aud/usd

AUD/USD Ka Tajziya

Market Ka Iftitah Aur Sellers Ka Yaqeen
AUD/USD pair ne aaj ek significant farq ke sath market kholi, jo Asian session ke dauran fill ho gaya, aur sellers pur yaqeen ke sath price ko upper levels ki taraf dhakel rahe hain.
Lekin, ek possibility hai ke price sideways pattern ke upper boundary ki taraf dobara retest kare.
Resistance levels jo dekhnay ke qabil hain woh 0.66986 ya 0.67141 hain analysis ke mutabiq.

Mumkinah Scenarios
Agar resistance level par ek reversal candle banti hai, to price downward movement shuru kar sakti hai.
Agar yeh plan kaamyaab hota hai, to support levels jo target honge woh 0.65761 ya 0.65580 ho sakte hain.

AUD/USD Par Asar Daalnay Walay Factors
Australia ki inflation abhi tak RBA ke 2% target se zyada hai, is wajah se policy rate ko is saal 4.35% par rakha gaya hai.
AUD/USD pair ko 0.6650 par temporary support mila tha lekin rising USD ke pressure ka samna karna pada.

USD Ki Taqat Aur Cautious Jazba
USD ki taqat market expectations se aayi ke Federal Reserve apni current interest rate policy ko mazeed arsay ke liye barqarar rakhegi.
Kamzor economic data, jaise ke global flash PMI numbers ke mutabiq expectations se neeche, ne USD ke hawale se ehtiyaati jazba paida kiya.
Aane wale US PMI numbers ke mumkinah kami ke expectations bhi market ko asar kar sakti hain.

Central Bank Actions Aur RBA Ka Manzar Nama
Hal hi mein BOC, ECB, aur SNB ke rate cuts ne market mein uncertainty ko barhaya hai.
Lekin, RBA se qareebi waqt mein kisi bhi action ki umeed nahi hai.

/USD currency pair ka price action dekh raha hoon. Pichle trading haftay mein US dollar ki girawat ne AUD/USD pair ke quotes ko barhawa diya, jise daily chart ke current trading range ke upper boundary ke qareeb le aya hai. Is ke thoda upar ek mazboot resistance level 0.6766 par hai, jo 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level ke mutabiq hai. Dollar ki girawat chand raaton ka nateeja hai, jo zyada tar US labor market data ke adverse hone se hui. Dilchasp baat ye hai ke chhoti si kamzori ke bawajood, non-farm payroll data ummeed se behtar raha, jo agli trading haftay ke aghaz mein US dollar ke perceptions ko tabdeel kar sakta hai. Speculators ne is moka ka faida uthane ki koshish ki, jisse market activity mein thoda izafa hua. Lekin, koi ahem indicators nahi hain jo aur zyada US dollar ki girawat ko darshate hain. Is liye, agar price blue moving average ya 0.6766 resistance se rebound hota hai, to main sale ka sochunga, jahan mujhe corrective decline ki umeed hai jo 0.6660 support level tak jasakta hai.
Mere bearish outlook ke bawajood, main ek alternative scenario ko bhi mad e nazar rakh raha hoon. Agar price ne 0.6766 level ko decisive tor par breach kar liya aur daily candle wahan band hoti hai, to bullish momentum ke zariye quotes ko current local peak 0.6901 tak dhakel sakta hai. Agar 0.6751 ke upar violation aur sustained hold hota hai, to ye buying opportunity ka signal dega. 0.6731 ke false breakdown ke bawajood upward movement ka silsila jari reh sakta hai, jo 0.6751 mark ke breach ka rasta ban sakta hai. Agar US session tak growth jari rehti hai, to 0.6751 ke upar break karna mumkin hai. Ye bullish sentiment ko mazid mazboot karega agar buyers 0.6761 ke upar jate hain aur trading ko wahan sustain karte hain. 0.6711 ke upar breakout mazid buying signals ko trigger kar sakta hai aur upward trend ko extend kar sakta hai. Agar 0.6711 ke niche ek false dip hota hai, to ye buying opportunity se pehle hosakta hai. Agar 0.6751 range ke upar consolidation hoti hai, to focus mazid strengthening par raheg

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook: Technical Analysis aur Market Trends Nayi haftay ki shuruat ke sath, AUD/USD pair daily chart par ek notable technical scenario dikha raha hai. Price ne 0.6577 par key horizontal resistance level ke upar apni position establish kar li hai. Is level ke niche price ko wapas push karne ki koshishen ab tak unsuccessful rahi hain, jo market mein bullish sentiment ka izhaar karti hain.
Fibonacci retracement jo recent downward move par lagayi gayi thi, dikhati hai ke price ne pehle 61.8% retracement level par pause kiya. Lekin, ye level breach ho gaya, jo US dollar ki broad weakening ko indicate karta hai. Ab price ne 0.6695 par ek significant technical resistance level tak pahuncha hai, jo hamari expectations ke mutabiq hai.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI ab overbought zone ke qareeb hai, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke current bullish phase shayad apni taqat khatam kar raha hai. Ye signal hai ke jabke price thodi aur upar chal sakti hai, lekin further gains ka potential limited ho sakta hai, khas kar CCI ke overbought conditions ko dekhte hue.

Is context ko dekhte hue, jabke 0.6695 level tak thodi upar ki movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, ye zaroori hai ke uske baad ek potential corrective pullback anticipate kiya jaye. Agla support level jo dekhna hai wo 0.6632 hai, jo previous candles ke closing prices se derived hai. Ye level critical point of support ban sakta hai aur is taraf correction hona mumkin hai.

Jab price 0.6695 level ke qareeb pahunche, to choti timeframes, jaise M15 chart, par potential selling opportunities ko observe karna behtar rahega. Reversal pattern dekhne ki koshish karein jahan support level resistance ban sakta hai, jo downward move ke liye signal provide karega, towards the 0.6632 support level.

Corrective move ke expectation ko reinforce karta hai ke aaj koi significant economic news nahi hai, isliye immediate fundamental drivers corrective decline ko rokne ke liye nahi hain. Dusri major currency pairs bhi critical levels par pahunch chuki hain aur downward correction ke liye poised hain, jo broader market pullback ki likelihood ko aur support karti hai.

Summary mein, AUD/USD pair ne strong performance dikhayi hai by moving above the key resistance level at 0.6577 aur naya technical resistance level 0.6695 tak pahuncha hai. Lekin, CCI ke overbought conditions aur koi major news events na hone ke bawajood, 0.6632 support level ki taraf corrective pullback ki umeed hai. Traders ko 0.6695 ke qareeb potential selling opportunities ko monitor karna chahiye, khas kar choti timeframes par, aur further bullish positions consider karne se pehle ek possible retracement ke liye prepare rehna chahiye


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