Eur/usd

EUR/USD currency pair, jo is waqt 1.0910 level ke qareeb trading kar rahi hai, recent mein bearish trend dikhayi de rahi hai. Ye bearish sentiment euro ke US dollar ke muqable mein kamzor hone ko darshaata hai. Is trend ke peechay kai wajahein hain, jin mein economic indicators, geopolitical events aur market sentiment shaamil hain. Magar kuch nishaaniyan hain jo yeh batati hain ke ek significant movement karib hai.
### Current Market Conditions

EUR/USD pair ka recent bearish trend kai factors ki wajah se hai. Asal mein, Eurozone aur United States dono ki economic data ne bohot bara role ada kiya hai. Eurozone ko slow economic growth, low inflation rates, aur kuch member countries mein political uncertainties ka samna hai. Dosri taraf, US economy ne resilience dikhayi hai, strong employment numbers, robust consumer spending aur stable inflation ke saath, jo US dollar ko mazbooti de rahi hain.

### Technical Analysis

Technical nazar se dekha jaye to, EUR/USD pair ka 1.0910 tak girna significant support levels ke qareeb hai. Technical indicators, jaise ke moving averages aur Relative Strength Index (RSI), dikhate hain ke pair oversold territory mein hai, jo ek corrective rebound ki wajah ban sakti hai. Tareekhi tor pe, jab RSI kuch levels se neeche chala jata hai, to ye is baat ka ishara hai ke currency pair oversold hai aur reversal ya kam az kam significant retracement ke liye tayyar ho sakti hai.

### Fundamental Factors

Agle kuch dinon mein kai fundamental factors EUR/USD ko asar kar sakte hain:

1. **Monetary Policy Divergence**: European Central Bank (ECB) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) ki monetary policy mein farq hai. Agar Fed interest rate hikes ka signal deta hai ya hawkish stance rakhta hai, to USD aur mazboot ho sakta hai. Wahan agar ECB Eurozone economy ko stimulate karne ke liye measures leti hai, jaise ke quantitative easing ya interest rates cut karti hai, to EUR aur kamzor ho sakti hai.

EUR/USD


Aaj ke maali bazaar mein buhat halchal hai, aur har ek nigrani kar raha hai ke kya chal raha hai. Aaj ka manzar intehai dilchasp aur umeed bhara hai. Bazaar mein bull aur bear hamesha larta rehte hain, lekin aaj bull ne jeet hasil ki hai aur ek aham level 1.08670 ko paar kar diya hai. Ye aham tor par dekha jaye to ek bohot bara lamha hai, bull ki taqat aur azm ka saboot hai. Unka yeh level test karna bohot kuch kehta hai, aur aqalmand nazar rakhnay walon ko yakeen de raha hai.

Is jeet ke baad sales par ghoor karna bekaar lagta hai. Jab momentum bull ke haq mein hai to sales kyun ki jayein? Aage ka rasta saaf nazar aa raha hai – upar ka safar jari hai aur maqsood 1.09700 ke qareeb hai. Ye upward movement na sirf mumkin lagti hai balkay bilkul qareeb nazar aati hai, given ke bullish sentiment chal raha hai. Magar, ehtiyaat ke tor par, hamesha ek waapas anay ka chance rehta hai. Agar bull wapas 1.08670 level ko test karte hain to, dobara sochna aur apni strategy ko adjust karna zaroori hai.

Umeed ke bawajood, bears bhi apni jagah hain. Woh kabhi bhi price ko neeche le aasakte hain. Options desk ka bhi nazar daali jaye to zyada bullish lagta hai, magar bears ko kamzor nahi samajhna chahiye. Is liye ek backup plan bhi banana zaroori hai – agar bears ka qabza ho jaye to sales par bhi ghoor kiya jaye. Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) ki reports ka bhi intezar hai. Ye reports andheray mein roshni ke manind hain, jo kal aayengi aur raasta dikhayengi. Ye reports bazaar ki complexities ko samajhne mein madad karegi.

Aaj ke developments umeed bhari tasveer kasha karte hain lekin ehtiyaat ke sath. Bull ne apni hukoomat qarar ki hai, aur upar ka safar jari hai. Magar, is khushi ke bawajood, ehtiyaat hamesha zaroori hai, aur hamesha chaukanna rehna zaroori hai. Maali bazaar ke safar mein, ek baat to tay hai – finance ki duniya mein adaptability aur foresight hi kamyabi ki kunji hai.

EUR/USD ANALYSIS



EUR/USD jodi mein, market aaj aik be maayne gap ke sath khula, jo ke abhi filhal pura ho chuka hai, aur asian session ke doran, kharidari karne wale dhaire dhaire keemat ko uttar ki taraf dhakel rahe hain. Boht mumkin hai ke uttar ki taraf ka rukh jaari rahe, jo ke meri tajziya ke mutabiq 1.08850 pe resistance level par waqe hai. Jaise ke maine pehle zikar kiya hai, is resistance level ke qareeb do manazir honge. Pehle tarteeb ke darjaat mein keemat is level ke oopar jaama ho aur mazeed uttar ki taraf jaari rahe. Agar yeh mansooba tijarat kiya gaya, toh main keemat ka intezar karunga ke wo 1.09425 ya 1.09812 ke resistance level ki taraf jaari rahe. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main tijarat ka setup banne ka intezar karunga, jo agle tijarat ka rukh tay karne mein madad karega. Doosra mansooba jo keemat 1.08850 resistance level ke qareeb pohnchne par price movement ka hoga, woh aik plan shamil karega jo ke aik ulta waqt candle ki shakal mein banega aur keemat ka dobara kami ki taraf janay ka rukh hoga. Agar yeh mansooba tijarat kiya gaya, toh main keemat ka intezar karunga ke wo 1.07882 support level ki taraf laut jaye. Is support level ke qareeb, main muntazir rahunga ke kisi bullish signal ka intezar karon, aur uttar ki taraf price movement ka dobara shuru hone ka aitbaar karon. Yeh hai keemat ke doosri mansoobon ka bhi ikhtemaal hai, jo ke meri tajziya ke mutabiq 1.07239 ke qareeb waqe hai. Lekin agar muntazir plan tijarat kiya jata hai, toh main is support level ke qareeb bhi bullish signals ka intezar karta rahunga, aur uttar ki taraf price movement ka dobara shuru hone ka aitbaar karon. Mukhtasir tor par, aaj ke doran, main samajhta hoon ke keemat uttar ki taraf dhakel sakti hai qareebi resistance level ki taraf, phir tijarat ki halat ko dobara dekha jayega.

north preserved hai aur zone 1/2, theory ke mutabiq, entry into purchases ke liye jagah hai, magar mujhe shak hai ke yeh ek nayi northern wave hogi, sab kuch daily chart par itna khubsurat nahi hai. Main kuch arsa ke liye downward direction mein marginal change allow karta hoon, magar iske liye humein 1/2 zone ke niche fix dekhna hoga, is case mein hum 1.0740-25+- area tak ja sakte hain, abhi confirm nahi kar sakta, shayad is hafte nahi. Ek interesting formation ke framework mein - ek expanding triangle pattern, abhi notice kiya. General mein, is hafte ke liye main ek correction goal 1.0790 tak set karta hoon, wahan tail laga sakte the, humein din ke end par 1/2 zone mein reaction dekhni chahiye. Kal ke swell ke baad, aaj kharidne ka bilkul man nahi kar raha, abhi bhi standby mode mein hai.
Kal hum bohot chalak se chale, subah zone 1/2 tak nahi pohnch sake, kuch points cover karne ka waqt nahi tha. Phir inner red zone tak rollback diya, maine apply kiya, magar wahan se ek din mein continued decline expect nahi kiya tha aur aise moments pakarne ke liye computer par baithna pada. Aur wahan se red zone 1.0859-63 ka filigree test ke baad neeche ud gaye, pehle ke high ko break karne se ek millimeter door the.
General mein, aaj ke neeche 1.0790 aur 1.0770 hain aur upar - 1.0848, agar hum daily pivot se upar break karte hain, 1.0826.Mere liye, humara EURUSD currency pair apne sab minimum downside targets meet kar chuka hai. Wave structure neeche jate hue apni order build karna shuru karti hai, MACD indicator lower sell zone mein hai aur apni signal line se neeche gir raha hai. Sellersdheere dheere price ko downward correction mein push kar rahe hain. Kal, ek descending triangle figure form hui thi. Yahaan normal yeh tha ke horizontal support level 1.0805 tak descent ho, jo asal mein hua. Iske ilawa, third wave already neeche chali gayi hai, aap pehli wave par target Fibonacci grid laga sakte hain aur 161.8 level dekh sakte hain, jo designated support level ke bilkul neeche hai aur yeh bhi reach ho chuka hai. Kal bhi descending triangle 1.0843 ke base level tak return aur wahan se neeche move hui. Ab CCI indicator lower overheated zone se upar move karne ke liye tayar hai aur bullish divergence is par nazar aa rahi hai, kyunki price support level par hai, shayad upar push karne ki koshish karen. General mein, situation uncertain hai, price levels ke beech mein squeezed hai aur factors growth resume karne ke haq mein hain, meri rai mein, decline continue karne ke haq mein kam hain. Abhi work karne ke liye best pair nahi hai, price ne sabse understandable potential reduction ko kaam kar liya hai, magar abhi dollar pound ke sath nahi hai, wahan bechna promising lagta hai, aur wo girega, magar yahan bas time mark karega, mere khayal se, yeh couple wahan ko catch up karega. Aur aage decline ke liye, zaroori hai ke current support level 1.0805 ke neeche clearly consolidate karein, phir price shayad level 1.0738 area tak neeche jayegi, jo target Fibonacci grid ke 261.8 level ke sath coincide karta hai jo pehli wave par superimpose hai. Khabron ke mutabiq, aap 15-30 Moscow time ko note kar sakte hain: Volume of orders for durable goods in the USA aur Basic orders for durable goods in the USA.

EUR/USD. Hourly chart par, price downward channel ke andar hai. Aaj pair grow ho rahi thi aur umeed thi ke price downward channel ke upper border tak upar move kar sakti hai, magar price target tak nahi pohnchi, pair turn around hui aur neeche move hone lagi. Ab mujhe umeed hai ke pair slight decline experience kar sakti hai downward channel ke lower border tak, j

currency pair ke daam ko realtime mein jaa raha hoon. Jahan tak EURUSD ka sawaal hai, cheezein aise hi chal rahi hain jaisa ki maine ummeed ki thi. Maine lagatar kaha hai ki 1.0755 ke upar ki chalanein mumkin hain, jo ki bina conso Iske bajaay, main 1.08 par ek sambhav vyarth bahar nikalne par dhyan kendrit kar raha hoon, aur agar daam 1.0783-1.08 zone ko dobara pahunchta hai, to main ek tight stop ke saath bechna ka vichar karunga. EURUSD mein ek neeche ki disha ke liye ek spasht signal sirf 1.0645 ka todna hoga. Europe ke raasta katne ka mahatva khaaskar 1.0858 ke neeche bana hai. Arthavyavastha par katne ka gahra asar nahi padta; bhavna ke jhatkon ka mahatva hai. Pichle hafte ke mahatvapurn utaar-chadhaav yeh tha ki baelon ne 1.0824 pratirodh ke kareeb kiya, jo mid-April se 4 ghante ka aarohi channel aur bullish momentum ko darust kar diya. Haalaanki trading ek pullback ke saath samapt hui, yeh ek prakritik ghatna hai vishesh roop se haal hi mein America ke datalidation ke 8th figure ko briefly par kar sakti hain. Is nateeje ka aana koi aashcharyajanak nahi tha, khaaskar jab karyakram ki moolya se dharak ka giravat hua. Sakaratmak PMI data ne giravat ko rok diya hai, jo ek sambhav punarvarg ka suchak hai. Halaanki, turant lakshyon ki avashyakta faisla lene ko ulajhati hai, jo mujhe aur adhik kharidne se bachane ke liye prerit k mein pravesh karne ke. EURUSD ke liye pichle sthaaniya niman, aadarsh roop se 1.0727 se door rehna avashyak hai aur upyukt maarg ko nirdharit karne ke liye MA14 moving average rekha ko 1.0705 par parikshan karna hai, jo 1.0858 pratirodh zone ke or vruddhi kearti hai. Tarkik roop se, daam bullish hai. Iske bajaay, main 1.08 par ek sambhav vyarth bahar nikalne par dhyan kendrit kar raha hoon, aur agar daam 1.0783-1.08 zone ko dobara pahunchta hai, to

par shuru kiya, lekin ek aur shant session aur asli US dollar ke karvayi ke bavjood kuch defensive tarah se trade kiya. Bond yields Europe aur US dono mein gira hua hain, jismein EUR/USD zara sa kam ho gaya hai ek bilkul badal hi monetary policy stance ke beech aur mazboot ummedon ke beech ki ECB apne is hafte ke meeting mein policy ko beghair kisi tabdeeli ke rakhegi, sath hi US ke mahangai data aur Fed minutes ke release ke aagey barhne wali ehtiyaat ke beech. Is natije mein, Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank dono ek easing cycle shuru karne ki ummed hai, jiska aghaz June mein ho sakta hai. Do mukhya banks mukhtalif tareeqon se chal sakte hain rate cuts ki rok tham, lekin ECB ko Fed ke peechay kafi peechay na hona ummed hai.Fed ke front par, Chicago Fed ke A. Goolsby ne Fed ko apni contractionary policies ke asrat ka khayal rakhne ki zaroorat par jor diya, jabki Minneapolis Fed ke karkun N. Kashkari ne kaha ke agar mahangai is saal bhi stagnant rahegi to rate cuts mushkil mein hain. Fed Governor M. Bowman ne kaha ke mahangai ko kam karne ki koshishon ke khilaf dikkat hai.Pair ke liye pehli resistance points umeed kiye ja rahe hain April ki unchaaiyon par 1.0885 (April 9), March ki unchaaiyon par 1.0981 (March 8), saptahik unchaai par 1.0998 (Jan. 11), aur manasik rok 1.1000. Is ke mutabiq, EUR/USD ke mazeed izafay ke bina december 2023 ki unchaai 1.1139 (December 28) ko test kar sakte hain. Niche, EUR/USD ko mukhya 200 din ka harkat hua average 1.0832 par milega pehle 1.0724 (April 2) aur 1.0694 (Feb 14) ki nichli hadon ko torne se 2024 mein. Iske baad November 2023 ki kamai (1.0516), saptahik kamai (1.0495), October 13, 2023, kamai (10.448), aur October 2023 ki manasik rok (1.0440) aati hai.Char ghante ka chart dikhata hai ke EUR/USD pair ke liye musbat jazba abhi tak mojood hai. Agla upar ka nishan 1.0885 hai, aur agla 1.0942 hai. 100 sadharan harkat hua average aur 55 sadharan harkat hua average, jo 1.0828 aur 1.0809 ke aas paas hain, EUR/USD ke liye nichey ka resistance level hai, jiska peeche 1.0791 aata hai. RSI lagbhag 55 ke aspaas gira hua hai, jabki moving average convergence divergence (MACD) signal positive hai.

EUR/USD H-1 Analysis:

Chart Breakdown:

Chart mein EUR/USD pair ko hourly (H-1) timeframe par analyze kiya gaya hai. Yahan kuch important observations aur analysis hain:

1. Resistance Level:
   • Chart ke upar ek horizontal line dikh rahi hai jo resistance level ko indicate kar rahi hai. Yeh level around 1.0900 par hai.
   • Price ne is level ko multiple times test kiya hai aur har baar wahan se reverse hua hai, jo is level ki strength ko indicate karta hai.
2. Support Level:
   • Neeche ek blue horizontal line nazar aa rahi hai jo support level ko dikhati hai. Yeh level around 1.0780 par hai.
   • Price ne is level par support liya hai aur phir upward movement show kiya hai.
3. Current Price Movement:
   • Chart mein, current price movement downward trend ko indicate kar raha hai.
   • Price resistance level se neeche aa rahi hai aur support level ki taraf move kar rahi hai.
4. Technical Indicators:
   • RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator neeche dikh raha hai, jo price ke momentum ko measure karta hai.
   • RSI indicator abhi neutral zone mein hai (50 ke around), jo neither overbought nor oversold condition ko dikhata hai.

Trading Strategy:

1. Short Position:
   • Agar price support level (1.0780) ko break karti hai, to yeh bearish signal ho sakta hai. Is case mein, short position initiate ki ja sakti hai.
   • Stop loss ko resistance level ke thoda upar set karein (around 1.0910) aur take profit ko next support level ke kareeb (1.0700) set karein.
2. Long Position:
   • Agar price support level (1.0780) par support le kar rebound karti hai, to yeh bullish signal ho sakta hai. Is case mein, long position initiate ki ja sakti hai.
   • Stop loss ko support level ke thoda neeche set karein (around 1.0760) aur take profit ko resistance level (1.0900) ke kareeb set karein.
3. Risk Management:
   • Trading mein risk management ko bohot zaroori hai. Position sizing aur proper stop loss levels ko define karna important hai.
   • Market sentiment aur upcoming economic news events par nazar rakhein jo price movement ko influence kar sakti hain.

Conclusion:

EUR/USD pair currently ek important support level (1.0780) ke kareeb trade kar rahi hai. Is level par price ka behavior future movement ko dictate karega. Traders ko is level par price action aur technical indicators ko closely monitor karna chahiye aur uske mutabiq trading strategy ko adjust karna chahiye.
Stay informed aur disciplined trading approach adopt karein taake market ki volatility mein success achieve ki ja sake.

Technical analysis of the EURUSD pair

4-hour chart

Jodi ki keemat ne upar ki taraf keema channels ko tor diya hai aur ab ya to imtehan ke liye wapis aa rahi hai ya neeche ki taraf laut rahi hai. Isliye, mojooda level ko agle trend ka tay karna ke liye keemat ka bartao dekhne ke liye level ke tor par consider kiya jata hai.
Pichle do hafton mein, jodi ki keemat ne ek taraf se doosri taraf ki taraf jaane wale tareekh mein, 1.0895 ke level se muqabla kiya, lekin is hafte ke doran keemat ne is level ko support hasil kiya aur kuch ghanton tak is ke upar trade kiya.
Ab keemat ka bartao dekha ja sakta hai aur ye maqool trading areas hain. Haftawar ki pivot level mein dakhil hona ek achi opportunity hai agar upar ki taraf keema action ban raha hai, kyunke keemat phir se us keema peak ki taraf lautaygi jo ban chuka hai.
Jab haftawar ki pivot level se neeche ki taraf keema keemat ko trade kiya jaye, to ye ek mauqa deta hai 1.0793 ke level tak bechne ka.
Mehangai ke baare mein, licensed trading companies ke platforms ke mutabiq... euro ki keemat eurozone mein mehangai ki tawaqqaat se zyada barh gayi, jabke Amreeki dollar ne shakhsiyat shariyat istimaaal shuroo karne par khud ko nakaam sabit kiya, jo ke Rizwat Bank ki umeedon se kam tha, aur jise Reserve Bank ke afraad pasand karenge. Fed saal ke ikhtitam se pehle interest ke dar chukane ke liye pur lagan hai.

Ek aur level jo currency pair ko mutasir kar raha hai, Europei Central Bank (ECB) ko is hafte interest daro mein kami ki umeed hai, jo ke bazaar mein ek surprise nahi hogi kyunke is ko mahinon pehle announce kiya gaya tha. Jo bazaar ko mutasir kar sakta hai, wo future interest daro ki guidance hai. Is waqye par tafseel se guftagu karte hue, Dominic Schneider, UBS ke muaashiqai hai, ne kaha: "Sub se ahem waqye Europei Central Bank ki meeting hai, jisme interest daro mein kami ki tawaqqaat hai, to future policy kis tarah ke chalne ki rehnumai ahem bun jaegi." Hum yakeen rakhte hain ke euro ki keemat kamzor hogi, khas tor par haal ke hafton mein us ki mazboot izafa ke sath."

EUR-USD PAIR REVIEW
Kal ke trading shiraa'at ko dekhte hue, main phir se kharid ki option ka andesha karon ga. Aaj ke trading mein Asian session mein, qeematain mazeed barhti hui hain, lekin sirf din ke shuru mein aur nazdeek tareen rukawat 1.0903 aur 1.0919 tak limited hain. Jabke rozana shuru ke nazdeek tareen sath 1.0887 par hai. EMA 200 qeemat ke harkat ke neechay hai aur American session mein khaas tor par mazbooti ke baad, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ko phir se oopar uthane ka amal hua hai.

Tehqeeqati lehaz se, moving average indicator istemaal kar ke, tamam indicator lines, ya'ni 100, 200 aur 50 MA lines, ab maujooda qeemat ke nichay hain. Iska matlab hai ke EUR-USD jori ki qeemat ke harkat aaj dopehar tak oopri rukh jaari hai.

Aaj ke mansoobe ke liye, hum ab bhi kharidne ko pehle darust karna chahte hain, jisme 1.0803 ki tor phoot qeemat ko madda samjha jayega, jahan se faida lena hai 1.0945 se lekar 1.0961 ke darjay tak. Dusri taraf, agar qeemat durust hoti hai, to phir se kharidne ki koshish ki jayegi taake EMA 36 H1 line ke ird gird sargoshi ka intezar kiya ja sake. Agar qeemat na-manzoor hoti hai, to wahi kharidne ka intizaam kia jayega jis tarah se phoot kharid par kiya gaya hai.

Dusri indicators ke lehaz se, maslan RSI 14 indicator, maujooda qeemat unchi 70% ki unchi qeemat ke oopri darjay mein hai, jo ke 68% ke range mein hai. Iska matlab hai ke EUR-USD jori ki qeemat ke harkat aaj dopehar tak apni oopri rukh jaari hai. Isliye agar mustaqbil mein qeemat aur bhi oopar ja sakti hai, to mumkin hai ke qeemat aur bhi oopar jayegi aur main aaj ke trading mein kharidne ka keh raha hoon, jahan faida lena hai 1.1006 aur nuqsaan ko rokna hai 1.0806 par.

g aur trading week ka achi shuruaat! H4 timeframe par, euro/dollar pair ke bears beech raste mein ruk gaye hain. Yeh isliye hua kyunki pair yellow moving average se neeche nahi ja saka, aur wapas resistance level 1.0861 par aa gayaIs stage par, main phir se bears ki possibility par soch raha hoon, Friday ke galat resistance hole ko dekhte hue. Agar aaj quotes 1.0861 ke level se upar nahi ja sakte, aur aisa ek attempt Asian session ke dauran hua tha, to hum intezar kar sakte hain ke quotes daily chart ke average limits level 1.0763 tak na jaayein. Agar price offers abhi bhi 1.0861 level se upar hain, tab bhi main long time ka expect nahi kar raha. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke bulls trading range ke upper limit tak movement ko limit kar dein, aur phir profits register kar lein.Aaj, American session khulne ke baad significant activity increase hone ki umeed hai, American manufacturing sector ke activity indicators ke expectations ko dekhte hue. Price abhi tak 1.0850 ke aas paas trade ho rahi hai. Chicken mode mein bhi kuch khaas interesting nahi mil raha, axis levels din ke andar kaafi narrow hain, Fibonacci network ke saath 100 - 161.8 group sirf H4 par hai.Market mein koi direct visits nahi hain, naye conditions provide nahi kiye gaye, isliye main aur important events ka intezar kar raha hoon jo fluctuating tools ko affect kar sakte hain. Economic evaluation kal analyze hui thi, isliye yeh question nahi ke kuch add kiya ja sake, zyadatar kuch important hone ki umeed hai ek bara half mein, including daily schedule. Price movement ka method dekhna zaroori hai, candle model evening star par focus karna zaroori hai. Ideal construction of algorithm ka kehna mushkil hai, lekin phir bhi is par dhyan dena zaroori hai.Technical analysis ko dekhte hue, humein current market situation aur expected activity par focus karna chahiye. H4 timeframe mein significant levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Agar 1.0861 level break hota hai aur price uske upar consolidate hoti hai, to bullish sentiment prevail kar sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level se neeche rehti hai, to bearish sentiment ka continuation ho sakta hai.Strategy recommendations ke mutabiq, resistance levels ko closely monitor karein. Agar price is level se upar nahi ja sakti, to sell orders place karne ka sochen. Support levels ko bhi dhyan se dekhein. Agar price is level tak girti hai, to buy orders place karne ka plan banayein. American session ke dauran significant activity hone ki umeed hai, isliye market movements ko closely follow karein. American manufacturing sector ke indicators ko monitor karein, kyunki yeh market sentiment ko affect kar sakte hain. Evening star candle pattern par focus karein, kyunki yeh potential reversal signal ho sakta hai.Current market situation aur expected activity ko dekhte hue, humein carefully trading decisions lene chahiye. Resistance aur support levels ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai, aur market sentiment ko samajhne ke liye economic indicators aur technical patterns par focus karna chahiye. Trading mein disciplined approach aur risk management ko follow karte hue decisions lena successful trading ke liye crucial hai. Market ka analysis aur price movements ka detailed understanding trading strategy ko improve kar sakti hai. Har trading session ko closely observe karte hue timely decisions lena zaroori hai, taake market fluctuations ka fayda uthaya ja sake. Trading mein hamesha disciplined aur well-informed approach apnaana chahiye, taake long-term success hasil ho sakay.

EUR/USD


EUR/USD apni taqat dikhate hue Tuesday ko six-week high 1.0917 tak pohanchi, jabke US dollar kamzor ho raha hai aur European Central Bank (ECB) ki monetary policy plans ke hawale se uncertainty barh rahi hai. ECB ne kisi fixed course of action par commit karne se inkar kar diya hai, aur data-driven approach apna rahi hai, jo market expectations ko dampen kar rahi hai 2024 ke liye aggressive easing ke hawale se. Pehle, investors ne is saal teen rate cuts anticipate kiye the, magar ab June ki meeting ke baad yeh projection revise karke ek kar diya gaya hai, jo kuch ECB officials ke warnings ke saath align karta hai ke overly dovish policies inflationary pressures ko dobara bhadaka sakti hain. Dusri taraf, USD ko support mil raha hai kamzori ke baad, aur US Dollar Index 104.30 tak recover kar raha hai, risk appetite mein dip ke bawajood. Investors zyada cautious ho rahe hain, kyunke September rate cut ke bets Federal Reserve se thandi par rahi hain. Fed officials ne apni niyat zahir ki hai ke current interest rates tab tak maintain rakhen jab tak inflation ko kam karne mein significant progress nazar nahi aati, aur market ab yeh expect kar rahi hai ke Fed sirf last quarter of 2024 mein rates ko kam karna shuru karegi.

Euro currency mazboot qadam utha rahi hai, apna pehla two-month high 1.0917 wapas hasil kar rahi hai. Agar yeh level decisively break hota hai, to yeh aur bhi upar ja sakti hai, March 21st peak 1.0951 tak ya phir psychological barrier 1.1000 tak bhi pohanch sakti hai. Magar, agar exchange rate 200-day Exponential Moving Average 1.0803 ke neeche jata hai, to yeh downward correction trigger kar sakta hai. Dono Eurozone aur US se aane wale key economic data releases currency pair ki performance par significant influence dalenge. Euro ki current strength, jo ek Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern se breakout se bolstered hai, yeh uske aage barhne ke potential ko suggest karti hai. Phir bhi, Relative Strength Index indicator temporary pause ki hint de raha hai upward momentum mein.

EUR/USD


Hamari guftagu ka markaz EUR/USD currency pair ki real-time price action evaluation hai. 1.0925 par hamein challenging cluster of levels ka samna hai. Daily chart ka review karne par, red dot se indicated confident upward trend bullish sentiment ko suggest karta hai, khaaskar pichle do dinon mein. Pichle char dinon se highs aur lows consistently rise ho rahe hain, jo primary targets ko 1.0945 ke ird gird mazid mazboot banate hain, jo kal ke news ke sath likely ho sakte hain. Day traders current scenario mein dono directions ko navigate kar sakte hain. Price ascending channel ke andar remain karti hai. Aaj, pair channel ke lower border par 1.0876 tak dip hua aur phir rebound kiya. Is currency pair mein reversal ka chance kam hai kyunki trend solid hai. Upper price border 1.0967 ko target karte hue mazid upside movement ka potential hai. Yeh zyada reasonable hai ke long trade side par hi raha jaye.

Conversely, agar is level par reversal hota hai to yeh downturn ko channel ke lower limit par 1.0904 tak le ja sakta hai. Euro-dollar buyers ne upward momentum ko conclude kiya key resistance levels ko test karte hue. Magar, 1.0907 par breakout deceptive ho sakta hai. 1.0886 par resistance crucial hai, aur agar bulls higher foothold secure kar lete hain, to pair apni rally ko extend kar sakti hai 1.0922/1.0964 resistance zone ki taraf, aur mazid upside potential second impulse zone par 1.0994 par hai. Bears ko challenging scenario ka samna hai, jo first impulse zone ke lower border par 1.0847 ke neeche return ki zarurat hai pair ki direction ko bearish banane ke liye—jo ke filhal challenging task hai. Hence, EUR/USD ke ird gird substantial uncertainty hai, jis par fundamental factors price movements ko influence kar sakte hain.

Hello Vasily! Tumhe pata hai tum mere favorite author ho. Mujhe tumhe parhna bohot pasand hai - tum mujhe bohot sari emotions dete ho. Khaaskar abhi jaise - main yahan sales mein baitha hoon, aur tum, Guberniev ki energetic awaaz mein, khush ho rahe ho ke hum daswi shakal tak pahunch jaayenge. Toh mere khayalat mere bhaiyon aur behnon ke liye zyada interesting honge jo bhi bech chuke hain aur ab bachaane ke soch rahe hain. Toh, jo main daily chart par wave technique ka use karte hue dekh raha hoon:

- Aakhir kar meri shakal zinda rahi - ek inclined channel. Halanke kal iska execution already question mein tha: price upper channel band ke upar ke area mein jaane mein kamiyab ho gayi thi. Aur potential return to decline ke koi signs bhi nahi the. Lekin Tuesday ka din is top band ke niche khatam hua. Ab hum instrument ke mood ko indicators ki buniyad par dekhte hain.
- MA100 ab bhi space ko ek trend calm angle of five degrees mein decline ke haq mein kaam kar raha hai. Isliye, bears shayad is hafte ke andar aa sakte hain. Din ke doran MA18 tezi se bullish ascending angle of about thirty degrees set kar raha hai. Aur yeh already signal hai ke price barhati rahegi.
- Mere guide ke mutabiq jo maine draw kiya hai, ab mere paas ek thinning triangle hai jiske boundaries 1.0885-1.0820 hain. Beech mein, MA18 additional support create karte hain - yeh level hai 1.0850. Kya keh sakta hoon... Mere sliding ones abhi bhi global context mein top ki completeness ki kami ko dikhate hain. Aur ab yeh hota hai ke bas intezar karna hai - agar price resisting 1.0885 ke upar consolidation ke sath nikalti hai, iska matlab growth ke haq mein faisla ho gaya hai. Agar hum 1.0850 ke niche jaate hain - iska matlab hum decline dekhenge.

Maali bazaar mein Mangal ke roz jazbaat mein tabadli dekhi gayi, jis ki wajah se euro ne US dollar ke muqable mein zyada zameen kho di. Yeh kami us waqt aayi jab achi US maashi data ne mazid mazboot US maishat ki umeed ko janam diya aur sarmayadaron ko wapas dollar ki taraf kheench liya jo ke ek mehfooz asasa samjha jata hai. Data ne kisi tezi se sust rawayya dikhane ke asaar nahi dikhaye, jis ki wajah se kuch logon ka maanna hai ke Federal Reserve waise aggressiveness se sukhoot ke faide ko kam karne ki bajaye intezar kar sakta hai. Halanki ek sukhoot ki umeed ab bhi hai, lekin is ke waqt mein tabadli aayi hai aur ab zyada imkaan November mein us ki muntaqil hone ka hai muqable mein September ke. Yeh sukhoot ki umeedat mein tabadli euro aur dollar ke darmiyan faraq ko barhawa diya, jis ne euro par neeche ke dabhav daala. Yeh kami mazid barh sakti hai agar aanewale non-farm payroll data jo Jumma ko aana hai, US labor market mein mazid mazbooti dikhaye. Tajziya karne walon ka kehna hai ke May mein US maishat ne sehatmand 190,000 jobs ka izafa kiya, jo ke pichle maheenay se zyada hoga. Mangal ke roz ke nuqsan ke bawajood, euro apne salana neeche point mid-April mein se thoda zyada hai. Techniqatan, yeh currency abhi aik consolidation zone mein hai, jahan kuch key levels ko dekhna zaroori hai. Agar euro upar ki taraf momentum nahi bana sakta, to yeh mazeed gir sakta hai aur mumkin hai ke apne long-term technical support level 1.0797 ke qareeb pohonch jaye. Magar agar positive momentum saamne aati hai, to euro ke wapas 1.0900 resistance level ki taraf badhne ke imkaanat hain. Agar yeh level clear tor par break hota hai to yeh ek trend mein tabadli ka signal de sakta hai aur mazeed oonchai 1.0940 aur us se bhi upar ki taraf ka rasta khol sakta hai. Bunyadi taur par, euro ki qismat aanewale US jobs data aur Federal Reserve ke mustaqbil ke interest rate faislon par mabni hai. Ek mazboot US jobs report aur delayed rate cut mil kar euro ko mazid kamzor kar sakti hain, jab ke ek kamzor jobs report ya pehle se zyada ummid se pehle rate cut zaroori ho sakti hai ta ke mojooda neeche ke rujhan ko palat sake.

EUR/USD Qeemat ka amal
Hamari guftagu zinda EUR/USD currency pair ki pricing ko decode karne ke liye hai. Bazar ko asal mein US maeeshat ke zawaal ka khauf hai kyunki taaza GDP figures umeed se kam hain, jo 1.3% hain, jab ke anticipated 1.6% the. Kuch positive data ke bawajood, zyadatar negative raha, jo zero ki taraf slide ka khauf barha raha hai. Nateejaan, dollar par selling pressure hai. Fed rate ka positive rehna nihayat ahem hoga taake Powell ko economy ke hawale se concern express karne se roka ja sake. Agar aisa na ho saka to mazeed dollar selling ho sakti hai. Fed announcement se pehle, tawajjo ECB rate par thi. Torha gaya ascending channel ek false move ko zahir karta hai. Red trend line ko torna aur 1.08 se neeche levels ko hasil karna downtrend ke confirmation ke liye nihayat ahem hai; warna, pair 1.10 ki taraf barh sakta hai.
H4 chart par, indicators ek reversal ko suggest karte hain aur resistance zones mark hain. Sales ka tasdeeq in zones ko neeche se retest karne ka intezar hai. Aaj, quotes apni neeche ki trajectory ko wapas resume karte hain, aur bears ne last day session se losses ko recoup kiya hai. Blue moving average se neeche girne ke bawajood, 1.0867 support level ko torna mumkin nahi hai. Market view solid hai, aur ek bullish move logical hai. US job vacancy data ke release ne session ke doran ek slight upward correction ka sabab bana, lekin long-term movement is data par mabni likely hai, US labour market ke strength ko dekhte hue. Agar quotes wapas blue moving average par aa jate hain, to bearish trend-based trade strategy mumkin hogi, aur decline ko continue karne ki anticipation hogi 1.0819 support level ki taraf.