USD/JPY ایکسچینج ریٹ: آج کی قیمت اور مارکیٹ تجزیہ

H4 Timeframe Outlook:

USD/JPY jodi Asian session mein tight range mein trade ho rahi hai, abhi bhi kal ke band levels ke kareeb. Japanese yen US dollar ke khilaaf majbooti dikhane ki koshish kar rahi hai, pichhle hafte ke neeche jaane ki taraf badh rahi hai. Kamzor US dollar is jodi ke giravat ke peeche ka mukhya karan hai. Yen bhi badh rahi hai, traditional safe instruments jaise yen ke demand mein vridhi ke beech. Is instrument ke liye, mujhe din ke pehle hisse mein halki tarah ki upar ki marammat ki ummeed hai, phir mujhe giravat jaari rehne ki ummeed hai. Mujhe inflection point 148.85 par lagta hai aur main uss level ke neeche bechunga, targets 147.65 aur 147.15 levels par. Jodi 148.85 level ke upar badhegi aur merge hogi, uske baad jodi 149.05 aur 149.35 levels ki taraf ja sakti hai. Inn marks ke adhar par, main jodi ko dobara bechne ki koshish karunga.

H1 Timeframe Outlook:

Is moolya ke liye, USDJPY, market price Nichimoku Cloud 148.287 ke neeche hai. Senkou Span B 149.301 aur Senkou Span A 149.282 lines majboot resistance hain aur clouds banate hain. Yehan ek aur dead cross signal hai - fast Tenkan-Sen line ki intersection 148.322 par, neeche Kijun-Sen baseline 148.650 par. Main inn do signalon ke combination ko ek majboot bech signal maanta hoon. Main bechne ki soch raha hoon aur ek achhi giravat ki umeed karta hoon. Kyunki main din bhar trade karta hoon, main trade bandh karta hoon jab mujhe punah signal milta hai ya din ka ant hota hai. Maine kuch positions bandh ki aur baki ko boot par shift kiya. Fir bina afsos ke usse samjha aur usse bandh kar diya jab punah signal mila. Khareedari clouds ke upar se guzarne ke baad hoti hai, aur jab market clouds ke upar merge hoti hai, toh signal shadows ki tarah bahar aata hai.

USDJPY Joray Ki Tanzeemi Tahlil:

Yen ne dollar ke muqablay mein European trading mein ek haftay ki bulandi tak pohncha, lekin uski intraday izafat 148.00 ke neechay simat gai. Asian stocks ke aam toor par musbat mahaul ne surakshit havale ki Japanese yen ko kamzor karne ka aham kirdar ada kiya. Is ke alawa, U.S. dollar ne thora sa behtar hokar teeno mahinon ke qareeb ke naye darjoo par wapas aaya, jise barhne wale U.S. Treasury yields ne support kiya, jis ne USD/JPY ko early European trade mein 148.50 ke aas paas le aya. Lekin mazeed behtar hone ka koi imkaan nazar nahi aata jab ke Bank of Japan (BoJ) aur Federal Reserve ke polisi ki tawaanaiyun mein ikhtilaaf aya hai. Japan se haal hi mein aaye data ke mutabiq, wahan ki maeeshat sustai maeeshat tak pohonchnay ke raaste par hai, jis se tahqeeqat ke mutabiq Bank of Japan ko lag raha hai ke wo 2024 ke pehlay maahinon mein ultra-dovish polisi se hat jayega. Muhawaraan, investors ko yeh lagta hai ke Federal Reserve ne interest rates barhaana khatam kar diya hai aur wo shayad 2024 ke March se apni polisi ko asaan karne ka aghaaz karega. Is ke ilawa, dunia bhar mein maeeshat mein girawat ke baare mein afsoos hai jo market mein kisi bhi umeedi harkat ko daba dega aur USD/JPY ko control mein rakhega. Ab traders U.S. Chamber of Commerce ke Consumer Confidence Index ki riwayat ke intizaar mein hain. Ye, FOMC members ke taqreerat ke saath mil kar dollar ko push karegi aur North American session ke baad USD/JPY ke liye thori mowj hai. Ta-hawwul, focus Thursday ko U.S. core PCE price index par rahega, jo Federal Reserve ki pasandeeda maeeshat ka tolo mool hai.

USD/JPY KI TECHNICAL NIGAH:

USD/JPY currency pair ko aik ahem technical rukawat ka samna hai, jo ke 148.00 round-number level ke tor par hai. Is level ke neeche aik mustawar break aur accept ho jaaye toh yeh aur girawat ke liye darwaza khol sakta hai, jise mumkin hai ke 100-day simple moving average (SMA) ke qareeb 147.90-147.85 tak pohanch jaaye. Is SMA ke taqatwar tor par toorna, momentum mein tabdilat ka ishara karega aur mahine ke aakhri darayeh ke qareeb 147.15 tak slide ka samna kar sakta hai. Agar bechne ki dabao barqarar rahe, toh USD/JPY apni girawat ko tez kar sakta hai aur 146.00 ki taraf jald hi girne ke baad, mutaliq aglay support level 145.50 ke qareeb pohanch sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, fori resistance 148.80 par hai, jise 149.00 aur Monday ko set kiye gaye weekly high 149.65 ke baad follow karta hai. Agar 149.65 ke upar mustawar rawaj ho toh yeh USD/JPY ko zehniyat ke level 150.00 ke par aur 150.35 ke qareeb resistance area ki taraf push kar sakta hai. Mazeed khareedari dabao kisi qareebi negative rawaj ko khatam kar sakti hai aur bullon ko 151.00 round figure mark ko dobara hasil karne ki ijaazat de sakti hai. Mumkin global mandi ke baare mein pareshaniyan market ki umeed ko kam kar sakti hain aur USD/JPY par bojh daal sakti hain. Aane wale data releases, jaise ke Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index aur core personal consumption expenditures index, USD/JPY ke rawaj par asar daal sakti hain. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) ke members ki taqreerain, Fed ke monetary policy outlook ke baray mein malumat farahem kar sakti hain aur USD/JPY par asar andaz ho sakti hain.

**Mumkin Manazirat**
**Manzarah 1:** 148.00 ke neeche break aur accept hone par 147.15 ya is se neeche girawat ka samna ho sakta hai.
**Manzarah 2:** 149.65 ke upar mustawar rawaj, 151.90 ki taraf rally ke liye rasta bana sakta hai.

**Dekhne Ke Liye Ahem Levels**
**Support:** 148.80, 149.00, 149.65, 150.00, 150.35
**Resistance:** 147.90-147.85, 147.15, 146.00, 145.50

Dosto, aaj hum USDJPY pair ki M15 timeframe ki tafteesh shuru karte hain. Mein apne trading mein mamoolan asaan chezein istemal karta hoon, jese ke do exponential moving averages jin ke periods 9 aur 22 hote hain. Mein hamare indicators ke signals par trading karta hoon. Mein market mein entry points dhoondhna shuru karta hoon jab moving averages ek dusre se cross karte hain. Ek cross 148.261 ke price level par hai. Aapki kya raay hai entries ke hawale se? Mein current price ka istemal karta hoon market mein dakhil hone ke liye. Agar price retracement karta hai, toh mein ek aur order add karta hoon. Mein trading volume ko dono orders ke darmiyan taqseem karta hoon. Agar koi retracement nahi hota, toh doosra order market price par execute ho jata hai. Mein ne minimum take profit ke liye 1:3 ratio istemal kiya hai. Agar trade zyada profit deta hai, toh mein bas position ko trail karta hoon. Jab price profitable zone ka ek teesra hissa pohanchta hai, toh mein stop loss ko breakeven par move karta hoon. Ye mujhe dilchaspi aur izazat deta hai zarurat par agar phir se dakhil ho saku. Stop orders zyada chhote nahi hain, 20 pips par set hote hain. Market false moves ke sath stop losses ko trigger karne ka rujhan rakhata hai, is liye minimum stop loss 20 pips ka zaroori hai. Dua hai ke aapko munafa mile,

1. Tijarat Ki Badolat: Main do exponential moving averages (EMA) ka istemal karta hoon jin ke periods 9 aur 22 hote hain. In dono EMAs ki madad se mein market ke trend ko samajhta hoon.
2. Entry Points: Mein entry points ko EMAs ke cross hone par talaash karta hoon. Agar short-term EMA (9-period) long-term EMA (22-period) ko neeche se upar cross karti hai, toh ye mujhe khareedne ka signal deta hai. Aur agar short-term EMA long-term EMA ko upar se neeche cross karti hai, toh ye mujhe bechne ka signal deta hai.
3. Order Ka Taqseem: Agar mujhe ek trade mein dakhil hona hota hai, toh mein apna trading volume do orders mein taqseem karta hoon. Agar retracement hota hai, toh mein doosra order add karta hoon.
4. Take Profit Aur Stop Loss: Mera minimum take profit 1:3 risk-reward ratio ka hota hai, matlab ke agar mein 20 pips risk le raha hoon toh mera take profit 60 pips hota hai. Agar trade zyada profit dene lagta hai, toh mein apne stop loss ko breakeven par move karta hoon.
5. Stop Loss Ka Size: Mein apne stop loss ko 20 pips par set karta hoon. Ye is liye important hai taake market ke false moves se bacha ja sake.
6. Retracement Aur Re-entry: Agar retracement hota hai, toh mein doosra order execute kar leta hoon. Stop loss ko breakeven par move karke, agar market dobara mere favor mein chala jaye toh mein dobara dakhil ho sakta hoon.

Yeh mera aam tijarat ka tajaweez hai. Har trader ki tijarat mein apne tajaweezat aur mizaaj ka khayal rakhna zaroori hai. Har trade ko dheyan se samajh kar karna chahiye aur risk ko control mein rakhna chahiye.

USD/JPY price forecast:

Hourly time frame pay agar ham USD/JPY pair price ko analyzed kartay hain to price ab bhi 147.70 pivot point k neeche movements kar rahi hai, chart pay agar ham custom indicator stochastic ki reading ko daikhtay hain to indicator 80 levels say currently declined ho raha hai, jis say price ki selling ka confirm signal show hota hai. Agar current position down ki movements ko continue rakhte hai to chart pay price ka agla target neeche 146.50 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 146.20 support levels ko test kar sakte hai.



Agar current price hourly chart pay bounced hote hai, aur sath central point line 147.70 k bull main confirmations k sath breakout karte hai to chart pay price k upward movements k chances ban sakte hain, jiska target ooper 148.00 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 148.30 resistance levels ko test kar sakte hai. Mairay analysis k hisab say price central point line k down main running kar rahi hai, is liye price k zyada tar chances yahi hain k price ka agla target neeche support levels ban sakte hain.


H4 time frame:


H4 time frame pay agar ham USD/JPY pair price ko analyzed kartay hain to price ab bhi 147.70 pivot point k neeche movements kar rahi hai, chart pay agar ham custom indicator stochastic ki reading ko daikhtay hain to indicator 80 levels say currently declined ho raha hai, jis say price ki selling ka confirm signal show hota hai. Agar current position down ki movements ko continue rakhte hai to chart pay price ka agla target neeche 146.50 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 146.20 support levels ko test kar sakte hai.



Agar current price h4 chart pay bounced hote hai, aur sath central point line 147.70 k bull main confirmations k sath breakout karte hai to chart pay price k upward movements k chances ban sakte hain, jiska target ooper 148.00 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 148.30 resistance levels ko test kar sakte hai. Mairay analysis k hisab say price central point line k down main running kar rahi hai, is liye price k zyada tar chances yahi hain k price ka agla target neeche support levels ban sakte hain.

Asian trading mein Tuesday ko, dollar ne yen ke khilaaf ek musbat raaste par safar shuru kiya, sirf ek mustaqbil trendline ko test karne wala aik mazid dip ka samna karne ke liye. Lekin is ke baad aik mudadi punah salamati ka imkan darust hua, jo ek support level qaim karne aur overall upar ki taraf rukh phir se qaim karne ki koshish ko darust karti hai. Jabke mawafiqatiyon ke mutaliq sawaalat nayi positions ke liye ihtiyaat barathtay hain, to ek maharat se bhari approach mojood hai.

Support levels ke mustaqbil par qaim rahne ke ibratnak imkanat ko le kar ihtiyaati rukh apne aap ko baratne ke liye dawat deti hai, jo lambi muddat ki trend ki ahmiyat ko tawajjuh deti hai. ¥149.80 ke darja tak ek mumkin rebound samne hai, jo ek todne par taza kharidari mein naye dilchaspi ko aazma sakta hai.

Umgeer, ¥146.80 ke darja ke neeche palat jana, dollar ko yen ke khilaaf majbooti bakhshe ka khatra peda kar sakta hai, jo joda ko 200-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ki taraf raghib karega. Halaat mein itni himmat karne ka daromadar hone ke baawajood, jismein ab mojood hawaale ki darustegi ke faide mein rehne wale US dollar ko mojood hai, aise ek manazir ne unche darjat mein aane ka khatra peda kiya hai. Halaat ka tasur, jise United States mein kam rates ki umeedon ka asar hai, aise ek laqab mein naqabil-e-yakeen ta'alluqat ko pesh karta hai.

Umeed hai ke kam rates ke liye umeedon ka tasur, Great Financial Crisis ke baad se Federal Reserve ki taraf se hawalaat se munsalik hai, jo tajwezat ko darust karne walay traders ko malta hai ke mulaim monetary policies ka imkan hai. Ab market dynamics aise lagte hain jaise ek "chicken" ka sholaa khela ja raha hai, jahan neeche ke daroohat ki umeed market ki jazbaat mein ek ghumgheen tajaweez hai.

Is manzil mein, ek tez taraar ka imkan hai, waise hi ke is se pehle aik muddat ke grinding fluctuations ke doran ho sakta hai. Ehtiyaati dip-buying aur dheere-dheere positions banane ka ek mansoobah raij hai. Ek waziha breach ¥149.80 ke darja ke ooper, ek mazboot upar ki taraf raaste ko khulne ka rasta ban sakta hai, jise ke ¥151.50 ke darja ko nishan laga sakta hai. Anay wali chuhalpaziyon ke darmiyan, market aik mazboot uptrend mein qaim hai, jo aik lambi bullish faas ke liye imkanat ko numaya karti hai.

نومبر 29 2023 کو امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین کی پیشن گوئی

امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین جوڑا چوتھے دن، تین دنوں سے تیز رفتاری سے گر رہا ہے۔ جوڑی نے آج صبح 147.17 (21 نومبر کی کم ترین) پر حمایت کی خلاف ورزی کی، اور یہ 145.08 (جون کی چوٹی) کے ہدف تک پہنچ سکتی ہے۔ مارلن آسیلیٹر بھی اچھی رفتار سے گر رہا ہے، لیکن یہ اب بھی زیادہ فروخت ہونے والے علاقے سے بہت دور ہے۔ یہاں تک کہ اگر جوڑے کی نیچے کی طرف حرکت کم ہو جاتی ہے، ہم توقع کرتے ہیں کہ وہ ہدف کی حمایت تک پہنچ جائے گا۔



امریکی حکومت کے بانڈز تیزی سے پیداوار کھو رہے ہیں۔ 5 سالہ بانڈز کی پیداوار ہفتے کے آغاز سے 4.51% سے 4.25% تک گر گئی ہے۔ اس کے ساتھ ہی ین کے مقابلے ڈالر کی قدر میں بھی کمی ہو رہی ہے۔ اس کے ساتھ ہی، بینک آف جاپان کی جانب سے اپنی انتہائی ڈھیلی مالیاتی پالیسی کو جلد ہی ترک کرنے کی افواہیں بڑھ رہی ہیں۔

٤- گھنٹے کے چارٹ پر، قیمت اور مارلن آسیلیٹر کے درمیان ایک پک کنورجنشن کے آثار ہیں۔ دن کا مرکزی پروگرام شام کو جاری کیا جائے گا - تیسری سہ ماہی کے لیے امریکی جی ڈی پی۔ خطرے کے جذبات پر منحصر ہے، امریکی ڈالر/جاپانی ین جوڑا متعلقہ حکمت عملی کا انتخاب کرے گا۔ اس وقت تک، قیمت 147.17 پر مزاحمت کے تحت رک سکتی ہے۔



تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں*

usdjpy analiycs

usdjpy h1 time frame

Currency ka jora neechay chala gaya usd / jpy, aur jaisa ke hum dekhte hain, hum ne aik ahem hadaf ki shakal mein poora kya, aakhir-kaar is ne fibonic grid par 100 - 161. 8 ki range ka ehsas kar liya. Ishwar 148.84 par waqay hai, aik hafta waar mehwar aik bearish two fractul candle masool hui, ab hum tijarti pozishnon ke ost ke sath is ke moroosi alligorituim ko injaam dete hain hain. If this is the case, then the instant forex spread size should be at least 90 points higher than the current value. Wazahat aur basri idraak ke liye, mein ne yeh sab teeron ke sath khincha, is ke ilawa, pichlle haftay mein ne isi terhan ke aik dosray mansoobay ke bazaar karzzzz ki taraf tawajah mabzol karwai, jee ke neechay waqay hai, qareeb tareen hadaf 148. 35 ho sakta hai,

And even if we were to succeed, we would still fail. Ahem allgorituim phir hum 423. 6 ki satah tak bhaag satke hain, is ke ilawa, waqt ke mutabiq 16: 00 aur 18: 00 par hamein dollar ke baray mein shmaryati maloomat paish ki jati hain, jo apne johar mein aik kirdaar ada kar sakti hain. woh jumaraat ya jummay ko kaisay girtay hain, aur yeh ke aik usool ke tor par, bohat ahem kirdaar, kyunkay waqeat bohat ahem hain,

In contrast, jari kardah tamirati ijazat naamon ki tadaad aur nai rahaish ki farokht ka muzahira kar satke hain. Lekin yahan ne usay pehlay kaam ke din tak multawi karne ka faisla kya. Aglay taij ke sath Amrici tijarti session ke douran bohat ziyada utaar charhao, Japan se yahan koi dilchasp cheez abhi tak mujhe nahi mili, is liye sochnay ke liye kuch hai, thori der baad hum intraday pivot levels par wapas jayen ge - un ki zaroorat hai). tajzia kya allag allag.



usdjpy h4 time frame


According to the scenario, keemat is level ke upar consolidate ho kar 156.000 ki taraf chali jaye. If 156.000 resistance ke qareeb trading setup ka intezar karunga, jo future trading decisions ko advice karega. Agar is upar chadhate hue kisi bhi waqt retreat ho, toh main nazdeek ke support levels se bullish signals talash karunga, jo overarching bullish trend ke umeed hai.

Dosra mumkin situation hai keemat 147.273 ya 144.538 support levels ki taraf wapas ja sakti hai. Is surat-e-haal mein, qareeb bullish signals ki talaash karunga, higher price trajectory ki umeed karte hue.

Yani ke saaray andazey mein, meri local umeed aane wale haftay ke liye yeh hai ke keemat nearest resistance level ko target karegi, uske baad trading strategies ko adjust karegi, uske baad trading strategies ko ada hoga.


The currency pair USD/JPY has a keemat ke rawaiye ka tafseeli jaye namay ka markaz hai. Dekhne ke liye wave technique ka istemal karunga main daily chart. Pichle mahine 151.70 ki nishandahi karta hai, jo ek probable negative trend ki nishandahi karta hai. Bearish candle bani hai in November, jo saal bhar qaim rahne wale ek ascending channel ke lower boundary ko test kar rahi hai. Is point se, hum technical upward trend ka intezar kar sakte hain jo pullback ki shuruwat jaisa lag raha hai, walaikin MACD abhi bhi bullish wave ki taraf ishara kar raha hai, walaikin MACD abhi bhi bullish wave ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Bearish divergence ke indicators hain bina kisi wazeh selling signals ke ehmiyat hain.

USD/JPY weekly chart dikhata hai keemat ne haal hi mein 147.273 ke local support level se bounce kiya hai, jo ke ek precise bullish candle formation mein result hua hai. According to this scenario, the next week will see a bullish rise, with the 151.723 barrier level being monitored.

Is resistance level ke qareeb do market scenarios ho sakte hain, jaisa ke pehle bhi kaha gaya hai.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis

D1 Technical Analysis

Jaise maine kal chart ki tajaweez ki thi, mujhe kuch bhi barhne ki ishara nahi mila tha, is liye maine abhi bhi girawat ka hosla rakh liya tha, aur aaj ya kal maine kisi tabdili ka koi izhar nahi dekha. Jodi upar chali gayi, bechne walay is ka intezar nahi kar rahe the, kyun ke unke stops udd gaye the, aur team itni maayusi ho gayi thi ke candles ko ooper le jane ke liye istemaal karna pada. Taqreeban 148.22 ke aas paas ke kal ke resistance level ke upar se guzarne ki baat hai. Jo main keh sakta hoon, yeh kisi rolback ka hissa nahi hai kyun ke 'is' pehle se hi jagah pe hain. Limit par buyers ki badi tadad ke bawajood, main umeed karta hoon ke jodi utni hi tezi se ya shayad aur bhi tezi se dheere dheere jayegi, kyun ke band bandiyan abhi tak dastiyab nahi hain, is liye main samajhta hoon ke woh abhi bhi market mein hain. Jab bhi jodi ek set positions ke liye ada nahi karti aur neeche jaari rahe, toh yeh matlub hai ke woh nahi karte, aur woh tab gir jaayegi jab woh stop fail ho jayega.

H4 Technical Analysis

USD/JPY ke liye yeh abhi bhi kamzor hai ke isse kaam liya jaaye. Iske alawa, isay pehle se hi toota hua qaraar diya gaya hai. Mere paas iske liye ziada umeed hai aur main umeed karta hoon ke yeh 148 tak pohanchegi. US mahangai data se kuch madad mil sakti hai, lekin agar yeh data manfi ho jaaye to jodi 147.50 ke neeche gir sakti hai, jahan mukhtasar support 148.80 pe mojood hai, jahan EMA200 hai. Yeh dekhne mein dilchaspi hogi ke chezein kaise mukhtalif hoti hain. Kaam khatam karne mein ek ghanta aur aadha laga. Mere understanding ke mutabiq, yen ke liye halaat aise hain ke Kuroda ko mulk ki policy ko tang karna nahi hai, ke kamzor yen arzi tanazur ke liye faida-mand hai, aur ke unhon ne yen ki kisi bhi mazbooti ko khatra samjha hai, aur is liye uski taraf se jawabi karwai ka imkaan hai.

Ham USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda qeemat ki tafseelat par charcha karenge. Agar kisi bunyadi tabdeeli na ho, to USD/JPY ka bullish rukh jaari rehne ka imkaan hai. Keemat mein izafah mumkin hai. Iske liye mojooda rukh se palat karne ki zarurat hai, jo mojooda keemat ke trend ko mazeed mazbooti dene ka ek khula raasta darust karta hai. Jab tak ke naye trading range ke qareeb pahunchte hain, mojooda rukh dono raaston mein signals dikhata hai, jabke pair apne rukh mein tabdeel karne mein nakam ho raha hai. Ham USD/JPY currency pair ki H1 timeframe par Parabolic indicator ka istemaal trend tabdeel hone ke liye karte hain. Taza candle prices mein Parabolic price 147.99 aur closing price 148.29 dikhata hai. Parabolic abhi sirf kharidariyon ko support karta hai, jo ghair durust market entry ke liye ek filter ka kaam karta hai. Keemat ko mawafiq qeemat se muqabla karke, pichle candle ki closing price Moving Average (MA) ko par karti hai, jo kharidari ke liye saaf ishara hai. Parabolic indicator madad karta hai stops set karne mein, jo ke nafay ko mustahkem karta hai.

Ham hourly chart par dekhte hain, keemat zahiran ek neeche ki taraf ka channel mein hai. Haan ke pair ne kal jo umeed thi ke channel ke nichle had tak girayega, isne us par girayi shuru kar di hai aur 148.17 tak pahunch gaya hai. Is darjaat mein girawat mein ek temporary rukawat thi, jisme keemat phir upar ki taraf chali gayi. Channel ke upper border par thoda sa izafah ho sakta hai 148.56 par, uske baad mukamal palat aur girawat ka imkaan hai. Mazeed girawat pair ko channel ke lower price border tak le ja sakti hai jo 147.64 hai. In factors ko mad-e-nazar rakhte hue, lagta hai ke USDJPY mein izafah hone ka imkaan hai, jo mojooda lamha ko maal hasil karne ke liye ek behtareen waqt banata hai.

Salam!

mein aap ko hamaray usd / jpy currency jore ke darmiyani muddat ke tanazur ke baray mein aik baar phir yaad dilana chahoon ga, mein ne screen par sab kuch wazeh tor par khech liya hai, yeh bunyadi tor par un taajiron se mutaliq hai, jo –apne ahdaaf ka intzaar kar satke hain, subah mein ne ain is lamhay ka tajzia kya, grid fibonic par svoyn nishaan ke totnay ka, phir 147. 85 ke ilaqay mein waqay rozana mehwar mein islaah ki, phir mein tawaqqa karta hon ke 161. 8 par kaam kya jaye ga, mojooda se hum 190 points ki mumkina kami haasil karen, yahan din ke douran koi nai cheez faraham nahi ki gayi thi, lekin mein dollar ke muqablay mein achi mandi ki tehreek ki tawaqqa karta hon, intra day pivots ne hamaray kaam ko juzwi tor par poora kya, woh ufuqi nuqton wali lakiron mein dukhaay gaye hain, hum elaan ke qareeb pahonch rahay hain. dollar ke liye three star category ki khabron ka pas manzar, ab chand minton mein hum Amrici jee d pi ka pata lagayen ge, thori der baad khaam tail ke zakhair, Japan ki taraf se hamein abhi bhi koi dilchasp peshkash nahi ki gayi hai, lehaza aap kaisi bhi nazar aaye is par, aap ko is ke sath hisaab karna hoga, agay kya hoga? waisay, doosri barri companiyon ke liye bhi aisi hi sorat e haal peda ho rahi hai. November wazeh kami ke sath khatam ho raha hai. markazi chhat se kal gravt fi al haal 530 points hai. sab se dilchasp baat, yaqeenan, yeh ghaliban jumaraat aur jummay ko hogi, jahan woh November ki bandish ke baray mein tamam anay walay nataij ke sath baat karen ge, mujhe nahi lagta ke market is ko nazar andaaz kere gi, ziyada tar imkaan hai ke woh ban jayen ge. price action ka tareeqa istemaal karte hue mukhtalif namonon ke oopri hisson mein.

usdjpy trending view

h1 time frame

USD/JPY ke liye yeh kamzor hai ki isse kaam liye jaaye. Iske alawa, isay pehle se hi qaraar diya gaya hai. Mere paas iske liye ziada umeed hai ke yeh 148 tak pohanchegi. US mahangai data se kuch madad mil sakti hai, lekin jodi 147.50 ke neeche gir sakti hai, jahan mukhtasar support 148.80 pe mojood hai, jahan EMA200 hai. Yeh dilchaspi hogi ke chezein kaise mukhtalif hoti hain. Ek ghanta aur aadha laga kaam khatam karne mein. Mere understanding ke mutabiq, yen ke liye halaat aise hain ke Kuroda ko mulk ki policy ko tang karna nahi hai, ke kamzor yen arzi tanazur ke liye faida-mand hai, aur ke unhon ne yen ki kisi bhi mazbooti ko khatra samjha hai, aur is liye uski taraf se jawabi karwai ka imkaan hai.

Is liye maine abhi bhi girawat ka hosla rakh liya tha, aur aaj ya kal maine kisi tabdili ka koi izhar nahi dekha. Jodi upar chali gayi, bechne walay is ka intezar nahi kar rahe the, aur team itni maayusi ho gayi thi ke candles ko ooper le jane ke liye istemaal karna pada. Taqreeban 148.22, kal ke resistance level ke upar se guzarne ki baat hai. Main keh sakta hoon

Yes, kisi rolback ka hissa nahi hai, but 'is' pehle se hi jagah pe hain. Limit par customers ki badi tadad ke bawajood, main umeed karta hoon ke jodi utni hi tezi se ya shayad aur bhi tezi se dheere dheere jayegi, kyun ke band bandiyan abhi tak dastiyab nahi hain, is liye main samajhta hoon ke woh abhi bhi market mein hain. If jodi ek set positions ke liye ada nahi karti aur neeche jaari rahe, then yeh matlub hai ke woh nahi karte, aur woh tab gir jaayegi if stop fail ho jayega.




h4 time frame


The USD/JPY currency pair is experiencing technical rukawat, with the pair trading at the 148.00 round-number level. Is level ke neeche aik mustawar break aur accept ho jaaye toh yeh aur girawat ke liye darwaza khol sakta hai, ke 100-day simple moving average (SMA) ke qareeb 147.90-147.85 tak pohanch jaaye. Is SMA ke taqatwar toorna, momentum mein tabdilat ka ishara karega, aakhri darayeh ke qareeb 147.15 tak slide ka samna kar sakta hai.

Toh USD/JPY girawat ko tez kar sakta hai aur 146.00 ki taraf jald hi girne ke baad, mutaliq aglay support level 145.50 ke qareeb pohanch sakta hai. Upar ki taraf, fori resistance 148.80 par hai, jise 149.00 aur weekly high 149.65 ke baad follow karta hai. If 149.65 ke upar mustawar rawaj ho, then USD/JPY will zehniyat ke level 150.00 ke par or 150.35 ke qareeb resistance region ki taraf push kar sakta hai. Mazeed khareedari dabao kisi qareebi khatam kar sakti hai


151.00 round figure mark aur bullon ko dobara hasil karne ki ijaazat de sakti hai. Mumkin global market ki umeed ko kam kar sakti hain aur USD/JPY par bojh daal sakti hain. Data releases include the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index and the core personal consumption expenditures index.

USD/JPY rawaj par asar sakti hain. Members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) taqreerain, Fed ke monetary policy outlook ke baray mein malumat farahem kar sakti hain aur USD/JPY par asar andaz ho sakti hain.

Tareekhi data ki tafseelat aur peechle dafa dikhai gayi khaas dilchaspi ki tajziyaat ke mutabiq, rozana ki timeframe mein USD/JPY ki harkat ne MA 100 ko ek dynamic support level ke taur par jawab diya. Pehle dekha gaya tha ki USD/JPY ki harkat zyada tar bearish tendencies mein thi, haan lekin kam taqat ke saath. Lekin tareekhi data mein ek bullish movement bhi note ki gayi, haan lekin bina kisi zyada taqat ke saath, aur ab yeh 100 MA ke qareeb nazar aa rahi hai. Iska matlab yeh hai ki USD/JPY ki harkat ne 100 MA ka jawab diya, jo keemat mein directional changes ki signs dikhane lagti hai kyunki yeh seedhe 100 MA ko todne ke liye bilkul tayyar nahi thi, ya khas taur par, 100 MA ke towards inkar ki reaction dikhane lagi, jo aane waale waqt mein ek aur bullish movement ko uttejit kar sakta hai.

Yeh dilchasp hai ke aane waali ahem harkat ko USD/JPY ke darmiyan directional indicator ke taur par kis tarah istemaal kiya jayega. Kya yeh thoda sa 100 MA ke neeche gir kar USD/JPY ke liye jaari bearish outlook ko dikhaayega, jo ke maeri raay mein zyada mahatvapurna hai, kyun ke 100 MA ko todne ka samay ek zyada mahatvapurna bearish movement uttejit kar sakta hai? Ya phir yeh ek bullish direction mein lautega, 100 MA ke upar mahatvapurna taqat ke saath, jo keemat ko bullish trend mein lautane ki sambhavna dikhata hai, ya kam se kam, agar 100 MA ke upar ek mahatvapurna bullish movement hota hai, toh yeh aur bhi bullish movements ko ishara kar sakta hai, jiski nishani 50 MA tak pahunchne ki hogi.

USDJPY ki Takhmina

Daily time frame chart ka manzar nama:
USDJPY ne 20 November ko bearish trend mein 50 EMA line ko cross kiya, is liye is ke pichle dino se USDJPY ka trend bearish raha hai. Moving average lines ka crossover hone ke baad bhi, USDJPY ne moving average lines ko dobara chhua aur keemat mein correction complete kiya. USDJPY ne kal bearish Doji candle banai, jab isne diagram mein dikhaye gaye support level ko test kiya. Is support level ki kamzori ke baawajood, keemat ghate ja rahi hai aur isne isey mazeed bearish gatividhiyon ki aasha mein cross kiya hai. Mein mazeed keemat girne ki tawaqoat ke baawajood, diagram mein jo do aur support levels hain, unka zikr kiya gaya hai, jo ke 144.79 aur 141.60 par hain.



Weekly time frame chart ka manzar nama:
USDJPY ki keemat pichle hafton se haftay ke time frame chart par ek chadhne wale channel mein bhar gayi hai. Chadhne wale channel ke top level aur is time frame chart ki maximum resistance level dono ko USDJPY ne apni bullish gatividhiyon ke doran kuch hafton pehle chhooa tha; is liye, top par chhoti si muddat ke liye, USDJPY ne range movement dikhaya. USDJPY ne do hafton pehle bearish movement shuru ki thi, lekin pichle haftay mein isne ek pin bar candle banai, jo ke is haftay ke shuru mein bears aur buyers ko uljhan mein dal gayi, kyun ke keemat uske uchayi par thi. Bear ki taqat achanak badh gayi, aur is haftay ka candle bearish engulfing hai. USDJPY chadhne wale channel ke neeche aa raha hai, lekin bears kitne mazboot hain, is bat par gaur hai, is liye jald hi iska tootna zyada mumkin hai.

147.05 ke darjah ko bechne ka manzar aaj hai. Aur yeh zahir hota hai ke US dollar ki kamzori USD/JPY pair mein khaas tor par zahir hai. Jab market 147.05 ke ahem hadood ki taraf murnay lagti hai, to traders waqayi mein hone wale waqeat ko tawajjuh se dekh rahe hain. US dollar ki kamzori is pair ki raaste mein asar andazi kar rahi hai, jise global iqtisadi musharraf ki uljhanat ne aur bhi mushkil bana diya hai. Is mushkilat mein, anay wale US Berozgari dar ka asar jazbatiyat ko aur bhi barha raha hai. Mahine ke aakhri trading din ne amoor mein izafay ki bhi ek izafi tabaqah daal di hai, jo tijarat ke liye ek maqool aur hushyar tajaweez ko nazar andaz karta hai. In mawafiqat ke darmiyan, zaroori hai ke tajaweezat ke sath market ki raaste mein hosla afzaai ki jaye, woh potential tabdeelian jo ho sakti hain ko pehchana jaye. Umeedon ki hawas maloom hoti hai, jise ke USD/JPY ke market ne US trading session ke doran 147.36 ke ahem darjah ko torh dega. Yeh manzir ek ehmiyat bhara lamha darust karta hai, jahan iqtisadi daleel aur market ki jazbaat ek dosre ke raaste banane mein milti hain. Traders kinara par tayar hain, jo iqtisadi factor aur market forces ke darmiyan kaaro kari taqat ke samajhdaar hain. Jab ke din dhalta hai, USD/JPY pair ek canvas ban jata hai jis par global iqtisadi rujhanat ki brushstrokes ek jatil naqsha aur mumkin raaste ki tasweer pesh karte hain. Is mahine ke akhri trading din mein currency market ki nuances ka sahih jazbaat, hushyarana tajaweezat aur naye trends ko pehchanne ke liye jazbaat se bhari hui hai. Chalte phirte rahne mein, har data point aur iqtisadi dalil mojooda dastan mein apne asar ko jama kar raha hai, aur aaj ke trading session mein USD/JPY dynamics ki chalti hui kahani mein naye chapters ka izhar hone ka waada hai. Chalte hain dekhte hain ke aane wale ghanton mein aur is mahine ke ikhtitam mein kya hota hai.