aud/usd

Market Forecast and Analysis for the Device

4-hour time frame ke liye market ki halat ka forecast aur analysis. Chaliye, currency pair ya instrument ki movement forecast ko extended regression stop and reverse indicator signals ka istemal karke dekhte hain, jise RSI (14) se entry point ki tasdiq aur MACD indicator ki standard settings ke sath pesh kiya jayega. Position se nikalne ke liye behtareen option choose karne ke liye, hum Fibonacci grid draw karenge, jo kal ya aaj ke trading din (ya haftay) ke extreme numbers par hoga, taake market se maximum profit hasil kiya ja sake.

Sab se pehle, chaar (H4) time frame ke sath taluq rakhta chart pehli darje ki regression line (sonay ki dotted line) dikhata hai, jo instrument ko upar ki taraf, ek tez angle par guide karti hai, jo bahut strong trend movement aur upar ki taraf badhti hui dynamics ko darshata hai.




Non-linear channel (convex lines) ka istemal karein jo nazdeek mustaqbil ki direction ka ta'ajza dene ke liye hai, yeh kaafi upar ki taraf jhuka hua hai. Non-linear regression channel linear channel ki sonay ki line ko neeche se upar ki taraf cross karta hai, jo quotation ki growth ko darshata hai. RSI (14) aur MACD indicators ne buy transaction mein entry karne ki feasibility aur accuracy ko tasdiq kiya hai, kyunki yeh abhi oversold zone mein hain.

Price ne linear regression Channel 2 ke blue support line ko cross kiya, lekin lowest price (LOW) tak pahuncha, jahan par usne apni girawat roki aur phir se upar ki taraf chali gayi. Upar diye gaye sabhi points ki buniyad par, mujhe umeed hai ke market price recover hogi aur 2-and LevelSupLine channel line aur linear channel ki sonay ki middle line LR 0.68200 ke upar stabilize hogi, jo Fibonacci level 61.8% ke mutabiq hai. Yeh aage upar ki taraf jaane ka nishaan hai.

Trading Opportunities with AUD/USD Prices

Hum AUD/USD currency pair ki price assessment ka jaiza le rahe hain. AUD/USD ne aik noticeable decline dekha hai, lekin kal raat se kuch recovery hui hai. Halankeh yeh recovery abhi incomplete hai, lekin upar ki taraf momentum ke clear nishaan hain, jo aage ke faide ki taraf ishara karte hain. Ek key challenge yeh hai ke price moving average (MA) ke neeche reh rahi hai, jo kuch resistance paida kar rahi hai. Bulls ko yeh rokna hoga ke price kal ke lows tak na wapas aaye, kyunki yeh levels important hain, khas taur par crucial support points ke banne ke liye. Filhal, price in lows ke upar achi tarah se bana hua hai, aur agar yeh shaam ke session tak apni position ko maintain karta hai, to hume upward trend ki continuation ki umeed hai. Key targets mein, 0.6921 prominent hai, jo shayad aaj raat tak pahunche.



Oscillator bhi yeh darshata hai ke pair shayad aage ki growth ke liye tayaar nahi hai, jo ek consolidation phase ki taraf ishara karta hai. Mujhe kuch neeche ki taraf movement ki umeed hai, lekin yeh immediately recent gains ke baad nahi hoga.

Daily chart par, Australian dollar ka pattern kuch aur significant pairs jese EUR/USD aur GBP/USD se alag hai. Jab ke yeh pairs paanch waves complete kar chuke hain aur correction phase mein hain, AUD/USD ne sirf teen waves banai hain, aur correction abhi kamzor hai. Lekin, lambi growth period ke baad pehli dafa, ek confirmed upper daily fractal 0.6846 par banega, jo is upward structure mein teesri wave ke khatam hone ka potential signal hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke nikat mustaqbil mein ek choti correction hogi, jahan price ascending channel ke lower boundary ko test karega. Is test ka natija pair ki short-term outlook aur wave formation ko samajhne mein madad dega, lekin tasveer abhi kuch unclear hai. AUD/USD filhal 0.6937/99 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo H1 chart par short-term pullback ke nishan dikhata hai. Agar pair psychological level ke neeche break kar leta hai, to yeh agle support 0.6816 ki taraf gir sakta hai.

AUD/USD Ka Halat

Pair ne pehle session ke nuqsanat ko wapas lete hue, Wednesday ke European trading hours mein 0.6900 ke ird gird trade kiya. Technical analysis yeh darshata hai ke pair ek ascending channel mein chal raha hai, jo bullish trend ka potential ishara deta hai. Is update ke mutabiq, price 0.6905 ke ird gird trade kar rahi hai, jo positive sentiment aur technical patterns se supported hai.

RBA aur Fed ki contrasting monetary policy approaches AUD/USD ke trajectory ko asar dalne ki umeed hai. Jabke RBA lagta hai ke woh 2026 tak interest rate cuts se bachne ki koshish kar raha hai, Fed se umeed hai ke woh jaldi easing shuru karega. Yeh divergence AUD ko support de sakta hai, khaas taur par agar global inflationary pressures kam hoti rahein. Magar, kisi bhi ghaflati shift in economic data ya central bank policies se outlook jaldi badal sakta hai.

AUD/USD Ke Buniyadi Pehlu

US Consumer Price Index (CPI) se haali data ne global currency markets par khaas asar dala hai. July mein headline CPI mein 2.9% ka izafa hua, jo June ke 3% ke izafe se thoda kam hai aur market expectations se neeche hai. Core CPI, jo volatile food aur energy prices ko chhodta hai, 3.2% tak pahuncha, jo pehle 3.3% se kam hai, aur market forecasts ke mutabiq hai. Yeh figures Federal Reserve (Fed) ke inflation target ko poora karne par debate ko barhati hain, jahan Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic ne cautious optimism ka izhar kiya hai. Lekin, Bostic ne interest rates mein kisi bhi reduction ke liye zyada consistent data ki zarurat par zor diya.

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ke 4.35% par official cash rate (OCR) ko steady rakhne ka faisla investor confidence ko barhata hai. RBA ka cautious stance domestic inflation ke lambi muddat ke concerns ko darshata hai, jahan forecasts yeh batate hain ke trimmed-mean aur headline CPI inflation late 2026 tak 2-3% target range ke mid-point tak pahunchega. Yeh delayed timeline Federal Reserve ke immediate monetary easing approach ke muqablay mein hai, jo aane wale mahino mein AUD/USD ko additional support de sakta hai.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook

Technically, ascending channel ki lower boundary, jo 0.6920 ke ird gird hai, pair ke liye immediate support level ka kaam karti hai. Iske neeche, 0.6869 par nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) additional support ke taur par hai. Agar price EMA ke neeche girti hai, to yeh pair ko 0.6825 ke throwback level ko test karne ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Agar pair is support zone ke neeche girta hai, to yeh bearish bias ka signal de sakta hai, jo isay 0.6770 ke throwback support level ki taraf le ja sakta hai.




Pair mein kuch had tak volatility nazar aati hai, jo Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke 54 ke ird gird hone se darshata hai, jo neutral momentum ka ishara hai. Iske saath, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator flat green bars print kar raha hai, jo overall neutral se slightly bullish outlook ko barhata hai. Yeh indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke pair tight range mein rehne ke liye tayaar hai, jahan agar key resistance levels break hote hain to upar ki taraf movement ka potential hai.

AUD/USD currency pair ki pricing movement ka ongoing study humare discussion ka markaz hai. Growth mumkin hai, lekin filhal koi aise signs nazar nahi aate jo ke foran ek upward trend ko dikhayein. AUD/USD pair me ek tezi se girawat nazar aa rahi hai, jo yeh darshata hai ke humein kuch arse tak is downward movement ka samna karna par sakta hai. Meri calculations ke mutabiq, yeh wave shayad 0.6457 level tak jaari rahe. Agar yeh is level tak nahi pohnchti, to bears ka final target 0.6525 hoga. Mein yeh kahin se yaqeen ke sath nahi keh sakta ke yeh scenario poora unfold hoga, lekin agar hum is target tak nahi pohnchte, to AUD/USD ke liye main scenario 0.6525 tak mehdood hoga. Bears iss haftay bulls se zyada mazboot lagte hain, isliye girawat ka yeh level touch karne ke baad ek upward reversal mumkin hai. Agar downward trend jari nahi rehti, to growth ka scenario activate ho sakta hai, jiska resistance level 0.6718 hoga, jo ek pullback hoga.

Agar 0.6614 ka false breakdown hota hai, jahan local minimum mumkin hai, to reversal ki ummed hai jo buyers ke liye bullish trend ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Agar growth 0.6619 range se hoti hai, to buying mumkin ho sakti hai. Thoda sa downward correction ho sakta hai, lekin overall growth jari rehne ka imkaan hai. Buyers market ko drive kar rahe hain, aur exchange rate ke upward trend ko sustain karna unki priority lagti hai, jisme further purchases shamil hain. Ek acha signal buying ke liye tab milega jab price 0.6704 ke upar break aur hold kare. Is surat mein, rate rise aur further buying behtareen strategy hogi. Jab 0.6664 level ka breakdown hota hai, to best strategy yeh hogi ke is level ke likely hone ke baad purchases open ki jayein. AUD/USD pair ek solid downward trend mein hai jisme koi immediate reversal ke signs nahi hain. Key support levels aur technical indicators rebound aur resistance ke chances dikhate hain, lekin sentiment abhi bhi bearish hai. In levels aur market signals ko monitor karna informed trading decisions lene ke liye zaroori hai.

1. technical setup AUD/USD pair ki future direction ke bare mein qeemti insights faraham karta hai. Daily chart dikha raha hai ke pair iss waqt ascending channel pattern ki lower boundary ko test kar raha hai. Aise price action se kuch bullish bias ki weakness ka pata chalta hai, magar abhi tak yeh kisi full bearish reversal ka signal nahi hai. Ascending channel yeh suggest karta hai ke is weakness ke bawajood, pair ne overall upward trend maintain kiya hua hai, aur pichlay kuch mahinon mein buyers ne market par control rakha hai.

Pair ka iss lower boundary ko test karna kafi important hai. Ascending channels aksar higher highs aur higher lows se mutaliq hotay hain, iska matlab hai ke prices kabhi kabar retrace ya pull back kar sakti hain, lekin overall movement ab bhi upward rehti hai. Jab qeemat lower boundary ke qareeb hoti hai, to yeh aksar ek key support level ke tor par kaam karti hai. Agar price is level par hold karti hai aur bounce back karti hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke bulls ab bhi market mein control mein hain aur pair ko aglay sessions mein aur ooper le ja sakte hain.

Magar, pair ki jo current weakness hai, wo yeh bhi indicate karti hai ke upward momentum kamzor ho raha hai, aur channel ke tootne ka imkaan bhi hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to yeh ek trend reversal ka signal ho sakta hai, aur price short-term mein neeche ja sakti hai. Traders ko price action ko closely monitor karna hoga taake yeh determine kar sakein ke pair apni upward trend ko continue karega ya deeper correction honay wali hai.

Ek key technical indicator jo bullish momentum ko support karta hai wo 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) hai. RSI abhi tak 50 level ke upar hai, jo ek bullish signal hai. Aam tor par jab RSI 50 ke upar hota hai to iska matlab hai ke buying pressure ab bhi mojood hai, jabke 50 ke neeche ka matlab selling pressure hota hai. Yeh baat ke RSI abhi tak bullish territory mein hai, yeh indicate karti hai ke current pullback temporary ho sakta hai, aur overall trend upward rehne ke chances hain.

Iske ilawa, pair iss lower boundary ko ek critical level ke qareeb test kar raha hai—jo ke nine-month high 0.6839 hai, jo 3 October ko dekha gaya tha. Yeh high ek significant resistance level hai jise pair ko break karna hoga taake upward trend continue ho sake. Agar pair successfully is boundary ko test karta hai aur apni position support line ke upar rakhta hai, to bullish momentum dobara barh sakta hai, aur price ko recent high tak ya uske aage le jaa sakta hai.

Market dynamics ke hawale se, lagta hai ke traders kisi clear signal ka intezaar kar rahe hain taake naye positions khol sakein. Key levels jo dekhne ki zaroorat hai wo lower boundary hain jo ke takreeban 0.6820 par hai, aur resistance jo 0.6839 ke aas-paas hai. Agar price channel ke neeche break karti hai, to agay aur girawat ka rasta khul sakta hai, jabke agar pair is boundary ke upar rehta hai aur ooper jata hai, to yeh bullish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai aur nine-month high ka dobara test mumkin hai.

AUD/USD pair ka technical outlook abhi mixed hai, ascending channel ek bullish trend show kar raha hai lekin recent price action kuch weakness dikha raha hai. RSI abhi tak bullish territory mein hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai

AUD/USD Price Movement

Hamari guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ke live pricing movements ko samajhne par markooz hai. Wave structure ooncha hai, lekin MACD indicator lower sales zone mein chala gaya hai aur apni signal line se neeche hai. Maine pehle hi note kiya tha ke price girne wala hai, jo ke MACD par bearish divergence aur chart par reversal pattern—khusus kar ek ascending wedge—ke zariye support mila hai, jo ab neeche ki taraf break ho chuka hai. Sell signals tab mile jab 0.6909 level ke neeche mazboot consolidation hua. Behtareen selling point tab aaya jab is level ko neeche se retest kiya gaya aur yeh resistance ke taur par kaam kiya, jo growth peak par ek mirror image bana. Yeh senario aasani se unfold hua, US dollar ki major currencies ke khilaf taqat ki wajah se pichle hafte. Agar meri assumptions sahi hain, to price 0.6847 par accumulation point tak upar ja sakta hai. Agar yeh senario hamesha rahe aur agar AUD/USD ka level 0.6752 support ban kar rahe, to hum 0.6752 se 0.6928 tak ek dramatic rebound dekh sakte hain, jahan significant buying interest hai.

**Price Movement Analysis**

Price pehle thodi giri lekin phir US employment data ke release tak stabilize ho gaya, jisne non-agricultural sector mein aham positive changes dikhaye. Khaas taur par, average hourly wage mein izafa hua aur unemployment rate gir gaya. Halankeh in figures par shak karna samajh mein aata hai, US dollar ne mazbooti se react kiya aur doosri global currencies ke muqable mein mazid taqat pakdi.

Price ab un daily waves ke neeche ke ascending support line tak pahunch chuki hai. Saath hi, CCI indicator lower overheating zone se upar uthne ke liye tayaar hai, jo slight bullish divergence ko darshata hai. Yeh senario ek mazboot signal dikhata hai upward correction ka, jo 0.6838 ke resistance level ya usse bhi upar target kar sakta hai. Chart ke baaye taraf dekhne se pata chalta hai ke 0.6786 ek technical support level hai, jabke volume level nahi.

Potential market movements shayad puppeteer's strategies ko reflect karte hain, kyunke recent statistics dikhate hain ke market volume levels par hit karne ko zyada tarjeeh de raha hai, na ke traditional support aur resistance levels par.

AUD/USD: Aham Patterns aur Signals
Chaliye baat karte hain ke AUD/USD currency pair ki qeemat kaise behave kar rahi hai aur is se kya analysis nikaal sakte hain. Aisa lagta hai ke market mein daakhil hone aur kharidari positions par focus karne ka waqt hai. Qeemat ek bullish trend ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai. Pichle din ke aakhir mein, pair apni opening price ke upar trade kiya aur din ko is level se upar band kiya. Qeemat ne upper Bollinger Band ko bhi tod diya, jo bullish outlook ko mazid taqat deta hai aur upar ki taraf movement ki high probability ki taraf ishara karta hai. Main trading mein RSI indicator ko ahmiyat deta hoon, aur overbought (69 se upar) ya oversold (29 se neeche) conditions mein trades se bachne ki koshish karta hoon. Ab mujhe AUD/USD pair ke liye behtar selling opportunities nazar aati hain. Meri priority short positions kholne ki hai. Magar, yeh zaroori hai ke is waqt ke qeemat par daakhil na hoon, balki optimal entry ke liye pending orders set karoon.

Technical analysis ke hawale se, AUD/USD pair abhi 0.6945 ke important resistance level ke thoda neeche trade kar raha hai, jo buyers ke liye ek vital threshold ban gaya hai, jo is baat ki taraf ishara karta hai ke bulls ko qeemat ko upar le jana mushkil ho raha hai. 35-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) bullish sentiment ko support kar raha hai, aur qeemat ko is moving average ke upar rakhne mein madad kar raha hai. Magar, momentum indicators jaise ke Stochastic aur Commodity Channel Index (CCI) overbought territory ke qareeb hain, jo suggest karta hai ke bullish momentum thak raha hai. Resistance line ke qareeb teen tops ka hona is baat ko aur mazid taqat deta hai ke buyers is market mein apni taqat kho rahe hain, jisse is level ko todna mushkil hota ja raha hai.



AUD/USD pair ka broader nazar karne se pata chalta hai ke yeh ek narrow range mein trade kar raha hai, jo breakout ki umeed ko barhata hai. Traders ko tayaar rehna chahiye ke qeemat kisi bhi taraf significant movement kar sakti hai, kyunki 0.6945 ke upar decisive break bullish trend ki continuation ko signal de sakta hai, jab ke 34-day EMA ke neeche ka move bearish shift ko dikhata hai.

Summary yeh hai ke fundamental aur technical factors ka milaap yeh suggest karta hai ke jab ke AUD ko strong retail data aur hawkish RBA ka support hai, technical indicators caution ki taraf ishara karte hain kyunki resistance levels samne hain. Traders ko in developments par nazar rakhni hogi aur economic signals aur price movements ko dekhte rehna hoga taake AUD/USD currency pair mein informed trading decisions le sakein.

Jeetne Wale Trades Banain: AUD/USD Prices
Chaliye, ab hum AUD/USD currency pair ke price action ka jaiza lete hain. Aaj yeh currency pair technically achha perform kar raha hai. H4 time frame ka analysis karne ke baad, maine ek bearish setup ka activation dekha, jo indicator ke zariye red mein highlight kiya gaya hai. Is ke baad se, recent local high se pair ne 71 points se zyada girawat dekhi hai (spread ko chhor kar). Yeh movement ADR indicator range ke sath milta hai, jisme high 0.6933 aur low 0.6869 hai. Scalping ka objective zyada tar mumkin hai, lekin hum abhi tak 38.2 Fibonacci level tak nahi pahunche hain, jo thoda neeche 0.6862 par hai. American session abhi aage hai, is liye yeh kehna abhi jaldi hai.

Budhwar ke economic calendar par, Australian dollar ke liye kuch khaas nahi hai, lekin U.S. se kuch notable reports aane wali hain, jaise "crude oil reserves" aur "non-farm payroll employment changes."



AUD/USD currency pair ke price action ka analysis humari baat ka main maqsad hoga. Is pair ka primary trend abhi bhi upward hai. Lekin, yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke humne 0.6900 range mein near-term targets hit kar liye hain. Halankeh upar ki taraf pressure hai, lekin yeh kisi mazboot consolidation ki tarah nahi hai. Ek zyada significant pullback ki zaroorat nazar aati hai, kyunki price ke neeche girne ki jagah hai. Yeh zyada tar dollar ki trading par depend karta hai, khaaskar aaj ke ADP labour market data release ke saath. Is context mein, main ab bhi neeche ki taraf move ki taraf jhuka hua hoon, aur agar price 0.6921 se upar chala gaya, to main selling opportunities ko nazar andaz nahi karunga. Jab tak market ka behavior unstable hai, upar aur neeche dono taraf swing hota rahega, tab tak trend line ke upar thoda sa rise outlook ko khas taur par nahi badalta.

Price Action Patterns: AUD/USD
Main filhal AUD/USD currency pair ke pricing ka real-time analysis kar raha hoon. Aaj main daily chart par focus karna chahta hoon, jahan maine pehle yeh bataya tha ke technical factors bears ko control hasil karne ka mauqa de sakte hain, aur yeh waqai mein ho gaya hai. Price 1/8 angle aur 50% resistance level 0.6918 se rebound hui hai, jo ab aakhri support levels ke qareeb hai. Yeh levels bears ko neeche ki taraf movement jaari rakhne se rokenge. Isliye, ek choti si consolidation ke baad, main thodi upar ki taraf movement ki umeed kar raha hoon, lekin bullish trend ka poora wapas aana mushkil hai. Australian dollar achha perform kar raha hai. Ek reversal aaya, lekin uske baad girawat halki rahi, jo 0.6941 se 0.6801 tak lagbhag 140 points hai. Halankeh highs thodi unchi thi, lekin pair ne thoda recovery bhi kiya. Hum is reaction ki umeed 0.6801 se 0.6811 tak kar sakhe hain.



Pair ki taqat ko dekhte hue, jo dollar par thoda sa bhi react nahi kar raha, hum shayad ek pullback ke qareeb hain jo is hafte develop ho sakta hai. Price filhal ek ascending channel mein hai. Is hafte, pair channel ke lower boundary 0.6797 tak gir gaya. Is low par pahunchnay ke baad, girawat ruk gayi hai, aur ek reversal Monday ko shuru ho sakta hai, jo price ko upar le ja sakta hai. Agar pair upar ki taraf chalu hota hai, to yeh upper boundary tak 0.7183 tak pahuncha sakta hai. Filhal, AUD/USD instrument trend line ke neeche hai, jo sellers aksar resistance point ke taur par istemal karte hain. Is line ke kareeb dobara aane par, humare paas bearish trading mein shamil hone ka acha mauqa hai, taake hum trend se potential rebound ka faida utha sakein.

AUD/USD Currency Pair Ka Halat
AUD/USD currency pair ne haal hi mein zyada volatility dikhayi hai, jo global financial markets ki dynamic nature ko reflect karta hai. Traders aur investors technical indicators par nazar rakh rahe hain taake potential price movements ka andaza laga sakein. Filhal, yeh pair ek ascending channel mein hai, jo ek prevailing bullish trend ko dikhata hai, lekin kuch resistance points bhi hain jinhein madde nazar rakhna zaroori hai.

AUD/USD pair ke liye resistance kai key levels par ubharne ki sambhavana hai. Ascending channel ka bottom edge 0.6910 par hai, jo upar ki taraf momentum ke liye ek significant barrier hai. Traders ko is level ke aas-paas price action par nazar rakhni chahiye; agar pair isse upar todne mein kamiyab hota hai, to yeh strength ka signal dega aur aage ke gains ki sambhavana ko darshata hai. Iske baad, immediate nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) 0.6857 par bhi ek critical resistance point hai. EMA ko technical analysis mein ek key indicator mana jata hai, jo pair ki short-term trend ko darshata hai. Dono channel bottom aur EMA ke upar sustain move bullish sentiment ko darshata hai, aur traders upper limit of the channel, jo 0.7040 ke aas-paas hai, ko target kar sakte hain.

Psychological level 0.7000 bhi khaas hai, kyunki yeh retail aur institutional traders dono ka dhyan khenchta hai. Agar pair 0.6910 ka resistance todne mein kamiyab hota hai aur phir 0.7000 threshold ko cross kar leta hai, to yeh ek strong bullish rally ko shuru kar sakta hai, jisse traders price ko upper channel limit ki taraf le ja sakte hain. Yeh recent lows se ek mazboot recovery ko darshata hai aur market participants ko bhi attract kar sakta hai jo is pair ko undervalued samajhte hain.

Iske muqablay mein, AUD/USD pair ke liye downside risks bhi ahm hain. Ek key support level jo nazar rakhna hai, woh psychological threshold 0.6800 hai. Yeh level itna hi ahm hai, kyunki yeh pehle support aur resistance dono ke taur par kaam kar chuka hai. Agar price is threshold se neeche girti hai, to yeh selling pressure ka wave shuru kar sakta hai, jo aage ki girawat ka sabab ban sakta hai. Traders ko is sambhavana par alert rehna chahiye, khaaskar recent performance ke madde nazar.



Agar AUD/USD 0.6800 level ko todta hai, to agla significant support level seven-week low 0.6622 hoga, jo 3 October ko dekha gaya. Yeh level ek critical juncture ho sakta hai; agar yeh sambhalne mein nakam raha, to pair ko deeper decline dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo bearish sentiment ke barhne par nazar aayega. Aisi movement sirf Australian dollar ki kamzori ko nahi dikhayegi, balki is currency pair par prabhavit hone wale broader economic concerns ko bhi darshayegi, jaise commodity prices mein tabdili, geopolitical tensions, aur Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ya Federal Reserve ke monetary policy mein changes.

AUD/USD pair filhal ek complex landscape se guzar raha hai jisme key technical levels hain jo iski near-term trajectory ko shape karenge. Resistance levels 0.6910 aur 0.6857 ko overcome karna hoga taake bullish sentiment majboot ho sake, jabke critical support levels 0.6800 aur 0.6622 stable outlook ke liye zaroori hain. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye, kyunki in levels ke aas-paas fluctuations market sentiment mein shifts ko darshate hain aur significant trading opportunities ko janm de sakte hain. In technical levels aur broader economic factors ke darmiyan ka interplay aakhir mein AUD/USD pair ki direction ko agle sessions mein tay karega.

Price Action Magic: AUD/USD
Hamari guftagu AUD/USD currency pair ki pricing ke ongoing live evaluation se mutaliq hai. Market mein buyers ki koshishain kaafi nazar aa rahi hain, kyunki four-hour chart par AUD/USD pair ka uptrend dekhne ko mil raha hai, jo support level 0.6625 se shuru hota hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, yahan kharidari ke liye wazeh signals hain, jahan do indicators isay confirm kar rahe hain. MACD oscillator histogram ne negative zone se shift hokar zero ko cross kiya hai aur positive territory mein chala gaya hai, jabke moving average bhi upward trend dikhata hai. Sab signs is baat ki taraf ishara karte hain ke price 0.6824 level se upar ja sakta hai. Agar price is faaslay ka kam se kam aadha hissa cover kar leti hai aur extended position profitable ho jati hai, to stop loss ko breakeven par le jaana samajhdari hogi.

Jab AUD/USD pair resistance area 0.6794 ke qareeb pohanchta hai, to yahan sirf ek choti si rukawat 0.6767 par hai, jise candle body ne partially paar kar diya hai. Is candle ka closing agle dinon mein kaafi ahmiyat rakhata hai.




Hamari current focus AUD/USD currency pair ke price action ka jaiza lena hai. AUD/USD pair ab yeh darshata hai ke uptrending market mein hamesha neeche ki taraf correction ka potential hota hai, jise hum agle kharidari ke mauqe ko pehchaanne ke liye istemal kar sakte hain. EMA200 Weekly filhal support ke taur par kaam kar raha hai, isliye price ke girne aur isi waqt par retest hone ki achi sambhavana hai.

Abhi sell order execute karna theek nahi hai kyunki weakening signal poori tarah se develop nahi hua, lekin pehle indicators nazar aane lage hain. Khaaskar agar aaj ki candlestick bearish closing hoti hai, to sell signal mazid majboot ho jayega; agar bullish candlestick upper Bollinger Bands ke upar closing karne mein nakam hoti hai, to market 0.6938 ke yellow resistance ke aas-paas sideway move kar sakta hai aur distribution setup bana sakta hai. Is distribution phase ke doran, selling orders dheere dheere execute hote hain.

Good Afternoon, Invest Social Members!
Umeed hai aap sab khair maqdam par hain aur is platform par share ki gayi insights ka faida utha rahe hain. Aaj hum AUD/USD currency pair par focus karte hain, khaaskar iski performance H1 (one-hour) time frame par. AUD/USD ka haal ka price action kaafi dilchasp raha hai, jo buyers aur sellers dono ke liye valuable mauqe faraham kar raha hai.

Pichle kuch trading sessions mein, AUD/USD ne kaafi badi girawat dekhi. Pair ne strong bearish pressure ka samna kiya, jisse price neeche ki taraf gayi jab sellers ne market par dominance hasil kiya. Is girawat ke kai wajahain ho sakti hain, jaise external market conditions, commodity prices mein tabdiliyan, global risk sentiment, aur U.S. dollar ki taqat. Australian dollar, jo commodity markets se closely linked hai, aksar raw materials ki demand mein tabdilon par react karta hai, jo iski performance par asar dal sakta hai.

Lekin, kal raat se AUD/USD pair mein notable recovery dekhi gayi hai. Halankeh yeh recovery gradual hai aur abhi tak poori nahi hui, lekin yeh traders ke liye kharidari ke mauqe ka daira faraham kar rahi hai. Pair ne upar ki taraf momentum dikhana shuru kiya hai, jahan buyers price ko upar le ja rahe hain. Yeh recovery shayad market sentiment mein temporary shift ka natija hai, jahan traders recent decline ko oversold condition samajh kar lower levels par pair ko kharid rahe hain.


Technical perspective se dekha jaye to kuch key factors hain jo further gains ki sambhavana ko darshate hain. Price ne apni recent lows se door hona shuru kar diya hai aur ab yeh key resistance levels ke qareeb hai. Agar pair yeh upward momentum barqarar rakh sakta hai aur in resistance levels ko tod sakta hai, to bullish recovery ka silsila jaari reh sakta hai. Iske ilawa, technical indicators jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) yeh signal kar rahe hain ke market positive sentiment ki taraf shift ho rahi hai, jo upar ki taraf movement ke liye aur support faraham karta hai.

Halankeh AUD/USD ne recent sessions mein notable decline dekhi, lekin current price action yeh darshata hai ke recovery shuru ho chuki hai. Halankeh recovery abhi apne shuruati marahil mein hai, lekin upward momentum ke signs wazeh hain, aur aane wale ghanton mein further gains ki sambhavana hai. Traders ko key resistance levels aur technical indicators par nazar rakhni chahiye taake yeh jaan sakein ke kya yeh bullish movement jaari rahegi.

Jese ke hamesha, market news aur economic data par nazar rakhna zaroori hai jo AUD/USD pair ko asar daal sakti hain, kyunki external factors iski direction ko badal sakte hain. Market par nazar rakhein, aur aapke trades ke liye achhi kismet!

Australia ki taaza economic releases ke mutabiq, July mein employment change expectations se zyada rahi, jisme 58.2K naye jobs shamil hui, jo ke 20.0K ke forecast aur pichle 52.3K ke figure se barh kar hain. Magar, is ke bawajood, unemployment rate 4.2% tak barh gayi, jo ke expected 4.1% se zyada hai, jo ke labor market mein kuch concerns ko darshata hai. Iske ilawa, August ke liye Consumer Inflation Expectations 4.5% tak barh gayi, jo pehle 4.3% thi, jo ke inflationary pressures mein izafa ka pata deti hai. In milay julay signals ke bawajood, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka hawkish stance ab bhi market interest ko barqarar rakha huwa hai, aur 2024 mein sirf ek modest 25-basis-point ki easing ki umeed hai.

China ke Economic Moves ne Market Uncertainty mein Izafa Kiya:

People's Bank of China (PBoC) bhi market sentiment par asar dal raha hai. Central bank ne apni medium-term lending facility funds jo ke August ke darmiyan mature hongi, unko renew karne ka faisla kiya, jo ke Chinese economy ko support dene ka ishara hai. Iske ilawa, PBoC ne CNY 577.7 billion (USD 80.9 billion) seven-day reverse bond repurchase agreements ke zariye 1.7% ki rate par open market operation mein diya. Rate ko barqarar rakh kar, PBoC liquidity ko maintain karna chahta hai, jo ke Australia aur China ke qareebi trade ties ke madde nazar, AUD par indirect asar dal sakta hai.

UH1 Chart AUD/USD Technical Outlook aur Ahmiyat ke Support Levels:

Filhal, AUD/USD ka price 0.6790 ke qareeb trade ho raha hai, jo ke immediate support ka kaam kar raha hai. Iske neeche 0.6788 ka ahm level hai, jo 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) resistance point se mutabiq hai. Ye area ab ek ahm base of support ka kaam de raha hai, aur agar ye breach hota hai, to AUD ke liye aggressive selling shuru ho sakti hai, jo further losses ka sabab ban sakti hai. Traders ghore se is level ko dekh rahe hain, kyun ke iske tootne se ek deeper downward correction ka ishara hoga.



Technical front par, hourly chart indicators abhi tak positive territory mein hain, aur overbought zone se door hain. Iska matlab ye hai ke filhal AUD/USD mein kuch upside potential hai. 200-day SMA ke upar ka recent breakout bhi is view ko support karta hai, jo ye darshata hai ke short-term mein resistance ka raasta abhi upar ki taraf hai.

Short-term Risks AUD ke Liye:

Positive technical indicators ke bawajood, kuch risks ab bhi barqarar hain. Australia ke milay julay economic data aur PBoC ke hawalay se uncertainty ka matlab ye hai ke AUD/USD ki pair ko mazeed headwinds ka samna ho sakta hai. Traders ghore se dekhenge ke agar ye pair ahm support levels ke upar barqarar rehne mein nakam hoti hai to sentiment mein koi tabdeeli ka ishara mil sakta hai.

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook: Technical Analysis aur Market Trends Nayi haftay ki shuruat ke sath, AUD/USD pair daily chart par ek notable technical scenario dikha raha hai. Price ne 0.6577 par key horizontal resistance level ke upar apni position establish kar li hai. Is level ke niche price ko wapas push karne ki koshishen ab tak unsuccessful rahi hain, jo market mein bullish sentiment ka izhaar karti hain.
Fibonacci retracement jo recent downward move par lagayi gayi thi, dikhati hai ke price ne pehle 61.8% retracement level par pause kiya. Lekin, ye level breach ho gaya, jo US dollar ki broad weakening ko indicate karta hai. Ab price ne 0.6695 par ek significant technical resistance level tak pahuncha hai, jo hamari expectations ke mutabiq hai.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI ab overbought zone ke qareeb hai, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke current bullish phase shayad apni taqat khatam kar raha hai. Ye signal hai ke jabke price thodi aur upar chal sakti hai, lekin further gains ka potential limited ho sakta hai, khas kar CCI ke overbought conditions ko dekhte hue.

Is context ko dekhte hue, jabke 0.6695 level tak thodi upar ki movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, ye zaroori hai ke uske baad ek potential corrective pullback anticipate kiya jaye. Agla support level jo dekhna hai wo 0.6632 hai, jo previous candles ke closing prices se derived hai. Ye level critical point of support ban sakta hai aur is taraf correction hona mumkin hai.

Jab price 0.6695 level ke qareeb pahunche, to choti timeframes, jaise M15 chart, par potential selling opportunities ko observe karna behtar rahega. Reversal pattern dekhne ki koshish karein jahan support level resistance ban sakta hai, jo downward move ke liye signal provide karega, towards the 0.6632 support level.

Corrective move ke expectation ko reinforce karta hai ke aaj koi significant economic news nahi hai, isliye immediate fundamental drivers corrective decline ko rokne ke liye nahi hain. Dusri major currency pairs bhi critical levels par pahunch chuki hain aur downward correction ke liye poised hain, jo broader market pullback ki likelihood ko aur support karti hai.

Summary mein, AUD/USD pair ne strong performance dikhayi hai by moving above the key resistance level at 0.6577 aur naya technical resistance level 0.6695 tak pahuncha hai. Lekin, CCI ke overbought conditions aur koi major news events na hone ke bawajood, 0.6632 support level ki taraf corrective pullback ki umeed hai. Traders ko 0.6695 ke qareeb potential selling opportunities ko monitor karna chahiye, khas kar choti timeframes par, aur further bullish positions consider karne se pehle ek possible retracement ke liye prepare rehna chahiye

Australian dollar (AUD) ne Friday ko US dollar (USD) ke muqablay mein mazid taqat dikhai, halaan ke Federal Reserve ki expected rate cut aur key US economic data ka intizar tha. AUD/USD pair ki performance ka zyada asar US dollar ki dynamics par tha, kyun ke Australia ne us din koi khaas economic data release nahi kiya. Investors US Producer Price Index (PPI) aur Michigan Consumer Confidence Index ki pehli value par ghor kar rahe the, jo baad mein din mein release hone wale the. Expected tha ke PPI September mein 1.6% barhega, jab ke core PPI ke 2.7% tak barhne ka andaza tha. Agar in reports mein koi weak result aata, to US dollar par pressure aata aur AUD/USD pair ko boost mil sakta tha. Federal Reserve se umeed thi ke wo interest rates mein kami karega, magar kitni bari cut hogi, yeh ab tak clear nahi tha. Agar expected se zyada rate cut hoti, to US dollar ko kuch support milta, jo AUD/USD ki upside ko limit kar sakti thi.

Technically, AUD/USD currency pair abhi tak ek ascending trend channel ke andar trade kar raha hai, jahan channel ke lower bound aur 100-day moving average (EMA) ke upar strong support nazar aata hai. Magar, Relative Strength Index (RSI) ki kamzori is baat ka ishara deti hai ke abhi bhi downside ka risk mojood hai. Pehli bullish barrier AUD/USD pair ke liye September 6 ko 0.6767 ke qareeb dekhne ko mili thi. Agar price is level ke upar break karti hai, to yeh bullish momentum ke continuation ka signal de sakti hai, aur agla target 0.6823 ka high point hoga, jo August 29 ko dekha gaya tha. Magar agar pair 0.6767 ke upar break nahi kar pati, to 50-day moving average jo 0.6714 par hai aur 200-day moving average jo 0.6620 par hai, un par resistance ka saamna karna par sakta hai.

Akhir mein, AUD/USD pair ki Friday ko performance zyada tar US dollar ki dynamics se mutasir rahi. Federal Reserve ki expected rate cut aur US economic data ka release agle chand dino mein dekhne layak hoga. Technically, pair abhi bullish trend mein trade kar raha hai, magar agar yeh 0.6767 level ke upar break nahi karti, to downside ka risk barh sakta hai.