USD/INDEX DAILY
U.S. dollar index (DXY) ab mojooda waqt mein 103.80 ke aspaas be-neutral tajaweez par trade kar raha hai. Federal Reserve ne ishara kiya hai ke woh jaldi interest rates kam karne mein ehtiyaat barat rahi hai, jis se March mein rate cut kam mumkin hai, jab ke May mein rate cut ka imkan kuch around 20% hai. Data ke hissay se, European session mein jaari hone wale kamzor data ne dollar ko nichayi ki taraf dhakel diya hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Federal Reserve ke jald rate cut karne mein ehtiyaat ki wajah se market sentiment mein tabdili aagayi hai. March mein rate cut ka imkan zero ho gaya hai, aur May mein rate cut ka imkan 20% tak gir gaya hai. Abhi ke liye, sab se zyada mumkin scenario ye hai ke easing June mein shuru ho. Agar PCE aur GDP data expectations se kamzor hote hain, to ye probabilities badal sakti hain, jis se dovish rhetoric ko support mil sakta hai aur is se dollar par asar ho sakta hai.
Daily chart par dikhaya gaya hai ke technical conditions ye ishara kar rahe hain ke khareednay ki jazbaat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahe hain. Relative strength index (RSI) abhi bhi negative territory mein thanda hai, jisse ye zahir hota hai ke selling pressure mumkin hai. Is bayanat mein, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) mein uthne wale surkhi bars ka ubhar, jo ke downside momentum ka indicator hai, is manzur ko aur bhi tasdeeq karta hai. Lekin, simple moving average (SMA) se mutalliq indices aik thora sa mixed tasawwur pesh karte hain. U.S. Dollar Index apne 20- aur 100-day moving averages ke neeche hai, jo ke nazdeek ki muddat mein possible bearish bias ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, lekin 200-day moving average ke upar hone ka manazir, iski bunyadi bullish quwat ko darust kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, bearish faidayon ke saboot ne selling pressure ko barha sakti hai. Is liye, foran mein yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke bechne ki momentum ab dominent hai. Lekin, ye poora trend ko puri tarah se chhupane mein nakaam nahi hai, aur U.S. dollar index ab bhi kisi had tak bullish mazbooti dikhata hai.
U.S. dollar index (DXY) ab mojooda waqt mein 103.80 ke aspaas be-neutral tajaweez par trade kar raha hai. Federal Reserve ne ishara kiya hai ke woh jaldi interest rates kam karne mein ehtiyaat barat rahi hai, jis se March mein rate cut kam mumkin hai, jab ke May mein rate cut ka imkan kuch around 20% hai. Data ke hissay se, European session mein jaari hone wale kamzor data ne dollar ko nichayi ki taraf dhakel diya hai. CME FedWatch tool ke mutabiq, Federal Reserve ke jald rate cut karne mein ehtiyaat ki wajah se market sentiment mein tabdili aagayi hai. March mein rate cut ka imkan zero ho gaya hai, aur May mein rate cut ka imkan 20% tak gir gaya hai. Abhi ke liye, sab se zyada mumkin scenario ye hai ke easing June mein shuru ho. Agar PCE aur GDP data expectations se kamzor hote hain, to ye probabilities badal sakti hain, jis se dovish rhetoric ko support mil sakta hai aur is se dollar par asar ho sakta hai.
Daily chart par dikhaya gaya hai ke technical conditions ye ishara kar rahe hain ke khareednay ki jazbaat dheere dheere kamzor ho rahe hain. Relative strength index (RSI) abhi bhi negative territory mein thanda hai, jisse ye zahir hota hai ke selling pressure mumkin hai. Is bayanat mein, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) mein uthne wale surkhi bars ka ubhar, jo ke downside momentum ka indicator hai, is manzur ko aur bhi tasdeeq karta hai. Lekin, simple moving average (SMA) se mutalliq indices aik thora sa mixed tasawwur pesh karte hain. U.S. Dollar Index apne 20- aur 100-day moving averages ke neeche hai, jo ke nazdeek ki muddat mein possible bearish bias ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, lekin 200-day moving average ke upar hone ka manazir, iski bunyadi bullish quwat ko darust kar sakta hai. Is ke ilawa, bearish faidayon ke saboot ne selling pressure ko barha sakti hai. Is liye, foran mein yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke bechne ki momentum ab dominent hai. Lekin, ye poora trend ko puri tarah se chhupane mein nakaam nahi hai, aur U.S. dollar index ab bhi kisi had tak bullish mazbooti dikhata hai.
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