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  • #451 Collapse

    USD is rukawat ka sabab ban sakti hai wo aane wale iqtisadi reports ya central bank ke elan ka intezar ho sakta hai. Market participants aksar bade trades karne se pehle rok jate hain jab significant data releases ka intezar hota hai, taake market ke galat side par na phans jayein. Misal ke tor par, agar GDP growth, employment figures, ya inflation data jaise key economic indicators jald release hone wale hain, to traders aksar in reports ka intezar karte hain taake unhein market ka wazeh rukh mil sake. Isi tarah, agar central banks ke upcoming statements ya policy decisions hone wale hain, to yeh bhi market movements par bara asar dal sakte hain. Aise scenarios mein, market aam tor par khamosh rehta hai jab tak traders in critical information ka intezar karte hain.Ek aur mumkin sabab jo aaj ki inakti ko contribute kar sakta hai wo broader market sentiment aur overall investor caution ho sakta hai. Kabhi kabhi low volatility aur lack of movement broader sense of uncertainty ya risk aversion ko reflect karte hain jo market participants ke darmiyan hota hai. Yeh un waqt mein ho sakta hai jab geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainties, ya bade global events ke lead-up mein ho. Jab investors ko future direction ke baray mein shak hota hai, to wo aksar wait-and-see approach apnate hain, jo subdued trading activity ko janam deta hai.
    Technically, initial movement ke baad 1.0700 level par lack of follow-through ko bhi market ka ek breather lena kaha ja sakta hai. Yeh tab hota hai jab price ek significant level par pohanchti hai lekin aage barhne ki momentum nahi hoti. Aise cases mein, market consolidation phase mein enter hota hai jahan yeh narrow range mein trade karta hai jab buyers aur sellers ek dusre ko balance karte hain. Yeh consolidation market cycle ka ek healthy hissa hota hai, jo next significant move se pehle energy accumulate karne ka moka deta hai.Aage dekhte hue, kal ka trading session ziada wazeh information de sakta hai. Yeh current pause wakai temporary ho sakta hai, aur market anticipated data ya events ke baad apni movement resume kar sakta hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur new developments par nazar rakhni chahiye jo market ke direction ke baray mein clearer insights provide kar sakti hain.Akhir mein, aaj ka din market mein ek inactive din tha, jo initial movement ke baad lack of further development se characterized tha. Yeh inactivity upcoming economic data, central bank announcements, broader market sentiment, ya ek technical consolidation phase ki wajah se ho sakti hai. Kal ka trading session ziada wazeh information de sakta hai, aur traders ko alert rehna chahiye taake kisi bhi emerging opportunities ko capitalize kar sakein. Market developments ko closely monitor karte hue aur adaptable rehkar, traders periods of inactivity ko navigate kar sakte hain aur next significant move ke liye ready reh sakte hain.


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    • #452 Collapse

      EUR/USD بدھ کو 1.0726 کی سطح سے اچھالنے کے بعد آگے بڑھا۔ اچھال اس وجہ سے لگ سکتا ہے کہ یورو کیوں بڑھنا شروع ہوا، لیکن ایسا بالکل نہیں ہے۔ گزشتہ روز امریکی افراط زر کی رپورٹ جاری کی گئی جس نے یورو کی قیمت میں 100 سے زائد پِپس کے اضافے کو متحرک کیا۔ کنزیومر پرائس انڈیکس سال بہ سال 3.3% تک سست ہو گیا، پچھلے مہینے کی طرح صرف 0.1% کی کمی۔ ہم سمجھتے ہیں کہ مارکیٹ کا اس رپورٹ پر ضرورت سے زیادہ ردعمل تھا، اور یہ کہ ڈالر کی گراوٹ بہت مضبوط تھی۔ افراط زر میں 0.1% کمی کا مطلب فیڈرل ریزرو کی مانیٹری پالیسی کے نقطہ نظر کے لیے بالکل کچھ نہیں ہے، جس کی تصدیق بعد میں خود جیروم پاول نے بھی کی۔ فیڈ چیئر نے کہا کہ افراط زر اپنے عروج سے کافی حد تک کم ہوا ہے لیکن بہت زیادہ ہے۔

      اس لیے ڈالر کو گراوٹ کے بجائے ترقی دکھانی چاہیے تھی۔ تاہم، مارکیٹ کو ایک بار پھر USD کی فروخت شروع کرنے کی باقاعدہ وجہ مل گئی۔

      EUR/USD 5M چارٹ پر
       
      • #453 Collapse

        Technical Analysis of EUR/USD

        Last trading week, euro aik pehle se bane hue channel mein phasa raha aur is se bahar nikalne mein nakam raha. Price ne phir se 1.0900 ke aas-paas ke barriers ko tod diya aur 1.0837 se neeche gir gaya, jahan support ne isay phir se upar dhakel diya, poori tarah se pehle ke losses ko reverse kar diya. Natija ye hai ke expected development nahi hui. Umeed ke bar'aks, yeh target area tak pohanchne ki ijazat nahi deta. Saath hi, price chart ek above-trend area se doosre mein move karti rehti hai, jo ke uncertainty ka izhar karti hai.

        Technically, agar 4-hour chart dekhein, toh price ne lower support point ko clear break kiya, jo ke ascending channel ka support banata hai, aur hum dekhte hain ke Simple Moving Averages pressure aur support hain. Upar, price daily bearish trend ko resume karti hai. Is tarah, hum bearish hain kyun ke humein pata hai ke 10770 ke neeche break hona kaam mein madadgar hoga taake pehla target 1.0750 ko pohancha ja sake, kyun ke initial breakout target 1.0710 ke kareeb hai, jab ke A's bearish move 1.0675 ki taraf hai. Yaad rahe ke 1.0840 resistance ke upar break immediately implied bearish scenario ko rok dega, aur EUR/USD apne original target 1.0880 tak recover kar legi. Neeche chart dekhein:

        Iss waqt, pair mukhtalif directions mein trade kar raha hai aur har hafta neutral rehta hai. Key support areas test ho rahi hain aur significant pressure mein hain lekin apni integrity ko barqarar rakhti hain, jo preferred upward vector ki relevance ko dikhati hai. Isko confirm karne ke liye, price ko current price area mein break karne aur 1.0837 ke aas-paas limit set karne ki zarurat hai, jahan main support area ke border hain. Iss area se retest aur subsequent bounce dusre move higher ke liye ek moka dega jiska target 1.1033 aur 1.1121 ke darmiyan hoga.

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        Agar support ke neeche break hota hai aur pivot level 1.0763 se neeche jata hai, toh current scenario cancel ho jayega.
         
        • #454 Collapse

          **EUR/USD Analysis**

          EUR/USD pair ne significant upswing dekhi hai US dollar ke kamzor hone ki wajah se aur ab yeh 1.0860 ke qareeb hover kar rahi hai. Germany aur US ke bond rates mein bhi improvement hui hai mukhtalif maturities par, magar monetary policy process abhi tak unchanged hai. Federal Reserve aur European Central Bank dono ke expected hain ke June mein policy easing cycle shuru karen, magar dono alag alag tactics use kar sakte hain rate cuts ke pace ke farq ki wajah se. Magar ECB expect kiya ja raha hai ke zyada piche nahi rehne wali. CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq, June mein rate cut ka imkanaat 62% se kam hokar 51% ho gaya hai.

          ECB ke March 6-7 meeting ke minutes jo pichle hafta release hue, yeh dikhate hain ke officials inflation ke 2% target ki taraf rujhan par zyada optimistic ho gaye hain, jo lower interest rates ka case banata hai. Psychological resistance points EUR/USD ke upward move ke liye 1.1000 level, weekly high 1.0998 (Jan 11), aur March high 1.0981 (March 8) par expected hain. Agar EUR/USD mazid mazboot hoti hai, to yeh December 28, 2023 high 1.1139 ko test kar sakti hai. Magar, yeh mumkin hai ke 2024 mein yeh pair 1.0724 (April 2) aur 1.0694 (Feb 14) ke lows ko test kare. Agle lowest points hain weekly low 1.0495 (Oct 13, 2023), 2023 low 1.0448 (Oct 3), round number 1.0400, aur November 2023 low 1.0516 (Nov 1).



          4-hour chart ko dekhne par uptrend ki wapsi nazar aati hai, jahan pehla target EUR/USD ka 1.0876 se 1.0942 ke range mein expected hai. Agla clear downside barrier 1.0724 lagta hai, uske baad 1.0694 aur 1.0656. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 61 ke qareeb hai, jab ke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator positive hai.
             
          • #455 Collapse

            EURUSD

            Assalam-o-Alaikum! M15 chart ke mutabiq, linear regression channel upar ki taraf hai, jo ke buyers ki koshishon ko zahir karta hai jo 1.07228 level tak barhane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Yeh ek buying ka mauqa hai. Magar, behtar yeh hoga ke hum intizaar karein jab tak H1 linear regression channel bhi north ki taraf honay lage. Isi wajah se, main ehtiyat se buying karunga. Main channel ke neeche ke kinare 1.07092 se buying karunga. Main sales ko control mein rakhta hoon, jo ke 1.07092 se neeche consolidation ke sath ja sakti hain; agar aisa hota hai, toh main buying rok dunga. H1 trend ke mutabiq sales ke jari rehne ki zyada probability hai. Buyer na sirf 1.07228 level ko achieve karne ki koshish karega, balkay is level ke upar apni jagah banane ki bhi koshish karega takay trend ko apni taraf mod sake. Agar buyer is mein kamiyab hota hai, toh woh buying jari rakh sakta hai.


            Hourly chart ko dekhte hue, main observe karta hoon ke linear regression channel neeche ki taraf hai, aur mere liye yeh M15 se zyada ahem hai. Iska matlab hai ke bears mazboot hain, aur M15 chart par buy signal hona, market mein ek strong buyer ki mojoodgi ko zahir karta hai. Aapko price ka sahi jagah par intizaar karna chahiye aur wahan se sales ko dekhna chahiye. Woh jagah jahan se main sales dekhunga woh channel ke upper border 1.07228 hai jahan se mujhe lower border 1.06435 tak sell karna chahiye. Agar target level toot jata hai, toh mazeed girawat ki umeed ki ja sakti hai, magar ziada chances hain ke correction ke baad ek upside ho, kyunke bearish move mukammal ho jayegi aur bulls apne movement ko bahal karne ki koshish karenge. Agar 1.07228 level bulls se cross ho jata hai, toh yeh bullish interest ka nishan hai, jismein sales nafa bakhsh nahi rehti, is liye unhe cancel karke market ki situation ko dobara evaluate karna hoga.






               
            • #456 Collapse

              Assalam-o-Alaikum pyare traders. Moamlay ki ab jo keemat hai woh aik ahem nukta par hai, jahan pe 1.0745 level par aik flat pattern bana hai lekin is ke baad neeche se is level ko dobara test nahi kiya gaya hai. Yeh strong bearish momentum ki taraf ishara deta hai. Agar keemat apni neeche ki taraf chalti rahegi, toh humein neeche diye gaye support levels aur mumkin pullback areas par tawajjo deni chahiye.

              H4 indicator channel jo ke upar ki taraf point karta hai, ishara deta hai ke agar keemat upar correction shuru karti hai, toh yeh current bearish technique se alag ho jayegi. Tareekhi tor par, 1.0730 level tak ke pullbacks zyada significant rahe hain, jis se yeh pata chalta hai ke is level ke taraf koi bhi movement tawajjo se dekhna chahiye. Yeh level aik pivot point ki tarah kaam karta hai, aur yahan se pullback temporary taur par is hali ki downtrend ko khatam kar sakta hai.

              Mehaz is waqt ke neeche ki taraf trend ke bawajood, H4 channel ki slow aur dynamic nature yeh ishara deti hai ke waqt ke sath gradual climb mumkin hai. Agar keemat ki harkat is channel ke mutabiq ho, toh yeh ek longer-term bullish outlook bhi provide kar sakta hai.

              Abhi volumes ko tafseel se examine karna zaroori hai, kyun ke yeh keemat ki harkat ki taqat ka andaza dene mein madadgar ho sakte hain. Agar volumes barh rahe hain, toh yeh mumkin hai ke price mein izaafa ho sakta hai, lekin current bearish formation is khayal ko mazbooti se contradict karta hai. In volume changes ko monitor karna market ki direction samajhne ke liye ahem hai.

              Risk management ke liye, 1.0805 par aik intermediate stop lagana mushkilat ko control karne mein madad dega. Agar keemat neeche girne ki taraf jaari rahegi, toh yeh stop badi nuqsanat se bachayega, jabke agar keemat recover ho jaye toh faida bhi ho sakta hai.

              Aik confirm bearish formation ya bullish reversal ki tafseel se wazahat ki jaye key levels jaise ke 1.0736 aur 1.0840 par, trading decisions ke liye aham honge. Aap sab ko aik acha din aur kamyabiyan mubarak ho. Allah hafiz.

                 
              • #457 Collapse

                EURUSD

                Assalam-o-Alaikum! M15 chart ke mutabiq, linear regression channel upar ki taraf hai, jo ke buyers ki koshishon ko zahir karta hai jo 1.07228 level tak barhane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Yeh ek buying ka mauqa hai. Magar, behtar yeh hoga ke hum intizaar karein jab tak H1 linear regression channel bhi north ki taraf honay lage. Isi wajah se, main ehtiyat se buying karunga. Main channel ke neeche ke kinare 1.07092 se buying karunga. Main sales ko control mein rakhta hoon, jo ke 1.07092 se neeche consolidation ke sath ja sakti hain; agar aisa hota hai, toh main buying rok dunga. H1 trend ke mutabiq sales ke jari rehne ki zyada probability hai. Buyer na sirf 1.07228 level ko achieve karne ki koshish karega, balkay is level ke upar apni jagah banane ki bhi koshish karega takay trend ko apni taraf mod sake. Agar buyer is mein kamiyab hota hai, toh woh buying jari rakh sakta hai.



                Hourly chart ko dekhte hue, main observe karta hoon ke linear regression channel neeche ki taraf hai, aur mere liye yeh M15 se zyada ahem hai. Iska matlab hai ke bears mazboot hain, aur M15 chart par buy signal hona, market mein ek strong buyer ki mojoodgi ko zahir karta hai. Aapko price ka sahi jagah par intizaar karna chahiye aur wahan se sales ko dekhna chahiye. Woh jagah jahan se main sales dekhunga woh channel ke upper border 1.07228 hai jahan se mujhe lower border 1.06435 tak sell karna chahiye. Agar target level toot jata hai, toh mazeed girawat ki umeed ki ja sakti hai, magar ziada chances hain ke correction ke baad ek upside ho, kyunke bearish move mukammal ho jayegi aur bulls apne movement ko bahal karne ki koshish karenge. Agar 1.07228 level bulls se cross ho jata hai, toh yeh bullish interest ka nishan hai, jismein sales nafa bakhsh nahi rehti, is liye unhe cancel karke market ki situation ko dobara evaluate karna hoga.
                   
                • #458 Collapse

                  EUR/USD qeemat pehle se hue nuksan ko sambhalne ke baad mustaqil hai. Yeh jodi Asian hours ke doran Thursday ko 1.0810 ke ird gird trade hui. Eurozone ki industrial production data April ke liye Thursday ko schedule hai, jismein mid-market forecasts 0.2% MoM girawat ka andaza laga rahe hain. Agar bearish streak jaari rehti hai, toh EUR/USD pehle June low 1.0719 (June 11), phir May low 1.0649 (May 1) aur 2024 ka low 1.0601 (April 16) ko choo sakti hai. Agar bulls dobara lead hasil karte hain, toh foran ka upside barrier weekly high 1.0852 (June 12) ke aage June peak 1.0916 (June 4) aur March peak 1.0981 (March 8) tak ho sakta hai. Aur north mein, weekly high 1.0998 (January 11) crucial 1.1000 range se pehle aata hai. Ab tak, 4-hour chart par ek aham bounce dekhne ko milta hai. Yeh kehne ke bawajood, initial resistance 1.0852 pe aata hai, phir 1.0916 aur 1.0942 pe. South ki taraf, foran ka conflict 1.0719 pe hai, phir 1.0649 aur 1.0516 pe. Relative Strength Index 55 se neeche retreat kar gaya. US dollar ne Wednesday ko apni mazboot rally jaari rakhi, is dafa disappointing US inflation data jo ke CPI se track hui May mein, jisne EUR/USD ko fresh legs di key move ke baad. 1.0800 barrier, ya three-day high.

                  Yeh sab kuch US CPI aur FOMC event ke bare mein tha Wednesday ko, jab EUR/USD ne temporary tor par fresh political concerns ko purani continent pe aside kar diya, khaaskar woh jo weekend tak aa rahi thi. European Parliament elections ke baad, yeh revive hui. Ittafaq se, ECB Vice President De Gendos ne Wednesday ko yeh argue kiya ke bank ko "bohot dheere" se interest rate cuts ke sath aage barhna chahiye kiun ke inflation outlook ke bare mein kafi uncertainty hai. Din ka key event Federal Reserve ka interest rates ko mustaqil rakhna tha aur yeh suggest kiya ke rate cuts December tak shuru nahi honge. Unhone saal ke liye quarterly percentage point decline ka forecast diya, jo ke rising inflation estimates ko reflect karta hai. Saal ke aakhir ka inflation estimate 2.6% revise kiya gaya hai, jo pehle 2.4% tha. Discussions yeh suggest karti hain ke neutral interest rate pehle ke andazay se zyada ho sakta hai, jo ke apni level se ek quarter percentage point zyada hoga 2023 ke end tak.
                     
                  • #459 Collapse

                    EUR/USD ek popular currency pair hai jo Euro aur US Dollar ke darmiyan ka exchange rate darust karta hai. Yeh ek major currency pair hai aur global forex market mein bahut zyada trade hota hai. EUR/USD ka movement global economic conditions, monetary policies, aur geopolitical events par asar dikhata hai.

                    Euro Eurozone ke 19 countries ke liye currency hai aur US Dollar United States ka official currency hai. Dono hi currencies dunya bhar mein ahem maqasid ke liye istemal hoti hain aur unka exchange rate dunya bhar ke traders aur investors ke liye important hai.
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                    EUR/USD ka exchange rate taraqqi ya mandi ke dauran asar dikhata hai. Agar Eurozone mein taraqqi hoti hai aur Euro strong hota hai to EUR/USD ka exchange rate barh sakta hai. Lekin, agar kisi bhi wajah se Eurozone mein mandi aati hai to EUR/USD gir sakta hai aur US Dollar strong ho sakta hai.

                    United States ke economic indicators, jaise ke GDP growth, employment data, aur inflation rates, bhi EUR/USD ke movement ko influence karte hain. Federal Reserve ke monetary policies, jaise ke interest rate decisions aur quantitative easing, bhi EUR/USD par asar dalte hain.

                    Geopolitical events bhi EUR/USD ko prabhavit karte hain. Maslan, trade tensions, political instability, ya global conflicts, in sab cheezon ka EUR/USD par seedha asar hota hai aur iska exchange rate fluctuate hota hai.

                    EUR/USD ka trading volume bhi important factor hai. High trading volume wale waqt mein EUR/USD ka movement zyada predictable ho sakta hai, jabke low volume waqt mein unexpected swings ho sakte hain.

                    EUR/USD ke technical analysis mein various tools ka istemal hota hai jaise ke moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence). In tools ki madad se traders EUR/USD ke future price movements ka anuman laga sakte hain.

                    EUR/USD mein trading karne wale investors ke liye risk management zaroori hai. Yeh currency pair volatile ho sakta hai, khaaskar jab market mein unexpected events hote hain. Stop-loss orders aur hedging strategies ka istemal EUR/USD trading mein common hota hai.

                    Overall, EUR/USD ek ahem currency pair hai jo global economic conditions aur monetary policies ko reflect karta hai. Iske movement ko samajhna aur analyze karna traders ke liye zaroori hai jo is pair mein trading karte hain.
                       
                    • #460 Collapse

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                      EUR/USD pair ka analysis karte hue, yeh nazar aa raha hai ke pair ne latest trading session mein 1.0800 ke near trade kiya. Chart par dekha ja sakta hai ke price ne kuch important levels ko touch kiya hai.

                      Chart Analysis:
                      1. Moving Averages: EUR/USD ne 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ko breach kiya hai. Yeh levels significant hain kyunki yeh support aur resistance ke tarah act karte hain. Filhaal, pair ne 50-day moving average ko neeche ki taraf cross kiya hai, jo bearish sentiment indicate karta hai.
                      2. RSI Indicator: 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) ka level ab 43.64 hai. RSI ka yeh level neutral zone ke near hai, lekin agar yeh 30 ke neeche jata hai toh oversold conditions indicate honge, jo potential bullish reversal ka signal de sakta hai. Abhi ke liye, RSI level se lagta hai ke pair range-bound movement mein hai.
                      3. Price Levels: Current price 1.07549 hai, jo ek significant level ke near hai. Agar price is level ke neeche jata hai, toh next support 1.0690 ke near aayega. Dusri taraf, agar price rebound karta hai, toh immediate resistance 1.0870 ke near dekha ja sakta hai.

                      Scenarios:
                      1. Bearish Scenario:
                        • Agar price 1.0750 ke support level ko breach karta hai, toh downside movement expect ki ja sakti hai. Next support level 1.0690 hai, jo April ke lows ke near hai.
                        • Moving averages ke neeche trade karna aur RSI ka further decline indicate karega ke bearish pressure continue rahega.
                      2. Bullish Scenario:
                        • Agar price 1.0800 ke level ke upar sustain karta hai, toh bullish reversal ka potential hai. Immediate resistance 1.0870 aur uske baad 1.0950 pe hai.
                        • RSI ka 50 ke upar move karna bullish momentum ko support kar sakta hai.

                      Conclusion: EUR/USD pair abhi ek critical juncture pe hai. Market participants ko key support aur resistance levels pe nazar rakhni chahiye. Technical indicators mix signals de rahe hain, aur market volatility high reh sakti hai. Traders ko cautious approach adopt karna chahiye aur confirmation signals ka wait karna chahiye trading decisions lene se pehle.
                         
                      • #461 Collapse

                        EURUSD, TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

                        Last Wednesday, EURUSD pair trading was dominated by buyers, who successfully fended off bearish sellers at the support area of 1.0738-1.0735. This prevented sellers from pushing the price further down. The buyers then applied strong bullish pressure, aided by the weakening US dollar following lower-than-expected CPI inflation data.

                        Using the Moving Average indicator on the Daily timeframe, it is evident that the price has moved up strongly bullish, breaking above the Red 50 MA at 1.0776, then above the Yellow 200 MA at 1.0785, and staying above the Blue 100 MA at 1.0802. The formation of a solid bullish candlestick indicates strong market support for buyers, potentially driving the EURUSD pair to test the seller's supply resistance area at 1.0890-1.0900 in today's trading.

                        In the Thursday Asian market session, buyers continued to control the EURUSD pair, despite a price correction by sellers before closing yesterday. Buyers will attempt to push the price to test the nearest seller resistance area at 1.0848-1.0850. Breaking this resistance could lead the price higher, targeting the seller supply resistance area at 1.0890-1.0900.

                        Conclusion:

                        Buying options can be exercised if the price penetrates the seller's resistance area, with a pending buy stop order at 1.0845-1.0850 and a TP at 1.0890-1.0900.

                        Selling options can be exercised if the price breaks the buyer support area, with a pending sell stop order at 1.0735-1.0730 and a TP at 1.0700-1.0695.

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                        • #462 Collapse

                          EUR/USD


                          Jumeraat ko euro ka outlook andher ho gaya, jab dollar ke mukable mein woh recent lows se bhi neeche gir gaya. Yeh girawat us brief rally ke bawajood hui jo is haftay ke aghaz mein dekhi gayi thi. European currency kai mukhtalif masail ka samna kar rahi hai. Siyasi instability ek bara concern hai, France ne apni parliament ko dissolve kar diya hai European Parliament elections mein disappointing results ke baad. Yeh siyasi upheaval, jo right-wing candidate Marine Le Pen ke ubhar se milkar hua, ne investor confidence ko hila diya hai eurozone mein.

                          Dono taraf ke Atlantic ke economic data mixed signals bhej rahe hain. US producer price data jo ke expected se kam tha, US economy mein potential slowdown ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, jo initial risk appetite ko dampen kar raha hai. Magar, US jobless claims mein izafa, underlying economic strength ko suggest kar raha hai, jo dollar mein rebound ka sabab bana. Ab investors key data points jaise ke University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo market sentiment ko mazeed influence kar sakta hai.

                          Euro par mazeed pressure ECB (European Central Bank) ke ehtiyati approach to interest rate hikes se aa raha hai. Yeh Federal Reserve ke aggressive stance ke baraks hai, jo dollar ko investors ke liye zyada attractive option bana raha hai jo safe havens dhoond rahe hain. Technically, euro dollar ke mukable mein 1.0750 par hold karne mein mushkilat ka samna kar raha hai. Ek key support level, 200-hour exponential moving average (EMA), bhi is haftay hold nahi kar paya. Yeh technical breakdown euro ke liye near term mein mazeed downside potential suggest karta hai.

                          Mukhtasir mein, euro ab ek naazuk position mein hai. Europe mein siyasi uncertainty aur ECB aur Fed ke darmiyan potentially diverging monetary policy stance currency par bohot zyada weight daal rahe hain. Jab tak US se kuch positive economic data points temporary relief offer kar sakte hain, euro ka agla raasta challenging nazar aa raha hai agar koi clear catalyst for a sustained rebound mojood na ho.
                             
                          • #463 Collapse


                            #456 Collapse
                            Jan72
                            Senior Member
                            Jan72
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                            Assalam-o-Alaikum pyare traders. Moamlay ki ab jo keemat hai woh aik ahem nukta par hai, jahan pe 1.0745 level par aik flat pattern bana hai lekin is ke baad neeche se is level ko dobara test nahi kiya gaya hai. Yeh strong bearish momentum ki taraf ishara deta hai. Agar keemat apni neeche ki taraf chalti rahegi, toh humein neeche diye gaye support levels aur mumkin pullback areas par tawajjo deni chahiye.

                            H4 indicator channel jo ke upar ki taraf point karta hai, ishara deta hai ke agar keemat upar correction shuru karti hai, toh yeh current bearish technique se alag ho jayegi. Tareekhi tor par, 1.0730 level tak ke pullbacks zyada significant rahe hain, jis se yeh pata chalta hai ke is level ke taraf koi bhi movement tawajjo se dekhna chahiye. Yeh level aik pivot point ki tarah kaam karta hai, aur yahan se pullback temporary taur par is hali ki downtrend ko khatam kar sakta hai.

                            Mehaz is waqt ke neeche ki taraf trend ke bawajood, H4 channel ki slow aur dynamic nature yeh ishara deti hai ke waqt ke sath gradual climb mumkin hai. Agar keemat ki harkat is channel ke mutabiq ho, toh yeh ek longer-term bullish outlook bhi provide kar sakta hai.

                            Abhi volumes ko tafseel se examine karna zaroori hai, kyun ke yeh keemat ki harkat ki taqat ka andaza dene mein madadgar ho sakte hain. Agar volumes barh rahe hain, toh yeh mumkin hai ke price mein izaafa ho sakta hai, lekin current bearish formation is khayal ko mazbooti se contradict karta hai. In volume changes ko monitor karna market ki direction samajhne ke liye ahem hai.

                            Risk management ke liye, 1.0805 par aik intermediate stop lagana mushkilat ko control karne mein madad dega. Agar keemat neeche girne ki taraf jaari rahegi, toh yeh stop badi nuqsanat se bachayega, jabke agar keemat recover ho jaye toh faida bhi ho sakta hai.

                            Aik confirm bearish formation ya bullish reversal ki tafseel se wazahat ki jaye key levels jaise ke 1.0736 aur 1.0840 par, trading decisions ke liye aham honge. Aap sab ko aik acha din aur kamyabiyan mubarak ho. Allah hafiz.

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                            • #464 Collapse

                              Is rukawat ka sabab ban sakti hai wo aane wale iqtisadi reports ya central bank ke elan ka intezar ho sakta hai. Market participants aksar bade trades karne se pehle rok jate hain jab significant data releases ka intezar hota hai, taake market ke galat side par na phans jayein. Misal ke tor par, agar GDP growth, employment figures, ya inflation data jaise key economic indicators jald release hone wale hain, to traders aksar in reports ka intezar karte hain taake unhein market ka wazeh rukh mil sake. Isi tarah, agar central banks ke upcoming statements ya policy decisions hone wale hain, to yeh bhi market movements par bara asar dal sakte hain. Aise scenarios mein, market aam tor par khamosh rehta hai jab tak traders in critical information ka intezar karte hain.Ek aur mumkin sabab jo aaj ki inakti ko contribute kar sakta hai wo broader market sentiment aur overall investor caution ho sakta hai. Kabhi kabhi low volatility aur lack of movement broader sense of uncertainty ya risk aversion ko reflect karte hain jo market participants ke darmiyan hota hai. Yeh un waqt mein ho sakta hai jab geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainties, ya bade global events ke lead-up mein ho. Jab investors ko future direction ke baray mein shak hota hai, to wo aksar wait-and-see approach apnate hain, jo subdued trading activity ko janam deta hai.Technically, initial movement ke baad 1.0700 level par lack of follow-through ko bhi market ka ek breather lena kaha ja sakta hai. Yeh tab hota hai jab price ek significant level par pohanchti hai lekin aage barhne ki momentum nahi hoti. Aise cases mein, market consolidation phase mein enter hota hai jahan yeh narrow range mein trade karta hai jab buyers aur sellers ek dusre ko balance karte hain. Yeh consolidation market cycle ka ek healthy hissa hota hai, jo next significant move se pehle energy accumulate karne ka moka deta hai.Aage dekhte hue, kal ka trading session ziada wazeh information de sakta hai. Yeh current pause wakai temporary ho sakta hai, aur market anticipated data ya events ke baad apni movement resume kar sakta hai. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur new developments par nazar rakhni chahiye jo market ke direction ke baray mein clearer insights provide kar sakti hain.Akhir mein, aaj ka din market mein ek inactive din tha, jo initial movement ke baad lack of further development se characterized tha. Yeh inactivity upcoming economic data, central bank announcements, broader market sentiment, ya ek technical consolidation phase ki wajah se ho sakti hai. Kal ka trading session ziada wazeh information de sakta hai, aur traders ko alert rehna chahiye taake kisi bhi emerging opportunities ko capitalize kar sakein. Market developments ko closely monitor karte hue aur adaptable rehkar, traders periods of inactivity ko navigate kar sakte hain aur next significant move ke liye ready reh sakte hain.
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                              • #465 Collapse

                                Jab naye haftay ka aghaz hua, EUR/USD jodi buhat zyada ooncha chala gaya, naye urooj tak pohanch gaya. Ye dikhata hai ke euro ne US dollar ke muqablay mein taqat hasil ki, jis se investors ne Europe ke currency ko pasand kiya.

                                Yeh asar mukhtalif economic factors ki wajah se hai. Pehle to yeh hai ke Europe mein economic recovery achi chal rahi hai, aur is se logon ka euro par bharosa barh gaya hai. Doosra yeh hai ke European Central Bank (ECB) ki policies bhi investor confidence barhane mein madadgar sabit hui hain. ECB ne recent months mein monetary policy ko supportive rakha hai, jo ke market mein stability la rahi hai.

                                Doosri taraf, US economy mein kuch uncertainties hain jo dollar ko niche le ja rahi hain. Pehle to yeh hai ke US Federal Reserve (Fed) ki policies abhi bhi thori unclear hain. Fed ne interest rates mein kuch changes kiye hain, lekin abhi bhi market mein ye sawal hai ke aage kya hone wala hai. Is uncertainty ki wajah se investors dollar se nikal kar euro mein invest kar rahe hain.

                                Iske ilawa, geopolitics bhi apna kirdar ada kar rahi hai. Recent developments in Europe and US ke darmiyan political tensions ne bhi currency markets par asar dala hai. European Union (EU) ki strong diplomatic strategies ne euro ko mazid taqat di hai, jab ke US ki kuch international policies ne dollar ko weaken kiya hai.

                                EUR/USD ka ooncha jana sirf ek economic indicator nahi, balke is se market sentiment ka bhi pata chalta hai. Jab investors ko lagta hai ke ek currency mazboot hai, to wo usme zyada invest karte hain. Is waqt, Europe ki stable growth aur positive outlook ne euro ko ek attractive option bana diya hai. Aur jab zyada log euro kharidte hain, to uski value barh jati hai, jaisa ke abhi hum dekh rahe hain.

                                Agle kuch hafton mein yeh dekhna hoga ke kya yeh trend barqarar rehta hai ya koi nayi developments ismein badlav lati hain. Economic data, ECB aur Fed ki policies, aur global geopolitical events sab is jodi par asar dal sakte hain. Lekin filhal to yeh lagta hai ke euro ne US dollar ke muqablay mein ek strong position hasil kar li hai, aur investors isko pasand kar rahe hain.

                                Akhir mein yeh kehna galat nahi hoga ke EUR/USD ki recent performance ne financial markets mein ek new wave of optimism ko janam diya hai. Investors jo euro mein confidence dikha rahe hain, uska asar na sirf Europe ki economy par, balki global markets par bhi par raha hai. Har nayi economic report aur policy announcement ko closely dekhna hoga, taake agle trends ka andaza lagaya ja sake.



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