Eur/aud

EUR/AUD

Jahaan aik mazboot mojoodgi thi bechne waalon ki jo ke qeemat ko dhakel kar ahem himayati satah 1.656xx ko paar karwa rahe thay. Iske ilawa, EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ka ikhtilaat bhi hua, jo ke aksar ek aham trend tabdeel hone ka ishaara samjha jata hai technical analysis mein. Filhal, sab se neechay ki satah 1.647xx par pohanchne ke baad, EURAUD ki qeemat ek upar ka islah dekh rahi hai. Mein is islah ko pehle ke aham girawat ke fitri jawaab samajhta hoon, magar mujhe ye bhi ehsaas hai ke mazeed tehleel karne ki zaroorat hai taake yeh faisla kiya ja sake ke ye izafa jaari rahega ya sirf aik temporary retracement hai pehle ke downward trend ko dobara shuru karne se pehle.

Mujhe mazeed tehleel karne ki zaroorat mehsoos hoti hai taake yeh faisla kiya ja sake ke EURAUD par short jana ka mouqa hai ya nahi. Ek approach jo mein dekhoon ga wo hai sell opportunities dhoondhna pehle ke tootay huay support level ke aas paas, yani 1.656xx ke qareeb. Mein is level par rejection ki tasdeeq ko dekhunga, jo ke ek mazboot izafi signal ho sakta hai short position enter karne ke liye. Magar, agar koi rejection ki tasdeeq na ho aur qeemat upar barh jaye, to mein possibility ko consider karoon ga ke ek short position supply level ke qareeb li jaye jo ke shayad 1.661xx se 1.663xx ke beech ban sakta hai. Mujhe ehsaas hai ke ye supply level market ki reaction ke natayej mein pehda ho sakta hai jo ke price increase ke baad breakdown of the previous support level ke baad hua.

Currency pair taqreeban 100 pips neeche move karne mein kamiyab raha. Lekin, ab movement barhna shuru ho gayi hai jab ke candle ne 1.6482 par qeemat ko chhuwanay ke baad. EURAUD ne apni increase ko continue nahi kiya jab candle demand area ko penetrate karne mein nakam raha. Filhal, EURAUD ka position 165xx price par trade ho raha hai. Agar Ichimoku indicator ka use karke analyse kiya jaye, to upar ki movement ke baad, candle ka position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar badal gaya hai, jo ke trend ke bullish direction mein hone ka matlab hai. Stochastic indicator bhi yehi kehta hai ke EURAUD pehle barhne ki umeed hai kyun ke line ka direction upar ki taraf hai.

EUR/AUD

Jahan sellers ki mazboot mojoodgi thi, unhon ne price ko push karke key support level 1.656xx ko tor diya. Iske ilawa, EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke darmiyan intersection bhi hua, jo ke aksar technical analysis mein ek significant trend change ka signal mana jata hai. Filhal, sabse neeche ke point 1.647xx tak pohanchne ke baad, EURAUD price ek upward correction experience kar rahi hai. Mein is correction ko previous significant decline ke natural reaction ke tor par dekh raha hoon, lekin mujhe yeh bhi ehsaas hai ke further analysis zaroori hai yeh dekhne ke liye ke yeh increase continue hoga ya sirf ek temporary retracement hai pehle downward trend ko resume karne se pehle.

Mujhe zarurat mehsoos ho rahi hai ke EURAUD par further analysis kiya jaye yeh maloom karne ke liye ke koi short position lene ka mauqa hai ya nahi. Ek approach jo mein consider kar sakta hoon woh yeh hai ke pehle broken support level, jo ke 1.656xx ke qareeb hai, ke aas paas sell opportunities ko dekhoon. Main confirmation of rejection par dhyaan doonga is level par, jo ke ek strong additional signal ho sakta hai short position enter karne ke liye. Lekin agar confirmation of rejection nahi hoti aur price barh ti hai, to mein 1.661xx se 1.663xx ke aas paas ke supply level par short position lene ki possibility ko consider karoonga. Mujhe ehsaas hai ke yeh supply level market ke reaction se price increase ke baad jo breakdown ke baad aayi thi, se ban sakta hai.

Currency pair ne takreeban 100 pips tak move down kiya. Lekin, ab movement rise karna shuru hui hai jab candle price 1.6482 tak pohanchi. EURAUD ne apna increase continue nahi kiya jab candle demand area ko penetrate karne mein nakam rahi. Filhal, EURAUD position 165xx ke price par trade ho rahi hai. Agar Ichimoku indicator ke zariye analyze kiya jaye, toh upward movement se candle ki position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar change ho gayi hai, jo ke trend ke bullish direction ki taraf pointing ka matlab hai. Stochastic indicator bhi yahi keh raha hai ke EURAUD pehle rise karne ki umeed hai kyun ke line ka direction upar ki taraf hai.

one hour chart par dekha jaye to ab tak sab kuch decline ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Key word hai "ab tak"... Halankeh average prices bhi gir rahi hain. Jaise expected tha, younger moving average older se neeche hai, aur current price dono se neeche hai. Magar, pichle do trading weeks mein, price uthi, phir giri, phir dobara uthi, aur week ke opening price par wapas aayi. Aur last din closing se pehle, price ek hi range mein idhar udhar chalti rahi, exit upar ya neeche dono ho sakta hai. Halankeh bada priority ab bhi decline par hai. Oscillators downward trend mein slowdown dikha rahe hain, magar histogram ka final downward growth ab bhi jaari hai. Aur agar price girna continue karti hai, to nearest target yeh movement ke liye local minimum ho sakta hai 1.5970 - 1.6000 ya phir neeche 1.5900. Magar 1.6000 ke level par jo remaining tail hai woh downward entry mein ehtiyaat karne par majboor karti hai. Aur growth ke conditions ka bhi kami hai - entry ke sath. To ab ke liye hum fence ke neeche baith kar kuch suitable changes ka intezar kar rahe hain.

Jahan strong sellers ka presence tha jin logon ne price ko push karke key support level 1.65600 ko penetrate kiya. Uske ilawa, EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ka intersection bhi hua, jo technical analysis mein ek significant trend change ka signal hota hai. Ab, lowest point 1.64700 par pohanchne ke baad, EURAUD price upward correction dekh raha hai. Main is correction ko pehle significant decline ka natural reaction samajhta hoon, magar yeh bhi realize karta hoon ke further analysis ki zarurat hai yeh determine karne ke liye ke yeh increase continue karega ya yeh sirf temporary retracement hai downward trend resume hone se pehle.

Mujhe further analysis ki zarurat mehsoos hoti hai yeh determine karne ke liye ke EURAUD par short jaane ka moka hai ya nahi. Ek approach jo main consider kar sakta hoon woh hai previously broken support level ke ird gird sell opportunities dekhna, yani ke 1.656xx ke ird gird. Main rejection ka confirmation dekhunga is level par, jo ek strong additional signal ho sakta hai short position enter karne ke liye. Halankeh, agar rejection ka confirmation nahi hota aur price rise karti rehti hai, to main supply level par short position lene ka possibility consider karunga jo shayad 1.66100 se 1.66300 ke ird gird form ho sakta hai. Main samajhta hoon ke yeh supply level market ke reaction ka natija ho sakta hai price increase par jo pehle support level ke breakdown ke baad hui thi.

Currency pair almost 100 pips neeche move karne mein kamiyab hui. Magar, ab movement rise hone lagi hai jab candle price 1.6482 par pohanchi. EURAUD ne apni increase continue nahi ki jab candle demand area ko penetrate karne mein fail hui. Filhal, EURAUD ka position 16500 price par trade ho raha hai. Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal karke analyze kiya jaye, upward movement ke baad candle ki position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar change hui hai, jo yeh matlab hai ke trend bullish direction mein point karna shuru ho gaya hai. Stochastic indicator bhi yahi kehta hai ke EURAUD pehle rise karega kyunki line ka direction upar ki taraf hai.

EURO/AUD

Assalam-o-Alaikum sab forum ke participants aur guests ko. Aaj hum EURAUD pair ka analysis kar rahe hain M15 timeframe par. Mujhe koi extra cheezain nahi chahiyein; apni trading mein main reasonable minimalism ka paaband hoon, do exponential moving averages ke saath jinka period 9 aur 22 hai. Achhi tarah se tuned moving averages, agarche simple hain, lekin bohot effective tools hain. 9 aur 22 ke intersection ka price level 1.66763 par hai. Ab bas choti si baat baqi hai. Market mein enter karna hai. Jab 15 minute par trading signal milta hai, to main ek ya paanch minute ke liye niche chala jata hoon, price mein thoda pullback ka wait karta hoon, phir market par sell karta hoon. Main hamesha kam az kam 1:3 ka risk to reward ratio maante hoon, agar us se zyada na ho. Low odds waali transactions ko side par rakhtay hain; har risk ko justify hona chahiye. Mera stop order hamesha kam az kam 20 points ka hota hai. Kabhi kabhi 25 points bhi laga sakta hoon, lekin us se zyada nahi. Main wide stops ka paaband hoon taake market ke fakes se bach sako, jo ke bohot hain.



Right side par H4 intraday chart mein, lagta hai ke selling pressure abhi bhi continue ho raha hai lekin blue support rectangle area 1.6059 - 1.6033 ke zariye rok gaya hai, isliye price movements dono directions mein ho sakti hain. Is condition mein, buy karne ka potential abhi bhi hai kyunki pehle ke selling action se oversold hua hai, jo ke bullish divergent signal se dekha ja sakta hai, isliye aaj ke trading mein do trading setups hain, dono ka equal profit potential hai.



Trading Setup

BUY agar H4 par blue support area 1.6060 - 1.6033 mein bullish pinbar candle form ho, SL 1.6000 aur TP 1.6238.
SELL LIMIT agar price green resistance zone 1.6238 - 1.6267 ke qareeb aati hai kyunki ye weekly re-entry sell area hai, SL 1.6300 aur TP 1.6000.

EUR/AUD M15

Sab participants aur forum ke mehmanon ko assalam o alaikum. Aaj hum EUR/AUD pair ka tajziya M15 timeframe par kar rahe hain. Mujhe koi extra fazool baat nahi chahiye; apni trading me mai reasonable minimalism ka riwayat karta hoon, do exponential moving averages ke periods 9 aur 22 ke sath. Achhe tareeke se set ki gayi moving averages, bhale hi simple hoon, magar bohot effective tools hain. Nine aur twenty-two ka intersection price level 1.66763 par hai. Ab bas choti choti baatein reh gayi hain. Market me enter karna hai. 15 minutes par trading signal milne ke baad, mai ek minute ya paanch minute ke liye neeche jata hoon, price me choti si pullback ka intezar karta hoon, phir market me sell karta hoon. Mai hamesha risk to reward ratio kam az kam 1 se 3 rakhta hoon, agar zyada na ho. Chhoti odds wale transactions ko chor dete hain; koi bhi risk justified hona chahiye. Mera stop order hamesha kam az kam 20 points ka hota hai. Kabhi kabar mai 25 points tak rakh sakta hoon, magar zyada nahi. Mai wide stops ka riwayat rakhta hoon taake market me bohot sare fakes se confuse na ho jaoon.

Yeh baat sach hai ke support ko penetrate kiya gaya hai, magar candle ab bhi demand area 1.6045 par pass nahi kar sakti. Agar us waqt tak demand area jo mai keh raha hoon penetrate na ho, mujhe lagta hai ke kaafi bara increase ka potential hai kyunke wahan ek shoulder bhi touch ho gaya hai uske sath. Ichimoku indicator me ek unique baat hai ke intersection hone ke baad, price foran upar nahi gayi, balke neeche chali gayi. Khushkismati se, red line ab bhi blue line ke upar hai to upar jane ka mauka ab bhi barqarar hai.



Stochastic indicator se thoda sa hi baqi hai aur yeh apne lowest level, yani 20 number par touch karega. Humein bas intezar karna hai ke stochastic lines intersect karen. Is liye, mai apne doston ko jo is pair me trade karte hain yeh recommend karta hoon ke wo sirf buy positions kholne par focus karen. Aap apna target nearest resistance par rakh sakte hain jo ke 1.6162 price par hai.

Dosri indicators, yani RSI 14 indicator ke lihaaz se, current value lower 30% value se neeche hai, jo ke 29% value ke range me hai. Yeh is baat ka ishara deta hai ke EUR/AUD pair ki price movement is subah tak downward trend me hai. Agar future me price neeche move karna jari rakhti hai, to mumkin hai ke price girti rahe aur mai Wednesday ko trading me sell order recommend karunga, take profit around 1.5960 aur stop loss 1.6160 par rakh kar.

EUR/AUD

Hum in-depth study aur current analysis karenge instrument ke movement ka, focusing on the indicators of the Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI aur MACD indicators, jo humein competent aur profitable technical analysis mein madad karte hain. Jab desired profit mil jayega, hum market se exit hone ke liye optimal point select karenge, focusing on the nearest correction levels using the Fibonacci grid, jo current extremes ke according stretch hui hai.

Is instrument ka chart selected timeframe pe clearly humein dikhata hai ke first-degree regression line (golden dotted line), jo direction aur state of the current true trend ko show karti hai, ka slope south ki taraf hai, jo indicate karta hai ke predominantly downward movement ka period chal raha hai. Nonlinear regression channel (concave ya convex colored lines) straighten ho gaya hai aur golden upward trend line ko top se bottom cross kar chuka hai aur ab downward southern movement dikhata hai.

Price ne blue support line of the linear channel 2-nd LevelSupLine ko cross kiya, lekin minimum value 1.63253 tak pahunchne ke baad decline ruk gaya aur ab grow karna shuru ho gaya, aur abhi 1.64264 pe trade kar raha hai. In sab ko dekhte hue, mujhe lagta hai ke price wapas 2nd LevelSupLine channel line (1.64332) Fibo level 23.6 ke upar consolidate karega aur aage golden line LR of the linear channel 1.65028 ki taraf move karega, jo Fibo level 38.2 ke saath coincide karta hai. RSI (14) aur MACD indicators strongly oversold area mein hain aur ek accha opportunity show karte hain buy trade open karne ke liye.

Jaisa ke aap M15 chart pe dekh sakte hain, EURAUD pair ka attempt ke Supply Zone - 1.648 ke upar foothold gain kar sake, successful nahi raha. Sellers apna range protect karne mein successful hue. Abhi intermediate Level - 1.647 pe pressure hai, aur main trend ab Downward Rally mein hai. Main entry point consider karunga Short positions mein jab consolidation Minimum - 1.635 ke neeche ho jaye, jahan se first level for working out, main Buyers Zone - 1.647 ya 1.648 consider karunga. Jahan future mein decisions lungi, to enter positions in the Short position ya level se rebound karke Long position mein.

EUR/AUD Chart Analysis:

Ye Euro versus Australian Dollar ke Forex quote ko darshata hai. Is quote mein ek Euro ('base currency') ki qeemat Australian Dollar ('counter currency') mein di gayi hai. EUR/AUD ne apne lows 2012 mein European sovereign debt crisis ke darmiyan touch kiye thay, jab yeh A$1.1619 tak pohanch gaya tha. July 2012 ke darmiyan se, yeh pair khas tor par European Central Bank ke Outright Monetary Transactions (OMT) aur 'whatever it takes' measures ki wajah se recover hua hai, jo ECB President Draghi ne August 2012 mein threaten kiya tha.

Australian dollar commodity currency ke taur par mashhoor hai, Australia ka global sona ki production aur export mein hissa hone ki wajah se. Aussie gold ke value ke sath lamba term mein positive correlation dikhaata hai. Yeh pair global risk ka acha barometer maana jata hai. 2012 mein jab European sovereign debt crisis tha, EUR/AUD uska low level touch kiya tha. Us ke baad se, European Central Bank ke Outright Monetary Transactions (OTM) ya "whatever it takes" measures ki wajah se, yeh pair considerable tarah se improve hua hai.

EUR/AUD, GBP/AUD, AUD/SGD aur EUR/XPD/USD currency pairs positively correlated hain. Is ka matlab hai ke in pairs mein se koi bhi Aussie dollar numerator mein hai. Is liye, kisi bhi change mein Aussie dollar in pairs ko reflect hoga.

Negative correlation mein, forex pairs opposite direction mein move karte hain. Maslan, AUD/SGD, EUR/HUF aur AUD/NZD.

Gold aur Aussie ke darmiyan ek ahem characteristic hai ke AUD aur gold prices ke darmiyan high positive correlation hai. Is ka reason hai ke Australia duniya ka teesra bara gold producer hai. Is wajah se, jab bhi gold prices up ya down hoti hain, Aussie dollar par asar parta hai.

Mukhtalif economic events mein GDP, Employment Change, Industrial Production aur Consumer Price Index shamil hote hain. Better than forecast data related currency ke demand ko increase karta hai aur Euro ya Australian Dollar ke value par asar daalta hai, jis se EUR/AUD exchange rate mein fluctuations aate hain.



EUR/AUD 1.6677 tak pohanchne ke baad palat gaya hai aur intraday bias pehle se neutral ho gaya hai. Nazdeek future outlook cautious bullish rahega jab tak 1.6439 support maintain hota rahe. Upar ki taraf, 1.6677 ke upar jaane se pehle 1.6742 ko pehla target banaya gaya hai. Agar wahaan se decisively break ho jaye to puri rise jo 1.6127 se shuru hui hai, usko resume karke 1.6844 resistance ko target kiya jayega.

1.7062 medium term top se jo giravat dekhi gayi hai, wo 1.4281 (2022 low) se up trend ka correction maana ja raha hai. Agar 1.6844 resistance break ho jaye to iska matlab hai ke yeh up trend phir se 1.7062 high ke through resume hone ke liye taiyar hai. Agar phir se giravat aaye to 1.5846 aur 1.4281 se 1.7062 tak ke 38.2% retracement ke aas paas strong support dekha jayega, jisse rebound aane ki ummeed hai.

Is resistance ke baad, buyers 1.6993 AUD ko target kar sakte hain. Mojud pattern ke saath, aapko possible bullish excesses ke liye nazar rakhni hogi jo bahut short term mein chhoti corrections ko lead kar sakti hain. Yeh possible corrections traders ko bullish trend ke direction mein position enter karne ke liye opportunities deti hain. Is tarah ki corrections se faida uthane ki koshish karna thoda risky ho sakta hai.

Is ke alawa, har currency ke relative perception dusre currencies ke comparison mein EUR/AUD exchange rates ko influence kar sakta hai. EUR/AUD par asar daalne wale doosre market forces mein speculation aur Forex markets mein trading activity shamil hai jahan traders speculate karte hain ke kisi particular currency ki value current news aur trends ke hisaab se upar ya neeche jaayegi. Har currency ki supply aur demand bhi unke exchange rates par asar daalti hai. Ant mein, natural disasters ya anjaani major events bhi currencies ke values mein turant shifts laa sakte hain jab log uncertainty ke daur mein safer investments ki taraf bhaagte hain.

EURAUD

H4 time frame par, yeh dikhata hai ke USDCHF uptrend condition mein hai. Yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke low hamesha trend line area mein bounce hota hai. Jab tak koi breakout nahi hota, buy karna valid hai. Pichlay 2 haftay ke bearish prices ke bawajood, is subah buyers ke taraf se prices raise karne ki koshish ke asaar hain. Yeh bhi H4 demand zone mein decline ki wajah se hua hai. Main naye demand area mein buy re-enter karne ka mauqa dekh raha hoon 1.6468 ke price par jo ke SSR area mein ek kaafi strong demand area hai, jahan yeh area trendline line ke kareeb lagta hai jo teesri koshish par market movement mein zaroor strong movement dikhayega.

Ek additional indicator, Relative Strength Index period 5, jahan price position phir se level 30 par neeche move kar rahi hai, yeh is baat ka asar hai ke market abhi bhi bearish trend mein chal rahi hai. Dusri taraf, 100 Simple Moving Average indicator ab tak trend badal nahi raha aur neeche ki taraf move kar raha hai kyun ke kal ka price drop itna strong tha ke is SMA indicator ko affect kiya. Is liye yeh nateeja nikalta hai ke aksar H4 timeframe indicators bearish trend dikhate hain.





EURAUD H1

Haqeeqat mein, H4 demand zone mein enter karna buy ke liye legal hai. Magar, jo cheez dekhni hai woh yeh ke prices aksar chhoti zones ko occupy karte hain badi zones ke andar. Is liye, agar hum H4 demand ko reference ke tor par use karein to yeh bohot wide hai, is liye H1 time frame mein main ek aur chhoti zone dekhta hoon, jo ke DP (decision point) hai. Kya yeh mumkin hai ke prices pehle wahan drop karein? Yeh to koi nahi jaanta. Hum sirf wahan ek aur limit set kar sakte hain with Stop Loss H4 base (yellow) ke neeche. Yeh woh cheez hai jo mujhe EURAUD pair mein enter karne par majboor karti hai aur mujhe do opportunities milti hain, ya sell ya buy.

Trading Plan Conclusion:

Buy Entries:
- Pending buy limit order place kar sakte hain 1.6493 ke price par, stop loss 1.6460 par aur take profit 1.6610 par.

Sell Entries:
- Pending sell limit order place kar sakte hain 1.6616 ke price par, stop loss 1.6650 par aur take profit 1.6500 ke price range mein.

EURAUD Chart Analysis:

Yeh Forex quote Euro versus Australian Dollar ke liye hai. Iss quote mein, ek Euro (base currency) ka value Australian Dollar (counter currency) mein diya gaya hai. EUR/AUD ne apni lows 2012 mein European sovereign debt crisis ke dauran hit ki thi, jab yeh A$1.1619 tak pohcha tha. Mid-July 2012 se lekar, yeh pair recover hua hai, zyadatar European Central Bank ki Outright Monetary Transactions (OMT) policy ke wajah se, jo ECB President Draghi ne August 2012 mein announce ki thi. Australian dollar ko commodity currency ke tor par jana jata hai Australia ke global gold production aur export ke role ki wajah se. Aussie ka long-term positive correlation gold ke value ke sath hota hai. Yeh pair global risk ke liye ek acha barometer maana jata hai.

2012 mein, European sovereign debt crisis ke dauran, EUR/AUD apne lowest level par tha. Us waqt se, European Central Bank ki Outright Monetary Transactions (OTM ya "whatever it takes" measure) policy ki wajah se, yeh set considerable improve hua hai.

EUR/AUD, GBP/AUD, EUR/AUD, AUD/SGD aur EUR/AUD, XPD/USD currency pairs positively correlated hain. Yeh isliye kyun ke in sab pairs mein Australian dollar numerator mein hota hai. Isliye, Aussie mein koi bhi change in pairs mein reflect hota hai. Negative Correlation – Iske contrast mein, negative relationship tab hoti hai jab forex pairs opposite direction mein move karte hain. For example, AUD/SGD, EUR/HUF, aur AUD/NZD. Gold aur Aussie: AUD ki ek khas characteristic yeh hai ke iska gold prices ke sath high positive correlation hota hai. Iski wajah yeh hai ke Australia duniya ka teesra bara gold producer hai. Iska natija yeh hota hai ke jab gold prices rise ya fall hoti hain.

Top economic events mein GDP, Employment Change, Industrial Production, aur Consumer Price Index shamil hain. Forecast se behtar data related currency ki demand increase karta hai aur Euro aur Australian Dollar ke value ko impact karta hai, jis se EUR/AUD exchange rate mein fluctuations aati hain.





EUR/AUD ne 1.6677 ko hit karne ke baad reverse kiya aur intraday bias pehle neutral turn hua. Near term outlook cautiously bullish rahega jab tak 1.6439 support hold karti hai. Upar ki taraf, 1.6677 ke upar pehla target 1.6742 hoga. Wahaan se decisive break poora rise resume karega 1.6127 se aur agla target 1.6844 resistance hoga. 1.7062 medium term top se girawat ko uptrend correction maana jaa raha hai jo 1.4281 (2022 low) se start hui thi. 1.6844 resistance break karna yeh argue karega ke yeh uptrend 1.7062 high tak resume hone ke liye ready hai. Agar aur girawat hoti hai, strong support 1.5846 ke aas paas aur 38.2% retracement 1.4281 se 1.7062 tak 1.6000 par expected hai jo rebound le aayega. Iss resistance ke baad, buyers 1.6993 AUD target kar sakte hain.

Current pattern ke sath, aapko possible bullish excesses monitor karne ki zaroorat hogi jo short term mein small corrections lead kar sakte hain. Yeh possible corrections traders ko bullish trend direction mein position enter karne ke opportunities offer karti hain. In possible corrections se advantage lene ki koshish sales ke sath risky lag sakti hai.

Additionally, har currency ke perception doosri currencies ke muqablay mein EUR/AUD exchange rates ko influence kar sakti hai. Market forces jo EUR/AUD ko influence karti hain woh speculation aur trading activity hai Forex markets par among traders jo speculate karte hain ke koi particular currency rise ya fall karegi based on current news aur trends. Supply aur demand har respective currency ki bhi exchange rate ko influence karti hai. Aakhir mein, natural disasters ya unexpected major events various currencies ke values ko instantly shift kar sakti hain jab log uncertainty ke dauran safer investments ki taraf flee karte hain.

Euro (EUR) aur Australian Dollar (AUD) ke darmiyan exchange rate bohot factors se affect hoti hai. Inmein economic indicators European Union aur Australia ke, jaise ke interest rates, inflation levels, government policies, geopolitical events, aur global markets mein sentiment shamil hain.

EURAUD Technical Analysis

Maine kal EURAUD ke movement par tawajju di, jahan sellers ki strong presence dekhi gayi jo ke price ko key support level 1.656xx tak push karne mein kamyab rahe. Iske ilawa, EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke darmiyan ek intersection bhi hua, jo ke technical analysis mein aksar ek significant trend change ka signal maana jata hai. Filhal, lowest point 1.647xx par pohchnay ke baad, EURAUD price ek upward correction dekh rahi hai. Main is correction ko pichle significant decline ka ek natural reaction samajhta hoon, lekin mujhe yeh bhi maloom hai ke mazeed analysis ki zaroorat hai yeh determine karne ke liye ke yeh increase continue karega ya sirf ek temporary retracement hai downward trend ko resume karne se pehle.

Mujhe mazeed analysis karne ki zaroorat mehsoos hoti hai yeh determine karne ke liye ke kya EURAUD mein short karne ka mauka hai. Ek approach jo main consider kar sakta hoon woh yeh hai ke previously broken support level ke aas paas sell opportunities dekhi jayein, yani ke 1.656xx ke aas paas. Main is level par rejection ki confirmation par tawajju doonga, jo ke ek strong additional signal ho sakta hai short position enter karne ke liye. Magar agar rejection ki confirmation nahi hoti aur price barhni shuru hoti hai, toh main possibility ko consider karunga ke supply level ke aas paas short position le loon jo shayad 1.661xx se 1.663xx ke aas paas form hota ho. Main samajhta hoon ke yeh supply level market ke reaction ke natije mein price increase ke baad appear ho sakta hai jo pehle support level breakdown hone ke baad hua tha.



Currency pair 100 pips tak neeche move karne mein kamyab raha. Lekin ab movement barhna shuru ho gayi hai jab candle 1.6482 ke price par pohch gayi thi. EURAUD ne apni increase ko continue nahi kiya jab candle demand area ko penetrate karne mein fail ho gayi. Filhal, EURAUD position 165xx ke price par trade ho rahi hai. Agar Ichimoku indicator ka use karke analysis kiya jaye, toh upward movement ke baad candle ka position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar hai, jo yeh mean karta hai ke trend bullish direction mein point kar raha hai. Stochastic indicator bhi yahi keh raha hai ke EURAUD pehle barhne ka imkaan rakhta hai kyunke line ka direction upwards hai.

EUR/USD M15 Timeframe:

Salaam sab forum ke participants aur mehmanon ko. Aaj hum EURAUD pair ka analysis karenge M15 timeframe par. Mujhe kisi additional garbage ki zaroorat nahi; main apni trading mein reasonable minimalism ko follow karta hoon, do exponential moving averages ke sath jo 9 aur 22 periods ke hain. Well-tuned moving averages, chahe simple hoon, bohot effective tools hain. Price level 1.66763 par nine aur twenty-two ka intersection hota hai. Ab sirf choti choti cheezon ka mamla hai. Market mein enter karna zaroori hai. 15 minute par trading signal milne ke baad, main ek minute ya paanch minute ke liye wait karta hoon, price mein chota sa pullback ka intezar karta hoon, phir market mein sell karta hoon. Main hamesha risk to reward ratio kam se kam 1 to 3 rakhta hoon, agar zyada nahi to. Lower odds wale transactions ko side mein rakhein; har risk justified hona chahiye. Mera stop order hamesha kam se kam 20 points par hota hai. Kabhi kabhi main 25 points bhi rakhta hoon, lekin isse zyada nahi. Main wide stops ko follow karta hoon taake fakes se confuse na hoon, jo market mein bohot hain.




EUR/USD H1 Timeframe:

Ab hum EUR/AUD pair ke price movement ko predict karne ki koshish karte hain. H1 chart ko dekh kar, main zyadatar instrument ko sell karne ka rukh rakhta hoon. Mera khayal hai ke market mein enter karne ka exact point 1.6710 par hona chahiye, jahan resistance nazar aa rahi hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke pair 1.6610 level tak girti rahegi, jahan profit lena zaroori hoga. Agar structure breakout hota hai aur reversal signal appear hota hai, to losses 1.6750 par lena aur instrument ko buy karna. Agar 1.6710 ka resistance level break hota hai, to hum isse support level consider kar sakte hain jahan se purchase karna possible hoga.

EUR/AUD Currency Pair Analysis

EUR/AUD currency pair jo ke abhi 1.6731 par trade kar raha hai, bearish trend ka shikar hai. Halanki recent market movement slow rahi hai, kuch factors ye suggest karte hain ke ek bara shift aaney wala hai. Macroeconomic environment, geopolitical influences, market sentiment, aur technical indicators ko dekhte hue hum market movements ko samajh sakte hain aur anticipate kar sakte hain.

Macroeconomic Environment

Eurozone aur Australia ke economic landscapes EUR/AUD pair ko significantly impact karte hain. Euro (EUR) downward pressure face kar raha hai due to various economic challenges, jaise ke sluggish economic growth, high inflation, aur European Central Bank (ECB) ki monetary policy decisions. ECB ne inflation se larne ke liye interest rates raise kiye hain, magar agar economic slowdown ke concerns par ECB rate hikes ko pause ya reduce karne ka signal dete hain, to EUR weak ho sakta hai.

Doosri taraf, Australian dollar (AUD) Australia ke economic performance aur commodity prices, especially iron ore aur coal, jo ke Australia ke major exports hain, se influenced hota hai. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rates ko manage kar rahi hai taake economic growth aur inflation balance mein rahe. Policy stance mein koi bhi change AUD ko impact kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, global commodity prices mein fluctuations bhi crucial role play karte hain. Commodity prices ka rise AUD ko typically strengthen karta hai, jabke decline isse weaken karta hai.

Geopolitical Factors

Geopolitical events currency movements ke critical drivers hain, aur EUR/AUD pair isse farigh nahi hai. Eurozone aur Australia ke darmiyan trade relations, political stability, aur global economic conditions volatility ko barhawa de sakte hain. Misaal ke taur par, Eurozone aur doosri major economies ke darmiyan trade negotiations ya agreements market sentiment aur EUR ke relative strength ko impact kar sakte hain. Trade relations mein positive developments investor confidence ko boost kar sakte hain, jabke trade disputes ya protectionist policies opposite effect la sakte hain.

Global geopolitical tensions, jaise conflicts ya international trade policies mein changes, commodity prices ko affect kar sakti hain aur is tarah AUD ko influence kar sakti hain. Global markets mein stability commodity-linked currencies jaise AUD ko support karti hai, jabke instability investors ko safe-haven currencies jaise EUR ki taraf drive karti hai.

Market Sentiment aur Speculative Activities

Market sentiment aur speculative activities currency movements ko significantly influence karte hain. Traders aur investors GDP growth, employment rates, inflation data, aur manufacturing output jaise economic indicators ko closely monitor karte hain taake economic health assess kar sakein. Eurozone se aane wale positive economic data, jaise strong employment figures ya robust GDP growth, EUR mein confidence instill kar sakte hain, jo ke EUR/AUD pair ke bearish trend ko reverse karne mein madadgar ho sakta hai. Conversely, weak data current downward trend ko badha sakti hain.

Isi tarah, Australia se aane wale strong economic performance indicators AUD ko further strengthen kar sakte hain, EUR/AUD pair par bearish pressure maintain karte hue. Speculative activities, jo ke market expectations aur news reactions par driven hoti hain, in movements ko amplify kar sakti hain. Misaal ke taur par, agar traders ECB ya RBA policies mein shift anticipate karte hain, to wo accordingly position lete hain, jo ke significant price movements lead kar sakta hai.

Technical Analysis

Technical analysis EUR/AUD pair ke potential future movements ko samajhne ke additional insights deti hai. Abhi, pair ek critical support level ke kareeb hai. Agar ye level break hota hai, to ye bearish trend ke continuation ka signal de sakta hai, jo ke further declines lead kar sakta hai. Conversely, agar pair is support ko hold karta hai aur rebound karna shuru karta hai, to ye reversal aur significant upward movement ka indication ho sakta hai.

Traders often moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) jaise technical indicators ko use karte hain taake potential trend reversals ya continuations identify kar sakein. Misaal ke taur par, agar RSI indicate karta hai ke pair oversold territory mein hai, to ye suggest kar sakta hai ke ek rebound imminent hai. Isi tarah, MACD mein convergence potential bullish reversal indicate kar sakti hai. In signals ko dekhte hue traders more informed decisions le sakte hain.

Potential Triggers for Big Movements

Kuch potential triggers hain jo ke EUR/AUD pair mein significant movements lead kar sakte hain:
1.European Central Bank Announcements: ECB ke policy stance mein unexpected changes, jaise future rate hikes ya cuts ka indication, EUR/AUD pair mein sharp movements lead kar sakte hain.
2. Reserve Bank of Australia Announcements: Isi tarah, RBA policy mein unexpected shifts, specially changing inflation dynamics ke response mein, AUD ko significantly impact kar sakti hain.
3. Economic Data Releases: Eurozone aur Australia se aane wale key economic data, including GDP, inflation, aur employment reports, investor sentiment ko influence kar sakte hain aur market movements drive kar sakte hain.
4. Geopolitical Developments
Geopolitical tensions mein escalations ya resolutions, specially jo major economies ke trade relations ko affect karte hain, EUR/AUD pair mein increased volatility lead kar sakti hain.

Conclusion

Halaanki EUR/AUD abhi bearish trend aur slow market movements experience kar raha hai, kuch factors significant changes ke potential ko suggest karte hain. Economic conditions, central bank policies, geopolitical events, market sentiment, aur technical analysis sab possible volatility ko indicate karte hain. Yeh pair apni bearish trajectory ko continue karega ya bullish reversal experience karega, yeh depend karta hai ke yeh factors kaise unfold hote hain. Traders aur investors ke liye essential hai ke wo informed rahein aur new developments par react karne ke liye tayar rahen jo ke EUR/AUD currency pair ko impact kar sakti hain. Ek well-informed aur strategic approach crucial hogi taake is currency pair mein potential shifts ko navigate kar sakein aur emerging opportunities ko capitalize kar sakein.

EUR-AUD Pair Analysis

Aaj Australian CPI news ke release ne EUR/AUD ko aggressive movement di. Data jo expectations se exceed hua, usne Aussie dollar ko euro ke muqablay mein aur bhi strengthen kar diya. Lagta hai ke Australian inflation abhi bhi high hai. Is Asian session mein, mera AUD/USD kareeb 75 pips gir chuka hai. Is decline ka natija ye hua ke price ke 1.6079 par support level ko downwards penetrate kar diya gaya.

Halaanki support ko penetrate kiya gaya, lekin candle abhi tak demand area jo ke price ke 1.6045 par hai, ko pass nahi kar paayi. Agar ye demand area jo ke main mention kar raha hoon, ab tak penetrate nahi kiya gaya, to mere khayal se ek kaafi bara increase potential hai kyunki ek shoulder bhi touch ho chuka hai uske bagal mein. Ichimoku indicator mein kuch unique hai kyunki intersection ke baad price turant upar nahi gaya, balki actually neeche chala gaya. Khush kismati se, red line abhi bhi blue line ke upar hai to rise ka mauka abhi bhi barqarar hai.

Stochastic indicator se sirf thoda aur baaki hai aur ye apni lowest level jo ke number 20 par hai, ko touch karne wala hai. Humein sirf stochastic lines ke intersect hone ka intezar hai. Isliye, main apne doston ko jo is pair mein trade karte hain, recommend karta hoon ke sirf buy positions ko kholne par focus karein. Aap apna target nearest resistance jo ke 1.6162 par hai, par rakh sakte hain.

Dusri indicators, jaise ke RSI 14 indicator ko dekhte hue, current value 30% ke lower value se neeche hai, jo ke 29% ke range mein hai. Ye indicate karta hai ke EUR/AUD pair ki price movement aaj subah tak downward trend ko continue kar rahi hai. To agar future mein price continue karte hue neeche move kare, to ye possible hai ke price continue karte hue neeche jaye. Main recommend karta hoon ke trading mein is Wednesday ke din sell order place karein, with take profit around 1.5960 aur stop loss at 1.6160, aur umeed hai ke aap profit bana sakein.

EURAUD M15

Assalam-o-Alaikum forum ke tamaam participants aur guests. Aaj hum EURAUD pair ka M15 timeframe pe analysis karenge. Mujhe kisi extra cheez ki zarurat nahi hai; main apne trading mein reasonable minimalism par amal karta hoon, sirf do exponential moving averages ke sath, jo ke 9 aur 22 periods ke hain. Well-tuned moving averages, halan ke simple hain, lekin bohot effective tools hain. Price level 1.66763 par 9 aur 22 ka intersection bas ek choti si baat hai. Market mein enter karne ka waqt hai. 15 minutes pe trading signal milne ke baad, main ek ya paanch minute ka pullback intezar karta hoon, phir market pe sell karta hoon. Main hamesha risk to reward ratio kam az kam 1:3 ko accept karta hoon, agar zyada nahi. Low odds transactions ko chhodo, koi bhi risk justified hona chahiye. Mera stop order hamesha kam az kam 20 points hota hai. Kabhi kabhi main 25 bhi rakhta hoon, lekin usse zyada nahi. Main wide stops ka paaband hoon taake fake signals se confuse na hoon, jo ke market mein bohot zyada hote hain.

Halaanki support ko penetrate kiya gaya hai, candle ab tak demand area jo ke 1.6045 par hai, ko cross nahi kar paayi. Agar demand area penetrate nahi hota, to mujhe lagta hai ke ek bara increase potential hai kyunki shoulder bhi touch ho chuka hai. Ichimoku indicator mein kuch unique hai kyunki intersection ke baad price turant upar nahi gaya, balki neeche chala gaya. Khush kismati se, red line abhi bhi blue line ke upar hai to rise ka mauka abhi bhi barqarar hai.

Stochastic indicator se sirf thoda aur baaki hai aur ye apni lowest level jo ke number 20 par hai, ko touch karne wala hai. Humein sirf stochastic lines ke intersect hone ka intezar hai. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke sirf buy positions ko kholne par focus karein. Aap apna target nearest resistance jo ke 1.6162 par hai, par rakh sakte hain.

Dusri indicators, jaise ke RSI 14 indicator ko dekhte hue, current value 30% ke lower value se neeche hai, jo ke 29% ke range mein hai. Ye indicate karta hai ke EURAUD pair ki price movement downward trend ko continue kar rahi hai. Agar future mein price continue karte hue neeche move kare, to possible hai ke price continue karte hue neeche jaye. Main recommend karta hoon ke trading mein Wednesday ke din sell order place karein, with take profit around 1.5960 aur stop loss at 1.6160, aur umeed hai ke aap profit bana sakein.

EURAUD Analysis in Roman Urdu

Australian CPI news ki release ne aaj EURAUD ko aggressive move karaya. Expectations se zyada data ne Aussie dollar ko euro ke muqable mein aur bhi mazboot kar diya. Lagta hai ke Australian inflation abhi bhi high hai. Is Asian session mein, mera AUD/USD lagbhag 75 pips neeche gir chuka hai. Is decline ke natijay mein, 1.6079 par support ko neeche ki taraf penetrate kar diya gaya hai.

Halaanki support ko penetrate kiya gaya hai, candle abhi tak 1.6045 par demand area ko cross nahi kar saki. Agar demand area ab tak penetrate nahi hota, to mujhe lagta hai ke ek bara increase potential hai kyunki wahan ek shoulder bhi touch hui hai. Ichimoku indicator mein kuch unique hai kyunki intersection ke baad price foran upar nahi gayi, balki neeche chali gayi. Khush kismati se, red line abhi bhi blue line ke upar hai, isliye rise ka mauka abhi bhi barqarar hai.

Stochastic indicator se sirf thoda sa baaki hai aur ye apni lowest level jo ke number 20 par hai, ko touch karne wala hai. Humein sirf stochastic lines ke intersect hone ka intezar hai. Isliye, main apne doston ko recommend karta hoon jo is pair mein trade karte hain, ke sirf buy positions kholne par focus karein. Aap apna target nearest resistance jo ke 1.6162 par hai, par rakh sakte hain.

Wahin doosre indicators, jaise ke RSI 14 indicator, ko dekhte hue, current value lower 30% value se neeche hai, jo ke 29% ke range mein hai. Ye indicate karta hai ke EURAUD pair ki price movement is subah tak downward trend ko continue kar rahi hai. Agar future mein price continue karte hue neeche move kare, to possible hai ke price aur neeche jaye. Main recommend karta hoon ke Wednesday ke din sell order place karein, with take profit around 1.5960 aur stop loss at 1.6160, aur umeed hai ke aap profit bana sakein.