eur/usd

EURUSD, bears ko Jumeraat ko sirf thori c kami thi takay haftay ko round level 1.0800 par khatam kar sakein. Salam, Leonid, aap ko ek chain ki raat guzarani chahiye (halaankay hum sirf aman ka khwaab dekhte hain). Aap kisi cheezon ko barhane ke deewane hain! Mujhe lagta hai ke aap ne pehle hi duswe figure ki tawajjuh ke sath kharid liya hai, aur ab aap Amreeki dollar ki kamzori ke kisi bhi ishaaron ko dhoondh rahe hain. To phir dollar ka almarah kholain, wahan aap ko kai khandhar mil sakte hain. Magar mere liye, inhein nikalne ka hukm abhi tak diya nahin gaya; balke, budget ko aakhir ke din tasleem ki gayi taake shutdown se bacha ja sake. Aur yahan aap daakhil kar rahe hain, aur phir aap ne bas ek samatal banaya. Main kabhi bhi jari ant ke palton ko nahi banata, magar ab main banana chahta hoon. Nahi, zaroor, sab apne apne nirdeshak hote hain. Mere paas bhi apna karobarpan hai, lekin kam se kam 1.0700 tak dakhilone ke Marlezon ballet ka jari ant ke sath chalne ki ummeed hai. Hum dekheinge.




Daam lagbhag us point tak pahuncha jo maine 1.0795 ke taur par darj kiya aur kuch soch mein ruka. Agar din is starah se guzarta jis se yeh level neeche ho jata, toh girawat ka jari rehne ke imkanat buland hote... Magar mujhe lagta hai ke agar euro thoda sa upar band hota, lagbhag bina kisi tasveer ko badalaye, toh imkanat sirf thodi si nichle ho jatein! Main samajhta hoon ke somvaar ko ek upar ki sudhaar ab bhi ho gi, aur yahan main do options ko ghor kar raha hoon: 1.0838 ke darje tak ek upar ki sudhaar jismein se farokht ho; 1.0795 ke darje ke tootne ke sath niche ki taraf, bhi farokht ho. Magar teesra option bhi mumkin hai - 1.0838-1.0795 ke darmiyan ka channel ke andar kaam karna, kinaray se kharid aur farokht karne ke saath!

EUR/USD

Main samajhta hoon ke EUR/USD mein aik rukhavat hai, pair pichle haftay ke doosray hisse mein mustaqil aur qaaimi tor par barh raha hai (insaaf ke sath, yeh note kiya jana chahiye ke American dollar puri market mein mustaqil tor par barh raha hai). Lekin chalein, hum apnay Canadian dollar aur is pair ki H4 chart par situation par wapas aate hain. Yeh doraan wazeh tor par dikhata hai ke kis tarah, ek kaafi mamooli muddat ke doran, pair ne apnay trading range ka fasla khatam kiya - 1.3450 se 1.3610 tak, aur main ne 1.3610 ke darjaat ko aik bohot dilchaspi ka nishaan samjha hai sale mein dakhil hone ke liye. Magar market ki mood par nazar daal kar, jo ke be-shak American dollar ki taraf se mustaqil barh rahi thi, main aise mawaqe ke khilaf khara hone ka hosla nahi rakha, shayad be-faiz. Is doraan, takhfeef aur farokht ka ahamiyat hai; main kisi serious correcti...

Meri nazar pair ko 1 ghantay ki chart frame par dekh rahi hai aur main is waqt khareedne ko madah samajhta hoon. Mujhe yeh kyun lagta hai? Mere dalael khareedne ki lene walei position mein: 1. Keemat moving average MA200 ke upar hai, jo oopar ki taraf ki raftar ko darust karti hai. 2. Pichle din ke doosre hisse mein, aala ne din ka ibtida ke upar se trading ki aur trading din bhi ek buland darjai par khatam hui. 3. Market ke quotes upper Bollinger band ke qareeb aaye hain, jo aik barhti hui trend aur asset ki mazeed barhne ki buland sambhavna ko darust karta hai. 4. Trading mein, main 14 ke doran relative strength index (RSI) indicator ka istemal karta hoon aur agar yeh kharidi ki halat ko dikhata hai (70 se upar) ya baichne ki halat ko (30 se kam), to main trade mein shamil nahi hota. Is doraan, RSI ke qeemat kafi qabool hai kharidari ke liye. 5. Maqsadon ki baat karte hue, main take profit ko Fibo level 211% par rakhunga, jo keemat 1.37205 ke barabar hai. Phir, agar mujhe mazeed munafa chahiye, to main agle Fibo maqasid ki taraf jaoonga.

Umeed hai ke yeh aapke muntazim ko khush karegi aur aapko mazeed munafa milayga. Agar koi sawal ya raye hai, to zaroor batayein.

Jab EUR/USD ki bunyadi trend aur uski support levels ko samajhna shamil hai, toh in tajziyat ka kaise aapas mein talluq hai aur kaise ye ek doosre par asar daal sakte hain, yeh samajhna ahem hai. Chalo, is strategy ko qadam ba qadam samjhein. Pehle toh, EUR/USD ki bunyadi trend ko samajhna ek muqarar dour mein iski qeemat ki harkatein tafseel se dekhte hain, aam taur par technical analysis ke auzar jaise ke moving averages, trendlines, aur chart patterns ka istemal karte hue. Ek bullish trend ko currency pair ki qeemat mein izafa darjah darjah se ishaarat karta hai, jabke ek bearish trend ko neeche ki taraf ki harkat darjah darjah se ishaarat karta hai. Traders aksar trend ka rukh aur uski taqat ko tasdiq karne ke liye mukhtalif indicators ka istemal karte hain. Ek baar jab bunyadi trend ka pata chal gaya hai, toh agle qadam mein support levels ka pehchan karna hota hai. Support levels woh qeemat hain jahan kharidari ke dilchaspi itni taqatwar hoti hai keh farokht dabaav ko par kar deti hai, jiski wajah se qeemat neeche ki taraf ki manzil ko badal jati hai aur hosakta hai keh ooncha chalay. Yeh levels aksar tareekhi qeemat ki data ka istemal karte hue pehchane jate hain aur traders un jagahon ko ahem samajhte hain jahan unhein kharidari ka izafa umeed hota hai.

Is manzaray mein, aapne kaha hai ke jab tak EUR/USD 1.08250 par located support ke oopar rahe, options ke positions len. Yeh ek bullish bias ko zahir karta hai, kyunke aap is mukhya support level ke oopar rehne waqt positions lena chahte hain. Options traders ko haq dete hain, lekin majboori nahi, keh unke asli aset ko (is mukaam par, EUR/USD) ek pehle se tay ki gayi qeemat (strike price) par ek mukarrar muddat (expiration date) ke andar kharidna (call option) ya farokht karna (put option). Ek bullish outlook ke andar, aap EUR/USD par call options khareedne ka tajurba kar sakte hain. Call options aapko asli aset mein ooncha chalne ka faida uthane ki ijaazat dete hain. Ek call option khareed kar, jis ki qeemat thori si mojooda market qeemat se ooper ho, aap mazeed ooncha chalne ke imkanat se faida utha sakte hain jabke aap apna nuqsan premium se mukarrar kar sakte hain jo options ke liye ada ki gayi hai. Options trading mein khaas taur par option premiums, implied volatility, aur waqt ke izafay ka andaza lena zaroori hai. Option premiums bazar ke mukhtalif hawalay ko dikhate hain aur aapki potential munafa ko asar andaz karte hain. Zyada implied volatility aam tor par zyada option premiums ke liye zimmedar hai, jabke waqt ka izafa options ki qeemat ko barhane ke saath saath ghata deta hai.



Iske ilawa, options trading mein risk management ahem hai. Apne nuqsan ki hudood ko mehdood karne ke liye wazeh stop-loss levels tay karen agar trade aapke irade ke mutabiq nahi jaati. Apni risk bardasht aur aam portfolio strategy ke mutabiq position sizing ka tawazun tay karen. Pura amal ke doran 1.08250 par located support level ko nazar andaz nahi karna chahiye. Agar EUR/USD is support level ko torr deta hai, toh yeh ek bullish trend mein mukhalif mawqay ki isharaat de sakta hai, jis se options positions ko dobara tajziyat karne ki zaroorat hoti hai.

EURUSD

Haftay ka close candle bhi ek bearish candle banane mai kamiyab raha hai jiska bara jism hai, ye zaroori hai ke ye EURUSD Pair mai neeche ki taraf ki ek mazboot indication ho. Waise agar aap current H4 Time frame dekhein to lagta hai ke Support Level Price 1.0694 jo hai woh agla bearish target ho sakta hai jise sellers ne target karne ka irada banaya hai. Isliye, sell entry signals ke liye talash karna is waqt consider karne ke liye aik moazziz option hai.

Woh double bottom pattern jo 1.0845 area mai banaya gaya tha lagta hai ke wo eurusd ko continue rise karne mai kamiyab nahi raha kyunki neckline ko successfully break karne ke baad eurusd bohot upar chala gaya, lekin ye lambi der tak nahi bana kyunki 1.0941 ke qeemat par pohnchne ke baad movement dobara neeche gir gayi. Ye decline candle ki inability ke wajah se hua tha jo ke supply area ko penetrate karne mai nakam rahi. Pichle do din eurusd ka movement bohot gehra raha hai kyunki total currency pair ne lagbhag 130 pips move kiya hai. Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal karte hue analyze kia jaye, to ab candle position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai, jo ke yani ke trend bearish direction mai ja raha hai. Magar, jabke trend abhi tak bearish hai, kal, Monday ko, main predict karta hoon ke Eurusd upar uthayega wajah ye hai ke 1.0804 ab tak penetrate nahi ho saka. Isliye, agle Monday ko main apne dosto ko recommend karta hoon ke aap pehle buy position kholne ki koshish karein. Ye sirf short term ke liye hai. Long term mai, behtar hai ke aap sirf price 1.0937 ke aas paas ek sell position open karein.

1.0845 area mai bana double bottom pattern kaafi dair tak EURUSD ko upar jane mai madad nahi kar saka kyun ke neckline ko successfully break karne ke baad EURUSD buland ho gaya, lekin ye lambe waqt tak nahi chala kyun ke 1.0941 ke price par pohanchne ke baad movement phir se neeche gir gaya. Yeh decline candle ki supply area ko penetrate karne mai nakami ki wajah se hui. Pichle do din se EURUSD ki movement bohot deep rahi hai kyun ke kul milake currency pair ne 130 pips tak move kiya hai. Agar Ichimoku indicator ka istemal kiya jaye, toh ab candle position tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke neeche hai, jo ke yeh indicate karta hai ke trend bearish direction mai ja raha hai. Magar, jabke trend abhi bhi bearish hai, toh kal, Monday, main predict karta hoon ke Eurusd buland hoga is wajah se ke 1.0804 ab tak penetrate nahi kar saka hai. Isliye, agle Monday ko main apne dosto ko recommend karta hoon ke aap pehle ek buy position kholne ki koshish karein. Ye sirf short term ke liye hai. Lambay term mai, behtar hai ke aap sirf 1.0937 ke price ke qareeb ek sell position open karein.

USD/CAD H4 Time Frame:

Subah bakhair behno aur bhaion, mujhe lagta hai ke USD/CAD mein ek ulta chaal ho raha hai, pair ne pichle haftay ke darmiyan qayamat aur mustaqil tor par izafa kiya hai (insaaf ke taur par, yeh zaroor note kiya jana chahiye ke Amrici dollar poora market mein mustaqil tor par izafa kar raha hai). Lekin chaliye, hamara Canadian dollar aur is pair ke liye maahol ki taraf wapas chalte hain H4 chart par. Is martaba saaf dikhata hai ke kis tarah, ek kaafi mamooli muddat mein, pair ne apni trading range ka fasla ghataya hai, neeche ki simt se upper ki taraf - 1.3450 se 1.3610 tak, aur main ne 1.3610 ke darjeel ko ikhtiyar karna ek bohot hi kheemaat saazi nishaan ke tor par nikaala hai. Lekin bazaar ke maahol ko dekhte hue, jo ke be shak Amrici dollar ke izafay ke lehaz se tha, main ne aise jazbat ke khilaf uthne ki himmat nahi ki, shayad be faida. Is dauran, zaroori hai ke kami aur farokht ki taraf wapas chalne ka asli tawajju di jaye; main mazeed nafiz kamyaabi ke bina koi kharidari options nahi ghor raha.

USD/CAD H1 Time Frame:

Main ne pair ko 1 ghantay ki chart frame par dekha aur is waqt kharidari ko ghorne ka natija nikala hai. Mujhe is baat ka yakeen hai kyun ke: 1. Qeemat moving average MA200 ke oopar hai, jo ke oopri rukh ki misaal hai. 2. Pichle din ke doosre hisse mein, inaam saazi din ke opening ke oopar ka kaam kar raha tha aur trading din ko bhi aik buland darje par khatam hua tha. 3. Market quotes upper Bollinger band ke qareeb aa chuke hain, jo ke aik barhne wale trend ko darust karta hai aur asasaanee se yeh zahir hota hai ke aset mustaqil tor par izafay ki taraf ja sakta hai. 4. Trading mein, main relative strength index (RSI) indicator ko istemal karta hoon jiska waqt 14 hai aur agar yeh ek overbought haalat ko darust karta hai (70 ke oopar) ya oversold haalat (30 ke neeche), to main trade mein dakhil nahi hota. Is doran, RSI ke value kharidari ke liye kaafi qabil-e-qabool hai. 5. Maqasid ke liye, main take profit ko Fibo level of 211% par set karunga, jo ke 1.37205 ke qeemati doraan ke barabar hai. Phir, agar mujhe mazeed munafa hasil karna hai, to main agle Fibo targets ki taraf mera tawajju dilwaunga.

H4 Time frame

Is tarah, rozana chart par paanchwa wave shuru ho gaya hai. Do haftay pehle isay banaya gaya tha, lekin yeh lambi tahmeel ne sab ko ulat pulat kar diya, jaisa ke aapne sahi kaha. Is liye, agar yeh such hai, to kam az kam 1.0760 tak girawat aayegi. Ab yeh dekha jaega ke girawat tabadla-kar hai, jaise ke pichle do dinon mein rahi hai, ya agar gehray pullbacks isay sath layenge. Jab tak ke keemat 1.0820 ke neeche hai, yeh bechnay ka darja hai. 1.0845 aham darja banega; agar yeh toot jata hai, to 1.0865 khuli jagah ban jaega. Agar humein kisi bhi masle ka samna karna pade, to 7th manzil tak wapas jaega. ECB ke interest rates ko barhane ki wajah se is pair ne 1.0850 se 1.0880 tak uthar chadhav dekha.

H1 Time frame

Sab ko salam! EUR/USD currency H1 doraan ab farokht ka manzar dikhata hai. 1.0780 woh jagah hai jahan se aap pair ko bech sakte hain. Aik hifazati stop order ko 1.0840 ke nishan ke ooper rakhna chahiye. Hissay mein, hum adha position band karenge -40 p ke baad. Baqi hissa 40 p ke baad lock kar diya jayega. Baqi ka hissa 45 p ke baad band kiya jayega. Aaj, hum sirf aik dakhilah karain ge. Kal ke bech ka darja todne aur keemat ko 1.0880 par mukammal karne ka natija hai ke is darja se girawat mustaqil ban gai hai. Pehla support level abhi 1.0765 par hai, aur phir kai aur supports hain: 1.0810, 1.0790, 1.0775, aur 1.0750. Kyunki EUR/USD ke tank mein tail hai, is ki girawat 1.0770 tak bohot mumkin hai.

EUR/USD Technical Outlook:

Euro is moving lower this week, reversing the post-FOMC rally from yesterday. The sharp turn from uptrend resistance is now seeking support as the decline approaches technical hurdles near the March low. Here are the updated targets and invalidation levels to watch on the short-term technical charts for the Euro after the Fed's actions.

Analyzing the US dollar index also shows that the downward momentum started with the breach of the head and shoulders chart pattern. However, the price is currently testing a significant support zone that could potentially halt the ongoing downward trend. Additionally, the technical target of the chart pattern has been met, indicating a potential weakening of momentum.

Several factors influence the EUR/USD rate, including interest rates in the EU and the U.S. For instance, when the ECB intervenes in open market activities to weaken the euro, the EUR/USD rate may decline due to the relative strength of the U.S. dollar. Other factors affecting this rate include employment rates, budget deficits, international and domestic policies, economic growth in the Eurozone, GDP growth, unemployment rates, money supply, trade agreements, "trade wars," total national debt, and household income rates in the United States. Geopolitical uncertainties in both the EU and the U.S. also play a significant role in EUR/USD price movements, along with economic factors from EU member countries.

Traders and investors interested in EUR/USD should closely follow an economic calendar for important events in both countries that could impact the currency pair's movements.




EUR/USD is currently experiencing a steep fall and has broken below the 1.0834 support level. Continued trading below the 55-day exponential moving average (EMA) at 1.0861 would suggest that the rebound from 1.0694 has ended, potentially leading to a retest of that low. The downside risk remains as long as the 1.0941 resistance holds, indicating a corrective pattern from 1.1274 with limited upside potential. A sustained break below 1.0694 support could signal the start of a new downward leg.

The 4-hour chart shows a reignition of the bearish trend, with initial support at 1.0834 and subsequent levels at 1.0761. Upside resistance levels are seen at 1.0942, 1.0963, and 1.0998. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) remains negative, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers around 44.

Overall, the technical outlook for EUR/USD remains bearish, with support levels indicating potential oversold conditions. However, a rebound could occur if economic data surprises positively, particularly regarding American jobs. Resistance levels to watch are at 1.0620 and 1.0775. EUR/USD is the most traded Forex pair, with low spreads and active trading during London and New York trading hours.

Jodi ne 1.06840 ke low test kiye aur ooncha utha, lekin 1.1107 ke neeche reh gaye. Farokht ke dabao jaari hai, lekin asaan harkat ki takmeel ki sad-ein ishara deti hai ke taqatwar harkat ka rasta hosakta hai.

EUR/USD 1.0827 ke ilaqe ke neeche gir gaya jab bazaar ke hissedar ahem Federal Reserve ki mulaqat ke liye tayar hotay thay jo pichle hafte hone wali thi. Khaaskar, bechnay walon ne kabu liya jab neechay chalti hui trend line lambi guzish ke RSI support ke liye barh gayi jo 50 ke barabar hoti hai. Magar, agar bache hue momentum indicators se sahi signals milte hain to kharidne walon ka irada hai ke woh keemat ko buland karain. Zayada wazehan, stochastic indicator oversold territory mein trading kar raha hai aur apni moving average ke qareeb hi ghoom raha hai. Uski 20 ke darjay ke upar nikalna aur unchayon ki taraf harkat ko aik taqatwar bullish ishara samjha jaa sakta hai. Isi waqt, average directional movement index 23 ke darjay ke neeche gir gaya hai, jis se yeh maloom hota hai ke bazaar ek wazeh trend ko nahee darust kar raha aur aglay trend ki isharaat taiyaar kar raha hai.

Hum maazrat chahte hain, lekin Insta scalpers ke liye nahin hai. Kuch posts ke mutabiq, log apne paisay wapas lene ke liye umeed rakhte hain. Yeh lagbhag aath figures ka figure hai. Dosto, mere paas tum sab ke liye buri khabar hai. Pehli baar, saalana minimum abhi bhi neeche mojood hai. Tarikh hai April 29. Humne isko update nahin kiya aur kuch point tak nahin pohanch paye. Ye pehli dafa hai ke aqalmandi se paise ka jaal phela gaya hai. Dosri baat, 1.0840 ke level ko market ka liquidity pool darust karta hai. Yeh choti choti cheezon ke baare mein hai. Apni screen ka istemaal karke, maine dikhaya ke peechle ikhata hone ki impulse ke zones kahan tak chal gaye the. Humare liye, hum aakhri ikhata hone ko dhoondh rahe hain.

Is download ke hone ka range note karen. Pechle waale sab chhote the. Nishaano mein impulse ki thakawat ka zone hai. Yeh 1.0910-0.890 hai. Mujhe is zone ke upper limit se matlab hai, jo is case mein 0 hai, to main upper limit par ghoor raha hoon - 1.0870 number. Screenshot mein dikhaya gaya hai ke do ke beech mein beech ke zones bhi hain. Jaise hi aap dekh sakte hain, hum neeche diye gaye kshetron mein sudhar kar rahe hain. Agar aap bull hain, to aapko yeh sochna chahiye ke kya aapke paas aise achanak girawat ke liye paise hain agar waisa ho jaye.

Do din mein, Bears ne lambi intezaar kiya South ko aur achhi tarah se daud gaye. 1.07 ke bawajood, unhon ne figure ko pariksha kiya. North ke baare mein sochne ka behtar waqt hai. Koi signals nahin hain. Rollbacks achhe hain, lekin agar aap kuch bech rahe hain to nahi. Mere Monday ke liye rollback levels yeh hain. Inmein do hain, ek 1.0820 hai aur doosra 1.0860 hai. Agar pehla kaafi haqeeqat mein lag raha hai, to doosre mein problems ka khatra hai, waise bhi pehla sach ho sakta hai.

Beshak, agar rollback diya jata hai to main bechne ki koshish karunga. Agar aap iska istemal nahin karte, to aap gunahgar hain. Asian flat ke zariye ya mojood hawaale ke zariye niche ki taraf jaldi jaane ka bhi ek option hai. Haan, wahi hain woh. Oversold items ko listing se hata kar aur zyada neeche rakhen. Unka shuru hone ka tareeqa dekhte hue, yeh unke liye ek mumkinah option hai. Neechey se shuru karke oopar tak kaam karne ke bajaye, main pyramid ke upar se kaam karunga.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis:


Aaj ka EUR/USD currency pair ka trading kuch dilchasp moqaat pesh kiya. Lagta hai ke 1.0900 ke price level ke upar ek numaya offer tha, jo ek mumkin bullish breakout ko janam de sakta hai. Ye samajhna mushkil hai ke yeh harkat euros ki demand mein izafa ya dollar ko bechnay ki khwahish se hui. Magar, hum traders ke liye asal zimmedari trend ko barqarar rehne mein aur munafa mand entry points ko pehchanne mein hai. Subah se main ne 1.0900 aur 1.0945 ke darmiyan trading range ko qareeb se dekha hai. Jaise hi euro ne is range ke nichle hisse tak pohancha 1.0900 par, main ne sochi samjhi risk uthakar ek khareedari position shuru ki. Ye tareeqa ghalatiyon ko kam karne ki taraf doraan-e-tijarat mein khaas taur par zaroori hai, jahan lambe arse tak koi trend na ho. Temporary ghate mein bhi positions ko average karna ek zyada safe strategy ban jata hai. Hamara tawajjo agle hafte ane wale amriki ma'ashi data release par hai, jo market ke jazbaat ko asar andaz kar sakta hai, shayad ya to dollar ki mazeed quwat ya ek rebound ka rasta dikhakar.


Daily chart par ek trend reversal ki mumkin nishandahi ke tor par ek reversal candlestick formation samne aayi hai. Magar, is pattern ki tasdeeq zaroori hai, aur aaj ka price action wazehgi faraham karega. Main khaas tor par dekhna chahta hoon ke din kaisay guzarta hai 1.0918–1.0926 zone ke mutaliq. Din ke akhri waqt ki candlestick formation ahem maloomat faraham kar sakti hai, mohtaj pattern ki tasdeeq aur ek bechnay ka moqa sinyaat faraham kar sakti hai. Ikhtisar mein, aaj ka trading strategy market dynamics mein tabdeeliyon ke liye mustaid rehne aur ahem support aur resistance levels ka faida uthane aur reversal signals ki tasdeeq ka intezar karne mein mabni hai. Ek muzhabi tareeqe se amal karke aur tajurbaat ko barqarar rakhte hue, hum munafa dene wale trading opportunities ka faida uthane aur khatre ko kam karne ki koshish karte hain.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis:

"Haal hi mein, EUR/USD jodi ek mukarrar range mein chal rahi hai, 1.0631 aur 1.0973 ke darmiyan jhool rahi hai. Karobariyon ne 1.0731 par mojood ahem support darja ka tawajjo se nazar rakha hai. Ye level aham hai kyunki ye Fibonacci retracement level ke saath milta hai, is tarah iski karkardagi ko market ke jazbat aur rukh ka tasawar barha deta hai. Technical analysis ke doran, Fibonacci retracement levels karobariyon ke liye aham zones hote hain jahan wo ya to keemat ke rukh mein palat, ya mojooda trends ke mukammal hone ki umeed rakhte hain. 1.0731 mark EUR/USD jodi ke liye ek ahem support ka juncture sabit hota hai, kyunke iske neeche phisalna mumkin hai aur ye sasta muqam ke janib bearish momentum ka ibtedai ishara ho sakta hai. Market ke shirkat daron ko ahtiyaat se kisi bhi qeemat ke fluctuations ko dekhte hue 1.0731 support level ke aas paas rakhte hain. Is darwaze se neeche faisla hone ka maqam hone ki surat mein, jodi ke andar mazeed neechay ki taraf mukammal safr ho sakta hai. Mukhalif, agar support level mazboot sabit ho jaye aur kharidaron ka dilchaspi ka shikar ho, to maujooda range ke ooper ki had tak ek dobara chadhao ka imkan hai.



Karobariyon aur analiyst dono is mukhtalif qeemat ke ahemiyat ko samajhte hain, har jhoolaw se market ke jazbat aur mustaqbil ke qeemat ka amal lete hue. Is liye, 1.0731 support level ke aas paas kharidaron aur farokht karnewalon ke darmiyan ki mukhtalifat qareebi dor ke EUR/USD jodi ke raaste par asar daal sakti hai. Ye technical analysis aur market ki nazar mein yeh aham levels, karobariyon ke strategies ko rahnuma banaate hain, jinki roshni mein wo apne trade faislon ko samajhte hain, currency exchange rates ke lahron ke darmiyan chalne ke doraan."

Jummah ko Euro-dollar bechne walon ke saath rahega, is par khaas shak nahi hai, lekin agle haftay ka aghaz kaisa hoga, yeh mere liye poori tarah se wazeh nahi hai, kyun ke agar somwar ko kharidari wale single currency quotes ko pehle zone ke 1.0823 ke level se ooper le jaate hain, to unhein mauqa mil jayega ke wo upar ki taraf ke rollback ko jaari rakhein, jo neeche ke fan ka ooperi kon hai aur is zone ke pehle level 1.0853 tak jaari rahega ROS 1.0862 ke sath, mujhe lagta hai ke ziada nahi. Ab agar rukh 1.0823 ki taraf hai, to humen zyada tar upar ki taraf ke rollback ke bare mein bhool jana chahiye aur hum EUR/USD pair ke keemat ko dobara girne ke liye ummeed kar sakte hain doosre impulse zone 1.0774 ke level tak. Har option ke liye, upar diye gaye level hai.

EUR/USD H1 Time Frame:

Maine daily chart par halat dekhe aur ab main H1 chart ko kholna chahunga. Us par, pehle, 1.0980 ke level se wapas aane ke baad, major ne neeche jaana shuru kiya aur phir humne dekha kaise ek downward price channel bana, jo dakshin ki taraf faila. Haal hi mein 1.0940 ke level tak tezi se growth ke baad, humne dekha kaise ek tez utaar ki taraf achanak rukh hua, keemat asal mein rukh ki rekh se wapas aayi aur aaj humne dekha ek kaafi mazboot neeche ki taraf tezi se movement hui 1.0800 ke level tak, jo ek naya local minimum ban gaya. Dakshini channel ka neeche ka hadood tak pahuncha nahi gaya hai aur yahan par giravat jari rakhne ki buland sambhavna hai 1.0790 ke level tak aur support line ko torne ke liye test karne ki. Lekin yeh bas buniyadi technical analysis hai, aur humein aane wale trading week ke liye arthik calendar ko dekh kar bunyadi factors ko bhi gaur se dekhna hoga.

4 ghantay ke chart ke EUR/USD jodi ka lehrana analysis be-tabdeel hai. Pichlay saal mein, hum ne sirf baraay scale ke teen-wave saakht dekha hai, jo barabar ek dosray ke saath tabdeel hotay rahtay hain. Abhi, ek aur teen-wave saakht ka taraqqiyan kar raha hai - aik downtrend jo pichlay saal 18 july ko shuru hua tha. Qareeban tassawurati wave 1 mukammal hai, wave 2 ya b teen ya chaar martaba mazeed mushkil ho gaya hai, lekin ye bhi ab mukammal hai.

Trend ka urooj halan kee surat mein dobara shuru kiya ja sakta hai, magar is ke andar ka taraqqi nihayat mushkil ho ga. Main wazeh wave saakhton ko pehchanne ki koshish karta hoon jo doosri tabeer ko bardasht nahi karte. Agar mojooda wave analysis durust hai, to market December 28 se wave 3 ya c ki saakht par puhunch gaya hai. Abhi, wave 2 in 3 ya c mein tassawurati tor par mukammal ho gaya hai. Agar yeh haqeeqat mein hai, to daramad ke quotes mein kami jaari rahegi. 1.0956 ke level ko toornay ki nakami, jo ke 50.0% Fibonacci ke barabar hai, ye bhi correction wave mukammal hone ki nishaandahi karta hai.


aqbil mein jodi ki dynamics ka tay kya
EUR/USD jodi ke daam Thursday ko taqreeban 80 basis points se kam ho gaye aur aaj, European currency ke liye talab ki kami jaari rahi, lekin baghair shak, ziada kam rate par. Aaj ka news background mazeed taqatwar ho sakta tha. Germany mein IFO Business Climate Index jari kiya gaya, jo ke sirf thori si zyada market ki tawaqo'at ko par kar gaya. Is ka exchange rate par koi numaya asar nahi hua. Aur aaj European Union ya United States mein koi aur waqiyaat nahi hue. Raat ko der mein, ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane ki guftagu hogi, magar ye practically market band hone se pehle hi hoga. Kisi ko nahi lagta ke aaj kuch active market participants ke actions mumkin hain.

Is hafte ka ek ahem waqiya FOMC ki meeting tha. Powell ki zyada hawkish guftagu aur "dovish" signals ki ghaib se market ko yeh maloom hota hai ke uski tawakul ek baar phir zyada buland hai. Market participants tasleem nahi kar sakte ke Fed apni monetary policy ko zyada raqam de dene ki taraf nahi ja raha jab tak ke wo tajziye ko apne maqsad ke level par girane mein qadri hai. Is ke mutabiq, June, pehle FOMC rate cut ke liye mahina, bohot hi sharti hai. Pehle, yeh March tha; ab June hai, aur aik mahine mein, yeh September ho sakta hai. Halan ke, market phir bhi intezaar aur intezaar karta hai pehli bar US mein aasani ke liye, hamesha yakeen karte hue ke yeh waqt qareeb hai. Aur abhi tak yeh baat nahi hui hai. Aur jo zyada dair se ho jaye, dollar ki raqam ko euro ke khilaaf mazeed izafa karne ki taraf mein zyada uthanay ki janoobi janib shorish ho gi, jiska ECB ne pehli bar ke rate cut ke date par faisla kar liya hai.

Aam aikhtetamaat

EUR/USD ke tajziye ke buniyadi usoolon ke mutabiq, ek downtrend wave set ka taraqqiyan jaari hai. Wave 2 ya b ek mukammal shakl le chuka hai, isliye qareebi mustaqbil mein, main aik impulse downward wave 3 ya c ka taraqqiyan jaari rahne ka imkaan rakhta hoon jiske saath jodi mein mazeed kami hogi. Abhi, aik andaruni correction wave banaaya ja raha hai, jo ke shayad mukammal ho gaya ho. Main sirf sale ke muntazim hone ke saath umeed karta hoon jo 1.0462 ke hisaab se maqsood darj karne ke qareeb hotay hain, jo 127.2% Fibonacci ke barabar hai.

Ek bara wave scale par dekha ja sakta hai ke tasawwur ki gayi wave 2 ya b, jo pahlay wave ke 61.8% Fibonacci se zyada lamba tha, isliye ye mukammal ho sakta hai. Agar yeh haqeeqat mein hai, to wave 3 ya c ka taraqqi aur jodi ke 4-figure ke neeche kami ka imkaan ho gaya hai.

Mere analysis ke mukhya usool:

Wave saakhtain saral aur samajhne layaq honi chahiye. Pechida saakhtain mushkil ko khelne mein asani nahi deti; aksar woh tabdeel karte hain. Agar market mein hone wale maamlay mein yaq

EUR/USD H4 Timeframe.

EUR/USD pair abhi 1.08081 ke aas paas ghoom raha hai, jo ke ek ahem juncture hai jo mojooda bearish raasta mukarar karta hai. Bechne wale mazboot qabza mein hain, jo ke pair ke ird gird mojooda manfi jazbaat ko ahem tor par underline karta hai aur short term mein mazeed neeche jaane ki mumkin gunjaishat ko nishan dahi karta hai. Market ke hissedar mukhtalif technical levels ko tawajjo se dekh rahe hain, khaaskar woh pivotal point jo ek numaya inflection point ke tor par samne aaya hai. Is level ke ird gird pair ka rawayya mojooda bearish trend ka jari rehna mukhtalif kar dega, trading faislay aur overall market ki jazbaat ko mutasir kar dega. Is silsile mein, traders ne neeche jaane wale momentum se faida uthane ki opportunities talash kar rahay hain strategic bechnay ke tareeqon se. Mojudah market conditions bechne wale ke liye mufeed imkanat faraham kar rahe hain, mojooda mahol mein munafa hasil karne ki ample opportunities ko numayan kartay huye. Bechne wale ke dino mein qeemat par mazeed neeche dabaav daal sakte hain, kamiyabi ke sath reduction bearish jazbat ko mazboot karne ki alaamat hoga aur ek musalsal neeche jaane ka raasta mukhtalif kar dega.

4 ghantay ka chart dekhnay par, bechnay wale prices ko neeche dabaav mein rakhte hue, EUR/USD pair ka neeche ka trend jari hai. Ichimoku cloud ke neeche price movement bearish momentum ko darust karta hai. Haal hi mein trading session mein, pair ne bearish movement ko bardasht kiya, dusre support level ke neeche aik position hasil ki. Neeche ki stochastic bechnay ka dabaav tasdiq karta hai. Mojudah mein 1.0807 par trading ho rahi hai, intraday decline classic Pivot levels ko target kar rahi hai. Umeed hai ke neeche girao jari rahega, teesra support level 1.0767 ko tark karne se ek taaza wave of decline ka aghaz hoga, jise 1.0715 support line ke neeche phailne ka potential hai. Agar bullish traders dobara numaya ho jayein, toh mojooda chart section ko 1.0947 resistance guide karega. Qeemat mein ek ahem breakout hai, jo market mein bear trend ko favor karta hai.