gold

Sonay ka H-1 Time Frame par Taqreebati Jaiza

Sonay ki keemat ki karwai ka jaiza lete hue, wazeh hai ke market ki keemat aik trend channel ko manti rahi ek arsay tak, phir panjwan wave mein achanak is se alag ho gayi, jis se 2020 mein kami darj ki gayi. Trend channel se rukhsat hone ka zikar qabil-e-ehtram hai, aur jab ke keemat se is channel se bahar nikalne ka intezar tha, to mutaharik dorane tak pohonchne mein aakhri rukh par 2077 tak ke aakhri rukh tak phunchne ki taaqat se surkhya.

Ek trend channel ka pehchan traders ke liye qeemti maloomat faraham karta hai, unhe mojooda market ke dynamics ko samajhne mein madad faraham karta hai. Panjwan wave, is channel se rukhsat hone ka daleel hai, jo ke market ke jazbat mein tabdeeli ya mazboot rukh hone ki dalil hai. Sonay ke case mein, yeh 2020 mein kami mein muntaqil hua.

2077 tak ke aakhri rukh tak pohonchne mein ghair mutawaqqa taaqat ka mojood hona shamil hai, jo aham khareedari dilchaspi ya market ke jazbat mein tabdeeli ka ishara hai. Aise harkat ko mukhtalif factors, jaise ke ma'ashi indicators, sahoolat-e-khalq ke waqiyat, ya sona jaise mehfooz asbaab ke lehaz se mutasir kiya ja sakta hai.

Jab hum apni tafreeqi tashkhees jaari rakhte hain, to ahem hai ke sonay ke is aakhri rukh ke ird gird kis tarah ka amal hai. Traders aksar trend ki istiqamat ka ya mukhalif paishkash ka tajziya karne ke liye tasdiq ke signals ya palat patterns talash karte hain. Mazeed, ahem support aur resistance levels par nazar rakhna bazar mein mukhalif nukta daramad ki tashkhees mein madad faraham kar sakta hai.

Sonay ki keemat ko mutasir karne wale barooni factors ke bare mein maloom rehna zaroori hai. Ma'ashi data releases, central bank faislay, aur global sahoolat-e-khalq ke waqiyat sab sonay ki keemat par tabdeeli mein hissa dal sakte hain.

Ikhtisar mein, humara sonay ki keemat ki karwai ka jaiza trend channels ki ehmiyat, panjwan wave se rukhsat hone ka asar, aur 2077 tak ke aakhri rukh tak pohonchne mein ghair mutawaqqa taaqat ke istehsal ki ahmiyat ko wazeh karta hai. Traders ko mazeed keemat ke faislo ka intezar rehne aur mukhtalif market shara'it ke mutabiq apne strategies ko tarteeb dena chahiye.

Sonay ki keemat mujhe mukammal drawdown mein daakhil hone tak shaant nahi hogi, lekin main apne nuqsaan ko cover karne ka irada nahi karta, main doosre wave ko aage lekar ja raha hoon, yaani wave (C) wave (2) mein 2130.00 tak, jabke mujhe lagta hai ke sonay ko wahan khinch liya jaa raha hai aur abhi se rukh ulat gaya hai ta ke kam hota hai (3). Kyunki wave (C) ko zyada se zyada update karna zaroori hai, wave (A) pehle hi wave ko khatam kar sakta hai, lekin aam tor par (C) khud bara hota hai aur aage bhi ja sakta hai, lekin sona phir bhi niche giray ga, aur tezi se, kyun ke aam tor par tareekhi zyada takreeban teesra hissa girta hai, aur hamare tareekhi bulandiyon ke baad, abhi tak koi asal girawat nahi hui hai.

2055 ka breakout kafi qabool hai aur aise breakout ke baad, growth sab se pehle hai. 2073 ke range mein support hai aur wahan se growth jari ho sakti hai. Shayad mojooda izafe jari rahe aur hum 2088 range ko tod sakte hain, phir yeh ek kharidne ka signal hoga. Shayad humein 2088 range ka jhoota izafe milay, phir yeh ek bechnay ka signal hoga aur ek theek karne ka girawat ka intezar karna hoga. 2085 par maqami ziada toot chuki hai aur jab yeh wahan qaim ho jaaye ga, to yeh ek kharidne ka signal hoga. Agar humein 2088 range ko todna aur us par qaim ho jaana hai, to yeh darasal kharidne ka ek signal hoga. Agar humein mojooda se mazeed mazbooti milti hai, to yeh saaf taur par qareebi mustaqbil mein rate ki izafat ki tasdeeq hogi. 2085 ka tootna kharidne ke liye ek signal hoga.

Sona Ke Keemat Ka Tehqiqati Jaiza Aur Bazaar Ki Namzadat

Chaaron ghante ka chart bullish se bearish mei shift hone ki alaamat deta hai, jahan pair bearish zone mein dakhil ho raha hai aur iktisaas ki koshish kar raha hai. Yeh ishara deta hai ke mukhtalif bearish dabao ke liye mazid nuksan hone ka imkaan hai. Lekin, sona mein mazeed aham harkatein jaanchna taur par mushkil hai, kyunki iski pechida fitrat aur mukhtalif factors ke sath barhtay hue asraat ke saath sanbandhit hai.

US Muflis Data Ka Bazaar Par Asar: Amreki muflis data ke naqal ke baad, bazaar ka jawab mayoos kun tha. Bawajood intizaar-e-darust suraj ke tezi se amreki dollar mein shakheft, muntazir rukhsat nahin hui. Yeh ghair mutawaqqa natija, June ke dar tak keat mein kami ki imkano ko ghatakar, mahireen ko aanay wale farokht ke isharaat aur peyda karne wale keemat ke statistics par tawajjo dene par majboor kar diya hai.

Sona Ke Keemat Ka Reversal Ka Imkan: Halanki haliya bearish doran, char ghante ka chart sona ke keemat ko peeli moving average se utha, jo ke ooper ki harkat ki sambhavna dikhata hai. Iske ilawa, ishaare hain ke bullish trend ke imkan ko aur bhi taqat mil sakti hai, sona ke keemat mein reversal ka imkan barh jaata hai. Abhi, keemat ke taaqat ko 2170 ke aas paas ki upper trading range ke taraf mazid tawaju di ja rahi hai.

Sona Ke Keemat Ke Harkat Ke Mumkin Manazir: Agar bullish bunduqain moving average rukawat ko shikast de sakti hain, to mazid ooper ki rahnumai mumkin hai, jo 2190 ke aas paas local maximum ko update kar sakti hai. Is manazir mein 2170 ke darja ko paar karna mumkin hai, jo bullish trend ka jari rakhna dikhata hai.

Ikhtitami Guftagu: Ikhtitami guftagu mein, jabke char ghante ka chart khareedari ka signal mansookh hone ki alaamat deta hai aur ek bearish raasta ki taraf shift hone ki pesh karta hai, sona ke keemat ke liye mukhtalif bazaar factors ke tajziyaati nazar ka tajurba rehne wala hai. Halanki haliya bearish dabao ke bawajood, ishaarat sona ke keemat mein potential bullish reversal ki taraf ishaarat karte hain, jahan keemat ke taaqat ko ooper ki trading ranges ke taraf mazid tawaju di ja rahi hai. Karobarion ko aham satah aur bazaar ki taraqqiyat ko nazdeek se mutala karna chahiye taake sona ke karobar ke tahafuz aur taraqqi ke imkanat ko tehqeeq karna asaan ho.

Zar, is hafte Gold chhoti si upri keemat ka gap ke saath shuru hua, pehle hi use bandh kar liya gaya hai, aur joda abhi bhi faisla nahi kar pa raha hai. Asal mein, takneeki taur par bull ab bhi apne hath mein muqadma chalate hain, lekin girawat dekhne ka khatra hai. Halankeh mujhe shaq hai ke local giravat ke baad. Ghanton ki chat par, intehaai indicators uttar ki taraf dekh rahe hain, lekin Bollinger Channel ke baahar bar baar band hone ke baad, ab, local izafey ke baad, joda zyadatar poorab ki taraf jaega, pichle karze jama karne ke liye. Char ghanton ki chat par, indicators bhi uttar ki taraf bilkul hai, aur yahan Bollinger Channel abhi bhi phail raha hai, jo kehta hai ke uttarward impulse mukammal nahi hua hai. Magar yahan bhi, Bollinger Channel ke atyadhik band ke upar band hone ke baad, momentum par amal karne ke liye, main ek local overshoot ka intezaar kar raha hoon, aur phir joda local nazariya karne jaega. Abhi taqreeban baat karnay ki zaroorat nahi hai ke samay mein ek zyada gol-mor ka mudaaver ke baare mein.

Is waqt, H1 ke liye support 2055.10 par aagaya hai, H4 ke liye support 2030.00 par aagaya hai, nishaan dauran dar aur daam barhta raha hai. Prathamik roop se, 2090.00 se rollback ho sakta hai support H1 2055.10 ke taraf, aur agar H1 support ko nahi toda ja sakta, to main us se uttarward 2090.00 ke saath aage badhne ka assumption karunga, jisse ke 2110.00 tak barh sakta hai, phir 2140.00 tak, jisse ke baad main ek phir rollback ka assumption karta hoon jisme 2170.00 ki taraf barh sakta hai aur nishaan dauran ke liye 2205.00. Agar woh H1 support 2055.10 ko rollback ke dauraan tod nahi sakte, to 2030.00 par support ke liye 2030.00 ke liye giravat ki umeed hai. H1 support 2055.10 ko todne ke baad, tentatively 2045.00 se, daam naya resistance H1 par waapas ja sakta hai jo 2090.00 par hoga, aur paas ke ek ulat phir giravat ke saath 2030.00 ki taraf, jaha se barhna mumkin hai, yeh shart hai ke woh tod nahi sakta. Agar H4 support 2030.00 tod diya jaata hai, to humko D1 support ki taraf mudaaver mil jaega, jo 1940.00 par hai magar abhi 1960.00 par tabdeel ho raha hai. H4 support 2030.00 ko todne ke baad, tentatively 2010.00 se, daam ek baar phir resistance H1 ki taraf waapas ja sakta hai jo 2070.00 par hoga, aur wahan se niche ulat phir giravat D1 1960.00 ki taraf (1940.), yeh dekha jayega ke woh waqt ko kis tarah se phir se banata hai.

GOLD KI TAKNEEKI AUR BUNYADI TAHLILO

Budh (March 13) ko sonay ki keemat ek troy ounce ke liye 0.8% barh kar $2,174.96 tak pohanch gayi, khaaskar kyunki Amreeki dollar thoda kamzor ho gaya tha. Halankeh Amreeka mein uchch mehngai ke baare mein khabrein thin, logon ko lagta hai Federal Reserve June mein interest dar ko kam kar sakta hai. Saath hi, mulkon ke darmiyan masail ke baare mein fikron ne sonay mein invest karne ki khwahish paida ki hai, jo aman shumaar hoti hai.

Sonay ki trading Budh ko thori had tak musbat rahi, lekin yeh sach mein kisi mazboot trend ka izhar nahi kiya aur haftay ke sab se kam ke qeemat ke qareeb reh gayi, lagbhag $2,150 har ounce ke qareeb jaise ke ek din pehle thi. Log abhi Federal Reserve ne interest dar mein kya karega is bare mein ghair yaqeeni hain, isliye woh abhi sonay par bara bets nahi laga rahe. Aik report ke mutabiq, Amreeki tijarati mehngai maazi ka record torr chukki hai, jo kuch logon ko yeh samajhne par mazboor kar raha hai ke Federal Reserve mukhtalif dino tak interest dar ko buland rakhega. Kuch logon ka yeh bhi khyal hai ke interest dar sirf 2025 tak neeche nahin aayega, ya ke mehngai phir se barh jayegi, aur Federal Reserve ko interest dar ko buland karne par majboor karna padega. Magar zyadatar log abhi bhi yeh samajhte hain ke Federal Reserve June mein interest dar ko kam karne ka aghaaz karega. Is aetemaad ko mazeed mazboot kiya gaya hai, kyunki Amreeki Treasury yields, jo sarkar ko wapas dena padta hai, haal hi mein kam reh gaye hain. Isne woh log jo Amreeki dollar par trading karte hain, ko mazbooti se kam yaqeeni banaya hai, jo ke sonay ki keemat ko barhaya hai. Investors ab Amreeki retail sales, producer prices, aur kitne log karobar ke liye berozgaar faiz ki data ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo unhe maamooli taur par maeeshat ka kaisa haal hai ke bare mein behtar idea dega.

Agar data dikhata hai ke maeeshat abhi bhi mazbooti se barh rahi hai, to kam zyada mumkin hai ke Federal Reserve garmiyon se pehle interest dar ko kam kare, aur Amreeki dollar mazboot rahega. Agar yeh hota hai, log apna sona bech kar kuch paisay kamane ki koshish kar sakte hain, aur sonay ki keemat kam ho sakti hai. Lekin agar data dikhata hai ke maeeshat umeed se kam barh rahi hai, to sonay ki keemat aur zyada barh sakti hai. Data ke aane se pehle, sonay par trading karne wale log ehtiyaat se kaam kar rahe hain.

TAKNEEKI TAHQEEQAT

Takneeki lehaaz se, sona $2,155.67 pivot point ke aas paas hai. Agar yeh is level ke upar rahega, to shuru ho sakta hai. Iske upar kuch levels hain jahan keemat ko mushkilat ka samna ho sakta hai, jaise $2,174.52, $2,196.38, aur $2,214.26. Doosri taraf, agar keemat neeche jaana shuru hoti hai, to isse support mil sakta hai agar keemat neeche jaane lage, jaise $2,131.04, $2,110.03, aur $2,090.32.

50 dinon ka harkat karne wala awweraj, jo $2,138.17 hai, aur 200 dinon ka harkat karne wala awweraj, jo $2,072.17 hai, bhi dikhate hain ke trend sonay ki keemat ke liye mazboot hai jab tak yeh pivot point ke upar rahega. Magar agar sonay ki keemat neeche jaane lagti hai aur yeh support areas se neeche jaata hai, to mazboot trend badal sakta hai, aur sonay ki keemat neeche jaane lag sakti hai.

GOLD
Assalam Alaikum!
4-ghante ke chart ke mutabiq, sona 2175.00 ki ibtedai qimat ki satah se niche aur 2170.00 ki yaumiyah pivot satah ke qarib trade kar raha hai. Aham takniki ishare ooper ke rujhan ki taraf ishara kar rahe hain, jisme qimat MA72 trendline se ooper chal rahi hai.
Agar qimat 2177.00 ki satah se ooper toot jati hai to, mai tawaqqo karta hun keh peeli dhaat 2185.00 aur mumkena taur par 2200.00 tak badhat badhayega.
Agar qimat 2170.00 ke nishan se niche aati hai to, sona mumkena taur par 2167.00 aur shayad 2151.00 tak gir jayega.
Asset 2031.00 ki mahana pivot satah se ooper, 2151.00 ki haftawar pivot satah se ooper aur 2170.00 ki yaumiyah pivot satah ke qarib trade kar raha hai, jo zahir karta hai keh market ka jazbah buniyadi taur par tezi ka hai.
Agar qimat 2170.00 ke yaumiyah pivot point se ooper badhti hai to, sone ki qimat badh jayegi. Mutabadil ke taur par, agar qimat 2170.00 ke nishan se niche aa jati hai to yah mandi ki islah ke hisse ke taur par niche aa jayegi.
Bade options volumes niche ki taraf 2151.00 aur 2145.00 ki satah par aur ooper ki taraf 2185.00 aur 2188.00 ki satah par jama hue hain.

Linear Regression Channel aur Market

4-hours ka chart par linear regression channel ka slope sab se zyada hota hai, yeh ek ahem ishaara hai ke market mein taqatwar kharidar mojood hain jo bechne walon par dabao dal rahe hain, aur kharidne ke liye jagah bana rahe hain. Meri nazar mein, yeh ek mazbooti ki alaamat hai jo trend ko sath lekar chal rahi hai.

**Market Ki Taaqatwar Kharidar:**

Jab linear regression channel ka slope zyada hota hai, yeh darust hai ke market mein taaqatwar kharidar mojood hain. Yeh log bechne walon par dabao dalte hain aur apni positions ko barqarar rakhne ke liye behtar dafa karte hain. Unka uddeshya bechna nahi, balki market mein mazeed tarraqi hasil karna hota hai.

**Bechne Ke Liye Jagah:**

Lekin, yeh un kharidar ke liye bhi aik acha moqa hai jo trend ko mukhalif lekar ja rahe hain. Jab linear regression channel ka slope zyada hota hai, toh bechne walon ko bhi jagah milti hai apni positions ko barqarar rakhne ka. Yeh aik maqbool tajziya hai ke market mein dono taraf ki ghairat mojood hai aur mukhtalif traders apni strategies ke mutabiq kaam kar rahe hain.

**Stop Order aur Risk Management:**

Bechne ki taraf dekhte waqt, yeh zaroori hai ke apne trading plan ko mad e nazar rakhein. Stop order tay karna, agar market trading plan ke khilaf ghalat rehti hai, hamesha apne nuksan ko mehdood karne ke liye acha hai. Stop point entry point se zyada nahi hona chahiye taake zyada nuksan se bacha ja sake.

**Conclusion:**

In conclusion, 4-hours ka chart par linear regression channel ka slope sab se zyada hota hai, yeh ek important tajziya hai jo market ki taaqatwar tassur ko darust karta hai. Yeh bataata hai ke market mein dono taraf ki ghairat mojood hai aur traders apni strategies ke mutabiq kaam kar rahe hain. Bechne walon ko bhi jagah milti hai apni positions ko barqarar rakhne ka, lekin zaroori hai ke har trader apne risk management ko mad e nazar rakhein aur stop orders ka istemal karke apne nuksan ko mehdood rakhein.

gold forecast:

Sona ab ek aur chalak manzar dikhane laga hai, jo asal mein hamare liye buland hai, saafiyat aur tasawwur ke liye maine ise "Picasso" ki tarah draw kiya, shayad main sab kuch tafseel se tashreeh karne ki koshish karunga, pehle, aik asal trader ki "dhoka" ne "niche" hone wale, jahan raat ko trading khuli, wahan se ek keemat ki kami chhod di gayi hai, ye kaafi ehem hai, is liye main samajhta hoon ke bohot se traders ne is par paise kamane ke liye farokht mein kood diya, lekin tasveer bilkul ulat ho gayi, mazeed mamooli sawariyon ko bharne ke baad, humne impulse pura kiya, aur keemat ko pichli bulandi tak bohot ooncha le gaye, foran, is ke ilawa, humne bullish two-fractal candle par zor diya, jo ke indicator ne bas neela dikhaya tha, is ke baad humne minimum ko averaging ke taur par ada kiya - tawajjo dein, main har cheez ko kaise hua dikhata hoon, is par arrowon ke zariye, aur ab main samajhta hoon ke waqt aa gaya hai ke sab se zaroori kaam ko anjam diya jaye, Fibonacci grid hamare control mein hai, kyun ke ab ek saikron ke zariye tootne aur thehrne ka koshish kiya ja raha hai, agar aise aik manzar tyar hai, to humein apne hisab se zyada aik mehfoozana tarz par yaqeen dilana chahiye, humein taqatwar rukh ki qudrat ka andaza lagane ke liye Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator par bhi tawajjo deni chahiye aur saturation levels ko tay karna chahiye.



Har ek mumkinat ke apne apne khatre ki hadood ko tasleem karte hue, hum ko qeemat mein mukhtalif izafa ka saheh tajurba ki umeed ki ja sakti hai. Aane wale hafte ke shuru mein istifadah hone wale mukhtalif mauqon mein se, kam az kam hamare liye kuch ahem manazir hain takay hum dekh sakein ke qeemat ki position kitni mazboot hogi, isharaat ko tabdeel hone ki shuru hote dekhein to aur bhi wazeh ho jaye gi, kyun ke agar shuru se hum dekhte hain ke mojooda position ko maqsad hasil karne ke liye istemal kiya ja raha hai to phir uthne wale halaat haqeeqat se bhi oonchi hain aur hum is mumkinat ko bhi tawajjo dein ge ke aik taqatwar signal ka zahoor aik candlestick ke shakhsiat mein ek taqatwar kharidari rukh par rozana time frame ya haftawaar par, taake hum yeh mumkinat abhi tak ke anwar ko tawajjo dein.
Apne trading plan mein, agar aap kisi bhi wakt farokht faraham karne ki mumkinat dhoond rahe hain, to aapko jab aisa karte hain behtar faisla karna chahiye. Iska matlab yeh nahi hai ke agar MACD ek overbought ilaqa tak pohanchta hai, ya agar Stochastic ek overbought ilaqa tak pohanchta hai, to ek stock ki keemat girne wali hai. Bilkul, qeemat chand dino mein gir sakti hai, lekin yeh bohot zyada nahi thi; yeh bohot mehdood giravat thi, aur yeh giravat aik lambi mojooda giravaton ke sath qareeb se bhi mukablay ki ja sakti hai jo peechle mein waqay hui hain. Aik farokht faraham karne ki position tabhi khuli jani chahiye jab stochastic indicator oversold territory ko cross karta hai taake ek kharidari position tabhi khuli jaye jab stochastic indicator oversold territory ko cross karta hai.

Gold H4 Timeframe.

Asian market ke shuru mein Thursday (14 March) ko, spot sona ek tang range ke andar badal raha tha aur ab $2,175.95 har unse ke qareeb trade ho raha hai. Sona ke daam Wednesday ko 0.75% izafa kar ke $2,174.15 har unse tak pahunche, jab ke Kamzor U.S. dollar ki wajah se umeedwar U.S. Federal Reserve ke June mein darjan tak ke kate ki umeed mein sizzling U.S. mahangai ke data ke bawajood, jab ke badhte hue qoumi aurarzi tensions ne sona ke liye mehfooz rahne ki darkhwast ki. Ab sona ke bullon ke liye yeh mufeed ho chuka hai, agar Fed interest rates kate to sona tezi se barh sakta hai. Agar nahi, to mahangai ke lehaz se pareshaniyaan sona ko ooncha kar sakti hain. Sona ke daam peechle hafte ke record bulandiyon se wapis chale gaye the, jo February se pehle se buland tha. 13 ke pichle report ne dikhaya ke U.S. consumer prices February mein tezi se barhi, jis se dikhaya gaya ke mahangai kuch had tak chipaki hai. ANZ Bank ke economists ne kaha, "U.S. mahangai ke data aane ke baad sona ke daam ne dabao mein aane shuru kiya. Isne June mein market pricing ko 93% se 77% tak gira diya. Fed ne kaha ke interest rates kate shuru karne se pehle zyada saboot ki zarurat hai. Yeh dikhane ki zarurat hai ke mahangai 2% maqsood tak pohanchegi. Naram monetary policy sona ke daam ko buland karne ke liye ahem hai. Pichle do dinon ki istiqamat ne haal hi mein $2,195 har unse ke qareeb haqiqi bulandiyon ke nazdeek mani banayi hai. Agar yeh mukhalif level toot gaya, to sona ke daam barh sakte hain. Yeh $2,200/oz range ke ooper trade kar raha hai. Magar, RSI ne overbought levels dikhaya hai, to ek sehatmand daam correction aane wala hai. Agar pullback shuru hota hai, to daam wapas $2,100 ke zaroori support level tak gir sakte hain.



Sona ne mustaqil tor par tezi se pehle giraavat ki shuruwat ki aur Wednesday ko musbat band hua, rozana ek negative retracement ke sath, aur koi aur negative streak nahi tha. Short-term correction ne girne wale correction ko mazboot istiqamat ke sath badal diya, ek trading din mein short-term retracement. Khoya hua zameen jald hi agle din wapas mil gaya. Halan ke woh bulandiyon ko tora nahi, magar yeh ek mazboot consolidation technique dikhaya. Hissay dar consolidation aur correction mein dakhil ho kar, market ka outlook abhi bhi bulandiyon ko torne ki khaamoshi rakhta hai. 4 ghante ke chart mein, upper track se lower track ki short-term rebound mustaqil ho gayi hai. Halan ke Bollinger Bands band hone lage hain, aur double moving averages abhi bhi lambay hain aur phaile hue hain. Retracement ke liye jagah bhi aam correction area hai, aur yeh kamzor shock mein tabdeel nahi ho gaya hai. Short term mein, horizontal consolidation par tawajjo dein 2151 ke neeche, phir mazbooti se istiqamat hasil karein aur phir ooncha attack karein. Overall daam ne 2150 mark par support paya, istiqamat hasil kiya aur rebound kiya, aur mazbooti se buland hua aur peechle din ke top-bottom transition level 2173 ke upar khara ho gaya, 2179 ke qareeb pohancha to mazboot bullish pattern ko jari rakha. Short term mein mazeed ooncha umeed hai, aur aaj ke lower support 2163 ke nazdeek -65 par hai, din ka retrace is position par mabni hai ke mazbooti se bullish rahay, aur bullish trend be nahi hua hai.

Gold (XAU/USD) ka Technical Analysis
H-1 Timeframe Analysis

Pichle haftay, gold apni upward trend ko jari rakhta hua, prices phir se tezi se badh gaye, ek all-time high tak pahunchte hue aur aaj 2200 ke qareeb pahunch gaye. Lekin, yeh hamein manzoori ke nishchit target area tak le gaya, jo ke final valuation scenario ko puri tarah se pura karta hai. Isi dauran, price chart confidently super-trend green zone mein rehta hai, jo dikhata hai ki buyers ki continued control hai.

Technical analysis dekhte hue, simple moving average price curve ko upar support karta hai. Yahan tak ke 14-day Momentum indicator madad karta hai. Isliye, agar hume ek majboot break dekhne ko milta hai extend resistance 2181 aur 2185 ke upar, toh intraday basis par uptrend jaari rehne ka khatra hai. Yeh seedha raasta banata hai seedha access ke liye 2192 aur 2200 tak. 2181 ke upar price break aur 2157 ke neeche trading stability restore kar dena, gold ke prices ko current trading ke khilaaf concessions dene ke liye majboor kar sakta hai. Legend support 2144 par ek correction hai.



H-4 Timeframe Analysis


Prices abhi tezi se badh rahi hain, haftay ke record highs tak pahunch gayi hain. Isi dauran, mukhya support zones ko abhi tak test nahi kiya gaya hai aur unka integrity bana hua hai, isliye ek upward vector prefer kiya jata hai. Lekin, badhti tezi ke saath, mazeed faayde se pehle local stability hone ki zyada sambhavna hai, jahan upper boundary 2188 aur lower boundary 2148 hai, jahan mukhya support zone ke mukhya boundaries hai. Ek sustained retest upper boundary ka pair ko lows par wapas le aayega, ek rebound ke saath aur phir se upward momentum ko target karte hue is area 2235 aur 2269 ke beech mein.

Current scenario ko cancel karne ka signal support ke break aur reversal level 2088 ke neeche jaane se mil sakta hai. Neeche chart dekhein:

**Retracement aur Correction Area:**

Retracement ke liye jagah aam correction area hai, jo market ki kamzor shock mein tabdeel nahi ho gaya hai. Yeh darust hai ke market mein short-term mein horizontal consolidation par tawajjo dena zaroori hai, khaaskar agar daam 2161 ke neeche jaata hai. Phir mazbooti se istiqamat hasil karna aur phir ooncha attack karna hoga.

**Support aur Resistance Levels:**

Overall daam ne 2150 mark par support paya hai, jahan se istiqamat hasil kiya aur rebound kiya. Mazbooti se buland hote hue, daam peechle din ke top-bottom transition level 2153 ke upar khara ho gaya hai. Agar daam 2170 ke qareeb pohanchta hai, to mazboot bullish pattern ko jari rakha ja sakta hai.

**Short-term Ki Umeedain:**

Short term mein mazeed ooncha umeed hai, khaaskar agar market ne 2170 ke qareeb pohanch liya. Yeh level market ke bullish trend ko mazbooti se tasdeeq kar sakta hai aur daam ko mazeed ooncha le ja sakta hai.

**Conclusion:**

Is tajziye mein, retracement ke liye jagah aam correction area hai aur market mein short-term mein horizontal consolidation par tawajjo dena zaroori hai. Daam ne 2150 mark par support paya hai aur agar 2170 ke qareeb pohanch jaye, to mazboot bullish pattern ko jari rakha ja sakta hai. Short term mein mazeed ooncha umeed hai, lekin traders ko market ki harkat ko nazar andaz na karne aur mazboot risk management ke saath
kaam karna chahiye.




par support paya, istiqamat hasil kiya aur rebound kiya, aur mazbooti se buland hua aur peechle din ke top-bottom transition level 2153 ke upar khara ho gaya, 2170 ke qareeb pohancha to mazboot bullish pattern ko jari rakha. Yeh darust hai ke 2150 mark ek mazboot support level hai jahan se market ne rebound kiya. Iss rebound ke baad, market ne 2138 ke upar top-bottom transition level ko paar kiya aur 2160 ke qareeb pohancha. Yeh bullish pattern ka aik mazboot indication hai aur traders ko mazeed ooncha umeed hai.

Market ne 2145 mark par support paya hai aur yeh istiqamat hasil kiya hai, jo ek mazbooti ki alaamat hai. Iske baad, market ne rebound kiya aur mazbooti se buland hua. Top-bottom transition level 2153 ke upar khara ho gaya, jo ke ek bullish pattern ka indication hai. Yeh darust hai ke 2150 mark ek mazboot support level hai, jahan se market ne rebound kiya hai.

Bullish pattern ka mazboot indication milne ke baad, traders ko mazeed ooncha umeed hai. Market ne top-bottom transition level 2138 ke upar paar kiya aur 2160 ke qareeb pohancha hai. Yeh bullish movement ko further validate karta hai aur traders ko mazeed ooncha hai umeed

Overall, market ne support paya hai, istiqamat hasil kiya hai, aur mazbooti se rebound kiya hai. Bullish pattern ka mazboot indication milne ke baad, traders ko mazeed ooncha umeed hai. Market ke movements ko closely monitor karna aur sahi waqt par apne trading decisions ko lena traders ke
liye zaroori hai.

# Sona Ke Keemat Ka Tehqiqati Jaiza Aur Bazaar Ki Namzadat

**Mukadma**

Sona ek qeemti dhatu hai jo tareekh ke andar maqbool aur ahmiyat ki hamil rahi hai. Is dhatu ka keemat mein izafa ya kam hona, araam se mahsus ho sakta hai. Isi liye, sona ke keemat ka tehqiqati jaiza aur bazaar ki namzadat ka mutala aham hai.

**Sona Ki Keemat Ka Taaruf**

Sona, aabadi ke darmiyan ek qeemti dhatu ke tor par maqbool hai. Iski shanakht gehre peeli rang ki chamak aur chamakti dhaag par mabni hoti hai. Sona ko qadmi se aj tak ahmiyat hasil hai aur mukhtalif mulkon mein iski keemat aur shanakht par farq hai.

**Sona Ke Keemat Ka Tehqiqati Jaiza**

1. **Tareekh Aur Maqasid**: Sona ki keemat ka tehqiqati jaiza shuru karne se pehle, iski tareekh aur maqasid ka mutala zaroori hai. Sona ki qeemat mein tareekhi tabdiliyon ka jayeza lena, iske arqam par asar daal sakta hai.

2. **Tehqiqati Tareeqay**: Sona ke keemat ka tehqiqati jaiza karne ke liye mukhtalif tehqiqati tareeqay istemal kiye jate hain. In mein shamil hain, arzi aur tarteebi tajziyat, tareekhi maqasid par mabni tajziyat aur taraqqiati modelon ka istemal.

3. **Arzi Aur Tarteebi Tajziyat**: Sona ke bazaar mein keemat ka tehqiqati jaiza karne ke liye arzi aur tarteebi tajziyat ka istemal kiya jata hai. Isme sona ke bazaar mein aam se mawadat aur mahinay ke dauran tabdiliyon ka mutala shaamil hai.

4. **Tareekhi Maqasid Par Mabni Tajziyat**: Sona ke keemat ka tehqiqati jaiza karne ke liye tareekhi maqasid par mabni tajziyat ka hona zaroori hai. Isme sona ke keemat ke tabdiliyon ka tareekhi jayeza lia jata hai aur tareekh ke asrat ko mad e nazar rakha jata hai.

5. **Taraqqiati Modelon Ka Istemal**: Sona ke keemat ka tehqiqati jaiza karne ke liye taraqqiati modelon ka istemal bhi kiya jata hai. Isme sona ke bazaar mein tabdiliyon ka anjaam maloom karne ke liye taraqqiati modelon ka istemal hota hai.

**Bazaar Ki Namzadat**

1. **Tajziyat Ki Zaroorat**: Bazaar ki namzadat ko samajhne ke liye tajziyat ka hona zaroori hai. Isme sona ke bazaar mein tabdiliyon ka jayeza lena aur uski asal keemat ko samajhna shamil hai.

2. **Mukhtalif Asraat**: Bazaar ki namzadat ko samajhne ke liye mukhtalif asraat ka tajziyat mein shamil hona zaroori hai. Isme siasat, maishat, aur tareekhi asrat shamil hain.

3. **Nafiz Ke Muhalefat**: Bazaar ki namzadat ko samajhne ke liye nafiz ke muhalefat ka bhi tajziyat mein shamil hona zaroori hai. Isme sona ke bazaar mein nafiz ke maholat aur muhalefat ka mutala shamil hai.

4. **Mabaini Tasalsulat**: Bazaar ki namzadat ko samajhne ke liye mabaini tasalsulat ka bhi tajziyat mein shamil hona zaroori hai. Isme sona ke bazaar mein mabaini rishtay aur tasalsulat ka mutala shamil hai.

**Nateeja**

Sona ke keemat ka tehqiqati jaiza aur bazaar ki namzadat ka mutala aham hai taake asal keemat aur tabdiliyon ko samajha ja sake. Isi tarah, sona ke bazaar mein istemal hone wale tajziyat aur namzadat se maamooli faida uthaya ja sakta hai.

Gold price technical outlook:
Gold ki prices mein phir se dabao aya trading mein jo k producer inflation data guzishta mahine mein ummed se zyada nikla tha. Iske ilawa, American logon ne jo pichle haftay job ki darkhaastain di thin, unka bhi tadaad kam hui. Darasal, retail sales bhi pehle se barh gaye, lekin tajwezat se kam rahe. Ye taraqqi aesa lagta hai ke tezi se Fed ka rate cut hone ki umeedain kam ho gayi hain. Magar, market ke khilari ab bhi shart lagaye hue hain ke agle June se interest rates mein khatra dar rate cut hoga, jo CME group ki Fedwatch tools se zahir hota hai. Is wajah se mumkin hai ke gold ki qeemat ab tak fehrist mein agle haftay tak rehne ki taraf ja sakti hai. Khaaskar is wajah se ke is mulaqat mein mustaqbil ki dilchasp darjat se interest ke taasurat honge jo agle sonay ki keemat ki harkat par asar daal sakte hain. Is liye, takneeki nazarie se agar keemat ka dabao ab bhi triangle pattern ki projection line ke oopar atka hua hai, to yeh dobara resistance ki taraf phir se bounce hone ka imkaan rakhta hai, jo daily dour mein aakhri mother bar ke price 2194.60 par hai. Khaaskar agar aap ne aakhri kuch resistances ko jorna wale trendline area ko shikanjha kardiya hai.


Chart outlook:



Agar gold ki keemat maanavi resistance 2200 ke oopar chadhai ko tasdiq karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to upar ki taraf barhne ka mauqa paida ho sakta hai. Sath hi, agar sahih taur par triangle pattern ki projection line ke niche shikanjha karne mein kamiyab hoti hai, to andaruni bar pattern se giraami signal ko tasdiq karegi. Is tarah, iska mawafiq inteshar 400 pips se zyada ke us ke taasurat ki projection tak pahunchne ka mauqa hai. Isliye, haftawarana doraan dynamic support ki taraf khalal ko mukammal karne ka mauqa hai jo keemat mein 2096.83 ke qareeb hai. Intreday tafseelat batati hain ke movement mein ek descending triangle pattern banne ki ashadgi nazar aati hai jo H4 time frame mein subjectively dekha ja sakta hai. Isliye yeh is pattern ke support aur resistance ke darmiyan aik taraf murnay ka imkaan rakhta hai jab tak ke yeh tasdiq na karle ke keemat 2149.88 ke qeemat par silsilaat mein girawat ho rahi hai. Khaaskar ke descending triangle pattern aam tor par ek giraami signal deta hai. Isliye, yeh mawafiq inteshar SMA100 dynamic support ke qeemat mein 2104.94 ke qareeb taasurat ki projection tak pahunchne ka imkaan rakhta hai. Halankeh is baat ka imkaan bhi mojud hai ke mukhalif ho, isliye a high mother bar ko test karne ka bhi mauqa hai.

Gold ki Taza kaari

Par (market) support level par pahunch gaya aur mazbooti se istiqamat hasil ki aur rebound kiya, aur mazbooti se buland hua aur peechle din ke top-bottom transition level 2143 ke upar khara ho gaya, 2160 ke qareeb pohancha to mazboot bullish pattern ko jari rakha. Yeh darust hai ke 2150 mark ek mazboot support level hai jahan se market ne rebound kiya. Iss rebound ke baad, market ne 2135 ke upar top-bottom transition level ko paar kiya aur 2150 ke qareeb pohancha. Yeh bullish pattern ka aik mazboot indication hai aur traders ko mazeed ooncha umeed hai.

Market ka support level (sahara dar) hona aik ahem aur mazboot element hota hai jo traders ki strategies ko shape karta hai. Jab market support level par pahunchta hai aur wahan se rebound karta hai, to yeh ek aham signal hota hai ke market ki taraf se ek taqatwar muddat ka shuruaat hone wali hai. Is halat mein, traders ko mazbooti se yakin ho jata hai ke market ka trend wapas oonchay ki taraf ja raha hai, aur is par unka aitmaad barhta hai.

Is taraqi mein, jab market peechle din ke top-bottom transition level 2143 ke upar chala gaya aur 2160 ke qareeb pohanch gaya, to yeh ek mazeed saboot tha ke bullish trend barqarar hai aur mazeed oonchay ki taraf ja raha hai. Yeh bhi darust hai ke 2150 mark ek mazboot support level hai, jahan se market ne pehle bhi rebound kiya tha. Is maamle mein, traders ko 2150 mark ko ek ahem point samajhna chahiye, jahan se woh mazboot support ki umeed rakh sakte hain.

Market ke is recent rebound ke baad, market ne 2135 ke upar top-bottom transition level ko paar kiya aur 2150 ke qareeb pohancha. Yeh bullish pattern ka aik mazboot indication hai ke market ka trend mazeed oonchay ki taraf ja raha hai. Traders ko mazeed umeed hai ke market 2150 ke upar aur mazeed oonchay ki taraf jaayega, aur is bullish momentum ko capitalize karke munafa haasil kar sakte hain.

Final taur par, market ka recent rebound aur bullish pattern traders ke liye aik promising opportunity hai. Market ke support level par istiqamat aur top-bottom transition levels ko paar karna bullish trend ki mazbooti ko darust karta hai. Traders ko 2150 mark ko ek mazboot support level ke roop mein dekhna chahiye aur bullish momentum ka faida uthana chahiye. Magar yaad rahe ke market ke darust analysis aur risk management ke sath kaam karna zaroori hai taake munafa haasil kiya ja sake aur nuqsaan se bacha ja sake.

Gold 1 Ghanta Time


Sonay ki keemat mein phir se dabao aya hai trading mein, jo ke producer inflation data guzishta mahine mein ummed se zyada nikla tha. Iske ilawa, American logon ne jo pichle haftay job ki darkhaastain di thin, unka bhi tadaad kam hui. Darasal, retail sales bhi pehle se barh gaye, lekin tajwezat se kam rahe.

Sonay ki keemat mein hui is taraqi ka buniyadi sabab hai producer inflation data ka zyada hona, jo ke pehle ke mahine ki tawazon se ziada tha. Producer inflation data, yaani ke utpaadak ke maal ka kimat mein izafa, aksar sonay ke keemat par asar dalta hai. Agar utpaadakon ko apne maal bechne ke liye zyada pesa chahiye hota hai, to wo isay zyada qeemat par bechne lagte hain, jis se sonay ki keemat mein izafa hota hai.

Doosri taraf, haal hi mein American logon ne job ki darkhaastain di thi, lekin is baar unka tadaad kam raha. Yeh ek musibat ki nishani ho sakti hai, kyun ke agar job ki darkhaastain kam hoti hain to logon ke paas kam paisa hota hai, jo ke phir unka tijarat mein istemal hota hai. Kam job ki darkhaastain aam tor par arthik mandi ka sabab ban sakti hain, jo sonay ki keemat ko bhi asar dalta hai.

Iske ilawa, retail sales bhi pehle se barh gaye hain, lekin tajwezat se kam rahe hain. Yeh bhi sonay ki keemat ko mutasir karne wala factor hai. Agar log zyada saman kharid rahe hain lekin tajwezat se kam rahe hain, to iska matlab hai ke log zyada paisa kharch kar rahe hain magar kam bachat kar rahe hain. Is tarah ki arthik halat mein, log sonay aur doosre sarmaya dar assest mein invest karna pasand karte hain, jo ke sonay ki keemat ko barha sakta hai.

Is muddat mein, sonay ki keemat mein izafa aur kam darja dono mumkin hain, kyun ke arthik aur siasi halaat hamesha tabdeel hotay rehte hain. Is liye, sonay ki keemat mein hone wale tabdiliyon ko samajhna aur un par mutabiq tajwezat karna zaroori hai. Trading mein kamiyabi ke liye, traders ko market ke mukhtalif asrat aur unki tawazon mein mufeedan samajhna zaroori hai, taake wo behtar faislay kar sakein.