eur/usd

Euro ki Halat ka Jaiza

Jumay ke din New York trading mein Euro ko kaafi selling pressure ka samna karna pada. Iski wajah kamzor economic data aur siyasi bechaini thi. Eurozone se aane wale disappointing preliminary PMI figures ne economic growth mein slowdown ko zahir kiya. S&P Global ke HCOB PMI ne bataya ke composite PMI June mein 52.2 se gir kar 50.8 ho gaya, jo investor ke umeedat 52.5 tak badhne ke baraks tha. Halaankeh yeh 50.0 ke upar rehta hai jo expansion ko zahir karta hai, lekin isse momentum mein kami ka ishara milta hai. Report ne manufacturing mein contraction aur service sector ki growth mein pichle mahine ke muqable mein kami ko bhi zahir kiya.

Euro ke liye aur zyada pareshani ka sabab France mein siyasi uncertainty bani, jo Eurozone ki doosri badi economy hai. Investors ko yeh fikar hai ke agle legislative elections mein Marine Le Pen ki National Rally (RN) party ki fatah financial crisis ko janam de sakti hai. RN ki policies, jin mein retirement age ka kam karna, energy prices ko ghataana aur public spending ko barhana shamil hai, fiscal responsibility ke hawale se concerns ko barhate hain.



Monetary policy ke lehaz se bhi European Central Bank (ECB) ka stance Euro ke liye mushkilat mein izafa kar raha hai. Halaankeh ECB ne is saal pehli dafa June mein interest rates kam kiye, investors ko yeh nahi pata ke kitne aur cuts planned hain. ECB aur Dutch bank ABN Amro ne is market uncertainty ko tasleem kiya, aur umeedat ek se do additional cuts ki hain. In sab mushkilat ke natije mein, EUR/USD pair key support level 1.0700 ke neeche gir gaya. Yeh Euro ko bade support levels ko dobara test karne par majboor kar sakta hai. Technical picture bhi bearish nazar aa rahi hai. Price ka 200-day moving average (1.0800 ke aas paas) ke neeche girna long-term outlook par shak daal raha hai. Iske ilawa, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bhi do mahine mein pehli martaba 40.00 se neeche gaya, jo downside momentum ki taraf ek significant shift ko zahir karta hai.

EUR/USD Analysis

EUR/USD ko Jumay ki subah apni position barqarar rakhne mein mushkilat ka samna hai, aur yeh 1.0700 se neeche trade kar raha hai jab ke kal negative territory mein close kiya tha. Agar 1.0670 ka support level break na hua, to pair mazeed gir sakta hai. Market mein risk aversion ne Thursday ko US dollar (USD) ko rally karne mein madad ki, jiski wajah se EUR/USD ko mazeed nuqsan uthana pada. Germany aur eurozone se aane wale disappointing PMI data ne Jumay ki subah euro ke liye support dhundhna mushkil bana diya. Germany ka HCOB composite PMI June mein 52.4 se gir kar 50.6 ho gaya, jab ke eurozone ka HCOC composite PMI 52.2 se gir kar 50.8 ho gaya. Dono figures analysts ke expectations se kam rahe, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke private sector business activity ahista se grow kar rahi hai. Dr. Cyrus de la Rubia, chief economist at Hamburger Commerzbank, ne kaha: “PMI survey results ke adhar par, HCOB PMI ECB ko July mein interest rates cut karne ka koi reason nahi deta.”

Doosri taraf, S&P Global second half mein US manufacturing aur services PMIs par preliminary data publish karega. Agar US PMI report expected se zyada strong hui, to weekend ke duran US dollar mazid strong ho sakta hai, jiski wajah se EUR/USD decrease ho sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar manufacturing ya services PMI data mein zyada girawat hui, to dollar gains limited ho sakte hain.



Aaj EU par lagatar negative flow tha, lekin Euro ki decline kaafi kamzor rahi. Mera khayal hai ke iski wajah yeh hai ke US ka 3-day weekend hai, aur overall pair mein isse pehle significant drop dekhne ko mila. Isliye, ab correction build karne ke liye waqt darkar hai. Iske ilawa, aaj US se positive news bhi aayi, lekin market ne isse bhi ignore kiya. Dollar mein zyada izafa nahi hua. Mera khayal hai ke wajah wohi hai; pair ke continue fall aur dollar ke rise ke liye waqt darkar hai. Shayed agle hafte ke darmiyan mein hi jawab milay ke kab aur kis level se decline wapas shuru hogi. Technical standpoint se bhi yeh same hai. Yeh wazeh nahi ke hum current levels se girenge ya nahi, minimum target 1.06, ya pair 1.0760 par correct karega aur phir is price ke upar rise hone ke baad girega. Mujhe jawab nahi hai; dono scenarios mumkin hain. Main pair ke rise ko consider nahi kar raha jab tak yeh 4-hour chart par upward channel ko break nahi karta. Filhal, yeh bhi consideration mein nahi hai. Trading ko trend ke adhar par karna chahiye, aur har shakhs apni marzi se selling decide kare.

Jumay ke din Eurozone ki economy se mutaliq naye concerns samne aaye jab HCOB ne apne latest PMI survey data ko release kiya. Yeh report aik parishan kon tasveer pesh karti hai, jahan manufacturing aur services sectors mein slowdown ke asar dekhne ko mile. Eurozone mein manufacturing activity June ke mahine mein 15th consecutive month ke liye contract hui. Sector ka PMI six-month low tak gir kar 45.6 par aa gaya, jo market expectations 47.9 se bhi neeche tha. Yeh lagataar decline manufacturers ke liye ongoing struggles ka ishara deta hai, mumkin hai supply chain disruptions ya global demand ke kamzor hone ki wajah se
Services sector, jo aam tor par manufacturing se zyada resilient raha hai, usne bhi momentum lose karne ke signs dikhaye. EU services PMI June mein 52.2 tak gir gaya, jo three-month low hai aur market forecasts 53.5 se neeche hai. Halankeh yeh ab bhi expansion territory mein hai, magar yeh slowdown Eurozone mein services ki demand ke kamzor hone ka indication hai. Dono sectors ki overall weakness Eurozone Composite PMI (HCOB) mein reflect hui, jo June mein 50.8 tak gir gaya. Yeh reading, jo teen mahine mein lowest hai, Eurozone economy ke barely growing hone ka ishara deti hai, agar bilkul bhi growth ho rahi ho.




Yeh lackluster PMI data Euro par negative impact dala. EUR/USD currency pair ne apni recent decline ko extend kiya, aur din mein 0.20% gira. Yeh weakness Euro ko key technical support levels ke neeche le gaya, jin mein 50-day aur 200-day moving averages shamil hain. Pair ne December mein established downtrend line ko bhi breach kar liya, jo near future mein Euro ke further depreciation ke concerns ko raise karta hai. Agar current bearish momentum barqarar rehta hai, to EUR/USD recent low 1.0666 ko challenge kar sakta hai. Is point ke neeche break karne se yeh slide 1.0595 tak ja sakti hai, jo ek critical Fibonacci retracement level hai. Yeh level aik significant technical hurdle hai, aur breach hone par ek steeper decline ka darwaza khul sakta hai
Magar, Euro ke rebound ki possibility ab bhi hai. Agar Euro kuch strength muster kar sakta hai aur 61.8% Fibonacci resistance 1.0711 ke upar surge kar sakta hai, to yeh potential reversal ka signal de sakta hai. Is level ko overcome karne se bulls higher Fibonacci retracement levels ko target kar sakte hain, jo potentially recovery ka lead de sakti hai. EUR/USD aur broader Eurozone economy ka direction aanewale dinon mein mukhtalif factors par depend karega. Aane wali economic data closely watch ki jayegi, aur investors ka sentiment Eurozone ke current challenges ko navigate karne ki ability par depend karega. Agar Eurozone effective policies implement kar sakti hai taake slowdown ko address kar sake, to yeh aik zyada optimistic outlook ko foster kar sakta hai aur possibly current negative trends ko stabilize ya reverse kar sakta hai
In conclusion, Eurozone ki economy ko fresh concerns ka samna hai, aur PMI data ne Euro ko negative impact ka samna karwaya hai. EUR/USD currency pair ab critical support levels ko test kar rahi hai, aur aanewale dinon mein economic data aur policies yeh determine karengi ke kya yeh trend continue rahega ya reverse hoga. Traders aur investors ko closely monitoring karte rehna chahiye taake potential movements ka faida utha sakein

EUR/USD Analysis

Wednesday ko, EUR/USD currency pair ne significant market activity dekhi, jo zyadatar sellers ki taraf se influence hui. In sellers ne market par kafi pressure dala, aur price ko bearish direction mein niche dhakelne ki koshish ki. Magar wo price ko ek critical support area, jo buyers ne establish kiya tha aur jo 1.0740 se 1.0734 ke darmiyan tha, ke neeche push karne mein nakam rahe. Yeh support zone ek mazboot barrier sabit hui jo sellers breach nahi kar sake.

Trading session ke doran, sellers ne is buyer support area ko todne ki kai koshishen ki. Har koshish ko buyers ne strong defensive maneuvers se roka, jo is crucial price level ko maintain karne ke liye determined the. Buyers ki resilience ne yeh dikhaya ke in price levels par demand ka ek mazboot foundation hai.



Mazid, strong support dobara growth ko trigger kar sakti hai. Bullish direction mein correction ko continue karna risky hai, isliye H1 time frame par sideways direction ko maintain karna behtar hai. Wednesday ko main direction anticipate kiya jata hai, jo ke week ke end tak ek clear trend bana sakta hai, jahan buying ya selling ko trend ke mutabiq determine kiya jayega. Selling zyada preferable lagti hai, aur mazid sales ko postpone kar sakti hai. Stochastic indicator bhi downward point kar raha hai. Aakhri trading session mein, pair decline karta raha, jahan bears ne pivot level ke neeche position secure karne ki koshish ki, jo ke currently 1.0718 par trade ho raha hai. Intraday sales targets mein classic Pivot levels ki support shamil hai. Aaj, hum current levels se decline ka continuation dekhenge, aur agar 1.0628 ka support level break hota hai, to yeh ek naye wave of decline ko lead karega, jo pair ko further bearish direction mein support line ke neeche around 1.0554 tak move karega.

Euro/USD Analysis

Hello. Euro mein kal sellers ne girawat ka aghaz kiya; unhone level 1.07090 ko tod diya, jo humein local ascending structure mein break aur quotes ke girne ka signal deta hai. Agar yeh 1.07067 par mazbooti se qaim rahta hai, toh agle targets girawat ke liye 1.06854 aur 1.06666 honge. Ab buyers ko upward movement ke liye level 1.07608 ko todna aur us par qaim rehna hoga; agar yeh conditions puri hoti hain, toh agla target 1.08517 hoga. Magar filhal downward trend hai, aur behtar hoga ke sales par focus kiya jaye.

EUR/USD Pair H4 Analysis:

1. 4-hour chart par euro central area ki taraf rollback kar raha hai, aur bands khud horizontal position mein hain. Achi quality ka signal price increase ya decrease ke liye milne ke liye, humein kisi band ke bahar active new exit ka intezar karna hoga, aur phir evaluate karna hoga ke bands open outward hoti hain ya nahi. Fractals ke hisaab se dekha jaye, toh ek new downward fractal ban chuki hai, jo ab price girne ka target hai; is ka breakdown aur consolidation price ko 17 June ke fractal level 1.06854 ki taraf move karne dega. Qarib ka upward fractal kafi door hai, aur quotes ke growth ke liye koi cheez focus mein rakhni hai, toh naye fractal ke formation ka intezar karna hoga.



2. AO indicator zero mark ke qareeb hai aur koi khaas signals nahi de raha. Price increase ya decrease ke liye high-quality signal milne ke liye, AO ke positive ya negative area mein active growth ka intezar karna chahiye, jo ke price ko zero ki taraf move karne ke bare mein baat karne dega.

H4 Trading Chat on EUR/USD:

EUR/USD Currency Pair H4 Chart Analysis

EUR/USD ka H4 chart dekha jaye toh kal ki tarah aaj bhi girawat ka imkaan zyada hai. Is hafte ke pehle teen dinon mein ek upward correction dekhne ko mili, jahan MACD aur CCI indicators se growth signal ko process kiya gaya aur in par ek bullish divergence bana, jo growth ke liye strong signal tha. Magar overall trend ab bhi downward hai, wave structure apna order neeche banata hai, aur MACD indicator lower sell zone mein rehta hai aur phir se apni signal line ke neeche gira hai.

Growth ke dauran, price horizontal resistance level 1.0730 tak pohanchi aur aisa laga ke isay thoda push kar diya, magar yeh breakout maana mushkil hai. Agar is level ko daily chart par closing prices se mark kiya jaye toh wahan koi breakout nazar nahi aata. Kal kaafi zaroori news thi jo price ko kaafi move kar sakti thi, magar jaise ke dekha gaya ke sirf thoda neeche gayi, shayad sirf 35 points, jo ke zyada nahi hai.

Agar target Fibonacci grid ko pehli wave par lagaya jaye toh ek potential downward target level 161.8 nazar aata hai. Yeh significant low 1.0600 par maujood hai, jo levels ke kareeb hain. Yeh low mid-April mein shuru hone wali daily rally ka aaghaz tha. Aaj phir se US ke liye kuch news set hain:

16:45 Moscow time US Manufacturing PMI
US Composite PMI from S&P Global
US Services Sector Purchasing Index (PMI)
17:00 Secondary housing market sales in the USA
Index of leading economic indicators in the USA
18:00 US Federal Reserve ka monetary policy par report



Mukhtasir mein, pichle hafte ke lowdown update tak neeche ki taraf kaam karna zyada behtar hai.

Euro Ka Girawat Jaari

Budh ke trading session ke douran, euro girta raha, aur 1.07 ka level ek aham support area ban gaya hai. Yeh market ek chauraha par hai aur lambi muddat ke faisle lene padenge. Agar euro 1.07 se neeche girta hai, toh 1.06 ka level bhi significant hai kyun ke yeh consolidation ka bara area hai.

Doosri taraf, agar euro reverse karke upar jata hai, toh 1.0750 agla target ho sakta hai, uske baad 1.08 ka level. Yeh yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke euro aksar turbulant aur noisy trade hota hai, jo in do currencies ke beech aam baat hai. European Central Bank (ECB) ne pehle hi interest rates cut kiye hain, jab ke Federal Reserve ne nahi kiya, jis ki wajah se current market rally ho rahi hai.

Aakhir mein, yeh pair apne pichay ke sheher aur shor sharabe ke liye jana jata hai, isliye kisi mehngi moves ki umeed nahi hai. Aksar, markets Federal Reserve ke developments par strong react karti hain, isliye Washington mein central bank ke alfaaz aur actions par nazar rakhna zaroori hai. In conditions ke wajah se, euro mein volatility jaari rehne ki umeed hai, aur traders ko apni strategies ke liye short-term plans banane chahiye.



Khulasah yeh hai ke euro significant support 1.07 level par face kar raha hai, aur aage support 1.06 level par bhi ho sakta hai. Agar reversal hoti hai toh upside targets 1.0750 aur 1.08 hain. Pair ki aksar noisy behavior aur ECB aur Federal Reserve ke divergent monetary policies ka matlab hai ke traders ko central bank ke deals par hoshiyar rehna chahiye aur volatility ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Short-term trading strategies is case mein mozoon hain kyun ke market ki volatility move hone ki tendency rakhti hai.

Euro Ka Zawal - Friday Ka Trading Session

Jumay ko euro gir gaya. European session mein, EUR/USD 1.0687 par trade ho raha tha, jo ke din ka 0.14% neeche tha.

Kya Eurozone Slow Ho Raha Hai?

Europe mein hafte ka ikhtitam achha nahi raha jab ke eurozone ke June PMI figures gir gaye. Industry PMI 52.6 tak gir gaya, jo May ke 53.2 se neeche tha aur market estimate 53.5 se bhi kam. Manufacturing PMI 45.6 tak gir gaya, jo May ke 47.3 se neeche tha aur market estimate 47.9 se bhi kam. Manufacturing sector lambi muddat se depression mein hai aur June 2022 se recover nahi ho saka (reading 50.0 se upar nahi gayi). Eurozone ki do badi economies, Germany aur France, ne bhi June mein kamzor jobs aur manufacturing PMIs announce kiye.

Kamzor PMI data ka matlab slow growth ho sakta hai second quarter mein. Lekin yeh sirf aik report hai aur European Central Bank (ECB) mazeed data dekh kar faisla karega ke further rate cuts theek hain ya nahi. ECB ne is mahine ke aghaz mein rates cut kiye thay, jo pehla cut tha jab se unho ne mehngai ko control karne ke liye drastic cuts shuru kiye.

Mehngai stubborn sabit ho rahi hai jab ECB isay wapas 2% target par lana chahta hai. May ka CPI report disappointing tha, jab ke headline CPI 2.6% tak barh gaya jo ke May ke 2.4% se zyada tha, jab ke core inflation 2.9% tak barh gaya, jo ke April ke 2.7% se zyada tha. ECB ne ishara diya ke woh rates cut karna chahta hai chahe inflation 2% level se exceed kar jaye, lekin yeh mumkin nahi ke prices girne se pehle mazeed cut hoga.

ECB Ke Liye Ek Aur Masla

ECB ke liye ek aur headache euro aur French elections ka uncertainty hai jo 30 June aur 7 July ko hone wale hain. French banks pehle hi sell off kar chuke hain aur agar far right ko profit hota hai toh phir se sell off ho sakte hain, jaise ke recent European Parliament elections mein hua.



EUR/USD Technology

EUR/USD ne pehle resistance 1.0719 par test ki thi. Resistance 1.0735 par hai, jab ke 1.0686 aur 1.0670 support provide karenge.

EUR/USD Daily Timeframe Outlook:

Aaj market ek choti si gap ke sath open hui, jo ab close ho chuki hai aur ab tak Asian session mein, buyers Friday ke daily range ke close par positions hold kar rahe hain, halankeh aaj mujhe lagta hai ke nearest support level jo mere markings ke mutabiq 1.06675 par hai, shayad kaam karna shuru kar de. Jaise ke main ne pehle bhi kai dafa kaha hai, yeh support level ke qareeb situation ke development ke liye do scenarios ho sakte hain. Pehla scenario turning candle ki formation aur upward price movement ke resumption se mutaliq hai. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, to main price ke resistance level ki taraf move hone ka intizaar karunga, jo 1.08522 par located hai. Agar price is resistance level ke upar fix ho jati hai, to main further northward movement ka intizaar karunga, jo resistance level 1.09160 ya resistance level 1.09812 tak ho sakti hai. Main trading setup ki formation ka intizaar karunga in resistance levels ke qareeb, jo trading ke further direction ko determine karne mein madad karegi. Bilkul, ek option yeh bhi hai ke door ka northern target jo mere markings ke mutabiq 1.11393 par located hai, ko bhi kaam kiya jaye, lekin yahan dekhna hoga ke situation kaisi hoti hai aur price move hone par news background kaisa flow karta hai aur designated far northern goals par price kaise react karti hai.

Aaj ke support level 1.06675 ke testing ke doran price movement ka alternative option yeh hoga ke price is level ke neeche consolidate kar jaye aur south ki taraf move kare. Agar yeh plan kaam karta hai, to main price ke support level ki taraf move hone ka intizaar karunga, jo 1.06011 par located hai. Main is support level ke qareeb bullish signals ko search karunga, upward price movement ke resumption ke anticipation mein. Mukhtasir mein, aaj mujhe locally apne liye kuch interesting nazar nahi aa raha. General mein, main yeh tasleem karta hoon ke northern movement resume ho sakti hai, aur isliye main nearest support levels se bullish signals ko search kar raha hoon.
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EURUSD Pair Ki Technical Analysis

4-Hour Chart

Hafte ka ikhtitam ho raha hai aur lagta hai ke agle hafte ke liye yeh negative close hoga, jo downward trend ko support karega.

Aaj ke trading ke liye, price abhi ek acchi selling area mein trade kar rahi hai, jahan ek price peak form hui hai descending blue channel line ke sath, jaise ke chart par dekh sakte hain.

Trading Strategy

Isliye, hum is peak ka level determine kar sakte hain jo hamari trading entry ka basis hoga aane wale ghanton mein.
Aap current level se sale enter kar sakte hain aur stop loss level is peak ke upar set kar sakte hain.
Aap purchase bhi kar sakte hain agar yeh peak break hota hai aur ek ghante tak iske upar stabilize hota hai.

Economic Factors

Economic side par, European political anxiety euro ki price par pressure banaye rakhti hai baqi major currencies ke against. Economic calendar ke results ke mutabiq, European inflation 2023 ke baad pehli baar barhi hai.

Eurostat Data Center Ki Report

Is hafte, European Commission ke Eurostat data center ne latest consumer price index inflation readings eurozone ke liye reveal kiye hain. Announcement ke mutabiq, annual inflation rate European Union mein May 2024 mein 0.1 percentage points barh kar 2.7% ho gayi, jo December 2023 ke baad pehli barh gayi hai.



Pehle, European Union consumer price index April 2024 ke liye monthly basis par 2.6% tha.
May 2024 mein, annual inflation rate 2.6% tak pohanch gayi, jo April 2024 se 0.2% zyada thi, aur iski reading 2.4% thi.

Euro Ki Kamiyabi Ka Giravat Dollar Ke Khilaf

Euro (EUR) ne Thursday ko US Dollar (USD) ke khilaf giravat ki, jo ke pehle teen dinon ke faiday ko ghata diya. Giravat Europe ke early trading mein hui aur EUR/USD ke jeetne wale streak ko tootne ka sabab bani. Is ulte ko do mukhya factors se jora ja sakta hai: Eurozone mein siyasi be-ittifaqi ke bare mein pareshaniyan aur Eurozone aur US ke monetary policy mein mukhtalifiyat jaari hai. Siyasi front par, France ke jald elections ka call aur far-right rallies ke nakami ke baad concerns aahista aahista barh rahe hain. Is ne Eurozone ki siyasi manzar par uncertainty ka saaya dala hai, jis se Euro par dabao ban gaya hai. Is ke ilawa, European Central Bank (ECB) aur US Federal Reserve (Fed) ke tareeqe mein farq Euro ke liye ek headwind paida kar raha hai. ECB, jo ke Mario Centeno ke zair-e-sadarat hai, ne ek dovish stance signal kiya hai aur yeh bhi zahir kiya hai ke jab tak ke muashiyati inflation niche na aaye, monetary easing jaari rahe ga. Is ke khilaf, Fed ne inflation se nipatne ke liye monetary policy ko tight karne ki taraf leaning ki hai.

Economic Data from the US

Dusri taraf, US se maaliati data ne ek mixed picture pesh kiya. Jab ke latest jobless claims expected se zyada rahe, wahan manufacturing activity aur naye gharo ke construction projects ke gauges kamzor nazar aaye. Yeh mumkin hai ke yeh US Dollar ke quwwat ko kam kar de, lekin overall trend mein USD ko stability ki talash ho rahi hai, jahan investors uncertainty se mehfooz rehna chahte hain.



Technical Aspects of EUR/USD

Technically, EUR/USD ki giravat ne shuruat ki jab yeh key resistance levels 1.0850 aur 200-period SMA ko paar karne mein nakam raha. Is ne ek sell-off ko trigger kiya, jo pair ko neeche ki taraf push kiya 1.0730 tak. Giravat ke bawajood, technical indicators jaise RSI aur Stochastic mein oversold readings ishara dete hain ke qareebi mustaqbil mein ek bounce ho sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, support levels 1.0666 (Fibonacci retracement) aur 1.0650 (initial support trend line) pair ke liye ek buffer zone ka kaam kar sakte hain. Magar, agar 1.0650 ke neeche break ho jaye, toh 1.0600 ki taraf ek tezi se giravat ke darwaze ko khulne ka khatra bhi hai.

EUR/USD ne Thursday ko apni neechayi raftar jaari rakhi, jab ke kuch din pehle 1.0757 ke level se bounce hua aur phir is level ko dobara test kiya gaya. Is tarah, hum ne ek halke giravat dekha aur qeemat ne aham line ke neeche jama kiya. Isi ke saath, ek downtrend line bhi ban gaya, jo market ki current situation ko dikhata hai. Amm taur par, EUR/USD pair ke baray mein koi sawal nahi hai. Shayad iska performance sab se behtar na ho, lekin iske haal ki harekatein mantqi aur mutabiq rahi hain. Euro ne do mahino tak bullish correction ki hai, jo humari raay mein bohat lambi thi. Magar global downtrend ab bhi qaim hai aur ab wapas shuru ho gaya hai. Pair tasalsul se neeche ki taraf ja raha hai, ek dheere se raftar mein.

Kal, maqrooz mein bohat kam numaindah maqrooz hui. Sirf US reports jo building permits issued aur housing starts par thi unko highlight kya ja sakta hai. Dono reports thori mazeed expectations se taqatwar nikli, jo dollar ke liye naye upward movement ka sabab ho sakti hai. Amm taur par, agle hafton mein, pair bullish correction se guzar sakta hai jahan price trend line ko paar kar jaye, kyun ke euro zyada volatility ke liye mashhoor nahi hai. Magar abhi ke liye, yeh ek contingency plan hai.

Kal, Kijun-sen line ke aas paas chaar trading signals bane thay. Din ke doran neechayi raftar ke bawajood, volatility amm taur par kamzor thi. Shuruat mein, pair ne do martaba critical line se bounce kiya, phir isay paar kar liya aur neeche se bounce kiya. Dono halat mein price 15 pips tak bhi gir nahi saki. Kamzor harekatein ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai, signal ki taqat ahmiyat nahi rakhti. Magar aaj traders short positions par qaim reh sakte hain agar price critical line ke neeche rahe.

1-hour chart par, EUR/USD ne ek naye downward trend ki shuruat ki hai, jo global trend ka hissa hai. Pehle ki tarah, hum single currency ki giravat ka intezar kar rahe hain. Is waqt, pair ek technical correction se guzar raha hai, aur shayad yeh mukammal ho chuka hai. Volatility ek bar phir se absolute lows tak pohanch gayi hai, jo tajarba aur trading ko kafi mushkil bana deti hai. Bullish correction ko kafi arsay tak jari rehne ki sambhavna hai, lekin sellers ke paas abhi bhi ek support line hai - trend line.

21 June ko, trading ke liye neeche diye gaye levels par tawajjo dain: 1.0530, 1.0581, 1.0658-1.0669, 1.0757, 1.0797, 1.0836, 1.0889, 1.0935, 1.1006, 1.1092, sath hi Senkou Span B (1.0818) aur Kijun-sen (1.0725) lines. Ichimoku indicator lines din ke doran move ho sakte hain, is liye trading signals ko identify karte waqt is baat ka khayal rakhein. Agar price 15 pips ke intended direction mein move ho gaya hai, toh Stop Loss ko breakeven par set karna na bhoolen. Yeh aapko nuqsan se mehfooz rakhe ga agar signal ghalat sabit ho jaye.



Jumma ko, Germany, European Union aur United States mein services aur manufacturing sectors ke business activity indices publish kiye jayenge. Yeh zaroori hai ke zikar kiya jaye ke United States ke paas apne ISM business activity indices hain, jo market S&P indices se zyada tawajjo deti hai. European indices traders ke liye kaafi ahmiyat rakhte hain.

EUR/USD H-4 TIME FRAME CHART.

Aaj euro mein bechne walay ne kal ek downtrend banaya; unhon ne 1.07090 ke level ko toor diya jo hamain muqami oonchi bunyadi tameer mein aik toot aur quotation ki kami mein izafa ka ishara deta hai. Agar 1.07067 ke level par qaimi ho jaye, to qeemat mein kami ke liye agle maqsad 1.06854 aur 1.06666 ke levels honge. Ab kharidari karne walon ko agay barhne ke liye 1.07608 ke level ko toorna hoga aur qaimi ho jana hoga; agar yeh shara'it mojood ho jaye, to mazeed barhne ke liye maqsad 1.08517 ke level hoga. Lekin abhi ek downtrend hai, aur behtar hai bechne par tawajjo di jaye. EURUSD jodi H4 ke Euro bands ke markazi ilaqe mein laut gayi aur bands khud horizontal ho gaye hain. Keemat mein izafa ya kami ke liye humein aik behtar signal hasil karne ke liye ek band se bahar active alternative exit ka intezar karna hoga, aur phir dekhna hoga ke bands khud ko kholte hain ya koi bhi tajawuz na hota ho. Agar hum fractals ke zariye hawala se hawala karte hain, to aik naya downward fractal ban gaya hai jo ab keemat ki kami ka maqsad hai; is ka toorna aur mustehkam hona keemat ko June 17 ke fractal 1.06854 ke level ki taraf le jane dega. Nazdeek tareen upward fractal kaafi door hai, aur keemat ke ird gird irtiqa ke liye kisi cheez par tawajjo di jaye to behtar hai ke ek naye fractal ka intezar kiya jaye. AO indicator zero mark ke qareeb hai aur koi khaas signals nahi de raha. Keemat mein izafa ya kami ke liye aik behtar signal hasil karne ke liye, AO mein musbat ya manfi zone mein active irtiqa ka intezar karen jo keemat ko zero ke taraf le jane ki ijazat dega.

EUR/USD H-1 Timeframe Analysis:

EURUSD currency pair ne 1.0713 ke early support level ko retest karne ke baad, mazboot hona shuru kiya. Kharidari karne walay ne Asian decline ka aadha hissa absorb kar liya hai aur ab 1.0738 ke mutawaqqa resistance level ki taraf dekh rahe hain. Agar bechne walay euro ko 1.0738 ke nichay rakh sakte hain, to mujhe ummeed hai ke keemat 1.0713 ke level par laut ke isay toorna aur aglay bechne walon ke liye 1.0694 ke rukawat tak jari rakhne ki koshish karega. Aik mukhtalif manzar ye hai ke 30-minute candle 1.0738 ke level ke oopar band ho jaye, jo 1.0760 ki taraf rastay ko khol dega. Agar muqami maximum 1.0760 ke level se bahar toot jaye, to mazeed izafa mumkin hai. Agar 1.0760 ke level ka toot ho jaye, to ye kharidne ka signal hoga. Jab hum 1.0760 ke mark se bahar tootne aur mustaqil mustawar honay ka pura ho jaye ga, to is se beech mein mazeed keemat mein izafa ki tasdeeq ho jaye gi. Keemat mein izafa ke saath 1.0850 ke level ke tootne aur is ke mustawar hone ka aur bhi aik signal kharidne ke liye ho ga. Shayad aaj ke din hume 1.0715 tak taqseem kiya jaega aur yahan se izafa jari rahe ga. 1.0850 ke level ke tootne aur is ke mustawar hone ki surat mein aap ko mazeed kharidne aur positions par munafa barhane ki ijazat bhi mile gi. Agar 1.0820 ke level ka toot ho jaye aur is ke mustawar hone ki tasdeeq ho jaye, to ye keemat mein izafa ke liye market mein shamil hone ka signal ho ga. 1.0830 ke level ka tootne aur is ke mustawar hone se lambi positions ko barhane ke liye aik ehmiyat shan markaz ho ga.

g aur trading week ka achi shuruaat! H4 timeframe par, euro/dollar pair ke bears beech raste mein ruk gaye hain. Yeh isliye hua kyunki pair yellow moving average se neeche nahi ja saka, aur wapas resistance level 1.0861 par aa gayaIs stage par, main phir se bears ki possibility par soch raha hoon, Friday ke galat resistance hole ko dekhte hue. Agar aaj quotes 1.0861 ke level se upar nahi ja sakte, aur aisa ek attempt Asian session ke dauran hua tha, to hum intezar kar sakte hain ke quotes daily chart ke average limits level 1.0763 tak na jaayein. Agar price offers abhi bhi 1.0861 level se upar hain, tab bhi main long time ka expect nahi kar raha. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke bulls trading range ke upper limit tak movement ko limit kar dein, aur phir profits register kar lein.Aaj, American session khulne ke baad significant activity increase hone ki umeed hai, American manufacturing sector ke activity indicators ke expectations ko dekhte hue. Price abhi tak 1.0850 ke aas paas trade ho rahi hai. Chicken mode mein bhi kuch khaas interesting nahi mil raha, axis levels din ke andar kaafi narrow hain, Fibonacci network ke saath 100 - 161.8 group sirf H4 par hai.Market mein koi direct visits nahi hain, naye conditions provide nahi kiye gaye, isliye main aur important events ka intezar kar raha hoon jo fluctuating tools ko affect kar sakte hain. Economic evaluation kal analyze hui thi, isliye yeh question nahi ke kuch add kiya ja sake, zyadatar kuch important hone ki umeed hai ek bara half mein, including daily schedule. Price movement ka method dekhna zaroori hai, candle model evening star par focus karna zaroori hai. Ideal construction of algorithm ka kehna mushkil hai, lekin phir bhi is par dhyan dena zaroori hai.Technical analysis ko dekhte hue, humein current market situation aur expected activity par focus karna chahiye. H4 timeframe mein significant levels aur trends ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Agar 1.0861 level break hota hai aur price uske upar consolidate hoti hai, to bullish sentiment prevail kar sakta hai. Lekin agar price is level se neeche rehti hai, to bearish sentiment ka continuation ho sakta hai.Strategy recommendations ke mutabiq, resistance levels ko closely monitor karein. Agar price is level se upar nahi ja sakti, to sell orders place karne ka sochen. Support levels ko bhi dhyan se dekhein. Agar price is level tak girti hai, to buy orders place karne ka plan banayein. American session ke dauran significant activity hone ki umeed hai, isliye market movements ko closely follow karein. American manufacturing sector ke indicators ko monitor karein, kyunki yeh market sentiment ko affect kar sakte hain. Evening star candle pattern par focus karein, kyunki yeh potential reversal signal ho sakta hai.Current market situation aur expected activity ko dekhte hue, humein carefully trading decisions lene chahiye. Resistance aur support levels ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai, aur market sentiment ko samajhne ke liye economic indicators aur technical patterns par focus karna chahiye. Trading mein disciplined approach aur risk management ko follow karte hue decisions lena successful trading ke liye crucial hai.