Usd/index

UNITED STATE DOLLAR (USD) INDEX
M4 waqt ke frame par United States dollar (USD) index ka tajziya karte hue, hume kharidari ki raftar ka mustaqbil dekhne ko milta hai, jo ke abhi tak mazboot hai, halankeh yeh kami rokawat ka samna karti hai girawat aur wapas aane ki 5/10 unchi moving average marking area mein. Yeh dikhata hai ke bullish trend abhi tak jaari rehne ka potential rakhta hai, lekin rokawat ke saath, humein qeemat ke rukh mein mumkin changes ke liye zyada ehtiyaat baratna chahiye.

Is surat hal mein, hamara asal tawajju buyers ke dwara kiye gaye taiyaarion par hota hai, khaaskar H4 waqt ke frame par shiraa'it ka nazaara karke mazboot u-turn signals ke liye dekhne ke liye, khaaskar ek dominant sell-direction candlestick ke shakl mein. Yeh signal market ke volume ka nuqsan dikhane se aata hai ek lambi dour waqt frame ke dauraan, jo lambi muddat mein mazboot farokht dabaav ke mumkinah hone ka ishaara deta hai. Magar, jab keemat pehli martaba 5/10 low moving average marking area tak buland hoti hai, hum abhi bhi mauqa utha sakte hain.

Yeh maanke ke keemat ke baad gehri girawat ka samna karne ka imkaan hai, hum tawajju reentry buy process par lagate hain intihaan ke mutabiq, ya'ni keemat intihaan ke lehaz se pahunch chuki hai jab keemat intihaan ke lehaz se pahunch chuki hai. Aakhir mein, keemat ka safar aam tor par target tak pahunchkar urooj tak jaari rahega rozana waqt ke frame mein. Isliye, keemat ke harkaat ko nazarandaz karne aur forex market mein sahi trading faislo ko karne ke liye naye signals ka faida uthane ke liye, ek pehle se tay ki gayi strategy ke mutabiq, keemat ki harkaat ko musalsal nazar rakhna bohot ahem hai.

(USD) INDEX

As Salam O Alaikum dosto, ummeed hai ke sab log sehatmand hain, forum administrators aur InstaForex traders ke liye bhi. Aaj main aap sab se USD index market ke baare mein baat karunga. Mera USD index analysis sab forum doston aur InstaForex traders ke liye madadgar hai. Specialists ke mutabiq, jabke mazboot karobaar ke reports taraqqi shuda shumooliyat ke muqable mein kum asar andaz hote hain, inflation ke data ke muqable mein, ye saaf signals pohanchate hain ke Amreeki ma'ashi kamyabi, jo greenback ke hosla afzai ka aham zariya raha hai, abhi tak barqarar hai. Barclays ki tajziya ke mutabiq, dollar ke izafa ka wajah mazboot hai, chahe dollar ki guzishta silsila mein ta'kheer ho. Behtar qismat ke liye, ye silsila khatam ho sakta hai kisi darust ma'ashi reports ke sath. Is liye, kisi bhi qisam ka mazid darust report ka mohtaj nahi hai. USD index ke technical tasawwur Dollar index ke bear apni jagah par qaim hai, beshumar technical rukawaton ke bawajood. Technical analysis selling activity ko dekha jata hai jo ke index ke position ke mutabiq hai uske simple moving averages (SMA) ke sath. Agar chand shakhsiyaat ki wajah se close-term ki umeed mein kuch shak hota hai, to DXY apne 40,100, aur 200-day SMA ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo ke mumkin hai ke negative strength ko darust kar raha hai. Magar, moving average convergence divergence indicator (MACD) laal bars mein kami darust kar raha hai, jo ke bearon ki taaqat ka ishara ho sakta hai. Isi tarah, Relative Strength Index RSI (14) musbat zone ke andar mustaqil hai, jo ke bechon ki taaqat ki kamzori ko dikhata hai, jab ke bearon ki dabaav kam ho rahi hai. Yeh signals suggest karte hain, ke haal hi mein negative istiqrar ke bawajood, market shayad tabdeel hone laga hai. Is manzar mein, traders ko indicators ke mazeed harkaton par nazar rakhni chahiye taake dekha ja sake ke bechon ki dabaav ka silsila jari rahega ya phir bear apni positions ko mustaqil karne mein madadgar banega.

Usd/index



H4 time frame par United States dollar (USD) index ki tafseelati jaiza mein, hume khareedne ki momentum ki mumkin hai jo ke abhi bhi mazboot hai, bhalay hi usay giraawat ka thora sa muqabla ho aur wapas 5/10 high moving average marking area tak ho. Ye dikhata hai ke upri trend abhi bhi jari rakhne ka imkan hai, lekin rukawat ke saath, humein qeemat ke harkat ki raah ko dekhte hue mojoodaati tabdeeliyon ka zyada khayal rakhna chahiye.

Is maamlay mein, hamara markazi tawajjo khareedne walon ki tayyariyon par hai, khaaskar H4 time frame par shartin halat ko dekhte hue mazboot u-turn signals ke liye, khaaskar ek dominant sell-direction candlestick ke surat mein. Ye signal bazaar ka volume baray arsay tak gawara ho raha hai, jo ke lambi arsay tak mazboot farokht dabaav ki mumkinat ko dikhata hai. Halaanki, hum phir bhi mauqa ka faida utha sakte hain jab keemat pehli martaba 5/10 low moving average marking area tak barhti hai, jiska daam 105.96 aur 106.15 ke darmiyan hota hai.

Yeh maan kar ke keemat ke baad gehri girawat ka samna karne ka imkan hai, hum ummeed ke mutabiq reentry buy process ko markazi hawale se nafrat karte hain, yani keemat woh manzoor level tak pohanch gayi hai. Aakhir mein, keemat ka safar daily time frame ke andar nishchit tor par oonchaayi tak pohanch kar aage badhega. Isliye, maamooli tor par qeemat ki harkat ko baar-baar dekhtay rahna aur forex market mein sahi trading faislon ko karne ke liye paishgi raah ko anjam dene ka nizami tareeqa ikhtiyaar karna bohot zaroori hai.

USD/X OUTLOOK ANALYSIS


Asiatic trading mein Jumma ko U.S. dollar index lagbhag 105.25 ke qareeb tha, jabke sabzi ke peechay bohot zyada dabao tha initial jobless claims ke dukh bhari izhaar hone ke baad, jo U.S. mazdoori market ki sehat ke lehaaz se fikron ko mazeed barha diya. Markets jaari rahe data ko saaf rukh ke liye dekh rahe hain, aur Federal Reserve ka harkaar stance kisi had tak badal sakta hai jab kamzor data jaari hota hai. Dollar kamzor hua jab initial jobless claims ki tadad ka data umeed se zyada nikla. Darja zilon ke muntazimeen 231K the, jo umeed se zyada 210K ko guzarte the. Initial jobless claims ki tadad mein izafa U.S. mazdoori market ki mumkin kamzoriyon par tawajju dilata hai. Jabke U.S. maeeshat mazid inflation aur iqtisadi fa'aliyat se mukhtalif signals ke saath jujh rahi hai, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne interest rates kaatne mein mukhtalif tabdeelion ka ishaara kiya. Filhal, haal hi mein kamzor non-farm payrolls report ne Federal Reserve ke afseeron ko na kisi had tak razi kiya hai, jo ab bhi hawkish hain. Dollar ki dynamics incoming data aur central bank ke afseeron ki isay kis tarah dekhte hain par mabni hongi. Is haftay important U.S. maeeshati data ki kami ne investors ki tawajju ko Federal Reserve ke kirdaar par mabni thori hawkish tajweezat ke saath jora hai. Aane wale haftay ke producer aur consumer inflation data ka aham hoga, jahan zyada se zyada umeedon ke mutabiq readings is saal interest rate kaatne ke imkaanat ko kam karna mumkin hain. Halankeh Federal Reserve ke afseeron ko interest rates kaatne ke bare mein ehtiyaat hai, lekin market June mein 10%, July mein 33%, aur September mein 85% ke interest rate kaatne ke imkaanat ka intezar karti hai, aur November mein interest rate kaatne ka qeemat pehle se shamil hai.





U.S. Dollar Index Outlook


Technically rozaana ka chart dikhata hai ke Relative Strength Index (RSI) manfi slope par hai, haalaanki musbat ilaqa mein hai. Ye dikhata hai ke mojooda kharidari ki taizi taqat haar rahi hai, jabke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) chhote lal bars print kar raha hai jo chhote-muddat mein bearish taqat dikhata hai. Magar, jab MACD flat rehta hai, ye bhi dikhata hai ke abhi taqatwar bechnay ki dabao ki kami hai. Is ke simple moving average (SMA) ke hawale se, DXY 20-dinay EMA ke neeche hai, jo chhote-muddat mein bearish bias ki taraf ishaara karta hai. Magar, ye 100-dinay aur 200-dinay moving averages ke oopar hai, jo aam tor par ek lambi-muddat mein bullish trend ko dikhata hai. Ye dikhata hai ke haal hi ke nuqsano ke bawajood, bail abhi bhi qaboo mein hain.

US Dollar Index Ka Tajarba

Dollar Thursday ko mustaqil tor par barhta raha, pehle 103.45 tak barh kar 104.15 par stable ho gaya, achay jobless claims ki wajah se. Magar, sher ko naye drivers ki kami ke darmiyan bharosa khone ka samna hai, jabke Federal Reserve ke ek karkun ne bank ke agle qadam par mazeed rehnumai faraham karne se inkaar kar diya. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ne kaha ke unhain lagta hai ke March mein aik rate cut "namumkin" hai, is par izafa karte hue ke bank ko sasta hone wale mulki maishat ka aur bharosa hasil karne ke liye mazeed saboot ki zaroorat hai. Kai afraad is hafte telegraph kiye gaye lekin naye rahnumai nahi di gayi, jis ne ke tafseel se tasdeeq ki ke Fed mazeed data ke liye intezar kar raha hai aur March mein rate cut ko nazar andaz kar raha hai. February 3 ko khatam hone wale haftay ke shuruaati jobless claims ka number market ki tawaqo'at se kam tha. US Labor Department ne 218K claims riwayat ki, jo ke 220K ki tawaqo'at se kam thi aur pichle haftay ke 227K se thori kam thi. CMEFedWatch tool ke mutabiq, March mein rate cut hone ki ihtimal 20% tak gir gayi hai. May ke intikhabat mein, ye imkan 50% tak barh gayi, aur iski manfi ihtimal bhi buland thi. Barhte hue US Treasury bonds bhi dollar ko sath diye. 2 saal ke Treasury bond ka yield 4.45% hai, 5 saal ke Treasury bond ka yield 4.11% hai, aur 10 saal ke Treasury bond ka yield 4.16% hai. Rozana relative strength index (RSI) mein ek seedha slope dikh raha hai, halankeh musbat soorat mein, ishaaron deta hai ke kharidari ka josh dheere dheere kam ho raha hai. Magar, ek girawat ka peshgoi karna bohot jaldi hai jabke musbat soorat aam tor par ek bullish bias ki alamat hoti hai. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) mein seedhi hari bars nazar aati hain, jo ke kharidari ka josh kam hota hai lekin koi bearish crossover nahi hota. MACD ishaara deta hai ke kharidari ka dabao mojood hai, magar kam ho gaya hai. Simple moving averages (SMA) ke hawale se, index 20-day aur 200-day SMAs ke upar ankurit hai, jisse ke lambi muddat mein bullish bias ka ishara hai, lekin ye 100-day SMA ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jisse ke darmiyani muddat mein kuch bearish dabao ka zahir hai. Aakhir mein, qareebi technical nazariyat sher ko favor karti hai, magar josh mein kami ke sath

USDX INDEX PAIR KA JAIZA

Rozana time frame mein dekha ja sakta hai ke USD ya USDX index ki keemat 103.96 aur 104.42 ke darmiyan upar neeche hoti hai. Lagta hai ke keematon ka trend neeche ki taraf jaane ki taraf hai, jab aakhri halat yeh hai ke keematen neeche se zyada qareeb hain ya rozana support 103.96 ke qareeb hain. Intehai, mojooda keemat ka movement position 200 daily EMA ke oopar hai, isliye trend ab bhi bullish trend mein kaha jata hai
Intehai, EMA 200 ke neeche EMA 12 aur EMA 36 hain, jo ke upar dekhai dete hain. In dono chhoti EMAs ki position lagta hai ke woh dab gaye hain kyun ke woh 200 EMA aur 633 daily EMA ke darmiyan hain. Rozana stochastic khud neeche ki taraf ishaara kar raha hai, jahan OSMa indicator bar musbat zone mein hai. Yeh andaza lagaya ja raha hai ke agar keemat 103.96 ilaqa mein ghusegi, toh ek correction ho sakta hai, qareebi target rozana support 103.50 par hoga. Doosri taraf, agar yeh kamiyab nahi hoti, toh kharid-dar ko keemat ko upper resistance 104.42 tak dabaane ke liye mehnat karni hogi, taake keemat ko musbat taur par rozana resistance 105.15 tak le ja sake
Relative Strength Index indicator par lime line ka position qareeb level 70 tak chadh gaya hai, jo ke ek mustaqil bullish trend ka tasawwur hai. Iss haftay, candlestick saaf taur par abhi bhi upar ki taraf move kar rahi hai. Agar hum graf par nazar daalein, jahan kharid-dar army abhi bhi keemat ke mutabiq buland price fluctuation ke saath dominate kar rahi hai, candlestick ke movement par tawajjo di jaaye, toh hai ke agle haftay ke liye keemat bullish move kar sake. USDJPY currency pair ke movement ka khasiyat yeh hai ke ismein zyada volatility hai, is liye behter hai ke trading capital ka laparwahi se istemaal na kiya jaaye taake nuqsaan ka khatra mehdood kiya ja sake