eur/usd

Euro / US Dollar instrument ke liye market ke haalaat ka tajziya aur tayari. 4 ghanton ka time frame.

Chalo mojooda market movement ka tafseeli tajziya karte hain is aala ka, jisme hum Linear Regression Indicator Extended Regression StopAndReverse ke signals par tawajjo dete hain, sath hi RSI aur MACD oscillators ke confirming indicators par bhi tawajjo dete hain. Teen yeh naamzad indicators ke signals ka ittefaq, jisme musbat prakriya ke imkaniyat ka buland hissa hai, humain makhsoos position mein dakhil hone ka behtareen waqt batayega. Kamiyabi ke tijarat aur maqsood munaafa hasil karne ke liye, market se sahi exit point ka chunav karna barabar mahatvapurn hai. Mojudah daur ke extremes par phelai gayi Fibonacci grid, humein ismein madad karegi. Jab quotes correct Fibo levels tak pohanch jayein, to tehreek ko band kar diya ja sakta hai.

Is aala ke chart par chunav shuda time frame (time-frame H4) humein wazeh taur par dikhata hai ke pehla degree regression line (golden dotted line), jo haqeeqi trend ka rukh aur haalat dikhata hai, shumal ki taraf jhukav rakhta hai, jo zyadatar urooj ki tehreek ka waqt dikhata hai. Baraks, qareebi mustaqbil ki taraf rukh ka pehchaan karne ke liye istemal hone wala ghair linear channel (convex lines) kafi wazeh taur par neeche ki taraf jhukav rakhta hai. Ghair linear regression channel ne golden line of the linear channel ko upar se neeche ki taraf guzar diya hai aur quotes mein kami dikhata hai.

Keemat ne red resistance line of the linear regression channel 2-nd LevelResLine ko cross kiya, lekin 1.09806 ke zyada quote value (HIGH) tak pohanch gayi, uske baad isne apni izaafi izafa ko rok liya aur mustaqil tor par girna shuru kiya. Aala mojooda waqt mein 1.08170 ke keemat darj kar raha hai. Upar diye gaye sab kuch ke aadhar par, mujhe umeed hai ke market price quotes 2-nd LevelResLine channel line (1.08047) FIBO level 38.2% ke neeche laut kar mazid neeche uth jayein aur linear channel 1.07632 ke golden average line LR ke saath mazid neeche chale jayein, jo FIBO level 23.6% ke saath milta hai. Iska ye zikr reh gaya hai ke is waqt RSI (14) aur MACD oscillators ziddi tor par signal de rahe hain ke aala overbought hai, kyunke woh faida mand farokht karne wale ek tehreek ko khatam karne ke liye unhe ek zone mein hain.

EUR/USD



EUR/USD pair ke liye, market aaj koi hairat angez shuruat nahi hui. Asian session mein, buyers price ko uttar ki taraf adjust kar rahe hain, halan ke main yeh samajhta hoon ke qareebi support level wahi rahega, jo ke meri marks ke mutabiq 1.07965 par hai. Ab tak, mujhe apne liye kuch dilchaspi wala nahi nazar aata, aur aaj main plan karta hoon ke shower support ko bahar se dekho, jahan ke qareeb do manazir maqbool hote hain ke maamla hal hoga. Jaise ke maine pehle bhi kaha hai, priority scenario mein ek turning candle ka banna aur upar ki price movement ka shuru hona shamil hai. Agar yeh mansooba kaam hota hai, toh main intezar karoonga jab tak ke price resistance level 1.08202 ya phir resistance level 1.08202 tak na pohanch jaye. Main ek trading system ka intezar karoonga jo in resistance levels ke qareeb banayega, jo further direction ko trade karne ke liye pata lagane mein madad karega. Zaroor, main tasleem karta hoon ke price uttar ki taraf push kar sakta hai resistance level 1.11393 tak, lekin agar pehle zikr kiya gaya mansooba kaam hota hai aur price uttar maqam ki taraf jaata hai, toh main dakshin ki taraf girne ko tasleem karta hoon uttar maqam ki taraf. Qareebi support levels wahi hain jahan main signs dhoondhne ki koshish karunga uttar ki taraf ek barhav ki umeed karke. Jab support level 1.07965 ko test kiya jaye, toh price action ka ek alternative mansooba hoga, jahan price is level ke neeche mil jaaye aur south ki taraf chalay. Agar yeh mansooba kaam hota hai, toh main intezar karoonga jab tak ke price support level 1.06949 ya phir support level 1.06561 tak na pohanch jaye. Main in support levels ke qareeb bullish signals dhoondhte rahoonga, umeed hai ke uparward price action dobara shuru ho. Chhoti baat mein, aaj price qareebi support level ko identify karne ja sakti hai, aur phir main bullish signals dhoondhne jaunga, intezar karte hue ke price dobara badh jaaye.

Din 1 (D1) timeframe outlook:

Din 1 (D1) timeframe ka tasavur karna propose karta hoon. Suraj ka dhancha neutral tarz mein hai, MACD index upper steal zone mein hai. Aap ek query ka dhancha bana sakte hain - ek tapering triangle. Tarikh se pehle, price descending line ko approach karta hai jo is triangle ko form karti hai, shayad woh us tak nahi pohanchti, jise kisi ghalti ka zikar kiya ja sakta hai. Main us se ummeed rakhta hoon ke woh dobara decline hoga vertical support position tak jo 1.0852 par hai, jahan se price soar hoti hai. Shaid yahi hua aur woh is position ko cross kar gaya aur plan se zyada age chala gaya. Zahir hai ke decline thrusting support line tak continue hoga jo neeche se guzarti hai; iske pass ab kuch important nahi bacha. Sach hai, 10791 hard ka support position abhi bhi hai. Chhoti baat mein, is area se ek rollback overhead pehle se broken position of 1.0852 tak mumkin hai. Iske ilawa, CCI index pehle se lower overheating zone mein dakhil ho chuka hai. Sirf yeh clear nahi hai ke pehle rollback hoga aur phir thrusting line ka test hoga aur support position ka re-test hoga. ya seedha is test par jayein. Chhoti baat mein, do jagah hain jahan dakhil hona mumkin hai aur aap khareed sakte hain aur bech sakte hain. Upward rollback mein bech sakte hain, jab thrusting line ka test hoga to khareed sakte hain, aur yeh sab, zaroori hai ke yeh sab evidence ke saath karna hai aur yeh sab din ke andar choti period mein karna hai. Technical tor par, price abhi ek bohot acha position mein hai. Yeh khaas taur par is liye ke yahan se kaam karne ke liye hard supports hain jo din ke doran choti fasle mein kaam aayenge. Waise, doosri bari dyads tasdeeq karte hain ke US dollar ki mazbooti ka imkan hai. Yeh triangle bohot bara aur asani se define hota hai, yeh pehle se limit tak narrow ho raha hai, shayad jab yeh waqai garam ho jaye toh kuch trend direction mein hoga jo triangle ko kam karega.





EUR/USD H4 Timeframe: EUR/USD pair ek downward trend mein ja raha hai, jo suggest karta hai ke yeh decline thrusting support line tak continue hoga. Abhi tak, support line door nahi hai, iska matlab hai ke downward movement ko age badhne ka limited room ho sakta hai. Halan ke, yeh note karna zaroori hai ke 1.0796 hard ka support position hai, jo ke mukhtalif wajahon se decline ko temporary rok sakta hai. Technical analysis ke nazdeek dekhte hue, hum dekhte hain ke EUR/USD pair abhi ek critical position ke qareeb trade kar raha hai. 1.0696 ka support itihas mein ahem raha hai, price movements ke liye ahem point ka kaam karta hai. Dealers aur investors yeh position ke qareeb hain takay request sentiment aur future price conduct ka andaza lagayen. Taazi request developments ke mahaul mein, kuch factors hain jo EUR/USD pair ke movements ko influence kar rahe hain. Yeh factors include karte hain profitable data releases, geopolitical events, aur central bank programs jo ke currency request dynamics ko shape karte hain. Dealers ko in factors ke saath updated rehna zaroori hai takay informed trading decisions li ja sakein. Agar EUR/USD pair abhi tak strong support find karta hai current position of 1.0632 par, toh hum dekh sakte hain ke yeh response deta hai preliminarily broken position of 1.0863 ki taraf. Yeh script ek temporary halt to downcast trend aur ek potential bullish reversal ko indicate karegi.

Chalo mojooda market movement ka tafseeli tajziya karte hain is aala ka, jisme hum Linear Regression Indicator Extended Regression StopAndReverse ke signals par tawajjo dete hain, sath hi RSI aur MACD oscillators ke confirming indicators par bhi tawajjo dete hain. Teen yeh naamzad indicators ke signals ka ittefaq, jisme musbat prakriya ke imkaniyat ka buland hissa hai, humain makhsoos position mein dakhil hone ka behtareen waqt batayega. Kamiyabi ke tijarat aur maqsood munaafa hasil karne ke liye, market se sahi exit point ka chunav karna barabar mahatvapurn hai. Mojudah daur ke extremes par phelai gayi Fibonacci grid, humein ismein madad karegi. Jab quotes correct Fibo levels tak pohanch jayein, to tehreek ko band kar diya ja sakta hai.

Is aala ke chart par chunav shuda time frame (time-frame H4) humein wazeh taur par dikhata hai ke pehla degree regression line (golden dotted line), jo haqeeqi trend ka rukh aur haalat dikhata hai, shumal ki taraf jhukav rakhta hai, jo zyadatar urooj ki tehreek ka waqt dikhata hai. Baraks, qareebi mustaqbil ki taraf rukh ka pehchaan karne ke liye istemal hone wala ghair linear channel (convex lines) kafi wazeh taur par neeche ki taraf jhukav rakhta hai. Ghair linear regression channel ne golden line of the linear channel ko upar se neeche ki taraf guzar diya hai aur quotes mein kami dikhata hai.

Keemat ne red resistance line of the linear regression channel 2-nd LevelResLine ko cross kiya, lekin 1.09806 ke zyada quote value (HIGH) tak pohanch gayi, uske baad isne apni izaafi izafa ko rok liya aur mustaqil tor par girna shuru kiya. Aala mojooda waqt mein 1.08170 ke keemat darj kar raha hai. Upar diye gaye sab kuch ke aadhar par, mujhe umeed hai ke market price quotes 2-nd LevelResLine channel line (1.08047) FIBO level 38.2% ke neeche laut kar mazid neeche uth jayein aur linear channel 1.07632 ke golden average line LR ke saath mazid neeche chale jayein, jo FIBO level 23.6% ke saath milta hai. Iska ye zikr reh gaya hai ke is waqt RSI (14) aur MACD oscillators ziddi tor par signal de rahe hain ke aala overbought hai, kyunke woh faida mand farokht karne wale ek tehreek ko khatam karne ke liye unhe ek zone mein hain.

Euro Usd Outlook H4 Time Period

EUR/USD Pair ki tafseeli tajziya aik ahem nazar ati hai jo chand muddati aur lambi muddat ki qeemat karkardah maloomat faraham karta hai. Mumkinah taqat ko dekhtay hue, candil ka supply area 1.0900 ko nahi chhuna iska matlab hai ke bullish momentum kamzor ho raha hai, jo mukhtalif logon ki raay hai ke mazeed neechay ki taraf rawana honay ka raasta bana sakta hai. Mazeed is par, 150 dinon ki moving average (MA) line ka sakhti se guzarna bazaar ke ehsas mein numaindari ka bara tabadla darust karta hai, jo ke bearish trend ka jari rehnay ka ishara hosakta hai.
Lambi muddat mein, EUR/USD pair ke liye neechay ki taraf rawana rehnay ki ittefaqiyah raay ko technical indicators aur chart patterns se support milta hai. Nazdeeki support level 1.0840 ke toot jaane se bearish trend ko tasdeeq mil gayi hai, jo ke darasl bechnay walay control mein atay ja rahe hain aur keemat ko kam kar rahay hain. Ye overall bechnay walay market outlook ke sath mutabiq hai.
Magar chand muddati rehnumai mein mukhtalif nazriya saamne aata hai. Haal hi mein keemat mein giravat ke baad kisi bhi numaainda islah ki afzaish ki kami ke sath samnay aai hai, jo ke chand muddati upar rawana ho sakti hai. Ye short-term traders ki nafahat lenay ya market sentiment mein temporary tabdiliyon ke zariye chal sakta hai.
Tijarat karne walon ke liye ahem hai ke wo tijarati faislon ko lenay se pehlay chand muddati aur lambi muddat ki factors ko ghoorna band karen. Jabke lambi muddat ki trend EUR/USD pair ke liye bearish tajwez karta hai, short-term idaraat aur theek karnay ki chand muddati rawanion se tijarat karne walon ke liye maujood hain. Ye nimble aur apni tajwez mein tezi se hai.
Is ke ilawa, aur technical analysis tools shamil karna jaise oscillators, volume indicators, aur chart patterns short-term keemat mein mazeed tasdeeq aur samajh faraham kar saktay hain. Ye tafseeli jazeera analysis karne walay ko zyada maloomat faraham karta hai aur unhain behtar faislon par le aata hai ke woh forex market ke tez raftar ko kamyabi se samnay laa saktay hain.
Aakhir mein, jabke lambi muddat ki trend EUR/USD pair ke liye bearish bias dikhata hai, short-term idaraat tijarat karne walon ko mukhtalif rawanion ya theek karnay ki idaraat par mufaad hasil karne ka mouqa deta hai. Maaloomat hasil karke, apni tajwez mein flexible reh kar, aur technical indicators ka istemal karke, tijarat karne walay market ki chapet mein raahat hasil kar saktay hain aur apnay tijarati maqasid tak pohanch saktay hain.

EUR/USD Pair H1 Timeframe ki Nazar Mein

Mukadma:
EUR/USD pair ab manfi dynamics ka samna kar raha hai, jahan ke keemat ahem support levels ki taraf rawana hai. Jab traders is mushkil market mahol mein safar kar rahe hain, toh ahem support levels ka pata lagana, channel patterns ko nigrani mein rakhna, aur tijarati faisle ko behtar banane ke liye estratejiyaat ko amal mein laana zaroori hai. Iss tafseeli tajziya mein, hum EUR/USD pair ke liye mumkinah tijarati estratejiyaat par ghoor karte hain, jinhe bechne ke signals, breakout scenarios, aur risk management techniques par tawajju dete hain tijarat ke faislon ko behtar banane ke liye.

Support Levels aur Channel Patterns Ka Pehchan:
Halaat mein, EUR/USD pair ahem support level 1.0870 ke qareeb aa raha hai, jo ke keemat mein mazeed giravat ka pehla rukawat ka kaam karta hai. Iske ilawa, neechay ki taraf rawana channel pattern ka mojood hona bearish outlook ko bhari banata hai, jo market mein bechnay ke positions ke saath dakhil hone ka signal faraham karta hai. Traders ko is support level ke aas paas ke keemat ki harkatain mazid ghor se dekhna chahiye aur channel dynamics ko sahi taur par samajhne ke liye market sentiment ko darust karne ke liye.

Short Positions ke liye Trigger Points:
Traders ko EUR/USD pair mein mazeed keemat mein neechay ki taraf rawana harkatain signal karne wale breakout scenarios ke liye mutaqqi rehna chahiye. Agar keemat 1.0850 ke support level ke neeche se fazool nikal jaye, aur is level ke neeche qayam ho, toh ye saaf signal faraham karega ke short positions mein dakhil hone ka waqt aa gaya hai. Ye breakout confirmation mazeed keemat mein mustaqil giravat ke imkaan ko barhata hai, jo market mein mojood manfi dynamics ke sath milta julta hai.

Moving Average Indicator Signals ka Istemal:
Keemat ki tajziya ke sath sath, traders technical indicators jaise moving average ka faida utha sakte hain tijarati signals ko tasdeeq karne aur tijarati faislon ko manzoor karne ke liye. Agar moving average indicator mein bearish crossover ya neechay ki taraf rawana slope mojood ho, toh ye EUR/USD pair mein bearish bias ki mazeed tasdeeq faraham kar sakta hai, jo ke established trading strategy ke sath short positions ki vaqoofi ko mazbooti deta hai.

Risk Management Measures ka Amal Mein Laana:
Khatarnaak market shara'it mein nuqsanat ko kam karne aur maal ko mahfooz rakhne ke liye moassar risk management ahem hai. Traders ko downside risk ko mehdood karne aur musibat ke keemat harkatain ke khilaf hifazati tajweezat ko amal mein lana chahiye. Ek stop order jo ke tootay local high ke ooper lagaya gaya ho, aakhri impulse level ke mutabiq, bari nuqsanat ke khilaf hifazat faraham karta hai aur pehle mukarrar ki gayi risk parameters ko qaim rakhne mein madad karta hai.

Market Dynamics Ke Aadhar Par Estratejiyaat ko Tarmeem Karna:
Agar kisi nakami ka samna kisi nakam tijarat se hota hai, toh traders ko mukhtalif market dynamics ke tehat qabil e muta'addid tijarati positions par responsive aur tarmeem karne ki zaroorat hoti hai. Agar keemat ki harkat tajwez se mukhtalif ho, toh khareedne ke positions ke liye maqboliyat ki taraf modd hai. Keemat ki harkatain mazid ghor karne, market shara'it ko dobara tajziya karne aur estratejiyaat ko mutabiq karne ke zariye traders EUR/USD pair mein aane wale trends ko mazbooti se samnay la saktay hain.

Nateeja:


Jab ke EUR/USD pair manfi dynamics mein tijarat karta hai, traders ko support levels, channel patterns, aur breakout scenarios ke saath tijarati nateejay ko behtar banane ka challenge hota hai. Ahem support levels ka pata lagakar, technical indicators ka istemal karte hue aur risk management measures ko amal mein laakar, traders mojooda market shara'it ke mutabiq behtar tijarati estratejiyaat ko anjam de sakte hain. Tarmeem aur intizam ke saath, traders EUR/USD pair mein mojood fluctuations ko khushmizaaji aur durusti se samnay la sakte hain.

EUR/USD H-4 Timeframe Analysis:

Aaj subah Eurusd market ke opening mein koi ahem price GAP nahi tha aur keemat ab bhi support area mein thi. Magar bechne walon ko keemat ko phir se neechay laane ke liye support ki kami mehsoos ho rahi hai. Yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke keemat support line par 1.0799 par inkar kar rahi hai. Jitne zyada buyers market mein dakhil hue the kyunki keemat mazboot support par thi, wohi subah Eurusd ko phir se buland hone mein madadgar nazar aate hain. Lekin jo hoga woh bullish hai agar aap peechli trend ko dekhte hain jo ke bearish trend ban chuka hai jis mein keemat SMA 50 aur 200 line ke neeche hai aur ek reversal pattern bhi bana hai, jismein 2 lower highs aur 2 lower lows bane hain, shayad sirf ek keemat ki correction hai aur phir keemat phir se giray gi. Agar Fibonacci ke saath dekha jaye jaise ki neeche tasveer mein dikhaya gaya hai, toh keemat ka potential hai ke wo correction karegi Fibo level 61.8 area par 1.0857 ya Fibo level 50 par 1.0872 pehle bearish rely ko dobara shuru karne se pehle.

Neeche di gayi trading setup Eurusd par tajwez par mabni hai.

SELL SETUP


Sell pullback, keemat ka uthaarne ka intezaar karein aur keemat ko 1.0857/1.0872 line par inkar banne ka intezaar karein. Munafa nishaan 1.0799 support line par. Stop loss kuch pips upar line 1.0872 ke.

Sell breakout, keemat ka girne ka intezaar karein aur 1.0799 support line ko breakout karne ka intezaar karein. Munafa nishaan 1.0730 support line par. Stop loss kuch pips upar line 1.0799 ke.

BUY SETUP

Buy pullback, aap aaj subah keemat ko support line 1.0799 par inkar hone par seedha order kar sakte hain. Munafa nishaan line 1.0857/1.0872 par. Stop loss kuch pips neeche line 1.0799 ke.

Buy breakout, keemat ka uthaarne ka intezaar karein aur line 1.0872 ko breakout karne ka intezaar karein. Munafa nishaan 1.0944 resistance line par. Stop loss kuch pips neeche line 1.0872 ke.

Mukhtalif iqtisadi indicators aur market ke waqiyat mein, US dollar tawajju ka markaz ban gaya hai, jo ke mukhtalif data ke asar mein hai jaise ke US Mojudah Gharoon Ki Farokht se le kar CB Consumer Confidence tak, Final GDP Price Index se Berozgari dar tak. Market ke hissedar asooli metrics jaise ke Chicago PMI, Pending Home Sales, aur Core PCE Price Index ko qareeb se nazar andaaz karte hain, aur Fed Chair Powell ke taqreer se insights ka intezar karte hain. Aise mukhtalif factors ke asar mein market ki raaye ke faislon ke liye ehtiyaat ahem hai aane wale din ke liye. Haal hi ki market ke fa'aliyat par ghoor karte hue, guzishta haftay 1.0808 zone par bandish raaye ka ahmiyat ko samajhata hai jo ke mojooda market dynamics mein safar mein savdhaani ki ahmiyat ko darust karta hai. Aam tor par, apne trading mein stop loss ka istemal behtar hai. Aur EUR/USD se mutaliq anay wale news data par nazar rakhi jaani chahiye.


Trading ke nazariye mein, mein ek kharidari order pasand karta hoon kyun ke kharidar apni qeemat ko dobara hasil karne ka irada rakhte hain aur jab naya hafta shuru hota hai, Spanish Flash Manufacturing aur Service PMI figures bhane kharidoron ke jazbat ka andaza dete hain. Tawaqo barhti hai jab traders 1.0842 ke markazi darjaat ko ek baar phir paar karne ki tawaqo karte hain, jise ke hafta barhtay waqt bullish momentum mein dobaara taraqqi ke nishaan ke tor par qaraar diya jata hai. Aakhir mein, is iqtisadi data aur market ki harekatiyon ke peshraft me ghere hue nake kaarobar ka complex saaz ko har tukda ahmiyat rakhta hai jo ke currencies ke rukh ko shakal dene mein ek khas kirdar ada karta hai, jahan US dollar global maali flows ka markaz ban gaya hai. Jab ke traders taza tareen maamlat ko tajziya aur tabeer karte hain, to wo raaye ke mutaghayyar hone aur asooli indicators mein tabdiliyon ke lehaz se raasta sahih tarah se dhoondte hain. Ek mahol jisme ghalbaat aur ghair yaqeeni mojood hai, tabdeeli aur agahiyat traders ke liye zaroori sifat hain jo mawad par mouqaat hasil karte hain jab ke khatraat ko kam karte hain. Is halat mein, iqtisadi bunyadiyat, jughrafiyai waqiyat, aur market ki raaye ke darmiyaan ka khail currency trading ke landscape ko banata hai, jo ke ek nafees aur agah rawayya ki zarurat ko darta hai. Chaliye dekhte hain aane waale ghanton mein kya hota hai.

Jumma ke correction ke baad, izafa jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. Agar hum 1.0800 ilaqa se baahar nikal jaayein aur uske oopar mil jaayein to mazeed kharidari mumkin hai. Haal hi mein hone wale correction ke baad, izafa jaari hone ka intezar hai. Hum 1.0889 ilaqa se thora sa oopar chalne ki ijaazat de sakte hain, lekin kamiyabi se milne par kharidari ka mauka hoga. 1.0850 ke oopar jhoota tod ek behtareen signal hoga mazeed kharidari ke liye. Jab bhi yeh 1.0800 ke neeche jaaye, yeh bechne ka acha nishaan hai. Halankeh abhi tak koi numainda downside nahi hai, lekin mustaqbil mein izafa ki taraf tawajjuh hogi. Agar hum 1.0850 ilaqa se baahar nikal jaayein aur phir se kharidari jaari rakh sakte hain agar hum kar sakte hain. Izafa ek ahem correction ke baad jaari reh sakta hai. Kharidari ka mauka acha hoga jab hum 1.0815 ilaqa se baahar nikal jaayein aur uske oopar mil jaayein. Janoobi rukh ko mustaqbil mein barqarar rakhne ke liye dobaara tasfiyah ki zaroorat ho sakti hai. Kharidari karne walon ko 1.0820 ke oopar chalne ki ijaazat de sakte hain aur is range se baahar nikal sakte hain. Kharidari mazeed wajah peda kar sakti hai ke local high 1.0900 ke oopar jaane ke baad.




Amreeki trading session mein, exchange rate 1.0816 ko tod sakta hai, mustaqbil ke izafa ke liye achhi shiraa'at peda karne ke liye. 1.0818 ilaqa ka tor-phor ek mazeed kharidari ka acha mauka dega. Jab tak aap 1.0702 se zyada neeche nahi jaate, aap bechne jaari rakh sakte hain. Woh shayad Amreeki trading session ke doran jaari rahenge, lekin hum thora sa giravat dekh sakte hain. Agar hum 1.0818 ilaqa se baahar nikal jaayein aur uske oopar mil jaayein, to mazeed kharidari mumkin hai. Currency trading is a complex world, influenced by various interconnected factors. Global economic conditions play a pivotal role in shaping the broader context of EUR/USD trading. The intricate network of influences, spanning beyond regional borders, and the dynamic interplay of forces on the international stage are crucial considerations for traders. Geopolitical events hold significant sway over the EUR/USD currency pair, impacting global economic dynamics. The unpredictable nature of trading is evident due to the ever-changing political landscapes worldwide. Geopolitical developments, ranging from diplomatic relations to conflicts and treaties, have a direct impact on foreign exchange market valuations. Traders must navigate this terrain with awareness of these multifaceted influences.

EUR/USD pair ne qabil-e-ghor istehkam dikhaya hai Iske baad, is level ka ahem imtehan liya gaya hai, jo ab ek support had ke tor par kaam kar raha hai Khushgawar tor par, is imtehan ka pehla jawab musbat raha hai, jise do nazar ayaan wale buland uthaanein ne kuch mukhtalif waqfay par kei pips ke izafa ke sath shuru kiya hai Halankeh, yeh tareef ke qabil nishaaniyan hain, magar qareebi doran mein kisi bhi naye buland uthaanein ka namumkin lagta hai Balkay, ittehad ke doran ek maqqil muddat ka gawah diya ja sakta hai, jahan keemaat mojooda support par 1.0810 aur upar wale resistance level par 1.0900 ke darmiyan lahrein maregi jab tak haftay ke ikhtitaam tak Ye laitiral harkat ek mazeed buland uthaanein ki aaghaz ki nashani ho sakti hai, jo mukhtalif hadood ko taraqqi de sakti hai, maqami hadood ke tor par peechle haftay ke peak ko 1.1200 tak shamil kar sakti hai 1.0850 ke resistance level ko tor kar, EUR/USD pair ne qabil-e-ghor istehkam dikhaya hai Iske baad, is level ka ahem imtehan liya gaya hai, jo ab ek support had ke tor par kaam kar raha hai Khushgawar tor par, is imtehan ka pehla jawab musbat raha hai, jise do nazar aayan wale buland uthaanein ne kuch mukhtalif waqfay par kei pips ke izafa ke sath shuru kiya hai Halankeh, yeh tareef ke qabil nishaaniyan hain, magar qareebi doran mein kisi bhi naye buland uthaanein ka namumkin lagta hai Balkay, ittehad ke doran ek maqildi muddat ka gawah diya ja sakta hai, jahan keemaat mojooda support par 1.0810 aur upar wale resistance level par 1.0900 ke darmiyan lahrein maregi jab tak haftay ke ikhtitaam tak Ye laitiral harkat ek mazeed buland uthaanein ki aaghaz ki nashani ho sakti hai, jo mukhtalif hadood ko taraqqi de sakti hai, maqami hadood ke tor par peechle haftay ke peak ko 1.1200 tak shamil kar sakti hai

chart ki wave analysis ke mutabiq, EUR/USD pair mein koi tabdili nahi aayi hai. Pichle saal mein, hum ne sirf teen-wave structures dekhi hain jo baar baar ek dosre ke saath muntakhib hoti hain. Mojooda doran ek aur teen-wave structure ka tashkeel jari hai - ek neeche ki taraf, jo pichle saal 18 July ko shuru hui thi. Tasawwur kiya jata hai ke wave 1 perfect ho gayi hai, aur wave 2 ya b ne teen ya chaar martaba mushkilat ka samna kiya, lekin halat ke mutabiq ab ye bhi perfect ho gaya hai, kyun ke pair ka girao ek mahine se zyada ka waqt se jari hai.

Trend ka ooperi hissa ab bhi dobara shuru ho sakta hai, lekin is surat mein iski andaruni banawat parhne mein mushkil hogi. Main yeh yaad dilata hoon ke mein woh wave structures pehchanne ki koshish karta hoon jo doosri ta'weelon ko bardasht nahi karti hain. Agar mojooda wave analysis durust hai, to market ne ab wave 3 ya c ki tashkeel par guzar gaya hai. 1.0788 level ko torne ki kamyabi, jo ke 76.4% Fibonacci ke mutabiq hai, ek baar phir market ki tayyar hai sale ke liye. Ab agla maqsood 1.0637 level hai, jo ke 100.0% Fibonacci ke barabar hai. Lekin, mein euro ki girao ka intezar yahan tak nahi karta. Wave 3 ya c waqt aur maqamat mein zyada wusat hona chahiye.




Euro ki girao jald shuru ho sakti hai.

EUR/USD pair ne Jumma ko koi tabdili nahi dikhayi, aur harkat ki range buhat kamzor thi. Din bhar kuch khaas khabar ka paya nahi gaya, halaanke kuch tajaweezain Germany ke IFO aur GDP ke reporton par dene wale analiyston ne highlight ki. Magar meray khayal mein, inn dataon ka koi asar market ki hosla afzai par nahi hua. Chothay quarter mein GDP ka aakhri hasool -0.3% tha, jaisa ke pehli tehqiqat mein tha. Koi taajub nahi tha; Germany ki maeeshat officially ek recession mein dakhil ho gayi thi, aur market ko "jawab" dene ke liye kuch bhi nahi tha. IFO indices, apni izzat ke bawajood, doosray indicators hain jo market participants ko kam dhyan dete hain.


In sab baaton par mabni, shuru mein Jumma se zyada ummeed nahi thi. Mujhe yeh bharosa hai ke ab 1.0880 level ko torne ki nakam koshish buhat zyada ahem hai. Kyun ke maqsoodana wave 3 ya c ki tashkeel jari hai, jo ke buhat lambi shakal mein hogi, is mein yeh bhi mumkin hai ke is haftay mein hum ne andaruni wave 2 ki tashkeel dekhi ho. Agar yeh sach hai toh 1.0880 ko torne ki nakami is wave ki perfect hone ki dalil ho sakti hai. Agar yeh fehmi durust hai, to pair agle haftay mein wave 3 mein apna girao dobara shuru kar sakta hai. Main yeh manta hoon ke ab koi khabar ka background is wave ki tashkeel mein dakhil nahi ho sakta.


Aam taur par:


EUR/USD ki analysis ke mutabiq, mein ye natija nikalta hoon ke bearish wave set ka construction jaari hai. Wave 2 ya b perfect ho chuki hai, is liye qareebi mustaqbil mein mein umeed karta hoon ke impulsive descending wave 3 ya c ki tashkeel jari rahegi jisme pair ka zor daar girao hoga.

EUR/USD ka Technical Analysis
H-1 Timeframe Analysis

Asslam-o-Alaikum dosto, kesy hy ap loog. Pichle haftay, Euro ke daam 1.0820 support level tak gir gaye the, mazboot bearish reversals ke baad. Is haftay ki shuruat mein, keemat apne tootay hue support pips ko 1.0910 par dobara hasil karne ki koshish kar rahi hai. 1.0807 par support milne ke baad, Euro ne pichle haftay unchaai haasil karne ki koshish ki, lekin 1.1094 par rukawat ka samna kiya aur aage na badh saka. Phir woh apna downtrend shuru kiya lekin 1.0827 par fir se band hui. Trade. Coates clearly is area mein mazboot support hai, jise abhi tak par karne ki koshish nahi ki gayi hai. Iske alawa, keemat ka chart super trending red zone mein rehta hai, jo dikhata hai ki bechne wale pair mein control mein hain.



H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Pair abhi ek seemit range mein trade kar raha hai, lagbhag ek haftay pehle ki tarah, kuch zyada noticeable tabdeeliyan nahi hui hain. Key areas of resistance ko test kiya gaya aur unhone apni integrity ko banaye rakha, jo preferred downward vector ki ahmiyat ko dikhata hai. Considering ke price ne 1.0827 level ko baar baar retest kiya lekin usse guzra nahi, yahaan significant support hai, jo doosre rebound ke zyada hone ki sambhavna ko badha deta hai jaise hi 1.0994 par central resistance zone ki seema par local correction ka hissa ho. Is area se retest aur rebound aage ki girawat ke ek naye hisse ki shuruaat ko darust karega jiska target area 1.0625 aur 1.0562 ke darmiyan hoga.

Maujooda maahol se palatne ka badlaav resistance ke oopar se breakout aur 1.0963 reversal level ke paar nikal jaane se hoga. Neeche di gayi chart ko dekhein:

EUR/USD H4 Timeframe.

EUR/USD H4 waqt chart 1.0842 par khara hai, jo ek halki trend ko darust karti hai. H4 chart ka tajziya karte hue, hum dekhte hain ke qeemat ne rukawat ka samna kiya magar isay tor nahi saka, jis se neeche ki taraf rawana hui. Baad mein, isay kam hui. Envelopes indicator farokht ka moqa darust kar raha hai, jo ke Momentum indicator ki 16 maheenay ka bullish rukh darust karne par saboot milta hai. Mazeed, ye indicator manfi shetra mein hai, jo farokht ke muqaablay ko darust karta hai. Isi tarah, Stochastic indicator bhi ek bearish jazba ko tasdiq karta hai. Aam tor par, taknik tajziya ye zahir karta hai ke ek kharidari position shandar munafa faraham karegi. Ye daawa is bat par mabni hai ke mojooda qeemat ne Fibonacci levels ke muqarar haddood mein hai. Iske ilawa, bailon mein khaas tawajjo hai, jo rooz ke mombati ke darmiyan zahir hai. Isi liye, mein 50% level se ek kharidari order shuru karne ka soch raha hoon jo ke bullish support ke tor par kaam karta hai aur sambhav girawat ko bachata hai. Mazeed, aur levels bhi kharidari ke liye moqa darust karte hain, jahan se umeed hai ke in levels se agay ki rawaniyan aaegi. Meri strategy ka hissa banane ke taur par, mein faida hasil karne ka irada karta hoon jab level ko pohanch jaye jabke mazeed market ke tabdiliyon par bhi mutawajjah rahonga.

1.0823 level ko teen dafa tak tor nahi saka magar sirf 10 pips ke girne mein kami hui. Phir is level ka tor ho gaya, aur qeemat ne mazeed 10 pips chadhayi. Phir se yaad dilatay hain ke EUR/USD pair ki overall phaylao ko abhi bohot kam hai. Aur agar market mein koi rawani nahi hai, to mazboot signals aur acha munafa par aitmad karna bohot mushkil hai. 1-hour chart par, EUR/USD ne lambay arse se intezaar kiya hua downtrend shuru kiya hai, jo qeemat ko mazeed neeche le ja sakta hai. Qeemat Ichimoku indicator lines ke neeche hai, jo hamein mazeed neeche ki rawaniyon ka intezar karne ka sabab deta hai. Nichli trendline bhi farokht karne walon ko tasalli deti hai. Dollar ko kisi bhi surat mein almost sab case mein buland hona chahiye, khas tor par "moderately hawkish" FOMC meeting ke baad.

EURUSD pair ka H4 time frame chart nazdeek se dekhte hue, is haftay mein trading mein bechnay ki ziadaad ka imkaan nazar aata hai. Kharidarun ki koshishen ke bawajood, keemat ko buland karna aur 1.0988 ke resistance level ko test karne mein kamiyaabi nahi mili, kyunkay sellers ne price ko maamooli tor par daba liya. Aakhirkaar, price ne 1.0902 fresh support level ko tor diya, jo ke ek hadaf hone ke baad 1.0859 RBS level ki taraf ghata. Abhi tak, price ne RBS level tak nahi pohancha hai, lekin 1.0902 support level ke breakout ke saath, aglay hafte mein trading mein mazeed kami ka saboot ho sakta hai. Market ke dynamics ka tajziya karke, mustaqbil ke qeemat ke husool ke liye mukhtalif support aur resistance levels ka tajzia jaari rakha gaya hai. In levels ke ird gird keemat ka rawaiya tezi se badal raha hai. Aglay hafte ki taraf dekhte hue, kuch tasdeeq ke nishaan nazar aate hain.

1.0859 RBS level ne price ko attract kiya hai, jahan se buyers ka tawajjuh raha hai. Agar yeh level mazbooti se qaim rahe, to price ka agla target 1.0902 support level ho sakta hai. Agar yeh support level tor diya gaya, to 1.0859 RBS level ke niche aur neeche ki taraf mazeed girawat ki sambhavna hai. 1.0902 support level ko torne ke baad, 1.0859 RBS level price ke liye ahem ho jata hai. Agar yeh level mazbooti se qaim rahe, to price ka agla target 1.0988 resistance level ho sakta hai. Agar yeh resistance level tor diya gaya, to mazeed tezi ki sambhavna hai, aur price 1.1000 psychological level ki taraf bhi ja sakti hai.

Agle hafte ke liye, traders ko 1.0902 support aur 1.0988 resistance levels par tawajjuh deni chahiye. In levels ke tor par price ka rawaiya ahem hai. Agar support level tor diya gaya, to bearish momentum ka izafa ho sakta hai, jabke resistance level ki tor phor bullish momentum ko barha sakta hai.

EUR/USD


Meri tawajjo EUR/USD currency market ke trends par hogi. Ab tak, keemat 1.0822 par hai. Takneeki sooraten ek neeche ki raftar ko dikharahe hain, jahan Momentum indicator 100.16 par ek giravat ko zahir kar raha hai aur MACD manfi zone mein hai, jo bechnay ke maqasid ko zahir karta hai. Magar, Stochastic indicator trading instrument ki keemat mein izafa ka ishaara deta hai. Takneeki tahlil ke mutabiq, ek neeche ki raftar ka intezar hai, jo shayad 1.0754 tak pahunch sake. Mera strategy dainik time frame ko 1 ke support level ke ird gird karne par mabni hai. Is haftay mein jari market ghaat ke doran, aise ek tareeqa pasandida lagta hai, khaaskar Euro kharidaron ke liye US dollar ke khilaf, jab Federal Reserve global inflation ka muqabla kar raha hai. Haali mein 1.0827 tak hui islate ka bazaar ke expectations se mila na hai, aur chinta hai ke EURUSD jodi lambi muddat tak ek mabni ho jaye. Aaj US mein naye ghar farokht ki khabren market par asar dal sakti hain, jo ke mumkinah khatron ka samna kar sakti hain.
Jodi 1.0830 aur 1.0808 ke darmiyan phansa ho sakta hai. Magar, 1.08 ke neeche girne ka khatra qaim hai, jab tak keemat 1.0830 ke upar qaim nahin hoti. Haaliya ke market ki mubhamiyat zyada ehtiyaat ki zarurat ko zahir karti hai. Jabke bull 1.08 se jodi ko ooncha le jane ki koshish karte hain, bear aktive rehte hain. Halankeh ek bullish correction mumkin tha, lekin iska mukammal hone ka intezar hai, jise ke agle umeed hai ke 1.0833 resistance level ki taraf mukammal rawani hogi. Magar, behtar tabdeeli ke liye wazeh signals ke baghair yeh sab soorat-e-haal afsoos hai. Khaas tor par, haaliya ke dainik chart par harkat 1.0795 ke support level se rebound ko zahir karta hai, jise ke ek mumkinah oopri raftar ka ishaara hai. Aaj ECB ke president ki guftagu market ke dynamics par asar dal sakti hai, jise ke jama'a karne ke liye hifazati intizamaat zaroori hain. Yeh zaroori hai ke market ke dynamics ke jawabdeh aur jageer rehne ke liye tayyar rahen.