aud/usd

AUD/USD Weekly Outlook: Technical Analysis aur Market Trends Nayi haftay ki shuruat ke sath, AUD/USD pair daily chart par ek notable technical scenario dikha raha hai. Price ne 0.6577 par key horizontal resistance level ke upar apni position establish kar li hai. Is level ke niche price ko wapas push karne ki koshishen ab tak unsuccessful rahi hain, jo market mein bullish sentiment ka izhaar karti hain.
Fibonacci retracement jo recent downward move par lagayi gayi thi, dikhati hai ke price ne pehle 61.8% retracement level par pause kiya. Lekin, ye level breach ho gaya, jo US dollar ki broad weakening ko indicate karta hai. Ab price ne 0.6695 par ek significant technical resistance level tak pahuncha hai, jo hamari expectations ke mutabiq hai.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI ab overbought zone ke qareeb hai, jo is baat ka ishara hai ke current bullish phase shayad apni taqat khatam kar raha hai. Ye signal hai ke jabke price thodi aur upar chal sakti hai, lekin further gains ka potential limited ho sakta hai, khas kar CCI ke overbought conditions ko dekhte hue.

Is context ko dekhte hue, jabke 0.6695 level tak thodi upar ki movement dekhne ko mil sakti hai, ye zaroori hai ke uske baad ek potential corrective pullback anticipate kiya jaye. Agla support level jo dekhna hai wo 0.6632 hai, jo previous candles ke closing prices se derived hai. Ye level critical point of support ban sakta hai aur is taraf correction hona mumkin hai.

Jab price 0.6695 level ke qareeb pahunche, to choti timeframes, jaise M15 chart, par potential selling opportunities ko observe karna behtar rahega. Reversal pattern dekhne ki koshish karein jahan support level resistance ban sakta hai, jo downward move ke liye signal provide karega, towards the 0.6632 support level.

Corrective move ke expectation ko reinforce karta hai ke aaj koi significant economic news nahi hai, isliye immediate fundamental drivers corrective decline ko rokne ke liye nahi hain. Dusri major currency pairs bhi critical levels par pahunch chuki hain aur downward correction ke liye poised hain, jo broader market pullback ki likelihood ko aur support karti hai.

Tareekhi tor par, China ke kareeb tareen trading partner ke tor par kisi bhi iktisadi taraqqi ka Australian dollar par aham asar hota hai. Aaj subah, AUD/USD jorha ne 0.6838 ka nau maheen ka uncha darja haasil kiya, jo ke chouthi mutawasat se sabz shama ki shakal mein tha. Is jorhay ne 200-day SMA par 0.6620 par ahm support dhoondha, jo darmiyani muddat ke buland dakhil ka dhanchay ko barqarar rakhta hai. Technical oscillators rozana chart par kuch mila jula signal de rahe hain. Stochastic ne overbought zone mein %K aur %D lines ke darmiyan bearish crossover banaya, lekin RSI ne 50 ke elaqay se upar apni bullish moqaam ko barqarar rakha.

Agar market aage dekhay, to AUD/USD par mazeed buland pressure 0.6870 se 0.6900 ke darmiyan resistance zone ko test kar sakta hai, jo ke December 2023 aur June 2023 mein haasil hone wale unche darje ko darshata hai. Agar Fed rate cuts ka amal karega, jaise ke andaza lagaya ja raha hai, to is se American dollar ki taqat kam ho sakti hai, jisse Australian dollar ko madad milaygi aur AUD/USD jorha upar ki taraf barh sakta hai. Traders aur investors Federal Reserve ke faislon aur China mein iktisadi taraqqi par nazar rakhain ge, kyunke ye dono ahem asraat daalenge currency movements par.



Natije ke tor par, monetary policy aur international iktisadi factors ka taluq AUD/USD jorhay aur wider financial markets ke liye ahem rahega, aur bohot se log is saal ke khatam hone par volatile landscape ki tawaqqo kar rahe hain. Ye observation buniyadi tajziya par mabni hai, jo ke mukhtalif iktisadi indicators ko darshata hai jo USD ki taqat ko negatively asar dal rahe hain. Traders aur market analysts ke liye ye zaroori hai ke wo un factors ka jaiza lein jo is market dynamics ka hissa hain aur samjhein ke ye aage chal kar kis tarah se movements ko asar daal sakte hain. Iqtisadi data, central bank ke faislay aur market sentiment sab currency valuations ko shape karne mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. In elements ki gehri samajh ke saath, traders behtar faislay le sakte hain jo unhein forex market ke hamesha tabdeel hotay hui halat se guzarne mein madad karte hain. Is liye, AUD/USD baad mein 0.6845 ke resistance level ko dobarah paar karega. Aur, is hafte USD ki kamzori ka sabab mukhtalif key iktisadi factors hain, jo buniyadi tajziya ke zariye samne aaye hain.

AUD/USD M5 chart
AUD/USD ka jo currency pair hai, wo is waqt upar ja raha hai aur interest rates mein koi tabdeeli nahi hui. Yeh upward trend barqarar reh sakta hai, magar 0.6738 ka level torna zaroori hai bearish traders ke liye, jo price ko wapas 0.6614 tak le ja sakte hain. Short time frames par ek chhoti divergence ban rahi hai jo aaj ke liye kisi badi growth ko rok sakti hai, is liye buying ka mashwara nahi diya ja raha kyunke price pehle hi kaafi barh chuki hai. Filhaal behtari isi mein hai ke market ke agay barhnay ka dekhain. Australian dollar is maqam par focus nahi hai. AUD/USD pair ka future direction aaj resistance test ke result par depend karega. Agar price 0.6901 ka level cross kar jata hai, toh 0.6896 ka resistance level support mein badal sakta hai, aur phir aur ziada decline mushkil lagta hai. AUD/USD ka daily chart secondary scenario ko follow kar raha hai, jahan price 0.6838 se upar barh kar 0.6872 tak chala gaya hai. Ab market aglay buying target ke qareeb hai, jo ke 0.6893 hai, aur ek resistance zone ka test hona hai jo 0.6893 se 0.6901 ke darmiyan hai, jiske baad downward rebound ho sakta hai. Australian dollar daily chart par ab tak barh raha hai, analyst ke pehle ke forecast ke bawajood. Price ne haal hi mein dono resistance aur support levels ko test kiya, jisse analyst ne range trading ko pasand kiya. Lekin price ne is range ko Monday ko cross kar liya, 0.6824 ke resistance ko cross karte hue. Jab din is level ke upar band hua, toh ab focus growth par hai jo ke aaj ke liye 0.6887 ke resistance tak ja sakta hai. Ab jab price is resistance ke qareeb hai, agar yeh is level ke aas paas close hota hai, toh focus aur ziada growth par shift ho jayega, jo ke 0.6949 ka resistance hai.



Price exchange rate, jo ke August ke start mein ek temporary decline ke baad, rebound ke asar dekh raha hai. Yeh rebound aik Japanese Hammer candlestick pattern ke banne ke baad dikhayi diya hai jo ke 4-hour aur daily charts par bana hai. Yeh technical indicator aksar ek trend reversal ka ishara hota hai, aur market ke jazbaat mein tabdeeli ka pata deta hai. Reserve Bank of Australia ka faisla ke interest rates ko unke mojooda level par rakhna, unke ehtiyat ke tareeqe ko dikhata hai, jo inflationary pressures ko sambhalne ke liye hai aur koi achanak policy changes karne se bachne ke liye hai. Dosri taraf, U.S. Federal Reserve ke insights bhi market expectations ko banane mein aham kirdar ada karte hain. Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman ne kaha hai ke inflation ke risks abhi tak mojood hain aur labor market bhi taqatwar hai, jo is baat ka ishara deti hai ke Fed apni September meeting mein rates cut karne mein hichkichahat mehsoos kar sakti hai. Yeh outlook AUD/USD ke dynamics mein ek aur layer of complexity dalta hai jab ke investors global economic signals ko assess karte hain.

AUD/USD D1 chart
AUD/USD pair ka price movement is waqt resistance 0.6839 ko test karne ki koshish kar raha hai taake apni upward rally ko jari rakh sake. Agar bullish trend mein direction ho, toh price ke upar jane ka imkaan ziada hota hai. Lekin agar yeh resistance 0.6839 ko break karne mein nakam hota hai ya rejection ka samna karta hai, toh price ka niche aana aur minor support 0.6795 tak correct hona mumkin hai. Agar dekha jaye toh price sirf EMA 50 tak correct hota hai bina SMA 200 ke dynamic support ko chhune ke, jo is baat ka signal hai ke current bullish trend kafi strong hai kyunke downward correction zyada gehra nahi hua.

Lekin Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ke perspective se dekha jaye toh uptrend momentum mein kamzori nazar aa rahi hai. Volume histogram jo positive area mein tha, ab level 0 ke qareeb aa raha hai aur yeh negative area mein cross karne ke imkanaat hain. Stochastic indicator price movement ke liye support de raha hai ke AUD/USD pair upar ki taraf move kare kyunke parameters oversold zone, yani level 20 - 10, ko cross kar chuke hain, jo yeh batata hai ke price decline selling ke saturation point tak pohanch chuki hai. Agar hum price pattern ko dekhein, toh yeh ab tak higher high aur higher low condition mein hai. Jab tak 0.6784 ka low price structure break nahi hota, jo ke invalidation level hai, price increase rally jari reh sakti hai.



Aaj jab price downward move ki taraf gaya, toh isne is channel ke lower boundary ko 0.6723 par touch kiya. Halankeh price ne thodi der ke liye is level ko breach kiya, lekin decline ko sustain nahi kar saka, aur ab yeh ruk gaya hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke reversal nahi ho raha, balki price wapas upar ki taraf move kar raha hai. Growth ka target descending channel ki upper limit, yani 0.6773, ho sakta hai. Aaj pair aur ziada niche gir gaya, aur initial target se guzar gaya. Chart dikhata hai ke pair ne 0.6719 ka support level test kiya aur ab yeh 0.6718 par trade ho raha hai. RSI buy zone mein hai lekin thoda hesitation dikhata hai, jabke AO ek potential oversold situation ka ishara de raha hai. Pair ki price kal ke trading range se neeche hai. Signals bilkul strong nahi hain, lekin yeh potential growth ki taraf ishara karte hain, aur price 0.6759 ke resistance level tak pohanch sakta hai.

Price Action Analysis: AUD/USD
Aaj humara topic hai AUD/USD currency pair ke price movements ka analysis. Is haftay AUD/USD pair ne zyadatar waqt upward trend mein guzara, lekin beech beech mein pullbacks bhi dekhne ko mile jo ke consistently mumkin the. Jumma ke din price ne 0.6923 ke resistance level ko test kiya, lekin bears ne thodi dair ke liye control le liya jisse retracement hua. Pair ne aakhir mein 0.6900 par settle kiya, jo ke levels ke beech ka markaz hai, aur yeh dikhata hai ke move abhi mukammal nahi hui thi. Is liye, weekend ke baad sellers is move ko mukammal karte hue price ko 0.6876 ke support level tak le ja sakte hain. Agar bulls pehle control le lein, toh price 0.6923 ke upar consolidate ho sakti hai, jo buyers ke liye ek potential entry point ho sakta hai. Lekin pehle signals yeh dikhate hain ke ek pullback hone ka imkaan hai jab tak pair ka agla direction wazeh nahi hota. Ek technical algorithm jo neural network ke andar hai, yeh dikhata hai ke price aur niche ja kar 0.6880 ke support level tak pohanch sakti hai. Bears ke paas abhi bhi price ko neeche le jane ka mauqa hai, is liye yeh scenario mumkin lagta hai.




Signal yeh dikhata hai ke ek bearish movement ka imkaan hai, lekin har dafa outcomes predicted scenario ko follow nahi karte. Buyers abhi bhi market mein aa kar price ko upar le ja sakte hain sab se qareebi resistance level tak aur shayad us se bhi upar. Magar ziada door ki speculation karna behtari nahi hai—behtar yeh hoga ke hum aglay kuch ghanton mein dekhain ke situation kaise unfold hoti hai. Price ne aakhir kar 38.1% Fibonacci retracement resistance level ko hit kiya aur break kiya, jo ke pehla significant point tha jiska main intezar kar raha tha. Agle haftay hum kya expect kar sakte hain? Agar price is resistance ke upar stabilize ho jaye, toh buyers ke paas kaafi momentum hoga pair ko upar le jane ke liye. Agla target 200-period moving average hoga, jo ke sirf chand points door hai, toh hum continued growth ko us level tak dekh sakte hain. Agar moving average se ek pullback hota hai, toh yeh ek behtareen buying opportunity ho sakti hai. Agar Bulls MA200 ko break kar lein, toh unka agla goal 50% level hoga. Chahe retracement ho ya nahi, setup buyers ke liye promising lag raha hai.

Price Action Magic: AUD/USD
Humari guftagu ka markaz hai AUD/USD currency pair ka live evaluation. Market mein buyers ki koshishain barqarar hain, aur AUD/USD pair ka uptrend 4-hour chart par dekhne ko mil raha hai, jo 0.6625 ke support level se shuru ho raha hai. Technical analysis ke mutabiq clear buying signals mojood hain, aur do indicators isko confirm karte hain. MACD oscillator ka histogram negative zone se cross karte hue positive territory mein chala gaya hai, aur moving average bhi upward trend mein hai. Sab signs yeh dikhate hain ke price smoothly barhta rahega, aur 0.6824 ka level cross karne ke imkanaat hain. Agar price kam az kam aadha fasla tay kar leta hai aur position profitable hoti hai, toh stop loss ko breakeven par move karna aqalmandi hogi. Jab AUD/USD pair 0.6794 ke resistance area ke qareeb pohanchta hai, toh sirf ek chhoti rukawat 0.6767 par hai, jise candle body ne hissa tor par cross kar liya hai. Agle kuch dinon mein is candle ka close hona aham hoga.



Tuesday ko Australian dollar thoda mazboot hua. European session mein Australian dollar 0.6845 par trade kar raha tha, jo ke din ka 0.12% ka izafa hai. Aaj subha AUD/USD ne 0.6869 ka high dekha, jo is saal ka sabse uncha level hai. Reserve Bank of Australia ne cash rate ko 4.35% par barqarar rakha, jo ke expected tha. Markazi bank ne 12 saal ke high par rates ko chhati martaba barqarar rakha. Rate announcement par Australian dollar mein zyada harkat dekhne ko nahi mili. RBA ka kehna hai ke inflation abhi bhi zyada hai. RBA ne apne statement mein tasleem kiya ke inflation kafi had tak kam hua hai lekin "target se abhi bhi upar hai aur persistent hai," aur unka pehla maqsad inflation ko 2-3% ke target range mein lana hai. RBA ke members ne unsure economic conditions par fikr ka izhar kiya, jisme GDP ka second quarter mein kamzor hona aur China ke slowdown ka commodity prices par asar shamil hai. Meeting ke baad wali press conference mein Governor Bullock ne phir se yeh kaha ke RBA agle kuch waqt mein interest rates cut karne ka nahi soch raha. August mein unhone wazeh kiya tha ke "early deadline" ka matlab hai agle chhay mahinay, yani RBA 2025 ke shuruat se pehle rates cut nahi karega. Bullock ne yeh bhi kaha ke RBA ne aaj ki meeting mein rate hike ko consider nahi kiya, jo ke shayad ek thoda dovish move hai.

AUD/USD pair Monday ko 0.6922 tak chala gaya, jo February 2023 ke baad se sabse uncha point hai. Yeh izafa zyada tar China ke economic stimulus measures ke elan ki wajah se hua hai, jo Australia ka sabse bara trading partner hai. China ki economy mein iss taraqi se Australia ki commodities ki demand barh sakti hai, aur un currencies ko mazbooti mil sakti hai jo China ke trade se juri hui hain.
Iske ilawa, Australian dollar ko US dollar ke kamzori se bhi faida hua, jo ke US ke disappointing economic data ki wajah se aayi thi. Is wajah se market mein yeh umeed barh gayi ke Federal Reserve interest rates ko jaldi se cut karne ka soch raha hai.

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ne September meeting mein apna interest rate 4.35% par barqarar rakha, jo yeh dikhata hai ke filhal monetary policy mein koi tabdeeli nahi hogi. RBA ka ehtiyaati rukh yeh hai ke woh inflation aur employment trends par nazar rakhte huye, dosri global central banks ke pace se match karne ki zarurat nahi samajh raha.

Is hafte Australian dollar ke liye bara hafta hoga. Australia retail sales, construction, aur mukhtalif business indicators ke data release karega jo currency ke trajectory ko asar kar sakta hai.

AUD/USD market fifth wave of growth ko barhata ja raha hai, aur 0.6925 ke aas paas ek consolidation range ban rahi hai. Upar ke breakout ka imkaan hai jiska target 0.6983 hai. Agar price iss level tak pohanchta hai, toh ek correction ho kar 0.6925 ko retest kar sakta hai. Agar bullish momentum barh gaya, toh agla target 0.7033 ho sakta hai. MACD indicator iss bullish scenario ko support kar raha hai kyunke signal line zero se upar hai.

Hourly chart par AUD/USD ne 0.6926 tak ka uptrend form kiya hai aur ab iss level ke thoda neeche consolidate kar raha hai. Agar pair iss range se neeche break karta hai, toh correction ka imkaan 0.6877 tak ho sakta hai. Agar upar break hota hai, toh uptrend barh kar 0.6982 tak ja sakta hai aur shayad 0.7033 tak bhi pohanch sakta hai. Stochastic Oscillator jo ke abhi 80 ke upar hai aur downtrend mein hai, yeh suggest karta hai ke ek short-term pullback ho sakta hai aglay izafay se pehle.

Canadian Dollar Analysis
Limited Movement on Wednesday

Buda, Canadian dollar ne foreign exchange market mein limited movement dikhayi. European session ke doran, USD/CAD pair 1.3555 par trade kar raha tha, jo 0.08% ki halki kami ko darshata hai. Ye relatively stable movement yeh darshata hai ke market participants key economic news ka intezar kar rahe hain.

Bank of Canada Rate Decision

Bank of Canada (BoC) jaldi apne monetary policy rate ka faisla sunane wala hai. Analysts 25 basis points (bps) ki rate cut ki umeed kar rahe hain, jo BoC ki taraf se tisri consecutive cut hogi. Ye kisi bhi badi central bank ki taraf se aakhri waqt mein sab se bara rate cut hoga, jo Canada ki economy ke saamne aane wale challenges ko highlight karta hai.

Economic Context









Aakhir mein, Canadian dollar ki stability potential rate cuts ke darmiyan broader economic challenges ko darshata hai, jahan Bank of Canada economy ko support karte hue inflation aur labor market ki sehat ko manage karne ki koshish kar raha hai. Aane wale rate decision aur U.S. employment data releases market sentiment aur currency movements par aham asar

AUD/USD Ka Tajziya

Market Ka Iftitah Aur Sellers Ka Yaqeen

• AUD/USD pair ne aaj ek significant farq ke sath market kholi, jo Asian session ke dauran fill ho gaya, aur sellers pur yaqeen ke sath price ko upper levels ki taraf dhakel rahe hain.
• Lekin, ek possibility hai ke price sideways pattern ke upper boundary ki taraf dobara retest kare.
• Resistance levels jo dekhnay ke qabil hain woh 0.66986 ya 0.67141 hain analysis ke mutabiq.

Mumkinah Scenarios

• Agar resistance level par ek reversal candle banti hai, to price downward movement shuru kar sakti hai.
• Agar yeh plan kaamyaab hota hai, to support levels jo target honge woh 0.65761 ya 0.65580 ho sakte hain.

AUD/USD Par Asar Daalnay Walay Factors

• Australia ki inflation abhi tak RBA ke 2% target se zyada hai, is wajah se policy rate ko is saal 4.35% par rakha gaya hai.
• AUD/USD pair ko 0.6650 par temporary support mila tha lekin rising USD ke pressure ka samna karna pada.

USD Ki Taqat Aur Cautious Jazba

• USD ki taqat market expectations se aayi ke Federal Reserve apni current interest rate policy ko mazeed arsay ke liye barqarar rakhegi.
• Kamzor economic data, jaise ke global flash PMI numbers ke mutabiq expectations se neeche, ne USD ke hawale se ehtiyaati jazba paida kiya.
• Aane wale US PMI numbers ke mumkinah kami ke expectations bhi market ko asar kar sakti hain.

Central Bank Actions Aur RBA Ka Manzar Nama

• Hal hi mein BOC, ECB, aur SNB ke rate cuts ne market mein uncertainty ko barhaya hai.
• Lekin, RBA se qareebi waqt mein kisi bhi action ki umeed nahi hai.

Yeh technical setup AUD/USD pair ki future direction ke bare mein qeemti insights faraham karta hai. Daily chart dikha raha hai ke pair iss waqt ascending channel pattern ki lower boundary ko test kar raha hai. Aise price action se kuch bullish bias ki weakness ka pata chalta hai, magar abhi tak yeh kisi full bearish reversal ka signal nahi hai. Ascending channel yeh suggest karta hai ke is weakness ke bawajood, pair ne overall upward trend maintain kiya hua hai, aur pichlay kuch mahinon mein buyers ne market par control rakha hai.

Pair ka iss lower boundary ko test karna kafi important hai. Ascending channels aksar higher highs aur higher lows se mutaliq hotay hain, iska matlab hai ke prices kabhi kabar retrace ya pull back kar sakti hain, lekin overall movement ab bhi upward rehti hai. Jab qeemat lower boundary ke qareeb hoti hai, to yeh aksar ek key support level ke tor par kaam karti hai. Agar price is level par hold karti hai aur bounce back karti hai, to yeh is baat ka ishara ho sakta hai ke bulls ab bhi market mein control mein hain aur pair ko aglay sessions mein aur ooper le ja sakte hain.

Magar, pair ki jo current weakness hai, wo yeh bhi indicate karti hai ke upward momentum kamzor ho raha hai, aur channel ke tootne ka imkaan bhi hai. Agar aisa hota hai, to yeh ek trend reversal ka signal ho sakta hai, aur price short-term mein neeche ja sakti hai. Traders ko price action ko closely monitor karna hoga taake yeh determine kar sakein ke pair apni upward trend ko continue karega ya deeper correction honay wali hai.

Ek key technical indicator jo bullish momentum ko support karta hai wo 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) hai. RSI abhi tak 50 level ke upar hai, jo ek bullish signal hai. Aam tor par jab RSI 50 ke upar hota hai to iska matlab hai ke buying pressure ab bhi mojood hai, jabke 50 ke neeche ka matlab selling pressure hota hai. Yeh baat ke RSI abhi tak bullish territory mein hai, yeh indicate karti hai ke current pullback temporary ho sakta hai, aur overall trend upward rehne ke chances hain.

Iske ilawa, pair iss lower boundary ko ek critical level ke qareeb test kar raha hai—jo ke nine-month high 0.6839 hai, jo 3 October ko dekha gaya tha. Yeh high ek significant resistance level hai jise pair ko break karna hoga taake upward trend continue ho sake. Agar pair successfully is boundary ko test karta hai aur apni position support line ke upar rakhta hai, to bullish momentum dobara barh sakta hai, aur price ko recent high tak ya uske aage le jaa sakta hai.

Market dynamics ke hawale se, lagta hai ke traders kisi clear signal ka intezaar kar rahe hain taake naye positions khol sakein. Key levels jo dekhne ki zaroorat hai wo lower boundary hain jo ke takreeban 0.6820 par hai, aur resistance jo 0.6839 ke aas-paas hai. Agar price channel ke neeche break karti hai, to agay aur girawat ka rasta khul sakta hai, jabke agar pair is boundary ke upar rehta hai aur ooper jata hai, to yeh bullish trend ke continuation ka signal ho sakta hai aur nine-month high ka dobara test mumkin hai.

AUD/USD pair ka technical outlook abhi mixed hai, ascending channel ek bullish trend show kar raha hai lekin recent price action kuch weakness dikha raha hai. RSI abhi tak bullish territory mein hai, jo yeh indicate karta hai ke buyers ab bhi mojood hain. Lekin price ka is lower boundary ke upar hold karna bohot critical hoga. Is area mein ane wale price movements ek clearer picture faraham karenge ke kya pair apni upward trend ko continue karega ya phir correction expected hai. Traders ko in key technical levels ko closely dekhte rehna chahiye aur next move ke confirmation ka intezaar karna chahiye.

AUD/USD ka Tajziya (Analysis)
1. Muqadima (Introduction)
AUD/USD ek mashhoor currency pair hai jo Australian Dollar (AUD) aur US Dollar (USD) ke darmiyan trading ko represent karta hai. Yeh pair commodity-driven economies ka izhar karta hai, jahan Australia ki economy ko aksar commodities jaise ke iron ore aur coal ke exports par rely kartay dekha jata hai, jabke America ek large diversified economy hai. AUD/USD ka movement aksar global commodities ki prices, US aur Australian economic data, aur global risk sentiment se mutasir hota hai.

2. Recent Trend (Haal ka Rujhan)
Aaj kal AUD/USD ne kafi bearish trend dikhaya hai. Pair ne recent weeks mein selling pressure face kiya hai, jo USD ke strength aur AUD ki kamzori ko izhar karta hai. Global market uncertainty, jese ke China ke economic slowdown aur commodities ki prices mein girawat, AUD par negative asar dal rahe hain. Abhi AUD/USD 0.6350 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, jo ke ek key support level samjha jata hai.

3. Economic Indicators ka Asar (Impact of Economic Indicators)
AUD/USD ka movement aksar Australian aur US ke economic data par depend karta hai. For example, agar US ka GDP strong hota hai ya Federal Reserve interest rates ko barhata hai, to USD ki demand barh jati hai aur AUD/USD gir jata hai. Dusri taraf, agar Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) interest rates ko stable rakhta hai ya kum karta hai, to AUD par pressure barhta hai. Employment data, inflation reports, aur consumer confidence bhi is pair ke movement mein bara kirdar ada kartay hain.

4. Commodities aur Global Risk Sentiment (Commodities and Global Risk Sentiment)
Australia ek commodities-driven economy hai, is liye AUD/USD ka direct taluq iron ore, gold, aur coal ki prices se hota hai. Agar commodities ki prices barhti hain, to AUD strong hota hai, jabke prices ke girne se AUD par negative asar hota hai. China, jo Australia ka bara trading partner hai, ke economic slowdown ka AUD/USD par significant asar hota hai, kyunkay China ke demand mein girawat se Australian exports ko nuqsan hota hai. Global risk sentiment bhi AUD/USD ke liye aham hai; jab risk appetite kam hota hai, investors safe haven USD mein invest kartay hain, jo AUD/USD ko neeche le aata hai.

5. Technical Analysis (Techniki Tajziya)
Technically, AUD/USD abhi 0.6350 ke aas-paas ek strong support level pe trade kar raha hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, to pair mazid bearish momentum dikhate hue 0.6300 tak gir sakta hai. RSI indicator abhi oversold zone mein hai, jo yeh izhar karta hai ke shayad pair short-term rebound kare. Dusri taraf, agar pair 0.6450 ke resistance level ko breach karta hai, to ek bullish recovery ka chance ban sakta hai.

6. Khatma (Conclusion)
AUD/USD abhi ek bearish phase mein hai, jahan multiple factors jese ke global commodities prices, US Dollar strength, aur China ke economic conditions ka asar hai. Short-term mein AUD/USD key support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhnay wala pair hai. Economic data releases aur central banks ki monetary policies ka tajziya karke traders apni strategies ko adjust karte hain. Is waqt, market ko closely monitor karna zaroori hai kyunkay AUD/USD ka future movement in tamam factors pe depend karega.

Spot price ne DXY ke muqable mein teesre din bhi girawat jari rakhi, aur budh ke din 0.6880 ke qareeb tha. Shuru mein RBA Governor Michele Bullock ke hawkish remarks ki wajah se kuch sahara mila, magar baad mein price dabao mein aagayi. Bullock ne RBA ki tawajjo ko inflation risks par qaboo paane ke liye rate cuts na karne ka irada zahir kiya. Yeh strategy inflation ko rokne aur iqtisadi stability ko barqarar rakhne ke darmiyan balance qaim karne ki koshish hai, jaisa ke ABC News ne report kiya.
RBNZ ka Rate Cut aur Market ke Reactions:

Market ko Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) ke unexpected rate cut ne mazeed mutasir kiya, jisme rates mein 25 basis points ka kami ki gayi. Saath hi, RBNZ ne yeh bhi zahir kiya ke 50-basis-point ka cut bhi barhawa diya gaya tha. Is move ne Kiwi aur Australian Dollar par bhi bura asar dala. Is dauran chahe US Dollar kamzor hua, lekin AUD/USD pair ne apna girawat jari rakhi, iski wajah copper aur iron ore futures ka girna tha, jo ke Australia ke aham exports hain.

Cheen ke Iqtisadi Slowdown ka Asar:

Cheen se anay wali kharab credit data aur kamzor commodities ki demand ne Australian Dollar ki mushkilat ko barhawa diya. Australia ke liye Cheen ek bara trading partner hai, aur iron ore jaise commodities ki kamzor demand market ke jazbat ko seedha asar daalti hai. Yeh commodities ki zyada supply aur Cheen ke iqtisadi slowdown ke saath, AUD par mazeed dabao daal rahi hai.

Inflation aur Labor Market ki Pareshaniyan:

RBA ke Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser ne yeh bhi wazeh kiya ke persistent inflation ka sabab weak supply chains aur tight labor market hain. Yeh asbaab iqtisadi forecast ko naqabil-e-peshgoi bana rahe hain. Isi tarah, US Federal Reserve ki Governor Michelle Bowman ne yeh bataya ke inflation risks ab bhi barhawa par hain, aur US labor market ki mazbooti Fed ko September ke meeting mein interest rates cut karne se rok sakti hai, jaisa ke Bloomberg ne report kiya.

AUD/USD ka Technical Analysis:

Is pair ke liye agla bara support 0.6875 ke qareeb hai, agar is point ke neeche gir gaya to pair 0.6850 tak chala ja sakta hai. Agar bearish momentum jari raha, to 0.6800 ke aham psychological level ke neeche girawat yeh zahir karegi ke recent upward trend khatam ho gaya hai, aur market ka rujhan sellers ke haq mein ho jayega.

Technical Indicators:

Relative Strength Index (RSI) ke hisaab se market balance mein hai, kyunke yeh 50 ke qareeb hai, magar RSI thoda northward point kar raha hai, jo ek bullish signal ki nishani ho sakta hai. Traders ghor se dekh rahe hain ke AUD/USD 0.6800 ke upar reh sakta hai ya nahi, jab ke resistance 0.6903 ke aas paas expect kiya ja raha hai.

AUD/USD Price Recap

Hum filhal AUD/USD currency pair ke dynamic pricing behavior ka jaiza le rahe hain. Kal, AUD/USD pair 0.6867 tak gira, jo ke M15 aur H1 time frames dono ko todta hai, lekin baad mein ye 0.6917 tak recover ho gaya, M15 trend ko bullish mein badalte hue. Lekin is ne resistance ka samna kiya, jo ke ek aur giraawat ka sabab bana, jabke H1 time frame ab bhi bearish hai. Ye bearish trend jaari reh sakta hai, aur M15 shayad phir se bearish territory mein wapas aa jaye, jo ke price ko 0.6826 tak le ja sakta hai. Is level par, joڑی ko support mil sakta hai aur ye phir se growth ki taraf wapas aa sakti hai, lekin agar ye support nahi milta to giraawat aur aage barh sakti hai, bullish H4 zone 0.6791-0.6761 ki taraf, jahan H4 aur daily bullish trends dono se rebound hone ki umeed hai. M15 trend ko phir se bullish banne ke liye, jo ko aaj ki high 0.6917 ko todna hoga, taake ye bearish H1 range 0.6917-0.6931 ko challenge kar sake, shayad phir se pullback karne se pehle. Agar H1 bearish trend ka decisive breakout hota hai, to ye 0.6944 ki high tak le ja sakta hai.

AUD/USD Pair Analysis

AUD/USD pair filhal aik narrow range mein trade kar raha hai, jo ke hourly chart par 200-period moving average se recent bounce ke baad hai, aur ye crucial level se upar reh raha hai. Ye buyers ke liye aik positive nishan hai, kyunki agar upward movement jari rahi, to joڑی naye highs tak pohanch sakti hai. Halankeh price kai dafa reversal ke baad wapas gir chuki hai, lekin ab tak moving average ko dobara test nahi kiya, isliye aik aur test ka imkaan hai. Is wajah se, main is waqt kisi bhi trade ki recommendation dene mein hesitant hoon.

Agar 200-period moving average ke neeche price girti hai, to targets shayad four-hour chart par isi level ki taraf shift ho sakte hain. Weekly chart par, price moving average ke kareeb hai, jo ke apne peak ke thoda neeche hai, jo buyers ke liye aik target ban sakta hai. AUD/USD pair hourly chart par uptrend dikhata hai, jahan price 133-period moving average ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jo bullish direction ko confirm karta hai.

AUD/USD ka Technical Analysis
Halankeh daily range chhoti rahi, lekin key pairs mein price swings ab bhi kafi turbulent hain. AUD/USD ne magar Tuesday ko apne daily period mein ek bullish candle banayi. Kyunke recent range ne 110 pip cross kiya hai, yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke power buyers ab bhi market ko control kar rahe hain. Ab tak ke price movement ke trend ke mutabiq, price ke dobara barhnay ke imkanaat ab bhi zyada hain. Europe ke plains par jari jang ke hawale se, haven assets bhi mazid barh sakte hain. H1 time frame mein price ab bhi bullish rujhan dikhata hai. Agar price upper trend line ko resistance ke tor par torne mein kamyab hoti hai, to AUD/USD dobara upar ki janib move kar sakta hai. Aisi soorat mein AUD/USD market mein buy entry ka mauqa dekhna behtar ho ga. Is waqt buyers AUD/USD market par dominant hain.

Is dauran, H4 time frame mein price ne 0.6780 par resistance level ko tor diya hai. Yeh ek bullish indication hai jo higher prices ki nishani hai. Agar Resistance level ka successful breakout hota hai, to AUD/USD dobara 0.6885 ko apna agla bullish target bana sakta hai. Yeh imkaan hai ke AUD/USD aanay wale dinon ya hafton mein Resistance area ko test karega, jo ke seller's red box se zahir kiya gaya hai. Best action yeh ho ga ke European session mein aaj dopehar ko Buy entry signal talash kiya jaye. Sab members ko yehtiyat karte hue buy entry dekhni chahiye.

Pehle ke data ko dekhte hue, yeh zahir tha ke euro-dollar pair ko 0.6810 par buy karna zaroori tha. Is natije mein, mein aik mazid mazboot level ka intezar kar raha tha, jo thoda neeche 0.6770 par hai. Main bas iss baat ka aadi hoon ke hamesha stop se buy karta hoon. Misal ke tor par, agar agla mazboot level 160 points door hai, to mera stop 50 se zyada nahi hona chahiye.

AUD/USD ka Technical Analysis
Halankeh daily range chhoti rahi, lekin key pairs mein price swings ab bhi kafi turbulent hain. AUD/USD ne magar Tuesday ko apne daily period mein ek bullish candle banayi. Kyunke recent range ne 110 pip cross kiya hai, yeh is baat ka ishara hai ke power buyers ab bhi market ko control kar rahe hain. Ab tak ke price movement ke trend ke mutabiq, price ke dobara barhnay ke imkanaat ab bhi zyada hain. Europe ke plains par jari jang ke hawale se, haven assets bhi mazid barh sakte hain. H1 time frame mein price ab bhi bullish rujhan dikhata hai. Agar price upper trend line ko resistance ke tor par torne mein kamyab hoti hai, to AUD/USD dobara upar ki janib move kar sakta hai. Aisi soorat mein AUD/USD market mein buy entry ka mauqa dekhna behtar ho ga. Is waqt buyers AUD/USD market par dominant hain.

Is dauran, H4 time frame mein price ne 0.6780 par resistance level ko tor diya hai. Yeh ek bullish indication hai jo higher prices ki nishani hai. Agar Resistance level ka successful breakout hota hai, to AUD/USD dobara 0.6885 ko apna agla bullish target bana sakta hai. Yeh imkaan hai ke AUD/USD aanay wale dinon ya hafton mein Resistance area ko test karega, jo ke seller's red box se zahir kiya gaya hai. Best action yeh ho ga ke European session mein aaj dopehar ko Buy entry signal talash kiya jaye. Sab members ko yehtiyat karte hue buy entry dekhni chahiye.

Pehle ke data ko dekhte hue, yeh zahir tha ke euro-dollar pair ko 0.6810 par buy karna zaroori tha. Is natije mein, mein aik mazid mazboot level ka intezar kar raha tha, jo thoda neeche 0.6770 par hai. Main bas iss baat ka aadi hoon ke hamesha stop se buy karta hoon. Misal ke tor par, agar agla mazboot level 160 points door hai, to mera stop 50 se zyada nahi hona chahiye.