Gold forum

Forecast of Gold

H4 time frame chart outlook:

Aaaj k price action ko dekhte hue, Gold ka daura descending channel ki upper level ko tod kar bullish trend mein gaya hai, Gold ka H4 waqt frame chart dekhne se maloom hota hai ke daura descending channel mein tha jab tak ki haal hi mein upper level tod gaya. Is waqt frame chart par Gold ka 26 aur 50 EMA lines ke cross hone ke baad, metal ka primary trend bullish nazar aata hai. Current candle mein Gold ne bullish movement shuru ki jab descending channel ka top level tod gaya, aur phir price retouch kar ke aur bhi ooncha chala gaya. Jyada possibility hai ke Gold jald hi 2351 resistance level ko test karega. Agar yeh tod jaata hai, toh woh aur bhi ooncha jaayega aur upper resistance levels ko test karega.

Din Bhar ka waqt frame chart dekh kar, maine dekha hai ke Gold ka daam is saal ka sabse ooncha point, 2430 tak pahunch gaya, uske baad price ki adjustments ki wajah se girne laga. Haal hi mein price ke teen din se 26 EMA line ke qareeb trade kar raha hai, lekin price correction abhi bhi jaari hai. Magar mujhe notice hua ke Gold ne kal ek taqatwar bullish candle banaya, isliye Gold ka daam 26 EMA line ke upar band hua; dekhte hain agar aaj price mein izafa hota hai ya girta hai. Agar range zone ke resistance level ko todta hai, toh Gold apne sabse oonche daam ko dobara test karega; agar girke support level ko todta hai, toh Gold ka daam gir jaayega aur trend alag disha mein mud jaayega.

Kal, GOLD ka qeemat maqbul had tak oonchi hui. Gold ne peechle haftay ki session mein zameen qaim ki aur apni peechli unchi ki taraf ja raha hai. Kuch taawun qeemti dhaaton ke market par America ki rozgar data se bhi aata hai. Bohat saare investors traditional safe instruments jese ke gold mein bhi dilchaspi rakhte hain. Kal ke maali hadse kuch kam aur dor ki hai. Europe aur United States zyadatar secondary statistics faraham karenge. Sirf jab American session khulega tab investors apne apne faislon ko le sakte hain
Gold ka H4 waqt frame chart dekhne se maloom hota hai ke daura descending channel mein tha jab tak ki haal hi mein upper level tod gaya. Is waqt frame chart par Gold ka 26 aur 50 EMA lines ke cross hone ke baad, metal ka primary trend bullish nazar aata hai. Current candle mein Gold ne bullish movement shuru ki jab descending channel ka top level tod gaya, aur phir price retouch kar ke aur bhi ooncha chala gaya

Is instrument ke lehaz se, mein mustaqbil mein maqbul had tak neeche ki tameer ka intezar karta hoon, lekin mein umeed karta hoon ke oopar ki trend jaari rahegi. Market 2292 ke oopar mud sakta hai, aur mein is level ke oopar khareedunga, 2332 aur 2349 ki manzil ke saath. Girte hue daam bhi ho sakte hain, 22989 ko tor kar aur phir 2268 aur 2252 dollars ki taraf kholne se pehle mazid mazboot hone se pehle. Magar agar hum dobara 2319.00 kshetra mein jaate hain, toh wahan bhi khareedunga, khaaskar ke stop chhota hoga. Halankeh yeh abhi bhi ek bearish mombati thi, lekin uttar ki taraf barhna shuru ho gaya tha. Harkat ke tabiyat ki wajah se uttar walon ko apni koshishen jama karne chahiye aur agar wo uttar ki taraf jaana chahte hain toh 2352.00 ke mark ko paar karna hoga.

Main yaad karta hoon ke tumhe purani douron ka shauq hai haftay ke dinon mein, sahi? Chalo haftay ke dor par nazar dalte hain. Ye long-term nahi hai, balkay technical hukumat ke baray mein sab se zyada informative hai. Khaaskar, XAUUSD (SONA) currency pair ka qeemat ek bari khilari (price gap) ki maqami jagah mein trade ho raha hai jo ke 2236.668 aur 2302.560 ke darajat ke darmiyan hai. Agar hum volumes dekhen to mujhe lagta hai ke farokht karne waleon ka faida hai; mujhe lagta hai ke hum gehri girne mein qamyab nahi honge. Ab yeh wazeh hai ke haftay ke price gap area (W-IMB) girao ko roke ga, lekin agar hum yeh maan lein ke qeemat 2238.777 ke qeemat se neeche ja sakta hai, to girao wazeh tor par nishana liquidity ki taraf hoga jis ki qeemat 2145.632 hai

Apne support level ko $2320 ke ilaqe mein ghoorta hua, ab bhi wazeh tor par is ke neeche hai, agle level ke kuch kam karne ke ilaqe mein jo $2260 ke qareeb hai. Mujhe lagta hai ke is range se bahar nikalna mustaqbil ka rukh tay karega. Jabke America ke mazdoori ka shoba data bazar ki tawajju ko September mein Fed rate cut ke hawale se khasi tabdeeli nahi la sakta, agle haftay ke mahangai ke pehlu-waasul ke paisay kuch muqabil ke karkun hote hain. Isi dauran, sonay ke anbaar mein Jumma ko thori kami dekhi gayi. Aam tor par, jaise hum dekhte hain, shiraaq shanasi karne wale mojood hain - lagbhag waisa hee jitna wo banate hain, unho ne waisa hee nuqsaan uthaya. Ahem drivers ke agay typical consolidation. Hum apni harkatein dekhte hain. Is ke buniyad par, sona ab bhi ek range mein hai, jis se nikalna qareebi mustaqbil ke rukh ko tay karega. Lekin overall tahreek tawatar oopar ki taraf hai

Aaj sonay mein, market bina kisi numaya farq ke khula, Asian session ke doran qeemat dheere dheere shumal ki taraf dabaai ja rahi hai, aur overall, mujhe shak hai ke jama hui ikhatti ki ikhtitam ikhtaari tor par hoga, jo shumal ki taraf jaega. Jaise main ne baar baar zikar kiya hai, mera iraada hai ke main 2352.640 par mojood resistance level par nigaah rakhon ga. Is resistance level ke qareeb, do manazir ho sakte hain. Pehla manzar is silsile se talluq rakhta hai ke qeemat is level ke oopar mazboot ho aur mazeed shumali harkat. Agar yeh mansoobah amal mein laya gaya, to main qeemat ka intezar karonga ke woh 2400 ya 2431.590 par mojood resistance level tak barhaye. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main trading setup ke ikhtiyar ka intezar karonga jo trading ke mazeed rukh ka tayun karega. Beshak, main yeh bhi mumaaney hai ke

qeemat mazeed shumal ki taraf dabaai ja sakti hai 2500 ke resistance level ke taraf, lekin yeh halat par munhasir hoga. Agar mukarrar shuda mansoobah amal mein laya jaa raha hai, to main poora imkan deta hoon ke saath chalne wale rastay mein janubi waapsiyan aayengi, jin ko main istemal karonga bullish signals dhoondhne ke liye qareebi support levels se, mazeed barhte hue trend ke tahat izafay ka intezar karte hue. Qeemat ke qareeb pohanchte waqt price movement ke liye doosra mansoobah aik plan shamil hai jo aik mukhalif mumkinah candle aur niche ki taraf qeemat ki dobara chalne ke mawaid shamil hai. Agar yeh mansoobah amal mein laya gaya, to hum qeemat ka intezar karengay ke woh 2281.680 ya 2222.915 par mojood support level tak laut ayega. In support levels ke qareeb, main bullish signals ka intezar karonga, mazeed upar ki qeemat ki harkat ka intezaar karte hue. Aam tor par, chand alfaaz mein kaha jaye to, aaj ke liye, main mukammal tor par yeh imkan deta hoon ke price impulsive tor par shumal ki taraf phat jayegi qareebi resistance level ki taraf, aur phir main bazar ki surat haal ka jayeza loonga

Jab maine support zone par zikar kiye gaye level se lambi position dakhil ki, toh mera asal target 1644.60 tha. Lekin haftay ke charts ka jaiza lene par, mujhe neeche dikhne wali candle ka banawat mein badalav nazar aya. Ye badalav is haftay ke ikhtitam par crossover reversal ki ishara diya, jo ke ek mumkinah keemat ke ulat jane ka ishara hai. Is halat ke mutabiq, ek upri keemat ke rukh ki sambhavna hai. Agar ye asar padega, toh main apni position ko tab tak nahi bechunga jab tak ke is upri rukh ki tasdeeq na ho jaye. Mujhe lagta hai ke is wakt hamare paas kuch asar hone ki sambhavna hai. Maine apni strategy ko adjust karne ka faisla kiya hai. Main apni position ko nahi bechunga, balki maine apne stop loss ko upri taraf adjust kiya hai takay mujhe nuqsaan se bachne ki zarurat na ho. Mujhe yakeen hai ke ye zyada siyah candle sirf temporary hai aur agle charts mein ek upri rukh dekha jayega. Is waqt, market ke mizaj ko samajhna aur flexibly react karna bohot zaroori hai. Main apne asal maqsad ko yaad rakhta hoon, lekin market ke tabdeeliyon ko bhi ghor se dekhta hoon taake main apne faislay ko sahi samajh sakoon.Technical analysis, jise urdu mein aik ahem harkat hai jo ke investors istemal karte hain taake woh mazeed faiday ki talash mein ja sakein. Yeh amooman market ki mukhtalif kharidar aur bechne walon ki taraf se mojooda aur anay wale qeematon ki tajziya karta hai. Is tajziya ka maqsad market ke doran aanay wale manazir ko samajhna hai taake investors ko sahi faislon mein madad mil sake. Technical analysis market trends aur price patterns ko samajhne ka ek tareeqa hai jo ke log istemal karte hain.

Mojooda dor mein, qeemat mein izafa sab se zyada mutawaqqa aur ahmiyat ka rukh hai. Investors hamesha tawajjuh se is taraf dekhte hain ke mojooda qeemat kis tarah se behave kar rahi hai aur kis direction mein ja rahi hai. Technical analysis ke zariye, log past price movements aur volumes ko analyze karte hain taake future price trends aur market direction ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Yeh tajziya mukhtalif tools aur indicators ka istemal karta hai jaise ke moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) wagera. In tools aur indicators ki madad se investors market ke behavior ko samajhne ki koshish karte hain aur future ke price movements ke baray mein andaza lagate hain. Is tareeqe se, technical analysis investors ko market mein hone wale changes aur opportunities ke baray mein agah karne mein madad deta hai. Is ke zariye, log market ke dynamics ko samajhte hain aur trading decisions lene ke liye better equipped hote hain. Lekin yeh zaroori hai ke technical analysis ko sirf ek hissa samjha jaye aur dusre factors jaise fundamental analysis aur risk management ko bhi ghor se dekha jaye Overall, technical analysis ek ahem tool hai jo ke investors ko market ke trends aur price movements ko samajhne mein madad deta hai. Lekin, yeh zaroori hai ke is ka istemal sahi tareeqe se kiya jaye aur sirf is par pura bharosa na kiya jaye. Is ke saath saath, dusre factors bhi ghor se dekhe jaye taake trading decisions sahi tareeqe se liye ja sakein.

Jab maine support zone par mentioned level se lambi position dakhil ki, toh mera asal target 1644.60 tha. Lekin haftay ke charts ka jaiza lene par, mujhe neeche dikhne wali candle ka banawat mein badalav nazar aya. Ye badalav is haftay ke ikhtitam par crossover reversal ki ishara diya, jo ke ek mumkinah keemat ke ulat jane ka ishara hai. Is halat ke mutabiq, ek upri keemat ke rukh ki sambhavna hai. Agar ye asar padega, toh main apni position ko tab tak nahi bechunga jab tak naye signals ya confirmations nazar ayein. Is doran, mujhe charts ki muhim zaroor jari rakhni hogi aur mukhtalif technical indicators ka bhi intikhab karna hoga taake maine apni faisla mandi ko barqarar rakh sakun. Is mamlay mein, ek muhim aur tajurba ka hona zaroori hai taake kisi bhi unexpected halat ka muqabla kiya ja sake. Maqsad yeh hai ke main position ko faida Technical analysis, jise aksar "chart analysis" bhi kaha jata hai, ek zaroori harkat hai jo investors istemal karte hain taake woh mazeed faiday ki talaash mein ja saken. Yeh amuman market ki mukhtalif kharidar aur bechne walon ki taraf se mojooda aur anay wale qeematon ki tajziya karta hai. Is ka maqsad, mojooda aur anay wale market trends ko samajhna hai taake investors qeemat ki girawat ko pehchan sakein aur munafa kamane ka mauqa dekh sakein.

Lekin, yeh sirf ek girawat ki saholat se kaam nahi leta; balki yeh mamoolan mumkinah manazir ko pehchanne mein bhi madad karta hai. Is ke zariye, investors mojooda dor mein qeemat mein izafa ke mumkinah manazir ko pehchan sakte hain. Yeh analysis unhein market ki trends aur sentiments ke baray mein wazeh taur par maloomat faraham karta hai. Mojooda dor mein, qeemat mein izafa sab se zyada mutawaqqa aur ahmiyat ka rukh hai. Investors hamesha tawajjuh se is taraf dekhte hain ke mojooda qeemat mein izafa kis had tak ho sakta hai aur kya woh uss izafa se faida utha sakte hain. Is maqsad ke liye, woh charts aur technical indicators ka istemal karte hain jo unhein mojooda market ki hawa ko samajhne mein madad karte hain. Technical analysis ke zariye, investors chart patterns, price movements, aur volume trends ko dekhte hain taake future ki qeemat ki tajziya kar sakein. Is tajziya ke natije mein, woh samajh sakte hain ke kya mojooda investment mein izafa ki ummeed hai ya phir nuqsan ka khatra hai. Is tarah, technical analysis ek ahmiyat aur zaroori tool hai jo investors istemal karte hain taake woh behtar faislay aur strategies bana sakein. Lekin, yeh bhi yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke technical analysis sirf ek hissa hai; dusre factors jaise fundamental analysis aur market sentiments bhi ahmiyat rakhte hain. Is liye, investors ko mukhtalif tajziyat aur analysis techniques ka istemal karna chahiye taake woh sahi aur mufeed faislay kar sakein. ke liye taiyar rahun jab tak mukhtalif elements sahi taur par set nahi ho jate.

Abhi yeh upar ka phelao mujhe yeh batata hai ke ab bohot se farokht karne wale hain jo kehte hain ke giravat ka jari rakhne ki aur dekhne ki khuwahish hai. Lekin, main is pattern ke upper had ka breakthrough kharidne ka signal nahi samajhta, kyun ke meri basi soch abhi farokht karne ki hai. Mere iraade ka tajurba 2256.64 tak giravat dekhna hai, jo ke H4 timeframe par hume potential farokht ka signal deta hai. Main ne in targets ko apni tajziyat mein is signal ke nazool ke baad se zikar kiya hai, kareeb April 27 se. Yahan ek dilchasp Fibonacci grid tayar hai, behtar keemat ke intezaar mein farokht ke liye. Sona ne bazaar mein dakhil hone ki koshish to ki, lekin sirf 1 se 1 ke potential ke saath, zyada nahi. Mujhe kam se kam 1 se 2 ke potential mein dilchaspi hai, jo ke yeh batata hai ke main farokht ko 2372.74 ke darje ke neeche nahi balkay 2431.42 ke darje ke upar bhi ghor karna parega. 2431.42 ke darja woh maamdool farokht karne wale hain jahan apne khatron ko chhupate hain

Dusre chart par, mujhe amal karne ka aik mansooba hai. Mansooba teen manazirat paish karta hai is giravat ke liye. Pehla manzar halat se foran giravat jaari rakh sakta hai, lekin yeh namumkin hai kyun ke ab mujhe sonay ki shakal mein aise iraade nahi nazar aate. Dosra manzar zyada mumkin hai, woh unchi fractal aur signal darje tak wapas ja sakte hain, phir giravat ke targets ki taraf ja sakte hain. Aur teesra manzar pehle 2372.74 tak ke targets tak pohanch jaye, phir neeche ki taraf jaaye. Teesra manzar bohot munasib hai, kyun ke sona ek naya khareed signal dikhane wala hai. Lekin, yeh signal abhi mojood nahi hai, lekin pehle data ke mutabiq agar yeh nazr aaye, toh iska potential seedhe 2372.74 ke targets par pohanchta hai. Main yahan izafa nahi kar raha, kyun ke asal soch giravat ki hai aur izafa shaayad is indicator signal ke umeedon se bhi milti na ho

Gold ka rate buland options, $2,318 aur $2,400, par positive note par hai, jo ke rozana ka chart dekh kar eksoompshal moving average (EMA) ke oopar reh kar iska bullish outlook barqarar rakhega. Magar qareebi muddat mein, keemat ek girte hue trend channel ko follow karti hai jo April ke darmiyan se mojood hai, jo ek nazdeeki giravat ka pehloo hai. 14 din ka Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 mark ke aas paas idhar udhar hai, jo market ke khilariyon ke darmiyan fazooliyat ki nishaani hai. Jab hum ek mazboot correction ki giravat dekhte hain, to munasib keemat par kharidna behtar hai. Amreeki session mein choti si neeche ki taraf giravat ke baad, hum bullish trend ko jari rakh sakte hain aur 2156 ke oopar taqat hasil kar sakte hain. Is surat mein, agar maqami minimum 2146 ke range ko tor kar is ke neeche adjust kar leta hai, to tanazaati currency mein giravat ko maqool saabit karna behtar hoga. Maqami uncha 2139 ko tor dena mazeed kharidari ke liye ek mazboot signal hoga. Amreeki session mein ek neeche ki correction mumkin hai. Yeh din jald hi hone wala hai. Is bechain aur mumkinah muddat mein, traders ko bechaini mehsoos ho sakti hai. Magar yeh bhi ek moqa pesh karta hai apne aap ko strategic taur par position mein rakhne ka jab tak market apna rukh wazeh na karde. Ghanton ka chart ek girte hue channel ke andar movement dikhata hai, aur mojooda keemat ab bhi channel ke dhanchay mein hai. Yeh takneeki formation potenti entries aur exits, sath hi trade targets aur stops ke liye wazeh hukm faraham karta hai. Shuru mein keemat ne bohot jaldi peeche hat gai jab ke upper channel ki taraf tewar dhundh rahe the

Aise market shara'it bazaar ki harkat ki lachak ko darust karne ka juzvi nateeja hain, jo inhe tajziyat karte waqt dhyan mein rakhna chahiye. Magar har bar giravat ko roka gaya, to doosra uptrend hota, jo dikhata hai ke khareedne walay bazaar se rukhsat hone ko taiyar nahi thay. Keemat ka tajziya karte waqt ummeed hai ke upper channel ke qareeb aur barhne wali hai, kareeban 2350, ke baad ek mumkinah u-turn ka rukh neeche ke bound ke qareeb 2280 ki taraf. Yeh darjat momentum mein ek mumkinah nami ki wazahat ke liye aham hain

GOLD

Meray pyaray dosto, ummeed hai sab theek hongay. Aaj hum sonay ke market ke baare mein guftagu karenge kyunki sonay ka market achha munafa deta hai aur hum sab apne hisabon ko bhar dete hain. To sonay ke market mein, main fundaments pe trade karta hoon aur is se kafi acha munafa kama leta hoon, isliye sab se pehle hum market ko dekhte hain, us par kya asar hai, duniyawi asar kya hain aur is par kya fundaments hain. Sab se pehle hum is par fundaments ka asar dekhte hain, ab market upar ja raha hai. Aur agar abhi market ka trend upar ja raha hai. To hum munafa le sakte hain aur agar humein munafa milta hai to ye acha hai munafa generate karne ke liye. To 1822 mein, market upar gaya aur agar hum ab baat karen, market ne 1940 ko chhua aur 1960 tak gaya. 1960 upar ja sakta hai aur market ka trend upar ja raha hai aur humein trades kharidne chahiye. Kyunki agar hum is se entry point dekhte hain, to market upar ja raha hai aur munafa upar jaega, isliye ise kharida jana chahiye. Kyunki kharid kar munafa ho sakta hai, jald se jald sonay ke market mein kharidna chahiye aur moving average dekhte hue munafa kamane ki koshish karni chahiye.

Din bhar ke sonay ka chart dekhte hain, hum note karte hain ke peechle saal ke shuru se lekar is saal ke darmiyan mein taizi se neeche ki taraf trend tha, jo ke ek record low par pahuncha 1575-80 pe pehle se pehle ek double bottom banane ke baad aur ek upar ki taraf trend mein laut aaya, jo apne charam par pahuncha 1911.00. Halke daam ke harkaat mein, hamen sahara aur support ke darmiyan mein kisi bhi tarah ke uljhan ka nazara aata hai, jahan sonay ka main reference level hai 1915-50. Sonay ka tasavur hai ke 1920 level tak wapas retrace hoga phir shayad resistance level ko tor kar trading opportunities ko khulne diya jayega. Agli haftay ke liye, do mumkinah scenarios hain. Pehla, agar sona 1920 support level tak wapas jata hai, jo pehle resistance ke tor par kaam karta tha, is darjaat ka inkar ya is level par mabni wusat, ek long position ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, ek munafa maqsood ko 1910.00 par rakhna, September 2023 ki unchayi, aur ek stop loss 1925.00 se neeche set karna, jo is trade ke liye support level ke tor par hai. Sonay ka daam kafi zyada barh chuka hai, jismein daam 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke qareeb bandh hua hai. Halen, keemat ko mazeed faida nahi hua hai aur daam 200-day SMA ke qareeb bandh gaya hai. Ek mumkinah hai ke daam ubhar kar apni bullish raftar ko jari rakhega. Magar agar daam ko unchi swing high sthaapit karne mein kami aati hai aur tez giraawat ka samna karta hai, to manfi trend be badal raha hai.

GOLD M-30 Timeframe Analysis:

Filhal, kharidar 2162 range ko torne ki koshish kar rahe hain. Agar hum is kaam ko kar sakte hain aur is ke oopar jamaye rah sakte hain, to yeh ek acha signal hoga kharidne ka. Agar darust kiya gaya to hum 2158 pe khareedna jaari rakh sakte hain aur is ke oopar mazbooti hasil kar sakte hain. Chhoti si neeche ki raftaar ke baad izafi siyat ki badhti hosakti hai. Jab humein ek mazboot correctional girawat milay, toh tasalli ke rates mein kharidna behtareen hoga. American session mein chhoti si neeche ki raftaar ke baad hum izafi siyat aur mazbooti hasil kar sakte hain 2156 ke oopar. Is surat mein, agar mukami minimum 2146 ke range ko tod diya jaye aur is ke neeche jamaya jaye, toh taraqqi mein focus karna behtareen hoga. Mukami maximum range 2139 ka tor bhi ek acha signal hoga mazeed kharidne ke liye. American session mein, southern ki correction dekhne ko hosakti hai, jo izafi siyat ke saath jari rahega. 2146 mein, mukami maximum range ko tor diya ja sakta hai, jo mazeed kharidne ke liye ek aur acha signal hoga. Ant mein, hum 2050 range ko tor kar is ke oopar mazbooti hasil kar sakte hain, jo kharidne ka ek wajah hoga, lekin filhal, yeh sirf ek mumkinah hai. Agar yeh 2142 range ke neeche jamaye raha, toh yeh behtareen option hoga bechne ke liye, lekin filhal, yeh peechay ki soorat mein hai.

Filhal Gold ke qeemat ke rawayye ka tajziya kiya jayega. Aaj market mein ek numaya dastaq pesh aai hai, jo mukhtalif farokht ke conditions par nazdeek nazar dikhata hai. Agar qeemat 2142 ke neeche gir jaaye toh, bearish fixation cancel ho jayega aaj ke din ke andar, jabke 2129 mein tasdeeq zaroori hai. Neeche laal zone ke neeche ek bearish progression mumkin hai, lekin yeh mazboot support ke bina mushkil ho sakta hai, jo stagnation ko le kar aayega. Bullion ne kal ek phir se damaka kiya jab Gold ne 2021 ke neeche girne ki koshish ki lekin us darje par musalat na hui. Magar unhe abhi tak poora control lena hoga. Sell signal wapas liya gaya hai aur pair bullish Bollinger Channel segment mein dakhil ho raha hai, ghantawar chart ke indicators mein saaf signals ka kami hai. Yahan tasalsul yeh mazeed farokht ko naa karday ga, lekin mujhe isay madde nazar rakhna chahiye.

Sonay ka mosam chand ghantay ka arsa;
Is ke ilawa, siyasi aur ma'ashiyati laafaziyo ne bhi sonay ki taleem ko barhawa diya hai jaise ke shor o ghul mein. Khas tor par siyasi tanazaat, jese ke Middle East mein tanazaat aur baray economies ke darmiyan tijarati tanazaat, ne sarmayadaar ko apni portfolyo ko market ki ishterak se hifazat ke liye sonay jese safe havens ki talash mein laga diya hai. Magar, hal-hi mein tezi se chal rahi bullish trend ke bawajood, yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke markets fitri tor par ghair mutawaqqa hote hain, aur sudhar kisi bhi urooj rahnuma ki qadri ka hissa hota hai.



Past valuations ko kuch had tak najaiz thahraaya ja sakta hai, aur temporary support levels ko dobara dekhna aam practice hai. Traders ko market sentiment aur mukhtalif entry aur exit points ka tajziya karna chahiye, technical indicators aur price action ke istemal se. Support level 2258 ke neeche girne ka signal bullish momentum mein kamzori ka aghaaz aur market sentiment mein tabdeeli ka ishaara ho sakta hai. Aise halaat mein, traders ko 2240 area ke aas paas mukhtalif bearish positions ka ghor karna chahiye. Magar trading ko ehtiyaat se karna chahiye, aur sirf technical analysis par itminan karna chahiye se bachna chahiye.

Buniyadi factors, jaise ke economic indicators, central bank policies, aur siyasi waqeiyat, market dynamics ko asar andaaz kar sakte hain aur technical signals ko tasdeeq kar sakte hain. Sona market mein support area 2230 ke neeche girne ke liye tayyari karna aur mukhtalif correction process ki sazish karna ahem hai. Corrections sustainable market growth ke liye sehatmand hoti hain kyun ke ye overbought conditions ko khatam karti hain aur naye market participants ke liye moqaat faraham karti hain.

Sonay ka daam samajhne aur sonay ki mustaqbil ki taraf iska raftar andaza karne ke liye, zyadatar dilchaspi rozana ke charts par hoti hai, kyun ke yeh lambay arsey ke bazaar ke trends ka jayeza dete hain jo kai dinon tak chalte hain. Waqt ke sath, traders ko amooman mukhtalif patterns aur trends ka pata chal sakta hai jo mustaqbil mein bazaar ko chalayenge. Ye tajurba intezar ki sahulat leta hai, kyun ke waqt ke sath shandar bazaar ke tabadlay ho sakte hain. Zyadatar tajziyay data mein choti tabdiliyon aur isharon ko dekhne ki salahiyat par mabni hoti hain jo ek hunarmand lekin mushkil aur inaam dene wale hunar hai. Bunyadi tor par, sonay mein abhi koi bhaloo trend nahi hai, maqami giravat ke bawajood. Is tanaza ki wajah yeh hai ke sona kabhi kabhi takhsees ka kaam karta hai, jiska matlab hai ke jab baqi bazaar giray, to yeh barh sakta hai. Halanki, yeh sonay ka giravat wazeh kiya gaya tha jo Fed ke khazano se duniya bhar mein tha aur iska ta'alluq Amreeki koshishon se tha ke Russian asasaat ko qabza karna. Haal hi mein hue G7 mubahis ne ishara kiya ke qabza intezamaton ko ulta kiya jayega. Aisi ek siyasi taraqqi sonay ke daam par bari asar dal sakti hai kyun ke yeh tajziya ko asalat aur darkhwast ka nizam par asar dalta hai

Is mutabiq, sonay ka inteqal hone ka dar sab se zyada kamzor hai, aur Fed ke khilaf chhota position sab se zyada quwwat se phir se gir sakti hai jis se USD aur sonay par dabao barh sakta hai. Phir yeh dono ke darmiyan ek qisam ka mushkil tanaza peda ho jayega, jahan cheezein kis tarah kaam karti hain, is par munhasir hoga. America ke koshishen USD ko kam karne ke silsile mein mustaqil tor par sonay par dabao dal rahe hain. Haqeeqat mein, yeh seedha taluq nahi ho sakta, aur sonay ko doosre factors bhi asar daal sakte hain. Sonay abhi aik mushkil wali fase mein hai, ummeed hai ke cheezein thandi ho jayengi aur dunya phir se apni hamwarai hasil karegi. Yeh din jald hi dikh raha hai. Is bechain aur shayad darust zamanat ke doran, traders mehsoos kar sakte hain. Magar, yeh bhi moka deti hai ke apni jagah ko strategik taur par rakha jaye jab bazaar apni rah jaiza kar raha hota hai. Hourly chart mein neechay ki taraf chalne wale channel ke andar harkatein dikhayi ja rahi hain, aur mojooda daam abhi tak channel ki banawat ke andar hai. Yeh technical formation mumtaz dakhilat aur nikaalne, sath hi trade targets aur stops par wazeh hukumaton faraham karta hai. Pehle to, daam ko barhane ka rukh pehle hi set kiya gaya tha jab ke upper channel ki had tak barhne ki talash mein tha. Aise bazaar ke haalat bazaar ki harkat ke narmi ko darust karne ka aks dikhate hain, jo tajziya karne ke doran zehn mein rakha jana chahiye. Magar, har martaba girawat ka check laga, doosra uptrend hota tha, ishara yeh tha ke kharidar bazaar chhodne ke liye taiyar nahi thay

Aaie mere azeez aur aamadah tamasha gar, ummeed hai aap sab theek honge. Aaj hum sonay ke market ke bare mein baat karenge kyunki sonay ka market achha munafa deta hai aur hum sab is se munafa kamate hain aur apne hisabon ko bhar lete hain. To sonay ke market mein, main asoolon par trade karta hoon aur is se kaafi achha munafa kamata hoon, isliye sab se pehle hum bazaar par baat karte hain, us par kya asar hai aur duniyavi asar kya hain aur us par kya asool hain. Sab se pehle hum is par asooli asar dekhte hain, ab bazaar oopar ki taraf ja raha hai. Aur ab agar bazaar ka trend oopar ja raha hai. To hum munafa le sakte hain aur agar humein munafa milta hai to yeh achha hai ke is se munafa kamate hain. To 1822 mein, bazaar oopar gaya aur agar hum ab baat karte hain, to bazaar ne 1940 tak chua aur 1960 tak oopar gaya. 1960 oopar ja sakta hai aur bazaar ka trend oopar ja raha hai aur humein kharidne ke trades karna chahiye. Kyunki agar hum isse entry point dekhte hain, to bazaar oopar ja raha hai aur munafa oopar hoga, isliye isse kharida jaana chahiye. Kyunki kharid kar munafa ho sakta hai, sonay ke market par jaldi se jaldi kharidna chahiye aur moving average dekhte hue indicator par dekhte hue munafa kamane ki koshish karni chahiye.

Rozana sonay ka chart dekh kar, hum note karte hain ke pichle saal ke shuruaati daur se is saal ke darmiyan tak ek mazboot neeche ki taraf ka trend tha, jo ke 1575-80 par ek record low tak pahunch gaya tha, phir ek double bottom banaya aur oopar ka trend lota, apne charam par 1911.00 tak pahunch gaya. Maujooda keemat ki harkat mein resistance aur support ke darmiyan tadad mein izafah hai, jahan mukhya reference level 1915-50 par hai. Sonay ka ummed hai ke 1920 level par wapas lautega phir shayad resistance level ko toorna shuru kare, jise sonay ke market mein trading ke mauqe khul jaayenge. Aane waale haftay ke liye, do mumkin scenarios hain. Pehla, agar sona 1920 support level par wapas jata hai, jo pehle resistance ke taur par kaam karta tha, ishara karte hue ya is level par inkaar ya mushtamil hone ka sabab, to lambe samay tak ki tijarat ke liye ek lambi position ko madde nazar rakhein jiske faida ke nishan 1910.00, September 2023 ke high, aur stop loss 1925.00 ke neeche set kiya gaya hai, jo is trade ke liye support level hai. Sonay ke keemat mein khas taur par izafa hua hai, keemat 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke qareeb band hui hai. Maujooda keemat ne mazeed faida nahi hasil kiya hai aur 200-day SMA ke qareeb mustaqil hai. Yeh mumkin hai ke keemat ko apna bullish momentum barqarar rakhne ke liye izafa hoga. Magar agar keemat ko ek zyada uncha swing high qaim karne mein kami hoti hai aur tez giravat ka samna karta hai, to manfi trend asar mein bana rahega

Sonay ki qeematien maikada mein teesday ko kuch nuqsaan utha, haal ki win ka kuch hissa kho diya. Yeh kamzori US dollar ki taza talab ke sath mil gayi. Magar, sonay ki tajwez abhi bhi kuch mushkilat ka samna kar rahi hai, jahan mukhtalif muddaton ke taqatwar taqatwar hain. Ek taraf, dollar ki mazbooti dollar-denominated sonay par neeche ki dabao daalti hai. Yeh is liye hota hai ke dollar ki qeemat barhne par gair mulki kharidaron ke liye sona zyada mehanga ho jata hai. Hal hi mein hue Amreeki jobs data ne, sehatmand mazdoori market ki alamat, yeh tajwez paida kiya hai ke Federal Reserve shaayad saal ke doosre hisse mein baqaida adhiyat dar ko bharne ka faisla kar sakta hai. Zyada adhiyat dar aam tor par dollar ke qeemat ko barha deti hai. Magar, yeh manzar mukhtalif hai. Wohi data Federal Reserve ke baad mein adhiyat dar ki khaas kamzori ka ummidwara bana raha hai. Yeh tawaqo sonay ke liye game-changer sabit ho sakti hai. Kam adhiyat dar sona ko bond jese adhiyat-wali assests ke muqablay mein zyada kashish wala bana sakti hai. Yeh sonay ke liye izafa kar sakti hai aur qeematon ko buland kar sakti hai. Sonay ka ek aur sahara central banks se milta hai, khaaskar asia mein, jo haal hi mein sona khareedne mein sargarm rahe hain. Yeh mazboot, mustaqil talab qeematon ko chand mahinon mein sar ki taraf fortila dene ka irada hai. Geopolitical uncertainities, khaaskar middle east mein, bhi kirdar ada kar sakti hain. Jab investors ko badhta huwa global tension mehsoos hoti hai, to woh aksar sona jese safe-haven assests ki taraf bhaagte hain. To, in ilaqon mein kisi bhi baghawat sonay ki keemat ko ghair mutawaqqa tor par buland kar sakti hain

Aage dekhte hue, aik ahem waqia jo dekhne laiq hai woh Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari ka aaj ke baad ka khitab hai. Agar unho ne hawkish stance apnaaya, aur potential rate hikes ki zaroorat ko zyada ahmiyat di, to yeh dollar ko mazboot kar sakta hai aur sonay par mazeed neeche ki dabao daal sakta hai. Haalanki, mojooda pullback ke bawajood, sonay ki keemat ke chart ka technical analysis kuch had tak umeed afza tasveer paish karta hai. XAU/USD pair ab bhi apne ahem 100-day exponential moving average ke upar trade kar raha hai, jis se lambi dour ki bullish trend ka ishara milta hai. Jab ke sonay ki keemat mid-April se neeche ki trend channel mein bandh gayi hai, short-term momentum indicators ek mumkin palat ki taraf ishara dete hain. 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) bullish territory mein bana rehta hai, zahir karte hue ke asal kharidaron ka dabao hai. Agar sonay ki keemat downtrend channel ke upper limit ko tod sakti hai, jo April 26th ke high ke sath milta hai (kareeban $2,350-$2,355), to yeh $2,400 psychological level ki taraf ek ishara ho sakta hai. Uske baad, $2,432 ke qareebi bulandi ek mumkin maqsood ho sakti hai. Neche, sonay ke liye ibtedai sahara $2,300 par mojood hai

Market analysis karte hue GOLD ka chart dekha gaya aur ek bullish engulfing pattern notice kiya gaya, jo ek potential upward movement ko indicate karta hai. Lekin, ek pullback ne is movement ko kamzor kar diya. Phir bhi, qeemat me thori si barhti hui. Ye indicate kar sakta hai ke market me strong buyers hain jo price ko upar le ja rahe hain. Ek aur positive sign hai ke qeemat Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke upper limit se oopar gayi aur consolidate hui hai. Ichimoku Cloud ek popular technical analysis tool hai jo trend direction aur momentum ko identify karta hai. Is bullish engulfing pattern ke baad, market mein pullback hone ki wajah se price me thora sa giravat aayi. Lekin, iske baad bhi price me izafa hua hai jo ke buyers ke dominance ko darust karta hai. Ye ek indication hai ke market me bullish sentiment hai aur buyers price ko upar le ja rahe hain. Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke upper limit se oopar jana aur consolidate hona bhi ek aur positive sign hai. Ye indicate karta hai ke price ne ek strong resistance ko overcome kiya hai aur ab price ko upar le jaane ke liye strong support hai. Overall, GOLD ka chart analysis bullish sentiment ko darust karta hai. Bullish engulfing pattern ke saath, strong buyers aur Ichimoku Cloud indicator ke upper limit se oopar jane ka consolidation, ye sab factors price ke upward movement ko support karte hain. Lekin, traders ko hamesha risk ko dhyan me rakhna chahiye aur proper risk management ke saath hi trading karna chahiye. Sonay ki keemat ke giravat ka aik zikar 400 shabdon mein bayan karna bohot mushkil hai, lekin yeh ek aham mawad hai. Sonay ki keemat darustawaar mein mukhtalif asbaab ki wajah se tabdeel hoti rehti hai, jaise ke siyasi aur ma'ashiyati halat, soudi arab ke oil production, aur global tijarat. Siyasi aur ma'ashiyati



intesharat, jese ke riyasat ke faislon aur qarardadon ka asar sonay ki keemat par hota hai. Agar kisi mulk mein stability kam hai, ya phir wahan kisi qisam ki siyasi ya ma'ashiyati takaleef hain, to sonay ki keemat mein izafa ho sakta hai. Soudi Arab ke oil production ka izharay karne se pehle, ye zaroori hai ke soudi Arab duniya ke sab se bade oil producers mein se ek hai. Inki production ki tabdeeli ya izafa global oil market par seedha asar daal sakta hai, jo sonay ki keemat ko bhi mutasir karta hai. Jab Soudi Arab apni production ko barhaata hai, to yeh ek shakhsiyat khada karta hai jo global oil prices ko niche kheenchne mein madad karta hai, jo sonay ki keemat ko ghatne par laata hai. Lekin agar soudi Arab apni production ko kam karta hai, ya phir kisi wajah se production mein koi rukawat aati hai, to yeh global oil market ko unstable kar sakta hai, jis se sonay ki keemat mein izafa ho sakta hai. Iske alawa, siyasi aur ma'ashiyati halat bhi sonay ki keemat par asar daal sakte hain. Agar kisi mulk mein instability ho ya phir wahan ki currency ki value gir rahi ho, to yeh sonay ki keemat ko bhi asar andaz hota hai. Soudi Arab ki stability aur oil production ke sath, global tijarat bhi sonay ki keemat par asar daal sakti hai. Agar global market mein tijarat mein izafa ho raha hai, to yeh sonay ki keemat ko bhi ooncha kar sakta hai, jabke global market mein tijarat mein kami ho to sonay ki keemat mein kami ho sakti hai. Yeh sabhi factors mil kar sonay ki keemat par asar daal sakte hain aur usay mutasir kar sakte hain, aur is wajah se sonay ki keemat ka giravat ya izafa aik mukhtalif aur muddat kucheh span mein ho sakta hai.