Eur/usd

**EUR/USD Market Analysis** **August 11, 2024**

Is hafte ke 4-hour time frame ke market trend ka safar dikhata hai ke EUR/USD pair bullish zone tak chadhne ki koshish ki lekin yeh tab tak survive nahi kar paya, kyunke ab tak market 1.0916 ke price zone mein ruk gayi hai ya sellers ke pressure ke wajah se price correction dekhne ko mili. Abhi tak buyers ne candlestick position ko 100-period ke simple moving average line ke upar uthaya, jo ke bullish trend ke asar ko majbooti deta hai. Is hafte ke trading mein bullish trend ka asar zyada hai, jo pichle hafte ke halat ke mutabiq hai. Meri prediction hai ke agle hafte price ka safar phir bhi barhne ki taraf ja sakta hai aur shayad 100-period ke simple moving average zone se door chala jaye.

Maujooda halat ke mutabiq, price ka safar Uptrend ki taraf ja raha hai aur barhne ka mauqa hai kyunke pichle hafte se buyers ka asar kaafi strong tha. EUR/USD pair ki price bullish trend ko continue karne ka mauqa de sakti hai. Last Friday ko sellers ne price ko kam karne ki koshish ki, lekin yeh kamzori zyada dair tak nahi rahi kyunke price ne upar bounce kiya. Hafte ke shuruat ke liye, aisa lagta hai ke buyers ne bade volume ke sath Buy positions choose ki hai, jisse price phir se upar chali gayi hai.

Agle hafte ke liye, price ke upward trend ke reverse hone ka andaza hai. Technical taur pe, market ka safar abhi bhi barh sakta hai, kyunke weekly aur monthly time frames mein bullish candlesticks ban chuki hain. Trading option ke taur pe, mujhe lagta hai ke Buy position consider karna ab bhi feasible hai. Agar agle hafte upward movement 1.0978 level tak pohanchti hai, to price aur upar bhi ja sakti hai aur 1.1000 price zone tak bhi reach kar sakti hai.

**Trading Recommendations: BUY (4-Hour Chart)**

**Position Opening Strategy:**

Mujhe lagta hai ke ab bhi signals hain ke buyers EUR/USD ki price ko higher position tak le jana chahte hain kyunke pichle hafte bhi price bullish trend ki taraf ja rahi thi. Isliye, agle hafte ki trading ke liye, main bhi upward trend pe focus karne ka suggest karunga jo ke pichle kuch dino se market pe dominate kar raha hai. Downward correction ka safar sirf 100-period ke simple moving average zone tak pohanch sakta hai, jiske baad Uptrend continue karne ka mauqa ho sakta hai.


Agle trading plan ke liye, main sirf un market trends pe concentrate karunga jo bullish opportunities dikha rahe hain. Agar price 1.0934 zone se successfully upar jati hai, to main Buy position open karunga. Mera nazariya yeh hai ke agle Uptrend journey ka target 1.0976 price area ko reach kar sakta hai. Ideal Stoploss 1.0902 area mein hai.

**EUR/USD Technical Analysis**
EUR/USD pair filhal ek critical juncture par hai, jo trading ke liye ek aham mauqa faraham karta hai. Traders jo potential market shifts ka faida uthane ki koshish kar rahe hain, woh key levels pe focus kar rahe hain taake apne strategies ko implement kar sakein. Mera primary focus yeh hai ke EUR/USD ko kisi specific price level tak pohnchne se pehle sell opportunities par nahi socha. Targeted price level jo main dekh raha hoon sell trades ke liye wo hai trading channel ke upper boundary par, jo ke 1.0830 hai. Is strategy ke piche ka rationale yeh hai ke upper boundary aksar ceiling ka kaam karti hai, currency pair ke upward momentum ko limit karti hai aur sell karne ke liye ek acha mauqa deti hai. Agar main 1.0730 par sell position open karta hoon, to mera target trading channel ke lower boundary par hoga, jo ke 1.0780 hai. Yeh level support point ke taur pe kaam karta hai jahan price temporary floor pa sakti hai, jo downward movement mein pause ya reversal ko lead kar sakta hai. In dono levels ke beech ki distance profit-taking ke liye ek viable range faraham karti hai, khaaskar agar market channel boundaries ko respect karta rahe.

Agar price lower boundary 1.0700 tak pohnchti hai aur is support level ko break karti hai, to yeh EUR/USD pair ke liye further declines ka signal ho sakta hai. Is level ki breach se bearish trend accelerate ho sakta hai, aur price potentially lower levels ko target kar sakti hai. Lekin, aise moves aksar corrective bounce se pehle hote hain. Iska matlab hai ke lower boundary tak pohnchne ke baad, market temporary upward correction experience kar sakti hai, uske baad downward trajectory resume ho sakti hai. Yeh corrective phase traders ko sell karne ke liye ek secondary opportunity faraham kar sakta hai, kyunke broader bearish sentiment intact rahega.

Yeh bhi ho sakta hai ke bulls apni strength wapas le aaye aur price ko upper channel boundary 1.0920 ke upar push kar de. Agar bulls is resistance level ko break kar dete hain, to yeh market sentiment ke bearish se bullish mein shift hone ki indication ho sakti hai. Agar 1.0950 breach ho jata hai, to bearish outlook invalidate ho sakta hai aur EUR/USD pair further gains ke liye poised ho sakti hai. Aise mein, traders ko apni strategies ko accordingly adjust karna chahiye, aur potentially buying opportunities ke liye dekhna chahiye instead of selling.


Agar 1.1020 ke upar bullish breakout hota hai to market mein zyada buyers attract ho sakte hain, jo price ko upar le jayega aur naye upward trend ko establish karega. Yeh traders ko short positions se exit karne aur pullbacks ya price ke climb continue karne par buying opportunities dekhne ka signal hoga. Trading strategies ko flexible rakhna aur changing market conditions ke liye tayyar rehna zaroori hai. EUR/USD pair ek pivotal point par hai, jahan 1.1050 aur 1.0685 key levels hain jo potential entry aur exit points provide karte hain traders ke liye. Current strategy upper channel boundary par selling opportunities dekhne aur lower boundary ko profit-taking ke liye target karne ki hai. Lekin, traders ko breakout ke signs ke liye vigilant rehna chahiye, chahe woh kisi bhi direction mein ho, kyunke yeh prevailing trend mein change ka signal ho sakta hai. Market chahe downward trajectory ko continue kare ya bullish trend ki taraf shift ho, different scenarios ke liye tayyar rehna success ke liye key hoga.

**Good morning all Invest Social members,**
Umeed hai aap sab theek hain aur is site ka maza le rahe hain. Aaj kuch waqt baad main is site par aaya hoon, maafi chahunga mere kai problems ke liye lekin shares nahi kar saka. EUR/USD currency pair filhaal lagbhag 1.0921 par trade kar raha hai, jo ek extended bearish trend ki continuation ko indicate karta hai. Yeh downward movement dheere-dheere aur methodically decline ko dikhata hai, jo market participants mein caution ka asar suggest karta hai. Traders cautious approach apna rahe hain, shayad market uncertainties aur ongoing economic developments ke wajah se jo euro aur US dollar ko influence kar rahe hain. Yeh dheere-dheere bearish trend forex market mein broader sentiment ko reflect karta hai, jahan caution prevail kar rahi hai. Various economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical factors is measured movement mein contribute karte hain. Traders in elements ko closely monitor kar rahe hain taake market dynamics mein potential shifts ko gauge kiya ja sake.

Decline ki subdued nature yeh indicate karti hai ke market bearish hai, lekin koi overwhelming momentum nahi hai jo pair ko sharply lower le jaye. Halanki prevailing bearish sentiment hai, kuch key factors hain jo suggest karte hain ke EUR/USD pair near future mein significant movement ke liye poised ho sakti hai. Economic data releases aur central bank decisions dono Eurozone aur United States mein current trajectory ko alter karne mein crucial role play kar sakte hain. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve regularly market sentiment ko influence karte hain apne monetary policy decisions ke zariye, jo currency pairs mein volatility lead kar sakte hain.


Iske ilawa, technical analysis bhi future movements ke insights offer kar sakti hai. Chart patterns, support aur resistance levels, aur other technical indicators potential reversals ya current trend ke continuations ke clues provide kar sakte hain. Traders jo technical analysis use karte hain, woh closely watch karenge kisi bhi signals ke liye jo direction change ya current bearish trend ki acceleration suggest kar sakte hain. Jabke EUR/USD pair steady decline experience kar raha hai, significant movement ka possibility ab bhi horizon par hai. Market participants ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur relevant economic aur geopolitical developments ke baare mein informed rehna chahiye jo pair ko influence kar sakti hain. Potential catalysts ke horizon par hone ke saath, EUR/USD pair notable volatility experience kar sakta hai, isliye traders ko evolving market conditions par close watch rakhna zaroori hai. Ek aur aspect jo consider karna hai wo hai market ka reaction upcoming economic reports aur announcements ke liye. Key indicators jaise employment data, inflation rates, aur GDP growth figures currency exchange rates par considerable impact daal sakte hain. Investors aur traders in reports par swiftly react karne ke liye likely hain, jo EUR/USD pair mein potential shifts lead kar sakta hai.

**EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar)**
H1 timeframe par market situation ka analysis dikhata hai ke aaj ek favorable long position mein enter karke profit hasil karne ki high probability hai. Market mein entry point select karne ka process kuch mandatory conditions ko include karta hai. Sabse important cheez yeh hai ke higher timeframe H4 par current trend ki direction ko determine kiya jaye taake market sentiment ko galat na samjha jaye. Iske liye, H4 timeframe ke saath apne instrument ka chart open karein aur check karein ke H1 aur H4 timeframes par trend movements align karte hain ya nahi. Pehli rule ko fulfill karke, hum confirm karte hain ke aaj market ek achha mauqa faraham karti hai long position open karne ke liye.

Next, analysis mein hum teen indicators ke signals pe rely karte hain - HamaSystem, RSI Trend, aur Magnetic_Levels_Color. Buyers ne mere scenario ko swiftly execute kiya, jis se EUR-USD pair 1.0970 tak upar gaya. Pehle H1 timeframe par 1.0945 resistance level ka breakout observe kiya gaya tha, jo July 17 ko price increase ko restrict kar raha tha. Ab hum un sab layers ko overcome karne wale hain. Main growth potential ko 1.10 round level tak upar kar raha hoon (zyaada precisely, main 1.0996 mark ko dekh raha hoon).

Sab kuch doctor ke orders ke mutabiq. Ek chhoti decline ke baad 1.0890 tak, EUR-USD pair ne European session ke shuru hone se pehle 1.0975 tak surge kiya, bilkul unsupported. Mera Saturday ka prediction sahi nikla—ke pair pennant ko full work karega aur growth continue karegi. European session ke shuru hone ke baad Europe ke baare mein news surface hui, jo noteworthy hai. News primarily red zone mein thi aur pichle mahine ke signals se definitely worse thi. Phir bhi, EUR-USD pair steadily rise kar raha hai despite Europe ke negative news ke, jo dikhata hai ke 1.0975 level current upward tendency ka end nahi hai. Main 1.0990 level ka test wait kar raha hoon, agar aaj nahi to kal. Agar breakout hota hai, to price is week 1.1060 tak pohanch sakti hai.

Yeh evident hai ke shuru mein thodi retreat hui thi, aur north mein senior frames par reversal zaroori hai. Filhal, aaj ek pause ho sakta hai, aur week ke doran south move ki koshish ki ja sakti hai! Main track nahi kar raha.

**EUR-USD D1 ANALYSIS CHART**

Aapko bhi happy day! Umeed hai aapka weekend shandar ho! Maine pehle daily chart examine kiya tha. Yeh dikhata hai ke EUR-USD pair ne channel ke upper border ko test kiya, jo filhaal 1.0997 par hai. Test ke baad, price upper barrier se bounce ho kar southern direction mein chal gayi. Lekin, yeh possibility ko rule out nahi karta ke asset additional growth experience kar sakti hai. Lekin abhi clear nahi hai ke yeh 1.1008 ka maximum update kar sakega ya nahi. Main sell karne ki offer kar raha hoon. Agar aur bhi offer mile to 1.1045 se ek aur sell order effective hoga. Daily chart par moving average, jo filhaal 1.0816 par hai, pehla target lagta hai slide ke liye, kyunke yeh trade idea kuch din ke liye hai. Additionally, main 1.0800 tak breakthrough ko bhi permit karta hoon. Uske baad, asset rise aur rebound kar sakti hai, shayad peak regain kar sake, ya moving average ko break karke uske neeche consolidate karke channel ke bottom limit 1.0676 tak continue kar sakti hai. Main price ko channel ke lower bound se bahar fly karne ki bhi permission deta hoon.



Main upward scenario ko ab, ek sense mein, correction ka conclusion maan raha hoon taake zyada liquidity hasil ki ja sake. Mera objective, jo ke 1.0779 value par hai, liquid swing minimum ko dekhte hue H4 ke dwara dikhaayi gayi hai. Price movement ke potential direction ko estimate karne ke liye main margin zones ko bhi kuch had tak use karta hoon. Senior period ke structure ke girne aur price ke highs 1.0996 se sab liquidity ko eliminate karne ke baad, mujhe lagta hai ke asset ko selling karna ab bhi primary movement of the day ke liye worthwhile hai.

Kal, EUR/USD currency pair par gahri nazar rakhi gayi, khaaskar 30-minute (M30) chart par. Ek aham entry point short positions ke liye 1.08963 ke qareeb anticipate kiya gaya tha. Yeh level ek key resistance point ke tor par identify hua tha, jahan potential breakout ne downward trend ka ishara diya, jo Euro ko US Dollar ke khilaf sell karne ke liye ek attractive entry point bana raha tha.

Jaise jaise trading day aage barhti gayi, price ne waqai is level ko chhoo liya aur breach bhi kiya, jisse traders mein initial excitement paida hui jo expected downtrend ka faida uthane ke liye moqa dekh rahe the. Pehli nazar mein yeh breakout promising lag raha tha, jo ke yeh suggest karta tha ke agar price 1.08963 ke neeche rehti hai to yeh mazeed gir sakti hai. Yeh aam tor par yeh suggest karta ke bears ne control hasil kar liya hai, aur sellers market mein buyers par ghalib aate hue price ko neeche dhakel rahe hain.

Magar, is initial breakout ke bawajood, price 1.08963 level ke neeche consolidate karne mein nakam rahi. Consolidation technical analysis mein ek ahem marhala hota hai, jahan price kisi certain area mein stabilize hoti hai, jo breakout ke asli hone ko confirm karta hai aur yeh ke yeh sirf ek temporary fluctuation nahi tha. Is case mein, is level ke neeche rehne mein nakami ne ishara diya ke bearish momentum utna strong nahi tha jitna pehle socha gaya tha. Price ka consolidate na karna yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers dobara wapas aa rahe hain, jo aage girawat ko rok rahe hain aur shayad ek reversal ya range-bound trading period ka stage set kar rahe hain.

Is level ke peeche consolidation ke baghair, traders ek naazuk surat-e-haal mein phans gaye. Jo log short positions mein enter hue they, unhein apni strategies dobara evaluate karni pari, ya to apni positions ko exit karna pada taake potential losses se bach sakein, ya phir apni stop-loss orders ko tight karna pada taake risk ko kam kar sakein. Market ka downward momentum ko qaim rakhne mein nakami yeh suggest karti hai ke sentiment mein ek shift aa sakta hai, aur Euro ko is level ke thoda neeche support mil raha hai.

Natija yeh hai ke jabke EUR/USD M30 chart par 1.08963 level ka initial breakout short positions mein enter hone ke liye ek promising signal lag raha tha, lekin is level ke peeche consolidate na karne se yeh saabit hota hai ke bearish momentum kamzor tha. Yeh surat-e-haal yeh highlight karti hai ke breakout ke baad confirmation ka intezar karna kitna zaroori hai, kyunke yeh false signals se bachne aur losses ke risk ko kam karne mein madad kar sakta hai.

Main suggest karta hoon ke EUR/USD currency pair ka H4 chart analyze kiya jaye. Haal hi mein trading week kaafi acha tha. Koi bhi unpredictable movements nahi hui, lekin kaafi achi trading opportunities mili jo kaam kar gayi. Aam tor par, is pair ke liye hafte mein do se teen achi opportunities hoti hain. Sab kuch key horizontal level 1.0942 se related tha. Pehli opportunity tab mili jab yeh level upwards break hua, phir hourly chart par is level tak pullback hua aur phir se upwards bounce kiya, jis se profitable market points mile. Phir yeh level downwards break hua, aur us waqt short position enter ki ja sakti thi, jis se halki decline mein points gain kiye ja sakte the. Teesri opportunity tab mili jab price neeche stuck ho gayi aur phir se 1.0942 level ke qareeb aayi. Breakout ke baad, yeh mirror level ban gaya uptrend ke edge par aur naturally selling zone ban gaya. Jaise dekha gaya, market neeche move hui aur sab kuch theek se kaam kar gaya. Phir ek upward correction hui, aur market stuck ho gaya, sideways movements form karte hue hafte ke end tak. Observation ke mutabiq, 80-90 percent waqt market range mein hoti hai, aur kabhi kabhi trading opportunity deti hai jisme entry aur exit karke chhote points capture kiye ja sakte hain, lagbhag 20-30. Mere khayal se, jo log bade moves ka intezar karte hain wo masochism mein indulge kar rahe hain; market jo deti hai, woh lena chahiye, jo aam tor par do se teen trading opportunities hoti hain hafte mein. Filhal, hum beech mein stuck hain, dono directions mein equal chances hain. Buyers ke haq mein, ek ascending wave structure four-hour chart aur higher daily timeframe par nazar aa rahi hai. Iske ilawa, MACD indicator do higher periods par upper buying zone mein hai. Magar, selling ke haq mein bhi kuch dalilain hain. Main MACD ke daily period par bearish divergence ko sellers ke liye crucial maanta hoon.
Jaisa ke maine last Sunday ko discuss kiya tha, EUR/USD market mein price movements aam tor par declines ki taraf le jati hain. Is wajah se, main sirf sell-entry opportunities dhundhoonga baad mein. Kal ke post mein, maine EUR/USD market ki potential upward corrections par baat ki thi jo further declines se pehle ho sakti hain. Umeed hai ke ek correction 1.0860 ki supply zone tak wapas le aayegi, lekin abhi ke liye EUR/USD achi tarah se decline kar raha hai. Agar yeh decline continue karta hai aur pichle Friday ki lowest price ko penetrate karta hai, to EUR/USD price neeche 1.0930 demand zone ke peeche gir sakti hai. Main aaj ke seller scenario ke liye ek sell position open karoonga jab sabse qareebi support level break hoga. Risk ko minimize karne ke liye, humein yeh wait karna chahiye ke price 1.0910 supply zone tak correct ho jaye ek zyada secure seller scenario ke liye.

1.08963 level ke peeche consolidation na hone se traders ko ek precarious situation mein chhod diya. Jin logon ne short positions enter ki thi, unhein apni strategies ko dobara assess karna pada, ya to apni positions exit karke taake potential losses se bach sakein, ya phir apne stop-loss orders ko tight karke risk ko mitigate kar sakein. Market ka downward momentum ko maintain na karna ek possible shift in sentiment ka ishara de raha hai, jahan Euro ko is level se thoda neeche support mil raha hai.

EUR/USD pair is waqt ek ahem marhale par hai, jo un logon ke liye ek significant trading opportunity pesh kar raha hai jo iski movements ko ghour se dekh rahe hain. Traders jo market shifts ka faida uthana chahte hain, unki nazar kuch ahem levels par hai jahan woh apni strategies ko anjaam de sakte hain. Mera primary focus yeh hai ke main EUR/USD ko ek specific price level tak pohanchne doon pehle ke kisi bhi selling opportunity par ghor karoon. Woh targeted price level jahan main potential sell trades ke liye dekh raha hoon, current trading channel ka upper boundary hai, jo 1.0830 par hai. Is strategy ka maqsad yeh hai ke upper boundary aksar aik ceiling ka kaam karti hai, jo currency pair ke upward momentum ko rokti hai aur yeh selling ka moqa faraham karti hai. Agar main 1.0730 par sell position enter karta hoon, toh mera target trading channel ka lower boundary hoga, jo ke 1.0780 par hai. Yeh level aik support point ka kaam karega jahan price temporary floor dhoond sakti hai, jo ke downward movement mein ek pause ya reversal ka sabab ban sakta hai. In do levels ke darmiyan distance ek viable profit-taking range pesh karta hai, khas tor par agar market apni established channel boundaries ka ehtaram karti hai. Agar price successfully lower boundary par 1.0700 pohanchti hai aur is support level ko tor deti hai, toh yeh EUR/USD pair ke liye mazeed girawat ki nishani ho sakti hai. Is level ka breach ek tez bearish trend ko trigger kar sakta hai, jahan price lower levels ko target kar sakti hai. Iske bawajood, aisi movement se pehle aksar ek corrective bounce hota hai. Iska matlab hai ke lower boundary tak pohanchne ke baad, market temporary upward correction dekh sakta hai pehle ke apni downward trajectory ko resume kare. Yeh corrective phase traders ke liye ek secondary opportunity faraham kar sakta hai sell karne ka, kyun ke broader bearish sentiment intact hai. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke bulls apni strength regain karein aur price ko upper channel boundary par 1.0920 ke upar push karein. Agar bulls is resistance level ko break karne mein kamyab hote hain, toh yeh market sentiment mein bearish se bullish shift ka izhar karega. 1.0950 ka breach bearish outlook ko invalidate kar sakta hai aur yeh suggest karega ke EUR/USD pair mazeed gains ke liye poised hai. Aise surat mein, traders ko apni strategies adjust karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, aur buying opportunities ke liye dekhna chahiye badle meinAgar 1.1020 ke upar bullish breakout hota hai, toh yeh zyada buyers ko market mein attract karega, jo ke price ko aur ooper le jaayega aur ek naya upward trend establish karega. Yeh traders ke liye ek signal hoga ke woh apni short positions ko exit karne par ghor karein aur pullbacks par ya price ke barhnewale trend ke dauran buying opportunities dekhein. Trading strategies mein flexible rehna aur changing market conditions ke mutabiq adapt karne ke liye tayar rehna bohot zaroori hai. EUR/USD pair is waqt ek pivotal point par hai, jahan 1.1050 aur 1.0685 ke key levels traders ke liye potential entry aur exit points faraham kar rahe hain. Jo current strategy hai usmein upper channel boundary par selling opportunities dhoondna aur lower boundary ko profit-taking ke liye target karna shamil hai. Lekin traders ko kisi bhi direction mein breakout ke signs par nazar rakhni hogi, kyun ke yeh prevailing trend mein tabdeeli ka signal ho sakta hai. Chahe market apni downward trajectory ko continue kare ya bullish trend ki taraf shift kare, mukhtalif scenarios ke liye tayar rehna EUR/USD market ko successfully

EUR/USD jodi kareeb 1.0870 ke aas paas gir gayi. Is giravat ka asal sabab kai mamlat the. Sab se pehle, European Central Bank (ECB) ne apne ahem interest rate ko beghair tabdeeliyon ke rakha aur us ke President, Christine Lagarde, ne mustaqbil mein interest rate cuts ki mumkinat ki ishara di. ECB ki rukh e saaf ne Euro ki manpasandgi ko kamzor kar diya. Is ke ilawa, ECB policymaker François Villeroy de Galhau ke comments ne interest rate cuts ki umeedon ko mazeed taqat di.

Dosri taraf, US Dollar ne aik numaya punhji ki, jis ko Donald Trump ke aane wale Amreeki presidential intikhabat jeetne ke barhte hue khayalat ne sath diya. Yeh barhne wali darkhwast safe-haven Dollar ko mazboot ki aur EUR/USD jodi par neechayi dabao dala. ECB ne tawajjo ko rakhte hue rates ko qaim rakhne ki ummeed thi aur September ke rate faisla ko "wide open" aur data par munhasar rakha. EUR/USD 1.09 ke neeche gir gaya. Agar data ECB President Christine Lagarde ki taraf se "disinflationary process" ko tasdeeq karta hai, to mazeed cuts zaroori ho sakte hain, aur market ki tawaqo September ke liye un ke intezam se bhi juda hui hain.
Technically, jodi ke short-term outlook mein bearish rukh hai, jahan 50-period moving average jo 1.0870 par hai, aik ahem support level ke tor par kaam karta hai. Agar yeh level mazbooti se toota, to mazeed giravat 1.0850 ilaqe ki taraf mutawajjah ho sakti hai. Magar kuch analysts ka kehna hai ke halqi kamzori ka akhir shayad nazdeek hai, jahan 1.0945 level aik ahem support zone ko mark karta hai.



EUR/USD pair ke liye mazeed girawat ki nishani ho sakti hai. Is level ka breach ek tez bearish trend ko trigger kar sakta hai, jahan price lower levels ko target kar sakti hai. Iske bawajood, aisi movement se pehle aksar ek corrective bounce hota hai. Iska matlab hai ke lower boundary tak pohanchne ke baad, market temporary upward correction dekh sakta hai pehle ke apni downward trajectory ko resume kare. Yeh corrective phase traders ke liye ek secondary opportunity faraham kar sakta hai sell karne ka, kyun ke broader bearish sentiment intact hai. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke bulls apni strength regain karein aur price ko upper channel boundary par 1.0920 ke upar push karein. Agar bulls is resistance level ko break karne mein kamyab hote hain, toh yeh market sentiment mein bearish se bullish shift ka izhar karega. 1.0950 ka breach bearish outlook ko invalidate kar sakta hai aur yeh suggest karega ke EUR/USD pair mazeed gains ke liye poised hai. Aise surat mein, traders ko apni strategies adjust karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye, aur buying opportunities ke liye dekhna chahiye badle meinAgar 1.1020 ke upar bullish breakout hota hai, toh yeh zyada buyers ko market mein attract karega, jo ke price ko aur ooper le jaayega aur ek naya upward trend establish karega. Yeh traders ke liye ek signal hoga ke woh apni short positions ko exit karne par ghor karein aur pullbacks par ya price ke barhnewale trend ke dauran buying opportunities dekhein. Trading strategies mein flexible rehna aur changing market conditions ke mutabiq adapt karne ke liye tayar rehna bohot zaroori hai. EUR/USD pair is waqt ek pivotal point par hai, jahan 1.1050 aur 1.0685 ke key levels traders ke liye potential entry aur exit points faraham kar rahe hain. Jo current strategy hai usmein upper channel boundary par selling opportunities dhoondna aur lower boundary ko profit-taking ke liye target karna shamil hai. Lekin traders ko kisi bhi direction mein breakout ke signs par nazar rakhni hogi,

EUR/USD ko ek specific price level tak pohanchne doon pehle ke kisi bhi selling opportunity par ghor karoon. Woh targeted price level jahan main potential sell trades ke liye dekh raha hoon, current trading channel ka upper boundary hai, jo 1.0830 par hai. Is strategy ka maqsad yeh hai ke upper boundary aksar aik ceiling ka kaam karti hai, jo currency pair ke upward momentum ko rokti hai aur yeh selling ka moqa faraham karti hai. Agar main 1.0730 par sell position enter karta hoon, toh mera target trading channel ka lower boundary hoga, jo ke 1.0780 par hai. Yeh level aik support point ka kaam karega jahan price temporary floor dhoond sakti hai, jo ke downward movement mein ek pause ya reversal ka sabab ban sakta hai. In do levels ke darmiyan distance ek viable profit-taking range pesh karta hai, khas tor par agar market apni established channel boundaries ka ehtaram karti hai. Agar price successfully lower boundary par 1.0700 pohanchti hai aur is support level ko tor deti hai, toh yeh EUR/USD pair ke liye mazeed girawat ki nishani ho sakti hai. Is level ka breach ek tez bearish trend ko trigger kar sakta hai, jahan price lower levels ko target kar sakti hai. Iske bawajood, aisi movement se pehle aksar ek corrective bounce hota hai. Iska matlab hai ke lower boundary tak pohanchne ke baad, market temporary upward correction dekh sakta hai pehle ke apni downward trajectory ko resume kare. Yeh corrective phase traders ke liye ek secondary opportunity faraham kar sakta hai sell karne ka, kyun ke broader bearish sentiment intact hai.
ki keemat 1.0885 ke qareeb qaim rahi, jo ke pichle haftay recorded ki gayi 1.094 dollars ke resistance level se girawat ki thi, jo ke chaar mahino ka highest level tha. Euro/dollar ke qeemat ne dollar ki kamzori ke baad bhi nichay ki taraf qaim rahi, jab Joe Biden ne 2024 ke intekhabat se withdraw hone ka faisla kiya.
Ab investors is ka asar arzi market aur global monetary policy par jaan'ne ki koshish kar rahe hain. European Central Bank ne apni policy ko haal hi mein be-kharabi ke sath chora hai, jahan un ki President Christine Lagarde ne zahir kiya ke agle faislay par 12 September ko "widespread" taur par khuli dor hai. Is hafte Eurozone, Germany aur France ke July ke PMI data ki preliminary jari hogi, jahan se ummeeden hain ke manufacturing mein slow contraction aur services sector mein mazeed izafa hoga. Is ke sath hi, Eurozone mein consumer confidence February 2022 se highest level tak pohanchne ki ummeed hai. Germany mein GfK Consumer Climate Index aur Ifo Business Climate Index mein bhi sudharatein anay wali hain.
Euro ki keemat US politics, Eurozone PMIs aur US PCE inflation ki dominance wali ek hafte mein recover ho sakti hai. Lekin ek analyst ne ishaara kiya hai ke haal hi ki girawat yeh ishara de sakti hai ke euro/dollar exchange rate ne ek classic "bull trap" mein gir jaane ka khatra hai, aur further weakness ka khatra hai. Jab tak hum EUR/USD ke takneeki pahluon mein dakhil hone se pehle US President Joe Biden ke emerging ke hawale se kuch ahem fundamental developments ko na dekhein.
"Trump trade" - jo amuman US dollar ko support karne ke liye maqbul samjha jata hai - Biden ke Sunday ke announcement ke baad kamzor ho sakta hai. Un ke ticket par un ke replacement ke taur par Vice President Kamala Harris hone ki ummeed hai, jiske polls ke mutabiq Trump ko maat dene ke zyada chances hain. Aam tor par, US dollar ke saath juri hui koi bhi positive flows jo Trump ke presidency ke expectations se judi hui thin, agar un ke jeetne ke chances yahan se kamzor ho jaayein to reverse ho sakte hain.
EUR/USD pair ko influence karta hai. Filhal traders cautious hain aur wait-and-see approach adopt kar rahe hain. Yeh cautious sentiment economic data releases ya geopolitical events ki wajah se ho sakta hai. Global trade developments, particularly US aur Europe ke beech, bhi market sentiment ko shape kar sakti hain. Trade tensions ya economic sanctions ke signs volatility ko barha sakte hain.

Good morning, dear traders! Euro/dollar pichle chaar hafton se aik range mein consolidate kar raha hai, aur guzishta Jumma ko yeh tezi se 1.0845 se 1.0950 tak gir gaya. Yeh girawat Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank ki monetary policy decisions aur naye inflation aur growth projections ke elan ke baad hui. In elan se pehle market relatively quiet thi, aur halaan ke dono central banks ne interest rate cuts kiye, lekin yeh moves significant market volatility nahi la saki.

Daily charts par, euro/dollar apni sari moving averages se kaafi neeche hai, jahan 60-day moving average ne 50-day moving average ko neeche cross kar liya hai, jo ek broad-based sell-off ka ishara hai. Magar, technical indicators ab bhi negative territory mein hain, lekin woh oversold levels ke qareeb pohanch rahe hain, jahan relative strength index 70 ke aas-paas consolidate kar raha hai aur momentum indicator abhi multi-week lows se barely recover kar raha hai.

Euro/dollar ne abhi abhi potential reversal ke pehle signs dikhaye hain. Pehle din ka candle doji ke tor par close hua, jise mera indicator bullish pin bar—ek reversal pattern—ke tor par interpret kar raha hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke ab pair ko buy karne ka socha ja sakta hai, lekin mein plan kar raha hoon ke upcoming U.S. news ka intezar karoon taake direction confirm ho sake. Khabron ke mutabiq, lower levels par buy karne ka moqa mil sakta hai.

H4 chart par, EUR/USD neutral hai, jo flat 90-day moving average ke upar trade kar raha hai lekin abhi bhi stable aur bearish long-term horizontal moving average ke neeche hai. Is time frame par technical indicators midline ke qareeb hain, aur koi clear direction nahi de rahe. Have a good day

**Euro (EUR) aur US Dollar (USD) ka Market Analysis**
Euro (EUR) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against crucial 1.0900 support level ke kareeb sideways trading kar rahi hai. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) investors ke focus mein hain kyun ke woh apni next policy moves ka intizar kar rahe hain. Eurozone economy ko mushkilat ka samna hai, jisme industrial growth aur investment ko "fragile" kaha ja raha hai. Halan ke inflation mein thodi se cooling nazar aa rahi hai, ECB apni cautious stance barqarar rakhta hai aur interest rate cuts ke bare mein koi jaldbazi mein wada karne se katra raha hai. Central bank apne 2% inflation target ko hasil karne ke liye determined hai is se pehle ke woh easing measures ke bare mein sochay. Pair is waqt apne 50-day aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) ke kareeb trade kar rahi hai. Agar yeh averages ke neeche break ho jati hai, to yeh decline trigger kar sakta hai towards 1.0793 support level. Agar yeh level hold nahi karta, to mazeed losses 1.0711 aur 1.0666 tak ho sakte hain. Doosri taraf, agar yeh 1.0874 resistance ke upar move kar jata hai, to yeh rally ke liye raasta khol sakta hai towards 1.0975.


Jahan tak EUR ka taluq hai, European Central Bank (ECB) ke policymaker Olli Rehn ne Wednesday ko kaha ke agar inflation trajectory jaldi slowdown hoti hai, to rate reductions continue ho sakti hain. Rehn ne kaha, "Inflation continue karta hai slowdown, lekin 2% target ke raste mein is saal mein rukaawat aa sakti hai," jese Reuters ne report kiya. US Dollar Index (DXY) ne haali mein strength dikhayi hai, jo ke rising US Treasury yields se support karta hai. Halan ke yeh yields thodi si pull back hui hain, jo ke dollar par downward pressure daal rahi hain. Federal Reserve officials, jaise ke Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schimids ne indicate kiya ke mazeed interest rate hikes zaroori ho sakti hain taake inflation ko control mein rakha jaye. Euro ko weak Eurozone economy aur ECB ki cautious monetary policy stance se challenges ka samna hai. US Dollar rising interest rate expectations se support ho raha hai. EUR/USD pair ke near term mein volatile rehne ka imkaan hai jab tak investors ECB aur Fed se monetary policy ke future path ke bare mein further clues ka intizar kar rahe hain.

**Euro (EUR) aur US Dollar (USD) ka Market Analysis**

Euro (EUR) ne US Dollar (USD) ke against crucial 1.0900 support level ke kareeb sideways trading kar rahi hai. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) investors ke focus mein hain kyun ke woh apni next policy moves ka intizar kar rahe hain. Eurozone economy ko mushkilat ka samna hai, jisme industrial growth aur investment ko "fragile" kaha ja raha hai. Halan ke inflation mein thodi se cooling nazar aa rahi hai, ECB apni cautious stance barqarar rakhta hai aur interest rate cuts ke bare mein koi jaldbazi mein wada karne se katra raha hai. Central bank apne 2% inflation target ko hasil karne ke liye determined hai is se pehle ke woh easing measures ke bare mein sochay. Pair is waqt apne 50-day aur 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) ke kareeb trade kar rahi hai. Agar yeh averages ke neeche break ho jati hai, to yeh decline trigger kar sakta hai towards 1.0793 support level. Agar yeh level hold nahi karta, to mazeed losses 1.0711 aur 1.0666 tak ho sakte hain. Doosri taraf, agar yeh 1.0874 resistance ke upar move kar jata hai, to yeh rally ke liye raasta khol sakta hai towards 1.0975.

Jahan tak EUR ka taluq hai, European Central Bank (ECB) ke policymaker Olli Rehn ne Wednesday ko kaha ke agar inflation trajectory jaldi slowdown hoti hai, to rate reductions continue ho sakti hain. Rehn ne kaha, "Inflation continue karta hai slowdown, lekin 2% target ke raste mein is saal mein rukaawat aa sakti hai," jese Reuters ne report kiya. US Dollar Index (DXY) ne haali mein strength dikhayi hai, jo ke rising US Treasury yields se support karta hai. Halan ke yeh yields thodi si pull back hui hain, jo ke dollar par downward pressure daal rahi hain. Federal Reserve officials, jaise ke Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schimids ne indicate kiya ke mazeed


interest rate hikes zaroori ho sakti hain taake inflation ko control mein rakha jaye. Euro ko weak Eurozone economy aur ECB ki cautious monetary policy stance se challenges ka samna hai. US Dollar rising interest rate expectations se support ho raha hai. EUR/USD pair ke near term mein volatile rehne ka imkaan hai jab tak investors ECB aur Fed se monetary policy ke future path ke bare mein further clues ka intizar kar rahe hain.

### **EUR/USD Market Overview: Uncertainty Ke Darmiyan Mazbooti**
EUR/USD currency pair ne apni remarkable resilience dikhayi hai, apni position barqarar rakhti hui, jab ke investors mein barhti hui heightened risk aversion ka samna ho raha hai. Jab ke global financial markets ko barhte hue concerns ka samna hai, khas tor par Middle East mein geopolitical tensions aur Federal Reserve se signals ke sath, euro ne U.S. dollar ke against apni stability qaim rakhi hai.

#### **Market Context:**

- **Risk Aversion aur Global Concerns:** Monday ke trading session mein investors ke darmiyan risk-averse behavior mein izafa dekha gaya. Aam tor par aise scenarios mein U.S. dollar ko ek safe-haven currency ke tor par faida hota hai, jo ke EUR/USD pair mein decline ka sabab banta hai. Lekin euro ki apni position ko barqarar rakhne ki ability yeh suggest karti hai ke filhal market mein complex factors influence kar rahe hain.

- **Federal Reserve ke Signals:** Federal Reserve ke haali mein aane wale communications ne ek cautious approach ki taraf ishara kiya hai towards mazeed interest rate hikes, jo ke U.S. dollar ki strength ko kuch soft kar diya hai. Market participants is signal ko yeh samajh rahe hain ke Fed apne tightening cycle ke qareeb hai. Is ne euro ko kuch support diya hai, kyun ke ek kam aggressive Fed monetary policy mein U.S. aur Eurozone ke darmiyan kam divergence create karta hai.

- **Geopolitical Tensions:** Ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, khaas tor par Middle East mein, ne market ke nervousness mein izafa kiya hai. Ye tensions aam tor par safety ke liye flight ka sabab banti hain, jo ke U.S. dollar ko faida pohnchati hain. Lekin euro ki stability yeh suggest karti hai ke investors shayad immediate geopolitical risks se aagay dekh rahe hain aur broader economic outlook par focus kar rahe hain, jahan Eurozone ko aik relatively stable, halan ke slow, growth trajectory ke tor par dekha ja raha hai.

#### **Technical Analysis:**

- **Support aur Resistance Levels:** EUR/USD pair ne tight range mein trading ki hai, jahan strong support 1.0600 level ke qareeb hai aur resistance 1.0700 ke kareeb. Global uncertainties ke bawajood support level ke upar hold karne ki ability euro mein underlying strength ko zahir karti hai.

- **Key Indicators:** Technical indicators, jaise ke RSI (Relative Strength Index) aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is waqt neutral se thora bullish signals show kar rahe hain, jo ke yeh suggest kartay hain ke jahan pair ek strong uptrend mein nahi hai, wahan koi significant decline ka immediate threat bhi nazar nahi aata.

#### **Conclusion:**



EUR/USD pair ki ability rising global risk aversion ke darmiyan apni position barqarar rakhne ki yeh highlight karti hai ke filhal market environment mein complex dynamics play kar rahe hain. Jab ke Federal Reserve ek zyada cautious approach signal kar raha hai aur geopolitical tensions uncertainty mein izafa kar rahe hain, euro ne unexpected resilience dikhayi hai. Yeh stability traders ke liye opportunities offer kar sakti hai, khaas tor par agar pair apni current range mein trading continue karta hai.

### T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S ### E U R / U S D

Good Morning, Umeed hai ke sab theek hai. Main apne thoughts aap se share karna chahta hoon EUR/USD ke bare mein. Is waqt, EUR/USD ki market price 1.0920 area ke aas paas float kar rahi hai. Ye area resistance zone ke kareeb hai. Chart ke mutabiq, price pattern bullish hai aur barh rahi hai. Umeed hai ke EUR/USD ka trend iss quarter mein continue karega. Oscillator comfortably positive territory mein hai aur overbought territory se door hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator positive lag raha hai, jo suggest karta hai ke price aage barhti rahegi.

Iske ilawa, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) bhi positive lag raha hai aur zero level ke just upar trade kar raha hai. Moving averages bhi ek bullish signal dikha rahe hain. Technically, 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) aur 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ka barhna bullish traders ke haq mein hai.

Mera trading plan iss EUR/USD market mein 3 buy entries aur 3 sell entries ke sath hai.

EUR/USD ke liye technical resistance level 1.0944 hai jo ke ek dynamic resistance level hai. Agar price is level ke upar jati hai to $1.1006 level ke near naye buyers ko attract kar sakti hai jo ke 2nd level of resistance hai. EUR/USD market mein aage aur barhne ke chances hain, aur iske baad EUR/USD 1.1898 resistance level ke taraf move karega jo ke 3rd level of resistance hai.

Doosri taraf, EUR/USD ke liye technical support level 1.0890 hai jo ke ek dynamic support level hai. Agar price is level ke niche jati hai to $1.0782 level ke near naye sellers ko attract kar sakti hai jo ke 2nd level of support hai. EUR/USD mein further decline ke chances hain, aur iske baad EUR/USD 1.0100 support level ke taraf decline karega jo ke 3rd level of support hai.

Umeed hai mera analysis aap logon ke liye madadgar sabit hoga. Aakhir mein, main buy entry ko prefer karta hoon jiska take profit point 1.1898 hai. Umeed hai ke buyers is haftay stable rahenge, aur hum apne profit ratio ko barha sakenge.



**Chart mein use hone wale indicators:**
- **MACD indicator:**
- **RSI indicator period 14:**
- **50-day exponential moving average color Orange:**
- **20-day exponential moving average color Magenta:**
Market Outlook: Jab tak ye central bank policies uncertain rahengi, EUR/USD pair apna range-bound behavior continue karne ka imkaan hai. Traders ko kisi bhi clear signal par nazar rakhni chahiye jo is equilibrium ko break kar sakta hai, jo ke kisi bhi direction mein ek zyada decisive move ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Conclusion:
EUR/USD pair ka trading range 1.05 aur 1.10 ke darmiyan early 2024 mein central bank policies ke market

timeframe par, hum EUR/USD currency pair ke price changes ka analysis karenge. Powell ne ECB forum par baat ki aur usual ke mutabiq US dollar ko "drop" kar diya, halaan ke Lagarde ne unse pehle bola aur euro ko thoda support kiya. Powell ne koi nayi baat nahi ki, phir bhi EUR/USD ne 1.0739 ka level break kar liya aur resistance 1.0749 ke kareeb hai. Critical resistance level EMA-200 ke zariye mark kiya gaya hai jo 1.0759 par hai. Yeh samajhna mushkil hai ke market ne Powell ke comments par aise react kyun kiya, kyunki unka kuch bhi groundbreaking nahi tha. Unhone yeh mention kiya ke labor market abhi bhi strong hai, inflation 2% ke qareeb nahi hai, aur kuch disinflation ke asar bhi hain. Lagarde ne bhi comment kiya ke halaan ke inflation sahi direction mein move kar rahi hai, lekin abhi yeh kehna jaldi hoga ke yeh stable rahegi. Powell ne emphasize kiya ke Fed apne decisions mein jaldi nahi karegi aur ke US aur Europe mein inflation ka masla alag hai jo alag approaches require karta hai. Unke comments ke bawajood, market US dollar ko buy karne mein hesitate kar rahi hai.
Siyasi developments ne Europe mein market sentiment ko kaafi influence kiya hai, khaaskar European parliamentary elections ne jo Euro mein confidence ko dent kiya hai. France ka faisla apni parliament ko dissolve karna aur snap elections karwana, jo President Emmanuel Macron ne EU parliament elections mein ek substantial defeat ke baad call kiya, ne market uncertainty ko barhawa diya hai. Marine Le Pen, jo National Rally se ek right-leaning conservative politician hain, ke Macron ko replace karne ki prospect ne financial markets ko stir kiya hai. Le Pen ka platform, jo steep tax cuts, retirement age kam karna, aur stringent immigration controls shamil karta hai, France mein kaafi popular ho gaya hai.

Le Pen ki victory ka potential European financial markets mein apprehension cause kar raha hai. Unki policies significant fiscal challenges impose kar sakti hain jabke European economic indicators pehle hi underperform kar rahe hain. Iske ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) persistent inflation issues ke wajeh se apni rate cuts implement karne ki ability mein constrained hai.