Gold

Comprehensive analysis par mabni trading
GOLD
Assalam Alaikum! Kal, gold ne aitemad ke sath $2,725 fi ounce ki muzahmati satah ko tod kar uske ooper mustahkam ho gaya. Yah mumkena tezi ka ishara karta hai. $2,760 fi ounce ki satah ab darmiyani muzahmat ka kam karti hai. Reverse test ke liye $2,725 ke nishan par wapas aane se pahle wahan pahunchna accha hoga.




Jaisa keh maine sal ke aaghaz me hi tajwiz kiya tha, tareekhi bulandiyon se ooper qadam aka waqt qarib hi hai. Shayad sona thodi der ke liye apna rukh badalne ki koshish karega, aur fauran ek nayi record unchaiyon par pahunchna mumkin nahin hoga, lekin mujhe lagta hai keh assets agle mahine $3,000 fi ounce ka pasandidah nishan dekhega. Lehaza, mai tajwiz karta hun keh aap darmiyani muddat me sone par long jane par gaur karein.

XAU/USD ka current dynamic yeh hai ke Asian session mein halka sa growth dekhne ko mil raha hai, aur price 2520.00 level ko test kar raha hai. Investors ab U.S. inflation data ka intezaar kar rahe hain jo Federal Reserve (Fed) ke interest rate decisions ko influence kar sakta hai.
Inflation ke hawalay se expectations:


Analysts ka maanna hai ke annual consumer price index August mein 2.9% se kam hoke 2.5% ho jayega. Monthly inflation 0.2% barhne ka imkaan hai, aur core index stable rahega. Agar inflation zyada barhta hai, toh Fed cautious approach apna sakta hai, jo rate cuts mein delay laa sakta hai.
ECB ka asar:


European Central Bank (ECB) ke Thursday ko interest rate 25 basis points kam kar ke 4.00% karne ki umeed hai, jo gold prices ko support de sakta hai. Germany ki inflation 1.9% tak gir gayi hai, jo March 2021 ke baad sabse kam hai, aur ECB ke monetary policy ko ease karne ka support karti hai.
Support aur Resistance Levels:

• Resistance Levels: 2525.00, 2540.00, 2555.00, 2570.00
• Support Levels: 2510.00, 2500.00, 2483.64, 2470.00

Daily chart par Bollinger Bands consolidation show kar raha hai, jo price range ko narrow karte hue uptrend mein pause indicate karta hai. MACD weak buy signal deta hai, lekin Stochastic short term mein overbought situation ka ishara kar raha hai.
Business Strategy:

• Long Positions: Agar price 2525.00 se upar jata hai toh long position lein, target 2555.00 rakhain aur Stop Loss 2510.00 par set karein (1-2 din ka timeframe).
• Short Positions: Agar 2525.00 se price reject hota hai aur 2510.00 se neeche girta hai toh short position lein, target 2483.64 aur Stop Loss 2525.00 rakhein.

Gold market critical point par hai, aur aane wala economic data price direction ko decide karega. Indicators aur announcements par nazar rakhni zaroori hai taake strategy ko adjust kar sakein.
Stochastic Analysis aur Buying Opportunity:


Abhi H4 timeframe mein stochastic indicator suggest karta hai ke gold market correction kar sakta hai. Is liye, 2501 level par order lagane se pehle thoda wait karna behtar hoga. Chhoti timeframes (M30 ya M15) ka use kar ke buying opportunity dekhein. Stop Loss support area (2484) par set karein aur target highest resistance (2531) par rakhein.

Yeh chhoti si analysis gold market ke hawalay se share kar raha hoon. Umeed hai ke yeh fellow investment forum members ke liye madadgar hogi.

GOLD Gold ke qeemat European trade mein Monday ko barh gayi, aur chaar hafton ki low se door ho kar teesre din lagataar izafa record karte hue $2600 ke upar apni position barqarar rakhi.

Fed Officials Ki Remarks Ka Intezaar
Market ab kuch Fed officials ke remarks ka intezaar kar rahi hai, jo January mein interest rate cut ke chances ke baare mein clues provide kar sakte hain.

Gold ke qeemat 0.4% barh kar $2633 per ounce tak pohanchi, jabke session-low $2617 tha.

Friday ko gold ne 1.1% ka izafa kiya, jo teesre din ka lagataar faida tha, aur chaar hafton ki lowest level $2583 se door tha.

Pichle hafte gold ki qeemat 0.95% neeche gayi thi, jo ek mahine mein teesra weekly loss tha, bullish Federal Reserve policy meeting ke baad.

US Rates
Fedwatch tool ke mutabiq, January mein 0.25% Federal Reserve interest rate cut ke chances sirf 9% hain.

San Francisco Fed President Mary Dale aur do aur Fed policymakers ne kaha ke agle saal rate cuts wapas start honi chahiye, lekin yeh kaam dheere ho sakta hai kyun ke recalibration period khatam ho gaya hai.

SPDR Gold Holdings
SPDR Gold Trust mein gold holdings Friday ko 16.66 tons barh gayi, jo January 2022 ke baad se sabse bara daily izafa hai, total holdings 877.40 tons ho gayi hain, jo November 27 ke baad se highest hain.

US Dollar Aur Gold Ka Outlook: Mixed Sentiment
US Dollar ne mixed economic data release hone ke baad resilience dikhayi, jisme weaker-than-expected durable goods orders aur core durable goods orders ka dip shamil tha. Dollar Index (DXY) apni strength barqarar rakha hua hai, ongoing economic uncertainty aur 2025 mein slower Federal Reserve interest rate cuts ki umeed ki wajah se.

Dusri taraf, gold $2,618 ke aas paas stable raha, geopolitical tensions aur safe-haven asset ki apni role ki wajah se. Lekin gold ki upside potential limited hai firm U.S. dollar aur rising bond yields ki wajah se, jo safe-haven demand aur yield-seeking investors ke darmiyan ek tug-of-war create karte hain.

US Dollar Index (DXY) – Technical Analysis
Dollar Index (DXY) $108.159 par trade kar raha hai, jo 0.07% ka slight izafa show karta hai. Price key pivot point $107.998 ke upar hai, jo bullish potential ko indicate karta hai.

50-day EMA $107.859 upward momentum ko support karta hai, jabke 200-day EMA $107.051 long-term bullish trend ko show karta hai.

Agar DXY immediate resistance $108.541 ke upar break karta hai, to aur zyada gains $108.901 tak ho sakte hain. Lekin agar yeh $107.998 se neeche girta hai, to bearish shift support levels $107.603 aur $107.181 tak le ja sakti hai. Filhal upward channel buying pressure ko support kar raha hai U.S. dollar ke liye

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Gold Pechle 4 weeks Se Musalsal Bullish Movement me Hai

Gold ya XAUUSD forex market mein musalsal bullish movement mein hai, aur ziadda tar tajzeya kar iss ko New president Donald Trump ki new policies se mutabeqat k bena par keh rahe hen. Gold ki prices Friday ko barh gayin, jab dollar apne aksar major rivals ke muqable me kamzor hua, aur precious metal ne lagatar chauthe hafte ka profit mark kiya.

US President Donald Trump ne Thursday ko World Economic Forum, Davos ke foran pehle apni aggressive aur alarmist baaton ke sath speech di, jo kabhi-kabhi dhamkiyon se bhari hui thi.

Trump ne tariffs, inflation, aur international relations par baat ki, aur kaha ke wo US aur puri duniya me lower interest rates push karne ka irada rakhte hain.

Unka maanna hai ke overspending ne ek catastrophic inflationary problem aur historically high interest rates ko janam diya.

Trump ne duniya ke har company ko message diya ke wo US me apne products banayen, jahan par unhe bohot low taxes ka faida hoga.

Economic Indicators
US ka combined S&P Global PMI January me kaafi slow ho gaya aur 52.4 par pohanch gaya, jo pehle 55.4 tha, aur ye nine-month low ko mark karta hai.
Services PMI December ke 56.8 se gir kar 52.8 par aaya, jo bhi ek nine-month trough hai.
Lekin manufacturing PMI growth karte hue 50.1 par pohanch gaya, jo December ke 49.4 se barh kar hai, aur estimates 49.8 se zyada hai. Ye saath mahine ka high mark karta hai.

Dusri taraf, dollar index 0.6% gir kar 107.4 par aaya as of 19:49 GMT, jahan session-high 108.1 aur low 107.2 raha.

Trading me, gold spot prices 0.6% barh kar $2890.7 per ounce pohanch gayi as of 20:29 GMT, aur weekly profit 1.1% raha.

Gold Prices Forecast: Record Highs Ka Imkaan
Gold ke bullish momentum se lagta hai ke iska all-time high $2,790.17 dubara test ho sakta hai. Dollar ki weakness aur tariffs aur trade policy ke aaspaas ka uncertainty ek favorable backdrop banata hai, jo prices ko mazeed upar le ja sakta hai.

Agle hafte ke liye, traders ko tariff announcements aur risk sentiment ke shifts par nazar rakhni chahiye, jo price action ke liye key drivers honge.

Gold market ke hawale se ye bhi zaroori hai ke geopolitical tensions aur central banks ki monetary policy updates par bhi focus rakha jaye, kyunke ye bhi prices ko asar andaz kar sakti hain. Gold apne safe haven asset ki reputation ko mazboot rakhte hue ek strong uptrend me hai, aur market participants is mauqe ka faida uthane ke liye ready lagte hain.

Current Dynamics
XAU/USD jo pair hai, woh aaj Asian session mein halka growth show kar raha hai aur 2520.00 level test kar raha hai. Yeh movement investors ki taraf se US inflation data ka intezar karte huye ho rahi hai, jo Federal Reserve (Fed) ke future interest rate decisions ko effect kar sakti hai.

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Inflation Expectations
Analysts ka kehna hai ke annual consumer price index August mein 2.9% se gir ke 2.5% ho sakti hai. Monthly inflation ka 0.2% barhna expect kiya ja raha hai, jabke core index stable rehne ki umeed hai.
Agar inflationary pressures mein izafa hota hai, to Fed zyada cautious ho sakta hai, aur rate cuts delay ho sakti hain.

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ECB ka Asar
European Central Bank (ECB) Thursday ko interest rates 25 basis points se cut karke 4.00% par lana chahta hai, jo gold prices ko support de sakta hai. Germany ka inflation 1.9% tak gir gaya hai, jo March 2021 ke baad lowest level hai. Yeh ECB ke policy ko relax karne ke faisle ko support karta hai.

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Support aur Resistance Levels
Daily chart par Bollinger Bands consolidation ko indicate karte hain, jo price range ka narrow hone ka pata dete hain. MACD weak buy signal show karta hai, aur Stochastic suggest karta hai ke gold short term mein overbought ho sakta hai.

• Resistance: 2525.00, 2540.00, 2555.00, 2570.00
• Support: 2510.00, 2500.00, 2483.64, 2470.00

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Business Strategy

1. Long Positions:
   Agar price 2525.00 ke upar break karta hai, to long positions open karni chahiye jiska target 2555.00 ho. Stop Loss 2510.00 par set karein, aur time frame 1-2 din ka rakhein.
2. Short Positions:
   Agar price 2525.00 par reject hota hai aur 2510.00 ke neeche girta hai, to short positions open karni chahiye jiska target 2483.64 ho. Stop Loss 2525.00 par lagayein.

Gold market is waqt critical point par hai, aur ane wala economic data price direction ko decide karega. Investors ko carefully indicators aur announcements monitor karni chahiye apni strategy adjust karne ke liye.

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Technical Indicators Analysis

Kal ke movement ke mutabiq price oopar gaya, magar Stochastic indicator ke hisaab se upside limited hai aur decline ka zyada chance hai.

• Stochastic Indicator:
  H4 time frame mein Stochastic already overbought area mein hai, aur price resistance area ko penetrate nahi kar saka.
• Moving Averages:
  H4 time frame par moving average (period 21 aur 34) horizontal position mein hai. Iska matlab hai ke gold market sideways condition mein hai.
  Agar price 2484 ke support area mein nahi jaata, to trend bullish hi hai.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Gold Prices ki Safe Investment aur Analysis

Gold prices musalsal five years se bullish trend mein hai aur agar pechle aik saal ki history check karen to gold kabhi bhi aik din k leye bhi reverse back nahi aya hai, aur musalsal bullish trend mein hai. Dunya bhar ki ma’ashi surat-e-haal ke behtari ya bigar ke sath, Gold ki price mein izafa dekha gaya hai. 2024 ke doran shandaar tareen izafa dekhne ko mila, aur ab Gold ki price $2,871.74 per ounce tak pohanch gayi hai. Ye October mein cross kiye gaye $2,700 mark se bhi zyada hai, aur agar January 2024 ki shuruaat se dekha jaye to Gold ki price lagbhag 40% barh chuki hai. Aisa mumkin hai ke aney walay dino mein ye $3,000 ka mark bhi cross kar le, agar kuch ma’ashi factors aur barh gaye.
Is surat-e-haal ke mad-e-nazar aur mahngai barhne ke bawajood, agar aap bhi investment ka soch rahe hain to abhi waqt hai. Niche diye gaye teen wajuhat ko mad-e-nazar rakhte hue aap Gold mein investment ka faisla asani se le sakte hain.

Gold kharidne ka ye behtareen waqt kyun hai?

1. Inflation Hedge
   
   Investors ke liye Gold ka sabse bada faida ye hai ke ye mahngai ke waqt bhi apni qeemat barqarar rakhta hai, balki aksar barhta bhi hai. December 2024 mein mahngai 2.9% tak pohanch gayi jo Federal Reserve ke 2% target se ziada thi. Isi ke chand hafton baad Gold ki price bhi barh gayi. Agar mehngai barh rahi hai to Gold ki price bhi barhne ka imkaan hai. Is liye apni saving ko mehngai ke asrat se bachane ke liye abhi investment ka sochain.
2. Portfolio ko diversify karein
   Agar aap sirf stocks, bonds ya real estate mein investment karte hain to aapko safe assets ki bhi zaroorat hai. Gold ka ek khas faida ye hai ke ye ma’ashi instability ke dauraan bhi apni qeemat rakhta hai. Experts ke mutabiq, ek achi investment strategy ye hai ke aap apne portfolio ka 10% hissa Gold mein rakhein. Agar ma’ashi policies ya geo-political tensions barhti hain to Gold ki price aur barh sakti hai, jo kai logon ki range se bahar chali jayegi.
3. Gold aur barh sakta hai
   Agar aap intezar kar rahe hain ke Gold ki qeemat gire gi aur phir kharidenge, to ye ek risky faisla ho sakta hai. October 2024 mein Gold apni highest level pe tha, phir November mein thoda gira, lekin ab sirf teen mahine baad dobara new record pe hai. Agla mahngai ka data bhi is trend ko barhawa de sakta hai. Agar inflation ya interest rate ki policy mein koi bhi tabdili aayi, to Gold ki price aur barh sakti hai.

Technical Analysis

Gold ki agla move Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report par mabni hoga. Agar job growth kam aayi ya labor market weak dikhai diya to investors Federal Reserve se rate cuts ki umeed barha lenge, jo ke Gold ki qeemat ko aur barha sakta hai. Is surat mein $2,882.31 se bhi zyada qeemat barhne ka imkaan hoga.
Lekin agar jobs report mazboot rahi aur wages barhti rahi to Federal Reserve apni policy me koi tabdili nahi karega, jis se dollar aur treasury yields barh sakti hain aur Gold ki qeemat gir sakti hai. Is surat mein support levels $2,807.26 aur $2,772.31 critical honge.

GOLD

Conclusion

Agar pichlay ek saal ka Technical analysis dekha jaye to Gold ki qeemat lagatar barhti rahi hai, sirf choti moti bearish ke ilawa. Aaj ke ma’ashi indicators ko dekha jaye to aane wale dino mein bhi ye trend barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. Is liye jo log inflation se bachna chahte hain, portfolio diversify karna chahte hain, ya mazeed izafa hone se pehle invest karna chahte hain, unke liye abhi behtareen moka hai.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Gold Prices ki Safe Investment aur Analysis

Gold prices musalsal five years se bullish trend mein hai aur agar pechle aik saal ki history check karen to gold kabhi bhi aik din k leye bhi reverse back nahi aya hai, aur musalsal bullish trend mein hai. Dunya bhar ki ma’ashi surat-e-haal ke behtari ya bigar ke sath, Gold ki price mein izafa dekha gaya hai. 2024 ke doran shandaar tareen izafa dekhne ko mila, aur ab Gold ki price $2,871.74 per ounce tak pohanch gayi hai. Ye October mein cross kiye gaye $2,700 mark se bhi zyada hai, aur agar January 2024 ki shuruaat se dekha jaye to Gold ki price lagbhag 40% barh chuki hai. Aisa mumkin hai ke aney walay dino mein ye $3,000 ka mark bhi cross kar le, agar kuch ma’ashi factors aur barh gaye.
Is surat-e-haal ke mad-e-nazar aur mahngai barhne ke bawajood, agar aap bhi investment ka soch rahe hain to abhi waqt hai. Niche diye gaye teen wajuhat ko mad-e-nazar rakhte hue aap Gold mein investment ka faisla asani se le sakte hain.

Gold kharidne ka ye behtareen waqt kyun hai?

1. Inflation Hedge
   
   Investors ke liye Gold ka sabse bada faida ye hai ke ye mahngai ke waqt bhi apni qeemat barqarar rakhta hai, balki aksar barhta bhi hai. December 2024 mein mahngai 2.9% tak pohanch gayi jo Federal Reserve ke 2% target se ziada thi. Isi ke chand hafton baad Gold ki price bhi barh gayi. Agar mehngai barh rahi hai to Gold ki price bhi barhne ka imkaan hai. Is liye apni saving ko mehngai ke asrat se bachane ke liye abhi investment ka sochain.
2. Portfolio ko diversify karein
   Agar aap sirf stocks, bonds ya real estate mein investment karte hain to aapko safe assets ki bhi zaroorat hai. Gold ka ek khas faida ye hai ke ye ma’ashi instability ke dauraan bhi apni qeemat rakhta hai. Experts ke mutabiq, ek achi investment strategy ye hai ke aap apne portfolio ka 10% hissa Gold mein rakhein. Agar ma’ashi policies ya geo-political tensions barhti hain to Gold ki price aur barh sakti hai, jo kai logon ki range se bahar chali jayegi.
3. Gold aur barh sakta hai
   Agar aap intezar kar rahe hain ke Gold ki qeemat gire gi aur phir kharidenge, to ye ek risky faisla ho sakta hai. October 2024 mein Gold apni highest level pe tha, phir November mein thoda gira, lekin ab sirf teen mahine baad dobara new record pe hai. Agla mahngai ka data bhi is trend ko barhawa de sakta hai. Agar inflation ya interest rate ki policy mein koi bhi tabdili aayi, to Gold ki price aur barh sakti hai.

Technical Analysis

Gold ki agla move Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report par mabni hoga. Agar job growth kam aayi ya labor market weak dikhai diya to investors Federal Reserve se rate cuts ki umeed barha lenge, jo ke Gold ki qeemat ko aur barha sakta hai. Is surat mein $2,882.31 se bhi zyada qeemat barhne ka imkaan hoga.
Lekin agar jobs report mazboot rahi aur wages barhti rahi to Federal Reserve apni policy me koi tabdili nahi karega, jis se dollar aur treasury yields barh sakti hain aur Gold ki qeemat gir sakti hai. Is surat mein support levels $2,807.26 aur $2,772.31 critical honge.

GOLD

Conclusion

Agar pichlay ek saal ka Technical analysis dekha jaye to Gold ki qeemat lagatar barhti rahi hai, sirf choti moti bearish ke ilawa. Aaj ke ma’ashi indicators ko dekha jaye to aane wale dino mein bhi ye trend barqarar rehne ka imkaan hai. Is liye jo log inflation se bachna chahte hain, portfolio diversify karna chahte hain, ya mazeed izafa hone se pehle invest karna chahte hain, unke liye abhi behtareen moka hai.

Gold Market Closing Analysis

Aj ke din Gold market ne kaafi zabardast bullish momentum dikhaya hai Din ki shuruaat relatively stable consolidation se hui thi, lekin dheere dheere buyers ne market ko apne qabze mein lena shuru kar diya Chart ko dekh kar yeh baat saaf samajh aati hai ke price ne 2870 ka strong resistance tod diya, aur uske baad ek strong rally start hui Ab price 2885 ke level ke upar trade kar rahi hai, jo is waqt ka ek critical area lagta hai. RSI Relative Strength Index ko dekhein to wo overbought zone mein pohanch gaya hai, jo yeh dikhata hai ke demand abhi bhi kaafi strong hai Lekin yeh bhi yaad rakhein ke overbought levels kabhi kabhi price correction ki shuruaat ka signal bhi hotay hain. Aaj ka price action saaf dikhata hai ke buyers dominate kar rahe hain, lekin support aur resistance levels ko samajhna zaroori hai. Filhaal jo important support levels hain woh 2870 aur 2860 par hain. Agar price in levels tak wapas aaye to yeh buyers ke liye ek acha mauqa ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf agar price 2890 ka level todta hai, to agla target 2900 ho sakta hai, jo psychological resistance ke taur par kaam karega.

Aj Friday hai aur market kuch ghanton mein close hone wali hai Traders ke liye yeh waqt important hai apni positions ko assess karne ka aur weekend par relax karke agle hafte ke liye trading plan banane ka Jis tarah ka upward momentum aj dekhne ko mila hai, usse yeh lagta hai ke agle hafte bhi bullish sentiment barqarar reh sakta hai, lekin overbought condition ko dekhte hue thoda caution zaroor barhatna chahiye Aj ki trading ka din market ke liye kaafi strong raha, aur yeh momentum kaafi traders ke liye profitable sabit ho sakta hai.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Gold Ke Prices New Record Highs Ki Trends par Hen

Gold prices bohut high position par chali gaye hen aur iss dafa iss ka issue ko war ya geopolitical masayel nahi hai bulke trump k trade policies hen. Gold ke prices (XAU/USD) Tuesday ko apni bullish streak barqarar rakhte hue $2,933 tak pohanch gaye, jabke sarmayakaron nay safe-haven assets ki taraf rujhan kiya, kyunki trade tariffs barhne ki tashweesh barh rahi hai. Yeh izafa us waqt aya jab sabiq Amreeki sadar Donald Trump nay naye reciprocal tariffs lagane ka elan kiya, jo aik naye global trade dispute ka sabab ban sakta hai.

Traders K Trends
"Tariffs ke ird gird payda honay wali ghair yaqeeni surat-e-haal investors ko gold ki taraf le ja rahi hai," Global Finance Insights ki commodities strategist Sarah Thompson nay kaha. "Mehangai abhi bhi barqarar hai, is liye gold aik achi hedge sabit ho rahi hai."

Dollar Ki Weakness Aur Gold Ka Faida
Gold ke prices European market mein Thursday ko 0.65% izafa dekhte hue $2,922 per pohanch gaye, jabke session-low $2,900 raha. Wednesday ko bhi gold nay 0.2% izafa dekha, aur $2,942 ki record high level ki taraf barhta raha.

Trump Ke Tariffs Aur Business Issues
Donald Trump nay elan kiya ke jo mulk Amreeki samaan per tariffs lagayenge, Amreeka bhi unpar reciprocal tariffs lagayega. Yeh policy global trade war ko barhawa de sakti hai, jo ke duniya bhar ki ma’eeshat aur investor sentiment per manfi asar dal sakti hai.

Dollar Index Aur Federal Reserve
Dollar index Thursday ko 0.4% gir gaya, jo gold ko mazeed support de raha hai, kyunki gold ki qeemat aksar dollar ke inverse proportion mein chaltay hai.

Federal Reserve ke chairman Jerome Powell nay Congress ko bataya ke inflation control karna abhi baqi hai, aur rate cuts tab tak nahi honge jab tak mehangai ka nishana 2% tak wapis nahi aata. January mein US consumer prices umeed se zyada barh gaye, jo Fed policymakers per mazeed dabao dal sakta hai.

Gold Holdings Aur Market Trends
SPDR Gold Trust ke holdings Wednesday ko 5.44 tons gir ke 866.50 tons tak chalay gaye, jo ke January 17 ke 871.94 tons ke high se neeche hain.

Technical Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) abhi $2,931.60 per trade ho raha hai, jo 0.02% ka izafa hai. 50-EMA support level $2,902.89 per hai, jo bullish sentiment ko barqarar rakhta hai.

Agar price resistance level $2,942.81 ko todti hai, toh agla target $2,957.10 ho sakta hai. Agar price $2,923 ke neechay girti hai, toh sharp selling shuru ho sakti hai, jabke neeche $2,907.83 aur $2,892.61 per support levels hain. Long-term ke liye 200-EMA ka level $2,834.02 hai, jo gold ki upward trend ko mazbooti de raha hai.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Gold Market ki New Highs Resistance Breakout karne Main Nakam Rahen

Gold prices musalsal chand weeks se bullish trend mein they aur khas kar new American president Donald Trump k baad to ye prices new high level par trade karne lagi hai. Gold prices jume ko bhi strong upward me rahe lekin last mein apni hi sabeqa position par wapis a gaye. Gold ki price (XAU/USD) Tuesday ko apni bullish streak barqarar rakhte hue $2,933 tak pohanch gayi, kyunki sarmaayakaar safe-haven assets ki taraf ja rahe hain jabke tariff tensions barh rahi hain. Yeh izafa us waqt aaya jab sabiq Amreeki sadar Donald Trump ne mumkinہ reciprocal tariffs ka elan kiya, jo ke aik global trade dispute ka khauf barha raha hai.
"Yeh tariffs ke ird gird paida hone wali bay-yaqeeni sarmaayadaaron ko sone ki taraf le ja rahi hai," Sarah Thompson, commodities strategist, Global Finance Insights me, ne kaha. "Jabke inflation ab bhi ziddi hai, sona aik bharosemand hedge hai."

Key Point:

• Gold $2,933 tak barh gaya, jabke investors suraksha ke liye isay pasand kar rahe hain, tariff tensions aur inflation concerns ke darmiyan.
• Silver is mahine 5% barh gaya, safe-haven demand aur industrial growth ki wajah se.
• U.S. PPI 3.5% barh gaya, jo inflation ke barqarar rehne ka ishara de raha hai aur sone ki qeemat barhane me madadgar hai.

U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) January ke liye 3.5% year-over-year barh gaya, jo ke tajziya kaaron ki umeedon se zyada tha aur inflationary pressures ko barqarar rakha. Doosri taraf, U.S. dollar chouthi martaba kamzor ho gaya, jo ke non-Amreeki buyers ke liye gold ko mazeed pur-kashish bana raha hai.

Lekin, Federal Reserve ka rate cuts ke hawalay se ihtiyaat pasandana rawaiya aage barhne wale izafay ko rok sakta hai. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne dobara wazahat ki ke rate adjustments tabhi kiye jayenge jab inflation ke thande hone ka wazeh saboot milega.

Silver (XAG/USD) $32.93 tak barh gaya, jo ke ek kamzor dollar aur girti hui Treasury yields ki madad se hua. Is mahine silver takreeban 5% barh chuka hai, jo ke safe-haven assets ki demand aur mazboot industrial consumption ki wajah se hai. Renewable energy sector silver ki demand ko barhata ja raha hai, khaaskar solar panel production ke liye.

"Silver sirf gold ki pairing nahi kar raha," James Anderson, senior metals analyst, MarketView me, ne kaha. "Yeh aik sanati istemal ki barhti hui zaroorat se bhi faida utha raha hai, jo isay mazeed stability de raha hai."

Lekin, Federal Reserve ka hawkish stance agar barqarar raha to silver prices resistance ka samna kar sakti hain. Oonche interest rates aam tor par non-yielding assets, jaise ke silver, ki attractiveness ko kam kar dete hain.

Financial Data Aur Trade Policies - Market Mein Bay-yaqeeni
Investors U.S. Retail Sales report par nazar rakh rahe hain, jo dollar ki raftaar ko mutasir kar sakti hai. Agar yeh report umeed se behtar hoti hai to dollar mazboot ho sakta hai, jo ke gold aur silver prices par dabao daal sakta hai. Is dauraan, initial jobless claims 213,000 tak gir gaye, jo ke mazboot labor market ka ishara dete hain aur Fed ke ihtiyaat pasand rawaiye ko support karte hain.

Mumkinہ tariffs jo ke 1 April se pehle review honi hain, bazaar ke liye aik ahem factor ban sakti hain. Tajziya kaaron ka kehna hai ke agar yeh bay-yaqeeni barqarar rahi to gold aur silver ki demand qaim reh sakti hai, khaaskar agar inflation indicators bhi barhawa dete rahe.

"Gold ka agla resistance level $2,950 hai," Thompson ne izafa kiya. "Agar yeh tod diya jaye to $3,000 ka rasta khul sakta hai, jabke silver $33.50 ka maqam hasil kar sakta hai agar bullish sentiment barqarar raha."

Gold Market Ki Technical Analysis (Weekly)

Gold is haftay bhi seedha upar gaya hai, aur $2,900 ka level tod diya hai. Hum iss waqt thoda overbought lag rahe hain, lekin agar thodi si girawat bhi aati hai to log foran wapas khareedari kareinge. Yeh bhi mumkin hai ke market thodi dair ke liye sideways chalay.

$2,800 ka level neeche mazboot support hoga, kyunki pehle yeh ek bara resistance tha. Yeh market ab bhi har kisi ki nazar me hai, kyunki yeh pehle bhi aik bara technical area raha hai.

Aakhir me, mujhe lagta hai ke yeh market $3,000 ki taraf jane ki koshish karega, aur yeh self-fulfilling prophecy ban sakta hai. Sona trade karne wale bazaar me is waqt aggressive tareeke se shamil ho rahe hain, khaaskar US tariffs aur unke global trade par asraat ko dekhte hue.

Lekin, ehtiyaat zaroori hai. Gold ka trend is waqt bullish hai, aur agar koi girawat aati bhi hai to short selling ka sochna bekaar hoga. Behtareen strategy yeh hogi ke aap gold ko "sale" par lene ka intizaar karein, aur jaise hi price neeche aaye, foran wapas market me shamil ho jayein.

Gold nai naye all-time high ko touch karne ka pura chance bana liya hai, aur agar yeh trend weekend se pehle continue karta hai, toh isay rokna mushkil ho sakta hai. Investors aur traders is momentum ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, kyunki agar koi bada geopolitical positive shift aata hai, toh yeh Gold ki price ko neeche le ja sakta hai. War, economic uncertainty, aur central bank policies Gold ki direction tay karne mein aham kirdar ada kar rahi hain.

Technical levels ki baat karein, toh Friday ka pehla support level $2,919 hai, jo ke daily Pivot Point hai. Agar price is level ko todti hai, toh agli support level S1 $2,909 par aayegi. Yahan se bhi agar Gold neeche girta hai, toh S2 support $2,890 par ek strong barrier ka kaam karega, jo price ko neeche girne se rokne ki koshish karega. Agar is level se bhi price neeche break karti hai, toh $2,790 ka strong support aakhri bachaav ho sakta hai, jo ke October 31, 2024 ka high bhi tha.

Dusri taraf, agar bullish momentum continue karta hai, toh pehla resistance level R1 $2,938 par aayega, jo ek initial recovery zone ho sakta hai. Agar yeh level break hota hai, toh agli resistance R2 $2,948 par majood hai. Iske baad $2,950 ka bada psychological barrier aayega, jise todna ek significant bullish signal ho sakta hai. Agar market ka bullish sentiment aur strong hota hai, toh Gold ka agla major target $3,000 psychological level ho sakta hai, jise breach karna ek naye bullish breakout ka signal dega. Traders aur investors ko is daur mein strong risk management aur technical confirmations ka khayal rakhna hoga.

Gold Ki Taja Tareen Surat-e-Haal


4-hour chart ke mutabiq, gold is waqt 2,620.00 ke daily opening level aur 2,577.00 ke daily pivot point se upar trade kar raha hai. Indicators yeh batate hain ke price MA72 trend line se upar hai, jahan selling ho rahi hai, jo ek bullish signal ho sakta hai.

Agar price 2,631.00 se upar jata hai, toh yeh rally 2,640.00 aur shayad 2,650.00 tak ja sakti hai. Lekin agar price 2,625.00 se neeche girta hai, toh yeh 2,620.00 aur 2,605.00 tak gir sakta hai.

Gold abhi monthly pivot point 2,466.00 (jo pehle 2,416.00 tha), weekly pivot point 2,597.00, aur daily pivot point 2,577.00 se upar trade kar raha hai, jo bullish sentiment ko support karta hai.

Agar price 2,625.00 se neeche aata hai, toh bearish correction ho sakti hai. Lekin agar price is level se upar rehta hai, toh gold ka upward trend barqarar rahega.

Gold filhal highs aur lows ke beech stuck hai, jo batata hai ke aaj ek correction day ho sakta hai, jisme price neeche jaye aur 2,573.07 ke support level ko test kare. Agle hafte buying ka silsila dobara shuru ho sakta hai, aur price resistance level 2,615.57 tak pohanch sakti hai.

Kal gold neeche gira tha, lekin volatility utni zyada nahi thi jitni expect ki gayi thi. Price ne 2,561.02 ka support test kiya aur wapis bounce kiya, lekin abhi yeh buy trend me nahi aya. Price aur neeche gir sakta hai, naye lower levels test karega aur MA indicators ko touch karne ke baad hi wapis buy trend me aayega. Mera target resistance level 2,599.05 hai, jahan se market dobara reversal de sakta hai.

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Trump Ki Policies Aur Mehngai Ka Andaza


Trump ki mutawaqqa policies—jo ke tough trade stance, relaxed regulations, aur tax cuts par mabni hain—mehngai (inflation) par asar daal sakti hain.

Investors ka yeh tajziya hai ke in policies se inflation barh sakti hai. Iske sath sath, traders 94% probability par bet kar rahe hain ke September me US Federal Reserve interest rates ko cut karega, halan ke June ke consumer price index data me inflation kam report hui thi.

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Treasury Bond Yields Me Izafa


Trump par hone wale hamle ke baad US Treasury bond yields barh gayi hain.

10-year US Treasury bonds ke yields Monday ko 4.2% se upar chali gayi, jo pehle 4-mahi ka low touch kar chuki thi. Market me is attack ko Trump ke dobara jeetne ke chances me izafa samjha ja raha hai, jis wajah se bond yields bullish ho rahi hain.

Investors Trump ki policies ko inflationary samajh rahe hain, jo ke tax cuts, stricter immigration, aur import tariffs ke wajah se ho sakti hain.

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Overall Market Ka Rehaction


Trump par hone wale assassination attempt ke baad US stock futures, dollar, aur Treasury bond yields tight ho gaye hain, kyunki investors political stability ke asrat ko samajhne ki koshish kar rahe hain.

Is attack me kuch logon ki jaan chali gayi aur gunman bhi halaak ho gaya, jis wajah se US me siyasi beqarari barh gayi hai.

Dollar ki value barh gayi hai, aur Treasury bond yields bhi strong ho rahi hain, jo batata hai ke political events financial markets par seedha asar daal rahe hain. Investors abhi bhi is situation ko closely monitor kar rahe hain, kyunki aage aur volatility ho sakti hai.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Trade War ki Waja se Gold ka Agla Target $3000 Resistance level Hai

Gold aaj kal day to day base pe strong ho raha hai,jiss ki aik main waja trade war hai. Gold ka broader uptrend ab bhi intact hai, jahan trade war risks aur inflation concerns safe-haven demand ko mazboot bana rahe hain. Kamzor retail sales ne Fed tightening fears ko thoda halki zaroor kiya hai, magar aanay wala inflation data (PCE Index) gold ki aglay move ka taayun karega.
Agar inflation soft hota hai, toh gold ko mojooda levels par resistance ka samna ho sakta hai. Magar barqarar price pressures aur trade-related uncertainty gold ke further upside ka strong foundation dete hain. Traders ko upcoming economic reports aur Fed ke stance par focus rakhna chahiye taake gold ke aglay direction ka andaaza ho sake.

Key Points:

• Gold prices record highs ke qareeb hain, kyunki trade war fears aur inflation risks safe-haven demand ko barqarar rakhti hain. Kia $3,000 agla target ho sakta hai?
• Trump ke reciprocal tariffs naye uncertainty paida kar rahe hain, jo investors ko economic instability ke khilaf hedge karne ke liye gold ki taraf dhakel rahe hain.
• Garam inflation data Fed ko cautious rakhta hai, jo rate cuts delay kar sakta hai aur gold ke future price movements par pressure daal sakta hai.
• Kamzor U.S. retail sales economic slowdown ka pata deti hain, jo consumer spending aur Fed policy ke future decisions par sawalat uthati hain.
• Aanay wala PCE inflation data gold ke aglay move ka taayun karega—kia price pressures rally ko zinda rakhenge ya pullback trigger hoga?

Gold Record Highs Ke Qareeb, Trade Tensions aur Inflation Risks Demand Ko Support Kar Rahe Hain
Gold apne record highs ke qareeb bana hua hai, multi-week rally ko extend karte hue, kyunki investors economic uncertainty se bachne ke liye protection talash kar rahe hain. Persistent inflation, U.S. trade policy concerns, aur Federal Reserve expectations ki shifting gold ko ek safe-haven asset banaye hue hain.

GOLD

Technically, trend ab bhi bullish hai. Agar price $2942.78 se guzar jaye toh uptrend dobara shuru hoga. Sabse kareebi support short-term pivot $2739.81 par hai.

Market is waqt 7-week rally ke beech hai, jo bearish closing price reversal top ke liye vulnerable bana sakta hai. Pichle hafte XAU/USD $2882.48 par settle hua, jo $21.23 (+0.74%) ka izafa tha.

Trade War Concerns Gold Ki Demand Ko Mazboot Bana Rahi Hain
Gold ki strength is hafte ziada hui hai, kyunki U.S. President Donald Trump ne aik executive order sign kiya jo foreign nations ki trade policies ko target karta hai. Yeh plan reciprocal tariffs introduce karta hai un countries ke liye jo U.S. imports par taxes impose karti hain, jo aik lambi trade standoff ka khatra barhata hai.

Halaanke Trump ne foran tariff implementation nahi ki, magar is move ne global markets mein naye uncertainty ka izafa kar diya hai. Yeh uncertainty gold prices ko support kar rahi hai, kyunki investors retaliation aur naye tariffs ke broader economic impact se mutasir ho sakte hain.

Inflation Data Price Pressures Ke Concerns Ko Mazid Barhata Hai
Recent U.S. inflation reports ne expected se ziada price increases dikhayi hain, jo yeh signal deti hain ke inflation barqarar hai. Consumer Price Index (CPI) January mein 0.5% barha, jo expectations se ziada tha, jabke Producer Price Index (PPI) 3.5% year-over-year increase hua. Dono readings inflationary pressures dikhati hain jo Federal Reserve ko rate cuts par cautious rakh sakti hain.

Magar kuch aspects yeh bhi suggest karte hain ke aanay wala Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index (Fed ka pasandeeda inflation gauge) aik softer reading de sakta hai. Markets is data par nazar rakhein gi taake inflation ke future outlook ka andaaza ho sake.

Weak Retail Sales Economic Growth Ke Liye Sawalat Utha Rahi Hain
U.S. retail sales unexpectedly January mein 0.9% gir gayi, jo forecasted 0.2% se ziada girawat hai. Halaanke December ke figures revise hoke behtar aaye, magar kamzor retail data ne consumer spending ki strength par shak paida kar diya hai, jo economic growth ka aik bara driver hai.

Is report ki wajah se Treasury yields ne decline kiya, jo overheated economy ke concerns ko thoda ease karta hai. Magar yields ab bhi pichle mahine ke muqablay elevated hain, jo market uncertainty ko reflect karta hai jo Fed ke next move par asar daal sakti hai.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Gold Trade War ki Uncertainty ki Waja Se Strong Ho raha Hai

Gold maojoda market ki uncertainty ki waja se bohut ziada strong ho raha hai, aur daily base par new record recover kar raha hai. Gold ki qeemat Europe trade me Monday ko barh gayi, dobara faida uthate hue aur $2900 se upar trade kar rahi hai, jo ke record highs ke qareeb hai, jabke dollar apne aham humsaroon ke muqable me kamzor ho raha hai.
Akhri kamzor US data ne US ma'eeshat ki lachad ko mashkuk bana diya aur is saal Federal Reserve ke rate cut ki umeed ko naya janam diya.

Current Price
Gold ki qeemat aaj 0.85% barh kar $2906 per ounce ho gayi, jabke session-low $2878 raha.

Jumay ke din, gold ki qeemat 1.55% gir gayi, jo ke 2025 ka sab se bara nuqsan tha, jab log record high $2942 se faida uthane lage.

Pichlay hafte, gold ki qeemat 0.75% barhi, jo ke saatwan musalsal hafta tha jab is ne faida hasil kiya, aur June 2020 ke baad ka sab se lamba aisa silsila hai, jo haven demand ki wajah se aya.

US Dollar
Dollar index 0.15% neeche gir gaya Monday ko, jo ke tisri musalsal kami hai, aur do mahine ki sab se kam level 106.57 ko todne wala hai, jabke ye aham currencies ke against trade kar raha hai.

Kamzor dollar se gold futures saste ho jate hain un logon ke liye jo doosri currencies rakhte hain.

Ye girawat tab ayi jab global trade ke masail halki si kamzori dikhane lage, kyunki US President Donald Trump ne reciprocal tariffs lagane ka irada filhal tal diya.

US Rates
US retail sales January me tamaam umeedon se neeche rahi, jo ke pehle quarter me sust growth ka ek aur ishara hai.

Fedwatch tool ke mutabiq, March me Federal Reserve ke interest rate cut ke chances 2.5% se barh kar 5% ho gaye hain.

Ab investors mazeed data aur Federal Reserve officials ke bayanat ka intezar kar rahe hain taake aane wale rate cuts ka andaaza lagaya ja sake.

Gold Market Technical Analysis
Gold market Monday subah thodi si barh gayi hai, lekin abhi bhi $2900 ke qareeb idhar-udhar ho rahi hai. Badi sawal ye hai ke kya market apne upward trend ko barqarar rakh sakegi ya nahi. Mera khayal hai ke akhirkar ye trend barqarar rahega, lekin ye kab hoga ye ek aur sawal hai.



Market ne $2940 tak choo liya tha, aur agar log is level se upar breakout karte hain, to gold $3000 tak ja sakti hai. Chhoti si girawat bhi ek value hunting ka mauqa de sakti hai, jo mujhe umeed hai ke hoga. Lekin asal baat ye hai ke is waqt "buy on dip" ka ek acha mauqa nazar aa raha hai.

Market bohot noisy rahegi, lekin duniya bhar ki uncertainty aur mumkinah tariff wars ki wajah se log apne assets ko secure karne ke liye gold kharid rahe hain. Akhirkar, mujhe is market ko short karne ka koi shauq nahi, aur $2800 ek strong support lagta hai, jabke $3000 hamara next target ho sakta hai.

Gold ka uptrend filhaal barqarar hai, magar buyers ke liye sabse pehla aham maqam $2,900 ka level clear karna hoga. Agar yeh level tod diya jaye, toh market aur bullish ho sakti hai aur YTD (Year-to-Date) high jo $2,942 par hai, usay test karne ki umeed barqarar rahegi. YTD high ka todna bullish sentiment ko aur mazboot karega, jisse price mazeed upar ja sakti hai.

Agar buyers $2,942 ka resistance bhi todne mein kamiyab hote hain, toh agla strong resistance $2,950 hoga. Yeh aik psychological barrier hai jahan sellers dubara market mein aa sakte hain. Lekin agar bullish momentum qaim rehta hai aur $2,950 ka level bhi break hota hai, toh agla target $3,000 ka mark hoga. Yeh psychological resistance bohot important hai, kyunki round figures aksar market mein strong reactions le kar aati hain.

Dusri taraf, agar XAU/USD ka daily close $2,900 ke neeche hota hai, toh bearish pressure barhne ke chances hain. Aisi surat mein price pehle February 14 ka swing low jo $2,877 par hai, usay test kar sakti hai. Yeh level short-term support ka kaam karega. Agar yeh bhi tod diya jaye, toh agli support level February 12 ka low $2,864 hoga, jahan buyers wapas enter kar sakte hain.

Agar price in dono levels ke neeche girti hai aur bearish momentum barhta hai, toh Gold aur weak ho sakta hai. Aisi surat mein price October 31 ka swing high $2,790 tak gir sakti hai. Yeh aik major support zone hai jo market ke long-term trend ke liye aham hoga. Agar yeh level bhi break hota hai, toh gold ke liye aur ziada downside risk barh sakta hai.

Filhaal Gold ka trend bullish hai, magar traders ko key support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhni hogi, taake price action ko behtar samjha ja sake.