement ka indication mil raha hai. Situation thodi ambiguous hai, jo suggest karti hai ke buyers aur sellers dono ke liye barabar ke chances hain.

Is haftay ki shuruat ek corrective rally se hui thi, lekin price stuck ho gayi hai aur ab sideways move kar rahi hai. Ek range aur accumulation zone ban gaya hai, jo trading ke liye itna favorable nahi hai jab tak koi thorough analysis ke bina enter karna na chahe. Dono directions mein breakout ka intezar karna zaroori hai—downward ya upward.

Breakout Levels

Agar price resistance level 147.73 ke upar breakout karti hai, to ye ek buying entry point trigger kar sakta hai, provided price ko breakout ke baad upar se test karne diya jaye. Is scenario mein, target daily chart par 151.90 ke paas indicate kiya gaya level ho sakta hai.

Selling ke liye, crucial hai ke support level 145.60 ke niche breakdown ka intezar kiya jaye, jo selling entry point banega jab price niche se test ho jayegi. Target phir last week’s low ko revisit karna hoga.

Economic Calendar

Aaj ke economic calendar mein important news events hain, lekin unki details provide nahi ki gayi hain

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Technical Analysis Overview

Pichle hafton mein prices mein ek significant girawat dekhne ko mili hai. Ye girawat technical indicators ke sath aayi hai, jismein sabse ahem bearish divergence hai jo MACD index par nazar aayi. Ek aur indicator, CCI, bhi upper side par bearish divergence dikhata hai, magar thodi kam intensity ke sath. Ye dono technical aur fundamental factors is girawat ko drive kar rahe hain.

Fundamental Factors

Bank of Japan apni currency ke kamzor hone se bohot zyada frustrated ho gaya hai. Halankeh unhone market mein billions inject kiye, lekin iska asar minimal tha, jo unko interest rates barhane par majboor kar gaya. Is faisle ke natije mein prices mein kaafi girawat aayi, aur 151.90 ka crucial level break ho gaya, jisne ascending trendline ko bhi tod diya. Price ne 140.25 ke aas-paas ek support level ko touch kiya, magar usse thoda kam raha. Iske baad ek correction hui, jisse price ne niche se broken ascending trendline ko touch kiya, jo ek naye leg down ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin, CCI indicator abhi oversold zone mein hai, jo thoda tasalli dene wala hai. Shayad ek pullback ho sakta hai, jo abhi ke experience se zyada gehra ho sakta hai.

H4 Timeframe Analysis

H4 timeframe ko dekhna zaroori hai taake yeh analyze kiya ja sake ke price ka behavior kis tarah se hai aur kya upward ya downward movement ka indication mil raha hai. Situation thodi ambiguous hai, jo suggest karti hai ke buyers aur sellers dono ke liye barabar ke chances hain.

Is haftay ki shuruat ek corrective rally se hui thi, lekin price stuck ho gayi hai aur ab sideways move kar rahi hai. Ek range aur accumulation zone ban gaya hai, jo trading ke liye itna favorable nahi hai jab tak koi thorough analysis ke bina enter karna na chahe. Dono directions mein breakout ka intezar karna zaroori hai—downward ya upward.

Breakout Levels

Agar price resistance level 147.73 ke upar breakout karti hai, to ye ek buying entry point trigger kar sakta hai, provided price ko breakout ke baad upar se test karne diya jaye. Is scenario mein, target daily chart par 151.90 ke paas indicate kiya gaya level ho sakta hai.

Selling ke liye, crucial hai ke support level 145.60 ke niche breakdown ka intezar kiya jaye, jo selling entry point banega jab price niche se test ho jayegi. Target phir last week’s low ko revisit karna hoga.

Economic Calendar

Aaj ke economic calendar mein important news events hain, lekin unki details provide nahi ki gayi hain.

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Japanese Yen (USD/JPY) Technical Analysis

Daily chart par Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ke liye do key levels hain jahan se market apne local downtrend se rebound kar sakti hai. Ye levels hain 147.200 aur zyada important 146.300. 146.300 ka level weekly chart par bhi bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai, kyunki price ne is level ke neeche weekly closure kabhi nahi dekha hai. Agar is level par buying reaction kamzor hoti hai, to bearish trend continue kar sakta hai aur ye uncertain hai ke aage kahan jaayega.

147.200 ka level crucial hai kyunki ye ek psychological support point ko represent karta hai. Agar price is level ke aas-paas support show karti hai, to ye short-term downtrend ke khatam hone aur uptrend ki taraf shift hone ka signal ho sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level ke neeche girti hai aur stabilize nahi hoti, to ye bearish sentiment ko reinforce kar sakta hai aur further decline ka indication de sakta hai.

146.300 ka level aur bhi zyada critical hai kyunki ye weekly chart par ek strong support level hai. Agar price is level ke neeche girti hai aur wahan stabilize hoti hai, to ye market ke liye negative trend ka signal ho sakta hai. Weekly closure is level ke neeche hone par bohot significant hoga, kyunki iska matlab hai ke price ek poore hafte tak is level ke upar stabilize nahi hui. Ye bearish trend ki continuation aur further declines ka indication de sakta hai.

Agar buyers ki reactions 146.300 level par kamzor hoti hain, to bearish pressure barh sakta hai aur downward movement continue kar sakti hai. Isse market mein additional uncertainty aa sakti hai aur future movements kam predictable ho sakti hain. Isliye, agar market is level ko break karta hai aur stabilize nahi hota, to traders ko cautious rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye.

Naye trading week ke shuruat par in levels par reactions ka monitoring zaroori hai. In reactions ko observe karne se traders ko current market conditions aur future trends ko samajhne mein madad milegi. Jab tak in key levels par clear reaction nahi milti, market direction uncertain rahegi. Isliye, trading decisions lene se pehle in levels ki careful observation bohot zaroori hai.

In key levels ke ilawa, traders ko technical indicators aur dusre market factors ko bhi consider karna chahiye. Technical indicators jaise moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) market strength aur momentum ko gauge karne mein madad kar sakte hain. In indicators ke sath, overall market sentiment aur news events bhi market movements ko influence karte hain.

Agar market 147.200 aur 146.300 ke beech range-bound rehti hai, to traders ko breakouts aur rebounds par nazar rakhni chahiye. Ye analysis entry aur exit points ko identify karne aur potential market movements ko better predict karne mein madad kar sakti hai.

Summary mein, Japanese yen (USD/JPY) ke daily aur weekly charts par 147.200 aur 146.300 key levels market conditions ko samajhne ke liye crucial hain. In levels par reactions ko accurately monitor aur analyze karne se traders ko current market dynamics aur future trends ke valuable insights mil sakte hain. Naye trading week ke shuruat par in levels ko closely observe karna informed trading decisions aur market volatility aur uncertainty ko effectively manage karne mein madad karega.