Gold

Agar candle ka body imbalance area ke andar band ho jata hai, to ye is baat ki nishani hai ke market ke players is area ki izzat nahi kar rahe hain. Is liye hum agle reaction ko dekhte hain. Phir ya to ek breakout hota hai, aur hum naye scenario par nazar rakhte hain, ya ek nayi candle pichhli candle ke maximum/minimum se liquidity ko nikaal sakti hai aur palat sakti hai, jise ek poora reaction dikhaya ja sakta hai. Aur yahan duality ki koi jagah nahi honi chahiye. Author ki recommendations ko dobara dekhain. Ye areas wo hain jo zyada tar price ko attract karte hain, aur inhi areas mein reactions ke sath movements shuru hote hain. Chaliye ab XAU/USD (GOLD) currency pair ki halat ko dobara analyse karte hain.
Dekhein, price ne pehli swing liquidity ko 2477.278 ki value ke sath test kiya hai, aur reaction kahan gaya? Sabse qareeb imbalance (price gap) ka location kaafi door hai - 2417.264, lekin isay nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Ye samajhne ke liye ke kya price ek qareeb imbalance bana sakti hai, humein current daily candle ke close hone ka intezar karna padega. Agar ye close hota hai, jaisa chart par dikhaya gaya hai, to ye naye din ke liye growth ke haq mein support hai. Ye samajhne ki buniyad hai.

Current situation mein, mujhe ummeed hai ke southward correction khatam hogi aur upward scenario continue hoga. Mere khayalat screen ke andar hain. Lekin aaj mujhe is asset mein dilchaspi nahi hai. Ye samajhna zaroori hai ke kya current situation mein support ke taur par nayi imbalance banegi ya nahi. Abhi, nazar aata hai ke correction abhi tak mukammal nahi hui. Magar is horizontal line ka breakout false sabit hua, isliye hum ab downward correction dekh rahe hain. Main ye nahi keh sakta ke humare paas "double top" configuration hai, kyunki instrument quotes sideways range ke andar move kar rahe hain aur upper points of maximums lower border of trading range ke support level -2384 se zyada mukhtalif nahi hain.

Kal US inflation data ke publication ki ummeed hai, isliye mujhe zyada market volatility ka intezar hai. Agar gold north ki taraf jata hai, to hum historical maximums ke naye record dekhenge. South se, humara qareeb support level -2426 hai. Iska breakout decline ko -2384 ke

sone ki qeemat upar ki taraf ubharti rahi jahan woh maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 per ounce par pohanch gayi analysis likhne ke waqt, dollar ki qeemat mein izafa hone se dabao ka samna kar rahi thi jab sarmayakaar ex-US President Donald Trump par huye qatal ki koshish ka asar maali bazaars par maloom kar rahe thay. Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed siyasi tashadud adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai. Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai,
Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar move hone se supported hai, aur mazeed gains maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 aur $2435 per ounce tak mazeed technical indicators ko strong levels of saturation with buying ki taraf move karengi. Profit-taking sales tab tak nahi hongi jab tak US dollar ki qeemat recover nahi hoti aur geopolitical tensions calm nahi hoti, jo ke sone ke haal ke gains ke sabse numayan asraat hain.

America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek goli se zakhmi ho gaye.Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed tashadud siyasi adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Aaj ke liye sone ki qeemat ki peshgoi: Neeche diye gaye rozana chart par performance ke mutabiq, sone ki qeemat ek mazboot upward path par hai jo $2400 per ounce ki psychological resistance ke upar

saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi

economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yeneconomic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot

Fundamental point of view se, interest rate cuts ki rumors currency ki value ko kam karengi. Zyada tar investors aur traders market conditions ke bare me clarity ka intezar karte hain. Yeh clear hai ke Fed dheere dheere interest rates ko kam kar raha hai aur USD assets ko risky aur avoid karne ki advise de raha hai jab tak US recession clearly nahi aata. Fed ka cycle 2001 ke incident ki tarah hai, jahan economic growth decline ki taraf jati hai aur USD ki value ko affect karti hai. Isliye, estimate yeh hai ke USD abhi bhi kamzor hone ka potential rakhta hai aur XAUUSD ko bhi strongly bullish bana sakta hai. Ek brief fundamental discussion ke taur pe, bearish opportunity abhi bhi ASIA session ke liye valid hai kyunki 2473.93 ka RBS level buyers ke entry ke liye sabse nazdeek hai. teesra phase, jo consolidation ka hota hai, abhi tak nahi hua. Jab consolidation hoga, to downward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, jisse resistance banegi. Jab tak consolidation nahi hoti, upward trend ka result decided nahi hai, aur yeh waqt hi batayega. Isliye, medium-term strategy abhi bhi relevant hai. Main consolidation ka intezaar kar raha hoon, jo ke ek aur upward move ka demand karti hai.

Hum ne pehle hourly time frame discuss kiya tha, lekin ab main daily chart par nazar daalna chahta hoon.

Daily time frame (D1) par, ek sideways wedge bana tha, jahan gold 76.43 par trade ho raha tha. 84.09 se rebound karne ke baad, resistance line se consistent decline shuru hua, jo gold ko gap ke saath ek strong downward movement mein le gaya. Channel ki lower limit unlikely nazar aayi, jo ke pichle haftay ke closing levels 74.09 se further decline ka indication de rahi thi. Yahan, price support line ko hit karegi, jahan main rebound aur upward correction expect kar raha hoon

Gold ki future movement mein bullish tendency nazar aa rahi hai, jahan price 2460 tak pohanch sakta hai. H1 timeframe par aapne dekha ke ek bullish candle engulfing form hui hai, jo ke ek strong BUY signal deti hai. Saath hi, RSI 14 indicator ke mutabiq, 2431 par gold ki price oversold ho gayi hai, jo ke strong indication hai ke gold ka price 2460 tak barh sakta hai.
Aapka BUY GOLD signal SNR aur Fibonacci methods se bhi support hota hai, kyunki jab gold ki price 2450s mein enter karti hai, to yeh already RBS area mein hoti hai. Yeh situation buyers ko encourage kar sakti hai ke wo gold pair mein entry kar ke purchases karen 2460 tak.

Thursday ko trading ke dauran, initially seller ne market ko bearish move karwaya tha, lekin wo buyer support area ko breach karne mein naakaam raha. Is wajah se price control dobara buyers ke haath mein chala gaya, jo ke strong buying pressure ke saath price ko dobara upar le gaye. Bollinger Bands indicator ke zariye Daily timeframe par monitor karne par yeh bhi nazar aata hai ke price abhi bhi Middle Bollinger Bands area ke upar hai. Saath hi ek strong bullish Doji candle bhi form hui hai, jo ke yeh indicate karti hai ke Gold market bullish direction mein aur strong ho sakti hai

Interest rate cuts ke issue ki waja se market players ab Gold mein invest kar rahe hain, jo ke prices ko aur bhi oopar le ja sakta hai. Aapka analysis ye suggest karta hai ke bullish buyer ka target iss hafte Upper Bollinger Bands area tak pohanchne ka hai, jo ke gold price ko aur bhi sparkle kar sakta hai

Gold ki keemat ko dekhte hue, jo consistently do Moving Average lines ke upar move kar rahi hai, lagta hai ke bullish trend ko maintain karna chahti hai. Price ne support (S1) 2382 tak correction ki, jo SMA 200 ke sath dynamic support bhi banata hai. Lekin, downward correction itni neeche nahi gayi aur price ne bounce kar ke weekend ke close prices ke around pivot point (PP) 2429 tak pahunch gayi. Agar price ka increase rally bullish trend direction ko follow karta hai, to price 2477 ke aas-paas ke nearest high prices ko test kar sakti hai aur resistance (R1) 2490 ki taraf bhi ja sakti hai.
Lekin, Gold ke price pattern ka structure abhi tak clear nahi hai kyunki 2477 ke high prices aur 2352 ke low prices dono hi pass nahi hue hain. Kehna ye hai ke price movement range narrow ho rahi hai, jo ek triangle pattern banane ki ijaazat deti hai. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator ne uptrend momentum show kiya hai lekin green histogram volume level 0 ke upar ya positive area mein itna wide nahi hai. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo levels 50 aur 80 ke beech cross ho rahe hain, price increase rally ko support kar sakte hain.

Setup Entry Position:

Agar bullish trend direction aur price movements jo do Moving Average lines ke upar hain ko dekhte hue trade karna hai, to BUY moment ka intezar karein. Entry position ko place karne se pehle ensure karein ke closing prices pivot point (PP) 2429 ke upar ho ya high prices 2436 tak pahunchi ho. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo level 50 ke aas-paas cross ho rahe hain, ko initial confirmation ke taur par use kiya ja sakta hai. AO indicator ka volume histogram jo level 0 ke upar ya positive area mein hai, uska continue widen hona zaroori hai taake uptrend momentum zyada valid ho. Take profit aur stop loss targets ko Risk: Reward ratio 1:1.5 ke hisaab se set karein, jisse stop loss 100 pips aur take profit 150 pips entry open position se hoga. Is tarah se maine journal update ka zikr kiya. Umeed hai ke trading plan jo humne banaya hai, agle haftay ke trading activities ke liye behtareen nateeje dega. Happy Weekend Sabko!

Gold

Jumay ke din, sone ke qeemat mein achi izafa dekhnay ko mili, aur yeh silsila doosray din bhi jari raha. Is izafay ki wajah yeh hai ke logon mein ye afwaah hai ke Federal Reserve apni September ki meeting mein shayad sood ki sharah kam karne par ghoro-fikar kare. Is afwaah ke baad, US Treasury bond yields aur US dollar dono neeche gir gaye, jis se sone ko faida pohancha. Trading din ke akhri mein, XAU/USD (gold aur US dollar ka joda) $2,507 par qaim tha.

ETFs se Support

Sone ke qeemat ko izafa mil raha hai kyun ke gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) mein lagatar do mahine se investment aa rahi hai. July mein European aur Asian funds se khas taur par investment hui, jo ke is inflow ka sabab bani. Fed Chair Jerome Powell ki semi-annual gawahi ke baad, investors ab June ke US inflation data ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke Thursday ko announce kiya jayega. Iske ilawa, Initial Jobless Claims aur University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment ka data bhi sone ke mustaqbil ka rukh tay karega.

Fed Chair ke Bayanat

US House of Representatives ke samnay gawahi dete waqt, Fed Chair Jerome Powell ne apne pehle walay comments ko dohraya, jo unhone Senate committee ke samnay kiye thay. Unhone tasleem kiya ke inflation par kaafi had tak qabo pa liya gaya hai, magar saath hi ehtiyaat baratne ka kaha ke sood ki sharah kam karna 2% inflation target hasil karne ki zaroori guarantee nahi hai.

Downward Reversal ka Khatra

Sone ki qeemat mein downward reversal ka khatra bhi hai agar price pattern ka neckline $2,279 ke neeche break ho jaye. Is surat mein, ek conservative target $2,541 rakha ja sakta hai, jo ke pattern ki height se extrapolated downward ratio 0.618 par mabni hai. Is waqt, short aur medium term mein trend sideways lag raha hai, jabke long-term mein sone ka outlook bullish hai.

Moving Average aur Market Outlook

Precious metal ke liye ek khatra yeh hai ke qeemat 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) tak wapas aa sakti hai, jo ke is waqt $2,431 par hai. Lekin, June 27 ko dekhi gayi downward trendline ke upar breakout ne market outlook ko zyada bullish banaya hai.

Khulasay ke tor par, halan ke sone ke qeemat mein izafa ho raha hai jise Federal Reserve ke speculation aur ETF inflows ka asar hai, magar ehtiyaat baratni chahiye kyun ke potential downward reversals aur corrections market ko ab bhi mutasir kar sakte hain.

Gold Price Action Analysis

Shuruati marahil mein, 2424 support level ke neeche break ka anticipation tha, jo ke ho gaya hai. Dusre marahil mein, is broken level ko test kiya gaya aur yeh test confirm bhi ho gaya hai. Magar, teesra marahil, jo consolidation ko darshata hai, abhi tak nahi hua. Jab consolidation hoga, to downward trend dobara shuru ho sakta hai, jo resistance ki taraf le jaa sakta hai. Jab tak consolidation nahi hota, upward trend ka outcome undecided hai, aur sirf waqt hi batayega. Isliye, medium-term strategy abhi bhi relevant hai. Main consolidation ka wait kar raha hoon, jo ke ek aur upward move ke zaroorat hai.

Pehle humne hourly time frame discuss kiya, lekin ab daily chart par nazar dalte hain.

Daily time frame (D1) par, ek sideways wedge bana tha, jahan gold 76.43 par trade kar raha tha. 84.09 se rebound karne ke baad, resistance line se consistent wave of decline shuru hui, jo gold ko robust downward movement ke saath gap ke saath le gayi. Channel ke lower limit ki ummeed nahi thi, jo last week ke closing levels 74.09 se further decline ka signal hai. Yahan price support line ko hit karegi, jahan main rebound aur upward correction ki ummeed kar raha hoon.

Medium-term perspective se, continued decline ka indication hai, aur gold market opening se decrease honay ke liye taiyar hai. 2353.39 par price minimum TF tak pahunch gayi aur upward adjust hui. Price green zone ko cross karegi aur growth ke dauran red zone ko support level ke roop mein use karegi. Yeh MA resistance level ko break karegi, jahan red line 2390.74 par hai, aur mid-trend level tak rise karegi, jahan black line 2412.74 par hai. Price is mid-TF level (black line) ko bhi break kar sakti hai aur double top level 2429.19 tak move kar sakti hai.

H4 time frame par, gold bullish tendencies dikhata hai. 5 SMA aur 20 SMA ne 2385 level par cross kiya, jabke 200 SMA 2372 level par hai. Yeh crossover gold ke liye strong upward trend ko signal karta hai. Pichle kuch dinon ki market fluctuations ko bhool jaiye; gold kal 2457 level tak pohch gaya, jaisa maine anticipate kiya tha. Aaj, gold 2470 level ko test karne ke liye tayaar hai. Ek strong bullish trend aa raha hai, jo gold ko is mahine 2500-level milestone ke liye prepare kar raha hai. Yahan kuch strategies hain jo potential buying opportunities ke liye hain:

Gold wave four ki formation main hai, jahan pattern ek complex triangle symmetry banata hai jo teen waves (33333) se milkar bana hai. Gold neeche jane ki koshish kar raha hai, lekin resistance ab bhi kaafi strong hai. Wave calculations ke mutabiq, isne teen waves banaye hain. Abhi ke price movement ke hisaab se, ye second wave ya fourth wave ban sakta hai. Agar wave a mein paanch waves banati hain, toh ye certain hai ke wave e ya wave four ka end ek simple formation 535 bana sakta hai.

Girawat ka potential SMA 200 tak pohoch sakta hai, jo ke strong demand area ke saath coincide karta hai kyunki ye trendline par hai jo support ka kaam karti hai. Agar one-hour SMA time frame par break down hota hai, toh buyer cross hua hai aur isko dekhna zaroori hai kyunki four-hour time frame par bhi SMA bullish trend ki taraf ja raha hai. Meri Elliot wave analysis ke mutabiq, price ka potential SMA 200 ya wave four ke end tak girne ka hai. Agar direct breakout hota hai, toh SMA 200 penetrate ho sakta hai aur price four-hour time frame par SMA 200 position par rukne ki sambhavana hai.

Meri recommendation hai ke is waqt gold trading ke liye sell karen, lekin take profit itna gehra na ho. Lekin, correction wave movement, khaaskar wave four, ko dekhna zaroori hai kyunki gold upar ya neeche dono direction mein move kar sakta hai. Aage ke liye, main abhi situation ko dekhunga, jahan 2508 strong resistance lagti hai, isliye main tabhi dobara buy karunga jab ye important area penetrate ho jaye. Halanki, sell karne ka mauka abhi bhi maujood hai, lekin main thoda hesitant hoon kyunki kal bhi decline hua tha lekin sirf ek pal ke liye aur GOLD ne phir se bade bullish movement ke saath return kiya, jo USD ke weakening ko dikhata hai aur GOLD ko upar le ja raha hai.

2500 trade ka XAUUSD commodity ke liye khush aamdeed, jo 2024 ke liye ATH ko dobara tod raha hai. Yeh trading scheme is waqt kaafi potential rakhti hai aur saal ke aakhir tak chal sakti hai. Buyers ki complete dominance is situation ko sirf bullish pressure ke under hi banati hai. Ab, XAUUSD trading ke liye kuch scenarios hain, khaaskar USD ke fundamental aspects jo is trade ko bahut zyada influence karte hain. In considerations ko fundamentals aur technicals ke assumptions ke sath pura dhyan me rakhna zaroori hai.
Fundamental point of view se, interest rate cuts ki rumors currency ki value ko kam karengi. Zyada tar investors aur traders market conditions ke bare me clarity ka intezar karte hain. Yeh clear hai ke Fed dheere dheere interest rates ko kam kar raha hai aur USD assets ko risky aur avoid karne ki advise de raha hai jab tak US recession clearly nahi aata. Fed ka cycle 2001 ke incident ki tarah hai, jahan economic growth decline ki taraf jati hai aur USD ki value ko affect karti hai. Isliye, estimate yeh hai ke USD abhi bhi kamzor hone ka potential rakhta hai aur XAUUSD ko bhi strongly bullish bana sakta hai. Ek brief fundamental discussion ke taur pe, bearish opportunity abhi bhi ASIA session ke liye valid hai kyunki 2473.93 ka RBS level buyers ke entry ke liye sabse nazdeek hai.

Iske ilawa, H4 monitoring ke mutabiq, agar Asian session me koi naya ATH nahi hota, toh sellers short-term opportunities ka faida utha sakte hain. Short-term opportunities ke sath RVI already sell signal level par hai aur price crossing ka confirmation intazar kar raha hai. Fundamental perspective se, Fed ki rate cut ki rumors USD par additional pressure dalengi aur XAUUSD ko aur strengthen karengi. Lekin, market abhi bhi US economy ke recession ke certainty ka intezar kar rahi hai, jo gold trading me additional volatility add karegi.

Technically, aapka 2473.93 ka RBS level ka observation bilkul sahi hai. Yeh ek critical level hai jisko traders ko dhyan me rakhna chahiye, khaaskar agar Asian session me koi naya ATH nahi hota. Sellers ke liye short-term corrections ka faida uthane ka opportunity interesting strategy ho sakti hai, khaaskar jab RVI sell signal dikha raha hai

hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi

qeemat mein izafa hone se dabao ka samna kar rahi thi jab sarmayakaar ex-US President Donald Trump par huye qatal ki koshish ka asar maali bazaars par maloom kar rahe thay. Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed siyasi tashadud adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Isi dauran, sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko




badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein White House wapas jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya. Markets ne Trump ki jeet ko Treasury bond yields ke liye bullish samjha kyunke unki policies ko tax cuts, immigration policy tightening aur import tariffs ke wajah se inflationary samjha gaya. Isi dauran, 10-year bond yield guzishta hafta pressure mein rahi, jabke US inflation ki kami ne Federal Reserve ke interest rate cuts par bet lagane ko barhawa diya.Majmoi taur par, Trump's assassination attempt ke baad US markets stable rahe. US stock futures, dollar aur Treasury bond yields Monday ko barh gayi jab markets ne weekend par ex-President Donald Trump par huye hamlay ka asar dekha, jo ke US political scene par sangin asar dal sakta hai. Hamlay mein ek attendee aur gunman ki maut ho gayi, aur do doosray critical condition mein thay, jabke Trump ek

sone ki qeemat upar ki taraf ubharti rahi jahan woh maqam-e-muqawamat $2420 per ounce par pohanch gayi analysis likhne ke waqt, dollar ki qeemat mein izafa hone se dabao ka samna kar rahi thi jab sarmayakaar ex-US President Donald Trump par huye qatal ki koshish ka asar maali bazaars par maloom kar rahe thay. Traders ko dar hai ke mazeed siyasi tashadud adam mustaqil aur bazar ki uthal puthal ko bharakaa sakta hai, halaan ke tajziya karnay walon ne note kiya ke hamlay ne Trump ke election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya hai.Isi dauran, sone ki qeemat ne jumme ko apna teesra musalsal haftawaar





gain darj kiya, jabke America mein afsos ke sath inflation kam hone se Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rates mein cut hone ki umeedein mazid mazboot ho gayi. Economic calendar ke natayij ke mutabiq... Guzishta hafta dikhaya ke America mein masarf ki qeematein June mein pehli baar chaar saalon mein gir gayi, jo ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se September mein interest rate cut hone ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot banata hai.Sarmayakaar ab Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell ke haaliye comments aur is hafte mazeed American economic reports ko dekh rahe hain taake mazeed rahnumayi hasil ho sake. Isi dauran, data ne ishara diya ke guzishta hafta Asia mein sone ki physical demand mein kami aayi jabke bartan ki unchi qeematon ne bazar mein ehtiyaat baratne ko badhawa diya.Sone ke bazaar ko mutasir karne wale asraat ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat safe haven demand ki buniyad par barh rahi hai. Electronic trading platforms ke mutabiq... dollar ki qeemat pehle 104.1 se neeche girne ke baad pehle martaba 104.2 tak barh gayi, jo ke June 3 ke baad se sabse kam satah tha. Weekend par Trump par hamlay ne keemati maaloomat ke mutabiq unke presidential election jeetne ke chances ko barhawa diya, jisne dollar ko upar dhakel diya.Trump ki policies, jaise ke sakht trade stance, lax regulations, aur proposed tax cuts, inflation ko barhawa dene ka imkaan hai. Isi dauran, traders ne September mein Federal Reserve ke taraf se US interest rates mein cut hone par 94% probability ke sath bet lagana jari rakha, jabke June ki masarf ki qeematein umeed se kam thi. Dollar board par mazid mazboot ho gaya, magar traders yen mein mazeed mumkina intervention ke bare mein hooshyar rahe.Dusri taraf, US 10-year Treasury bond yields Trump ke hamlay ki wajah se barh gayi. Trading ke mutabiq, 10-year US Treasury bond yields 4.2% se zyada barh gayi Monday ko, chaar mahine ke sabse kam satah se thori ubhaar lene ke baad, jabke US presidential candidate Donald Trump par hamlay ne unke November mein W