𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

Pichle trading haftay mein, thori dair stabilizing ke baad 154.75 par, Japani yen ke kamzor hone ka silsila jari raha aur ek aur record kam par pahunch gaya. 154.75 par range ke ooperi had ko dheere dheere daba kar, keemat ne buland honay ka moqa diya aur stabilize kiya, jo agle tez utharne ke liye mazboot sahara faraham kar raha tha. Is natije mein, muntazir shetra nahi sirf hasel kiya gaya balki us se bhi zyada hasil kiya gaya. Lekin, iske baad hi, keemat sharp tareeqay se gir gai, jis se sabhi pehle ke faiday mit gaye.

Technically, agar hum 4 ghantay ka chart ghor se dekhein, to hum dekhte hain ke jodi ne 155.00 ke ooper musbat istehqam ko kamyabi se barqarar rakha hai, jari rehne wale simple moving average sahara ke zariye musbat tehreek ko barqarar karne ke liye mohtaram ke asar faraham kar raha hai. Yahan se, up trend 154.90 par mazboot sahara ke ooper trade karke barqarar rehta hai, agle maqsood 155.70 par, jaante hue ke upar ke darjat ko tor dene ka ek paigham hai, jo ke agle maqsood station 156.00 tak pohanchne ke imkanat ko barhata hai. 154.90 ke neeche aane wala kadam jodi ko manfi dabao ke teht par dal dega, maqsood 154.45 aur 154.00 ki dobara shuruaati koshishon se pehle muqarar kiya gaya hai.

Is waqt, keemat shuruwat ke mukable mein thori buland hai, tez utharne aur mukhtalif girawat ke baad. Ahem sahara ke asal shetrao ko test kiya gaya hai aur unka mustaqil hona upar ke manfi raftar ke liye hai. Keemat ab ek naye daam khet mein jam ho rahi hai jiska neeche ki had 154.75 hai, jabke asal sahara ke shetron ke had mohtalif hain. Is level ke bar bar tajurbaat naye rebound ke izaafay ke imkanat faraham karenge, aur maqsood 161.29 aur 163.05 ke shetron ko hona chahiye

Aaj, hum USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ki harkat ko tajziya karain gay. Mojooda market trend ke mutabiq, hum aglay do dinon ke liye ek side mein harkat ka imkan samajh rahe hain. Shuru mein, currency pair 154.48 ki bullish trend ki taraf ja sakta hai, phir 153.13 ki bearish harkat aa sakti hai. Magar, humein ek side mein harkat ka tajziya hai jismein koi upar ya neeche ki taraf ki trend nahi hogi. Hamara neural network yeh sujhaata hai ke khareedne wale aur farokht karne wale market ko hukoomat kar sakte hain, is liye hum dhaeray se daakhil honay aur mazeed wazeh trends ka intezar karne ki salahiyat dete hain. Haalaanki, hum is manzar ke liye tayyar thay aur agar bullish rebound hoti to kaise react karna hai, lekin behter hai hoshiyar rehna. Humne aik level breakdown aur uske baad ascending channel ki support line ki taraf harkat ke moqablay ka bhi imkaan shumar kiya. Hum ney tahez harkat kar lia jab aghaz ke tasalli kshetra se bullish rebound hui.



Hourly chart mein, keemat ek girte hue channel ke andar rehti hai. Shuru mein, keemat mein kuch izafa dekha gaya tha jis ke sath umeed thi ke girte hue channel ke upper border tak pohancha jaye ga. Magar maqsood zahir nahi hua, jo humein mazeed buland rukh ki umeed dilata hai, shayad girte hue channel ke upper border tak 154.63 tak pohanch jaye. Is level tak pohanchne se aik rukh badal sakta hai aur neechay ki taraf chalay jaye ga. Agar jo pair giray, to channel ke lower border 148.44 tak pohanch sakta hai. Ya phir, agar keemat descending channel ke ooper se guzarti hai, to izafa 157.94 tak jari reh sakta hai. USD/JPY pair aik downtrend line ke neeche trade kar raha hai aur channel ke andar move kar raha hai. Ye upper border tak pohanch gaya hai aur 153.92-154.28 mein rukawat ka samna kiya, chhoti arsa ke trading maqsoodat ko hasil kiya. Agar keemat is zone ke ooper hai, to yeh mazeed izafa ki nishani ho sakti hai, jabke aik rebound nuqsaan ki taraf le ja sakta hai, 153.64-153.48 ke support zone tak.

USD/JPY

Jaise ki nazar hai, USD/JPY mein taizi se tajawuzi manfi intezam ki zarurat ho chuki hai US daro ki tabdeeli ke tezi se mutabiq. Overall bias agle saal ke liye kam hai, lekin kafi zyada nahi. Saal ke end ki taqmeel ke liye mid se high 130s ka ek tajawuz dekha ja sakta hai, agar hum ek sakht crash dekhte hain jo pair ko pre-pandemic levels par la sakta hai. 140.80 pehla downside level hai jo dekha jaye, khaaskar 50-week moving average ke qareeb jo is saal ke mukhtalif moqon par maane gaye. Neeche, 137.70 ne 12 mahinon se zyada arsa tak support aur resistance ka kaam kiya hai aur 134.00 us ke neeche ka agla level hai. Upar ki taraf, USD/JPY ko 145.00 ke bahut zyada aage barhna mushkil ho sakta hai agar taqreeban ek zyada lambi mudat ke narrative ko dobara samne laaya jaye.

USD/JPY ke chart ko dekhte hue, rates ab ek bullish channel ke neeche test kar rahe hain jo is saal ke tamam price action ko shaamil karta hai.

Maujooda support area ke neeche, agla level 145.00 ke aas paas hai, jo June mein resistance diya tha aur August mein support diya tha, is ke baad is saal ke rally ka 38.2% Fibonacci retracement 142.50 ke qareeb hai. USD/JPY ne last week aur aadhe mein kahin nahi jana. Lekin trend clearly bullish hai baad az rates har aakhri teen mahine mein barhe hain. USD/JPY ne mukhtalif salehon mein banaye gaye uchayiyan ko briefly breach kiya tha jo ke 151.91 se 151.95 ke aas paas thi, aur March mein incremental high 181.97 tak pohancha tha. Us level ka jaldi inkaar ne kuch logon ko aik top ke liye bulane par majboor kiya, lekin hum ne dekha hai ke bearish case ko tasdeeq karne ke liye koi mazeed downside follow through nahi hua hai. Is liye, rates ek tight consolidation pattern ke andar phans gaye hain jo ke ek bullish ascending triangle pattern ka nazar aata hai, sirf 152.00 handle ke neeche.

Bulls is support level ko bachane ke liye koshish kar rahe hain, jahan 100-day EMA bhi aata hai, lekin jab tak pair pehle resistance-se-support-se-fir-se-resistance ko 148.00 par nahi cross karta, tab tak pair aik bade breakdown ke liye vulnerable hai.

Acha, pehle hi kami se pehle, mein USDJPY pair ke liye scenario ka zikar kiya tha, ke shorts kam honge, kyun ke zyada tar deposits khudai gayi hain, aur kuch bas bahir aayenge agar mumkin ho, toh, neechay ke raste mein, us waqt 154 figure zone mein abhi bhi support tha, wahaan unhone koshish ki hogi ke pair kharid lein. Aur agar aap positions ke participants ki tabdiliyon ka tasawwur dekhte hain, toh yeh koshish ko tasveer mein laata hai, lekin breakout ne 152 figure ke support zone tak pohancha, aur khareedne wale apni jazbat ko rok diye, aur wahan, Rom, yeh bhi chhapa tha ke Bank of Japan market mein dakhil ho raha tha, kam az kam, yeh tay ho gaya tha, is liye pata chala ke participants ne bank ke "dum" par baithne ka faisla kiya. Aur yahan, jaise maine pehle note kiya tha, har cheez pehle waqt ki tarah ho sakti hai, jab bechne wale ne 146-147 figures mein lows beche, aur zyada "samajhdaar" log 148-149 mein barhne ka intezaar kiya, jahan se woh bechna shuru kiya, toh phir woh mazeed aur zyada shamil karte gaye, aur humne is nortern locomotive ke aag mein girebaan dikhaya jab USD/JPY pair ke raftar 160 tak pohanch gayi thi. Isliye, yahan bhi, ek mushabah scenario ka dohrao nahi khatra hai.
Magar chalo, dekhte hain, ek gehri correction abhi tak bahar nahi kiya ja sakta agar 151.90-152.80 ka support zone paar kiya jata hai. Aur yahan, haan, sab se pehle toh zaroor woh resistance zone 156.75-158.35 ja sakte hain. Kam az kam, agar keemat ko is resistance zone tak pohanchaya gaya, Rum, toh woh pair ko zor se bechenge, chhote stop ke saath, lekin ek speculative dakhil ke dauraan - "dakhil hua, kuch point liye, bahar aagaye." Agar unhone isay pair se nikaal diya.




Aam tor par, kuch nahi badla. Na to Bank of Japan ki policy aur na hi Fed ki policy. Aur jo paisa daala gaya tha woh wapis khareeda jayega, aur umeed hai ke izaafa mukhtasar rafaqat ke mukhtasar raaste par chalti rahegi, agar kuch nahi badalta. Dekhte hain ke woh resistance zone tak pohanch sakte hain, ya agar pehle hi palatne ki koshish ki jaye.

Shayad 156.30 mein ghalat breakout ho sakta hai, phir iske baad girawat jaari rahegi. Jab hum 153.85 ke range ko paar karte hain aur iske neeche mazboot ho jate hain, toh yeh bechne ka signal hoga. 156.30 ke range mein rukawat hai. Yahan se, girawat jaari ho sakti hai. Main 156.30 ke range ka ghalat breakout tasleem karta hoon, lekin uske baad, girawat jaari rahegi. 153.40 ke range mein support hai aur shayad iske neeche, girawat jaari rahegi. Jab tak mein 156.25 ke range se izaafa aur girawat ka intezar kar raha hoon, girawat jaari rahegi. Shayad 151.75 ke range ko paar karne aur iske neeche mazboot hone ke baad, yeh bechne ka signal hoga. 154.75 ke range mein rukawat hai aur yahan se, girawat jaari ho sakti hai. 151.90 ke range ko paar karne ke baad, girawat mukhtalif jaari rahegi. Jo izafa market mein ho raha hai woh rate mein ek taqwiyati izafa ki tarah hai aur humein ghalat breakout mila. Uske baad, abhi bhi behtar hai ke USD/JPY bechein. Jab tak taqwiyati izafa jaari hai, behtar hai raste mein farokht haasil karna.

USD/JPY H1

Price action ka tajziya karne ka ahem pehlu hai trading mein, khaaskar jab baat market trends ke reversals ya continuations ke pehchanne ki hoti hai. Traders jo channel patterns par tawajju dete hain, unke liye channel ke upper boundary ke qareebi dauran price ka rawayya nazar andaz nahi karna chahiye. Ye ilaqa aksar aik ahem nuktah hai jahan market sentiment tabdeel ho sakti hai, jo bullish trends se bearish trends ki taraf rukh ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai.

Traders ka aik aham indicator reversal ke imkaanat ka andaza lagane ke liye bearish candlestick patterns hota hai. Ye patterns, jaise ke bearish engulfing patterns ya evening stars, yeh ishara dete hain ke bechnay ki dabao barh raha hai, jo mojooda uptrend ka ulta ishara kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, oscillators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) market ki halat mein qeemti insights faraham kar sakte hain. RSI ke overbought conditions upper boundary ke qareeb indicate karte hain ke market aik reversal ke liye tayyar hai jab khareedne ki raftar kamzor hoti hai.

Magar, traders ke liye ahem hai ke woh sirf aik indicator par mabni na rahein balkay mukhtalif sources se tasdeeq talab karein. Agar upper boundary ke qareebi dauran price action bearish candlestick patterns aur RSI jaise oscillators par overbought conditions ke saath milta hai, toh yeh aik potential reversal ke liye saboot mazid mazboot karta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar pair upper boundary ke oopar se guzar jata hai, toh yeh upper momentum ka jari rehne ka ishara ho sakta hai. Yeh breakout short term mein mazeed bullish movement ko darust karay ga, jo traders ko long positions mein dakhil hone aur trend ko upar uthane ke liye mouqaat faraham kar sakta hai.

Misal ke taur par, USD/JPY ke case mein, subah upper boundary tak phir se ek upper movement ka tajziya karna traders ko is ilaqe mein price action par tawajju deni chahiye. Agar bearish signals, jaise ke bearish candlestick patterns ya overbought conditions oscillators par, is level ke qareeb emerge hoti hain, toh yeh aik potential reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai. Mutasir hota hai. Bayani tor par, upper boundary ke oopar ka breakout bullish momentum ko tasdeeq de ga, jo traders ke liye long positions ka tawafarq faraham kare ga.

USD/JPY H1

Price action ka tajziya karne ka ahem pehlu hai trading mein, khaaskar jab baat market trends ke reversals ya continuations ke pehchanne ki hoti hai. Traders jo channel patterns par tawajju dete hain, unke liye channel ke upper boundary ke qareebi dauran price ka rawayya nazar andaz nahi karna chahiye. Ye ilaqa aksar aik ahem nuktah hai jahan market sentiment tabdeel ho sakti hai, jo bullish trends se bearish trends ki taraf rukh ki taraf ishara kar sakta hai.

Traders ka aik aham indicator reversal ke imkaanat ka andaza lagane ke liye bearish candlestick patterns hota hai. Ye patterns, jaise ke bearish engulfing patterns ya evening stars, yeh ishara dete hain ke bechnay ki dabao barh raha hai, jo mojooda uptrend ka ulta ishara kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, oscillators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) market ki halat mein qeemti insights faraham kar sakte hain. RSI ke overbought conditions upper boundary ke qareeb indicate karte hain ke market aik reversal ke liye tayyar hai jab khareedne ki raftar kamzor hoti hai.

Magar, traders ke liye ahem hai ke woh sirf aik indicator par mabni na rahein balkay mukhtalif sources se tasdeeq talab karein. Agar upper boundary ke qareebi dauran price action bearish candlestick patterns aur RSI jaise oscillators par overbought conditions ke saath milta hai, toh yeh aik potential reversal ke liye saboot mazid mazboot karta hai.

Doosri taraf, agar pair upper boundary ke oopar se guzar jata hai, toh yeh upper momentum ka jari rehne ka ishara ho sakta hai. Yeh breakout short term mein mazeed bullish movement ko darust karay ga, jo traders ko long positions mein dakhil hone aur trend ko upar uthane ke liye mouqaat faraham kar sakta hai.

Misal ke taur par, USD/JPY ke case mein, subah upper boundary tak phir se ek upper movement ka tajziya karna traders ko is ilaqe mein price action par tawajju deni chahiye. Agar bearish signals, jaise ke bearish candlestick patterns ya overbought conditions oscillators par, is level ke qareeb emerge hoti hain, toh yeh aik potential reversal ka ishara ho sakta hai. Mutasir hota hai. Bayani tor par, upper boundary ke oopar ka breakout bullish momentum ko tasdeeq de ga, jo traders ke liye long positions ka tawafarq faraham kare ga.

USD/JPY H-1

USD/JPY. Ghantay ke chart par, qeemat ek girte hue channel ke andar hai. Jodi kal izafa ho rahi thi, aur umeed hai ke jodi ooper ki taraf chalay gi, girte hue channel ke ooper ke simt. Magar kal manzil tak nahi pohanchi gayi, aur aaj bhi jodi izafa karti hai, qeemat girte hue channel ke ooper ke had tak pohanchti hai, 154.67 ke darjay tak. Is had tak pohanchne ke baad, currency pair ka izafa ruk jata hai, qeemat palat jati hai aur gir jati hai. Ab, agar jodi girne ka silsila jaari rahe, to channel ke niche ke had tak girne ka khatra hai, jo 148.48 ke darjay hai. Nishana niche pohanchne ke baad, girawat ruk sakti hai aur qeemat izafa karne ki koshish karegi.

USD/JPY H-4






Yeh 155.60 ko toor sakta hai aur phir gir sakta hai.

Jab hum ek downtrend ke teesre wave mein hote hain, to in teenon waves ki girawat ke doran, behtareen option yeh hai ke hum bechain. Japani yen chart ke ooper ke adhe hisse ka tajziya karte hue, maine yeh natija nikala ke bazaar ek kharidne ki charam pe pohanch gaya hai, aur girawat jaari hai. Aam tor par, mubadala rukh ko neechay palatne ke shartein achhi hain. Hum ooper daba rahe hain aur izafa ko 155.60 ilaqa mein durust kar rahe hain, uske baad girawat jaari rahegi. 154.60 ilaqa mein rukawat milti rahi, tab tak girawat jaari rahegi. Hum naye tamam waqt ke uchhapan bana rahe hain, jis mein hum achhe farokht ke daraje hasil kar sakte hain. 155.60 ilaqa se pehle se palat chuke hain, is halat mein girawat jaari ho sakti hai. Shayad 156.20 par ghalat tod par milti hai aur girawat jaari rahegi. 156.40 ilaqa ka tod achha farokht ka pegham hoga. 154.40 ilaqa mein rukawat hai, jo ke mazeed girawat ke baad aati hai. Agar hum maujooda qeemat se niche chale jayen, 151.70 ke neeche bhi, to yeh ek ishara hoga ke darajat gir rahe hain.

USD/JPY Qeematat Ki Tabdeeli

Mozooi tanqeed mein, ham USD/JPY currency pair ki qeematat mein izafa par tawajjo dete hain. Ahem hai ke yen ne kuch had tak mustiqilatiyat ka samna kiya hai, aur Bank of Japan ki dakhalat ka aik khatam hua hai. Magar, aaj ke urooj ke bawajood, yen par dabaav hai, jo ke aaj ke dollar ke dabaav ke mukhalif hai. Jodi ka izafa ka josh jaari hai, jabke aik khaasi short interest bhi hai. Aaj ke bazaar ka ikhtitaam dekhnay ki wajib hai kyun ke maujooda manzar aik inkishaf lagta hai. Nazriyati tor par, jodi ka izafa jaari rahna chahiye; magar, main isay aik pullback ke tor par samajhta hoon. Is liye, main sirf 157.57 ko toornay par farokht ko ghoorta hoon.






Aaj, USD/JPY jodi ne 153.74 rukawat darjay tak izafa kiya, jo ke waqtan-fa-waqt toot gaya. Magar, is darjay ke ooper mustehkam qadam abhi tak hasil nahi hua hai. Agar 153.74 ke ooper mustehkam qaaimi milay, to yeh aik mumkinah kharid dakhilah aur mazeed bulandi ki alamat ho sakti hai. Magar, bearish faalatiat ka nigrani karna ahem hai kyun ke yeh is darjay ke neeche potential farokht ke mauqe ko le ja sakti hai. Daily chart par bullish mumayyana mein aik pullback ka ishaara hota hai jo ke 151.89 tak samarthan ki taraf le ja sakta hai, haalaanki tasdeeq abhi tak baaki hai. USD/JPY ka uroojati josh do ahem factors se mukhalif hai, yani, takneeki aur buniyadi. Moving average bearish ko rokta hai jab tak bazaar 149.24 ke qareeb average tak na pohanch jaye. Is ke ilawa, Bank of Japan ke dakhalat ki afwahain kharidne wale ko rok sakti hain, peechle munafa bakhsh dakhalatun ko yaad rakhte hue. Yeh factors izafa ko rokte hain, bazaar ko 149.27 ki taraf le ja sakte hain, jo ke bearish harkat ko sab se zyada mumkin banati hai. Bazaar dono taraf ahem darjayon ka samna karta hai, jis se rehnumai ke ittefaaqi pehluon mein rukawat hoti hai. Magar, ek bearish trend ki taraf rahegi ki taraf jaane ki rujhan hai, jo ke sab se mukhtasir manzar hai.

USD/JPY Jodi Ka Tahlil

USD/JPY jodi ki tahlil mein, ab zahir hota hai ke mojooda doran mein ek mukhtalif girawat ka silsila jaari hai. Is buniyadi bearish jazbat ke bawajood, mukhtalif timeframes - khas tor par H4, D1, aur H1 - ke musaahiba mein aik dilchasp dynamics zahir hota hai. Mustaqil girawat ke dabaav ke bawajood, jodi ne mukhtalif martabon par trading ko barqarar rakhne mein 154.49 par mojood aham samarthan zone ke neeche girne mein pareshani ka samna kiya hai.

Aham Samarthan Zone Par Rukawat:

USD/JPY jodi ke mukhtalif dafa trading ko aham samarthan level 154.49 ke neeche barqarar rakhne mein kamiyabi ka tajziya, bazaar mein mukhtalif bullish jazbat ka izhar karta hai. Yeh neechay ki harkat ka mukhalif hone ka ishara hai jo ke jodi ke rukh mein ek qareebi u-turn ki mumkinat ka ishara deta hai. Karobarion ko chahiye ke ye aham samarthan level ke ird gird jodi ka rawayya kaise hota hai, usay mukhtalif trading mauqayon ke liye qareeb se dekhein.






Mumkinah U-Turn aur USD Ki Taqat:

Hal hi mein bazaar ke harkatun ka tajziya karte hue, khaas tor par Jumeraat ko dekhi gayi musbat tabdeeliyon ka tawazo ke liye mumkin hai ke qareebi mustaqbil mein USD ki taqat ka dobala intizaar hai. Aise ek waqiya aksar USD/JPY jodi par neeche ki taraf dabaav dalta hai, jis se daily basis par 154.38 ke mark tak ka pechayana ka rawayya ban sakta hai. Magar, ahem hai ke ham nigrani mein rahen kyun ke bazaar ki dynamics tabdeel hone ke mohtaaj hote hain, khaas tor par USD index aur digar beroon-e-mulk factors ke jawab mein.

Karobarion ke Liye Dinamic Bazaar Dynamics:

USD/JPY jodi ke dynamics hamesha tabdeel hone ke mohtaaj hote hain, jo ke mukhtalif factors jaise ke maashiyati nishanat, siyasi waqiat, aur bazaar ke jazbat mein tabdeeliyon ke asar par mabni hote hain. Karobarion ko mustaqil aur jawabdeh rehna chahiye taake jadeed trends aur taraqqiyat par phaida utha sakein. Is ke ilawa, takneeki tajziya ke aalaat ka istemaal aur aham samarthan aur rukawat darjayon ka qareebi nigrani karne se jodi ke mustaqbil ke harkatun par qeemti maloomat mil sakti hai.






Nateeja:

Nateeja saamne aata hai ke haalaat ke bawajood, USD/JPY jodi ab ek neeche ki rukh ka samna kar rahi hai, lekin mukhtalif samarthan aur rukawat darjayon ke aham samarthan zone 154.49 ko toorna ka mukhtalif koshishen isay zahir karte hain ke bazaar mein mukhtalif bullish jazbat mojood hain. Karobarion ko u-turn ke mumkinah nishanon par tawajjo deni chahiye aur jodi ka rawayya aham samarthan aur rukawat darjayon ke aas paas mukhtalif dafa kar dekhein. Maahir rehne aur mustaqil taraqqiyat par amal karne se, karobarion ko USD/JPY jodi ke dinamic manzar mein chalne aur jadeed trading mauqayon par faida uthane ka imkaan milta hai.

USD/JPY H4 Timeframe Analysis:

Currency trading mein, USD/JPY currency pair ab kharidaron ki taraf se bullish asar ka samna kar raha hai. Yeh aik moqa hai ke lambe positions kholne ka ghor kiya jaye. 1-hour timeframe ko tajziya kar ke, traders ko aham resistance level 154.827 par mukhya dharan karne ki salahiyat hoti hai. Yeh level nafa chukane ka maqsad banta hai, jahan traders ko mojooda lambe positions ko band karne ka ghor karna chahiye. Makhsoos trading strategies mein dakhil honay se pehle, USD/JPY currency pair ko mutasarifiye karne wale mojooda market ke mahol ko samajhna zaroori hai. Taza tareen tajziya ke mutabiq, kharidaron ka bhaari asar hai, jo ke market mein bullish jazbat ko darust karta hai. Yeh yehan par lambe positions shuru karne ke liye ek mufeed mahol ko zahir karta hai, jo ke upar ki raftar ka faida uthata hai. H4 timeframe par zoom karne se USD/JPY currency pair ke daam ghoomne aur ahem darajat ki andaruni mukhtalif naye maqamat mein ahem nazar ata hai. Moujooda waqt mein, upper resistance level numaya tor par 154.827 par mojood hai. Yeh level do maqsad ada karta hai: pehle toh, yeh mazeed upar ki harkat ke liye ek nafsiyati rukawat ka kaam karta hai, aur doosre, yeh nafa chukane ka aham maqam darust karta hai.



Mojooda bullish jazbat aur upper resistance level ke pehchan ke maddafrat ke zariye, traders ko lambe positions ke liye apne tareeqay kaar ko mehfooz taur par tasarruf karna chahiye. Kharidne ke liye positions kholne ke sath, traders ko naye market dynamics ke saath chalne ka mauqa milta hai. Magar, darust nafa chukane ke maqasid ke liye risk management intehai zaroori hai. Trading mein, risk management lambay arse tak kamiyabi ke liye bunyadi hoti hai. Kisi bhi position mein dakhil hone se pehle, traders ko apni risk bardasht karne ki salahiyat ka andaza lagana chahiye aur munasib position sizes tay karni chahiye. Yeh is baat ko yakeeni banata hai ke mumkinah nuqsan ko aasan hudood mein rakha jaye, hata ke museebat wale daam ghoomaon ke maamla mein. Is ke ilawa, ahem support levels ke neeche stop-loss orders tay karna nuqsan dar daam ghoomaon ko kam karne mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai. Jab USD/JPY currency pair upper resistance level 154.827 ke qareeb pohanchta hai, to traders ko qabil-e-faeida nafa chukane ke tareeqay tajweez kiye jate hain. Ek tareeqa yeh hai ke daam ghoomane ke saath saath lambe positions se nikalna shuru kiya jaye jab ke daam ghoomane ka yeh level pohanchta hai, faida asani se hasil hota hai. Ek aur tareeqa yeh hai ke traders mojooda resistance level ko pohanchte hi apni tamam lambe positions ko band kar dein, faida hasil kar ke, aur mazeed mauqay ke liye market ke mahol ko dobara tajziya karen.

Forex market mein dekha gaya ke USD/JPY currency pair doosre din bhi barhta hua, Europe ke trading hours mein 154.00 ke aas paas tha. Yeh izafa US dollar (USD) ki mazbooti ka aik durust karna se hua. Magar, investoron ki umeedein jo peechle Jumma ko kamzor US mazdoori data se ubhri thi, wo dollar ke faiday ko mushkil mein daal sakti hain. Data ne is saal Federal Reserve ke ek mumkin interest rate cut ke liye umeedon ko dobara jagaya. Jab ke zyada interest rates taraqqi ko rok sakti hain aur isay Federal Reserve ke 2% target ke qareeb le aati hain, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin ne dhamaka diya ke yeh bhi America ki maeeshat ko rok sakti hain, Bloomberg ke mutabiq. US Dollar Index (DXY), jo ke 6 bari currencies ke samne USD ki performance ko napta hai, 105.20 ke qareeb buland raha. Magar, kamzor US Treasury yields ne dollar ke agay barhne par rukawat dali. Likhte waqt, 2 saal aur 10 saal ke US Treasury bonds par yields 4.80% aur 4.45% par thay. Samundar ke us par, Japan ke chief currency diplomat, Masato Kanda, ne Tuesday ko pehle hi zyada market volatile ko hal karne ke potential interventions ki ishara ki. Japanese yen ne peechle hafte Japan ke authorities ke intervention ki umeed par mazbooti hasil ki thi. Reuters ne riport ki ke Bank of Japan ke data ke mutabiq, Japan ke authorities ne yen ko support karne ke liye 29 April aur 1 May ko qareeb 6 trillion yen aur 3.66 trillion yen qabal ghareeb funds tay kiye the.



USD/JPY pair ne ek izafa dekha tha Monday ko jab record buland (160.19) se hichkar gaya, aur mazboot support 151.72 Fibonacci retracement level par mila (jo ke 146.48 aur 160.19 ke darmiyan ke uptrend ka 61.8% retracement darust karta hai, aur 55-day moving average ke sath aur bhi mazbooti milti hai). Jumma ko taqatwar inkaar aik hammer candlestick pattern mein tabdeel hua, jo aik potential ulta ho jane ka pehla saboot hai. Yeh ulta hone ka signal mazeed mazboot ho sakta hai agar mojooda rally din ke ikhtitam tak aik engulfing bullish pattern banata hai. Magar, abhi tasdiq shuda ulta hone ke liye koi waziha saboot nahi hai. Breakout aur 155.04 (160.19 aur 151.85 ke darmiyan 38.2% bearish Fibonacci retracement level) ke qareeb hone par band hone ki kameeri na hona yeh darust karta hai ke downtrend asani se barqarar nahi hai bina zyada clear directional signals ke jo 155.04 pivot point ko wapas le lete hain.

Technical Analysis of USDJPY Pair:

4-Hour Chart Analysis:

Jab 4 ghantay ke chart ko USDJPY pair ke liye jancha gaya, to isharon ne ishara diya ke aane wala waqt bullish trend ka hone wala hai, jab ke naqadeem support zone 154.90 par hawaalay aur haftay ke resistance level ko guzar gaya. Is hafte, qeemat channels ke andar trading shuru hui, jo ek taraf ka trend dikhate hain. Magar, hafte ke pehle hisse mein girawat ka silsila shuru hua, jo ke qeemat ko channels ke neeche milne le gaya aur mazboot haftay ke support level 153.50 tak pohncha, jo ke mazboot support zone ka kaam karta hai, aur ek umeed ki raahein shuru karta hai.

Is izaafay ke doran, qeemat ne kai resistance levels ko kamyabi se par kar liya. Mojooda candle ne haftay ke resistance at 153.90 aur price channel ke tod ko tasdeeq kiya. Iss tarah, tawaqoos ek aur umeed ke saath dor ko le jaati hai jo ke doosray haftay ke resistance level 153.45 ki taraf barhna hai.



Ab, meri tawajju oil ke liye 1 ghante ke chart par hai; aaj ke trading session ke andar waziha price channels ke andar shuru hua. Aik channel, neela rang mein dikhaya gaya hai, jo ke pichle do dinon ka bearish trend dikhata hai, jab ke doosra, laal rang mein, pichle din yani kal ka bullish trend ko dikhata hai.

Mangal aur Budh ke sessions ke doran, oil ke prices ko haftay ke pivot level par mukhalfat ka samna hua. Magar, jab prices mahinay ke pivot level aur daily chart par dekhe gaye tod ke channels ke qareeb pohnche, to aik rebound hua, jo ek upward wave ko shuru karta hai jo kal ke side trading ki taraf tawajju deta hai.

Aaj neela channel tod gaya; magar, qeemat ab bhi ahem haftay ke support level 154.30 ke neeche trading karti hai. Is liye, puri tarah se upward trend ko paida hone ke liye, is level aur channels ko upar todne ka intezar zaroori hai.

U.S. Central Bank Ke Daar Ki Kut Cut Ki Umeedein Is Saal Mein Kam Ho Gayi Hain, Ziyada Dairpaas Inflation Ki Wajah Se. Kuch Investors Ko Dar Lagne Laga Ke Koi Dar Rate Cut Na Ho, Jis Se April Mein Bazaar Girne Lage.

Magar, Jumeraat Ko Aaye Data Ne Dikhaya Ke Amreeki Naukriyon Ki Growth April Mein Umeed Se Zyada Kam Hui. Yeh Federal Reserve Par Dabao Kam Kar Gaya, Jis Se Dar Rate Cut Ka Khatra Kam Ho Gaya. Is Ke Saath Hi, Ghair Mutawaqqa Corporate Earnings Season Ne Investors Ko Taaza Josh Diya Hai Haal Hi Mein Hone Wale Sessions Mein.

Pichle Hafte, Fed Ne Ishara Kiya Ke Woh Dar Cut Ko Madde Nazar Rakhne Ke Liye Tayyar Hai Magar Yeh Dabar Par Inflation Girne Ka Moamla Karne Ke Baad Hi Woh Faisla Karega. Fed Ke Afkaar Ne Yeh Bayan Phir Se De Diya Tha Somwaar Ko.

Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin Ne Kaha Ke Maazi Ke Darjat Maujooda Maazi Ke Darjat Kaafi Hain Ke Woh Mazid Iqtisadi Hamle Ko Rok Sakein Aur Inflation Ko Mudriyat Ke 2% Nishan Par Lai Sakein. Magar, Mazboot Mazdoori Market Ka Waqt Deta Hai Ke Intezar Karein.




USD/JPY
USD/JPY Pair Ne Koshish Ki Hai Ke Woh Apne Pehle Paanch Digit Ke Girawat Ke Baad Khud Ko Bahal Kare, Jo Ke Daily Chart Par Balance Aur MACD Lines Ke Milne Ke Nukaat Par Bana Hai. Qeemat 155.75 Ke Target Level Ki Taraf Ja Rahi Hai, Magar Yeh Nishan Tabhi Pohnchegi Agar Marlin Oscillator Zero Line Se Peeche Mud Nahi Jata, Balki Us Se Aage Nikal Jata Hai. Agar Keemat Niche Jaati Hai, Toh MACD Line (152.77) Ka Support Tod Sakti Hai Aur 150.90 Ke Level Ko Target Kar Sakti Hai. Is Level Se, Pair Girawat Ke April 29 Ke Charam Se Sudhaar Ke Liye Guzar Sakta Hai.

4-Ghante Ke Chart Par, Marlin Oscillator Bhi Ek Mumkin Girawat Par Ghoor Raha Hai. Agar Aaj Hum Reversal Nahi Dekhte, Toh Qeemat Upar Ki Taraf Sudhaar Jari Rakhegi Aur 155.75 Tak Pohnchegi, Jo Ke MACD Ke Area Ke Kareeb Hai, Is Ko Mazbooti Dega.

USD/JPY Technical aur Fundamental Tahlil

USD/JPY ke keemat ab 154.55 zone ke aas paas hain. Aur kharidne wale apne nuksan ko cover kar rahe hain. Hum keh sakte hain ke yeh manzar ek correction process hai. Iske baad, bechne wale wapas aa sakte hain aur keemat ko 154.00 zone ke neeche le ja sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, tawaqqu hona amooman kamiyabi ka raaz hota hai. Data ki musalsal aamad o raft ko market trends ko shakal denay mein madadgar samjha jata hai, is liye traders ko mustahiqat bana rehna chahiye, hamesha aglay intehai ahem maloomat ke liye tayar rahna jo ke mawjooda moqa sazi ke manzar ko tabdeel kar sakti hai. To, aane wale khabron ke surge ke mutaliq hone wali tawaqqu farma'n nahi sirf aik ihtiyati tadbeer hai; balkay aaj ke tez raftar trading mahol mein aik strategy fa'iham hai. Moazziz current USD/JPY market ke mutabiq, barhte hue kharidar dabao ka maujooda trend aaj ke market ka jazbati manzar darust karta hai. Is peiza par, bechne wale khud ko khatra mein paya jata hai, jise trading mein ehtiyati aur maqool tareeqe se qabu mein rakhna zaroori hota hai. Aane wale khabron ke data ka istemal karke aur trade ki taraf lenay se, traders mazeed munafa utha sakte hain aur behtar market shiraa'at hasil kar sakte hain. Hoshiyar take-profit strategy ke saath aur aane wale moqaon par nigahein rakh kar, is manzar mein kamiyabi tarmeem, peeshbandi aur muzri amal par mabni hoti hai. USD/JPY market 154.00 zone ko baad mein guzre gi. Magar humein USD/JPY se mutalliq aane wale khabron ke data par nazar rakhni chahiye. Is ke ilawa, kharidne wale dabao ka dher sahilate bhi mojooda buyer jazbat ko tasdeeq karta hai. Is musarrat aur qawi buyer asar ki barqarar aur ahem numaindgi ek ahem trend ko darust karta hai, jo ke mojooda market ke dynamics mein bharosa ki buzurgoi ko numainda karta hai. Kharidar aur bechne wale dynamics ke imtihaan ne numaya kiya hai ke market ke haalat aur ane wale khabron ko samajhna kitna ahem hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke USD/JPY market US trading session ke doran girne lagay gi.

Jodi ke bechne walay abhi bhi apni jagahon par baithe hain aur inhe barha rahe hain, to is ke mutabiq, USDJPY ki keemat girne mein jaldi nahi hai, magar naye unchiyon par bhi dabaav ban raha hai. Aur, chahay local authorities aur Japan ke bank "hysteric" bhi hon, unhe dollar/yen jodi ke keemat mein yeh izafa aur khaas tor par yen ki tabadla dar mein musalsal girawat ka kuch nahi kar sakte. Is liye, hum aap ke sath is baat par ittefaq kar sakte hain ke jab tak keemat kam az kam 152.60-75 ke darje tak wapas nahi jati, yeh mojooda tasveer ke mutabiq, phir local keemat mein kisi bhi kami ke bare mein bhi baat karna be maqsad hai. Ab agar wo yeh darja daba sakein aur mazbooti hasil kar sakein, to phir girawat ke liye pehla target 151.60-70 ke support level hoga, aur wahan humein daryaft karna hoga ke shirakat daron ka mazeed rad-e-amal kya hai. Magar, yahan, agar aisa ikhtiyar diya jata hai, aur keemat aisi hai ke kharidne walay dakhil ho sakte hain, to is ka matlab hai ke wo mazeed neeche slid kar sakte hain bina mukammal radd-e-amal ke khareedariyan kholne ke moqa ke. Hum 153.90 par ghalat breakout hasil kar sakte hain aur is ke baad, girawat jaari rahegi. Mumkin hai ke pehle se hi 153.95 ke shora se ikhtiyar ho gaya ho aur is surat mein girawat bina mazeed ghalat breakout ke jaari rahegi. Agar humein 153.95 ke shora se ghalat breakout milta hai, to is ke baad girawat jaari rahegi. Agar hum 152.95 ke shora ke qareeb pahunche aur isay torhne mein kamiyab ho gaye, to yeh keemat mein girawat ke liye ek signal hoga. 153.95 ke shora mein rukawat hai aur wahan se girawat mazeed jaari rahti hai. Jab hum mazeed kam hui girawat hasil karenge bina muwaqqat 152.00 ko naye se naye, jahan maximum mojood hai. Jab hum 150.80 ke shora ke neeche breakout aur mukammal fix kar lenge, to yeh agay ka signal hoga