eur/usd

Joray ne barqarar dabao ka samna kiya, jis ne early European trading session ke doraan 1.0670 ke qareeb qaim rakha, jis ne is ke doosre mutawazi roz ki giravat ko nishanah diya. Yeh mundavilat European Central Bank ne June ke ijtima mein interest rates ko 25 basis points kam karne ke baad aayi thi, jo market ke taqazoon ke mutabiq thi. Pehle ke intezamat ke khilaf ECB ke faisla ne July mein foran interest rate kam karne ka ishara nahi kiya, jis ne Euro aur Dollar ke darmiyan maqami interest rate ke farq ko mustahkam rakha aur Euro ko Dollar ke khilaf thora sa sahara pohanchaya.

Market Sentiment Par Asar Daalne Wale Makhsoos Iqtisadi Signals:

Taaza data ne Average Hourly Earnings mein izafay ka zahir kiya, jo mazaqi maishat mein ek ahem paimaish hai, jo 4.1% saalana bhar mein barh gaya. Yeh pehle ke umeedon se aage tha jo 3.9% thi aur pehle ke 4.0% figure se (jo 3.9% se badal gaya) aage nikla. Mahana maizan mein bhi mazid umeedon se afzai hui, jo 0.3% ke muntazir the aur 0.4% mein barh gaya, pehle ke 0.2% ke muqablay mein. Yeh figures mazid muzahimat ke baaray mein shubaat paida kar rahe hain, jo Federal Reserve ke interest rate kam karne ke muddat ke baray mein market ki tajawuz ko taaqat di hai. US Non-Farm Payrolls report ke baad, CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, September mein interest rate kam karne ki ihtimal 54.4% se kam ho gayi hai, pehle ke 68% se.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Joray ke liye aham levels samne hain. 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) jo 1.0786 par hai agar toot jaye, to yeh bearish trend ki taraf ishara ho sakta hai. Mutasir taur par, 1.0919 ke muqami resistance level se ooper ek rebound joray ko March 21 ki unchi tak (1.0951) aur psychological barrier 1.1000 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai.

Qareebi musalsal raftar nisbatan ghair yaqeeni nazar aati hai, jahan jora qareebi ta'aluqat ko janch raha hai 50-day EMA ke qareeb taqreeban 1.0770 par. 14-muddat Relative Strength Index (RSI) kamzor hota nazar aata hai, jo 40.00-60.00 range mein ghoom raha hai, jis se yeh ishara hota hai ke pehle ke ooper ki raftar mein waqti rukawat hai.

Shab bakhair, sab dosto ko. Kal ke market ke harkaton ka samna karne ke liye, hamare dimagh ko tayyar rakhein jo humne pehle se tayyar kiya hai analysis par focus rakhne ke liye. Aaj main Eurusd ki analysis discuss karunga jo pehle se kamzor hua hai aur lagta hai ke khareedne wale keemat barhana chahte hain kyunki pehle chhuye gaye support level ko dobara test kiya ja raha hai. Magar humein saaf tasveer pane ke liye trends ki classification aur Eurusd trading signals dekhein jo maine niche summarise kiye hain.

Trend Classification

Eurusd ki movement abhi bhi downtrend mein hai aur H4 timeframe par price ne 1.0680 ke support ko test kiya hai, lekin jo double bottom pattern ab ban raha hai, lagta hai ke khareedne wale keemat barhana chahte hain, bina ke us area mein resistance banaye bina. Aur baad mein Eurusd uchalti hui area ki taraf badhega, haalaanki yeh badhotri abhi tak RBS 1.0780 area tak seemit hai. Magar is badhotri ko zyada maayne dene ke liye, upar ki momentum ko Monday se reject karne ke saath shuru karna hoga. Aur agar price uchalti hai aur white box area ko retest karta hai, toh humein is area par alert rehna chahiye kyunki yeh zone maujooda trend ke palat ya uski jaari rakhne ke liye ek khaas point hai.

Trading Signals

Main Monday ko ek buy position open karunga kyunki double bottom pattern almost tayyar hai. Aur jab badhotri hogi, Eurusd turant white box area ko 1.0780 level par test karega aur phir hum TP us area mein kar sakte hain. Uske baad, agar seller ko reject karne mein kamiyabi milti hai, toh hum sell position open kar sakte hain jiska target 1.0590 level hoga, jo H4 timeframe par sabse kam level hai.

Aur aage ki buri surat haalat ko samajhne ke liye, agar price movement white box area ke upar breakout karta hai toh humein khareedna hoga aur apni sell position ko band karna hoga jo humne pehle kiya tha, aur badhotri ke target ke liye hum resistance ko 1.0940 par place kar sakte hain, jo H4 timeframe par majboot resistance hai.

Aap sab dosto ka dhyaan aur sunne ke liye shukriya. Umeed hai ke hum agle hafte Eurusd ke movement se faida utha sakenge.

Trading Updates EUR/USD

Sab ko shab bakhair. Kal ke market movement ke muqablay mein, humare dimagh ko tayar rakhein taaki hum pehle se tayyar ki gayi tafseeli analysis par focus kar sakein. Aur aaj mein Eurusd ki analysis par baat karunga jo pehle se kamzor hui hai aur lagta hai ke khareedne wale qeemat ko barhana chahte hain kyunki pehle chhue gaye support level ko dobara test kiya ja raha hai. Lekin taake humein ek saaf tasawwur mil sake, chaliye trend ke classification aur eurusd trading signals par nazar daal lete hain jo mein ne neeche mukhtasir kiye hain.

Trend Classification

Eurusd ki movement ab bhi downtrend mein hai aur H4 timeframe par price ne 1.0680 ke support ko test kiya hai, lekin jo double bottom pattern ab ban raha hai, lagta hai ke khareedne wale qeemat ko barhana chahte hain wala bhi kiya gaya hai, haalaanki ab tak buyers ne is area mein resistance nahi banaya hai. Aur baad mein eurusd ko aagey higher area ki taraf barhna hoga haalaanki yeh barhne ka amal abhi tak RBS 1.0780 area tak mehdood hai. Lekin is barhne ko zyada valid banane ke liye, upward momentum ko Monday ke rejection se shuru karna hoga. Aur agar price barhne mein kaamyaab hota hai aur white box area mein retest karta hai toh humein is area par ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye kyunki yeh zone maujooda trend ke reversal ya continuation ke liye ek ahem point hai.

Trading Signals

Main Monday ko ek buy position open karunga kyunki double bottom pattern almost pura ho gaya hai. Aur jab barhav hoga, Eurusd turant white box area ko level 1.0780 par test karega aur phir hum is area mein TP kar sakte hain. Phir, agar seller ko inkaar paida karna mein kaamyaabi milti hai, toh hum sell position open kar sakte hain jiska target H4 timeframe par lowest level 1.0590 par hoga.



Is ke ilawa, agar price movement sach mein white box area ke ooper break out karta hai toh humein khareedna hoga aur humein jo sell position ki hai, usay band kar dena hoga, aur barhav ke target ke liye hum resistance 1.0940 par rakh sakte hain jo ke H4 timeframe par abhi tak strong resistance hai.

Aap sab ka dhyaan dene ke liye shukriya, bhaiyon jo meri wazahat suni. Umeed hai ke hum agle haftay eurusd movement se faida hasil kar sakte hain.

Pair ne susti dabao ka samna kiya, jis ke natayajay mein wo early European trading session ke darmiyan qareeb 1.0670 ke qareeb qaim raha, jo ke is ke doosre muntazim din-e-kami ko darshaata hai. ECB ne June ke meeting mein interest rates ko 25 basis points kam karne ka faisla kiya, jo ke market ki tawaqqaat ke mutabiq tha. Pehle ke andazaat ke khilaaf, ECB ke is qadam ne July mein foran interest rate cut ka matlab nahi diya, jis se Euro aur USD ke darmiyan interest rate ke farq ko qaim rakha gaya aur Euro ko Dollar ke khilaf kuch support bhi mila.

Mukhtalif Maqami Maali signals jo market sentiment par asar daal rahe hain:

Taaza data ne Average Hourly Earnings mein aik numaya izafa darj kiya hai, jo ke mali inflaishan ka aik ahem pehloo hai, saalana 4.1% tak barh gaya hai. Yeh pehle ke 3.9% ke andazaat aur pehle ke 4.0% (jo ke pehle 3.9% se upar kiya gaya hai) ke mukable mein hai. Mahana mali urooj bhi andazaat se behtar raha, jo ke 0.4% ke andar barh gaya, jis ke mukable mein 0.3% ka intezar tha aur pehle 0.2% tha. Yeh figures mali inflation mein barqarar hone ke lehaz se shakhsiyat bhi diya hai, jis se Federal Reserve ke interest rates cut ke lehaz se market ki tawaqqaat mein tezi se muhasra kiya gaya hai. US Non-Farm Payrolls report ke baad, CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq September mein interest rate cut ke imkanat 54.4% se 68% tak kam ho gaye hain.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pair ke liye muhim levels mojud hain. 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 1.0786 ke neeche breach hone se ek bearish trend ki taraf ishara ho sakta hai. Mukhalif tor par, 1.0919 ke ahem resistance level ke ooper rebound pair ko March 21 ke high 1.0951 aur 1.1000 ke psychological barrier ki taraf le ja sakta hai.



Qareebi maamlaat ke rukh par hai, jahan pair 50-day EMA ke qareeb support ko test kar raha hai jo ke qareeb 1.0770 par hai. 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) mein kamzor momentum ka asar hai, jo ke 40.00-60.00 range ke andar hai, jis se pichli upar ki taraf rukhne wali momentum mein aik waqti rok tok ka izhar hota hai.

EUR USD Haftawarana Tahlil

Is haftay EUR USD thoda bearish raha aur mixed movement dikha aur humne EUR USD par bullish momentum bhi dekha aur haftay ke ikhtitam mein bearish momentum bhi dekha agar hum haftawarana time frame chart dekhein toh hum dekh sakte hain ke current weekly candle of EUR USD ne previous candle ke high low ke andar band hone ke baad jo haftay ke aane wale main EUR USD ne previous week low ko test karne ke liye jari raha.
Aur aaj ki EUR USD ki analysis price action par hai.
Current weekly candle of EUR USD ne previous week ki candle ke andar band hone ke baad agar hum daily time frame chart dekhein toh humein previous week ke low ke neeche ek strong demand zone area nazar aata hai aur us demand zone area se main EUR USD ka bullish reversal ka intezar kar raha hoon.

Previous week ke high 1.0853 par hai aur low 1.0666 par hai aur daily demand zone area 1.0614 aur 1.0600 ke darmiyan hai.
Is ke saath main do mumkin scenarios ki umeed rakhta hoon ke agle haftay mein ho sakte hain.
Pehla mumkin scenario ye hai ke haftay ke shuru mein EUR USD girne ke liye jari rahega jo ke EUR USD sellers ke liye sell opportunities create kar sakta hai aur is liye humein EUR USD par selling opportunities ki talaash karni chahiye jab tak EUR USD daily demand zone area ko test na kar le.
Yeh scenario scalp trading opportunities ke liye acha hai.



Dusra mumkin scenario ye hai ke haftay ke ikhtitam mein EUR USD daily demand zone area ko test karega aur us ke baad EUR USD long-term bullish movement ke liye ooper jayega is liye acha idea hoga ke daily demand zone area par long-term buy opportunity leni chahiye with stop loss demand zone area ke neeche aur target previous week high par rakhna chahiye.

Haftawar chart-euro ka jaaiza karte hue, pehle toh trend mein izafa nazar aata hai lekin baad mein rukawat ka saamna karna parhta hai, jis se dollar ki kamzori ka aitraaf hota hai. Ye tajziya yeh ishara karta hai ke euro ke liye mushkilat jari rah sakti hain, jabke traders ko bazaar mein saman ki beshumaar tadaad nazar aati hai. Isi tarah, behtareen tajarba yeh lagta hai ke 100 points par tawajjo di jaye, jab bazaar in hadood ke oopar hilta hai. Khas taur par, neechay hadood 1.05 par hai aur oopar hadood 1.10 par hai.

Haftawar ki candlestick chart yeh mumkin dikhata hai ke mazeed neeche dabaav ho sakta hai, jo euro ko 1.05 ke qareeb le ja sakta hai. Is ahmiyat se neechay murawwat tezi se ghata sakta hai, jis se mawazna 1.00 tak pohanch sakta hai. Ummeed hai ke, 1.08 ke bulandiyon par tezi se jaanib bharne se 1.09 tak raasta saf ho sakta hai.

Magar, yeh wazeh hai ke Europe ki arzi maeeshaton mein interest rate khatm hone ki aashankaen maujood hain, jabke America ki arzi maeeshat gir rahi hai. Federal Reserve ne mazboot maali policy ko barqarar rakha hai aur America mein mustehkam muddat ke liye raqam mein kamzori ki dabaav jari hai, jo euro ki mushkilat mein izafa karta hai.

Is haalat mein traders ko aala rangon wale mahol mein safar karna hai, jise buland tadaad mein tezi se nazar andaaz kiya jata hai. 1.05 ke darja-e-himayat ka mahatvapurn ilaqa rehta hai, jabke 1.10 par rukawat ek buland hadood ke taur par kaam aati hai. Wazeh hai ke Europe ke maali nizam aur America ke Federal Reserve ke amalat euro ke mustaqbil ko qareebi tor par akhz karenge. Is liye, bazaar ke hissa daar ko chaukanna rehna chahiye, potential tawazo ke liye taiyar hona chahiye aur in harkaton ko istemal karke maharatmand tajarat ke mouqaat hasil karne chahiye.



Aakhir mein, euro ki manzil mukhtalif maali factors aur central bank policies par munhasir hai, is liye traders ke liye aham hai ke woh maalumat hasil rakhein aur aanay wale aazaadiyon ke mutabiq apne tajarbat mein tabdeeli laayein. America ke dollar ki mustaqil kamzori ke sath Europe ki tashweeshen mein dabaav ek ehtiyati nazriya ke liye ishara hai, jo maali haalaat ke badalne aur bazaar ke rad-e-amal ke tajawuzi shakl par tawajjo di hai.

EUR/USD H4

EUR/USD currency pair ki keemat ki harkat hamari tajziya aur guftagu ka mawad hoga. EUR/USD ki kamiyabi ne ek kaafi wide price channel ke andar girawat ka shikar kiya hai, jis ne is darmiyan-term ke channel ke nichle hadood tak keemat ko la kar diya hai. Is neeche girawat ka impulse haftawar ke trading ke akhir tak mukammal ho sakta hai. EUR/USD ne is girawat ke channel ke support limit ko pohancha aur thora sa upar ko jhuka, trading week ko 1.0701 ke qareeb band kar ke, price channel ke support boundary se thora oopar. Is technical hawale se, hum is jor se tasawwur kar sakte hain ke jodi ke liye mazeed keemat ki sudhaar mumkin hai, khas kar is current corridor ke andar ek mazeed pullback movement ke liye. Haftawar ke liye, EUR/USD ke levels ke technical markup medium-term price chart par aur chaar ghante ke nazarat is tarah se dikhte hain. Sham ko acha. Abhi tak, sellers ne 1.07185 ke level ko torne ke baad keemat ko mazeed neeche le jane mein kamiyab nahi ho saki, aur buyers is level ke upar qadam jamaane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Lekin abhi tak, mojooda barhao zyada tar aik correction nazar aata hai, jis ke baad hum keemat ke mazeed girne par ummeed kar sakte hain. Is manzar ke tashkeel ke liye, 1.06666 ke level par break aur consolidation dekhna zaroori hai. Agar yeh mumkin ho gaya toh, maqsad 1.06484 ke level ko samjha ja sakta hai. Agar sellers apne inertia ke zariye is level par mazbooti se qadam jama sakte hain, toh mazeed keemat ke girne ki tawaqo ki ja sakti hai, 1.06 ke level tak girne ke liye. Kijun line ke neeche girne aur bearish "dead cross" ki tasdeeq ke baad, neeche ki raftar jari rahi, haftawar aur daily format mein bearish raah barqarar rahi. EUR/USD ke liye nazdeeki significant resistance 1.0731 ke andar badal rahi hai. Agar yeh tor diya gaya, toh bulls apne pullback ko upper cloud border tak 1.0791 tak barha sakte hain, lekin yeh trading ke doran wazeh ho jayega. Ek mumkin pullback ke baad, keemat support zone ki taraf 1.0629/1.0589 ya shayad kam ke liye jari rahegi. Is taraqqi ko samajhne ke liye zaroorat hai ke bazaar ke indicators aur intraday levels ko qareeb se nazar andaz kiya jaye, jis se EUR/USD ke raaste ko karar de saken. Mojooda technical indicators aur price patterns neeche ki raftar jari rakhne ki taraf ishara dete hain, lekin gardishen aur sudhar mumkin hain. In factors par tawajjo denay se, traders inform ki faislay kar sakte hain, maukaat ko faida uthate hue aur zaraye ko manage kar ke

Asian session mein buyers ne apni positions Monday close par rakhi hui hain, chahay aik choti gap thi jo ab band ho chuki hai. Aaj ke market ko dekhte hue, qareebi EUR/USD daily H1 timeframe chart support level takreeban 1.0691 par hai. Is point se do mumkin scenarios hain. Pehla scenario yeh hai ke support level par aik reversal candle banay, jo ke price mein upward movement laayegi. Agar yeh ho, to price resistance level ki taraf move karegi. Agar price is resistance level ke ooper stabilize ho jaye, to yeh mazeed resistance face karegi. Mukhtasir mein, traders apni positions support level par dekhte hue rakhi hui hain. Market reactions ke mutabiq, price ya to rebound karegi ya mazeed resistance challenges ka samna karegi

Maqala bazaar ki mojooda halat par guftagu karta hai, jisme Asian trading session ke doran kisi bhi ahem fluctuation ki kami ka zikr hai. Yeh stability din bhar barqarar rehne ki umeed hai kyon ke bade news events ki kami hai. Filhal, EUR/USD daily M30 timeframe chart ke quotes 1.0692 ke resistance level se thodi neeche trade ho rahe hain. Indicators yeh darsha rahe hain ke yeh level toota ja sakta hai, jo ke agle resistance level tak mazeed growth la sakta hai. Magar, itne unche targets set karna unrealistic ho sakta hai dekhte hue ke market activity kam hai. Dosri taraf, agar bearish traders ne price ko neeche rok liya to alternative scenarios ko madde nazar rakhna hoga. Ek aisa scenario yeh hai ke price red moving average ke neeche toot sakti hai, jo ke mazeed decline ka sabab banega. Yeh ek critical point hai jahan market ya to ooper ja sakti hai ya neeche gir sakti hai, in levels ke tootne par.

Yeh Asian session mein bohot kamzor move kar raha hai, isliye isay seriously consider karne ka koi faida nahi hai, khaaskar jab market khula ho. Shanti rahegi, jab tak ke koi gap na aaye, jaise ke abhi haal hi mein hua tha, lekin yeh kam hi mumkin hai kyunke weekend par koi aham events nahi hue, aur elections ke doran ek bara jump aaya tha, isliye weekend ke liye short-term transactions chhorna recommend nahi kiya jata.
Aam taur par, mein yahan south ki taraf dekhunga; kuch reasons hain. Khaaskar, MA ke neeche settle ho gaye hain; yahan settle hokar, koi sawaal nahi uthaya. Lekin yeh baat thodi pareshaan karti hai ke yahan ek baar bottom mehsoos kiya, aur ab mein short-term transactions mein utna involve nahi hona chahta, chahe woh preferable ho.

Mujhe lagta hai ke yeh thoda aur neeche jayega, lekin bulls ke liye acha end nahi hoga; dollar already week ke aakhir mein kaafi mazboot ho gaya hai, lekin yahan EU elections ke nataij Europeans par ab bhi pressure dal rahe hain, isliye Europeans par kuch na kuch pressure rahega.Isliye, 1.0645 tak dheere dheere girawat sabse zyada mumkin scenario lagta hai is haftay ke liye, ya iske shuru mein.Lekin 1.0715 se zyada upar jaana bohot doubtful lagta hai. Aur agar hum wahan pahunchte hain, toh main isay bechunga. Lekin entry ke liye sure hone ke liye, 1.0680 ke bilkul neeche jaana better hai. Target landmarks zyada door na lein. Is waqt, slip belts 1.0665, 1.0645, aur 1.0615 par line up ho gayi hain. Mujhe lagta hai agar yeh humein kal is route par le jayein, toh keh sakte hain ke din bekaar nahi gaya. Asian shift ki adat jaante hue, is pair ko circulation mein na lein. Mujhe lagta hai main body movements European session par hongi. Filhal, yeh mera main work plan hai. Sabko araam se entry catch karne ki dua deta hoon.

EUR/USD FORECAST

Is hafte ke trading session mein EUR/USD currency pair ne phir se neeche ki taraf jana mumkin hai. Subah ke market band hone tak keemat ne Simple Moving Average indicators 60 aur 150 ke neeche gir gayi, jis se yeh andaza hota hai ke bazaar ab bhi bearish halat mein hai. Girawat ke haalat haqeeqatan is mahine ke shuru se market trend ke mutabiq hai jab candlestick girne ki phase mein tha. Haftawar ke timeframe par ek bearish candlestick ki shakal mein is dafa paanch hafton se bearish trend ka izhar hota hai. Yaqeenan, is halat ne seller army ki itmenan ko barha diya hai ke agle haftay bazaar par zyada dabao dalne ke liye.



Relative Strength Index indicator par Lime line level 30 ke qareeb gir gayi hai, jo keemat mein bearish trend ki alamat hai. Aglay dinon ke liye, mumkin hai ke phir se bearish raftar mein movement ho. Umeed hai ke seller army phir se keemat ko neeche daba sakti hai. Agar hum pichle mahine ke trend par nazar dalte hain, toh EUR/USD currency pair ka haalat ab bhi seller forces ke control mein hai. Is liye agle hafte ke trading session ke liye, behtar hai ke ham wo movement par tawajjo dein jo bearish trend ko jari rakhne ki mumkinat rakhte hain, waise ke bazaar abhi bhi chutti par hai, lekin agle haftay mein keemat ko neeche ki taraf le jaane ka imkan hai takmeel level 1.0640 ki range ko test karne ke liye. Meri raye mein, agle haftay ke liye trading options ab bhi SELL trading hain jab tak keemat 1.0640 level ke neeche rahe.

Euro ney kamzor US data ka jawab detey hue nuqsan uthaya. Ghantay ke chart par Euro/USD pair 1.0722 ke neechey gir gaya, jis se maloom hota hai ke neechay ki raftar jari rakhne ke mumkin hotay hain aur ab tak ke 1.0667 ke current local minimum ki taraf jari rah sakti hai. Yeh neechay ki manzil ka safar bharat ki trading session ke doraan aik chotey upar ki taraf sudhar ke baad bhi hua. America ke maali data ki aaj ki riwayat mein kal ki tashweeshnak tasveer paish ki, khas tor par dilchaspi se manufacturing figures mein kami. Magar is ne dollar ko kamzor nahi kiya, jo keemat ke doraan mazboot hota raha. US Dollar Index (DXY) ney aik numaya izafa dekha, jo dollar ke wasee qadriyat ka aina dikhata hai.

Aaj ka maali calendar America mein kaafi busy hai, jismain sab se ahem release sarkari hukumat ki business activity par data hai. Yeh data kal Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia ki disappointing manufacturing figures ko tanazzul karne ki salahiyat rakhta hai. Jab ke ghantay ke chart ney abhi bhi neechay ki raftar ko ishara diya hai, toh chaar ghante ke chart par mazeed mukhtalif manzar samne aaraha hai. Yahan par aik potential reversal ke ishare nazar aate hain. Hum current session ke liye mukarrar trading range ke andar bazaar ko qaim dekh sakte hain, jo 1.0730 level ke aas paas ghoom raha hai. Is waqt Euro khareedna aik risky tehwar lag raha hai. Main Euro mein kisi bhi khareedari ke bare mein sochne se pehle trend mein palat ke aane ki mumkinat dekhna pasand karunga.



Din ko sab ko mubarak! Kal raat ko Euro America dollar ke khilaf 1.0720 ke support level ke upar trading kar raha tha, lekin saaf iraada tha ke isay tora jaaye ga, jaisa ke mein ne subah ki tafseel mein zikr kiya tha. Aur ab wazeh hai ke Euro ne haqeeqatan is level ke neeche apne aap ko qaim kar liya hai, jo ab aik kaafi acha resistance bhi ho sakta hai, jahan se short positions ko ab khola ja sakta hai. Kyun ke EURUSD chart par overall trend neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, is liye yeh koi anay wali baat nahi hai ke keemat apni raftar ko jari rakh sakti hai. Ab hum pehla impulse bhi dekh sakte hain, jis par hum asani se Fibonacci grid ko stretch kar sakte hain, aur is tarah 161st level 1.0660 ke aas paas hoga, jo keemat ke current minimum 1.0667 ke neeche hai. Lekin humein 1.0649 par support ke bare mein bhi yaad rakhna chahiye, jo keemat ke liye bohat mohlik ho sakta hai.

Kal, EUR/USD kam volatility ke darmiyan thora sa bullish bias ke sath trade hua. Volatility itni kam ho gayi thi ke intraday trading karne ka koi matlab nahi tha. Agar koi harkat nahi hai, to kaise koi munafa kamane ka tareeqa dhoondh sakta hai? Harkat ke ilawa koi khabar bhi nahi thi. Eurozone aur U.S. ki maali calendar mein kaafi sakoon tha. Is tarah, bazaar ko kisi cheez ka jawab denay ki koi wajah nahi mili aur usay positions khole ke liye koi sabab nahi mila.

Ek descending channel ban gaya hai, lekin yeh sab kuch behtar nahi banata. Keemat bohat jald apni hadood ke andar rehne ka ihtimal hai kyun ke pair practically tamam timeframes par neeche ja raha hai. Halat yeh hai ke abhi ke liye euro girne se zyada chadhne mein zyada dilchaspi hai. Is liye traders ko short positions par tawajjo deni chahiye aur sell signals par focus karna chahiye. Isi waqt, pair ek week ya doosre ke liye aram se correction kar sakta hai, kyun ke EUR/USD kabhi bhi taqatwar harkaton ke liye mashhoor nahi hai. Sirf aik trading signal 5-minute timeframe par bana tha. Jaise ke upar chart mein dekha ja sakta hai, keemat ne 1.0726-1.0733 range se sahi se bounce kiya, jis ke baad 15 pips ki izafa hua. Yeh beginners ke liye rozana ke liye kamaya gaya munafa tha, jab ke pair ne mazeed harkat nahi dikhayi.

Yeh bhi note karne ke qabil hai ke agar bhi buy signal ideal tha, to is se bohat chota munafa hasil hua. Masla signals mein nahi hai, balkay bazaar mein harkat ke mojoodgi mein hai.



French currency siyasati la-tawaan mein kisi had tak nai gir rahi hai, jis se euro thori taqat hasil kar rahi hai. Magar yeh ulat bhi sakti hai, jaisa ke peechle haftay ke movement ki misaal hai. Volume indicator dikhata hai ke market participation mein rozana kami ho rahi hai, jo aik naya solid impulse ke liye khatra hai. Sentiment analysis ke mutabiq kal ke session mein America mein overbought conditions ke hal nearly resolved hue, jab ke open sell-to-buy trades ratio ab 47/52 hai, jis se pehle ke 40/59 ke muqable mein hai. Taaza retail sales data nakarate natijay dikhata hai, jahan aik indicator change nahi hua aur doosra kam se kam umeed se kam growth ka ishara deta hai. Yeh sab aj ke girawat mein madadgar rahe hain.

Agar stock market barhe ga, to EUR/USD pair EMA50 par 1.0764 tak chadh sakta hai. Magar agar keemat 1.0719 ke neeche trading kare, to correction ke jari rahne ko mansookh kar diya jayega, jo ke main umeed karta hoon, haalaat tight rehte hain.

Is rukawat ka sabab ban sakti hai wo aane wale iqtisadi reports ya central bank ke elan ka intezar ho sakta hai. Market participants aksar bade trades karne se pehle rok jate hain jab significant data releases ka intezar hota hai, taake market ke galat side par na phans jayein. Misal ke tor par, agar GDP growth, employment figures, ya inflation data jaise key economic indicators jald release hone wale hain, to traders aksar in reports ka intezar karte hain taake unhein market ka wazeh rukh mil sake. Isi tarah, agar central banks ke upcoming statements ya policy decisions hone wale hain, to yeh bhi market movements par bara asar dal sakte hain. Aise scenarios mein, market aam tor par khamosh rehta hai jab tak traders in critical information ka intezar karte hain.Ek aur mumkin sabab jo aaj ki inakti ko contribute kar sakta hai wo broader market sentiment aur overall investor caution ho sakta hai. Kabhi kabhi low volatility aur lack of movement broader sense of uncertainty ya risk aversion ko reflect karte hain jo market participants ke darmiyan hota hai. Yeh un waqt mein ho sakta hai jab geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainties, ya bade global events ke lead-up mein ho. Jab investors ko future direction ke baray mein shak hota hai, to wo aksar wait-and-see approach apnate hain, jo subdued trading activity ko janam deta hai.Technically, initial movement ke baad 1.0700 level par lack of follow-through ko bhi market ka ek breather lena kaha ja sakta hai. Yeh tab hota hai jab price ek significant level par pohanchti hai lekin aage barhne ki momentum nahi hoti. Aise cases mein, market consolidation phase mein enter hota hai jahan yeh narrow range mein trade karta hai jab buyers aur sellers ek dusre ko balance karte hain. Yeh consolidation market cycle ka ek healthy hissa hota hai, jo next significant move se pehle energy accumulate karne ka moka deta hai.Aage dekhte hue, kal ka trading session ziada wazeh information de sakta hai. Yeh current pause wakai temporary ho sakta hai, aur market anticipated data ya events ke baad apni movement resume kar sakta hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur new developments par nazar rakhni chahiye jo market ke direction ke baray mein clearer insights provide kar sakti hain.Akhir mein, aaj ka din market mein ek inactive din tha, jo initial movement ke baad lack of further development se characterized tha. Yeh inactivity upcoming economic data, central bank announcements, broader market sentiment, ya ek technical consolidation phase ki wajah se ho sakti hai. Kal ka trading session ziada wazeh information de sakta hai, aur traders ko alert rehna chahiye taake kisi bhi emerging opportunities ko capitalize kar sakein. Market developments ko closely monitor karte hue aur adaptable rehkar, traders periods of inactivity ko navigate kar sakte hain aur next significant move ke liye ready reh sakte hain.

Based on the H4 TF reference above, nazar aata hai ke ek girawat hai jo 200 MA (blue) ke moving limit ko paar kar gayi hai, bearish Gap ke sharaait mein jo 200 MA limit se guzar gayi hai. Yeh tasdeeq karta hai ke trend abhi bearish phase mein hai. Girawat ke baad jo neechay ki taraf raftar jari hui, usay gap area ko band karne ka waqt nahi mila aur yeh neeche ki taraf girne ki koshish ki jo support area ko test karne ke liye 1.0722 ke aas paas hai. RSI 30 level par oversold area se neeche current downward condition hone ke wajah se lagta hai ke bearish efforts ko thora roka gaya hai aur bullish retracement ko test karne ke liye 1.0759 ke aas paas nazdeeki SBR area ko test karne ki koshish ki ja rahi hai. Ek izafa ke liye mauqa seemit muddat ke andar abhi bhi khulta nazar aata hai ke aglay SBR area ko 1.0787 ke aas paas pohanchne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai aur MA200 (blue) ke movement limit ke 1.0800 ke aas paas gap area ko band karne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai. Short term mein, yeh mumkin lagta hai ke 1.0740-1.0750 range mein dakhil hone ke liye khareedne ka socha ja sakta hai. Is price level range mein izafa ka target TP 1 1.0780 tak pohanchne aur TP 2 1.0800 tak pohanchne ke liye ho sakta hai. Is khareedari ke plan mein nuqsan ki hadood limit ko 1.0720 ke aas paas support area ke neeche rakhna chahiye.

Agar bearish trend ke jari rehne ke baad bech mein bechne ki soorat mein, aap 1.0780-1.0800 range mein dakhil hone ka soch sakte hain. Is price level range se girawat ke mumkinat hai ke neeche ki taraf ek naya lower banane ki koshish ki ja sakti hai jo 1.0722 ke aas paas support area ko neeche kar sakti hai. Agar khareedne wale is movement ke andar palat ke aage nikal jate hain, to bearish trend phir se nakam ho jayega.

TF Daily reference mein, nazar aata hai ke neeche ki taraf raftar hai jo candle movement ne 200 MA limit (blue) ke neeche kam hone ki surat mein bearish trend ke initial phase mein dakhil ho gaya hai. Aglay bearish koshish ke liye target, 1.0722, 1.0660 aur 1.0600 ke range mein neeche ki taraf test karne ki mumkinat hai. Behtar hai ke khareedari transactions par tawajjo di jaye jab tak ke keemat MA 100 (green) area ke 1.0810 ke aas paas na chali jaye. Lambi muddat mein, bearish trend ki mumkinat khuli nazar aati hai ke is saal ke lowest price barrier ko 1.0600 ke range mein paar karne ki koshish ki ja sakti hai. Mazeed girawat pichle saal ke lowest price area tak pohanchne ki koshish kar sakti hai jo 1.0445 ke aas paas hai.



Khareedari considerations ke hawale se, behtar hai ke level 1.0810 ke upar izafa ka intezar kiya jaye. Is price level ke upar movement pichle haftay ke highest price limit test karne ke liye khuli nazar aati hai jo

EUR/USD H-4

Asalam-o-Alaikum! Transmission box par chal rahi thi, wahan bhi millionaires bhikariyon ke libas mein dikhayi diye, aap par bhi yeh role achha lagta hai... Khair, pichle do din EUR/USD bilkul 50 points ke andar hi move kiya. Pehle likha tha ke girawat ko EURGBP pair rok rahi thi, wahan EUR barh raha tha. Magar agar EURGBP ke daily chart ko dekha jaye to wo neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, jo agle hafte EUR/USD ki girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Haqeeqat yeh hai ke daily volumes ka barhna girawat ko slow kar raha hai, lekin growth index jo maximum bearish sales zone mein hai, wo growth ko rokega jab tak ke keemat ke saath wo bhi upar na jaye. Asal mein, jab tak hourly volumes zero mark ke upar bullish zone mein nahi jati, asli growth ki tawakku nahi ki ja sakti; chart par yeh kal ke 1.07182 ke breakout ke taur par zahir hoga.



Chaliye, 4-hour chart par nazar dalte hain jo weekly period ko dikhata hai (kuch log period separators hata dete hain, lekin yeh ghalat hai, kyunke samajhna ke keemat hafte mein kaha gayi trading ka asal hai). Hafte ke darmiyan, EUR/USD ne neeche ki taraf mod liya aur weekly scale par girawat jari rakhi. Sab se aham baat yeh hai ke weekly chart par growth index bearish zone mein kaafi neeche gir gaya hai, aur agar weekly period ko ghor se dekha jaye, to main keh sakta hoon ke jab bhi growth index kam hota hai, to agle kuch hafton mein keemat mazeed girti hai. Main yeh nahi keh sakta ke hum zaroor neeche hi jaenge, lekin ab tak growth index ne sahi direction mein ishara kiya hai.

EUR/USD Analysis

Chaliye seedha maamle par aate hain, agar aap Eurusd chart ko weekly time frame par dekhen, to pichle hafte ka trading downward direction mein move hua. Yani, pichle hafte ka EURUSD trading seller camp ke qabze mein tha. Ye weakening movement agle hafte ke trading par bhi asar dal sakta hai. Is liye aapko EURUSD currency pair mein trading karte waqt ehtiyat baratni chahiye.

Agar pichle hafte ke EURUSD price movement ka dehaan se jaiza lein, to yeh currency pair jo ke 1.0705 par open hua tha, wo 1.0762 ke highest trading price ko maintain nahi kar saka. Jab price highest level ko touch karta hai, to EURUSD currency pair sellers ke pressure ki wajah se weak hona shuru ho jata hai. Ye downward movement tab tak jari raha jab tak lowest trading level 1.0672 ko touch nahi kar leta. Lowest trading level ko touch karne ke baad, EURUSD ne strengthen hona shuru kiya aur aakhir kaar trading 1.0692 par close hui.

EURUSD Timeframe H4

H4 timeframe par EURUSD price movement ka jaiza lein to 21st candlestick chart par ek interesting candlestick pattern, yani Bearish Marubozu candlestick nazar aata hai. Ye candlestick pattern prices ko neeche ki taraf le jane ki potential rakhta hai, to agar aap us waqt 1.0717 par sell position kholte, to aap 30 pips ya is se bhi zyada ka profit kama sakte the.

Jahan, transaction position ko kholne ke baad, aapko transaction price se 100 pips ka risk of loss (Stop Loss) aur profit target (Take Profit) set karna chahiye. Risk Ratio ke lehaaz se yeh kam 'worth it' lagta hai, lekin agar transaction ka Winning Rate high ho, to isme koi harj nahi.

Agle Hafte ke liye EURUSD Trading Recommendations

EURUSD market ke poore aur jari surat-e-haal ko dekhte hue, Ajeng4x ka khayal hai ke sell option agle hafte ke trading ke liye ab bhi nazar mein rakhna chahiye. Magar, transactions ko execute karte waqt, sahi momentum ka intezar karna behtar hai, jaise ke small time frame par ek valid bearish candlestick pattern ka zahoor hona. Umeed yeh hai ke is momentum ka intezar karke, hum quality transactions kar sakte hain jisme ideal risk reward calculations aur achha winning rate probability ho.

Transaction decisions lete waqt, aapko nearest support aur resistance levels ka dehaan rakhna chahiye. Ye support resistance level Bollinger Bands, Moving Average, Horizontal Line indicators, ya Psychological price levels ko use karke measure kiya ja sakta hai, technical analysis ko apply karte waqt traders ke point of view par depend karta hai, taake asani se samjha ja sake.

Is consideration ke saath, agar price nearest support area mein rejection pattern show kare, to buy transaction option ko foran anjaam diya ja sakta hai. Magar agar is support ke against breakout pattern ho, to buy transaction plan ko dobara sochna chahiye. Kyunke forex market mein price movements dynamic hoti hain, jo ke price movements ko unexpected direction mein reverse kar sakti hain.



Is liye, chaliye ab se risk calculations ke liye tayar ho jayein, taake trading plan ke mutabiq zaroori actions le sakein. Taake agar market unpredictable move kare, to jo losses honge wo measurable hon aur pehle se prepared risk limits ke mutabiq hon.