Eur/aud

EUR-AUD PAIR REVIEW

Aaj ke economic calendar ke mutabiq yeh wazeh hai ke USA apne CPI data ka "monthly" aur "yearly" versions release karega, Core CPI ke sath sath Unemployment Claims data bhi shaamil hai. Analysts ke mutabiq, monthly CPI data ki value 0.0% se 0.1% tak barh sakti hai lekin annual basis par yeh 3.3% se 3.1% tak kam ho jayegi. Core CPI ki value pichle mahine ke muqable mein stable rehne ka imkaan hai lekin annual basis par yeh kam hogi. Jabke Unemployment Claims ke liye, pichle mahine ke muqable mein kami dekhi ja sakti hai.

Mere khayal mein sabse ahem data yearly CPI hai. Kyunki financial actors ummeed karte hain ke annual inflation rate pichle muqable mein kam hoga. Agar value waqai pichle muqable mein kam hoti hai, to yeh forex market ko bohot mutazil karegi aur stock market ko aham tor par mazboot karegi. Jin logon mein risk lene ki himmat hai, shayad woh yaqeen ke sath major pairs mein trading karein, yehan tak ke aaj dopeher se hi. Jabke jo log zyada ehtiyaat karte hain, mere khayal mein unke liye cross pairs mein trading karna zyada mehfooz hoga, jaise ke EUR/AUD jiska analysis mein is martaba discuss karunga.



Technical perspective se dekha jaye to aaj ke din EUR/AUD pair ki price movement ka analysis karna mushkil hai, kal ke price action ke base par, yeh baat iss liye hai ke Wednesday ko price narrow range mein sideways move karti rahi aur na to resistance ko breakout karke higher high banayi aur na hi support ko todh kar lower low banayi. Lekin khush qismati se kuch ghanton pehle se price neeche move karke Tuesday aur Wednesday ke support ko tod kar ek nayi lower low banayi, jo 1.6027 par thi.

Kya yeh is baat ka signal hai ke EUR/AUD neeche move karke medium term ke liye ek trend banane ja rahi hai? Mere khayal mein EUR/AUD pair ka bearish ya bullish trend banane ka dekhna mushkil hai. Asal mein, technical perspective se is raaye ke peeche koi wazeh wajah nahi hai. Agar fundamental analysis se dekha jaye, to samajh mein aayega.

Agar hum European Union Central Bank (ECB) ke interest rate ko Australian Central Bank (RBA) ke interest rate ke sath compare karein, to dono rate qareeb qareeb barabar hain. ECB ka interest rate 4.25% hai aur RBA ka interest rate 4.35% hai. Isliye investors asaani se apna capital Australia le jane mein dilchaspi nahi rakhenge balkay European Union mein, chahe RBA ka interest rate 0.10% zyada hi kyun na ho. Har martaba jab price EUR/AUD pair mein bearish move karti hai, to mein khushi se BUY position target karta hoon kyunke mujhe lagta hai ke price near future mein bullish move karegi aur phir medium term mein ek sideways trend form karegi ek kaafi bara price range ke sath. Phir jab bullish price kaafi high ho jati hai, to mein SELL position target karta hoon. Yeh asal mein ek simple strategy "buy low, sell high" ko implement karna hai bina yeh parwaah kiye ke price Bollinger Band indicator ya stochastic oscillator ke hisaab se kahan hai.

EUR/AUD

EURAUD currency pair par bearish trend analysis kafi strong potential dikhata hai kai technical indicators ki base par. Ek indicator jo aksar traders use karte hain wo hai Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Is case mein, EMA 50 EMA 100 se neechay hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke short-term momentum abhi bhi bearish pressure mein hai. EMA 50 ka EMA 100 se neeche hona yeh batata hai ke downward trend abhi bhi dominant hai aur koi significant signs of reversal nahi hai.

Iske ilawa, resistance level 1.61558 par bearish rejection signal ko aur bhi mazboot banata hai ke market abhi bhi decline ki taraf jhuk raha hai. Yeh resistance as a strong barrier kaam karta hai prices ko upar jane se rokne mein. Jab price is level par pohnchti hai aur isay tor nahi pati, yeh signal milta hai ke sellers ki taqat abhi bhi dominant hai aur downward pressure continue hone ke chances hain. Is resistance level par rejection aksar significant downward movement se follow hota hai, khaaskar agar high trading volume se confirm ho jaye.

Lekin, yeh note karna zaroori hai ke support level 1.60236 abhi bhi kaafi strongly hold kar raha hai. Yeh support level buyers ke liye akhri line of defense ka kaam karta hai taake prices ko aur girne se roka ja sake. Agar prices is level ko torne mein kamiyab nahi hoti, to ek upward correction hone ke chances high hain bearish trend continue hone se pehle. Is context mein, traders ko advise kiya jata hai ke sell position open karne se pehle further confirmation ka intezar karein. Support level 1.60236 ka breakout ek strong signal dega ke bearish trend continue hoga aur short selling ke liye zyada measured risks ke sath opportunities open hongi.

Iske baraks, agar 1.60236 support level par rejection hota hai, to prices ke rebound hone aur ek upward correction ka potential hai. Is situation mein, traders ko reversal signals ya candlestick patterns ka khayal rakhna hoga jo potential increase ko indicate karein.

EUR-AUD JORI TAJZIYE

Lagta hai ke forex market ne budh ko kaafi shor sharaba kiya tha. Kuch khabarein bhi aayi jo ghair mutawaqqa values dikha rahi thi, jese UK mein mahangi dar jo shuru mein dabe dabe se tezi se barhne ka andaza lagai gayi thi, lekin ab bhi 2% ke andar barh gayi. Achank, GBPUSD jori aakhir mein oopar chali gayi, bohot oopar. Josh ab subah bhi kai jorion mein jari raha, jisme se ek jorion hai EURAUD jori.

Agar hum EURAUD jori ke technical pehlau se dekhte hain, asal mein budh ko ye kaafi solid qeemat mein izafa dikha rahi thi kyunke har candlestick H1 time frame mein jo dopahar ke baad banti rahi, hamesha naye uncha aur naye neeche ke level ko buland banane mein kamiyab rahi. Ye matlab hai ke buyers ne BUY actions faraham karte hue qeemat ko lagatar upar le gaye jab tak ke woh aakhir mein 1.6262 ke darajay par aik buland uncha bana nahi sake. Bechaini aakhir mein khuch ghanton pehle ubhri jab Australia ne apne "rozgar ki tabdeeli" ki data jaari ki, jo ke pehle se bharpoor had tak barh gaya tha. Iska ishaara hai ke kafi saari companies naye naukriyon ke mohtasib hoti hain, bohot se kaamgaro ko istaamal karti hain. Agar halat aise hain to ye matlab hai ke agle kuch mahinon mein Australia mein ziada log hain jo paisa kharch karne ke liye hain aur yeh mahangi dar ko dobara barha sakti hai agar be-rozgaron ki tadad mein barhti nahi hai.





Kahan kehte hain ke qeemat agle kuch dinon mein kis taraf jayegi? Mere khayal mein, agar sirf mojooda ma'ashiyati data par hi bharosa karen to qeemat is waqt zyada bullish ke bajaye bearish harkat karne ka zyada imkan hai. Kyunke ECB aur RBA ke faiz daro mein taqreeban barabar hone ke sath, EURAUD jori ka qeemat aksar se pehlu mein hosakti hai lekin aik nisbatan bara qeemat mein. Magar, Australia mein aaj ziada kaamgaron ke iste'mal ka wo sabab hai ke bari malkiyat ko Australia mein dakhil hone ka naya andaza hai, Europe Union ke bajaye. To SELL position kholne ka irada kaam karne layak hai. Magar, hume ECB ke faiz daro par akhri policy ka ijra jise aaj raat announce kia jayega, underestimate nahi karna chahiye. Kyunke ye EURAUD jori ko phir se zor se hila sakti hai. Magar mujhe lagta hai ke ECB apne faiz daron ko 4.25% par banaye rakhega aur asar ye hosakta hai ke EURAUD bearish ho. Yeh matlab hai ke SELL position kholne ka irada phir se aik mazeed mazboot sabab hai. To jo log aik agla qadam lena chahte hain, wo aaj se hi isay amal mein laa sakte hain. Risk management par tawajjo dena na bhulein, taake aap ko bade lot ke sath position kholne ki zarurat na ho kyunke koi dafa qeemat zorur neeche jaye gi, yeh koi yaqeenan bhi nahi hai.

EUR/AUD

Agar aap bazaar mein bharosa aur durusti ke sath sailaab lagana chahte hain to hamare paas aapke trading ki khopri ko kholne ka chabi hai.

Hamari maharat se analysis M15 graph par, aik umeedwar urooj se guftagu karta hai, jo 1.67875 ke daraje ko hasil karne ki rah ke musalmoon ko dikhata hai. Magar yahan daari hai - jab ham siron par pohanchen to darusti ka intezar karein. Yeh barqi samay hai ke aik theekrane ke sath charge karein.

Uper channel mein khareedne ki lalach se bachen; dair sabr ka nam zaroori hai. 1.66812 tak theekrane ka intezar karein for behtareen dakhil-e-sukoot. Kya soch rahe hain ke aapko kahan apna qadam uthana chahiye? Agar ye 1.66812 ke neeche mustaqil hua, tau bear ke maujoodgi ka hosla rakhein, jo ek mumkin market ki urooj ka nishan hota hai.

Channel ka zawaal aapka raaz hathyaar hai - a taqatwar zawiya dhikata hai bullish takat. Isay samujhin ke bazaar ka tareeqa hai keh kehna hai, "Kuch acha amal ke liye tayar ho jaiye!" Hamara pehla channel H1 pe block uttar hai, jo hamari trading fesla ki rehnumai karta hai.

Channel M15, hamara bharosemand dost, bullish manzar ko mukamal karta hai, ustawi rukh ko zoor diya hai. Jab signal ek mazeed doran mein torr jata hai, to 1.66066 tak girne ke liye aage karain. Yeh aapka cue hai ke dobara tehqeeq karain aur shayad 1.67676 tak khareedne ke mauqe ko qaboo mein le sakte hain.




Magar, jab bailon ka zamana aa jaye to umooman channel ka sira e umum se ihtiyaat baratni chahiye. Main kharidari aur farokht ke sath fence par hoon, unhey nafees chaku ke tor par dekhti hoon. Mera trading ka siddhant? H1 channel ki rehnumai se chaliye, taake junior channel ko istemal karen strong harkaton ke doran kam tehqiq ke sath.

Apni trading game ko buland karne ke liye tayar hain? Hamari market insights ke sath pechay karna.

Asian session mein, 5-minute timeframe par ghorr karne par, qeemat ko lateral movement mein phansa hua nazar aata hai, 1.67 pe moasirat aur 1.6725 pe rukawat ke darmiyan laraz raha hai. Mojudah harkat aik radde ko jawab dena nazar aata hai, jo kisi mumkin theekrane ki kamzori ki taraf ishara karta hai.

Aik ahem taraqqi ke tor par nazar andaaz hota hai jab oscillator ki signal line histogram ko neeche se upar se guzarti hai, is ke nateje mein uski nazakat shuru hoti hai. Ek wazeh surk zone ke zariye qeemat ka achambhaani safar hoti hai. Mustaqbil ki taraf dekhte hue, ahem markaz shamil hain Moving Average (MA) ke support level, jo 1.6655 ke pink line par daikhaya gaya hai, aur mid-TF level jo 1.6590 hai.

In milestones ke baad qeemat ke dynamics keliye nigaah daaltein rahain; haliye minimum ke taraf girao, jo 1.6425 ke darajay par chipka hua hai.

EURAUD ke qeemat wazan men SMA5 ke dynamic rukawat ki taraf theek ki taraf yani daily time frame se pressure exceptional ki demand area men 1.60018 ki qeemat tak le gaye. Is liye agar yeh mazeed mazboot hota rahay aur yeh numainda tor par SMA5 aur SMA10 curves ke opar bounce hota raha, tu phir yeh phir se bounce karne ki potential rakhta hai demand area se oopar 1.61337 ki taraf. Takeh yeh moqa kholay ke woh apne izafa ko jari rakhe supply area at 1.63297 se 1.64243 tak. Jabke agar yeh SMA5 curve ke neeche dabta rahay, tu yeh wazan ki torr nizam ko neeche le jane ki taraf ishara karta hai, jo ke yeh demand area ke andar doosre demand area ke liye potential jari rakhta hai.

Jo iss waqt ke guzarish hain, woh yeh ke woh mazboot tor par phir se bounce kar rahe hain demand area se 1.60419 ki taraf, jabke H4 time frame men SMA5 ke dynamic rukawat ke aas paas. Is liye agar yeh rukawat ko numainda tor par SMA10 ke dynamic rukawat men se andar kar leta hai, tu yeh ishara karta hai ke trend upar ki taraf ja raha hai. Khas tor par agar dono curves ek dosre ko upar se guzarti hain. Is tor par yeh moqa deta hai ke woh supply area tak jaye 1.61477 se 1.61808 tak jo ke aik inverted head aur shoulders pattern banane ki umeed hai. Agar yeh abhi tak SMA5 curve ke neeche daba hua rehta hai, tu is ke nizam ko karne ka potential hota hai ke samundari himalay pe neeche jaye ek demand area tak 1.60018 ki qeemat par.





Trading Options:

Buy option tayar kiya gaya hai ke agar apko Uper SMA5 aur SMA10 curves ki taraf bounce dekhne ko milraha ho H4 time frame men science tak jab tak yeh bhoonkne area (SBR) zone ko mazbooti se andar nahi kiya 1.60688 se. Profit target flip area ke aas paas rakha jata hai 1.61070 se 1.61160 tak. Stop loss demand area men RBS area ke neeche kuch pips aisa rakha gaya hai 1.60333 tak. Reentry buy ke liye tayar kiya gaya hai ke agar aap boost ki correction ka mazdaar hojata hai ya phir SMA50 curve ke oopar bounce hojata hai ke paywond ki range 1.60881 mein. Profit target pass area ke aas paas rakha gaya hai 1.61477 tak. Stop loss flip area ke kuch pips RBS area ke neeche 1.60577 tak rakha gaya hai.

Sell option tayar kiya gaya hai agar bhoonkne area (flip area) ko guzarna nakaam hojata hai H4 time frame mein 1.60577 se 1.60688 tak jisey apni position SMA5 curve ke neeche duboya rehta hai. Profit target yeh pass area ke aas paas rakha gaya hai 1.60018 mein. Stop loss dynamic rukawatwaale SMA50 ke oopar kuch pips demand area ke upar zikar hui qeemat par rakha gaya hai. Doosra sell option tayar kiya gaya hai agar bhoonkne area ke neeche inkar kiya jata hai price 1.61070 se 1.61137. Profit target yeh pass area ke aas paas rakha gaya hai 1.60688 se 1.60557 tak. Stop loss pass area ke aas paas zikar hui 1.61477 waaley supply area ke aas paas par rakha gaya hai.

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EUR/AUD,Technical

EUR/AUD woh currency pair hai jo ek euro ki qeemat ko Australian dollars mein dikhata hai. Yeh aik cross pair ke tor par dekha jata hai aur iska volatility kaafi kam hai. Euro pair mein base currency hai aur Australian dollar quoted currency hai. EUR/AUD ne haal hi mein double bottom ke neckline se guzar kar diya hai daily time frame par, jo ke yeh darshata hai ke aik long-term reversal ka waqt aa gaya hai. Is se pehle ke yeh hota, pair ko shayad pehle waale resistance level ka jaldi se retest ki zarurat hogi taake zyada bullish josh ikhata kar sake. Resistance ka tootna paas 1.6240 ke Euro ko Aussie ke khilaaf buland bihgi tak 1.6314 tak pohanchaya, jahan se phir becha gaya, aur bears ne support ko check kiya 1.6165 ke aas paas. Yahan, Euro ko ab bhi khareedna mumkin hai, aur bulls resistance ko test kar rahe hain 1.6240-1.6260 ke aas paas; agar support khatam hota hai tow 61st figure ki taraf giravat dekhne ko mil sakti hai.





EUR/AUD jaldi se wapas liya gaya 1.6313 tak aur intraday bias neutral raha. Neeche, . 1.6137 ke neeche jaane se 1.7062 se 1.6319 ki 100% projection ko target karega 1.6844 ke 1.6106 par. Is dauran, bullish convergence halat ko madde nazar rakhte hue 4H MACD mein mazboot tootna 1.6313 resistance ko short term bottoming ki taraf ishara karna chahiye, aur bias ko phir se upper ki taraf modna chahiye 1.6478 resistance ke liye.1.7062 medium term top se giravat pure up trend ko 1.4281 (2022 low) se correct kar rahi hai. Gehri giravat 1.4281 se 1.7062 tak ke 38.2% retracement tak dekhi ja sakti hai 1.6000 par. Mazboot support wahan dekha ja sakta hai pehli koshish par rebound lana ke liye. Lekin khatra peet tak rahega jab tak 1.6844 resistance apni position sambhale. 1.6000 ka mustaqil tootna aur 61.8% retracement tak mazeed giravat la sakta hai 1.5343 par.

EUR/AUD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS


Mein ne kal EUR/AUD ki movement par tawajjo di, jahan bechne wale ka mazboot mojood tha jo qeemat ko 1.656xx ke key support level ko guzarne mein kamyab ho gaya. Is ke ilawa, EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke darmiyan bhi aik tasadum tha, jo aksar technical analysis mein aik ahem trend change ka signal samjha jata hai. Halankeh, ab 1.647xx ke aas paas pohanchne ke baad, EUR/AUD ki qeemat ek upper correction ka samna kar rahi hai. Mein is correction ko peechli ahem giravat ka aik fitri rad-e-amal samajhta hoon, lekin mein samajhne ki zarurat hai ke kya yeh izafa jari rahe ga ya phir sirf ek temporary retracement hai pehli giravat ko dobara shuru karne se pehle.

Mein mehsoos karta hoon ke aur tajziya karne ki zarurat hai taake tay kya ja sake ke EUR/AUD par short jaane ki koi mauqa hai. Ek tareeqa jo mein ghor kar sakta hoon woh ho sakta hai ke pehle tootne wale support level ke aas paas, ya'ni 1.656xx ke darmiyan sell opportunities dhoondhna. Mein is level par rad-e-amal ki tasdeeq mein tawajjo dena chahoonga, jo aik mazboot mazeed signal ho sakta hai short position mein dakhil hone ke liye. Magar agar rad-e-amal ki koi tasdeeq na ho aur qeemat barhti rahe, toh mein 1.661xx se 1.663xx ke darmiyan banne wale supply level ke qareeb short position lenay ki mumkinat ko madde nazar rakhoonga. Mein samajhta hoon ke yeh supply level peechle support level ke tootne ke baad qeemat mein izafa hone par market ka rad-e-amal ho sakta hai.





Currency pair ne qareeb 100 pips tak neeche jaane mein kamiyab raha. Lekin, ab movement barhne lagi hai jab candle ne 1.6482 ke qeemat tak pohanchi. EUR/AUD ne demand area ko guzarne mein nakami ke baad apna izafa jari nahi rakha. Intehai haal mein EUR/AUD ka moozi maqam 165xx ke qareeb trade ho raha hai. Ichimoku indicator ke istemal se tajziya kiya jaye to, upper movement ke baad, candle ke maqam ne tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar tabdeel hogaya hai, jiska matlab hai trend bullish disha mein mudayil hone laga hai. Stochastic indicator bhi yahi keh raha hai ke EUR/AUD pehle izafa karega kyunki line ka rukh upar ki taraf hai.

EUR-AUD JODI KA JAIZA

Aaj, mein phir se EURAUD jodi par guftagu karunga, jiska movement subah se dopahar tak lachaar kehla sakta hai lekin raat ko sust tha. Kal, qeemat ne neeche khol ke saath shuru ki jo ke kharidaron ne jaldi se dhila kar diya aur bullish qeemat ko Jumeraat ke support level ke saath milaya. Yahan se, asal mein dekha gaya ke kharidaron ka josh kaafi taqatwar tha. Magar, yeh sabit hua ke aaj subah New York session ke ikhtitam tak, qeemat ne Jumeraat ke resistance level 1.6101 ko todne mein kamyabi haasil nahi ki kyunki sirf 1.6095 par aik nicha unchi qeemat bani. Aaj ke liye, H1 time frame ke buniyad par, dekhta hoon ke qeemat mein ab bhi bearish movement ki khasosiat hai. Is ke ilawa, qeemat H1 time frame Bollinger band ke nichle band area mein hain. Bunyadi tor par, jab tak qeemat ne kal ke resistance level 1.6095 ko todne mein kamiyabi haasil nahi ki hai, tab tak qeemat mein bearish movement ki khasosiat hai aur yeh faydahmand sabit ho sakta hai aik SELL position kholne ke liye. Is dauran, jab yeh article likha gaya tha, aik kaafi bara bearish candlestick nazar aya, shayad yeh aik pal tha SELL position kholne ka. Khatra ke lehaz se, yeh waqai hal kiya jasakta hai agar aap choti lot size ka istemal karen aur yaad rakhen ke nuqsaan kaatne ya hedge karna zaroori hai jab qeemat 1.6095 ke level ko tod leti hai.

Phir, agar aap isey buniyadi lehaz se dekhte hain? Mere khayal mein, aaj forex market mein lachaar movement ki khasosiat hai, khaaskar raat mein. Masla yeh hai ke Federal Reserve ke governor, Jerome Powell, United States parlament ke afzal rukn se poocha jayega. Yeh United States sarkar dwara aik routine waqiya hai jo Federal Reserve ko "check and balance" ke taur par chalane ke koshish hai takay Federal Reserve US ke logon ke umeedon ke mutabiq chal rahi rahe, yani na keemat mein kam se kam bay rozi ki shanehlafti darjaye ka husool aur na hi stable inflation darjay mein 2% ke hadood mein. Mushkil nahi hai ke Jerome Powell tak jab tak iham sawalon ka jawab nahi dete, keya zaroori maloomat dete hain jo forex market ko asar andaz banati hai aur qeemat ko lachar banati hai. Is liye jab Jerome Powell se sawalat pooche jayenge, shayad forex market zor se hilega EURAUD jodi mein, khaaskar har bar jab aisa jawab diya jata hai jo key muqabilat karne wale logon ke expectaions se bahar ho. Magar, kyunke interest rates kam karne jaise taaza policy ka koi ailaan nahi hai, is waqiye ka asar qeemat ko khas taur par bullish ya bearish banane mein na hoga.

EUR-AUD JODI TAAQATI


Haal hi mein EUR/AUD mein clear bearish trend nazar aaya hai. 50 EMA 100 EMA ke neeche raha hai, jo ke bazaar mein farokhtkar dominance ka ishaara hai. Magar, qeemat ka amal dikhata hai ke sellers ko 1.60312 support level par rok diya gaya hai, jo ab tak toota nahi hai. Yeh darshata hai ke is level ke ird gird kaafi taqatwar kharidari dabao mojood hai, jis se yeh support aik ahem area ban jata hai dekhne ke liye.

Doosri taraf, umeed hai ko upar ki taraf taalib nahi kamyabi haasil hone mein 1.60844 level ka resistance toot gaya. Yeh resistance mojooda qeemat ke movement ka ucha had hai, ishara dete hue ke kharidaron mein taqat nahi hai ke qeemat ko is point se ooper utha saken. Is tarah, EUR/AUD ab consolidation sharta mein hai, jahan qeemat 1.60312 support aur 1.60844 resistance ke darmiyan mehdood range mein chalti hai.

Is tarah ke halat mein, bazar ke khilariyan ehtiyaat bhool kar aglay rukh ki tasdeek ka intezar karna chahiye position lete waqt. Agar qeemat ko buland awaz aur mazboot momentum ke saath 1.60844 resistance ko toorna kamyabi haasil hoti hai, to yeh intehai qeemat apne aglay resistance level ki taraf barhne ka imkaan dikhata hai. Yeh trade karne walo ke liye ek lambi position lene ka signal ho sakta hai.

Umooman, agar qeemat phir se gir jati hai aur 1.60312 support ko toorna kamyabi haasil hoti hai, to yeh aik taqatwar bearish signal ho ga. Is support ke breakout ka matlab ho sakta hai ke downtrend ka jaari rehna, aur traders ko aik short position lena ka intezar kar sakte hain. Magar, yeh zaroori hai ke breakout ki awaz aur mazbooti par tawajjo di jaye takay yeh shift na ho ek false breakout ho.

EUR/AUD,,chart

Euro aur Australia Dollar ke darmiyan Forex quote. Iss quote mein, aik Euro ki qeemat ('base currency') ko Australian Dollar ('counter currency') mein quote kiya jata hai. EUR/AUD ne apne come 2012 mein European sovereign debt crisis ke darmiyan apne kamzor tareen points tak pohanch gaya, jab ye A$1.1619 tak pohanch gaya. July 2012 ke darmiyan, ye pair mainly European Central Bank ki policy Outright Monetary Transactions (OMT), yaani ke 'jo bhi zaroori hai' ka qadam lekar recover hua, ECB President Draghi ne August 2012 mein dhamki di thi. Australian dollar global sona ki production aur export ki wajah se ek commodity currency ke tor par mashhoor hai. Aussie sonay ki qeemat ke saath lambi term mein musbat taluqat ka izhar karta hai. Ye pair global risk ka aik bara barometer samjha jata hai. 2012 mein, European sovereign debt crisis ke doran EUR/AUD apne kamzor points par pohancha. Us waqt se, European Central Bank ki Outright Monetary Transactions (OMT) ya "jo bhi zaroori ho" policy ke natije mein set ne kafi behtar hone ki nishani di.

EUR/AUD, GBP/AUD, EUR/AUD, AUD/SGD aur EUR/AUD, XPD/USD currency pairs aik doosre ke saath musbat taluqat rakhte hain. Kyunki in tamaam pairs mein Australian dollar numerator mein hota hai. Isliye, kisi bhi tabadla mein Aussie mein ye pairs shamil hote hain. Manfi taluqat - Mukhtalif, jab forex pairs opposite direction mein move karte hain. Misal ke tor par, AUD/SGD, EUR/HUF aur AUD/NZD. Sonay aur Aussie: AUD ka aik ahem khasiyat ye hai ke ye sonay ki qeemat ke saath aik uncha musbat taluq rakhta hai. Is ki wajah ye hai ke Australia duniya mein teesra sab se bada sonay ka paidawar hai. Is natije mein, jab bhi sonay ki qeemat barhti ya girti hai. Sath hi sath uro aur Australian dollar ki qeemat par asar dalta hai, jis se EUR/AUD exchange rate mein hilchul aati hai.





EUR/AUD 1.6677 tak pohanchne ke baad reverse hua aur intraday bias neutral ho gaya. Qareebi-term outlook ehtiyaat se bullish rehne wala hai jab tak 1.6439 support qaim rahe. Ooper ki taraf, 1.6677 ke ooper pehle 1.6742 ko target kare ga. Yahaan tak pohanchne par pore rise ka aghaaz 1.6127 se hoga aur agle 1.6844 resistance ko target karay ga. 1.7062 medium term top se girawat ko 1.4281 (2022 low) se trend se correction ke tor par dekha jata hai. 1.6844 resistance ke tor parbararthes sire se yah argument karega ke yeh trend dobara se resume hone ke liye tayar hai. Agar aur girawat ho, toh mazboot support 1.5846 ke aas paas aur 1.4281 se 1.7062 tak 38.2% retracement par 1.6000 milna chahiye rebound ko laane ke liyen. Is resistance ke baad, kharidariyon ko 1.6993 AUD ko target karne chahiye. Iss mojooda pattern ke sath, aap ko chand chhoti girawaton ki nazar rakhni hogi jo ke bohat hi chand dair mein short term mein choti corrections la sakti hain. Ye mumkin corrections traders ko bullish trend ke rukh mein position leny ke moqaat offer karte hain. Inn mumkin corrections ko sales ke saath istifada lenay ki koshish karna risky nazar aa sakta hai.

Iss ke ilawa, har currency ki doosri currencies ke salook ke natijay mein EUR/AUD exchange rates ko mutasir kar sakta hai. Massage aur forex markets par trading activity par asar dalne wali doosri market forces EUR/AUD ko influence karte hain jo traders mein woh currency rise ya fall karne ki umeed ke tehat speculate karte hain jo ke maujooda news aur trends par mabni hai. Har muwafiq currency ki supply aur demand bhi in ke darmiyan exchange rate ko influence karti hai. Sab se akhir mein, tabadla Euro (EUR) aur Australian Dollar (AUD) ke darmiyan behad factors se mutasir hota hai. Ye European Union aur Australia se economic indicators shamil hote hain jese ke interest rates, inflation levels, government policies, geopolitical events, aur sentiment in global markets.

EUR/AUD ka jayeza:

Sar-e-nau mubarak ho! Kharidaron ka maqsad level 1.99825 tak pohanchna hai, jaisa ke M15 chart par dikhai deta hai linear regression channel ka uthal-puthal. Ab waqt hai kharidne ka. Behtar hai ke kharidne se pehle linear regression channel H1 bhi ooper ki taraf move karna shuru kar de. Mai samjhta hoon ke sellers ne 1.77510 ke nichle channel border ke neeche break kar sakta hai, lekin main wahan pe kharidne ka soch raha hoon. Agar ye ho, to main kharidna band kar doonga kyunki market H1 pattern ke mutabiq girne ka silsila jaari rakh sakta hai. Agar bull 1.14557 level ke oopar tezi se stabilize kar sakte hain, to main kharidne jaari rakhunga. Market buyers ki taraf mael hoti jaa rahi hai. Charts aur statistics dekh kar lagta hai ke market mein zabardast neeche ki manind trend hai. Is se faida uthane ke liye, mujhe chahiye ke mai taqreeban shuruaati waqt ka sahi waqt maloom karu jab qeemat channel ka top border, jo ke 1.1569 hai, ko cross kare. Main mojooda qeemat 1.61147 par asset ko farokht karne ka moqa talasht karunga jaise hi mai iska samna karoo. Aggressively farokht hogi agar qeemat goal level ko phaat jati hai. Lekin dhyaan rahe ke ooperie corrction ke liye tameer ke liye bazar ko muntazir rakho aur bull reaction ke liye tayyar raho. Maan kar chalo ke agar 1.65527 ke ooper chale jaye, to bull zayada interested ho sakte hain.

1.5504 aur 1.6114 ke darmiyan mamool dastiyabon se nigrani ke tahafuzan dwara control hua hoga. Tamam ahem tabadla sadiyon tak maqbool nahi hota ya band nahi. Muqami nishan 1.6588 par khatam hota hai. Mujhe maloom hai mujhe is trade ko is baar 1.6737 par band karna hoga, taraqqi par mukhtas bilkul sahi hai. Istarah wali surat mein pick-up point is martaba paanch guna zyada ahem hoga mujhe kaam rokne se. Lekin strategy zaroori nahi hai, tawallud ke maqasid ke aqsam ke saath. Kal tak is istehwaar ko neechay liya jayega. Kisi ko nahi maloom kal kya hone wala hai. Taza khabrain is ehsas ki khatwan se kaam a sakti hain. Arre, yeh.




EUR/AUD ke h1 jayeza:

Ye mukhdum channel jo ke mai istemal karta hoon price fluctuations ke liye uska main intekhab ghante ke chart ka linear regression channel hai. Ek aur channel jo ab bearish tasveer ko support kar raha hai ye M15 channel hai. Ye ke dono channels ek hee rukh mein ja rahe hain ye sabit karta hai ke ye instrument bear market mein hai. Choti time frame ka signal phat jaye to umeed hai ke 1.68602 level tak upar ki umeed hai, us ke baad farokht ke ghairat ek dafa phir se madde me kaam a sakti hain 1.66303 level tak.

Main lower portion mein trading ke liye risky position mein hoon, chahe main kharid raha hoon ya farokht. Abhi kharidne ke moqa chaku pakadhne ki tarah hain. Kyunki H1 channel meri buniyadi maloomat ke zariye hai, us ke rukh mein trading mery trading approach ke liye buniyadi hai. Mazid se mazid durust uljal hediyon par kam karna faieliyat se behtaar hai aur choti time frame channel (M15) par dakhilah ke points mein tuning karne ka faisla karo, khaaskar jab choti tabdiliyon par kaam karo. EUR/AUD exchange rate abhi tak 1.6319 se barh raha hai, aur taasir nahi horahi. Intraday trend ki maqar 1.7062 resistance level halaqe kar raha hai. Saaf phoor sey 100% project karne mein agle shaaqile 1.6319 - 1.7353 ke, jo ke 1.5846 se 1.7062 tak hain. Ehtiyat se, agar 1.6680 ka leval toota to intraday trend neutral ho jaye ga. 1.4281 (2022 low) se shuru hone wala uptrend abhi tak chal raha hai, asati deraj ke tezi se aubradh line ki mazboot support ke mutabiq. 1.7062 ka sarfi tor par toot jaye ga to darwaza khulta hai 61.8% bounce ke liye 1.9799 (2020 high) se 1.4281 aur 1.7691 tak. Kisi soorat mein, jitna ho sake..

EUR-AUD PEIR KI JAIZA

Aaj ka economic calendar dekhte hue wazeh hai ke US CPI data dono "monthy" aur "saalana" version release karega, core CPI ke sath hi Unemployment Claims data bhi. Theek, analysts ke mutabiq, monthly CPI data ke liye, qeemat 0.0% se 0.1% barh sakti hai lekin saalana bunyad par yeh 3.3% se 3.1% kamm ho ga. Core CPI ke liye, qeemat pichle mahine ke mukabley mustehkam tasawwur ki jati hai lekin saalana bunyad par yeh kamm ho ga. Intehai Claims ke liye, yeh pichle mahine ke mukabley kamm ho sakta hai. Well, mujhe lagta hai ke saniha ho sakta hai saalana CPI data ke liye. Kyunke maliyatik actors umeed karte hain ke saalana mufaad dar ghat jaye. To agar yeh qeemat pichle mukabley ghat jaye, to forex market ko bohot zyada fluctuate hoga aur stock market farzana taqat hasil karega. Jin logon ne jokhim uthane ki himmat rakhti hain, shayad unhe yakeen ho ke wo major pairs mein trading karain gi, shayad is dopahar se. Jabke jo zyada muhafiz hain, mujhe lagta hai ke cross pairs jaise ke EURAUD mein trading karna behtar hoga jo mein is dafa ke tajzia karun ga.

Tekniki hawale se, haqeeqat mein muskil hai ke aaj EURAUD peir ki keemat ke hawale se kal, budh ko jo ke price action tha, uska tajzia pesh kiya ja sake. Masla yeh hai ke kal, keemat ek daraye ke range mein side move kar gayi thi aur na to support toot kar higher high banane ka mauqa diya aur na resistance toot kar lower low banane ka. Lekin khushkismat taur par, kuch gante pehle, keemat ne neeche ki taraf challi gayi aur Tuesday aur Wednesday ke support ko tor kar neeche ka naya lower low qeemat 1.6027 par banaya. Kya yeh ek ishara hai ke EURAUD neeche chal kar medium term mein trend banaega? Mere khyal se, EURAUD peir ka bearish ya bullish trend banne ka dekhna mushkil hai. Haqeeqat mein, mere khayal se meri yawaz tkneki wajah saaf nahi hai. Magar agar bunyadi tajzia se bat ki jaye, to pata chal jata.





To, agar hum European Union Central Bank (ECB) ka interest rate Australian Central Bank (RBA) ke interest rate ke sath muqabala karein, to yeh aam cat hain. ECB interest rate 4.25% aur RBA interest rate 4.35% hai. To investors ko muskil nahi hoga ke wo apna capital Australia lekar jayein ya European Union mein lekin RBA interest rate 0.10% zyada hai. To har bar jab EURAUD peir mein price neeche chalay, mein khushi se BUY position ko target karunga kyunki mere khayal se keemat qareebi mustaqbil mein bullish hogi aur phir medium term mein ek side trend banayegi jo kafi zyada price range ke sath hoga. Uske baad jab price bullish kafi ooper jaye ga, tab mein SELL position ko target karun ga. To hakiiqat mein ek asan strategy yani "buy low, sell high" ko amal karke, Bollinger Band indicator ya stochastic oscillator ke basis par price ke baray mein fikar na karke.

EUR-AUD PEIR KA TAQAQUB

EURAUD currency pair par bearish trend analysis main kai takneeki hawale se mazid taaqat ka zahir hota hai. Traders dwara aksar istemal ki jane wali indicator mein Exponential Moving Average (EMA) shamil hai. Is mamle mein, EMA 50 EMA 100 ke neeche hai, jis se yeh pata chalta hai ke chand muddati taqat abhi tak bearish dabao ke teht hai. EMA 50 ka muqam jo EMA 100 se kam hai woh yeh darshata hai ke neeche ki trend abhi tak numayan hai aur koi barhtakbali ke koi numayan nishan nahi hain.
Is ke ilawa, 1.61558 ki resistance level par bearish manzir ki inkar ne ishara majmoo ko mazeed maeed qareeb se dekhne ki taraf le jata hai. Yeh resistance qeemat ko ooper uthne se rokne wala mazboot rukawat ka kaam karta hai. Jab qeemat is darje tak pohanchti hai aur ise torne mein nakam rehti hai, to yeh ishara deta hai ke bikri ki taqat abhi tak numayan hai aur neeche ki dabao ko jari rakhne ki sambhavna hai. Is resistance level par inkar aksar buland trading volume ke saboot ke sath chand takatwar neeche ki taraf le jaata hai





Magar, yeh note kiya jana chahiye ke 1.60236 ke level par mojood support abhi tak kafi mazbooti se qaim hai. Yeh support level kareedaron ke liye aakhri hifazati line ka kaam karta hai qeemat ko mazeed girne se rokne ke liye. Agar qeemat is level ko torne mein nakam rehti hai, to zyada safari se pahle ek oopri sudhar hone ki bulandi hai. Is lehaz se, traders ko sell position kholne se pahle mazeed tasdeeq ke liye intezar karne ki salahiyat di jati hai. 1.60236 ke support ke breakout ab mazeed ishara dega ke bearish trend jari rahega aur short selling ke liye zyada haadaf hazi karne ki imkan khulegi.

Athar, agar 1.60236 ke support level par inkar hota hai, to qeemat mein umeed hai ke oopri janib koodne aur ek oopri sudhar hone ka amkan hai. Is hawale se, traders ko taawun ke isharon ya candlestick patterns se aghahi milti hai ke mazeed izafa hone ki sambhavna hai.

EUR/AUD KI BUNYADIYAT:

Aaj ki guftagu ka bunyadi markaz hai ke EUR/AUD currency pair ka rawaya kaisa hota hai. Meri tajziya ke natije mein, mein ek munafa mand manazir ka tasavvur karta hoon jahan currency pair bullish rukh mein chal kar 1.6796 maqam tak pohnchega. Halankeh dusre mumkin natayej bhi hain, lekin meri rujhan is taraf jaraha hai ke bullish izafa hone ka imkan hai. Yeh ahem hai ke khabron ke waqiyat currency pair ke rawaya par asar andaaz ho sakte hain. Mojudah tajwez sheet mein ahem ikhtitamaat shamil hain jo is ke rukh par asar daal sakte hain, khaaskar USD ki khabron ke waqiyat jo 16:30 baje mei munaqqid hain. Yeh waqiyat shumar mein joblessness benefits ke liye shuruaati darkhwast ka ambar, hafton ke liye aam darkhwaston ki aam tadad, WASDE report, aur FED ke sarbarah, Mr. Powell ke taqreer shamil hain. Do aur teen sitaron se darja shudah khabren maeeshat ke currency pair mein izafi laug lugaav paida karti hain, yeh bunyadi juzv hai jo ghoornay ki zaroorat hai.
EUR/AUD DAILY TIME FRAME:

EUR/AUD currency pair ke daily chart par nazar daalne par, hum dekh sakte hain ke is ne pehle ek ooper ka sabz muraqbah mein trade kiya tha, jisay 1.6963 aur 1.6470 ke darmiyan mehdood kiya gaya tha. Is muraqbah ke tabahi ek manfi rukh mein hui thi kyunkay khareedaron ki kami thi ooper ki lakeeron ke qareeb. Meri tawaqo ke mutabiq, currency pair bullish taur par chala aur pehle se neeche ek naya stacked square banaya, jis se bechnay ki tadad mein izafa saabit hua. Currency pair achanak wapas aa gaya pehle square ke resistance 1.6835 tak pehle se mukhtalift, jo Central bank ke taqreer se pehlay, isharon ki mazid khareedari par isay agle rukawat 1.7395 tak lay gaya. Magar, taaza volume signals ke tawaqo iss taraf hein ke mein ab umeed karta hoon support 1.6706 par mehdood hojayega. Daily chart par, koi bhi bari tabdeeliyan nahi hain. Zyadatar mojooda indicators farokhtkar ki taraf hotay hain, ishara detay hain ke hum EUR/AUD currency pair ko janobi rukh mein neeche lejane ke koshish dekh sakte hain taakay yeh phir se aaggerha darajay 1.6478 ke neeche mil kar jamay.

EUR/AUD M30 TRADING CHART.

EURAUD currency market ka jayza lene mein LRMA BB indicator ke data par mabni keemat ki hareef hai. Mojooda trading keemat 1.60721 hai, jo ke moving average 1.60669 se ooper hai, jis se yeh zahir hota hai ke keemat ke imkan hai ke barhne ka makhsoos hai. Kharidne wale aur bechne wale ka ham aahang hota hai jo zahir karta hai ke LRMA BB indicator ke ooper sehad 1.60777 tak pohnche ka zyada imkan hai. Magar, bunyadi factors ke asar ka imkan ko zahin mein rakha jana zaroori hai, kyunki yeh keemat ko is ooper ke level se guzarna bhi ho sakta hai. Agar keemat ooper ke had se guzar jati hai, sale ke liye short positions kholne ka aik moft tareeqa ho sakta hai. Ummeedwar, agar bechnay walon ki koshishen ehem tor par barh jayein aur keemat moving average se neeche gir jaye, to buying ka acha option ho sakta hai. Bechnay wale ke liye, LRMA BB indicator ke neeche karne wale keemat jo 1.60562 hai, woh ek hawala point dene ke liye kaam aayega.





EUR/AUD D1 TRADING CHART.

Salam aur munafa bakhsh trading! Main puri tarah se ittefaq karta hoon ke EURAUD joda ab sirf buying opportunity ke tor par dekha jana chahiye. Hum daily trading range ke kam se kam had tak pohanch chuke hain, aur halan ke over trend mazbooti se bearish hai, lekin joda buying ke liye mohlat dene ki koshish kar raha hai ghantay aur chaar ghantay ke charts par. Isay tasdeeq karne ke liye, hamein chaar ghantay ka candle 1.6079 ke bara resistance level se ooper band karte dekhna chahiye. Pehli musbat nishani yeh hai ke ghantay ka candle 1.6056 se ooper band ho chuka hai. Main yeh muntaqil kar raha hoon ke EURAUD joda ab mojooda level 1.6069 se ooper 1.6215 tak barhne ka imkan hai, jo ke puray daily downtrend se palto hua pullback hoga.