GOLD H4
Ab tak, sona (XAU/USD) ek bekar trend ka muzahira kar raha hai. Chaliye H4 time frame ka jaaiza karte hain, jahan Fibonacci grid darust 138.20%–2004.00 darje ko torne ke baad, humein 161.80%–2010.00 darja tak ki karkardagi ka intezar hai. Kal, sonay ki keemat mein numaya kami mazkur 1990.00 ke taraf rukh kar rahi hai. Ye aahista ghatey hue bhaavatmak dabaav ki umeedon ko mazid mazboot karti hai mukhtalif targets ke taraf, jo 1984.00 tak barh sakte hain. Agar ye darja tor diya jata hai, to bearish lehar 1962.35 tak phail sakti hai. Doosri taraf, manfi dabaav ke khilaaf jamawar ho jaane se sona apne asal bullish trend ko dobara shuru kar sakti hai aur pehle 2009.30 ko azmaya ja sakta hai.
Magar, sona ne tasdeeq se tora nahi aur iske bajaye peechlay uchayi se pichkari maari, lagbhag 200 points ke daairay mein waapas aayi. Farokht karnay walo ko yad rakhna chahiye ke aik bearish do-fractal candle pattern ke tor par ab tak baaki bazar ka qarza hai, jo ke indicator ke zariye surkhi ke rang mein darust kiya gaya hai. Is liye, janoobi harkatien mufakkar karte waqt is factor ko ghor se ghor se liya jana chahiye. Halat ke fauri ghatey se minimum 450 points tak pohanch sakte hain, jab ke agar asal trend toot jata hai to kafi bara ghatey bhi mumkin hain. Kyunki aaj United States mein Thanksgiving Day hai, is liye wahan se koi bazar ki sakhti ki umeed nahi hai jab tak American trading session 5:00 PM ke baad dobara shuru nahi hoti.
Daily chart par, asal darja mukammal rahe. Jabke main pehle ye umeed karta tha ke baelle kam az kam iska imtehan lenge kal, keemat palat gayi aur woh bhari SMA-50 tak daur gayi, jahan se woh wapas mili lekin sirf ghanta darja ka fasla tay karte hue. Halat mein sona manfi hawale se bechnay ki koshish kar raha hai jab woh hamare mutawaqqi support line par bullish channel ke, jo ke mojooda waqt mein 1984.00 par hai, ko pohanchne ki koshish kar raha hai. Asal intezar ko barqarar rakhne ke liye, is darje par keemat ka rawayya nazron mein rakhna zaroori hai ke aglay trend ko tay karte hue is ki ahmiyat ko shamil kiya jaye. Agar is darje ko tor diya jata hai, to ye rasta saaf ho jayega ke sonay ki bearish lehar ko 1962.35 tak phailne ka raasta ban jaaye, jabke is ke oopar jamawar hone se keemat ko pehle 2009.30 tak barha sakti hai.
تبصرہ
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