جی بی پی/جے پی وولٹیلٹی: مارکیٹ تجزیہ

GBP/JPY pair, 186.00 ke aas-paas chupke se ruk gayi hai, UK inflation data ka intezar kar rahi hai
Bank of Japan ki dovish stance ne GBP/JPY ko sahara diya hai, jabke UK mein mazduri ki ghatnayen aur Bank of England ke is saal ke bade interest rate cuts ke mumkin hone ki khabron ne Pound par aggressive bullish bets par pabandi dal rakhi hai. Takneeki tor par, 200-day SMA se hilne aur 100-day SMA ke breakout ke baad ki tezi, bulls ke liye achha hai. Daily chart par positive oscillators ne is mukammal setup ko taqrar di hai, jo pair ke liye ek upward bias darust karta hai. 185.40-185.35 kshetra mein hone wale giravat ko kharidne ka ek mauka hai, jisme 185.00 ek downside barrier ka kaam karega



Tou phir 184.00 ke neeche girne se, jo haftay ki swing low aur ab 100-day SMA ka support level ban chuka hai, pair ko aur majbooth giravat ka samna karna pad sakta hai. Aise mein, 182.00 aur 180.00 potential targets ho sakte hain. Upar ki taraf, bulls ko 186.35 kshetra ya monthly high se pehle tayyar hona chahiye. In levels ke par karne se, rasta khul sakta hai 187.00 ki taraf chadhne ka, jisme 186.75-186.80 ke aas-paas resistance ho sakti hai. Is badhate hue trend ko aage badhane ke liye, 187.55-187.60 kshetra mein aur bhi resistance mil sakta hai aur ant mein November mein pahunchi gayi multi-month high ke khilaf mushkil hai



Round number 188.00 aur November mein pahunchi 188.65 ke 8 saal ke high ke beech yeh ek agla battlefield ho sakta hai. Agar 188.80 ka 2015 ka mark par kharidari ka dabao bana rahe, to daam badh sakti hai 192.00 ke naye uchchayiyon ki taraf, jo 2021 ke June se taalukaat rakhte huye ek lambi term ka resistance line ke saath milti hai. Lekin January 12 ko sthapit ki gayi 184.47 ke daily low ke neeche giravat ho sakta hai uptrend ko khatre mein daal sakti hai. Aise mein, Senkou Span B 183.49, Tenkan-Sen 182.55, Senkou Span A 182.39, aur Kijun-Sen 182.25 yeh sambhavit support levels ka kaam karenge. Aakhiri mein, GBP/JPY pair aur bhi upar badhne ke liye taiyar hai, takneeki suchak aur chart patterns ne is bullish outlook ko taqwiyat di hai. Lekin pair ko turant hurdles par paar karne aur mukammal support levels ko banaye rakhne ki avashyakta hai. Neche girne ki sthiti mein, 184.47 ke daily low ka tutna uptrend par sawaal utha sakta hai, lekin yeha kuch mukammal s
support levels moujood hain jo kisi bhi giravat ko kam karne mein madad kar sakte hain

GBP/JPY daily (D1) timeframe chart ki tahqiqat se zahir hota hai ke 185.35 par aik wazeh resistance mojood hai, jo ke maamoolan buyers ke dawein hui bullish price movement ko rok raha hai. Is resistance ne sellers ko corrective movements shuru karne ka mauqa diya hai, jiski wajah se limited negative movements nazar aa rahi hain. Khaas tor par, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ne haal hi mein aik upward crossover banaya hai, jis ne inhe EMA 200 ke ooper muqarrar kar diya hai. Yeh tanzim darust karta hai ke pichle do dino ki taqat mein giravat aik ziada gehra trend ka hissa hai, jo ke mumkin hai ke prices ko aur buland karne ke liye bounce area talash kar raha hai. Jabke daily stochastic overbought market conditions darust kar raha hai, jisme line 100 ke level tak pohanchne ke baad neeche murajaaat karti hai, indicator bar haalaanki thoda sa kamzor ho gaya hai lekin positive zone mein hi hai. Overbought signal ke bawajood, overall trend ab bhi bullish hai, jisse yeh samajhne mein madad milti hai ke upward movement ki mumkinat kaafi hai




Ye sab rakh kar ke final quarter ke corporate reports, Japani mein taraqqi ke naye data, aur muddatiyat par wazehgi tak pohanchne ka intezar hai. Until further notice, insurance trade ke liye mansoob rahe hai. S&P 187.42 1.8890 ke qareeb aik waziha high ko beat karay ga, shayad kuch hafton mein, aur phir uske baad iske teen ahem maqasid level hain: 188.00. Kuch mahinon mein kisi bhi in levels se reversal aur khatra hai, aur muddaton mein divergences tayyar hongi. Is manzar ke mutabiq, GBP/JPY sakht tor par chadh sakta hai. Taiz maqasid ke sath ek sath market ke sath juda hua rehta hai. Lekin is upward movement ke andar reversals ho sakti hain. Keemat 194.10 ke support ke ooper chali jaati hai lekin average balance indicator line se guzarti hai. Agar keemat is level ke neeche band hoti hai, to yeh isay 197.02 ke maqasid tak pohnchay ga, aur (RSI/14) line is area ki taraf barh rahi hai, jo ke GBP/JPY ko is support ki mazbooti ko test karne ke liye majboor kar rahi hai. Lekin keemat chahe is support mein dakhil ho ya na ho, to giravat ke bawajood bhi yeh keemat 185.30 ko paar nahi karay gi, jo overall price channel ki di gayi line ke qareeb hai. Mumkin hai ke behtareen halqa 182.83 ke andar hai

GBP-JPY PAIR REVIEW


After there was rejection from the daily EMA 36 line on Thursday, the price reopened the opportunity to rally. However, this repulsion actually made the price return to the consolidation area that the price experienced some time ago with room for movement between 186.42 – 188.18. The bullish trend is still the direction of price movement on the daily with the EMA 200 position being far below the price movement, while the EMA 12 and EMA 36 which are above the large EMA are also seen still pointing upwards with the EMA 36 functioning as a barrier to the bearish price movement that was tried. to be emphasized by the seller.

The daily stochastic is now pointing upwards with the OSMA indicator bar in the positive zone supporting the bullish trend prevailing on the daily. It is estimated that a rally will occur if the strong push from buyers is able to make the price break through the 188.18 area so that there will be positive movement with the closest target being the daily resistance of 189.38 to 191.82. On the other hand, if buyers fail, the price could fall back to the 186.48 area and has the potential to continue downwards testing the daily EMA 36 line

The rejection that occurred on Thursday when weakness reached the EMA 633 H1 line brought the price back to its bullish period because now the price is above the EMA 200 H1, where this EMA line is an indication of the direction of the trend. Prices consolidated before continuing their positive movement in the Asian session around Friday's market opening area at 186.55. By noon entering the European session the price moved positively towards the nearest resistance at 186.99. This resistance is the closest resistance to the market opening area which is also parallel to or crossed by the EMA 200 H1 line

Navigating Forex Markets: Understanding Currency Pairs and Trading Dynamics


The foreign exchange (forex) market is a dynamic and vast financial marketplace where currencies are traded. It is decentralized and operates 24 hours a day, five days a week, making it one of the most accessible and liquid markets globally. One crucial element in forex trading is understanding and analyzing currency pairs. In the forex market, currencies are quoted in pairs, representing the exchange rate between the two currencies. Each currency in the pair is identified by a three-letter code, such as EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar) or USD/JPY (US Dollar/Japanese Yen). The first currency in the pair is the base currency, and the second is the quote currency





Let's take the EUR/USD pair as an example. If the EUR/USD pair is quoted as 1.1500, it means one Euro can be exchanged for 1.15 US Dollars. In this scenario, the Euro is the base currency, and the US Dollar is the quote currency. If the exchange rate increases to 1.1600, it implies that the Euro has strengthened against the US Dollar. Forex traders use various tools and techniques to analyze currency pairs and make informed trading decisions. Fundamental analysis involves evaluating economic indicators, interest rates, geopolitical events, and other macroeconomic factors that can impact currency values. Technical analysis, on the other hand, relies on historical price charts, patterns, and technical indicators to predict future price movements



Traders often categorize currency pairs into major, minor, and exotic pairs. Major pairs involve the most traded currencies globally and include the US Dollar. EUR/USD, USD/JPY, and GBP/USD are examples of major pairs. Minor pairs exclude the US Dollar but involve other major currencies, like EUR/GBP or AUD/JPY. Exotic pairs consist of one major currency and one from a developing economy, such as USD/TRY (US Dollar/Turkish Lira) or EUR/SEK (Euro/Swedish Krona). Understanding market trends is crucial for successful forex trading. Trends can be bullish (upward), bearish (downward), or ranging (sideways). Traders use trendlines, moving averages, and other tools to identify and follow trends. Recognizing the prevailing trend helps traders decide whether to buy (go long) or sell (go short) a currency pair

Risk management is a fundamental aspect of forex trading. Traders employ strategies like setting stop-loss orders to limit potential losses and take-profit orders to secure profits at predefined levels. Position sizing, leverage management, and maintaining a disciplined approach are essential elements of effective risk management. In conclusion, mastering currency pairs and their dynamics is essential for success in forex trading. Whether a trader focuses on major, minor, or exotic pairs, combining fundamental and technical analyses with effective risk management strategies enhances their ability to navigate the complexities of the forex market. Continuous learning, staying informed about market developments, and practicing disciplined trading are key components of a successful forex trading journey

GBPJPY TECHNICAL PRICE OVERVIEW:

1-HOUR TIME CHART:

4-HOUR TIME FRAME: