Gold

Gold ne hafte ke aakhri din kuch recovery dikhayi aur Thursday ki zyada 1% girawat ka kuch hissa wapas pa liya, jo ke weekly low tak gaya tha. US Dollar ko abhi bhi raat bhar ke bounce ko faida uthane mein mushkil ho rahi hai, kyunki US mein kam interest rates ka imkaan hai. Short-term mein, gold ki technical outlook buyers ke favor mein hai jab tak triangle resistance mein nahi badal jata. Support, jo ab $2,470 par hai, barqarar hai. Pichle hafte gold ne parallel triangle breakout achieve kiya aur 14-day Relative Strength Index north ki taraf ja raha hai, jo 50 se upar hai.

Ye technical indicators suggest karte hain ke gold ke liye bullish potential ab bhi bana hua hai. Agar gold buyers record high $2,532 ko wapas haasil kar lete hain, to agla target $2,550 hoga. Agar price isse bhi aage barhti hai, to $2,600 level ko challenge kar sakti hai, jo ke triangle target $2,660 ke raste mein hai. Agar gold price correction wapas shuru hoti hai, to foran support $2,470 par hoga, jo ke triangle resistance se replace ho sakta hai. Iske baad $2,450 ka psychological barrier gold ke hopefuls ke liye madadgar ho sakta hai.

Asian trading mein markets cautious hain aur Jerome Powell ka Jackson Hole headquarters mein speech ka intezar kar rahe hain, jahan se naye signals milne ki umeed hai. Bank ke interest rate path, khaaskar labor market conditions ke easing signs ke sath, traders ke liye important hai. Risk outflows US government bonds ki demand ko badhate hain, jo Treasury bond yield ko across the curve push karta hai aur USD ko neeche khinchta hai. Greenback ne bhi Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke critical remarks ke baad USD/JPY selloff ka samna kiya. US Dollar ne Thursday ko major rivals ke khilaf ek saal ke low se strong rebound kiya, gold prices mein 1% correction ke baad, jo ke US S&P global business PMIs aur jobless claims data ke concerns ke wajah se tha. Traders Friday ko Powell ke Jackson Hole showdown ke baad repositioning kar rahe hain

XAU/USD ka corrective decline jaari reh sakta hai, lekin ziada gehra decline ka koi khatara nahi hai.



XAU/USD Wednesday ke beech me thori si kami ke saath trade kar raha hai, aur ek choti si intraday range me qaid hai. Yeh pair thodi dair ke liye $2,500 mark se neeche chala gaya, lekin US Dollar par lagataar pressure ki wajah se yeh apne intraday losses ko kam kar saka.
Sarmayakaron ne Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke Minutes ka intizar kiya. Federal Reserve (Fed) ne 31 July ko meeting ki aur market players ko ziada dovish tone ke sath hairan kar diya, jahan officials ne inflation ke baray me kam concerns dikhaye aur employment sector par zyada tawajjo di, ye maan kar ke yeh sector dheela ho raha hai. Chairman Jerome Powell ne agle press conference me kaha ke September rate cut "table par hai", jo ke Minutes me tasdiq hona chahiye.
Isi dauran, Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) ke revision ne dikhaya ke US economy ne March 2024 tak ke 12 mahino me asal mein 818K jobs kam create kiye jo ke pehle report kiye gaye the. Waqayi job growth pehle se reported se takriban 30% kam thi. Yeh khabar ek aney wale interest rate cut ke case ko mazeed support karti hai, jo ke USD ko kamzor banaye rakhta hai.
XAU/USD ka short-term technical outlook
Daily chart ke mutabiq XAU/USD pair apni sari moving averages ke upar hai, jahan ek bullish 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) north ki taraf $2,440 ke aas paas tej ho rahi hai, aur baqi longer ones ke upar bhi bullish hai. Technical indicators, is dauran, kisi khaas direction ke baghair hain lekin apni midlines se kaafi upar hain, jo ke downward movement ke chances ko limit karte hain.
Nazdeek future me, aur 4-hour chart ke mutabiq, corrective slide jaari hai. XAU/USD filhal ek bullish 20 SMA ke sath mushkil me hai, jabke 100 aur 200 SMA ne current level se kaafi neeche upward traction hasil kiya hai. Aakhri mein, technical indicators ne marginally neeche move kiya, jahan Momentum indicator apni 100 line ke qareeb hai. Waqayi suratehaal itni nahi hai ke ek gehra decline aane wala ho, lekin agar FOMC Minutes ke baad $2,500 mark ka waazeh break hota hai, toh agle sessions me ek corrective extension ka darwaza khul sakta hai.

Gold ne hafte ke aakhri din kuch recovery dikhayi aur Thursday ki zyada 1% girawat ka kuch hissa wapas pa liya, jo ke weekly low tak gaya tha. US Dollar ko abhi bhi raat bhar ke bounce ko faida uthane mein mushkil ho rahi hai, kyunki US mein kam interest rates ka imkaan hai. Short-term mein, gold ki technical outlook buyers ke favor mein hai jab tak triangle resistance mein nahi badal jata. Support, jo ab $2,470 par hai, barqarar hai. Pichle hafte gold ne parallel triangle breakout achieve kiya aur 14-day Relative Strength Index north ki taraf ja raha hai, jo 50 se upar hai.

Ye technical indicators suggest karte hain ke gold ke liye bullish potential ab bhi bana hua hai. Agar gold buyers record high $2,532 ko wapas haasil kar lete hain, to agla target $2,550 hoga. Agar price isse bhi aage barhti hai, to $2,600 level ko challenge kar sakti hai, jo ke triangle target $2,660 ke raste mein hai. Agar gold price correction wapas shuru hoti hai, to foran support $2,470 par hoga, jo ke triangle resistance se replace ho sakta hai. Iske baad $2,450 ka psychological barrier gold ke hopefuls ke liye madadgar ho sakta hai.

Asian trading mein markets cautious hain aur Jerome Powell ka Jackson Hole headquarters mein speech ka intezar kar rahe hain, jahan se naye signals milne ki umeed hai. Bank ke interest rate path, khaaskar labor market conditions ke easing signs ke sath, traders ke liye important hai. Risk outflows US government bonds ki demand ko badhate hain, jo Treasury bond yield ko across the curve push karta hai aur USD ko neeche khinchta hai. Greenback ne bhi Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke critical remarks ke baad USD/JPY selloff ka samna kiya. US Dollar ne Thursday ko major rivals ke khilaf ek saal ke low se strong rebound kiya, gold prices mein 1% correction ke baad, jo ke US S&P global business PMIs aur jobless claims data ke concerns ke wajah se tha. Traders Friday ko Powell ke Jackson Hole showdown ke baad repositioning kar rahe hain

Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan

Gold Price Tendency
Pichle hafte ke aakhir mein sone ki qeemat mein kami aayi, jo ke dollar ke mazboot hone ke asar se thi. Ye tab hua jab US inflation ke data, jo ke personal consumption expenditures (PCE) ke zariye release kiya gaya, stable raha jaisa ke ummeed thi. Is se market mein yeh umeed kam ho gayi ke Federal Reserve agle mahine interest rate mein 50 basis points ki kami kar sakti hai. CME group ke FedWatch tools ke mutabiq, is umeed ka probability 30% tak gir gaya hai. Ab market agle hafte ke aakhir mein US employment report ka intezar kar rahi hai, taake iske basis par future interest rate cut ke prospects ke baare mein mazeed clues mil sakein.



Technical analysis ke hawale se, aakhri kuch dinon mein sone ki qeemat apne record highs se fluctuate kar rahi hai, aur daily time frame par naye inside bar pattern ke projection ke darmiyan chal rahi hai, jo ke 2531.12 se 2488.08 ke price range ke aas-paas hai. Ye movement ek symmetrical triangle pattern banati nazar aa rahi hai. Agar sone ki qeemat niche ke line ke taraf pressure barqarar rakhti hai, to isse potential hai ke ye pressure 2465.14 ke price range tak barh sakti hai. Lekin agar ye niche ke line se upar reject hoti hai, to isse 2589.01 ke price range tak wapas badhne ka potential ho sakta hai. Intraday perspective se, sone ki position H4 time frame mein naye mother bar high 2473.81 ke price pe pressure mein hai. Lekin ye abhi bhi RBS (Resistance Becomes Support) area 2491.33 ke upar bounce kar rahi hai. Agar pressure is support ko continue karta hai, to ye mother bar tak pullback kar sakti hai aur SMA200 ke dynamic support ko test kar sakti hai. Agar RBS area se rejection milti hai aur SMA5 aur SMA10 curves ke upar solid bounce hota hai, to isse potential hai ke ye naye inside bar pattern ke projection 2537.35 ke price tak retrace kar sake, jo ke agle projection ke liye 635 pips tak ke movement ka mauqa de sakta hai.

Aaj trading duniya mein forex market ka sentiment sellers ke haq mein ban raha hai. Yeh trend currency pairs par sustained downward pressure ko suggest karta hai, jo traders ke liye short-selling strategies ka faida uthane ka mauka de raha hai. Is environment mein, traders ko caution aur prudence baratna zaroori hai, special short-term targets ke saath sell positions open karte waqt. XAU/USD ke case mein, market aaj bhi sellers ke haq mein rahega aur wo 2285 area ko jaldi cross kar sakte hain. Isliye, market ka sentiment abhi sellers ke behtareen position ko indicate kar raha hai, jo prevailing market conditions ka faida uthane ke liye tayar hain. Lekin, yeh stability risky bhi hai, kyunki koi bhi unexpected shift trading dynamics ko turant badal sakta hai. Isliye, traders ko effective risk management strategies, jaise stop-loss tools ka use karna chahiye, taake potential losses ko mitigate kiya ja sake aur capital ko safeguard kiya ja sake. Discipline ke saath risk management practices ko follow kar ke, traders market volatility ko zyada confidently navigate kar sakte hain aur apne trading decisions ko apni risk tolerance aur financial goals ke sath align kar sakte hain. Technical analysis ko samajhna aur use karna aaj ke market environment mein crucial hai. Technical analysis market trends, price patterns, aur potential entry aur exit points ke baare mein valuable insights provide karta hai. Yeh traders ko key support aur resistance levels identify karne ke tools deta hai, jo informed trading decisions ke liye zaroori hain. Technical indicators aur charting techniques ka use karke, traders trend reversals ko recognize kar sakte hain aur market opportunities ko effectively capitalize kar sakte hain. Aaj ke XAU/USD market mein dekhte hain kya hota hai. Good luck and stay safe! H4 time frame ke andar, recent bearish tendencies ke bawajood, Gold bullish turnaround ke signs dikhata hai. Khaaskar, 5 SMA, 20 SMA, aur 50 SMA ne recently 2345 level ke upar cross kiya hai, jo possible upward trajectory ko indicate karta hai. Recent downward movement ko acknowledge karte

Price ne support (S1) 2382 tak correction ki, jo SMA 200 ke sath dynamic support bhi banata hai. Lekin, downward correction itni neeche nahi gayi aur price ne bounce kar ke weekend ke close prices ke around pivot point (PP) 2429 tak pahunch gayi. Agar price ka increase rally bullish trend direction ko follow karta hai, to price 2477 ke aas-paas ke nearest high prices ko test kar sakti hai aur resistance (R1) 2490 ki taraf bhi ja sakti hai. Lekin, Gold ke price pattern ka structure abhi tak clear nahi hai kyunki 2477 ke high prices aur 2352 ke low prices dono hi pass nahi hue hain. Kehna ye hai ke price movement range narrow ho rahi hai, jo ek triangle pattern banane ki ijaazat deti hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ne uptrend momentum show kiya hai lekin green histogram volume level 0 ke upar ya positive area mein itna wide nahi hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo levels 50 aur 80 ke beech cross ho rahe hain, price increase rally ko support kar sakte hain.
Setup Entry Position:

Agar bullish trend direction aur price movements jo do Moving Average lines ke upar hain ko dekhte hue trade karna hai, to BUY moment ka intezar karein. Entry position ko place karne se pehle ensure karein ke closing prices pivot point (PP) 2429 ke upar ho ya high prices 2436 tak pahunchi ho. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo level 50 ke aas-paas cross ho rahe hain, ko initial confirmation ke taur par use kiya ja sakta hai. AO indicator ka volume histogram jo level 0 ke upar ya positive area mein hai, uska continue widen hona zaroori hai taake uptrend momentum zyada valid ho. Take profit aur stop loss targets ko Risk: Reward ratio 1:1.5 ke hisaab se set karein, jisse stop loss 100 pips aur take profit 150 pips entry open position se hoga. Is tarah se maine journal update ka zikr kiya. Umeed hai ke trading plan jo humne banaya hai, agle haftay ke trading activities ke liye behtareen nateeje dega. Happy Weekend Sabko

Gold market kaafi interesting rahi hai Wednesday ko, jahan pe gold prices ne decline kiya, aur iski badi wajah US dollar ki mazid taqat thi. Yeh taqat Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke comments ke baad aayi, jisme unhone interest rates mein kami ke ishara diya. Is wajah se XAU/USD, jo ke gold price hai US dollar ke muqable, apne daily highs $2,529 se gir ke $2,504 par aagaya. Halaanki, gold prices $2,500 ke level ke upar hi rahe, jo ke ab bhi bullish sentiment ko zahir karta hai. Magar US Treasury bond yields mein izafa aur dollar ki taqat se gold par kuch downward pressure bhi pada.
Reuters ke mutabiq, China ke recent gold imports, special North American funds se, ne overall bullish sentiment ko mazid barhawa diya. Iske ilawa, World Gold Council ne bataya ke pichle hafte gold funds mein significant increase hua hai. Powell ke comments, jo ke Jackson Hole Symposium mein diye gaye, ne market mein optimism ko barhaya hai, magar upcoming labor market data kaafi ahem hoga interest rate cuts ke waqt aur scale ko determine karne ke liye.

Technical perspective se dekha jaye to gold price ne temporary pullback experience kiya hai. RSI index fading upward momentum dikhata hai, jo ke short-term correction ki nishani hai. Agar gold prices $2,483 level se neeche girti hai, to yeh signal ho sakta hai ke prices mazid gir ke $2,450 aur 50-day simple moving average $2,414 tak ja sakti hain. Dusri taraf, agar gold prices mazid strong hoti hain, to $2,531 ka retest aur phir $2,550 aur $2,600 ka challenge bhi mumkin hai. Lekin overall direction ab bhi economic factors, geopolitical developments, aur market sentiment par depend karegi. H4 chart par ek interesting triangular pattern dekha ja sakta hai jisme downside break hua hai. Yeh breakout ke guidance ke mutabiq, gold prices mein $60–$70 ka drop ho sakta hai, aur support around $2440/oz locate kiya gaya hai

Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe. Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya. Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai

Gold ne hafte ke aakhri din kuch recovery dikhayi aur Thursday ki zyada 1% girawat ka kuch hissa wapas pa liya, jo ke weekly low tak gaya tha. US Dollar ko abhi bhi raat bhar ke bounce ko faida uthane mein mushkil ho rahi hai, kyunki US mein kam interest rates ka imkaan hai. Short-term mein, gold ki technical outlook buyers ke favor mein hai jab tak triangle resistance mein nahi badal jata. Support, jo ab $2,470 par hai, barqarar hai. Pichle hafte gold ne parallel triangle breakout achieve kiya aur 14-day Relative Strength Index north ki taraf ja raha hai, jo 50 se upar hai.
Ye technical indicators suggest karte hain ke gold ke liye bullish potential ab bhi bana hua hai. Agar gold buyers record high $2,532 ko wapas haasil kar lete hain, to agla target $2,550 hoga. Agar price isse bhi aage barhti hai, to $2,600 level ko challenge kar sakti hai, jo ke triangle target $2,660 ke raste mein hai. Agar gold price correction wapas shuru hoti hai, to foran support $2,470 par hoga, jo ke triangle resistance se replace ho sakta hai. Iske baad $2,450 ka psychological barrier gold ke hopefuls ke liye madadgar ho sakta hai.

Asian trading mein markets cautious hain aur Jerome Powell ka Jackson Hole headquarters mein speech ka intezar kar rahe hain, jahan se naye signals milne ki umeed hai. Bank ke interest rate path, special labor market conditions ke easing signs ke sath, traders ke liye important hai. Risk outflows US government bonds ki demand ko badhate hain, jo Treasury bond yield ko across the curve push karta hai aur USD ko neeche khinchta hai. Greenback ne bhi Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke critical remarks ke baad USD/JPY selloff ka samna kiya. US Dollar ne Thursday ko major rivals ke khilaf ek saal ke low se strong rebound kiya, gold prices mein 1% correction ke baad, jo ke US S&P global business PMIs aur jobless claims data ke concerns ke wajah se tha. Traders Friday ko Powell ke Jackson Hole

Gold ke price mein pichle trading week ke doran girawat ka silsila jari raha, jo ek aur local level tak pohanch gaya. Shuru mein, price ne upar jaane ki koshish ki, aur 2358 ke level par range ke upper border ko break karne ki koshish ki, lekin usay apni jagah banane mein kamiyabi nahi mili. Price ne achanak palat kar girna shuru kiya aur 2288 ke level par ruk gayi, jo ek aham support provide karta hai. Yeh aapko target area banane aur kaam jari rakhne ka moqa deta hai. Filhal, price chart zyada tar supertrend ke red zone mein hai, jo yeh darshaata hai ke sellers abhi bhi control mein hain.

Aaj ke technical analysis ke nazriye se, agar hum 4-hour chart par dekhein, toh kal shuru hone wale uptrend ke bawajood, hum dekhte hain ke 50-day simple moving average ab bhi price par upward pressure daal raha hai, jo ke iske shuruat se mutabiq hai. Support level 2318 ke upar short-term consolidation growth ka potential support karta hai, lekin bullish scenario activate karta hai. Hamein 2340 ke current trading level ka clear breakout aur sab se zaroori, key resistance level 2360 ka breakout dekhna zaroori hai, jo higher price values ka izhar karega. Agar 2360 ka breakout fail ho jaye, aur 2318 ke neeche break ho, jiska target 2272 ke kareeb ho, toh yeh bearish correction ko jari rakhne ke liye ek strong reason ho sakta hai, jisme bearish pattern ke mazeed negative asraat ho sakte hain.

Is waqt price hafte ke shuruat ke muqable mein thodi neeche hai. Critical resistance zone ko test kiya gaya aur woh higher forces ka samna kar paya, jo yeh darshaata hai ke desired downward vector relevant reh sakta hai. Price ke confirm karne ke liye, zaroori hai ke current price zone 2325 ko break kiya jaye, jo ke is waqt key resistance zone ke qareeb hai. Agar is area ka retest kiya jata hai aur is se strong rebound hota hai, toh yeh agle downward shock ka rasta banayega, jiska target 2221 aur 2188 ke darmiyan hoga. Agar resistance ko break kar ke 2358 ke reversal level ke upar move hota hai, toh yeh current scenario ke reversal ka signal hoga.

Maujooda shara'it fil waqt nihayat hi behtareen hain, aur is imkan ke bare mein hoshyaar rehne ka maqool sabab hai. Iska zyada tar zikar ham candlestick patterns ke form mein mazboot kharid signals mein dekhte hain, chahe wo daily ya haftawaray ke time frames par hon. Ye surat haal hamen mazeed imkanat ka mustaqbil hasil karne ka mauqa deti hai, haan lekin yaad rakhna wajib hai ke chand dino mein, hum H4 time frame ke andar mukhtalif imkanat ka faida utha sakte hain. Hamara pehla tawajjo hamari tayyari ko barhawa denay ke liye hota hai takay hum 5 se 10 kam moving average bands ke andar mawjood 1920.61 se 1902.66 ke qeemat mein kisi bhi tarteebi harkat ka faida utha saken. Hamara maqsad nataij ko zyada se zyada banana aur hamari asal tawaqqaon ko pura karna hai. Ye wazeh hai ke market ka taraqqi pazeeri jaari hai, aur hum mutawajjah rehte hain jabke mazeed mukhtalif qeemati harkat ko tawaqo kiya jata hai.
Shamil tor par, humein qabzay mein RSI (Relative Strength Index) indicator par tawajjo deni chahiye takay harkat ke istaqlal aur saturation ke darjah ko janch sakan. Har imkan ke apnay khaas rukh hadood hai, lekin hum mukhtalif keemat mein mazeed ahem izafa ki tawaqo rakhte hain. Aglay haftay ke ibtida mein faida uthaane ka silsila chand mauqay ko aaghaaz karne ka azaim hai, kam az kam hamare liye kuch ahem manazir mojud hain taake ham taraqqi ko dekh sakein kyunkay humein pata chalega ke qeemat ki kis qadar mazbooti hogi, mukhtalif shara'it ko dekhne ka maqsad hoga jo ke mazeed clear hoti jaye gi kyunkay agar hum shuru se dekhte hain ke mojooda position ko maqsad hasil karne ke liye istemal kia jaaye ga to phir mojooda halat jo hain wo nihayat hi behtareen hain aur hum is imkan ko phir bhi tawajjo se dekh sakte hain kyunke ek mazboot buy rukh ke saath ek mazboot candlestick ka zahoor hota hai chahe wo daily time frame ya haftawaray ka ho taake hum phir bhi

sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan

Gold ne hafte ke aakhri din kuch recovery dikhayi aur Thursday ki zyada 1% girawat ka kuch hissa wapas pa liya, jo ke weekly low tak gaya tha. US Dollar ko abhi bhi raat bhar ke bounce ko faida uthane mein mushkil ho rahi hai, kyunki US mein kam interest rates ka imkaan hai. Short-term mein, gold ki technical outlook buyers ke favor mein hai jab tak triangle resistance mein nahi badal jata. Support, jo ab $2,470 par hai, barqarar hai. Pichle hafte gold ne parallel triangle breakout achieve kiya aur 14-day Relative Strength Index north ki taraf ja raha hai, jo 50 se upar hai.

Ye technical indicators suggest karte hain ke gold ke liye bullish potential ab bhi bana hua hai. Agar gold buyers record high $2,532 ko wapas haasil kar lete hain, to agla target $2,550 hoga. Agar price isse bhi aage barhti hai, to $2,600 level ko challenge kar sakti hai, jo ke triangle target $2,660 ke raste mein hai. Agar gold price correction wapas shuru hoti hai, to foran support $2,470 par hoga, jo ke triangle resistance se replace ho sakta hai. Iske baad $2,450 ka psychological barrier gold ke hopefuls ke liye madadgar ho sakta hai.

Asian trading mein markets cautious hain aur Jerome Powell ka Jackson Hole headquarters mein speech ka intezar kar rahe hain, jahan se naye signals milne ki umeed hai. Bank ke interest rate path, khaaskar labor market conditions ke easing signs ke sath, traders ke liye important hai. Risk outflows US government bonds ki demand ko badhate hain, jo Treasury bond yield ko across the curve push karta hai aur USD ko neeche khinchta hai. Greenback ne bhi Bank of Japan ke Governor Kazuo Ueda ke critical remarks ke baad USD/JPY selloff ka samna kiya. US Dollar ne Thursday ko major rivals ke khilaf ek saal ke low se strong rebound kiya, gold prices mein 1% correction ke baad, jo ke US S&P global business PMIs aur jobless claims data ke concerns ke wajah se tha. Traders Friday ko Powell ke Jackson Hole showdown ke baad repositioning kar rahe hain

Doston, ham abhi Gold ke price behavior ka jaiza le rahe hain. Mera tajwez hai ke H1 time frame mein technical analysis ke base pe sell position enter karna chahiye. Pichle din ke doosre hisse mein, pair apne opening level ke neeche raha aur wahan band hui. Trading day ke dauran, price quotes ne lower Bollinger Band ko breach kiya, jo ke downward trend ko mazid reinforce karta hai aur aage ke declines ki kafi ummeed hai. Trading karte waqt main RSI indicator ko closely monitor karta hoon aur agar yeh overbought (71 se upar) ya oversold (31 se neeche) conditions dikhata hai, to transactions se gurez karta hoon. Filhal RSI selling ke liye favorable zone mein hai, jo is strategy ko support karta hai. Mera take-profit target Fibonacci level 210% par set hai, jo ke price 2457 ke aas-paas hoti hai. Position ka ek hissa breakeven par secure karne ke baad, main trailing stops ko lower Fib levels ki taraf shift karne ka plan kar raha hoon. H4 Time Frame: H4 time frame mein Gold ka Ribbon indicator uptrend dikhata hai, jahan green color bullish direction ko confirm kar raha hai. M29 time frame par bhi indicator upwards hai, jo ke ongoing uptrend ko support karta hai. 2505.00 level se long positions consider karen aur next target level ki taraf dekhen. Agar Ribbon indicator se koi opposite signal milta hai, to existing positions close karni zaroori hogi. Filhal trading ek defined range mein hai, aur aaj decline ke bawajood, kal upward movement dekhne ko mili thi, lekin naye local highs tak nahi pahuncha. Market pichle levels par steady raha, aur mujhe lagta hai ke ye highs eventually milenge. Dollar kal gira tha despite favorable US data, lekin aaj recovery attempt kar raha hai. Future direction important hai aur abhi koi specific targets nahi hain. Magar, mujhe lagta hai ke hum 2530 se upar ja sakte hain aur main sirf tab sell karunga jab false breakout dekhne ko mile