𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

Sab forum members ko achi din aur munafa bakhsh trading ki duaon ke sath! Main apni tajziyaat instrument ke trading situation ke liye share karna chahta hoon. Takneeni tajziya shuru karne ke liye, main charts par ek indicator daalta hoon jo Heikin Ashi candles ka alternative istemal karke pair ki movement ki dynamics ko dikhata hai, jiski badi fawaid yeh hain ke market noise ko kam kar deta hai. Heiken Ashi ke liye aik khaas method hota hai keemat bars banane ka, jo keemat ka chart dikhane mein atay jatka ko kafi had tak kam kar sakta hai. TMA (Triangular Moving Average) channel indicator double-smoothed moving averages ka istemal kar ke kaam karne wale chart par support aur resistance lines ka drawing karta hai aur dikhata hai ke instrument abhi kis channel ke sath move kar raha hai. Aur akhri trade-filtering oscillator jo Heiken Ashi ke sath milake musbat trading results hasil karne mein madad deta hai, woh hai basement RSI indicator standard settings ke sath.
Instrument ke chart ki tajziya ke baad dekh sakte hain ke candles ka rang blue mein badal gaya hai, jo keh rahi hai ke buyers abhi sellers se zyada taqatwar hain aur keemat ko barhane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Keemat ne channel ke niche border ko cross kiya (lal dotted line) aur minimu point se bounce karke phir apni middle line (zardi dotted line) ki taraf gaya. Mili hui maloomat se, main yeh nateeja nikalta hoon ke is waqt pair ko kharidna munafa bhari hai. Isi waqt, RSI oscillator bhi kharidne ki alaamat ko mazid tasdeeq deta hai, kyunki is ki curve upar ki taraf moor ki hui hai aur yeh overbought level se kaafi door hai. Jo kaha gaya hai uska khulasa karne ke liye, hum ek kharidne ki faisla lete hain aur dakhil hone ke liye reference points talash karte hain. Jab market ke quotes upper channel border (blue dotted line) par pahunchte hain with a price mark of 152.991, tab tak profit tak pahunchte hain.



Yahan hamare noth aur south ke levels hain: 151.96 aur 150.83.Jab ghanta band hojata hai levels ke baad, hum deal mein dakhil hojate hain.
For Kharidna: StopLoss - 150.96 TakeProfit - 154.96.
For Farokht: StopLoss - 151.83 TakeProfit - 147.83

Muamla se sirf TP ya SL ke zariye bahar nikalne. Dusre options rozana kharcha barha sakte hain aur munafa ghata sakte hain.

USD/JPY jodi ek muddat mein bandar badal rahi hai, jab traders is jodi ke movement par asar dal rahay hain jo kay do tarah ke factors ko nigrani dene mein madadgar hain. Bank of Japan (BOJ) ne interest rates par naram muqarar rakha hai, ishara is taraf kiya ja raha hai ke qareebi mustaqbil mein rates ko na barhaya jaye ga. Doosri taraf, United States ke Federal Reserve Bank (FED) ne rate cuts mein dair late ka ishara diya hai, dono mumalik mein interest rate policies mein faraq paida hua hai. Ye izafi interest rate farq Japanese Yen ko US dollar ke mukable is sey kam attractively banata hai.
Interest rate farq ke ilawa, kam global interest rates ne US Treasury bond yields ko barhaya hai, USD ka sath dene mein madadgar ban raha hai. Ye factor, BOJ ka naram ravaiya ke sath sath, JPY par neeche ki taraf dabao daal raha hai. Magar, Japanese authorities bazar mein dakhalat karne ki tawajjo denay wale hain taake Yen mein zyada giravat se bachaya jaye aur investors ko ehtiyat se kam karne ka amadna pesh kare.

Ek technical nazar se, haal mein hui kam ghairat USD/JPY jodi mein teen haftay ki keemat ikhata hone ki sambhavna darshate hain. Daily oscillator indicators abhi bhi musbat hain, ishara hai ke pair mein abhi tak uthane ki jagah hai. Magar, USD/JPY ko ooper ki taraf jaane ke liye 152.00 markar ko todo zaruri hai.

Aane waalon mein, investors US inflation data aur hone waale FOMC meeting se taaza nishan intezar kar rahe hain. In events se koi badi taraqqi shayad USD/JPY jodi mein ek safar moju bana sakti hai. Is waqt, agar bearish 152.00 level ko pe case hain tou jodi mein ek nazardeeda giravat mumkin hai.

Agar keemat 151.00 ke neeche jaati hai, toh 200-day SMA 150.10 par aham support ban jayega. Mazeed neeche ke risks uthne shuru ho sakte hain agar keemat maziari satah 150.00 ka toor deti hai. Upar ki taraf, agar bulls 151.90 ke resistance level ko torne mein kamiyab hotay hain, toh agle potential targets 151.94 aur 152.89 hain. Aakhir mein, USD/JPY jodi ka rukh global interest rate farq, central bank policies aur khidmatguzari key moomi maqool data releases ke natayej par asar daalay ga.

Japanese Yen (JPY) US dollar (USD) ke muqable mein ek qaid mein phas gaya hai, hali hi ke contracts ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Ye kuch factors ka milaap hai. Bank of Japan (BOJ) interest rates par ek maqool stance barqarar rakhta hai, jabke Federal Reserve Bank (FED) rate cuts mein dair late ka ishara deta hai. Ye United States aur Japan ke darmiyan interest rate farq ko bara deta hai, Japanese Yen ko safe-haven currency ke tor par kam kashish banata hai. Doosri taraf, 2024 mein kam global interest rates ne US Treasury bond yields ko barha diya hai, jo USD ko support faraham karta hai. Ye JPY par neeche ki taraf dabaav dalne wala ek aur factor hai. Magar, Japanese authorities bazar mein dakhalat kar sakte hain taake Yen mein zyada giravat se bachaya jaye, investors ko ehtiyaat baratne par mabni hai. Ye traders ko taaza cues ka intezaar karte hue USD inflation data aur anay wale FOMC meeting se.



Takneekan ke tor par, hali hi mein kam ghairat sey yeh ishara karta hai ke USD/JPY jodi ke liye teen haftay tak keemat ikhata hone ki sambhavna hai. Jabke daily oscillator indicators abhi bhi musbat hain, lekin unho ne abhi tak overbought territory tak pohancha nahi hai. Ye zahir karta hai ke USD/JPY mein izafa ke liye jagah hai lekin ek confirm upward trend ke liye 152.00 markar ko todna zaruri hai. Aam tor par, Yen global interest rate farq, BOJ ki monetary policy aur Japanese authorities ke dakhalat ke darmiyan ek jung mein phansa hua hai. Anay wale US maeeshati data aur FOMC meeting USD/JPY currency pair mein faisla shua hone ki alaamat ke liye tawajjo se dekhe jayenge. Magar, agle dinon mein, agar bears 152.00 level ko qaboo mein kar sakte hain, toh ek ahem giravat anavoidable ho sakti hai. Jab 100-day SMA ne mazeed support faraham kiya 150.70 par, to 151.00 neeche girne ki pehli ahem challenge hoga negative scenario mein. 150.10 par, 200-day SMA phir ehmiyat rakhega. Agar keemat 150.00 ke andar giri, toh mukhtasir term ka khatra negative ho jayega.

USD/JPY pair teesri hafte se ek side channel mai raha hai, aur jaisa ke dekha gaya hai, is channel se bahar nikalne ka maqsad bohot bara nahi hai. Isliye, hum zyada tar iss hafte ko phir se 150.800 par neechay ki had aur 151.800 par oopar ki had mai band karne ke qareeb hain. Sab se dilchasp cheezen agle hafte hoongi. Main ye nahi keh raha ke hum koshish nahi karenge ke side channel ka neechaar band 150.800 par tor kar dollar ke 150 yen tak target level tak pohanchein. Lekin, ye sirf volumes barhane aur 152,000 ke oopar tareeq karne ke liye hoga. Iske baad, hum mazeed saaf tor par aaj American session ke ikhtitam par dollar ke 153,000 yen tak ka hum andaza laga sakte hain.Is marhale par, market buland sargarmi aur nizamati izafa dikha raha hai. Saaf tha ke USD/JPY ek oopri trend shuru karega, lekin mere shak tha aur maine market ke saath rahne ka faisla kiya. Ab mujhe ye samajh aaya hai ke main faida-mand position mein ho sakta tha, kyunki sahi faisla kafi kam qeemat par aaya, aur rollback khud bhi der se dikha. Mukhtalif timeframes par moving average ke sath taluq dekhte hue, ek bohot bara bullish mazid ko mazid mazboot karne ka shandar imkan nazar aata hai. Main ye nahi keh raha ke agar niche ki taraf correction hoti hai, to main faiyda uthane ke liye tayyar nahi hota, aur zyadatar yeh 150.80 hoga. Agar kisi wajah se main market mai dakhil nahi ho sakta, to future mai munafa kamana bohot mushkil ho jayega, aur mujhebaqiyat se shukrana ada karna hoga. Chalo dekhte hain ke trend sargarmi shuru hoti hai to kya khabrein aati hain. Aakhir main, USD/JPY aakhir mein maximum ko tor de ga, jise hum 151.95 ke darje par guzrein gay aur phir 153rd figure ki taraf jaayega.

USD/JPY

USDJPY ka chart ek jama flat pattern ko dikhata hai, jo ki sideways price action aur consolidation ko ek mukhya range ke andar darshata hai ek lambi avdhi ke dauran. Vartaman mein, is currency pair ka price is jama flat pattern ke upper limit par sthit hai. Forex market mein trader ke roop mein, aise patterns par dhyan dena aur unka jawab dena behad mahatvapurn hai. Jyada flat ke andar price ka sthan ko dekhte hue, is currency pair ke liye buy order ko band karne ka ek strategic nirnay liya gaya hai. Buy order band karne ke peechhe ka karan is jama flat pattern ke sharton ko pehchan mein hai, jo ki sthapit trend ki sambhavana ko aage badhane ka sujhav dete hain. Jama flat ke upper boundary ko manne ke saath hi is range ke andar aur bhi price movement ki aage ki sambhavnaon ka anuman lagate hue, ek proactive approach liya gaya hai trade ko prabhavit roop se manage karne ke liye. Trading strategies mein samvedansheelata aur pranali ke prati lachilapan aur anukoolitata ka mahatv ko ujagar karna zaroori hai. Real-time market dynamics ka moolyaankan karne ki kshamata aur evolving conditions par nirnay lene ki kshamata forex trading mein safalta paane ke liye moolya hai.

Aur bhi, technical analysis ke kshetra mein jama flat patterns ke vistarik prabhavon ko madhya mein rakhna mahatvapurn hai. Ye patterns aksar aise samay ka darshate hain jahan market mein koi spasht trend disha nahi hoti. Isliye, traders ko aise avdhiyon ko navigate karte samay savdhan rahna chahiye aur sahi risk management measures ko lagu karna chahiye. Aur bhi, USDJPY currency pair ko prabhavit karne wale mahasaksham vittiy kaalpanik factors ko madhya mein rakhna upyukt hai, jaise ki interest rate differentials, geopolitical events, aur economic indicators.

Samapti mein, USDJPY currency pair par buy order band karne ka nirnay jama flat pattern ke beech mein mahatvapurn hai aur yeh forex trading mein strategic nirnay lene ki mahatvapurnata ko darshata hai. Chart patterns se prapt gyaan ko bade market dynamics ke samajh se jodkar, traders apne forex market ke karvat ko prabhavit tarike se navigate karne ki kshamata ko sudhar sakte hain. Market developments ko monitor karna, trading strategies ko punah moolyaankan karna, aur ek gatividhi prapti approach ko apnana aise aavashyak hai jo sambhavit avsaron ko upbhokta karna aur evolving market conditions ko samajhne mein madad karta hai. Ant mein, ek vistarik tarkik framework ka upyog karke aur market trends mein satark rahne se, traders khud ko vittiy bazaar ke dynamic manch mein safalta ke liye sthapit kar sakte hain.

USD-JPY Pair Ki Jaiza

Abhi lagta hai ke USDJPY Pair apni bullish movement ko mazeed barhaane ki koshish kar raha hai, yeh price movement ki halat se dekha ja sakta hai jo opening price ke upar chal rahi hai. Beshak, JPY ki kamzori USDJPY Pair ko barhne ki taraf le jaane ka aik sabab ho sakta hai. Aur agar New York session mein aaj raat USD mazboot hota hai, toh yeh USDJPY pair ko mazeed ooncha le ja sakta hai. Aur agar aap H4 time frame dekhte hain, toh lagta hai ke 151.99 level par resistance level qareebi maqsad ho sakta hai. Beshak, agar Resistance Level Breakout ka kamyabi se guzar jata hai, toh USDJPY Pair ko 153.00 level par agle Bullish maqsad ke taraf utha sakta hai. Iske ilawa, asal trend ki halat abhi tak mazboot bullish halat mein hai.

Pichle haftay ke trading mein USDJPY currency pair sideway shara'it ka samna kiya, lekin kal ke trading mein, yani Monday, April 1 2024, USDJPY currency pair ne kaafi ahem bullish rally ka samna kiya. Jahan se meri trading records ke mutabiq USDJPY currency pair pichle trade mein kareeb 60 pips se 70 pips tak buland hua.

• Aaj aap dekh sakte hain ke USDJPY currency pair daily pivot point level ke oopar khula hai, isliye keh sakte hain ke USDJPY currency pair ek uptrend ya bullish trend mein hai. Aur yeh sach hai ke is waqt trading fa'aliyat ke liye kharidne ka option bohot faida mand hoga, lekin market ka European trading session mein khulne se pehle lagta hai ke resistance level area jo ke 151.80 ke qeemat tak hai 151.85 tak ke resistance area level ko candlestick pattern jo ke bana rahi hai woh torh nahi pa rahi hai ya breakout nahi kar pa rahi hai.

Abhi tak, kharidne ka option trading fa'aliyat ke liye mukhya paisa hai jo hum USDJPY currency pair par lagane ki koshish kar sakte hain, jab tak dekh sakte hain ke kya resistance area level 151.80 se 151.85 ke resistance area level ek breakout ke liye durust hai ya agle trade mein ek rebound banane ke liye durust hai. Magar, kuch counter-trend indicators jo H1 timeframe mein nazar aate hain, unhone is trade mein ek bearish trend reversal signal banaya hai.

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USDJPY

Pichle haftay ke USDJPY ke daily timeframe chart par trading activity mein shandar ghair mamooli rukhawat dekhi gayi, jo tez raftar aur tajziyaat par zor dene ke liye kaafi tha. Mangalwar ko ek khaas taqatwar bullish engulfing candle ka bana, jo market mein barhne wale kharidar ki bhagidari ki wazahat karta hai. Ye candlestick pattern aksar peechle neeche ki manfi raftar ko palatne ki mumkin nishaani deti hai, jahan kharidar qeemat ke action ko apne kabze mein lete hain. Haftay ke baad ke doraan, budh se jumeraat tak, USDJPY ki keemat ko chart par darust kiye gaye resistance level ke sath ghoomte hue dekha gaya. Ye resistance level pehle hi ek ahem hissa ghoshit kiya gaya tha, uski tareekhi ehmiyat ko dekhte hue ke ye qeemat ke harkaton par asar daalne mein qabil tha. Lekin, is resistance zone ke lambay mawasrat ke bawajood, jumeraat ke trading session ne qeemat ke rukh ka palat kar diya, jo ke ek bearish candlestick ka banne ka natija hua.

Yeh note karne wala hai ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator, jo ke qeemat ke momentum ki taqat aur rukh par qabil-e-tawajjo insights faraham karta hai. Haal hi mein barhne wale kharidar fa'al harkaton ke doraan, RSI ko oversold satah tak nahi pohancha, jo ke yeh ishara karta hai ke shayed mazeed upri harkat se pehle badi miqdaar mein kharidar dabao ke liye abhi bhi kafi jagah hai. Ye tajziya is raay ko taaqat deti hai ke USDJPY asal mein resistance level ko paar kar sakta hai, mojooda bullish momentum ki nayi bulandiyon ki chingariyan lagakar naye uch tareen ko qaim kar sakta hai. Technical analysis ke shehar mein, ek bullish engulfing candle ka bana followed by a key resistance level par consolidation aksar bullish nishaani ke tor par tabeer kiya jata hai. Iska matlab hai ke kharidar market mein apna dominion sabit kar rahe hain aur qeemat ko unchaayiyo tak le jaane ke liye tayar hain. Is ke ilawa, RSI dwara zahir kiye gaye extreme oversold shuruvat ke conditions ki kami bullish outlook ko mazeed tasdeeq deti hai, ishaarat karte hue ke mojooda upri rukh mein asal taqat ho sakti hai. Aage dekhte hue, traders aur investors jo USDJPY ko monitor kar rahe hain, ko resistance level ke upar kisi bhi breakout par khaas tawajjo deni chahiye. Aise ek harkat bullish bias ki tasdeeq kar sakti hai aur aane wale dino mein unko munafa dene wale trading mauqe dene ke sath sath.

Ikhtitam mein, pichle haftay ke USDJPY chart par qeemat ki harkat, jo ke ek bullish engulfing candle ke baad ek key resistance level ke qareeb consolidation ke sath thi, mazeed upri momentum ki mumkin nishaaniyon ko darust karti hai. RSI ke isharaat ke mutabiq mazeed kharidar dabao ke liye jagah hai, is liye ek breakout ko resistance ke upar aur agle dino mein bullish jari rukh ke liye tasveer hai.

USD/JPY Dali H4 time frame par currency pair ki khas tawajjo ko apni taraf khenchti hai, pehle stagnant trading ki muddat ke baad aik numaya wide falling wedge pattern ka ubhar. Ye pattern, jo ke mazeed neechay ki taraf gira hua har naye high aur naye low ke sath darust hota hai, market mein bullish aur bearish jazbat ke darmiyan ek larai ko zahir karta hai. Market ke shirakat daron aur analysts ne in taraqqi ko qareeb se dekha hai kyun ke yeh market ki jazbat mein ek mumkinah tabdili aur ek raftar ka tajziya kar raha hai. Sideways trading phase, jo market ka muwazan darust hone ki nishani hai, ek muddat ko darsata hai jahan na to kharidaron aur na he farokht karne walon ne dominancy jatai. Aise consolidation phases aksar ahem qeemat ki harkat se pehle aati hain. Magar, wide falling wedge pattern ke mazeed ubharne ka baad yeh muwazan ka hal saamne aa sakta hai, jahan ek bias neechay ki taraf muntaqil hota hai.
Wide falling wedge pattern mai, qeemat ki har harkat ke doosre wave ko tashkeel di gayi hai. Har wave ek mukhtalif phase ko darsata hai jisme kharidaron aur farokht karne walon ke darmiyan control ki larai hoti hai. Mamoolan, pehla wave ibtidaie farokht dabao ko darsata hai, jo qeemat ki kami ka sabab banta hai. Baad mein, doosra wave aam tor par consolidation ya halki farokht se guzarta hai pehle ke baad neechay ki rukh ke baki rehne wali farokht ke dor ko.

In patterns ke asarat sirf technical tajziya se zyada hoti hain, balkay yeh market psychology aur potential future price movements ke baray mein wazeh raushni daalti hain. Traders in taraqqi ko pehchan kar potential trading opportunities ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is ke ilawa, analysts market sentiment ko influence karne wale broader economic aur geopolitical factors ko bhi tajziya kar rahe hain, jo wide falling wedge pattern ke emerge hone wale directional bias ko ya to manzoor karte hain ya nahi. Iske ilawa, wedge pattern ki widening nature analysis ko mazeed peshkash ka markaz banata hai, jo market mein barhne wali volatility aur uncertainty ko darsata hai. Traders ko is tarah ke turbulent halat mein caution baratna chahiye aur munasib risk management strategies ko implement karna chahiye.

Pattern ki widening bhi market participants ke darmiyan lamba faisla na karne ki mazeed daleel hai, jis ko samay par faisla karne ke liye taraqqi ko qareeb se nazarandaz karna zaroori hai. Iske ilawa, falling wedge pattern ke andar price movements ki muddat aur mikdar emerging directional bias ki quwat aur istiqamat ke baray mein ahem insights faraham kar sakti hain. Traders aur analysts dekhte hain ke neechay ki raftar mazeed tezi barh rahi hai ya phir pattern ke andar reversal ya consolidation ke isharaat nazar aate hain. Aise tajziyat trading strategies ko behtar banane aur risk exposure ko mutabiq karna mein ahem reh sakti hain.

Mukhtasar mein, currency pair ki haal ki price action, jo ke wide falling wedge pattern ke ubhar ka natija hai, ek mumkinah tabdili ko market sentiment mein aur neechay ki taraf ki ek bias ki shakal mein tabdeel hone ka ishara deta hai. Traders aur analysts in taraqqi ko nazarandaz kar rahe hain ke future price movements ka intezar karein aur trading opportunities ka faida uthayein jab ke market mein maujood volatility aur uncertainty ko navigational kar rahe hain.

USD/JPY Dali H4 time frame par currency pair ki khas tawajjo ko apni taraf khenchti hai, pehle stagnant trading ki muddat ke baad aik numaya wide falling wedge pattern ka ubhar. Ye pattern, jo ke mazeed neechay ki taraf gira hua har naye high aur naye low ke sath darust hota hai, market mein bullish aur bearish jazbat ke darmiyan ek larai ko zahir karta hai. Market ke shirakat daron aur analysts ne in taraqqi ko qareeb se dekha hai kyun ke yeh market ki jazbat mein ek mumkinah tabdili aur ek raftar ka tajziya kar raha hai. Sideways trading phase, jo market ka muwazan darust hone ki nishani hai, ek muddat ko darsata hai jahan na to kharidaron aur na he farokht karne walon ne dominancy jatai. Aise consolidation phases aksar ahem qeemat ki harkat se pehle aati hain. Magar, wide falling wedge pattern ke mazeed ubharne ka baad yeh muwazan ka hal saamne aa sakta hai, jahan ek bias neechay ki taraf muntaqil hota hai.

Wide falling wedge pattern mai, qeemat ki har harkat ke doosre wave ko tashkeel di gayi hai. Har wave ek mukhtalif phase ko darsata hai jisme kharidaron aur farokht karne walon ke darmiyan control ki larai hoti hai. Mamoolan, pehla wave ibtidaie farokht dabao ko darsata hai, jo qeemat ki kami ka sabab banta hai. Baad mein, doosra wave aam tor par consolidation ya halki farokht se guzarta hai pehle ke baad neechay ki rukh ke baki rehne wali farokht ke dor ko.

In patterns ke asarat sirf technical tajziya se zyada hoti hain, balkay yeh market psychology aur potential future price movements ke baray mein wazeh raushni daalti hain. Traders in taraqqi ko pehchan kar potential trading opportunities ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is ke ilawa, analysts market sentiment ko influence karne wale broader economic aur geopolitical factors ko bhi tajziya kar rahe hain, jo wide falling wedge pattern ke emerge hone wale directional bias ko ya to manzoor karte hain ya nahi. Iske ilawa, wedge pattern ki widening nature analysis ko mazeed peshkash ka markaz banata hai, jo market mein barhne wali volatility aur uncertainty ko darsata hai. Traders ko is tarah ke turbulent halat mein caution baratna chahiye aur munasib risk management strategies ko implement karna chahiye.

Pattern ki widening bhi market participants ke darmiyan lamba faisla na karne ki mazeed daleel hai, jis ko samay par faisla karne ke liye taraqqi ko qareeb se nazarandaz karna zaroori hai. Iske ilawa, falling wedge pattern ke andar price movements ki muddat aur mikdar emerging directional bias ki quwat aur istiqamat ke baray mein ahem insights faraham kar sakti hain. Traders aur analysts dekhte hain ke neechay ki raftar mazeed tezi barh rahi hai ya phir pattern ke andar reversal ya consolidation ke isharaat nazar aate hain. Aise tajziyat trading strategies ko behtar banane aur risk exposure ko mutabiq karna mein ahem reh sakti hain.

Mukhtasar mein, currency pair ki haal ki price action, jo ke wide falling wedge pattern ke ubhar ka natija hai, ek mumkinah tabdili ko market sentiment mein aur neechay ki taraf ki ek bias ki shakal mein tabdeel hone ka ishara deta hai. Traders aur analysts in taraqqi ko nazarandaz kar rahe hain ke future price movements ka intezar karein aur trading opportunities ka faida uthayein jab ke market mein maujood volatility aur uncertainty ko navigational kar rahe hain.

USD/JPY ki karobari transactions ka tajziyah aur trading ke liye mashwary:

151.81 ke test, jo ke MACD line ke zero se barhne ke saath mila, ek khareedi signal ko utpann kiya jo ke 15 pips ki keemat par keemat mein izafa le gaya. Dabaav jodi par kuch dair baad wapas aaya.

Japan ki rupiya ke aml ke weak data aur Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ke mukhalif bayan ke bawajood, dollar ek horizontal range ke andar hi bazaar mein karobari raha, jis mein US services sector ke weak PMI data ka kuch hissa tha, jo ke jodi ki upri mumkinat ko mehdood kiya. Sirf is range ke bahar jaane se hi USD/JPY mein taqatwar harkat hogi.

Lambi positions ke liye:

Khareedari karein jab ke keemat 151.76 (chart par sabz line) tak pohanchti hai aur faida 152.02 par lein. Agar khareedaron ko horizontal channel ke upri hudood ko torne mein kamyabi milti hai to izafa ho sakta hai.

Khareedne ke doran yeh yaqeeni banayein ke MACD line zero ke oopar hai ya zero se barh rahi hai. 151.61 ki do mawafiq keemat par hone wale tests ke baad bhi USD/JPY ko khareedne ka tawazo karein, lekin MACD line overbought area mein honi chahiye kyun ke sirf isi se bazaar 151.76 aur 152.02 par palat sakta hai.

Short positions ke liye:

Bechaini ke doran 151.61 (chart par surkhi line) tak keemat pohanchti hai to bechna aur faida 151.36 par lena. Dabao ek nakami k baad wapas aayega jab saalana unchaai par ikhtiyaar karna nakam sabit hoga.

Bechte waqt yeh yaqeeni banayein ke MACD line zero ke neeche hai ya zero se neeche ja rahi hai. 151.76 ki do mawafiq keemat par hone wale tests ke baad bhi USD/JPY ko bechne ka tawazo karein, lekin MACD line overbought area mein honi chahiye kyun ke sirf isi se bazaar 151.61 aur 151.36 par palat sakta hai.

Chart par kya hai:

Patli sabz line - USD/JPY ko khareedne ki keemat

Mota sabz line - Tahmini keemat jahan aap Take-Profit (TP) lagasakte hain ya haath se faida le sakte hain, kyunke is level ke upar aur izafa mumkin nahi hai.

Patli surkhi line - USD/JPY ko bechne ki keemat

Mota surkhi line - Tahmini keemat jahan aap Take-Profit (TP) lagasakte hain ya haath se faida le sakte hain, kyunke is level ke neeche aur izafa mumkin nahi hai.

MACD line - Bazaar mein dakhil hone par overbought aur oversold ilaqon ke hawale se rehna zaroori hai

Ahem: Naye traders ko bazar mein dakhil hone ke faislon par bohot ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye. Ahem reports ka ikhtiyar karte waqt, bazar se door rehna behtareen hai taake achanak tabdeeliyon mein phansne se bacha ja sake. Agar aap khabron ke douran trading karna tay karte hain, to hamesha stop orders lagayein taake nuqsaan ko kam kiya ja sake. Stop orders lagaye baghair aap apna poora jama khaata bohot jaldi khatam kar sakte hain, khaaskar agar aap maali intizam aur bade volumes mein trading nahi karte hain.

Aur yaad rakhein ke kamiyabi ke liye, aapke paas ek saaf trading plan hona zaroori hai. Mojooda bazar ki surat-e-haal par bina soche samjhe karkardagi ka faisla karna aik tabahi ka intehai tareeqa hai ek intraday trader ke liye.

Hello sab ko, main Tom Cruise hoon. Aaj maine USD/JPY ki technical aur bunyadi tajziya chuna hai.

USD/JPY ke bunyadi tajziya:

Thursday ke Asian session mein, Japanese yen (JPY) ne US dollar ke khilaf taqat hasil ki, jaise ke ek din ke chhote se faasle ko daryaft karne ke liye. Desi currency ke barhta huye haalaat ke sabab se, lagta hai ke woh Japanese authorities ki mudakhil hone ki zyada se zyada mumkinhai ke liye kuch madad hasil kar raha hai. US dollar/yen exchange rate bhi 152.00 integer mark ke qareeb pohanch gaya tha, US dollar ka ek din ka slide jisne use lagbhag ek haftay ke liye ek kam hone ke qareeb bheja tha. Thursday ke European trading day ke doran, USD/JPY exchange rate ne ek daraye daraye tareeqay se chalne ka tajziya kiya, jo ke 151.70 ka ausat tha. Iske ilawa, joda lagbhag 151.95 ke nazdeek qareebi muqabla karne ja raha hai, jo ke psyhological level 152.00 aur March ke 151.97 ke unchiyon ke sath hai. Agar USD/JPY is nukte se guzar jaata hai, to yeh aik mawafiq uthne ko ijaazat de ga, jo ke USD/JPY pair ko 152.50 ke qareebi ahem darajat dhoondne ki ijaazat de ga. Niche, 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) 151.39 dikhata hai, jo ke darsata hai ke USD/JPY ko 151.50 ke purzor level par jald az jald madad mil sakti hai. Agar yeh darja tor diya jaata hai, to USD/JPY pair ko 151.00 ke psyhological rukawat ko torne ke liye mukhtalif dabao dekha ja sakta hai, shayad zyadatar tar Fibonacci retracement phase ke 23.6% tak 150.67 tak.

USD/JPY ke technical tajziya:

USD/JPY pair ke hawale se maahol aakhri do hafton mein badal gaya hai. March ke swing low se mazboot aarzi ke safar ke roshni mein, yeh phase of consolidation ab bhi bullish ke taur par tasleem kiya ja sakta hai. Daily chart par oscillators bhi yeh dikhate hain ke spot prices ka raasta oopar ki taraf ja raha hai, bhaale hi woh abhi tak overbought shuru'at se door hain. Magar, 152.00 round-figure threshold ke mustaqil toor par torne tak aur koi mazbooti hasil karne ke liye kisi bhi mazeed faida ke liye intizaar karna aqalmandana hoga. Magar, kisi bhi maayne ki ghatna ko dekhte hue, samjhdari se faida hasil karne ke liye aise logon ko bhi rokna munasib hoga jo ke keemat ka kharid aur farokht ke ibtedai hissah mein qareeb hain, jo ke 151.00 ke aas paas hoti hai. Pehle indicate handle ko mazid taur par tor dena, khaaskar 150.80 aur 150.75 ke darmiyan ka horizontal resistance breakpoint, ab waqt par madad ke tor par kaam karta hai aur USD/JPY ko 150.25 keliye future relevant support ki taraf dhakel sakta hai. Ek saath, psyhological 150 level bhi hai, jo agar puri tarah se tor diya gaya, to yeh ghaiz traders ka nazariya badal sakta hai aur ek mukhtalif durustive slide ko khulta darwaza banata hai jo aakhir mein 149.00 mark aur 149.35–149.30 mawadi mein jaa sakta hai.

Bazaar ke trends aur mumkin reversals ka jaiza lene ke liye technical indicators aur keemat ki harkat ke dynamics ka gehra samajh zaroori hai. Kya haal hi mein hui harkat ko keemat ki harkat ka jari rehne ka ek hissa samjha jaye ya phir kisi mumkin reversal ka ishaara samjha jaye, yeh traders ke liye mukhtalif factors hain jo unhain andaza lagana hoga.

Pehle toh, bazaar ka zyada wusat context dekhna ahem hai. Iqtisadi indicators, geopolitical events, aur central bank policies jaise factors bazaar ke sentiment aur rukh par asar dal sakte hain. Agar haal hi ki kamiyabi bazaar ke prevailing bearish sentiment ke saath milta hai, toh yeh sach mein trend ka jari rehne ka ishaara ho sakta hai.

Dusra, keemat ki harkat aur volume patterns ka jaiza dena nihayat ahem hai. Aik mazboot downtrend aksar kam bulandiyon aur kam nadiriyon ke saath hota hai, jis par barhte hue farokht ki dabao ki tashkeel hoti hai jo ke zyada trading volumes mein zahir hoti hai. Mukhtalif, aik mumkin reversal ko aik break mein pehchanaya ja sakta hai, jaise ke bullish divergence between Click image for larger version


Teesra, ahem support aur resistance levels ka jaiza dena zaroori hai. Agar keemat aik ahem support level ke qareeb aati hai aur isay pehli dafa todne ke liye kai koshishon ke bawajood tod nahi sakti, toh yeh ishaara kar sakta hai ke farokht ki dabao kamzor hoti ja rahi hai, jise potential reversal ka rasta khool sakti hai. Ulti, agar aik ahem support level ko maqool tor par tod diya jaata hai, toh yeh downtrend ko mazboot kar sakta hai.

Iske ilawa, technical indicators jaise ke moving averages, trend lines, aur oscillators ka istemal mazeed tasdeeq ya mukhtalif signals faraham kar sakta hai. Masalan, chhotay arsay ke moving averages ke upar lambay arsay ke ke neechay aane wala bullish crossover ya aik ahem support level par reversal candlestick pattern, aik mumkin reversal ke liye case ko mazboot kar sakta hai.

Traders ko hushyaar rehna aur sirf aik indicator ya signal par pura bharosa nahi karna chahiye. Bazaar ki shirait tezi se tabdeel ho sakti hai, aur ghalat signals aam nahi hain. Isliye, mukhtalif analysis tools aur techniques ka istemal karke trading decisions ko tasdeeq karna aur tashreef le sakte hain.

Ikhtitam mein, yeh andaza lagana ke haal hi ki bazaar ki harkat ek downtrend ka jari rehne ka hissa hai ya mumkin reversal ka ishaara hai, mukhtalif factors ka mukammal jaiza zaroori hai, jo bazaar ka context, keemat ki harkat, volume patterns, support aur resistance levels, aur technical indicators shamil hain. In factors ko mehnat se nigrani mein rakhte hue, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur apni strategies ko bazaar mein mojood potential opportunities par faida uthane ke liye adjust kar sakte hain.

usdjpy

Guzishta hafte, kisi kehne par, barabar tha. Shumal ki taraqqi nahi hui, zyada 150.88 ko update nahi kiya gaya, bulkeh jumairat ko shumal mansookh ho gaya, halankeh jumairat ko bahut koshish ki gayi initiative ko wapas lene ki, magar yeh bhi naakaam rahi. Darmiyani doraan mein, shumal phir se mansookh ho gaya aur trading aamrika session ke qareeb ke qareeb band hui, jo ke somwar ke trading ke opening par south ki automatic tasdeeq ka pehlu deta hai. Amumana, south 150.05 ke level ko tasdeeq karega. Magar oversold hai, is liye woh oopar se rollback shuru kar sakte hain, lekin sellers ke liye sab se zaroori hai ke 150.72 se oopar na jaye, jahan south mansookh ho jayega. Yeh behtareen hoga ke 150.35 ke qareeb rollback ho, yahan mA ki ek jama'at hai aur ek level hai jahan intraday waqt par ek sell signal mila tha, jo ke test ki zaroorat hai. Aur waise bhi, yeh ek behtar qeemat par bechnay ka acha mauka hoga. Qareebi nichle target 149.49 hai. Mujhe is baat ko wazeh karne do, yeh bilkul somwar ke liye hai. Jab baat prospects aur darmiyani muddat ki aati hai, is hafte hum ne pehla retracement level 149.95 tak pohanch gaya aur isey toora, aur lagta hai ke woh wahan rok nahi, agla level 148.84 (din time) par hai. Yahan se upar ka rebound mumkin hai. Magar zyada tar hum girawat ka jari rehne ka intezar kar rahe hain, aur yeh sab is wajah se ke haftay ke doran rollback level 147.71 par hai. Main is marhale mein mazeed nichay nahi dekh raha, kyunkeh shumali trend mazboot hai aur aasani se toora nahi ja sakta, to phir bhi barhawah hoga. Southern correction khatam hone ke baad, main umeed karta hoon ke barhawah dobara shuru ho. Achhi trading ho.

Tekniki hawale se, D1 waqt frame par USDJPY ke qeemat ka chart kai numaya patterns aur levels dikhata hai. Traders ko khaas tor par ahem support aur resistance levels, sath hi trend lines aur moving averages ka nazar rakna chahiye, taake woh potentiyal entry aur exit points ko pehchan sakein. Mazboot bullish momentum ki mojudgi saaf nazar aati hai ek silsile mein barhne wale unchi unchi aur buland nichayon se, jo market mein barqarar kharidari ka dabao darust karte hain. Macro-economic aur technical factors ke ilawa, USDJPY ke qeemat ka amal market sentiment aur geopolitical events bhi aham kirdar ada karte hain. Geopolitical events jese ke tijarati tensions ya geopolitical conflicts ke saath judi uncertainty, volatility ko barhane aur market sentiment mein sudden tabdiliyon ka sabab ban sakte hain. Is liye, traders ko maaloom rehna chahiye aur apni trading strategies ko mutabiq kar dena chahiye. Mojudah USDJPY ke D1 waqt frame par tajziya ek darmiyani muddati bullish trend ko darust karta hai jo macro-economic factors, technical indicators aur market sentiment ke aik imtizaj se faraham hota hai. Magar, traders ko hoshyar rehna chahiye aur taqreeban unexpected events ya investment sentiment mein tabdiliyan aane ke baad mojooda trend mein tabdiliyon ka samna kar sakte hain.

M30 Timeframe par nazar daalne par, market ke haalaat abhi tak bilkul mustaqbil mein ghair yaqeeni hain. Lekin, ek ummeed ki roshni dikhayi dene lagi hai jo ke humein ek urooj ki taraf le ja rahi hai. Abhi, hum dekh rahe hain ke ek taraqqi ki raah tajawuz kar rahi hai, jo ke qadam ba qadam barh rahi hai. Hamari nigaah, moving average ki position par hai jo ke bullish trend ko support kar rahi hai. Magar, is umeed par pura bharosa karna zaroori hai, lekin chaukanna rehna bhi ahem hai. Agar kisi waqt darmiyan mein girawat aati hai, toh main yeh mauqa uthane ka tasawwur karta hoon ke bullish lehar par sawar ho sakun. Apni harkat mein lachari aur market ke badalav ko qaim rakhna intehai zaroori hai. Yeh ek samajhdaar trader ke liye zaroori hai ke woh market ki halat ko bariki se samajh kar harkat kare, aur agar zarurat pesh aaye toh tawajjuh se istiqamat se amal karein. Is waqt, tajarba aur tehqeeqat se saabit hota hai ke patience aur discipline ke saath trading karna asal mein mushkil kaam hai. Halankay, agar hum apni strategy ko mazbooti se follow karte hain aur market ke mawaad ko samajhte hain toh humein kamyaabi mil sakti hai.



Bullish trend ke dauraan, hamesha yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke market mein tabdeeliyan aasani se aa sakti hain. Is liye, hamein apni harkat mein lachari aur tawajjuh se tayyar rehna chahiye. Kisi bhi naye development ya market ke ghair yaqeeni hawaalon ke sath muqablay ke liye taiyar rehna bhi zaroori hai.
In mukhtalif amooron ko madde nazar rakhte hue, humein tayyar rehna hoga ke market ke har halaat mein apni strategy ko adjust karne ka tajurba rakhein. Is tajurba aur hoslaafzaai ke saath, hum apni trading journey mein kamiyabi hasil kar sakte hain. Tajziya ka dor USD/JPY currency pair ki keemat par mushtamil hai jo hum aaj kar rahe hain. Hamare paas farokht karne wale ka faisla hai ke unloading ka intikhab karna, jo ek ahem kadam hai. Lekin is tabdili ka muddat ghair yaqeeni hai. Urooj ki raah ab tak finally shuru ho gayi hai aur haal hi mein market mein ek urooj ka trend nazar a raha hai, jo qadam ba qadam barh raha hai.



Market ke is urooj ke doran, USD/JPY currency pair ke qeemat mein izafa dekha gaya hai. Yeh izafa hamesha ki tarah chand martaba kiya ja raha hai aur is ke peechay mukhtalif factors mojud hain. Ek wajah yeh ho sakti hai ke investors apni tajaweezat aur mojudgi ko barqarar rakhne ke liye yen ko behtar samajh rahe hain, jis se USD/JPY pair mein izafa hota hai. Moving average analysis ke zariye dekha gaya hai ke hamari manzil ki taraf rukh ko mukhtalif doron mein dekha ja sakta hai. Yeh analysis market trends ko samajhne aur future ke possibilities ko samne lane mein madadgar sabit hota hai. Agar hum dekhein to recent dor mein moving averages mein taizi se izafa ho raha hai, jo ke is urooj ki raah ko tasdiq karta hai.
Is waqt, market mein tajziyat ki dor bhi jari hai. Kuch investors is urooj ke doran apne positions ko barqarar rakhne ke liye mukhtalif tajziyat kar rahe hain. Yeh mukhtalif tajziyat market ke mahaul ke tabadlay ke sath jari hain aur is doran currency pair ke qeemat mein tabdiliyan anay wali hain.

H4 Timeframe Analysis

Pichle trading haftay mein, sideways movement ki nishandahi thi, Wednesday ko chand hilchulon ke darmiyan kuch fluctuations hoti rahi Hamare tasavvur ke mutabiq, jo USD/JPY currency pair ke daam se mutala kiya gaya tha? Haan, 151.00 ke support level ki taraf ek neeche ki taraf kami thi, lekin unhone isay upar se nichor nahi diya Isi tarah, yahan bhi tawana forecast ke mutabiq sab kuch hal nahi hua Yahan, meri nazriati tajziya ke mutabiq, kuch nahi badla Hum bhi umeed karte hain ke 151.00 ke qareebi mazboot support level ke upar se neeche ki taraf ek kami ke baad, 149.00 ke support level ki taraf ek kami hogi Yahan sawal uthata hai kya main apni trading operations is USD/JPY trading instrument ke zariye karon ga? Main is theoretical analysis par mukammal bharosa rakhta hoon



Chahe aapko pasand ho ya na ho, aapko contracts ko galey pakarna hoga Shaksani mali barhaw ki zone 151.26 aur 151.16 ke area mein hogi Market ke beqarar harekatein dekhte hue, main regular tor par ghalat faislay ke saath paise lagane ke durust faislay ke ulte mudkar mein negative parivartan ke baare mein sochta hoon Magar main hisab se dividends ko bhi nahi bhoolta, jo ke nivesh se hoshiyar aur shumara risk laate hain Is liye, sar chupaye baghair, hum apne qadam 151.11 ke threshold ke par rakhenge Ek uthao ke baad, hamesha neeche ki taraf kam hota hai Is qaid ko jaante hue, main samajhta hoon ke zaroori hai ke trading ko 151.55 par rok diya jaye Aur hatta ke is halat mein, munafa qeemat ke barabar ho sakta hai jo ke set stop position ke muqable mein usay paanch guna zyada hoga Shayad aaj ham apne maqsood nahi pohunchenge Main shaam ko muamla band kar doonga aur ise kal tak nahi chorunga Kisi bhi khabar se sab ko pareshan kiya jata hai aur market mein afra-tafri peda hoti hai