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Asslamoalaikum dear friends EUR/JPY is time H4 time frame par 162.81 wali resistance ko tod chuka hai aur ab yeh level support ka kaam kar raha hai price break karne ke baad dobara isi level ke qareeb hai jo confirmation ke liye retest ka indication de raha hai agar price is support level ko hold kar leti hai to bullish continuation ka strong signal milega RSI 70 level ke qareeb hai jo dikhata hai ke market overbought zone mein hai lekin agar RSI is level se neeche nahi girta to iska matlab ho sakta hai ke bullish momentum barqarar hai agar price 162.81 ke upar rehti hai to next target 163.50 aur us se agay 164.00 ho sakta hai lekin agar price support ko todti hai to neeche 162.30 aur phir 161.80 tak girne ka imkaan ho sakta hai 50 EMA bhi price ke neeche hai jo bullish trend ka indication de rahi hai agar price EMA ke upar rehti hai to bullish scenario mazid mazboot hoga lekin agar price EMA se neeche girti hai to bearish pressure barhne ka imkaan hai fundamental tor par European Central Bank ki policy aur Japan ki economic situation ka bhi market par asar ho sakta hai khas tor par agar yen majboot hota hai to EUR/JPY pressure mein aa sakta hai lekin agar euro strength maintain karta hai to pair bullish trajectory ko follow kar sakta hai price action indicators jese candlestick patterns aur volume analysis bhi important hain agar support level par bullish engulfing ya pin bar pattern banta hai to buying opportunities strong ho sakti hain overall trend bullish nazar aa raha hai lekin traders ko confirmation ka intezar karna chahiye taake false breakout se bacha ja sake agar RSI overbought zone mein rehta hai to kuch consolidation ya choti retracements dekhne ko mil sakti hain lekin jab tak price support se upar hai tab tak bullish bias qaim hai trading strategy ke liye breakout confirmation aur risk management par focus zaroori hai taake behtareen entry aur exit levels hasil ho sakein.

Current Market Situation

EUR/JPY currency pair ne 162.81 ki resistance level ko successfully tod diya hai H4 time frame par. Ab yeh level support ke taur par kaam kar raha hai, jo ke potential bullish continuation ko indicate kar raha hai. Price ab is support level ke qareeb hover kar raha hai, jo retest aur confirmation ka signal de raha hai traders ke liye.

Bullish Signals

Agar price 162.81 support level ke upar rehta hai, to yeh strong bullish continuation ka signal de sakta hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70 level ke qareeb hai, jo market ko overbought zone mein dikhata hai. Magar agar RSI is level ke neeche na jaye, to yeh bullish momentum ke intact rehne ko suggest karta hai. Agar price 162.81 ke upar rehta hai, to aglay target levels 163.50 aur shayad 164.00 ho sakte hain.

Bearish Risks

Doosri taraf, agar price 162.81 support ko tod deta hai, to yeh 162.30 aur shayad 161.80 tak gir sakta hai. 50 Exponential Moving Average (EMA) price ke neeche positioned hai, jo bullish trend ko confirm karta hai. Agar price 50 EMA ke upar rehta hai, to bullish scenario mazid strong hoga; magar agar neeche girta hai, to bearish pressure barh sakta hai.

Fundamental Considerations

Fundamental factors, jaise ke European Central Bank ki monetary policy aur Japan ke economic conditions, market par aham asar daal sakte hain. Agar yen strong hota hai, to EUR/JPY pair par pressure aasakta hai, jab ke euro ki strength bullish trajectory ko support kar sakti hai.

Technical Analysis

Price action indicators, jaise ke candlestick patterns aur volume analysis, bhi zaruri hain. Agar support level par bullish engulfing pattern ya pin bar formation nazar aaye, to yeh strong buying opportunities de sakta hai. Halankeh overall trend bullish lagta hai, magar traders ko confirmation ka wait karna chahiye taake false breakouts se bacha ja sake.

Conclusion

Jab ke EUR/JPY ab bullish potential dikhata hai, traders ko breakout confirmations aur risk management strategies par focus karna chahiye taake optimal entry aur exit levels identify kiye ja saken. RSI ke overbought zone mein rehne ke doran kuch consolidation ya minor retracements ho sakti hain, magar jab tak price support ke upar hai, bullish bias intact rahega.

EUR/JPY pair iss waqt apne H4 time frame ki aik significant supply level se rejection le kar downward move kar raha hai jo bearish pressure ka indication de raha hai market ne apni opening aik down gap ke sath ki hai jo sellers ke strong presence ko reflect kar raha hai is gap opening ke sath hi H4 chart par aik clear evening star pattern bhi form ho chuka hai jo further bearish momentum ka strong signal hai evening star aik reliable reversal pattern mana jata hai jo indicate karta hai ke buyers ka momentum khatam ho raha hai aur sellers control le rahe hain stochastic oscillator bhi 80 level se neeche ki taraf move kar raha hai jo overbought condition se nikal kar selling pressure ko confirm kar raha hai agar price neeche continue karti hai to agla support level 162.50 ke aas paas ho sakta hai jahan buyers dobara interest le sakte hain agar price is level ko todti hai to bearish momentum barh sakta hai aur 161.80 tak downward move expect kiya ja sakta hai dusri taraf agar price supply zone say wapas bounce karne ki koshish karti hai to resistance 163.60 ka hoga jahan se market dobara downward pressure face kar sakti hai is waqt technical indicators aur price action dono bearish scenario ko favor kar rahe hain magar kisi bhi reversal signal ko miss na karna bhi zaroori hai moving averages ka position aur stochastic ka downward movement indicate kar raha hai ke market abhi selling phase me hai traders ke liye behtareen approach ye ho sakti hai ke confirmation candle ka intezar karen aur lower time frames par entry points dekhen agar price consolidation karne lagti hai to sideways move ka imkaan ho sakta hai lekin agar downward pressure strong raha to short-term selling opportunities mazid samne aa sakti hain fundamentally bhi agar yen ki strength barhti hai to pair me further downside potential barh sakta hai is liye traders ko economic events aur news updates par nazar rakhni chahiye overall market ka current sentiment bearish lag raha hai aur price action indicators downward direction ko support kar rahe hain proper risk management aur stop loss levels ko mad e nazar rakhte hue trade plan karna zaroori hai taake kisi bhi sudden reversal se bacha ja sake.

EUR/JPY Ka Taja Tareen Tajziya

Teknical Tajziya


EUR/JPY abhi bhi ek bullish channel mein trade kar raha hai, jo mazid izafa ka ishara deta hai. Magar 145.00 ka resistance level kafi strong sabit ho raha hai, jahan kayi dafa price wapas gir chuki hai. Agar price 145.00 ka level tod kar upar close karti hai, to agla target 146.50 ho sakta hai. Agar rejection hoti hai, to 143.20 ka support zone mazid demand ka signal de sakta hai, jo 50-day moving average kay qareeb hai.
Bunyadi Tajziya (Fundamental Analysis)


✅ ECB Ki Policy Aur Euro Ki Mazbooti
ECB abhi bhi hawkish stance par hai, yani unka focus inflation ko control karna hai. Rate cuts ke imkanaat kam hain, jo euro ko support de raha hai.

✅ BOJ Ki Dovish Policy Aur Yen Ki Kamzori
Japan ka central bank abhi bhi ultra-loose monetary policy follow kar raha hai, aur rate hikes ka koi clear signal nahi diya. Is wajah se yen pressure mein hai, jo EUR/JPY bulls ke liye acha signal hai.

✅ Market Sentiment Aur Risk Appetite
Duniya bhar mein risk sentiment behtar ho raha hai, aur safe-haven assets jese yen ki demand kam ho rahi hai. Is wajah se log zyada return walay assets pasand kar rahe hain, jo euro ke liye support aur yen ke liye weakness ka sabab ban raha hai.
Ahm Makro Iqtesadi Aur Geopolitical Factors


📊 Eurozone ki Inflation Reports
📊 Japan ki Employment Data
📊 U.S. aur China ki Economic Growth Developments
Nateeja


EUR/JPY bullish trend mein hai, magar 145.00 ka resistance todna zaroori hoga agay barhne ke liye. Agar ye level break ho jata hai, to price 146.50 tak pohnch sakti hai. Warna ek temporary retracement 143.20 tak ho sakta hai. Traders ko market volatility ka khayal rakhna hoga, khas tor par ane wali economic reports aur geopolitical developments par nazar rakhni hogi.