Eur/usd

EURUSD pair ki Daily timeframe par trading jo Jumma ko hui, wo kamyabi se buyers ne sambhala, jo bearish sellers ke koshishon ko kamzor kar diya tha jo support area ko 1.0840-1.0835 ki qeemat par mazboot kiya tha, jo ke sellers ko phir se kamiyabi se qeemat ko niche dabaane se rok gaya tha aur ulte rukh kar gaya tha taake bullish ban jaye kyun ke buyers ne mazboot kharidari dabao dala jo ke sellers ko push karne mein nakami hasil hui thi.

Daily timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ka istemaal karke dekha gaya ke qeemat ko buyers dobara Upper Bollinger Bands area mein qaim rakha ja raha hai, khaaskar ke jab buyer ko mazboot bullish candle ke jhurmat ka saath mil raha hai taake jo faida buyer ka hai wo barh jaye aur buyer ko trading par qabza karne ka mauqa milta hai. EURUSD pair par Jumma ko ghaarat, jis ka bullish target hai seller supply resistance area jo ke 1.0930-1.0925 ki qeemat par hai aur mustaqbil mein mazeed bulish rahnumai ke liye ek bulish raasta kholne ka mauqa hai.

Somvar ko trading ki surat mein pehle bearish correction dekhne ko mil sakta hai jab sellers ne market band hone ke qareeb bullish buyers ko rokne mein kamiyab rahe, jo ke dynamic resistance area ko mazboot kar rahe the jo ke 1.0880-1.0875 ki qeemat par hai. Seller ka maqsood qeemat ko neeche daba kar buyer support area ko test karna hai jo ke 1.0840-1.0830 ki qeemat par hai jo ke kamiyabi se tooti, to phir EURUSD pair ki qeemat dobara bearish taur par kamzor ho sakti hai. Lekin, agar buyers selling pressure ko kam karne mein kamiyab ho gaye, to qeemat dobara bullish rukh mein buland hone ka bara mauqa hai Upper Bollinger Bands area ke upar le jane ke liye.

RSI indicator bhi dikhata hai ke qeemat jo pehle 62 ke level par thi, wo ab 63 ke level par chali gayi hai, is ka matlab hai ke bullish buyers ke koshishen ab bhi aagayi hai aur agle haftay ke trading mein RSI level 75 ke area tak mazeed mazbooti haasil karne ka mauqa hai.

Nateeja:

Sell entries ki ja sakti hain agar seller ko support area ko 1.0840-1.0835 ki qeemat par toorna mein kamiyab hoti hai jahan TP area 1.0810-1.0800 ki qeemat par hai.

Buy entry ki ja sakti hai agar buyer ko resistance area ko toorna mein kamiyab hoti hai jahan ek pending buy-stop order lagaya ja sakta hai jo 1.0890-1.0895 ki qeemat par hai aur TP target 1.0930-1.0925 par hai.

EUR/USD Pair ka Technical Analysis 4-Hour Chart

Abhi EUR/USD pair support area mein trade kar raha hai, kyunki yeh weekly pivot level 1.0842 ke upar aur lower channel lines ke upar trade kar raha hai. Naye trading week ke aghaz par, humare paas ascending pattern hai jahan price, price channels ke andar upward trend ke sath trade karna shuru kar rahi hai jo ke pichle do hafton ke dauran price movement ko represent karti hai.

Price gir ke weekly pivot level tak pohanch gayi thi aur ab support lena shuru kar rahi hai taake yeh upar ja sake. Yeh mumkin hai ke price is hafte 1.0919 ke weekly resistance level tak aur phir 1.0971 tak pohanch jaye, isliye pair ke liye buying opportunities behtareen samjhi ja rahi hain.

Selling opportunities tab available ho sakti hain jab price girti hai aur dono price channels aur weekly pivot level ko todne mein kamyab hoti hai. Is surat mein price decline weekly support level 1.0713 tak pohanch sakta hai.

Economic side par, expected se kam US inflation numbers ne EUR/USD price ko pichle hafte recover karne diya jahan gains 1.0890 resistance level tak pohanch gaye the pehle ke week ki closing stable 1.0860 level par ho gayi. Jumme ko, profit-taking selling operations ne isse 1.0835 level tak push kiya lekin phir yeh wapis recover ho gaya. Is hafte, America mein investors kai Federal Reserve officials ke speeches, FOMC meeting ke minutes aur key economic indicators ko closely monitor karenge jismein S&P manufacturing aur services PMI, durable goods orders, aur new aur existing home sales shamil hain. Saath hi, earnings season apne ikhtitami stages mein hai.

Doosri taraf Europe mein, eurozone, Germany aur France ke liye flash PMI data release hoga jahan services sector tezi se expand kar raha hai aur manufacturing sector kam shrink ho raha hai. Iske ilawa, euro area mein consumer confidence behtarne ki umeed hai, jo ke February 2022 ke baad sabse uncha level hai. Germany mein producer prices ke lagatar doosre mahine mein barhne ki umeed hai, halanke dheemi raftaar se. Ahem data jise dekhna zaroori hoga unmein Eurozone trade balance aur negotiated wages, Germany ka final first quarter GDP data, aur Turkey mein interest rate decision shamil hain.

Is rukawat ka sabab ban sakti hai wo aane wale iqtisadi reports ya central bank ke elan ka intezar ho sakta hai. Market participants aksar bade trades karne se pehle rok jate hain jab significant data releases ka intezar hota hai, taake market ke galat side par na phans jayein. Misal ke tor par, agar GDP growth, employment figures, ya inflation data jaise key economic indicators jald release hone wale hain, to traders aksar in reports ka intezar karte hain taake unhein market ka wazeh rukh mil sake. Isi tarah, agar central banks ke upcoming statements ya policy decisions hone wale hain, to yeh bhi market movements par bara asar dal sakte hain. Aise scenarios mein, market aam tor par khamosh rehta hai jab tak traders in critical information ka intezar karte hain.Ek aur mumkin sabab jo aaj ki inakti ko contribute kar sakta hai wo broader market sentiment aur overall investor caution ho sakta hai. Kabhi kabhi low volatility aur lack of movement broader sense of uncertainty ya risk aversion ko reflect karte hain jo market participants ke darmiyan hota hai. Yeh un waqt mein ho sakta hai jab geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainties, ya bade global events ke lead-up mein ho. Jab investors ko future direction ke baray mein shak hota hai, to wo aksar wait-and-see approach apnate hain, jo subdued trading activity ko janam deta hai.Technically, initial movement ke baad 1.0700 level par lack of follow-through ko bhi market ka ek breather lena kaha ja sakta hai. Yeh tab hota hai jab price ek significant level par pohanchti hai lekin aage barhne ki momentum nahi hoti. Aise cases mein, market consolidation phase mein enter hota hai jahan yeh narrow range mein trade karta hai jab buyers aur sellers ek dusre ko balance karte hain. Yeh consolidation market cycle ka ek healthy hissa hota hai, jo next significant move se pehle energy accumulate karne ka moka deta hai.Aage dekhte hue, kal ka trading session ziada wazeh information de sakta hai. Yeh current pause wakai temporary ho sakta hai, aur market anticipated data ya events ke baad apni movement resume kar sakta hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur new developments par nazar rakhni chahiye jo market ke direction ke baray mein clearer insights provide kar sakti hain.Akhir mein, aaj ka din market mein ek inactive din tha, jo initial movement ke baad lack of further development se characterized tha. Yeh inactivity upcoming economic data, central bank announcements, broader market sentiment, ya ek technical consolidation phase ki wajah se ho sakti hai. Kal ka trading session ziada wazeh information de sakta hai, aur traders ko alert rehna chahiye taake kisi bhi emerging opportunities ko capitalize kar sakein. Market developments ko closely monitor karte hue aur adaptable rehkar, traders periods of inactivity ko navigate kar sakte hain aur next significant move ke liye ready reh sakte hain

Is rukawat ka sabab ban sakti hai wo aane wale iqtisadi reports ya central bank ke elan ka intezar ho sakta hai. Market participants aksar bade trades karne se pehle rok jate hain jab significant data releases ka intezar hota hai, taake market ke galat side par na phans jayein. Misal ke tor par, agar GDP growth, employment figures, ya inflation data jaise key economic indicators jald release hone wale hain, to traders aksar in reports ka intezar karte hain taake unhein market ka wazeh rukh mil sake. Isi tarah, agar central banks ke upcoming statements ya policy decisions hone wale hain, to yeh bhi market movements par bara asar dal sakte hain. Aise scenarios mein, market aam tor par khamosh rehta hai jab tak traders in critical information ka intezar karte hain.Ek aur mumkin sabab jo aaj ki inakti ko contribute kar sakta hai wo broader market sentiment aur overall investor caution ho sakta hai. Kabhi kabhi low volatility aur lack of movement broader sense of uncertainty ya risk aversion ko reflect karte hain jo market participants ke darmiyan hota hai. Yeh un waqt mein ho sakta hai jab geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainties, ya bade global events ke lead-up mein ho. Jab investors ko future direction ke baray mein shak hota hai, to wo aksar wait-and-see approach apnate hain, jo subdued trading activity ko janam deta hai.Technically, initial movement ke baad 1.0700 level par lack of follow-through ko bhi market ka ek breather lena kaha ja sakta hai. Yeh tab hota hai jab price ek significant level par pohanchti hai lekin aage barhne ki momentum nahi hoti. Aise cases mein, market consolidation phase mein enter hota hai jahan yeh narrow range mein trade karta hai jab buyers aur sellers ek dusre ko balance karte hain. Yeh consolidation market cycle ka ek healthy hissa hota hai, jo next significant move se pehle energy accumulate karne ka moka deta hai.Aage dekhte hue, kal ka trading session ziada wazeh information de sakta hai. Yeh current pause wakai temporary ho sakta hai, aur market anticipated data ya events ke baad apni movement resume kar sakta hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur new developments par nazar rakhni chahiye jo market ke direction ke baray mein clearer insights provide kar sakti hain.Akhir mein, aaj ka din market mein ek inactive din tha, jo initial movement ke baad lack of further development se characterized tha. Yeh inactivity upcoming economic data, central bank announcements, broader market sentiment, ya ek technical consolidation phase ki wajah se ho sakti hai. Kal ka trading session ziada wazeh information de sakta hai, aur traders ko alert rehna chahiye taake kisi bhi emerging opportunities ko capitalize kar sakein. Market developments ko closely monitor karte hue aur adaptable rehkar, traders periods of inactivity ko navigate kar sakte hain aur next significant move ke liye ready reh sakte hain

Aaj humari guftagu EUR/USD currency pair ke price action analysis par hogi. EUR/USD ke hawale se, situation kafi intriguing ban gayi hai. Main itni significant girawat anticipate nahi kar raha tha, khaaskar inflation report ke baad steady growth ke period ke baad. Magar, humein current reality ko assess karna hoga. Kal, pair ne girawat ko continue rakha aur 7th figure se neeche chala gaya, lekin wahan ab tak stabilize nahi hua. Aham baat yeh hai ke aur bhi girne ki guzarish hai. Agle hafte, euro area apne inflation data release karega. Mera outlook ab bhi bearish hai, aur main sell karne ka sochunga agar price 1.087 area ko reach karti hai.

Daily EUR/USD chart par, hum distinct channels observe karte hain. Price ne ascending channel ko exit kar liya, jo April ke end se form hona shuru hua tha aur 1.069 se start hua tha. Monday ko, channel se downward gap ko lower boundary retest karne se confirm kiya gaya
Ye stability ka period consolidation phase ko zahir karta hai, jahan market recent gains ko absorb kar raha hai aur agle move ke liye prepare kar raha hai. Aage dekhte hue, market participants apna focus 1.0790 level par shift kar rahe hain, jo ek key monthly resistance point ke taur par identify kiya gaya hai. Yeh level technical analysis mein bohot important hai aur future price action ke liye ek aham marker ban sakta hai. Agar EUR/USD pair apni upward momentum ko maintain kar sakta hai aur 1.0790 resistance level ko successfully break karta hai, to yeh bullish trend ke mazid strengthen hone ka signal hoga. Is level ke upar breakout additional buying interest ko attract karega, kyunki traders isse aforementioned trend ka confirmation samjhenge.

Ek key resistance point ka breach aksar increased volatility aur trading activity ko lead karta hai, jahan market participants apni positions ko naye market dynamics ke mutabiq adjust karte hain. 1.0790 level ki significance uske historical context se zahir hai. Resistance levels aksar previous price action par base hote hain, jahan market repeatedly higher move karne mein fail hoti hai. Aise levels traders ke liye psychologically important ban jaate hain, kyunki ye price growth ke potential barriers ko represent karte hain. In levels ka breach market sentiment ko badal sakta hai by changing the balance of power between buyers and sellers.

Technical factors ke ilawa, traders fundamentals ko bhi consider karenge jo EUR/USD pair ko affect kar sakte hain. Economic indicators, central bank policies, aur geopolitical events sabhi market sentiment ko shape karne mein important role play karte hain. Misal ke taur par, Eurozone se positive economic data ya Federal Reserve se dovish signals euro ko dollar ke against strengthen kar sakte hain, jo 1.0790 level ki taraf upward move ko support karenge

Kal, EUR/USD ne low volatility ke darmiyan choti si bullish bias ke sath trade kiya. Volatility itni kam thi ke intraday trade karna samajh nahi aata tha. Agar movements hi nahi hain, to koi profit kaise kama sakta hai? Na sirf movements nahi thi, balki koi news reports bhi nahi thi. Eurozone aur U.S. economic calendars relatively quiet thay. Isliye market ke paas react karne ke liye kuch bhi nahi tha aur positions open karne ka koi reason nahi mila.

Ek descending channel form ho gaya hai, lekin isse sab kuch better nahi hota. Price likely apni boundaries ke andar rahegi kuch waqt ke liye kyunki pair downward head kar raha hai practically sabhi timeframes par. Har halat mein euro ka girna zyada appealing hai than rise. Isliye, traders ko short positions aur sell signals par focus karna chahiye. Sath hi, pair aram se ek do hafta aur correct kar sakta hai, kyunki EUR/USD kabhi bhi strong movements ke liye nahi jana jata.

5-minute timeframe par sirf ek trading signal form hua. Chart mein dikhayi dene wale range 1.0726-1.0733 se price accurately bounce hui, uske baad 15 pips climb ki. Yeh wahi amount of profit hai jo beginners ne din ke liye earn kiya, kyunki pair ne aage movement nahi dikhayi. Yeh bhi noteworthy hai ke buy signal ideal tha, lekin usne bohot choti profit di. Masla signals mein nahi hai, balki market mein movements ki absence mein hai
Jese jese trading day aage badhta gaya, sellers ki inability support area ko break karne mein market dynamics ko shift karne lagi. Buyers, jo apni successful defense of support zone se emboldened ho gaye the, apni buying activity badhane lage. Is momentum shift ko gradual increase in bullish pressure se mark kiya gaya. Market ne ek transition dekhi jahan buyers price action mein zyada decisively dominate karne lage.Control ka change sellers se buyers ki taraf zyada apparent ho gaya jab price upward move karne lagi. Buyers ki increased dominance ne additional bullish pressure apply ki, earlier bearish trend ko reverse karte hue. Ye upward movement sirf sellers ke failure ka reaction nahi thi support area ko break karne mein, balki buyers ki growing confidence aur strength ka bhi demonstration thi market mein

ports ya central bank ke elan ka intezar ho sakta hai. Market participants aksar bade trades karne se pehle rok jate hain jab significant data releases ka intezar hota hai, taake market ke galat side par na phans jayein. Misal ke tor par, agar GDP growth, employment figures, ya inflation data jaise key economic indicators jald release hone wale hain, to traders aksar in reports ka intezar karte hain taake unhein market ka wazeh rukh mil sake. Isi tarah, agar central banks ke upcoming statements ya policy decisions hone wale hain, to yeh bhi market movements par bara asar dal sakte hain. Aise scenarios mein, market aam tor par khamosh rehta hai jab tak traders in critical information ka intezar karte hain.Ek aur mumkin sabab jo aaj ki inakti ko contribute kar sakta hai wo broader market sentiment aur overall investor caution ho sakta hai. Kabhi kabhi low volatility aur lack of movement broader sense of uncertainty ya risk aversion ko reflect karte hain jo market participants ke darmiyan hota hai. Yeh un waqt mein ho sakta hai jab geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainties, ya bade global events ke lead-up mein ho. Jab investors ko future direction ke baray mein shak hota hai, to wo aksar wait-and-see approach apnate hain, jo subdued trading activity ko janam deta hai. Technically, initial movement ke baad 1.0700 level par lack of follow-through ko bhi market ka ek breather lena kaha ja sakta hai. Yeh tab hota hai jab price ek significant level par pohanchti hai lekin aage barhne ki momentum nahi hoti. Aise cases mein, market consolidation phase mein enter hota hai jahan yeh narrow range mein trade karta hai jab buyers aur sellers ek dusre ko balance karte hain. Yeh consolidation market cycle ka ek healthy hissa hota hai, jo next significant move se pehle energy accumulate karne ka moka deta hai.Aage dekhte hue, kal ka trading session ziada wazeh information de sakta hai. Yeh current pause wakai temporary ho sakta hai, aur market anticipated data ya events ke baad apni movement resume kar sakta hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur new developments par nazar rakhni chahiye jo market ke direction ke baray mein clearer insights provide kar sakti hain.Akhir mein, aaj ka din market mein ek inactive din tha, jo initial movement ke baad lack of further development se characterized tha. Yeh inactivity upcoming economic data, central bank announcements, broader market sentiment, ya ek technical consolidation phase ki wajah se ho sakti hai. Kal ka trading session ziada wazeh information de sakta hai, aur traders ko alert rehna chahiye taake kisi bhi emerging opportunities ko capitalize kar sakein. Market developments ko closely monitor karte hue aur adaptable rehkar, traders periods of inactivity ko navigate kar sakte hain aur next significant move ke liye ready reh sakte hain

Ye chart forex market ka lagta hai aur yeh Bollinger Bands aur ek indicator ko show kar raha hai. Chart par kuch significant levels aur potential price movements indicate kiye gaye hain. Chaliye isko detail mein review karte hain.

1. Price Levels:
- Chart par 3 significant horizontal lines hain jo support aur resistance levels ko indicate karti hain.
- **Upper Red Line:** Yeh resistance level hai, jahan se price pehle multiple times reject hui hai.
- **Middle Red Line:** Yeh current support level hai jahan price is waqt trade kar rahi hai.
- **Lower Red Line:** Yeh ek strong support level hai, jahan price previous lows ke near hai.

2. Bollinger Bands:

• Bollinger Bands show karte hain ke market volatility kaise change ho rahi hai.
• Current price Bollinger Bands ke beech mein hai, indicating consolidation phase.
• Bollinger Bands ka contraction indicate karta hai ke market mein low volatility hai aur price ek tight range mein move kar rahi hai.

3. Indicator:

• Neeche ek histogram indicator hai jo MACD histogram lag raha hai.
• Indicator ne green bars dikhayi hain, indicating buying momentum lekin abhi weak momentum show kar raha hai.
• Red arrow niche indicator par bearish divergence ko point out kar raha hai jo potential downside movement ka indication hai.

Technical Analysis:
Is chart ko dekh kar lagta hai ke market abhi consolidation phase mein hai. Bollinger Bands contraction ko dekhte hue lagta hai ke price tight range mein move kar rahi hai aur ek significant move ke liye ready ho sakti hai.

Key Levels:
- Resistance Level (Upper Red Line): Agar price upar ki taraf break kare to yeh resistance level tak ja sakti hai. Yeh ek strong resistance hai aur wahan se rejection ka chance hai.

• Support Level (Middle Red Line):Current support level agar hold karta hai to yahan se bounce ho sakta hai.

• -Strong Support (Lower Red Line): Agar price niche girti hai to yeh level strong support provide kar sakta hai.

Bollinger Bands Analysis:

• Bollinger Bands ka contraction market mein low volatility ko indicate karta hai. Yeh suggest karta hai ke future mein ek significant move expected hai.
• Bollinger Bands ke beech mein price ka move karna consolidation phase ko indicate karta hai.

Indicator Analysis:

• Neeche ka histogram indicator buying momentum ko show kar raha hai lekin ab weak hota nazar aa raha hai.
• Red arrow bearish divergence ko show karta hai jo downside movement ka indication hai.

Conclusion:
Bullish Scenario: Agar price upper resistance ko break kar le to yeh bullish signal ho sakta hai aur price upper level ki taraf move kar sakti hai.
Bearish Scenario: Agar price lower support level ko break karti hai to yeh bearish signal hoga aur price neeche lower support level tak ja sakti hai.

Traders ko is situation mein careful rehna chahiye aur proper risk management use karna chahiye. Ye analysis apne trading decisions mein madadgar ho sakta hai, lekin hamesha yad rahe ke trading mein risk hota hai aur proper research aur risk management zaroori hai.

**EUR/USD H-1 Analysis:**

Yeh samajh aata hai... lekin is tarah ki news ke liye (mujhe lagta hai ke yeh itni serious nahi hain ke in par zyada tawajju di jaye, aur main trading ke liye in expectations aur guesswork par bharosa nahi karna chahta)..
Aur EUR/USD ne aaj ke recent trend ko confirm kiya hai, jab kisi pair mein din mein 2-3, maximum 5 candles hoti hain, jo business jaise lagti hain, aur baaqi sab pearls ki tarah chart par scattered hoti hain, kuch bhi clear nahi show karti, sirf confusion. Aaj, do candles ne poore din ka trading range show kiya - 1.0720-1.0670, aur iske aage koi decline ka continuation nahi tha, na hi koi normal rollback. Main 1.07 ke level ka test ka intezar kar raha hoon sale ke liye, aur mujhe lagta hai ke aaj yeh test nahi hoga. Yeh sad hai... lekin weekend ke liye jo kuch bhi maine hold kiya hai woh Eurodollars mein hai.

**EUR/USD H-4 Analysis:**

EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) ka analysis H4 time frame par: H1 time frame par ek zabardast trading plan develop kiya ja sakta hai, kyunki yeh waqt market mein profitable trade execute karne ka excellent opportunity deta hai with a high probability of fulfilling the forecast. Hum apne kaam mein teen indicators par focus karte hain - HamaSystem, RSI Trend aur Magnetic_Levels_Color. Best entry point select karne ke liye algorithm kuch steps par mabni hai. Pehle, hum higher timeframe H4 par trend determine karenge. Hama (moving average with 21) isme madad karega. Abhi prices moving average ke neeche hain, iska matlab hai global trend down hai aur hum sirf sales enter kar sakte hain.
Phir, working chart par hum intezar karte hain ke HUMA aur RSI indicators red ho jayein. Jab dono conditions meet ho jayein, hum short trade open karte hain. Position se nikalne ka waqt magnetic surfaces par aata hai. Aaj ka forecast level 1.06396 sabse likely hai. Agar price desired magnetic level tak pohanch jaye, hum instrument ka behavior monitor karte hain - agar price desired direction mein rise karti hai, hum troll add karte hain aur profit ke grow hone ka intezar karte hain. Agar price slow ho jaye aur ek jagah freeze ho jaye, toh hum bina hesitation ke magnetic surface par exit kar lete hain.

Eurodollar currency pair lagta hai ke kal ke bearish movement ko continue karega. Relative Strength Index jo ke 50.00 ke qareeb hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke bears ziada prices ko neeche dhakelne ki koshish karenge aane wale trading periods mein. Agar price accordingly move karti hai, to mujhe umeed hai ke 1.0800 ke psychologically significant support ke neeche break hoga, aur possible targets 1.0760 aur 1.0730 pe hain. In levels ke ooper 1.0700 ka psychologically significant support level hai. Agar bears 1.0800 ke neeche move karne mein nakam rehte hain, to quotes north ki taraf wapas jaane ke chances hain. Jab aisa hota hai, to mujhe umeed hai ke quotes 1.0850 level ki taraf jaayenge. Agar yeh level successfully cross ho gaya to price mark 1.0890 expose ho sakti hai. Iske aage 1.0900 aur 1.0930 ke levels hain. Abhi, daily trading diagram yeh dikhata hai ke risks downside ki taraf hain aur mein trading opportunities is direction mein dekhna pasand karunga. Aane wale periods mein pair ko sell karna ek acha faisla hoga
Yeh sab US CPI aur FOMC event ke baare mein tha Wednesday ko, jab ke EUR/USD ne temporarily naye political concerns ko old continent par aside rakh diya tha, khaaskar weekend ke waqt. European Parliament elections ke baad, yeh dobara zinda ho gaya. Is doran, ECB Vice President De Gendos ne Wednesday ko argue kiya ke bank ko interest rate cuts ke saath "bohot aahista" aage badhna chahiye due to considerable uncertainty around the inflation outlook. Us din ka key event yeh tha ke Federal Reserve ne interest rates ko steady rakha aur yeh suggest kiya ke rate cuts December tak shuru nahi honge. Unhone saal ka quarterly percentage point decline forecast kiya, jo ke rising inflation estimates ko reflect karta hai. Year-end inflation estimate ko revise karke 2.6% kar diya gaya, jo ke pehle 2.4% thi. Discussions se yeh pata chalta hai ke neutral interest rate pehle estimate se zyada ho sakta hai, isse 2024 ke end pe apne level ke ooper ek quarter of a percentage point ho sakta hai
Ham yeh bhi dekh rahe hain ke kabhi kabhi weak dollar euro ko greenback ke against support karta hai. Channel ke us paar, cable March peak ko test karne ke liye tayar hai despite electoral turmoil, kyunke UK mein possible Labor victory ko sterling aur British assets ke liye ek unusually positive outcome ke tor par dekha ja raha hai. Switzerland mein, further dollar weakness franc ke losses ko extend nahi kar sakta – jo ke Swiss National Bank (SNB) ke inflation ke khilaf fight ke liye necessarily bura nahi hoga

Kal ke weak US data ke response mein Euro ne bohot bura haal dekha. Hourly chart par Euro/USD pair 1.0722 ke neeche gir gaya, jo yeh suggest karta hai ke downward trend ka potential continuation current local minimum 1.0667 ki taraf ho sakta hai. Yeh downward movement tab bhi hui jab Asian trading session ke doran ek choti si upward correction dekhne ko mili thi. Kal release hone wale US economic data ne ek mushkil tasveer pesh ki, khaaskar disappointing manufacturing figures ke hawale se. Lekin isse US dollar par koi khaas asar nahi pada, jo trading day ke doran mazboot hota gaya. US Dollar Index (DXY) mein ek significant rise dekhne ko mila, jo dollar ki broader appreciation ko reflect karta hai.

Aaj ke economic calendar mein US mein kaafi busy din hai, aur sabse significant release official government data on business activity hai. Yeh data kal Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia ke disappointing manufacturing figures ko contradict kar sakta hai. Jabke hourly chart abhi bhi downward trend ko indicate karta hai, four-hour chart ek zyada complex picture pesh kar raha hai. Yahan pe reversal ke signs emerge ho rahe hain. Ho sakta hai ke market current session mein ek defined trading range ke andar settle ho, jo ke 1.0730 level ke aas paas hover kare. Iss point par, Euro ko khareedna ek risky proposition lagta hai. Trend mein reversal ek possibility hai jo main dekhna chahunga pehle ke khareedari consider karoon

Assalam-o-Alaikum sab ko! Kal shaam ko euro US dollar ke against 1.0720 ke support level ke upar trade kar raha tha, lekin ek clear intention ke sath ke isse break karega, jaise maine pehle bhi mention kiya tha ke situation subah clear hogi. Aur ab yeh obvious hai ke euro ne waqai is level ke neeche establish kar liya, jo ab ek kaafi acha resistance ban sakta hai, jahan se short positions khuli ja sakti hain. Kyunke overall trend EUR/USD chart par descending hai, isme kuch unexpected nahi ke price apni movement South ki taraf continue kar sakti hai

Ab hum pehla impulse bhi notice kar sakte hain, jiski base par hum asaani se Fibonacci grid stretch kar sakte hain, aur is tarah 161st level 1.0660 ke aas paas hoga, jo current minimum 1.0667 ke neeche hai. Lekin hume support ko bhi nahi bhoolna chahiye jo 1.0649 par hai, jo price ke liye bohot tempting ho sakta

Kal ke weak US economic data ke bawajood, US dollar ki strength ne Euro/USD pair ko neeche gira diya, jo 1.0722 ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Asian session mein thodi upward correction dekhne ko mili, lekin overall trend ab bhi descending hai. Hourly chart downward trend ko indicate karta hai, jabke four-hour chart ek complex picture aur potential reversal ke signs dikhata hai. Aaj ke high-impact US economic releases ko madde nazar rakhte hue, Euro ko khareedna risky hai. Short positions ko abhi bhi consider kiya ja sakta hai jab tak resistance levels intact hain. Overall, current trends ko closely monitor karna aur fundamental aur technical analysis ko combine karna zaruri hai taake informed trading decisions liye ja sake.

EUR/USD currency pair ki current price movement ki halat dilchasp hai. Yeh herani ki baat hai ke market ko sirf 0.1% margin se inflation statistics adjust kar ke kitni asaani se manipulate kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh aane wali Federal Reserve meeting ka precursor hai. Seriously baat karein toh, technical analysis options mein divergence ko show karta hai. EUR/USD pair ke neeche trend line of the descending daily channel ko pohanchne ke imkanat hain, usay test karega, aur phir apni local downward trajectory ko continue karega. Aakhir mein, pair channel mein wapas aayega, stabilize karega, aur dheere dheere wapas rise karega. Mujhe umeed hai ke kal tak situation zyada wazeh ho jayegi. Annual inflation ka 0.1% decrease significant nahi hai, magar yeh September mein rate cut ka sabab ban sakta hai, halaan ke foran nahi. Humein dekhna hoga ke market kaise react karta hai; agar current trend barqarar rehta hai, toh pair week ke end tak 1.0889 level par wapas aa sakta hai. Maine anticipate kiya tha ke EUR/USD pair gap ko close karega, magar move umeed se zyada abruptly hua. News par, price ek hi candle ke sath close hui aur upar chali gayi. Magar, jaise ke pehle zikr kiya, aisi news-driven candlesticks ko zyada potential ki zarurat hoti hai for sustained movement. Hum 1.0740 ko pohanchne ki koshish kar sakte hain.

Ongoing market action bearish sentiment ko suggest karta hai. Bullish candlestick pattern emerge hua hai, jo recent news-driven spike ko counter kar sakta hai. Magar, yeh likely hai ke price wapas 1.0759 level tak retreat kare, jahan se current movement originate hui thi. Jaise hi US trading session qareeb aata hai ya conclude hota hai, wahan 1.0759 support ko todne aur neeche move karne ki koshish ho sakti hai. Yeh current trading week ke liye ek viable strategy lagti hai. EUR/USD pair ka hourly chart short-term bearish bias ko indicate karta hai, jo selling opportunities ko buying se zyada favorable banata hai. 120-period Moving Average trend indicator bearish direction ko confirm karta hai, kyunke price indicator ke neeche trade ho rahi hai. Iske ilawa, Zigzag indicator bearish structure ko reflect karta hai with declining extremes. Is baat ko dekhte hue, mein 1.0771 level se sell karne ka plan bana raha hoon, pehle 1.0731 aur phir 1.0691 ko target karte hue, aur stop loss 1.0801 par place karte hue. Magar, agar din ke dauran market conditions change hoti hain, toh buying consider ki ja sakti hai agar pair 1.0831 ke upar stabilize ho jata hai. Buy trades ke liye, take profit target 1.0871 par set kiya jayega, aur stop loss 1.0801 par. Khaas baat yeh hai ke US inflation data expected se kam aayi, jo Federal Reserve ke aaj ki meeting mein interest rates ko lower karne ke chances ko barha deti hai. Halaanki yeh imkanat kam hain, magar inflation data ne is outcome ko zyada plausible bana diya hai.

Future interest rate reductions ke chances bohot likely hain ya phir unchanged reh sakte hain. Agar daily trading chart 1.0774 ke upar closing price show karta hai, toh yeh positive market trend ko suggest karta hai, aur medium-term price increases ke prospects ko raise karta hai.

### EUR/USD Analysis: Low Volatility and Trading Outlook
Yesterday, EUR/USD traded with a small bullish bias amid low volatility. Volatility decreased to levels where it made no sense to trade intraday. If there are no movements, how can anyone manage to make some profit? Not only were there no movements, but there were no news reports as well. The Eurozone and U.S. economic calendars were relatively quiet. Thus, the market had nothing to react to and it found no reason to open positions.

A descending channel has formed, but this doesn't make everything better. The price will likely remain within its boundaries for some time since the pair is headed downwards on practically all the timeframes. It is currently more appealing for the euro to fall than rise in any case. Therefore, traders should focus on short positions and sell signals. At the same time, the pair could calmly correct for another week or two, as EUR/USD has never been an instrument known for strong movements.

Only one trading signal was formed on the 5-minute timeframe. As seen in the chart above, the price accurately bounced from the range of 1.0726-1.0733, after which it managed to climb 15 pips. This is the only amount of profit that beginners could earn for the day, as the pair failed to show further movement. It's also noteworthy that even though the buy signal was ideal, it resulted in very small profit. The issue lies not in the signals themselves but in the absence of movements in the market.

### Technical Analysis

**Current Market Conditions**
- **Volatility**: Low
- **Key Levels**:
- **Resistance**: 1.0733
- **Support**: 1.0726
- **Trend**: Descending channel, bearish on all timeframes

**Trading Signals**
- **5-Minute Timeframe**: One buy signal formed at the 1.0726-1.0733 range, resulting in a 15-pip gain.

### Sentiment and Indicators

The French currency shows no signs of bottoming amid political uncertainty, slightly strengthening the euro. However, this might reverse, mirroring last week's movement. The volume indicator shows a daily decrease in market participation, threatening a new solid impulse. Sentiment analysis reveals that overbought conditions were nearly resolved in the U.S. during yesterday's session, with the ratio of open sell-to-buy trades now at 47/52, compared to yesterday's 40/59. The latest retail sales data shows unfavorable results, with one indicator remaining unchanged and another suggesting lower-than-expected growth. They have contributed to today's decline.

**Potential Movements**
- **Upside Potential**: If the stock market rises, the EUR/USD pair may climb to the EMA50 at 1.0764.
- **Downside Risk**: A return to trading below 1.0719 would negate the correction's continuation, leading to further declines, which is expected in the current tight market.

### Conclusion

The overall trend for EUR/USD remains bearish within a descending channel. Given the low volatility and lack of significant market movements, traders are advised to focus on short positions and sell signals. Any upward corrections are likely to be short-lived, and the pair is expected to continue its downward trend.

### Translation in Roman Urdu

### EUR/USD Analysis: Kam Volatility Aur Trading Ka Outlook

Kal EUR/USD ne kam volatility ke sath thori si bullish bias ke sath trade kiya. Volatility is level tak kam ho gayi ke intraday trade karna bemaani ho gaya. Agar movements nahi hain, to koi kaise kuch profit bana sakta hai? Na sirf movements nahi thein, balke koi news reports bhi nahi thi. Eurozone aur US ke economic calendars relatively quiet thein. Is tarah, market ke paas react karne ke liye kuch nahi tha aur isne koi positions kholne ka reason nahi paaya.

Ek descending channel form ho gayi hai, lekin isse zyada behtari nahi aayi. Price likely iski boundaries mein kuch waqt tak rehgi kyunke pair lagbhag sab timeframes par neeche ki taraf hai. Abhi euro ke liye girna zyada appealing hai kisi bhi surat mein upar jaane se. Isliye, traders ko short positions aur sell signals par focus karna chahiye. Sath hi, pair calmly do hafton tak correct kar sakta hai, kyunke EUR/USD kabhi bhi strong movements ke liye mashhoor nahi raha.

Sirf ek trading signal 5-minute timeframe par form hua. Jaise ke chart mein dekha ja sakta hai, price accurately 1.0726-1.0733 ke range se bounce hui, jiske baad 15 pips ka climb kiya. Yeh sirf itna profit hai jo beginners ke liye din ka hasil tha, kyunke pair ne mazeed movement show nahi ki. Yeh bhi noteworthy hai ke buy signal ideal hone ke bawajood, yeh bahut choti profit result hui. Issue signals mein nahi balke market mein movements ki absence mein hai.

### Technical Analysis

**Current Market Conditions**
- **Volatility**: Kam
- **Key Levels**:
- **Resistance**: 1.0733
- **Support**: 1.0726
- **Trend**: Descending channel, sab timeframes par bearish

**Trading Signals**
- **5-Minute Timeframe**: Ek buy signal form hua 1.0726-1.0733 range par, jisse 15-pip gain mila.

### Sentiment Aur Indicators

French currency political uncertainty ke bawajood bottoming ke koi signs nahi dikhati, jo euro ko thoda strengthen karta hai. Magar, yeh pichle hafte ke movement ko mirror kar sakta hai. Volume indicator market participation mein daily decrease dikhata hai, jo ek nayi solid impulse ko threaten karta hai. Sentiment analysis reveal karta hai ke overbought conditions US mein kal ke session ke doran lagbhag resolve ho gayi thi, sell-to-buy trades ka ratio ab 47/52 hai, jab ke kal 40/59 tha. Latest retail sales data unfavorable results dikhata hai, ek indicator unchanged raha aur doosra lower-than-expected growth suggest karta hai. Yeh aaj ke decline mein contribute kiya.

**Potential Movements**
- **Upside Potential**: Agar stock market rise karta hai, to EUR/USD pair EMA50 at 1.0764 tak climb kar sakta hai.
- **Downside Risk**: Trading below 1.0719 wapas aa jane se correction continuation negate ho jayega, jo mazeed declines ko lead karega, jo current tight market mein expected hai.

### Conclusion

EUR/USD ka overall trend bearish hai descending channel ke andar. Low volatility aur significant market movements ki absence ko dekhte hue, traders ko short positions aur sell signals par focus karna chahiye. Koi bhi upward corrections short-lived hone ki likely hain, aur pair apne downward trend ko continue karne ki expected hai.

Salam! Aaj ke din ki baat karte hain, EUR/USD currency pair ke trading ke hawale se. Aakhri do din se EUR/USD exactly 50 points ke andar hi move kar raha tha. Main pehle bhi likh chuka hoon ke decline ko EUR/GBP pair rok raha tha, kyun ke wahan EUR kaafi strong tha. Lekin ab lagta hai ke EUR/GBP daily chart niche ki taraf turn ho raha hai, jo ke agle hafte EUR/USD ke liye decline ka sabab ban sakta hai
Darasal, rising daily volumes ne decline ko slow kar diya, lekin growth index, jo ke maximum bearish sales zone mein hai, tab tak growth ko roke rakhega jab tak price higher hone ke sath yeh index bhi upar na ho jaye. Jab tak hourly volumes zero mark se upar bullish zone mein nahi aate, real growth expect karna sahi nahi hai. Chart pe yeh tab dikhayi dega jab price yesterday’s 1.07182 ko breakout kare
Chaliye, ab 4-hour chart pe dekhein jo ke weekly period ko show kar raha hai. (Kuch log period separators ko hata dete hain, lekin yeh galat hai kyun ke yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke price hafte bhar mein kaha gaya). Toh, week ke beech mein, EUR/USD niche turn ho gaya aur overall weekly scale pe decline kar raha hai.






Aur sab se zaroori baat yeh hai ke weekly chart pe growth index significant drop karke bearish zone mein chala gaya hai. Ab agar weekly period ko closely dekha jaye, toh main keh sakta hoon ke jab growth index decrease hota hai, toh aksar price bhi kuch weeks ke liye further decrease hoti hai. Yeh kehna mushkil hai ke hum niche hi move karte rahenge, lekin ab tak growth index ne sahi direction mein point kiya hai
Ab jab hum yeh analysis karte hain, toh samajh aata hai ke EUR/USD ke hawale se current market sentiment bearish hai. Yeh analysis technical aur fundamental dono aspects ko consider karta hai. Technical analysis se yeh pata chalta hai ke price movements aur support/resistance levels kya hain, jabke fundamental analysis se yeh samajh aata hai ke macroeconomic factors kis tarah impact kar rahe ha
Hafte bhar ki trading ko dekhte hue, humein yeh nazar aa raha hai ke agar EUR/USD ke hourly volumes bullish zone mein move karte hain toh kuch upar ki taraf movement possible hai. Lekin ab tak ka data suggest karta hai ke decline ka silsila continue reh sakta hai, khas tor pe jab tak growth index bearish zone mein hai
Is analysis ko madde nazar rakhte hue, traders ko yeh samajhna hoga ke risk management strategies ko implement karna zaroori hai. Yeh strategies stop-loss orders lagane aur position sizes ko manage karne mein madadgar hoti hain. Aane wale dino mein EUR/USD ke price movements ko closely monitor karna hoga taake market ki changing dynamics ko samajh sakein aur accordingly trading decisions le sakein
Mujhe umeed hai ke yeh detailed analysis aapko EUR/USD ke hawale se trading decisions mein madad dega. Trading ke dauran technical aur fundamental factors ko samajhna aur inhe apne trading strategy mein include karna bohot zaroori hai.

EUR-USD H4 Technical Analysis

Aaj subha ke dusre behas mein hum EUR/USD pair ka tajziya karenge, jo lagbhag GBP/USD pair jaisa hai. Is pair mein bhi kal ek bara bullish movement dekha gaya. Agar hum ghor karen to, filhaal EUR/USD position Monday ke highest position se kafi door hai. Agar yeh aise hi rahta hai, to yeh mumkin hai ke EUR/USD aur bhi upar move kare, jahan sabse qareeb target last week ka resistance area ho sakta hai. Yeh 1.086 par hai, to agar yeh area break ho gaya to EUR/USD pair mein bara scale pe khareedari ka moka wide open ho sakta hai.

Lekin, buyers ko H4 ke oscillator par bhi nazar rakhni chahiye, kyunki filhaal price wapas overbought position mein aa gaya hai, is liye filhaal ke position se ek aur decline ka imkaan hai. Agar yeh hota hai, to yeh thoda risky hai agar hum zabardasti karen.

Click image for larger version

Name: Screenshot_2024-04-04-14-31-09-922-edit_net.metaquotes.metatrader4.jpg
Views: 3036
Size: 297.2 KB
ID: 18382830

Shayad, main EUR/USD ko sell karne ka irada chor dunga, aur mojooda developments par nazar rakhunga, jo behtar hoga agar hum dekhen ke EUR/USD resistance 1.086 ko break karta hai ya nahi, aur agar yeh break nahi karta to phir main wapas sell karne ki koshish karunga, ideal target area EMA50 par. EUR/USD market pair abhi bhi potentially bullish hai kal ke trading ke baad, jahan buyers ne bearish sellers ko rok kar support area ko maintain kiya aur price ko bullish movement mein continue rakha.

Daily time window ko Moving Average technique se observe karne par, yeh dekha gaya ke buyers trading mein dominate kar rahe hain EUR/USD market pair ko, jo price ko Yellow 200 MA area ke upar break karne mein kaamyab rahe hain. Buyers ke strong bullish candlestick banane ke kaamiyabi ne price ke aur bhi upar move karne ke chances ko barhaya, jo price ko seller resistance area tak le ja sakta hai jo Blue 100 MA area mein hai. Filhaal, shayad ek bearish correction ho aur buyers isse buy entry areas ko dekhne ke liye use kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD FORECAST




Is hafte ki trading session mein, EUR/USD currency pair ne dubara downward move karne mein kamyabi hasil ki hai. Aaj subah market close hone tak, price Simple Moving Average indicators 60 aur 150 se neeche gir gayi, jo yeh impression deti hai ke market abhi bhi bearish condition mein hai. Yeh decline situation asal mein market trend ke mutabiq hai jo ke mahine ke aaghaz se hi candlestick ke decline phase mein hone se dikhai de rahi thi. Weekly timeframe par bearish candlestick ka formation yeh dikhata hai ke pichle lagbhag paanch consecutive hafton se bearish trend chal raha hai. Is condition ne seller army ke confidence ko barhawa diya hai ke agle hafte market par zyada pressure dalenge. Mere khayal se, agar hum pichle kuch dinon ke movements ko dekhein, toh continued bearishness ka potential abhi bhi bohot zyada hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator ki Lime line level 30 ke qareeb gir gayi hai, jo ke market mein bearishness ko indicate karti hai. Agle kuch dino ke liye estimation hai ke bearish direction mein movement ka potential phir se hai. Umeed hai ke seller army prices ko dubara neeche push karegi. Agar hum pichle mahine ke trend ko refer karein, toh yeh nazar aata hai ke EURUSD currency pair ki situation abhi bhi seller forces ke control mein hai. Is liye, agle hafte ki trading session ke liye behtar hai ke aise movements par concentrate kiya jaye jo ke bearish trend ko continue karne ka potential rakhti hain. Chahe market abhi chhuti par hai, lekin agle hafte price ke downwards move karne ki umeed hai, takay level 1.0640 ke range ko test kiya ja sake. Mere khayal mein, agle hafte ke liye trading options abhi bhi SELL hain jab tak price 1.0640 level se neeche hai.