aud/usd

AUD/USD ka Price Action ka Kirdar:

Hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price movements ka live analysis kar rahe hain. AUD/USD pair ke liye daily chart medium term mein achi potential dikha raha hai. Humne August 4 ke close ke baad ek perfect pin bar formation dekha, jiske baad ek halka sa correction hua aur 134-point ka jump significant MA tak hua. Maine screen par isko visual represent kiya, jo traders ke liye ideal technical support show kar raha hai. Dekhte hain ke yeh events kaise unfold hote hain; kal hum 0.6604 tak barhne mein kamiyab rahe, jiske baad ek corrective decline shuru ho gaya. Agla qadam kya hoga? Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq target abhi bhi 61.7 hai, jo 0.624 ke barabar hai, spread considerations ko chhod kar. Technological alignment fundamentals ke sath hai; agle haftay ke economic calendar mein kuch ahem three-star news hain.



Current AUD/USD currency pair ki situation buyers ki dominance show kar rahi hai order book mein. Kul mila kar, is pair mein downward movement ki strong potential hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ke buyers ka concentration 0.6594 level ke aas paas hai. Mera trading strategy short positions consider karne par focus karti hai 0.6594 se, initial profit target 0.6494 par rakhte hue aur stop loss 0.6619 par set karte hue. Agar price 0.6619 ke upar stabilise ho jati hai, to alternate scenarios ho sakti hain. Pichlay trading week mein AUD/USD pair ke quotes mein izafa dekhne ko mila, price ne four-hour interval mein cloud ke upar break kiya aur 0.6561 cross kiya, jahan ab yeh retrace kar rahi hai, jaise ke expected tha. Pair Kijun-sen line ke upar trade kar raha hai, aur Chikou-span line price chart ke upar position mein hai aur golden cross active stance mein hai. Bollinger bands upwards trend kar rahe hain, relative strength index 49 ke upar hai, aur trend filter oscillator green hai, jo growing bullish strength ko indicate kar raha hai. Upar ki taraf movement ka potential abhi bhi maujood hai.

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook: Technical Analysis aur Market Trends
Nayi haftay ki shuruat ke sath, AUD/USD pair daily chart par ek notable technical scenario dikha raha hai. Price ne 0.6577 par key horizontal resistance level ke upar apni position establish kar li hai. Is level ke niche price ko wapas push karne ki koshishen ab tak unsuccessful rahi hain, jo market mein bullish sentiment ka izhaar karti hain.

Fibonacci retracement jo recent downward move par lagayi gayi thi, dikhati hai ke price ne pehle 61.8% retracement level par pause kiya. Lekin, ye level breach ho gaya, jo US dollar ki broad weakening ko indicate karta hai. Ab price ne 0.6695 par ek significant technical resistance level tak pahuncha hai, jo hamari expectations ke mutabiq hai.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI ab overbought zone ke qareeb hai, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke current bullish phase shayad apni taqat khatam kar raha hai. Ye signal hai ke jabke price thodi aur upar chal sakti hai, lekin further gains ka potential limited ho sakta hai, khas kar CCI ke overbought conditions ko dekhte hue.

Is context ko dekhte hue, jabke 0.6695 level tak thodi upar ki movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, ye zaroori hai ke uske baad ek potential corrective pullback anticipate kiya jaye. Agla support level jo dekhna hai wo 0.6632 hai, jo previous candles ke closing prices se derived hai. Ye level critical point of support ban sakta hai aur is taraf correction hona mumkin hai.

Jab price 0.6695 level ke qareeb pahunche, to choti timeframes, jaise M15 chart, par potential selling opportunities ko observe karna behtar rahega. Reversal pattern dekhne ki koshish karein jahan support level resistance ban sakta hai, jo downward move ke liye signal provide karega, towards the 0.6632 support level.

Corrective move ke expectation ko reinforce karta hai ke aaj koi significant economic news nahi hai, isliye immediate fundamental drivers corrective decline ko rokne ke liye nahi hain. Dusri major currency pairs bhi critical levels par pahunch chuki hain aur downward correction ke liye poised hain, jo broader market pullback ki likelihood ko aur support karti hai.

Summary mein, AUD/USD pair ne strong performance dikhayi hai by moving above the key resistance level at 0.6577 aur naya technical resistance level 0.6695 tak pahuncha hai. Lekin, CCI ke overbought conditions aur koi major news events na hone ke bawajood, 0.6632 support level ki taraf corrective pullback ki umeed hai. Traders ko 0.6695 ke qareeb potential selling opportunities ko monitor karna chahiye, khas kar choti timeframes par, aur further bullish positions consider karne se pehle ek possible retracement ke liye prepare rehna chahiye.

#Australian Dollar versus US Dollar

Sab logon ke liye main achi mood ki dua karta hoon! Daily chart par linear regression channel ka slope barh gaya hai. Mere liye, yeh is baat ka sign hai ke market mei ek strong buyer hai jo sellers par pressure daal raha hai, aur buy karne ke liye space maujood hai. Ho sakta hai ke mein ghalat hoon, magar sales ko dekhte hue, mere case mein, yeh market ke against ja rahi hain, jo ke significant losses ki wajah ban sakti hain. Isliye, trend ke sath buy positions mein enter karna better hoga. Stop order set karke, aap apne losses ko limit kar sakte hain agar market movement trading plan ke against jati hai, aur stop order entry point 0.67046 se upar nahi hona chahiye. Mere case mei, mein intezar karunga ke price channel ke neeche gir kar 0.67046 level tak aaye. Isliye, mein buy karne ka entry point dhoondunga taake upper target 0.67472 tak pohanch sakoon. Channel ke upper edge se sell karna expected hai. Purchases karne se pehle aapko intezar karna chahiye jab tak correction form na ho.

Daily chart par linear regression channel north ki taraf ja raha hai. D1 channel bhi usi direction mein hai. Do channels ke saath disagreement ke baghair move hone se is instrument ki upside ko highlight karta hai. Mere liye, purchases abhi zaroori hain. Channel ke neeche ke hisse se level 0.66669 ke qareeb mein entry point consider kar raha hoon. Market ko 0.67354 tak rise karna chahiye - yeh channel ka upper limit hai, jahan market mei slowdown hoga. Agar market upper border ke qareeb der tak rahta hai, to hum channel ke neeche wale hisson tak girawat expect karenge. Mein neeche wali movement ko skip karunga baghair sales mei enter kiye. Sales trend ke against ja rahi hain, aur agar decline nahi hota, to growth continue karegi. Isliye, mein pullback se market mei enter hone ka method use karta hoon. Mere khayal mein yeh method ek powerful player ke sath implement hoga jo growth laega aur bears ko tor dega. Iss case mein top scroll kai martaba barh jata hai.

AUD/USD currency pair abhi bhi aik barqarar downward trend dikha raha hai. MACD indicator par ghor karne se bearish divergence aur aik reversal figure, khaaskar ek ascending wedge, samne aayi hai. Haal hi mein ek zabardast price girawat dekhne ko mili, jahan US dollar apni taqat dikha raha tha. Iss girawat ke dauran, ascending support line, jo ke peechle waves ke bottoms par banayi gayi thi, toot gayi, aur iss saal ka sabse neechay ka point jo 2024 mein update hua tha, usay breach kiya gaya. Lekin market ne jaldi se recovery ki, aur prices rebound hote hue pichlay din ki girawat ka kaafi hissa wapas le aayi. Iss se ek false breakout bana, jo ke growth formation ke sath aya. Wave structure abhi bhi zyada downward lagta hai, aur MACD indicator sales zone mein neeche ki taraf hai, apni signal line ke neeche girta hua.
Indicators aur Market Sentiment


Downward indicators ke bawajood, ek aur indicator, CCI par ek bullish divergence signal dekhne ko milta hai. Ye poora reversal ki guarantee nahi deta, lekin phir bhi ek upward move ka ishara karta hai, jo ke resistance level 0.6577 tak jaa sakta hai. Main filhal aur neeche girawat ki tawaqo nahi kar raha hoon. Kal ke daily candle ne aik khas hammer ya pin bar formation ke sath close kiya, jo ke ek potential reversal ko zahir karta hai.

Lekin, growth thori questionable hai, kyun ke allied pairs, jaise ke EUR/USD aur GBP/USD, AUD/USD par downward pressure apply kar rahe hain. Agar ye pairs bhi barh rahe hote, to buying ke liye zyada confidence hota. Filhal ye pairs gir rahe hain, jo ke AUD/USD pair ki growth ko challenge de rahe hain. Mera andaza hai ke sellers aur buyers, dono ke moqay balanced hain, aur traders dono directions mein kaam kar sakte hain jab ke short-term periods mein corresponding formations samne aati hain.
Economic Calendar aur Market News


Aaj ke economic calendar mein koi khaas news nahi hai, jiski wajah se traders apni techniques ke mutabiq kaam kar sakte hain, bina kisi unexpected movements ka khatra uthaye. AUD/USD se mutaliq news data ka tajziya karna zaroori hai. Economic indicators, geopolitical developments, aur doosri relevant news, currency pair ke movement par kaafi asar dal sakti hain, jo ke bullish trends ko mazid mazboot kar sakti hain ya naye challenges paida kar sakti hain. News updates ko dekhte hue, buyers market shifts ka faida utha sakte hain aur risk ko kam kar sakte hain.
Future Market Outlook


Mujhe umeed hai ke aane walay dinon mein market buyers ke liye favorable rahega. Haal hi mein uptick aur short-term gains ek mazboot strategy pesh karte hain, jisme traders pichlay maheenay ke losses recover kar sakte hain. Main tawaqo karta hoon ke aanewale data iss recovery process mein aik aham kirdar ada karega, jo ke buyers ko peechlay setbacks ko overcome karne ke liye zaroori momentum dega.

Jese hamesha, ye zaroori hai ke hamesha hoshiyar aur adaptable rahein, aur strategies ko naye maloomat ke mutabiq adjust karte rahen. Overall, current market environment AUD/USD buyers ke liye aik promising moqa paish kar raha hai, agar ek mohtaat tajziya aur strategic planning approach apnayi jaye.

AUD/USD: Key Patterns aur Signals

Bonus update sir Aviz Monday ke liye zaroori hai. Aaye baat karte hain AUD/USD currency pair ki price kis tarah se behave kar rahi hai aur is se kya analysis nikal sakta hai. Yeh lagta hai ke market mein enter karna theek hai aur buying positions pe focus karna chahiye. Price ab bullish trend ko indicate kar rahi hai. Pichle din ke doosray hisson mein, pair apni opening price se upar trade karta raha aur din ka closure bhi us level ke upar hua. Price ne upper Bollinger Band ko bhi break kar diya hai, jo aur zyada bullish outlook ko support karta hai aur yeh suggest karta hai ke upward movement ka high probability hai.

Main jab trade karta hoon to RSI indicator ko priority deta hoon, lekin jab yeh overbought (69 se upar) ya oversold (29 se neeche) hota hai, to trades avoid karta hoon. Ab mujhe AUD/USD pair ke liye zyada acha selling opportunity nazar aa raha hai. Priority ab short positions kholne ki hai. Magar zaroori hai ke abhi ke price pe enter na kiya jaye, balki pending orders set karein taake best entry mil sake.

Technical analysis ke lehaz se, AUD/USD pair 0.6945 ke ek important resistance level ke neeche trade kar raha hai, jo ab buyers ke liye ek bohot ahem threshold ban gaya hai. Yeh highlight karta hai ke bulls ko price ko upar le jane mein struggle ho rahi hai. 35-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) bhi bullish sentiment ko support kar raha hai, aur price ko is moving average ke upar rakh raha hai. Lekin momentum indicators, jaise ke Stochastic aur Commodity Channel Index (CCI), ab overbought territory ke qareeb hain, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke bullish momentum thak chuki hai.

Teen tops jo resistance line ke qareeb form ho rahe hain, yeh reinforce karta hai ke buyers apni strength kho rahe hain, aur price ko is level se break karna mushkil hota ja raha hai. Agar broader view dekha jaye to AUD/USD pair ek narrow range mein trade kar raha hai, jo ek breakout ke liye anticipation barha raha hai. Traders ko significant price movement ke liye ready rehna chahiye, chahe woh kis bhi direction mein ho. Agar 0.6945 ke upar ek decisive break hota hai, to yeh bullish trend ke continuation ko signal karega. Magar agar price 34-day EMA ke neeche girti hai, to yeh bearish shift ko indicate karega.

Summary mein, fundamental aur technical factors ka combination yeh suggest karta hai ke jabke AUD ko strong retail data aur hawkish RBA se support mil raha hai, technical indicators caution ka ishara dete hain kyun ke resistance levels ab saamne hain. Traders ke liye yeh zaroori hai ke dono economic signals aur price movements ko nazar mein rakhein taake informed trading decisions liye ja sakein AUD/USD currency pair mein.

AUD/USD ka price behavior aur analysis ke hawale se baat karte hain. Yeh lagta hai ke market mein entry ka waqt theek hai, aur buying positions par focus karna chahiye. Price ek bullish trend ko indicate kar rahi hai. Guzishta din ke dosray hisson mein, pair apni opening price se upar trade kar rahi thi aur din ka closure bhi us se upar hua. Price ne upper Bollinger Band ko bhi break kiya, jo ek bullish outlook ko mazeed support karta hai aur ye batata hai ke upward movement ke barhane ke imkaanat zyada hain. Main jab trading karta hoon toh RSI indicator ko prioritize karta hoon, aur jab yeh overbought (69 se upar) ya oversold (29 se neeche) signals de raha hota hai toh trades se gurez karta hoon. Abhi mujhe AUD/USD pair ke liye zyada behtareen selling opportunities nazar aa rahi hain. Pehle short positions open karna zaroori hai, lekin abhi current price par entry na karen, balkay ek acha entry point hasil karne ke liye pending orders set karna behtar hoga.

Technical analysis ke hawale se dekha jaye, toh AUD/USD pair ek important resistance level 0.6945 ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ke buyers ke liye ab ek ahem threshold ban chuka hai. Yeh dekhne ko mil raha hai ke bulls ke liye price ko upar le jana mushkil ho raha hai. 35-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) kaafi important role ada kar raha hai bullish sentiment ko support karne mein, aur price ko is moving average ke upar qaim rakha hua hai. Lekin momentum indicators, jaise ke Stochastic aur Commodity Channel Index (CCI), overbought territory ke qareeb hain, jo yeh batata hai ke bullish momentum ab kamzor par raha hai. Resistance line ke qareeb teen tops ka ban-na yeh notion ko mazeed barhata hai ke buyers apni taqat kho rahe hain, aur is level ko break karna mushkil hota ja raha hai.

Ek broader view se dekha jaye toh AUD/USD pair ek narrow range mein trade kar rahi hai, jo ek breakout ke liye intezar ka signal de raha hai. Traders ko significant price movement ke liye tayar rehna chahiye jo kisi bhi direction mein ho sakti hai. Agar price 0.6945 ke upar se break kar jaati hai toh yeh bullish trend ke continuation ka signal hoga, jab ke agar 34-day EMA ke neeche move hoti hai toh bearish shift ka imkaan hai.

Khulasay ke tor par, fundamental aur technical factors ka combination yeh batata hai ke jab ke AUD ko strong retail data aur ek hawkish RBA se support mil raha hai, technical indicators yeh batate hain ke resistance levels ke qareeb kuch ehtiyaat zaroori hai. In developments par nazar rakhna aur economic signals ke sath price movements ko dekhna AUD/USD currency pair mein informed trading decisions ke liye ahem hoga.

**H4 Period Chart**
AUD/USD currency pair ki structure abhi bhi thrusting order mein hai, lekin MACD index pehle se lower deals zone mein hai aur apni signal line ke neeche hai. Jab price itni zyada nahi girti, tab maine kaha tha ke qareeb mein ek girawat ka intezaar hai. Yeh MACD index par bearish divergence aur chart par ek reversal figure, yani thrusting wedge, ki maujoodgi se zahir hota hai, jo ke pehle hi toot chuka hai. Bechne ke signals ki tasdiq 0.6908 ke position ke neeche price connection se mili. Bechne ka behtareen point wahi tha jab yeh niche se resistance ke tor par test kiya gaya, kyunki yeh growth ke edge par ek glass image ban gaya. Mukhtasir yeh ke sab kuch achhe se kaam kiya, jo ke pichle hafte mein US dollar ki overall taqat se asan hua. Hum ne neeche ki taraf gaya, phir US se aayi khabron tak intezaar kiya.

US ki non-agricultural sector mein naukriyon ki tadaad ne behad behtar rukh ikhtiyar kiya hai. Iske ilawa, indicators ke mutabiq, average hourly pay envelope barh gaya hai aur severance rate ghat gaya hai. Mujhe nahi pata ke log is data par kitna bharosa kar sakte hain, lekin baat yeh hai ke American ne is khabron par dusri major world currencies ke muqablay mein tezi se taqatwar hone ka jawab diya. Ab price purani daily swells ke bottoms par banayi gayi thrusting support line tak pahunch gayi hai. Saath hi, CCI index lower overheating zone se upar jaana chahta hai aur is par ek choti bullish divergence nazar aati hai. Is purani line par adharit, yeh ek achha signal hai aur zyada mumkin hai ke ek thrusting correction hoga, kam se kam 0.6837 ke resistance position tak, shayad is se bhi upar.

---

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook**
Yeh brace is waqt critical support situations ko test kar raha hai, jahan immediate tawajju 11-month low 0.6791 par hai. Agar yeh isse neeche girta hai, to agla support position thrusting channel ki lower boundary ke aas paas 0.6750 par hai. Is point par breach hone se brace ko gehre lows tak explore karne ka mauqa mil sakta hai, jo ke descending channel ki upper boundary ke aas paas 0.6740 mark ko target kar sakta hai.

Bearish trend ke bawajood, 14-day Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) abhi tak 70 mark ke neeche hai, jo yeh zahir karta hai ke brace abhi tak overbought home mein nahi hai. Yeh short-term mein mazeed faida uthane ki sambhavana ko support karta hai, halan ke downside pitfalls ab bhi maujood hain. Agar brace abhi ke support situations ke upar rehta hai, to ek reversal ho sakta hai, jisme AUD/USD apne recent losses ka kuch hissa wapas le sakta hai.

Australian Dollar (AUD) ko is waqt kaafi challenges ka samna hai, aur AUD/USD pair aik ahem resistance level 0.6850 ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. Market ka dhyan filhal aanay wale US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data par hai, jo US economy ki sehat ke bare mein important maloomat faraham karega aur Federal Reserve ki monetary policy par bhi asar dalega. Middle East mein barhti hui tensions, khas tor par Israel aur Iran ke darmiyan, global markets mein aur zyada uncertainty paida kar rahi hain. Oil ki qeematon mein izafa ho raha hai, jis ki wajah se risk-on currencies, jese ke Australian dollar, dabao mein hain kyun ke oil import karne wali economies mein foreign capital ka outflow barh raha hai.

US Dollar Index (DXY) mukarrar tor par stable hai, jo in halaat mein safe-haven currency ke tor par US dollar ki appeal ko reflect karta hai. NFP report se ummed hai ke pichlay mahine ke muqablay mein job growth mein thori kami aaye, lekin economists yeh tasavur karte hain ke unemployment rate barabar rahega. Saath hi, market mein average hourly earnings data ka bhi ghor se mutalia hoga, jo ke wage growth aur consumer spending ka ahem indicator hai.

Asia-Pacific region mein, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki September monetary policy meeting ke minutes bhi Australian dollar ke liye mazeed context faraham karenge. RBA ne apni interest rates ko 4.35% par barqarar rakha hai aur yeh ishara diya hai ke filhal rates mazeed barhane ka irada nahi.

Technically dekhain to, AUD/USD pair ko 20-mahine ke high par resistance ka samna hai aur ab yeh downward correction ki taraf aata nazar aa raha hai. Technical indicators, jese ke Stochastic aur Relative Strength Index (RSI), aik potential bearish trend ko suggest kar rahe hain. Agar selling pressure barhta hai, to yeh pair aur zyada decline kar sakta hai, jo ke 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ko challenge kar sakta hai.

Mukhtasir mein, Australian dollar ko filhal aik mushkil environment ka samna hai. Geopolitical tensions, US economic data, aur technical factors, yeh sab AUD/USD ki volatility mein apna hissa daal rahe hain. Aanay wali NFP report AUD/USD pair ke liye ahem event hogi, aur traders iske asrat ko market sentiment aur interest rate outlook par ghor se dekhain ge.

**AUD/USD Currency Pair Ka Jaiza**

Hamari guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ke price action ka jaiza lene par markazit hogi. Jumme ko, Australian dollar ne us trend ko ulatne ki koshish ki jo pehle se chala aa raha tha. Budhwar tak, market ne long-term upward momentum dikhaya. Lekin, price ne budhwar ko 1/2 margin zone ke neeche band kiya, jis se Thursday par trend bearish ho gaya. Lekin agle din, price ne dobara 1/2 margin zone ke upar band kiya, jo ek potential trend reversal ka signal tha, agar price kal sell zone mein nahi girta.

Jumme ko ek options contract bhi expire hua, jismein price call levels ke upar rahi agle Monday ke liye. Expiry ke doran price neeche ja sakti hai taake debt expiration level ko nahi choote. Is waqt Aussie ke paas aisi ek debt hai, jo Monday ko hui jab price apne calls ke upar expire hua. Naye Monday option ke liye comfort zone ab is waqt ke zone se kaafi upar hoga, jo aage aur growth ki sambhavana darshata hai, jabke calls resistance ceiling ke tor par kaam karte hain.

### D1 Chart Par Jaiza

Ab chaliye D1 chart par AUD/USD currency pair ko examine karte hain. Pichle hafte, price apni upward movement ko jaari rakhta raha, lekin US dollar har jagah kamzor hota gaya, sirf Australian dollar ke khilaf nahi. Koshish ki gayi ke price ko neeche push kiya jaye, lekin yeh koshish chand lamho tak rahi, kyunki Friday ko crucial US news thi. Isme US Federal Reserve ke Chairman Jerome Powell ka speech aur new home sales data shamil tha. Is news ke baad, price sharply surge hui, aur descending trend line jo older waves ke peaks se draw ki gayi thi, usko tor diya.

Ab price resistance level 0.6799 par ruk gayi hai, jo ke ek significant level hai apne round number ki wajah se. Yeh price is level ko paar kar sakti hai, lekin filhal aage badhna mushkil lag raha hai kyunki upward wave already extend ho chuki hai aur ab correction overdue hai. Iske ilawa, CCI indicator upper overbought zone mein bend ho raha hai aur exit karne ke liye tayaar lag raha hai.

Aaj ke din, yeh lagta hai ke market mein koi khaas excitement nahi hai, aur price ek indecision candle bana raha hai jisme thoda bearish bias hai. Filhaal is instrument ke hawalay se mujhe kuch khaas dilchasp nahi lag raha. Mera andaza hai ke sellers aaj phir se support level 0.66347 ko retest karne ki koshish karenge.
Possible Scenarios
Scenario 1: Bullish Reversal

Pehla scenario yeh hai ke agar support level ke qareeb koi reversal candle banti hai, tou price mein ek upward movement aasakti hai. Agar yeh scenario samnay aata hai, tou main intizaar karunga ke price resistance level 0.67289 tak pahunch jaye. Agar price is resistance level ke upar close hoti hai, tou main expect karunga ke aage mazeed upward movement ho, jo agla resistance level 0.68711 tak jaa sakti hai.

Is upper resistance level par main trading setup ka intezar karunga, jo agle trading direction ka pata de sake. Yeh zaroori hai ke jab price upar ki taraf move kare, toh southern pullbacks bhi dekhne ko mil sakte hain. Main in pullbacks ko nearby support levels par bullish signals ke liye dekhoonga, umeed hai ke price wapas upward movement karegi aur bullish trend form karegi.

Scenario 2: Bearish Continuation

Dusra scenario yeh hai ke price support level 0.66347 ke neeche consolidate kare aur is support ko test karne ke baad southward movement jaari rakhe. Agar yeh scenario hota hai, tou main expect karunga ke price support level 0.65794 ya phir 0.65580 tak neeche jaye. In support levels ke qareeb main bullish signals ki talash karunga, is umeed ke saath ke upward movement wapas start ho jaye.

Long-Term Outlook
Lambi muddat ke hawalay se, mazeed southern targets bhi ho sakte hain, lekin abhi main in targets ko consider nahi kar raha kyun ke unka jaldi realization ka imkaan filhaal nazar nahi aa raha. Khulasa yeh hai ke aaj ka din local market ke liye kuch khaas dilchasp nahi lag raha. Magar overall main global northward movement ka intezar kar raha hoon, is liye main nearby support levels ke qareeb bullish signals ko dhoondhne par focus karoonga.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

Halankeh daily range choti hai, lekin key pairs mein price swings ab bhi bohot turbulent hain. AUD/USD ne Tuesday ko apne daily period mein ek bullish candle banai. Hal hi mein jo range bani hai, us ne 110 pip ko cross kiya hai, jo ye darshata hai ke strong buyers ab bhi control mein hain. Maujooda price movement ke trend ke mutabiq, price ka phir se barhne ka imkaan ab bhi zyada hai. Europe mein chal rahe jang ke madde nazar, haven assets ki bhi talash ki ja sakti hai.

H1 time frame dikhata hai ke price ab bhi bullish hai. Agar ye upper trend line ko break karne mein kaamiyab hota hai jo ke resistance limit hai, toh ye AUD/USD ko phir se upar le ja sakta hai. Jab ye hota hai, toh AUD/USD market mein entry-buy ke liye acha mauka mil sakta hai. Is waqt buyers AUD/USD market par dominate kar rahe hain.




H4 time frame mein, price ne 0.6780 ke resistance level ko break kar liya hai. Iska natija ye hai ke higher prices ka bullish indication hai. Agar resistance level ka successful breakout hota hai, toh AUD/USD phir se 0.6885 ko next bullish target bana sakta hai. Yeh sambhavna hai ke AUD/USD aane wale dinon ya hafton mein seller ke red box se marked resistance area ko test kar sake. Behtareen action yeh hai ke European session mein aane wale waqt buy entry signal ki talash karein.

Mujhe ummed hai ke aap sab khair maqdam hain. Guzishta dekhte hue, yeh zahir tha ke aapko euro-dollars ka pair 0.6810 par kharidna tha. Is wajah se, main ek aur zyada substantial level ka intezar kar raha tha, jo ke thoda neeche 0.6770 par hai. Main hamesha stop se kharidne ka aadi hoon. Misal ke taur par, agar agla strong level 160 points hai, toh mera stop 50 se zyada nahi hona chahiye.

Australian Dollar (AUD) ki Taqat aur USD ke Khilaf Iski Behtari

Australian Dollar (AUD) ne US Dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein taqat hasil ki hai, jiske piche kuch aham wajahain hain. Ek badi wajah China ke central bank, People's Bank of China (PBoC), ka apne banking system mein liquidity inject karna hai. Australia aur China ke darmiyan qareeb trade rishte hone ki wajah se, China ki economy mein koi bhi taraqqi Australian markets par gehra asar dal sakti hai. Haal hi mein, PBoC ne 14 din ke reverse repos ke zariye CNY 74.5 billion inject kiye, jisse rate 1.95% se 1.85% tak gira diya gaya. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne 7 din ke reverse repos ke zariye CNY 160.1 billion bhi inject kiye, jahan rate 1.7% par stable hai.

AUD ki taqat ka ek aur sabab Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke agle interest rate ka faisla hai, jo ke Tuesday ko hone wala hai. Yeh umeed ki ja rahi hai ke RBA apna Official Cash Rate (OCR) 4.35% par barqarar rakhega, kyunki Australia ka labor market mazboot hai aur inflation ka dauraan chal raha hai. Dusri taraf, US Dollar (USD) par niche ki taraf pressure ban sakta hai kyunki Federal Reserve ke 2024 mein mazeed rate cuts ki umeed hai. Pichle hafte, Fed ne 50 basis points ka aggressive cut kiya, jisse range 4.75-5.00% tak aagayi. Iska matlab hai ke agle saal total 75 basis points ke cuts hone ki sambhavna hai, jo ke USD ko aur kamzor kar sakta hai.




Peer ko, AUD/USD pair 0.6820 ke aas paas trade kar raha tha. Daily chart ki technical analysis yeh darshati hai ke pair ek ascending channel pattern ke lower boundary ko test kar raha hai, jo bullish bias mein kuch kamzori darshata hai. Lekin, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) ab bhi 50 se upar hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke aane wale price movements pair ke trend ka zyada wazeh tasawwur denge. Filhal, AUD/USD pair ascending channel ki lower boundary ko test kar raha hai jo ke 0.6839 ke nine-month high ke nazdeek hai, jo ke 19 September ko dekha gaya tha.

Agar pair is level se bounce karta hai, toh yeh channel ke upper boundary ki taraf barh sakta hai, jo ke 0.6890 ke aas paas hai. Niche ki taraf, AUD/USD pair ko 0.6771 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par support mil sakta hai. Agla key support level psychological level 0.6700 par hai. Agar pair is level se niche girta hai, toh yeh mazeed kami ka signal de sakta hai, jo ke six-week low tak le ja sakta hai.

Khilasah yeh hai ke jab ke AUD/USD pair abhi potential rebound ke asar dikhata hai, bohot kuch RBA ke faisle aur broader market conditions par depend karega. Traders ko in levels aur global economic developments ko nazar mein rakhna chahiye taake pair ki agle direction ko samajh sakein.

AUD/USD ki Haalaton ka Jaiza

Spot price ne DXY ke muqablay mein teesre din bhi kami ka silsila jaari rakha, Wednesday ko yeh 0.6880 ke aas paas settle hua. Halankeh shuru mein RBA Governor Michele Bullock ke hawkish bayan ne kuch support diya, lekin price par pressure barh gaya. Bullock ne RBA ke inflation ke khatarat ko manage karne ki commitment ka zikr kiya, yeh darshate hue ke interest rate cuts kisi waqt bhi nahi honge. Yeh samajhdari ka strategy inflation ko rokne aur economic stability barqarar rakhne ke beech ek balance banana hai, jaise ke ABC News ne report kiya.

RBNZ ke Rate Cut aur Market ka Reakshan

Market par Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ke taraf se ek gher mutawaqqa rate cut ka asar pada, jismein 25 basis points ka cut kiya gaya. RBNZ ne yeh bhi bataya ke ek zyada substantial 50-basis-point cut par gehri ghoor kiya gaya tha. Iska bohot bada asar Kiwi aur Australian Dollar par pada. Halankeh is dauran US Dollar kamzor hua, lekin AUD/USD pair ne copper aur iron ore futures ke girne ki wajah se apna rukh niche ki taraf rakha, jo ke Australia ke do aham exports hain.

China ki Economic Slowdown ka Asar

China se aane wale behtar credit data aur commodities ki kam demand ne Australian Dollar ki mushkilat ko aur badha diya hai. China ka Australia ke liye ek aham trading partner hona matlab hai ke iron ore jaise commodities ki kam demand seedha market sentiment ko asar karti hai. In commodities ka oversupply aur China ki economic slowdown ne AUD par niche ki taraf pressure ko intensify kiya hai.

Inflation aur Labor Market ke Masail

RBA ke Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser ne yeh darshaya hai ke lagataar inflation kamzor supply chains aur tight labor market ka natija hai. Yeh factors economic forecasts mein uncertainty ko barqarar rakhte hain. Is tarah, US Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman ne bhi yeh kaha hai ke inflation ke khatarat ab bhi zyada hain, aur US labor market ki taqat Fed ko September ki agle meeting mein interest rates cut karne se roke sakti hai, jaise ke Bloomberg ne report kiya.

AUD/USD ki Technical Analysis

Pair ka agla major support 0.6875 ke aas paas hai, aur agar yeh point niche gira, toh pair 0.6850 ke region ki taraf barh sakta hai. Agar bearish momentum jaari raha, toh 0.6800 ke psychological level se niche girne par yeh signal de sakta hai ke haali upward trend khatam ho gaya hai, jo market bias ko sellers ke haq mein shift karega.




Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke aas paas hai, jo ek balanced market darshata hai jahan koi clear momentum nahi hai. Lekin, RSI thodi si northward ja rahi hai, jo potential bullish signal ka sujhav de sakti hai. Traders dekhenge ke kya AUD/USD 0.6800 ke upar support barqarar rakh sakta hai, jahan resistance 0.6903 ke aas paas honay ki umeed hai.

AUD/USD Price Forecast

US Dollar (USD) ne phir se Thursday ko mazbooti se trade kiya, jo ke Middle East mein geopolitical tensions, kamzor Japanese Yen (JPY), aur US Federal Reserve ki taraf se agle mahine mein kisi badi interest-rate cut ki kam hoti ummeedon ki wajah se tha.

Thursday ko Asian trading mein USD ne thoda sa upar ki taraf kadam rakha jab naye prime minister Shigeru Ishiba ne kaha ke economy doosri baar interest-rate badhane ke liye tayaar nahi hai, jis se JPY kamzor hua. Lebanon mein chal rahe halat bhi Greenback ko support kar rahe hain, kyunki log suraksha ke liye is taraf aa rahe hain.

Aaj ka economic calendar bhara hua hai. Weekly Jobless Claims ke ilawa, markets S&P Global Services Purchasing Managers Index aur Institute for Supply Management (ISM) ke September ke numbers ka intezar kar rahe hain.

AUD/USD ab upar ki taraf resistance par atak gaya hai aur phir se niche ki taraf gir raha hai, apne range ke andar wapas aa gaya hai. Yeh short-term trend reversal ka khatar de raha hai aur MACD apni signal line ke neeche cross karne wala hai.

AUD/USD ne aise waqt mein reversal kiya jab yeh aisa lag raha tha ke yeh range ke upar se break out kar raha hai. Ab yeh wapas range ke andar gir raha hai. Yeh naya short-term downtrend shuru hone ka nishaan ho sakta hai, jo AUD/USD ko 0.63s tak le ja sakta hai, lekin abhi is baat par puri confidence ke saath nahi kaha ja sakta.




Blue Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line red signal line ke neeche cross karne ki dhamki de rahi hai, agar yeh hota hai to yeh aur bhi saboot dega ke AUD/USD trend ko reverse kar raha hai.

AUD/USD ne August aur September ke doran ek Measured Move pattern tayar kiya jab yeh neeche se upar tak gaya. Aise patterns zig-zag ki tarah hote hain aur waves A aur C ki lambaiyaan Fibonacci ke zariye milti julti hain.

Aussie pair ne ek initial upside target hasil kiya jab wave A ko 61.8% Fibonacci ke zariye upar ki taraf extrapolate kiya gaya. Yeh target kareeb 0.6115 par hai. Yeh aur bhi saboot hai ke uptrend apne oonchai par pahuncha hai aur ab ek naya downtrend banta dikh raha hai. Iski tasdiq ke liye price ko 0.6785 level (September 20 swing low) se neeche break karna hoga. Aisi harkat se expected hai ke yeh initial downside target 0.6709 tak pahunchega, jo 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ka level hai.

Tab tak, yeh bhi khatar hai ke niche ki taraf movement atak sakti hai aur uptrend phir se shuru ho sakta hai, jo AUD/USD ko dobara upar le ja sakta hai. Agar yeh 0.6942 September 30 ke peak ke upar break kar leta hai to yeh uptrend ke dobara shuru hone ki tasdiq karega aur iska target 0.6988 (14 February '23 swing high) hoga, uske baad bullish case mein 0.7156 (2 February '23 high) hoga.

AUD/USD Price Recap

Hum is waqt AUD/USD currency pair ki dynamic pricing behavior ka jaiza le rahe hain. Kal, AUD/USD ka jo johara 0.6867 tak gir gaya, jo M15 aur H1 time frames dono ko break kar gaya, lekin baad mein yeh 0.6917 tak wapas aa gaya, jis se M15 trend bullish ho gaya. Lekin isne resistance ka samna kiya, jis se phir se girawat aayi, jab ke H1 time frame ab bhi bearish hai. Yeh bearish trend aage bhi chal sakta hai, aur M15 wapas bearish territory mein aa sakta hai, jo price ko 0.6826 tak le ja sakta hai. Is level par pair ko support mil sakta hai aur yeh dobara upar ki taraf aa sakta hai, lekin agar yeh support nahi milta to girawat aur bhi badh sakti hai, jahan bullish H4 zone 0.6791-0.6761 tak pahunchega, jahan H4 aur daily bullish trends se rebound hone ki ummeed hai. M15 trend ka wapas bullish hone ke liye, pair ko aaj ke high 0.6917 ko break karna hoga, taake yeh bearish H1 range 0.6917-0.6931 ka samna kar sake, phir shayad ek aur pullback ho. H1 bearish trend ka koi zyada decisive breakout price ko 0.6944 tak le ja sakta hai.




AUD/USD pair is waqt ek narrow range mein trade kar raha hai, jo recently hourly chart par 200-period moving average se bounce kiya hai, aur is crucial level ke upar bana hua hai. Yeh buyers ke liye positive sign hai, kyunki agar upward movement jari rahi to pair naye highs tak pahunchega. Jab ke price ne reversal ke baad kai baar rollback kiya hai, yeh ab tak moving average ko dobara test nahi kiya, jis se ek aur test ka mauqa mil sakta hai. Is liye, main is waqt kisi bhi trade ki salah dene se gurez kar raha hoon. Agar 200-period moving average ki taraf targets shift hoti hain, to yeh four-hour chart par bhi same level ke aas paas ho sakta hai. Weekly chart par, price moving average ke nazdeek hai, apne peak ke thoda neeche, jo shayad buyers ke liye target ban raha hai. AUD/USD pair hourly chart par uptrend dikhata hai, jahan price 133-period moving average ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo bullish direction ko confirm karta hai.