eur/usd

EUR/USD Currency Pair ke Daamon ki Keemat Ki Tehqeeq
Hum EUR/USD currency pair ke daamon ki keemat ki tehqeeq karenge aur apne nateeje par guftugu karenge. Pichle hafte, bears ne EUR/USD pair ki 1.0838 (Murray ke mutabiq level 3/8) support ko tor diya, jis ne ghanto ki chart par "Wedge" pattern banaya. Is ke ilawa, pair ne "Head-shoulders" pattern ko tasdeeq diya, jahan bull 1.0838 resistance line ko dobara test kar rahe hain. Mutalik pairs ka tajziya karne ke bunyadi aadhar par, jaise Dollar/Franc aur Pound/Dollar, hum EUR/USD pair mein dobara umeed karte hain. 1.0838 resistance tak ek bounce ke baad, giravat ho sakti hai 1.0716 (61.8% Fibonacci level) tak aur mazeed neeche 1.0684 (Murray ke mutabiq level -2/8) support line tak. Darmiyan support 1.0769 par hai. Takneeki indicators yeh sugges karte hain ke sellers control mein hain, keemat MA-55, MA-200 moving averages aur 4/8 Murray level ke neeche hai.

Char ghanton ki chart par, bears daamon ko neeche kheenchte hue EUR/USD pair ke daamon ka downtrend qaim rakhte hain. Daamon ki harkat Ichimoku cloud ke neeche bearish momentum ko darust karti hai. Haal hi mein trading session mein, pair ne ek bearish harkat ko barqarar rakha, doosre support level ke neeche ek position mazid barqarar ki. Neeche ki stochastic ne bechnay ki dabavat ko tasdeeq kiya hai. Ab 1.0807 par trade hone wale daamon mein, intarday giravat classic Pivot levels par nishana ban rahi hai. Umeedain yeh sugges karti hain ke giravat ka silsila jaari rahega, teesra support level 1.0767 ko tor kar ek taza giravat ka aghaz kar sakti hai, jise 1.0715 support line ke neeche mazeed phailne ki ummeed hai. Agar bullish traders phir se zahir ho gaye, to 1.0947 resistance mojoodah chart ka hissa rahenge. Keemat mein aik ahem breakout hai, jo market mein bear trend ko favor karta hai.

Fundamental Analysis :
Agar sab kuch theek raha aur mahangaai ko control mein rakha gaya, to ummeed hai ke Fed aur ECB bhi June mein cuts karenge. UK mein, do Bank of England (BoE) hardliners ne apni faislaaniyaat ko interest rates ko barhane ke faislay ko ulta kar diya. Is tarah, UK mein kal kisi ne bhi interest rates ko barhane ka faisla nahi kiya, 8 MPC members ne interest rates ko barqarar rakha aur 1 member ne interest rates ko kam karne ka faisla kiya. Interest rates ko kam karne ke faislay ki vote barhane ki taraf nahi gayi, lekin BoE ne policy tightening ko chhodne ki alaamat bhi di.

Cable ne 50-DMA ke neeche chala gaya aur aaj subah 100-DMA ko test kiya, Japanese yen ko bhi aaj kal haal mein hawa milti rahi hai, haalanki taaza data ne dikhaya ke Japan mein mahangaai teen mahine ki uchhai par pohanch gayi, aur EURUSD ne 200-DMA ke neeche girawat dikhayi. Bech dene ki taraf chadhav ko ek series ke aakhri data ne mazboot kiya jo kal US mein jaari kiya gaya tha, jiski wajah se kuch Fed members confuse ho gaye the Fed ki iraade ko lekar 'is saal' interest rates ko kam karne ki aur dollar mein izafa hua.

Technical Analysis :

Ek bearish reversal trend candlestick pattern ke banne ke baad, EURUSD currency pair ne trading mein tezi se kamiyaabi hasil ki thi Thursday, March 21 2024 tak, jab tak weekly trading visitor ke liye bazaar band na ho gaya. Abhi sirf support area level 1.0800 se support area level 1.0805 tak hi agli trade ke liye bechne walon ke liye mukhya hai.

Dekha ja sakta hai ke abhi RSI indicator ke ribbon period 14 ke application mein oversold condition mein band hai (oversold) jahan ke price level 30 se oopar chadha hai. Agar baad mein price 1.08xx tak ke support area level ko bearish trend candlestick pattern dwara torne mein kamiyaab nahi hota hai, to main decide karunga ke agli Somvar ke market opening par EURUSD currency pair par buy order lagane ka faisla karoon.

Dosto aur saathi traders, asalam-o-alikum! Guzre hafte ki trading ki ek chhoti si jhalak aur aane waale mumkinah manazir ke ek jhalak ko dekhne ke liye waqt hai.
EUR/USD daily timeframe ki tajziya se pata chalta hai ke euro guzre hafte Expansion Model (EM) ke andar raha. Yeh model ek tajziya ka tareeqa hai jo ke market ki movements ko analyze karne mein madadgar hota hai. 1.0964 ke qareeb t4 level se correctional bounce ke baad, euro ne apni giraft mein EM trend ko confidently toorna jari rakha aur Jumeraat ke trading session ko 1.0807 ke level par mukammal kiya.

Jaise hi market somwar ko phir se khulta hai, humein hosakta hai ke pehle se guzre huye trend EM area ki taraf chhoti si shumali correction dekhne ko mile. Yeh ek aam scenario hai jab market mein kisi trend ko break hone ke baad retracement hota hai. Magar yeh keemat phir se neeche ki taraf ki manzil ko dhoondhne ki taraf rawana hoga, jo filhal t2 level ke qareeb hai jo 1.0693 par hai. Yeh level market mein ek qawi support ki tarah kaam karta hai aur traders ke liye ek mukhtasir term trading opportunity ka darwaza khol sakta hai.




Jab baat aati hai trading strategies ki, to har trader apni apni approach aur technique ke mutabiq amal karta hai. Kuch traders short-term retracement ka muntazir hote hain taake faida utha sakein, jab ke doosre long-term bearish trend ko follow kar rahe hote hain. Har situation mein, hosla aur tawaju dono hi ahem hai taake sahi trading faislay kiya ja sakein.

Is beech, aik chhoti si tip yeh hai ke trading karne se pehle apne trading plan ko zaroor tayyar karain. Is mein apne entry aur exit points ko, stop-loss aur take-profit levels ko, aur risk management strategies ko shamil karein. Yeh aapko trading mein discipline aur control banaye rakhne mein madad karta hai.

Sabko ek kamiyabi se bhara weekend mubarak aur somwar ko market ke dobaara khulne ka intezaar hai. Chalein, apni trading strategies mein mutadil aur mutaqabil rehne ka waada karte hain!

4 ghanton ke chart ke lehaza, EUR/USD jodi ke lehaza wave analysis mein koi tabdeeli nahi ayi hai. Pichle saal se, hum ne sirf baray paimane par teen-wave structures dekhi hain, jo aapas mein musalsal badalte rehte hain. Abhi, ek aur teen-wave structure ki tameer jari hai - jo July 18 se shuru hui girawat hai. Tasavvur kiya gaya wave 1 mukammal hai, wave 2 ya b teen ya char martaba zyada plex bana, lekin abhi bhi mukammal hai. Trend ka upri silsila abhi bhi dobara jaari kiya ja sakta hai, lekin is ke andar kaafi muskilat hoti hain. Is halat mein, wave 3 ya c ki tameer hui hai December 28 se. Abhi, wave 2 in 3 ya c yaksan mukammal hai. Agar yeh sahi hai, to quotes ka giravat jaari rahegi. 1.0956 ke darja, jo 50.0% Fibonacci ke barabar hai, ko torne ki nakami bhi mukammal karne ki taraf ishara karta hai.

FOMC ki meeting ke natije ne qareebi mustaqbil mein jodi ke dynamics ko tay kiya. EUR/USD jodi ki keemat ne almost 80 basis points kam kiye Thursday ko aur aaj, demand European currency ke liye girne jaari rahi, lekin be-shak ab zyada dheemi raftar mein. Aaj ke news background aur zyada taqatwar hosakti thi. Germany mein, IFO Business Climate Index jaari ki gayi, jo ke sirf market ki tawaqqaat ko thora sa zyada guzarti thi. Ye European currency ki exchange rate par koi numaindi asar nahi dala. Aur European Union ya United States mein aaj koi aur waqiaat nahi hue. Raat ko der tak, ECB ke Chief Economist Philip Lane ka guftagu hoga, lekin yeh practically market band hone se pehle hi hoga. Kuch nahi hai jo keh sake ke aaj active market participants ke actions mumkin hain.

Is haftay ka ahem waqia FOMC ki meeting tha. Powell ka zyada hawkish rhetoric aur "dovish" signals ki kami ne market ko dikhaya ke us ki umeedain ek bar phir zyada buland hain. Market participants apne aap ko manane ki koshish nahi kar sakte ke Fed ko ek mazeed sakht monetary policy par le jaane ki koi dabaav nahi hai jab tak ke inflation ko target level tak kam nahi karne ki puri khabar na ho. Is ke mutabiq, FOMC rate cut ke liye pehla mahina June, ek bohot hi sherti date hai. Pehle, yeh March tha; ab June hai, aur ek mahine mein, yeh September bhi ho sakta hai. Tab tak, market ab bhi pehli halat ka intezar kar rahi hai, hamesha yeh mante hue ke yeh waqt qareeb hai. Aur yeh abhi tak nahi hua hai. Aur jitni der isay taalaya jata hai, dollar ka aur euro ke mukablay mein mazeed qadrayat ka sarakht hota hai, jiska ECB ne pehla rate cut karne ki date tay kar li hai.

Aam aakhri nukat: EUR/USD ki tajziyat ke tehat, girawat wave set ki tameer jaari hai. Wave 2 ya b mukammal ho gaya hai, is liye qareebi mustaqbil mein, main umeed karta hoon ke girawat ka impulse downward wave 3 ya c ki tameer jaari rahegi. Abhi, aik andaruni correct wave tameer jaari hai, jo ke shayad mukammal ho gaya hai. Main sirf usi ko gina jata hoon jis ka nishana moqarar level 1.0462 ke qareeb hai, jo ke 127.2% Fibonacci ke barabar hai.

Ek bara wave scale par, dekha ja sakta hai ke tasavvur kiya gaya wave 2 ya b, jo pehle wave ke 61.8% Fibonacci se zyada lamba tha, to yeh mukammal ho sakta hai. Agar yeh sahi hai, to wave 3 ya c ki tameer aur jodi ko 4-figure ke neeche girne ki soorat mein ab shuru hui hai.

Meri tajziyat ke mukhya asool:

Wave structures asaan aur samajhne wale hone chahiye. Mushkil structures mushkil hote hain; woh aksar tabdeeli late hain. Agar bazar mein kya ho raha hai par bharosa hai, to us mein dakhil hone se behtar hai.

Aaj ki guftagu EUR/USD currency pair ke daamon mein tabdeeliyon par tawajjo dene wali hai, jo ke ab aik ghalbaati bearish trend ka samna kar raha hai. Ye trend ahem hai kyunkay yeh hamari tajziya ki manzil hai aur hamen mojooda market ki halaat ko samajhne mein madad karta hai. Tadbeer aur daam ke harkaat ka mutaala hamen safalta se trades mein dakhil aur nikaalne ke liye maqsad rakhta hai jabke munafa yafta bhi rehta hai. Haal hi mein, pair ke neeche ke rukh ki raftar barhti gayi jab resistance se takra gayi. Relative strength indicator ek beghairat zone ki taraf tajwez deta hai, jo ke support ki ek aane wale imtehaan aur mazeed girawat ka izhaar karta hai.
Senior linear regression channel ne ek ghareeb rukh ka qayam rakha hai, jis se mojooda trend ka tasdeeq hota hai. Heiken Ashi indicator daam mein girawat ki nishani deta hai. Is liye, hum sale trades ki ibtida ki tajwez dete hain jo 2024 ke minimum range 1.0705-1.0680 tak ko kam karne ki taraf mukharrar hai.
Aglay haftay ki taraf dekhte hue, haal ki tajaweezat EUR/USD ke liye ajeeb tor par durust sabit hui hain. Magar agle haftay ke liye mashroot strategy ke kamiyabi par shak hai. Ek mumkin zigzag upward movement ka intezar hai, jis mein shuru mein 1.0872-88 aur 1.0915 ke qareebi darjat ka nishana hai, lekin baad mein ek ahem girawat ka ishaara hai. Mansooba yeh hai ke upar zikar kiye gaye darjat se ahem downward movement ka aghaz kiya jaye. Ahem hai ke darmiyani had tak ki tajweezat ko mustarad ya rad kiya jaye, khaaskar 1.0953 ke qareebi resistance ko. Darmiyani had tak ki tajweezat aik maqbool approach ki tasveer hai jo ahem resistance aur support darjat ka pehchanne ki taraf daakhil hoti hai. Daam ke tabdeelion ko hamesha nazar rakhkar aur pehle se tay kiye gaye darjat ko maddat se mante hue, traders khud ko market ki harkaton ka faida uthane ke liye set karte hain. Hafta guzarte hue, traders daam ke harkaton ke mutabiq apni strategies ko adjust karte hain, munafa haasil karne ke liye maqsad se, jabke khatarnaakat ko behtar tareeqay se manage karte hain. Is adaptability par zor dene se, traders ko market mein mumkin tabdeelion ke liye tayyar karna hota hai, jis se unki qabliyat ko mukhtalif suraton mein tawajjo dena behtar hota hai.

EUR/USD Salam. 2000 saal market par tafreeh. Achha, roozana ko samajh nahi aata, kabhi woh kisi mukammal zyada ke teht chalte hain, phir kisi mukammal kam ke, lekin qeemat asal mein ek range mein chal rahi hai, yeh puri cheez ek dam sidhi hai, iske koi khaas hadood nahi hain. Haftawar ke chart par, main ek kharidar dekh raha hoon, jahan se bail upar jane ki koshish kar raha hai, wahi baat upar ke farokhtan ke liye bhi sahi hai, sirf teen candles shamil hain. Yahan aap ko saaf nazar aata hai, bail farokhtan ke qareeb aya, wahan farokhtan ka reaction hua, woh bura band hue, ab bail chal basa, usko apni kamzoriyan par qabu karna tha, nahi hua. Mujhe lagta hai agar unko chaha hota, toh woh kamzor farokhtan ko girha dete, jo ke matloba hai ke is range mein market ke Khuda aaraam se hain.



Quotes of the pair - EURUSD, aaj bhi manfi hawale se trading ho rahi hai, qeemat ab support - 1.088 ke qareeb hai, jo ke giravat ka pehla rukawat hai, ek nichli channel, jo market mein dakhil hone ke liye signal deta hai farokht mein. Agar qeemat support - 1.086 ke peechle todne ka impulsive bahar jaata hai, aur level ke nichle band ho jaata hai, toh main ek short positions mein dakhil hone ka faisla karunga. Moving average indicator market ko signal dega. Ek stop order wahan rakha jayega jab ek todahua local High, aakhri impulse level hoga. Woh jagah jahan, nuqsaan milne par, kharidaariyon ke liye prioritiez mein tabdili hogi.

Pichle do dinon mein, EUR/USD jodi ko significant selling pressure ka samna hua, jisne qeemat mein musalsal aur numaya nichle rehne ke harkat ko barhawa diya. Yeh trend kai doosri major pairs ke saath bhi dekha gaya jo USD ke khilaf mehsoos kar rahe hain, jin mein se sabhi ko khaas taur par kuchh giravat mehsoos hui. Lagta hai ke sellers ne kafi dabao dala, jo ke numaya taur par keemat mein nicha giravat ka sabab bana. Unhone maqboza tor par mazboot resistance ka jawab diya jo buyers ne pichle Jumma ke dopahar ko keemat ko oopar le jane ki koshish ki, jaise ke aaj subah daily time frame ke zariye dekha gaya. Yeh March 20 ya pehle haftay mein dekhi gayi oopri momentum ko rok diya.
Agay dekhte hue, lagta hai ke sellers ka pehla maqsad green zone ko tor dena hai jo ke 1.0682 aur 1.0727 ke darmiyan levels hai. Yeh ilaqa ab tak relative taur par untested aur fresh hai retesting ke lehaz se.

Is mauqe ka faida uthate hue, mein is jodi ka aik ghantay ka time frame istemal karke tajziya karunga. Yahan, hum dekh rahe hain ke buyers ka koshish hai ke wo aik kamzor resistance area ko tor den, jo 1.0866 aur 1.0872 ke darmiyan range hai, jo ke 03:00 server time par March 22, 2024, ke zariye InstaForex broker ke zariye inkar mila. Mojooda market conditions ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, sellers ka agla maqsad lagta hai ke wo 1.0773 se 1.0818 ke darmiyan levels ke ird gird dafa kar den. Yeh zone ab mojooda waqt par kafi ahmiyat rakhta hai.

Yeh sawal uthta hai ke kya keemat aise mazboot ilaqe ko tor sakti hai, khaas taur par is ke track record ke zariye jo ke is movalid nichle trend ke doran nau dafa retests hui hai. Is nateejay par munehay kiya ja sakta hai ke sell orders ka dobara ghoor o fikr kiya jaye. Aik hidayat ke tor par, munafa target mehfooz taur par rakha gaya hai, jo ke level 1.0720 par set hai, jo mojooda price position se 43-pip farq hai.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis.

EUR/USD ka trading safar ek musalsal mohim ki tarah hai, jise achanak seerhiyon aur modon se bhara hai jo ki sab se zyada tajurba kar traders ko bhi challenge karti hai. Haal hi mein EUR/USD pair mein dekhi gayi dramati kami ne financial markets ki volatile fitrat ka saboot diya hai, jo trading mein mojooda ghair mustaqil shakhsiyat ko humein yaad dilati hai. Main ek trading karne wala hoon, aur mein aapki mushkilat ko samajh sakta hoon jo aap aur bohot se doosre traders ne is halchal bhari dor mein mukaamal ki hain. EUR/USD pair ka critical support level 1.0880 ke neeche girna, jisey haftay ke ikhtitam tak 1.0980 ki taraf gira hua dekha gaya, be shak ek mayoos kun waqiya hai. Magar mayoosi ke darmiyan ek tajziya aur istaqamat ka moqa bhi hai. Zaroori hai ke optimism banaye rakhna, woh bhi jab aap mukhalifat ka samna karte hain, iske samajhna ke setbacks trading ke safar ka ek laazmi hissa hain. Pichle haftay ke events par ghor o fikr se mujhe market ke hamesha badalte dynamics ka bohot faida hua. Achanak kiya gaya fortune ka palatna, jahan umeedon ka ek taqseem wave upar ki taraf ka jaane ka intezar hua tha lekin uska badalta hua trend nazar aaya, isne financial instruments ki anjaan aur ghair mustaqil shakhsiyat ko ujagar kiya. Aise lamhaat intehai yaadgaar hain ke market ke intricacies mein adaptability aur istiqamat ka bohot zyada ahemiyat hai.



EUR/USD, mein aapke scenario ke sath bilkul muttafiq hoon ke events ke taraqqi ka intezar hai, aur is umeed par maine Jumma ko sales record kiye, aur mein bhi aapne bataye gaye levels se market mein dakhil hoonga, halan ke 1.0860 jaane ka ek option hai, magar yeh akhri intezam hai, lekin yeh bhi kehna hai ke din har hal mein 1.0815 ke neeche band hona chahiye, kyun ke daily chart par EMA200 is level par mojood hai, aur din ko upar band karna ek galat exit downward dega, aur natija mein, correction thoda lamba ho sakta hai, halan ke mujhe pair ka qadim hona tawaqqo nahi hai.

Forex market ab mukhtalif signals ka samna kar raha hai US Dollar Index (DXY) me izafa mazid inflation ke shakook ki wajah se ho raha hai, jabke EUR/USD joda neeche ki taraf dabao ka samna kar raha hai. Barhte hue DXY arzi taur par ma'ashiyati la'anch mein shaded azaafi doraane mein safe haven assesses ki taraf investoron ka tawajju ka nishan hai Is haftay ke ahem data points, jese industrial production aur consumer confidence figures, America ki ma'ashiyat ki mazbooti Aur mazeed monetary policy decisions ke imkaan ko jaanchne ke liye nazar rakhe jayege. Khaaskar EUR/USD ne apne key support level 1.0900 ke neeche gira diya hai, ek naye haftay ka low haasil kiya hai Is kamzori ka zimmedarai mukhtalif wajahat hain Pehli baat, 15 March ko European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde ki taqreer Europe ko mutasir karne wala naya maloomat laye gi Dusri baat, EUR/USD ko 50% Fibonacci retracement level par rukawat ka samna hai 2020-2022 downtrend ke, jo ab 1.0945 par hai Yeh technical indicator Euro ke barhne ke liye aik mumkin ceiling deta hai. Magar, EUR/USD ke baray mein umeedon ki bhi wajahat hain Anay wale US CPI inflation data release se aik musbat reaction ka dor shuru ho sakta hai, haal hi mein EUR/USD pair mein hui kamzori ke 50% Fibonacci retracement par Yeh tareekhi keemaat ke harkaat par mushtamil hai aur ek





Jabke technical indicators jese RSI aur Stochastic ek kamzor bullish trend ki taraf ishaarat karte hain, aik bullish crossover 20-day aur 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) ke darmiyan kuch itminan wapas market mein daal sakta hai Agar EUR/ USD 23.6 % Fibonacci level (1.0968) ke oopar toot jaaye aur neemtani level 1.1000 ko perfect tor par paar kar le, toh ek recovery phase shuru ho sakta hai Yeh dekha jaa sakta hai ke pair 1.1045-1.1070 ke imkanat tak chadh jaye, shayad zyada unchi imkanat jese 1.1100 ya phir 1.1150 tak pohanch jaye Ek alternatif scenario mein seedha march peak 1.0981 ke oopar toot jaane ka samna hai Yeh uptrend ka jari rakhne ki tasdeeq karega, lekin EUR/USD ab bhi psychological level 1.1000 par bade resistance ka samna karega. Agar yeh level perfect tor par paar kiya jata hai, toh ye

Aaj ka mubahisa EUR/USD currency pair ke price changes par mabni hai, jo ke ab ek mustaqil bearish trend ka samna kar raha hai. Ye trend ahem hai kyun ke yeh humari tajziya aur mojooda market ki surat-e-hal samajhne mein madad karta hai. Tadrees ke mutalia aur qeemat ke harkat ko dakhil aur nikalne ke tareeqon ka jaiza lene ka maqsad karobar mein kamiyabi aur munafa ke musbat ta'aleef ko dakhil karna hai. Haal mein, pair ka neeche ki taraf rukh taizi se barha, jis ke baad resistance se takrao hua. Relative strength indicator ek darmiyani zone ki taraf shift ki alamat deta hai, jo ke ek aane wale imtehan-e-sahara aur mazeed giravat ki alamat hai. Senior linear regression channel ek neeche ki taraf rukh ka qayam rakhta hai, mustaqil trend ko tasdeeq karta hua. Heiken Ashi indicator qeemat mein giravat ki alamat de raha hai. Isliye, hum sale transactions shuru karne ki tajwez dete hain jin mein ek kami takreer ko nishana banaya gaya hai 2024 ke kam az kam darja 1.0705-1.0688 ke range tak.

Aanay wale haftay ki taraf dekhtay hue, haal ki tajziyaat ke liye mazid tawajjo deni hogi. Haal mein kiye gaye tajziyaat ne EUR/USD ke liye bohat behtareen natayej paida kiye hain. Magar aglay haftay ke liye tajwez shuda strategy ke kamiyabi par shadeed shak hai. Aik mumkin zigzag movement ke liye agla nishana hai, pehle 1.0872-88 aur phir 1.0915 ke qareeb darjat tak, magar baad mein ek ahem giravat ki alamat hai. Is mansooba mein in mukhtalif ooper ke darjat se aik ahem giravat ki alamat hai. Ahem hai ke darmiyani muddat ke tajwez ki ehem darjaton ke tasdeeq ya rad ke upar qayam hai, khas tor par 1.0953 ke qareeb resistance ko le kar. Darmiyani muddat ke tajwez mein pivotal resistance aur support darjaton ko tasdeeq karne ka ek strategic tareeqa hai. Qeemat ke tabadlaon ko behtar tor par nazar andaz karke aur pehle se mukarrar darjaton ko adar karte hue, traders apne aap ko market ke harkaton se faida uthane ke liye tayyar karte hain. Jab hafta guzarta hai, traders apne tajwez ko qeemat ke harkaton ke mutabiq tasfiya karte hain, munafa bhara moqadar hasil karne aur khatron ko behtar taur par manane ki koshish karte hain. Is adaptability par zor dene se traders ko market mein mukhtalif tabadlaat ka samna karne ke liye tayar kiya jata hai, jis se unki tajziyaat ka taeed hotee hai.

Aaj ka guftagu EUR/USD currency pair ke keemat mein tabdiliyon ka jaeza lene par mabni hai, jo ke ab mukhtalif ehsaas hai. Yeh trend ahem hai kyunke yeh hamare tajziye ke mayaar ko muhaiya karta hai aur mojooda market ka hal samajhne mein madad karta hai. Pesh-e-nazar tawanaio aur keemat ki harkat mein tabdeeli ke maqsad ko kamiyabi ke saath dakhil aur nikalne ke liye hoti hai, jabke munafa kamaaya jaata hai. Haal mein, jora ke neeche ki raftar tezi se barh gayi, resistance se takraane ke baad. Muwafiqat quwwat ke nishaan deti hai ke ek bechaini zone ki taraf mudaam hai, jo ke support ka imtehaan karne aur mazeed kami ko zahir karta hai. Senior linear regression channel ne ek neeche ki raftar ko barqarar rakha hai, haalat ke mutaabiq. Heiken Ashi indicator ne keemat mein girawat ka ishaara kiya hai. Is liye, hum sales trades shuru karne ki tajveez dete hain, jin ka nishana 2024 ke minimum range 1.0705-1.0688 tak kam karna hai.

Aanay wale haftay ki taraf dekhte hue, haal ke tajziye ke liye taza tawaqqaat ne itefaqan bohot durust hone ke darust sabit huye. Magar aane wale haftay ke liye maamooli tawazon ka ghataar khatra hai. Aik mumkin oopar ka zigzag harkat ka izhaar kiya gaya hai, jo ke pehle darjaat ke qareeb 1.0872-88 aur 1.0915 ki taraf nishaana banata hai, lekin baad mein ek ahem kami ki ishaara dete hue. Mansooba, zikar shuda ooper darjaat se ek ahem kami se shuruat hoti hai. Yeh zaroori hai ke yad rakha jaaye ke darmiani lamha tawazo key levalo par mohtasar ya manfiyat pe mabni hai, khaas tor par resistance ke qareeb 1.0953. Darmiani lamha tawazo key levalo ko tasdeeq ya rad karne par mushtamel hai. Medium-term tajziye mein aik soorati approach ka nizam tashkil deta hai, jo ahem resistance aur support ke levalon ko pehchaanne ka ek manhji rawaya hai. Keemat ke tabdiliyon ko hoshiyarana tor par monitoor karte hue aur pehle se faisle kiye gaye levalon par amal karte hue, traders apni jagah ko market ke harkat mein faida uthane ke liye tayyar karte hain. Hafta ke doran, traders ke tajziye ko keemat ke harkat ke mutabiq mohtaj karte hue apni strategies ko adjust karte hain, taakay munafa dene wale moqaat ka fayda utha sakein jabke khatre ko kamyabi ke saath manage karte hain. Is nihayat par mutarif hone par emphasis dene se, traders ko market mein mumkin changes ka jawab dene ki salahiyat mein izafa hota hai.

EUR/USD H4 Timeframe.

EUR/USD jodi neechay ki taraf trend dekha rahi hai, jis se yeh zahir hota hai ke yeh kamiyabi tak chalti rahegi jab tak yeh chadh'ti hui support line tak na puhanch jaye. Ab tak, support line bohot door nahi hai, yeh dikhata hai ke kamiyabi ki movement mein mehdood space ho sakta hai jari rahe. Magar, ehmiyat hai ke paas ek qareebi support level 1.0796 hai, jo shayad temporary taur par kamiyabi ko rok sakta hai. Takneeki analysis ko qareeb se dekhte hue, hum dekhte hain ke EUR/USD jodi ab ek ahem level par trade ho rahi hai. 1.0696 ke support ka itihasi tor par ahmiyat rahi hai, jis ne aksar qeemat ke harkaat ke liye ek pivotal point ka kaam kiya hai. Traders aur investors is level ko nazdeek se monitor kar rahe hain taake market sentiment aur potential future price actions ka andaza lagaya ja sake. Hal k market ke developments ke context mein, kuch factors hain jo EUR/USD jodi ke movements mein shamil hain. Economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur central bank policies currency market dynamics ko shape karne mein hissa daal rahe hain. Traders ko in factors ko update rakhna zaroori hai taake informed trading decisions liya ja sake. Aage dekhte hain, traders ne do mumkin scenarios ko ghor se consider kiya hai. Pehla, agar EUR/USD jodi abhi ke level 1.0632 par strong support dhoondti hai, to hum pehle se tor phir 1.0863 ke previously broken level ki taraf bounce dekh sakte hain. Yeh scenario temporary halt ko indicate karega downward trend mein aur ek potential bullish reversal ka. Dusri taraf, agar 1.0518 ke support ko decisively breach kiya jata hai, to yeh signal de sakta hai further downside momentum ke liye EUR/USD jodi ka. Traders phir additional support levels aur potential targets for short positions ke liye dekhenge. Yeh bhi zaroori hai ke broad market context aur global economic trends ka asar currency pairs par consider kiya jaye.

Factors jaise ke inflation rates, interest rate decisions, aur economic growth projections investor sentiment ko influence kar sakte hain aur currency movements ko drive kar sakte hain. EUR/USD jodi ka current position support level 1.0449 ke qareeb ek ahem juncture present karta hai traders ke liye. Agle price movements ko zahiran is support level ka reaction dekh kar influence kiya jayega, jahan potential scenarios include bounce towards 1.0883 ya phir downward trend ka continuation shamil hain. Traders ko vigilant rehna chahiye aur apni strategies ko market conditions aur price action signals ke evolving basis par adapt karna chahiye.

Tajziya aur tafsili mutala Euro / US Dollar instrument ke bazar ki surat haal ka. 4 ghanton ka waqt fraim.Chalen is aalaat ki mojooda bazar ki harkat ka tajziya karte hain, jis par Extended Regression StopAndReverse ka lineer tanasub ke isharaat par tawajjuh di jati hai, sath hi RSI aur MACD oscillators ke tasdeeq karne wale isharaat par bhi. Teen namwar indicators ke isharaat ki ittefaq se, jin mein se aik behtar transaction ke liye buland processing ke imkanat hote hain, hamen munasib point dakhil hone ka pata chale ga. Kamiyabi ke liye trading aur manzil mein pohnchna dono ke liye darust exit point ko sahi taur par intikhab karna barabar ahem hai. Intiqal ke faraiz ke buland tareen darajat par, jisay tafteesh ke liye istemal kia jata hai, hamein is ka madad hasil hota hai. Jab keemat intihaai Fibo levels tak pohanchti hai, to tehqiqat ko bund kar diya ja sakta hai.
Is aalaat ka chart chuna gaya waqt fraim (waqt fraim H4) par hamen ye wazeh tor par dikhata hai ke pehla darja ka regreshan line (sonay ki nishani wali dotted line), haqeeqi trend ke rukh aur halat ka tasawwur deti hai, ke unchi taraf rukh hai, jo ke zyada tarwaar ki dor ko darust karta hai. Barabar hi, qutri channel (konghree rekhtain) jo qareebi mustaqbil ke rukh ka andaza lagane ke liye istemal ki jati hai, mein kafi nazar aane wala niche ki taraf rukh hai. Qutri regression channel ne linear channel ki sonay wali line ko ooper se neeche ki taraf se guzar gaya hai aur quotes mein kami ko dikhata hai.






Keemat ne linear regression channel ke laal resistance line 2-nd LevelResLine ko par kiya, lekin zyada quote value (HIGH) 1.09806 tak pohanch gayi, is ke baad us ne apni izaafi bunyad par rook gayi aur mustaqil tor par girne lagi. Ab aalaat intihaai keemat darja par trade kar raha hai 1.08170 par. Tamam upar diye gaye par mabni, mujhe umeed hai ke bazar ki keemat quotes 2-nd LevelResLine channel line ke neeche wapas aur mazboot hone wale 1.08047 FIBO level 38.2% tak wapas aayegi aur neeche chali jayegi linear channel 1.07632 ki sonay daramadi line LR ke sath milte hue, jo FIBO level 23.6% ke sath milte hain. Yeh bhi shamil hai ke is waqt RSI (14) aur MACD oscillators ziddi taur par isharaat de rahe hain ke aalaat ki overbought hai, kyun ke woh munafa bakhsh farokht transaction ka aghaaz karne ke liye buland moqeem mein hain.

EUR/USD H-4 Timeframe Analysis:

Aaj subah Eurusd market ke khulne par koi ahem price GAP nahi tha aur price abhi bhi support area mein thi. Magar lagta hai ke sellers ko prices ko neeche le jane ke liye support ki kami hai. Dekha ja sakta hai ke price 1.0799 ke support line par rejection kar raha hai. Bohat se buyers jo market mein daakhil hue the kyunki price strong support par thi, lagta hai ke unhi kaam se eurusd phir se subah ko barh gaya. Magar agar peechle trend ko dekha jaye jo ke bearish trend ban chuka hai jahan price SMA 50 aur 200 line ke neeche hai aur ek reversal pattern bhi ban chuka hai, jismein 2 lower highs aur 2 lower lows bane hain, to yeh sirf ek price correction ho sakti hai aur phir price phir se giray gi. Agar Fibonacci ke saath dekha jaye jaisa ke image mein dikhaya gaya hai, to price ka correction hone ka potential hai Fibo level 61.8 area par 1.0857 ya Fibo level 50 par 1.0872 pehle phir bearish rely jari rakhegi.




Upar di gayi tajziya se ye nikala ja sakta hai ke agle eurusd movement ka potential abhi bhi bearish hai, lekin kyunki sellers ne quwwat kho di hai, price pehle correction karegi taa ke seller support ko dhoondh sake aur phir apni bearishness pe bharosa jari rakhe. Potential correction 1.0857 -1.0872 line tak pohanchne ka zyada imkan hai. Agar rejection dono lines par nahi ban raha hai to cautious rahiye. Kyunki agar price 1.0872 line ko tod deta hai to Eurusd ka potential hai ke wo resistance line 1.0944 tak barh jaye.

NEECHO TRADING SETUP IN EURUSD BASED ON THE PREDICTIONS ABOVE

SELL SETUP Sell pullback, price ka barhna ka intezaar karen aur rejection line 1.0857/1.0872 par banay. Profit target support line 1.0799 par. Stop loss kuch pips upar line 1.0872 ke.

Sell breakout, price ka girna ka intezaar karen aur support line 1.0799 ko tod den. Profit target support line 1.0730 par. Stop loss kuch pips upar line 1.0799 ke.

BUY SETUP Buy pullback, aap subah se hi order kar sakte hain kyunki price ne support line 1.0799 par rejection ki hai. Profit target line 1.0857/1.0872 par. Stop loss kuch pips neeche line 1.0799 ke.

Buy breakout, price ka barhna ka intezaar karen aur line 1.0872 ko tod den. Profit target resistance line 1.0944 par. Stop loss kuch pips neeche line 1.0872 ke.