Gold forum

GOLD H1 Timeframe Analysis:

2177 se ek darja ke utaar chadhao mehsoos hoga, aur hum wahan par ek thehraav pa sakeinge. Vridhi hoga, chahe thoda girta hua bhi hai. 2176 range ke bahar nikal jaana aur uske upar mil jaana ek accha karan hoga ki aage se kharidai karte rahein. Aise sthitiyon mein, jab bhi ek mazboot sudharak pullback hota hai, yeh sabse accha hai ki sukhad daam par kharidai karein. Yuddh ke dauran chhote nuksaan ke bawajood, US arthavyavastha ko 2162 ke upar vridhi ki ummeed hai. Sthalik 2155 neeche ke tod aur sthiti ka vilin hone par dar lagta hai ki aur dar giraavat hogi. Sthalik top range 2158 mein tod ho jayega, aur hum uske upar thehraav paenge, jo kharidai karte rahein ka ek uttam karan hai. Yadi 2152 star par sthalik adhikatam tod milta hai, to yeh kharidai karne ka ek accha karan hoga. Agar 2158 range ka galat bahar nikalne ka bahana milta hai, to vridhi jaari rah sakti hai. US session ke dauran sona mein dakshin kaarikran dekhne ko mil sakta hai, jo lagatar labh ke saath jaari rahega. 2163 mein sthalik top range ka tod aur vridhi ke liye aur kharidai ke liye aur bhi adhik karai ho sakti hai. Yeh abhi ke liye pichhla manch hai, lekin hum 2142 range se bahar nikal sakte hain aur uske niche mil sakte hain.

GOLD H-4 Timeframe Analysis:

H4 samay shreni mein ek baresh inside bar pattern bana, jo sabhi samay ke uchchstar aur aakhri teen swing uchchstaron ke beech mein tha. Is natija mein, 2177 ke aaspaas ek pratirodh kshetr ne apne samrachanaatmak sthiti se tut kar gir gaya hai. Uske vartaman moolya ke neeche do naye maang kshetron hain, ek haftawarik samarthan ke thode upar, aur ek naya anukraman block kshetr us mahine ke samarthan ke upar bana tha jab kisi rachna ka tod hua 2165. ke moolya mein. Jab maine yeh samjha, to pata chala ki keemat ne phir se is samayavadi mein ek andar bar pattern (2160.67 se 2170.00 tak) bana diya hai, isliye main pehle intezaar karunga, andar bar pattern se baahar nikalne ka, phir keemat badhne ya ghatne ke baad ek setup dhoondunga, kam se kam maa ki mombaar mombaar mombaar candle ki lambaai ke barabar, ek baar upar ya neeche jaane ke baad.

Kal sone ke muta'alliq, pichle din ke buland tareen muqami ko update karne ke baad, qareebi resistance level tak nahi pohanch saka, jo mere tajziya ke mutabiq 2222.915 par waqe hai, qeemat palat gayi aur pur sukoon tor par nichay ki taraf islaah ki, jo ek bearish engulfing candlestick ke banne ka natija tha. Wazeh hai ke kharidne wale qeemat ko qareebi resistance level tak bulane ke liye rafter ki kami hai, isliye, mein poori tor par tasleem karta hoon ke farokht karne wale is kamzori ka faida utha sakte hain aur support level ka nishana banayein, jo mere tafteesh ke mutabiq 2146.155 par waqe hai. Jaisa ke mein pehle bhi zikr kar chuka hoon, is support level ke qareeb do suratein hosakti hain. Pehli priority wali surat mein, ek mukhalif candlestick ka banawat aur oopri qeemat ke rukh ka jaari rehna shaamil hai. Agar yeh mansooba kia jata hai, to mein umeed karta hoon ke qeemat qareebi resistance level 2222.915 par wapas jaegi. Is resistance level ke upar qeemat band hone par, mein mazeed uttar ki taraf ko umeed karunga, taqreeban resistance level 2300 tak. Is resistance level ke qareeb, mein agle trading rukh ka tay karna ke liye ek trading setup ka intezaar karunga. Beshak, mein qeemat ko mazeed shimal ki taraf daba diya ja sakta hai, lekin mein is waqt is option ko gaur se nahi dekh raha, kyun ke mujhe iski jaldi haqeeqat hone ki tawajjo nahi nazar aati. Agla qadam support level 2146.155 ke qareeb pohnchne par qeemat ki harkat ke liye ek dosra mansooba ek plan ho sakta hai jahan qeemat is support level ke neeche band hoti hai aur jari rukh ko jari rakhti hai. Agar yeh mansooba kia jata hai, to mein umeed karta hoon ke qeemat support level 2088.545 ya phir support level 2062.310 ki taraf jaegi. In support levels ke qareeb, mein bullish signals talash karta rahunga, aage ki uttar ki harkat ka intezar karte hue. Aam tor par, isay mukhtasar taur par kehne ke liye, abhi mein poori tor par tasleem karta hoon ke qeemat qareebi support level ki taraf jaa sakti hai, aur phir, mojooda global uttar ki raftar ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mein umeed karunga ke izafay mein kami ki tashkeel ke intezaar mein bullish signals talash karunga

Sona iss saal ke aghaaz se 5.1% izafa kar chuka hai, pehli dafa $2,200 har ounce ko paar kar ke aik ahem nishaan tak pohanch gaya hai. XAU/USD ka uparward rukh mazboot nazar aata hai, lekin sawal ye hai: kya bailon ke paas tehreek ko barqarar rakhne ke liye kafi taqat hai? Lagta hai ke qeemti dhaat ki peechli fawaid khatam ho chuke hain, or koi naye fawaid ankhon ke saamne nahi hain. Shayad ab iska dorra thik karna waqt aa gaya hai.
Sona ke liye aik faida mand gheir mulki mahol ko yeh samjha jata hai ke America ki maeeshat ka slow down, jo Federal Reserve ko federal funds rate kam karne ki taraf raghib karta hai, aseeri tanazaat mein izafa, or fizai assests ke mazboot talab. Is lehaz se, Dusre Mashriq ke tanazaat, central banks or China ke qeemti dhaat ki barhati hui khareedari ne XAU/USD ke izafe ke liye josh barhaya hai. Lekin, World Gold Council ka tajziya hai ke central banks 2022 se records torhne ka intezaar nahi karte, or China ke zariye Hong Kong ke zariye sona ki 48% mahina ba mahina kami 39.8 tan tak ki ek kamzor talab ki taraf ishara karta hai.

Goldman Sachs or Invesco ka khayal hai ke duniya ke leading central banks ki mukhtalif monetary policyon ka shayad aik tailwind commodities market assests ke liye peda karega, companies or aam logon ki barhti hui istemal ke bais. Lekin, Federal Reserve rate cuts ke saath jaldi karne ka irada nahi rakhta. Is ke ilawa, 2024 ke ibtida mein, investors ko saal mein che waqt monetary expansion ka intezar tha. Ab, sirf teen ka intezar hai. Is ne United States dollar ko major dunyawi currencies ke khilaf mazboot kiya hai or Treasury bond yields mein izafa kiya hai. Dono factors XAU/USD ke liye bearish hain

GOLD



Rozana chart par, aham level nehair-musalat sabqat dikha raha hai, mazbooti se apna muqabla kar raha hai. Ibtida ke mutabiq, bulli momentum ka barhna aur is ahem intehai had tak pahunchne ka tasawwur tha, lekin market dynamics rukh badal gaye, jis ne qeemat ko kam kar ke ahem Simple Moving Average (SMA-50) ki taraf murajjah kiya. Halankeh is muqam se noticeable taraqqi dekhi gayi, magar mazeed ooper ki manzil aik qareebi nazar se dekhi gayi to mukhtalif shakal mein milti hai. Halat dekhne par, ab gold ka raasta aik qabil-e-paishanah kamzor hota ja raha hai, jabke ye nishana jo bullish channel ke support sarhad par mojood hai, mojooda taur par 2004.70 par rakha gaya hai. Is mawafiq mojudah bearish jazbat ko rozana ke hisab se barqarar rakhne ke liye, qareeb hone par qeemat ke rawayya ka mushahida zaroori hai.
Rozana chart par dikhayi jane wali mustaqil panahai aham level ki ahmiyat ko izhar karta hai, jo market ke shaoormand shirakat daron ke liye aik markazi nukta-e-nazar hai. Ibtida ke tawazun ke bawajood ke bullish jazbat mein izafa ki umeed thi, jo is aham had ko muqabla karne aur shayad guzar jaane ki taraf rawana thi, lekin mojudah qeemat ke dynamics ne aik mukhtalif afsana rang kiya. Ye ihtiraq qeemat ka ikhtisas, jis ne raasta ikhtiyar kiya, SMA-50 ki taraf janib rukhne ki taraf aur wahan se chalte chale gaye. Jabke yeh moving average sahara ka aik andaza diya, magar mazeed chadhai khaas tor par tabdiliyat ke doran mukhtalif hoti thi, khas tor par chhoti muddat ke charts, jese ke hourly chart. Ye mutanazzah mushahida bazar ke harkat mein poshidah complexity ko dikhata hai, jo ke tarteeb mein aate hue tijarati manzar mein jaded faislon ke darmiyan samajhna ke ehamiyat ko izhar karta hai.

Is ke ilawa, 2157.48 ke do matabiq qeemat ke imtehaaniya test ke baad short positions ka tasawwur kiya ja sakta hai, agar MACD oscillator line overbought manzar mein mojood ho. Ye tanasub imtehaaniya price points ki taraf acha ishaara deta hai, jese ke 2148.24 aur 2137.89. Ikhtitami tor par, aik mutanazzah approach, mukammal tajziya aur strategy ke insights se munsalik, GOLD market ke pechida manzar mein safar karne ke liye laazim hai.

GOLD


Gold ke daily chart par, original resistance level ko test karne ke baad, jo bottom se top tak 2195.235 par sthit hai mere signals ke mutabiq, ek naye rally ke bahar nikalne ke baad, keemat ulta ho gayi aur khabron ke maadhyam se dabav aaya. Ek saaf candlestick ke teht, jo purane daily range ke andar band hua. Aane wale hafte mein main support position ke mutabiq meri mufavizatain jaari rakhunga, jo mere signals ke mutabiq 2146.155 par sthit hai. Iss support position ke qareeb situation ko develop karne ke liye do scripts hain. Pehli script bullish candlestick ka banna aur keemat ke izaafa ko jari rakhna hai. Halaanki, agar yeh plan kaam karta hai toh main 2222 ke resistance position tak lautne ka intezar karunga. Phir bhi, agar keemat is resistance position ke upar se recover karti hai toh main 2300 ke resistance position tak aur upar ka rukh dekhunga. Trade ke direction mein target ko aur bhi upar develop karne ke options hain, lekin main unhein abhi consider nahi kar raha, kyunke mujhe unke jald se jald perpetration ke liye koi prospects nahi nazar aate hain. 2146.155 ke support position ko pohanchne par keemat par hone wala action zaroori hai, jismein agar keemat is position ke neeche stabilize hoti hai aur aur zyada south ki taraf move karti hai. Halaanki, agar yeh plan develop hota hai toh main 2088 ke support position ya 2062.310 ke support position ke break hone ka intezaar karunga. In support situations ke qareeb, main bullish signals aur bullish recovery ke liye dekhta rahunga. Is tarah, aane wale hafte mein main maanta hoon ke keemat correction ke hisse ke taur par south ki taraf push kar sakti hai, lekin nazdeek ke support position ke paas, keemat ko mohlat deni chahiye, prospects ke liye bullish signals ki talash mein. Upar ki taraf movement global north trend ke hisse ke taur par.
Gold H-4 Timeframe Analysis:
H4 timeframe mein ek bearish inside bar pattern bana hai, jo har waqt high aur last teen swing highs ke darmiyan hai. Is nateeje mein, 2177 ke aas paas resistance zone apne structural condition se toot gaya hai. Iske maujooda keemat ke niche do naye demand zones hain, ek thoda sa upar daily support 2180 ka. Ek fresh order block zone saalana support 2165 ke upar bani hai, jab ke maujooda keemat ke upar ek fresh order block zone bana hai structure break se pehle 2160.00 ke range mein. Jaise hi maine abhi dekha hai, keemat ne is timeframe mein phir se ek inside bar pattern bana diya hai (2160.67 se 2170.00 tak), toh main pehle yeh rukunga, keemat ko andar se bahar aane ka, aur phir setup ko talash karunga buy ya vend ke liye, baad mein keemat ne kam se kam mama bar candle ke lambai ke barabar ek baar upar ya neeche move kiya hai.

Gold H1 Timeframe Analysis:
2177 range tak keemat ki barhti hui shaanakhtni ho gi, aur hum wahan ek buniyad hasil kar sakte hain. Zaroorat hai keemat mein izafa ho sakta hai, lekin thoda sa giraavat bhi hosakti hai. 2176 range se bahar nikalne aur iske upar shamil hone ka ek acha sabab hoga buy karne ke liye. Is tarah ke situations mein, jab bhi ek mazboot correct withdrawal hota hai, toh faayda mand keemat par kharida jaana fashion hai. US session ke doran chhoti haaren hone ke bawajood, US maeeshat 2162 ke upar badhni chahiye. 2155 ke original low ka toot jaana shayad aur rate ko mazeed giraavat mein mubtala kar sakta hai. Original top range 2158 mein toot jayega, aur humein iske upar ek buniyad hasil hogi, jo buy karne ke liye aik behtareen sabab hai. Agar 2152 situations mein ek original outside breakdown milta hai toh yeh ek acha sabab hoga buy karne ke liye. Agar 2158 range ka ek false rout hota hai toh uptrend jaari rahega. Hum US session mein gold mein ek southward correction dekh sakte hain, jo ke mazid earnings ke saath hai. 2163 mein original top range ka rout, aur mazeed buying ko barhawa de ga. Yeh maujooda maahol hai, lekin hum 2142 range ke bahar nikal sakte hain aur uske neeche combine ho sakte hain.

H4 Time Frame

H4 time frame mein, highest point aur last three swing highs ke darmiyan aik bearish inside bar pattern ban gaya. Is natije mein, resistance zone jo ke 2177 ke qareeb thi, uski structural condition se toot gayi hai. Mojudah price ke neeche, do naye demand zones hain, aik weekly support ke qareeb jo ke 2180 par hai aur doosra aik fresh order block zone jo ke monthly support ke 2165 ke upar ban gaya hai. Sath hi, mojudah price ke upar aik fresh order block zone bhi hai, jo ke structure break hone se pehle 2160.00 ke range mein bana hai. Jaise hi mujhe yeh samajh aa jaye ke price ne is time frame mein doosra inside bar pattern banaya hai (2160.67 se lekar 2170.00 tak), main pehle wait karoonga, price ko inside bar pattern se bahar aane ka wait karoonga, phir price ko dekhoonga aur setup dhoondhoonga kharidne ya bechna ke liye jab price atleast mother bar candle ki lambai ke barabar upar ya neeche move ho jaye. Market ke bullish position essential aur supportive protections ko 2184.54 aur 2194.76 se mita sakti hai. Uske baad, main umeed karta hoon ke price apni izaafi izafay ki taraf jaari rakhega jis ki teesri rukawat 2199.60 level hai. Doosri taraf, gold ke liye primary aur essential support level 2164.06 hai. Market mein giravat 2164.06 support line ko cross karegi aur agla target 2144.28 par hoga, jo ke teesri degree ka support hai. Main umeed karta hoon ke price aaj yeh levels na pohnche. Pair ke mazeed factors ke hawale se, kal ke movement ko predict karna mushkil hai kyun ke mojudah volatility mukhtalif ho sakti hai.

Market mein qeemat ki hareef rawaano ke darmiyaan ab bhi intehai dabao hai aur lagta hai ke kal se bhi yeh mudda jaari rahega. Pehle se mukhtalif factors ne qeemat ko mazboot dhaanchayi aur taqatwar mazid rukawat ka samna karwaya tha, khaaskar 2197.90 ke mazboot resistance level par. Isi tarah, H4 waqt frame par bhi dekha ja sakta hai ke qeemat ka giravat ne Bollinger Band indicator ke mid-BB area ko kaafi tezi ke saath guzara hai, jisse mojooda halaat ko madde nazar rakhte hue bhi pata lagta hai. Is doran, yeh mumkin hai ke qeemat ki hareef rawaano ka agla mazboot support ab bhi giravat ka shikaar ho aur yeh 2000.72 ke qeemat level par milti hai. Market mein tezi ya mandi ka faisla karte waqt, yeh mazboot support level bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai aur investors isay nazarandaaz nahi kar sakte. Halanki, market ka future hamesha ke liye qatai nahi hota, aur is mein mukhtalif factors shaamil hote hain jo mukhtalif mudon ko prabhavit kar sakte hain. Economic indicators, geopolitical tensions, aur global events bhi market ke halaat par asar dalte hain. Isliye, investors ko hoshiyar rehna zaroori hai aur market ke halaat ko chaan been karne ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye.



Aik aur cheez jo investors ko yaad rakhni chahiye, woh hai risk aur reward ka taalluq. Jab market mein zyada dabao hota hai, toh risk bhi zyada hota hai, lekin iske saath hi reward bhi zyada hota hai agar sahi samay par entry aur exit ki jaaye. Isliye, har investor ko apni tolerance level aur market ki sthiti ke mutabiq apne faislay ko adjust karna chahiye. Aakhir mein, market mein mazid taza taraar hone ki ummeed hai aur investors ko hamesha tayyar rehna chahiye ke kaise unko market ki halaat ke mutabiq apne strategies ko modify karna hai. Isi tarah, sahi samay par faislay lene aur samajhdar trading karke, investors apne maqsad ko haasil kar sakte hain aur apne investments ko mehfooz rakh sakte hain.

Chuttiyon ke bawajood, liquidity ki kami aur intezar ki surat-e-haal mein, sonay ke daam guzishta trading mein tareekhi nafsiyati rukawat ke darjay tak pahunche, jab ke sonay ka daam aik bohot sakin din ki trading ki shuruaat mein 2,178 dollar har ounce ke darjay par mustaqil ho gaya. Sonay ke faide kal aaye jab dollar ke keemat mein kami hui, jab ke investors Amreeki dilchaspi darojat ke khatre ke darmiyan jari rakhtay hue US shakhsiyati istemal shuruati nafaqon ke maamlay ki report ka intezar kar rahe hain
Pichle haftay, Amreeki Federal Reserve ne is saal teen dilchaspi darojat ke katne ka tasawwur barqarar rakha, jo sonay ke market ko zyada kashish bakhshta hai. Magar, February mein Amreeki qabil-e-mamooli mudaawin aane ke baad, kai Amreeki Federal Reserve ke afisaan ziddi maahengai aur mazboot maeeshat ka paish karte hue izhar-e-fikar kiya. Maaliyat ke markets halankeh fed ke Amreeki dilchaspi darojat katne ka taqreeban 70% imkaan darj karte hain, jo meeting se pehle taqreeban 55% tha

Dusri taraf, sona jaise safe haven assey ka koi sahara nahi hai, jaise ke markazi aur mashriqi Europe mein taiz ho rahi siyasi tanazaat, jab ke UN Security Council Gaza mein foran hamle ki talab karta hai

Ek aur darje par, Amreeki stock market ke indices kal ki trading ko giray, mukhtalif maaliyat ke data aur personal consumption expenditures inflation report ke intezar mein, jo Federal Reserve ke future ke Amreeki dilchaspi darojat katne ki andaruni tasveer faraham kar sakta hai. Stock trading platforms ke mutabiq, Standard & Poor's 500 aur Dow Jones indices kareeb 0.3% aur 0.1% gir gaye, apni nuksan ko teesri session tak barhaate hue, jabke Nasdaq index 0.4% gir gaya

Sona ke qeemat aik din pehle North American trading session mein qaaim ho gayi, jo khareedne walon ko $2,200.00 ki manzil tak pohanchne ki taraf raghbat dila rahi thi. United States mein mehdood ma'ashi taqat ka silsila ho raha hai, jis par market maker ne apni tawajju sonay par mabni ghaafilana rasae mein badha di, jab Federal Reserve ki June mein interest rate kam karne ki mumkinat ke barhte hue afraad ki guftagu mein izafa ho raha hai. Mojooda doran, XAU/USD jodi $2,188 par hai, jo 0.63% izafa darj kar rahi hai, jo $13 ki izafi kamai ke barabar hai.
Amreeki Treasury bondon ki girawat ne sonay ko sath diya hai, jo ek aisa asaas hai jo koi bhi faida nahi deta. 10 saal tak ke Amreeki Treasury note ki bain-ul-aqwami dhaar 4.19% tak ghat gayi, chaar basis points ki kami hai. Is natije mein, Amreeki haqiqi dhaaren 1.914% se mutasir hokar mojooda 1.87% tak kam hui, jo Amreeki dollar par dabao dal rahi hai

Amreeki Dollar Index (DXY), jo dollar ki karobari faraiz ko chh kar chh mukhtalif aham currencies ke khilaaf mawazna karta hai, 104.30 par mustahkam hai, sonay ko khaas tawajju nahi mil rahi hai. Amreeki ma'ashi fa'alat darust nahi rahi, jab ke sirf Fed Governor Christopher Waller ki taqreer 22:00 GMT ke qareeb darust hai. Magar, haftay ke sab se muntakhib waqiyaat mein se ek, Friday ke liye mustaqbil ki umeed hai, Federal Reserve ka pasandida inflation indicator, core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report ka aghaz hai. Is ke ilawa, is haftay ke ma'ashi taqat ka silsila University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment report, Initial Jobless Claims data, aur final GDP reading ko bhi shamil karta hai, jo Thursday ke liye muntakhib kiya gaya hai. Ye ijaadat market sentiment aur sonay ke qeemat par asar daalne wale hain


Sonay ka bazaar haal hi mein kafi tabdeel nahi hua hai. Kal, yeh ek bullish trend dikhaya, aur woh trend aaj bhi nahi badla. Kal, sonay ki qeemat 50.00 aur 61.8% Fibonacci levels ke neeche thi, lekin aaj yeh unke oopar hai aur $2200.00 ke qareeb mojood hai. Yeh ishara deta hai ke bullish trend shayad oopar ki taraf jaari rahega, haal hi mein peak price $2222.00 ko test karne ke liye

Dinbardaar time frame par sone ka bazaar tehqeeq karne se, jo karobariyon ko mojooda trends aur qeemat ke mohtamil asraat ko samajhne ki talab hai, wo aik mukammal nazar faraham karta hai. Pichle haftay ke karobari session ka aik qabil-e-zikr bearish candlestick formation ke saath mukhtasir hua, jo bazaar ki jazbaat mein tabdeeli ki nishandahi karti hai. Yeh khaas candlestick khasoosiyat jese ke high ko tor dena, aik mukammal jism aur lambi lambi dumm waghera ka saath deta hai, jis se maloom hota hai ke farokht karte hue logon ne session mein bare dabaav dala. Sone ki qeemat be-nazar-e-wasta unchaai tak pohanchti hai, yeh karobari terminal ke record shuda data mein aik tareekhi manzil ki nishandahi karti hai. Yeh hairat angez bulandiyon ko market trends aur patterns ka qareebi nigrani karna ahem darja deti hai. In taraqqiyati ahamiyat ke tay peechay reh kar, karobariyon aur investors ko inform hawale se faislay karne aur apni strategies ko lazmi tor par saheh karna ki zaroorat hai taake woh maaliyat ke jazbati manzar ko tay karsaken.

Pichle haftay ke ikhtitam par dekhi gayi bearish candlestick formation sone ki qeemat ka buland raftar mein rukawat ya taw temporari pahlu ho sakti hai. Karobariyon ko is u-turn ke sinyal ki darusti ko tasdeeq karne ke liye ahem support aur resistance levels, sath hi aur takniqati indicators par tawajjo deni chahiye. Siyasi aur iqtisadi hadsat, maali data release aur investors ke jazbat mein tabdeeliyan bhi sone ke bazaar mein qeemat ke nifrat mein asraat daal sakti hain. Khatra nigrani trading mein bunyadi hai, khaaskar zyada volatility aur bezaari ke doran. Karobariyon ko nuksan ko kam karne aur capital ko mehfooz karne ke liye stop-loss orders aur position-sizing techniques ko laagu karna chahiye. Is ke ilawa, market ki khabron aur taraqqiyatiyon par ba-qaidah nazar rakhna karobariyon ko sone ki qeemat ko mutawaqqaan mutasir karne wale aasaar ka intezar karne mein madad faraham kar sakta hai

Aaj din ki shuruaat mein sone ki qeemat ek range mein trading kar rahi hai. Qeemti dhaat aaj bhi kal ki unchi se thodi si kam hai. Jumeraat ko, qeemti dhaat ne roohani tor par ahem nishan 2050 ke mark ko test kiya, lekin amreeki dollar ke izafa ne isay mazbooti hasil karne nahi di. Qeemti dhaaton ka market Europe se statistics ka intezar kar raha hai. Warna, tamam tawajjo geopolitics aur amreeki market ke khulne par di ja rahi hai. Amreeka bhi ahem maloomat ka munasib miqdaar jari karega. Bahar aa gayi hai aur yeh acha hai. Is aala ke liye, mein mustaqbil mein ek muwafiq nichli tajwez ki umeed rakhta hoon, lekin amm tor par main upar ki harkat ka jari rakhne ka tawajjo rakhta hoon. Tawaqo kiya gaya mor 2035 ke darje par hai, main is se oopar khareedonga jahan tak ke 2055 aur 2065 ke darjon tak ke maqasid honge. Beshak, ek doosra manzarah bhi hai, qeemat girne lagaygi, 2035 ke darja se neeche jaayegi aur mustaqil hogi, phir rasta 2030 aur 2025 dollars har unse tak khulega

Mukhtasir tor par, lagta hai ke sone ke liye uttar mein tayar hona wakt aagaya hai, beshak mini imkaanat hain ke dakhil ke liye, sone ke liye sab khatam nahi hua, wo shayad ab bhi hosh mein aa sakte hain, lekin mujhe lagta hai ke junoob ke saath koi kaam nahi hoga, qeemat ko tezi se barhne ka tawajjo hai aur zyada taur par aage dabao daalay ga neele lehr (2) ke tootne par, kal maine is ke bare mein likha tha, ke lehron mein abhi bhi kuch halkay hain, kya aur kaise, daur ke zigzags mein unhone pehle se hi 2045.00 ko maar diya hai aur nojawan tarteeb ko mashq karte hue jald hi woh buray zigzag ko mansookh kar denge agar woh qeemat ko thoda aur izafa karenge

XAUUSD

Daily chart par, aham level ne dekha gaya hai ke wo qayam aur mazbooti se apni jagah barqarar rakhta hai. Pehli umeedon ke khilaf, ke bullish momentum is ahem had tak pohanch jayega aur is ko mukhalif ki taraf dekhne ke baad, bazaar ki dynamics rukh badal gayi, jo ke ek ulta waqoof ko shuroo karta hai, jis se keemat barqarar rakhne ke liye simple moving average (SMA-50) ki taraf lot ti hai. Halankeh is nokdaar se ek wazeh recovery nazar aayi, mager agle ird gird ki dafaq mein, jo ke hourly timeframe mein dekhi gayi, uski barqarar trajectory dekhi gayi. Mojudah doran, sone ka rukh ek wazeh kamzori dikhata hai, jab ke ye manfi taqat ke samraaj mein milne ke liye 2004.70 par mojooda manfi channel ki limit ki taraf mutawajja hota hai. Yeh mojudah bearish jazbat ko ek din ki buniyad par barqarar rakhne ke liye, mojooda level ke nazdeek aane par keemat ka rawaiya ka intezar zaroori ho jata hai.

Daily chart par dekhi gayi mazbooti ne is ko ahem had ki ehamiyat ke tor par darust kiya hai, ek tawajju ka markazi nukta banaya gaya hai jo ke hosheyar bazaar ke shirkat daaron ke liye ek markazi nukta hai. Pehli tawaqo ke khilaaf, ke bullish jazbaat ke sur par barhne ki umeed thi, jo ke is aham had ko mukhalif karne aur shayad toor ne ki aakhri umeed hai, chandni shamil hone se chandni mehsoos hone ke liye. Yeh ikhtilaaf, ek waapis ki taraf chalne se le kar keemat ka dorra, jo ke SMA-50 ke mukhaatib ho gaya. Jabke yeh moving average thoda sa sahara deta hai, agla barhav khaas taur par chhota time frames jaise ke ghante ke chart mein dekha gaya. Yeh mazedar mushahida bazaar ke harkaton ke andar wajood ke takalif ko darust karta hai, jo ke muskil mehakoom halat mein jawaab dete hain aur is ka mukhtalif fazool mein faisla karne ka ahem hota hai.

Is ke ilawa, do mufeed imtehan ke baad, 2157.48 ke price tests ke baad, chhoti se MACD oscillator line jo ke overbought samraaj mein hota hai, soch samajh kar ke short positions ke liye muntazir kiya ja sakta hai. Ye mansooba asar ka behtar nishaan hai market ki mudakkhal ke taraf jis ke natijay mein 2148.24 aur 2137.89 tak ki nishana baazi ki ja sakti hai. Ikhtiyari aur samaji tajziyah ke tehat, GOLD market ke jaal mein phelne wale peshango ki duniyavi tafreeq ko samajhna zaroori hai.

Anay wale trading sessions mein, main sonay ke mustaqbil ke daeemat ko zahir karunga. Jab aap sirf daily format par nazar daalenge, to sab kuch wazeh ho jata hai. Aam tor par, ham H4 structure ke raste par hain, halankeh ham apne ibtidaai forokht maqasid ko pura karna pasand karenge jaise ke 2165 aur 2140. Patch ka theme agle patch mein bhi jari reh sakta hai, lekin is tarah ki mumkinat filhal nahi lagti. Meri sirf aik fikar hai: 2154 ilaqa mein kuch positions m option ke liye muzar ho sakti hain. Ye bhi mumkin hai ke behtar market sharaayi sharaayi halat ka intezar karein phir khareedne ke liye. Jab price 2165 ke mazboot resistance ke upar durust hoke, to uksa karobar mein aik tawajjo mand position lein aur jab trend palat jaye to khareedna shuru karein. Ye taraqqi ne 2156 mein bari daeemat ka qool shaamil karna ki rah ki hai. Bina mufeed samajh ke, agar aap ko kaafi ilm na ho, to aise karobar market ke am trend ke khilaaf jaayenge. Sonay ke liye mukarrar leval ke tajziye ke liye ghante ke chart par abhi bhi kaam baqi hai. Is natijay mein, hum ummeed karte hain ke sonay ke tamam daeimat hari hai aj. Agar aik rebound trend price ho, to qeemat 2165 resistance level tak pohanch jaye gi. Chhoti muddat mein, ye tajziya banane aur 2140-2154 ke sahara ki taraf rawana honay ki ummeed hai. Press release 2145 ke ird gird ki had ko toorna par asar daal sakti hai, jo sonay ke daeimat mein mazeed girawat ka bais bana sakti hai. 2165 se 2139 tak daam gir jaye ga aur phir 2156 tak barh jaye ga aur 2146 tak pohanch jaye ga. Halankeh sonay ke bazar ka bunyadi trend ghairhi hai, lekin bazar mein tajziya jari hai. Ucch tarteeb par mabni charts ke mutabiq, sonay ke bazar mein koi naye taraqqi

Kal ki wapas ki natije mein, maine apni tamam khareedariyon ko theek kar liya. Bikri ke daam 2198 ke darje tak barh jane ke baad, daramad mein izafa dekha gaya hai. Barhne ki tawakkal hai. Agar kisi durusti girawat hoti, toh phir bhi ek behtareen kharidne ka mauqa hota. Main ne hali mein chhoti wapas ko itna design kiya ke mukablay ke daam par jitni zyada khareedariyan mumkin thi, hasil ki ja sakein. 2179 karobari darje ka tootna bohot zyada mumkin hai jo ke aane wale daramad ko barqarar rakhne aur zyada khareedne ki izazat de ga. Jab hum 2198 ke mahalli buland par tootain aur is ke upar qadam jama lain, to yeh ek behtareen wajah hogi ke kharidari jari rakhi jaye. Main ab bhi tawakkal rakhta hoon ke agar 2179 karobari darje ka ghalat tootna hota hai, to taaqat barqarar rahe gi. 2162 ki taraf ek nichli roshni ka jhatka kharidne ka acha ishara hai. 2158 darje mein, khareedne walay mahalli buland ke upar tootne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Jab hum aisa karenge aur is ke upar jama ho jayenge, to yeh ek azeem kharidari ka ishara hoga. Agar darje 2185 ke daire mein chale gaye aur wahan par qaim rahenge, to yeh ek behtareen wajah hogi ke kharidari jari rakhi jaye. Ek chhota nichla dabaav ke bawajood, daramad ka barqarar rehna tawakkal rakha jata hai. Humein shayad ek zyada tawakkali girawat ho, is liye munasib keemat par kharidari karna acha intikhab hoga. 2189 ke daire ke oopar aik mushtarqa jamav ne tawazun ko mazeed mazboot bana diya hai. Mumkin hai ke US market barqarar rahe aur ek halki girawat ke baad 2192 ke daire ke oopar aur mazeed taaqat dekhi ja sake. Ek girawat pehle se hi zahir hai jab ye 2183 mahalli kam se kam darje ko tord gaya aur is ke neeche jama ho gaya. Agar tanazaate kam ho rahi hain, to jab keematain apne kam se kam maqam ke qareeb hon, tab kharidna chahiye. 2175 ke darje ke liye mahalli ziada daire ka tootna mumkin hai, jise ek acha waqt kharidne ka banata hai

Ghanton ke chart par seedha tanao ke lene ka channel M15 par milta hai, jis mein shauk se barhti hui tawakkul hoti hai. Jab kharidari karte hain, to humein ye do channels pasand hain. Farokht kisi shart par mukhtalif hai. Is kaam ko anjam dene ke liye, aap ko M15 channel ko neeche dekhna chahiye, phir aap farokht mein dakhil hone ki koshish kar sakte hain. Magar jaise tasviro mein dekha gaya hai, dono channels oopar ki taraf jhuke hue hain, jis se paon mein masla paida hota hai. 2160.69 par channel ke seema ke neeche kharidne ka zyada munafa hai kyunkay kharidne wale bazaar ko daba rahe hain. Is maqam ke neeche, kharidari aur farokht ka toofan hoga. Main channel ke 2158.12 ke oopar jaane ka irada kar raha hoon. Oopar jaate hue, bail ko apne mazid miqdar tak poora karne ka zyada waqt mil jayega, jo ke qillat ka buniad ho sakta hai. Yahan wo cheez hai jo main kahunga. Phir se, jab pullback hota hai, to mai uptrend kharidari karne wale dhoondh raha hoon

Sona / XAUUSD Takneeki Tahlil:

Sona ka bazaar mushkil waqt ka saamna kar raha hai, jiske sath ek na-faizana manzar hai. Ye dabba hua hai, 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) aur zaroori darwaze $1,900 ke neeche achhaee se tijarat kar raha hai. Bazaar ki taghafulat kisi imarati halat ke sath gahra talluq rakhte hain jaise ke America mein mehengai aur sarfeen ke daramaad par. Moujooda halaat ke tahet, yeh mumkin hai ke bazaar apne giravat jaari rakhe, jahan tak $1,800 tak pohanch sakta hai. Budh ke haal ki tijarat ki fehristaft kaafi waazeh tor par bazaar mein maujood naumeedi ko darust karti hai. Sona ko ek umeedwar sarmaya tasawar karna ke liye, zaroori hoga ke faiz daro mein ek numaya kami ho aur bazaar ko 200-day EMA ko toorna pare. Is pichar ko todna mumkin hai ke bazaar ki faaliyat ko izafa ho. Lekin ehtiyaat baratna zaroori hai, kyun ke bazaar chart par aik wedge pattern nazar aata hai, jo ke ek rukawat ka ishaara karta hai.

Haal hi mein, bazaar aik imkaaniat ka dor guzar raha hai, jahan bade paimane par tabdeeliyan muntazir hain maamooli arzi manzar ke andar. Jameen ke haalat ko le kar jo trends chal rahe hain, wo America ke hakoomat ke faiz daro ke faislo ke asraat ko darust karte hain sonay ke keemat par. Phir bhi, aage dekhte hue, sonay mein invest karna bohot ahem hai aur munafa deh shairakat darust kar sakta hai.

Sona Daily View:

Pehli dafa sardi ke agaz se market dynamics mein kamyabi nazar aati hai. US Dollar ek buland manzar par hai, jabke qeemti dhaat, sona saamil, nayab giraft mein nazar aai hai. Sona ne shuruaati tor par aik achanak giravat ka samna kia, jab ke bear ne ise $1,875 tak dhakela, aur baad mein, ye mazeed $1,850 tak gira. Khaas tor par, buland raftar ke bullish momentum ne uttar mein mukaam haasil karne mein sakht mehnat ki, aane wale north mein ummedon ke bawajood. Mujhe yeh wazeh karna hai ke main chaar ghante ka time frame ke hawale se keh raha hoon, jahan main ek bearish trend ki taraqqi ke sath south mein taqatbari dynamics ko dekh raha hoon. Yeh lagta hai ke mazeed neeche ki taraf manzil ko bharhaya ja sakta hai, khaaskar agar $1,875 zone kharidaron ke liye ek mazboot rukawat sabit ho. Is level ka dobara imtehaan dekhna dakheelay ke raaste ko khol sakta hai, jo ke shayad $1.820-$1.830 range tak sab se bearish trend ko lamba kar sakta hai.

Haftawar chart par, $1,850 ke neeche band hone par sonay ki giravat ka jari rehne ka ishaara hai. Agar qeemti dhaat par manfi asraat jaari rehte hain, to hum $1.810-$1.830 zone ke ird gird taqat ka imtehan dekh sakte hain. Sirf is imtehan ke baad, hum sonay ke market mein lambay positions ke dakhilay ke liye dhoondh sakte hain. Agar H4 chart ke ishaare ke mutabiq aik mukhalif taluqat ho, to yeh mumkin hai ke faida mand kharidari mawaqay pesh karay, jo ke nishaan ko dubara $1.875 tak pohancha sakta hai, aur baad mein $1.915 tak pohanch sakte hain.