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EUR/JPY ka Fundamental aur Technical Jaiza
Fundamental Analysis
Eurozone ke haal hi ke economic indicators mixed outlook dikha rahe hain, khaas taur per Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data ke hawale se. German Manufacturing PMI 42.7 tak barhne ka andaza hai, jabke Services PMI mein thodi kami ho sakti hai, jo ke 51.1 ke aas paas rahega. France mein, Manufacturing PMI 42.4 tak barhne ki umeed hai, aur Services PMI 49.3 ke qareeb rahega. Pure Eurozone mein, Manufacturing PMI 41.9 se 42.4 tak behtar ho sakta hai, lekin Services PMI 51.4 tak girne ka andaza hai.
Yeh figures Eurozone mein manufacturing ke liye challenging environment ki taraf ishara karte hain, jo is sector mein jari mushkilat ko zahir karte hain. Lekin, agar PMI data mein koi positive surprise hota hai, to yeh euro ko dusri currencies ke muqable mein kuch taqat de sakta hai.
Japan mein, aik aham waqia pesh aa raha hai: Bank of Japan (BoJ) apni interest rate decision ka elaan karne wala hai. Market ki ummeed 25 basis points ke izafay ki taraf hai, jo rates ko 0.50% tak le jaayega. Yeh 1995 ke baad pehli baar hoga ke rates is level tak pahunchenge. Agar ummeed ke mutabiq rate hike hota hai, to yeh Japanese yen (JPY) ko mazboot kar sakta hai, jo EUR/JPY currency pair per downward pressure dal sakta hai





Technical Analysis:
Technical nuqta nazar se, EUR/JPY pair abhi aik broader downtrend mein hai, jo musalsal lower lows bana raha hai. Filhaal, yeh 162.66–162.77 range ke aas paas hai. Agar pair is level se neeche jata hai, to yeh taqreeban 160.47 tak gir sakta hai. Is ke bar aks, agar EUR/JPY 162.89 se upar jata hai aur is level se upar four-hour chart per close hota hai, to yeh bearish outlook ko invalid kar sakta hai.
BoJ ki rate decision aur aham Eurozone PMI data ke pesh e nazar, forex markets mein volatility mein izafa hone ki umeed hai. Agar BoJ rate hike karta hai jabke Eurozone data kamzor aata hai, to EUR/JPY pair significant downward pressure ka shikar ho sakta hai. Dusri taraf, agar Eurozone data mazboot sabit hota hai aur BoJ apna current stance barqarar rakhta hai, to upside movement ke liye mauke ho sakte hain.
Technical nuqta nazar se, EUR/JPY pair ko 162.30 level ke aas paas resistance ka samna hai. Yeh level 38.2% Fibonacci retracement aur 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke sath milta hai, jo ke near-term top ka ishara de sakta hai. Agar yeh resistance level toota hai, to yeh 159.90 level (20th Fibonacci retracement) aur mazeed neeche 159.30 (23.6% retracement) ki taraf kami ka baais ban sakta hai. Agar downtrend jari rehta hai, to medium-term trendline ke taqreeban 156.80 tak girne ka imkaan hai.
Is ke bar aks, agar 162.30 per resistance zone toota hai, to pair 200-day SMA aur multi-head resistance area ka test kar sakta hai. Aisa breakout EUR/JPY ko teen mahine ki buland tareen satah 166.68 tak le ja sakta hai.
Mukhtasaran, fundamental factors, jaise ke Eurozone ka economic data aur BoJ ki interest rate decision, aham technical levels ke sath, EUR/JPY currency pair ke mustaqbil ke trajectory ka tayyun karne mein aham kirdaar ada karenge. Traders ko in indicators mein kisi bhi tabdeeli ke liye alert rehna chahiye, kyunke yeh market volatility mein izafay aur aham price movements ka baais ban sakte hain

Fundamental Analysis:
Eurozone kay kuch arsay kay economic indicators mixed picture dikha rahay hain, khaas tor per Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data kay hawalay se. German Manufacturing PMI 42.7 tak barhnay ka andaza hai, jabkay Services PMI mein halki si kami ho sakti hai, jo kay 51.1 kay aas paas rahega. France mein, Manufacturing PMI 42.4 tak barhnay ki umeed hai, jabkay Services PMI 49.3 kay qareeb rahega. Poore Eurozone mein, Manufacturing PMI 41.9 se 42.4 tak behtar ho sakta hai, agarche Services PMI 51.4 tak girne ka andaza hai




Yeh figures Eurozone mein manufacturing kay liye aik mushkil mahol ki nishandahi kartay hain, jo is sector mein jari koshishon ki taraf ishara karta hai. Lekin, agar PMI data mein koi positive surprise hota hai, to yeh euro ko doosri currencies kay muqablay mein kuch mazbooti faraham kar sakta hai.
Japan mein, aik aham waqia pesh aa raha hai: Bank of Japan (BoJ) apni interest rate ka faisla sunane wala hai. Market ki umeed 25 basis points kay izafay ki taraf hai, jo rates ko 0.50% tak le jayega. Yeh 1995 kay baad pehli baar hoga kay rates is level tak pahunchenge. Agar umeed kay mutabiq rate mein izafa hota hai, to yeh Japanese yen (JPY) ko mazboot kar sakta hai, jis se EUR/JPY currency pair per neechay ka pressure aa sakta hai.
Technical Analysis:
Technical perspective se, EUR/JPY pair filhaal aik broader downtrend mein hai, jo musalsal lower lows bana raha hai. Is waqt, yeh 162.66–162.77 range kay aas paas ghoom raha hai. Agar pair is level se neechay toot jata hai, to yeh taqreeban 160.47 tak mazeed gir sakta hai. Is kay bar-aks, agar EUR/JPY 162.89 se oopar toot jata hai aur is level se oopar four-hour chart per close hota hai, to yeh bearish outlook ko invalid kar sakta hai.
BoJ kay rate decision aur aham Eurozone PMI data kay saamne honay ki wajah se, forex markets mein volatility barhne ki umeed hai. Agar BoJ rate mein izafa karta hai jabkay Eurozone data kamzor aata hai, to EUR/JPY pair mein numaya neechay ka pressure aa sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar Eurozone data strong sabit hota hai aur BoJ apna current stance barqarar rakhta hai, to oopar ki movement kay liye opportunities ho sakti hain.
Technical standpoint se, EUR/JPY pair ko 162.30 level kay aas paas resistance ka saamna karna para hai. Yeh level 38.2% Fibonacci retracement aur 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) kay saath milta hai, jo kay near-term top ka ishara de sakta hai. Agar yeh resistance level toot jata hai, to yeh 159.90 level (20th Fibonacci retracement) aur mazeed neechay 159.30 (23.6% retracement) ki taraf kami ka baais ban sakta hai. Agar downtrend jari rehta hai, to medium-term trendline kay taqreeban 156.80 tak girne ka imkaan hai.
Is kay bar-aks, agar 162.30 par resistance zone toot jata hai, to pair 200-day SMA aur multi-head resistance area ka test kar sakta hai. Aisa breakout EUR/JPY ko teen mahinay ki high 166.68 tak le ja sakta hai.
Mukhtasaran, fundamental factors, jaise kay Eurozone ka economic data aur BoJ ka interest rate decision, aham technical levels kay saath milkar, EUR/JPY currency pair kay mustaqbil ka tayyun karne mein aham kirdar ada karenge. Traders ko in indicators mein kisi bhi tabdeeli kay liye alert rehna chahiye, kyunkay yeh market mein volatility barhanay aur numaya price movements ka baais ban sakte hain

EUR/JPY currency pair European trading session kay doran jumma kay din barh gaya, jo taqreeban 153.50 ki high tak pahunch gaya. Yeh sharp appreciation euro mein numaya izafay kay saath hui, jo Eurozone se anexpectedly strong economic data ki wajah se hua. HCOB Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), jo kay business activity ka aik key indicator hai, ne January mein aik surprising expansion zahir kiya, do consecutive mahino ki contraction kay baad. Yeh positive economic news, khaas tor per German economy mein growth ki wapsi, shuru mein European Central Bank (ECB) kay planned interest rate cuts mein mumkina takheer kay




baray mein concerns paida kiye. Lekin, aane wali policy meeting mein deposit facility rate mein 25-basis-point ki kami kar kay 2.75% tak lane ki market expectations abhi bhi strong hain, jo kay jumma ko honi hai. Traders aane wale mahino mein ECB ki taraf se mazeed rate cuts ki series ki umeed kar rahe hain. Is kay bar-aks, Japanese yen poore board mein kamzor ho gaya. Yeh kami Bank of Japan's (BoJ) recent policy actions ki wajah se hui. BoJ ne apne key interest rate ko 25 basis points barha kar 0.5% kar diya aur apne inflation forecast ko upward revise kiya, yeh project karte hue kay price pressures fiscal 2026 tak 2% target se ooper rahenge. BoJ kay is hawkish stance ne yen ki kamzori mein contribution ki.

EUR/JPY pair ko recent downtrend kay 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level kay qareeb aik significant resistance level ka saamna hai, jo kay taqreeban 162.30 per 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) kay saath overlap karta hai. Current levels se neechay ki taraf movement mumkina tor per pair ko 159.90 per 20-day SMA aur phir 159.30 per 23.6% Fibonacci level ki taraf dhakel sakti hai. Mazeed substantial kami pair ko 156.80 per medium-term uptrend line kay saath contact mein la sakti hai. Doosri taraf, 162.30 kay aas paas critical resistance zone se ooper ka decisive break bulls kay liye 164.80 per 200-day SMA ko challenge karne ka darwaza khol sakta hai, jo kay 50.0% Fibonacci level kay saath milta hai. Is level ka successful breach pair ko 166.68 per teen mahinay ki high ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Technically, Stochastic indicator filhaal overbought hai, jabkay Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral 50 level se ooper se neechay ki taraf trend kar raha hai. Yeh indicators EUR/JPY pair mein near-term correction ya consolidation ki potential ka ishara dete hain

EUR/JPY pair aik significant bullish movement kay liye taiyar hai, jis mein 104 se 156 pips tak izafay ka andaza hai, jo 162.81 per support kay firm rehne per munhasir hai. Yeh level market direction ka aik critical determinant hai, jo sustained upward momentum kay liye foundation faraham karta hai. RSI, 50 se ooper position kiya gaya hai, healthy buying interest ka ishara deta hai, jabkay MACD, agarche positive aur apni signal line se neechay hai, uptrend resume honay se pehlay minor corrections ki potential ka ishara deta hai. Pair ki current trading position 163.68 per 20-period moving average kay neechay short-term resistance identify karti hai, jabkay 163.04 per 50-period moving average se ooper iski stability medium-term bullish sentiment ko mazboot karti hai. Yeh technical indicators collectively is view ki support karte hain kay pair mazeed upward movement kay liye achi tarah position kiya gaya hai, basharte kay 162.81 per key support ka ehtiram kiya jaye.





Upside target 165.14 resistance level hai, jo bullish trend ki strength ki tasdeeq kay liye aik pivotal point hai. Is level se ooper ka sustained break 165.66 aur 166.18 per higher resistance levels kay liye darwaza khol dega, jo extended rally ki possibility ka signal dega. Alternatively, 162.81 support level ka downside break bullish scenario ko kamzor kar dega, jo 161.94 aur 161.42 ki taraf mumkina kami ka baais banega. Is context mein, traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye, technical indicators aur broader market influences, jaise kay global economic releases ya risk sentiment mein shifts, dono ko monitor karna chahiye. Strong risk management strategies, jin mein stop-loss placement aur diversified trading approach shamil hain, exposure ko manage karne aur is potentially volatile pair se pesh kiye gaye opportunities se faida uthane kay liye crucial hain aur macroeconomic developments risk exposure ko kam karte hue mumkina opportunities se faida uthane kay liye key honge