USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

Assalam Alaikum!
Kal, USD/JPY ne Jumah ki naqal o harkat ke bad bilkul dusri badi currencies ki tarah wapsi ki. Filhal, uaj jodi ek waise channel ke oopri hisse me bani hui hai. Is channel se breakout mukammal tashish ke aaghaz ki nishandahi kar sakta hai. Is tarah ka qadam mumkena taur par Americi dollar ke muqable digar badi currencies ke sath ham ahangi me hoga, jis me dollar khud buniyadi catalyst ke taur par kam karega. Jabkeh yen aksar apne raste par chalne ka rujhan rakhta hai, is mor par, dollar aham kirdar ada kar raha hai.
Maujudah retracement ke sahih raste ki peshan goi karna mushkil hai, lekin mai yaqini aur par buland satah ke dobara test ki tawaqqo nahin karta hun.



Jode ki tawil muddati imkanat ke hawale se, yen par futures positioning bhi mumkena kami ki bat karti hai. Yahan kuch ghair mamuli suratehal maujud hai, nam nehad contango jab tamam subsequent futures ki qimat pichle se muqable me zyada hai. Khulasa yah hai keh, is se pata chalta hai keh khiladi yen ki mazbuti par danw laga rahe hain.

Assalam Alaikum!
USD/JPY joda apne wasie trading channel ki balayi hadd par mustahkam hota ja saha hai. Jaisa keh maine pahle bhi note kiya hai, is consolidation se niche niche ki taraf braekout, kam az kam, is channel ki nichli hadd tak pullback ke aaghaz ka ishara kar sakta hai. Halankeh, yah joda yahan kuch waqt ke liye flat rah sakti hai. Haqiqat me, mai taarikhi unchai ko todne ki ek aur koshish ko mustarad nahin karunga, jo mumkena taur par double top banayega, halankeh mai ise ek ghair mutawaqqe scenario ke taur par dekhta hun. Bahar hal, yah islahi kami ki majmui tawaqo ko tabdil nahin karta hai.



Hajam ko dekhte hue, qimat ek bhari karobar wale zone ke kinare par hai, jo hameisha wapsi ke khatre ke satah aata hai. Yah bat qabile gaur hai keh yahan pahle se hi ek hajam banaya gaya hai, jo bahut acchi tarah se reversal ki nishandhi kar sakta hai. Lehaza, in volumes ke ooper ya niche jane se ek numaya islah hoga. Lekin filhal, in volumes me kuch istehkam ho sakta hai.



Lehaza, jode ke liye mandi ka scenario badastur barqarar hai. Yaha kahan aur kab hoga iski qatayi wazahat karna mushkil hai, lehaza durust turning point ko pakadne ki koshish karne ka koi matlab nahin hai. Mai ahistah-ahistah chote volume ke sath short positions me dakhil ho sakta hun.

Good luck with your trading.
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USD JPY ANALIYCS

USDJPY H1 TIME FRAME

Aapke saath USDJPY ki technical analysis kar raha hoon. 1.49.20 USDJPY par move kar rahi hai. Iss hafte, USDJPY ke baad 14818 tak kamzor ho gayi, phir se 149 ke upar mazboot ho gayi. If hum pichhle hafte ki USDJPY ki movement dekhe, then USDJPY ne 147.37 ke baad phir se mazboot ho gayi thi. If a chart's hisaab se USDJPY ko dekhein, hafte USDJPY ne ek weekly hanging candle banakar bandh kiya tha. Weekly chart mein 50 period se upar trading kare. If you have a 105.51 tak girne ke baad US dollar ne phir se 105.71 tak mazbooti dikhayi hai. If the US dollar and the Japanese yen are both strong, the USDJPY and the yen are likely to rise. If the US dollar is strong, the USDJPY market will be strong as well. The daily chart shows a bullish movement of 148.18 points. Market 50 period se upar trade kar rahi hai ki daily chart. The indicator on the daily chart is mazbooti dikh rahi hai.





USDJPY H4 TIME FRAME

USD/JPY main lagatar badhte hua trend hamesha trajectory raha hai. Is sandarbh mein behtarin approach bina sawal ke mauke dhundhne ki taraf jhukti hai. Chote ke bajaye. Is bazaar mein pullbacks ka pravritti relativity kam hoti hai, toh ve ajeeb tezi ke saath ghatit hoti hain. Yah ghatnaon ki tezi se shuru hoti hai aur utni hi tezi se samapt hoti hai. Vastav mein, itihaas mein aisi wapas chale aane ki kami hai, jisse pullback ke dauraan faydemand nikaasi ka ek vishesh avsar prastut hota hai, jiske baad 150.376 ke star par pravesh bindu hota hai. Toh nishchit roop se pahchan liya gaya hai lambi sthiti mein pravesh karne ka sahi samay. Pravesh Bindu ek thoda saadharnatam star par sthit hai, vishesh roop se 152.70 ke star par. Is Forex market mein, dhyan ekdum se USD/JPY pair ke liye bullish rukh par hi bana hua hai.
Pullbacks come and go, but isliye bechne ke bajaye kharidne ke mauke dhoondhne ka strategic approach has faydemand? Itna hi nahi, itihaasik data bhi dikhata hai ki bade pullbacks ki kami hai, jisse ek anokha avsar khul jata hai, jisse ek anokha avsar khul jata hai. Pullback ke dauran ek faydemand exit strategy par vichar kar sakte hain, jisse 150.376 ke star ka avsar banaya ja sakte hain. Pravesh bindu ki salah, jo 152.376 ke star par hai, vishesh roop se USD/JPY pair mein fayda uthane ke liye mukhya trend aur overarching strategy ke saath sahamati rakhti hai.

Technical analysis



D1 time frame analysis:

Aaj ki tajaweez mein, maine apne tajaweez ke liye USD/JPY ko chuna. Budh ke session mein, kuch faavourable factors ke bais par dollar ne Japanese yen ke khilaf chaar hafton ka buland-tareen daam hasil kiya. Meri ab tawajju D1 waqt frame par hai, jahan USD/JPY ke daam 151.50 ki taraf ek aur resistance level ko nishan laga raha hai, jo ke pichle maah ka buland-tareen ilaqa hai. Jaise hi daam is resistance level ko paar karta hai, yeh ishara hai ke trend palat raha hai. Isliye, ummeed hai ke agle kuch mahinon mein yeh upar ki taraf rukhe ga. Haftay mein, 150 SMA line ne 50 SMA line ko paar kar liya hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke bullz daam par qabza kar rahe hain, jise ek ahem tabdili ke taur par darust kiya gaya hai. Haan ke stochastic indicator overbought ho gaya hai, lekin yeh mumkin hai ke chand dinon mein ek short-term move ho. Mumkin hai ke jald hee 100 SMA ki taraf short-term pullback ho. Agar hum upar ki taraf trading ko jari rakhte hain toh, hamare bullish maqsad ko 200 SMA line par pohanchne mein kamiyabi mumkin hai.



H4 time frame analysis:

USD/JPY H4 waqt frame par barhne wale channel mein trade kar raha hai, jo ke 50 SMA line ko dynamic support line ke taur par istemal karta hai, jaisa ke maine apni pichli Technical Analysis mein bayan kiya. Is natijay mein, 50 SMA line indicators ke lehaaz se ek holding area ke taur par kaam karti hai, aur pairs ko isko tor kar neeche jaane ke liye koshish karni chahiye. Agar daam 50 SMA line ke ooper hai, to humein ek khareedari ka mauka dhoondhna chahiye, aur agar daam gir raha hai to hum ek short trade khol sakte hain jiska maqsad kareeb 150 SMA lines, jo ke 151.65 par hai. 151.90 par ek resistance hai, is liye agar daam 151.40 daam area par wapas aata hai toh, hum 151.70 dekh sakte hain. Isi tarah, stochastic indicator H4 waqt frame mein negative correction ko dikhata hai, jise maine pehle bhi aapko bataya tha, is liye humein market mein dakhil hona sirf correction ke baad karna chahiye.

USD/JPY Technical Analysise:


USD / JPY h1 time frame

Currency pair USD/JPY ki qeemat ke rawayye ka tajzia ab mubahisa ke liye khula hai. Chaar ghante ka chart zahir hota hai ke haal hi mein halki halki harkaton ke bawajood, overall trend ek upar ki taraf ja raha hai. Haal hi mein intraday mein hui taraqqi ne is baat ko aur mazboot kiya, chaar ghante ke chart ki hadiyon ke upar ki sima ko test karte hue aur local maximum ko update karte hue. Ek chhota sa dakshin ki taraf correction ka intezar hai ab technical nazariye se. 149.23 se kam na hokar, jahan ek upper boundary 149.00 ke aas paas hogi, mujhe ummeed hai ke yeh correction seemit rahegi. Iska keemat mein umeed hai ke uska taqaza phir se badhega aur vartamaan local high ko 150.15 par test karega. Chart 1/5 angle and 50% support level 143.64 keemat ki position ko tasdeeq karta hai, jisse ek prevailing upward trend ki kamzori zahir hoti hai. Bull market ki taraf hai taqat aur tarafdari. Correction signals are provided by the EMA 21/9 and MACD indicators. Ek consolidation period ke baad uttar ki taraf ka movement ka intezar hai, isi tarah.
The trend line of bearish sentiment in USD/JPY provides support. Ishara mein kami ka keemat hai. However, if stochastic apne lower limit ke qareeb nahi pahunchta, dhire-dhire niche utarne se samanya drop kam hota hai. uttar ki taraf ka movement ka jari rahna ya accumulation phase se bahar nikalna, jisse upward trend ko khatra ho sakta hai. In terms of observations, zyada tar growth jari rahne ka zyada possibility hai, 150.12 ya usse bhi zyada tak pahunchte hue. Lekin, keemat kitni unchi tak pahunch sakti hai, abhi tak yeh dekhna hoga. Vartamaan keemat ke levels par bahut saare sellers ke indications hain.



USD / JPY h4 time frame

H4 chart market ki sar garmion ka aik pareshan kin mozik paish karta hai, mukhtalif simtao ki numayesh karte hain, jahan intibahi isharay wazeh tor par bikhare hue hain. Aaj ke Europi tijarti session ke poooray doraniye mein nisbatan mustahkam raftaar ko barqarar rakhnay ke liye tayyar hai, koi maqool tor par andaza laga sakta hai.
Aik paicheeda aur pur asraar tasweer kashi mein Muawin hain, aik wazeh ho jata hai ke market ke manzar naame ki paichidgiyan usd / jpy jore ke ravayye. Acharya ke qareeb se jaiza lainay par. Ansar bzahir apna munfarid course kar raha hai, har aik isharay ki jagah ka taayun Badehi se bohat daur hai. Data from the website is currency-based, so it can be easily accessed by the user even if they don't have access to it.
Chart ki tarteeb ki paicheeda aur heran kin noiyat ki roshni mein, koi aqli tor par yeh andaza laga sakta hai ke Europi tijarti session ke douran qeematon ke mehdood utaar charhao ko zahir karne ki taraf mael hai. Thus, aik marboot aur faisla kin nuqta nazar paish karne mein nakaam rehtay hain. Yeh jamood bunyadi tor par h4 chart par munharif intibahi asharion ke zariye faraham kardah mabham signals se mansoob hai.
Lehaza, jaisa ke tajir h4 chart ki pechidgion par tashreef le jatay hain, maazi ke amal mein ahthyat aur hoshyari ka muzahira karna chahiye. Europi session mein usd / jpy jori ki karkardagi ko mutasir kar satke hain, par data ka paicheeda web mukammal tajzia karne aur mukhtalif awamil par ghhor karne ki ahmiyat ko wazeh karta hai.
Finally, h4 chart ki usd / jpy jori ki paicheeda akkaasi, is ke muntashir paribahi isharay aur mabham waqfiyat ke sath, aaj ke Europi tijarti session ke douran nisbatan hamwar raftaar ke aala imkaan ki nishandahi karti hai. However, paicheedgi is baat ki nishandahi karti hai ke taajiron ko apni hikmat amlyon ko muwafiqat ke sath amli jama pehnanay ki paicheeda harkiyaat ke jawab mein apnane ki zaroorat hai.

USD/JPY

Main USDJPY currency pair ki tafseelat par charcha karunga. Kal raat market trading mein qeemat mein kaafi izafah hua, jiske natijay mein haftay ki kul harkat 228 pips tak pahunch gayi. Yeh qeemat mein izafah naye, zyada unchi unchayi ki taraf ishara karti hai, yeh tasdeeq karta hai ke khareedne wale ab bazaar par qabza karne ki koshish kar rahe hain baaz dafa bechne wale pehle isay kam karna chahte thay, pichli girawat ke mutalliq pehle wale bearish trend ke baad, jiska maqsad qareebi support level 149.03 tak pahunchana hai.
Lekin agar yeh support level paar kiya ja sake to yeh mumkin hai ke qeemat aur kam ho jaye ek mazboot support level tak. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke kal raat, qeemat mein izafah ne qareebi resistance level 151.74 ko paar kar liya, jo ke ek mazboot signal hai ke khareedne wale ab haq mein bazaar ko qabza kar rahe hain.

H4 waqt frame

H4 waqt frame ke saath, hum dekh sakte hain ke pichli qeemat mein girawat ne support level 149.03 ko paar karne mein kamiyabi hasil nahi ki, aur khareedne wale ne foran is mauqe ka faida uthaya qeemat ko oopar dhakelne mein. Haal mein, qeemat Bollinger Band area ke oopar hai, aur Moving Average (MA) 50 aur MA 100 bhi qeemat ke neeche hain jo oopar ki taraf ishara karte hain. Yeh khareedne wale ki domine ko dikhata hai bazaar mein, aur zyada taqatwar resistance level 151.74 ki taraf qeemat ko barhne ka imkan hai, jo ke kaafi mazboot resistance level hai. Is technical analysis ke mutabiq, USDJPY pair ke liye aaj ke trading plan mein, khareedne ki option ek ghor karne layaq option bani rehti hai.



Jo technical analysis mein bataya gaya hai uss mein samajh aata hai ke mojooda trend ki surat haal mein kaafi bara khareedne wale impalse ke saath shuru ho rahi hai. Is liye aglay haftay ke trading plan ke liye main bechne ki option ke bajaye khareedne ki option ko ahamiyat doon ga. Lekin, dobara dakhil hone ke liye, hamein pehle qeemat ko neeche le jaane ke liye intezar karna chahiye takay hamain ideal dakhil zone mil sake taake hamain naqabil nuksan risk mil sake. Aur candle patterns jaise ke pin bar candles ya bullish engulfing candles ki dikhayi dene ki soorat mein, price ke mazboot hone ka tasdeeq karne mein madad karenge aur nuksan ki risk ko kam karenge. Phir dakhil zone ke liye main ise sab se qareebi support levels par rakhonga, pehla support level jiska daam 151.00 hai aur agar yeh ilaqa paar kiya ja sake to main doosre support level ka intezar karoonga jiska daam 150.75 hai takreeban 40 pips ke SL faslay ke saath, aur minimum munafa maqsood 1:1 ke liye ho ga ya market ki surat haal ke mutabiq haazir ho sakta hai agar yeh trend hai, TP ilaqa ko sab se qareebi resistance level par rakh sakte hain. Amooman, is waqt main dekh raha hoon ke USDJPY ki keemat mein mazeed mazbooti aane ki mumkinat hai aur aaj ke liye khareedne ki options ko pehlon mein rakha ja sakta hai jiska maqsad sab se qareebi resistance level par pahunchana hai.

Euro Usd H-1 Time Period

Euro ne American dollar ke khilaf ek mauka daryaft kar lia hai, jis ke nateeje mein mojood 1.0670 ke darje par khara hai. Lekin, market ki mustaqbil ki rah hai woh abhi bhi ghair yaqeeni hai. Shakhsan, meri raye hai ke Euro ka rebound trend America dollar ke khilaf mustaqil nahi hai. Darmiyani se lekar lambay asool ke manazir mein, main mustaqbil mein jari rah aur kamzori ka intezar karta hoon, jise bunyadi tor par barh chadh ke chalaya ja sakta hai.

Euro-USD ki technical analysis H1 time frame par, market dynamics ke complicating asrat aata hai, jo currency pair ki performace ko shakhsi asarat ke aas paas ka muzahira karte hain. Traders aur investors jo is manzar ko samajhne mein maahir hain, unhe choti muddat ke fluktewations aur amm market ke maahol ka khayal rakhna chahiye. Jab ham H1 charts mein girenge, toh ye wazeh ho jata hai ke 1.0670 line ahmiyat rakhti hai, jo ke price action ke liye ek markazi point ka kaam karti hai. Challenge yeh hai ke is ahmiyat bhari darje ko samajhna, jo is muhim level ke neeche chhupa hua hai, aur jis se market sentiment mein tabdili ka izhar ho sakta hai.

Is par nazar rakhna zaruri hai ke Euro-USD exchange rate ko asar andaz hone wale hadsaton par chaukanna nazar bani rahe. Jabke mojooda trading position ek recovery ko ishara karti hai, market ke hisse daar hazrat ke darmiyan yeh hai ke jo tajziya har taraf debate ka maqam hai. Aakhir mein, Euro ke America dollar ke khilaf H1 time frame par chakar dariyaft karne ke liye ek technical aur bunyadi asoolon ko shamil karne wala mukammal tajaweez zaruri hai.

EUR/USD ka H1 chart dikhata hai ke pair bullish 15-day moving average ke oopar tajawuz kar raha hai, jo ke 1.06310 par dynamic support faraham karti hai, jabke lambay moving averages abhi thori dair ke darje ke neeche ja rahe hain, jo ke 1.0800 ke aas paas mil rahe hain. 1.06500 ke darja neechay jane ko pair ko manzoor nahi hai, jahan pair ko izazat nahi hai ke neeche jaye. 1.07070 ke darja ko tordhne aur mazboot hone par, ek upar ki harkat ka rasta khulta hai jise updated kiya ja sakta hai.

Hello! Lagta hai ke USDJPY currency pair, M30 chart par kiye gaye tajaweez ke mutabiq, mojooda waqt mein ek mustaqil upar ki taraf rawani hai. Jumma ke trading session mein, keemat ne ek sakht resistance level ko kamyaabi se toor diya, jismein se ek haftay ka resistance 151.38 ke aas paas hai. Khaas tor par ye level ab support ban gaya hai, jise ye darust karta hai ke wo khareedne wale jo keemat ko oopar le jaane mein kamyab rahe hain.

Arrow indicator ne is bharne wale signal ko aur bhi mazbooti di hai, jo continued upar ki movement ki mumkinat ko tasdeeq karta hai. Level ko todne ke baad, opposite side se ek retest ke liye ek retracement hua. Is retest ke doran ek bharosa mand bounce upar ki taraf hua, jo level ke further growth mein support ka darust hona tasdeeq karta hai.

In tajaweezon ke hisaab se, lagta hai ke mojooda trend ke mutabiq buy positions shuru karna ek mawafiq mauqa hai. In khareedariyon ka maqsad 152.05 par rakha gaya hai, jo daily resistance aur average daily growth trajectory ki mukhtasir hone ki nishaandahi karta hai. Samajhdarana hoga ke in khareedariyon ko is point par fix karna, kyun ke is resistance level se neeche girne ki bohot zyada ihtimal hai.



It seems like you've provided a technical analysis of the USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen) currency pair. Let's break down the key points: Current Situation: USD/JPY rebounded strongly last week. Growth potential is limited by the resistance level of 151.69. Near-Term Expectations: Further correction from 151.69 is likely. A breakthrough below 150.75 could lead to a fall to the support level of 148.79. However, as long as the support at 148.79 holds, the upward movement from 127.20 is expected to continue. Key Resistance and Support Levels: Attention is focused on the resistance at 151.93 (2022 high). A sustained break of the 145.06 resistance (which has become support) will be significant. The support level at 137.22 is critical, and a bearish outlook would change below this level. Long-Term Outlook: A decisive break of the 151.69 high is expected to lead to a resumption of a stronger uptrend. A sustained break above 151.93 would confirm the resumption of the long-term uptrend. The next target after a break above 151.93 is the 61.8% projection from 102.58 to 151.93, ranging from 127.20 to 157.69. Conclusion: The overall outlook remains optimistic as long as the support at 148.79 holds. Bearish concerns would arise with a sustained break below 137.22. A bullish scenario is confirmed with a decisive break above 151.93. Remember that the actual market situation may vary, and it's always essential to consider other factors like economic indicators, geopolitical events, and market sentiment when making trading decisions. This analysis provides a technical perspective, and traders should exercise caution and use risk management strategies. pakistan zaban main likh dy



Pichle haftay mein USD/JPY ne taqat se ijlaas kiya.

Qareebi Tawakulat:

• 151.69 ke rukawat darja ko paar karne ki mumkinat hai.
• 151.69 se mazeed tanfeeziya mumkin hai.
• 150.75 ke neeche jaa kar 148.79 tak girne ka imkan hai.
• Lekin jab tak 148.79 par support qaim hai, 127.20 se shuru hui upar ki harkat jari rahegi.

Ahem Rukawat aur Support Daraje:

• Tawajju 151.93 (2022 ki unchi) par hai.
• 145.06 resistance ka qaim ho jana (jo ke ab support ban gaya hai) ahem hoga.
• 137.22 support darja intehai zaroori hai, aur bearish manzarnama is darje ke neeche badal sakta hai.

Dairay Ka Manzarnama:

• 151.69 ki taqat se guzar jaane se mazeed taqatwar uptrend ki dobara shuruaat ki ummeed hai.
• 151.93 ke upar se guzar jaane se lambi muddat ke uptrend ki dobara shuruaat tasdeeq ho jayegi.
• 151.93 ke upar se guzarne ke baad agla maqsood 102.58 se 151.93 tak hai, jo 127.20 se 157.69 tak hai.

Akhiri Faisla:

• Kul manzarnama tab tak sarmayaani rehta hai jab tak 148.79 par support qaim hai.
• 137.22 ke neeche taslees karne se bearish fikar paida ho sakti hai.
• 151.93 ke qatayi guzar jaane se bullish manzarnama tasdeeq ho ga.

Yaad rahe ke haqeeqi market ki soorat-e-haal farq kar sakti hai, aur trading faislay karne mein mukhtalif factors ko bhi mad-e-nazar rakhna hamsha zaroori hai. Yeh tajaweezat ek technical nazar se hain, aur tijarat karne walon ko e




It seems like you've provided a technical analysis of the USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen) currency pair. Let's break down the key points: Current Situation: USD/JPY rebounded strongly last week. Growth potential is limited by the resistance level of 151.69. Near-Term Expectations: Further correction from 151.69 is likely. A breakthrough below 150.75 could lead to a fall to the support level of 148.79. However, as long as the support at 148.79 holds, the upward movement from 127.20 is expected to continue. Key Resistance and Support Levels: Attention is focused on the resistance at 151.93 (2022 high). A sustained break of the 145.06 resistance (which has become support) will be significant. The support level at 137.22 is critical, and a bearish outlook would change below this level. Long-Term Outlook: A decisive break of the 151.69 high is expected to lead to a resumption of a stronger uptrend. A sustained break above 151.93 would confirm the resumption of the long-term uptrend. The next target after a break above 151.93 is the 61.8% projection from 102.58 to 151.93, ranging from 127.20 to 157.69. Conclusion: The overall outlook remains optimistic as long as the support at 148.79 holds. Bearish concerns would arise with a sustained break below 137.22. A bullish scenario is confirmed with a decisive break above 151.93. Remember that the actual market situation may vary, and it's always essential to consider other factors like economic indicators, geopolitical events, and market sentiment when making trading decisions. This analysis provides a technical perspective, and traders should exercise caution and use risk management strategies. pakistan zaban main likh dy

USD/JPY Technical Analysis

USD/JPY taqreebun 151.70 ke aspaas trade kar raha hai aur yeh chehre ke tezi se haftay ke chhati dinon se musbat ilaaqon mein hai. Pair ki tezi ko barhane mein US Treasury bond yield aur Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell ke hawkish comments ka asar hai. Pair ab 151.70 ke aas-paas trade kar raha hai, din mein 0.10% izafay ke sath.

USD/JPY teesre din se barqiyaat ki taraf jaari raha hai, jis ke doran Jumma ke early European session mein 151.40 ke aspaas trade kar raha hai. Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell ki ghair mutawaqat hawkish taqreerat ka asar tha, jis ne US Treasury yields ko barhaya aur Japanese Yen ke khilaaf US Dollar (USD) ko mazboot kiya. Magar, Japanese authorities ye tawajjuh kar sakti hain ke in maamlat ka jawab denay ke liye USD/JPY pair ko rokne ke liye dakhil ho sakti hai.




Buniyadi Jaiza Fed Chair Powell ne Thursday ko International Monetary Fund (IMF) ke event mein di gayi taqreer mein bayan kiya aur is ne izhar kiya ke mojooda policies mawafiqi hain ke inflation ko rokne ke liye. Ye jazbat ne US Dollar Index (DXY) mein izafay ko hasil kiya, jo ke 106.00 ke aas-paas hai, jabke press time par 10-year US bond yield 4.62% hai. Badi central banks ki tanzeemi policies ke bawajood, Bank of Japan (BoJ) apni dovish stance ko barqarar rakhta hai. BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda ne Thursday ko bayan kiya ke central bank, bond market mein shadeed shadeed harekatiyon se bachne ke liye ultra-loose monetary policy se nikalne ki taraf ehtiyaat se qareebi hoti ja raha hai.

Magar, kam tanazzul ke bais se Japanese Yen ke samne dabaav hai ke is nafrat se nikalne ke maamlay mein der ho sakti hai. Behtareen tanazzul ko lamha-e-fikri ke liye ek ahem factor samjha jata hai takneekai taur par se nikaalne ki tawajjuh karne ke liye. Market participants Fed ke Logan ki taqreer aur November mein preliminary Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index par nazr rakhte hain, jab traders USD/JPY pair ke andar trading opportunities pehchanne ke liye isharaat talash rahe hain.

USD/JPY ki Bunyadiyat aur Takneeki Manzarnama:
U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ab mukhfar rol ada karegi, jo USD/JPY ke qeemat ke rukhon aur yen ki taqdeer ke liye asar andaz ho sakti hai. Mangalwar ko, Japanese government yen ko support karne ke liye tanseekhai tadabeer ka khatra jari kar sakti hai. Agar USD/JPY 152 ki taraf barh raha hai, to tanseekh ki umeedein paida ho sakti hain. Yeh musalsal khatra dekhne ko mil sakta hai ke USD/JPY Monday ke unchaie 151.907 ki taraf barhe. Ahem baat hai ke yen ne foran 151.907 ki andaruni unchai se 151.198 ki kamzori tak girne ke baad dobara apna dum bhar lia. Lekin, market ne ye keh dia ke Monday ki harkat ko Japanese government ki bajaye options contracts ke matur hone ka natija samjha jata hai. Yen ki kamzori zindagi ke asarat ko mutasir karti hai. Yen mein mazeed kamzori mustawar hui to mehengai barhne ke dabao mein izafah hosakta hai.



Lekin, ziada hawkish interest rate path se ek sakht crash ke bare mein bhi dubara khof ho sakta hai. United States mein private consumption maeeshat ka 60% se zyada hissa hai. Kamzor private consumption maeeshat ko mutasir karega. Mehengai jo ke center stage par hai, is par investors ko Federal Reserve ki baat chit par ghor karna chahiye. Federal Open Market Committee ke sadasy Loretta Mester, Austan Goldsbee, aur Michael Barr bayanat denge. U.S. CPI report ke jawabat aur interest rates par di jane wali hidayat ko ghor se sochna lazmi hai. USD/JPY ka qareebi trend U.S. CPI report par depend karega. Agar U.S. CPI report expectations se ziada garam nikle, to Fed rate hike par shart lagane mein madadgar ho sakta hai aur USD/JPY ko 152 ke upar bhej sakta hai. Lekin, yen ko barhne ke khatre ko bhi mad e nazar rakha jana chahiye.

USD/JPY apne 50-day aur 200-day moving averages ke upar hai, jo ek bullish price signal ko tasdeeq karte hain. USD/JPY ke 151.889 resistance ko todne se bulls ko 152.500 ki taraf barhne ka mauqa milega. U.S. mehengai ke data aur Fed ke hawkish comments se $152.500 mein izafah hosakta hai. Lekin, agar USD/JPY 151 ke neeche gir jata hai, to bears ko 150.201 ki taraf chalne ka mauqa mil sakta hai. 14-day RSI 61.97 par hai, ishara hai ke USD/JPY ne 151.889 resistance ko paar kar liya hai, lekin ab ye overbought territory mein hai.

Kal, yen ne 152.05 ke level tak pohanchne ki koshish ki lekin ise paar nahi kar saka. Yeh lagbhag ho gaya, aur maine ye ummeed ki thi ke is wajah se ye H1 support at 151.40 ki taraf wapas hoga. Kuch traders is trading pair ka palat karne aur 153.10 ke darmiyan lambi manzil ki taraf barhne ki ummeed karte hain jab is level ko paar nahi kar sakta. Lekin, isne wakai H1 support at 151.40 ki taraf palat gaya aur ise paar kar liya, jisse ye palat jaane ka ishara hua H4 support at 150.15 ki taraf.

151.40 ko paar karne par, zyadatar traders ye ummeed karte hain ke pair 151.10 se wapas hoga aur naye H1 resistance at 152.05 ki taraf barhega, jo ke ab ho raha hai.




Aaj, yen ke liye H1 resistance 152.05 par hai, jabki daily balance 151.90 par hai, jo ke amooman koi significant kirdar nahi ada karti, is liye main iske paar hone ki mumkinat ko nazar andaaz nahi karunga. Lekin, pair phir H1 resistance at 152.05 ke saamne aayega. Main dobara ek kami ki taraf kaam ki ummeed karta hoon H4 support at 150.15 ki taraf, jahan se palat kar 153.10 ki taraf barh sakta hai aur agar ise paar nahi kar sakta to barhte rah sakta hai. Isko H1 resistance ko paar karna hoga, jo tab tak 151.70 par hogi. Agar H4 support at 150.15 ko paar kar liya jata hai, to price 143.75 par asal maqsad ke liye girne ka silsila jaari rahega.

Abhi ke liye, main daily balance se is level tak kami ki taraf ek aur giravat ki taraf intezar karta hoon, phir 151.10 ki taraf ek break, aur mazeed giravat ki taraf 150.70 tak, jahan ek halka sa pullback ho sakta hai, phir neeche ki taraf H4 support at 150.15 ko test karne se pehle.