Eur/aud

EURAUD H-1 TIME FRAME CHART.

#EURAUD (Euro / Australian Dollar). Euro / Australian Dollar ke technical analysis ke mutabiq H1 timeframe par quotation ke barhne par trading bohot munasib nazar aati hai. Sabse zyada munafa deh market transactions chunne ka algorithm aik aham bunyadi shart ko milana shamil karta hai. Pehle, aapko senior H4 timeframe par trend ke durust rukh ka durust taur par tay karna hai, taake market ke jazbaat ka durust taur par qayam na hona financial nuksan ka bais na bane. Toh, chaliye aaj ke market ko ek 4-hour timeframe ke chart ke sath kholte hain aur bunyadi shart ko check karte hain - trend H1 aur H4 timeframes par ek sath chalna chahiye. Is tarah, pehli qaid ki poorti ko check karne ke baad, hum yeh yakeen dilate hain ke aaj market hamen aik behtareen mauqa deta hai lamba muamla karnay ka. Aane wale analysis mein, hum teen kaam karne wale indicators - HamaSystem, RSI Trend and Magnetic_Level_Color ke readings par tawajjo denge. Hum intezaar karenge jab tak Hama aur RSI indicators green aur blue hojayein, jo ke yeh darust taur par tasdeeq samjha jayega ke market mein kharidar shahi himmat hai. Jese hi yeh hojaye ga, hum aik kharidari muamla kholenge. Hum position ko Magnetic Levels indicator ke mutabiq band karenge. Aaj, signal ko process karne ke lie sab se munsalik darajat neeche diye gaye hain - 1.61258. Agle, hum chart par dekhenge ke keemat kis tarah behave karti hai jab chunay gaye magnetic level tak pohanchti hai, aur faisla karenge ke agla kya karna chahiye - kya position ko market mein agle magnetic level tak chor dena chahiye, ya pehle hi kamai hojaye. Potential income barhane ke liye, aap aik trawl connect kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD

Forum ke tamaam hissadon aur mehmanon ko salam. Aaj hum M15 timeframe par EURAUD pair ka tajziya karne wale hain. Mujhe koi zaroori cheezen nahi chahiye; Meri trading mein, main munasib minimalism ka paalan karta hoon, do exponential moving averages jo 9 aur 22 ke daurast hain. Achhe tor par tune huye moving averages, halaanki simple hain, bohot kaaragar tools hotay hain. Nau aur bees kai mukhtalifai jauein price level par: 1.66763 Ye sirf choti choti cheezen hain. Aapko market mein dakhil hona hai. 15 minute mein aik trading signal milne par, main ek minute ya paanch minute ke liye neeche jata hoon, price mein aik chhota pullback ka intezar karta hoon, phir market mein bechta hoon. Main hamesha kam az kam 1 se 3 tak ya zyada risk to reward ratio qubool karta hoon. Haalaanki lower odds walay transactions ko ek taraf rakh dete hain; kisi bhi risk ko jayaz hona chahiye. Mera stop order hamesha kam az kam 20 points par hota hai. Kabhi kabhi main 25 rakh sakta hoon, lekin zyada nahi. Main wide stops ka paalan karta hoon taake market par bheeemarion se ghabraya na jaye.


Jab support ko cross kar liya jata hai, to candle phir bhi demand area se guzar nahi sakti price 1.6045 par. Agar us waqt tak demand area jo main keh raha hoon ab tak cross nahi hua, to mujhe lagta hai ke kaafi bara izafa ka potential hai kyunke sath hi sath next shoulder bhee touch ho gaya hai. Ichmkoku indicator mein kuch khaaz baat hai kyunke cross hone ke baad, price foran upar nahi jata, balke niche chala gaya. Khushkismat taur par, laal line ab bhee neelay line ke upar hai is liye mauqa barqarar hai.





Stochastic indicator ke mutabiq, sirf thoda sa bacha hai aur wo apne kam se kam level ko chhoo lega jisko number 20 kaha jata hai. Humein sirf interesection hone ke liye stochastic lines ka intezar karna hoga. Is liye, main un doston ko jo is pair mein trade karte hain yeh sujhata hoon ke sirf kharidari muamlat par tawajjo dein. Aap apna target rakh sakte hain nazdeek ki resistance par jo ke price 1.6162 par hai.

Dusri indicators ke hawale se, jese RSI 14 indicator, moujoodah qeemat 30% se neeche hai, jo ke 29% qeemat ke rang mein hai. Yeh ishara karta hai ke EURaud pair ki price movement aaj tak apni neeche ki trend jari rak rahi hai. Is liye agar mazeed future mein price neeche chalne ka jari rakha, to mumkin hai ke price mazeed girne ka silsila jari rahe aur main is Wednesday ki trading mein 1.5960 ke qareeb take profit ke sath aik buy order ko talash karta hoon aur stop loss ko 1.6160 par rakhta hoon.

EUR/USD Takneeki Tahlil

Jabke is haftay price channels ke andar trading shuru hoti hai, jo ek neeche ki taraf ki trend ko darust karti hai jo price peechlay do hafton mein chal rahi thi, to anay wale haftay mein price ka trend zahiran neeche ki taraf jari rahega. Price ke neeche haftawar pivot point 1.0835 bhi hai, jo ke mojooda price ke neeche hai. Haftawar pivot level tak pohanchte huye bhee price neechay ki taraf aana shuru hui jab ke pivot level tak pohanchte huye mid-channel lines par waapis chali gayi. Haalaanki, moujooda candle mid-channel lines ke neeche close hoti hai, is liye ek neeche ki aur tawajah rakh kar haftawar support level 1.0760 ki taraf ek neeche ki lahron ka set hona qareeb hai. Agar price haftawar chart ke pivot point ke upar chadhta hai, to agar 1.0830 ke upar chadhti hai to aap khareed sakte hain, aur phir aap agar 1.0875 se ooper chadhti hai to aap khareed sakte hain. Agar price aglay kuch dinon tak haftawar pivot level ke neeche rehta hai, to 1.0795 par baichna acha khayal hai.





Pair ki price ne peechlay kuch dinon ke liye har din aik taraf barabar trade ki thi, jaise ke chat par dekha ja sakta hai. Is ney se market aaj ke price channels ke andar shuruat kar raha hai kyunke pair ne peechlay dino ke liye ek taraf barabar trade ki thi. Jab price barhne laga, to jab usey ooper channel line ke qareeb pohnchti hai, to girne laga jo ab lower channel line ke qareeb ja raha hai. Price movement ke liye do mumkinfe asar hain. Agar price lower channel lines se support milti hai aur ooper laute to zahiran woh ek taraf barabar mein jari rahega. Channels ko neeche torne ka bhi tawajo dene ki mumkinat hai. Agar price haftawar support level 1.0795 ko torrta hai, to usay bech sakte hain.

EURAUD

H4 time frame par upar, yeh dikhata hai ke USDCHF ek uptrend halat mein hai. Yeh nazar ata hai ke low hamesha trend line area mein bounce karti hai. Jab tak koi breakout na ho, khareedna ab bhi valid hai. Haalaanki peechlay 2 hafton mein prices bearish the, lekin is subah ko buyers ki koshishon ke signs nazar aaye ke prices ko barhane ki koshish ki gai. Yeh bhi H4 demand zone mein giravat hone ki wajah se hui thi. Main naye demand area mein khareedne ka mouka dhond raha hoon jo ke 1.6468 ke price par aik kaafi strong demand area hai SSR area mein, jahan is area ne trendline line ke qareeb bhi nazar aata hai jahan teesri koshish mein is market movement mein aik mazboot movement zaroor hoga.
Aik mazeed indicator, yaani Relative Strength Index period 5, jahan price position dobara level 30 tak neeche chali jati hai, yeh ek nishani hai ke market ab bhi bearish trend mein chal raha hai. Ek oar, 100 Simple Moving Average indicator, jab tak trend badla nahi, woh ab bhi neeche chal raha hai kyunke kal ka price drop itna mazboot tha ke yeh SMA indicator par asar daal gaya. Is liye yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke H4 timeframe ke ziyada tar indicators ek bearish trend dikhate hain.




EURAUD H1

Haqeeqat mein, H4 demand zone mein dakhil hona khareedne ke liye jaiz hai. Haalaanki, iss par tawajo deni chahiye ke prices aksar bade zones ke andar chote zones ikhtiyar karte hain. Is liye, is surat mein agar hum H4 demand ko reference bana lein, to yeh bohot zyada wide hai, is liye H1 time frame mein main ek aur chota zone dekh raha hoon, yaani DP (decision point). Kya prices wahan pehle gir sakti hain? Ek baat to wazeh hai ke is ke bare mein koi nahi janta. Hum wahan sirf ek aur had muqarrar kar sakte hain, jahan stop loss H4 base ke neeche (peela) rehta hai. Yehi wajah thi ke main EURAUD pair mein dakhil hua aur mujhe yeh pata chala ke do moqaat hain, ya to bech sakte hain ya khareed sakte hain.

Trading Plan Conclusion:
Khareedne ke dakhil hone ke liye, aap 1.6493 ke price par aik pending buy limit order rakh sakte hain jahan stop loss 1.6460 par aur take profit 1.6610 par ho.
Bechne ke dakhil hone ke liye, aap 1.6616 ke price par aik pending sell limit order rakh sakte hain jahan stop loss price 1.6650 par ho aur take profit price 1.6500 ke price range mein ho.

EURAUD Chart Analysis:

Yeh Euro versus Australian Dollar ke liye Forex quote hai. Is quote mein, aik Euro ('base currency') ki qeemat Australian Dollar ('counter currency') ke lehaz se quote ki gayi hai. EUR/AUD ne 2012 mein European sovereign debt crisis ke darmiyan apni lowest value ko chua jab is ne A$1.1619 ko touch kiya. July 2012 ke darmiyan se, yeh pair aam taur par European Central Bank ke Outright Monetary Transactions (OMT) ke policy ke wajah se behtar hua, jo EC President Draghi ne August 2012 mein dhamki di thi. Australian Dollar ko ek commodity currency ke tor par pehchana jata hai Australia ke global sona ki paidawari aur export ke kirdar ki wajah se. Aussie ke paas sonay ki qeemat ke sath aik muddat saari positive talluq hota hai. Yeh pair global risk ke liye aik azeem shohrat shnaas hai. 2012 mein, jab European sovereign debt crisis huwa to EUR/AUD ne apni lowest level ko chua. Us waqt se, European Central Bank ke Outright Monetary Transactions (OTM) policy ke wajah se, set ko kafi behtar kiya gaya hai.





EUR/AUD, GBP/AUD, EUR/AUD, AUD/SGD and EUR/AUD, XPD/USD currency pairs ek dusre ke sath musbat tauluqat rakhte hain. Iski wajah yeh hai ke in sab pairs mein Australian dollar numerator mein hota hai. Is tarah se, koi bhi tabdeeli Aussie mein, in pairs mein nazar aayegi. Negative Correlation – Mukhalif talluq ko contrast mein ek woh hubar hota hai jab forex pairs ulat chalain. Misal ke tor par, AUD/SGD, EUR/HUF, and AUD/NZD Sonay or Aussie: Aussie ka aik ahem khaslat yeh hai ke is ka sonay ki qeemat ke sath buland positive talluq hota hai. Iske piche wajah yeh hai ke Australia duniya mein teesre bare gold producer hai. Jis ke natije mein, jaise hi sonay ki qeemat barhti hai ya girati hai.

Aakhri haalat mein bohot kuch economic events shamil hain jin mein GDP Employment Change, Industrial Production, aur Consumer Price Index shamil hain. Behtar se behtar data vodka mulk ke mutaliq currency ke liye demand barhati hai aur ya Euro ya Australian Dollar ki qeemat par asar daalti hai, jis se EUR/AUD exchange rate mein ripples peda hoti hain.

EURAUD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Kal maine EURAUD ki harkat par tawajju di, jahan bechne wale ka taqatwar mojood tha jo keemat ko 1.656xx ke kisi ahem support level ko guzarne mein kamiyaab ban gaya. Is ke ilawa, EMA 50 aur EMA 100 ke darmiyan ek mulaqat bhi thi, jo aksar technical analysis mein aik ahem trend tabdeeli ka nishan samjha jata hai. Abhi, jaise hi 1.647xx ke qareeb sab se kam ke point tak pohancha, EURAUD keemat ek upward correction ka samna kar rahi hai. Main ise pichli ahem giravat ka natural rad-e-amal samjhta hoon, lekin mujhe yeh bhi maloom hai ke mazeed tajziyaat ki zaroorat hai ke ye barhna jari rahega ya sirf ek temporary retracement hai pehle wale downward trend ko dobara shuru karne se pehle.

Mujhe mehsoos hota hai ke mazeed tajziyaat ke liye aage ki analysis ki zaroorat hai ke dekhne ke liye ke EURAUD par short jaane ka moqa hai ya nahi. Ek tareeqa jo main consider kar sakta hoon wahi hai ke pehle tor diye gaye support level ke aas paas, ya'ani ke 1.656xx ke qareeb sell moqaon ke talash karoon. Main iss level par rejection ki tasdeeq par tawajjo doonga, jo short position mein dakhil hone ke liye ek taqatwar additional signal ho sakta hai. Magar agar koi rejection ki tasdeeq nahi hoti aur keemat barhti rahti hai, to main short position lenay ki mumkinat ke amkan par ghoor karoon ga jo supply level ke aas paas ho sakta hai jo ke 1.661xx se 1.663xx ke darmiyan ho sakta hai. Main samajhta hoon ke yeh supply level market ke reaction ka natija ho sakta hai price barhne ke baad jo pehle support level todne ke baad hua tha.





Currency pair ne kareeb 100 pips tak neeche chalne mein kamiyab raha. Lekin, ab harkat barhne shuru ho gayi hai jab candle keemat ko 1.6482 tak pohanchi. EURAUD ne apne barhne ko jari nahi rakha jab candle ne demand area ko guzarne mein kamiyab nahi raha. Intehayi maslan, ab mojooda waqt mein EURAUD position 165xx ke qeemat par trade ho rahi hai. Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kiya jaye, to leher ki harkat ke baad, candle ka position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke upar badal gaya hai, jo ke yeh batata hai ke trend barhne ki taraf point kar raha hai. Stochastic indicator bhi yehi keh raha hai ke EURAUD ka barhna muntazir hai kyunke line ka rukh upar ki taraf hai.

Macroeconomic Environment

Eurozone aur Australia ki maeeshati manazir EUR/AUD pair par bohot zyada asar dalte hain. Euro (EUR) ko mukhtalif maeeshati challenges ke bais neeche ki taraf dabaav ka saamna hai, jaise ke dheeli maeeshati growt, bulandi wala mahangai aur European Central Bank (ECB) ki monetary policy ke faislay. ECB ne mahangai ka mukabla karne ke liye interest rates ko barhaya hai, lekin maeeshati growh mein rukawat ya monetary policy mein tabdeeliyon ke nishaan Euro ki taqat par asar daal sakti hai. Agar ECB economic slowdown ke lehaz se rate hikes mein kisi waqfa ya kami ke signals deti hai, to yeh Euro ki kamzori ka sabab ban sakti hai.

Aksar, Australia dollar (AUD) mulk ki maeeshati performance aur commodity prices par asar andaz hota hai, khas tor pe lohay ki surkh ore aur coal, jo Australia ke liye bari exports hain. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne maeeshati growh aur mahangai ko barqarar rakhne ke liye interest rates ka nigrani karna hai. Uski policy stance mein kisi tabdeel hone par AUD par asar parta hai. Is ke ilawa, globally commodity prices mein fluctuation ka bhi ahem kirdar hota hai. Agar commodity prices barhti hain to aam tor pe AUD ko majboot karta hai, jabke kami ise kamzor karta hai.

Siyasi Maamlay

Siyasi waqeeyat currency movements ke liye ahem rehnuma hoti hain, aur EUR/AUD pair iske lihaaz se koi istisna nahi. Eurozone aur Australia ke darmiyan trade relations, siyasi istehkam, aur global maeeshat ka lehaz bherhaalat aik sarbulandi ke razahniyat tak le ja sakti hain. Masaln, Eurozone aur digar bare economies ke darmiyan kisi bhi trade negotiations ya agreements market sentiment aur Euro ki relative strength par asar dal sakte hain. Trade relations mein barteek mein sudhaar investor confidence ko Euro mein barhawa de sakte hain, jabke trade disputes ya protectionist policies ka ulta asar ho sakta hai.

Global siyasi tension jaise ke conflicts ya international trade policies mein tabdeeliyan bhi commodity prices ko mutasir kar sakti hain aur is tarah AUD par bhi asar daal sakti hain. Global markets mein isteqamat aam tor par commodity-linked currencies jaise AUD ko support karta hai, jab ke be-inisrfai aam tor par investors ko Euro jaise safe-haven currencies ki taraf raghib karta hai.

Market Sentiment aur Speculative Activities

Market sentiment aur speculative activities currency movements par bohot zyada asar daal sakti hain. Traders aur investors Eurozone aur Australia se GDP growth, employment rates, inflation data, aur manufacturing output jaisi maeeshati indicators ka tawazon pe rakhte hain taa ke maeeshati sehat ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Eurozone se positive maeeshati data, jaise mazboot employment figures ya robust GDP growth, Euro mein confidence bhar sakte hain, jo shayad bearish trend ko EUR/AUD pair mein ulta karne ka sabab ban sakti hai. Ulta, kamzor data mojooda neeche ki taraf ka trend mazeed barhate waqt barha sakta hai.

Barri maeeshati performance indicators Australia se AUD ko mazeed mazboot kar sakte hain, jo bearish dabaav ko EUR/AUD pair par barqarar rakh sakte hain. Speculative activities, market expectations aur news ke reactions se chalti hain, jo yeh movements ko izafa kar sakti hain. Masaln, agar traders ECB ya RBA ki policies mein tabdeeli ki umeed rakhte hain, to woh apna aap ko mutarif qadr-e-price kar sakte hain, jo ke barri price movements tak le ja sakti hain.

Technical Analysis

Technical analysis future movements ke liye EUR/AUD pair ke mazeed insights faraham karta hai. Haal hi mein, pair aik ahem support level ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh is level ke neeche jaata hai, to yeh bearish trend ka aaghaz ka nishaan ho sakta hai, jo ke mazeed giravat ko le ja sakta hai. Behtar, agar yeh pair is support ke oopar rehta hain aur rebound shuru karta hai, to yeh aik reversal aur mazeed oonchaai ka nishan ho sakta hai.

Traders aksar technical indicators jaise ke moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) ka istemal trend reversals ya continuations ko pehchanne mein karte hain. Masalan, agar RSI yeh dikhata hai ke pair oversold territory mein hai, to yeh suggest karta hai ke rebound jald hi ho sakta hai. Mutaalikah, MACD mein ikhtilaf aik potential bullish reversal ka nishan de sakta hai. In signals ke liye nigaah rakhna traders ko zyada achi decisions lene mein madadgar ho sakti hai.

Woh Possible Triggers Jo Bari Harkaton Ke Liye Zimmedar Ho Sakte Hain

Kuch possible triggers ho sakti hain jo aane wale dino mein EUR/AUD pair mein bari harkaton ko le sakte hain. Ye shamil hain:
1. European Central Bank Announcements: ECB ki policy stance mein kisi naa umeed tabdeeliyan, jaise ke mustaqbil ke rate hikes ya cuts ka ishaara, EUR/AUD pair mein tezi se harkat ko le sakti hain.
2. Reserve Bank of Australia Announcements: Yaks der ya RBA ki policies mein kisi naa umeed tabdeeliyan, mahangai ke dynamics mein tabdeeli ke jawab mein, AUD par bari asar daal sakti hain.
3. Maeeshati Data Releases: Eurozone aur Australia se mukhtalif maeeshati data, jaise GDP, inflation, aur employment reports, investor sentiment par asar daal sakte hain aur market movements ko barha sakte hain.
4. Geopolitical Developments: Siyasi tensions mein izafa ya sulah, khas tor par woh jo major economies ke darmiyan trade relations ko mutasir karti hain, EUR/AUD pair mein izafa shuda volatility ka sabab ban sakte hain.

EUR-AUD Pair Tahlil

Australian CPI ki khabron ka ijaad ne aaj EURaud ko taizi se hilaya. Umeed se zyada data ne aussie dollar ko euro ke khilaf mazeed taqat di. Lagta hai ke Australian mahangai ab bhi buland hai. Iss Asian session mein mera audusd takreeban 75 pips tak gir gaya hai. Is giravat ke natije mein, 1.6079 ke qeemat par support ne neeche ki taraf dabaav dal diya gaya hai.

Support ke dabaav dalne ke bawajood, candle ab tak 1.6045 ke price par demand area se nahi guzra. Agar tab tak jo demand area main keh raha hoon uss se guzra nahi gaya hai, toh main samajhta hoon ke kafi barri izafat ke liye potential hai kyun ke uske sath hi ek shoulder bhi hai jo touch ho gaya hai. Ichmkoku indicator mein kuch khaas hai kyun ke jab interesection hua, toh price turant oopar nahi gaya, balki nicha gaya. Khush kismat se, laal line abhi bhi neela line ke oopar hai, toh izafat ke mouqa abhi tak barqarar hai.





Stochatic indicator se sirf thoda aur baqaya hai aur wo apni kamtari level pe pohnchega jo 20 number pe hai. Humain sirf stochatic lines ka intersection ka intizar karna padega. Isliye, main dosto ko jo is pair mein trade karte hain unse sirf khareedne ki pozishan par tawajjo denay ki salahiyat hai. Aap apna target nearest resistance par rakh sakte hain jo ke 1.6162 ke price par hai.

Dusri indicators ke lehaz se, jaise RSI 14 indicator, mojooda qeemat ne neechay 30% ke asal qeemat ke neeche hai, jo ke 29% qeemat ke darajay mein hai. Is se yeh saabit hota hai ke EURaud pair ki price movement iss subah tak neeche ke trend mein mizaat jaari hain. Isliye agar mustaqbil mein price neeche ki taraf taiz bhi jaa sakta hai, toh mumkin hai ke price mazeed girne ke liye jaari rahe aur main kisi bhi chor pradarshan ki pasand karta hoon jisme yeh Wednesday ko trading kiya jaye take profit ke liye takreeban 1.5960 aur stop loss ke liye 1.6160 aur umeed hai ke aap munafa kam sakte hain.

Analysis of EUR-AUD Pair

Aaj mai EUR-AUD pair ka analysis karunga, jo subah se lekar dopahar tak kaafi choppy movement mein raha, magar raat ko stable tha. Kal, price ne neeche khulna start kiya, lekin buyers ne jaldi hi usay wapas push kar diya, jis se bullish price action Thursday ke support level ke sath align ho gaya. Wahan se dekha gaya ke buyers ka enthusiasm kaafi strong tha. Lekin, New York session ke end tak, price Thursday ke resistance level 1.6101 ko tor nahi paya, aur sirf slightly higher high 1.6095 par banaya.

H1 time frame ke base par, mujhe lagta hai ke price abhi bhi bearish movement ke characteristics dikhata hai. Aur, price H1 time frame Bollinger Bands ke lower band area mein located hai. Bunyadi taur par, jab tak price kal ka resistance level 1.6095 ko breach nahi karta, bearish movement expected hai, aur ye SELL position open karne ka acha mauqa ho sakta hai. Jab ye article likha ja raha tha, ek significant bearish candlestick nazar aya, jo suggest karta hai ke ye SELL position open karne ka ideal moment ho sakta hai. Risk management ke liye, chhoti lot size use karna prudent hoga aur agar price 1.6095 level ko breach kar le, to cutting losses ya hedging essential hoga.

Agar hum ise fundamental perspective se analyze karen, to mujhe lagta hai ke forex market aaj choppy movement experience kar raha hai, khaaskar raat ke waqt. Masla ye hai ke Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell ko U.S. Congress ke prominent members se sawalon ka samna karna hoga. Ye ek routine occurrence hai jo U.S. government ne initiate kiya hai taake Federal Reserve checks aur balances ke sath operate kare, aur public ki expectations ke mutabiq rahe, khaaskar low unemployment ko maintain karna aur inflation ko 2% mark ke aas paas stable rakhna.

Ye aam baat hai ke forex market is period ke dauran reactive ho jata hai. Agar Jerome Powell essential sawalon ka jawab de, to wo aisi information provide kar sakta hai jo forex market ko influence kare, jis se EUR-AUD pair ke price mein volatility aa sakti hai, khaaskar jab uske responses market expectations se deviate karen. Lekin, jab ke recent policy changes ka koi announcement nahi hai, jaise interest rates ka kam karna, is event ka impact price par significantly bullish ya bearish hone ke chances kam hain.

EUR/AUD

Aaj, mai EUR-AUD pair par discuss karun ga, jisme subha se lekar dopahar tak kuch zyada choppi movement dekhne ko mili, lekin raat ke waqt stability thi. Kal, price ne neeche open kiya, jise buyers ne jaldi se wapas push kar diya, jis se bullish price action Thursday ke support level ke saath align ho gaya. Uske baad, dekha gaya ke buyers ki enthusiasm kaafi strong thi. Lekin, New York session ke aakhir tak, price Thursday ke resistance level 1.6101 ko break karne mein nakam rahi, aur sirf thoda upar 1.6095 par higher high bana.

H1 time frame par dekha jaye, toh price ab bhi bearish movement ki characteristics dikha raha hai. Iske ilawa, price H1 time frame Bollinger Bands ke lower band area mein hai. Asal mein, jab tak price kal ke resistance level 1.6095 ko breach nahi karti, bearish movement expect kiya ja sakta hai, aur yeh ek acchi opportunity ho sakti hai SELL position open karne ke liye. Is article ke likhne ke waqt, ek significant bearish candlestick nazar aaya, jo is waqt ko SELL position open karne ka ideal moment bana raha hai. Risk management ke liye, choti lot size use karna prudent hoga, aur yeh yaad rakhe ke agar price 1.6095 level ko breach kar jaye, toh losses cut karna ya hedging zaroori hai.

Agar hum isay fundamental perspective se analyze karein, toh mera khayal hai ke forex market aaj choppi movement experience kar raha hai, khaaskar raat ke waqt. Masla yeh hai ke Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell ko U.S. Congress ke prominent members se sawaal jawab ka samna karna padega. Yeh ek routine hota hai jo U.S. government initiate karti hai, taake Federal Reserve ko checks and balances ke zariye public ke expectations ke saath align kiya ja sake, khaaskar unemployment ko kam rakhne aur inflation ko 2% ke aas-paas stable rakhne ke maamle mein.

Yeh unusual nahi hai ke forex market is period ke dauran reactive ho. Agar Jerome Powell essential questions ko address karte hain, toh wo aisi information de sakte hain jo forex market ko influence kare, jisse EUR-AUD pair mein price volatility aasakti hai, khaaskar jab unke jawab market expectations se alag hote hain. Lekin, jab tak recent policy changes, jaise ke interest rates ko kam karne ka announcement nahi hota, is event ka price par significant bullish ya bearish impact honay ka imkaan kam hai.

EUR-AUD

Daily timeframe ke mutabiq, EUR/AUD higher peaks aur valleys ka silsila bana raha hai. Kal market 0.6539 level par open hui. Trading session ke dauran, yeh 1.6618 high aur 1.6474 low tak pohchi. Kal ka trading range takreeban 144 pips tha. Market ka sentiment bullish hai. Abhi pair daily pivot level ke upar trade kar raha hai. Agle trading sessions mein yeh daily resistance level R1 aur R2 ko hit kar sakta hai. Mere strategy indicators bhi market ki bullish strength ko support karte hain. Kal market ne weekly support level 1.6485 ko hit kiya. RSI4 is level par oversold ho gaya. Weekly support level par bullish engulfing pattern bana. Bullish engulfing pattern ke baad doosri bullish candlesticks bhi banin, jo market ki bullish strength ko confirm karti hain. MACD bullish divergence bhi market ki bullish strength ko support karta hai. Market MA 200 ke upar move kar rahi hai.



Market agle dinon mein upward move karega. Main kuch price actions neeche likh raha hoon. Pair ne double-bottom pattern banaya hai. Yeh EMA-30 ke upar move kar raha hai. Yeh daily pivot level ke upar open hui hai. Price action agle trading sessions mein rise karegi. Aap 0.6590 aur 0.6550 levels ke darmiyan buy order open kar sakte hain. Agar market 1.6490 level ko downside mein break karti hai, to yeh short-term bullish outlook ko invalidate kar degi. Is bullish move ka projected target 1.6698 level par hai. Safe trading ke liye aap apni half positions 1.6630 par close kar sakte hain aur profits ko lock kar sakte hain. Kya aapko yeh analysis informative lagti hai? Agar aap is idea ke baray mein naye updates lena chahte hain, to mere trading journal ko follow karein. Main pichlay das saalon se forex trading mein hoon.

EUR-AUD

Sellers abhi bhi EURAUD market par pressure dalne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Jo price upar jane ki koshish kar rahi thi, wo bhi is subah 1.6784 ke resistance ko break karne mein nakam rahi, aur price wapas se Thursday ke daily open 1.6741 par aa gayi. Jab price market ke opening area par wapas ayi, toh ye sellers ke liye aur zyada pressure dalne ka darwaza ban gayi. Price girti hui apne qareebi support 1.6678 tak pohanch gayi hai aur ab EMA 200 H1 ko test kar rahi hai. Is condition mein, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ne ek downward cross phir se form kiya hai aur abhi tak EMA 200 H1 ke upar hain. Ye indicate karta hai ke price ke negative move karne ke potential abhi bhi maujood hain, lekin phir bhi key role EMA 200 H1 par hai, jo agar seller ke zariye successfully penetrate kar liya jaye, toh bullish trend khatam ho jayegi aur price H1 par apne downtrend period mein chali jayegi. Pehle bhi Wednesday ke trading mein weakening ko EMA ne rok diya tha, lekin price dynamic support H1 par fail kar sakti hai jo price ko dobara apne bullish raaste par le ja sakta hai.

EURAUD H1 Trading Plan:

Price abhi bhi limited range mein move kar rahi hai, aur agla direction abhi clear nahi hai. Lekin H1 time frame par mapping ki gayi hai jo aaj ke EURAUD pair ke market mein entry ke liye reference banayegi. Yahan kuch details hain:

• Plan yeh hai ke support 1.6679 break hone par sell karna hai, aur price EMA 200 H1 ke neeche move kare, aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 downward extend karen. Is situation mein bearish price ka potential 1.6567 area tak hai jo EMA 633 H1 line tak ja sakti hai.
• Ek aur option yeh hai ke agar price 1.6851 area se reject ho jati hai, toh weakening target 1.6797 – 1.6747 hai.
• Buy tab consider kiya jaye ga jab price EMA 200 H1 ke upar move kare, aur EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ke darmiyan upward crossover ho. Agar price 1.6784 ke resistance ko break kar le, toh bullish target 1.6820 - 1.6853 se 1.6931 tak ho sakta hai.
• Buy pullback ka plan tab banayenge jab price 1.6454 area se reject ho, aur bullish potential real-time EMA 36 H1 position par tayar ho.
• Stop loss adjust kiya jayega, order area se 15 to 20 pips door.

Analysis of the EUR/AUD Currency Pair

Abhi EUR/AUD currency pair 1.6649 pe trade kar rahi hai, jo ke bearish trend dikhata hai. Market movements filhal dheemi hain, jo shayad consolidation ya kam volatility ka ishara hain. Magar, mera khayal hai ke qareebi future mein kuch ahem factors ki wajah se significant activity aa sakti hai.

Economic Conditions

Ye bearish trend Eurozone aur Australia ke current economic conditions ko reflect kar sakta hai. Euro (EUR) ko mukhtalif factors affect karte hain, jaise ke economic performance, central bank policies, aur Eurozone ki political stability. Iske bar’aks, Australian Dollar (AUD) global economic conditions, commodity prices, aur trade relations se mutasir hota hai, khaaskar China ke sath, jo ke Australia ka sabse bara trading partner hai. Ye tamam factors mil kar exchange rates mein fluctuations ka sabab bante hain, jo ke economic data, central bank policies, aur geopolitical developments par mabni hoti hain.

Monetary Policy Decisions

European Central Bank (ECB) aur Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki monetary policy decisions bhi EUR/AUD pair mein significant movement ka sabab ban sakti hain. ECB filhal inflation ko control karne aur Eurozone economy ko stabilize karne ke liye measures le raha hai, jabke RBA apni accommodative stance barqarar rakhe hue hai taake economic growth ko support diya ja sake. Agar in policies mein kisi bhi tara ka change aa gaya, toh exchange rate mein bohot bara fluctuation aa sakta hai.

Global Economic Conditions

Global economic conditions bhi bohot ahmiyat rakhti hain. GDP growth rates, employment figures, inflation data, aur trade balances jaise indicators traders ke liye Eurozone aur Australia ke hawale se intehai ahm hain. Misal ke taur par, agar Australia se economic data expectations se behtar aaye, toh AUD mazid strong ho sakta hai, jisse EUR/AUD pair niche ja sakta hai. Iske bar’aks, agar Eurozone mein economic performance gir jaye, toh EUR weak ho sakta hai aur pair niche ja sakta hai.

Commodity Prices

Commodity prices AUD ke liye khaas taur par important hain, kyunke Australia iron ore, coal, aur gold jese goods ka bara exporter hai. Commodity prices mein tabdeeliyan AUD ki value ko significant tor par affect kar sakti hain. Aam tor par, rising commodity prices AUD ko boost karte hain, jabke declines isay weaken kar sakte hain. Is liye traders global commodity market trends ko closely dekhte hain taake EUR/AUD pair ki movements ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Geopolitical Events

Geopolitical events bhi market sentiment ko bohot affect karte hain. Political stability, trade negotiations, aur international conflicts jaise factors ka seedha asar parhta hai. Misal ke tor par, agar bade economies ke darmiyan tensions barh jayein ya geopolitical conflicts escalate ho jayein, toh safe-haven currencies jese ke EUR ki demand barh sakti hai. Iske bar’aks, agar global trade relations mein positive developments hoon, toh AUD mazid strong ho sakta hai. In events par market ka reaction EUR/AUD exchange rate mein abrupt movements ka sabab ban sakta hai.

EUR/AUD

Forex Market Analysis: EURAUD Pair Insights

Market Activity Overview (Wednesday)

Wednesday ko Forex market mein kafi notable activity dekhi gayi, aur iski wajah kuch economic news reports thi. Sab se aham development UK ke inflation rate mein achanak izafa tha. Pehle is ka andaza 1.9% lagaya gaya tha, lekin yeh rate qareeb 2% tak barh gaya. Is izafay ki wajah se GBPUSD pair mein mazboot upward movement dekhne ko mili, jis ne subah ke waqt kayi currency pairs ko, including EURAUD, par asar dala.

Technical Analysis of the EURAUD Pair

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to EURAUD pair ne Wednesday ko ek strong upward trend dikhaya. H1 timeframe ka jaiza lene par yeh baat samne aati hai ke dopahar ke baad har candlestick ne naye highs aur higher lows establish kiye. Yeh pattern is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke buyers ne lagataar prices ko upar push kiya, jo ke trading day ke end tak 1.6262 ka final higher high bana.

Impact of Australian Employment Data

Magar kuch ghanton baad, Australia ne apna employment change data release kiya, jo ke expectations se zyada behtar raha. Is outperformance ka matlab yeh hai ke kai companies apni job vacancies mein izafa kar rahi hain, jo yeh dikhata hai ke zyada logon ko naukri mil rahi hai. Agar yeh trend barqaraar rehti hai, to zyada Australians ke paas disposable income hogi, jo inflation rate mein izafa kar sakti hai, magar yeh tab hoga agar unemployed afrad ki tadaad mein khas izafa na ho.

Market Outlook for the EURAUD Pair

Haal hi ke economic data ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke EURAUD pair agle kuch dino mein downward trend experience kar sakta hai. ECB aur RBA ke interest rates ke alignment ki wajah se, EURAUD pair aksar ek wide range mein sideways trade karta hai. Magar Australia ke labor market ki strong performance ek strong reason hai ke bade investors Australian investments ko European Union ke investments par tarjeeh dein. Is liye, ek SELL position lena ek prudent strategy ho sakti hai.

Upcoming ECB Interest Rate Announcement

ECB ke interest rate policy ka announcement jo ke aaj raat hone wala hai, us par nazar rakhna zaroori hai. Yeh announcement EURAUD pair mein kafi zyada volatility ka sabab ban sakti hai. Haal ke insights ke mutabiq lagta hai ke ECB apna interest rate 4.25% par barqaraar rakhega, jo ke EURAUD pair ke ongoing bearish trend ko sustain kar sakta hai. Is liye, ek SELL position kholne ka strong justification hai.

Jo traders is event se pehle position lena chahte hain, unke liye afternoon mein trades execute karna ek aqalmandi bhara step ho sakta hai. Magar risk management ko tarjeeh dena zaroori hai; excessively large lot sizes se bachna chahiye kyunki price movements ke direction ke bare mein koi guarantee nahi hai.

EUR-AUD

Forex Market Analysis: EURAUD Pair Par Insights

Market Activity Overview on Wednesday

Forex market Wednesday ko kaafi active raha, mukhtalif economic news reports ke zariye. Ek aham development ye thi ke UK ka inflation rate jo ke initially 1.9% estimate kiya gaya tha, wo 2% ke qareeb chala gaya. Is increase ne GBPUSD pair mein substantial upward movement di, jo subah ke waqt EURAUD pair aur dusre currency pairs par bhi asar daal raha tha.

Technical Analysis of EURAUD Pair

Technical standpoint se, EURAUD pair ne Wednesday ko strong upward trend dikhaya. H1 timeframe ka ghor se dekhne par, har candlestick jo dopahar ke baad ban rahi thi, nai highs aur higher lows establish kar rahi thi. Yeh pattern strong buying activity ko indicate karta hai, jahan buyers ne prices ko steadily upar push kiya, aur din ke aakhir mein 1.6262 ka final higher high banaya.

Australian Employment Data Ka Asar

Lekin, kuch ghanton pehle Australia ne apna employment change data publish kiya jo ke expectations se kaafi behtar tha. Yeh outperformance yeh suggest karta hai ke zyada companies apne job vacancies ko expand kar rahi hain, jo zyada individuals ko work mil raha hai. Agar yeh trend continue hota hai, to zyada Australians ke paas disposable income hoga, jo inflation rates ko upar le ja sakta hai agar unemployed individuals ka number significantly increase na ho.

Market Outlook for EURAUD Pair

Maujooda economic data ke madde nazar, lagta hai ke EURAUD pair agle dino mein niche ki taraf trend kar sakta hai. European Central Bank (ECB) aur Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke interest rates relatively aligned hain, isliye EURAUD pair aam tor par broad range mein sideways trade kar sakta hai. Lekin, Australia ke labor market ki strong performance significant investors ko Europe ki bajaye Australia mein invest karne ke liye compel kar sakti hai. Isliye, SELL position lena ek prudent strategy sabit ho sakti hai.

Upcoming ECB Interest Rate Announcement

ECB ka interest rate policy announcement jo aaj raat ke liye scheduled hai, yeh EURAUD pair mein considerable volatility la sakta hai. Maujooda insights ke hisaab se, mujhe lagta hai ke ECB apna interest rate 4.25% par maintain karega, jo EURAUD pair ke bearish trend ko continue karne mein contribute kar sakta hai. Isliye, SELL position kholna ek strong justification hai.

Agar traders apni position ahead of time le kar chalna chahte hain, to aaj dopahar mein trades execute karna wise ho sakta hai. Lekin, risk management ko priority dena zaroori hai; large lot sizes se bachna advisable hai, kyunki price movement ki direction ke bare mein koi guarantee nahi hai.