𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

**USD/JPY: Haal Hi Ki Bazar Ki Jaiza aur Trading Strategy**

**Overview**

USD/JPY jor kaafi bara correction dekh raha hai, jo ke 140 ke strong daily support level ke aas paas ruk gaya hai. Yeh is baat ki ishara hai ke current corrective phase khatam ho sakta hai aur jald hi bullish momentum phir se dekhne ko mil sakta hai. Lekin long-term upward trend ke reversal ki baat karna abhi bhi jaldi hai, aur higher timeframe levels par focus karna zaroori hai.

**Key Observations**

- **Correction Phase:** Yeh pair 140 ke strong daily support level tak correct ho gaya hai, jo is baat ki ishara hai ke current correction phase khatam ho sakta hai.
- **Support Level:** 140 ka support level kaafi ahm hai, aur is level se bullish reaction ka milna naye upward phase ki shuruaat ka signal ho sakta hai.

**Technical Indicators**

- **Fibonacci Levels:** Recent correction ne 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level 146.45 ko poora kiya hai.
- **Next Targets:** Bulls ke liye agle targets resistance levels hain 148.54 aur 149.40, jo ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement aur long-term upward trend line ke mutabiq hain.

- **Trend Analysis:** Halanki current corrective move bullish resurgence ka ishara de raha hai, lekin cautious rehna zaroori hai aur key resistance levels par price action ko monitor karna chahiye.
- Agar pair 139 support zone ke neeche break kar jata hai, to bearish scenario banega aur buyers ko liquidity accumulation par depend karna padega.

**Trading Strategy**

**Bullish Scenario**

- **Entry Point:** Agar price 140 support level se strong bullish reaction show karti hai to long positions consider karein.
- **Target Levels:**
- **Pehla Target:** 146.45 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement level).
- **Doosra Target:** 148.54 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement level).
- **Teesra Target:** 149.40 (long-term upward trend line).
- **Stop Loss:** Risk manage karne ke liye 140 support level ke neeche stop loss place karein.

**Bearish Scenario**

- **Entry Point:** Agar price long-term upward trend line ke aas paas 148.54-149.40 se retest kar ke break nahi karti, to short positions consider karein.
- **Target Levels:**
- **Pehla Target:** 146.45 (23.6% Fibonacci retracement level).
- **Doosra Target:** 140 (strong daily support level).
- **Stop Loss:** Potential breakouts se bachne ke liye stop loss long-term upward trend line ke upar place karein.

**Market Sentiment and Economic Factors**

- **Bank of Japan Policy:** Bank of Japan ki recent rate hike ke baad ki chuppi stable monetary policy stance ko suggest karti hai, jo USD/JPY pair ke recovery ko support kar sakti hai.
- **US Economic Data:** US se aane wale key economic indicators, jaise employment aur inflation data, Federal Reserve ke decisions ko influence karenge aur USD/JPY pair par asar daalenge.

**Alternative Scenario**

Agar price 139 support zone ke neeche break kar jati hai, to bearish scenario zyada likely hoga. Is surat mein, lower levels se bullish reactions aur liquidity accumulation ke signs dekhna zaroori hai.

**Conclusion**

USD/JPY pair ek critical juncture par hai, aur current correction phase apne aakhri marahil par hai. Halanki bullish resurgence ki ummeed hai, lekin cautious rehna zaroori hai aur key resistance levels par price action ko monitor karna chahiye. Upar di gayi trading strategy dono bullish aur bearish scenarios ke liye balanced approach provide karti hai, saath hi entry aur exit points aur risk management strategies ko clearly define karti hai.

USD is waqt JPY ke muqable mein mazbooti dikha raha hai aur achi upward movement kar raha hai. Magar kuch challenges hain jo aur ziada gains ko rok sakte hain. D1 timeframe par lagta hai ke pair 154.00 aur 154.40 ke darmiyan bounce kar sakta hai. Yeh range ek potential support zone represent karti hai jahan price temporarily retrace kar sakti hai pehle ke upward trend ko resume karne se pehle. Is bounce ke bawajood, upper bullish channel ki overall structure intact hai, jo long-term upward trend ko indicate karti hai. Traders ko in short-term fluctuations ko dekhna chahiye jab apne entries aur exits plan kar rahe hon D1 timeframe par, USD/JPY pair consistent bullish momentum dikhayi de raha hai. Current price action ne ek triangle pattern banaya hai, jo aksar consolidation period se pehle breakout ko indicate karta hai. Prevailing bullish sentiment ko dekhte hue, yeh highly likely hai ke pair ek upward breakout experience karega, jo 50-80 pips tak move kar sakta hai. Yeh breakout broader bullish trend ke sath align karega aur traders ko USD ki strength ke against JPY se capitalize karne ka mauka dega. Triangle pattern ka upper boundary ek key level hai jo traders ko anticipated breakout ke liye dekhna chahiye, jo potential buy signals ke liye clear indications offer kar sakta hai Agar pair apne current levels se downturn experience karta hai, to ek strong re-entry opportunity 153.50 level par hai. Yeh level ek significant support zone ko represent karta hai jo further declines ko rok sakta hai aur traders ko long positions ke liye ek favorable entry point de sakta hai. Stop-losses ko strategically 153.83 level par place karna chahiye taake effectively risk manage kiya ja sake aur unforeseen market movements ke against protection mile. Support zone ke neeche stop-loss set karke, traders potential losses ko minimize kar sakte hain jabke anticipated upward movement se profit maximize kar sakte hain
Overall, current setup USD/JPY pair ke liye D1 timeframe par ek compelling opportunity present karta hai taake traders ongoing bullish trend se benefit le sakain, magar short-term fluctuations ko navigate karte waqt caution zaroori hai. Monday raat ke trades khulne ke baad se humari currency pair ki situation unchanged rahi hai, hum sideways move kar rahe hain jo 25 July se form hui thi. Clarity aur visual perception ke liye, maine screen par H1 timeframe choose kiya hai, jahan maine horizontal lines draw ki hain jo local resistance aur support act karti hain scalping enthusiasts ke liye. Aisi hi situation arise hoti hai jab Fibonacci grid use karte hain, jab tak hum hundred level ko break nahi karte, trading ki baat nahi ho sakti, intraday traders ko kaafi decent internal distance consider karna chahiye work ke liye, magar bina stop ke new positions open karna mumkin nahi. Economic calendar traders ko koi new information nahi deta, Japan aur USA se statistical data jo three-star category mein aata hai, absent hai. Meanwhile, hum 153 figure ko break karne ki doosri koshish observe kar rahe hain, impulses aaye hain, lekin humein sirf candle wicks dikhayi de rahi hain, jabke bodies upar hain

USD is waqt JPY ke muqable mein mazbooti dikha raha hai aur achi upward movement kar raha hai. Magar kuch challenges hain jo aur ziada gains ko rok sakte hain. D1 timeframe par lagta hai ke pair 154.00 aur 154.40 ke darmiyan bounce kar sakta hai. Yeh range ek potential support zone represent karti hai jahan price temporarily retrace kar sakti hai pehle ke upward trend ko resume karne se pehle. Is bounce ke bawajood, upper bullish channel ki overall structure intact hai, jo long-term upward trend ko indicate karti hai. Traders ko in short-term fluctuations ko dekhna chahiye jab apne entries aur exits plan kar rahe hon D1 timeframe par, USD/JPY pair consistent bullish momentum dikhayi de raha hai. Current price action ne ek triangle pattern banaya hai, jo aksar consolidation period se pehle breakout ko indicate karta hai. Prevailing bullish sentiment ko dekhte hue, yeh highly likely hai ke pair ek upward breakout experience karega, jo 50-80 pips tak move kar sakta hai. Yeh breakout broader bullish trend ke sath align karega aur traders ko USD ki strength ke against JPY se capitalize karne ka mauka dega. Triangle pattern ka upper boundary ek key level hai jo traders ko anticipated breakout ke liye dekhna chahiye, jo potential buy signals ke liye clear indications offer kar sakta hai Agar pair apne current levels se downturn experience karta hai, to ek strong re-entry opportunity 153.50 level par hai. Yeh level ek significant support zone ko represent karta hai jo further declines ko rok sakta hai aur traders ko long positions ke liye ek favorable entry point de sakta hai. Stop-losses ko strategically 153.83 level par place karna chahiye taake effectively risk manage kiya ja sake aur unforeseen market movements ke against protection mile. Support zone ke neeche stop-loss set karke, traders potential losses ko minimize kar sakte hain jabke anticipated upward movement se profit maximize kar sakte hain
Overall, current setup USD/JPY pair ke liye D1 timeframe par ek compelling opportunity present karta hai taake traders ongoing bullish trend se benefit le sakain, magar short-term fluctuations ko navigate karte waqt caution zaroori hai. Monday raat ke trades khulne ke baad se humari currency pair ki situation unchanged rahi hai, hum sideways move kar rahe hain jo 25 July se form hui thi. Clarity aur visual perception ke liye, maine screen par H1 timeframe choose kiya hai, jahan maine horizontal lines draw ki hain jo local resistance aur support act karti hain scalping enthusiasts ke liye. Aisi hi situation arise hoti hai jab Fibonacci grid use karte hain, jab tak hum hundred level ko break nahi karte, trading ki baat nahi ho sakti, intraday traders ko kaafi decent internal distance consider karna chahiye work ke liye, magar bina stop ke new positions open karna mumkin nahi. Economic calendar traders ko koi new information nahi deta, Japan aur USA se statistical data jo three-star category mein aata hai, absent hai. Meanwhile, hum 153 figure ko break karne ki doosri koshish observe kar rahe hain, impulses aaye hain, lekin humein sirf candle wicks dikhayi de rahi hain, jabke bodies upar hain

USD is waqt JPY ke muqable mein mazbooti dikha raha hai aur achi upward movement kar raha hai. Magar kuch challenges hain jo aur ziada gains ko rok sakte hain. D1 timeframe par lagta hai ke pair 154.00 aur 154.40 ke darmiyan bounce kar sakta hai. Yeh range ek potential support zone represent karti hai jahan price temporarily retrace kar sakti hai pehle ke upward trend ko resume karne se pehle. Is bounce ke bawajood, upper bullish channel ki overall structure intact hai, jo long-term upward trend ko indicate karti hai. Traders ko in short-term fluctuations ko dekhna chahiye jab apne entries aur exits plan kar rahe hon D1 timeframe par, USD/JPY pair consistent bullish momentum dikhayi de raha hai. Current price action ne ek triangle pattern banaya hai, jo aksar consolidation period se pehle breakout ko indicate karta hai. Prevailing bullish sentiment ko dekhte hue, yeh highly likely hai ke pair ek upward breakout experience karega, jo 50-80 pips tak move kar sakta hai. Yeh breakout broader bullish trend ke sath align karega aur traders ko USD ki strength ke against JPY se capitalize karne ka mauka dega. Triangle pattern ka upper boundary ek key level hai jo traders ko anticipated breakout ke liye dekhna chahiye, jo potential buy signals ke liye clear indications offer kar sakta hai Agar pair apne current levels se downturn experience karta hai, to ek strong re-entry opportunity 153.50 level par hai. Yeh level ek significant support zone ko represent karta hai jo further declines ko rok sakta hai aur traders ko long positions ke liye ek favorable entry point de sakta hai. Stop-losses ko strategically 153.83 level par place karna chahiye taake effectively risk manage kiya ja sake aur unforeseen market movements ke against protection mile. Support zone ke neeche stop-loss set karke, traders potential losses ko minimize kar sakte hain jabke anticipated upward movement se profit maximize kar sakte hain
Overall, current setup USD/JPY pair ke liye D1 timeframe par ek compelling opportunity present karta hai taake traders ongoing bullish trend se benefit le sakain, magar short-term fluctuations ko navigate karte waqt caution zaroori hai. Monday raat ke trades khulne ke baad se humari currency pair ki situation unchanged rahi hai, hum sideways move kar rahe hain jo 25 July se form hui thi. Clarity aur visual perception ke liye, maine screen par H1 timeframe choose kiya hai, jahan maine horizontal lines draw ki hain jo local resistance aur support act karti hain scalping enthusiasts ke liye. Aisi hi situation arise hoti hai jab Fibonacci grid use karte hain, jab tak hum hundred level ko break nahi karte, trading ki baat nahi ho sakti, intraday traders ko kaafi decent internal distance consider karna chahiye work ke liye, magar bina stop ke new positions open karna mumkin nahi. Economic calendar traders ko koi new information nahi deta, Japan aur USA se statistical data jo three-star category mein aata hai, absent hai. Meanwhile, hum 153 figure ko break karne ki doosri koshish observe kar rahe hain, impulses aaye hain, lekin humein sirf candle wicks dikhayi de rahi hain, jabke bodies upar hain

/JPY currency pair ke price movement aur analysis ko discuss karta hai. Abhi, USD/JPY pair 153.97 ke level se upar trade kar raha hai, jo ek strong uptrend ko reflect karta hai aur aane wale dinon mein 157.51 ka target rakhta hai. Pichle paanch dinon mein, pair ek sideways move mein tha, support zone 153.02 ke aas-paas se rebound kar raha tha, jo ek psychological level hai. Yeh zaroori hai kyunki yeh trading volume ke accumulation aur volatility ke ghatne ko dikhata hai. Chart dikhata hai ki instrument ne ascending bullish channel ke lower bound ko chhod diya hai aur ab descending bearish trend ke follow-through ko setup kar raha hai. Situation thodi vague hai, lekin meri expectations hain ki ek correction hona chahiye jo bullish side ki taraf tenda karega, achi chances hain ki 157.27 resistance level ko touch kare, jo Bollinger Indicator ki moving average line se bana hai. Yeh level bhi descending channel ke upper border ki line hai, agar chart apna direction badalta hai. Iss waqt, trading asset ke liye market price 154.11 hai. Subah ke session mein, instrument ne 153.63 par support hit kiya aur uske baad chadhna shuru kiya, 154.25 tak pohanch gaya.

Envelope technical indicators price rally ke potential ko echo kar rahe hain. MACD indicator positive territory ke upar hai aur apni moving average ke upar, jo buyers ke beech activity badhane ka sanket hai. Price barhne ko continue karega aur level 157.01 tak pahunchne ka chance hai. Yeh analysis key levels aur technical indicators ko highlight karta hai jabke sath hi up aur down moves ko support karta hai. Yeh zaroori hai ki strategic planning bani rahe, market developments ke updates ke sath, taake in dynamics ko achhe se navigate kiya ja sake.

USD/JPY pair consistent bullish momentum dikha raha hai. Current price action ne ek triangle pattern banaya hai, jo typically consolidation period ko darshaata hai ek breakout se pehle. Dekhte hue prevailing bullish sentiment ko, yeh bohot zyada mumkin hai ke pair ek upward breakout experience karega, jo ke 50-80 pips tak move kar sakta hai. Yeh breakout broader bullish trend ke sath align karega aur traders ko USD ki strength ke against JPY ke sath capitalize karne ka moka dega. Triangle pattern ke upper boundary ek key level hai jo traders ko dekhnay chahiye anticipated breakout ke liye, jo ke potential buy signals ka clear indication de sakta hai.
Agar pair apne current levels se downturn experience karta hai, toh ek strong re-entry opportunity 153.50 level par hai. Yeh level ek significant support zone ko represent karta hai jo ke further declines ko prevent kar sakta hai aur traders ko long positions ke liye ek favorable entry point offer kar sakta hai. Stop-loss ko strategically 153.83 level par place karna chahiye taake risk ko effectively manage kiya ja sake aur unforeseen market movements ke against protection mil sake. Support zone ke neeche stop-loss set karne se, traders potential losses ko minimize kar sakte hain jabke anticipated upward movement se profit ka chance maximize kar sakte hain. Overall, D1 timeframe par USD/JPY pair ka current setup ek compelling opportunity present karta hai traders ke liye ongoing bullish trend se benefit lene ke liye, halanke short-term fluctuations ko navigate karte waqt ehtiyat zaroori hai
USD/JPY pair ka downward trajectory jaari rehne ke imkaniyat hai. Bank of Japan ki interest rate policy aur aanewala U.S. labor market data pair ki direction ko shape karne mein pivotal hoga
Agar bullish sentiment wapas aaye, tou resistance level 155.50 par crucial hoga. Magar, agar key support level 145.00 se neechay break kar jaye tou mazeed declines ho sakte hain. Market participants ko in levels ko qaribi se dekhna chahiye aur apni strategies accordingly adjust karni chahiye
Conclusion
USD/JPY pair mazid bearish signals multiple technical indicators aur chart patterns par show karti hai. Jab ke pullback ki gunjaish hai, overall sentiment bearish rehta hai. Traders ko key resistance levels par shorting opportunities dekhni chahiye aur agar support levels breach ho, tou mazeed declines ke liye tayar rehna chahiye
Mukhtasir mein, USD/JPY pair ka bearish trend technical indicators aur haali market activity se supported hai. Central bank policies aur economic data releases ke bare mein updated rehna is market ko navigate karne ke liye crucial hoga. Aane wale haftay mein aap sab ko successful trades ki duain

USD/JPY
Japanese yen ne apni tezi ko barqarar rakha, aur dollar ke muqable mein 141.68 yen per dollar tak pahunch gaya, jo ke January 2024 ke aghaz ke baad se sab se zyada hai. Yeh is wajah se hua ke logon ka yeh andaza hai ke Bank of Japan aane wale mahinon mein interest rates mazeed barhaye ga, jab ke U.S. Federal Reserve se umeed ki ja rahi hai ke wo apni rates ko zyadti se kam kare ga. Yeh umeed tab barhi jab U.S. ka kamzor jobs report samnay aya, jis ne America mein mandi ka khauf barha diya, aur is wajah se bazaron ne Fed se September mein 50 basis points ki badi rate cut ki tawakku ki hai.

Iske ilawa, Bank of Japan ne pichle hafte apni interest rate ko 0.25% tak barhaya aur ye zahir kiya ke agar maeeshat mazid mazboot hoti hai to wo interest rates mazeed barha sakte hain. Financial markets ab yeh andaza laga rahi hain ke is fiscal year jo March 2025 mein khatam ho ga, mein do aur rate hikes ho sakti hain, jisme se agla izafa December mein umeed kiya ja raha hai. Markazi bank ne apni mahana bond kharidari ko agle do saalon mein aadha karne ka plan bhi zahir kiya.

Iske ilawa, data se maloom hua hai ke Japanese authorities ne July mein apni currency ki support ke liye 5.53 trillion yen kharch kiye.

Japanese government bond ke 10 saal wali benchmark yield 0.8% se neeche gir gayi, jo ke chaar mahine ki kam tareen satah hai. Yeh girawat U.S. bond yields mein girawat ke baad hui, jab ke bazar ne weak U.S. jobs data ke baad Federal Reserve se zyadti se interest rates kam karne ki umeed rakhni shuru kar di. Japanese government bond yields par bhi pressure pada hai safe-haven buying ki wajah se, jo ke global stock selloff aur yen carry trade ke jaldi khatam hone se hui hai.

Mazid, Bank of Japan ke bond kharidari ke plans market ki umeedon par pura nahi utaray. BOJ ne pichle hafte kaha ke wo 2026 ke pehle quarter mein apni mahana bond kharidari ko takreeban 3 trillion yen mahana tak kam kar denge. Yeh taqreeban 400 billion yen per quarter ka cut ho ga, jo market ke 1 trillion yen per quarter ke expectations se kaafi kam hai.

Lekin, Bank of Japan ne pichle hafte apni interest rate 0.25% tak barhayi aur agar maeeshat mazid mazboot hoti hai to rates mazeed barhane ka irada zahir kiya.

**USD/JPY ka aaj ka forecast:**
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Niche diye gaye daily chart ke mutabiq, USD/JPY ke price mein nuqsanat kafi zor daar aur tezi se aaye hain jo technical indicators ko strong oversold levels ki taraf dhakel chuki hain. Agar selling ka silsila 140.00 ke support level tak jari rehta hai, to main baghair risk ke USD/JPY khareedne ka sochunga. Dosri taraf, jaisa ke maine pehle kaha tha, 150.65 ka resistance level bulls ke liye control dobara haasil karne ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai. Yeh currency pair markazi banks ke aanewale policies aur investors ke risk lenay ya na lenay ki rawaya se mutasir hota rahe ga.

**USD/JPY Forum Analysis, Forecast**

**M15 Minutes Timeframe**

Sabko achi mood ke saath salaam! M15 chart par, linear regression channel south ki taraf directed hai, jo market mein strong seller ki presence ko signal karta hai, jo 142.635 tak girne ki koshish kar raha hai. M15 par bears ka sell position channel ke upper border 146.408 ke paas hai. Bulls ke liye, yeh mark ek rukawat honi chahiye agar bears H1 par trend ko break karna chahte hain. Isliye, 146.408 se aap sales ke liye reversal information dekh sakte hain. Channel ka slope batata hai ke seller kitna strong hai; jitna zyada steep angle, utne hi zyada chances hain ke bears H1 par trend ko break kar sakein. Agar 146.408 mark ko break kar diya jata hai, to mera sell karne ka idea cancel ho jayega, aur buyers apne trend ke saath 149.251 mark tak upar ja sakte hain.

**H1 Hour Timeframe**

Hourly chart par, channel M15 ke movement se mukhtalif direction mein hai. Isliye, chhote period ke sales corrective nature ki hain. Seller buyer ki taraf girne ki koshish karega, jiska purchase volume channel ke lower edge 142.635 ke paas hai. Mujhe is level ke paas ya isse decline ke slow hone ki umeed hai. Ek bullish reaction hona chahiye, jo channel ke lower part mein buyer ki presence ko indicate karega. Uske baad, channel ke upper part 149.251 tak growth ki ummeed hai. Agar 142.635 ka level break hota hai, to purchases cancel ho jayengi, kyunki seller ki strength manifest hogi. Seller lower part of the channel ko push karega aur further south ki taraf reversal hoga. Yeh actions trend mein change le aayengi.

USD JPY Forum Analysis, Forecast

M15 Minutes Timeframe

Sab ko bohat acha mood ho! M15 chart par linear regression channel south ki taraf hai, jo market mein ek strong seller ki mojoodgi ka ishara hai, jo 142.635 tak neeche jaane ki koshish kar raha hai. M15 par bears ke sell position ka area channel ke upper border 146.408 ke qareeb hai. Bulls ke liye yeh mark ek rukawat honi chahiye agar bear H1 par trend ko todna chahta hai. Is liye, 146.408 se, aap reversal ki maloomat talash kar sakte hain taake sales mein entry ki ja sake. Channel ka slope yeh zahir karta hai ke seller kitna strong hai, jitna ziada angle steep hoga, utna ziada chances hain ke bears H1 par trend ko todne mein kamyab ho jayenge. Agar 146.408 mark tor diya jata hai, to mera idea sell ka khatam ho jata hai, aur buyers apne trend ke saath upar 149.251 mark tak chale jayenge.



H1 Hour Timeframe

Hourly chart par channel ki direction M15 ki movement se mukhtalif hai. Is liye, younger period par sales corrective nature ki hain. Seller koshish karega ke buyer tak pohanch sake, jiske purchase volumes channel ke lower edge 142.635 ke qareeb hain. Mujhe yeh umeed hai ke is area ke qareeb decline mein ahista goi aayegi. Iske baad, bullish reaction aani chahiye, jo lower part of the channel mein buyer ki mojoodgi ka ishara hogi. Iske baad, upper part of the channel 149.251 tak growth expected hai. Agar 142.635 level toot jata hai, to is soorat mein purchases cancel ho jati hain, kyunki seller ki strength samne aa jati hai. Woh channel ke lower part ko push kar ke tor dega aur mazeed reversal south ki taraf hoga. In actions ke natije mein trend change ho jaye ga.

USD/JPY H-1

Is waqt USD/JPY pair chart ke upper half mein 146.030 par southern correction dikha raha hai. Is forum par Instaforex indicator pehla section mein buyers ke liye thodi si advantage dikhata hai, jo 53.03% ke range mein hai. Dusre part mein, indicator short-term southward trend ko dikhata hai. Aaj yeh pair humein kya surprises dega? Japan se koi important aur interesting news ki umeed nahi hai. United States: Pehli baar unemployment benefits ke liye apply karne walon ki number. Halankeh sirf ek news hai, yeh US dollar ke fluctuation ko affect karne wali news mein se ek hai. Isliye, hum technical analysis ko fundamental analysis ke saath combine karte hain. Aasaar hai ke pair north ki taraf 147.30 level tak adjust karega aur phir south ki taraf 145.50 level tak reverse hoga. Sabko happy hunting!


USD/JPY M-15

Sabko achha din ho!

Glass ke neeche, sabhi stops ko upar liya gaya hai aur ab kuch karne ki zaroorat nahi hai. USD/JPY ne bohot saari stop-loss orders accumulate ki hain aur 146.00 level ke neeche baitha hai. Agle kuch ghanton mein breakthrough ho sakta hai, lekin yeh clear nahi hai ke baad mein girawat hogi ya nahi. Main nahi jaanta ke kya is technique ko ab dekhna chahiye, kyunke major downtrend abhi bhi four-hour chart par chal raha hai, aur chhoti trends ke saath upar bhi move kar sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, 148.00 high ka test jab sellers ko drive out kiya jaye, khaaskar agar main trend resume hota hai.

Isliye, abhi mere paas USD/JPY par koi position nahi hai: direction mein koi clear advantage nahi hai, humein additional levels ka intezar karna hoga jo sirf news ke zariye milte hain.

Price ne aaj weekly pivot level 147.40 ke upar trade karna shuru kiya, jo ke upward trend ki nishani hai. Kal ke price trend bearish tha, isliye red channel bearish direction mein hai, jabke blue channel pichlay do dinon ke price movement ko represent karta hai. Dusre alfaz mein, humein pehle ek upward wave nazar ayi, phir ek downward correction hua, aur price ka channels ke saath behavior aaj ka trend define karega. Blue channel ki lower line ne price ko support diya hai, aur red channel ko upward break kiya gaya hai, isliye price ab upward trend mein hai. Kal, price ke 147.90 ke resistance level ke upar break karne aur us ke upar stabilize hone ka imkaan hai, jo ke zyada upside potential ki nishani hogi.

**H4 time frame:**

Price ne upward price channels ko break kiya hai aur weekly resistance level 146.70 ko bhi break kiya hai. Is haftay, pair ne sideways channel ke andar opening ki aur narrow range ke saath weekly pivot levels close kiye. Yeh 146.60 ke weekly support level tak gira, phir bounce back kar ke resistance level ko break kiya, jo yeh dikhata hai ke pair upward trend mein hai, bawajood iske ke yeh level tak gira. Agar candle 147.10 ke upar close hoti hai, toh hum price ko 147.75 aur phir 147.89 tak upar jata dekh sakte hain. Yeh bhi note karna chahiye ke price ne pivot point ke neeche trade kiya. Jab price upar gayi, toh phir gira lekin channel line ne usay support diya, jahan se price upper line tak pohochi aur phir upward break kiya.

USD/JPY ki price direction ka analysis karte huay, mai 30-minute chart par Bollinger Bands indicator ka istemal kar raha hoon. Mai 144.460 level aur isse thoda neeche ke area ko short positions close karne ke liye target kar raha hoon. Halaat is waqt selling ke haq mein hain, is liye jab tak pair 145.256 ke neeche rehta hai, short positions kholna behtar hoga. Agar price 145.256 ke upar breakout hoti hai aur consolidation hoti hai, to yeh baat mumkin nahi lagti. Aise surate haal mein, long positions ka sochna chahiye, jisme target 146.050 ho sakta hai. Mai bearish stance ko barqarar rakh raha hoon aur tick volumes aur Bollinger Bands ko closely monitor kar raha hoon taake koi actionable insight mil sake. Hourly chart par, agar bullish buy level 145.790 breach hota hai, to growth ka potential ho sakta hai.

Mai Bollinger Bands aur resistance levels 149.251, 150.855, 153.348, aur 153.720 ko target kar raha hoon. Aaj pehle wali bearish trend line bulls ne cross kar li hai, jo buying volume mein izafa ke imkaan ko darshata hai. Lekin agar bearish sell level 142.901 par hit hota hai, to yeh bearish trend ki taraf shift ka ishara karega. Agar price reverse hoti hai aur bearish scenario ke saath align hoti hai, to mai decline ko prioritize karunga, aur Bollinger Bands mein drop ka expect karunga. 30-minute chart ki technical analysis yeh dikhati hai ke oscillator oversold conditions ko indicate kar raha hai, aur histogram ne uptrend shuru kar diya hai. Price ne 141.86 ka minimum touch kiya tha, jahan se yeh wapas upar jana shuru hui hai. Price green zone se guzar rahi hai aur red zone ko support level ke tor par use kar sakti hai. Yeh green zone ko pura navigate kar sakti hai aur apni pehli sideways range par wapas aa sakti hai, jahan support 153.11 aur resistance 154.71 par hai.

USD/JPY: Ek Price Action Nazar Se

Hamara guftagu is waqt USD/JPY currency pair ki pricing ke live evaluation ke sath mutabiqat rakhti hai. Main USD/JPY mein kami ki umeed karta hoon, jo ke baray currencies mein hotay hue broader bearish trend ka izhar hai. Maujooda trend kaafi bearish hai, aur pair mein jo izafa dekhne ko mil raha hai, wo ziada ter ek corrective phase lag raha hai, na ke mazboot bullish strength ka izhar. Haliye price movements kaafi significant rahi hain, jahan pair mein ek bari tez girawat dekhi gayi. Upar ki taraf izafa moving average (MA) ko paar nahi kar saka aur ab yeh is ke ird gird mandla raha hai baghair kisi faislay ka, jo ke sellers ke haq mein hai. USD/JPY waazeh taur par downtrend mein hai, aur yeh 133-period moving average ke neeche trade ho raha hai, jo ke is bearish direction ko support karta hai. Halankeh qeemat chhoti time frames par is moving average ke upar close ho sakti hai, jo ke potential corrective moves ka ishara deti hai, lekin umeed yeh hai ke qeemat 144.30 ke neeche consolidate karegi. Yeh consolidation selling opportunities faraham karega.

Doosri taraf, agar qeemat 152.00 ke upar barqarar rehti hai to yeh ek potential buying opportunity ka ishara kar sakti hai, lekin filhal, selling he prime strategy hai jo ke prevailing trend ke mutabiq hai. 142 level tak potential decline mumkin hai, aur mazeed 200 points ka girawat bhi aasakta hai. Halankeh current trend ke madde nazar 153 level tak ka izafa unrealistic lagta hai, recent lows ke 142.00 ke aas paas ek correction zyada mumkin hai. Ek choti upward correction 146.50 range tak pehle hi ho chuki hai, lekin downward trend barqarar reh sakta hai. Mazeed girawat tab ho sakti hai agar qeemat mukhtasir tor par 146.40 ya 146.35 tak barhti hai. Short-term corrective growth ke imkanat ke bawajood, overall trend downward hi nazar aa raha hai.

RSI (14) Ki Tasdeeq Aur Trading Strategy


Maujooda bazar ke manzar mein, Relative Strength Index (RSI) jo ke 14-period setting ke sath hai, behtareen insights faraham kar raha hai jo doosray technical indicators ko mazid barhawa dete hain, is se successful long position ka acha imkaan hai. RSI ek mashhoor momentum oscillator hai jo traders ko madad deta hai yeh maloom karne mein ke kya koi asset overbought ya oversold hai, is tarah yeh potential reversals ya trend continuations ka andaaza lagane ka zariya banta hai. Iski maujooda behavior ko samajhna trading decisions liye bohot ahem hai.
Maujooda RSI (14) Ki Observations

1. Upar Ki Taraf Jata Hua RSI:

• RSI ka curve upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo bazar mein barhti hui bullish momentum ko darshata hai. Yeh upar ki taraf ka rukh yeh darshata hai ke buying pressure barh raha hai, jo long positions lene wale traders ke liye acha signal hai.
• Yeh zaroori hai ke RSI abhi overbought territory mein nahi hai, jo aksar 70 ya us se upar se shuru hoti hai. RSI iss level se kaafi neeche hai, iska matlab hai ke asset ka aage barhne ka imkaan hai, bina kisi significant resistance levels par bechne ke pressure ke.

1. Overbought Conditions Se Parhaiz:

• RSI ki maujooda position, jo overbought zone se door hai, yeh darshata hai ke asset ne abhi tak kisi significant bechne ke pressure ka samna nahi kiya. Yeh long position shuru karne ke liye ideal hai, kyun ke yeh darshata hai ke price ka aage barhna aasan hai pehle ke exhaustion point tak pahunchnay se pehle.
• Traders ko RSI par nazar rakhni chahiye jab price key resistance levels ke kareeb pahunche. Agar RSI barhti rahe jo overbought threshold se neeche ho, toh yeh upward trend ki tasdeeq karta hai, jo successful long position ke liye imkaan barhata hai.

Bullish Trend ke Sath Ta’aluq

1. Buy Signal Ki Tashdeeq:

• Upar ki taraf jata hua RSI doosray technical indicators ke sath achi tarah milta hai jo bullish trend ko darshata hai. Jab kai indicators mil kar ek bullish raah ko darshate hain, jese moving averages ya trendlines, aur RSI bhi is nazariye ko support karta hai, toh buy signal par yaqeen barhta hai.
• Yeh ta’aluqat yeh darshate hain ke maujooda bazar ke halat upward movement ke liye favorable hain, jo long position ko zyada attractive banata hai. Traders jo RSI ko apni strategy ka hissa banate hain, yeh setup unka hosla barhane wala hai, kyun ke yeh sustained bullish momentum ki taraf ishara karta hai.

1. Strategic Entry Aur Exit Points:

• Maujooda RSI reading ke madde nazar, traders long position lene ka soch sakte hain jab tak RSI 70-mark se neeche rahe. Yeh is market ke potential overbought hone se pehle aapko ek buffer faraham karta hai, jo aapko mazeed price appreciation ka mauqa deta hai.
• Exit strategies bhi tyaar karna acha rahega jo RSI ke overbought levels tak pahunchnay ka khayal rakhti hain. Jab RSI 70 ya us se upar pahunche, toh yeh position ko dobara assess karne ka signal ho sakta hai, ya toh munafa uthana ya stop-loss levels ko mazid tight karna.

Risk Management Ki Ghor Se Deekhne Wali Batein

1. RSI Mein Divergences Ki Monitoring:

• Traders ko kisi bhi bearish divergence par nazar rakhni chahiye, jahan price higher high banata hai, lekin RSI lower high banata hai. Aisi divergence momentum ki kamzori ka ishara de sakti hai aur potential reversal ke liye signal ban sakti hai, jo long position se nikalne ya nai entries karne ke liye aamaadgaar hota hai.
• Iske baraks, agar bullish divergence hota hai (jahan RSI higher low banata hai jab price lower low bana raha hai), toh yeh long positions ko banaye rakhne ya nai positions lenay ka faisla mazid secure kar sakta hai.

1. RSI Ko Dosray Indicators Ke Sath Complement Karna:

• Jab ke RSI ek mazboot signal faraham karta hai, isse doosray indicators jese moving averages ya Fibonacci retracement levels ke sath istemal karna chahiye. Yeh multi-indicator approach trend ki takat ka tasdeeq karne mein madad karta hai aur overall trading strategy ko behtar banata hai.

Nateejah


Maujooda upward trend jo RSI (14) oscillator mein nazar aa raha hai, asset ke liye bullish nazariye ko mazid barhakta hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke abhi bhi price ka barhna mumkin hai pehle ke overbought territory mein pahunchnay se. Yeh indicator, jab doosray bullish signals ke sath milta hai, successful long position ke imkaanaat badhata hai. Traders ko yeh sochna chahiye ke wo long positions tab lein jab RSI 70 ke neeche rahe, aur is indicator par nazar rakhen kisi bhi divergence ya overbought conditions ke liye jo trend mein tabdeelion ka signal de sakti hain.

USD/JPY ka price direction:

Mein filhal USD/JPY currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ko analyze kar raha hoon. 30-minute chart par Bollinger Bands indicator ka use karte hue, mein 144.460 ka level aur us se thoda neeche ka target kar raha hoon short positions ko close karne ke liye. Halat market conditions abhi selling ke haq mein hain, isliye jab tak pair 145.256 ke neeche rehta hai, short positions open karna behtar hoga. Agar price 145.256 ke upar breakout kare aur us ke baad consolidation ho, yeh scenario unlikely hai. Agar aisa hota hai toh long positions par bhi consider kiya ja sakta hai jiska target 146.050 hoga. Mein abhi tak bearish stance rakhta hoon aur tick volumes aur Bollinger Bands ko closely monitor kar raha hoon actionable insights ke liye. Hourly chart par, agar bullish buy level 145.790 breach hota hai, toh growth potential dikhai de raha hai.

Mein Bollinger Bands aur resistance levels par nazar rakha hua hoon jo ke 149.251, 150.855, 153.348, aur 153.720 hain. Pehle ka bearish trend line aaj bulls ne surpass kar liya hai, jo ke buying volume mein izafa ka ishara kar raha hai. Lekin agar bearish sell level 142.901 ke neeche chala jata hai, toh yeh bearish trend ke taraf shift ka signal ho ga. Agar price reverse hota hai aur bearish scenario ke mutabiq chalna shuru karta hai, toh mein decline ko prioritize karunga, Bollinger Bands mein drop expect kar raha hoon. 30-minute chart ki technical analysis yeh batati hai ke oscillator oversold conditions ko indicate kar raha hai, aur histogram uptrend shuru kar raha hai. Price, jo ke 141.86 ka minimum level touch kar chuki hai, ab rise kar rahi hai. Yeh green zone se guzar rahi hai aur red zone ko support level ke tor par use kar sakti hai. Price poori green zone ko navigate kar ke apni pehli sideways range mein wapas aa sakti hai, jisme support 153.11 aur resistance 154.71 hai.